1 FORM 10-Q SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 (Mark One) [X] QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended September 30, 1998 OR [ ] TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission file number 1-10706 Comerica Incorporated (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 38-1998421 (State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer incorporation or organization) Identification No.) Comerica Tower at Detroit Center Detroit, Michigan 48226 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) (313) 222-3300 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date. $5 par value common stock: outstanding as of October 31, 1998: 155,542,000 shares 2 PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries September 30, December 31, September 30, (In thousands, except share data) 1998 1997 1997 ------------- ------------ ------------- ASSETS Cash and due from banks $ 1,364,063 $ 1,927,087 $ 1,886,293 Short-term investments 129,057 202,957 92,969 Investment securities available for sale 3,108,120 4,005,962 4,716,940 Commercial loans 17,361,281 15,805,549 14,865,246 International loans 2,524,159 2,085,090 2,110,663 Real estate construction loans 1,037,284 940,910 974,779 Commercial mortgage loans 3,927,689 3,633,785 3,574,011 Residential mortgage loans 1,136,195 1,565,445 1,642,226 Consumer loans 1,882,347 4,347,665 4,432,242 Lease financing 598,259 516,600 496,825 ----------- ----------- ----------- Total loans 28,467,214 28,895,044 28,095,992 Less allowance for credit losses (438,929) (424,147) (412,582) ----------- ----------- ----------- Net loans 28,028,285 28,470,897 27,683,410 Premises and equipment 361,171 380,157 384,202 Customers' liability on acceptances outstanding 12,945 18,392 26,237 Accrued income and other assets 1,372,573 1,286,946 1,114,832 ----------- ----------- ----------- TOTAL ASSETS $34,376,214 $36,292,398 $35,904,883 =========== =========== =========== LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Noninterest-bearing deposits $ 6,740,407 $ 6,761,202 $ 6,420,063 Interest-bearing deposits 15,493,005 15,825,115 15,638,241 ----------- ----------- ----------- Total deposits 22,233,412 22,586,317 22,058,304 Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase 2,147,048 592,860 625,469 Other borrowed funds 1,182,122 2,600,041 3,465,473 Acceptances outstanding 12,945 18,392 26,237 Accrued expenses and other liabilities 227,983 446,625 369,597 Medium- and long-term debt 5,632,697 7,286,387 6,615,449 ----------- ----------- ----------- Total liabilities 31,436,207 33,530,622 33,160,529 Nonredeemable preferred stock - $50 stated value: Authorized - 5,000,000 shares Issued - 5,000,000 shares at 9/30/98, 12/31/97 and 9/30/97 250,000 250,000 250,000 Common stock - $5 par value: Authorized - 325,000,000 shares Issued-157,187,518 shares at 9/30/98, 156,815,367 shares at 12/31/97 and 105,239,666 shares at 9/30/97 785,938 784,077 526,198 Capital surplus 16,713 - - Unrealized gains and losses on investment securities available for sale 2,676 (1,937) 7,606 Retained earnings 1,999,197 1,731,419 1,962,568 Deferred compensation (3,110) (1,783) (2,018) Less cost of common stock in treasury- 1,689,201 shares at 9/30/98 (111,407) - - ----------- ----------- ----------- Total shareholders' equity 2,940,007 2,761,776 2,744,354 ----------- ----------- ----------- TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY $34,376,214 $36,292,398 $35,904,883 =========== =========== =========== /TABLE 3 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 -------------------- ------------------------ (In thousands, except per share data) 1998 1997 1998 1997 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- INTEREST INCOME Interest and fees on loans $583,747 $590,198 $1,781,164 $1,714,211 Interest on investment securities: Taxable 51,968 80,265 170,856 236,282 Exempt from federal income tax 1,754 2,486 5,774 8,478 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Total interest on investment securities 53,722 82,751 176,630 244,760 Interest on short-term investments 2,093 1,722 6,859 6,269 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Total interest income 639,562 674,671 1,964,653 1,965,240 INTEREST EXPENSE Interest on deposits 156,289 173,193 484,353 502,664 Interest on short-term borrowings: Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase 35,453 27,276 93,655 82,794 Other borrowed funds 10,724 22,813 41,536 79,399 Interest on medium- and long-term debt 86,079 101,613 289,786 263,795 Net interest rate swap income (9,418) (11,805) (35,198) (40,306) -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Total interest expense 279,127 313,090 874,132 888,346 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Net interest income 360,435 361,581 1,090,521 1,076,894 Provision for credit losses 21,000 34,000 77,000 109,000 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Net interest income after provision for credit losses 339,435 327,581 1,013,521 967,894 NONINTEREST INCOME Income from fiduciary activities 40,888 37,622 123,632 106,871 Service charges on deposit accounts 39,316 35,036 117,283 104,985 Securities gains 174 1,096 35 1,359 Other noninterest income 71,736 62,593 194,811 173,973 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Total noninterest income 152,114 136,347 435,761 387,188 NONINTEREST EXPENSES Salaries and employee benefits 142,252 135,311 415,013 403,669 Net occupancy expense 22,533 22,311 66,873 67,699 Equipment expense 14,959 15,055 45,250 46,288 Telecommunications expense 7,207 6,894 20,190 20,965 Other noninterest expenses 66,870 73,051 209,667 211,997 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Total noninterest expenses 253,821 252,622 756,993 750,618 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- Income before income taxes 237,728 211,306 692,289 604,464 Provision for income taxes 83,238 74,239 243,033 213,915 -------- -------- ---------- ---------- NET INCOME $154,490 $137,067 $ 449,256 $ 390,549 ======== ======== ========== ========== Net income applicable to common stock $150,215 $132,792 $ 436,431 $ 377,724 ======== ======== ========== ========== Basic net income per common share $0.97 $0.84 $2.80 $2.38 Diluted net income per common share $0.95 $0.83 $2.75 $2.34 Cash dividends declared on common stock $49,650 $45,253 $149,615 $136,276 Dividends per common share $0.32 $0.29 $0.96 $0.86 4 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Nonredeem- able Unrealized Total Preferred Common Capital Gains/ Retained Deferred Treasury Shareholders' (in thousands) Stock Stock Surplus (Losses) Earnings Compensation Stock Equity --------- --------- --------- ---------- ---------- ------------ --------- ------------- BALANCES AT JANUARY 1, 1997 $250,000 $536,487 $ - $ (22,789) $1,854,116 $ (2,245) $ - $2,615,569 Net income for 1997 - - - - 390,549 - - 390,549 Nonowner changes in equity: Unrealized holding gains/(losses) arising during the period - - - 48,121 - - - 48,121 Less: Reclassification adjustment for gains/ (losses) included in net income - - - 1,359 - - - 1,359 Nonowner changes in equity before income taxes - - - 46,762 - - - 46,762 Provision for income taxes related to nonowner changes in equity - - - 16,367 - - - 16,367 Nonowner changes in equity, net of tax - - - 30,395 - - - 30,395 Net income and nonowner changes in equity - - - - - - - 420,944 Cash dividends declared: Preferred stock - - - - (12,825) - - (12,825) Common stock - - - - (136,276) - - (136,276) Purchase and retirement of 2,772,227 shares of common stock - (13,861) (24,860) - (133,005) - - (171,726) Issuance of common stock under employee stock plans - 3,572 24,860 - 9 (531) - 27,910 