USF&G Corporation Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations This section provides management's assessment of financial results and material changes in financial position for USF&G Corporation and its two primary subsidiaries, United States Fidelity and Guaranty Company ("USF&G Company") and Fidelity and Guaranty Life Insurance Company ("F&G Life"), (collectively, "USF&G" or "the Corporation") and discusses the results of operations for the year ended December 31, 1994. The analysis focuses on the performance of USF&G's business segments and its investment portfolio. Amounts have not been restated for the mergers with Discover Re Managers, Inc. ("Discover Re"), and Victoria Financial Corporation ("Victoria"). The mergers are accounted for as poolings-of-interests; therefore, the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto have been restated. A reconciliation of the previously separate enterprises to the restated financial statements is included as Note 1.11 to the consolidated financial statements. Separate discussions regarding Discover Re and Victoria are included at Section 2a and Section 2b of this Analysis, respectively. (Note: A glossary of certain terms used in this discussion can be found at the end of this section. The terms are italicized the first time they appear in the text.) Index 1. Consolidated Results 12 2. Property/Casualty Insurance Operations 13 2a. Discover Re 21 2b. Victoria 22 3. Life Insurance Operations 22 4. Parent and Noninsurance Operations 24 5. Investments 24 6. Financial Condition 29 7. Liquidity 30 8. Regulation 31 9. Income Taxes 33 10. Glossary of Terms 35 1. Consolidated Results 1.1. Summary of net income The table below shows the major components of net income. (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards $ 129 $ 3 $(113) Net realized gains on investments 5 6 148 Facilities exit costs (183) - - Loss from discontinued operations - - (7) Income tax benefit 281 28 - Income (loss) from cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards: Income taxes - 90 - Postretirement benefits - (52) - Net income $ 232 $ 165 $ 28 The table below shows the components by major business segment of income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards. (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Property/casualty insurance $194 $182 $ (3) Life insurance 14 (6) (4) Parent and noninsurance (79) (83) (106) Income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards $129 $ 93 $(113) Property/casualty insurance segment income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards increased $12 million from 1993 to 1994 due to improved underwriting results. The life insurance segment's $20 million improvement from 1993 to 1994 was due to the combined effects of higher product sales and improved spreads on annuity products. The major factors influencing the improvement in the parent and noninsurance segment for 1994 are the improved results from noninsurance subsidiaries and reduced interest expense partially offset by a loss on long-term subleases. Other items affecting net income include a $183 million charge related to the planned consolidation of the Corporation's Baltimore headquarters facilities (refer to Section 1.2 of this Analysis). Also included in net income is a $281 million income tax benefit primarily related to the recognition of deferred tax assets (refer to Section 9 of this Analysis). The $137 million improvement in net income from 1992 to 1993 was driven by a $200 million improvement in property/casualty underwriting results. The 1992 net income included $51 million in restructuring charges related to branch office consolidation which has been completed. 1.2. Facilities exit costs As a result of USF&G's restructuring activities in the early 1990s and ongoing efforts to improve the overall cost effectiveness of the Corporation, USF&G's available headquarters office space significantly exceeds it needs, particularly at the 40-story office building ("the Tower") in downtown Baltimore. USF&G sold the Tower in 1984 and subsequently leased it back. Since 1991, the total headquarters staff has decreased by approximately 28 percent, including a 48 percent decrease in the number of employees who are located at the Tower. During 1994, USF&G developed and committed to a plan to consolidate its Baltimore headquarters facilities. The plan encompasses relocating all USF&G personnel currently residing at the Tower to the Mount Washington facilities in Baltimore which USF&G owns. Implementation of the plan began in January 1995. The relocation of Tower personnel will begin in mid-1995 and is expected to be completed by the end of 1996. The lease on the Tower, which expires in September 2009, will not be terminated. Approximately 30 percent of the Tower is currently sublet and USF&G intends to sublet the remaining space as it is vacated. The facilities exit costs of $183 million recorded in the fourth quarter of 1994 represent the present value of the rent and other operating expenses incurred under the Tower lease from the time USF&G vacates the Tower through the expiration of the lease in 2009. Approximately $28 million of unamortized deferred gain arising from the 1984 sale-leaseback was also recognized upon adoption of the facilities exit plan. Potential future sublease income was not considered in calculating the facilities exit costs. To the extent that additional or extended subleases are signed in the future, the present value of income to be received over the term of such a sublease will be recognized in the period the sublease is signed. 2. Property/Casualty Insurance Operations Property/casualty insurance operations, the principal business segment, accounted for 84 percent of USF&G's revenues in 1994, compared with 85 percent and 88 percent in 1993 and 1992, respectively, and 67 percent of its assets at December 31, 1994 and 1993, compared with 63 percent at December 31, 1992. Financial results for this segment are as follows: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums earned* $ 2,283 $ 2,327 $ 2,533 Losses and loss expenses (1,691) (1,758) (2,088) Underwriting expenses (792) (796) (872) Net underwriting losses (200) (227) (427) Net investment income 423 433 475 Restructuring charges - - (46) Other revenues and (expenses), net (29) (24) (5) Income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards $ 194 $ 182 $ (3) *See Glossary of Terms Improved underwriting results were the primary reason for the increase in property/casualty income in 1994 when compared with 1993 and 1992 (refer to Section 2.2 of this Analysis). The decrease in net investment income is attributable to an investment base which declined in order to meet cash flow needs (refer to Section 5.1 of this Analysis). The 1993 fluctuation in other revenues and expenses primarily reflects the decision to eliminate certain policyholders' dividends in 1992 and the reversal in that year of previously accrued but unpaid dividends. Restructuring charges relating to branch office consolidations also affected results in 1992. 2.1. Premiums earned Premiums earned totaled $2.3 billion in 1994 and 1993, compared with $2.5 billion in 1992. The table below shows the major components of premiums earned and premiums written. 1994 1993 1992 Premiums Premiums Premiums (in millions) Earned Written Earned Written Earned Written Branch Office Voluntary Production: Direct $1,919 $1,968 $1,949 $1,929 $2,272 $2,128 Ceded reinsurance (150) (162) (124) (124) (85) (85) Net branch office voluntary 1,769 1,806 1,825 1,805 2,187 2,043 Voluntary pools and associations 41 37 45 46 41 44 Involuntary pools and associations 83 70 152 133 163 147 Other premium adjustments (5) (16) - 42 (15) (57) Total primary 1,888 1,897 2,022 2,026 2,376 2,177 Assumed Reinsurance: Finite risk 172 180 169 249 74 171 Traditional risk 223 235 136 154 83 72 Total assumed 395 415 305 403 157 243 Total $2,283 $2,312 $2,327 $2,429 $2,533 $2,420 Direct voluntary premiums written increased two percent in 1994 in response to management's strategies to grow business in targeted market segments. These growth strategies follow planned actions to exit unprofitable markets and product lines in 1993 which had reduced premium production by nine percent in that year. The increase in ceded reinsurance is primarily the result of risk management as part of USF&G's strategy to enter the excess property market in commercial lines. Additionally, USF&G ceded $5 million of catastrophe reinsurance premiums under an assessment by the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund which was established in response to 1992's Hurricane Andrew. Premiums from involuntary pools and associations decreased 47 percent in 1994, after a 10 percent decrease in 1993, as USF&G continued to reduce exposure in these unprofitable markets. Other premium adjustments relate primarily to changes in earned but not reported premiums and unbilled installment premiums. Traditional risk assumed reinsurance premiums increased substantially in 1994 as USF&G expanded into international reinsurance markets, while the demand for finite risk reinsurance has decreased as a result of the new accounting requirements of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 113 and Emerging Issues Task Force ("EITF") 93-6 which were issued in 1993. The table below shows net premiums earned and the statutory loss ratios by lines of property/casualty insurance including results from voluntary and involuntary pools and associations. The table illustrates the changes in premium mix from 1992 to 1994. Management's focus on reducing exposure to less profitable lines of insurance has been a key factor in the improved underwriting results. The most dramatic examples are the workers' compensation line and assumed reinsurance. Workers' compensation has a cumulative three-year statutory loss ratio of 143.8 and represented 13 percent of total property/casualty premiums earned in 1992 but only 5 percent in 1994. Assumed reinsurance premiums increased from 6 percent of total premiums earned in 1992 to 17 percent in 1994, with a cumulative three-year statutory loss ratio of 69.9 as of December 31, 1994. In 1995, management will continue to develop strategies to achieve a more profitable mix of business by further penetrating target markets, implementing new products and services, and enhancing underwriting and customer service structures through improved technology and performance. 1994 1993 1992 Premiums Statutory Premiums Statutory Premiums Statutory Earned % Loss Ratio Earned % Loss Ratio Earned % Loss Ratio (dollars in millions) Commercial Lines: Auto $ 380 17% 58.8 $ 399 17% 54.8 $ 442 18% 64.5 General liability 357 16 89.4 351 15 80.5 388 15 99.2 Property 326 14 71.8 321 14 60.4 332 13 69.5 Workers' compensation 126 5 121.0 152 7 210.8 318 13 121.0 Total commercial lines 1,189 52 78.1 1,223 53 83.0 1,480 59 86.9 Fidelity/Surety: Fidelity 17 1 29.6 18 1 55.7 19 1 24.6 Surety 107 5 37.8 100 4 49.2 92 3 33.5 Total fidelity/ surety 124 6 36.7 118 5 50.2 111 4 32.0 Personal Lines: Auto 410 18 66.5 504 22 70.3 551 22 73.6 Homeowners 126 5 107.3 149 6 73.3 184 7 102.2 Other personal 39 2 49.1 28 1 65.6 50 2 67.9 Total personal lines 575 25 74.2 681 29 70.7 785 31 80.0 Assumed Reinsurance: Finite risk 172 7 71.9 169 7 70.1 74 3 78.9 Traditional risk 223 10 64.8 136 6 62.1 83 3 72.8 Total assumed reinsurance 395 17 67.9 305 13 67.3 157 6 76.9 Total $2,283 100% 73.1 $2,327 100% 75.4 $2,533 100% 82.0 2.2. Underwriting results Underwriting results represent premiums earned less incurred losses, loss expenses and underwriting expenses. It is not unusual for property/casualty insurance companies to have underwriting losses that are offset by investment income. Underwriting gains (losses) by major business category are as follows: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Commercial $(186) $(223) $(343) Fidelity/surety 6 (8) 6 Personal (60) (28) (110) Total primary (240) (259) (447) Assumed reinsurance 40 32 20 Net underwriting losses $(200) $(227) $(427) Voluntary $(179) $(176) $(390) Involuntary (21) (51) (37) Net underwriting losses $(200) $(227) $(427) Consolidated property/casualty underwriting ratios, calculated based on generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and statutory accounting practices, are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 74.0 75.6 82.4 Expense ratio* 34.7 34.2 34.4 Combined ratio 108.7 109.8 116.8 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 73.1 75.4 82.0 Expense ratio 35.0 33.7 34.9 Combined ratio 