UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the Quarter ended September 30, 1997 Commission file number 1-10861 GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION ............................. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Colorado 84-0445021 ........ .......... (State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer incorporation or organization) Identification No.) 9800 South Meridian Boulevard Englewood, Colorado 80112 ............................. (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant's telephone number, including area code (303) 754-8400 .............. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No As of November 3, 1997 there were 15,062,933 shares of Registrant's $1.00 par value common stock issued and outstanding exclusive of shares held by Registrant. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION Form 10-Q Index For the Quarter Ended September 30, 1997 Page Number PART 1. FINANCIAL INFORMATION Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements: Consolidated Balance Sheets at September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996 3 Consolidated Statements of Earnings for the nine months and three months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996 4 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the nine months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996 5 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements 6 Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations 10 PART 2. OTHER INFORMATION 16 SIGNATURES 17 PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (In thousands, except share amounts) ASSETS September 30, December 31, 1997 1996 ------------- ------------ (Unaudited) Investments: Fixed maturities held to maturity, at cost $ 74,262 $ 80,271 Fixed maturities available for sale, at market 426,259 390,290 ---------- -------- 500,521 470,561 Common stocks, at market 77,178 59,415 Non-redeemable preferred stocks, at market 46,372 28,687 Other long-term investments 16,894 13,585 Short-term investments 103,097 94,993 ---------- -------- Total investments 744,062 667,241 Cash 2,849 3,988 Accrued investment income 7,658 7,971 Accounts receivable, (less allowance of $171 - 1997 and 1996) 58,384 45,557 Reinsurance recoverables and prepaids, (less allowance of $200 - 1997 and 1996) 92,565 90,781 Property and equipment, (less accumulated depreciation of $16,209 - 1997; $13,508 - 1996) 28,753 29,833 Deferred policy acquisition costs 48,538 44,456 Goodwill, (less accumulated amortization of $7,262 - 1997; $6,423 - 1996) 33,800 34,639 Other assets 2,806 4,626 ---------- -------- Total assets $1,019,415 $929,092 ========== ======== LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Liabilities: Unpaid losses $ 300,043 $303,266 Unpaid loss adjustment expenses 76,169 65,142 Unearned premiums 172,771 154,242 Notes payable 101,125 101,688 Reinsurance payables and deposits 11,506 7,268 Deferred income taxes 10,986 803 Other liabilities 68,165 58,644 ---------- -------- Total liabilities 740,765 691,053 ---------- -------- Commitments and contingencies Shareholders' equity: Preferred stock, $.10 par value; authorized, 6,000,000 shares; none issued and outstanding Common stock, $1 par value; authorized, 30,000,000 shares; issued 15,054,433 shares - 1997 and 14,975,497 shares - 1996 15,054 14,975 Capital in excess of par 122,632 121,272 Retained earnings 109,075 84,685 Net unrealized investment gains 31,889 17,107 ---------- -------- Total shareholders' equity 278,650 238,039 ---------- -------- Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $1,019,415 $929,092 ========== ======== See notes to consolidated financial statements. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS (In thousands, except per share amounts) Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended September 30, September 30, 1997 1996 1997 1996 -------- -------- -------- -------- (Unaudited) (Unaudited) Revenue: Premiums earned $403,354 $356,740 $140,082 $122,321 Net investment income 31,698 28,418 10,090 9,899 Realized investment gains 8,376 5,494 3,421 1,905 -------- -------- -------- -------- 443,428 390,652 153,593 134,125 -------- -------- -------- -------- Expenses: Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred 280,916 253,370 97,790 84,863 Policy acquisition costs 105,871 96,765 36,535 36,205 General and administrative 9,230 7,477 2,703 552 Interest 4,960 5,123 1,653 1,720 Other 1,046 1,166 357 383 Nonrecurring tender offer charge 2,163 -------- -------- -------- -------- 402,023 366,064 139,038 123,723 -------- -------- -------- -------- Earnings before income taxes 41,405 24,588 14,555 10,402 Income taxes 11,385 6,055 3,995 2,881 -------- -------- -------- -------- Net earnings $ 30,020 $ 18,533 $ 10,560 $ 7,521 ======== ======== ======== ======== Earnings per common share $ 1.98 $ 1.24 $ 0.69 $ 0.50 ======== ======== ======== ======== Dividends per common share $ 0.375 $ 0.375 $ 0.125 $ 0.125 ======== ======== ======== ======== See notes to consolidated financial statements. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (In thousands) Nine Months Ended September 30, 1997 1996 -------- -------- (Unaudited) Operating Activities: Premiums collected $413,082 $372,512 Net investment income collected 28,596 28,000 Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid (274,068) (252,435) Policy acquisition costs and general and administrative expenses paid (112,512) (109,456) Interest paid (4,908) (5,036) Federal income taxes paid (10,547) ( 7) Nonrecurring tender offer charge (1,199) Other receipts 412 3,681 -------- -------- Net cash provided by operating activities 40,055 36,060 -------- -------- Investing Activities: Maturities of fixed maturities held to maturity 4,131 7,635 Maturities of fixed maturities available for sale 52,776 36,403 Sales of fixed maturities available for sale 55,148 40,284 Sales of equity securities 33,419 29,758 Sales of property and equipment 256 290 Redemption of mortgage loans 681 Net change in short-term investments (8,048) (35,336) Purchases of fixed maturities held to maturity ( 20,780) Purchases of fixed maturities available for sale (126,724) (58,826) Purchases of equity securities (43,575) (23,852) Net change in other long-term investments (1,127) (668) Purchases of property and equipment (2,557) (2,926) -------- -------- Net cash used in investing activities (36,301) (27,337) -------- -------- Financing Activities: Repayment of notes payable (563) (1,125) Dividends paid (5,630) (5,613) Proceeds from exercise of stock options 1,300 54 -------- -------- Net cash used in financing activities (4,893) (6,684) -------- -------- Net (Decrease) Increase in Cash (1,139) 2,039 Cash, Beginning of Period 3,988 6,794 -------- -------- Cash, End of Period $ 2,849 $ 8,833 ======== ======== See notes to consolidated financial statements. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) For the Nine and Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 NOTE 1 - GENERAL The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of Guaranty National Corporation and subsidiaries (the "Company") have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles applicable to interim reporting and do not include all of the information and footnotes required for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the nine months ended September 30, 1997 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 1997. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and related notes included in the Company's Annual Report to Shareholders and Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1996, for the more complete explanations therein. Certain reclassifications have been made to the 1996 financial statements to conform with presentations used in 1997. NOTE 2 - EARNINGS PER SHARE Earnings per common share has been computed using the weighted average number of shares and equivalent shares outstanding of 15,129,510 and 14,970,580 for the nine months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996, and 15,248,913 and 14,977,140 for the three months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996, respectively. The common stock equivalents are stock options which result in a dilutive effect from assumed exercise of the options. During the first quarter of 1997, Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 128, "Earnings per Share" was issued. This SFAS is effective for financial statements issued for periods ending after December 15, 1997, including interim periods; earlier application is not permitted. The SFAS replaces primary earnings per share with basic earnings per share (computed by dividing income available to common stockholders (the numerator) by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding (the denominator during the period)). Adoption of SFAS No. 128 would have had no material effect on earnings per share for September 30, 1997 and 1996. NOTE 3 - INVESTMENTS At September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996, the estimated aggregate fair value of fixed maturities held to maturity was $75,814,000 and $81,430,000, respectively, the cost of fixed maturities available for sale was $410,308,000 and $382,415,000, respectively, and the cost of equity securities was $90,441,000 and $69,658,000, respectively. At September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996, the Company had investments in non-investment grade securities with a cost of $58,714,000 and $55,205,000, which are carried at fair values of $61,483,000 and $56,477,000, respectively. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) For the Nine and Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 Realized investment gains (losses), which include gains (losses) on calls and maturities of fixed maturities, for the nine and three months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996, and write downs for other-than-temporary investment impairments of approximately $160,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 1997, and approximately $434,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 1996, are as follows (in thousands): Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 September 30, 1997 ------------------ ------------------ Fixed maturities available for sale: Gains $1,675 $ 621 Losses (740) (128) ------ ------ 935 493 ------ ------ Equity securities: Gains 9,044 3,350 Losses (1,603) (422) ------ ------ 7,441 2,928 ------ ------ Total $8,376 $3,421 ====== ====== Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended September 30, 1996 September 30, 1996 ------------------ ------------------ Fixed maturities available for sale: Gains $1,485 $ 537 Losses (788) (585) ------ ------ 697 (48) ------ ------ Equity securities: Gains 6,415 2,367 Losses (1,618) (414) ------ ------ 4,797 1,953 ------ ------ Total $5,494 $1,905 ====== ====== NOTE 4 - REINSURANCE In the ordinary course of business, the Company reinsures certain risks, generally on an excess of loss basis with other insurance companies. The primary reinsurance contract for 1997 is with General Reinsurance Corporation ("GRC"), and serves to limit the Company's maximum loss per occurrence on casualty losses to $400,000, $300,000 on property losses and $600,000 for catastrophe losses. Reinsurance does not discharge the primary liability of the original insurer. Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are recognized and estimated in a manner consistent with the claim liabilities arising from the reinsured policies and incurred but not reported losses. The GRC contract will terminate December 31, 1997. The Company has made a decision to replace GRC with American Re-Insurance Company. The new agreement, which is subject to annual renegotiation of terms, will give the Company more coverage at a lower cost than the current treaty, though the Company will be increasing certain retentions on both the individual and catastrophe losses. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) For the Nine and Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 Premiums, losses, and loss adjustment expenses, including the effect of reinsurance, are comprised of (in thousands): Nine Months Ended September 30, Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 1996 1997 1996 ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- Written Earned Written Earned Written Earned Written Earned ------- ------ ------- ------ ------- ------ ------- ------ Premiums: Direct $421,690 $405,765 $373,079 $365,259 $145,577 $140,320 $125,687 $125,017 Assumed 31,981 29,129 32,905 27,546 10,164 9,802 9,915 8,270 Ceded (29,938) (31,540) (37,325) (36,065) (10,210) (10,040) (11,298) (10,966) -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Net $423,733 $403,354 $368,659 $356,740 $145,531 $140,082 $124,304 $122,321 ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== % Assumed to Net 7.55% 8.93% 6.98% 7.98% ======== ======== ======= ======== Incurred Incurred Incurred Incurred -------- -------- -------- -------- Losses and loss adjustment expenses: Direct $288,374 $257,403 $110,160 $ 94,128 Assumed 19,282 19,466 (86) (630) Ceded (26,740) (23,499) (12,284) (8,635) -------- -------- -------- -------- Net $280,916 $253,370 $ 97,790 $ 84,863 ======== ======== ======== ======== NOTE 5 - COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES On September 18, 1997, Orion Capital Corporation ("Orion") commenced a tender offer (the "Offer") to purchase the approximately 2,900,000 outstanding shares of the Company's common stock not now owned by Orion and its affiliates. The Offer contemplated a price of $34.00 per share, consisting of $27.20 in cash and the balance in Orion common stock. At the time the Offer was made, Orion owned 80.6 percent of the Company's outstanding common stock. On October 31, 1997, Orion Capital Corporation and the Company's Boards of Directors approved an agreement providing for the merger of the Company into a wholly-owned subsidiary of Orion. Under the agreement, the merger will take place following the completion of the Offer for $36 per share in cash. The Company's Board approved this transaction following a recommendation by a committee consisting of its independent directors. It is currently expected that the Offer will expire during the first week of December 1997, unless extended. The registration statement Orion filed with the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission on September 22, 1997, with respect to an exchange offer to acquire the Company's outstanding shares for $34 per share in cash and Orion common stock will be withdrawn as a result of this agreement. Additionally, on September 18, 1997, a complaint naming Orion, the Company and the Company's Directors, as defendants, was filed on behalf of the Company's shareholders in connection with the Offer. The Company expects to respond to this complaint promptly after the Offer commences. During 1995, the Company acquired Viking Insurance Company of Wisconsin ("Viking") in a business combination accounted for as a purchase. As part of the 1995 Viking acquisition, and based upon Viking's favorable loss development since the acquisition date, the Company estimates that it will pay Talegen Holdings, Inc. ("Seller") an additional purchase price in the maximum amount agreed to in the purchase agreement. This amount, which is approximately $4,333,000 plus interest at 6.28%, will be payable to the Seller as of December 31, 1998. The Company has accrued this amount and the related interest payable in the accompanying consolidated balance sheet. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIAIRES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) For the Nine and Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 In addition to the complaint described above, the Company is subject to litigation in the normal course of operating its insurance business. The Company is not engaged in any such litigation which it believes would have a material adverse impact on its financial condition or results of operations, taking into account the reserves established therefore and giving effect to insurance. NOTE 6 - ACCOUNTING STANDARDS NOT YET ADOPTED In June 1997 the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued SFAS No. 130, "Reporting Comprehensive Income", which requires that changes in comprehensive income be shown in a financial statement that is displayed with the same prominence as other financial statements. This statement is effective for periods