Amortization of deferred compensation - - - - - 758 - 758 -------- -------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- ---------- BALANCES AT SEPTEMBER 30, 1997 $250,000 $526,198 $ - $ 7,606 $1,962,568 $ (2,018) $ - $2,744,354 ======== ======== ========= ========= ========== ========= ========= ========== BALANCES AT JANUARY 1, 1998 $250,000 $784,077 $ - $ (1,937) $1,731,419 $ (1,783) $ - $2,761,776 Net income for 1998 - - - - 449,256 - - 449,256 Nonowner changes in equity: Unrealized holding gains/ (losses) arising during the period - - - 7,132 - - - 7,132 Less: Reclassification adjustment for gains/ (losses) included in net income - - - 35 - - - 35 Nonowner changes in equity before income taxes - - - 7,097 - - - 7,097 Provision for income taxes related to nonowner changes in equity - - - 2,484 - - - 2,484 Nonowner changes in equity, net of tax - - - 4,613 - - - 4,613 Net income and nonowner changes in equity - - - - - - - 453,869 Cash dividends declared: Preferred stock - - - - (12,825) - - (12,825) Common stock - - - - (149,615) - - (149,615) Purchase of 2,136,450 shares of common stock - - - - - - (141,070) (141,070) Purchase and retirement of 60,000 shares of common stock - (300) (3,182) - - - - (3,482) Issuance of common stock under employee stock plans - 2,161 19,895 - (19,038) (2,085) 29,663 30,596 Amortization of deferred compensation - - - - - 758 - 758 -------- -------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- ---------- BALANCES AT SEPTEMBER 30, 1998 $250,000 $785,938 $ 16,713 $ 2,676 $1,999,197 $ (3,110) $(111,407) $2,940,007 ======== ======== ========= ========= ========== ========== ========= ========== /TABLE 5 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Nine Months Ended September 30 --------------------------- (in thousands) 1998 1997 ------------ ------------ OPERATING ACTIVITIES: Net income $ 449,256 $ 390,549 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Provision for credit losses 77,000 109,000 Depreciation 42,997 44,344 Restructuring charge (14,957) (40,837) Net decrease in trading account securities 2,968 291 Net increase in assets held for sale (6,857) (4,676) Net increase in accrued income receivable (4,514) (24,031) Net increase (decrease) in accrued expenses (161,337) 8,037 Net amortization of intangibles 21,930 21,132 Other, net 48,576 42,946 ------------ ------------ Total adjustments 5,806 156,206 ------------ ------------ Net cash provided by operating activities 455,062 546,755 INVESTING ACTIVITIES: Net (increase) decrease in interest-bearing deposits with banks (11,869) 24,181 Net (increase) decrease in federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell 89,658 (9,158) Proceeds from sale of investment securities available for sale 44,364 175,782 Proceeds from maturity of investment securities available for sale 876,576 768,755 Purchases of investment securities available for sale (108,428) (880,174) Net increase in loans (other than purchased loans) (1,608,051) (1,902,362) Purchase of loans (1,115) (50,505) Net proceeds provided by acquisitions/sales 1,878,907 - Fixed assets, net (29,494) (20,883) Net decrease in customers' liability on acceptances outstanding 5,447 6,865 ------------ ------------ Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities 1,135,995 (1,887,499) FINANCING ACTIVITIES: Net decrease in deposits (352,905) (308,869) Net increase (decrease) in short-term borrowings 136,269 (398,249) Net decrease in acceptances outstanding (5,447) (6,865) Proceeds from issuance of medium- and long-term debt 2,500,000 4,525,000 Repayments and purchases of medium- and long-term debt (4,162,060) (2,151,320) Proceeds from issuance of common stock and other capital transactions 32,681 28,441 Purchase of common stock for treasury and retirement (144,552) (171,726) Dividends paid (158,067) (191,135) ------------ ------------ Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (2,154,081) 1,325,277 ------------ ------------ Net decrease in cash and due from banks (563,024) (15,467) Cash and due from banks at beginning of year 1,927,087 1,901,760 ------------ ------------ Cash and due from banks at end of period $ 1,364,063 $ 1,886,293 ============ ============ Interest paid $ 900,964 $ 874,178 ============ ============ Income taxes paid $ 214,738 $ 215,349 ============ ============ Noncash investing and financing activities: Loan transfers to other real estate $ 5,629 $ 6,031 ============ ============ 6 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Accounting Policies The accompanying unaudited financial statements have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, the statements do not include all of the information and footnotes required by generally accepted accounting principles for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the nine months ended September 30, 1998 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 1998. For further information, refer to the consolidated financial statements and footnotes thereto included in the annual report of Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries (the "Corporation") on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1997. The Corporation may use derivative financial instruments, including foreign exchange contracts, to manage the Corporation's exposure to interest rate and foreign currency risks. These instruments are treated as hedges, and accounted for on an accrual basis, since there is a high correlation with the on-balance sheet instrument being hedged. If this correlation ceases to exist, the existing unrealized gain or loss is amortized over the remaining term of the instrument, and future changes in fair value are accounted for on a mark-to-market basis. Derivative financial instruments executed as a service to customers are accounted for on a mark-to-market basis. For further information, refer to the Accounting Policies footnote in the Corporation's 1997 annual report. In June 1998, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Statement No. 133, "Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities," which is required to be adopted in years beginning after June 15, 1999. The Statement permits early adoption as of the beginning of any fiscal quarter. The Corporation expects to adopt the new Statement effective January 1, 2000. The Statement will require the Corporation to recognize all derivatives on the balance sheet at fair value. Derivatives 7 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Accounting Policies (continued) that are not hedges must be adjusted to fair value through income. If the derivative is a hedge, depending on the nature of the hedge, changes in the fair value of derivatives will either be offset against the change in fair value of the hedged assets, liabilities, or firm commitments through earnings or recognized in other comprehensive income until the hedged item is recognized in earnings. The ineffective portion of a derivative's change in fair value will be immediately recognized in earnings. The Corporation has not yet determined what the effect of Statement 133 will be on the earnings and financial position of the Corporation. Note 2 - Investment Securities At September 30, 1998, investment securities having a carrying value of $2.2 billion were pledged where permitted or required by law to secure liabilities and public and other deposits, including deposits of the State of Michigan of $45 million. Note 3 - Allowance for Credit Losses The following analyzes the changes in the allowance for credit losses included in the consolidated balance sheets: (in thousands) 1998 1997 --------- --------- Balance at January 1 $ 424,147 $ 367,165 Charge offs (95,881) (93,462) Recoveries 