Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses | 6. Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses: Activity in the consolidated reserves for unpaid losses and LAE is summarized as follows (in thousands): 2020 2019 Balance at January 1 $ 620,355 $ 527,247 Less reinsurance recoverable 272,604 221,716 Net balance at January 1 347,751 305,531 Incurred related to: Current year 332,863 301,265 Loss portfolio transfer 21,700 — Prior years 58,288 60,900 Total incurred 412,851 362,165 Paid related to: Current year 113,312 127,610 Loss portfolio transfer 21,700 — Prior years 185,407 192,335 Total paid 320,419 319,945 Net balance at December 31 440,183 347,751 Plus reinsurance recoverable 349,585 272,604 Balance at December 31 $ 789,768 $ 620,355 The $58.3 million unfavorable net development and $60.9 million unfavorable net development in prior accident years recognized in 2020 and 2019, respectively, represent changes in our loss reserve estimates. In 2020 and 2019, the aggregate loss reserve estimates for prior years were increased to reflect unfavorable loss development when the available information indicated a reasonable likelihood that the ultimate losses would be more than the previous estimates. The unfavorable prior year reserve development during the twelve months ended December 31, 2020 was primarily driven by the continued emergence of increased frequency and severity trends in our primary commercial automobile lines of business within our Commercial Auto business unit, which was representative of industry trends, as well as unfavorable development in our general liability lines within our E&S Casualty business unit and our Standard Commercial Segment, as well as our personal automobile liability line in our Specialty Personal Lines business unit. The unfavorable prior year reserve development during the twelve months ended December 31, 2019 was primarily driven by increased frequency and severity trends in our primary commercial auto lines of business within our Commercial Auto business unit, which was representative of industry trends, as well as unfavorable development in our general liability lines within our E&S Casualty business unit. Generally, changes in reserves are caused by variations between actual experience and previous expectations and by reduced emphasis on the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method due to the aging of the accident years. The impact from the unfavorable (favorable) net prior years’ loss development on each reporting segment is presented below: December 31, 2020 2019 Specialty Commercial Segment $ 45,808 $ 60,138 Standard Commercial Segment 3,357 726 Personal Segment 9,123 36 Corporate — — Total unfavorable net prior year development $ 58,288 $ 60,900 The following describes the primary factors behind each segment’s prior accident year loss reserve development for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019: Year ended December 31, 2020 : ● Specialty Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Auto business unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2018 and prior accident years primarily in the commercial automobile liability line of business, partially offset by favorable development primarily in the commercial automobile line of business in the 2019 accident year. Our E&S Casualty business unit experienced net unfavorable development primarily in our E&S package insurance products in the 2018 and prior accident years, partially offset by favorable development in the 2019 accident year. We experienced net favorable development in our E&S Property and Aerospace & Programs business units, partially offset by net unfavorable development in our Professional Liability. ● Standard Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Accounts business operating unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2018 and prior accident years primarily in the general liability line of business, partially offset by net favorable development primarily in the commercial property and commercial automobile liability lines of business in the 2019 accident year and net favorable development primarily in the 2017 accident year in the occupational accident line of business. Our former Workers Compensation operating unit experienced net favorable development primarily in the 2014 and prior accident years. ● Personal Segment. Net