UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
RQuarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2017

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2019
or
£Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 
 For the transition period from ____________________ to ____________________ 
Commission file number 1-6368

Commission file number 1-6368



Ford Motor Credit Company LLC
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware38-1612444
(State of organization)
(I.R.S. employer identification no.)
One American Road
Dearborn,Michigan48126
(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip code)Code)

(313)322-3000
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)


Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered
3.588% Notes due June 2, 2020F/20SNew York Stock Exchange
0.623% Notes due June 28, 2023*F/23ENew York Stock Exchange
1.355% Notes due February 7, 2025*F/25INew York Stock Exchange
4.125% Notes due on June 20, 2024F/24ONew York Stock Exchange
3.021% Notes due March 6, 2024F/24MNew York Stock Exchange
4.535% Notes due March 6, 2025*F/25KNew York Stock Exchange
3.350% Notes due Nine Months or More from the Date of Issue due August 20, 2026F/26NNew York Stock Exchange
1.514% Notes due February 17, 2023F/23GNew York Stock Exchange
2.386% Notes due February 17, 2026F/26ABNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due December 12, 2019*F/19ANew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due December 16, 2019*F/19CNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due May 14, 2021*F/21CNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due December 1, 2021*F/21AQNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due December 7, 2022*F/22TNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due November 15, 2023*F/23DNew York Stock Exchange
Floating Rate Notes due December 1, 2024*F/24LNew York Stock Exchange
     *Issued under Euro Medium Term Notes due Nine Months or More from The Date of Issue Program

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. þYeso No





Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). þ Yes o No


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer o
Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer þ
Smaller reporting company o
Emerging growth company o
Large accelerated filer o Accelerated filer oNon-accelerated filerþ Smaller reporting company o

Emerging growth company o

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o☐ 

     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
YesNo
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
o Yes  þ No


All of the limited liability company interests in the registrant (“Shares”) are held by an affiliate of the registrant. None of the Shares are publicly traded.


REDUCED DISCLOSURE FORMAT

The registrant meets the conditions set forth in General Instruction H(1)(a) and (b) of Form 10-Q and is therefore filing this Form with the reduced disclosure format.


 
ExhibitsExhibit Index begins on page 5243






FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC
QUARTERLY REPORT ON FORM 10-Q
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 20172019
    
 Table of Contents Page
    
 Part I. Financial Information  
 
  
  
  
  
  
  
 
  
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Part II. Other Information  
 
 
  



i





PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1. Financial Statements.

Statements


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
(in millions)


For the periods ended September 30,For the periods ended September 30,
2016 2017 2016 20172018 2019 2018 2019
Third Quarter First Nine MonthsThird Quarter First Nine Months
(unaudited)(unaudited)
Financing revenue              
Operating leases$1,409
 $1,394
 $4,115
 $4,141
$1,463
 $1,480
 $4,321
 $4,429
Retail financing780
 891
 2,273
 2,518
983
 987
 2,890
 2,958
Dealer financing450
 462
 1,333
 1,389
519
 534
 1,624
 1,738
Other10
 17
 29
 51
Other financing20
 23
 62
 73
Total financing revenue2,649
 2,764
 7,750
 8,099
2,985
 3,024
 8,897
 9,198
Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases(1,085) (989) (3,174) (3,090)(936) (894) (2,975) (2,712)
Interest expense(697) (810) (2,030) (2,308)(989) (1,081) (2,898) (3,316)
Net financing margin867
 965
 2,546
 2,701
1,060
 1,049
 3,024
 3,170
Other revenue 
  
     
      
Insurance premiums earned38
 38
 118
 120
39
 43
 123
 136
Fee based revenue and other
 61
 
 177
57
 60
 180
 175
Total financing margin and other revenue905
 1,064
 2,664
 2,998
1,156
 1,152
 3,327
 3,481
Expenses 
  
     
      
Operating expenses287
 324
 891
 930
368
 350
 1,070
 1,064
Provision for credit losses (Note 6)138
 169
 403
 420
127
 93
 290
 189
Insurance expenses22
 28
 113
 121
19
 33
 77
 103
Total expenses447
 521
 1,407
 1,471
514
 476
 1,437
 1,356
              
Other income, net (Note 13)109
 57
 224
 173
36
 60
 74
 243
         

    
Income before income taxes567
 600
 1,481
 1,700
678
 736
 1,964
 2,368
Provision for income taxes181
 186
 441
 507
Provision for / (Benefit from) income taxes160
 165
 266
 581
Net income$386
 $414
 $1,040
 $1,193
$518
 $571
 $1,698
 $1,787




CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(in millions)

 For the periods ended September 30,
 2016 2017 2016 2017
 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 (unaudited)
Net income$386
 $414
 $1,040
 $1,193
Other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax (Note 12)       
Foreign currency translation(72) 204
 (41) 485
Total other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax(72) 204
 (41) 485
Comprehensive income/(loss)314
 618
 999
 1,678
Less: Comprehensive income/(loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests
 
 
 
Comprehensive income/(loss) attributable to Ford Motor Credit Company$314
 $618
 $999
 $1,678
 For the periods ended September 30,
 2018 2019 2018 2019
 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 (unaudited)
Net income$518
 $571
 $1,698
 $1,787
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax (Note 12)       
Foreign currency translation(49) (210) (300) (182)
Comprehensive income / (loss)$469
 $361
 $1,398
 $1,605


The accompanying notes are part of the financial statements.

1


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)





FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(in millions)


December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
(unaudited)(unaudited)
ASSETS      
Cash and cash equivalents (Note 3)$8,077
 $8,835
$9,607
 $11,579
Marketable securities (Note 3)3,280
 3,101
1,308
 3,454
Finance receivables, net (Note 4)102,981
 110,597
Finance receivables, net   
Retail installment contracts, dealer financing, and other financing110,388
 104,302
Finance leases8,426
 8,469
Total finance receivables, net (Note 4)118,814
 112,771
Net investment in operating leases (Note 5)27,209
 26,931
27,449
 27,530
Notes and accounts receivable from affiliated companies811
 957
905
 794
Derivative financial instruments (Note 9)909
 982
670
 1,295
Other assets (Note 10)2,822
 3,075
3,456
 3,460
Total assets$146,089
 $154,478
$162,209
 $160,883
      
LIABILITIES      
Accounts payable      
Customer deposits, dealer reserves, and other$1,065
 $1,236
$1,097
 $1,081
Affiliated companies336
 705
426
 549
Total accounts payable1,401
 1,941
1,523
 1,630
Debt (Note 11)126,492
 132,380
140,146
 139,274
Deferred income taxes3,230
 3,633
2,595
 2,712
Derivative financial instruments (Note 9)166
 420
663
 637
Other liabilities and deferred income (Note 10)1,997
 2,020
Other liabilities and deferred revenue (Note 10)2,307
 2,475
Total liabilities133,286
 140,394
147,234
 146,728
      
SHAREHOLDER’S INTEREST      
Shareholder’s interest5,227
 5,227
5,227
 5,227
Accumulated other comprehensive income/(loss) (Note 12)(890) (405)
Accumulated other comprehensive income / (loss) (Note 12)(829) (1,011)
Retained earnings8,466
 9,262
10,577
 9,939
Total shareholder’s interest attributable to Ford Motor Credit Company12,803
 14,084
Shareholder’s interest attributable to noncontrolling interests
 
Total shareholder’s interest12,803
 14,084
14,975
 14,155
Total liabilities and shareholder’s interest$146,089
 $154,478
$162,209
 $160,883


The following table includes assets to be used to settle the liabilities of the consolidated variable interest entities (“VIEs”).  These assets and liabilities are included in the consolidated balance sheet above.  See Notes 7 and 8 for additional information on our VIEs.
December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
(unaudited)(unaudited)
ASSETS      
Cash and cash equivalents$3,047
 $2,511
$2,728
 $2,660
Finance receivables, net50,857
 52,834
58,662
 56,546
Net investment in operating leases11,761
 9,908
16,332
 12,671
Derivative financial instruments25
 60
27
 6
      
LIABILITIES      
Debt$43,730
 $43,302
$53,269
 $50,981
Derivative financial instruments5
 2
24
 49


The accompanying notes are part of the financial statements.

2


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)




FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF SHAREHOLDER’S INTEREST
(in millions, unaudited)


  Shareholder’s Interest Attributable to Ford Motor Credit Company    
  Shareholder’s Interest 
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income/(Loss)
(Note 12)
 Retained Earnings Total Shareholder’s Interest Attributable to Non-Controlling Interests Total Shareholder’s Interest
Balance at December 31, 2015 $5,227
 $(607) $7,093
 $11,713
 $1
 $11,714
Net income 
 
 1,040
 1,040
 
 1,040
Other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax 
 (41) 
 (41) 
 (41)
Distributions declared 
 
 
 
 (1) (1)
Balance at September 30, 2016 $5,227
 $(648) $8,133
 $12,712
 $
 $12,712
             
Balance at December 31, 2016 $5,227
 $(890) $8,466
 $12,803
 $
 $12,803
Net income 
 
 1,193
 1,193
 
 1,193
Other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax 
 485
 
 485
 
 485
Adoption of accounting standard (Note 2) 
 
 9
 9
 
 9
Distributions declared 
 
 (406) (406) 
 (406)
Balance at September 30, 2017 $5,227
 $(405) $9,262
 $14,084
 $
 $14,084
  Shareholder’s Interest 
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income / (Loss)
(Note 12)
 Retained Earnings Total Shareholder’s Interest
Balance at December 31, 2017 $5,227
 $(419) $11,076
 $15,884
Net income 
 
 701
 701
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 113
 
 113
Distributions declared 
 
 (1,013) (1,013)
Balance at March 31, 2018 $5,227
 $(306) $10,764
 $15,685
         
Net income 
 
 479
 479
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 (364) 
 (364)
Distributions declared 
 
 (450) (450)
Balance at June 30, 2018 $5,227
 $(670) $10,793
 $15,350
         
Net income 
 
 518
 518
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 (49) 
 (49)
Distributions declared 
 
 (600) (600)
Balance at September 30, 2018 $5,227
 $(719) $10,711
 $15,219
         
Balance at December 31, 2018 $5,227
 $(829) $10,577
 $14,975
Net income 
 
 603
 603
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 20
 
 20
Distributions declared 
 
 (675) (675)
Balance at March 31, 2019 $5,227
 $(809) $10,505
 $14,923
         
Net income 
 
 613
 613
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 8
 
 8
Distributions declared 
 
 (650) (650)
Balance at June 30, 2019 $5,227
 $(801) $10,468
 $14,894
         
Net income 
 
 571
 571
Other comprehensive income / (loss), net of tax 
 (210) 
 (210)
Distributions declared 
 
 (1,100) (1,100)
Balance at September 30, 2019 $5,227
 $(1,011) $9,939
 $14,155


The accompanying notes are part of the financial statements.



3


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)





FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
(in millions)


For the periods ended September 30,For the periods ended September 30,
2016 20172018 2019
First Nine MonthsFirst Nine Months
(unaudited)(unaudited)
Cash flows from operating activities      
Net cash provided by/(used in) operating activities$4,807
 $4,451
Net Income$1,698
 $1,787
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided in operations   
Provision for credit losses290
 189
Depreciation and amortization3,626
 3,306
Amortization of upfront interest supplements(1,513) (1,605)
Net change in deferred income taxes142
 137
Net change in other assets(329) 58
Net change in other liabilities470
 228
All other operating activities210
 109
Net cash provided by / (used in) operating activities$4,594
 $4,209
      
Cash flows from investing activities      
Purchases of finance receivables(29,605) (30,543)(33,751) (28,449)
Collections of finance receivables24,174
 27,254
Principal collections of finance receivables31,993
 31,628
Purchases of operating lease vehicles(10,974) (9,935)(11,015) (9,728)
Liquidations of operating lease vehicles6,090
 6,623
Proceeds from termination of operating lease vehicles7,086
 7,135
Net change in wholesale receivables and other short-duration receivables836
 1,560
686
 2,822
Purchases of marketable securities(5,794) (4,359)(3,401) (4,438)
Proceeds from sales and maturities of marketable securities4,368
 4,564
4,504
 2,322
Settlements of derivatives8
 (48)228
 87
All other investing activities(152) (20)117
 (41)
Net cash provided by/(used in) investing activities(11,049) (4,904)
Net cash provided by / (used in) investing activities(3,553) 1,338
      
Cash flows from financing activities      
Proceeds from issuances of long-term debt31,789
 29,982
37,035
 33,423
Principal payments on long-term debt(29,499) (30,291)(32,588) (33,216)
Change in short-term debt, net905
 1,709
(1,677) (1,190)
Cash distributions to parent
 (406)(2,063) (2,425)
All other financing activities(90) (74)(141) (87)
Net cash provided by/(used in) financing activities3,105
 920
Net cash provided by / (used in) financing activities566
 (3,495)
      
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents(74) 291
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash(145) (93)
      
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents$(3,211) $758
Net increase / (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash$1,462
 $1,959
      
Cash and cash equivalents at January 1$8,886
 $8,077
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents(3,211) 758
Cash and cash equivalents at September 30$5,675
 $8,835
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at beginning of period (Note 3)$9,682
 $9,747
Net increase / (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash1,462
 1,959
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at end of period (Note 3)$11,144
 $11,706


The accompanying notes are part of the financial statements.



4


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




Table of Contents


Footnote Page
Presentation
Accounting Policies
Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities
Finance Receivables
Net Investment in Operating Leases
Allowance for Credit Losses
Transfers of Receivables
Variable Interest Entities
Derivative Financial Instruments and Hedging Activities
Other Assets and Other Liabilities and Deferred IncomeRevenue
Debt
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income/Income / (Loss)
Other Income, Net
Segment Information
Commitments and Contingencies







5


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 1. PRESENTATION


Principles of Consolidation

The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America (“GAAP”) for interim financial information, and instructions to the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Rule 10-01 of Regulation S-X. In the opinion of management, these unaudited financial statements include all adjustments considered necessary for a fair statement of the results of operations and financial condition for interim periods for Ford Motor Credit Company LLC, its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated VIEs in which Ford Motor Credit Company LLC is the primary beneficiary (collectively referred to herein as “Ford Credit,” “we,” “our,” or “us”). Results for interim periods should not be considered indicative of results for any other interim period or for the full year. Reference should be made to the financial statements contained in our CurrentAnnual Report on Form 8-K dated April 27, 201710-K for the year ended December 31, 2018 (“April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report”). We are an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of Ford Motor Company (“Ford”).

We reclassifiedreclassify certain prior period amounts in our consolidated financial statements to conform to current year presentation.


Forso Nordic AB. We hold a 50% interest in Forso Nordic AB (“Forso”), a joint ventureRestructuring and Other Actions

During the first nine months of 2019, we continued to execute separation and restructuring actions associated with Credit Agricole Consumer Finance SA (“CACF”). Forso was establishedour plans to supporttransform the saleoperational fitness of Ford vehicles in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden by providing retail and dealer financing in these markets. We have exercised our call option to purchase CACF’s shares in the joint venture, and as a result, effective August 23, 2017, we consolidated the joint venture for financial reporting purposes. The consolidated results are included in the Europe segment. Our Income before income taxes includes a $17 million loss, reflecting historical foreign currency translation, as a result of the consolidation. We measured the fair value of joint venture assets and liabilities at the date of consolidation and recognized $1.5 billion in assets (primarily finance receivables) and $1.3 billion in liabilities (primarily debt) on our balance sheet. We expect to finalize the purchase price of CACF’s shares during the fourth quarter of 2017.business.


NOTE 2. ACCOUNTING POLICIES


Provision for Income Taxes


For interim tax reporting we estimate one single effective tax rate, which is applied to the year-to-date ordinary income/income / (loss). Tax effects of significant unusual or infrequently occurring items are excluded from the estimated annual effective tax rate calculation and recognized in the interim period in which they occur.


Adoption of New Accounting Standards

Accounting StandardStandards Update (“ASU”) 2014-09,Revenue - Revenue from Contracts with Customers. We have2016-02, Leases.  On January 1, 2019, we adopted the new accounting standard, ASC 606 Revenue from Contracts with CustomersAccounting Standards Codification 842, Leases, and all the related amendments as of January 1, 2017(“new lease standard”) to contracts using the modified retrospective method. The comparative information has not been restated and continues to be reported under the lease accounting standardsstandard in effect for those periods. Adoption of the standard as a lessor did not significantly impact our financial statements. As a lessee, it added about $100 million of right-of-use assets and lease obligations to our consolidated balance sheet as of January 1, 2019, and did not significantly impact our income statement. We do not expect the adoption of the new revenuelease standard resulted in changes to have a significant impact to our net income on an ongoing basis. We elected the timingpractical expedients permitted under the transition guidance of revenue recognition and in the reclassification between financial statement line items. Under the new standard we recognize insurance commissions atthat retained the time of salelease classification and initial direct costs for any leases that existed prior to adoption of the productstandard. We did not reassess whether any contracts entered into prior to adoption are leases or service to our customer; previously, such income was recognized over the life of the insurance contract. The new standard also provided additional clarity that resulted in reclassifications from Other income, net toa new financial statement line entitled Fee based revenue and other.contain leases.