108.1 109.1 116.9 *See Glossary of Terms Statutory underwriting ratios exclude the effects of policyholder dividends which, if included, would increase the ratios by 0.3 each year. Underwriting results improved $27 million from 1993 to 1994 and $200 million from 1992 to 1993. The improvements generally resulted from management's actions to improve product/market mix, apply stricter underwriting standards, and improve claims practices, as well as from lower incurred catastrophe losses in 1994 and 1993 when compared to 1992 (refer to Section 2.4 of this Analysis). The rate of improvement in 1994 was not as dramatic as that seen in 1993 since net catastrophe losses were relatively consistent from 1993 to 1994 after decreasing $72 million from 1992 to 1993. Additionally, significant weather related losses not designated as catastrophe losses had an adverse effect on 1994 results, particularly in personal lines. The statutory loss ratio has improved 8.9 points overall since 1992, and 6.7 points in that same period when catastrophe losses are excluded. The overall improvement of $16 million in involuntary underwriting results since 1992 reflects management's actions to reduce exposure to involuntary business in states with substantial involuntary market burdens. The major impact of these actions was felt in 1992 when involuntary underwriting results improved more than $100 million when compared to previous years. While management will remain focused on controlling involuntary underwriting losses, the degree of improvement is expected to be less than that realized in previous years. The increase in involuntary underwriting losses in 1993 over 1992 was primarily due to an assessment of loss reserves from involuntary workers' compensation insurance pools. Improved premium mix and reduced costs have been the main reason for the improved underwriting results since 1990, despite continuing competitive pressures. Management intends to monitor the premium mix and costs and implement other strategies with the goal of continuing the improvement in underwriting results, although such improvements cannot be assured. These strategies include the introduction of specialty products, continued penetration of targeted industries and market segments, further development of underwriting expertise, reduced catastrophe exposure and investments in technological advancements. Management will also continue to focus on improving product pricing, although intense competitive pressures in the property/casualty insurance industry, especially in the pricing of commercial lines products, is expected to continue to restrict underwriting results. Commercial Lines Commercial lines products include property, auto, inland marine, workers' compensation, and general and umbrella liability coverage for businesses. The commercial lines business has two distinct market segments-middle market and small business. USF&G has further defined the middle market into three strategic business units in an effort to better service customers and improve profitability: service businesses, contractors, and manufacturers. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for commercial lines: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums Written: Branch office voluntary direct $ 1,210 $ 1,165 $ 1,303 Other, net of ceded reinsurance (11) 82 52 Total premiums written $ 1,199 $ 1,247 $ 1,355 Premiums earned $ 1,189 $ 1,223 $ 1,480 Losses (929) (1,014) (1,299) Expenses (446) (432) (524) Net underwriting losses $ (186) $ (223) $ (343) Voluntary $ (181) $ (187) $ (316) Involuntary (5) (36) (27) Net underwriting losses $ (186) $ (223) $ (343) GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 78.1 83.0 87.8 Expense ratio 37.5 35.3 35.4 Combined ratio 115.6 118.3 123.2 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 78.1 83.0 86.9 Expense ratio 36.2 34.4 36.3 Combined ratio 114.3 117.4 123.2 Commercial lines branch office voluntary direct premiums written increased 4 percent in 1994, compared with decreases of 11 percent and 20 percent in 1993 and 1992, respectively. The increase is primarily the result of new business growth in targeted market segments. Although net premiums written in the commercial lines business have declined, the largest components of the decline have been the reduced participation in voluntary pools and the decrease in involuntary premium, both of which have benefited net underwriting results. The involuntary business losses were $31 million less in 1994 than in 1993, after increasing $9 million from 1992 to 1993. The improved involuntary results arose primarily from management actions to reduce workers' compensation premiums which led to reduced participation in the involuntary workers' compensation pools. Underwriting results in the commercial lines category improved $37 million over 1993 and $120 million from 1992 to 1993. This improvement is primarily the result of the change in the mix of business and the application of stricter underwriting standards, as well as lower catastrophe losses in 1994 and 1993. In commercial lines, the mix of the least profitable line of business, workers' compensation, with a 1994 statutory loss ratio of 121.0, has decreased from 21 percent of commercial lines premiums earned in 1992 to 11 percent in 1994, while the mix of the two most profitable lines of business, auto and core property, has increased. Commercial auto, with a statutory loss ratio of 58.8 in 1994, increased from 30 percent of commercial lines premiums earned in 1992 to 32 percent in 1994. USF&G's core commercial property business consists of fire/allied and inland marine products, which had a statutory loss ratio of 62.1 in 1994. Premiums from these product lines increased from 15 percent of commercial lines premiums earned in 1992 to 19 percent in 1994. The statutory loss ratio for commercial lines improved 4.9 points in 1994 from 1993 and 8.8 points in 1994 from 1992. Management believes the improved loss ratio trend is evidence of the positive effects of the strategies implemented to improve underwriting results. Also contributing to the improvement over 1992 is the reduction in catastrophe losses (refer to Section 2.4 of this Analysis). Losses incurred from Hurricane Andrew represented approximately 1.6 points of the 1992 commercial lines statutory loss ratio. In January 1995, USF&G entered into a definitive agreement to purchase all of the outstanding equity of Discover Re Managers, Inc. The transaction closed in the second quarter of 1995. See Section 2a of this Analysis. Fidelity/Surety The fidelity/surety segment provides contract and non-contract surety bonds to construction companies, commercial businesses and individuals; financial institution bonds to banks, stockbrokers and credit unions; and fidelity bonds to commercial businesses and governmental entities. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for fidelity/surety: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums Written: Branch office voluntary direct $169 $148 $137 Other, net of ceded reinsurance (35) (27) (28) Total premiums written $134 $121 $109 Premiums earned $124 $118 $111 Losses (46) (59) (36) Expenses (72) (67) (69) Net underwriting gains (losses) $ 6 $ (8) $ 6 Voluntary $ 6 $ (8) $ 6 Involuntary - - - Net underwriting gains (losses) $ 6 $ (8) $ 6 GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 36.7 50.2 32.3 Expense ratio 57.9 56.6 62.6 Combined ratio 94.6 106.8 94.9 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 36.7 50.2 32.0 Expense ratio 54.2 56.0 64.0 Combined ratio 90.9 106.2 96.0 Fidelity/surety experienced an improvement in underwriting results in 1994 due to increased premiums and decreased losses. The regionalization of USF&G's surety business in 1993 led to further penetration of existing contract surety markets in 1994, while new products and further expansion into financial institutions markets resulted in premium growth in the fidelity lines. Losses decreased in 1994 after a $23 million increase in 1993 which was primarily a result of unfavorable loss developments on a limited number of prior years' claims. Personal Lines Personal lines products include auto, homeowners, watercraft and personal excess insurance for individuals and families. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for personal lines: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums Written: Branch office voluntary direct $ 589 $ 616 $ 688 Other, net of ceded reinsurance (25) 42 38 Total premiums written $ 564 $ 658 $ 726 Premiums earned $ 575 $ 681 $ 785 Losses (427) (481) (635) Expenses (208) (228) (260) Net underwriting losses $ (60) $ (28) $(110) Voluntary $ (44) $ (13) $(100) Involuntary (16) (15) (10) Net underwriting losses $ (60) $ (28) $(110) GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 74.2 70.6 80.9 Expense ratio 36.3 33.5 33.1 Combined ratio 110.5 104.1 114.0 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 74.2 70.7 80.0 Expense ratio 36.8 33.7 33.2 Combined ratio 111.0 104.4 113.2 Branch office voluntary premium has declined only 4 percent in 1994, after declining 10 percent in 1993. In 1994, the net premium decrease resulted from management's plans to improve the agency force and exit certain involuntary markets, and from increased ceded reinsurance. The net premium decreases in 1993 were a result of planned management actions to exit certain unprofitable markets and to reduce writings in high risk catastrophe areas. The increased underwriting loss in 1994 is primarily due to increased losses from the homeowners line of business which was adversely affected in 1994 by significantly higher than normal first quarter weather related losses not designated as catastrophe losses. Winter storms and the Northridge earthquake in the first quarter of 1994 produced most of the $32 million in catastrophe losses for the personal lines business, primarily in homeowners. Exclusive of these catastrophe losses, the homeowners statutory loss ratio was 84.2 in 1994, compared with 107.3 when catastrophe losses are included. Although the personal lines statutory loss ratio increased 3.5 points in 1994, almost half of that increase is the result of catastrophe losses. The personal lines statutory loss ratio improved 9.3 points from 1992 to 1993 (a 3.5 point improvement excluding Hurricane Andrew in 1992). Management's strategies to reduce exposure in unprofitable markets and lines of business, including reunderwriting the auto book of business, applying stricter underwriting standards, reducing exposure in certain high risk catastrophe areas and introducing new products, have improved the underwriting results and statutory loss ratios of the auto and other personal lines of business since 1992. These strategies are currently being applied to the homeowners line, and are anticipated to result in improvements in 1995 in selected target markets. Underwriting losses from involuntary markets were relatively consistent from 1993 to 1994, and increased $5 million from 1992 to 1993. The increase in 1993 losses was due to unfavorable development on prior years' claims and costs associated with third party administrators managing the assigned risk involuntary business. In December 1994, USF&G entered into a definitive agreement to purchase all of the outstanding stock of Victoria Financial Corporation. The transaction closed in the second quarter of 1995. See Section 2b of this Analysis. Assumed Reinsurance Reinsurance products are managed by F&G Re and marketed through national and international reinsurance brokers. The reinsurance segment has historically produced underwriting gains. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for assumed reinsurance lines: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums written $ 415 $ 403 $ 243 Premiums earned $ 395 $ 305 $ 157 Losses (290) (204) (118) Expenses (65) (69) (19) Net underwriting gains $ 40 $ 32 $ 20 Finite risk $ 12 $ 9 $ 14 Traditional risk 28 23 6 Net underwriting gains $ 40 $ 32 $ 20 GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 73.2 66.7 75.0 Expense ratio 16.5 22.6 12.1 Combined ratio 89.7 89.3 87.1 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 67.9 67.3 76.9 Expense ratio 22.7 24.6 17.0 Combined ratio 90.6 91.9 93.9 Underwriting results in this category continue to be favorably affected by increased premiums due to the strong demand for reinsurance. Recent large catastrophe losses, such as Hurricane Andrew in 1992 and the Northridge earthquake in 1994, have increased the demand for traditional risk reinsurance in both the international and domestic property catastrophe markets. Net premiums written in the international market for traditional risk assumed reinsurance increased to $120 million in 1994 from $49 million in 1993. This growth in international writings accounts for over 87 percent of the increase in traditional risk premiums written. This increase is offset by the reduced demand for finite risk assumed reinsurance as a result of the accounting requirements of SFAS No. 113 and EITF 93-6 which were issued in 1993. 