JUNE 23, 2003 CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
VALUATION AS OF MARCH 31, 2003
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
1
CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Valuation Opinion Letter
2. Valuation Summary
3. Analysis of Comparable Acquisitions
4. Analysis of Comparable Companies
5. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
6. Management Projections
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
2
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
1. VALUATION OPINION LETTER
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
3
June 23, 2003
Board of Directors
Capital Directions, Inc.
322 S. Jefferson Street
Mason, MI 48854
Attn: Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
Dear Board of Directors: PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL
Capital Directions, Inc. ("Capital Directions" or the "Company") has engaged
Donnelly, Penman, French, Haggarty & Co. ("DPFH") to render its opinion (the
"Opinion") with respect to the fair market per share value of the Company's
common stock as of March 31, 2003 in the event of a recapitalization through a
reverse stock split or "squeeze out" merger transaction.
DPFH is a regional investment banking firm of recognized standing. As part of
our investment banking services, we are regularly engaged in the valuation of
corporate entities on a stand-alone basis or in connection with capital raising
and merger and acquisition transactions. No limitations were imposed by the
Company upon DPFH with respect to the investigations made or procedures followed
by DPFH in rendering its Opinion.
In arriving at our Opinion, we have:
I. Reviewed the Annual Reports of the Company for the years ended December
31, 1999 through 2002 as well as interim financials through March 31,
2003;
II. Reviewed reports from the Board of Directors meetings, Loan Review
Committee and Strategic Plan Update meetings held during the months of
April and May, 2003;
III. Compared certain financial characteristics of the Company to certain
publicly held companies we deemed relevant;
IV. Reviewed current banking industry conditions and trends concerning the
valuation of recent mergers and acquisitions;
V. Conducted discussions with the senior management of the Company
concerning the business and future prospects of the Company;
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Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 2
VI. Prepared a discounted cash flow analysis of the Company based on
projections derived from discussions with and deemed reasonable by
management of the Company; and
VII. Reviewed such other financial and industry data, performed such other
analyses and taken into account such other matters as we deemed
necessary or appropriate.
In connection with rendering its Opinion to Capital Directions, DPFH performed a
variety of financial analyses, which are summarized below. DPFH believes that
its analyses must be considered as a whole and that selecting portions of its
analyses and the factors considered by it, without consideration of all factors
and analyses, could create a misleading view of the analyses and the processes
underlying DPFH's Opinion. DPFH arrived at its Opinion based on the results of
all the analyses it undertook, assessed as a whole, and it did not draw
conclusions from or with regard to any one method of analysis. The preparation
of a valuation is a complex process involving subjective judgments, and is not
necessarily susceptible to partial analysis or summary description.
DPFH did not make or obtain any independent evaluation, valuation or appraisal
of the assets or liabilities of Capital Directions, nor were we furnished with
such materials. DPFH has not reviewed and individual credit files of the Company
and has assumed, without independent verification, that the reported allowances
for credit losses are adequate to cover such losses.
With respect to the comparable company analysis and comparable merger
transaction analysis summarized below, no public company utilized as a
comparison is identical to Capital Directions, and such analyses necessarily
involves complex considerations and judgments concerning the differences in
financial and operating characteristics of the financial institutions and other
factors that could affect the acquisition or public trading values of the
financial institutions concerned. The forecasted financial information furnished
by the Company's management contained in or underlying DPFH's analyses are not
necessarily indicative of future results or values, which may be significantly
more or less favorable than such forecasts and estimates. The forecasts and
estimates were based on numerous variables and assumptions that are inherently
uncertain, including without limitation factors related to general economic and
competitive conditions. In that regard, DPFH assumed, with the Company's
consent, that the financial forecasts had been reasonably prepared by management
on a basis reflecting the best currently available judgments of management, and
that such forecasts will be realized in the amounts and at the times
contemplated thereby.
Estimates of values of financial institutions or assets do not purport to be
appraisals or necessarily reflect the prices at which financial institutions or
their securities actually may be sold. Accordingly, actual results could vary
significantly from those assumed in the financial forecasts and related
analyses. None of the analyses performed by DPFH were assigned a greater
significance by DPFH than any other.
5
Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 3
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Capital Directions, Inc. ("Capital Directions" or the "Company") is a holding
company whose wholly owned subsidiary includes Mason State Bank (the "Bank").
Lakeside Insurance Agency is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Bank. Mason State
Mortgage Co., LLC (the "Mortgage Company") was formed in July of 2002 and is 99%
owned by Mason State Bank, with the remaining 1% owned by Capital Directions.
The Company and its subsidiaries provide a broad range of banking and financial
services. Substantially all revenues and services are derived from banking
products and services. The Bank operates predominantly in Central Michigan as a
commercial bank. The Bank's primary services include accepting retail deposits
and making residential, consumer and commercial loans. While the Company's chief
decision makers monitor the revenue streams of the various products and
services, operations are managed and financial performance is evaluated on a
Company wide basis. Accordingly, all of the Company's banking operations are
considered by management to be aggregated in one reportable operating segment.
