============================================================================== 		 SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION 			 Washington, D. C. 20549 				 FORM 10-Q [x] Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarter ended September 30, 2003. 			 ------------------ [ ] Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to 				 ------------- ------------ 			 Commission File Number 0-05544 			 OHIO CASUALTY CORPORATION 	 (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) 				 OHIO 	 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) 				 31-0783294 		 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 			 9450 Seward Road, Fairfield, Ohio 		 (Address of principal executive offices) 				 45014 				 (Zip Code) 				 (513) 603-2400 			(Registrant's telephone number) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. 					 Yes X No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). 					 Yes X No The aggregate market value as of November 3, 2003 of the voting stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant was $862,476,600. On November 3, 2003, there were 60,932,788 shares outstanding. 				Page 1 of 26 ============================================================================= 				 INDEX 									Page 									---- PART I Item 1. Financial Statements 2 Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of 	 Financial Condition and Results of Operations 13 Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about 	 Market Risk 25 Item 4. Controls and Procedures 25 PART II Item 1. Legal Proceedings 25 Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds 25 Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities 25 Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders 25 Item 5. Other Information 25 Item 6. Exhibits and reports on Form 8-K 25 Signature 26 Exhibit 31.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of 	 Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with 	 Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of 	 Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with 	 Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 32.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of 	 Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with 	 Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 32.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of 	 Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with 	 Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 PART I ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries 			 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS 							 September 30, December 31, (Dollars in millions, except share data) (Unaudited) 2003 2002 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Assets Investments: Fixed maturities: Available for sale, at fair value 	 (amortized cost: $2,772.8 and $2,967.5) $ 2,971.7 $ 3,139.8 Held-to-maturity, at amortized cost 	 (fair value: $358.9) 358.6 - Equity securities, at fair value 	 (cost: $82.6 and $92.6) 309.7 312.5 Short-term investments, at fair value 66.5 49.8 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total investments 3,706.5 3,502.1 Cash 17.9 12.4 Premiums and other receivables, net of allowance for bad debts of $5.0 and $4.3, respectively 362.2 324.7 Deferred policy acquisition costs 175.0 181.3 Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of $150.6 and $145.9, respectively 93.1 97.8 Reinsurance recoverable 518.8 419.9 Agent relationships, net of accumulated amortization of $37.4 and $34.1, respectively 145.9 161.3 Interest and dividends due or accrued 39.6 46.0 Deferred income taxes - 2.4 Other assets 29.1 31.1 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total assets $ 5,088.1 $ 4,779.0 =========================================================================================== Liabilities Insurance reserves: Losses $ 2,096.5 $ 1,978.8 Loss adjustment expenses 455.4 454.9 Unearned premiums 723.0 668.7 Debt 198.1 198.3 Deferred income taxes 27.7 - Other liabilities 448.1 419.6 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total liabilities 3,948.8 3,720.3 Shareholders' Equity Common stock, $.125 par value Authorized: 150,000,000 Issued shares: 72,418,344; 72,418,344 9.0 9.0 Common stock purchase warrants 21.1 21.1 Accumulated other comprehensive income 276.6 246.2 Retained earnings 984.6 936.7 Treasury stock, at cost: (Shares: 11,514,466; 11,692,976) (152.0) (154.3) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total shareholders' equity 1,139.3 1,058.7 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $ 5,088.1 $ 4,779.0 =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 57-70 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. 				 2 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries 		 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME 									Three Months 								 Ended September 30, (Dollars in millions, except share data) (Unaudited) 2003 2002 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Premiums and finance charges earned $ 360.4 $ 357.0 Investment income less expenses 51.0 51.7 Investment gains realized, net 5.9 (5.5) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total revenues 417.3 403.2 Losses and benefits for policyholders 220.0 250.3 Loss adjustment expenses 39.4 73.6 General operating expenses 28.0 31.5 Amortization of agent relationships 1.8 2.7 Write-down of agent relationships 1.1 54.0 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 97.3 94.3 Depreciation and amortization expense 3.8 4.5 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total expenses 391.4 510.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes 25.9 (107.7) Income tax expense: Current 0.6 (17.1) Deferred 8.1 (20.7) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total income tax expense 8.7 (37.8) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $ 17.2 $ (69.9) =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - basic 60,889,649 60,642,919 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - basic: Net income, per share $ 0.28 $ (1.15) =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - diluted 61,413,662 60,642,919 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - diluted: Net income, per share $ 0.28 $ (1.15) =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 57-70 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. 				 3 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries 		 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME 									Nine Months 								 Ended September 30, (Dollars in millions, except share data) (Unaudited) 2003 2002 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Premiums and finance charges earned $ 1,060.9 $ 1,082.7 Investment income less expenses 155.6 153.3 Investment gains realized, net 32.0 26.8 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total revenues 1,248.5 1,262.8 Losses and benefits for policyholders 642.5 686.0 Loss adjustment expenses 128.2 178.6 General operating expenses 87.5 82.2 Amortization of agent relationships 5.6 8.2 Write-down of agent relationships 9.8 61.6 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 291.5 279.4 Depreciation and amortization expense 10.5 12.8 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total expenses 1,175.6 1,308.8 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes 72.9 (46.0) Income tax expense: Current 11.1 (11.6) Deferred 13.7 (4.4) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Total income tax expense 24.8 (16.0) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $ 48.1 $ (30.0) =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - basic 60,818,375 60,425,065 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - basic: Net income, per share $ 0.79 $ (0.50) =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - diluted 61,181,263 60,425,065 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - diluted: Net income, per share $ 0.79 $ (0.50) =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 57-70 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. 				 4 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation and Subsidiaries 			 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF 			 SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 							Common Accumulated 					 Additional stock other Total (Dollars in millions, except Common paid-in purchase comprehensive Retained Treasury shareholders' share data) (Unaudited) stock capital warrants income earnings stock equity - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance January 1, 2002 $ 11.8 $ 4.1 $ 21.1 $ 274.4 $1,221.4 $ (452.9) $1,079.9 Net income (30.0) (30.0) Net change in unrealized gain net of deferred income tax benefit of $6.4 (11.8) (11.8) 													 --------- Comprehensive income (41.8) Net issuance of treasury stock (550,918 shares) (0.1) (0.1) 7.3 7.1 Retirement of treasury stock (22,000,000 shares) (2.8) (4.0) (283.6) 290.4 - - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance, September 30, 2002 $ 9.0 $ - $ 21.1 $ 262.6 $ 907.7 $ (155.2) $1,045.2 ========================================================================================================================== Balance January 1, 2003 $ 9.0 $ - $ 21.1 $ 246.2 $ 936.7 $ (154.3) $1,058.7 Net income 48.1 48.1 Net change in unrealized gain net of deferred income tax expense of $16.4 30.4 30.4 													 --------- Comprehensive income 78.5 Net issuance of treasury stock (178,510 shares) (0.2) 2.3 2.1 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance, September 30, 2003 $ 9.0 $ - $ 21.1 $ 276.6 $ 984.6 $ (152.0) $1,139.3 ========================================================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 57-70 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. 					