2.3. Losses incurred and loss reserves Losses and loss expenses incurred totaled $1.7 billion in 1994, compared with $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion in 1993 and 1992, respectively. The reduction is due primarily to lower premium volume and actions taken to better manage claims and claim costs and reduce exposures in undesirable markets. The reduction from 1992 to 1993 is also due to lower catastrophe losses. Reserves for unpaid losses and loss expenses totaled $6.1 billion at December 31, 1994, a decrease of $229 million from December 31, 1993. The impact of adopting SFAS No. 113 increased reserves by $1.2 billion at December 31, 1993 when compared with December 31, 1992. This new accounting standard eliminated the previous practice of reporting assets and liabilities net of the effect of reinsurance. Excluding the effects of SFAS No. 113, reserves in 1993 declined $264 million from 1992. Selected claims information for the property/casualty segment is as follows: (dollars in millions) 1994 1993 1992 At December 31: Net reserves $5,084 $5,276 $5,540 Number of outstanding claims 81,024 91,285 103,952 For the year ended December 31: Losses paid $1,883 $2,022 $2,252 Number of new claims 342,292 352,194 395,697 Although reserve levels have been reduced, the 8 percent decrease in net reserves since 1992 is significantly less than the decreases in earned premiums, losses paid and claim activity over the same period. Earned premiums decreased $250 million, or 10 percent, since 1992, while losses paid decreased 16 percent over the same period. The number of outstanding claims at December 31, 1994 declined by 22 percent compared with December 31, 1992, and the number of new claims reported (excluding catastrophe claims) declined 13 percent from 1992 to 1994. USF&G categorizes environmental, asbestos and other long-term exposures where multiple claims relate to a similar cause of loss (excluding catastrophes) as "common circumstance claims." Reserves for losses that have been reported and certain legal expenses are established on the "case basis." Common circumstance claims which have emerged, while substantial, are a relatively small portion of total claim payments and reserves. Case reserves for these claims are approximately three percent of the total reserves for unpaid losses and loss expenses at December 31, 1994 and 1993. The most significant common circumstance claim exposures include negligent construction, environmental, and asbestos claims. Case reserves for these exposures represent 82 percent of total common circumstance case reserves at December 31, 1994. Other common circumstance claim categories stem from a variety of situations such as lead paint, toxic fumes, breast implants, sexual molestation and other disparate causes, provisions for which are included in the total common circumstance case reserves. The following tables set forth selected information for each of the three primary categories of common circumstance claims, net of ceded reinsurance. Negligent (in millions) Construction Environmental Asbestos Total reserves at December 31, 1991 $ 48 $184 $106 Losses incurred 25 30 33 Claims paid (3) (27) (13) Total reserves at December 31, 1992 70 187 126 Losses incurred 14 99 22 Claims paid (10) (37) (23) Total reserves at December 31, 1993 74 249 125 Losses incurred (6) 106 5 Claims paid (13) (26) (5) Total reserves at December 31, 1994 $ 55 $329 $125 Total Reserves at December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Negligent Construction: Case reserves $ 18 $ 14 $ 14 Bulk reserves 37 60 56 Total $ 55 $ 74 $ 70 Environmental: Case reserves $ 65 $ 61 $ 43 Bulk reserves 264 188 144 Total $329 $249 $187 Asbestos: Case reserves $ 25 $ 45 $ 46 Bulk reserves 100 80 80 Total $125 $125 $126 The increase in environmental incurred losses is primarily due to an increased allocation of bulk reserves from other lines of business based on enhancements in the actuarial database with respect to such claims. This reallocation did not effect management's assessment of the overall adequacy of the reserve position. Management believes that USF&G's reserve position is adequate relative to its exposure to environmental and asbestos matters, and compares favorably to other large property/casualty insurers. USF&G's customer base generally does not include large manufacturing companies, which tend to incur most of the known environmental and asbestos exposures. Many of USF&G's environmental claims relate to small industrial or transportation accidents which individually are unlikely to involve material exposures. In addition, USF&G has traditionally been a primary coverage carrier, having written relatively little high-level excess coverage; therefore, liability exposures are generally restricted to primary coverage limits. USF&G's net paid losses and loss expenses for environmental and asbestos claims have averaged approximately $35 million per year over the last five years, or less than two percent of the estimated industry level as of December 31, 1994, while USF&G's related reserves at the end of 1994 are three percent of the estimated industry total. In a study published in 1994, A.M. Best Company, Inc., an insurance industry rating agency, measured the environmental and asbestos reserves held by property/casualty insurers in terms of the number of years the reserves could fund the average rate of payments, described as the "survival ratio." USF&G's survival ratio of approximately 13 years for environmental and asbestos losses is almost double A.M. Best's estimated 1994 industry average. In 1994, approximately 28 percent of paid environmental claims related to matters under which a USF&G insured was a potentially responsible party ("PRP") under the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act, commonly referred to as "Superfund", but many of these PRPs were only peripherally involved. In 1993, 35 percent of the environmental claims paid related to Superfund. The level of loss reserves for both current and prior years' claims is continually monitored and adjusted for changing economic, social, judicial and legislative conditions, as well as for changes in historical trends as information regarding such conditions and actual claims develops. Management believes that loss reserves are adequate, but establishing appropriate reserves, particularly with respect to environmental, asbestos and other long- term exposure claims, is highly judgmental and an inherently uncertain process. It is possible that, as conditions change and claims experience develops, additional reserves may be required in the future. There can be no assurance that such adjustments will not have a material adverse effect on USF&G's results of operations or financial condition. 2.4. Catastrophe losses Gross catastrophe losses totaled $73 million in 1994, compared with $81 million in 1993 and $292 million in 1992. These losses, net of losses ceded to reinsurers, were $67 million in 1994, $68 million in 1993 and $140 million in 1992. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, represented three percent of premiums earned for the years ended December 31, 1994 and 1993, compared with six percent for 1992. Net catastrophe losses in 1994 included $23 million from the Northridge earthquake in February, as well as approximately $26 million from winter storms in the first quarter of the year, while 1993's net catastrophe losses included $27 million from the East Coast blizzard in March 1993. The 1992 losses, the highest in USF&G's history, were primarily from Hurricane Andrew in Florida and hailstorms and tornadoes in Kansas and Oklahoma. 2.5. Ceded reinsurance USF&G reinsures portions of its policy risks with other insurance companies or underwriters. Reinsurance allows USF&G to obtain indemnification against losses associated with insurance contracts it has written by entering into a reinsurance contract with another insurance enterprise (the reinsurer). USF&G pays (cedes) an amount to the reinsurer which in turn agrees to reimburse USF&G for a specified portion of any claims paid under the reinsured contracts. Reinsurance gives USF&G the ability to write certain individually large risks or groups of risks, and helps to control its exposure to losses by ceding a portion of such large risks. USF&G's ceding reinsurance agreements are generally structured on a treaty basis whereby all risks meeting a certain criteria are automatically reinsured. Shrinking capacity in the reinsurance market and the high catastrophe losses in recent years have increased prices and reduced the availability of catastrophe reinsurance. Property catastrophe reinsurance costs were $34 million in 1994 (including a $5 million assessment from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund), compared with $30 million and $26 million in 1993 and 1992, respectively. The current catastrophe structure shows improvement from prior years by increasing USF&G's total reinsurance protection from $205 million in 1993 to $215 million in 1994, and by providing greater protection in all treaty layers through increased reinsurance placement. USF&G's property catastrophe loss retention level at December 31, 1994 is $75 million, which in the event of a second loss, is lowered to $50 million. Loss retention levels for 1993 and 1992 were $50 million and $23 million, respectively, and did not include any "second event" protection. 2.6. Capacity A key measure of both strength and growth capacity for property/casualty insurers is the ratio of premiums written to statutory policyholders' surplus. At the end of 1994 and 1993, USF&G's premium-to-surplus ratio was 1.4:1, compared with 1.5:1 at the end of 1992. The industry average is approximately 1.3:1. Insurance regulators generally accept a ceiling for this ratio of 3.0:1; therefore, at its current ratio, USF&G has the capacity to grow by writing new business. 2a. Discover Re On April 13, 1995, USF&G consummated its merger with Discover Re. In the transaction, which is accounted for as a pooling-of-interests, USF&G exchanged 5.4 million shares of common stock, worth approximately $78.5 million, for all of the outstanding equity of Discover Re. Discover Re provides insurance, reinsurance and related services to the alternative risk transfer ("ART") market, primarily in the municipalities, transportation, education and retail sectors. Through the ART market, a company can self-insure the predictable, frequency portion of its own losses. The insurance premiums which were previously paid to traditional insurance companies in order to transfer risk are instead used to self-insure those relatively predictable losses and to purchase insurance for the less frequent, high severity losses that could have a major financial impact on a company. Although ART mechanisms reduce the amount of premium to the traditional market, they do not reduce the need for comprehensive risk management services, including policy and claims management and processing, underwriting, actuarial, investment and other administrative management. Also, in some cases, ART clients still require third party insurance policies. The ART market represents approximately 30 percent of the commercial insurance market. This merger facilitates USF&G's access to the ART market and, management believes, provides increased growth potential by augmenting certain of the existing core commercial lines insurance operations. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for Discover Re: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums written $ 27 $ 20 $ 12 Premiums earned $ 22 $ 16 $ 8 Losses (17) (13) (6) Expenses (5) (4) (2) Net underwriting losses $ - $ (1) $ - GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 76.2 76.2 80.0 Expense ratio 23.8 26.7 30.3 Combined ratio 100.0 102.9 110.3 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 76.2 76.2 80.0 Expense ratio 22.6 23.9 28.4 Combined ratio 98.8 100.1 108.4 2b. Victoria On May 22, 1995, USF&G consummated its merger with Victoria. In the transaction, which is accounted for as a pooling-of-interests, USF&G exchanged 3.8 million shares of common stock, worth approximately $59.1 million, for all of the outstanding equity of Victoria. Victoria is an insurance holding company which specializes in nonstandard personal lines auto coverage. Nonstandard automobile insurance companies provide automobile insurance to individuals who are unable to obtain preferred or standard insurance coverage due to their inability to meet certain standard underwriting criteria, based on factors such as age, type of automobile, residence location and driving record. Management believes that this merger will allow USF&G to enhance premium retention and grow the personal lines business through an expanded product portfolio. The following table shows the components of underwriting results for Victoria: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums written $ 50 $ 53 $ 43 Premiums earned $ 51 $ 49 $ 38 Losses (36) (34) (26) Expenses (17) (16) (13) Net underwriting losses $ (2) $ (1) $ (1) GAAP and statutory underwriting ratios are as follows: 1994 1993 1992 GAAP Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 69.1 70.1 69.1 Expense ratio 31.2 28.5 30.1 Combined ratio 100.3 98.6 99.2 Statutory Underwriting Ratios: Loss ratio 69.1 70.1 69.1 Expense ratio 32.2 28.2 30.3 Combined ratio 101.3 98.3 99.4 3. Life Insurance Operations Life insurance operations (F&G Life) represent 15 percent of USF&G's total revenues in 1994, compared with 14 percent and 13 percent in 1993 and 1992, respectively. F&G Life also represents 33 percent of the assets at December 31, 1994, compared with 34 percent and 37 percent at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. Financial results for F&G Life are as follows: Years Ended December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Premiums $ 152 $ 129 $ 104 Net investment income 317 321 349 Policy benefits (388) (395) (377) Underwriting and operating expenses (67) (61) (77) Restructuring charges - - (3) Income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards $ 14 $ (6) $ (4) Income for the year ended December 31, 1994 improved when compared with 1993 and 1992 as a result of continued positive sales trends and improved profit margins, partially offset by higher sales related expenses. The increase in sales is attributed to the new product initiatives and refocused distribution channels (refer to Section 3.2 of this Analysis). Profit margins improved during the year as current and projected spreads between investment income and interest credited to policyholders improved compared with 1993 levels. This resulted from lower rates being credited to annuities where the guaranteed rate period has expired and improved spread management on new and renewal business. The higher profit margins are also attributable to the favorable retention of the single premium deferred annuity ("SPDA") block, originally sold in 1988 through 1990 by investment brokers (refer to Section 3.3 of this Analysis). The declining trend in net investment income is primarily due to SPDA surrenders which are reducing the level of invested assets. This trend is likely to continue in 1995. This trend was partially offset in 1994 by the recognition of $8 million from the sale of a timber investment. 3.1. Products F&G Life issues annuity and life insurance products. F&G Life's principal products are structured settlements, deferred annuities (including tax sheltered annuities), immediate annuities and life insurance products. Structured settlements are immediate annuities principally sold to the property/casualty company in settlement of insurance claims. Deferred annuity products accumulate cash values to which interest is credited. In 1994, deferred annuities were credited with interest rates that ranged between 4.0 and 9.5 percent, depending upon the year of issue and interest guarantee duration. The majority of deferred annuities in force were issued with initial interest guarantees from one to six years, with most of these written between 1988 and 1990 with a six year interest guarantee. The deferred annuities also include provisions for charges if the annuitant chooses to surrender the policy (see Section 3.3 of this Analysis). After the interest guarantee expires, the interest crediting rates can be adjusted annually on a policy's anniversary date. Deferred annuity products are sold through independent agents, insurance brokers and national wholesale distributors. F&G Life's tax sheltered annuity products ("TSAs") are deferred annuities that provide retirement income. TSAs are sold through a national wholesale distribution network primarily to teachers. Other annuities sold by F&G Life primarily consist of single premium immediate annuities ("SPIAs"). SPIAs provide a fixed stream of payments over a fixed period of time or over an individual's lifetime. F&G Life markets universal life ("UL") and term life insurance products, primarily through independent agents. UL insurance provides a death benefit for the life of the insured and accumulates cash values to which interest is credited. Term life insurance provides a fixed death benefit if the insured dies during the contractual period. 3.2. Sales The following table shows life insurance and annuity sales (premiums and deposits) by distribution system and product type: (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Distribution System: Direct-structured settlements $ 88 $ 66 $ 37 Property/casualty brokerage 48 49 67 National brokerage 46 14 - National wholesaler 71 39 - Other 33 37 51 Total $286 $205 $155 Product Type: Structured settlement annuities $ 88 $ 66 $ 37 Single premium deferred annuities 82 44 33 Tax sheltered annuities 63 35 - Other annuities 41 54 74 Life insurance 12 6 11 Total $286 $205 $155 Sales in 1994, led by structured settlement annuities, single premium deferred annuities, and tax sheltered annuities, have increased 40 percent over 1993 sales and 85 percent over 1992 sales. In its effort to continue the improvement in sales and profitability, F&G Life intends to continue to concentrate on the expansion of its existing distribution channels while also developing other marketing networks. F&G Life is also continuing the development of selected products, and modifying current product offerings to meet customer needs. Despite F&G Life's attention to expanding its distribution channels and to product development, demand for its products is affected by fluctuating interest rates and the relative attractiveness of alternative investment, annuity or insurance products, as well as its credit ratings. As a result, there is no assurance that the improved sales trend will continue at the same level. Total life insurance in force was $11.8 billion at December 31, 1994, compared with $12.1 billion and $12.4 billion at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. 3.3. Policy surrenders Deferred annuities and universal life products are subject to surrender. Nearly all of F&G Life's surrenderable annuity policies allow a refund of the cash value balance less a surrender charge. The surrender charge varies by product. Single premium deferred annuities, which represent 67 percent of surrenderable business, have surrender charges that decline from six percent in the first policy year to zero percent in the seventh and later policy years. Newer products that have been issued during 1994 have surrender charges that decline from nine percent in the first policy year to zero percent in the tenth and later policy years. Such built-in surrender charges provide protection against premature policy surrender. Policy surrenders totaled $576 million for the year ended December 31, 1994. This compares with $211 million and $192 million for 1993 and 1992, respectively. Surrender activity has increased as a result of expiring surrender charges, primarily on the investment broker block of SPDA, as policyholders seek other investment alternatives. During 1994, management had in place a policy conservation program that provided policyholders with a competitive renewal option within F&G Life once their surrender charge period had expired. Through December 31, 1994, policyholders representing approximately 27 percent of the expiring block elected this option. An additional 23 percent of the expiring block was retained under the terms of the original contract, free of surrender charges and at short-term interest rates which are adjusted annually. The total account value of F&G Life's deferred annuities is $2.3 billion, 15 percent of which is surrenderable at current account value (i.e., without surrender charges). The surrender charge period on an additional $1.3 billion of F&G Life's single premium deferred annuity products expires through the end of 1997, of which $515 million expires during 1995. The experience thus far for $693 million of SPDAs where the surrender charge period expired in the fourth quarter of 1993 through the fourth quarter of 1994 indicates that on average, 50 percent of the expiring block may surrender; however, in the future, a larger percentage may surrender should interest rates continue their upward trend. While this will put pressure on F&G Life's ability to increase assets, given the relatively high interest rates credited when these annuities were issued, overall profit margins would continue to improve as they surrender or rollover to new products with lower rates. Management believes that F&G Life, with liquid assets equal to 124 percent of the surrender value of surrenderable business at December 31, 1994, continues to maintain a high degree of liquidity and has the ability to meet surrender obligations for the foreseeable future. 3.4. Deferred policy acquisition costs ("DPAC") Costs to acquire and issue annuities and life insurance policies are generally deferred and amortized in future periods in relationship to expected gross profits. The recoverability of these amounts is regularly reviewed by management through monitoring of surrender experience, projected investment spreads and other criteria. Policy acquisition costs unfavorably affected results as $4 million, $8 million and $10 million of normally deferrable costs were expensed in 1994, 1993 and 1992, respectively, because surrender experience and sales levels did not support the continued deferral of such costs. During the year ended December 31, 1994, $26 million of current year expense has been deferred compared with $12 million and $11 million for the years ended December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. The increase in the deferral is due to the higher level of sales and improved future spread income during 1994 compared with 1993 and 1992. Amortization of the beginning DPAC balance was $21 million, $10 million and $25 million for the years ended 1994, 1993 and 1992, respectively. The rate of amortization in future periods would be accelerated if surrender activity increases and/or product margins permanently narrow. 4. Parent and Noninsurance Operations Parent company interest and other unallocated expenses and net losses from noninsurance operations were as follows: Years Ended December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Parent Company Expenses: Interest expense $ (34) $ (37) $ (35) Unallocated expense, net (48) (35) (34) Noninsurance Operations: Management consulting 1 (2) (4) Oil and gas - - (18) Other noninsurance investments 2 (9) (13) Restructuring charges - - (2) Income (loss) from continuing operations before realized gains, facilities exit costs, income taxes and cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards $ (79) $ (83) $(106) The results for the parent company and noninsurance operations improved slightly when compared to 1993. This improvement was primarily a result of recognizing $6 million of dividend income from an investment in an asset management company, as well as improvements in management consulting operations and certain real estate investments. Unallocated expenses increased over 1993 due primarily to a $9 million non-recurring loss on long-term subleases. Interest expense was slightly lower in 1994 than 1993; however, interest expense is expected to increase in 1995 due to higher short-term interest rates (refer to Section 6 of this Analysis). The $18 million loss in 1992 related to an oil and gas subsidiary which was merged with another oil and gas company converting USF&G's interest into an equity investment of the successor company. 