beginning after December 15, 1997. Management is currently evaluating the effects of this change on the Company's financial statements. Additionally, in June 1997 the FASB issued SFAS No. 131, "Disclosures About Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information", which changes the way public companies report information about segments. This statement is effective for periods beginning after December 15, 1997. Management is currently evaluating the effects of this change on the Company's financial statements. NOTE 7 - SUBSEQUENT EVENTS On October 20, 1997, the Company announced plans to purchase Unisun Insurance Company ("Unisun") from Michigan Mutual Insurance Company for $26 million. Unisun, which is primarily a personal lines company, is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina. Unisun also writes commercial multi-lines, home owners protection and flood insurance under the U. S. Government insured Write Your Own program. The Company expects the transaction to be completed by year-end following appropriate approvals by regulatory authorities. On October 31, 1997, the Company sold its office building in Madison, Wisconsin for approximately $4,400,000 and will temporarily lease back about 35,000 square feet. This leaseback will expire on April 30, 1998, with three 30-day extensions available, if needed. During 1998, management intends to relocate to leased space in a building currently under construction for five years at a rental of approximately $500,000 annually. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS Results for the First Nine Months of 1997 Compared to the First Nine Months of 1996 Guaranty National Corporation and its subsidiaries (the "Company") manage their property and casualty business in three operating units: personal lines, commercial lines and collateral protection insurance. Gross premiums written and GAAP combined ratios by operating unit, for the nine months ended September 30, 1997 and 1996 are summarized below: Nine Months Ended September 30, 1997 1996 -------- -------- (Dollars in thousands) Personal Lines: Gross premiums written $250,377 $192,629 GAAP combined ratio 95.1% 98.5% Commercial Lines: Gross premiums written $134,917 $156,254 GAAP combined ratio 105.0% 104.2% Collateral Protection: Gross premiums written $ 68,377 $ 57,101 GAAP combined ratio 98.0% 97.0% Total: Gross premiums written $453,671 $405,984 GAAP combined ratio 98.2% 100.2% The personal lines gross premiums written increased 30% for the first nine months of 1997 compared to the first nine months of 1996. The premium volume growth in the private passenger line of business was due mainly to newly-enacted legislation in the state of California which requires all drivers to maintain liability insurance. This change in California law resulted in a significant increase in the personal lines one-month product business. The first nine months gross premiums written in the state of California were $116.0 million compared to $63.0 million for the same period in 1996, representing 46% of total personal lines premiums for the nine months ended September 30, 1997. In addition, 17 of the 27 other states in which personal lines markets had growth in premium production for the first nine months of 1997. Although the extent and duration of the increase in California premium can not be predicted, the Company believes it will continue to record significant premium increases through the remainder of 1997. Usually with a legislative change similar to California there is a rapid escalation followed by a corresponding falloff in policies-in-force. However, the Company is not experiencing this trend in California, but instead is encountering above average retention rates on the new business. In addition, any new business generally has a higher loss ratio than seasoned business due to higher frequency of claims. Accordingly, personal lines reserve estimates currently anticipate an increase in frequency from the new California business, but so far the higher frequency has not manifested itself. The personal lines unit loss ratio (incurred losses and loss adjustment expense) for the first nine months of 1997 was 70.9% compared to 72.8% for the first nine months of 1996. The incurred loss component decreased 3.2 points and the loss adjustment expense component increased 1.3 points from the prior year. The lower incurred loss component resulted primarily from lower claim frequency, as well as incurred but not reported losses being lower than expected. The increase in the loss adjustment expense component is due to this unit's continued emphasis on improving claim handling and on reducing insurance fraud, which resulted in higher legal expenses. The personal lines expense ratio was 24.2% for the first nine months of 1997 compared to 25.7% for the first nine months of 1996. The lower expense ratio is primarily due to the benefits of integrating the Viking and Guaranty National personal lines operations, spreading fixed costs over our increased premium volume, and a greater concentration of one-month product business in the state of California, which has a lower overall agent commission rate. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES For the first nine months of 1997, commercial lines gross premiums written decreased 14%, compared to the first nine months of 1996. The decrease was primarily the result of a 20% decrease in premiums in the commercial nonstandard division, partially offset by an 11% increase in the commercial standard division. The majority of the decrease is due to the commercial nonstandard division's maintenance of important underwriting standards in an increasingly soft market, which has resulted from increased competition from large standard carriers entering the nonstandard marketplace. The remaining decrease is from agent and program cancellations initiated in 1996. The commercial nonstandard division plans to replace a portion of this premium loss by appointing new agents, identifying new business opportunities and more closely monitoring the production of existing agents. The increase in gross premiums written for the commercial standard division is primarily the result of an overall increase in premium production for the first nine months of 1997 in existing offices compared to the same period in 1996. The commercial lines loss ratio for the first nine months of 1997 was 70.0% compared to 71.4% for the same period last year. The incurred loss component decreased by 2.2 points, while the loss adjustment expense component increased by 0.8 points. The improvement in the incurred loss component was principally caused by lower claim frequency and the underwriting actions mentioned above. The increase in the loss adjustment expenses component is due to higher estimates of loss adjustment expenses on general liability claims, which are needed to cover high litigation costs on this line of business. The commercial lines expense ratio increased to 35.0% for the first nine months of 1997, compared to 32.8% for the first nine months of 1996, due mainly to a decrease in net premiums written occurring faster than direct underwriting expenses, such as salaries and related benefits, were reduced. This also reflects the Company's investment in agency interface and product management. The collateral protection unit's gross premiums written increased 20% for the first nine months of 1997 compared to the first nine months of 1996. The premium volume growth is primarily due to continued increased writing in the mortgage fire program as well as the addition of a new mechanical breakdown program. Gross premiums written from the mortgage fire product for the first nine months of 1997 were $9,995,000 as compared to gross premiums in the first nine months of 1996 of $4,251,000. The mechanical breakdown program's gross premiums written for the first nine months of 1997 were $6,219,000. The collateral protection unit's loss ratio increased 1.4 points to 63.8% for the first nine months of 1997 compared to the first nine months of 1996. The incurred loss component increased by 1.6 points, while the loss adjustment expense component decreased by 0.2 points. This is primarily due to adverse development related to the Northeast blanket vendor single interest business written during 1996, offset by the mortgage fire program having a lower loss ratio compared to other business the unit writes. The unit's expense ratio decreased to 34.2% for the first nine months of 1997 compared to 34.6% for the first nine months of 1996. The improved expense ratio primarily relates to lower agency contingent commissions, which have been proportionately reduced by the increased loss ratio, discussed above. In addition, during the third quarter mechanical breakdown had a one- time charge for settlement of a lawsuit and related legal fees. The Company operates under a reinsurance contract that provides both excess of loss and property catastrophe coverage up to $6,000,000 per occurrence for all major lines of business. This primary reinsurance contract for 1997 is with General Reinsurance Corporation ("GRC"), and serves to limit the Company's maximum loss per occurrence on casualty losses to $400,000, $300,000 on property losses and $600,000 for catastrophe losses. The Company also has an additional layer of catastrophe coverage up to 95% of $14,000,000 per loss occurrence, for total catastrophe protection of $20,000,000. The Company continues to utilize facultative reinsurance for certain risks, primarily umbrella and property coverages. The GRC contract will terminate December 31, 1997. The Company has made a decision to replace GRC with American Re-Insurance Company. The new agreement, which is subject to annual renegotiation of terms, will give the Company more coverage at a lower cost than the current treaty, though the Company will be increasing certain retentions on both the individual and catastrophe losses. On a comparable basis, the Company estimates that the savings will be approximately 25%, or 30 cents per share, net of tax, from the reinsurance treaty charge incurred in 1997. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES The Company's insurance operating units in total showed $2,810,000 of adverse development on 1996 and prior loss reserves, net of reinsurance, in the first nine months of 1997. This compares to $789,000 of adverse development in the first nine months of 1996 on 1995 and prior loss reserves, net of reinsurance. The development equates to 1.0% and 0.3% of net loss reserves at December 31, 1996 and 1995, respectively. The commercial lines unit had adverse development of $2,597,000 due primarily to allocated loss adjustment expense costs emerging higher than expected and more significantly a strengthening of reserves intended to reduce future adverse development. The collateral protection unit had adverse development of $2,525,000 principally related to unexpectedly high paid losses on the Northeast blanket vendor single interest business written during 