We recognized the cumulative effect of initially applying the new standard as a $9 million increase to the opening balance of Retained earnings with the offset primarily reflected in Other assets. When compared to the previous standard, the impact of adopting the new standardwas immaterial to Other assets and Retained earnings at September 30, 2017 and Net income for the periods ended September 30, 2017. Under the previous standard, amounts reported in Fee based revenue and other for the period ended September 30, 2017 would have been included in Other income, net.

Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 2. ACCOUNTING POLICIES (Continued)


We also adopted the following standardsASUs during 2017,2019, none of which had a material impact to our financial statements or financial statement disclosures:

StandardASU  Effective Date
2017-052018-16Gains and Losses fromInclusion of the Derecognition of Nonfinancial Assets - Clarifying the Scope of Asset Derecognition GuidanceSecured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) Overnight Index Swap (OIS) Rate as a Benchmark Interest Rate for Hedge Accounting Purposes January 1, 20172019
2017-042018-08GoodwillClarifying the Scope and Other - Simplifying the TestAccounting Guidance for Goodwill ImpairmentContributions Received and Contributions Made January 1, 2017
2017-03Accounting Changes and Error Corrections and Investments - Equity Method and Joint VenturesJanuary 1, 2017
2017-01Business Combinations - Clarifying the Definition of a BusinessJanuary 1, 2017
2016-17Consolidation - Interests Held through Related Parties That Are Under Common ControlJanuary 1, 2017
2016-09Stock Compensation - Improvements to Employee Share-Based Payment AccountingJanuary 1, 2017
2016-07Equity Method and Joint Ventures - Simplifying the Transition to the Equity Method of AccountingJanuary 1, 2017
2016-06Derivatives and Hedging - Contingent Put and Call Options in Debt InstrumentsJanuary 1, 2017
2016-05Derivatives and Hedging - Effect of Derivative Contract Novations on Existing Hedge Accounting RelationshipsJanuary 1, 2017
2016-04Extinguishments of Liabilities - Recognition of Breakage for Certain Prepaid Stored-Value ProductsJanuary 1, 2017
2017-09Stock Compensation - Scope of Modification AccountingApril 1, 20172019




6


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 2. ACCOUNTING POLICIES (Continued)

Accounting Standards Issued But Not Yet Adopted


The following represent the standards that will, or arestandard is expected to result in a significant change in practice and/or have a significant financial impact to Ford Credit.


ASU 2016-13, Credit Losses - Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments. In June 2016, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued a new accounting standard which replaces the current incurred loss impairment method with a method that reflects expected credit losses.  The new standard is effective as of January 1, 2020, and early adoption is permitted as of January 1, 2019. We will adopt the new standard and the related amendments on January 1, 2020. Based on our current loan portfolio and forecasts of future macroeconomic conditions, we estimate that the allowance for credit loss guidancelosses reported in Total finance receivables, net on our balance sheet will increase by recognizingabout $200 million at adoption. We will record the cumulative effect of initially applying the new standard as an adjustment to the opening balance of Retained earningsWe anticipate adoptionThe increase is primarily for our consumer loan portfolio as it will increase the amount ofcover expected credit losses reportedover the full remaining expected life of the loans.   

Change in Finance Receivables, Net on our consolidated balance sheet and do not expect a material impact to our income statement.Accounting Method

ASU 2016-02, Leases.  In February 2016, the FASB issued a new accounting standard which provides guidance on the recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure of leases. The new standard supersedes the present U.S. GAAP standard on leases and requires substantially all leases to be reported on the balance sheet as right-of-use assets and lease liabilities, as well as additional disclosures. We plan to adopt the standard at its effective dateAs of January 1, 2019. We anticipate adoption of the standard will add about $100 million in right-of-use assets and lease obligations2019, we changed our accounting method for reporting early termination losses related to our balance sheet and will not significantly impact pre-tax profit. We plan to elect the practical expedients upon transition that will retain the lease classification and initial direct costscustomer defaults on operating leases. See Note 5 for any leases that exist prior to adoption of the standard. We will not reassess whether any contracts entered into prior to adoption are leases. We are in the early stages of implementation.additional information.


ASU 2017-12, Derivatives and Hedging. In August 2017, the FASB issued a new accounting standard which aligns hedge accounting with risk management activities and simplifies the requirements to qualify for hedge accounting. We plan to adopt the new standard effective January 1, 2018 and are assessing the impact to our hedge accounting processes and financial statement disclosures. We anticipate adoption will not have a material impact to our financial statements.

Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 3. CASH, CASH EQUIVALENTS, AND MARKETABLE SECURITIES


The following table categorizes the fair values of cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities measured at fair value on a recurring basis on our balance sheet (in millions):
 Fair Value Level December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Cash and cash equivalents     
U.S. government1 $139
 $447
U.S. government and agencies2 25
 571
Non-U.S. government and agencies2 114
 1,405
Corporate debt2 884
 872
Total marketable securities classified as cash equivalents  1,162
 3,295
Cash, time deposits and money market funds  8,445
 8,284
Total cash and cash equivalents  $9,607
 $11,579
      
Marketable securities     
U.S. government1 $289
 $710
U.S. government and agencies2 65
 340
Non-U.S. government and agencies2 610
 1,927
Corporate debt2 198
 193
Other marketable securities2 146
 284
Total marketable securities  $1,308
 $3,454


Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Restricted Cash

Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash as reported in the statement of cash flows are presented separately on our consolidated balance sheet as follows (in millions):
 December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Cash and cash equivalents$9,607
 $11,579
Restricted cash included in other assets (a)140
 127
Total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash$9,747
 $11,706

__________
(a)Restricted cash primarily includes cash held to meet certain local governmental and regulatory reserve requirements and cash held under the terms of certain contractual agreements. Restricted cash does not include required minimum balances or cash securing debt issued through securitization transactions.

7


 Fair Value Level December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
Cash and cash equivalents     
U.S. government1 $924
 $112
U.S. government agencies2 
 200
Non-U.S. government and agencies2 142
 357
Corporate debt2 
 
Total marketable securities classified as cash equivalents  1,066
 669
Cash, time deposits and money market funds  7,011
 8,166
Total cash and cash equivalents  $8,077
 $8,835
      
Marketable securities     
U.S. government1 $1,634
 $670
U.S. government agencies2 505
 384
Non-U.S. government and agencies2 632
 971
Corporate debt2 475
 1,051
Other marketable securities2 34
 25
Total marketable securities  $3,280
 $3,101



Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES


We manage finance receivables as “consumer” and “non-consumer” portfolios. The receivables are generally secured by the vehicles, inventory, or other property being financed.


FinanceTotal finance receivables, net were as follows (in millions):
December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Consumer      
Retail installment contracts, gross$70,999
 $68,660
Finance leases, gross8,748
 8,833
Retail financing, gross$68,121
 $75,592
79,747
 77,493
Unearned interest supplements from Ford and affiliated companies(2,783) (3,136)(3,508) (3,595)
Consumer finance receivables65,338
 72,456
76,239
 73,898
      
Non-Consumer      
Dealer financing36,951
 36,818
40,996
 37,622
Other financing1,176
 1,898
2,168
 1,764
Non-Consumer finance receivables38,127
 38,716
43,164
 39,386
Total recorded investment$103,465
 $111,172
$119,403
 $113,284
      
Recorded investment in finance receivables$103,465
 $111,172
$119,403
 $113,284
Allowance for credit losses(484) (575)(589) (513)
Finance receivables, net$102,981
 $110,597
Total finance receivables, net$118,814
 $112,771
      
Net finance receivables subject to fair value (a)$100,857
 $107,506
$110,388
 $104,302
Fair value101,576
 107,286
Fair value (b)109,794
 104,557
__________
(a)
At December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017, FinanceNet finance receivables net includes $2.1 billion and $3.1 billion, respectively, of direct financing leases that are not subject to fair value disclosure requirements. exclude finance leases.  Previously, certain consumer financing products in Europe were classified as retail installment contracts.  We now classify these products as finance leases.  Comparative information has been revised to reflect this change. 
(b)The fair value of finance receivables is categorized within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.


Excluded from finance receivables at AtDecember 31, 20162018 andSeptember 30, 2017 was $224 million and $225 million, respectively, of2019, accrued uncollected interest was $264 million and $241 million, respectively, which we report in Other assets on our balance sheet.


Included in recorded investment in finance receivables at December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 20172019 were consumer receivables of $32.5$40.7 billion and $35.2$37.8 billion, respectively, and non-consumer receivables of $26.0$25.7 billion and $23.6$24.0 billion, respectively, that have been sold for legal purposes in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. The receivables are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay the other obligations or the claims of Ford Credit’s other creditors. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions (see Note 7 for additional information).



Finance Leases


Finance leases are composed of sales-type and direct financing leases. We offer finance leases to individuals, leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. These financings include primarily lease plans for terms of 24 to 60 months. In limited cases, a customer may extend the lease term. Early terminations of leases may also occur at the customer’s request subject to our approval. We offer financing products in which the customer may be required to pay any shortfall, or may receive as payment any excess amount between the fair market value and the contractual vehicle value at the end of the term, which are classified as finance leases. In some markets, we finance a vehicle with a series of monthly payments followed by a single balloon payment or the option for the customer to return the vehicle to Ford Credit; these arrangements containing a purchase option are classified as finance leases.


8


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES (Continued)


The amounts contractually due on finance lease receivables were as follows (in millions):
 September 30,
2019
Within one year$2,032
After one year and within two years1,980
After two years and within three years1,534
After three years and within four years709
After four years and within five years114
After five years2
   Total future cash payments6,371
Less: Present value discount(316)
   Finance lease receivables$6,055


The reconciliation from finance lease receivables to finance leases, gross and finance leases, net is as follows (in millions):
 September 30,
2019
Finance lease receivables$6,055
Unguaranteed residual assets2,653
Initial direct costs125
   Finance leases, gross8,833
Unearned interest supplements from Ford and affiliated companies(347)
Allowance for credit losses(17)
   Finance leases, net$8,469


Financing revenue from finance leases for the third quarter of 2018 and 2019 was $91 million and $90 million, respectively, and for the first nine months of 2018 and 2019 was $281 million and $279 million, respectively. Financing revenue from finance leases is included in Retail financing on the income statement. Revenue is recognized using the interest method and includes the accretion of certain direct origination costs that are deferred and interest supplements received from Ford and affiliated companies.



9


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES (Continued)

Aging


For all finance receivables, we define “past due” as any payment, including principal and interest, that is at least 31 days past the contractual due date. The recorded investment of consumer receivables greater than 90 days past due and still accruing interest was $21$20 million and $28 million at December 31, 2016and2018. At September 30, 2017, respectively. The recorded investment of non-consumer receivables2019, there were no balances greater than 90 days past due andfor which we are still accruing interest was de minimis and $1 million at December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017, respectively.interest.
 
The aging analysis of our finance receivables balances was as follows (in millions):

 December 31, 2018 September 30,
2019
Consumer   
31-60 days past due$859
 $741
61-90 days past due123
 110
91-120 days past due39
 39
Greater than 120 days past due39
 38
Total past due1,060
 928
Current75,179
 72,970
Consumer finance receivables76,239
 73,898
    
Non-Consumer   
Total past due76
 70
Current43,088
 39,316
Non-Consumer finance receivables43,164
 39,386
  Total recorded investment$119,403
 $113,284

 December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
Consumer   
31-60 days past due$760
 $682
61-90 days past due114
 111
91-120 days past due34
 40
Greater than 120 days past due39
 37
Total past due947
 870
Current64,391
 71,586
Consumer finance receivables65,338
 72,456
    
Non-Consumer   
Total past due107
 135
Current38,020
 38,581
Non-Consumer finance receivables38,127
 38,716
Total recorded investment$103,465
 $111,172


Credit Quality


Consumer Portfolio

Portfolio. Credit quality ratings for consumer receivables are based on our aging analysis. Refer to the aging table above.

Consumer receivables credit quality ratings are as follows:


Pass – current to 60 days past due;
Special Mention61 to 120 days past due and in intensified collection status; and
Substandard – greater than 120 days past due and for which the uncollectible portion of the receivables has already been charged off, as measured using the fair value of collateral less costs to sell.

Pass – current to 60 days past due
Special Mention61 to 120 days past due and in intensified collection status
Substandard – greater than 120 days past due and for which the uncollectible portion of the receivables has already been charged off, as measured using the fair value of collateral less costs to sell

Non-Consumer Portfolio

Portfolio. Dealers are assigned to one of four groups according to risk ratings as follows:


Group I – strong to superior financial metrics;
Group II – fair to favorable financial metrics;
Group III – marginal to weak financial metrics; and
Group IV – poor financial metrics, including dealers classified as uncollectible.

The credit quality analysis of dealer financing receivables was as follows (in millions):
Group I – strong to superior financial metrics
 December 31, 2018 September 30,
2019
Dealer financing   
Group I$33,656
 $30,786
Group II5,635
 4,733
Group III1,576
 2,012
Group IV129
 91
Total recorded investment$40,996
 $37,622



Group II – fair to favorable financial metrics10

Group III – marginal to weak financial metrics
Group IV – poor financial metrics, including dealers classified as uncollectible


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 4. FINANCE RECEIVABLES (Continued)
The credit quality analysis of our dealer financing receivables was as follows (in millions):
 December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
Dealer financing   
Group I$29,926
 $29,602
Group II5,552
 5,585
Group III1,380
 1,479
Group IV93
 152
Total recorded investment$36,951
 $36,818


Impaired Receivables


Impaired consumer receivables include accounts that have been rewritten or modified in reorganization proceedings pursuant to the U.S. Bankruptcy Code that are considered to be Troubled Debt Restructurings (“TDRs”), as well as all accounts greater than 120 days past due. Impaired non-consumer receivables represent accounts with dealers that have weak or poor financial metrics or dealer financing that has been modified in TDRs. The recorded investment of consumer receivables that were impaired at December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 20172019 was $367370 million and $334 million, or 0.6% of consumer receivables,0.5% and $387 million, or 0.5% of consumer receivables, respectively. The recorded investment of non-consumer receivables that were impaired at December 31, 20162018 andSeptember 30, 20172019 was $107129 million and $91 million, or 0.3% of non-consumer receivables, and $152 million, or 0.4%0.2% of non-consumer receivables, respectively. Impaired finance receivables are evaluated both collectively and specifically.


The accrual of revenue is discontinued at the time a receivable is determined to be uncollectible. Accounts may be restored to accrual status only when a customer settles all past-due deficiency balances and future payments are reasonably assured. For receivables in non-accrual status, subsequent financing revenue is recognized only to the extent a payment is received. Payments are generally applied first to outstanding interest and then to the unpaid principal balance.


A restructuring of debt constitutes a TDR if we grant a concession to a debtor for economic or legal reasons related to the debtor’s financial difficulties that we otherwise would not consider. Consumer and non-consumer receivables that have a modified interest rate below market rate or that were modified in reorganization proceedings pursuant to the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, except non-consumer receivables that are current with minimal risk of loss, are considered to be TDRs. We do not grant concessions on the principal balance of our receivables. If a receivable is modified in a reorganization proceeding, all payment requirements of the reorganization plan need to be met before remaining balances are forgiven. Finance receivables involved in TDRs are specifically assessed for impairment.






11


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 5. NET INVESTMENT IN OPERATING LEASES


Net investment in operating leases consistconsists primarily of lease contracts for vehicles with retail customers,individuals, daily rental companies, and fleet customers with terms of 60 months or less. Payment extensions may be requested by the customer and are generally limited to a maximum of six months over the term of the lease.  Term extensions may also be requested by the customer. Term and payment extensions in total generally do not exceed twelve months. A lease can be terminated at any time by satisfying the obligations under the lease agreement. Early termination programs may be occasionally offered to eligible lessees. At the end of the lease, the customer returns the vehicle to the dealer or may have the option to buy the leased vehicle. In the case of a contract default and repossession, the customer typically remains liable for any deficiency between net auction proceeds and the defaulted contract obligations, including any repossession-related expenses.