Mason State Bank was established in 1886 and has operated continuously in Ingham
County since inception. The Bank's stock was acquired by Capital Directions,
Inc. in 1988 when the holding company was formed. Capital Directions has
experienced 13 years of consecutive growth and earnings. Net Income for the year
ended December 31, 2002 was $1,910,000, representing basic earnings per share of
$3.23.
Capital Directions is traded through the OTC Bulletin Board Exchange under the
symbol CTDN. Its shares are traded on a limited basis through the local brokers
of Stifel, Nicolaus & Co, Inc., Monroe Securities, Howe Barnes Investments,
Inc., Morgan Stanley Dean Witter and Raymond James and Associates, Inc. As of
December 31, 2002, there were 422 holders of the Company's common stock. The
most recent trade of the stock was 100 shares at $52.00 on June 11, 2003.
The Bank has a main office and a branch office located in Mason, Michigan. In
addition, they have leased branch office space in a supermarket in nearby
Leslie, Michigan. Both cities are located directly south of the Lansing / East
Lansing metro area. According to SNL Securities LP, the median household income
in Mason and Leslie is $49,260 and $43,214 respectively and total deposits were
$213.0 million and $79.4 million as of June, 2002. Both Leslie and Mason are
located in Ingham County, which ranks 7th in population of Michigan's 83
counties. The largest employers in the County include the State of Michigan,
Michigan State University, General Motors, Sparrow Health Systems and Dart
Container.
6
Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 4
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Commercial, retail and mortgage banking are highly competitive businesses in
which the Company receives competition from both bank and non-bank institutions.
As a result of the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act
of 1994 and the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999, the number and types of
depository institution competitors have substantially increased.
Capital Directions faces increased competition from finance companies, credit
unions and bank and non-bank mortgage lenders. These companies may offer higher
lending limits and other non-traditional services that Capital Directions does
not currently offer. Some of the Company's competitors also can leverage greater
resources in order to gain a larger business presence within Capital Directions'
target service areas.
While being relatively small can be a disadvantage, there are certain potential
benefits as well. Community banks that make customer service a priority may be
able to gain an advantage with customers in their local market that feel
neglected by the larger banks. Because the larger banks often seek large
homogenous markets and products, niche opportunities are created for smaller
institutions that seek to fill the needs of the underserved. Also, the relative
difference in size can often correspond to a more agile management team that can
respond more quickly to the ever changing competitive environment.
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Reports from the Federal Reserve Districts, as outlined in the June 11, 2003
Federal Reserve "Beige Book,"(1) indicate that economic growth generally
remained slow to and uneven despite the recent modest improvement observed by a
few Districts.
Lending activity continued to increase, mostly for refinancing residential
mortgages. The Chicago District reports that many households appear to be taking
advantage of refinancing to pay down other debt, which is limiting growth in
credit card balances. Business lending increased in the Dallas, Cleveland, and
Philadelphia Districts, but was weak in the Atlanta and Chicago Districts and in
most of the San Francisco District. The Richmond District reports no signs of a
pickup in commercial lending any time soon.
Most Districts reported little change in loan delinquencies. The Cleveland
District noted a few reports that credit quality had slipped, and bankers in the
Philadelphia District expect commercial loan quality to slip in the second half
of the year because revenue growth for many business borrowers has been
weaker-than-expected. However, the Chicago District indicated that the credit
quality on commercial loans was improving modestly, while the San Francisco
District reported that the credit quality of bank loans was generally stable to
slightly improved. A mild increase in residential mortgage foreclosures was
reported in the Atlanta District, while the Dallas District
- ---------------
(1) Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions by Federal Reserve
District, June 11, 2003.
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Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 5
reported a May spike in home foreclosures in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Banks
in the St. Louis District reported that they had tightened lending standards for
small firms.
The Livingston Study(2), based on survey responses of 28 participants from
banking, industry, academia and trade associations, forecasts economic recovery
in 2003 in its December 2002 report. The results of this most recent release
project real Gross Domestic Product ("GDP") growth of 2.8% in the first half of
2003 followed by a strengthening in the second half of 2003 to 3.6%. The
unemployment rate is expected to remain at 5.9% from December 2002 to June 2003,
and then decline to 5.5% by the end of 2003. Interest rates on three-month
Treasuries are expected to increase to 1.5% by June 2003, to 2.1% by December
2003 and to end 2004 at 3.2%. Long-term interest rates are also expected to
increase in 2003 but at a less drastic pace than the short-term rates. For
example, the interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes is approximately 4.1% as of
December 2002. The survey participants expect the 10-year Treasury notes to
increase throughout 2003 and 2004, reaching 5.3% at the end of 2004. The
participants' view of the long-term inflation and output growth has been fairly
steady during 2002. It is their collective belief that real GDP will grow 3.2%
over the next 10 years, while inflation will average 2.5% over the same time
period. The result of the current economic malaise has been a reduction in
after-tax corporate profits, which declined approximately 4.3% in 2002 when
compared to the 2001 levels. However, after-tax profits are expected to rebound
strongly in 2003 at an anticipated growth rate of 12.3%. The anticipated
corresponding stock price increase is projected to lag the rebound in earnings
quite significantly. The respondents to this survey anticipate a slow rise in
stock price levels (as measured by the S&P 500 Index) through the end of 2004
with a 29% growth from December 31, 2002 to December 31, 2004.
