EXHIBIT 13.1
EXHIBIT FROM 2002 ANNUAL REPORT
ASSET/LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
The primary component of the Bank's earnings is net interest income.
The Bank's asset/liability management strategy is to maximize net interest
income over time by reducing the impact of fluctuating interest rates. This is
accomplished by matching the mix and maturities of its assets and liabilities.
At the same time the Bank's asset/liability strategies for managing interest
rate risk must also accommodate customer demands for particular types of deposit
and loan products. The Bank uses various asset/liability management techniques
in an attempt to maintain a profitable mix of financial assets and liabilities,
provide deposit and loan products that meet the needs of its market area, and
maintain control over interest rate risk resulting from changes in interest
rates.
Net interest income, the primary component of the Bank's net income, is
derived from the difference or "spread" between the yield on interest-earning
assets and the cost of interest-bearing liabilities. The Bank has sought to
reduce its exposure to changes in interest rates by matching more closely the
effective maturities and repricings of its interest-sensitive assets and
liabilities. At the same time, the Bank's asset/liability management strategies
must also accommodate customer demands for particular types of deposit and loan
products.
While much of the Bank's asset/liability management efforts involve
strategies that increase the rate sensitivity of its loans and investments, such
as the sale of long-term fixed rate loans, originations of adjustable rate loans
and purchases of adjustable rate mortgage-backed securities or relatively short
average life fixed-rate investments, it also uses certain techniques to reduce
the rate sensitivity of its deposits and borrowed money. Those techniques
include attracting longer-term certificates of deposit when the market will
permit, emphasizing core deposits, which are less sensitive to changes in
interest rates, and borrowing through long-term FHLB advances. The Bank's
asset/liability management strategy will appropriately change when market rates
change.
The Bank measures its exposure to interest rate fluctuations primarily
by using a computer modeling system designed for savings institutions such as
the Bank. The model uses assumptions which management believes are reasonable
for the analysis. These assumptions include (but are not limited to) prepayment
and decay rates based on nine interest rate scenarios. It allows the Bank to
adjust its asset-liability mix based on the interest rate risk identified. The
analysis estimates the changes in the market value of the Bank's equity using
interest rate change scenarios ranging from +4% to -4%, in 1% increments from
current market rates. At December 31, 2002, the
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following table illustrates the interest rate sensitivity of the Bank's equity
to changes in market interest rates.
(in Thousands of Dollars)
-------------------------
Book value of stockholders' equity $27,453
4% increase in market rates 43,152
3% increase in market rates 43,422
2% increase in market rates 45,191
1% increase in market rates 44,376
No change (current market value of equity) 42,905
1% decrease in market rates 40,075
2% decrease in market rates 37,143
3% decrease in market rates 33,661
4% decrease in market rates 29,268
As the table shows, the Bank's book value of equity is less than
estimated market value in all of the scenarios. That indicates that the Bank is
able to withstand fluctuations in market interest rates without posting a
significant threat to either the Bank's stockholders' equity or the federal
deposit insurance system, and therefore, the Bank can be deliberate in its
actions to adjust the asset-liability mix. The Bank would meet the regulatory
minimum capital requirements in all of the interest-rate scenarios.
The Bank has an Asset-Liability Management Committee (ALCO) that meets
as needed. The purpose of this Committee is to communicate, coordinate, and
monitor asset-liability management procedures. The Committee establishes and
monitors the volume and mix of both assets and funding sources. The objective is
to manage assets and funding sources to produce results consistent with the
Bank's liquidity requirements, capital adequacy, growth, and profitability
goals. To accomplish this objective, the ALCO uses internal budget variance
reports, forecasts for changes in interest rates and consumer deposit activity,
as well as forecasts of loan demand in each of the Bank's loan types, investment
maturities and new investment alternatives, and various other internal and
external reports.