Accumulated depreciation reduces the value of the vehicles from their initial acquisition value to their expected residual value at the end of the lease, with the associated depreciation expense recognized on a straight-line basis over the term of the lease. At the time of purchase, we establish the expected residual value for the vehicle based on recent auction values, return volumes for our leased vehicles, industry-wide used vehicle prices, marketing incentive plans, and vehicle quality data. We monitor residual values each month and review the accuracy of our accumulated depreciation on a quarterly basis.
Change in Accounting Method. As of January 1, 2019, we changed our accounting method for reporting early termination losses related to customer defaults on operating leases.  Prior to the first quarter of 2019, we presented the early termination loss reserve on operating leases due to customer default events as part of the allowance for credit losses, which reduces Net investment in operating leases on the balance sheet.  On the income statement, the incurred losses were included in Provision for credit losses.  We now consider the effects of operating lease early terminations when determining depreciation estimates, which are included as part of accumulated depreciation within Net investment in operating leases on the balance sheet, and Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases on the income statement.
In conjunction with the January 1, 2019 adoption of ASU 2016-02, Leases (described in Note 2), we reviewed our leasing-related accounting policies and updated our depreciation policy for operating leases so that the useful life of the vehicles incorporates our historical experience on early terminations due to customer defaults.  We believe this change in accounting method is preferable as the characterization of these changes is better reflected as depreciation.  At December 31, 2018, this reclassification increased accumulated depreciation and decreased allowance for credit losses by $78 million, respectively, and had no impact on Net Investment in operating leases.  On the income statement, this reclassification increased Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases and decreased Provision for credit losses by $29 million and $77 million, for the third quarter of 2018 and first nine months of 2018, respectively.
These changes had no impact on Income before income taxes,Net investment in operating leases, wereRetained earnings, or to Net cash provided by / (used in) operating activities. We have reclassified prior period amounts to reflect the above changes.
Net investment in operating leases was as follows (in millions):
December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
Vehicles, at cost (a)$32,823
 $32,684
$33,593
 $33,339
Accumulated depreciation(5,550) (5,684)(6,144) (5,809)
Net investment in operating leases before allowance for credit losses27,273
 27,000
Allowance for credit losses(64) (69)
Net investment in operating leases$27,209
 $26,931
$27,449
 $27,530
__________
(a)
Includes interest supplements and residual support payments we receive on certain leasing transactions under agreements with Ford and affiliated companies, and other vehicle acquisition costs. We recognize these upfront collections from Ford and other vehicle acquisition costs as part of Net investment in operating leases, which are amortized to Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases over the term of the lease contract.



12


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 5. NET INVESTMENT IN OPERATING LEASES (Continued)

At December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 2017, net2019, Net investment in operating leases before allowance for credit losses includes $11.8$16.3 billion and $9.9$12.7 billion, respectively, of net investment in operating leases that have been included in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. These net investmentinvestments in operating leases are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay our other obligations or the claims of our other creditors. We hold the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions (see Note 7 for additional information).

We have a sale-leaseback agreement with Ford primarilyThe amounts contractually due for vehicles that Ford leases to employees of Ford and its subsidiaries. Effective January 1, 2017, the financing we provide under this agreement is reflectedminimum rentals on our balance sheet in Finance receivables, net. Previously, these amounts were reflected in Net investment in operating leases. The amount included in Net investment in operating leases at December 31, 2016 was $907 million. 2018 were as follows (in millions):
 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total
Minimum rentals on operating leases$4,708
 $2,929
 $1,083
 $83
 $6
 $8,809

The revenue related to these agreements is now reflected in Other financing revenue. Previously, this activity was reflectedamounts contractually due on our income statement in operating leases at September 30, 2019 were as follows (in millions):
 Within 1 year After 1 year and within 2 years After 2 years and within 3 years After 3 years and within 4 years After 4 years and within 5 years Total
Operating lease payments$4,703
 $2,917
 $1,014
 $72
 $5
 $8,711

Operating leases revenueare generally pre-payable without penalty and Depreciation on vehicles subjectmay cause actual paid amounts to operating leases which was $73 million and $67 million for the third quarter of 2016, respectively, and $222 million and $201 million for the first nine months of 2016, respectively.differ from amounts contractually due.


13


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 6. ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES


An analysis of the allowance for credit losses related to finance receivables and net investment in operating leases for the periods ended September 30 (in millions) was as follows:

follows (in millions):
Third Quarter 2016
Finance Receivables Net Investment in Operating Leases Total AllowanceThird Quarter 2018 First Nine Months 2018
Consumer Non-Consumer Total Consumer Non-Consumer Total Consumer Non-Consumer Total
Allowance for credit losses                    
Beginning balance$432
 $17
 $449
 $63
 $512
$573
 $14
 $587
 $582
 $15
 $597
Charge-offs(108) (5) (113) (44) (157)(128) (43) (171) (382) (46) (428)
Recoveries29
 1
 30
 20
 50
40
 4
 44
 126
 6
 132
Provision for credit losses112
 1
 113
 25
 138
73
 52
 125
 237
 52
 289
Other (a)(1) 
 (1) (1) (2)
Ending balance$464
 $14
 $478
 $63
 $541
         
First Nine Months 2016
Finance Receivables Net Investment in Operating Leases Total Allowance
Consumer Non-Consumer Total 
Allowance for credit losses         
Beginning balance$357
 $16
 $373
 $49
 $422
Charge-offs(304) (7) (311) (125) (436)
Recoveries89
 4
 93
 60
 153
Provision for credit losses323
 1
 324
 79
 403
Other (a)(1) 
 (1) 
 (1)
Other1
 
 1
 (4) 
 (4)
Ending balance$464
 $14
 $478
 $63
 $541
$559
 $27
 $586
 $559
 $27
 $586
                    
Analysis of ending balance of allowance for credit losses                    
Collective impairment allowance$445
 $12
 $457
 $63
 $520
      $538
 $14
 $552
Specific impairment allowance19
 2
 21
 
 21
      21
 13
 34
Ending balance464
 14
 478
 63
 $541
      $559
 $27
 $586
                    
Analysis of ending balance of finance receivables and net investment in operating leases         
Analysis of ending balance of finance receivables           
Collectively evaluated for impairment64,743
 36,120
 100,863
 27,024
        $76,448
 $39,638
 $116,086
Specifically evaluated for impairment366
 140
 506
 
        379
 165
 544
Recorded investment65,109
 36,260
 101,369
 27,024
        76,827

39,803
 116,630
                    
Ending balance, net of allowance for credit losses$64,645
 $36,246
 $100,891
 $26,961
        $76,268
 $39,776
 $116,044
__________
(a)Primarily represents amounts related to translation adjustments.
 Third Quarter 2019 First Nine Months 2019
 Consumer Non-Consumer Total Consumer Non-Consumer Total
Allowance for credit losses           
Beginning balance$496
 $17
 $513
 $566
 $23
 $589
Charge-offs(129) (1) (130) (383) (18) (401)
Recoveries41
 
 41
 129
 8
 137
Provision for credit losses93
 
 93
 187
 2
 189
Other(3) (1) (4) (1) 
 (1)
Ending balance$498
 $15
 $513
 $498
 $15
 $513
            
Analysis of ending balance of allowance for credit losses           
Collective impairment allowance      $479
 $13
 $492
Specific impairment allowance      19
 2
 21
Ending balance      498
 15
 513
            
Analysis of ending balance of finance receivables           
Collectively evaluated for impairment      $73,564
 $39,295
 $112,859
Specifically evaluated for impairment      334
 91
 425
Recorded investment      73,898
 39,386
 113,284
            
Ending balance, net of allowance for credit losses      $73,400
 $39,371
 $112,771


14


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 6. ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES (Continued)

 Third Quarter 2017
 Finance Receivables Net Investment in Operating Leases Total Allowance
 Consumer Non-Consumer Total  
Allowance for credit losses         
Beginning balance$507
 $15
 $522
 $66
 $588
Charge-offs(132) 
 (132) (51) (183)
Recoveries36
 4
 40
 25
 65
Provision for credit losses146
 (6) 140
 29
 169
Other (a)5
 
 5
 
 5
Ending balance$562
 $13
 $575
 $69
 $644
          
 First Nine Months 2017
 Finance Receivables Net Investment in Operating Leases Total Allowance
 Consumer Non-Consumer Total  
Allowance for credit losses         
Beginning balance$469
 $15
 $484
 $64
 $548
Charge-offs(366) (3) (369) (155) (524)
Recoveries105
 8
 113
 73
 186
Provision for credit losses341
 (7) 334
 86
 420
Other (a)13
 
 13
 1
 14
Ending balance$562
 $13
 $575
 $69
 $644
          
Analysis of ending balance of allowance for credit losses         
Collective impairment allowance$541
 $13
 $554
 $69
 $623
Specific impairment allowance21
 
 21
 
 21
Ending balance562
 13
 575
 69
 $644
          
Analysis of ending balance of finance receivables and net investment in operating leases         
Collectively evaluated for impairment72,069
 38,564
 110,633
 27,000
  
Specifically evaluated for impairment387
 152
 539
 
  
Recorded investment72,456
 38,716
 111,172
 27,000
  
          
Ending balance, net of allowance for credit losses$71,894
 $38,703
 $110,597
 $26,931
  
__________
(a)Primarily represents amounts related to translation adjustments.

Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 7. TRANSFERS OF RECEIVABLES


We securitize finance receivables and net investment in operating leases through a variety of programs using amortizing, variable funding, and revolving structures. We also sell finance receivables in structured financing transactions. Due to the similarities between securitization and structured financing, we refer to structured financings as securitization transactions. Our securitization programs are targeted to institutional investors in both public and private transactions in capital markets includingprimarily in the United States, Canada, several European countries, Mexico,the United Kingdom, Germany, and China.


We engage in securitization transactions to fund operations and to maintain liquidity. Our securitization transactions are recorded as asset-backed debt, and the associated assets are not derecognized and continue to be included in our financial statements.


The finance receivables sold for legal purposes and net investment in operating leases included in securitization transactions are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions. They are not available to pay our other obligations or the claims of our other creditors. We hold the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions. The debt is the obligation of our consolidated securitization entities and not the obligation of Ford Credit or our other subsidiaries.


Most of these securitization transactions utilize VIEs. See Note 8 for additional information concerning VIEs. The following tables show the assets and debt related to our securitization transactions that were included in our financial statements (in billions):


December 31, 2016December 31, 2018
Cash and Cash Equivalents Finance Receivables and Net Investment in Operating Leases (a) Related Debt (c)Cash and Cash Equivalents Finance Receivables and Net Investment in Operating Leases (a) 
Related Debt
(c)
Before Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
Allowance for
Credit Losses
 
After Allowance
for Credit Losses
 Before Allowance
for Credit Losses
 Allowance for
Credit Losses
 After Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
VIE (b)                  
Retail financing$1.5
 $25.9
 $0.2
 $25.7
 $22.7
$1.9
 $34.0
 $0.2
 $33.8
 $29.2
Wholesale financing1.0
 25.2
 
 25.2
 13.6
0.3
 24.9
 
 24.9
 13.9
Finance receivables2.5
 51.1
 0.2
 50.9
 36.3
2.2
 58.9
 0.2
 58.7
 43.1
Net investment in operating leases0.5
 11.8
 
 11.8
 7.4
0.5
 16.3
 
 16.3
 10.2
Total VIE$3.0
 $62.9
 $0.2
 $62.7
 $43.7
$2.7
 $75.2
 $0.2
 $75.0
 $53.3
                  
Non-VIE                  
Retail financing$0.4
 $6.6
 $
 $6.6
 $6.1
$0.3
 $6.7
 $
 $6.7
 $5.9
Wholesale financing
 0.8
 
 0.8
 0.6

 0.8
 
 0.8
 0.6
Finance receivables0.4
 7.4
 
 7.4
 6.7
0.3
 7.5
 
 7.5
 6.5
Net investment in operating leases
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
Total Non-VIE$0.4
 $7.4
 $
 $7.4
 $6.7
$0.3
 $7.5
 $
 $7.5
 $6.5
                  
Total securitization transactions                  
Retail financing$1.9
 $32.5
 $0.2
 $32.3
 $28.8
$2.2
 $40.7
 $0.2
 $40.5
 $35.1
Wholesale financing1.0
 26.0
 
 26.0
 14.2
0.3
 25.7
 
 25.7
 14.5
Finance receivables2.9
 58.5
 0.2
 58.3
 43.0
2.5
 66.4
 0.2
 66.2
 49.6
Net investment in operating leases0.5
 11.8
 
 11.8
 7.4
0.5
 16.3
 
 16.3
 10.2
Total securitization transactions$3.4
 $70.3
 $0.2
 $70.1
 $50.4
$3.0
 $82.7
 $0.2
 $82.5
 $59.8
__________
(a)Unearned interest supplements and residual support are excluded from securitization transactions.
(b)Includes assets to be used to settle the liabilities of the consolidated VIEs.
(c)Includes unamortized discount and debt issuance costs.






15


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 7. TRANSFERS OF RECEIVABLES (Continued)


September 30, 2017September 30, 2019
Cash and Cash Equivalents Finance Receivables and Net Investment in Operating Leases (a) Related Debt (c)Cash and Cash Equivalents Finance Receivables and Net Investment in Operating Leases (a) 
Related Debt
(c)
Before Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
Allowance for
Credit Losses
 
After Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
Before Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
Allowance for
Credit Losses
 
After Allowance
for Credit Losses
 
VIE (b)                  
Retail financing$1.7
 $29.9
 $0.2
 $29.7
 $25.7
$1.8
 $33.3
 $0.2
 $33.1
 $28.8
Wholesale financing0.3
 23.1
 
 23.1
 11.3
0.3
 23.4
 
 23.4
 14.2
Finance receivables2.0
 53.0
 0.2
 52.8
 37.0
2.1
 56.7
 0.2
 56.5
 43.0
Net investment in operating leases0.5
 9.9
 
 9.9
 6.3
0.6
 12.7
 
 12.7
 8.0
Total VIE$2.5
 $62.9
 $0.2
 $62.7
 $43.3
$2.7
 $69.4
 $0.2
 $69.2
 $51.0
                  
Non-VIE                  
Retail financing$0.3
 $5.3
 $
 $5.3
 $4.7
$0.2
 $4.5
 $
 $4.5
 $4.0
Wholesale financing
 0.5
 
 0.5
 0.5

 0.6
 
 0.6
 0.5
Finance receivables0.3
 5.8
 
 5.8
 5.2
0.2
 5.1
 
 5.1
 4.5
Net investment in operating leases
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
Total Non-VIE$0.3
 $5.8
 $
 $5.8
 $5.2
$0.2
 $5.1
 $
 $5.1
 $4.5
                  
Total securitization transactions                  
Retail financing$2.0
 $35.2
 $0.2
 $35.0
 $30.4
$2.0
 $37.8
 $0.2
 $37.6
 $32.8
Wholesale financing0.3
 23.6
 
 23.6
 11.8
0.3
 24.0
 
 24.0
 14.7
Finance receivables2.3
 58.8
 0.2
 58.6
 42.2
2.3
 61.8
 0.2
 61.6
 47.5
Net investment in operating leases0.5
 9.9
 
 9.9
 6.3
0.6
 12.7
 
 12.7
 8.0
Total securitization transactions$2.8
 $68.7
 $0.2
 $68.5
 $48.5
$2.9
 $74.5
 $0.2
 $74.3
 $55.5
__________
(a)Unearned interest supplements and residual support are excluded from securitization transactions.
(b)Includes assets to be used to settle the liabilities of the consolidated VIEs.
(c)Includes unamortized discount and debt issuance costs.cost.



16


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 8. VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITIES


We use special purpose entities to issue asset-backed securities in transactions to public and private investors. We have deemed most of these special purpose entities to be VIEs of which we are the primary beneficiary. The asset-backed securities are backed by finance receivables and interests in net investments in operating leases. The assets continue to be consolidated by us. We retain interests in our securitization VIEs, including subordinated securities issued by the VIEs, rights to cash held for the benefit of the securitization investors, and rights to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions.


We have no obligation to repurchase or replace any securitized asset that subsequently becomes delinquent in payment or otherwise is in default, except when representations and warranties about the eligibility of the securitized assets are breached, or when certain changes are made to the underlying asset contracts. Securitization investors have no recourse to us or our other assets and have no right to require us to repurchase the investments. We generally have no obligation to provide liquidity or contribute cash or additional assets to the VIEs and do not guarantee any asset-backed securities. We may be required to support the performance of certain securitization transactions, however, by increasing cash reserves.