VALUATION METHODOLOGY
The following is a brief summary of the analyses performed by DPFH in connection
with its Opinion:
(a) Analysis of Comparable Acquisition Transactions. DPFH analyzed bank/thrift
acquisition transactions announced and/or completed since January 1, 2001. Each
selling bank/thrift had total assets less than $250 million, a latest twelve
months ("LTM") return on average equity of greater than 12.0% and less than
15.0% and less than a 60% capital efficiency ratio. This analysis provided an
approximate median multiple of 1.81 times price to book value, 1.87 times price
to tangible book value and 16.7 times LTM earnings per share. Applying the
median multiple for price to book value of 1.81 times to Capital Directions'
March 31, 2003 book value per share of $24.48 results in an implied value per
share of $44.31 on a control, marketable basis. Using the same methodology, the
values implied by applying the relevant multiples to Capital Directions'
tangible book value per share at March 31, 2003 of $24.48 and fully diluted
earnings per share for the twelve months ended March 31, 2003 of $3.30 were
found to be $45.78 per share and $55.11 per share, respectively.
- ------------------
(2) www.phil.frb.org/econ/liv/index.html
8
Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 6
DPFH notes that no selling bank/thrift reviewed was identical to the Company and
that, accordingly, any analysis of comparable transactions necessarily involves
complex considerations and judgments concerning differences in financial and
operating characteristics of the parties to the transactions being compared.
(b) Analysis of Selected Comparable Companies. DPFH compared selected operating
results of Capital Directions to a select group of Michigan publicly traded
commercial banks and thrifts. The comparable set had Total Assets less than $1
billion and Return of Average Equity (ROAE) of between 10% and 20%. Additional
outliers have been eliminated at DPFH's discretion. The selected group had
approximately the following median values: $230 million in total assets, $29.1
million in total equity, a total risk-based capital ratio of 14.6%, LTM return
on average assets of 1.31%, LTM return on average equity of 12.29% and a LTM
efficiency ratio of 56.93%. This analysis provided valuation benchmarks
including the median price multiples of 1.59 times book value, 1.59 times
tangible book value and 12.7 times LTM earnings per share. Applying the median
price to book value multiple resulted in an implied per share value of $38.92
for Capital Directions on a marketable basis. Using the same methodology, the
implied values provided by application of the relevant multiples to Capital
Directions' March 31, 2003 tangible book value and LTM fully diluted earnings
per share were found to be $38.92 per share and $41.91 per share, respectively.
No bank used in the above analyses as a comparison is identical to Capital
Directions. Accordingly, an analysis of the results of the foregoing necessarily
involves complex considerations and judgments concerning differences in
financial and operating characteristics of the companies and other factors that
could affect the public trading values of Company and the banks to which it is
being compared.
(c) Discounted Cash Flow Analysis. DPFH prepared a discounted dividend stream
analysis of Capital Directions, which estimated the future after tax cash flows
that the Company might produce over the five-year period from January 1, 2003
through December 31, 2007. These estimates were derived from discussions with
and deemed reasonable by Capital Directions' management team. The estimates
assumed that Capital Directions' pre-tax earnings would grow at a compound
annual growth rate of approximately 12.1% throughout the projection period. This
rate is significantly greater than Capital Direction's historical growth rate.
This assumes that Capital Directions continues to grow their business in their
home markets and further expands to new areas. DPFH further assumed, with
management's guidance, that the Company would make dividend payouts equal to 50%
of earnings through the projection period. These dividend cash flows were then
discounted to a present value using a discount rate of 12.0%, chosen to reflect
the relative risk that holders of the common equity would be subject to given
the Company's operations and the current economic environment. DPFH also
estimated the residual value for Capital Directions' common stock using a price
to tangible book value multiple of 1.87 times, which is an approximation derived
from the earlier presented analysis of tangible book value multiples in
comparable transactions. This multiple is applied to the Company's estimated
tangible book value at December 31, 2007 of $20.6 million. The discounted
dividend analysis implied a value of $48.07 per share for Capital Directions'
common stock on a marketable basis. This analysis does not purport to be
9
Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 7
indicative of actual values or actual future results and does not purport to
reflect the prices at which any securities may trade at the present or at any
time in the future. DPFH included this analysis because it is a widely used
valuation methodology, but noted that the results of such methodology are highly
dependent upon the numerous assumptions that must be made, including earnings
growth rates, dividend payout rates, terminal values and discount rates.