unfavorable development in our Specialty Personal Lines business unit was mostly attributable to the 2018, 2016, 2014 and 2012 and prior accidents years, partially offset by favorable development in the 2017, 2015 and 2013 accident years. Year ended December 31, 2019 : ● Specialty Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Auto business unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2017 and prior accident years primarily in the commercial automobile liability line of business, partially offset by favorable development primarily in the commercial automobile line of business in the 2018 accident year. Our E&S Casualty business unit experienced net unfavorable development primarily in our E&S package insurance products in the 2018 and prior accident years. We experienced net favorable development in our E&S Property and Professional Liability business units, partially offset by net unfavorable development in our Aerospace & Programs business unit. ● Standard Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Accounts business operating unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2013 and prior accident years primarily in the general liability line of business, partially offset by net favorable development primarily in the commercial property line of business in the 2018 and 2014 accident years and net favorable development primarily in the 2015 accident year in the occupational accident line of business. Our former Workers Compensation operating unit experienced net favorable development primarily in the 2015 accident year. ● Personal Segment. Net unfavorable development in our Specialty Personal Lines business unit was mostly attributable to the 2018, 2016, 2014 and 2012 and prior accidents years, partially offset by favorable development in the 2017, 2015 and 2013 accident years. Reserves for unpaid losses and LAE represent management’s best estimate of our ultimate liabilities, based on currently known facts, current law, current technology and assumptions considered reasonable where facts are not known. Due to the significant uncertainties and related management judgments, there can be no assurance that future favorable or unfavorable loss development, which may be material, will not occur. Short-Duration Contract Disclosures ASU 2015-09, “Disclosures about Short-Duration Contracts (Topic 944)", requires insurers to make disclosures about their liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses for short-duration insurance contracts. These disclosures include tables showing incurred and paid claims development information (net of reinsurance and excluding unallocated loss adjustment expenses) which are disaggregated based on the characteristics of the insurance contracts that the insurer writes and other factors specific to the reporting entity. The information should be disclosed by accident year for the number of years claims typically remain outstanding, but need not be more than 10 years, including a reconciliation of the disaggregated information to the consolidated statement of financial position. We have evaluated the disaggregation criteria and concluded that the basis for our disaggregation of this information is the similar claim duration period of our primary lines of business (certain lines of business have short settlement periods versus long settlement periods). Reserves for Incurred But Not Reported (“IBNR”) Claims Reserves for IBNR claims are based on the estimated ultimate cost of settling claims, including the effects of inflation and other social and economic factors, using past experience adjusted for current trends and any other factors that would modify past experience. We use a variety of statistical and actuarial techniques to analyze current claims costs, including frequency and severity data and prevailing economic, social and legal factors. Each such method has its own set of assumptions and outputs, and each has strengths and weaknesses in different areas. Since no single estimation method is superior to another method in all situations, the methods and assumptions used to project loss reserves will vary by coverage and product. We use what we believe to be the most appropriate set of actuarial methods and assumptions for each product line grouping and coverage. While the loss projection methods may vary by product line and coverage, the general approach