1996. The personal lines unit had favorable development of $2,312,000, which is mainly attributable to lower estimates of future claim payments on prior accident year losses. During the first nine months of 1997, the Company's known exposure to environmental losses remained consistent with the activity reported as of December 31, 1996. Considering the minimal claim activity to date and the nature of the business written, primarily automobile coverage, the Company continues to believe that it does not have a material exposure to environmental losses. For the nine month period ended September 30, 1997, the Company's catastrophe losses amounted to approximately $851,000, or six cents per share, net of tax and reinsurance recoveries. This compares to catastrophe losses of $1,286,000, or nine cents per share, net of tax and reinsurance recoveries, during the nine month period ended September 30, 1996. Company management believes that its exposure to such catastrophic losses is limited due to the spread of geographic coverage and the prudent level of reinsurance retention in the event of a single loss. On September 18, 1997, Orion Capital Corporation ("Orion") commenced a tender offer (the "Offer") to purchase the approximately 2,900,000 outstanding shares of the Company's common stock not now owned by Orion and its affiliates. The Offer contemplated a price of $34.00 per share, consisting $27.20 in cash and the balance in Orion common stock. On October 31, 1997, Orion Capital Corporation and the Company's Boards of Directors approved an agreement providing for the merger of the Company into a wholly-owned subsidiary of Orion, following the completion of the Offer, which has been increased to $36 per share in cash. The Company's Board approved this transaction following a recommendation by a committee consisting of its independent directors. It is currently expected that the Offer will expire during the first week of December 1997, unless extended. The registration statement Orion filed with the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission on September 22, 1997, with respect to an exchange offer to acquire the Company's outstanding shares for $34 per share in cash and Orion common stock will be withdrawn as a result of this agreement. On September 18, 1997, a complaint naming Orion, the Company and the Company's Directors, as defendants, was filed on behalf of the Company's shareholders in connection with the Offer. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more discussion related to this complaint. Overall, the Company's net earnings increased $11,487,000, to $30,020,000 during the first nine months of 1997 when compared to the first nine months of 1996. Net earnings per common share were $1.98 as of September 30, 1997, versus $1.24 per common share as of September 30, 1996. Net earnings increased 62% primarily as a result of the lower loss ratio and the growth of the personal lines unit, as discussed above. Pretax net investment income increased $3,280,000 in the first nine months of 1997 compared to 1996, while after-tax net investment income increased to $23,950,000 from $22,006,000 for the same periods. These increases are due mainly to continuing positive cash flow and increased earnings from limited partnership equity interests. The investment yield, on an after-tax basis, for the first nine months of 1997 remained constant at approximately five percent. After-tax realized investment gains in the first nine months of 1997 and 1996 were $5,444,000 and $3,571,000, respectively. The after-tax realized investment gains for the first nine months of 1997 and 1996 include the effects of a $104,000 and $282,000, respectively, after-tax, permanent investment impairment recorded by the Company. The increase in after-tax realized investment gains was attributable primarily to sales from the Company's equity portfolio. During the first nine months of 1997, the strong equity market has enabled the Company to take the realized gains without reducing its total investments in equities. The Company's overall investment portfolio continues to be invested primarily in fixed maturities and short-term investments, which represented 81% and 85% of the portfolio as of September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996, respectively. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES Securities are classified as available for sale and recorded at fair value, unless they meet the Company's criteria for classification as held to maturity. Such criteria include investment grade bonds with stated maturities of less than ten years. The unrealized investment gains on fixed maturities available for sale and on equity securities as of September 30, 1997, were $15,951,000 and $33,109,000, respectively. The unrealized investment gains on fixed maturities available for sale and on equity securities as of December 31, 1996 were $7,875,000 and $18,444,000, respectively. The increase in unrealized gains on the fixed portfolio was due mostly to the rise in value of our investment grade securities. Stable interest rates have increased the value of our investment grade fixed portfolio. The market value of the Company's fixed maturity investments generally varies inversely with changes in the general level of interest rates. The market value of federal agency and other mortgage pool securities of $60,442,000 as of September 30, 1997, is subject to additional market value volatility due to the impact of changes in prepayment rates on the mortgages