(d) Net Book Value. The net book value or net equity method implies that a
company is worth its accumulated retained earnings, or deficit, plus its
original capitalization. Net book value is primarily an amount arrived at over a
company's existence which reflects accounting history expressed in unadjusted
dollars and not the company's potential.
In most going concerns with a viable future it can be demonstrated that these
companies would change hands for more than net book value. Book value is only of
importance to the extent it provides an adequate base for the continuance of
operations. In most instances where a company earns a significant return on its
assets (both tangible and intangible), the net book value approach is not
representative of the company's intrinsic business value. We have reviewed the
book value of the Company's assets in limited detail and have found net book
value to be $14,599,000, or $24.48 per share as of March 31, 2003.
(e) Historical Trading Multiples. DPFH analyzed the quoted trades listed on the
OTC Bulletin Board for Capital Directions, Inc. (CTDN) for varying historical
periods. DPFH used a simple average of the stock price quoted for a period of 90
and 365 days. For the past 90 days, as of June 11, 2003, the historical average
price was $49.88 with a period volume of 6,200 compiled over 10 separate trading
days. For the past 365 days, as of June 11, 2003, the historical average price
was $45.13 with a period volume of 23,800 compiled over 44 separate trading
days. It should be noted that volume may reflect "double counting" due to both
the buy and sell side of a transaction being counted. In addition, the prices
and volumes displayed are per the trading information provided on the
www.otcbb.com website and may not reflect all transactions that occurred over
the aforementioned time period.
10
Mr. Timothy P. Gaylord
June 23, 2003
Page 8
CONCLUSION
Our Opinion is directed to the Board of Directors of the Company and does not
constitute a recommendation to the Board of Directors of the Company or the
Company's existing holders of Common Stock. This Opinion has been prepared for
the confidential use of the Board of Directors and senior management of the
Company and may not be reproduced, summarized, described or referred to or given
to any other person without DPFH's prior written consent. Our Opinion is limited
solely to the value of the Company's common stock as of March 31, 2003 given the
relevant market and company specific information available at the present time.
DPFH will typically utilize either a marketability or minority discount, or
combination thereof, to value a minority share of a relatively illiquid company
on a comparable basis. No such discounts have been applied to Capital
Direction's common stock in this valuation. If such a discount were applied, it
would result in valuation that would be significantly lower than the value
assigned below.
On the basis of, and subject to, the foregoing, we are of the opinion that, as
of March 31, 2003, the fair market value of the Company's common stock is $47.50
per share.
Sincerely,
DONNELLY, PENMAN, FRENCH, HAGGARTY & CO
11
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC. CONFIDENTIAL
2. VALUATION SUMMARY
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
12
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
VALUATION SUMMARY
VALUE
CONCLUSION VALUATION TECHNIQUE:
---------- ----------------------------------------------------------------
COMPARABLE COMPANY
365 DAY 90 DAY --------------------------
DCF TRADING AVG. TRADING AVG. BV TBV EPS
------- ------------ ------------ -------- ------- -------
VALUE INDICATION PER SHARE: $ 47.50 $48.07 $ 45.13 $ 49.88 $ 38.92 $38.92 $41.91
Multiple of Diluted LTM EPS 3/31/2003 ($3.30) 14.4 14.6 13.7 15.1 11.8 11.8 12.7
Percentage of Book Value ($24.48) 194.0% 196.4% 184.4% 203.8% 159.0% 159.0% 171.2%
Percentage of Tangible Book Value ($24.48) 194.0% 196.4% 184.4% 203.8% 159.0% 159.0% 171.2%
--------- ---------------------------------------------------------------
VALUATION TECHNIQUE:
-------------------------
COMPARABLE ACQUISITION
-------------------------
BV TBV EPS
------- ------- -------
VALUE INDICATION PER SHARE: $44.31 $45.78 $55.11
Multiple of Diluted LTM EPS 3/31/2003 ($3.30) 13.4 13.9 16.7
Percentage of Book Value ($24.48) 181.0% 187.0% 225.1%
Percentage of Tangible Book Value ($24.48) 181.0% 187.0% 225.1%
-------------------------
CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
3. ANALYSIS OF COMPARABLE ACQUISITIONS
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
COMPARABLE ACQUISITION ANALYSIS
COMMERCIAL BANK & THRIFT ACQUISITIONS ANNOUNCED SINCE 1/1/01 WITH TOTAL ASSETS
< $250 MILLION, ROAE > 12% AND < 15%, EFFICIENCY RATIO < 60%
ANNOUNCE COMPLETION
BUYER SELLER SELLER STATE DATE DATE
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ABC Bancorp Tri-County Bank FL 12/04/2000 04/13/2001
Banc Corporation CF Bancshares, Inc. FL 08/09/2001 02/15/2002