for calculating IBNR remains the same: ultimate losses are forecasted first, and that amount is reduced by the amount of cumulative paid claims and case reserves. Reserves established in prior years are adjusted as loss experience develops and new information becomes available. Adjustments to previously estimated reserves are reflected in the results of operations in the year in which they are made. As described above, various actuarial methods are utilized to determine the reserves for losses and LAE recorded in our consolidated balance sheets. Weightings of methods at a detailed level may change from evaluation to evaluation based on a number of observations, measures, and time elements. Methodology for Determining Cumulative Number of Reported Claims A claim file is created when the Company is notified of an actual demand for payment, notified of an event that may lead to a demand for payment or it is determined that a demand for payment could possibly lead to a future demand for payment on another coverage on the same policy or on another policy.The cumulative number of reported claims is predominately measured at the claim level for our Commercial Accounts, Aviation, Personal, Primary Commercial Auto Liability, and certain Programs lines of business and at a coverage level by occurrence for our other lines of business. The Company does not generate claim counts for ceded business. Incurred & Paid Claims Development Disclosures The following tables provide information about incurred and cumulative paid losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses (“ALAE”), net of reinsurance for our primary lines of business with similar claims duration periods. The incurred and paid losses by accident year information presented for all lines of business with similar claim duration periods in the below tables for calendar years prior to 2016 is required supplementary information and is unaudited. The following tables also include IBNR reserves plus expected development on reported claims and the cumulative number of reported claims as of December 31, 2020 ($ in thousands): Commercial Auto Liability Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 49,933 $ 52,099 $ 55,934 $ 55,853 $ 55,259 $ 53,587 $ 53,691 $ 55,775 $ 57,499 $ 57,502 $ 52 3,299 2012 60,844 69,628 68,225 71,515 73,153 75,464 75,657 76,333 75,907 4 3,645 2013 93,692 86,902 90,726 96,974 102,031 103,379 103,571 105,448 (132) 4,694 2014 102,053 93,187 99,280 106,138 113,357 116,373 120,417 (1,657) 5,258 2015 106,133 106,608 125,161 133,574 135,774 141,197 443 5,919 2016 111,913 115,044 121,714 137,690 140,794 (47) 6,118 2017 125,315 119,583 148,563 154,993 (437) 6,265 2018 119,070 118,334 110,052 6,965 5,257 2019 118,351 128,652 46,179 3,886 2020 101,568 65,968 2,645 Total $ 1,136,532 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 8,288 $ 27,773 $ 44,227 $ 49,793 $ 52,261 $ 52,928 $ 53,203 $ 53,276 $ 53,275 $ 57,450 2012 12,859 30,046 46,510 59,883 69,026 72,907 75,190 75,039 75,893 2013 13,333 40,670 63,255 83,184 93,554 101,146 106,894 105,194 2014 17,145 43,078 67,410 88,823 107,912 112,617 121,683 2015 18,108 48,239 95,056 123,668 141,678 139,605 2016 19,788 53,398 106,707 129,761 133,918 2017 22,578 77,884 133,880 143,791 2018 26,101 49,912 86,894 2019 16,812 39,632 2020 14,491 Total $ 918,550 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 1,017 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 218,999 Casualty Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 14,331 $ 11,675 $ 12,942 $ 12,529 $ 11,855 $ 11,510 $ 11,407 $ 11,265 $ 11,660 $ 11,542 $ 103 720 2012 13,020 11,301 13,098 12,230 13,330 12,390 11,852 12,944 13,400 (393) 655 2013 13,379 12,002 12,384 12,792 12,874 12,205 13,330 13,274 (394) 629 2014 15,590 14,007 12,034 11,663 11,676 13,167 13,140 (344) 708 2015 17,362 16,746 15,046 15,266 15,945 16,931 (298) 741 2016 16,039 16,513 16,927 18,625 17,508 (897) 757 2017 17,845 15,751 20,360 18,023 (781) 1,208 2018 23,056 24,590 23,856 766 1,827 2019 34,610 43,426 10,666 2,693 2020 62,464 40,788 6,752 Total $ 233,564 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 2,340 $ 4,292 $ 6,007 $ 8,334 $ 9,292 $ 9,642 $ 9,868 $ 11,149 $ 11,204 $ 11,294 2012 1,337 2,666 6,096 8,037 10,255 10,938 11,357 12,572 12,725 2013 1,331 3,190 5,461 9,212 11,134 11,866 12,255 12,478 2014 1,829 4,196 5,499 8,075 11,327 12,365 13,003 2015 