5. Investments USF&G's investment mix continues to reflect a concentration in high quality fixed-income securities. Long-term fixed maturities comprised 83 percent of total investments at December 31, 1994, compared with 84 percent and 81 percent at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. Total investments have decreased due to unrealized losses in the available for sale portfolio, as well as the use of proceeds from sales and repayments of fixed maturities to meet cash flow needs, primarily from SPDA surrenders. The following table shows the distribution of USF&G's investment portfolio. At December 31 (dollars in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Total investments $10,421 $11,377 $11,346 Fixed Maturities: Held to maturity 45% 41% 64% Available for sale 38 43 17 Total fixed maturities 83 84 81 Common and preferred stocks 1 1 1 Short-term investments 4 3 5 Mortgage loans and real estate 10 9 9 Other invested assets 2 3 4 Total 100% 100% 100% 5.1. Net investment income The following table shows the components of net investment income. Years Ended December 31 (dollars in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Net Investment Income From: Fixed maturities $669 $721 $739 Equity securities 7 9 12 Options - - 37 Short-term investments 13 9 27 Mortgage loans and real estate 58 41 50 Other, less expenses (4) (31) (48) Total $743 $749 $817 Average Yields: Total investments 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% Fixed maturities 7.4% 7.7% 8.6% Investment income for the period ended December 31, 1994 decreased $6 million or one percent, and $74 million or nine percent when compared to the same periods of 1993 and 1992, respectively. The decrease in investment income from fixed maturities is primarily due to an investment base which declined in order to meet SPDA surrenders and other cash flow needs. In addition, given the relatively low long-term interest rate environment, proceeds from sales, maturities or repayments of fixed maturities during 1993 and 1994 were reinvested in fixed maturities with lower yields. Overall, investment income in fixed maturities decreased by seven percent and ten percent when compared to 1993 and 1992, respectively. Although interest rates have increased in 1994, new purchases of fixed maturities totaling $693 million were not significant enough to affect the average yield. The increase in net investment income from short-term investments since 1993 primarily reflects the higher short-term interest rate environment. Real estate and mortgage loan investment income has increased as a result of the sale of timberland investments, prepayment of a mortgage loan, and a new loan program whereby USF&G is investing a greater percentage of capital in commercial mortgage loans versus equity real estate. Other income less expenses improved primarily due to USF&G's share of earnings from an equity interest in Renaissance Reinsurance Ltd. ("Renaissance Re"), an offshore reinsurance company. USF&G recorded $17 million of net investment income from Renaissance Re during 1994 and $5 million during 1993. Future income from the investment in Renaissance Re is subject to volatility and exposure to catastrophe losses and other risks inherent in the property/casualty reinsurance industry. Reduced interest expense accrued on ceded premiums held by USF&G accounts for the remainder of the improvement in other net investment income. 5.2. Net realized gains on investments The components of net realized gains include the following: Years Ended December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Net Gains From Sales: Fixed maturities $ 3 $ 79 $179 Equities and options - 5 44 Real estate and other 12 6 16 Total net gains 15 90 239 Impairments: Fixed maturities (1) (10) (20) Equities - (8) - Real estate and other (9) (66) (71) Total impairments (10) (84) (91) Net realized gains $ 5 $ 6 $148 Realized gains from real estate and other investments for 1994 resulted from the sale of timberland investments and USF&G's portion of realized gains from investments in limited partnerships. The $79 million in realized gains on fixed maturities in 1993 is primarily due to USF&G's repositioning a portion of its fixed maturity investments to more effectively match the duration of its life insurance liabilities. The $179 million in realized gains in 1992 is the result of investment sales to offset declines in capital and statutory surplus caused by catastrophe losses in 1992. In 1992, USF&G realized $52 million of gains on equities and reallocated the proceeds to relatively less volatile fixed maturities. To reflect the impairments in the value of certain investments, USF&G made provisions for impairment of $10 million in 1994 compared with $84 million in 1993 and $91 million in 1992. Real estate impairments in 1994 primarily related to specific properties whose recent appraisal values reflected other than temporary impairments. Real estate impairments were taken in 1993 to write down to net realizable value properties that were sold or expected to be sold in the near term. Real estate impairments in 1992 reflect both changes in circumstances related to specific properties and general real estate market deterioration. The impairment of fixed maturities relates to specific investments whose impairment is considered other than temporary. The 1993 impairments on equities related to specific equity holdings which were sold shortly thereafter. 5.3. Unrealized gains (losses) The components of the changes in unrealized gains (losses) were as follows: Years Ended December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Fixed maturities available for sale $(401) $222 $ - Deferred policy acquisition costs adjustment 63 (30) - Equity securities 3 23 (39) Options, foreign currency and other 1 4 21 Total $(334) $219 $(18) USF&G adopted SFAS No. 115, "Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities," in the fourth quarter of 1993. SFAS 115 requires that the portion of fixed maturity investments classified as "available for sale" be recorded at market value with the unrealized gains/losses reported as a component of shareholders' equity. Prior to the adoption of SFAS No. 115, fixed maturities available for sale were recorded at lower of cost or market with no effect on shareholders' equity. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities at December 31, 1993 reflects the low interest rate environment of 1993. However, rising interest rates during 1994 resulted in a decrease in the unrealized gain on fixed maturities available for sale from $222 million at December 31, 1993 to an unrealized loss of $179 million at December 31, 1994. This was partially offset by a related change in the DPAC adjustment from the prior year's unrealized loss of $30 million to an unrealized gain of $33 million at December 31, 1994. This adjustment is made to reflect assumptions about the effect of potential asset sales of fixed maturities available for sale on future DPAC amortization. 5.4. Fixed maturity investments The tables below detail the composition of the fixed maturity portfolio. At December 31 1994 Net Amortized Market Unrealized (in millions) Cost Value (Loss) Fixed Maturities: Held to maturity $4,650 $4,275 $(375) Available for sale 4,160 3,981 (179) Total $8,810 $8,256 $(554) At December 31 1993 Net Amortized Market Unrealized (in millions) Cost Value Gain Fixed Maturities: Held to maturity $4,661 $4,796 $135 Available for sale 4,681 4,903 222 Total $9,342 $9,699 $357 At December 31 1992 Net Amortized Market Unrealized (in millions) Cost Value Gain Fixed Maturities: Held to maturity $7,218 $7,290 $72 Available for sale 1,987 2,029 42 Total $9,205 $9,319 $114 At December 31 (dollars in millions) 1994 % 1993 % 1992 % Corporate investment-grade bonds $5,017 57 $4,866 52 $3,103 34 Mortgage-backed securities 1,915 22 2,403 26 3,824 42 Asset-backed securities 931 10 1,149 12 995 11 U.S. Government bonds 277 3 308 3 554 6 High-yield bonds* 616 7 562 6 522 5 Tax-exempt bonds 47 1 48 1 71 1 Other 7 - 6 - 136 1 Total fixed maturities at amortized cost 8,810 100 9,342 100 9,205 100 Total market value of fixed maturities 8,256 9,699 9,319 Net unrealized gains (losses) $ (554) $ 357 $ 114 Percent market-to-amortized cost 94 104 101 *See Glossary of Terms Increasing interest rates, which resulted in declining bond prices, were responsible for the 10 percent decrease in the fixed maturity portfolio's overall market-to-amortized cost ratio from December 31, 1993. Interest rates rose an average 270 basis points during 1994. Investments in mortgage-backed securities declined 20 percent and 50 percent when compared with holdings at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively, due primarily to prepayments of the underlying mortgages. While subject to prepayment risk, credit risk related to USF&G's mortgage-backed securities portfolio at December 31, 1994 is believed to be minimal since 99 percent of such securities have AAA ratings or are collateralized by obligations of the U.S. Government or its agencies. Asset-backed securities declined 19 percent and six percent when compared with holdings at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively, as a result of sales and maturities. The net proceeds from sales, maturities and prepayments in 1994 were generally reinvested into corporate investment-grade bonds. Investment-grade bonds, including debt obligations of the U.S. Government and its agencies, comprised 93 percent of the portfolio at December 31, 1994, compared with 94 percent and 93 percent at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. The table below shows the credit quality of the long-term fixed maturity portfolio as of December 31, 1994. Percent Market- Amortized Market to-Amortized (dollars in millions) Cost Percent Value Cost U.S. Government and U.S. Government Agencies $2,075 23% $1,952 94% AAA 1,368 16 1,324 97 AA 1,317 15 1,191 90 A 2,395 27 2,244 94 BBB 1,039 12 973 94 Below BBB 616 7 572 93 Total $8,810 100% $8,256 94% USF&G's holdings in high-yield bonds comprised seven percent of the total fixed maturity portfolio at December 31, 1994, compared with six percent at both December 31, 1993 and 1992. Of the total high-yield bond portfolio, 72 percent is held by the life insurance segment, representing 10 percent of its total investments. The table below illustrates the credit quality of USF&G's high- yield bond portfolio at December 31, 1994. Percent Market- Amortized Market to-Amortized (dollars in millions) Cost Percent Value Cost BB $366 60% $337 92% B 248 40 233 94 CCC and lower 2 - 2 100 Total $616 100% $572 93% The information on credit quality in the preceding two tables is based upon the higher of the rating assigned to each issue by either Standard & Poor's or Moody's. Where neither Standard & Poor's nor Moody's has assigned a rating to a particular fixed maturity issue, classification is based on 1) ratings available from other recognized rating services; 2) ratings assigned by the NAIC; or 3) an internal assessment of the characteristics of the individual security, if no other rating is available. At December 31, 1994, USF&G's five largest investments in high-yield bonds totaled $88 million in amortized cost and had a market value of $72 million. None of these investments individually exceeded $30 million. USF&G's largest single high-yield bond exposure represented five percent of the high-yield portfolio and 0.3 percent of the total fixed maturity portfolio. 