Chittenden Corp. Ocean National Corporation ME 10/05/2001 02/28/2002
Colorado Business Bankshares Inc. First Capital Bank of Arizona AZ 10/24/2000 03/08/2001
First Federal Capital Corp American Community Bankshares, Inc. WI 05/23/2001 10/31/2001
First Merchants Corp. Francor Financial, Inc. IN 02/09/2001 07/01/2001
First Staunton Bancshares, Inc. Hamel Bancorp, Inc. IL 11/30/2001 05/15/2002
First Western Bancorp, Inc. American Bank Shares, Inc. SD 05/25/2001 09/01/2001
FNB Corp. Salem Community Bkshs, Inc. VA 08/01/2001 12/31/2001
Ida Grove Bancshares, Inc. Alliance Bancshares, Incorporated IA 01/13/2001 06/01/2001
Investor Group North Star Holding Company, Inc. ND 06/10/2002 09/12/2002
Marquette County Financial Corporation Tanis Inc. MI 07/01/2000 02/02/2001
Merchants and Manufacturers Bancorporation, Inc. CBOC, Incoporated WI 08/01/2000 01/16/2001
National Mercantile Bancorp South Bay Bank, NA CA 07/18/2001 12/14/2001
Olmsted Holding Corp. Olmsted National Bank MN 10/28/2002 01/31/2003
Pocahontas Bancorp Inc. Peoples Bank AR 01/16/2002 05/31/2002
Spectrum Bancorporation, Inc. Marquette Bank NE and First Western Bank NA NE 11/08/2001 02/28/2002
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. First Financial Corp. RI 11/12/2001 04/16/2002
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HIGH
LOW
MEAN
MEDIAN
- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRICE AT ANNOUNCEMENT TO;
-------------------------
DEAL VALUE BOOK TBV LTM EPS
BUYER SELLER ($M) (%) (%) (X)
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ABC Bancorp Tri-County Bank 7.2 155.37 155.37 12.52
Banc Corporation CF Bancshares, Inc. 15.5 214.80 214.80 17.00
Chittenden Corp. Ocean National Corporation 53.3 258.19 258.19 17.78
Colorado Business Bankshares Inc. First Capital Bank of Arizona 28.3 267.38 267.38 24.13
First Federal Capital Corp American Community Bankshares, Inc. 27.6 242.02 242.02 18.22
First Merchants Corp. Francor Financial, Inc. 29.2 162.70 162.70 13.61
First Staunton Bancshares, Inc. Hamel Bancorp, Inc. 7.5 175.26 NA 16.76
First Western Bancorp, Inc. American Bank Shares, Inc. 12.4 159.92 159.92 11.23
FNB Corp. Salem Community Bkshs, Inc. 40.4 205.83 205.83 16.66
Ida Grove Bancshares, Inc. Alliance Bancshares, Incorporated 12.0 164.79 164.79 12.83
Investor Group North Star Holding Company, Inc. 15.8 154.99 154.99 11.72
Marquette County Financial Corporation Tanis Inc. 6.0 151.23 151.23 12.73
Merchants and Manufacturers Bancorporation, Inc. CBOC, Incoporated 14.5 265.91 265.91 21.61
National Mercantile Bancorp South Bay Bank, NA 29.1 187.19 187.19 11.15
Olmsted Holding Corp. Olmsted National Bank 5.5 208.89 208.89 17.03
Pocahontas Bancorp Inc. Peoples Bank 8.0 156.56 156.56 12.64
Spectrum Bancorporation, Inc. Marquette Bank NE and First Western Bank NA 18.1 157.35 157.35 17.23
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. First Financial Corp. 38.8 210.25 210.25 18.29
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HIGH 53.3 267.38 267.38 24.13
LOW 5.5 151.2 151.2 11.2
MEAN 20.5 194.4 195.5 15.7
MEDIAN 15.7 181.2 187.2 16.7
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PRICE AT ANNOUNCEMENT TO;
------------------------- CORE
ASSETS DEPOSITS DEPOSITS
BUYER SELLER (%) (%) (%)
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ABC Bancorp Tri-County Bank 15.70 17.62 7.87
Banc Corporation CF Bancshares, Inc. 15.65 20.15 14.79
Chittenden Corp. Ocean National Corporation 22.35 26.83 17.84
Colorado Business Bankshares Inc. First Capital Bank of Arizona 29.92 34.35 26.72
First Federal Capital Corp American Community Bankshares, Inc. 19.87 24.51 17.62
First Merchants Corp. Francor Financial, Inc. 18.49 21.67 10.08
First Staunton Bancshares, Inc. Hamel Bancorp, Inc. 14.01 15.44 NA
First Western Bancorp, Inc. American Bank Shares, Inc. 12.10 13.94 7.09
FNB Corp. Salem Community Bkshs, Inc. 17.97 21.03 12.15
Ida Grove Bancshares, Inc. Alliance Bancshares, Incorporated 19.00 25.00 10.05
Investor Group North Star Holding Company, Inc. 14.42 16.00 6.43
Marquette County Financial Corporation Tanis Inc. 16.62 18.91 6.94
Merchants and Manufacturers Bancorporation, Inc. CBOC, Incoporated 25.58 29.17 20.65
National Mercantile Bancorp South Bay Bank, NA 15.42 19.31 11.77
Olmsted Holding Corp. Olmsted National Bank 20.30 24.63 18.00
Pocahontas Bancorp Inc. Peoples Bank 12.45 13.64 6.26
Spectrum Bancorporation, Inc. Marquette Bank NE and First Western Bank NA 16.17 18.38 7.70
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. First Financial Corp. 22.28 31.15 18.70
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HIGH 29.92 34.35 26.72
LOW 12.1 13.6 6.3
MEAN 18.2 21.8 13.0
MEDIAN 17.3 20.6 11.8
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC. (FOR THE LTM ENDED MARCH 31, 2003) $24.48 $24.48 $3.30
MEDIAN MULTIPLE 181.0% 187.0% 16.7
-----------------------------
EQUITY VALUE PER SHARE 44.31 45.78 55.11
-----------------------------
Source: SNL Financial LP
Donnelly, Penman, French, Haggarty & co.
CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
4. ANALYSIS OF COMPARABLE COMPANIES
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
COMPARABLE COMPANY ANALYSIS
MICHIGAN COMMERCIAL BANKS AND THRIFTS WITH TOTAL ASSETS < $1 BILLION AND ROAE
> 10% AND < 20%
CLOSING DIVIDEND DIVIDEND
CLOSING PRICE PAYOUT YIELD
COMPANY STATE TICKER DATE ($) (%) (%)
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commercial National Financial Corporation MI CEFC 03/31/2003 12.7500 70.00 4.48
County Bank Corporation MI CYBK 03/31/2003 47.2500 30.00 2.00
Firstbank Corporation MI FBMI 03/31/2003 28.5000 32.20 2.46
FNBH Bancorp, Inc. MI FNHM 03/31/2003 24.2500 40.48 2.72
ICNB Financial Corporation MI ICNB 03/31/2003 23.7500 40.00 3.53
Mercantile Bank Corporation MI MBWM 03/31/2003 23.8600 20.00 1.25
MSB Financial, Inc. MI MSBF 03/31/2003 12.6000 31.08 3.26
Pavilion Bancorp, Inc. MI PVLN 03/31/2003 48.5000 21.36 1.86
PSB Group, Inc. MI PSBG 03/31/2003 15.7500 45.45 3.00
Sturgis Bancorp, Inc. MI STBI 03/31/2003 10.0000 29.63 3.43
United Bancorp, Inc. MI UBMI 03/31/2003 57.1429 39.78 2.13
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HIGH 48.5000 70.00 4.48
LOW 10.00 20.00 1.25
MEAN 24.72 36.02 2.80
MEDIAN 23.81 31.64 2.86
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INCORPORATED MI CTDN 03/31/2003 49.0000 47.56 3.00
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------
CLOSING PRICE TO:
------------------------- TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL
BOOK TANG. LTM ASSETS NET LOANS DEPOSITS
COMPANY (%) BOOK (%) EPS (X) ($000) ($000) ($000)
- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commercial National Financial Corporation 202.70 202.70 16.35 244,680 175,532 172,454
County Bank Corporation 185.88 185.88 14.54 244,806 153,649 211,920
Firstbank Corporation 186.03 205.48 12.72 765,892 581,436 574,716
FNBH Bancorp, Inc. 199.75 199.75 12.63 414,466 329,691 367,098
ICNB Financial Corporation 114.29 119.65 9.24 226,463 161,676 179,564
Mercantile Bank Corporation 158.54 158.54 15.80 967,787 801,081 801,097
MSB Financial, Inc. 109.85 125.00 10.00 103,217 77,916 73,313
Pavilion Bancorp, Inc. 158.70 158.70 13.74 293,955 242,286 249,661
PSB Group, Inc. 108.02 118.60 9.43 402,920 291,654 349,831
Sturgis Bancorp, Inc. 100.00 122.85 10.00 294,129 214,434 209,805
United Bancorp, Inc. 233.24 249.10 17.53 579,040 414,386 476,719
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HIGH 202.70 205.48 16.35 967,787 801,081 801,097
LOW 100.00 118.60 9.24 103,217 77,916 73,313
MEAN 152.38 159.72 12.45 395,832 302,936 318,946
MEDIAN 158.62 158.62 12.68 294,042 228,360 230,791
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INCORPORATED 198.06 198.06 14.98 125,609 94,176 74,800
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC. (FOR THE LTM ENDING MARCH 31, 2003) $24.48 $24.48 $3.30
MEDIAN MULTIPLE 159.0% 159.0% 12.7
EQUITY VALUE PER SHARE 38.92 38.92 41.91
Source: SNL Financial LP
Donnelly, Penman, French, Haggarty & co.