33,663 29,879 --------- --------- Net charge offs (62,218) (63,583) Provision for credit losses 77,000 109,000 --------- --------- Balance at September 30 $ 438,929 $ 412,582 ========= ========= Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 114, "Accounting by Creditors for Impairment of a Loan," considers a loan impaired when it is probable that interest and principal payments will not be made in accordance with the contractual terms of the loan agreement. Consistent with this definition, all nonaccrual and reduced-rate loans (with the exception of residential mortgage and consumer loans) are 8 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 3 - Allowance for Credit Losses (continued) impaired. Impaired loans averaged $93 million and $80 million for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 1998, compared to $84 million and $71 million for the comparable periods last year. The following are period-end balances: (in thousands) September 30, 1998 December 31, 1997 ------------------ ----------------- Total impaired loans $99,700 $70,470 Impaired loans requiring an allowance 77,645 60,376 Impairment allowance 21,634 20,358 Those impaired loans not requiring an allowance represent loans for which the fair value exceeded the recorded investment in the loan. 9 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 4 - Medium- and Long-term Debt Medium- and long-term debt consisted of the following at September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997: (in thousands) September 30, 1998 December 31, 1997 ------------------ ----------------- Parent Company 9.75% subordinated notes due 1999 $ 74,946 $ 74,877 10.125% subordinated debentures due 1998 - 74,965 7.25% subordinated notes due 2007 159,953 148,509 ---------- ---------- Total parent company 234,899 298,351 Subsidiaries Subordinated notes: 7.25% subordinated notes due 2007 198,250 198,100 7.875% subordinated notes due 2026 174,305 146,914 8.375% subordinated notes due 2024 155,557 147,938 7.25% subordinated notes due 2002 149,364 149,246 6.875% subordinated notes due 2008 104,301 99,220 7.125% subordinated notes due 2013 155,269 148,224 6.00% subordinated notes due 2008 247,845 - ---------- ---------- Total subordinated notes 1,184,891 889,642 Medium-term notes: Floating rate based on Treasury bill indices 486,999 487,000 Floating rate based on Prime indices - 1,100,007 Floating rate based on LIBOR indices 3,315,274 2,811,793 Floating rate based on Federal Funds indices - 349,998 Fixed rate notes with interest rates ranging from 5.97% to 6.65% 410,634 1,349,596 ---------- ---------- Total medium-term notes 4,212,907 6,098,394 Total subsidiaries 5,397,798 6,988,036 ---------- ---------- Total medium- and long-term debt $5,632,697 $7,286,387 ========== ========== 10 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 5 - Income Taxes The provision for income taxes is computed by applying statutory federal income tax rates to income before income taxes as reported in the financial statements after deducting non-taxable items, principally interest income on state and municipal securities. State and foreign taxes are then added to the federal provision. 11 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 6 - Off-Balance Sheet Derivatives and Foreign Exchange Contracts September 30, 1998 December 31, 1997 ------------------------------ ------------------------------ Notional/ Notional/ Contract Unrealized Fair Contract Unrealized Fair Amount Gains Losses Value Amount Gains Losses Value (in millions) (1) (2) (3) (1) (2) (3) ------------------------------- ------------------------------ Risk Management Interest rate contracts Swaps (4) $ 7,077 $212 $ (1) $ 211 $ 8,515 $137 $ (14) $ 123 Caps and floors purchased 50 - - - 52 - - - Foreign exchange contracts Spot and forward 665 16 (6) 10 445 12 (9) 3 Swaps 126 13 - 13 154 5 - 5 ------- ---- ----- ----- ------- ---- ----- ----- Total risk management 7,918 241 (7) 234 9,166 154 (23) 131 Customer Initiated and Other Interest rate contracts Caps and floors written 226 - (1) (1) 314 - - - Caps and floors purchased 160 1 - 1 32 - - - Swaps 167 7 (7) - 150 6 (6) - Foreign exchange contracts Spot, forward and options 1,309 24 (17) 7 1,837 37 (33) 4 ------- ---- ----- ----- ------- ---- ----- ----- Total customer initiated and other 1,862 32 (25) 7 2,333 43 (39) 4 ------- ---- ----- ----- ------- ---- ----- ----- Total derivatives and foreign exchange contracts $ 9,780 $273 $ (32) $ 241 $11,499 $197 $ (62) $ 135 ======= ==== ===== ===== ======= ==== ===== ===== (1) Notional or contract amounts, which represent the extent of involvement in the derivatives market, are generally used to determine the contractual cash flows required in accordance with the terms of the agreement. These amounts are typically not exchanged, significantly exceed amounts subject to credit or market risk, and are not reflected in the consolidated balance sheets. (2) Represents credit risk, which is measured as the cost to replace, at current market rates, contracts in a profitable position. Credit risk is calculated before consideration is given to bilateral collateral agreements or master netting arrangements that effectively reduce credit risk. (3) The fair values of derivatives and foreign exchange contracts generally represent the estimated amounts the Corporation would receive or pay to terminate or otherwise settle the contracts at the balance sheet date. The fair values of customer initiated and other derivatives and foreign exchange contracts are reflected in the consolidated balance sheets. Futures contracts are subject to daily cash settlements; therefore, the fair value of these instruments is zero. (4) Includes index amortizing swaps with a notional amount of $2,563 million and $3,521 million at September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997, respectively. These swaps had net unrealized gains of $26 million and net unrealized losses of $4 million at September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997, respectively. As of September 30, 1998 index amortizing swaps had an average expected life of approximately 1 year with a stated maturity that averaged 3 years. /TABLE 12 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 6 - Off-Balance Sheet Derivatives and Foreign Exchange Contracts (continued) Risk Management - --------------- Interest rate risk arises in the normal course of business to the extent there is a difference between the repricing and maturity characteristics of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities. This gap in the balance sheet structure reflects the sensitivity of the Corporation's net interest income to a change in interest rates. Foreign exchange rate risk arises from changes in the value of certain assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies. The Corporation employs on-balance sheet instruments such as investment securities, as well as off-balance sheet derivative financial instruments and foreign exchange contracts, to manage exposure to these and other risks, including liquidity risk. As an end-user, the Corporation mainly accesses the interest rate markets to obtain off-balance sheet derivatives instruments for use principally in connection with asset and liability management activities. The Corporation principally utilizes interest rate swaps with the objective of managing the sensitivity of net interest income to interest rate fluctuations. To accomplish this objective, the Corporation primarily uses interest rate swaps to modify the interest rate characteristics of certain assets and liabilities (for example, from a floating rate to a fixed rate, a fixed rate to a floating rate or from one floating rate index to another). Management believes this strategy achieves an optimal match between the rate maturities of assets and their funding sources which, in turn, reduces the overall exposure of net interest income to interest rate risk, although there can be no assurance that such a strategy will be successful. The following table summarizes the expected maturity distribution of the notional amount of interest rate swaps used for risk management purposes. The table also indicates the weighted average interest rates associated with amounts to be received or paid on interest rate swap agreements as of September 30, 1998. The swaps are grouped by the assets or liabilities to which they have been designated. 