5.5. Real estate The table below shows the components of USF&G's real estate portfolio. At December 31 (in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Mortgage loans $ 349 $ 302 $ 186 Equity real estate 760 793 926 Reserves (98) (108) (108) Total $1,011 $ 987 $1,004 The increase in mortgage loans reflects USF&G's strategy of maintaining a generally consistent level of real estate assets while changing the mix to more traditional mortgage loans and less equity real estate investments. This strategy is designed to reduce risk and increase yields in the real estate portfolio. USF&G's real estate investment strategy emphasizes diversification by geographic region, property type and stage of development. The diversification of USF&G's mortgage loan and real estate portfolio is as follows: At December 31 1994 1993 1992 Geographic Region: Pacific/Mountain 34% 33% 33% Midwest 20 18 19 Mid-Atlantic 17 19 17 Southeast 16 22 22 Southwest 8 5 6 Northeast 5 3 3 Type of Property: Office 37% 37% 33% Land 26 27 28 Apartments 24 19 16 Retail/other 7 6 10 Industrial 6 9 11 Timberland/agriculture - 2 2 Development Stage: Operating property 75% 73% 72% Land development 15 16 17 Land packaging 10 11 11 Real estate investments are generally appraised at least once every three years. Appraisals are obtained more frequently under certain circumstances such as when there have been significant changes in property performance or market conditions. All of these appraisals are performed by professionally certified appraisers. At December 31, 1994, USF&G's five largest real estate investments had a book value of $325 million. The largest single investment was a land development project located in San Diego, California with a book value of $93 million, or nine percent of the total real estate portfolio. Mortgage loans and real estate investments not performing in accordance with contractual terms, or performing significantly below expectation, are categorized as nonperforming. Nonperforming real estate investments at December 31, 1994 declined 16 percent and 40 percent when compared with December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. This decline in nonperforming real estate was a result of the combination of the sale of a nonperforming real estate property, write-downs on other specific properties, and reclassifications. The book value of the components of nonperforming real estate are as follows: At December 31 (dollars in millions) 1994 1993 1992 Restructured loans and investments* $ - $ 4 $ 4 Real estate held as in-substance foreclosure* - 14 15 Real estate acquired through foreclosure or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure* 117 121 190 Land investments* 56 57 71 Nonperforming equity investments* 35 53 66 Total nonperforming real estate $ 208 $ 249 $ 346 Real estate reserves $ (98) $(108) $(108) Reserves/nonperforming real estate 47% 43% 31% *See Glossary of Terms Valuation allowances are established for impairments of mortgage loans and equity real estate values based on periodic evaluations of the operating performance of the properties and their exposure to declines in value. The allowance totaled $98 million, or nine percent of the entire real estate portfolio, at December 31, 1994, compared with $108 million, or 10 percent of the total real estate portfolio, at both December 31, 1993 and 1992. The decrease in the reserves on real estate investments is a result of applying the reserve to specific properties where permanent impairment has occurred. In light of USF&G's current plans with respect to the portfolio, management believes the allowance at December 31, 1994 continues to adequately reflect the current condition of the portfolio. Should deterioration occur in the general real estate market or with respect to individual properties in the future, additional reserves may be required. Although USF&G anticipates that any sales of real estate will be in an orderly fashion as and when market conditions permit, if USF&G was required to dispose of a significant portion of its real estate in the near term, it is likely that it would recover amounts substantially less than the related carrying values. Prospectively, efforts will continue to reduce risk and increase yields in the real estate portfolio by selling equity real estate when it is advantageous to do so and reinvesting the proceeds in medium-term mortgage loans. 6. Financial Condition 6.1. Assets USF&G's assets totaled $13.8 billion at December 31, 1994, compared with $14.3 billion and $13.1 billion at the end of 1993 and 1992, respectively. The $561 million reduction in 1994 is primarily due to a $401 million reduction in the market value of the fixed maturity investments classified as available for sale. In addition, proceeds from the sale of investments were used to meet cash flow needs. 6.2. Debt USF&G's corporate debt totaled $586 million at December 31, 1994, compared with $574 million at December 31, 1993 and 1992. The increase in corporate debt is mainly attributable to foreign currency translation adjustments of $13 million from non-U.S. dollar denominated debt. As a result of entering into forward contracts, there was no effect on net income from the translation of non-U.S. dollar denominated debt. Proceeds from two debt offerings in 1994 were used to retire other portions of USF&G Corporation's debt. During the first quarter of 1994, proceeds of $126 million from the issuance of Zero Coupon Convertible Notes were used to redeem higher interest bearing medium and long-term notes. USF&G also issued $150 million 8 3/8% Senior Notes due 2001 in the second quarter of 1994, the proceeds from which were used to repay a portion of the short-term bank credit facility (see Section 7 of this Analysis). USF&G's real estate and other debt totaled $30 million at December 31, 1994, compared with $44 million and $42 million at December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. Real estate debt increased as a result of the restructuring of a real estate partnership where USF&G became a controlling general partner. Shortly thereafter, USF&G defeased all but $9 million of such debt. Real estate debt was reduced by $11 million as a result of a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, whereby property in which USF&G has a partnership interest was conveyed back to the lender, and further reduced by the early payoff of a $11 million real estate loan. 6.3. Shareholders' equity USF&G's shareholders' equity totaled $1.4 billion at December 31, 1994, $1.5 billion at December 31, 1993 and $1.3 billion at December 31, 1992. The decrease was primarily the result of the $401 million decline in unrealized gains on fixed maturity investments available for sale reduced by a $63 million change in the related life insurance segment's DPAC adjustment. Net income of $232 million less common and preferred dividends of $64 million partially offset the reduction in equity. 6.4. Regulatory risk-based capital The National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") has adopted model regulations which establish minimum capitalization requirements based on a "risk-based capital" formula. These regulations, which were first effective for property/casualty companies for the year ended December 31, 1994 and for life insurance companies for the year ended December 31, 1993, establish four levels at which corrective action must be taken. These levels are: (1) the "company action level," at which the company must submit a comprehensive financial plan with specific proposals to address certain financial problems; (2) the "regulatory action level," at which the appropriate regulatory authorities will perform a financial analysis and order certain corrective actions; (3) the "authorized control level," at which the regulatory authorities may place the company under regulatory control; and (4) the "mandatory control level," at which the regulatory authorities must place the company under regulatory control. Application of these levels depends upon the insurer's "adjusted risk-based capital" as a percentage of the "minimum risk-based capital." Risk-based capital is calculated after adjusting capital for certain asset, credit, market, underwriting, off balance sheet and other risks inherent in the assets, liabilities and business of the insurer. Various levels of corrective actions are required if the adjusted risk-based capital is less than 200% of the authorized control level risk-based capital. USF&G Company had adjusted risk-based capital of $1.62 billion as of December 31, 1994, which represented 382% of the authorized control level risk-based capital. F&G Life had adjusted risk-based capital of $427 million and $441 million as of December 31, 1994 and 1993, respectively, which represented 422% and 396% of the authorized control level risk-based capital as of those dates. Accordingly, as of the dates indicated, both USF&G Company and F&G Life had adjusted risk-based capital above the levels which would require corrective action. 6.5. Capital strategy In January 1994, USF&G filed a shelf registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As of the time this registration statement went into effect, USF&G had available $647 million of unissued debt, preferred stock, common stock and warrants to purchase debt and stock. This registration statement was reduced by $126 million after the issuance of the Zero Coupon Convertible Notes and by $149 million after the issuance of the 8 3/8% Senior Notes. Subject to capital market conditions, USF&G plans to refinance up to $300 million of debt over the next several years. During 1994, USF&G called for redemption 2.4 million shares of its Series C Preferred Stock. The remaining shares were called for redemption effective February 24, 1995. As a result of these calls, over 93 percent of the Series C Preferred Stock converted into 14.7 million shares of common stock in accordance with the terms of the Series C Preferred Stock. Pursuant to arrangements the Corporation previously entered into with an unaffiliated financial institution, USF&G sold 716,600 shares of common stock to this institution to fund a portion of the cash redemptions resulting from these calls. In December 1994, USF&G entered into a definitive agreement to purchase all of the outstanding stock of Victoria Financial Corporation for approximately 4.1 million shares or $55.3 million of USF&G's common stock, depending on the average market price of USF&G common stock over a specified period preceding the closing of the transaction. Victoria is an insurance holding company which specializes in nonstandard auto coverage. Additionally, in January 1995, USF&G entered into a definitive agreement to purchase all of the outstanding equity of Discover Re Managers, Inc., for approximately 5.4 million shares or $78.5 million of USF&G's common stock. Discover Re provides insurance, reinsurance and related services to the alternative risk transfer market. Both transactions are expected to close in the second quarter of 1995. As further explained in Section 7.2 of this Analysis, USF&G negotiated a $400 million credit facility in 1994 to replace the $700 million facility that was due to expire in March 1995. 7. Liquidity Liquidity is a measure of an entity's ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs. USF&G requires cash primarily to pay policyholders' claims and benefits, debt and dividend obligations, and operating expenses. USF&G's sources of cash include cash flow from operations, credit facilities, marketable securities and sales of other assets. Management believes that internal and external sources of cash will continue to exceed USF&G's short-term and long-term needs. 7.1. Cash flow USF&G had cash flow from operating activities of $115 million for the year ended December 31, 1994 and $87 million and $97 million for the years ended December 31, 1993 and 1992, respectively. The growth of cash flows from operating activities for 1994 as compared to 1993 is due primarily to large repayments made to reinsurers in 1993 because of new accounting pronouncements that initiated the termination of several reinsurance contracts. In addition, deposits and withdrawals of universal life and investment contracts, which for GAAP reporting purposes are considered financing activities, had a net cash outflow of $418 million in 1994 as compared to $196 million and $125 million for 1993 and 1992, respectively. 7.2. Credit facilities At December 31, 1994, USF&G maintained a $400 million committed credit facility with a group of foreign and domestic banks. This represents the renegotiation of a prior credit facility of $700 million at December 31, 1993. Management elected to reduce the size of the facility due to the reduction in borrowings against it and the Corporation's reestablished access to capital markets. Borrowings outstanding under the credit facility totaled $215 million at December 31, 1994 and $375 million at both December 31, 1993 and 1992. The credit agreement contains restrictive covenants pertaining to indebtedness, tangible net worth, liens and other matters. USF&G was in compliance with these covenants at December 31, 1994, 1993 and 1992. In addition, at December 31, 1994, USF&G maintained a $100 million foreign currency credit facility and a $100 million letter of credit facility. There were no borrowings on the foreign currency credit facility or the letter of credit facility at December 31, 1994. 7.3. Marketable securities USF&G's fixed-income, equity security and short-term investment portfolios are liquid and represent substantial sources of cash. The market value of its fixed-income securities was $8.3 billion at December 31, 1994 which represents 94 percent of its amortized cost. At December 31, 1994, equity securities, which are reported at market value on the balance sheet, totaled $70 million. Short-term investments totaled $421 million. 