See Note 7 for additional information on the financial position and financial performance of our VIEs.VIEs and Note 9 for additional information regarding derivatives.


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 9. DERIVATIVE FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND HEDGING ACTIVITIES


In the normal course of business, our operations are exposed to global market risks, including the effect of changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates. To manage these risks, we enter into highly effective derivative contracts. We have elected to apply hedge accounting to certain derivatives. Derivatives that are designated in hedging relationships are evaluated for effectiveness using regression analysis at the time they are designated and throughout the hedge period. Some derivatives do not qualify for hedge accounting; for others, we elect not to apply hedge accounting.


Income Effect of Derivative Financial Instruments


The gains/gains / (losses), by hedge designation, recordedreported in income for the periods ended September 30 were as follows (in millions):
Third Quarter First Nine MonthsThird Quarter First Nine Months
2016 2017 2016 20172018 2019 2018 2019
Fair value hedges              
Interest rate contracts              
Net interest settlements and accruals excluded from the assessment of hedge effectiveness$95
 $50
 $292
 $182
Ineffectiveness (a)(1) 
 21
 
Net interest settlements and accruals on hedging instruments$(5) $
 $19
 $(32)
Fair value changes on hedging instruments(102) 203
 (531) 927
Fair value changes on hedged debt110
 (194) 521
 (910)
Derivatives not designated as hedging instruments

 

           
Interest rate contracts21
 20
 (70) 57
9
 18
 (28) (12)
Foreign currency exchange contracts37
 (61) 129
 (151)
Foreign currency exchange contracts (a)6
 154
 104
 188
Cross-currency interest rate swap contracts128
 5
 463
 79
(75) (257) (258) (261)
Total$280
 $14
 $835
 $167
$(57) $(76) $(173) $(100)
__________
(a)For the third quarterReflects forward contracts between Ford Credit and first nine months of 2016, hedge ineffectiveness reflects the net change in fair value on derivatives of $228 million loss and $655 million gain, respectively, and change in value on hedged debt attributable to the change in benchmark interest rates of $227 million gain and $634 million loss, respectively. For the third quarter and first nine months of 2017, hedge ineffectiveness reflects the net change in fair value on derivatives of $40 million loss and $95 million loss, respectively, and change in value on hedged debt attributable to the change in benchmark interest rates of $40 million gain and $95 million gain, respectively.an affiliated company.




17


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 9. DERIVATIVE FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND HEDGING ACTIVITIES (Continued)


Balance Sheet Effect of Derivative Financial Instruments


Derivative assets and liabilities are recordedreported on the balance sheet at fair value and are presented on a gross basis. The notional amounts of the derivative instruments do not necessarily represent amounts exchanged by the parties and are not a direct measure of our financial exposure. We also enter into master agreements with counterparties that may allow for netting of exposures in the event of default or breach of the counterparty agreement. Collateral represents cash received or paid under reciprocal arrangements that we have entered into with our derivative counterparties which we do not use to offset our derivative assets and liabilities.


The fair value of our derivative instruments and the associated notional amounts, presented gross, were as follows (in millions):
December 31, 2016 September 30, 2017December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Notional 
Fair Value of
Assets
 
Fair Value of
Liabilities
 Notional 
Fair Value of
Assets
 
Fair Value of
Liabilities
Notional Fair Value of Assets Fair Value of Liabilities Notional Fair Value of Assets Fair Value of Liabilities
Fair value hedges                      
Interest rate contracts$33,175
 $487
 $80
 $31,802
 $323
 $132
$22,989
 $158
 $208
 $25,235
 $789
 $10
Derivatives not designated as hedging instruments                      
Interest rate contracts61,689
 156
 74
 57,144
 227
 119
76,904
 235
 274
 64,523
 271
 290
Foreign currency exchange contracts (a)1,791
 24
 4
 3,732
 62
 147
4,318
 45
 24
 5,567
 108
 18
Cross-currency interest rate swap contracts3,201
 242
 8
 3,998
 370
 22
5,235
 232
 157
 7,203
 127
 319
Total derivative financial instruments, gross (b) (c)$99,856
 $909
 $166
 $96,676
 $982
 $420
Total derivative financial instruments, gross (a) (b)$109,446
 $670
 $663
 $102,528
 $1,295
 $637
__________
(a)Includes forward contracts between Ford CreditAt December 31, 2018 and an affiliated company.September 30, 2019, we held collateral of $19 million and $24 million, respectively, and we posted collateral of $59 million and $100 million, respectively.
(b)At December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 2017, we held collateral of $15 million and $11 million, respectively, and we posted collateral of $12 million and $31 million, respectively.
(c)At December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017,2019, the fair value of assets and liabilities available for counterparty netting was $113$233 million and $226$282 million, respectively. All derivatives are categorized within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy.


18


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 10. OTHER ASSETS AND OTHER LIABILITIES AND DEFERRED INCOMEREVENUE


Other assets and other liabilities and deferred incomerevenue consist of various balance sheet items that are combined for financial statement presentation due to their respective materiality compared with other individual asset and liability items.


Other assets were as follows (in millions):
December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
Accrued interest and other non-finance receivables$889
 $1,048
$1,080
 $997
Collateral held for resale, at net realizable value, and other inventory621
 607
877
 807
Prepaid reinsurance premiums and other reinsurance recoverables546
 594
658
 683
Deferred charges – income taxes205
 244
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation (a)156
 176
192
 209
Deferred charges - income taxes216
 182
Investment in non-consolidated affiliates123
 129
Restricted cash (b)140
 127
Deferred charges122
 129
96
 125
Restricted cash (b)108
 121
Investment in non-consolidated affiliates153
 113
Operating lease assets
 88
Other22
 43
74
 113
Total other assets$2,822
 $3,075
$3,456
 $3,460
__________
(a)
Accumulated depreciation was $347367 million and $359$383 million at December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 2017,2019, respectively.
(b)Restricted cash primarily includes cash held to meet certain local governmental and regulatory reserve requirements and cash held under the terms of certain contractual agreements. Restricted cash does not include required minimum balances or cash securing debt issued through securitization transactions.


Other liabilities and deferred incomerevenue were as follows (in millions):
 December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
Unearned insurance premiums and fees$775
 $803
Interest payable752
 652
Income tax and related interest (a)369
 551
Deferred revenue113
 111
Operating lease liabilities
 90
Payroll and employee benefits70
 60
Other228
 208
Total other liabilities and deferred revenue$2,307
 $2,475

 December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
Unearned insurance premiums and fees$650
 $706
Interest payable661
 535
Income tax and related interest294
 281
Deferred revenue143
 152
Payroll and employee benefits51
 65
Other198
 281
Total other liabilities and deferred income$1,997
 $2,020
__________
(a)Includes tax and interest payable to affiliated companies of $193 million and $407 million at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2019, respectively.


We have investments in entities for which we do not have the ability to exercise significant influence and fair values are not readily available. We have elected to record these investments at cost (less impairment, if any), adjusted for observable price changes in orderly transactions for the identical or a similar investment of the same issuer. We report the carrying value of these investments in Other assets in our consolidated balance sheet. These investments were $9 million and $8 million at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2019, respectively. There were no material adjustments to the fair values of these investments during the period ended September 30, 2019.

Deferred revenue balances presented above include amounts from contracts with customers primarily related to admission fee revenue on group financing products available in Argentina and were $120$87 million $120 million, and $128$64 million at December 31, 2016, January 1, 2017,2018 and September 30, 2017,2019, respectively. The January 1, 2017 balance reflects adoption of the new revenue recognition standard. See Note 2 for additional information.

Admission fee revenue on group financing products is generally recognized evenly over the term of the agreement, which is up to 84 months. Increases in the admission fee deferred revenue balance are the result of payments due during the current period in advance of satisfying our performance under the contract and decreases are a result of revenue recognized during the current period that was previously deferred. The total amount of admission fee revenue recognized for the first nine months of 2017 that was included in the beginning balance of deferred revenue at January 1, 2017 was $21 million.







19


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 11. DEBT


Debt outstanding and interest rates were as follows (in millions):
     Interest Rates
 Debt Average Contractual Average Effective
 December 31,
2018
 September 30,
2019
 2018 2019 2018 2019
Short-term debt           
Unsecured debt           
Floating rate demand notes$5,880
 $6,558
        
Commercial paper3,749
 3,645
        
Other short-term debt4,213
 2,515
        
Asset-backed debt943
 823
        
Total short-term debt14,785
 13,541
 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0%
Long-term debt           
Unsecured debt           
Notes payable within one year14,373
 14,854
        
Notes payable after one year52,409
 55,651
        
Asset-backed debt (a)           
Notes payable within one year22,130
 24,496
        
Notes payable after one year36,844
 30,209
        
Unamortized discount2
 (2)        
Unamortized issuance costs(211) (219)        
Fair value adjustments (b)(186) 744
        
Total long-term debt125,361
 125,733
 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0%
Total debt$140,146
 $139,274
 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 3.0%
            
Fair value of debt (c)$138,888
 $140,110
        
     Interest Rates
 Debt Average Contractual Average Effective
 December 31,
2016
 September 30,
2017
 2016 2017 2016 2017
Short-term debt           
Unsecured debt           
Floating rate demand notes$5,986
 $5,718
        
Commercial paper4,507
 5,627
        
Other short-term debt3,803
 5,196
        
Asset-backed debt1,063
 1,151
        
Total short-term debt15,359
 17,692
 2.3% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6%
Long-term debt           
Unsecured debt           
Notes payable within one year12,369
 13,487
        
Notes payable after one year49,308
 53,858
        
Asset-backed debt (a)           
Notes payable within one year19,286
 16,496
        
Notes payable after one year30,112
 30,909
        
Unamortized discount(8) (1)        
Unamortized issuance costs(212) (223)        
Fair value adjustments (b)278
 162
        
Total long-term debt111,133
 114,688
 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Total debt$126,492
 $132,380
 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5%
            
Fair value of debt (c)$128,001
 $134,141
        

__________
(a)Asset-backed debt issued in securitizations is the obligation of the consolidated securitization entity that issued the debt and is payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements. This asset-backed debt is not the obligation of Ford Credit or our other subsidiaries.
(b)Adjustments relatedThese adjustments relate to designated fair value hedgeshedges. The carrying value of unsecured debt.hedged debt was $38.0 billion and $39.3 billion at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2019, respectively.
(c)The fair value of debt includes $14.3$13.8 billion and $16.5$12.7 billion of short-term debt at December 31, 20162018 and September 30, 2017,2019, respectively, carried at cost, which approximates fair value. All other debt is categorized within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy.


NOTE 12. ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME/INCOME / (LOSS)


The changes in the balance of Accumulated other comprehensive income/(loss)Other Comprehensive Income / (Loss) (“AOCI”) attributable to Ford Credit for the periods ended September 30 were as follows (in millions):
 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 2018 2019 2018 2019
Beginning AOCI balance$(670) $(801) $(419) $(829)
Net gain / (loss) on foreign currency translation(49) (210) (300) (182)
Ending AOCI balance$(719) $(1,011) $(719) $(1,011)




20


 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 2016 2017 2016 2017
Foreign currency translation       
Beginning balance$(576) $(609) $(607) $(890)
Net gain/(loss) on foreign currency translation(72) 204
 (41) 485
Other comprehensive income/(loss), net of tax(72) 204
 (41) 485
Ending balance$(648) $(405) $(648) $(405)
        
Total AOCI ending balance at September 30$(648) $(405) $(648) $(405)

Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 13. OTHER INCOME, NET


Other income consists of various line items that are combined on the income statement due to their respective materiality compared with other individual income and expense items.


The amounts included in Other income, net for the periods ended September 30 were as follows (in millions):
 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 2018 2019 2018 2019
Gains / (Losses) on derivatives$(60) $(85) $(182) $(85)
Currency revaluation gains / (losses)36
 52
 80
 36
Interest and investment income49
 88
 $140
 $250
Other11
 5
 36
 42
Total other income, net$36
 $60
 $74
 $243

 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 2016 2017 2016 2017
Gains/(Losses) on derivatives$186
 $(36) $545
 $(15)
Currency revaluation gains/(losses)(157) 51
 (585) 73
Interest and investment income19
 33
 71
 80
Insurance fee income21
 
 68
 
Other40
 9
 125
 35
Total other income, net$109
 $57
 $224
 $173


NOTE 14. SEGMENT INFORMATION


We have three reportable segments inconduct our consolidated financial statements that align withfinancing operations directly and indirectly through our management reporting structuresubsidiaries and reflect the manner in which our Chief Operating Decision Maker managesaffiliates. We offer substantially similar products and services throughout many different regions, subject to local legal restrictions and market conditions. We segment our business including resource allocation and performance assessment. These segments are:based on geographic regions: the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Items excluded in assessing segment performance because they are managed at the corporate level, including market valuation adjustments to derivatives and exchange-rate fluctuations on foreign currency-denominated transactions, are reflected in Unallocated Other. The following is a brief description of our segments:


Americas Segment --segment – United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina
Europe Segment --segment – European region and South Africa
Asia Pacific Segment --segment – China and India


We conduct our financing operations directly and indirectly through our subsidiaries and affiliates.

21


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 14. SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)


Key operating datafinancial information for our business segments for the periods ended or at September 30 were was as follows (in millions):

Americas Europe Asia Pacific Total Segments Unallocated Other (a) TotalAmericas Europe Asia Pacific 
Total
Segments
 Unallocated Other (a) Total
Third Quarter 2016           
Total revenue (b)$2,419
 $244
 $88
 $2,751
 $45
 $2,796
Third Quarter 2018           
Total revenue$2,677
 $284
 $120
 $3,081
 $
 $3,081
Income before income taxes423
 79
 20
 522
 45
 567
556
 89
 13
 658
 20
 678
Other disclosures:                      
Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases1,072
 13
 
 1,085
 
 1,085
924
 12
 
 936
 
 936
Interest expense586
 69
 42
 697
 
 697
848
 68
 75
 991
 (2) 989
Provision for credit losses128
 6
 4
 138
 
 138
116
 1
 10
 127
 
 127
                      
Third Quarter 2017           
Total revenue (b)$2,493
 $247
 123
 $2,863
 $
 $2,863
Third Quarter 2019           
Total revenue$2,764
 $286
 $77
 $3,127
 $
 $3,127
Income before income taxes485
 72
 23
 580
 20
 600
584
 82
 15
 681
 55
 736
Other disclosures:      

               
Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases975
 14
 
 989
 
 989
884
 10
 
 894
 
 894
Interest expense669
 65
 76
 810
 
 810
951
 86
 43
 1,080
 1
 1,081
Provision for credit losses159
 7
 3
 169
 
 169
86
 6
 1
 93
 
 93
                      
First Nine Months 2016           
Total revenue (b)$7,063
 $761
 $258
 $8,082
 $10
 $8,092
First Nine Months 2018           
Total revenue$7,918
 $878
 $404
 $9,200
 $
 $9,200
Income before income taxes1,168
 257
 46
 1,471
 10
 1,481
1,619
 303
 86
 2,008
 (44) 1,964
Other disclosures:                      
Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases3,149
 25
 
 3,174
 
 3,174
2,955
 20
 
 2,975
 
 2,975
Interest expense1,687
 213
 130
 2,030
 
 2,030
2,430
 216
 256
 2,902
 (4) 2,898
Provision for credit losses369
 21
 13
 403
 
 403
263
 14
 13
 290
 
 290
Net finance receivables and net investment in operating leases111,110
 19,266
 4,049
 134,425
 (6,573) 127,852
120,425
 25,995
 5,720
 152,140
 (8,526) 143,614
Total assets116,462
 22,150
 4,380
 142,992
 
 142,992
128,103
 27,120
 6,023
 161,246
 
 161,246
                      
First Nine Months 2017           
Total revenue (b)$7,359
 $709
 $328
 $8,396
 $
 $8,396
First Nine Months 2019           
Total revenue$8,349
 $896
 $264
 $9,509
 $
 $9,509
Income before income taxes1,308
 223
 69
 1,600
 100
 1,700
1,836
 314
 64
 2,214
 154
 2,368
Other disclosures:                      
Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases3,055
 35
 
 3,090
 
 3,090
2,681
 31
 
 2,712
 
 2,712
Interest expense1,930
 187
 191
 2,308
 
 2,308
2,902
 252
 155
 3,309
 7
 3,316
Provision for credit losses389
 21
 10
 420
 
 420
178
 18
 (7) 189
 
 189
Net finance receivables and net investment in operating leases115,331
 23,855
 5,921
 145,107
 (7,579) 137,528
119,463
 25,518
 3,737
 148,718
 (8,417) 140,301
Total assets120,398
 27,323
 6,757
 154,478
 
 154,478
128,603
 28,185
 4,095
 160,883
 
 160,883
__________
(a)
Net finance receivables and Net investment in operating leases include unearned interest supplements and residual support, allowance for credit losses, and other (primarily accumulated supplemental depreciation).
(b)

22


Total revenue for 2016 includes Total financing revenue, Insurance premiums earned, and Other income, net. For 2017, Total revenue includes Total financing revenue, Insurance premiums earned, and Fee based revenue and other. The change in the definition of Total revenue is the result of our adoption of the new revenue recognition accounting standard as of January 1, 2017 (see Note 2 for additional information).
Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS




NOTE 15. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES


Commitments and contingencies primarily consist of lease commitments, guarantees and indemnifications, and litigation and claims.