13 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 6 - Off-Balance Sheet Derivatives and Foreign Exchange Contracts (continued) - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Remaining Expected Maturity of Risk Management Interest Rate Swaps: 2003- Dec. 31, (dollar amounts in millions) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2026 Total 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Variable rate asset designation: Receive fixed swaps Generic $ - $ - $ 700 $2,425 $ - $ - $3,125 $ 700 Amortizing - - - - - - - 100 Index amortizing 390 1,177 587 150 187 60 2,551 3,504 Weighted average: (1) Receive rate 6.36% 6.35% 6.35% 5.96% 6.49% 6.14% 6.18% 6.33% Pay rate 5.64% 5.64% 5.57% 5.65% 5.58% 5.51% 5.63% 5.90% Floating/floating swaps $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 55 Fixed rate asset designation: Pay fixed swaps Generic $ - $ 2 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2 $ 2 Index amortizing 2 3 7 - - - 12 17 Weighted average: (1) Receive rate 5.59% 5.65% 5.59% -% -% -% 5.61% 5.97% Pay rate 5.34% 6.70% 5.34% -% -% -% 5.82% 5.85% Medium- and long-term debt designation: Generic receive fixed swaps $ 200 $ - $ 200 $ - $150 $ 350 $ 900 $2,200 Weighted average: (1) Receive rate 5.97% -% 6.91% -% 7.37% 7.56% 7.03% 6.84% Pay rate 5.55% -% 5.69% -% 5.69% 5.75% 5.68% 5.83% Floating/floating swaps $ 450 $ - $ 37 $ - $ - $ - $ 487 $1,937 Weighted average: (2) Receive rate 5.52% -% 5.47% -% -% -% 5.52% 5.73% Pay rate 5.58% -% 5.68% -% -% -% 5.59% 5.77% Total notional amount $1,042 $1,182 $1,531 $2,575 $337 $ 410 $7,077 $8,515 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) Variable rates are based on LIBOR rates paid or received at September 30, 1998. (2) Variable rates paid are based on LIBOR at September 30, 1998, while variable rates received are based on prime. - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- /TABLE 14 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 6 - Off-Balance Sheet Derivatives and Foreign Exchange Contracts (continued) The Corporation also uses various other types of off-balance sheet financial instruments to manage interest rate and foreign currency risks associated with specific assets or liabilities, including interest rate caps and floors, forward and futures interest and foreign exchange rate contracts, and foreign exchange rate swaps, which are reflected in the table above. At September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997, the notional amounts of commitments to purchase and sell U.S. Treasury and municipal bond securities related to the Corporation's trading account totaled $81 million and $2 million, respectively. The notional amounts of commitments to sell mortgage loans totaled $30 million at December 31, 1997. No such commitments were outstanding at September 30, 1998. These commitments, which are similar in nature to forward contracts, are not reflected in the above table due to the immaterial impact they have on the financial statements. Customer Initiated and Other - ----------------------------- The Corporation earns additional income by executing various transactions, primarily foreign exchange contracts, interest rate caps and forward rate agreements, at the request of customers. The Corporation minimizes market risk arising from customer initiated foreign exchange contracts and forward rate agreements by entering into offsetting transactions. Average fair values and income from customer initiated and other foreign exchange contracts were not material for the nine-month period ended September 30, 1998 and for the year ended December 31, 1997. Customer initiated interest rate caps generally are not offset by other on- or off-balance sheet financial instruments; however, the Corporation has established authority limits for engaging in these transactions in order to minimize risk exposure. As a result, average fair values and income from this activity were not material for the nine- month period ended September 30, 1998 and for the year ended December 31, 1997. 15 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements Comerica Incorporated and Subsidiaries Note 6 - Off-Balance Sheet Derivatives and Foreign Exchange Contracts (continued) Available credit lines on fixed rate credit card and check product accounts, which expose the Corporation to the risk of a reduction in net interest income as rates increase, totaled approximately $1.6 billion at September 30, 1998 and $1.8 billion at December 31, 1997. Management believes that market risk exposure arising from these revolving credit commitments is very limited, however, since it is unlikely that a significant number of customers with these accounts will simultaneously borrow up to their maximum available credit lines. Off-Balance Sheet Derivative and Foreign Exchange Activity - ---------------------------------------------------------- The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending notional amounts for interest rate derivatives and foreign exchange contracts. Customer Initiated Risk Management and Other --------------------- --------------------- Interest Foreign Interest Foreign Rate Exchange Rate Exchange (in millions) Contracts Contracts Contracts Contracts --------------------- --------------------- Balances at December 31, 1997 $ 8,567 $ 599 $ 496 $ 1,837 Additions 2,577 5,166 288 28,198 Maturities/amortizations (3,262) (4,974) (231) (28,726) Terminations (755) - - - ------- ------- ----- -------- Balances at September 30, 1998 $ 7,127 $ 791 $ 553 $ 1,309 ======= ======= ===== ======== Additional information regarding the nature, terms and associated risks of the above off-balance sheet derivatives and foreign exchange contracts, along with information on derivative accounting policies, can be found in the Corporation's 1997 annual report on page 33 and in Notes 1 and 18 to the consolidated financial statements. 