COMPARABLE COMPANY ANALYSIS
Michigan commercial banks and thrifts with Total Assets < $1 billion and ROAE >
10% and < 20%
TIER 1 RISK TOTAL RISK TIER 1 LTM
TOTAL NPAS/ BASED BASED LEVERAGE LTM LTM LTM EFFICIENCY
EQUITY ASSETS CAPITAL RATIO CAPITAL RATIO RATIO ROAA ROAE NIM RATIO
COMPANY STATE TICKER ($000) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
------- ----- ------ ------ ------ ------------- ------------- -------- ---- ----- ---- ----------
24,107 2.25 13.30 14.60 9.90 1.30 12.75 4.22 54.65
County Bank Corporation MI CYBK 30,155 NA 17.40 NA NA 1.62 13.41 4.75 57.13
Firstbank Corporation MI FBMI 82,635 0.22 12.92 14.16 9.34 1.65 15.91 4.68 56.72
FNBH Bancorp, Inc. MI FNHM 38,334 1.26 NA NA NA 1.48 16.62 4.86 54.97
ICNB Financial Corporation MI ICNB 21,285 2.34 13.35 14.60 8.88 1.17 13.01 4.55 58.62
Mercantile Bank Corporation MI MBWM 81,530 0.07 10.55 11.79 10.30 0.99 10.84 3.22 47.40
MSB Financial, Inc. MI MSBF 14,926 0.40 18.42 19.27 NA 1.54 10.55 4.32 54.77
Pavilion Bancorp, Inc. MI PVLN 25,146 0.42 NA NA NA 1.03 11.44 5.32 70.68
PSB Group, Inc. MI PSBG 45,885 1.05 14.47 15.72 NA 1.32 11.83 4.76 69.47
Sturgis Bancorp, Inc. MI STBI 28,075 1.45 11.40 12.40 NA 0.97 10.37 3.39 63.54
United Bancorp, Inc. MI UBMI 54,394 0.65 11.80 13.00 8.70 1.29 13.97 4.52 63.63
------ ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ---- -----
HIGH 82,635 2.34 18.42 19.27 10.30 1.65 16.62 5.32 70.68
LOW 14,926 0.07 10.55 11.79 8.88 0.97 10.37 3.22 47.40
MEAN 39,208 1.05 13.98 14.65 9.61 1.31 12.67 4.41 58.80
MEDIAN 29,115 1.05 13.33 14.60 9.62 1.31 12.29 4.62 56.93
------ ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ---- -----
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS,
INCORPORATED 14,599 0.04 18.56 19.81 10.89 1.57 13.76 3.84 48.59
------ ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ---- -----
Source: SNL Financial LP
Donnelly, Penman, French, Haggarty & Co.
CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
5. DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW MODEL
VALUATION DATE: MARCH 31, 2003
In US Dollars ($000's)
Projected (1)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
For the years ended December 31
-------------------------------------------------------------------
2007
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Takeout
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Net Interest Income After Provision $ 4,965 $ 5,224 $ 5,657 $ 6,236 $ 6,882
Non-interest Income 763 824 890 961 1,038
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
5,728 6,048 6,547 7,197 7,920
Amortization of Intangibles - - - - -
Depreciation (115) (127) (217) (229) (241)
General & Administrative Expenses (2,730) (2,821) (3,102) (3,121) (3,130)
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Total Other Expenses (2,845) (2,948) (3,319) (3,350) (3,371)
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Income Before Taxes 2,883 3,100 3,227 3,847 4,549
Taxes @ 31% (894) (961) (1,001) (1,193) (1,410)
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net Income 1,989 2,139 2,227 2,654 3,139
Dividend Payout $ 995 $ 1,069 $ 1,424 $ 1,327 $ 1,569
Present Value Factor @ 12% 0.9859 0.9185 0.8201 0.7322 0.6538
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Partial Year Discount (Dividends declared as of 3/31/2003) (232)
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Present Value of Free Cash Flows $ 748 $ 982 $ 1,168 $ 972 $ 1,026
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Total Present Value of Cash Flows (Years 1 to 5) $ 4,896
Plus: Residual Cash Flow Value $23,756 2007 Tangible Book Value (TBV) 20,563
------- -------
Indicated Equity Value $28,652 2007 Takeout Price/TBV Multiple (2) 187.0%
------- -------
Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding (000's) 596 Residual Cash Flow Value $38,452
-------
EQUITY VALUE PER SHARE $ 48.07 Present Value Factor 0.6178
------- -------
Present Value of Residual Cash Flow $23,756
-------
Footnotes:
(1) The above projections are the representation of management and have not been
compiled, reviewed or examined by DPFH & Co.
(2) Based on comparable acquistion multiples.