Lease Commitments

We lease various land, buildings, and equipment under agreements that expire over various contractual periods ranging from less than one year to 11 years. Many of our leases contain one or more options to extend. We include options that we are reasonably certain to exercise in our evaluation of the lease term after considering all relevant economic and financial factors. The leased (“right-of-use”) assets in operating lease arrangements are presented in Other assets on our consolidated balance sheet.

We do not separate the non-lease components (e.g., maintenance and operating services) from the lease components to which they relate. Instead, non-lease components are included in the measurement of the lease liabilities.  We calculate the initial lease liability as the present value of fixed payments not yet paid using the discount rate implicit in the lease.  If the discount rate is not readily determinable, we use our incremental borrowing rate. Operating lease liabilities are reported in Other liabilities and deferred revenue. Variable payments are included in the lease liability if they are based on a market rate or an index (e.g., CPI). Variable payments that do not meet this criterion are expensed as incurred.

We have rental commitments for certain land, buildings, and equipment that expire over various contractual periods. Minimum non-cancelable operating lease commitments at December 31, 2018 were as follows (in millions):
 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Thereafter Total
Minimum rentals on operating leases$19
 $14
 $11
 $10
 $9
 $34
 $97


The amounts contractually due on our operating lease liabilities at September 30, 2019 were as follows (in millions):
 Within 1 year After 1 year and within 2 years After 2 years and within 3 years After 3 years and within 4 years After 4 years and within 5 years After 5 years Total
Operating lease$19
 $15
 $13
 $13
 $12
 $29
 $101
Less: Present value discount            (11)
Total operating lease liabilities          
 $90


Operating and variable lease expense for the third quarter and first nine months of 2019 was $5 million and $16 million, respectively. The right-of-use assets obtained in exchange for operating lease liabilities for the third quarter and first nine months of 2019 was $0 million and $17 million, respectively.

As of September 30, 2019, the weighted average remaining lease term for operating leases was seven years and the weighted average remaining discount rate for operating leases was 3.3%.

Guarantees and Indemnifications


Guarantees and indemnifications are recorded at fair value at their inception. We regularly review our performance risk under these arrangements, and in the event it becomes probable we will be required to perform under a guarantee or indemnity, the amount of probable payment is recorded.


The maximum potential payments under these guarantees and limited indemnities totaled $34 million and $54 million at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2019, respectively. Of these values, $29 million and $49 million at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2019, respectively, were counter-guaranteed by Ford to us. There were no recorded liabilities related to guarantees and limited indemnities at December 31, 2018 or September 30, 2019.


23


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 15. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES (Continued)

In some cases, we have guaranteed debt and other financial obligations of outside third parties and unconsolidated affiliates, including Ford. Expiration dates vary, and guarantees will terminate on payment and/or cancellation of the underlying obligation. A payment by us would be triggered by failure of the guaranteed party to fulfill its obligation covered by the guarantee. In some circumstances, we are entitled to recover from a third party amounts paid by us under the guarantee. However, our ability to enforce these rights is sometimes stayed until the guaranteed party is paid in full, and may be limited in the event of insolvency of the third party or other circumstances.


In the ordinary course of business, we execute contracts involving indemnifications standard in the industry and indemnifications specific to a transaction. These indemnifications might include and are not limited to claims relating to any of the following: environmental, tax, and shareholder matters; intellectual property rights; governmental regulations and employment-related matters; dealer and other commercial contractual relationships; and financial matters, such as securitizations. Performance under these indemnities generally would be triggered by a breach of terms of the contract or by a third-party claim. While some of these indemnifications are limited in nature, many of them do not limit potential payment. Therefore, we are unable to estimate a maximum amount of future payments that could result from claims made under these unlimited indemnities.

The maximum potential payments under these guarantees and limited indemnities totaled $35 million and $36 million at December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017, respectively. Of these values, $31 millionand $33 million at December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017, respectively, were counter-guaranteed by Ford to us. There were no recorded liabilities related to guarantees and limited indemnities at December 31, 2016 and September 30, 2017.


Litigation and Claims


Various legal actions, proceedings, and claims (generally, “matters”) are pending or may be instituted or asserted against us. These include but are not limited to matters arising out of governmental regulations; tax matters; alleged illegal acts resulting in fines or penalties; financial services; employment-related matters; dealer and other contractual relationships; personal injury matters; investor matters; and financial reporting matters. Certain of the pending legal actions are, or purport to be, class actions. Some of the matters involve or may involve claims for compensatory, punitive, or antitrust or other treble damages in very large amounts, sanctions, assessments, or other relief, which, if granted, would require very large expenditures.


The extent of our financial exposure to these matters is difficult to estimate. Many matters do not specify a dollar amount for damages, and many others specify only a jurisdictional minimum. To the extent an amount is asserted, our historical experience suggests that in most instances the amount asserted is not a reliable indicator of the ultimate outcome.
We accrue for matters when losses are deemed probable and reasonably estimable. In evaluating matters for accrual and disclosure purposes, we take into consideration factors such as our historical experience with matters of a similar nature, the specific facts and circumstances asserted, the likelihood that we will prevail, and the severity of any potential loss. We reevaluate and update our accruals as matters progress over time.


Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)

FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS


NOTE 15. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES (Continued)

For nearly all of our matters where our historical experience with similar matters is of limited value (i.e., “non-pattern matters”), we evaluate the matters primarily based on the individual facts and circumstances. For non-pattern matters, we evaluate whether there is a reasonable possibility of a material loss in excess of any accrual that can be estimated. It is reasonably possible that some of the matters for which accruals have not been established could be decided unfavorably and could require us to pay damages or make other expenditures. We do not reasonably expect, based on our analysis,On January 9, 2019, FCE Bank plc (“FCE”) received a decision from the Italian Competition Authority, which included an assessment of a fine against FCE in the amount of €42 million (equivalent to $45 million at September 30, 2019).  On March 8, 2019, FCE appealed the decision and the fine with the ultimate resolution of the matter potentially taking several years.  While we have determined that such matters would have a material effect on future financial statements for a particular year, although such an adverse outcome is not probable, the reasonably possible. loss could be up to the fine amount.

As noted, the litigation process is subject to many uncertainties, and the outcome of individual matters is not predictable with assurance. Our assessments are based on our knowledge and experience, but the ultimate outcome of any matter could require payment substantially in excess of the amount that we have accrued and/or disclosed.


24



Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm



To the Board of Directors and Shareholder of
Ford Motor Credit Company LLC:

We have reviewed the accompanying consolidated balance sheet of Ford Motor Credit Company LLC and its subsidiaries as of September 30, 2017 and the related consolidated statements of income and comprehensive income for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 and 2016 and the consolidated statement of shareholder’s interest and condensed consolidated statement of cash flows for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2017 and 2016. These interim financial statements are the responsibility of the Company’s management.

We conducted our review in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). A review of interim financial information consists principally of applying analytical procedures and making inquiries of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters. It is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the objective of which is the expression of an opinion regarding the financial statements taken as a whole. Accordingly, we do not express such an opinion.

Based on our review, we are not aware of any material modifications that should be made to the accompanying consolidated interim financial statements for them to be in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.

We previously audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2016, and the related consolidated statements of income, comprehensive income, shareholder’s interest, and of cash flows for the year then ended (not presented herein), and in our report dated February 9, 2017, except with respect to our opinion on the consolidated financial statements insofar as it relates to the change in composition of reportable segments discussed in Note 17, as to which the date is April 27, 2017, we expressed an unqualified opinion on those consolidated financial statements. In our opinion, the information set forth in the accompanying consolidated balance sheet information as of December 31, 2016, is fairly stated, in all material respects, in relation to the consolidated balance sheet from which it has been derived.







/s/ PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP
Detroit, Michigan
October 26, 2017




ITEM 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.


Results of OperationsDefinitions and Information Regarding Causal Factors

Overview


In general, we measure period-to-periodyear-over-year changes in pre-tax resultsEBT using the causal factors listed below:


Volume and Mix – Volume and Mix are primarily reflected within Net financing margin on the income statement.
Volume and Mix – Volume and Mix are primarily reflected within Net financing margin on the income statement.
Volume primarily measures changes in net financing margin driven by changes in average managed receivables at prior period financing margin yield (defined below in financing margin) at prior period exchange rates. Volume changes are primarily driven by the volume of new and used vehicle salesvehicles sold and leases,leased, the extent to which we purchase retail installment sale and finance lease contracts (retail financing) and operating lease contracts, the extent to which we provide wholesale financing, the sales price of the vehicles financed, the level of dealer inventories, Ford-sponsored special financing programs available exclusively through us, and the availability of cost-effective funding for the purchase of retail installment sale and lease contracts and to provide wholesale financing.funding.
Mix primarily measures changes in net financing margin driven by period over periodperiod-over-period changes in the composition of our average managed receivables by product and by country orwithin each region.


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Financing Margin – Financing Margin is reflected within Net financing margin on the income statement.
Financing margin variance is the period-to-period change in financing margin yield multiplied by the present period average managed receivables at prior period exchange rates. This calculation is performed at the product and country level and then aggregated. Financing margin yield equals revenue, less interest expense and scheduled depreciation for the period, divided by average managed receivables for the same period.
Financing margin changes are driven by changes in revenue and interest expense. Changes in revenue are primarily driven by the level of market interest rates, cost assumptions in pricing, mix of business, and competitive environment. Changes in interest expense are primarily driven by the level of market interest rates, borrowing spreads, and asset-liability management.


Credit Loss – Credit Loss is reflected within the Provision for credit losses on the income statement.
Credit Loss – Credit Loss is reflected within the Provision for credit losses on the income statement.
Credit loss is the change in the provision for credit losses at prior period exchange rates. For analysis purposes, management splits the provision for credit losses into net charge-offs and the change in the allowance for credit losses.
Net charge-off changes are primarily driven by the number of repossessions, severity per repossession, and recoveries. Changes in the allowance for credit losses are primarily driven by changes in historical trends in credit losses and recoveries, changes in the composition and size of our present portfolio, changes in trends in historical used vehicle values, and changes in economic conditions.
As of January 1, 2019, we changed our accounting method for reporting early termination losses related to customer defaults on operating leases.  Prior to the first quarter of 2019, we presented the early termination loss reserve on operating leases due to customer default events as part of the allowance for credit losses which reduces Net investment in operating leases on the balance sheet.  On the income statement, the incurred losses were included in Provision for credit losses.  We now consider the effects of operating lease early terminations when determining depreciation estimates, which are included as part of accumulated depreciation within Net investment in operating leases on the balance sheet, and Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases on the income statement.  We believe this change in accounting method is preferable as the characterization of these changes is better reflected as depreciation.  We have reclassified prior period amounts to reflect these changes.  For additional information, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Allowance for Credit Losses” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99 toPart II of our Current Report on2018 Form 8-K dated April 27, 2017 (“April 27, 2017 Form 8-K Report”).10-K Report. 



Lease Residual – Lease Residual is reflected within Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases on the income statement.25


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Lease Residual – Lease Residual is primarily reflected within Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases on the income statement.
Lease residual measures changes to residual performance at prior period exchange rates. For analysis purposes, management splits residual performance primarily into residual gains and losses, and the change in accumulated supplemental depreciation.
Residual gain and loss changes are primarily driven by the number of vehicles returned to us and sold, and the difference between the auction value and the depreciated value (which includes both base and accumulated supplemental depreciation) of the vehicles sold. Changes in accumulated supplemental depreciation are primarily driven by changes in our estimate of the expected auction value at the end of the lease term, and changes in our estimate of the number of vehicles that will be returned to us and sold. With the change in accounting method discussed above, Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases now reflects early termination losses on operating leases due to customer default events for all periods presented. For additional information, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99 toPart II of our April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report.


Exchange – Reflects changes in EBT driven by the effects of converting functional currency income to U.S. dollars.
Exchange – Reflects changes in pre-tax results driven by the effects of converting functional currency income to U.S. dollars and is reflected in all lines on the income statement.

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Other – Primarily includes Operating expenses, Other revenue, Insurance expenses, and Other income, net on the income statement at prior period exchange rates.
Other– Primarily includes Operating expenses, Other revenue, Insurance expenses, and Other income, net on the income statement at prior period exchange rates.
Changes in operating expenses are primarily driven by salaried personnel costs, facilities costs, and costs associated with the origination and servicing of customer contracts.
In general, Otherother income net changes are primarily driven by changes in earnings related to market valuation adjustments to derivatives (primarily related to movements in interest rates), which are included in Unallocated Other,unallocated risk management, and other miscellaneous items.


In addition, the following definitions and calculations apply to the chartstables contained in Item 2 of this report:


Cash (as shown in the Funding Structure, Liquidity, and Leverage tables) – Cash and cash equivalents and Marketable securities reported on Ford Credit’s balance sheet, excluding amounts related to insurance activities

Debt (as shown in the Key Metrics and Leverage tables) – Debt on Ford Credit’s balance sheet. Includes debt issued in securitizations and payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions

Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) – Reflects Income before income taxes as reported on Ford Credit’s income statement

Return on Equity (ROE) (as shown in the Key Metrics table) – Reflects return on equity calculated by annualizing net income for the period and dividing by monthly average equity for the period

Securitizations (as shown in the Public Term Funding Plan table) – Public securitization transactions, Rule 144A offerings sponsored by Ford Credit, and widely distributed offerings by Ford Credit Canada

Securitization Cash (as shown in the Liquidity table) – Cash held for the benefit of the securitization investors (for example, a reserve fund)

Term Asset-Backed Securities (as shown in the Funding Structure table) – Obligations issued in securitization transactions that are payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements



Cash (as shown on the Funding Structure, Liquidity Sources, and Leverage charts) – Cash and cash equivalents and Marketable securities reported on Ford Credit’s balance sheet, excluding amounts related to insurance activities26


Securitizations (as shown on the Public Term Funding Plan chart) – Public securitization transactions, Rule 144A offerings sponsored by Ford Motor Credit, and widely distributed offerings by Ford Credit Canada

Term Asset-Backed Securities (as shown on the Funding Structure chart) – Obligations issued in securitization transactions that are payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements

Total Debt (as shown on the Leverage chart) – Debt on Ford Credit’s balance sheet. Includes debt issued in securitizations and payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions

Unallocated Other (as shown on the Pre-Tax Results by Segment chart) – Items excluded in assessing segment performance because they are managed at the corporate level, including market valuation adjustments to derivatives and exchange-rate fluctuations on foreign currency-denominated transactions


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Total Net Receivables (as shown in the Key Metrics and Financial Condition tables) – Includes finance receivables (retail financing and wholesale) sold for legal purposes and net investment in operating leases included in securitization transactions that do not satisfy the requirements for accounting sale treatment. These receivables and operating leases are reported on Ford Credit’s balance sheet and are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay the other obligations of Ford Credit or the claims of Ford Credit’s other creditors

Unallocated Other (as shown in the Segment Results table) – Items excluded in assessing segment performance because they are managed at the corporate level, including market valuation adjustments to derivatives and exchange-rate fluctuations on foreign currency-denominated transactions

Third Quarter 2017 Compared with Third Quarter 2016

Key Metrics
The following chart shows our key metrics:

 Third Quarter First Nine Months
GAAP Financial Measures2018 2019 H / (L) 2018 2019 H / (L)
Net Receivables (billions)$144
 $140
 (3)% $144
 $140
 (3)%
Loss-to-Receivables (bps) (a)51
 51
 
 50
 48
 (2)
Auction Values (b)$19,190
 $18,865
 (2)% $18,415
 $18,160
 (1)%
EBT (millions)$678
 $736
 $58
 $1,964
 $2,368
 $404
ROE (%)13% 15% 2 ppts
 14% 16% 2 ppts
            
Other Balance Sheet Metrics           
Debt (billions)      $138
 $139
 1 %
Net Liquidity (billions)      $29
 $35
 22 %
Financial Statement Leverage (to 1)     9.1
 9.8
 0.7
keymetricsv4.jpg__________
(a)U.S. Retail financing only, previously included both retail financing and operating leases
(b)U.S. 36-month off-lease third quarter auction values at 3Q 2019 mix and YTD amounts at 2019 YTD mix


Non-GAAP Financial Measures      September 30, 2018 September 30, 2019 H / (L)
Managed Receivables (billions) (a)      $152
 $149
 (2)%
Managed Leverage (to 1) (b)      8.4
 8.8
 0.4
__________
(a)See “Financial Condition” section for reconciliation to GAAP
(b)See “Leverage” section for reconciliation to GAAP

In the third quarter of 2017, pre-tax profit of $6002019, EBT was $736 million, improved from last year.$58 million higher than a year ago. Receivables were higher with growth globally led by retail receivables and the consolidation of $1.3 billion in receivables for the Forso joint venturelower than a year ago. Consumer credit metrics were healthy in the Nordic region (“Forso”). For additional information, see Note 1 of our Notes toUnited States, with the Financial Statements.