7.4. Liquidity restrictions There are certain restrictions on payments of dividends by insurance subsidiaries that may limit USF&G's ability to receive funds from its subsidiaries. The Maryland Insurance Code requires the Maryland Insurance Commissioner's prior approval for any dividend payments during a 12 month period from a Maryland insurance subsidiary, such as USF&G Company, to its holding company which exceeds 10 percent of policyholders' surplus as of the prior calendar year end. In addition, notice of any other dividend must be given to the Maryland Insurance Commissioner prior to payment, and the Commissioner has the right to prevent payment of such dividend if it is determined that such payment could impair the insurer's surplus or financial condition. Dividends of approximately $157 million are currently available for payment to USF&G Corporation from USF&G Company during 1995 without prior regulatory approval. Dividends paid to USF&G Corporation from USF&G Company totaled $125 million in 1994, 1993 and 1992. USF&G's insurance subsidiaries' admitted assets for statutory purposes included a total of approximately $244 million in receivables from the parent and affiliated companies. 7.5. Technology upgrades USF&G has initiated a plan to upgrade its information technology and convert its mainframe based systems to a client server based system. During 1995, USF&G plans to invest over $20 million in this project. Total expenditures over the next three years on this project are estimated to be approximately $50 million. USF&G's plan is to recover this investment through future cost savings and competitive advantages. 8. Regulation USF&G's insurance subsidiaries are subject to extensive regulatory oversight in the jurisdictions where they do business. This regulatory structure, which generally operates through state insurance departments, involves the licensing of insurance companies and agents, limitations on the nature and amount of certain investments, restrictions on the amount of single insured risks, approval of policy forms and rates, setting of capital requirements, limitations on dividends, limitations on the ability to withdraw from certain lines of business such as personal lines and workers' compensation, and other matters. From time to time, the insurance regulatory framework has been the subject of increased scrutiny. At any one time there may be numerous initiatives within state legislatures or state insurance departments to alter and, in many cases, increase state authority to regulate insurance companies and their businesses. Proposals to adopt a federal regulatory framework have also been discussed. It is not possible to predict the future impact of increasing state or potential federal regulation on USF&G's operations. Additional information regarding legal and regulatory contingencies may be found in Note 13, "Legal Contingencies," to the consolidated financial statements. 8.1. Proposition 103 In November 1988, voters in the State of California passed Proposition 103, which required insurers doing business in California to rollback most property/casualty premium prices in effect between November 1988 and November 1989 to November 1987 levels, less an additional 20 percent discount, unless an insurer could establish that such rate levels threatened its solvency. In May 1989, the California Supreme Court ruled that an insurer does not have to face insolvency in order to qualify for an exemption from the rollback requirements and is entitled to a "fair and reasonable return." The California Insurance Department's authority to establish regulations setting forth a basis for determining what constitutes a "fair and reasonable return" has been the subject of significant controversy. In August 1994, the California Supreme Court issued its opinion in 20th Century Insurance Company v. Garamendi, affirming the California Insurance Department's authority to establish a broad industry-wide formula for implementing Proposition 103. The 20th Century Insurance Company subsequently settled the matter with the California Insurance Department, and on February 22, 1995, the United States Supreme Court denied the writ of certiorari filed by the other litigants in the proceedings. It is not clear how the current regulations adopted by the California Insurance Department will apply to USF&G, and there are many issues which remain unsettled. The range of liability to USF&G could be from less than $10 million up to approximately $31 million, including interest. The ultimate outcome of this issue is not expected to have a material adverse effect on USF&G's results of operations or financial position since any such liability is not expected to materially exceed amounts already reserved. 8.2. Maine "Fresh Start" litigation In 1987, the State of Maine adopted workers' compensation reform legislation which was intended to rectify historic rate inadequacies and encourage insurance companies to reenter the Maine voluntary workers' compensation market. This legislation, which was popularly known as "Fresh Start," required the Maine Superintendent of Insurance to annually determine whether the premiums collected for policies written in the involuntary market and related investment income were adequate on a policy-year basis. The Superintendent was required to assess a surcharge on policies written in later policy years if it was determined that rates were inadequate. Assessments were to be borne by workers' compensation policyholders, except that for policy years beginning in 1989 the Superintendent could require insurance carriers to absorb up to 50 percent of any deficits if the Superintendent found that insurance carriers failed to make good faith efforts to expand the voluntary market and depopulate the residual market. Insurance carriers which served as servicing carriers for the involuntary market would be obligated to pay 90 percent of the insurance industry's share. The Maine Fresh Start statute requires the Superintendent to annually estimate each year's deficit for seven years before making a final determination with respect to that year. In March 1993, the Superintendent affirmed a prior Decision and Order (known as the "1992 Fresh Start Order") in which he found, among other things, that there were deficits for the 1988, 1989 and 1990 policy years, and that insurance carriers had not made a good faith effort to expand the voluntary market and consequently were required to bear 50 percent of any deficits relating to the 1989 and 1990 policy years. The Superintendent further found that a portion of these deficits were attributable to servicing carrier inefficiencies and poor investment practices and ordered that these costs be absorbed by insurance carriers. Also, in May 1993, the Superintendent found that insurance carriers would be liable for 50 percent of any deficits relating to the 1991 policy year (the "1993 Fresh Start Order"), but indicated that he would make no further determinations regarding the portions of any deficits attributable to alleged servicing carrier inefficiencies and poor investment practices until his authority to make such determinations was clarified in the various suits involving prior Fresh Start orders. USF&G was a servicing carrier for the Maine residual market in 1988 through 1991. USF&G withdrew from the Maine voluntary market and as a servicing carrier effective December 31, 1991. USF&G joined in an appeal of the 1992 Fresh Start Order which was filed April 5, 1993 in the Maine Superior Court. In addition to The Hartford Accident and Indemnity Company and USF&G, the National Council of Compensation Insurance ("NCCI") and several other insurance companies which were servicing carriers during this time frame have instituted similar appeals. Similar appeals of the Superintendent's 1993 Fresh Start Order have been filed by USF&G, the NCCI and several other servicing carriers in the same court. The appeals of the 1993 Fresh Start Order will be heard on a consolidated basis. On October 17, 1994, the Superior Court of Maine upheld the Superintendent's finding in the 1992 Fresh Start Order that the insurance carriers failed to exercise their good faith best efforts to expand the voluntary market and consequently were required to bear 50 percent of the deficit relating to the 1989 and 1990 policy years. The Superior Court also held that the Superintendent improperly held that $40 million of the deficit should be attributed to the carriers due to servicing carrier inefficiencies and poor investment practices. USF&G and the other parties challenging the Superintendent's order have appealed to the Maine Law Court, the highest court in Maine, the Superior Court's ruling on the carriers' lack of good faith, and the Superintendent may likewise appeal the Superior Court ruling that it was improper to shift $40 million of the deficit to carriers due to alleged inefficiencies and poor investment practices. Estimates of the potential deficits vary widely and are continuously revised as loss and claims data matures. If the Superintendent were to prevail on all issues, then the range of ultimate liability for USF&G, based on the most recent estimates provided by the Superintendent and the NCCI, respectively, could range from approximately $12 million to approximately $21 million. 8.3. Involuntary market plans Most states require insurers to provide coverage for less desirable risks through participation in mandatory programs. USF&G's participation in assigned risk pools and similar plans, mandated now or in the future, creates and is expected to create downward pressure on earnings. 8.4. Withdrawal from business lines Some states have adopted legislation or regulations restricting or otherwise limiting an insurer's ability to withdraw from certain lines of business. Such restrictions are most often found in personal lines and workers' compensation insurance. They include prohibitions on mid-term cancellations and limiting reasons based upon which an insurer may non-renew policies, requirements for amendments to underwriting standards, rates and policy forms to be approved by state regulators, specifications of a maximum percentage of a book of business which may be non-renewed within the state within any 12 month period, and prohibitions on exiting a single line of business within a state (thus requiring an insurer to either continue an unprofitable line or give up all lines of business and withdraw from a state entirely). Such restrictions limit USF&G's ability to manage its exposure to unprofitable lines and adversely affects earnings to the extent USF&G is required to continue writing unprofitable business. 8.5. Guaranty funds Insurance guaranty fund laws have been adopted in most states to protect policyholders in case of an insurer's insolvency. Insurers doing business in those states can be assessed for certain obligations of insolvent companies to policyholders and claimants. These assessments, under certain circumstances can be credited against future premium taxes. Net of such tax credits, USF&G incurred $9 million of guaranty fund expense in 1994 and $15 million and $13 million in 1993 and 1992, respectively. Financial difficulties of certain insurance companies over the past several years are expected to result in additional assessments that could have a negative impact on future earnings. State laws limit the amount of annual assessments which are based on percentages (generally two percent) of assessable annual premiums in the year of insolvency. The ultimate amount of these assessments cannot be reasonably estimated, but are not expected to have a material adverse effect on USF&G's financial position. 8.6. NAIC proposals The National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") has proposed several model laws and regulations which are in varying stages of discussion. The NAIC has adopted model regulations which establish minimum capitalization requirements based on a "risk-based capital" formula (refer to Section 6.4 of this Analysis). The NAIC has also proposed a Model Investment Law and amendments to the Model Holding Company System Regulatory Act. These model acts address investments which are permissible for property/casualty and life insurers to hold, and investments in subsidiaries and affiliates, respectively. Adoption of these model laws is targeted for 1995. It is not expected that the final adoption of these regulations by the NAIC will result in any material adverse effect on USF&G's liquidity or financial position. 