5 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation and Subsidiaries 		 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS 								 Nine Months 								 Ended September 30, (Dollars in millions) (Unaudited) 2003 2002 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Operating Activities: Operations Net income $ 48.1 $ (30.0) Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash from operations: 	 Changes in: 	 Insurance reserves 172.5 190.7 	 Income taxes 19.5 (12.3) 	 Premiums and other receivables (37.5) 9.2 	 Deferred policy acquisition costs 6.3 (12.8) 	 Reinsurance recoverable (98.9) (74.3) 	 Other assets (0.2) 5.8 	 Other liabilities 15.2 (26.0) 	 Amortization and write-down of agent relationships 15.4 69.8 	 Depreciation and amortization 15.3 11.9 	 Investment gains (32.0) (26.8) - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Net cash provided by operating activities 123.7 105.2 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Investing Activities: Purchase of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale (906.6) (923.8) Fixed maturity, held-to-maturity (6.8) - Equity (6.0) (3.2) Proceeds from sales of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale 687.2 667.6 Equity 35.6 66.9 Proceeds from maturities and calls of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale 72.2 40.3 Fixed maturity, held-to-maturity 14.8 - Equity 11.8 - Property and equipment: Purchases (6.6) (16.0) Sales 1.5 0.2 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Net cash used from investing activities (102.9) (168.0) - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Financing Activities: Debt: Proceeds from the issuance of convertible notes - 201.3 Payments (0.4) (205.5) Payments of deferred financing costs - (0.4) Payments of issuance costs - (7.3) Proceeds from exercise of stock options 1.8 6.7 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 	 Net cash generated (used) in financing activities 1.4 (5.2) - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents 22.2 (68.0) Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 62.2 92.3 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 84.4 $ 24.3 ========================================================================================= Accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 57-70 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. 				 6 		 Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries 		 NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 				 (Unaudited) Ohio Casualty Corporation (the Corporation) is the holding company of The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company (the Company), which is one of six property- casualty companies that make up the Ohio Casualty Group (the Group). NOTE I - INTERIM ADJUSTMENTS We prepared the Consolidated Balance Sheet as of September 30, 2003, the Consolidated Statements of Income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, the Consolidated Statements of Shareholders' Equity for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, and the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, without an audit. In the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary to fairly present the financial position, results of operations and cash flows at September 30, 2003 and for all periods presented have been made. We prepared the accompanying unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States for interim financial information and with the instructions to the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States have been omitted. The unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements should be read together with the financial statements and notes thereto included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002. The results of operations for the period ended September 30, 2003 are not necessarily indicative of the results of operations for the full year. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. NOTE II - STOCK OPTIONS The Corporation accounts for stock options issued to employees and directors in accordance with Accounting Principles Board Opinion (APB) No. 25," Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Under APB 25, the Corporation recognizes expense based on the intrinsic value of options. Had the Corporation adopted FAS 123 "Accounting for Stock Based Compensation," the Corporation's net income and earnings per share would have been reduced to the pro forma amounts disclosed below: 				 7 					 Three months ended Nine months ended 					 September 30 September 30 ($ in millions) 2003 2002 2003 2002 - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income (loss) As reported $17.2 $(69.9) $48.1 $(30.0) Add: Stock-based employee compensation reported in net income, net of related tax effect 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 Deduct: Total stock-based employee compensation, net of related tax effects 1.6 1.1 4.5 3.6 					----- ------- ----- ------- Pro forma $15.6 $(70.9) $43.7 $(33.4) Basic EPS As reported $0.28 $(1.15) $0.79 $(0.50) Pro Forma $0.26 $(1.17) $0.72 $(0.55) Diluted EPS As reported $0.28 $(1.15) $0.79 $(0.50) Pro Forma $0.25 $(1.17) $0.71 $(0.55) ======================================================================================== NOTE III - EARNINGS PER SHARE Basic and diluted earnings per share are summarized as follows (in millions, except per share data): 					 Three months ended Nine months ended 					 September 30 September 					 2003 2002 2003 2002 					 ---- ---- ---- ---- Net income (loss) $ 17.2 $ (69.9) $ 48.1 $ (30.0) Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic (thousands) 60,890 60,643 60,818 60,425 Basic earnings per weighted average share $ 0.28 $ (1.15) $ 0.79 $ (0.50) ========================================================================================= Weighted average common shares outstanding (thousands) 60,890 60,643 60,818 60,425 Effect of dilutive securities (thousands) 524 - 363 - - ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted (thousands) 61,414 60,643 61,181 60,425 Diluted earnings per weighted average share $ 0.28 $ (1.15) $ 0.79 $ (0.50) ========================================================================================== NOTE IV -- SEGMENT INFORMATION The Corporation has determined its reportable segments based upon its method of internal reporting, which is organized by product line. The property and casualty segments are Commercial Lines, Specialty Lines, and Personal Lines. These segments generate revenues by selling a wide variety of personal, commercial and surety insurance products. The Corporation also has an all other segment which derives its revenues from investment income and premium financing. Each segment of the Corporation is managed separately. The property and casualty segments are managed by assessing the performance and profitability of the segments through analysis of industry financial measurements including statutory loss and loss adjustment expense ratios, statutory combined ratio, premiums written, premiums earned and statutory underwriting gain/loss. The following tables present this information by segment as it is reported internally to management. Asset information by reportable segment is not reported, since the Corporation does not produce such information internally. 				 8 			Nine Months Ended September 30 				($ in millions) Commercial Lines Segment 2003 2002 - -------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $611.9 $ 579.9 % Change 5.5% 9.7% Net premiums earned 578.8 535.3 % Change 8.1% 0.3% Underwriting loss (before tax) (70.4) (112.9) Loss ratio 61.6% 61.6% Loss expense ratio 12.4% 19.9% Underwriting expense ratio 36.1% 36.5% Combined ratio 110.1% 118.0% Specialty Lines Segment 2003 2002 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $124.5 $132.7 % Change (6.2)% 25.8% Net premiums earned 120.6 111.3 % Change 8.4% 12.3% Underwriting gain (loss) (before tax) 18.8 (10.7) Loss ratio 26.7% 43.2% Loss expense ratio 12.9% 14.8% Underwriting expense ratio 43.4% 43.4% Combined ratio 83.0% 101.4% Personal Lines Segment 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $364.0 $388.2 % Change (6.2)% (21.4)% Net premiums earned 361.6 436.0 % Change (17.1)% (12.9)% Underwriting loss (before tax) (31.4) (40.9) Loss ratio 70.0% 70.5% Loss expense ratio 11.3% 12.8% Underwriting expense ratio 27.1% 29.3% Combined ratio 108.4% 112.6% Total Property & Casualty 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $1,100.4 $1,100.8 % Change 0.0% (2.5)% Net premiums earned 1,061.0 1,082.6 % Change (2.0)% (4.5)% Underwriting loss (before tax) (83.0) (164.5) Loss ratio 60.5% 63.3% Loss expense ratio 12.1% 16.5% Underwriting expense ratio 34.0% 34.8% Combined ratio 106.6% 114.6% Impact of catastrophe losses on combined ratio 3.9% 1.6% All other 2003 2002 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues $ 4.7 $ .6 Expenses 9.4 8.6 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Net loss before income taxes $(4.7) $(8.0) Reconciliation of Revenues 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned for reportable segments $1,061.0 $1,082.6 Investment income 152.5 152.6 Realized gains 27.7 27.3 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Total property and casualty revenues (Statutory basis) 1,241.2 1,262.5 Property and casualty statutory to GAAP adjustment 2.6 (.3) - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues property and casualty (GAAP basis) 1,243.8 1,262.2 Other segment revenues 4.7 .6 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues $1,248.5 $1,262.8 ===================================================================== Reconciliation of Underwriting loss (before tax) 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty under- writing loss (before tax) (Statutory basis) $(83.0) $(164.5) Statutory to GAAP adjustment (7.5) 16.0 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty under- writing loss (before tax) (GAAP basis) (90.5) (148.5) Net investment income 155.6 153.3 Realized gains 32.0 26.8 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (15.4) (69.8) Other losses (8.8) (7.8) - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Income (loss) before income taxes $ 72.9 $ (46.0) ===================================================================== 				 9 		 Three Months Ended September 30 			 ($ in millions) Commercial Lines Segment 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $196.8 $180.9 % Change 8.8% 9.8% Net premiums earned 197.7 181.9 % Change 8.7% 4.3% Underwriting loss (before tax) (14.7) (72.1) Loss ratio 60.2% 73.2% Loss expense ratio 11.1% 26.4% Underwriting expense ratio 36.3% 40.2% Combined ratio 107.6% 139.9% Specialty Lines Segment 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $48.4 $ 47.9 % Change 1.0% 24.5% Net premiums earned 41.6 42.7 % Change (2.6)% 22.1% Underwriting gain (loss) (before tax) 4.7 (11.7) Loss ratio 35.3% 52.3% Loss expense ratio 8.0% 23.9% Underwriting expense ratio 38.9% 45.7% Combined ratio 82.2% 121.9% Personal Lines Segment 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $127.1 $121.9 % Change 4.3% (26.0)% Net premiums earned 121.2 132.3 % Change (8.4)% (19.7)% Underwriting loss (before tax) (10.9) (15.5) Loss ratio 71.3% 71.2% Loss expense ratio 11.7% 11.6% Underwriting expense ratio 24.8% 31.4% Combined ratio 107.8% 114.2% Total Property & Casualty 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $372.3 $350.7 % Change 6.2% (4.7)% Net premiums earned 360.4 356.9 % Change 1.0% (4.6)% Underwriting loss (before tax) (20.9) (99.3) Loss ratio 61.1% 70.0% Loss expense ratio 10.9% 20.6% Underwriting expense ratio 32.7% 37.9% Combined ratio 104.7% 128.5% Impact of catastrophe losses on combined ratio 4.5% 1.0% All other 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues $ 2.3 $ 0.8 Expenses 2.9 3.1 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net loss before income taxes $ (.6) $ (2.3) Reconciliation of Revenues 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned for reportable segments $360.4 $356.9 Investment income 50.4 51.4 Realized gains (losses) 3.3 (6.4) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Total property and casualty revenues (Statutory basis) 414.1 401.9 Property and casualty statutory to GAAP adjustment 1.0 .5 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues property and casualty (GAAP basis) 415.1 402.4 Other segment revenues 2.2 .8 - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues $417.3 $403.2 ===================================================================== Reconciliation of Underwriting loss (before tax) 2003 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty under- writing loss (before tax) (Statutory basis) $(20.9) $ (99.3) Statutory to GAAP adjustment (4.3) 4.8 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty under- writing loss (before tax) (GAAP basis) (25.2) (94.5) Net investment income 51.0 51.7 Realized gains (losses) 5.9 (5.5) Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (2.9) (56.7) Other losses (2.9) (2.7) - --------------------------------------------------------------------- Income (loss) before income taxes $ 25.9 $(107.7) ===================================================================== 				 10 NOTE V - AGENT RELATIONSHIPS The agent relationships asset is an identifiable intangible asset acquired in connection with the 1998 Great American Insurance Company (GAI) commercial lines acquisition. The Corporation allocated the purchase price to specifically identifiable intangible assets based on their estimated values as determined by appropriate valuation methods. In the GAI acquisition, the purchase price was allocated to agent relationships and deferred policy acquisition costs. Quarterly, agent relationships are evaluated as events or circumstances indicate a possible inability to recover their carrying amount. In the third quarter of 2003, the Corporation wrote off the agent relationships asset by $1.1 million for agency cancellations and impairment. The third quarter 2002 included a write-down of $54.0 million to the agent relationships asset for agency cancellations and impairment. The remaining portion of the agent relationships asset will be amortized on a straight-line basis over the remaining useful period of approximately 20 years. Amortization expense for the periods 2003 through 2007 is expected to approximate $8.0 million before tax per year. Based on historical data the remaining agents have been profitable. Future cancellation of agents included in the agent relationships intangible asset or a diminution of certain former Great American agents' estimated future revenues or profitability is likely to cause further impairment losses beyond the quarterly amortization of the remaining asset value over the remaining useful lives. NOTE VI - INTERNALLY DEVELOPED SOFTWARE In accordance with SOP 98-1, "Accounting for the Costs of Computer Software Developed or Obtained for Internal Use," the Corporation capitalizes costs incurred during the application development stage for the development of internal-use software. These costs primarily relate to payroll and payroll- related costs for employees along with costs incurred for external consultants who are directly associated with the internal-use software project. Costs such as maintenance, training, data conversion, overhead and general and administrative are expensed as incurred. Management believes the expected future cash flows of the asset exceed the carrying value. The expected future cash flows are determined using various assumptions and estimates, changes in these assumptions could result in an impairment of the asset and a corresponding charge to net income. The costs associated with the software are amortized on a straight-line basis over an estimated useful life of 10 years commencing when the software is substantially complete and ready for its intended use. Unamortized software costs and accumulated amortization in the consolidated balance sheet were $51.2 million and $6.1 million at September 30, 2003, and $50.3 million and $3.7 million at December 31, 2002, respectively. NOTE VII - CONVERTIBLE DEBT In 2002, the Corporation completed an offering of 5.00% convertible notes, in an aggregate principal amount of $201.3 million, due March 19, 2022 and generated net proceeds of $194.0 million. The net proceeds of the offering, along with $10.5 million of cash, were used to pay off the balance and terminate an outstanding credit facility. The issuance and related costs are amortized over the life of the bonds and are recorded as related fees. The Corporation uses the effective interest rate method to record the interest and related fee amortization. Interest is payable on March 19 and September 19 of each year, and began September 19, 2002. The notes may be converted into shares of the Corporation's common stock under certain conditions, including: if the sale price of the Corporation's common stock reaches specific thresholds; if the credit rating of the notes is below a specified level or withdrawn, or if the notes have no credit rating during any period; or if specified corporate transactions have occurred. The conversion rate is 44.2112 shares per each one thousand dollar principal amount of notes, subject to adjustment in certain circumstances. The convertible debt impact on earnings per share is based on the "if-converted" method. The impact on diluted earnings per share is contingent on whether or not certain criteria have been met for conversion. As of September 30, 2003, the common share price criterion had not been met and, therefore, no adjustment to the number of diluted shares in the earnings per share calculation was made for the convertible debt. On or after March 23, 2005, the Corporation has the option to redeem all or a portion of the notes that have not been previously converted at the following redemption prices (expressed as a percentage of principal amount): 				 11 During the twelve months commencing Redemption Price - ----------------------------------- ---------------- March 23, 2005 102% March 19, 2006 101% March 19, 2007 until maturity of the notes 100% The holders of the notes have the option to require the Corporation to purchase all or a portion of their notes on March 19 of 2007, 2012 and 2017 at 100% of the principal amount of the notes. In addition, upon a change in control of the Corporation occurring anytime prior to maturity, holders may require the Corporation to purchase for cash all or a portion of their notes at 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest. On July 31, 2002, the Corporation entered into a revolving credit agreement. Under the terms of the credit agreement, the lenders agreed to make loans to the Corporation in an aggregate amount up to $80.0 million for general corporate purposes. Interest is payable in arrears, and the interest rate on borrowings under the credit agreement is based on a margin over LIBOR or the LaSalle Bank Prime Rate, at the option of the Corporation. The Corporation has capitalized approximately $0.4 million in fees related to establishing the line of credit and amortizes the fees over the term of the agreement. In addition, the Corporation is obligated to pay agency fees and facility fees of up to $0.2 million annually. These fees are expensed when incurred by the Corporation. The agreement requires the Corporation to maintain minimum net worth of $800.0 million. The credit facility agreement also includes a minimum statutory surplus for The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company of $625.0 million through September 30, 2003, increasing to $650.0 million thereafter. The credit agreement will expire on March 15, 2005. Additionally, financial covenants and other customary provisions, as defined in the agreement, exist. The outstanding loan amount of the revolving line of credit was zero at September 30, 2003. During 1999, the Corporation signed a $6.5 million low interest loan with the state of Ohio used in conjunction with the home office purchase. The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company granted a mortgage on its home office property as security for the loan. As of September 30, 2003, the loan bears a fixed interest rate of 2%, increasing to the maximum rate of 3% in December 2004. The loan requires annual principal payments of approximately $0.6 million and expires in November 2009. The remaining balance at September 30, 2003 was $4.1 million. NOTE VIII - CONTINGENCIES In the fourth quarter of 2001, Ohio Casualty of New Jersey, Inc. (OCNJ), a Group member, entered into an agreement to transfer its obligations to renew private passenger auto business in New Jersey to Proformance Insurance Company (Proformance). The transaction effectively exited the Group from the New Jersey private passenger auto market. The Group continues to write private passenger auto in other markets. Under the terms of the transaction, OCNJ agreed to pay Proformance $40.6 million to assume its renewal obligations. Payments were made over the course of twelve months beginning in early 2002 with final payment made during the first quarter of 2003. The contract stipulates that a premiums-to-surplus ratio of 2.5 to 1 must be maintained on the transferred business during the next three years. If this criteria is not met, OCNJ will have a contingent liability of up to $15.6 million to be paid to Proformance to maintain this premiums-to-surplus ratio. As of September 30, 2003, the Group has evaluated the contingency based upon financial data provided by Proformance. The Group has concluded that it is not probable the liability will be incurred and, therefore, has not recognized a liability in the financial statements. The Group will continue to monitor the contingency for any future liability recognition. In the normal course of business, the Corporation and its subsidiaries are involved in lawsuits related to their operations. In each of the matters, the Corporation believes the ultimate resolution of such litigation will not result in any material adverse impact to operations or financial condition of the Corporation. NOTE IX - INVESTMENTS During the first quarter of 2003, the Corporation and the Group transferred $368.8 million of its fixed maturity securities from the available-for-sale classification into the held-to-maturity classification. This transfer was made as the Corporation and the Group have both the ability to hold the securities to maturity and the positive intent to do so. 				 12 NOTE X - RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Interpretation No. 46, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities an Interpretation of Accounting Research Bulletin (ARB) No. 51 effective for financial statements issued for the first period ending after December 15, 2003 which states certain criteria for use in consolidating another entity. The Corporation has evaluated Interpretation No. 46 and does not believe it will have a material impact on the financial statements. In May 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No 150, Accounting for Certain Financial Instruments with Characteristics of Both Liabilities and Equity (FAS 150), effective for interim reporting periods beginning after June 15, 2003. Under the new rules, certain financial instruments classified as equity will be required to be presented as liabilities. The provisions of FAS 150 do not have a material impact on the financial statements. ITEM 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and 	Results of Operations Ohio Casualty Corporation (the Corporation) is the holding company of The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company (the Company), which is one of six property- casualty companies that make up the Ohio Casualty Group (the Group). RESULTS OF OPERATIONS Net income The Corporation reported net income of $48.1 million, or $0.79 per share for the nine months ending September 30, 2003, compared with a net loss of $30.0 million, or $.50 per share in the same period of 2002. For the third quarter of 2003, the net income was $17.2 million, or $0.28 per share, compared with a net loss of $69.9 million, or $1.15 per share in the same quarter of 2002. Investment Results Year-to-date 2003 consolidated before-tax investment income was $155.6 million increasing from $153.3 million for the same period last year. The investment income effective tax rate for the first nine months of 2003 was 33.9%, compared with 33.3% in 2002. Third quarter consolidated before-tax investment income was $51.0 million, compared with $51.7 million for the same period last year. Investment income for the quarter included $5.3 million of interest received on a federal income tax settlement, largely offset by a $4.9 million change in accounting estimate for amortization relating primarily to interest only mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities. This change in accounting estimate is part of a conversion to a new investment accounting system. The investment income effective tax rate for the third quarter of 2003 was 35.1%, compared with 33.1% in the third quarter of 2002. Year-to-date 2003 consolidated before-tax realized gains were $32.0 million, compared with $26.8 million for the same period in 2002. For the third quarter 2003, consolidated before-tax realized gains were $5.9 million, compared with a realized loss of $5.5 million for the third quarter of 2002. Management of the Corporation believes the significant volatility of realized investment gains and losses limits the usefulness of net income as a measure of current operating performance. Therefore, management uses the non-GAAP financial measure of net income before realized gains and losses to further evaluate current operating performance. Net income before realized gains and losses is reconciled to net income in the table below: 					 Three months ended Nine months ended 					 September 30 September 30 ($ in millions) 2003 2002 2003 2002 - --------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- Net income before realized gains losses $13.4 $(66.3) $27.3 $(47.4) After-tax realized gains and losses 3.8 (3.6) 20.8 17.4 					 ----- ------- ----- ------- Net income (loss) $17.2 $(69.9) $48.1 $(30.0) 				 13 For the third quarter 2003, consolidated after-tax realized gains positively impacted net income by $3.8 million compared with a negative impact of $3.6 million for the third quarter of 2002. The Corporation and the Group did not realize a material loss on any securities sold during the third quarter of 2003. During the third quarter of 2002, the Corporation and the Group recognized $3.1 million in realized losses on the sale of securities in the communication industry. These losses were largely attributable to the sale of Qwest Communications fixed maturity securities. In the first quarter of 2003, management decided to transfer a portion of its fixed maturity securities from the available-for-sale classification into the held-to-maturity classification. This transfer was made as the Corporation and the Group have both the ability to hold the securities to maturity and the positive intent to do so. At September 30, 2003, the amortized cost of the held to maturity portfolio was $358.6 million. Invested assets comprise a majority of the assets of the Corporation and the Group. Consequently, accounting policies related to investments are critical. See further discussion of investment accounting policies in the "Critical Accounting Policies" section on page 37 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. The Corporation and the Group continually evaluate all of their investments based on current economic conditions, reported earnings and other developments. The Corporation and the Group evaluate the difference between the cost/amortized cost and estimated fair value of their investments to determine whether a decline in value is temporary or other than temporary in nature. This determination involves a degree of uncertainty. If a decline in the fair value of a security is determined to be temporary, the decline is recorded as an unrealized loss in the other comprehensive income component of shareholders' equity. If a decline in a security's fair value is considered to be other than temporary, the security is written down to the estimated fair value with a corresponding realized loss recognized in the consolidated statements of income. The assessment of whether a decline in fair value is considered temporary or other than temporary includes management's judgement as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity issuing the security. It is not possible to accurately predict when it may be determined that a specific security will become impaired. Future impairment charges could be material to the results of operations of the Corporation and the Group. The amount of impairment charge before tax was $2.0 million in the third quarter of 2003, compared to $5.3 million in the third quarter of 2002, and $11.4 million and $16.8 million for year to date 2003 and 2002, respectively. Management believes that it will recover the cost basis in the securities held with unrealized losses as it has both the intent and ability to hold the securities until they mature or recover in value. Securities are sold to achieve management's investment goals, which include the diversification of credit risk, the maintenance of adequate portfolio liquidity and the management of interest rate risk. In order to achieve these goals, sales of investments are based upon current market conditions, liquidity needs and estimates of the future market value of the individual securities. The following table summarizes, for all available-for-sale securities, the total gross unrealized losses, not including gross unrealized gains, by investment category as of September 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002: ($ in millions) Sept. 30, 2003 Dec 31, 2002 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Fixed maturities $(16.7) $(32.7) Equities (.6) (10.2) - -------------------------------------------------------------------- Total unrealized loss $(17.3) $(42.9) As part of the evaluation of the entire aggregate unrealized loss on the investment portfolio, management performed a more intensive review of those securities which had a relatively high degree of unrealized loss, which is the difference between cost/amortized cost and estimated fair value. Management concluded that all of these securities were suffering temporary declines in fair value. All securities are monitored by portfolio managers who consider many factors such as a company's degree of financial flexibility, management competence and industry fundamentals in evaluating whether the decline in fair value is 				 14 temporary. Should management subsequently conclude the decline in fair value is other than temporary, the book value of the security is written down to fair value with the realized loss recognized in the consolidated statements of income. For all available-for-sale securities in an unrealized loss position, the following table summarizes the length of time the securities have continuously been in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2003: 				 Amortized Fair Unrealized ($ in millions) Cost Value Loss - ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fixed maturities 0-6 months $316.6 $306.2 $ (10.4) 7-12 months 31.2 28.6 (2.6) Greater than 12 months 45.3 41.6 (3.7) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total $393.1 $376.4 $(16.7) 						 Fair Unrealized ($ in millions) Cost Value Loss - ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Equity 0-6 months $1.1 $1.0 $(.1) 7-12 months - - - Greater than 12 months 5.5 5.0 (.5) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total $6.6 $6.0 $(.6) The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2003, by contractual maturity are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. 				 Amortized Estimated Unrealized ($ in millions) Cost Fair Value Loss - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Due in one year or less $ 4.0 $ 3.1 $ (.9) Due after one year through five years 13.3 12.2 (1.1) Due after five years through ten years 62.8 60.6 (2.2) Due after ten years 313.0 300.5 (12.5) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Total $393.1 $376.4 $(16.7) Agent Relationships The agent relationships asset is an identifiable intangible asset representing the excess of cost over fair value of net assets acquired in connection with the acquisition of the commercial lines business from Great American Insurance Company in 1998. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) requires the Corporation to perform a periodic comparison of estimated future cash flows to the carrying value of the intangible asset. If the estimated future cash flows are less than the carrying value for any individual agent included in the asset, that portion of the asset must be written down to its estimated fair value. For the third quarter of 2003, the agent relationship impairment was $1.1 million, compared to third quarter 2002 impairment of $54.0 million. The calculation of impairment follows accounting guidelines that do not permit increasing the intangible value for agents who are projected to generate more profit than was expected at the time of the initial assignment of the intangible value to each agent. Overall, the estimated future cash flows for the remaining acquired agents assigned an intangible value exceed the remaining current asset book value of $145.9 million. The determination of impairment involves the use of management estimates and assumptions. Due to the inherent uncertainties and judgments involved in developing assumptions for each agent and the fact that the asset cannot be increased for any agent, further reductions in the valuation of the agent relationships asset are likely to occur in the future. These reductions could be significant if actual agent revenue production or profitability differ materially from current assumptions. Management has considered these and other factors in determining the remaining useful life of the asset. 				 15 Statutory Results Management uses statutory financial criteria to analyze the Group's property and casualty results and insurance industry regulators require the Group to report statutory financial measures. Management analyzes statutory results through the use of insurance industry financial measures including statutory loss and loss adjustment expense ratios, statutory underwriting expense ratio, statutory combined ratio, net premiums written and net premiums earned. The statutory combined ratio is a commonly used gauge of underwriting performance measuring the percentages of premium dollars used to pay insurance losses and related expenses. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio, the loss adjustment expense ratio and the underwriting expense ratio. All references to combined ratio or its components in the MD&A are calculated on a statutory accounting basis and are calculated on a calendar year basis unless specified as calculated on an accident year basis. A discussion of the differences between statutory accounting and generally accepted accounting principles in the United States is included in Item 15 pages 67 and 68 of the Corporation's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002. At September 30, 2003 and 2002, statutory surplus, a financial measure that is required by insurance regulators and used to monitor financial strength, was $813.9 million and $679.9 million, respectively. The ratio of twelve months ended net premiums written to statutory surplus as of September 30, 2003 was 1.8 to 1 compared to 2.1 to 1 at September 30, 2002. Premium Revenue Results Premium revenue reflects premiums earned by the Group. The Group's premiums are earned principally on a monthly pro rata basis over the term of the policy. Management analyzes premium revenues primarily by premiums written in the current period. Net premiums written differs from gross premiums written by premiums ceded to reinsurers. The table below summarizes the increase (decrease) in property and casualty premium results on a gross and net basis compared with same period prior year results: 			 2003 increase (decrease) from 2002 ($ in millions) 			 Gross Premiums Written Net Premiums Written 			 Third Year Third Year 			 Quarter To Date Quarter To Date 			 ------- ------- ------- ------- Operating Segment Commercial Lines $11.3 $ 28.7 $15.9 $ 32.0 Specialty Lines 9.7 27.5 0.5 (8.2) Personal Lines 2.3 (29.3) 5.2 (24.2) 				----- ------- ----- ------- All Lines $23.3 $ 26.9 $21.6 $ (0.4) For the nine months ended September 30, 2003, net premiums written were flat compared to the comparable period. Agency cancellations and withdrawals from certain states essentially offset premium growth in active states. Personal Lines net premiums written increased 4.3% from the third quarter 2002 but declined 6.2% from nine months ended 2002. The Personal Lines increase in the third quarter was due to rate increases, increased renewal rates and higher new business production. The decline for the nine month period is the result of management decisions to cancel certain agents and withdraw from other selected markets. These decisions impacted Personal Lines premiums by approximately $52.5 million in 2003 and $12.1 million in third quarter 2003. The Commercial Lines increase was driven by renewal price increases and new business production, offset in part by the Group's restriction and non- renewal of certain classes of business as well as by increased competition. Commercial Lines renewal price increases averaged 10.1% in the third quarter 2003 compared to 14.8% in the third quarter 2002. For the first nine months, average renewal prices increased 11.8% and 16.4% in 2003 and 2002, respectively. Specialty Lines increased slightly in the third quarter 2003 despite increased reinsurance costs on commercial umbrella business. Specialty Lines premiums on a gross basis, before reinsurance, increased 14.7% over third quarter 2002 and increased 15.6% over the nine months ended September 2002. Commercial umbrella, the largest Specialty Lines product, recognized a 15.7% average renewal price increase for the third quarter 2003, compared to 42.2% in the same period in 2002. Average renewal price increases were 				 16 19.5% for the nine months ended September 30, 2003, compared to 44.4% in the same period of 2002. Renewal price increase means the average increase in premium for policies renewed by the Group. The average increase in premium for each renewed policy is calculated by comparing the total expiring premium for the policy with the total renewal premium for the same policy. Renewal price increases include, among other things, the effects of rate increases and changes in the underlying insured exposures of the policy. Only policies issued by the Group in the previous policy term with the same policy identification codes are included. Therefore, renewal price increases do not include changes in premiums for newly issued policies or business assumed through reinsurance agreements. Renewal price increases also do not reflect the cost of any reinsurance purchased on the policies issued. All Lines Discussion The combined ratio for the third quarter was 104.7%, a decrease of 23.8 points from the third quarter 2002 combined ratio of 128.5%. The combined ratio was 106.6% compared to 114.6% for the nine months ended September 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively. The improvement in combined ratio for the quarter and year to date is largely related to less adverse development for prior years' losses and loss adjustment expenses (LAE). Catastrophe losses negatively impacted the third quarter 2003 combined ratio by 3.5 points more than the third quarter 2002 ratio. The LAE ratio for the third quarter of 2003 was 10.9%. The ratio was 9.7 points lower than the third quarter 2002 loss adjustment expense ratio of 20.6%. The year-to-date loss adjustment expense ratio was 12.1% for 2003 compared to 16.5% for 2002. The prior year LAE ratio included reserve adjustments for prior years' losses, primarily related to construction defect claims. In addition to last year's adjustment, the decrease was primarily the result of efforts to more effectively manage claims legal expenses. During the first quarter of 2003, the Group announced a reorganization of its claims operations, including a reduction in staff, which was effective in March 2003. The reduction is expected to result in a net savings of approximately $1.8 million in 2003, after a first quarter 2003 charge of approximately $1.0 million for severance pay and other related expenses. The third quarter catastrophe losses were $16.2 million and accounted for 4.5 points on the combined ratio. This compares with $3.7 million and a 1.0 point catastrophe impact on the combined ratio for the same period in 2002. The year-to-date catastrophe losses were $41.2 million and accounted for 3.9 points on the combined ratio. The effect of Hurricane Isabel was $9.4 million for the third quarter of 2003, which added 2.6 points to the combined ratio. The effect of future catastrophes, especially severe weather patterns, on the Corporation's results cannot be accurately predicted and can have a material adverse impact on the Corporation's results. During the third quarter of 2003, there were 9 catastrophes with the largest catastrophe generating $9.4 million in incurred losses as compared with 7 catastrophes in the third quarter of 2002 with the largest catastrophe generating $1.1 million in incurred losses. For additional disclosure of catastrophe losses, refer to Item 15, Losses and Loss Reserves in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page 65 of the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. The loss and LAE ratio, which measures losses and LAE as a percentage of net earned premiums, was negatively impacted in the third quarter of 2003 by adjustments to estimated losses related to prior years' business. The loss and LAE ratio component of the accident year combined ratio measures losses and LAE arising from insured events that occurred in the respective accident year. The current accident year excludes losses and LAE for insured events that occurred in prior accident years. In total, this increase in provisions for prior accident years' losses and LAE recognized during the third quarter of 2003 was $5.2 million before tax, compared to $62.2 million before tax in the third quarter of 2002. 				 17 The table below summarizes the impact of changes in provision for all prior accident year losses and LAE: 					Three Months Nine Months 				 Ended September 30 Ended September 30 ($ in millions) 2003 2002 2003 2002 - --------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- Statutory net liabilities, beginning of period $2,102.9 $2,002.9 $2,078.7 $1,982.0 Increase in provision for prior accident year claims $5.2 $62.2 $9.7 $75.2 Increase in provision for prior accident year claims as % of premiums earned 1.4% 17.4% 0.9% 6.9% The third quarter 2003 underwriting expense ratio, which measures underwriting expenses as a percentage of net written premiums, was 32.7% compared with 37.9% for the third quarter of 2002, and 2.1 points lower than the full year 2002 ratio of 34.8%. Management's focus on personnel related expenses decreased the ratio by 1.7 points compared to third quarter 2002. Lower commission expense and other sales related expenses decreased the ratio by 3.1 points and lower agent or premium balances charged off decreased the ratio by 1.2 points. Similar to previous quarters in 2003, the total underwriting expense ratio included higher expenses related to investment in technology. The Group's internally developed software for policy administration and rating, known as P.A.R.I.S.sm, has been rolled out for the Commercial Lines segment. Information systems personnel costs were incurred during the third quarter 2003 to maintain the software and were expensed as incurred. During the third quarter of 2002, similar costs were capitalized as the software was in the application development phase. This shift from development to maintenance caused the majority of the increase in software expenses. This higher expense plus amortization of expenses capitalized in prior years totaled $2.9 million for the quarter. This increase in expenses related to investment in technology increased the third quarter 2003 underwriting expense ratio by .8 points over the third quarter 2002. The table below summarizes the variance between the third quarter 2002 and the third quarter 2003 expense ratio: 							 Variance from 							 Third Qtr 2002 Underwriting expense ratio - third quarter 2002 37.9% Additional expenses related to investment in technology 0.8% Lower sales related expenses (3.1)% Lower agent/premium balances charged off (1.2)% Reduction in personnel related expenses (1.7)% 								 ------- Underwriting expense ratio - third quarter 2003 32.7% The employee count continues to decline. As of September 30, 2003, the employee count was 2,757, compared with 3,034 at September 30, 2002 and approximately 3,000 at December 31, 2002. Segment Discussion The Corporation's organizational structure consists of three operating units: Commercial Lines, Specialty Lines and Personal Lines. Commercial Lines Segment The Commercial Lines combined ratio for the third quarter of 2003 decreased 32.3 points to 107.6% from 139.9% in the third quarter of 2002. The year-to- date combined ratio was 110.1% compared with 118.0% in the same period of 2002. The 2002 combined ratio included adverse reserve development on prior years losses, primarily related to construction defect risks and was concentrated in the Commercial Lines general liability and commercial multi- peril product lines as well as in the Specialty Lines commercial umbrella product line. The third quarter 2003 Commercial Lines loss ratio included 3.2 points related to catastrophe losses compared to 0.6 points in the third quarter of 2002 and included higher than expected large non- 				 18 catastrophe losses compared to last year. Catastrophe losses for the first nine months of the year were 2.6 points above last year's level. The Commercial Lines average renewal price increases for direct premiums written was 10.1% in the current quarter compared to 14.8% in the third quarter of 2002. The commercial multi-peril, businessowners, fire and inland marine combined ratio increased in the third quarter of 2003 to 107.8%, from 106.0% in the same period of 2002. In the first nine months of 2003, the combined ratio for commercial multi-peril related product lines was 107.2%, up 11.4 points from 95.8% in 2002. These product lines were also impacted by additional large non-catastrophe losses in the first nine months of the year as well as adverse development on prior accident years. The 2003 accident year combined ratio for the commercial multi-peril related product lines was 104.7%, 2.5 points lower than the calendar year results. The general liability combined ratio decreased in the third quarter of 2003 to 108.9%, from 325.4% in the same period of 2002. In the first nine months of 2003, the combined ratio for general liability was 120.8%, down 74.9 points from 195.7% in 2002. This product line was negatively impacted in 2002 by additions to construction defect related reserves and increased estimates of legal costs on claims from prior years. The 2003 accident year combined ratio for general liability was 111.5%, 9.3 points lower than the calendar year results. The workers' compensation product line combined ratio for the third quarter of 2003 was 106.7%, compared with 126.8% during the same period last year. The year-to-date 2003 combined ratio was 118.4% compared to 129.3% in 2002. Although the Group has taken actions to improve workers' compensation results, assessments for the National Workers' Compensation Pool negatively impacted results in both 2003 and 2002. The impact of the National Workers' Compensation residual market pool added 5.4 points to the workers' compensation combined ratio for nine months ended September 30, 2003 and added 2.4 points in the same period of 2002. Specialty Lines Segment The Specialty Lines combined ratio for the third quarter of 2003 was 82.2%, a 39.7 point decrease compared with 121.9% in the same period of 2002. The combined ratio for the first nine months was 83.0%, compared to 101.4% in 2002. The third quarter 2002 results included increased reserves related to construction defect risks in the commercial umbrella product line. Renewal price increases in the commercial umbrella product line averaged 15.7% in the third quarter of 2003, compared with 42.2% for the same quarter in 2002. Net premiums written for the third quarter 2003 for Specialty Lines increased to $48.4 million, from $47.9 million in the same period of 2002 despite increased reinsurance costs on commercial umbrella business. Specialty Lines premiums before reinsurance increased 14.7% in the third quarter of 2003 compared to the same period in 2002. Personal Lines Segment The Personal Lines combined ratio improved to 107.8% in the third quarter of 2003 from 114.2% in the third quarter of 2002. This improvement is notable given the high volume of catastrophe losses in the quarter which added 8.2 points to the combined ratio in third quarter 2003, compared to 1.9 points in the prior year. The improvement in the combined ratio was driven by the withdrawal from New Jersey private passenger auto (NJPPA), a significant improvement in the non-catastrophe experience for homeowners, and a decline in the underwriting expense ratio. These improvements were partially offset by adverse development for personal auto other than New Jersey which added 2.4 points to the combined ratio for Personal Lines for the third quarter 2003. The year-to-date 2003 combined ratio was 108.4% compared to 112.6% in 2002. The homeowners product line combined ratio improved to 116.1% from 118.8% in the third quarter 2002. The 2.7 point decline in the combined ratio resulted from improved operating costs as well as the impact of premium rate increases. Catastrophe losses added 23.2 points to the third quarter of 2003 homeowners combined ratio compared to 5.3 points for the third quarter 2002, and 16.6 points to the September 2003 year-to-date homeowners combined ratio, compared to 9.3 points in the same period in 2002. 				 19 The personal auto 2003 third quarter combined ratio was 107.8% decreasing from 113.0% in the third quarter of 2002. The current quarter's improvement for this product line was primarily related to the withdrawal from NJPPA markets which adversely impacted third quarter 2002 by 15.5 points compared to an adverse impact of 1.2 points in the third quarter of 2003. The third quarter 2003 included 3.8 points of adverse development on prior accident years for states other than New Jersey for personal auto. The year-to-date 2003 private passenger auto combined ratio decreased 3.5 points to 108.3% from 111.8% in the same period in 2002. The product line's results continue to benefit from the implementation of insurance scoring, elimination of unprofitable business, the withdrawal from the New Jersey market and targeted underwriting. The accident year combined ratio for personal auto other than New Jersey decreased 4.2 points year to date compared to the same period last year. The following table presents combined ratios for both calendar year and accident year 2003 and 2002 as of September 30, 2003: Statutory Combined Ratios 				 Calendar Year Accident Year 				 Year to Date Year to Date Calendar Accident (By operating segment, including Sept 30, Sept 30, Year Year selected major product lines) 2003 2003(a) 2002 2002(a) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Commercial Lines Segment 110.1% 107.7% 118.0% 101.8% Workers' compensation 118.4% 117.5% 129.3% 117.2% Commercial auto 104.6% 104.5% 109.7% 99.1% General liability 120.8% 111.5% 195.7% 112.1% CMP, BOP, fire & inland marine 107.2% 104.7% 95.8% 93.4% Specialty Lines Segment 83.0% 93.0% 101.4% 91.8% Commercial umbrella 89.0% 96.3% 102.3% 97.8% Fidelity & surety 66.0% 82.4% 96.8% 74.7% Personal Lines Segment 108.4% 106.3% 112.6% 110.9% New Jersey personal auto 449.6% 237.9% 150.1% 136.4% Other personal lines 107.1% 105.8% 105.9% 107.1% Other personal auto 106.0% 102.7% 101.3% 106.9% Homeowners 114.3% 116.7% 114.9% 110.7% - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total All Lines 106.6% 105.7% 114.6% 104.6% ====================================================================================== (a) The loss and LAE ratio component of the accident year combined ratio measures losses and LAE arising from insured events that occurred in the respective accident year. The current accident year excludes losses and LAE for insured events that occurred in prior accident years. The measurement date for accident year data is September 30, 2003. Partial and complete accident periods may not be comparable due to seasonality, claim reporting and development patterns, claim settlement rates and other factors. LIQUIDITY AND FINANCIAL STRENGTH Investments At September 30, 2003, the available-for-sale fixed maturity portfolio of the Corporation and the Group had a market value of $3.0 billion, which consisted of 96.6% investment grade securities. The available-for-sale fixed maturity portfolio includes non-investment grade securities and non-rated securities that had a fair value of $100.5 million and comprised 3.4% of the available- for-sale fixed maturity portfolio and 3.0% of the consolidated fixed maturity portfolio of the Corporation and the Group. This compares to a fair value of $105.3 million at December 31, 2002. These securities comprised 3.4% of the available-for-sale fixed maturity portfolio at December 31, 2002. The held- to-maturity fixed maturity portfolio of the Corporation and the Group is accounted for at amortized cost, which was $358.6 million at September 30, 2003 and consists entirely of investment grade securities. 				 