1,420 4,133 8,258 13,553 16,158 15,729 2016 1,753 5,672 11,269 16,442 17,111 2017 2,900 5,884 11,268 16,264 2018 2,708 8,027 15,363 2019 2,526 17,177 2020 6,176 Total $ 137,320 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 1,059 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 97,302 Commercial Accounts Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 49,375 $ 46,540 $ 45,723 $ 41,721 $ 41,081 $ 40,745 $ 40,100 $ 38,585 $ 38,585 $ 38,492 $ 145 2,915 2012 47,194 48,085 44,625 42,632 41,451 40,350 38,669 38,669 39,462 228 2,711 2013 46,413 47,385 46,990 43,917 42,822 39,567 40,211 40,141 216 2,804 2014 46,280 46,470 43,806 43,806 43,673 42,463 42,503 411 2,741 2015 40,966 42,580 41,429 38,385 39,287 39,206 931 2,576 2016 43,327 43,449 41,983 43,111 45,267 1,662 2,539 2017 40,943 42,704 43,579 44,732 1,971 2,733 2018 42,898 41,290 44,590 4,879 2,591 2019 37,984 34,616 4,149 2,689 2020 40,356 19,332 2,574 Total $ 409,365 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 22,002 $ 30,811 $ 33,701 $ 35,333 $ 36,302 $ 37,214 $ 38,253 $ 38,311 $ 38,228 $ 38,278 2012 22,264 30,096 32,378 34,597 35,943 37,808 38,044 38,211 38,518 2013 19,386 29,586 33,927 36,225 37,947 38,892 39,329 39,560 2014 21,322 31,150 33,544 36,775 39,185 41,162 41,658 2015 16,557 28,501 30,974 35,238 35,611 37,135 2016 19,776 29,456 35,035 39,417 40,828 2017 16,644 28,813 36,650 41,631 2018 19,233 29,381 33,546 2019 17,490 26,233 2020 13,942 Total $ 351,328 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 1,566 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 59,603 Aviation Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 12,330 $ 11,299 $ 9,759 $ 9,729 $ 9,829 $ 9,884 $ 10,045 $ 10,028 $ 10,028 $ 10,028 $ — 305 2012 10,988 10,738 10,353 10,336 10,024 10,021 9,941 9,941 9,446 — 229 2013 10,236 11,304 10,295 9,563 10,057 10,649 10,252 10,297 — 231 2014 3,179 3,654 3,627 3,558 3,566 3,567 3,567 — 201 2015 1,870 1,709 1,643 1,631 1,630 1,635 1 198 2016 2,330 2,241 2,119 2,219 2,220 4 292 2017 2,325 2,082 2,079 2,178 11 320 2018 2,382 1,990 2,565 49 336 2019 5,246 4,525 119 290 2020 3,487 884 270 Total $ 49,948 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 6,313 $ 8,894 $ 8,924 $ 9,311 $ 9,546 $ 9,628 $ 10,028 $ 10,028 $ 10,028 $ 10,028 2012 5,641 8,486 9,672 10,049 10,041 10,041 10,041 9,941 9,446 2013 6,537 9,493 9,584 9,356 9,944 10,456 10,242 10,281 2014 2,779 3,105 3,259 3,327 3,565 3,567 3,567 2015 958 1,405 1,520 1,601 1,630 1,634 2016 1,469 1,907 1,918 2,082 2,216 2017 1,260 1,837 2,021 2,054 2018 1,716 2,237 2,368 2019 2,911 3,787 2020 2,120 Total $ 47,501 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance — Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 2,448 Runoff Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 10,861 $ 9,949 $ 9,433 $ 7,547 $ 6,185 $ 6,678 $ 6,741 $ 6,659 $ 6,637 $ 4,666 $ 106 965 2012 4,804 4,469 3,597 3,358 2,821 2,636 2,752 2,752 2,773 91 714 2013 9,069 10,143 9,713 9,257 9,257 9,472 9,486 9,483 228 1,337 2014 9,208 9,338 9,762 10,076 10,452 10,463 10,292 719 1,027 2015 8,605 7,277 8,624 8,892 8,420 8,526 186 822 2016 3,553 4,733 4,365 4,416 4,425 — 462 2017 450 465 415 403 60 66 2018 — — — — — 2019 — — — — 2020 — — — Total $ 40,568 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 2,897 $ 4,308 $ 5,208 $ 4,968 $ 4,838 $ 5,227 $ 5,427 $ 5,483 $ 5,357 $ 5,630 2012 1,181 2,107 2,411 2,594 2,583 2,600 2,602 2,675 2,675 2013 3,737 6,825 7,882 8,350 8,809 8,961 9,010 9,050 2014 2,933 5,972 7,970 9,004 9,210 9,323 9,487 2015 2,528 5,744 7,328 8,049 8,495 8,512 2016 1,732 2,550 3,743 4,418 4,425 2017 111 171 203 282 2018 — — — 2019 — — 2020 — Total $ 40,062 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 1,720 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 2,226 Programs Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 317 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ — 2012 3,001 2,045 2,045 3,885 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 — 3 2013 1,595 2,543 1,561 2,076 2,302 2,302 2,302 2,302 — 2 2014 1,623 666 2,039 1,575 1,575 1,575 1,575 — 5 2015 1,683 1,629 752 752 752 752 — 2 2016 478 1,200 1,178 1,178 1,178 — 1 2017 955 1,775 1,801 1,982 15 65 2018 3,598 4,368 4,222 104 770 2019 5,407 9,150 809 977 2020 6,737 2,130 652 Total $ 30,139 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 $ 196 2012 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2,045 