16 ITEM 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition ----------------------- Results of Operations - --------------------- Net income for the third quarter ended September 30, 1998 was $154 million, up $17 million, or 13 percent, from $137 million reported for the third quarter of 1997. Diluted net income per share increased 14 percent to $0.95 from $0.83 a year ago. Return on average common shareholders' equity was 23.02 percent and return on average assets was 1.82 percent, compared to 21.86 percent and 1.56 percent, respectively, for the comparable quarter last year. Net income for the first nine months of 1998 was $2.75 per share or $449 million, compared to $2.34 or $391 million for the same period in 1997, increases of 18 percent and 15 percent, respectively. Return on average common shareholders' equity was 22.56 percent and return on assets was 1.72 percent for the first nine months of 1998, compared to 21.20 percent and 1.50 percent, respectively, for the first nine months of 1997. On January 15, 1998, the Corporation's board of directors declared a three-for-two stock split, effected in the form of a 50 percent stock dividend paid on April 1, 1998, as well as increased the quarterly cash dividend 12 percent to $0.32 per share. All per share data included in the financial statements and managements discussion and analysis have been retroactively adjusted to reflect the split. Net Interest Income - ------------------- The rate-volume analysis in Table I details the components of the change in net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent (FTE) basis for the quarter ended September 30, 1998. On a FTE basis, net interest income was $362 million for the three months ended September 30, 1998, a decrease of $2 million from the comparable quarter in 1997. Net interest income and the net interest margin were both affected by the sale of $2.0 billion of indirect consumer loans and non-relationship credit card receivables. Excluding the impact of the consumer sale, net interest income would have increased 5 percent, primarily due to a 17 percent increase in average commercial loans. The net interest margin for the 17 three months ended September 30, 1998, was 4.63 percent, an increase of 15 basis points from 4.48 percent for the third quarter of 1997. Table II provides an analysis of net interest income for the first nine months of 1998. On a FTE basis, net interest income for the nine months ended September 30, 1998, was $1,096 million compared to $1,084 million for the same period in 1997. This increase is primarily attributed to the growth in commercial loans cited in the quarterly discussion. The net interest margin for the nine months ended September 30, 1998, was 4.58 percent compared to 4.55 percent for the same period in 1997. Net income generated by the risk management interest rate swap portfolio resulted in a contribution of 12 basis points to the net interest margin in the third quarter of 1998, compared to a 15 basis-point contribution in the year-earlier quarter. The contribution for the first nine months of 1998 was 15 basis points compared to a 17 basis-point contribution in 1997. Interest rate swaps permit management to control the sensitivity of net interest income to fluctuations in interest rates in a manner similar to on-balance sheet investment securities but without significant impact to capital or liquidity. These instruments are designated against certain assets and liabilities, therefore, their impact on net interest income is generally offset by and should be considered in relation to the level of net interest income generated by the related on- balance sheet assets and liabilities. In addition to using interest rate swaps and other off-balance sheet instruments to control the Corporation's exposure to interest rate risk, management attempts to monitor the effect of movements in interest rates on net interest income by regularly performing interest sensitivity gap and earnings simulation analyses. At September 30, 1998, the Corporation was in an asset sensitive position of $2.5 billion (on an elasticity adjusted basis), or 8 percent of earning assets. The earnings simulation analysis performed at the end of the quarter reflects changes to both interest rates and loan, investment and deposit volumes. The measurement 18 of risk exposure at September 30, 1998 for a 200 basis-point decline in short-term interest rates identified approximately $67 million, or 4.49 percent, of net interest income at risk during the next 12 months. If short-term interest rates rise 200 basis points, net interest income would be enhanced by approximately $2 million, or 0.10 percent. The results of these simulations are within established corporate policy guidelines. 19 TABLE I - QUARTERLY ANALYSIS OF NET INTEREST INCOME & RATE/VOLUME (FTE) Three Months Ended ------------------------------------------------------------- September 30, 1998 September 30, 1997 ----------------------------- ----------------------------- Average Average Average Average (in millions) Balance Interest Rate Balance Interest Rate - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Loans $27,775 $584 8.36% $27,435 $591 8.56% Investment securities 3,209 55 6.81 4,754 84 7.05 Other earning assets 128 2 6.43 95 2 7.35 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total earning assets 31,112 641 8.19 32,284 677 8.33 Interest-bearing deposits 15,605 156 3.97 16,194 173 4.24 Short-term borrowings 3,273 46 5.60 3,559 50 5.58 Medium- and long-term debt 5,652 86 6.05 6,464 102 6.25 Net interest rate swap (income)/ expense (1) - (9) - - (12) - - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total interest-bearing sources $24,530 279 4.52 $26,217 313 4.74 -------------- --------------- Net interest income/ Rate spread (FTE) $362 3.67 $364 3.59 ==== ==== FTE adjustment $ 2 $ 2 ==== ==== Impact of net noninterest-bearing sources of funds 0.96 0.89 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net interest margin as a percent of average earning assets (FTE) 4.63% 4.48% ============================================================================================== (1) After allocation of the income or expense generated by interest rate swaps for the three months ended September 30, 1998, to the related assets and liabilities, the average yield on total loans was 8.43 percent as of September 30, 1998, compared to 8.64 percent a year ago. The average cost of funds for medium- and long-term debt was 5.77 percent as of September 30, 1998, compared to 5.86 percent a year earlier. Increase Increase (Decrease) (Decrease) Net Due to Due to Increase Rate Volume* (Decrease) ---------- ---------- ---------- (in millions) Loans $ (1) $ (6) $ (7) Investment securities (3) (26) (29) Other earning assets - - - ------------------------------ Total earning assets (4) (32) (36) Interest-bearing deposits (1) (16) (17) Short-term borrowings - (4) (4) Medium- and long-term debt (3) (13) (16) Net interest rate swap (income)/expense 3 - 3 ------------------------------ Total interest-bearing sources (1) (33) (34) ------------------------------ Net interest income/Rate spread (FTE) $ (3) $ 1 $ (2) ============================== * Rate/Volume variances are allocated to variances due to volume. /TABLE 20 TABLE II - YEAR-TO-DATE ANALYSIS OF NET INTEREST INCOME & RATE/VOLUME (FTE) Nine Months Ended ------------------------------------------------------------- September 30, 1998 September 30, 1997 ----------------------------- ----------------------------- Average Average Average Average (in millions) Balance Interest Rate Balance Interest Rate - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Loans $28,276 $1,783 8.43% $26,908 $1,717 8.53% Investment securities 3,516 180 6.82 4,768 249 6.92 Other earning assets 152 7 6.09 131 6 6.48 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total earning assets 31,944 1,970 8.24 31,807 1,972 8.28 Interest-bearing deposits 15,944 484 4.06 16,189 502 4.15 Short-term borrowings 3,234 135 5.59 3,980 162 5.45 Medium- and long-term debt 6,293 290 6.15 5,619 264 6.27 Net interest rate swap (income)/expense (1) - (35) - - (40) - - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total interest-bearing sources $25,471 874 4.59 $25,788 888 4.60 ----------------- ------------------ Net interest income/ Rate spread (FTE) $1,096 3.65 $1,084 3.68 ====== ====== FTE adjustment $ 6 $ 7 ====== ====== Impact of net noninterest-bearing sources of funds 0.93 0.87 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net interest margin as a percent of average earning assets (FTE) 4.58% 4.55% ============================================================================================== (1) After allocation of the income or expense generated by interest rate swaps for the nine months ended September 30, 1998, to the related assets and liabilities, the average yield on total loans was 8.52 percent as of September 30, 1998, compared to 8.63 percent a year ago. The average cost of funds for medium- and long-term debt was 5.78 percent as of September 30, 1998, compared to 5.81 percent a year earlier. Increase Increase (Decrease) (Decrease) Net Due to Due to Increase Rate Volume* (Decrease) ---------- ---------- ---------- (in millions) Loans $ 7 $ 59 $ 66 Investment securities (5) (64) (69) Other earning assets - 1 1 ------------------------------ Total earning assets 2 (4) (2) Interest-bearing deposits (1) (17) (18) Short-term borrowings 3 (30) (27) Medium- and long-term debt (5) 31 26 Net interest rate swap (income)/expense 5 - 5 ------------------------------ Total interest-bearing sources 2 (16) (14) ------------------------------ Net interest income/Rate spread (FTE) $ - $ 12 $ 12 ============================== * Rate/Volume variances are allocated to variances due to volume. /TABLE 21 Provision for Credit Losses - --------------------------- The provision for credit losses for the third quarter of 1998 was $21 million, a decrease of $13 million from the third quarter of 1997. The provision for the first nine months of 1998 was $77 million compared to $109 million for the same period in 1997. The Corporation establishes this provision to maintain an adequate allowance for credit losses, which is discussed in the section entitled "Allowance for Credit Losses and Nonperforming Assets." Noninterest Income - ------------------ Noninterest income was $152 million for the three months ended September 30, 1998, an increase of $16 million, or 12 percent over the same period in 1997. Third quarter 1998 noninterest income reflects the consolidated financial results of Munder Capital Management, an investment advisory subsidiary in which a majority interest was obtained during July, 1998. The Corporation's minority interest in prior periods had been accounted for under the equity method. Excluding the effect of certain nonrecurring items, acquisitions and divestitures in both periods, noninterest income increased 12 percent in the third quarter of 1998 compared to the third quarter of 1997. Accounting for the majority of this increase were higher levels of fiduciary income, service charges and commercial fee income. Included in the large nonrecurring items in other noninterest income for the third quarter of 1997 is a $6 million pre-tax gain related to the final settlement from the sale of the Corporation's bond indenture services business. For the first nine months of 1998, noninterest income was $436 million, an increase of $49 million, or 13 percent, from the first nine months of 1997. Noninterest Expenses - -------------------- Noninterest expenses were $254 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 1998, an increase of $1 million, or less than 1 percent, from the third quarter of 1997. Salaries and employee benefits increased $7 million, or 5 percent, in the third quarter of 1998 from the comparable period 22 in 1997, primarily from the consolidation of Munder Capital Management. Other noninterest expenses decreased $6 million in the third quarter of 1998 from the same period last year, primarily due to $6 million in litigation accruals included in 1997. For the first nine months of 1998, noninterest expenses were $757 million, an increase of $6 million, or 1 percent, from the first nine months of 1997. Provision for Income Taxes - -------------------------- The provision for income taxes for the third quarter of 1998 totaled $83 million, an increase of 12 percent compared to $74 million reported for the same period a year ago. The provision for the first nine months of 1998 was $243 million compared to $214 million for the same period in 1997. The effective tax rate was 35 percent for the third quarter and the first nine months of 1998 and for the comparable periods in 1997. Strategic Lines of Business - --------------------------- The Corporation has strategically aligned its operations into three major lines of business: the Business Bank, the Individual Bank and the Investment Bank. Table III presents the financial results of these business lines for the nine months ended September 30, 1998 and 1997. For a description of the business activities of each line of business and the methodologies which form the basis for these results, refer to the discussion entitled "Strategic Lines of Business" on page 26 of the Corporation's 1997 annual report. Financial Condition - ------------------- Total assets were $34.4 billion at September 30, 1998, compared with $36.3 billion at December 31, 1997. The Corporation has continued to generate commercial loan growth in 1998. Since December 31, 1997, commercial loans have increased $1.6 billion, or 10 percent and international loans have 23 Table III - Strategic Lines of Business Financial Results Nine Months Ended September 30 Business Individual Investment Bank Bank Bank* Other Total - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (in millions) 1998 1997 1998** 1997 1998 1997 1998 1997 1998 1997 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Average assets $22,328 $19,522 $7,865 $9,526 $ 34 $ 26 $4,606 $5,544 $34,833 $34,618 Total revenues (FTE) 651 592 742 767 87 79 52 33 1,532 1,471 Net income 242 239 210 177 2 2 (5) (27) 449 391 Return on average assets 1.45% 1.63% 1.56% 1.32% 4.75% 3.07% -0.06% -0.31% 1.72% 1.50% Return on average common equity 24.87% 30.55% 37.58% 30.57% 11.26% 10.96% -1.32% -4.50% 22.56% 21.20% * Net income was reduced by charges for fees internally transferred to other lines of business for referrals to the Investment Bank. If excluded, Investment Bank net income would have been $6 million and $4 million, and return on average common equity would have been 30.31% and 26.32%, in 1998 and 1997, respectively. ** Financial results for the Individual Bank for 1998 were affected by the sale of $2.0 billion of indirect consumer loans and non-relationship credit card receivables and the mortgage servicing business. Net income for the Individual Bank includes a $9 million gain and reflects the reduction of the Individual Bank's allowance for credit losses as a result of the sale. 24 increased $439 million, or 21 percent. Total loans decreased $428 million, or 1 percent, since year-end 1997 as a result of the sale of $2.0 billion of indirect consumer loans and certain credit card receivables. The increase in commercial loans was partially funded by runoff of investment securities, which declined $898 million, or 22 percent, since December 31, 1997. Total liabilities decreased $2.1 billion, or 6 percent, to $31.4 billion since December 31, 1997. Medium- and long-term debt decreased $1.7 billion, or 23 percent, primarily as a result of the consumer loan sales. This decrease was partially offset by a $136 million increase in short-term borrowings. Allowance for Credit Losses and Nonperforming Assets - ---------------------------------------------------- The Corporation maintains the allowance for credit losses at a level that in management's judgement is adequate to provide for estimated probable credit losses inherent in on- and off-balance sheet credit exposure. The allowance for credit losses attributable to off-balance sheet exposure is not material. Management determines the adequacy of the allowance for credit losses by applying projected loss ratios to the risk-ratings of loans, both individually and by category. The projected loss ratios incorporate such factors as recent credit loss experience, current economic conditions and trends, geographic dispersion of borrowers, trends in past due and nonaccrual amounts, risk characteristics of various categories and concentrations of loans, and transfer risks. However, the Corporation cannot assure that the actual loss ratios will not vary from those projected. At September 30, 1998, the allowance for credit losses was $439 million, an increase of $15 million, or 3 percent, since December 31, 1997. The allowance as a percentage of total loans increased to 1.54 percent, compared to 1.47 percent at December 31, 1997. As a percentage of total nonperforming assets, the allowance decreased from 413 percent at year-end 1997 to 360 percent at September 30, 1998. 