which underlie such securities. The Company's holdings in noninvestment grade bonds as of September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996 were approximately eight percent of total invested assets. Total investments held by the Company include highly rated fixed maturities (rated AAA or AA) of 44% at September 30, 1997 and 50% at December 31, 1996. The Company continues to maintain a low level of real estate related investments, consisting primarily of federal agency mortgage pools. Results for the Quarters Ended September 30, 1997 and September 30, 1996 Gross premiums written and GAAP combined ratios by operating unit, for the quarters ended September 30, 1997 and 1996, are summarized below: Three Months Ended September 30, 1997 1996 -------- -------- (Dollars in thousands) Personal Lines: Gross premiums written $ 84,693 $ 65,385 GAAP combined ratio 94.1% 96.0% Commercial Lines: Gross premiums written $ 46,805 $ 51,111 GAAP combined ratio 105.6% 105.8% Collateral Protection: Gross premiums written $ 24,243 $ 19,106 GAAP combined ratio 99.1% 97.1% Total: Gross premiums written $155,741 $135,602 GAAP combined ratio 97.9% 99.4% The personal lines unit gross premiums written increased 30% for the third quarter of 1997, compared to the third quarter of 1996. The increase in gross premiums written was due principally to premium generated from the state of California, an increase of 71%, as discussed above, as well as from the states of Colorado and Oregon, an increase of 15% and 26%, respectively. The 1.9 point decrease in the GAAP combined ratio was caused by the improved loss and expense ratios, which were impacted by the growth in premium production, and the operating efficiencies of the recently combined personal lines operations, as discussed above. The commercial lines unit gross premiums written decreased by eight percent during the third quarter of 1997, compared to the third quarter of 1996. The decrease was primarily as a result of a 13% decrease in premiums in the commercial nonstandard division, partially offset by a 10% increase in the commercial standard division. The commercial lines GAAP combined ratio improved slightly for the third quarter of 1997, compared to the third quarter of 1996, which is the result of a lower loss ratio partially offset by a higher expense ratio. The collateral protection unit's gross premiums written increased 27% for the third quarter of 1997, compared to the third quarter of 1996 due to its mortgage fire, physical damage and new mechanical breakdown programs. The GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES mortgage fire program's gross premiums written increased 230% for the third quarter of 1997, compared to the same period in 1996, while the mechanical breakdown program's gross premiums written for the third quarter of 1997 were $2,511,000. In addition, the unit's physical damage program's gross premiums written increased 125% for the third quarter of 1997, compared to the same period in 1996. The unit's GAAP combined ratio increased 2.0 points for the three month period ended September 30, 1997, compared to the same period in the prior year. The increase in the GAAP combined ratio resulted from a 7.0 point increase in the loss ratio, which was offset proportionately by a 5.0 point decrease in the expense ratio. The higher loss ratio and lower expense ratio for the third quarter of 1997 is primarily due to adverse development related to the Northeast blanket vendor single interest program, which is partially offset by lower agency contingent commissions, and a one-time charge for settlement of a lawsuit and related legal fees for mechanical breakdown. Liquidity and Capital Resources Positive cash flow from operations of $40,055,000 was generated for the first nine months of 1997 compared to $36,060,000 for the first nine months of 1996. The $3,995,000 increase in operating cash flow was primarily the result of higher premiums written, mainly from the personal lines, and net investment income collected. This was offset mainly by commercial lines loss and loss adjustment expenses payments which did not decline in proportion to the decline in commercial premium and higher acquisition expenses related to premium production. In addition, 1997 cash flow from operations was adversely impacted by the higher level of federal incomes taxes paid in the first nine months of 1997 as compared to the same period in 1996. An overpayment in 1995 reduced taxes paid in 1996 to nearly zero. Net cash used in investing activities was $36,301,000 and $27,337,000 for the first nine months of 1997 and 1996, respectively. The increase in funds used in investing activities in 1997 was related primarily to increases in fixed maturities and equity securities. These increased investment acquisitions were partially offset by cash proceeds received from maturities of short term investments and fixed maturity securities, as well as sales of equity and fixed maturity securities. Net cash used in financing was $4,893,000 for the first nine months of 1997, compared to $6,684,000 for the first nine months of 1996. During the first nine months of 1997, the Company made $563,000 in principal payments on its 6.5% term loan compared to $1,125,000 in the same period last year. As of September 30, 1997, the Company had $10,000,000 of funds available under its reducing, revolving credit facility. For the first nine months of 1997 the Company received proceeds of $1,300,000 from the exercise of stock options as