2013 1,489 1,561 1,561 2,076 2,302 2,302 2,302 2,302 2014 758 1,502 1,575 1,575 1,575 1,575 1,575 2015 1,515 1,629 752 752 752 752 2016 1,139 1,139 1,178 1,178 1,178 2017 36 1,556 1,551 1,967 2018 911 1,290 3,778 2019 4,501 7,794 2020 2,908 Total $ 24,495 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance — Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 5,644 Personal Segment Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 75,746 $ 77,652 $ 87,810 $ 86,757 $ 86,804 $ 86,948 $ 86,853 $ 87,199 $ 87,198 $ 87,087 $ — 31,615 2012 58,604 73,795 70,552 71,513 72,042 72,037 72,076 72,100 72,123 — 23,940 2013 55,706 59,132 60,100 60,211 60,379 60,328 60,310 60,286 — 23,472 2014 5,452 5,340 6,243 6,699 6,504 6,518 6,578 — 19,293 2015 23,104 25,682 25,307 25,136 25,102 25,185 — 23,376 2016 32,260 32,893 32,728 32,803 33,042 — 23,757 2017 23,342 21,968 21,926 22,547 — 16,810 2018 18,334 18,353 19,972 30 15,321 2019 56,009 63,722 (1,025) 25,627 2020 47,938 5,351 17,510 Total $ 438,481 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 46,416 $ 67,939 $ 83,497 $ 85,533 $ 86,217 $ 86,593 $ 86,660 $ 86,989 $ 87,045 $ 87,042 2012 37,860 64,278 68,849 70,807 71,995 72,055 72,094 72,124 72,138 2013 45,901 54,514 58,047 59,775 60,277 60,297 60,279 60,279 2014 2,515 4,418 5,631 6,428 6,566 6,580 6,583 2015 11,570 22,281 24,262 25,243 25,098 25,169 2016 21,669 30,646 32,260 32,777 32,991 2017 15,776 21,061 21,972 22,488 2018 11,137 18,009 19,628 2019 41,524 60,870 2020 32,746 Total $ 419,934 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 50 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 18,597 Property Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance As of December 31, Cumulative Number of For the Years Ended December 31, Reported Accident Unaudited IBNR Claims Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2011 $ 11,768 $ 12,289 $ 12,228 $ 12,406 $ 12,598 $ 12,616 $ 12,494 $ 12,551 $ 12,549 $ 12,549 $ — 1,512 2012 18,518 17,541 18,119 17,743 17,768 18,005 17,974 17,963 17,963 — 1,629 2013 21,644 22,363 22,264 22,578 22,914 22,936 22,935 22,935 — 1,893 2014 22,551 21,950 21,862 21,793 21,852 21,876 21,932 (81) 2,037 2015 20,256 19,919 20,014 20,091 20,202 20,107 142 1,993 2016 20,734 22,838 22,632 22,789 22,781 (0) 2,031 2017 24,182 23,003 24,490 24,287 1 2,007 2018 22,822 18,694 19,611 114 1,064 2019 20,214 20,984 181 1,182 2020 41,487 12,769 1,330 Total $ 224,636 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Unaudited Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 10,317 $ 12,354 $ 12,343 $ 12,370 $ 12,492 $ 12,541 $ 12,550 $ 12,551 $ 12,549 $ 12,549 2012 15,773 17,679 17,743 17,666 17,693 17,978 17,974 17,963 17,963 2013 17,785 21,452 21,864 22,197 22,826 22,936 22,935 22,935 2014 19,586 21,749 21,778 21,849 21,911 21,955 22,013 2015 17,513 19,500 19,928 20,134 19,953 19,965 2016 17,248 22,500 22,613 22,789 22,781 2017 18,703 22,059 23,821 24,179 2018 10,923 16,914 18,138 2019 11,344 18,895 2020 18,215 Total $ 197,634 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance — Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 27,002 The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid development tables to the liability for unpaid losses and LAE in our consolidated balance sheets is as follows (in thousands): 2020 2019 Net outstanding liabilities for losses and LAE Commercial Auto Liability $ 218,999 $ 189,896 Casualty 97,302 63,528 Commercial Accounts 59,603 51,200 Aviation 2,448 2,514 Runoff 2,226 3,109 Programs 5,644 4,234 Personal Segment 18,597 15,027 Property 27,002 11,489 Liabilities for unpaid losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance 431,821 340,997 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE Commercial Auto Liability 91,040 112,931 Casualty 122,341 91,900 Commercial Accounts 20,464 13,671 Aviation 10,143 9,469 Runoff 1,184 1,326 Programs 968 3,618 Personal Segment 5,613 11,752 Property 97,832 27,937 Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE 349,585 272,604 Unallocated loss adjustment expenses Commercial Auto Liability 1,850 1,383 Casualty 1,681 760 Commercial Accounts 2,643 2,732 Aviation 104 85 Runoff 170 170 Programs 61 63 Personal Segment 1,250 1,250 Property 603 311 Total unallocated loss adjustment expenses 8,362 6,754 Total reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses $ |