============================================================================== UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D. C. 20549 FORM 10-Q [x] Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2005. ------------------ [ ] Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to ------- ------- Commission File Number 0-05544 OHIO CASUALTY CORPORATION (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) OHIO 31-0783294 (State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) incorporation or organization) 9450 Seward Road, Fairfield, Ohio 45014 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) (513) 603-2400 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes X No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes No X On October 24, 2005, there were 63,613,520 shares of common stock outstanding. Page 1 of 32 ============================================================================== INDEX Page ---- PART I FINANCIAL INFORMATION Item 1. Financial Statements 3 Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations 18 Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk 31 Item 4. Controls and Procedures 31 PART II OTHER INFORMATION Item 1. Legal Proceedings 31 Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds 31-32 Item 6. Exhibits 32 Signature Exhibit 31.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with SEC Rule 13(a)-14(a) and Rule 15(d)-14(a) Exhibit 31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with SEC Rule 13(a)-14(a) and Rule 15(d)-14(a) Exhibit 32.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with Section 1350 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 Exhibit 32.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with Section 1350 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 2 PART I FINANCIAL INFORMATION ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS September 30, December 31, (in millions, except share data) 2005 2004 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Assets Investments, at fair value: Fixed maturities: Available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost: $3,453.5 and $3,176.8) $ 3,553.5 $ 3,346.1 Held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (fair value: $271.9 and $303.1) 273.8 301.4 Equity securities, at fair value (cost: $120.2 and $98.9) 352.2 357.4 Short-term investments, at fair value 48.4 239.1 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total investments 4,227.9 4,244.0 Cash 5.8 13.5 Premiums and other receivables, net of allowance 325.0 350.8 Deferred policy acquisition costs 156.9 159.8 Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation 80.3 82.9 Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance 706.3 666.5 Agent relationships, net of accumulated amortization 111.9 122.0 Interest and dividends due or accrued 51.2 49.9 Deferred tax asset 3.9 - Other assets 46.0 25.6 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total assets $ 5,715.2 $ 5,715.0 =========================================================================================== Liabilities Insurance reserves: Losses $ 2,402.8 $ 2,269.6 Loss adjustment expenses 514.3 486.8 Unearned premiums 707.9 715.5 Debt 200.5 383.3 Reinsuance treaty funds held 163.0 195.0 Deferred income taxes - 21.9 Other liabilities 334.0 348.0 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total liabilities 4,322.5 4,420.1 Shareholders' Equity Common stock, $.125 par value Authorized: 150,000,000 Issued shares: 72,418,344; 72,418,344 9.0 9.0 Additional paid-in capital 16.6 - Accumulated other comprehensive income 196.0 259.1 Retained earnings 1,289.0 1,161.5 Treasury stock, at cost: (Shares: 8,380,479; 10,209,215) (117.9) (134.7) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total shareholders' equity 1,392.7 1,294.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $ 5,715.2 $ 5,715.0 =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 54-71 of the Corporation's 2004 Form 10-K. 3 ITEM 1. Continued Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME Three Months Ended September 30, (in millions, except share and per share data) (Unaudited) 2005 2004 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Premiums and finance charges earned $ 362.5 $ 356.5 Investment income, less expenses 51.4 44.9 Investment gains/(losses) realized, net 22.4 (4.3) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues 436.3 397.1 Losses and benefits for policyholders 204.5 205.5 Loss adjustment expenses 42.5 38.2 General operating expenses 121.6 115.3 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships 2.4 5.0 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 83.3 91.4 Deferral of deferred policy acquisition costs (87.4) (88.7) Depreciation and amortization expense 3.0 3.3 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total expenses 369.9 370.0 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes 66.4 27.1 Income tax expense/(benefit): Current 11.2 (1.6) Deferred (0.3) 9.1 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total income tax expense 10.9 7.5 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $ 55.5 $ 19.6 =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - basic 64,400,341 61,627,447 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - basic: Net income, per share $ 0.86 $ 0.32 =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - diluted 65,656,774 71,678,727 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - diluted: Net income, per share $ 0.85 $ 0.30 =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 54-71 of the Corporation's 2004 Form 10-K. 4 ITEM 1. Continued Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME Nine Months Ended September 30, (in millions, except share and per share data) (Unaudited) 2005 2004 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Premiums and finance charges earned $ 1,090.3 $ 1,084.8 Investment income, less expenses 148.4 144.0 Investment gains realized, net 36.2 2.6 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues 1,274.9 1,231.4 Losses and benefits for policyholders 587.3 603.8 Loss adjustment expenses 125.8 116.6 General operating expenses 355.3 381.3 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships 10.1 16.5 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 255.1 275.6 Deferral of deferred policy acquisition costs (252.2) (276.2) Depreciation and amortization expense 8.7 9.8 Loss on retirement of convertible debt, including debt conversion expenses 9.0 - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total expenses 1,099.1 1,127.4 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes 175.8 104.0 Income tax expense: Current 32.2 22.0 Deferred 8.2 8.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total income tax expense 40.4 30.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before cumulative effect of an accounting change 135.4 73.1 Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of tax - 1.6 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $ 135.4 $ 71.5 =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - basic 63,487,313 61,346,664 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - basic: Net income, per share $ 2.13 $ 1.17 =========================================================================================== Average shares outstanding - diluted 68,012,120 71,360,958 =========================================================================================== Earnings per share - diluted: Net income, per share $ 2.02 $ 1.07 =========================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 54-71 of the Corporation's 2004 Form 10-K. 5 ITEM 1. Continued Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Accumulated Additional other Total (in millions, except share and Common paid-in comprehensive Retained Treasury shareholders' per share data) (Unaudited) Stock capital income earnings stock equity - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance January 1, 2004 $ 9.0 $ - $ 254.7 $ 1,033.4 $ (151.3) $ 1,145.8 Net income 71.5 71.5 Change in unrealized gain, net of deferred income tax benefit of $7.1 11.1 11.1 Change in minimum pension liability, net of deferred income tax benefit of $8.9 16.4 16.4 ---------- Other comprehensive income 99.0 Net issuance of restricted stock (57,284 shares) (0.6) 0.8 0.2 Net issuance of treasury stock (865,313 shares) 0.4 10.7 11.1 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance, September 30, 2004 $ 9.0 $ - $ 282.2 $ 1,104.7 $ (139.8) $ 1,256.1 ===================================================================================================================== Balance January 1, 2005 $ 9.0 $ - $ 259.1 $ 1,161.5 $ (134.7) $ 1,294.9 Net income 135.4 135.4 Change in unrealized gain, net of deferred income tax benefit of $34.2 (63.1) (63.1) ---------- Other comprehensive income 72.3 Net issuance of restricted stock (26,828 shares) 0.2 0.4 0.6 Net issuance of treasury stock (1,066,438 shares) 5.2 (0.2) 13.7 18.7 Repurchase of treasury stock (570,115 shares) (14.6) (14.6) Cash dividends paid ($0.06 per share) (7.7) (7.7) Issuance of common stock pursuant to Convertible Note transaction (See Note VII) 11.2 17.3 28.5 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balance, September 30, 2005 $ 9.0 $16.6 $ 196.0 $ 1,289.0 $ (117.9) $ 1,392.7 ===================================================================================================================== Accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 54-71 of the Corporation's 2004 Form 10-K. 6 ITEM 1. Continued Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS Nine Months Ended September 30, (in millions) (Unaudited) 2005 2004 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Operating Activities: Operating Activities Net income $ 135.4 $ 71.5 Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash from operations: Changes in: Insurance reserves 153.1 165.1 Reinsurance treaty funds held (32.0) 31.0 Income taxes (0.2) (11.7) Premiums and other receivables 25.8 (16.9) Deferred policy acquisition costs 2.9 (0.7) Reinsurance recoverable (39.8) (75.6) Other assets (9.0) (6.4) Other liabilities (33.5) (0.4) Loss on retirement of convertible debt, including debt conversion expenses 9.0 - Income tax benefit from stock option exercises 3.6 - Amortization and write-down of agent relationships 10.1 16.5 Depreciation and amortization 16.7 16.8 Investment gains realized, net (36.2) (2.6) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net cash provided by operating activities 205.9 186.6 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Investing Activities: Purchase of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale (1,073.1) (1,285.3) Fixed maturity, held-to-maturity (0.7) (1.7) Equity (18.5) (12.3) Proceeds from sales of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale 745.3 957.7 Equity 34.2 12.7 Proceeds from maturities and calls of securities: Fixed maturity, available-for-sale 58.7 81.7 Fixed maturity, held-to-maturity 26.6 38.2 Equity - 3.3 Property and equipment Purchases (7.4) (3.7) Sales 1.2 0.3 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net cash used in investing activities (233.7) (209.1) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash Flows from Financing Activities: Debt: Repayments (160.2) (0.5) Proceeds from the issuance of senior notes - 199.3 Payment of issuance costs - (1.3) Loss on retirement of convertible debt, including conversion expense (3.6) - Proceeds from exercise of stock options 14.2 10.4 Repurchase of treasury stock (13.3) - Dividends paid to shareholders (7.7) - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities (170.6) 207.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents (198.4) 185.4 Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 252.6 56.9 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 54.2 $ 242.3 ================================================================================================= Accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. For complete disclosures see Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 54-71 of the Corporation's 2004 Form 10-K. 7 Ohio Casualty Corporation & Subsidiaries NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (Unaudited) Ohio Casualty Corporation (the Corporation) is the holding company of The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company (the Company), which is one of six property-casualty insurance companies that make up the Ohio Casualty Group (the Group), collectively the "Consolidated Corporation". All dollar amounts, except per share data, presented in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements are in millions unless otherwise noted. NOTE I - INTERIM ADJUSTMENTS We prepared the Consolidated Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2005 and the Consolidated Statements of Income, Shareholders' Equity and Cash Flows for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, without an audit. In the opinion of management, all adjustments necessary to fairly present the financial position, results of operations and cash flows at September 30, 2005 and for each period presented have been made. We prepared the accompanying unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States for interim financial information and with the instructions to the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States have been omitted. The unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements should be read together with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. The results of operations for the period ended September 30, 2005 are not necessarily indicative of the results of operations for the full year. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. The premiums receivable balance is presented net of bad debt allowances determined by management of $4.4 at September 30, 2005 and $4.3 at December 31, 2004. Property and equipment are carried at cost less accumulated depreciation of $174.7 and $167.4 at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are calculated in a manner consistent with the reinsurance contract and are reported net of allowance of $2.3 at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004. NOTE II - STOCK OPTIONS The Consolidated Corporation accounts for stock options issued to employees and directors in accordance with Accounting Principles Board Opinion (APB) No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Under APB 25, the Consolidated Corporation recognizes expense based on the intrinsic value of options. Had the Consolidated Corporation adopted income statement recognition requirements of Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) 123 "Accounting for Stock Based Compensation," the Consolidated Corporation's net income and earnings per share would have been reduced to the pro forma amounts disclosed below: 8 Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income As reported $55.5 $19.6 $135.4 $71.5 Add: Stock-based employee compensation reported in net income under APB 25, net of related tax effect 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.2 Deduct: Total stock-based employee Compensation under FAS 123, net of related tax effect 1.6 1.8 4.2 4.9 ----- ----- ------ ----- Pro forma $54.5 $17.9 $132.1 $66.8 Basic EPS As reported $0.86 $0.32 $2.13 $1.17 Pro Forma $0.85 $0.29 $2.08 $1.09 Diluted EPS* As reported $0.85 $0.30 $2.02 $1.07 Pro Forma $0.83 $0.27 $1.97 $1.01 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *Diluted EPS has been adjusted for the effect of EITF Issue No. 04-8 for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004. The three month period ended September 30, 2005 was not impacted due to the redemption/repurchase of the Convertible Notes in the second quarter of 2005. Also see Note III. See Note XII - Recently Issued Accounting Standards for additional information pertaining to FASB 123(R) - "Share-Based Payment." NOTE III - EARNINGS PER SHARE Basic and diluted earnings per share are summarized as follows: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $55.5 $19.6 $135.4 $ 71.5 Weighted average common shares outstanding - basic (thousands) 64,400 61,627 63,487 61,347 Income before cumulative effect of an accounting change $0.86 $0.32 $2.13 $ 1.20 Cumulative effect of an accounting change - - - $(0.03) Basic net income per weighted average share $0.86 $0.32 $2.13 $ 1.17 ====================================================================================== Net income $55.5 $19.6 $135.4 $ 71.5 Effect of EITF 04-8 on net income using "if-converted" method - 1.7 1.8 5.0 Adjusted net income using "if-converted" method 55.5 21.3 137.2 76.5 Weighted average common shares outstanding (thousands) 64,400 61,627 63,487 61,347 Effect of dilutive securities (thousands) 1,257 1,154 1,259 1,116 Effect of EITF 04-8 (thousands) - 8,898 3,266 8,898 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Weighted average common shares outstanding - diluted (thousands) 65,657 71,679 68,012 71,361 Income before cumulative effect of an accounting change $0.85 $0.30 $2.02 $ 1.09 Cumulative effect of an accounting change - - - $(0.02) Diluted net income per weighted average share $0.85 $0.30 $2.02 $ 1.07 ====================================================================================== In accordance with Emerging Issues Task Force (EITF) 04-8 "The Effect of Contingently Convertible Debt on Diluted Earnings Per Share," the earnings per share treatment of those securities that contain a contingent conversion feature require all of the shares underlying the convertible securities to be treated as outstanding using the "if-converted" method. As required by the EITF, all prior period earnings per share amounts would need to be restated for periods presented subsequent to the March 2002 Convertible Notes issuance. The "if-converted" method gives effect to the add back to net income of interest expense and 9 amortization of debt issuance costs, net of tax, associated with the convertible instruments. The adoption of EITF 04-8 reduced previously reported diluted earnings per share by $0.01 and $0.07 for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004, respectively. NOTE IV -- SEGMENT INFORMATION The Consolidated Corporation has determined its reportable segments based upon its method of internal reporting, which is organized by product line. The property and casualty segments are Commercial, Specialty,and Personal Lines. These segments generate revenues by selling a wide variety of commercial, surety and personal insurance products. The Corporation also has an All Other segment which derives its revenues from investment income. The other expenses included in this segment consist principally of costs related to the retirement of the convertible debt and interest expense in 2005. In 2004, the other expenses consist primarily of interest expense. Each of the segments of the Consolidated Corporation is managed separately. The property and casualty segments are managed by assessing the performance and profitability of the segments through analysis of industry financial measurements determined on a GAAP basis, which includes loss, loss adjustment and underwriting expense ratios, combined ratio, premiums earned, underwriting gain/loss and statutory premiums written. The following tables present information by segment as it is reported internally to management. Asset information by reportable segment is not reported, since the Consolidated Corporation does not produce such information internally. Three Months Ended September 30 Commercial Lines Segment 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $207.1 $203.3 % Change 1.9% 3.3% Net premiums earned 206.1 201.7 % Change 2.2% 2.0% Underwriting loss (before tax) (23.1) (3.5) Specialty Lines Segment 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $38.0 $28.7 % Change 32.4% (40.7)% Net premiums earned 36.3 32.0 % Change 13.4% (23.1)% Underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) 1.8 (2.6) Personal Lines Segment 2005 2004 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $123.9 $128.7 % Change (3.7)% 1.3% Net premiums earned 120.1 122.8 % Change (2.2)% 1.3% Underwriting gain (before tax) 23.1 5.1 Total Property & Casualty 2005 2004 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $369.0 $360.7 % Change 2.3% (3.1)% Net premiums earned 362.5 356.5 % Change 1.7% (1.1)% Underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) 1.8 (1.0) All Other 2005 2004 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues $ 5.9 $ 2.6 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (2.4) (5.0) Other expenses (6.8) (7.5) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net loss before income taxes $(3.3) $(9.9) 10 Reconciliation of Revenues 2005 2004 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned for reportable segments $362.5 $356.5 Net investment income 47.6 42.3 Realized gains/(losses), net 20.3 (4.3) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total property and casualty revenues 430.4 394.5 Other segment revenues 5.9 2.6 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues $436.3 $397.1 ============================================================================ Reconciliation of Underwriting Gain/(Loss) (before tax) 2005 2004 - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) 1.8 (1.0) Net investment income 51.4 44.9 Realized gains/(losses), net 22.4 (4.3) Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (2.4) (5.0) Other expenses (6.8) (7.5) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes $66.4 $27.1 ============================================================================ Nine Months Ended September 30 Commercial Lines Segment 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $634.5 $635.8 % Change (0.2)% 3.9% Net premiums earned 618.4 601.9 % Change 2.7% 4.0% Underwriting loss (before tax) (41.4) (13.5) Specialty Lines Segment 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $116.8 $102.6 % Change 13.8% (17.6)% Net premiums earned 107.8 114.5 % Change (5.8)% (5.1)% Underwriting gain (before tax) 4.8 3.6 Personal Lines Segment 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $361.1 $373.0 % Change (3.2)% 2.5% Net premiums earned 364.1 368.4 % Change (1.2)% 1.9% Underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) 70.6 (1.9) Total Property & Casualty 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums written $1,112.4 $1,111.4 % Change 0.1% 1.0% Net premiums earned 1,090.3 1,084.8 % Change 0.5% 2.3% Underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) 34.0 (11.8) All Other 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revenues $18.0 $ 6.3 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (10.1) (16.5) Other expenses (32.7) (14.3) - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net loss before income taxes $(24.8) $(24.5) =========================================================================== Reconciliation of Revenues 2005 2004 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned for reportable segments $1,090.3 $1,084.8 Net investment income 137.4 139.4 Realized gains, net 29.2 0.9 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total property and casualty revenues 1,256.9 1,225.1 Other segment revenues 18.0 6.3 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total revenues $1,274.9 $1,231.4 =========================================================================== 11 Reconciliation of Underwriting Gain/(Loss) (before tax) 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Property and casualty underwriting gain/(loss) (before tax) $ 34.0 $ (11.8) Net investment income 148.4 144.0 Realized gains, net 36.2 2.6 Write-down and amortization of agent relationships (10.1) (16.5) Other expenses (32.7) (14.3) - -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income before income taxes and cumulative effect of an accounting change $175.8 $104.0 ========================================================================== NOTE V - AGENT RELATIONSHIPS The agent relationships asset is an identifiable intangible asset acquired in connection with the 1998 Great American Insurance Company (GAI) commercial lines acquisition. The Consolidated Corporation follows the practice of allocating purchase price to specifically identifiable intangible assets based on their estimated values as determined by appropriate valuation methods. In the GAI acquisition, the purchase price was allocated to agent relationships and deferred policy acquisition costs. Agent relationships are evaluated quarterly as events or circumstances indicate a possible inability to recover their carrying amount. As a result of the evaluation, the agent relationship asset was written down before tax by $0.8 and $3.3 in the third quarter of 2005 and 2004, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, the asset was written down before tax by $5.3 and $11.3, respectively. The write-downs are a result of agency cancellations and certain agents determined to be impaired based on updated estimated future undiscounted cash flows that were insufficient to recover the carrying amount of the asset for the agent. The remaining portion of the agent relationships asset will be amortized on a straight-line basis over the remaining useful period of approximately 19 years. For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2005, the Consolidated Corporation recorded amortization expense of $1.6 and $4.8 which compares to $1.7 and $5.2 for the same periods of the prior year. At September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, the unamortized carrying value of the agent relationships asset was $111.9 and $122.0, respectively. The agent relationships asset is recorded net of accumulated amortization of $44.2 and $41.4 at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. Future cancellation of agents included in the agent relationships intangible asset or a diminution of certain former Great American agents' estimated future revenues or profitability is likely to cause further impairment losses beyond the quarterly amortization of the remaining asset value over the remaining useful lives. NOTE VI - INTERNALLY DEVELOPED SOFTWARE In accordance with Statement of Position 98-1, "Accounting for the Costs of Computer Software Developed or Obtained for Internal Use," the Consolidated Corporation capitalizes costs incurred during the application development stage for the development of internal-use software. These costs primarily relate to payroll and payroll-related costs for employees along with costs incurred for external consultants who are directly associated with the internal-use software project. Costs such as maintenance, training, data conversion, overhead and general and administrative are expensed as incurred. Management believes the expected future value of the asset exceeds the carrying value. Management evaluates the asset on an annual basis for impairment. The costs associated with the software are amortized on a straight-line basis over an estimated useful life of 10 years commencing when the software is substantially complete and ready for its intended use. Capitalized software costs and accumulated amortization amounts included in the consolidated balance sheets were $57.2 and $14.8 at September 30, 2005 and $55.2 and $11.4 at December 31, 2004, respectively. NOTE VII - DEBT On March 19, 2002, the Corporation issued $201.3 aggregate principal amount of 5.00% Convertible Notes due March 19, 2022 (Old Notes). On March 22, 2005 the Corporation exchanged $65.6 of its Old Notes for $65.6 of new 5.00% Convertible Notes due March 19, 2022 (New Notes and collectively the Convertible Notes). The only change in the New Notes was the incorporation of a net share settlement feature. The Corporation paid a premium to the holders electing the exchange to the New Notes. Also on this date, the Corporation announced its intention to fully redeem before maturity the Convertible Notes at their regular redemption price of 102% of the principal amount plus accrued interest to, but excluding, the redemption date of May 2, 2005. In connection with this announced redemption, holders of the Convertible Notes could 12 elect to convert their Convertible Notes into shares of the Corporation's common stock. Upon conversion of the Old Notes, the Corporation delivered 44.2112 of its common stock for each $1,000 principal amount of Old Notes surrendered for conversion. Upon conversion of the New Notes, the Corporation paid the principal amount in cash and any conversion consideration in excess of the principal amount in the Corporation's common stock. The above transactions impacted the Consolidated Corporation's results of operations and balance sheets as follows: 2005 Loss on retirement of Convertible Debt, Impact on Old New including debt Shareholders' Notes Notes conversion expenses Equity ------------------------------------------------------ Initial Issuance $201.3 $ - $ - $ - Repurchases in unsolicited negotiated transactions (a) (52.8) - (2.5) - Impact of exchange offer and related exchange premium (65.6) 65.6 (0.3) - Call Elections: Cash redemption (b) (53.9) (55.0) (5.7) - Equity conversion (c) (29.0) (10.6) (0.5) 28.5 - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- September 30, 2005 $ - $ - $(9.0) $28.5 ===================================================================================== (a) These repurchases were completed in the following periods: $35.8 in the second quarter of 2005, $4.5 in the first quarter of 2005 and $12.5 in the fourth quarter of 2004. As a result of these repurchases, the Corporation wrote off a proportionate amount of unamortized debt issuance costs of $1.2 in the second quarter of 2005, $0.1 in the first quarter of 2005 and $0.4 in the fourth quarter of 2004, which was included in the 2004 results of operations. In addition, the Corporation paid a premium on the repurchases of $0.8 in the second quarter of 2005, $0.4 in first quarter 2005 and $0.6 in the fourth quarter of 2004, which was also included in the 2004 results of operations. The loss on retirement of debt attributable to 2004 relating to the repurchase transactions are not included in the above table. (b) In connection with the cash redemption, the Corporation paid a call premium in the amount of $2.2 and wrote off the proportionate amount of unamortized debt issuance costs in the amount of $3.5 in the second quarter of 2005. (c) In connection with the equity conversion, the Corporation issued 1,282,123 shares of its common stock for conversion of the Old Notes, issued 23,462 shares of its common stock for conversion of the New Notes, recognized $0.5 in debt conversion expenses related to the New Notes, which represents the conversion price of $22.62 multiplied by 23,462 shares issued, and increased shareholders' equity by $28.5 in the second quarter of 2005. The increase in shareholders' equity consists principally of the conversion of the principal amount of Old Notes $(29.0) and accrued interest through the date of conversion $(0.2) offset by the write-off of the proportionate amount of unamortized debt issuance cost $(1.4). On June 29, 2004, the Corporation issued $200.0 of 7.3% Senior Notes due June 15, 2014 (Senior Notes) and received net proceeds after related fees and discount of $198.0. The Corporation used a substantial majority of the net proceeds to repurchase and redeem the Convertible Notes as discussed above. Interest is payable on the Senior Notes on June 15 and December 15. The Senior Notes are reported on the consolidated balance sheets net of unamortized issuance-related costs and discount totaling $2.3 at September 30, 2005. The Convertible Notes and Senior Notes were reported on the consolidated balance sheets net of unamortized issuance-related costs and discount totaling $8.7 ($6.3 related to the Convertible Notes and $2.4 related to the Senior Notes) at December 31, 2004. The Corporation uses the effective interest rate method to record interest expense, amortization of issuance-related costs and amortization of the discount. 13 The impact of the Convertible Notes on diluted earnings per share is based upon the "if-converted" method. In accordance with EITF 04-8, all diluted earnings per share amounts have been restated since the issuance of the Convertible Notes in March 2002. See Note III - Earnings Per Share of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Item 15, Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, Footnote 10 on pages 66 and 67 of the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion. On July 31, 2002, the Corporation entered into a revolving credit agreement with an expiration date of March 15, 2005. In February 2005, the revolving credit agreement was renewed, under substantially the same terms and conditions, and will expire on March 15, 2006. Under the terms of the revolving credit agreement, the lenders agreed to make loans to the Corporation in an aggregate amount up to $80.0 for general corporate purposes. Interest is payable in arrears, and the interest rate on borrowings under the revolving credit agreement is based on a margin over LIBOR or the LaSalle Bank Prime Rate, at the option of the Corporation. The Corporation is obligated to pay agency fees and facility fees of up to $0.2 annually. These fees are expensed when incurred by the Corporation. The revolving credit agreement requires the Corporation to maintain minimum net worth of $800.0. The credit agreement also includes a minimum statutory surplus for the Company of $650.0. Additionally, other financial covenants and other customary provisions, as defined in the agreement, exist. At September 30, 2005, the Corporation was in compliance with all financial covenants and other provisions of this agreement. There were no amounts outstanding under this revolving credit agreement at either September 30, 2005 or December 31, 2004. Interest expense incurred for the nine month period ending September 30, 2005 and 2004 was $14.1 and $11.4, respectively. Interest expense incurred for the three month period ending September 30, 2005 and 2004 was $3.7 and $6.2, respectively. The increase in interest expense incurred in the nine month period ending September 30, 2005 is related to the issuance of the Senior Notes on June 29, 2004, while the decline in interest expense for the three months ended September 30, 2005 relates to the repurchase, redemption and conversion of all outstanding Convertible Notes during the second quarter 2005. NOTE VIII - CONTINGENCIES In the fourth quarter of 2001, Ohio Casualty of New Jersey, Inc. (OCNJ) entered into an agreement to transfer its obligations to renew private passenger auto business in New Jersey to Proformance Insurance Company (Proformance). The contract stipulated that a premiums-to-surplus ratio of 2.5 to 1 must be maintained on the transferred business during the period March 2002 through December 2004. If this criteria was not met, OCNJ would have to pay up to a maximum cumulative amount of $15.6 to Proformance to maintain this premiums-to-surplus ratio. Based on data provided by Proformance, OCNJ paid $6.8 in July, 2004 to Proformance in settlement of this obligation through December 31, 2003. At December 31, 2004, based upon information provided by Proformance, OCNJ had accrued $8.8 to cover this estimated additional liability. Late in the first quarter of 2005, OCNJ, based on revised information provided by Proformance subsequent to the Corporation filing its 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K, reduced its estimated liability and related accrual to $4.4 at March 31, 2005. In June 2005, OCNJ reached a settlement with Proformance for the final payment related to this obligation in the amount of $3.7 and in return received from Proformance a release from any and all future obligations related to this surplus guarantee. Accordingly, at September 30, 2005, no additional amounts are recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheets pursuant to this surplus guarantee. The total amount paid by OCNJ pursuant to the surplus guarantee was $10.5, compared to the maximum cumulative exposure of $15.6. A proceeding entitled Carol Murray v. the Corporation, the Company, Avomark Insurance Company (Avomark), Ohio Security Insurance Company (Ohio Security), West American Insurance Company (West American), American Fire and Casualty Insurance Company (American Fire), and OCNJ was filed in the United States District Court for the District of Columbia on February 5, 2004. A motion to change venue was granted on May 25, 2004 with the proceeding assigned to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, Eastern Division, Columbus, Ohio. The plaintiff, a former automobile physical damage claim adjuster, originally sought to certify a nationwide collective action consisting of all current and former salaried employees since February 5, 2001 who are/were employed to process claims by policyholders and other persons for automobile property damage. The plaintiff also filed motions to expand the definition to include claim specialists, representative trainees, and representatives performing claims adjusting services. The complaint sought overtime compensation for the plaintiff and the class of persons plaintiff sought to represent. The U.S. District Court dismissed the complaint against Avomark, Ohio Security, West 14 American, American Fire, and OCNJ on September 27, 2005. The U.S. District Court also granted the motion for summary judgment of the Corporation and the Company on September 27, 2005. The proceeding was ordered closed with judgment in favor of the defendants. The decision has been appealed by plaintiff to the U.S. Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals. A proceeding entitled Carol Lazarus v. the Group was brought against West American in the Court of Common Pleas Cuyahoga County, Ohio on October 25, 1999. The Court ordered the case to proceed solely against West American on July 10, 2003. The complaint alleges West American improperly charged for uninsured motorists coverage following an October 1994 decision of the Supreme Court of Ohio in Martin v. Midwestern Insurance Company. The Martin decision was overruled legislatively in September 1997. West American filed a motion for summary judgment on December 16, 2003. Plaintiff filed a motion for class certification on February 23, 2004. West American has responded to the motion for class certification stating the motion is untimely (filed more than four years after the initial complaint) and that Carol Lazarus failed to provide sufficient evidence to satisfy the requirements for class certification. A proceeding entitled Douglas and Carla Scott v. the Company, West American, American Fire, and Ohio Security was filed in the District Court of Tulsa County, State of Oklahoma and served on January 3, 2005. The proceeding challenges the use of a certain vendor in valuing total loss automobiles. Plaintiff alleges that use of the database results in valuations to the detriment of the insureds. Plaintiff is seeking class status and alleges breach of contract, fraud and bad faith. The lawsuit is in its early stages and will be vigorously defended. The proceedings described above and various other legal and regulatory proceedings are currently pending that involve the Consolidated Corporation and specific aspects of the conduct of its business. The outcome of these proceedings is currently unpredictable. However, at this time, based on their present status, it is the opinion of management that the ultimate liability, if any, in one or more of these proceedings in excess of amounts currently reserved is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the financial condition, liquidity or results of operation of the Consolidated Corporation. NOTE IX - EMPLOYEE BENEFITS The Consolidated Corporation has a non-contributory defined benefit retirement plan and a contributory health care plan. The net periodic pension cost as of September 30 is determined as follows: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Service cost earned during the period $ 1.8 $ 1.9 $ 5.4 $ 5.9 Interest cost on projected benefit obligation 4.3 4.1 12.9 12.7 Expected return on plan assets (5.5) (5.4) (16.3) (16.1) Amortization of accumulated losses 1.0 0.6 2.7 2.0 Amortization of unrecognized prior service cost (0.5) (0.6) (1.7) (1.3) Curtailment cost - - - 0.1 - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net periodic pension cost $ 1.1 $ 0.6 $ 3.0 $ 3.3 ======================================================================================= The Consolidated Corporation contributed approximately $4.2 and $8.1 in the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2005, respectively, to the defined benefit retirement plan, and approximately $7.5 in the first nine months of 2004. The Consolidated Corporation contributed $11.0 in October 2005. In March 2004, the Consolidated Corporation announced changes to the defined benefit retirement plan which were effective June 30, 2004, which freezes accrued benefits under the plan's current formula and incorporates a new benefit formula beginning July 2004. As a result of these changes and staff reductions announced in the first nine months of 2004, the Consolidated Corporation recognized a curtailment charge of $0.1 in 2004. 15 The components of the Consolidated Corporation's net periodic postretirement benefit cost as of September 30: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Service cost $ - $ - $ 0.2 $ 0.7 Interest cost 0.7 0.9 2.2 3.2 Amortization of accumulated losses 0.1 - 0.1 0.2 Amortization of unrecognized prior service cost (1.5) (1.5) (4.5) (3.5) Curtailment cost - - - 0.1 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net periodic postretirement benefit cost $(0.7) $(0.6) $(2.0) $ 0.7 ====================================================================================== In March 2004, the Consolidated Corporation announced changes related to the postretirement health care plan effective July 1, 2004 that limits eligibility for subsidized retiree medical and dental coverage to then current retirees and employees with 25 or more years of service. Other employees are eligible for access to unsubsidized retiree dental coverage and medical coverage up to age 65. As a result of these changes and staff reductions, the Consolidated Corporation recognized a curtailment charge of $0.1 in 2004. NOTE X - INCOME TAX At December 31, 2004, the Consolidated Corporation disclosed it had been examined by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for tax years 1997 to 2001 and was then in the process of finalizing a settlement. On August 25, 2005, the IRS issued notification to the Consolidated Corporation that a settlement agreement concerning its examination of these tax years was approved. This settlement results in a $2.7 net tax benefit related to realized capital gains, and interest income, before tax, of $0.9. In conjunction with the IRS settlement, the Consolidated Corporation is reversing $9.1 ($8.0 related to realized capital gains and $1.1 related to operations) of book tax reserves. Additionally, on September 28, 2005, the IRS advised the Consolidated Corporation that it accepted a protective claim for refund for the 1996 tax year related to adjustments resulting from the 2003 settlement of the IRS examination of the 1995 tax year. The acceptance of this protective refund claim results in a $3.4 net tax benefit related to operations, and interest income, before tax, of $1.6 million. In the aggregate, when considering all of the above referenced items, net income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005, was favorably impacted by $16.8, comprised of a $15.2 net tax benefit ($4.5 related to operations and $10.7 related to capital gains) and $1.6 after-tax interest income. This net tax benefit has the effect of lowering the Consolidated Corporation's effective income tax rate for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 by 6.6%. NOTE XI - SHARE REPURCHASE During the third quarter of 2005, the Corporation's Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to four million shares of common stock of the Corporation to be made in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions. The Corporation has repurchased 570,115 shares at an average cost of $25.61 during the third quarter of 2005. The number of shares that remain authorized for repurchases is 3,429,885 at September 30, 2005. For the period from October 1, 2005 to and including October 24, 2005, the Corporation has repurchased an additional 618,270 shares at an average cost of $25.95. NOTE XII - RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS In December 2004, the FASB finalized Statement 123(R), "Share- Based Payment." On April 14, 2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced a phased-in implementation process that would allow the Consolidated Corporation to defer the implementation of the statement no later than the beginning of the first fiscal year beginning after June 15, 2005. For the Consolidated Corporation this would mean January 1, 2006. Statement 123(R) supersedes APB Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees," and amends FASB Statement No. 95, "Statement of Cash Flows." FASB 123(R) requires all 16 share-based payments to employees, including grants of employee stock options, to be recognized as compensation expense in the income statement at fair value. Pro forma disclosure is no longer an alternative. The Consolidated Corporation currently intends to adopt the provisions of FASB 123(R) effective January 1, 2006. FASB 123(R) permits public companies to adopt its requirements using one of two ethods: (1) modified prospective or (2) modified retrospective. The Consolidated Corporation currently intends to adopt using the modified prospective method in which compensation expense would be recognized beginning January 1, 2006 (a) based on the requirements of FASB 123(R) for all share-based payments granted after the January 1, 2006 and (b) based on the requirements of FASB 123 for all awards granted to employees prior to January 1, 2006 that remain unvested on that date. The adoption of FASB 123(R) fair value method is expected to increase the Consolidated Corporation's compensation expense by approximately $3.0 to $4.0 in 2006. These impacts could change materially from these estimates based upon the Consolidated Corporation's use of equity-based awards granted in the future. Had the Consolidated Corporation adopted FASB 123(R) in \prior periods, the impact of that standard would have approximated the impact of FASB 123 as described in the disclosure of pro forma net income and earnings per share in Note II. FASB 123(R) also requires the benefits of tax deductions in excess of recognized compensation expense to be reported as a financing cash flow, rather than as an operating cash flow as required under current accounting literature. This requirement will reduce net operating cash flows and increase net financing cash flows in periods after the adoption. In March 2004, the FASB approved the consensus reached on the EITF Issue No. 03-1, "The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments." The objective of this consensus is to provide guidance for identifying impaired investments. EITF 03-1 also provides new disclosure requirements for investments that are deemed to be temporarily impaired. Originally, the accounting provisions of EITF 03-1 were effective for all reporting periods beginning after June 15, 2004, while the disclosure requirements are effective only for annual periods ending after June 15, 2004. In September 2004, the FASB issued two FASB Staff Positions (FSP), FSP EITF 03-1-a and FSP EITF 03-1-1, which delayed the measurement and recognition paragraphs of the consensus for further discussion. The disclosure requirements remain effective as originally issued under EITF 03-1 and have been adopted by the Consolidated Corporation. In June 2005, the FASB issued a final FSP EITF 03-1-a (retitled FSP FAS 115-1, "The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments") which will replace the guidance set forth in paragraphs 10-18 of Issue 03-1 and clarifies when an investor should recognize an impairment loss. The provisions of FSP FAS 115-1 are effective for other-than-temporary impairment analysis conducted in periods beginning after December 15, 2005. The Consolidated Corporation has evaluated the provisions of FSP FAS 115-1 and believes the impact will be immaterial on its overall results of operations or financial position. In May 2005, the FASB issued FASB Statement 154 "Accounting Changes and Error Corrections" which replaces APB Opinion No. 20 "Accounting Changes" and FASB Statement 3 "Reporting Accounting Changes in Interim Financial Statements." This statement changes the requirements for the accounting for and reporting of a change in accounting principle. This statement applies to all voluntary changes in accounting principle. It also applies to changes required by an accounting pronouncement in the unusual instance that the pronouncement does not include specific transition provisions. This statement requires voluntary changes in accounting principles be recognized retrospectively to prior periods' financial statements, rather than recognition in the net income of the current period. Retrospective application requires restatements of prior period financial statements as if that accounting principle had always been used. This statement carries forward without change the guidance contained in Opinion 20 for reporting the correction of an error in previously issued financial statements and a change in accounting estimate. The provisions of FASB Statement 154 are effective for accounting changes and corrections of errors made in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2005. 17 ITEM 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation Ohio Casualty Corporation (the Corporation) is the holding company of The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company (the Company), which is one of six property-casualty insurance companies that make up the Ohio Casualty Group (the Group), collectively the "Consolidated Corporation". All dollar amounts in this Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) are in millions unless otherwise noted. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS Net income The Consolidated Corporation reported net income of $135.4, or $2.02 per share for the nine months ending September 30, 2005, compared with $71.5, or $1.07 per share in the same period of 2004. For the third quarter of 2005, net income was $55.5, or $0.85 per share, compared with net income of $19.6, or $0.30 per share in the same quarter of 2004. Management of the Consolidated Corporation believes the significant volatility of realized investment gains and losses limits the usefulness of net income as a measure of current operating performance. Therefore, management uses the non-GAAP financial measure of operating income to further evaluate current operating performance. Operating income is reconciled to net income in the table below: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operating income $32.7 $22.4 $103.6 $ 71.4 After-tax net realized gains/(losses) 22.8 (2.8) 31.8 1.7 Cumulative effect of accounting change - - - (1.6) - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income $55.5 $19.6 $135.4 $ 71.5 ====================================================================================== Operating income per share - diluted $0.50 $ 0.34 $1.55 $ 1.07 After-tax net realized gains/(losses) per share - diluted 0.35 (0.04) 0.47 0.02 Cumulative effect of accounting change per share - diluted - - - (0.02) - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net income per share - diluted $0.85 $0.30 $2.02 $ 1.07 ======================================================================================= During the third quarter 2005, the Consolidated Corporation favorably concluded settlements with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for tax years 1996 through 2001. As a result of the IRS settlement, net income was favorably impacted for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 by $16.8 ($0.26 per share for the three months and $0.25 per share for the nine months) and operating income for the periods was favorably impacted by $6.1 ($0.09 per share for the three and nine months). For additional information regarding this IRS settlement, see Note X in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page 16 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Investment Results Third quarter 2005 and 2004 consolidated before-tax investment income was $51.4 ($36.5 after tax) and $44.9 ($31.4 after tax), respectively. The effective tax rate on investment income in the third quarter was 29.0%, compared with 30.0% for the same period of 2004. For the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, consolidated before-tax net investment income was $148.4 ($107.1 after tax) and $144.0 ($98.8 after tax), respectively. The effective tax rate on investment income for the first nine months of 2005 was 27.8%, compared with 31.4% for the same period of 2004. Included in 2005's third quarter pre-tax investment income is $2.5 of interest income on favorable tax settlements with the IRS. See Note X in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page 16 of this Quarterly Report on Form10-Q for additional information. Before-tax investment income for the three and nine month periods ending September 30, 2005, prior to giving consideration to the interest income from the IRS settlements, was slightly higher than the same periods of the prior year, as the impact of growth of our investment portfolio 18 resulting from positive operating cash flows was only partially offset by lower before-tax investment yields in 2005 and our increased tax-exempt securities holdings. Tax-exempt securities generally have lower before-tax yields, but generate higher after-tax investment income. As a result of the Consolidated Corporation's increased tax-exempt securities holdings, the Consolidated Corporation's effective tax rate on investment income is lower in the current year when compared to prior periods. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005, net realized gains were $22.4 and $36.2, compared to net realized losses of $4.3 for the three months ended September 30, 2004 and net realized gains of $2.6 for the nine months then ended in 2004. During the third quarter of 2005 as part of a portfolio reallocation, the Group reduced its holdings in certain common stock securities, which had appreciated in value and had become a significant percentage of the Group's total common stock portfolio. These disposals accounted for $24.0 of the net realized gain recognized during the quarter. In the third quarter of 2005 and 2004, there were no material losses on the disposal of any specific security or sector of securities. Invested assets comprise a majority of the consolidated assets. Consequently, accounting policies related to investments are critical. For further discussion of investment accounting policies, see the "Critical Accounting Policies" section on pages 31 and 32 of the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Investments are continually evaluated based on current economic conditions, credit loss experience and other developments. The difference between the cost/amortized cost and estimated fair value of investments is continually evaluated to determine whether a decline in value is temporary or other than temporary in nature. This determination involves a degree of uncertainty. If a decline in the fair value of a security is determined to be temporary, the decline is recorded as an unrealized loss in shareholders' equity. If a decline in a security's fair value is considered to be other than temporary, the security is written down to the estimated fair value with a corresponding realized loss recognized in the current consolidated statement of income. The assessment of whether a decline in fair value is considered temporary or other than temporary includes management's judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity issuing the security. It is not possible to accurately predict when it may be determined that a specific security will become impaired. Future impairment charges could be material to the results of operations. The before-tax impairment charge recorded in the third quarter of 2005 and 2004 was $0.9 and $2.3, respectively, and $0.9 and $7.5 for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively. Management believes that it will recover the cost basis in the securities held with unrealized losses as it has both the intent and ability to hold the securities until they mature or recover in value. Securities are sold to achieve management's investment goals, which include the diversification of credit risk, the maintenance of adequate portfolio liquidity, the generation of a competitive investment yield, the management of interest rate risk and statutory surplus volatility. In order to achieve these goals, sales of investments are based upon current market conditions, liquidity needs and estimates of the future market value of the individual securities. The following table summarizes, for all available-for-sale securities and held-to-maturity securities, the total gross unrealized losses, excluding gross unrealized gains, by investment category and length of time the securities have continuously been in an unrealized loss position as of September 30, 2005: 19 Available-for-sale with unrealized losses: Less than 12 months 12 months or longer Total ---------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- Fair Unrealized Fair Unrealized Fair Unrealized Value Losses Value Losses Value Losses ---------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- Fixed securities: U.S. government $ 13.9 $(0.1) $ - $ - $ 13.9 $ (0.1) States, municipalities and political subdivisions 469.7 (3.3) 3.1 - 472.8 (3.3) Corporate securities 298.1 (5.6) 18.1 (0.6) 316.2 (6.2) Mortgage-backed securities 275.6 (2.2) 8.3 (0.4) 283.9 (2.6) - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total fixed maturities 1,057.3 (11.2) 29.5 (1.0) 1,086.8 (12.2) Equity securities 22.8 (1.4) - - 22.8 (1.4) - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total temporarily impaired securities $1,080.1 $(12.6) $29.5 $(1.0) $1,109.6 $(13.6) ========================================================================================================= Held-to-maturity with unrealized losses: Less than 12 months 12 months or longer Total ---------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- Fair Unrealized Fair Unrealized Fair Unrealized Value Losses Value Losses Value Losses ---------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- Fixed securities: Corporate securities $ 73.4 $(1.2) $50.9 $(1.6) $124.3 $(2.8) Mortgage-backed securities 69.0 (1.2) 15.4 (0.3) 84.4 (1.5) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total temporarily impaired securities $142.4 $(2.4) $66.3 $(1.9) $208.7 $(4.3) ========================================================================================================== As part of the evaluation of the entire $17.9 aggregate unrealized loss on the investment portfolio, management performed a more intensive review of securities with a relatively higher degree of unrealized loss. Based on a review of each security, management believes that unrealized losses on these securities were temporary declines in value at September 30, 2005. In the tables above, there are approximately 400 securities represented. Of this total, 14 securities have unrealized loss positions greater than 5% of their book values at September 30, 2005, with none exceeding 20%. This group represents $3.1, or 17.3% of the total unrealized loss position. Of this group, eleven securities, representing approximately $2.7 in unrealized losses, have been in an unrealized loss position for less than twelve months. Of the remaining three securities, which have been in an unrealized loss position for longer than twelve months and total $0.4, management believes that it is probable that all contract terms of the security will be satisfied; the unrealized loss position is due to the changes in the interest rate environment; and that it has positive intent and the ability to hold the securities until they mature or recover in value. All securities are monitored by portfolio managers who consider many factors such as an issuer's degree of financial flexibility, management competence and industry fundamentals in evaluating whether the decline in fair value is temporary. In addition, management considers whether it is probable that all contract terms of the security will be satisfied and whether the unrealized loss position is due to changes in the interest rate environment. Should management subsequently conclude the decline in fair value is other than temporary, the book value of the security is written down to fair value with the realized loss being recognized in the then current consolidated statement of income. The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale and held- to-maturity fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2005, by contractual maturity are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties. 20 Available-for-sale: Amortized Estimated Unrealized Cost Fair Value Loss - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Due in one year or less $ 5.0 $ 5.0 $ - Due after one year through five years 183.0 180.3 (2.7) Due after five years through ten years 277.0 273.1 (3.9) Due after ten years 347.5 344.5 (3.0) Mortgage-backed securities 286.5 283.9 (2.6) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total $1,099.0 $1,086.8 $(12.2) ================================================================================== Held-to-maturity: Amortized Estimated Unrealized Cost Fair Value Loss - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Due in one year or less $ 2.0 $ 2.0 $ - Due after one year through five years 22.9 22.3 (0.6) Due after five years through ten years 99.0 96.9 (2.1) Due after ten years 3.2 3.1 (0.1) Mortgage-backed securities 85.9 84.4 (1.5) - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total $213.0 $208.7 $(4.3) ================================================================================== For additional discussion relative to the Consolidated Corporation's investment portfolio, see the "Investment Portfolio" section under "Liquidity and Capital Resources" on pages 26-28 of this MD&A. Agent Relationships The agent relationships asset is an identifiable intangible asset representing the excess of cost over fair value of net assets acquired in connection with the acquisition of the commercial lines business from Great American Insurance Company (GAI) in 1998. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) requires the Consolidated Corporation to perform periodic reviews for possible impairment. These reviews consist of a comparison of estimated future cash flows to the carrying value of the intangible asset. If the estimated future cash flows are less than the carrying value for any individual agent included in the asset, that portion of the asset must be written down to its estimated fair value. The calculation of impairment follows accounting guidelines that do not permit increasing the intangible value for agents who are projected to generate more profit than was expected at the time of the initial assignment of the intangible value to each agent. The determination of impairment involves the use of management estimates and assumptions. Due to the inherent uncertainties and judgments involved in developing assumptions for each agent and the fact that the asset cannot be increased for any agent, further reductions in the valuation of the agent relationships asset are likely to occur in the future. These reductions could be significant if actual agent revenue production or profitability, or both, differ materially from current assumptions. Management has considered these and other factors in determining the remaining useful life of approximately 19 years for this asset. Overall, the estimated future cash flows for the remaining acquired agents assigned an intangible value exceed the remaining asset book value of $111.9 recorded at September 30, 2005. For additional information regarding agent relationships asset, please refer to Note V in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page 12 in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Operating Results Insurance industry regulators require the Group to report its financial condition and results of operations, among other things, using statutory accounting principles. Management uses industry standard financial measures determined on a statutory basis, as well as those determined on a GAAP basis to analyze the Group's property and casualty operations. These insurance industry financial measures include loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) ratios, underwriting expense ratio, combined ratio, net premiums written and net premiums earned. The combined ratio is a commonly used gauge of underwriting performance measuring the percentage of premium dollars used to pay insurance losses and related expenses. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss, LAE and underwriting expense ratios. All references to combined ratio or its components in this MD&A are calculated on a GAAP basis, unless otherwise indicated, and are calculated on a calendar year basis unless specified as calculated on an accident year basis. Insurance industry financial measures are included in the next several sections of this MD&A that discuss results of operations. A discussion of the differences between statutory accounting and generally accepted accounting principles in the United States is included in Item 15, page 69 of the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. 21 At September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, statutory surplus, a financial measure that is required by insurance regulators and used to monitor financial strength, was $937.0 and $972.0, respectively. The ratio of twelve months ended net premiums written to statutory surplus as of September 30, 2005 was 1.6 to 1.0 compared to 1.5 to 1.0 at December 31, 2004. The decrease in statutory surplus during the first nine months of 2005 is primarily a result of dividend declarations by the Company to the Corporation in the amount of $136.6, of which $111.6 were paid by September 30, 2005 and the balance was paid on October 3, 2005. Premium Revenue Results Premium revenue reflects premiums earned by the Group. The Group's premiums are earned principally on a monthly pro rata basis over the term of the policy. Management analyzes premium revenues primarily by premiums written in the current period. Net premiums written differs from gross premiums written by premiums ceded to reinsurers. The table below summarizes property and casualty premium on a gross and net basis compared with the same period of the prior year: Three months ended Nine months ended September 30, September 30, 2005 2004 % Chg 2005 2004 % Chg ---- ---- ----- ---- ---- ----- Gross Premiums Written - ---------------------- Commercial Lines $212.5 $210.5 1.0% $ 647.7 $ 656.8 (1.4)% Specialty Lines 53.0 65.5 (19.1)% 160.4 194.1 (17.4)% Personal Lines 125.3 130.7 (4.1)% 363.4 377.2 (3.7)% ------ ------ -------- -------- All Lines $390.8 $406.7 (3.9)% $1,171.5 $1,228.1 (4.6)% ====== ====== ======== ======== Three months ended Nine months ended September 30, September 30, 2005 2004 % Chg 2005 2004 % Chg ---- ---- ----- ---- ---- ----- Net Premiums Written - -------------------- Commercial Lines $207.1 $203.3 1.9% $ 634.5 $ 635.8 (0.2)% Specialty Lines 38.0 28.7 32.4% 116.8 102.6 13.8% Personal Lines 123.9 128.7 (3.7)% 361.1 373.0 (3.2)% ------ ------ -------- -------- All Lines $369.0 $360.7 2.3% $1,112.4 $1,111.4 0.1% ====== ====== ======== ======== All Lines gross premiums written are down for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2005, due primarily to all three operating segments experiencing declines in new business premium productions as a result of an increase in competition partially offset by slightly better retention rates. For Commercial Lines, the decline in new business premium production for the three months ended September 30, 2005 was partially offset by improved retention rates during the quarter and average renewal price increases in the low single digits. For Specialty Lines, net premiums written increased during the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2005 as a result of a decline in ceded premiums primarily related to higher reinsurance retention limits, as previously disclosed and a third quarter 2004 increased accrual for ceded premium of $6.1 on a commercial umbrella product line reinsurance treaty for the years 1999 through 2001, which reduced net written premiums in 2004. Without the effect of this additional ceded premium accrual in 2004, Specialty Lines net premiums written for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 increased 9.2% and 7.5%, respectively, over the same periods of the prior year. To offset the impact of an increasingly competitive environment, the Group continues to devote more attention to identifying opportunities to enhance premium growth by working to increase utilization of the Personal and Commercial Lines service centers, improved sales force effectiveness and improved agency management. Commercial Lines renewal price increases averaged 1.5% in the third quarter 2005 compared to 2.9% in the third quarter 2004. This decrease period over period is the result of a broad market trend of increased competitive pricing pressure. Renewal price increase means the average increase in premium for policies renewed by the Group. The average increase in premium for each renewed policy is calculated by comparing the total expiring premium for the policy with the total renewal premium for the same policy. Renewal price increases include, among other things, the effects of rate increases and changes in the underlying insured exposures of the policy. Only policies issued by the Group in the previous policy term with the same policy identification codes are included. Therefore, renewal price increases do not include any effects of reinsurance. 22 All Lines Discussion The following table provides key financial measures for All Lines: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 ---- ---- ---- ---- All Lines - --------- Loss ratio 56.4% 57.7% 53.9% 55.7% Loss adjustment expense ratio 11.7% 10.7% 11.5% 10.8% Underwriting expense ratio 31.4% 31.9% 31.5% 34.6% ----- ------ ----- ------ Combined ratio 99.5% 100.3% 96.9% 101.1% ===== ====== ===== ====== The All Lines combined ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 improved 0.8 and 4.2 points, respectively. The improvement was primarily driven by a lower loss ratio as a result of lower claim frequency, improved pricing levels and the Group's continued focus on underwriting quality. In addition, the loss ratio improvement reflects lower catastrophe losses for both the quarter and year to date, as described more fully below, despite the impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. These improvements were partially offset in the third quarter by adverse development on prior years' loss and LAE reserves, primarily in accident years prior to 2001. The underwriting expense ratio improvement is described below and includes the full impact of staff reductions related to the 2004 Cost Structure Efficiency (CSE) Initiative. The table below summarizes the impact of changes in provision for all prior accident year losses and LAE: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2005 2004 2005 2004 ---- ---- ---- ---- Statutory net liabilities, beginning of period $2,228.2 $2,168.8 $2,183.8 $2,128.9 Increase/(decrease) in provision for prior accident year claims $3.1 $(3.1) $(3.6) $(15.8) Increase/(decrease) in provision for prior accident year claims as % of premiums earned 0.9% (0.9)% (0.3)% (1.5)% Catastrophe losses for the third quarter 2005 were $17.9 or 4.9 points compared to $23.3 or 6.4 points in the third quarter 2004, a decrease of 1.5 points. For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, catastrophe losses were $26.0 or 2.4 points compared to $38.0 or 3.5 points compared to the same period last year. The effect of future catastrophes on the Group's results of operations cannot be accurately predicted. As such, severe weather patterns, acts of war or terrorist activities could have a material adverse impact on the Group's results of operations, reinsurance pricing and availability of reinsurance. During the third quarter of 2005, there were seven catastrophes with the largest catastrophe (Hurricane Rita) generating $14.9 in incurred losses as compared with eight catastrophes in the third quarter of 2004 with the largest catastrophe generating $8.0 in incurred losses. For additional disclosure of catastrophe losses, refer to Item 15, Losses and LAE Reserves in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page 66 of the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. The deterioration of the LAE ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 is attributable to a reduction in favorable prior years' reserve development period over period ($3.7 and $14.1 favorable development for the three and nine months periods of 2004, respectively, compared to no development and $1.6 favorable development for the current quarter and year to date periods, respectively). The improvement in the underwriting expense ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 is related to the reduction in staff costs related to the CSE initiative. In addition, the nine month underwriting expense ratio was favorably impacted by a $5.1 reduction to the surplus guarantee accrual related to the sale of the Group's New Jersey private passenger auto business to Proformance Insurance Company (Proformance), reducing the 2005 underwriting expense ratio by 0.5 points. The underwriting expense ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 was impacted by an increase to the surplus guarantee accrual of 0.3 points and 0.9 points, respectively. In addition, the underwriting and LAE ratios for the three and nine month periods of 2005 were impacted by an additional 1.2 points and 0.7 points, respectively, when compared to the same periods in 2004 due to increased incentive accruals resulting from improved profitability. 23 The respective periods of 2004 were adversely impacted by $0.9 and $10.0, respectively, in severance and other restructuring costs related to the CSE initiative. See Note VIII - Contingencies on pages 14 and 15 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The employee count declined slightly when compared to December 31, 2004. As of September 30, 2005, the employee count was 2,138, compared with 2,190 at December 31, 2004 and 2,206 at September 30, 2004. In both the third quarter 2005 and 2004, underwriting expenses included $0.8 of software amortization expense before tax, related to the rollout of P.A.R.I.S.sm. On a GAAP accounting basis, the new application is being amortized over a ten-year period. This amortization expense is expected to be offset in part by reduced labor costs related to underwriting and policy processing. In 2001, the Group introduced into operation, P.A.R.I.S.(sm) for Commercial Lines. At the end of 2004, P.A.R.I.S.(sm) was deployed for the Specialty Lines commercial umbrella excess capacity product line. Further implementation for other Specialty and Personal Lines products is expected during the balance of 2005 and 2006. The P.A.R.I.S.(sm) system provides the policy administration environment used internally by the Group's associates. An extension of P.A.R.I.S.(sm) called P.A.R.I.S. Express(sm) leverages the P.A.R.I.S.(sm) system to provide underwriting, rating, inquiry and policy processing functionality to our agents. P.A.R.I.S. Express(sm) is a proprietary internet interface that uses the P.A.R.I.S.(sm) system to provide real-time functionality through a web browser to our agents. In addition, the Group is simultaneously introducing P.A.R.I.S. Connect(tm) which allows agents to transact with the Group directly from their agency management system without requiring re-entering of customer or agency information. For selected Commercial Lines agents, P.A.R.I.S. Express(sm) and P.A.R.I.S. Connect(tm) provides on-line quoting capability. In February of 2005, P.A.R.I.S. Express(sm) was extended to support issuance and endorsement processing for selected pilot agents; nationwide rollout will commence in 2005 and extend into 2006. Personal Lines currently offers on-line and real time quoting and issuance for new business and endorsements through existing (non- P.A.R.I.S.(sm)) systems. Agents want a cost effective, timely and simple system for issuing and maintaining insurance policies. P.A.R.I.S. Express(sm) and P.A.R.I.S. Connect(tm) are the cornerstone in the Group's strategy of focusing on superior agent service. The success of this strategic plan depends in part on the ability to provide agents with the technological advantages of these tools. If they do not work as expected, or fail to satisfy agents' needs, the Group may lose business to insurers with preferred technologies. Segment Discussion The Consolidated Corporation's organizational structure consists of three operating units: Commercial, Specialty and Personal Lines. The Consolidated Corporation also has an all other segment, which derives its revenue from investment income. The following tables provide key financial measures for each of the property and casualty reportable segments: Commercial Lines Segment Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 Commercial Lines Segment 2005 2004 2005 2004 - ------------------------ ---- ---- ---- ---- Net premiums written $207.1 $203.3 $634.5 $635.8 Net premiums earned 206.1 201.7 618.4 601.9 Loss ratio 63.5% 57.8% 58.8% 54.4% Loss adjustment expense ratio 15.3% 12.1% 14.5% 12.4% Underwriting expense ratio 32.4% 31.9% 33.4% 35.4% ------ ------ ------ ------ Combined ratio 111.2% 101.8% 106.7% 102.2% The deterioration in the combined ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2005 compared to the same period last year is primarily due to adverse loss and LAE reserve development concentrated in the workers' compensation and commercial multiple peril (CMP) product lines, somewhat offset by favorable 24 development in the commercial auto product line. The adverse prior year reserve development added 6.1 points to the third quarter 2005 loss and LAE ratios compared to favorable development of 1.7 points in the third quarter 2004. For the first nine months of 2005, Commercial Lines loss and LAE reserves were adversely impacted by prior year development of 4.8 points compared to favorable development of 2.0 points in 2004. The adverse development on the workers' compensation product line for both periods is related to the ongoing review of lifetime and other severe claims. Also impacting the loss and LAE ratios for these periods were assessments for the National Workers' Compensation Pool (NWCP), which improved the Commercial Lines loss and LAE ratios by 0.6 points in the third quarter 2005, compared with increased assessments in the same period of 2004 which added 0.5 points to the loss and LAE ratios. Year-to-date the NWCP added 0.8 points to the loss and LAE ratios in 2005 and 1.2 points for the same period in 2004. The Group continues to focus on improving profitability in the workers' compensation product line. The Group has restricted writings in states where the workers' compensation product line has historically been unprofitable and is focused on growing this product line in profitable states and classes. The adverse prior year development in the CMP product line is partially related to increased asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves resulting from the annual A&E reserve study completed in the quarter. See Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense section within Liquidity and Capital Resources. The three and nine months ended September 30, 2005 Commercial Lines loss ratio included 8.2 and 3.4 points, respectively, related to catastrophe losses compared to 7.7 and 3.1 points during the same period in 2004, respectively. The catastrophe loss impact on the CMP product line loss ratio was 19.7 points and 7.9 points for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2005, respectively, compared to 17.7 points and 7.2 points during the comparative periods in 2004, respectively. Specialty Lines Segment Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 Specialty Lines Segment 2005 2004 2005 2004 - ------------------------ ---- ---- ---- ---- Net premiums written $38.0 $28.7 $116.8 $102.6 Net premiums earned 36.3 32.0 107.8 114.5 Loss ratio 49.1% 47.6% 44.6% 44.2% Loss adjustment expense ratio 5.4% 7.0% 7.7% 4.5% Underwriting expense ratio 40.7% 53.4% 43.3% 48.2% ----- ------ ----- ----- Combined ratio 95.2% 108.0% 95.6% 96.9% The Specialty Lines combined ratio improved for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2005, primarily driven by decreases in the underwriting expense ratios, partially offset by increases in the loss ratio for both periods presented. The 2004 loss and underwriting expense ratios for the three and nine month periods were adversely impacted by a $6.1 ceded premium accrual, which reduced net premiums written and earned, putting upward pressure on these ratios. Removing the effect of the ceded premium accrual, the loss ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 would be 40.0% and 41.9%, respectively. The underwriting expense ratio would be 44.9% and 45.8% for the same respective periods. The increase in the loss ratio for the three and nine month periods of 2005 relates to increased retention on commercial umbrella risks partially offset by favorable prior year reserve development of 8.2 points and 6.8 points, respectively. For the comparable periods in 2004, the favorable prior year reserve development lowered the loss and LAE ratios by 6.9 points and 6.5 points, respectively. Personal Lines Segment Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 Personal Lines Segment 2005 2004 2005 2004 - ------------------------ ---- ---- ---- ---- Net premiums written $123.9 $128.7 $361.1 $373.0 Net premiums earned 120.1 122.8 364.1 368.4 Loss ratio 46.4% 60.1% 48.2% 61.0% Loss adjustment expense ratio 7.5% 9.5% 7.7% 10.1% Underwriting expense ratio 26.9% 26.2% 24.7% 29.4% ----- ----- ----- ------ Combined ratio 80.8% 95.8% 80.6% 100.5% The combined ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2005 improved 15.0 points when compared to the same period of the prior year, primarily driven by improvements to both the loss and LAE ratios, partially offset by an increase in the underwriting expense ratio. The loss ratio for the third quarter 2005 improved 13.7 points when compared to third quarter 2004, while the LAE ratio improved 2.0 points. The 25 loss ratio improvement was driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable development on prior years' reserves, increased pricing and favorable claims frequency trends. In the third quarter 2005, favorable development on prior year reserves lowered the loss and LAE ratio by 5.5 points compared to 2.1 points of adverse prior year reserve development in 2004. The third quarter 2005 Personal Lines loss ratio included 0.8 points of catastrophe losses, compared to 6.3 points in the third quarter of 2004. During the first nine months of 2005, the Personal Lines loss ratio was impacted by 1.3 points related to catastrophe losses compared to 5.2 points during the same period in 2004. The first nine months of 2005 underwriting expense ratio included a 1.4 point reduction related to the Proformance surplus guarantee, compared to a 2.7 point increase in the same period last year. <CAPION> Statutory Earned Premium and Combined Ratios Combined Ratios ---------------------------------------------------- Earned Premium Calendar Year Accident Year Year to Date Year to Date Year to Date Calendar Accident September 30, September 30, September 30, Year Year (By operating segment) 2005 2005 2005(a) 2004 2004(a) - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Commercial Lines $ 618.4 106.4% 101.6% 99.3% 100.0% Specialty Lines 107.8 89.7% 96.5% 97.2% 103.3% Personal Lines 364.1 81.1% 88.3% 97.6% 95.1% - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total All Lines $1,090.3 96.4% 96.7% 98.4% 98.5% =========================================================================================== (a) The loss and LAE ratio component of the accident year combined ratio measures losses and LAE arising from insured events that occurred in the respective accident year. The current accident year excludes losses and LAE for insured events that occurred in prior accident years. The measurement date for accident year data is September 30, 2005. Partial and complete accident periods may not be comparable due to seasonality, claim reporting and development patterns, claim settlement rates and other factors. LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES Investment Portfolio The following table sets forth the distribution and other data of investments at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. September 30, 2005 December 31, 2004 ------------------ ----------------- Average Amortized Carrying % of Amortized Carrying % of Rating Cost Value Total Cost Value Total ------------------------------------------------------------------------- U.S Government: Available-for-sale AAA $ 23.6 $ 23.9 0.6 $ 31.9 $ 33.4 0.8 States, municipalities, and political subdivisions: Investment grade: Available-for-sale AAA 1,215.5 1,223.6 29.0 1,018.4 1,034.6 24.4 Corporate securities: Investment grade: Available-for-sale A 1,602.7 1,680.4 39.7 1,562.8 1,686.4 39.7 Held-to-maturity A+ 162.9 162.9 3.9 164.7 164.7 3.9 Below Investment grade: Available-for-sale BB 79.0 81.0 1.9 51.6 58.4 1.4 --------------------------------------------------------------- Total corporate securties 1,844.6 1,924.3 45.5 1,779.1 1,909.5 45.0 --------------------------------------------------------------- Mortgage-backed securities: Investment grade: Available-for-sale AAA 530.8 542.7 12.8 505.2 524.7 12.4 Held-to-maturity AAA 110.9 110.9 2.6 136.7 136.7 3.2 Below Investment grade: Available-for-sale B 1.9 1.9 - 6.9 8.6 0.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- Total mortgage-backed securities 643.6 655.5 15.4 648.8 670.0 15.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- Total fixed maturities 3,727.3 3,827.3 90.5 3,478.2 3,647.5 86.0 Equity securities 120.2 352.2 8.3 98.9 357.4 8.4 Short-term investments 48.4 48.4 1.2 239.9 239.1 5.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- Total investment portfolio $3,895.9 $4,227.9 100.0 $3,817.0 $4,244.0 100.0 =============================================================== 26 The fixed maturity portfolio is allocated between investment grade and below investment grade as follows: September 30, 2005 December 31, 2004 Amortized Carrying % of Amortized Carrying % of Cost Value Fixed Cost Value Fixed ------------------------------------------------------------- Total investment grade $3,646.4 $3,744.4 97.8 $3,419.7 $3,580.5 98.2 Total below investment grade 80.9 82.9 2.2 58.5 67.0 1.8 The fixed maturity portfolio is allocated between available-for-sale and held-to-maturity as follows: Total available-for-sale fixed securities $3,453.5 $3,553.5 92.8 $3,176.8 $3,346.1 91.7 Total held-to-maturity securities 273.8 273.8 7.2 301.4 301.4 8.3 The excess of carrying value over cost was $332.0 at September 30, 2005, compared with $427.0 at December 31, 2004. The decrease in 2005 was attributable to an increase in interest rates for fixed maturity securities and the sale of certain highly appreciated equity securities. This decline in the excess of carrying value over cost during the nine months ended September 30, 2005 decreased the Consolidated Corporation's book value by $1.00 per share, which was offset by the improved profitability of the Consolidated Corporation. See page 30 for reconciliation of book value per share from December 31, 2004 to September 30, 2005. The consolidated fixed maturity portfolio, including short-term securities, has an intermediate duration and a laddered maturity structure. The duration of the fixed maturity portfolio was approximately 5.1 years at both September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004. The Consolidated Corporation remains fully invested and does not time markets. Fixed maturity securities are classified as investment grade or non-investment grade based upon the higher of the ratings provided by S&P and Moody's. When a security is not rated by either S&P or Moody's, the classification is based on other rating services, including the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. The market value of available-for-sale split-rated fixed maturity securities (i.e., those having an investment grade rating from one rating agency and a below investment grade rating from another rating agency) was $28.0 and $31.5 at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004, respectively. Investments in below investment grade securities have greater risks than investments in investment grade securities. The risk of default by borrowers that issue below investment grade securities is significantly greater because these borrowers are often highly leveraged and more sensitive to adverse economic conditions, including a recession or a sharp increase in interest rates. Following is a table displaying available-for-sale non-investment grade and non-rated securities in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2005 and December 31, 2004: Amortized Fair Unrealized Cost Value Loss - ------------------------------------------------------------------------ September 30, 2005 $19.7 $18.7 $(1.0) December 31, 2004 1.5 1.4 (0.1) Equity securities are carried at fair market value on the consolidated balance sheets. As a result, shareholders' equity and statutory surplus fluctuate with changes in the value of the equity portfolio. As of September 30, 2005, the equity portfolio consisted of stocks in a total of 55 separate entities covering all ten major S&P industry sectors. Of this total, 26.4% were invested in five companies and the largest single position was 5.7% of the equity portfolio. At December 31, 2004, the equity portfolio consisted of stocks in 50 separate entities in nine different industries. Of this total, 31.2% were invested in five companies and the largest single position was 7.3% of the equity portfolio. In June 2004, the Corporation invested the proceeds of the Senior Note offering in short-term investments. Short-term investments are carried at fair market value on the consolidated balance sheets and produce a lower yield. In the second quarter of 2005, these investments were liquidated to fund the redemption of the Corporation's 5.00% Convertible Notes, see Liquidity and Capital Resources - Debt for additional information regarding this transaction. 27 The investment portfolio also includes non-publicly traded securities such as private placements, non-exchange traded equities and limited partnerships which are carried at fair value. Fair values are based on valuations from pricing services, brokers and other methods as determined by management to provide the most accurate price. The carrying value of this portfolio at September 30, 2005, was $297.1 compared to $310.8 at December 31, 2004. The Consolidated Corporation uses assumptions and estimates when valuing certain investments and related income. These assumptions include estimations of cash flows and interest rates. Although the Consolidated Corporation believes the values of its investments represent fair value, certain cash flow and interest rate estimates could change and lead to changes in fair values. Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses The Group's largest liabilities are reserves for losses and LAE. Loss and LAE reserves are established for all incurred claims without discounting for the time value of money and before credit for reinsurance recoverable. Loss and LAE reserves are adjusted upward or downward as new information is received. These reserves amounted to $2.9 billion at September 30, 2005 and $2.8 billion at December 31, 2004. As of September 30, 2005, the reserves by operating segment were as follows: $1.8 billion in Commercial Lines, $0.7 billion in Specialty Lines and $0.4 billion in Personal Lines. The Group's actuaries conduct a reserve study using generally accepted actuarial methods each quarter from which point estimates of ultimate losses and LAE by product line or coverage within product line are selected. In selecting the point estimates, thousands of data points are reviewed and the judgment of the actuaries is applied broadly. Each quarter management records its best estimate of the liability for loss and LAE reserves by considering the actuaries' point estimates. Management's best estimate recognizes that there is uncertainty underlying the actuarial point estimates. Estimating the ultimate cost of claims is a complex process. This estimation process is based largely on the assumption that actuarial reserving methods, using historical loss experience applied by experienced reserving actuaries, produces reasonable estimates of future losses on prior insured events. Reserve estimates can change over time because of unexpected changes in the internal and/or external environment. Assumptions internal to company operations include: recording of premium and loss statistics in the appropriate detail is accurate and consistent; claims handling, including the recording of claims, payment and closure rates, and case reserving is consistent; the quality of business written and the mix of business (e.g. states, limits, coverages and deductibles) have been consistent; rate changes and changes in policy