FICO scores remain strong, and our origination, servicing and collection practices continue to be disciplined and consistent. Portfolio performance was robust. The loss-to-receivables ratio of 53 basis pointsat 0.51%, which was up 8 basis points and withinflat compared with a year ago. U.S. auction values were 2% lower than a year ago, slightly better than our expectations.


In the third quarter, we distributed $378 millionROE was 15%, two percentage points higher compared with a year ago, primarily reflecting higher EBT. Our balance sheet remains strong with managed leverage within our target range of 8:1 to our parent.9:1.



27


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




On a pre-tax basis, we earned $600 million in the third quarter of 2017, comparedThird Quarter 2019 Compared with $567 million a year ago. Third Quarter 2018

The following charttable shows the factors that contributed to the strong third quarter pre-tax profit:EBT (in millions):

pbtv4.jpg
Change in EBT by Causal Factor         
Third Quarter 2018 EBT         $678
Volume / Mix         (19)
Financing Margin         5
Credit Loss         34
Lease Residual         6
Exchange         (8)
Other         40
   Third Quarter 2019 EBT         $736


Ford Credit’sOur third quarter pre-tax profit2019 EBT was $33$736 million, $58 million higher compared to the priorthan a year ago, led primarily by strong receivables growthfavorable derivatives market valuation and lease residual performance.

Unfavorableimproved operating costs, which are both reflected in other. Favorable credit loss performance primarily reflects an increasethe non-recurrence of a non-consumer loss recognized in reservesthe third quarter of 2018. Unfavorable volume and higher actual lossesmix, which was driven primarily by higher defaults.lower receivables, was a partial offset.


Other includes unfavorable derivatives market valuation, higher operating costs and a pre-tax loss of $17 million related to the consolidation of the Forso joint venture.


28


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Segment Results

We have three reportable segments in our consolidated financial statements that align with our management reporting structure and reflect the manner in which our Chief Operating Decision Maker manages our business, including resource allocation and performance assessment. These segments are: the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Items excluded in assessing segment performance, because they are managed at the corporate level, are reflected in Unallocated Other. Results of operations by segment and Unallocated Other for the periodperiods ended September 30 are shown below (in millions). :
 Third Quarter First Nine Months
 2018 2019 H / (L) 2018 2019 H / (L)
Results           
Americas segment$556
 $584
 $28
 $1,619
 $1,836
 $217
Europe segment89
 82
 (7) 303
 314
 11
Asia Pacific segment13
 15
 2
 86
 64
 (22)
   Total segments$658
 $681
 $23
 $2,008
 $2,214
 $206
Unallocated other20
 55
 35
 (44) 154
 198
   Earnings before taxes$678
 $736
 $58
 $1,964
 $2,368
 $404
(Provision for) / Benefit from income taxes(160) (165) (5) (266) (581) (315)
     Net Income$518
 $571
 $53
 $1,698
 $1,787
 $89

For additional information, see Note 14 of our Notes to the Financial Statements.

pbtsegmentv4.jpg


Americas Segmentsegment


The Americas Segmentsegment third quarter pre-tax profit is2019 EBT of $584 million was $28 million higher compared with 2016,third quarter 2018, explained primarily by favorable credit loss performance, driven by the non-recurrence of a non-consumer loss recognized in the third quarter of 2018, and favorable operating lease residual performance, drivenpartially offset by lower supplemental depreciation on the lease portfolio.

Theunfavorable volume and mix. Americas Segment pre-tax profitsegment EBT of $1.3$1.8 billion for the first nine months of 2017 is $1402019 was $217 million higher compared with 2016, more thana year ago, explained primarily by favorable volumeoperating lease residual and mix.credit loss performance, partially offset by unfavorable financing margin.


Europe Segmentsegment


The Europe Segment segment third quarter pre-tax profit is2019 EBT of $82 million was $7 million lower compared with 2016,third quarter 2018, explained primarily by a pre-taxunfavorable changes in lease residual value reserves and credit loss of $17 million upon consolidation of our Forso joint venture in the Nordic region,performance, partially offset by favorable volume and mix.

The Europe Segment pre-tax profitsegment EBT of $223$314 million for the first nine months of 2017 is $342019 was $11 million lower compared with 2016, explained primarily by lower financing margin driven by lower yields and a pre-tax loss of $17 million upon consolidation of our Forso joint venture, partially offset by favorable volume and mix.

Asia Pacific Segment

The Asia Pacific Segment third quarter pre-tax profit is higher compared with 2016,a year ago, explained primarily by favorable volume and mix, partially offset by lower financing margin driven by higher borrowing costs.unfavorable exchange.


Asia Pacific segment

The Asia Pacific Segment pre-tax profitsegment third quarter 2019 EBT of $69$15 million was $2 million higher compared with third quarter 2018, explained primarily by favorable credit loss and financing margin performance, partially offset by unfavorable volume and mix. Asia Pacific segment EBT of $64 million for the first nine months of 2017 is $232019 was $22 million higherlower compared with 2016,a year ago, explained primarily by favorableunfavorable volume and mix, partially offset by lowerfavorable credit loss and financing margin driven by higher borrowing cost.performance.

Unallocated Other

Unallocated Other was a $55 million gain for third quarter 2019, a $35 million improvement from third quarter 2018, reflecting favorable performance in market valuation adjustments to derivatives. Unallocated Other was a $154 million gain for the first nine months of 2019, a $198 million improvement compared with a year ago, reflecting favorable performance in market valuation adjustments to derivatives.


29


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Unallocated Other

Unallocated Other in the third quarter is lower compared with 2016, reflecting primarily less favorable performance in market valuation adjustments to derivatives. For additional information, see Notes 9 and 14 of our Notes to the Financial Statements.

Unallocated Other pre-tax profit of $100 million for the first nine months of 2017 is $90 million higher compared with 2016, reflecting primarily favorable performance in market valuation adjustments to derivatives.


Financing Shares and Contract Placement Volume


Our focus is on supporting Ford and Lincoln dealers and customers. This includes going to market with Ford and our dealers to support vehicle sales with financing products and marketing programs. Ford’s marketing programs may encourage or require Ford Credit financing and influence the financing choices customers make. As a result, our financing share, volume, and contract characteristics vary from quarterperiod to quarterperiod as Ford’s marketing programs change.change.


The following charttable shows our United Statesretail financing and Canada retail installment andoperating lease share of new Ford-Ford and Lincoln-brand vehicle retailLincoln brand sales, and wholesale financing share of new Ford-Ford and Lincoln-brandLincoln brand vehicles acquired by dealers. Also shown is Americas’ consumer financingdealers (in percent), and contract placement volume for new and used vehicles. All data is for the periods ended September 30:vehicles (in thousands):

americasv4.jpg
  Third Quarter First Nine Months
  2018 2019 2018 2019
Share of Ford and Lincoln Sales (a)        
United States 59% 57% 59% 52%
Canada 69
 57
 73
 63
U.K. 36
 40
 37
 39
Germany 47
 44
 50
 47
Total Europe segment 38
 37
 37
 37
China 37
 35
 34
 34
         
Wholesale Share        
United States 76% 76% 76% 76%
Canada 57
 57
 59
 57
U.K. 100
 100
 100
 100
Germany 94
 93
 93
 93
Total Europe segment 99
 98
 98
 98
China 64
 59
 61
 61
         
Contract Placement Volume - New and Used (000)      
Americas segment 356
 318
 1,028
 821
Europe segment 124
 121
 419
 393
Asia Pacific segment 47
 27
 139
 86
   Total 527
 466
 1,586
 1,300

__________
(a)United States and Canada exclude Fleet sales, other markets include Fleet

In the third quarter of 2017, U.S. retail2019, Americas segment and lease share and totalEurope segment contract placement volume were down compared towith a year ago, primarily reflecting lower financing share. In the priorthird quarter of 2019, Asia Pacific segment contract placement volume was down compared with a year reflecting changesago, more than explained by lower Ford sales in Ford’s marketing programs.China.



30


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Financial Condition

Our receivables, including finance receivables and operating leases, were as follows (in billions):
 September 30, 2018 December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Net Receivables     
Americas Segment     
   Consumer financing$56.7
 $56.5
 $55.2
   Non-Consumer financing28.9
 32.1
 29.6
   Net investment in operating leases27.1
 27.0
 27.0
     Total Americas Segment$112.7
 $115.6
 $111.8
      
Europe Segment     
   Consumer financing$15.5
 $15.5
 $15.4
   Non-Consumer financing9.4
 9.6
 9.0
   Net investment in operating leases0.5
 0.4
 0.5
     Total Europe Segment$25.4
 $25.5
 $24.9
      
Asia Pacific Segment     
   Consumer financing$4.0
 $3.8
 $2.8
   Non-Consumer financing1.5
 1.4
 0.8
   Net investment in operating leases
 
 
     Total Asia Pacific Segment$5.5
 $5.2
 $3.6
      
         Total net receivables$143.6
 $146.3
 $140.3
      
Managed Receivables     
Total net receivables (GAAP)$143.6
 $146.3
 $140.3
Unearned interest supplements and residual support6.7
 6.8
 6.8
Allowance for credit losses0.6
 0.6
 0.5
Other, primarily accumulated supplemental depreciation1.2
 1.2
 1.1
   Total managed receivables (Non-GAAP)$152.1
 $154.9
 $148.7
      
Americas Segment Lease Mix     
SUV / CUV55% 56% 57%
Truck27
 27
 30
Car18
 17
 13

At September 30, 2018, December 31, 2018, and September 30, 2019, total net receivables includes consumer receivables before allowance for credit losses of $38.8 billion, $40.7 billion, and $37.8 billion, respectively, and non-consumer receivables before allowance for credit losses of $23.3 billion, $25.7 billion, and $24.0 billion, respectively, that have been sold for legal purposes in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. In addition, at September 30, 2018, December 31, 2018, and September 30, 2019, total net receivables includes net investment in operating leases of $12.4 billion, $16.3 billion, and $12.7 billion, respectively, that have been included in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. The following chart shows Europe’s retail installmentreceivables and lease sharenet investment in operating leases are available only for payment of new Ford-brand vehicles soldthe debt issued by, and wholesale financing shareother obligations of, new Ford-brand vehicles acquiredthe securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay the other obligations or the claims of Ford Credit’s other creditors. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, dealers. Also shown is Europe’s consumer financing contract placement volume for new and used vehicles. All data isother obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions. For additional information on our securitization transactions, refer to the “Securitization Transactions” and “On-Balance Sheet Arrangements” sections of Item 7 of Part II of our 2018 Form 10-K Report and Note 7 of our Notes to the Financial Statements for the periodsperiod ended September 30:30, 2019.

Our operating lease portfolio is managed and was 20% of total net receivables at September 30, 2019. Leasing is an important product, and our leasing strategy balances sales, share, residuals, and long-term profitability. Operating leases in the United States and Canada represent 98% of our total operating lease portfolio.
europev4.jpg

31
In the third quarter of 2017, Europe Segment financing share and contract volume were similar to the prior year.



Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



The following chart shows Asia Pacific’s retail installment share of new Ford-brand vehicles sold by dealers and wholesale financing share of new Ford-brand vehicles acquired by dealers. Also shown is Asia Pacific’s consumer financing contract placement volume for new and used vehicles. All data is for the periods ended September 30:

apv4.jpg

In the third quarter of 2017, Asia Pacific Segment total contract volume was up 55% compared with the prior year, reflecting changes in Ford’s marketing programs.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Financial Condition

Finance Receivables and Operating Leases

Our receivables, including finance receivables and operating leases, were as follows:

receivablesmixv4.jpg

Our operating lease portfolio is prudently managed and is about 20% of total net receivables. Leasing is an important product and our leasing strategy balances sales, share, residuals, and long-term profitability. Our operating leases in the U.S. and Canada represent 99% of our total operating lease portfolio.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


The following chart shows our reconciliation for our Non-GAAP financial measure, managed receivables:

receivablesrecv4.jpg
__________
*At December 31, 2015, September 30, 2016, December 31, 2016, and September 30, 2017, includes consumer receivables before allowance for credit losses of $27.6 billion, $29.9 billion, $32.5 billion, and $35.2 billion, respectively, and non-consumer receivables before allowance for credit losses of $26.1 billion, $23.3 billion, $26.0 billion, and $23.6 billion, respectively, that have been sold for legal purposes in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. In addition, at December 31, 2015, September 30, 2016, December 31, 2016, and September 30, 2017, includes net investment in operating leases before allowance for credit losses of $13.3 billion, $10.0 billion, $11.8 billion, and $9.9 billion, respectively, that have been included in securitization transactions but continue to be reported in our consolidated financial statements. The receivables and net investment in operating leases are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay the other obligations or the claims of Ford Credit’s other creditors. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions. For additional information on our securitization transactions, refer to the “Securitization Transactions” and “On-Balance Sheet Arrangements” sections of Item 7 of Exhibit 99 to our April 27, 2017 Form 8-K Report and Note 7 of our Notes to the Financial Statements for the period ended September 30, 2017.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Credit Risk


Credit risk is the possibility of loss from a customer’s or dealer’s failure to make payments according to contract terms. Credit losses are a normal part of a financinglending business, and credit risk has a significant impact on our business. We actively manage the credit risk of our consumer (retail financing and operating lease)financing) and non-consumer (dealer financing) receivables to balance our level of risk and return using our consistent underwriting standards, effective proprietary scoring system (discussed below), and world-class servicing. The allowance for credit losses (also referred to as the credit loss reserve) represents our estimate of the probable credit losses inherent in our finance receivables and operating leases as of the balance sheet date. The allowance for credit losses is estimated using a combination of models and management judgment, and is based on such factors as historical loss performance, portfolio quality, and receivable levels. The adequacy of our allowance for credit losses is assessed quarterly and the assumptions and models used in establishing the allowance are evaluated regularly. A description of our allowance setting process is provided in the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Allowance for Credit Losses” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99Part II to our April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report.


Most of our charge-offs are related to retail finance and operating lease contracts.financing. Charge-offs are affected by the number of vehicle repossessions, the unpaid balance outstanding at the time of repossession, the auction price of repossessed vehicles, and other charge-offs. We also incur credit losses on our dealer financing, but default rates for these receivables historically have been substantially lower than those for retail finance and operating lease contracts.financing. For additional information on severity, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Allowance for Credit Losses” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99Part II to our April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report.


In purchasing retail finance and operating leasefinancing contracts, we use a proprietary scoring system that measures credit quality using information in the credit application, proposed contract terms, credit bureau data, and other information we obtain.information. After a proprietary risk score is generated, we decide whether to purchase a contract using a decision process based on a judgmental evaluation of the applicant, the credit application, the proposed contract terms, credit bureau information (e.g., FICO score), proprietary risk score, and other information. Our evaluation emphasizes the applicant’s ability to pay and creditworthiness focusing on payment, affordability, applicant credit history, and stability as key considerations. While FICO is a part of our scoring system, our models enable us to more effectively determine the probability that a customer will pay than using credit scores alone. When we originate business, our models project expected losses and we price accordingly. We ensure the business fits our risk appetite. For additional information on the quality of our receivables, see Note 4 of our Notes to the Financial Statements.