25 Net charge-offs for the third quarter of 1998 were $21 million, or 0.30 percent of average total loans, compared with $26 million, or 0.38 percent, for the year-earlier quarter. Net charge-offs for the first nine months of 1998 were $62 million, or 0.29 percent of average total loans, compared with $64 million, or 0.32 percent, for the same period last year. An analysis of the allowance for credit losses is presented in note 5 to the consolidated financial statements. Nonperforming assets increased $19 million, or 19 percent, since December 31, 1997, and were categorized as follows: September 30, December 31, (in thousands) 1998 1997 ------------- ------------ Nonaccrual loans: Commercial $ 88,011 $ 58,914 International 7,689 1,000 Real estate construction 1,897 3,438 Commercial mortgage 6,985 11,088 Residential mortgage 2,297 3,719 ------------- ------------ Total nonaccrual loans 106,879 78,159 Reduced-rate loans 7,615 7,583 ------------- ------------ Total nonperforming loans 114,494 85,742 Other real estate 7,563 17,046 ------------- ------------ Total nonperforming assets $ 122,057 $ 102,788 ============= ============ Loans past due 90 days or more $ 28,438 $ 52,805 ============= ============ Nonperforming assets as a percentage of total loans and other real estate at September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997, were 0.43 percent and 0.36 percent, respectively. Capital - ------- Common shareholders' equity was up $174 million from December 31, 1997 to September 30, 1998, excluding the change in unrealized gains/(losses) on investment securities available for sale. The increase was primarily due to the retention of $287 million in earnings, offset by the repurchase of 2.2 million shares of common stock under various corporate programs. 26 Capital ratios exceed minimum regulatory requirements. Risk-based capital ratios at December 31, 1997 have been revised as a result of corrections to the data used to determine risk-based assets. Capital ratios at September 30, 1998 and December 31, 1997 were as follows: September 30, December 31, 1998 1997 ------------- ------------ Leverage ratio (3.00 - minimum) 7.64% 7.09% Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio (4.0 - minimum) 6.38 6.28 Total risk-based capital ratio (8.0 - minimum) 10.66 9.90 At September 30, 1998, the capital ratios of all the Corporation's banking subsidiaries exceeded the minimum ratios required of a "well capitalized" institution as defined in the final rule under FDICIA. Other Matters - ------------- On January 1, 1999, more than two-thirds of the member countries of the European Union are scheduled to establish fixed conversion rates between their existing sovereign currencies and a common currency, the "euro." The Corporation has completed an internal analysis of all activities which may be impacted by this conversion, and has taken steps to ensure readiness. The euro conversion is not expected to have a material impact on the Corporation's business or financial condition. The Corporation initiated a company-wide project to prepare its computer systems, applications and infrastructure for Year 2000 compliance. The following discussion of the implications of the Year 2000 issue for the Corporation contains numerous forward-looking statements based on inherently uncertain information. The cost of the project and the planned date to complete the internal Year 2000 modifications are based on management's best estimates, derived utilizing a number of assumptions of future events including the continued availability of internal and external resources, 27 including employees, third party modifications and other factors. However, there can be no guarantee that these estimates will be achieved and actual results could differ. In addition, the Corporation places a high degree of reliance on the computer systems of third parties, such as customers, suppliers, and other financial and governmental institutions. Although the Corporation is assessing the readiness of these third parties and has prepared contingency plans, there can be no guarantee that business critical third party vendors or other significant third parties, such as telecommunications providers, will adequately address their Year 2000 issues. Readiness Preparation In 1996, management determined that many of the Corporation's critical processes might not be ready to operate normally in the year 2000 and beyond without remediation. Since then, the Corporation completed an assessment of the issue and has undertaken a project to correct and validate compliance. In 1997, the Corporation alerted its business customers and suppliers of the Year 2000 problem and is now assessing the readiness preparations of its major customers and suppliers. Resolution of the Year 2000 problem is among the Corporation's highest priorities, evidence of which was the establishment of a comprehensive program to address its many aspects. The Corporation prepared a project plan, identified its major application and processing systems, and is using internal and external resources to modify or replace non-ready systems. Testing systems for readiness is part of this process. In addition, customers and vendors who have significant relationships with the Corporation are being evaluated to determine their preparation and readiness for the year 2000. The potential failure of those customers to be adequately prepared for Year 2000 is included in Management's credit and review process used to establish loss reserves. There can be no guarantee that the remediation of the systems of the Corporation's vendors or customers will be completed on a timely basis. 28 The Corporation's Year 2000 program is comprised of numerous individual projects which address the following broad areas: data processing systems, telecommunications and data networks, building facilities and security systems, vendor risk, customer risk, contingency planning and communications. The Corporation intends to have business critical applications and services Year 2000 ready by December 31, 1998, with the remaining systems planned for completion by June 30, 1999. As of this date, 55 percent of remediation effort and 35 percent of testing have been completed. The Corporation has in place what it believes to be an extensive testing methodology, validation and verification process. The Corporation plans to conduct a complete systems test in the second quarter of 1999 to validate its findings. Furthermore, the Corporation is documenting contingency plans for all business critical applications to help minimize any disruptions to customer service caused by Year 2000 issues. The Corporation does not significantly rely on embedded technology in its critical processes. Embedded technology does control some building security and operations such as power management, ventilation, and elevator control. Building facilities are presently being evaluated, and it is management's plan to confirm Year 2000 readiness or replace the embedded technology by approximately June 30, 1999. The Corporation relies on suppliers and customers for certain information processing services, and is addressing Year 2000 issues with both groups. As of September 30, 1998, management has identified critical vendors and is inquiring as to their Year 2000 readiness plans and status. The Corporation will complete written risk assessments on each and will ask those found to pose a significant risk to demonstrate how risks will be addressed. Measures to minimize risk will be undertaken with those that appear to pose a significant risk. The Corporation expects to complete risk assessments on the critical vendors by year-end 1998, and replace vendors as necessary. There may be certain business critical third parties, such as utilities or telecommunication companies, where alternative arrangements or sources are limited or unavailable. 