20 The Corporation and the Group classify securities as investment grade or non- investment grade based upon the higher of the ratings provided by Standard & Poor's Ratings Group (S&P) and Moody's Investors Service (Moody's). When a security is not rated by either S&P or Moody's, the Corporation and the Group base the classification on other rating services, including the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. The market value of available-for-sale split-rated fixed maturity securities (i.e., those having an investment grade rating from one rating agency and a below investment grade rating from another rating agency) was $32.5 million at September 30, 2003 and $45.8 million at December 31, 2002. Investments in below investment grade securities have greater risks than investments in investment grade securities. The risk of default by borrowers that issue below investment grade securities is significantly greater because these borrowers are often highly leveraged and more sensitive to adverse economic conditions, including a recession or a sharp increase in interest rates. Additionally, investments in below investment grade securities are generally unsecured and subordinate to other debt. Investment grade securities are also subject to significant risks, including additional leveraging, changes in control of the issuer or worse than previously expected operating results. In most instances, investors are unprotected with respect to these risks, the negative effects of which can be substantial. Following is a table displaying non-investment grade and non-rated available- for-sale securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002: 				 Amortized Fair Unrealized (in millions) Cost Value Loss - ------------------------------------------------------------------------ September 30, 2003 $53.4 $50.1 $ (3.3) December 31, 2002 $73.0 $60.9 $(12.1) The investment portfolio of the Corporation and the Group include non- publicly traded securities such as private placements, non-exchange traded equities and limited partnerships which are carried at fair value. Fair values are based on valuations from pricing services, brokers and other methods as determined by management to provide the most accurate price. The carrying value of this portfolio at September 30, 2003 was $300.3 million compared to $319.4 million at December 31, 2002. The consolidated fixed maturity portfolio of the Corporation and the Group has an intermediate duration and a laddered maturity structure. The duration of the fixed maturity portfolio is approximately 4.5 years as of September 30, 2003. The Corporation and the Group remain fully invested and do not time markets. The Corporation and the Group also have no off-balance sheet investments or arrangements as defined by section 401(a) of the Sarbanes- Oxley Act of 2002. At September 30, 2003, the Corporation and the Group's equity portfolios were $309.7 million, or 8.4% of the total investment portfolio. The Corporation and the Group mark the value of their equity portfolios to fair market value on their balance sheets. As a result, shareholders' equity and statutory surplus fluctuate with changes in the value of the equity portfolio. As of September 30, 2003, the equity portfolio consisted of stocks in 44 separate entities in 35 different industries. As of September 30, 2003, 32.7% of the Corporation's equity portfolio was invested in five companies and the largest single position was 8.7% of the equity portfolio. For further discussion of the Corporation's investments, see Item 1 pages 8 through 10 of the Corporation's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses The Group's largest liabilities are reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The accounting policies related to the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are considered critical. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established for all incurred claims and are carried on an undiscounted basis before any credits for reinsurance recoverable. Actual losses and loss adjustment expenses may 				 21 change with further developments. These reserves amounted to $2.6 billion at September 30, 2003 and $2.4 billion at December 31, 2002. As of September 30, 2003, the reserves by operating segment were as follows: $1.6 billion in Commercial Lines, $0.5 billion in Specialty Lines and $0.5 billion in Personal Lines. Results for the three months and nine months periods of 2003 and 2002 were impacted by losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior accident years as shown in the table below: 				Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended 				 September 30 September 30 Year 				 2003 2002 2003 2002 2002 				------------------ ----------------- ---- Prior Accident Year Loss & LAE by Segment (in millions) - ------------------------------ Commercial Lines $ 3.7 $50.5 $ 14.1 $64.8 $73.9 Specialty Lines (1.9) 12.4 (12.1) 5.3 (2.2) Personal Lines 3.4 (0.7) 7.7 5.1 12.7 				 ------ ------ ------- ----- ------ Total All Lines Accident Year Development $ 5.2 $62.2 $ 9.7 $75.2 $84.4 Prior Accident Year Loss & LAE (in millions) - ------------------------------ Accident Year 2002 $ (7.3) $(33.5) Accident Year 2001 (1.2) $13.5 6.1 $(21.4) $(15.8) Accident Year 2000 and Prior 13.7 48.7 37.1 96.6 100.2 				------- ----- ------- ------- ------- Total Accident Year Development $ 5.2 $62.2 $ 9.7 $75.2 $ 84.4 For the Commercial Lines operating segment, the losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior accident years recorded during the first nine months of 2003 were concentrated in the commercial multiple peril and general liability product lines. Comparable Commercial Lines amounts for the first nine months of 2002 were concentrated in the commercial auto, workers' compensation and general liability product lines. For the Specialty Lines operating segment, the reduction in losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior accident years recorded during the first nine months of 2003 and 2002 occurred in the fidelity and surety and commercial umbrella product lines. For the Personal Lines operating segment the losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior accident years recorded during the first nine months of 2003 and 2002 were concentrated in the personal auto product line. The losses and loss adjustment expenses on prior accident years totaling $5.2 million for the third quarter 2003 reflect an update to estimates for reserves based on new information during the third quarter of 2003, resulting in recognition during 2003. Each quarter a thorough loss reserve study is conducted using data and other information updated and available as of the end of each quarter. Based on these studies, liabilities for loss and loss adjustment expenses are established for the estimated ultimate costs of settling claims for insured events, for both reported claims and incurred but not reported claims. As more information becomes available and claims are settled in subsequent periods, the estimated liabilities are adjusted upward or downward. Losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior accident years were recognized during the year 2003 due to new information that caused a revision to prior estimates for loss and loss reserves as described above. There is considerable uncertainty in these estimates for reasons such as: the external environment including coverage litigation, judicial decisions, legislative changes, claimants and juries attitudes with respect to settlements; claim frequency and severity; the emergence of unusual types or sizes of claims; changes in underwriting quality of the book of business over time; and changes in claims handling which affects the payment rate or case reserve adequacy. Because of the inherent uncertainties in estimating ultimate costs of claims, actual loss and loss adjustment expenses may deviate substantially from the amounts recorded. Furthermore, the timing, frequency and 				 22 extent of adjustments to the estimated liabilities cannot be predicted since conditions and events which established historical loss and loss adjustment expense development and which serve as the basis for estimating ultimate claim cost may not occur in exactly the same manner, if at all. Cash Flow Net cash generated by operations was $123.7 million for the first nine months of the year compared with $105.2 million for the same period in 2002. Net cash used in investing was $102.9 million in 2003 compared with $168.0 million during the first nine months of 2002. In 2002, the Corporation and the Group sold equities as part of an investment management decision to reduce equity holdings in favor of investment grade bonds in order to reduce the potential for volatility in statutory surplus. Current operational liquidity needs of the Group are expected to be met by scheduled maturities of investments, dividend payments, interest payments and cash balances. Cash provided by financing operations was $1.4 million in the first nine months of 2003 compared with cash used of $5.2 million in the first nine months of 2002. The 2002 cash used included the repayment of the Corporation's $205.0 million credit facility and issuance of new convertible debt with net proceeds of $194.0 million. Debt As of September 30, 2003, the Corporation had $205.3 million of debt outstanding including a $4.1 million low interest loan with the state of Ohio. During the year 2002, the Corporation completed an offering of 5.00% convertible notes, in an aggregate principal amount of $201.3 million, due March 19, 2022 that generated net proceeds of $194.0 million. The issuance and related costs are amortized over the life of the notes and are recorded as related fees. The liability for debt is reported on the balance sheet net of the unamortized fees. The Corporation uses the effective interest rate method to record the interest and related fee amortization. Interest is payable on March 19 and September 19 of each year, beginning September 19, 2002. The notes may be converted into shares of the Corporation's common stock under certain