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Static Gap Analysis: The management of interest rate sensitivity
includes monitoring the maturities and repricing opportunities of
interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities. The following table
summarizes the interest rate repricing gaps for selected maturity periods as of
December 31, 2002:
(In Thousands)
2-3 4-6 7-9 10-12 >1-5
1 Mo. Mos. Mos. Mos. Mos. Yrs. >5 Yrs. Total
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Non-loan interest-earning assets $12,401 $10,770 $ 1,568 $ 7,611 $ 3,779 $ 1,539 $ 2,063 $39,731
Loans 74,069 13,821 17,881 16,128 13,648 75,911 8,023 219,481
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Total interest-earning assets 86,470 24,591 19,449 23,739 17,427 77,450 10,086 259,212
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Savings accounts 1,168 2,335 3,817 3,817 3,817 20,483 5,454 40,891
Checking accounts 1,600 3,157 4,838 4,838 4,838 24,815 6,638 50,724
Certificates & Term IRA's 8,568 12,864 10,843 7,512 10,909 38,625 8,881 98,202
Other IB liabilities (FHLB advances) 6,672 3,565 112 0 3,700 9,332 41,000 64,381
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Total interest-bearing liabilities 18,008 21,921 19,610 16,167 23,264 93,255 61,973 254,198
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Asset (liability) gap 66,462 2,670 -161 7,572 -5,837 -15,805 -51,887 5,014
Cumulative asset gap 66,462 71,132 70,971 78,543 72,706 56,901 5,014
Cumulative gap as a percentage
of cumulative earning assets 26.4% 27.4% 27.4% 30.3% 28.0% 22.0% 1.9%
Total interest-earning assets exceeded interest-bearing liabilities by
$5.0 million at December 31, 2002. This difference was funded mainly through
non-interest-bearing liabilities. The above table shows that total assets
maturing or repricing within one year exceed liabilities maturing or repricing
within one year by $72.7 million. This indicates the Bank's net interest income
would increase with rising interest rates, because more of its assets than
liabilities would reprice at the higher rates in the next year. However, the
repricing and cash flows of certain categories of assets and liabilities are
subject to competitive and other influences that are beyond the control of the
Bank. As a result, certain assets and liabilities indicated as maturing or
repricing within a stated period may, in fact, mature or reprice in other
periods or at different volumes.
Simulation: The Bank recognizes the limitations of static gap analysis
as a tool for managing its interest rate risk. The Bank also uses a
computer-based earnings simulation model to estimate the effects of various
interest rate environments on the balance sheet structure and net interest
income. These
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simulation techniques involve changes in interest rate relationships, asset and
liability mixes, and prepayment options inherent in financial instruments, as
well as interest rate levels in order to quantify risk. The Bank's sensitivity
is estimated by first forecasting the next twelve months of net interest income
under an assumed environment of constant market interest rates. Next, immediate
parallel interest rate shocks are constructed in the model. The rate shocks
reflect changes of equal magnitude to all market interest forecast under each of
the rate shock scenarios. The resulting change in net interest income is an
indication of the sensitivity change in net earnings to directional changes in
market interest rates. This model is based solely on parallel changes in market
rates and does not reflect the levels of interest rate risk that may arise from
other factors such as changes in the spreads between key market rates or in the
shape of the Treasury yield curve. The net interest income simulation model
includes on-balance sheet loan, investment, deposit, and debt instruments as
well as off-balance sheet interest rate swaps.
The Bank's Board of Directors compares net interest income sensitivity
and has established tolerance limits for fluctuation. Throughout 2002, the
forecasted exposure was within the Bank's established policy limits, except in
falling rate change scenarios. The Bank's Board of Directors and Management
consider further significant rate decreases from December 31, 2002 as unlikely.
Net Interest Income Sensitivity: Change in Projected Results vs. Constant Rates
Year-End 2002 12 Month Projection
Rate Shock Amount
(2.00%) (1.00%) 0.00% 1.00% 2.00%
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Percent Change in net interest
income vs constant rates (13.12%) (6.67%) 0.00% 4.92% 11.83%
ALCO Policy (6.00%) (3.00%) 0.00% (4.00%) (8.00%)
EFFECT OF INTEREST RATE FLUCTUATIONS
Bancorp's consolidated results of operations depend to a large extent
on the Bank's level of net interest income, which is the difference between
interest income earned on its loan and investment portfolios versus the interest
paid on deposits and borrowed funds. If the cost of funds increases faster than
the yield on its interest-earning assets, net interest income will be reduced.
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The Bank measures its interest rate risk primarily using simulation
analysis. This analysis is prepared by the Chief Financial Officer and reviewed
by the Asset/Liability Management Committee ("ALCO"). The ALCO is comprised of
the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer and other representatives
from operations, branch administration, lending, trust, private banking, and
marketing. The Bank's Board of Directors reviews quarterly reports that estimate
the Bank's sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Sensitivity is estimated
for net interest income and market value of portfolio equity.
While the Bank uses various tools to monitor interest rate risk, it is
unable to predict future fluctuations in interest rates or the specific impact
thereof. The market value of most of the Bank's financial assets is sensitive to
fluctuations in market interest rates. Fixed-rate investments including mortgage
loans and mortgage-backed securities decline in value as interest rates rise.
Adjustable-rate loans and securities generally have less market value volatility
than do fixed-rate products.
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