provisions have been measured accurately; reinsurance coverage has been consistent and reinsured losses are collectible. Assumptions related to the external environment include: tort law and the legal environment have been and remain consistent; coverage interpretation by the courts has been and remains consistent; regulations regarding coverage provisions have been consistent; and loss inflation is relatively stable. To the extent any of the above factors have changed over time, attempts are made to adjust for the changes. Changes to losses and LAE for prior accident years adversely impacted results of operations for the three months ended September 30, 2005 by $3.1 and favorably impacted results of operations for the same three month period of 2004 by $3.1. For the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, changes to losses and LAE for prior accident years favorably impacted the results of operations by $3.6 and $15.8, respectively. These amounts and those stated below are net of reinsurance, including the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables. The following table provides the before-tax amount of prior accident years' loss and LAE reserve development by reportable segment: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 Year 2005 2004 2005 2004 2004 ------------------ ----------------- ---- (Favorable)/Unfavorable - ----------------------- Commercial Lines $12.7 $(3.5) $ 29.9 $(12.2) $(15.0) Specialty Lines (3.0) (2.2) (7.3) (7.4) (9.4) Personal Lines (6.6) 2.6 (26.2) 3.8 2.6 ------ ------ ------- ------- ------- All Lines Prior Accident Year Development $ 3.1 $(3.1) $ (3.6) $(15.8) $(21.8) ====== ====== ======== ======= ======= 28 For the third quarter 2005, adverse development occurred in the workers' compensation, CMP and general liability product lines. Adverse workers' compensation development of $8.2 is mostly attributable to the review of permanent cases begun in the first quarter to re-assess life expectancy and increased medical costs. CMP and general liability were adversely impacted by increased A&E incurred loss and LAE of $4.1 resulting from the annual A&E reserve study completed in the quarter as well as approximately $3.0 of case increases from business exited over ten years ago. Partially offsetting these were favorable development for automobile liability claims, both personal and commercial, as well as commercial umbrella. For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, the principal reason for favorable development is less severity than expected for automobile liability claims, both personal and commercial, spread across accident years 1996 through 2004. For Commercial Lines the favorable development in the commercial auto product line was more than offset by adverse development from the workers' compensation product line concentrated in accident years 2000 and prior. This adverse workers' compensation development is mostly attributable to a review of permanent cases to re- assess life expectancy and increased medical costs. The third quarter was also adversely impacted by asbestos and environmental losses and case increases from exited business, as described above. The following table provides prior accident years' development for loss and LAE by accident year: Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 Year 2005 2004 2005 2004 2004 ------------------ ----------------- ---- (Favorable)/Unfavorable - ----------------------- Accident Year 2004 $(3.2) $ - $(19.1) $ - $ - Accident Year 2003 (8.5) (9.1) (25.8) (31.3) (36.9) Accident Year 2002 and Prior 14.8 6.0 41.3 15.5 15.1 ------ ------ ------- ------- ------- Total Prior Accident Years' Development $ 3.1 $(3.1) $ (3.6) $(15.8) $(21.8) ====== ====== ======= ======= ======= In the opinion of management, the reserves recorded at September 30, 2005 represent the Group's best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and LAE. However, due to the complexity of the estimation process and the potential variability of the assumptions used, final claim settlements may vary significantly from the amounts recorded. Furthermore, the timing, frequency and extent of adjustments to the estimated liabilities cannot be predicted since conditions and events which established loss and LAE reserve development and which serve as the basis for estimating ultimate claim costs may not occur in exactly the same manner in the future, if at all. Cash Flow Net cash generated from operations was $205.9 for the first nine months of 2005, compared with $186.6 for the same period in 2004. Net cash used in investing was $233.7 in the first nine months of 2005 compared with $209.1 during the first nine months of 2004. The increase in net cash used for investing is primarily related to a decrease in net proceeds from sales and maturities of investments when compared to the same period in 2004. Cash used by financing operations was $170.6 in the first nine months of 2005 compared with cash provided of $207.9 in the first nine months of 2004. Repurchases and the redemption of the convertible debt attributed to the decline in cash used in financing activities. Also contributing to the increased use of cash for financing activities is the repurchase of the Corporation's common stock under a recently announced share repurchase program, see Part II, Item 2, for additional information regarding the share repurchase program. Liquidity needs of the Group are expected to be met by net cash generated from operations, maturities of investments, interest and dividend receipts and current cash balances. For additional information regarding Liquidity of the Corporation, please see below. Debt For a discussion regarding Debt of the Corporation, please refer to Note VII in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements on pages 12-14 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. At September 30, 2005, the Corporation had cash and marketable securities, totaling $266.7, which compared to $327.5 at December 31, 2004. In addition to investment income, the Corporation is dependent on dividend payments from the Company for additional liquidity. Insurance regulatory authorities impose 29 various restrictions on the payment of dividends by insurance companies. During 2005, dividend payments from the Company to the Corporation are limited to approximately $138.3 without prior approval of the Ohio Insurance Department. During the first nine months of 2005, the Company declared dividends of $136.6, of which $111.6 were paid by September 30, 2005 and the balance was paid on October 3, 2005, to the Corporation resulting in a dividend payment limitation of $1.7 for the remainder of 2005. Book Value Per Share At September 30, 2005, the book value per share of the Consolidated Corporation increased $0.93 per share from $20.82 per share to $21.75 per share when compared to book value at December 31, 2004. This increase is principally the result of improved profitability. At September 30, 2005 and December 30, 2004, there were 64,037,865 and 62,209,129 actual shares outstanding, respectively. Below is a table reconciling the changes in book value per share from December 31, 2004 to September 30, 2005. Book Value ----- December 31, 2004 $20.82 Activity for the nine months ended September 30, 2005: Net income 2.18 Change in unrealized gains (1.00) Impact of convertible notes and other additional paid-in capital transactions 0.27 Dividends to shareholders (0.12) Impact of share repurchase program (0.03) Impact of net increase in actual shares outstanding (0.37) ------- September 30, 2005 $21.75 ======= Rating Agencies Regularly the financial condition of the Consolidated Corporation and the Group is reviewed by four independent rating agencies, A. M. Best Company (A.M. Best), Fitch, Inc. (Fitch), Moody's and S&P. These agencies assign ratings and rating outlooks reflecting the agencies' opinions of the Group's financial strength and the ability of the Corporation to meet its financial obligations to its debt security holders. Following are the Consolidated Corporation's current ratings and rating outlooks. A.M. Best Fitch Moody's S&P --------- ----- ------- --- Financial strength rating A- A- A3 BBB+ Senior unsecured debt rating bbb- BBB- Baa3 BB+ Rating outlook Stable Positive Stable Stable For more information on the rating agency actions, please refer to Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004. Forward Looking Statements Ohio Casualty Corporation publishes forward-looking statements relating to such matters as anticipated financial performance, business prospects and plans, regulatory developments and similar matters. The statements contained in this Management's Discussion and Analysis that are not historical information, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The operations, performance and development of the Consolidated Corporation's business are subject to risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in or supported by the forward looking statements. The risks and uncertainties that may affect the operations, performance, development and results of the Consolidated Corporation's business include the following: changes in property and casualty reserves; catastrophe losses; premium and investment growth; product pricing environment; availability of credit; changes in government regulation; performance of financial markets; fluctuations in interest rates; availability and pricing of reinsurance; litigation and administrative 30 proceedings; rating agency actions; acts of war and terrorist activities; ability to achieve targeted expense savings; ability to appoint and retain agents; ability to achieve premium targets and profitability goals; and general economic and market conditions. ITEM 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk There have been no material changes in the information about market risk set forth in the Corporation's 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. ITEM 4. Controls and Procedures (a) The Corporation's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer evaluated the disclosure controls and procedures (as defined under Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that the Corporation's disclosure controls and procedures are effective. (b) There were no significant changes in the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting identified in connection with the foregoing evaluation that occurred during the Corporation's last fiscal quarter that have affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting. PART II Other Information ITEM 1. Legal Proceedings Reference is made to the first paragraph of Part I, Item 3 Legal Proceedings to the Corporation's Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 regarding the matter captioned Carol Murray v. Ohio Casualty Corporation, et al. The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, Eastern Division, dismissed the complaint against Avomark Insurance Company, Ohio Security Insurance Company, West American Insurance Company, American Fire & Casualty Insurance Company and Ohio Casualty of New Jersey, Inc. on September 27, 2005. The U.S. District Court also granted the motion for summary judgment of the Corporation and The Ohio Casualty Insurance Company on September 27, 2005. The proceeding was ordered closed with Judgment in favor of the Defendants. The decision has been appealed by plaintiff to the U.S. Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals. ITEM 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds On August 18, 2005, the Corporation's Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to four million shares of the Corporation's common stock. The repurchases may be made in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions from time to time and are funded from available working capital. The table below summarizes the status of this program from inception to September 30, 2005. ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- (c) Total Number (d) Maximum of Shares Number of Purchased Shares that as Part of May Yet Be (a) Total Publicly Purchased Number of (b) Average Announced Under the Shares Price Paid Plans or Plans or Period Purchased per Share Programs Programs - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- August 18-31, 2005 136,247 $24.83 136,247 3,863,753 September 1-30, 2005 433,868 25.85 433,868 3,429,885 ------- ------- Total 570,115 $25.61 570,115 3,429,885 ======= ======= 31 For the period October 1, 2005 to and including October 24, 2005, the Corporation has repurchased an additional 618,270 shares at an average cost of $25.95. This brings the total shares repurchased through October 24, 2005 to 1,188,385 and reduces the number of shares that may yet be repurchased to 2,811,615. ITEM 6. Exhibits Exhibits: 31.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with SEC Rule 13(a) and Rule 15(d) 31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with SEC Rule 13(a) and Rule 15(d) 32.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with Section 1350 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 32.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer of Ohio Casualty Corporation in accordance with Section 1350 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. OHIO CASUALTY CORPORATION ------------------------- (Registrant) October 25, 2005 /s/Michael A. Winner ------------------------------------------ Michael A. Winner, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 32