8.7. National health care President Clinton and Congress have considered various proposals to enact a comprehensive national health care system. Enactment of certain of these proposals would result in the coordination of the medical payment system for workers' compensation and the medical payments component of automobile insurance within a reformed national health care system or a merger of workers' compensation and automobile medical coverage into a reformed health care system. Although some form of national health care may be enacted, it is unclear whether or to what extent such legislation will address workers' compensation or personal automobile insurance. No reliable prediction can be made at this time as to the ultimate outcome of the legislative deliberations regarding national health care reform or the effect such legislation may have on USF&G. 8.8. Superfund The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act ("CERCLA"), more commonly known as "Superfund," is scheduled to be reauthorized in 1995. Insurance companies, other businesses, environmental groups and municipalities are advocating a variety of reform proposals to revise the cleanup and liability provisions of CERCLA. No reliable prediction can be made as to the ultimate outcome of the legislative deliberations regarding the reauthorization of CERCLA or the effect such revisions may have on USF&G. 8.9. Insurance regulatory information system The NAIC's Insurance Regulatory Information System ("IRIS") ratios are intended to assist state insurance departments in their review of the financial condition of insurance companies operating within their respective states. IRIS specifies eleven industry ratios and establishes a "usual range" for each ratio. Significant departure from a number of ratios may lead to inquiries from state insurance regulators. As of December 31, 1994, USF&G was within the "usual range" for all IRIS ratios. 8.10. Taxation of deferred annuities From time to time, various proposals have been considered by Congress, the Office of Management and Budget and the Department of the Treasury to include within current taxable income all or a portion of the interest payments which accrue on certain deferred annuity products, including some deferred annuity products sold by F&G Life. Currently, such interest is not taxed until the time of distribution. All such proposals have focused exclusively on deferred annuities and have not included annuities issued in connection with structured settlements of claims or on tax sheltered annuities. No reliable prediction can be made at this time as to the outcome of any such proposals or the effect such proposals may have on F&G Life. 8.11. Federal antitrust legislation Congress has considered various proposals to revise the McCarran-Ferguson Act of 1945. This act has historically provided the insurance industry with broad antitrust exemptions. Various proposals have been made which would repeal many of those exemptions, although "safe harbors" may be preserved for data collection, loss development, common policy forms, residual market pooling arrangements and other areas essential to the property/casualty insurance industry. No reliable prediction can be made at this time as to the outcome of any of these proposals or the effect they may have on USF&G. 9. Income Taxes Effective January 1, 1993, USF&G changed its method of accounting for income taxes as required by SFAS No. 109, "Accounting for Income Taxes." This standard requires recognition of future tax benefits attributable to net operating loss carry-forwards ("NOLs") and to deductible temporary differences between the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities for financial reporting purposes and the amounts used for income tax purposes. A valuation allowance is required if it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred tax asset may not be realized. The valuation allowance is established based on an evaluation of positive and negative evidence as to the likelihood of realizing some or all of the deferred tax assets. At December 31, 1993, USF&G had recorded a $119 million net deferred tax asset, as it was the opinion of management it was more likely than not that there would be sufficient future taxable income to result in the realization of this benefit. The primary negative evidence that existed at December 31, 1993 was the cumulative pretax net losses for the years 1991 through 1993. The primary positive evidence at that time was forecasted taxable income sufficient to recover a portion of the tax benefit within three to five years and a tax planning strategy to generate future taxable income to utilize such NOLs, if necessary. At December 31, 1994, the net deferred tax asset increased to $416 million, primarily based on the increasing weight of positive evidence which resulted in a $203 million net decrease in the valuation allowance. Management reviews the valuation allowance on a quarterly basis. Throughout 1994, the weight of evidence became increasingly more positive as the core earnings trend improved each quarter. As 1994 progressed, the negative evidence of cumulative losses which were caused by 1991 results became increasingly less of a factor. By the end of 1994, cumulative pretax net income was positive from 1992 through 1994. Given the substantially reduced degree of negative evidence and management's increased confidence in the sustainability of the improved earnings of the core insurance segments and, therefore, its enhanced ability to forecast future taxable income, it became appropriate to reduce the valuation allowance beginning in the second quarter of 1994. The largest adjustment to the valuation allowance occurred in the fourth quarter of 1994 as the Corporation continued to achieve its forecasted results. This coincided with the elimination of the negative evidence of three-year cumulative net losses and with the completion of the Corporation's budgeting and mid-range forecasting process, allowing for more reliable projections of future taxable income. USF&G has NOLs of $750 million which expire as follows: $147 million in 2005 and $603 million in 2006. The NOLs available for future utilization were generated primarily by the noninsurance businesses of USF&G and nonrecurring charges related to the business restructuring program. A majority of these noninsurance businesses that caused a significant drain on prior earnings have been sold, divested or liquidated by USF&G. Future levels of net income and taxable income from the core insurance operations are dependent on several factors, including general economic and specific insurance industry conditions, competitive pressures, catastrophe losses, adverse involuntary loss experience, etc. Because of these risk factors, as well as other factors beyond the control of management, no assurance can be given that sufficient taxable income will be generated to utilize the NOLs or otherwise realize the deferred tax assets. However, management has considered these factors in reaching its conclusion that it is more likely than not that there will be sufficient future taxable income to result in the realization of the recorded $416 million deferred tax asset. This realization is dependent, in whole or in part, on USF&G's ability to generate future taxable income from ordinary and recurring operations. Based on USF&G's evaluations, approximately $1.2 billion of future taxable income would need to be generated to realize the $416 million deferred tax asset. If 1994 pretax net income before realized gains and facilities exit costs of $129 million is assumed to be an average taxable income for future years, then USF&G will be able to realize enough income within nine years to fully recognize the net deferred tax asset. This is well within the tax carry-forward period. Further, management's three to five year forecast, which reflects management's expectations as to earnings growth, indicates sufficient future taxable income to, more likely than not, realize the recorded asset. USF&G's tax returns have not been reviewed by the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS") since 1989 and the availability of the NOLs could be challenged by the IRS upon review of returns through 1993. Management believes, however, that IRS challenges that would limit the recoverability of $416 million in tax benefits are unlikely, and adjustments to the tax liability, if any, for years through 1994 will not have a material adverse effect on USF&G's financial position. 10. Glossary of Terms Account value: Deferred annuity cash value available to policyholders before the assessment of surrender charges. Catastrophe losses: Property/casualty insurance claim losses resulting from a sudden calamitous event, such as a severe storm, are categorized as "catastrophes" when they meet certain severity and other criteria determined by a national organization. Expense ratio: The ratio of underwriting expenses to net premiums written, if determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices ("SAP"), or the ratio of underwriting expenses (adjusted by deferred policy acquisition costs) to earned premiums, if determined in accordance with GAAP. High-yield bonds: Fixed maturity investments with a credit rating below the equivalent of Standard & Poor's "BBB." In addition, nonrated fixed maturities that, in the judgment of USF&G, have credit characteristics similar to those of a fixed maturity rated below BBB are considered high-yield bonds. Involuntary pools and associations: Property/casualty insurance companies are required by state laws to participate in a number of assigned risk pools, automobile reinsurance facilities, and similar mandatory plans ("involuntary market plans"). These plans generally require coverage of less desirable risks, principally for workers' compensation and automobile liability, that do not meet the companies' normal underwriting standards. As mandated by legislative authorities, insurers generally participate in such plans based upon their shares of the total writings of certain classes of insurance. Liquid assets to surrender value: Liquid assets (publicly traded bonds, stocks, cash and short-term investments) divided by surrenderable policy liabilities, net of surrender charges. A measure of an insurance company's ability to meet liquidity needs in case of annuity surrenders. Loss ratio: The ratio of incurred losses and loss expenses to earned premiums, determined in accordance with SAP or GAAP, as applicable. The difference between SAP and GAAP relates to deposit accounting for GAAP related to certain financial reinsurance assumed. Nonperforming real estate: Mortgage loans and real estate investments that are not performing in accordance with their contractual terms or that are performing at an economic level significantly below expectations. Included in the table of nonperforming real estate are the following terms: Deed-in-lieu of foreclosure: Real estate to which title has been obtained in satisfaction of a mortgage loan receivable in order to prevent foreclosure proceedings. In-substance foreclosure: Collateral for a mortgage loan is in-substance foreclosed when the borrower has little or no equity in the collateral, does not have the ability to repay the loan, and has effectively abandoned control of the collateral to USF&G. Land investments: Land investments that are held for future development where, based on current market conditions, returns are projected to be significantly below original expectations. Nonperforming equity investments: Equity investments with cash and GAAP return on book value less than five percent, but excluding land investments. Restructured loans and investments: Loans and investments whose terms have been restructured as to interest rates, participation, and/or maturity date such that returns are projected to be significantly below original expectations. Policyholders' surplus: The net assets of an insurer as reported to regulatory agencies based on accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and the state of domicile. Premiums earned: The portion of premiums written applicable to the expired period of policies. Premiums written: Premiums retained by an insurer, after the assumption and cession of reinsurance. Underwriting results: Property/casualty pretax operating results excluding investment results, policyholders' dividends, and noninsurance activities; generally, premiums earned less losses and loss expenses incurred and "underwriting" expenses incurred.