conditions, including: if the price per share of the Corporation's common stock reaches specific thresholds; if the credit rating of the notes is below a specified level or withdrawn, or if the notes have no credit rating during any period; or if specified corporate transactions have occurred. The conversion rate is 44.2112 shares per each $1,000 principal amount of notes, subject to adjustment in certain circumstances. If all outstanding notes were converted, the total outstanding common shares would increase by 8.9 million shares. The convertible debt impact on earnings per share is based on the "if-converted" method. The impact on diluted earnings per share is contingent on whether or not certain criteria have been met for conversion. As of September 30, 2003, the common share price criterion had not been met and, therefore, no adjustment to the number of diluted shares on the earnings per share calculation was made for the convertible debt. On or after March 23, 2005, the Corporation has the option to redeem all or a portion of the notes that have not been previously converted at the following redemption prices (expressed as a percentage of principal amount): During the twelve Redemption months commencing Price - ----------------- ----- March 23, 2005 102% March 19, 2006 101% March 19, 2007 until maturity of the notes 100% The holders of the notes have the option to require the Corporation to purchase all or a portion of their notes on March 19 of 2007, 2012 and 2017 at 100% of the principal amount of the notes. In addition, if a change in control of the Corporation occurs anytime prior to maturity, holders may require the Corporation to purchase for cash all or a portion of their notes at 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest. On July 31, 2002, the Corporation also entered into a revolving credit agreement. Under the terms of the credit agreement, the lenders agreed to make loans to the Corporation in an aggregate amount up to $80.0 million for general corporate purposes. The agreement requires the Corporation to maintain minimum net worth of $800.0 million. The credit agreement also includes a minimum statutory surplus requirement for The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company of $625.0 million through September 30, 2003, increasing to $650.0 				 23 million thereafter. Additionally, other covenants and customary provisions are included in the agreement. The credit agreement expires on March 15, 2005. The Corporation has not drawn on the revolver as of September 30, 2003. As of September 30, 2003, the Corporation had cash and marketable fixed maturity investments totaling $41.0 million available for operating expenses, debt service and other purposes. In addition to its investment income, the Corporation is dependent on dividend payments from the Company for additional liquidity. Insurance regulatory authorities impose various restrictions and prior approval requirements on the payment of dividends by insurance companies . Dividend payments to the Corporation from the Company are limited to approximately $112.5 million during 2003 without prior approval of the Ohio Insurance Department based on 100% of the Company's net income for the year ended December 31, 2002. Additional restrictions may result from the minimum surplus requirements contained in the credit agreement. Rating Agencies Regularly the Group's financial strength is reviewed by independent rating agencies. These agencies may upgrade, downgrade, or affirm their previous ratings of the Group. These agencies may also place an outlook on the Group's rating. On September 6, 2002, A.M. Best Company affirmed the Group's financial strength rating of "A-" and assigned a positive outlook. In addition, A.M. Best Company assigned an initial rating of "bbb" to Ohio Casualty Corporation's convertible notes. On August 22, 2003, A.M. Best Company revised its debt rating criteria and assigned a "bbb-" to the Ohio Casualty Corporation's convertible notes. On March 13, 2002, Moody's Investor Services assigned its "Baa2" rating to the Corporation's convertible notes. On November 27, 2002, Moody's downgraded the Group's "A2" financial strength rating to "A3" and placed a stable outlook on the Group's rating. Moody's also announced that it placed a "Baa3" rating on the Corporation's convertible notes. On June 16, 2003, Moody's Investor Services (Moody's) affirmed its "Baa3" rating on the convertible notes and affirmed the "A3" insurance financial strength ratings on the Group's intercompany pool. Moody's also placed a stable outlook on its rating. In addition, Moody's also assigned prospective ratings to the $500 million universal shelf registration filed on May 8, 2003. The prospective ratings for senior unsecured debt, subordinated debt and preferred stock were "Baa3", "Ba1" and "Ba2", respectively. On March 14, 2002, Fitch, Inc. (Fitch) assigned its "BBB-" rating to the Corporation's convertible notes and placed a stable outlook on its rating. On November 5, 2002, Fitch, affirmed its "BBB-" rating on the Corporation's convertible notes and placed a stable outlook on its rating. On March 11, 2002, Standard & Poor's Rating Services (S&P) removed its negative outlook and placed a stable outlook on the Group's "BBB" financial strength rating. S&P also announced that it assigned its "BB" senior debt rating to the Corporation's convertible notes. Following the Corporation's announcement of third quarter 2002 results, S&P revised its outlook to negative from stable and indicated that the Group's financial strength rating would be reviewed for possible downgrade. On April 30, 2003, S&P affirmed its "BBB" financial strength rating for the Group and maintained its negative outlook. On May 13, 2003 S&P assigned prospective ratings to Ohio Casualty's universal shelf. The prospective ratings for senior unsecured debt, subordinated debt and preferred stock were "BB", "B+" and "B", respectively. Forward Looking Statements Ohio Casualty Corporation publishes forward-looking statements relating to such matters as anticipated financial performance, business prospects and plans, regulatory developments and similar matters. The statements contained in this Management's Discussion and Analysis that are not historical information, are forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act 				 24 of 1934 for forward-looking statements. The operations, performance and development of the Corporation's business are subject to risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in or supported by the forward looking statements. The risks and uncertainties that may affect the operations, performance, development and results of the Corporation's business include the following: changes in property and casualty reserves; catastrophe losses; premium and investment growth; product pricing environment; availability of credit; changes in government regulation; performance of financial markets; fluctuations in interest rates; availability and pricing of reinsurance; litigation and administrative proceedings; rating agency actions; acts of war and terrorist activities; ability of Ohio Casualty to retain business acquired from the Great American Insurance Company; ability to achieve targeted expense savings; changes in estimated future cash flows and related impairment charges for the agent relationships intangible asset; ability to achieve premium targets and profitability goals; and general economic and market conditions. ITEM 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk 	There have been no material changes in the information about market 	risk set forth in the Corporation's Annual Report on Form 10-K. ITEM 4. Controls and Procedures 	(a) The Company's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial 	 Officer evaluated the disclosure controls and procedures (as 	 defined under Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities 	 Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) as of the end of the period 	 covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the 	 Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have 	 concluded that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures 	 are effective. 	(b) There were no significant changes in the Company's internal 	 controls or in other factors that could significantly affect 	 these controls subsequent to the date of their evaluation. PART II ITEM 1. Legal Proceedings 	There are no material pending legal proceedings against the 	Corporation or its subsidiaries other than litigation arising in 	connection with settlement of insurance claims as described on 	page 11 in the Corporation's 2002 Form 10-K. ITEM 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds - None ITEM 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities - None ITEM 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders - None ITEM 5. Other Information - None ITEM 6. Exhibits and reports on Form 8-K I. Reports on Form 8-K: The Corporation filed a Form 8-K on August 7, 2003 to report under Item 9, the filing of a press release announcing the Corporation's second quarter 2003 results and certain Supplemental Financial Information. Exhibits to the Form 8-K consisted of the press release dated August 7, 2003 and Supplemental Financial Information. 				 25 The Corporation filed a Form 8-K on September 11, 2003 to report under Item 5, a financial presentation to discuss the Corporation's Strategic Plan for 2004-2006. Exhibits to the Form 8-K consisted of the slide presentation materials of the Corporation dated September 12, 2003. II. Exhibits: 31.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty 	 Corporation in accordance with Section 302 of the 	 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty 	 Corporation in accordance with Section 302 of the 	 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 32.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty 	 Corporation in accordance with Section 906 of the 	 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 32.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty 	 Corporation in accordance with Section 906 of the 	 Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 	 	 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. 					 OHIO CASUALTY CORPORATION 					--------------------------------- 						 (Registrant) November 10, 2003 /s/Donald F. McKee 					-------------------------------- 					Donald F. McKee, Executive Vice 					President and Chief Financial 					Officer 					(on behalf of Registrant and as 					Principal Accounting Officer) 				 26