32



Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




U.S. Origination Metrics


The following table shows U.S. retail financing and operating lease average placement FICO and higher risk portfolio mix metrics. Also shown are extended term mix and U.S. retail financing average placement terms.
  Third Quarter First Nine Months
  2018 2019 2018 2019
Origination Metrics        
Average placement FICO 747
 750
 745
 746
Higher risk portfolio mix 6% 6% 6% 6%
Greater than or equal to 84 months placement mix 4% 3% 4% 4%
Average placement term (months) 66
 66
 65
 65

Our third quarter 2019 average placement FICO score remained strong. We support customers across the credit spectrum. Our higher risk business, as classified at contract inception, consistently represents 5%-6%6% of our portfolio and has been stable for over 10 years.

The following charts show quarterly trends for FICO and higher risk mix and retail contract terms:

usoriginationv4.jpg

The third quarter average placement FICO score remained consistent.


Our average retail financing placement term iswas unchanged from the priora year ago, and retail financing contracts of 7384 months and longer continued to be a relatively small part of our business. Ford Credit remains focused on managing the trade cycle - building customer relationships and loyalty while offering financing products and terms customers want.

Ford Credit’sCredit origination and risk management processes deliver robust portfolio performance.



U.S. Retail Financing Credit Losses



The following table shows the primary drivers of credit losses in the U.S. retail financing business, which comprised 62% of our worldwide consumer finance receivables at September 30, 2019.

  Third Quarter First Nine Months
  2018 2019 2018 2019
Credit Loss Drivers        
Over-60-Day delinquencies (excl. bankruptcies) 0.14% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12%
Reposessions (000) 7
 7
 21
 20
Reposession ratio 1.26% 1.32% 1.28% 1.23%
Loss severity (000) (a) $9.8
 $10.3
 $10.3
 $10.5
Charge-offs (millions) $61
 $61
 $178
 $171
LTR ratio (b) 0.51% 0.51% 0.50% 0.48%
__________
(a)The expected difference between the amount a customer owes when the finance contract is charged off and the amount received, net of expenses, from selling the repossessed vehicle
(b) Loss-to-Receivables (“LTR”) ratios are charge-offs divided by average finance receivables



Compared with a year ago, third quarter delinquencies were flat, while the repossession rate and severity were slightly higher. Our third quarter 2019 charge-offs and LTR ratio were flat compared with a year ago. Credit loss metrics remained strong, reflecting a healthy business environment and consumer credit conditions.


33


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Worldwide Credit Losses

The following table shows key metrics related to worldwide credit losses:
  Third Quarter First Nine Months
  2018 2019 2018 2019
Charge-offs (millions) $127
 $89
 $296
 $264
LTR ratio 0.43% 0.30% 0.33% 0.29%
Credit loss reserve (millions) $586
 $513
 $586
 $513
Reserve as percent of EOP Managed Receivables 0.49% 0.44% 0.49% 0.44%

Our worldwide charge-offs and LTR ratio were both lower than a year ago. The improvement primarily reflects the non-recurrence of a non-consumer loss recognized in the third quarter of 2018. Our credit loss reserve is based on such factors as historical loss performance, portfolio quality, and receivables level. The credit loss reserve and the reserve as a percent of managed receivables were both lower than a year ago.




34


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



U.S. Credit Losses

The following charts show the primary drivers of credit losses in the U.S. retail and lease business, which comprised 70%of our worldwide consumer portfolio at September 30, 2017. Loss-to-Receivables (“LTR”) ratios are charge-offs on an annualized basis divided by average managed receivables.

retailleaseclv4.jpg

Credit losses have been at historically low levels for quite some time. Third quarter 2017 charge-offs and the LTR ratio were higher than the prior year but within our placement expectations.

Compared to the prior year, delinquencies have shown a slight improvement while the repossession rate is higher. Both are within our expectations.

Severity has trended favorably during 2017, primarily reflecting an improved auction market.

Credit quality remains strong, reflecting a strong business environment and healthy consumer credit conditions.




Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Worldwide Credit Losses

The following charts show quarterly trends of charge-offs (credit losses, net of recoveries), LTR ratios, credit loss reserve, and our credit loss reserve as a percentage of end-of-period (“EOP”) managed receivables:

wwcreditlossv4.jpg

Our worldwide credit loss metrics remain strong. The worldwide LTR ratio in the third quarter of 2017 is higher than the same period in the prior year, reflecting primarily the U.S. retail and lease business as covered above.

Our credit loss reserve is based on such factors as historical loss performance, portfolio quality, and receivable levels. The credit loss reserve was higher at September 30, 2017, compared to September 30, 2016, reflecting credit loss performance trends and growth in receivables.

The reserve as a percent of managed receivables was up 4 basis points from the prior year.

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Residual Risk


Leasing is an important product that many customers want and value. Leasevalue, and operating lease customers also are more likely to buy or lease another Ford or Lincoln vehicle. Ford and Ford CreditWe manage our lease share with an enterprise view to support sales, protect residual values, and manage the trade cycle. OurFord Credit and Ford work together under a leasing strategy that considers share, term, model mix, geography, and other factors.


We are exposed to residual risk on operating leases and similar balloon payment products where the customer may return the financed vehicle to us. Residual risk is the possibility that the amount we obtain from returned vehicles will be less than our estimate of the expected residual value for the vehicle. We estimate the expected residual value by evaluating recent auction values, return volumes for our leased vehicles, industry-wideindustry wide used vehicle prices, marketing incentive plans, and vehicle quality data. For operating leases, changes in expected residual values impact the depreciation expense, which is recognized on a straight-line basis over the life of the lease.


For additional information on our residual risk on operating leases, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Accumulated Depreciation on Vehicles Subject to Operating Leases” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99 toPart II of our April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report.


U.S.Ford- Ford and Lincoln-BrandLincoln Brand Operating Lease ExperienceLeases


The following charts showtable shows share of Ford and Lincoln brand retail financing and operating lease sales, placement volume, and lease share of Ford- and Lincoln-brand retail salesresidual performance metrics for vehicles in the respective periods. Theour U.S. operating lease portfolio, accounted forwhich represents 86% of our total net investment in operating leases at September 30, 2017.2019.

usleaseoriginationv4.jpg
  Third Quarter First Nine Months
  2018 2019 2018 2019
Lease Share of Retail Sales        
Ford Credit 21% 19% 22% 20%
Industry (a) 29% 29% 30% 30%
         
Placement Volume (000)        
24-Month 10
 11
 34
 29
36-Month 80
 68
 213
 172
39-Month / Other 5
 4
 45
 46
   Total 95
 83
 292
 247
         
Residual Performance        
Return rates 77% 76% 78% 78%
Return volume (000) 71
 70
 210
 220
Off-lease auction values (b) $19,190
 $18,865
 $18,415
 $18,160
__________
(a)Source: J.D. Power PIN
(b)36-month off-lease auction values; quarterly amounts at 3Q 2019 mix and YTD amounts at 2019 YTD mix

Third quarter 2017 lease placement volume was up compared to the prior year, reflecting Ford’s higher lease mix.

IndustryFord Credit’s U.S. operating lease share of retail sales in the third quarter of 20172019 was downlower compared to the same period last year. Ford Credit’s lease share was up compared to the priorwith a year ago and remains below the industry, reflecting the Ford sales mix. Our third quarter 2019 lease placement volume was down compared with a year ago.



Lease return volume and return rate in the third quarter of 2019 were down from a year ago. Our third quarter 2019 36-month off-lease auction values were also down compared with a year ago.

We now expect full-year 2019 off-lease 36-month auction values to be around 2% lower compared with 2018 at constant mix.


35


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



The following charts show lease return volumes, return rates, and off-lease auction values at constant third quarter 2017 vehicle mix in the respective periods:

usleaseresidualv4.jpg

Lease return volume in the third quarter of 2017 was up from the prior year, reflecting higher lease placements in recent years and an increased return rate. Our third quarter off-lease auction values were mixed compared to the same period a year ago, but have continued to improve each quarter since the fourth quarter of 2016.

We continue to plan for lower auction values but our outlook has improved. We now expect three-year full year 2017 auction values to be down about 3% compared with 2016 at constant mix.




Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Credit Ratings


Our short-term and long-term debt is rated by four credit rating agencies designated as nationally recognized statistical rating organizations (“NRSROs”) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission: DBRS, Fitch, Moody’s, and S&P.

DBRS Limited (“DBRS”);
Fitch, Inc. (“Fitch”);
Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (“Moody’s”); and
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, a division of McGraw Hill Financial (“S&P”).


In several markets, locally recognized rating agencies also rate us. A credit rating reflects an assessment by the rating agency of the credit risk associated with a corporate entity or particular securities issued by that entity. Rating agencies’ ratings of us are based on information provided by us and other sources. Credit ratings assigned to us from all of the NRSROs are closely associated with their opinions on Ford. Credit ratings are not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold securities and are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating agency. Each rating agency may have different criteria for evaluating company risk and, therefore, ratings should be evaluated independently for each rating agency.


There have been noThe following rating actions were taken by these NRSROs since the filing of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2017.2019.


On September 9, 2019, Moody’s downgraded the credit rating for Ford Credit to non-investment grade (Ba1 from Baa3) and revised the outlook to stable from negative.

The following charttable summarizes certain of the credit ratings and outlook presently assigned by these four NRSROs:


  NRSRO RATINGS 
  Ford Credit  NRSROs 
 Long-Term Senior Unsecured Short -Term Unsecured Outlook / Outlook/Trend 
Minimum
Long-Term Investment Grade Rating
DBRS BBB   R-2M   StableNegative   BBB (low) 
Fitch BBB   F2   StableNegative   BBB- 
Moody’s Baa2Ba1   P-2NP   Stable   Baa3 
S&P BBB   A-2   StableNegative   BBB- 



36


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Funding and Liquidity


Our primary funding and liquidity objective is to be well capitalized with a strong investment grade balance sheet and ample liquidity to support our financing activities and growth under a variety of market conditions, including short-term and long-term market disruptions.


Our funding strategy remains focused on diversification, and we plan to continue accessing a variety of markets, channels, and investors.


Our liquidity profile continues to be diverse, robust, and focused on maintaining liquidity levels that meet our business and funding requirements. We annually stress test our balance sheet and liquidity to ensure that we continue to meet our financial obligations through economic cycles.

Funding Portfolio


The following charttable shows the trends in funding for our managed receivables:receivables (in billions):

fundingv4.jpg
Funding StructureSeptember 30, 2018 December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Term Debt (incl. Bank Borrowings)$73
 $70
 $74
Term Asset-Backed Securities55
 60
 55
Commercial Paper4
 4
 4
Ford Interest Advantage / Deposits6
 6
 7
Other11
 10
 9
Equity15
 15
 14
Adjustments for Cash(12) (10) (14)
   Total Managed Receivables (a)$152
 $155
 $149
      
Securitized Funding as a percent of Managed Receivables36% 39% 37%

__________
(a)Reconciliation to GAAP provided in the Financial Condition section

Managed receivables of $145$149 billion as of September 30, 2017,2019, were funded primarily with term debt and term asset-backed securities. Securitized funding as a percent of managed receivables was 33%37%.

We expect thetarget a mix of securitized funding to remain aroundbetween 35% and 40%. The calendarization of the funding plan will result in quarterly fluctuations of the securitized funding percentage.



Public Term Funding Plan

The following table shows our issuances for full-year 2017 and 2018, planned issuances for full-year 2019, and our global public term funding issuances through October 22, 2019, excluding short-term funding programs (in billions):
 2017 Actual 2018 Actual 2019 Forecast 
Through
Oct 22
Unsecured - Currency of Issuance (USD Equivalent)       
USD$10
 $6
 $ 9 - 10 $9
CAD2
 1
 1
 1
EUR / GBP3
 4
 4 - 5
 4
Other1
 1
 1
 1
   Total unsecured$16
 $13
 $ 15 - 17
 $14
Securitizations15
 14
 13 - 14
 12
   Total public$32
 $27
 $ 28 - 31 $26
Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding

Our total unsecured public term funding plan is categorized by currency of issuance. We plan to continue issuing our eurocurrency-denominated (e.g., euro and sterling) public unsecured debt from the United States. For 2019, we now project full-year public term funding in the range of $28 billion to $31 billion.

Through October 22, 2019, we have completed $26 billion of public term issuances.

37


Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Public Term Funding Plan

The following chart shows our issuances for full year 2015 and 2016, planned issuances for full year 2017, and our global public term funding issuances through October 25, 2017, excluding short-term funding programs:

ptfundingv4.jpg

For 2017, our full year forecast for public term funding is in the range of $28 billion to $32 billion. Through October 25, 2017, we have completed about $25 billion of public term issuance.

The forecast reflects the potential for Ford Credit U.S. to issue euro-denominated debt and on-lend to FCE to provide funding flexibility given the uncertainty around Brexit.



Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Liquidity Sources


We define gross liquidity as cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities (excluding amounts related to insurance activities) and committed capacity (which includes our credit and asset-backed facilities and bank lines), less utilization of liquidity. Utilization of liquidity is the amount funded under our liquidity sources and also includes the cash and cash equivalents required to support securitization transactions. Securitization cash is cash held for the benefit of the securitization investors (for example, a reserve fund). Net liquidity available for use is defined as gross liquidity less certain adjustments for asset-backed capacity in excess of eligible receivables and cash related to the Ford Credit Revolving Extended Variable-utilization program (“FordREV”), which can be accessed through future sales of receivables. While not included in available liquidity, these adjustments represent additional funding sources for future originations.


The following charttable shows our liquidity sources and utilization:utilization (in billions):

liquidityv4.jpg
 September 30, 2018 December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Liquidity Sources     
Cash$12.1
 $10.2
 $14.3
Committed asset-backed facilities32.0
 35.4
 35.2
Other unsecured credit facilities3.0
 3.0
 2.6
Ford corporate credit facility allocation3.0
 3.0
 3.0
   Total liquidity sources$50.1
 $51.6
 $55.1
      
Utilization of Liquidity     
Securitization cash$(3.0) $(3.0) $(2.9)
Committed asset-backed facilities(17.7) (20.7) (14.4)
Other unsecured credit facilities(0.7) (0.7) (0.5)
Ford corporate credit facility allocation
 
 
   Total utilization of liquidity$(21.4) $(24.4) $(17.8)
      
Gross liquidity$28.7
 $27.2
 $37.3
Adjustments0.3
 0.1
 (1.9)
   Net liquidity available for use$29.0
 $27.3
 $35.4


Our net liquidity available for use will fluctuate quarterly based on factors including near-term debt maturities, receivable growth, and timing of funding transactions. We target liquidity of at leastabout $25 billion.

At September 30, 2017, Ford Credit’s2019, our net liquidity available for use was $2.9$35.4 billion, $8.1 billion higher than at year-end 2016 and $1.4 billion higher than at June 30, 2017.

As of September 30, 2017, our liquidity remained strong at $29.9 billion.2018. Our sources of liquidity include cash, committed asset-backed facilities, unsecured credit facilities, and the Ford corporate credit facility allocation. As ofAt September 30, 2017,2019, our liquidity sources including cash totaled $50.5$55.1 billion down $0.4, up $3.5 billion from year-end 2016.2018.


Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities. At September 30, 2017,2019, our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities (excluding amounts related to insurance activities) totaled $11.3$14.3 billion, compared with $10.8$10.2 billion at year-end 2016.2018.  In the normal course of our funding activities, we may generate more proceeds than are required for our immediate funding needs.  These excess amounts are held primarily in highly liquid investments, which provide liquidity for our anticipated and unanticipated cash needs and give us flexibility in the use of our other funding programs. Our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities (excluding amounts related to insurance activities) primarily include U.S. Department of Treasury obligations, federal agency securities, bank time deposits with investment-grade institutions, investment-grade commercial paper, rated A-1/P-1 or higher, debt obligations of a select group of non-U.S. governments, non-U.S. governmental agencies, supranational institutions, non-U.S. central banks, and money market funds that carry the highest possible ratingsratings. 
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



The average maturity of these investments ranges from approximately three to six months and is adjusted based on market conditions and liquidity needs.  We monitor our cash levels and average maturity on a daily basis.  Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities included amounts to be used only to support our securitization transactions of $2.8$3.0 billion and $3.4$2.9 billion at December 31, 2018 and September 30, 20172019, respectively.


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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and December 31, 2016, respectively.Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)



Committed Capacity. At September 30, 2017,2019, our committed capacity totaled $39.2$40.8 billion, down $0.9compared with $41.4 billion fromat December 31, 2016.2018. Our committed capacity is primarily comprised of committed asset-backed security (“ABS”)ABS facilities from bank-sponsored commercial paper conduits and other financial institutions, unsecured credit facilities with financial institutions, and allocated commitments under the Ford corporate credit facility.