29 The Corporation is also reliant on its customers to make the necessary preparations for Year 2000 so that their business operations will not be interrupted, as an interruption could threaten their ability to honor financial commitments. Approximately 6,000 borrowers, capital market counter parties, funding sources, and large depositors have been identified as having financial volumes sufficiently large to warrant inquiry as to Year 2000 preparation. These inquiries are presently underway and written risk assessments will be completed on each. Management has substantially completed an initial assessment of risk based on these reports as of September 30, 1998. Customers found to have a significant risk of not being ready for Year 2000 are encouraged to make the necessary effort. Measures are being undertaken to minimize risk with those that appear to pose a significant risk. The Corporation's Year 2000 change program includes the active involvement of senior executives as well as seasoned project managers from throughout the company. Senior executives, the board of directors and a project steering committee regularly review the overall program. The federal and state agencies that regulate the banking industry also monitor the program. Cost Included in the Corporation's estimate of Year 2000 project cost are internal and external development costs, asset impairment write-offs and the cost of software and hardware for systems that are not ready, or would not have been ready by the new century as a result of normal replacement. The Corporation's current estimate is that Year 2000 project cost, both internal and external, will total approximately $45 million, of which approximately $17 million was incurred in 1996, 1997 and during the first nine months of 1998. The increase in the total estimate from previously reported numbers relates primarily to costs, not yet incurred, associated with expansion of the scope for personal computers and recently approved enhancements to the Year 2000 retention incentive plan. Of the $17 million incurred to date, $4 million was for capital assets which the Corporation is expensing over the useful lives. The Corporation will fund the remaining Year 2000 costs yet to 30 be incurred by normal operating cash flow. The project is staffed with external resources as well as internal staff redeployed from less time- sensitive assignments. The Corporation does not believe the redeployment of existing staff will have a material adverse effect on its business, results of operations or financial position. Approximately $6 million of the remaining cost is for capital assets which will be expensed over their useful lives. Estimated total project cost could change further as efforts continue. Risks The Corporation has grouped the principal risks associated with the Year 2000 problem into three categories. The first is the risk that the Corporation does not successfully ready operations for the year 2000. The Corporation, like other financial institutions, is heavily dependent on computer systems. The complexity of these systems and dependence on one another makes it impossible to switch to other systems immediately as would be required if necessary corrections were not made in advance. Management believes it will be able to make the necessary corrections in advance. Computer failure of third parties may jeopardize the Corporation's operations, but how seriously depends on the nature and duration of such failures. The most serious impact on the Corporation's operations from suppliers would result if basic services such as telecommunications, electric power suppliers, and services provided by other financial institutions and governmental agencies were disrupted. Significant public disclosure of the state of readiness among basic infrastructure and other suppliers has not generally been available. Although inquiries are underway, the Corporation does not yet have sufficient information to estimate the likelihood of significant disruptions among its suppliers. Operational failures among the Corporation's sources of major funding, larger borrowers and capital market counter parties could affect their ability to continue to provide funding or meet obligations when due. Similar to the situation outlined above with suppliers, public information has not generally been available. It is not possible to accurately estimate the likelihood, or potential impact, of significant disruptions among the Corporation's funding sources and obligors at this time. 31 Contingency Plans The Corporation is developing remediation contingency plans and business resumption contingency plans specific to the year 2000. Remediation contingency plans address the actions to be taken if the current approach to remediating a system is falling behind schedule or otherwise appears in jeopardy of failing to deliver a Year 2000 ready system when needed. Business resumption contingency plans address the actions that would be taken if critical business functions can not be carried out in the normal manner due to system or supplier failure. The Corporation developed remediation contingency plans with trigger dates for review and implementation for critical data systems. The Corporation is also enhancing its existing business resumption plans to reflect Year 2000 issues and is developing plans designed to coordinate the efforts of its personnel and resources in addressing any Year 2000 problems that become known after December 31, 1999. Included in this report are forward-looking statements based on management's current expectations and/or the assumptions made in the earnings simulation analyses, but numerous factors could cause variances in these projections, and their underlying assumptions, such as changes in interest rates, the industries where the Corporation has a concentration of loans, changes in the level of fee income, economic conditions and continuing consolidations in the banking industry. 32 PART II. OTHER INFORMATION ITEM 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K - ----------------------------------------- (a) Exhibits (10.12) Amendment to Severance Agreement with Michael T. Monahan (11) Statement re: Computation of Earnings Per Share (27) Financial Data Schedule (b) Reports on Form 8-K The Corporation did not file any reports on Form 8-K during the nine months ended September 30, 1998. 33 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. COMERICA INCORPORATED -------------------------------------- (Registrant) /s/Ralph W. Babb, Jr. -------------------------------------- Ralph W. Babb Jr. Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (Principal Financial Officer) /s/Marvin J. Elenbaas -------------------------------------- Marvin J. Elenbaas Senior Vice President and Controller (Principal Accounting Officer) Date: November 13, 1998