compared to $54,000 for the same period in 1996. The Company declared and paid a regular quarterly dividend of $.125 a share in the first three quarters of 1997 and 1996. The Company's level of short-term investments at September 30, 1997 and December 31, 1996 was 13.9% and 14.2% of total invested assets, respectively. Overall, the Company maintains sufficient liquidity in its investment portfolio through its short-term investment holdings to meet operating cash requirements. In the second quarter of 1997, Fred T. Roberts, Senior Vice President and President of the Commercial Lines Unit since November 1995, announced his retirement at the end of 1997. During the third quarter, the Company announced that John W. Mahoney will join the Company in the fourth quarter as senior vice president/president-elect of nonstandard commercial lines to replace Mr. Roberts. Mr. Mahoney comes to the Company from ERC Specialty/Coregis Insurance Group, a subsidiary of GE Capital, where he was a director of programs. Mr. Mahoney will be responsible for all nonstandard commercial business, while Jim Morey, President of Colorado Casualty Insurance Company will continue to be responsible for all standard commercial business. On October 20, 1997, the Company announced plans to purchase Unisun Insurance Company ("Unisun") from Michigan Mutual Insurance Company for $26 million. Unisun, which is primarily a personal lines company, is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina. Unisun also writes commercial multi-lines, home owners protection and flood insurance under the U. S. Government insured Write Your Own program. The Company expects the transaction to be completed by year-end following appropriate approvals by regulatory authorities. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES The Company continues to actively seek other acquisition candidates and is currently having discussions with several companies concerning their nonstandard automobile insurance operations. The Company can not predict whether any of these discussions will result in a transaction. On October 31, 1997, the Company sold its office building in Madison, Wisconsin for approximately $4,400,000 and will temporarily lease back about 35,000 square feet. During 1998, management intends to relocate to leased space in a building currently under construction for five years at a rental of approximately $500,000 annually. Forward Looking Statements Some of the statements made in the Form 10-Q Report, as well as statements made by the Company in periodic press releases, and statements made by the Company's officials to analysts and shareholders in the course of presentations about the Company and conference calls following earnings releases, constitute "forward- looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the "Reform Act"). Such forward- looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance of achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such factors include, among the other things (i) general economic and business conditions (ii) interest rate changes; (iii) competition and regulatory environment in which the Company operates; (iv) claims frequency; (v) claims severity; (vi) severe adverse weather conditions; (vii) the cost of automobile repair; (viii) the number of new and renewal policy application submitted by the Company's agents; (ix) changes in the renewal rate on policies written in the state of California; (x) whether the Company will be successful in receiving approval of its purchase of Unisun Insurance Company and if approved whether the transaction will be accretive to earnings; (xi) whether future acquisitions will be made and their effect on the Company's financial results; and (xii) other factors over which the Company has little or no control. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES PART II - OTHER INFORMATION ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS The Company is routinely engaged in litigation incidental to its business. At September 30, 1997, there was one lawsuit outstanding, which was related to the 1997 Orion Offer. In the judgment of the Company's management, at September 30, 1997, the Company is not engaged in any such litigation which it believes would have a material adverse impact on its financial condition or results of operation, taking into account the reserves established therefore and giving effect to insurance. ITEM 2. CHANGES IN SECURITIES None ITEM 3. DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES None ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTER TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS None ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION None ITEM 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K (a) Exhibits 10.4 Stock Purchase Agreement by and between Guaranty National Insurance Company, Guaranty National Corporation and Michigan Mutual Insurance Company, signed October 20, 1997. (b) Reports on Form 8-K No reports on Form 8-K have been filed by the Registrant during the quarter. GUARANTY NATIONAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized. Guaranty National Corporation By: s/James R. Pouliot James R. Pouliot, President and Chief Executive Officer (Principal Executive Officer) By: s/Michael L. Pautler Michael L. Pautler, Senior Vice President-Finance and Treasurer (Principal Financial Officer) By: s/Shelly J. Hengsteler Shelly J. Hengsteler Controller and Assistant Treasurer (Principal Accounting Officer) DATE: November 3, 1997