Committed Asset-Backed Facilities. We and our subsidiaries have entered into agreements with a number of bank-sponsored asset-backed commercial paper conduits and other financial institutions. Such counterparties are contractually committed, at our option, to purchase from us eligible retail financing receivables or to purchase or make advances under asset-backed securities backed by retail financing or wholesale finance receivables or operating leases for proceeds of up to $33.4$35.2 billion ($16.218.0 billion of retail financing, $6.3$5.7 billion of wholesale financing, and $10.9$11.5 billion of operating leases) at September 30, 2017.2019. In the United States, we are able to obtain funding within two days of our unutilized capacity in some of our committed asset-backed facilities. These committed facilities have varying maturity dates, with $14.1$17.0 billion having maturities within the next twelve months and the remaining balance having maturities through 2019.2022. We plan capacity renewals to protect our global funding needs, optimize capacity utilization, and maintain sufficient liquidity.


Our ability to obtain funding under these facilities is subject to having a sufficient amount of eligible assets as well as our ability to obtain interest rate hedging arrangements for certain facilities. At September 30, 2017, $17.02019, $14.4 billion of these commitments were in use. These programs are free of material adverse change clauses, restrictive financial covenants (for example, debt-to-equity limitations and minimum net worth requirements), and generally, credit rating triggers that could limit our ability to obtain funding. However, the unused portion of these commitments may be terminated if the performance of the underlying assets deteriorates beyond specified levels. Based on our experience and knowledge as servicer of the related assets, we do not expect any of these programs to be terminated due to such events.


FCE Bank plc (“FCE”) has pre-positioned retail receivables with the Bank of England which supports access to the Discount Window Facility. Pre-positioned assets are neither pledged to nor held as collateral by the Bank of England unless the Discount Window Facility is accessed. FCE’s eligibility to access the Discount Window Facility is not reflected in the Liquidity Sources table above.


Unsecured Credit Facilities. At September 30, 2017,2019, we and our majority-owned subsidiaries had $5.8$5.6 billion of contractually committed unsecured credit facilities with financial institutions, including the FCE Credit Agreement, (as defined below)the Ford Bank Agreement, and the allocation under Ford’s corporate credit facility. At September 30, 2017, $4.82019, $5.1 billion was available for use.


FCE’s £945£745 million (equivalent to $1.3 billion$917 million at September 30, 2017)2019) syndicated credit facility (the “FCE Credit Agreement”) maturesand Ford Bank GmbH’s €240 million (equivalent to $262 million at September 30, 2019) syndicated credit facility (the “Ford Bank Credit Agreement”) both mature in 2020.2022.  At September 30, 2017, £5452019, all £745 million (equivalent to $730 million) wasunder the FCE Credit Agreement and all €240 million under the Ford Bank Credit Agreement were available for use. The

Both the FCE Credit Agreement containsand Ford Bank Credit Agreement contain certain covenants, including an obligation for FCE and Ford Bank to maintain itstheir ratio of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets at no less than the applicable regulatory minimum, and forminimum. The FCE Credit Agreement requires the support agreement between FCE and Ford Credit to remain in full force and effect (and enforced by FCE to ensure that its net worth is maintained at no less than $500 million). The Ford Bank Credit Agreement requires our guarantee of Ford Bank’s obligations under the agreement to remain in effect.


Lenders under the Ford corporate credit facility have commitments totaling $13.4 billion, with 75%25% of the commitments maturing on April 30, 2022 and 25%75% of the commitments maturing on April 30, 2020.2024. Ford has allocated $3.0 billion of commitments, including commitments under a Chinese renminbi sub-facility, to us on an irrevocable and exclusive basis to support our growth and liquidity. At September 30, 2017,2019, all $3.0 billion was available for use.


Funding and Liquidity Risks


Refer to the “Funding and Liquidity”Liquidity Risks” section of Item 7 of Exhibit 99 toPart II of our April 27, 20172018 Form 8-K10-K Report for a list of factors that could affect our liquidity and information on our stress testing.



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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Leverage


We use leverage, or the debt-to-equity ratio, to make various business decisions, including evaluating and establishing pricing for finance receivable and operating lease financing, and assessing our capital structure. We refer to our shareholder’s interest as equity.

The following charttable shows the calculation of our financial statement leverage and managed leverage (in billions, except for ratios)billions):

leveragev4.jpg
 September 30, 2018 December 31, 2018 September 30, 2019
Leverage Calculation     
Debt$138.2
 $140.1
 $139.3
Adjustments for cash(12.1) (10.2) (14.3)
Adjustments for derivative accounting0.6
 0.2
 (0.8)
   Total adjusted debt$126.7
 $130.1
 $124.2
      
Equity$15.2
 $15.0
 $14.2
Adjustments for derivative accounting(0.1) (0.2) 
   Total adjusted equity$15.1
 $14.8
 $14.2
      
Financial statement leverage (to 1) (GAAP)9.1
 9.4
 9.8
Managed leverage (to 1) (Non-GAAP)8.4
 8.8
 8.8


We plan our managed leverage by considering prevailing market conditions and the risk characteristics of our business. At September 30, 2017,2019, our financial statement leverage was 9.4:9.8:1, and managed leverage was 8.7:8.8:1. We target managed leverage in the range of 8:1 to 9:1. For information on our planned distributions, refer to the “Outlook” section.



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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




OutlookCautionary Note on Forward-Looking Statements

guidancev4.jpg

We now expect full year 2017 pre-tax profit to exceed $2.0 billion driven by strong volume and mix and better-than-expected residual values.

In the third quarter, we distributed $378 million to our parent.

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)


Risk Factors


Statements included or incorporated by reference herein may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on expectations, forecasts, and assumptions by our management and involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated, including without limitation:


Decline in industryFord’s long-term competitiveness depends on the successful execution of fitness actions;
Industry sales volume, particularly in the United States, Europe, or China, due tocan be volatile and could decline if there is a financial crisis, recession, or significant geopolitical events, or other factors; event;
Lower-than-anticipated market acceptance of Ford’s new orand existing products orand mobility services or failureare subject to achieve expected growth;market acceptance;
Market shift away fromFord’s results are dependent on sales of larger, more profitable vehicles, beyond Ford’s current planning assumption, particularly in the United States;
Continued orFord may face increased price competition resulting from industry excess capacity, currency fluctuations, or other factors;
Fluctuations in commodity prices, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices, and interest rates;rates can have a significant effect on results;
Adverse effects resulting fromWith a global footprint, Ford’s results could be adversely affected by economic, geopolitical, protectionist trade policies, or other events;events, including Brexit;
Work stoppages at Ford or supplier facilities or other limitations onFord’s production, (whether as a result ofwell as Ford’s suppliers’ production, could be disrupted by labor disputes, natural or man-made disasters, tight credit markets or other financial distress, production constraints or difficulties, or other factors);factors;
Single-source supply of components or materials;
Labor or other constraints on Ford’s ability to maintain a competitive cost structure;structure could be affected by labor or other constraints;
Substantial pensionPension and other postretirement liabilities impairingcould adversely affect Ford’s liquidity orand financial condition;
Worse-than-assumed economicEconomic and demographic experience for pension and other postretirement benefit plans (e.g., discount rates or investment returns); could be worse than Ford has assumed;
Restriction on use of tax attributes from tax law “ownership change;”
The discovery ofFord’s vehicles could be affected by defects in vehicles resultingthat result in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, or increased warranty costs;
IncreasedFord may need to substantially modify its product plans to comply with safety, emissions, fuel economy, orand other regulations resultingthat may change in higher costs, cash expenditures, and/or sales restrictions;the future;
UnusualFord could experience unusual or significant litigation, governmental investigations, or adverse publicity arising out of alleged defects in products, perceived environmental impacts, or otherwise;
Adverse effects on results from a decrease in or cessation or clawbackFord’s receipt of government incentives relatedcould be subject to investments;reduction, termination, or clawback;
Cybersecurity risks to operationalOperational systems, security systems, or infrastructure ownedand vehicles could be affected by cyber incidents;
Ford and Ford Credit, or a third-party vendor or supplier;  
Failure of financial institutionsCredit’s access to fulfill commitments under committed credit and liquidity facilities;
Inability of Ford Credit to access debt, securitization, or derivative markets around the world at competitive rates or in sufficient amounts due tocould be affected by credit rating downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, regulatory requirements, or other factors;
Higher-than-expectedFord Credit could experience higher than expected credit losses, lower-than-anticipated residual values, or higher-than-expected return volumes for operating leased vehicles;
IncreasedFord Credit could face increased competition from banks, financial institutions, or other third parties seeking to increase their share of financing Ford vehicles; and
NewFord Credit could be subject to new or increased credit regulations, consumer or data protection regulations, or other regulations resulting in higher costs and/or additional financing restrictions.regulations.


We cannot be certain that any expectation, forecast, or assumption made in preparing forward-looking statements will prove accurate, or that any projection will be realized.  It is to be expected that there may be differences between projected and actual results.  Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of their initial issuance, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. For additional discussion, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on2018 Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 (“2016 Form 10-K Report”),Report, as updated by our subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K.



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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)




Accounting Standards Issued But Not Yet Adopted


The Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) has issued the following standards,Accounting Standards Updates (“ASU”), which are not expected to have a material impact (with the exception of standards 2016-02 and 2016-13) to our financial statements or financial statement disclosures:

disclosures. ASU 2016-13 is expected to result in a significant change in practice to Ford Credit. For additional information, see Note 2 of our Notes to the Financial Statements.
StandardASU  Effective Date (a)
2016-182018-18Statement of Cash Flows - Restricted CashClarifying the Interaction between Collaborative Arrangements and Revenue from Contracts with Customers January 1, 20182020
2016-162018-17Income Taxes - Intra-Entity Transfers of Assets Other Than InventoryTargeting Improvements to Related Party Guidance for Variable Interest Entities January 1, 20182020
2016-152018-15Statement of Cash Flows - Classification of Certain Cash Receipts and Cash PaymentsCustomer’s Accounting for Implementation Costs Incurred in a Cloud Computing Arrangement that is a Service Contract January 1, 2018
2016-01Financial Instruments - Recognition and Measurement of Financial Assets and Financial LiabilitiesJanuary 1, 2018
2017-12Derivatives and HedgingJanuary 1, 2019 (b)
2017-08Nonrefundable Fees and Other Costs - Premium Amortization on Purchased Callable Debt SecuritiesJanuary 1, 2019
2016-02LeasesJanuary 1, 2019 (b)2020
2016-13Credit Losses - Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments January 1, 2020 (b)
__________
(a)Early adoption for each of the standards except standard 2016-01, is permitted.
(b)For additional information, see Note 2 of our NotesThe FASB has issued the following update to the Financial Statements.Credit Losses standard: ASU 2019-05 (Targeted Transition Relief) which we will adopt with the new Credit Losses standard effective January 1, 2020.


Other Financial Information

The interim financial information included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the periods ended September 30, 2017 and 2016 has not been audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (“PwC”). In reviewing such information, PwC has applied limited procedures in accordance with professional standards for reviews of interim financial information. Readers should restrict reliance on PwC’s reports on such information accordingly. PwC is not subject to the liability provisions of Section 11 of the Securities Act of 1933 for its reports on interim financial information, because such reports do not constitute “reports” or “parts” of registration statements prepared or certified by PwC within the meaning of Sections 7 and 11 of the Securities Act of 1933.

ITEM 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.


In our 20162018 Form 10-K Report, we discuss in greater detail our market risk, counterparty risk, credit risk, residual risk, liquidity risk, and operating risk.


To provide a quantitative measure of the sensitivity of our pre-tax cash flow to changes in interest rates, we use interest rate scenarios that assume a hypothetical, instantaneous increase or decrease of one percentage point in all interest rates across all maturities (a “parallel shift”), as well as a base case that assumes that all interest rates remain constant at existing levels. The differences in pre-tax cash flow between these scenarios and the base case over a twelve-month period represent an estimate of the sensitivity of our pre-tax cash flow. Under this model, we estimate that at September 30, 2017,2019, all else constant, such an increase in interest rates would decreaseincrease our pre-tax cash flow by $2 million over the next 12 months, compared with an increase of $21$51 million at December 31, 2016.2018. In reality, interest rate changes are rarely instantaneous or parallel and rates could move more or less than the one percentage point assumed in our analysis. As a result, the actual impact to pre-tax cash flow could be higher or lower than the results detailed above.




ITEM 4. Controls and Procedures.


Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures. N. Joy Falotico,David W. McClelland, our Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”), and Marion B. Harris,Brian E. Schaaf, our Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”) and Treasurer, have performed an evaluation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures, as that term is defined in Rule 13a-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”), as of September 30, 20172019, and each has concluded that such disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our periodic reports filed under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified by SEC rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to the CEO and CFO to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosures.


Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. There were no changes in internal control over financial reporting during the quarter ended September 30, 20172019 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.



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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1A. Risk Factors.

The risk factor “Ford Credit’s access to debt, securitization, or derivative markets around the world at competitive rates or in sufficient amounts could be affected by credit rating downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, regulatory requirements, or other factors” included in Item 1A of our 2018 Form 10-K Report is revised as follows:

Ford and Ford Credit’s access to debt, securitization, or derivative markets around the world at competitive rates or in sufficient amounts could be affected by credit rating downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, regulatory requirements, or other factors. Ford and Ford Credit’s ability to obtain unsecured funding at a reasonable cost is dependent on their credit ratings or their perceived creditworthiness. Further, Ford Credit’s ability to obtain securitized funding under its committed asset-backed liquidity programs and certain other asset-backed securitization transactions is subject to having a sufficient amount of assets eligible for these programs, as well as Ford Credit’s ability to obtain appropriate credit ratings and, for certain committed programs, derivatives to manage the interest rate risk. Over time, and particularly in the event of credit rating downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, or other factors, Ford Credit may reduce the amount of receivables it purchases or originates because of funding constraints. The potential phase out of LIBOR is one such risk that could cause market volatility or disruption. In July 2017 the chief executive of the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the “FCA”), which regulates LIBOR, announced that the FCA intends to stop compelling banks to submit rates for the calculation of LIBOR after 2021. It is unknown whether any banks will continue to voluntarily submit rates for the calculation of LIBOR after 2021 or whether LIBOR will continue to be published by its administrator based on these submissions or on any other basis. It is not possible to predict the effect of these changes, other reforms, or the establishment of alternative reference rates, but the potential phase out of LIBOR could adversely affect Ford Credit’s access to the capital markets and cost of funding.  In addition, Ford Credit may be limited in the amount of receivables it purchases or originates in certain countries or regions if the local capital markets, particularly in developing countries, do not exist or are not adequately developed. Similarly, Ford Credit may reduce the amount of receivables it purchases or originates if there is a significant decline in the demand for the types of securities it offers or Ford Credit is unable to obtain derivatives to manage the interest rate risk associated with its securitization transactions. A significant reduction in the amount of receivables Ford Credit purchases or originates would significantly reduce its ongoing profits and could adversely affect its ability to support the sale of Ford vehicles.

ITEM 5. Other Information.


None.


ITEM 6. Exhibits.

Designation Description Method of Filing
     
Calculation of Ratio of Earnings to Fixed Charges.Filed with this Report.
Letter of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, dated October 26, 2017, relating to financial information.Filed with this Report.
 Rule 15d-14(a) Certification of CEO. Filed with this Report.
 Rule 15d-14(a) Certification of CFO. Filed with this Report.
 Section 1350 Certification of CEO. Furnished with this Report.
 Section 1350 Certification of CFO. Furnished with this Report.
Items 2 - 4 of Part I and Item 1 of Part II of Ford Motor Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2017.Incorporated herein by reference to Ford Motor Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2017. File No. 1-3950.
Exhibit 101.INS XBRL Instance Document.Interactive Data Files pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T formatted in Inline Extensible Business Reporting Language (“Inline XBRL”). *
Exhibit 101.SCH XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document. *
Exhibit 101.CAL XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document. *
Exhibit 101.LAB XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document. *
Exhibit 101.PRE XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document. *
Exhibit 101.DEF XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document.*
Exhibit 104Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted in Inline XBRL and contained in Exhibit 101). *
__________
*Submitted electronically with this Report in accordance with the provisions of Regulation S-T.


Instruments defining the rights of holders of certain issues of long-term debt of Ford Credit have not been filed as exhibits to this Report because the authorized principal amount of any one of such issues does not exceed 10% of the total assets of Ford Credit. Ford Credit will furnish a copy of each such instrument to the SEC upon request.




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SIGNATURE




Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Ford Motor Credit Company LLC has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.


FORD MOTOR CREDIT COMPANY LLC


By:/s/ Marion B. HarrisBrian E. Schaaf
 Marion B. HarrisBrian E. Schaaf
 Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
  
Date: October 26, 201723, 2019










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