CONFIDENTIAL
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
6. MANAGEMENT PROJECTIONS
DPFH DONNELLY
INVESTMENT BANKING PENMAN
FRENCH
HAGGARTY & CO.
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
ASSUMPTIONS
PROJECTIONS: 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Balance Sheet:
New Loan Composition Growth:
Real Estate Mortgage 2.0% 2.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Commercial Loans 25.0% 20.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Equity Line & Checking Resource 75.0% 50.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
GROSS LOAN GROWTH 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Loan loss reserve $ 1,062 $ 1,150 $ 1,242 $ 1,342 $ 1,449
Net premises & equipment $ 1,034 $ 1,027 $ 1,710 $ 1,601 $ 1,481
Net intangible assets $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Int. bearing deposits / Fed Funds Sold 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Securities Available for Sale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Securities held to maturity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FHLB stock as a % of FHLB Borrowings 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Non-interest bearing deposit growth 5.0% 5.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Interest-bearing deposit growth 5.0% 5.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Additional common stock $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Additional preferred stock $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Income Statement:
Int. bearing deposits / Fed Funds Sold 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85%
Securities Available for Sale 5.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Securities Held to Maturity 5.25% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25%
FHLB stock 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Yield on Mortgage Loans 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% 7.00%
Yield on Commercial Loans 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
Yield on Equity Line and Checking Resource 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Blended loan yield 7.19% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Cost of FHLB borrowings 5.50% 5.50% 5.50% 5.50% 5.50%
Cost of notes payable & other borrowings 5.50% 5.50% 5.50% 5.50% 5.50%
Cost of interest bearing deposits 1.83% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83%
Non-interest income 763 824 890 961 1,038
Non-interest income growth -24.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Operating expenses (excludes depreciation) (1) 2,845 2,948 3,319 3,350 3,371
Operating expense growth 8.0% 8.0% 12.6% 8.0% 8.0%
Dividend payout amount (%) 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Tax rate 31.0% 31.0% 31.0% 31.0% 31.0%
--------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
(1) Includes the addition of 3 Full Time Equivalents (FTEs) at $45,000 per head
in 2005 due to the expansion branch purchase.
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
BALANCE SHEET
HISTORICAL PROJECTED
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31 FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
($ 000's) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
- ------------------------------------------ --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
ASSETS:
Cash $ 2,603 $ 2,642 $ 3,287 $ 1,101 $ 1,800 $ 1,442 $ 1,099 $ 1,178
Int. bearing deposits / Fed Funds Sold 5,963 4,331 5,147 5,147 5,147 5,147 5,147 5,147
Securities Available for Sale 15,670 12,200 13,625 13,625 13,625 13,625 13,625 13,625
Securities Held to Maturity - - 400 400 400 400 400 400
FHLB stock 1,967 1,967 2,381 1,770 1,825 2,050 2,050 2,000
LOAN PORTFOLIO:
Real Estate Mortgage 76,772 78,307 84,572 91,338 98,645
Commercial Loans 24,723 29,668 32,041 34,605 37,373
Equity Line & Checking Resource 4,705 7,058 7,623 8,233 8,891
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total loans receivable 85,649 92,832 97,734 106,201 115,033 124,236 134,175 144,909
Allowance for loan losses (1,053) (1,048) (1,044) (1,062) (1,150) (1,242) (1,342) (1,449)
Deferred costs, net - - - - - - - -
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total loans receivable, net 84,596 91,784 96,690 105,139 113,883 122,994 132,833 143,460
Premises and equipment 3,891 4,180 4,118 4,238 4,358 5,258 5,378 5,498
Accumulated depreciation (2,944) (3,073) (3,089) (3,204) (3,331) (3,548) (3,777) (4,018)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Net premises and equipment 947 1,107 1,029 1,034 1,027 1,710 1,601 1,481
Deferred federal income taxes - - - - - - - -
Interest receivable & other assets 3,277 3,246 3,655 3,655 3,655 3,655 3,655 3,655
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
TOTAL ASSETS: $ 115,023 $ 117,277 $ 126,214 $ 131,871 $ 141,362 $ 151,023 $ 160,410 $ 170,946
========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= =========
LIABILITIES & EQUITY:
Non-interest bearing deposits $ 9,885 $ 10,470 $ 10,767 $ 11,305 $ 11,871 $ 13,058 $ 14,363 $ 15,800
Interest-bearing deposits 62,538 60,463 63,940 67,137 70,494 77,543 85,298 93,827
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total deposits 72,423 70,933 74,707 78,442 82,364 90,601 99,661 109,627
FHLB borrowings 28,339 31,125 35,401 36,500 41,000 41,000 40,000 39,000
Notes payable & other borrowings - - - - - - - -
Accrued payables, accrued expenses & other 1,427 1,456 1,756 1,756 1,756 1,756 1,756 1,756
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total liabilities 102,189 103,514 111,864 116,698 125,120 133,357 141,417 150,383
Preferred stock - - - - - - - -
Common stock & Paid in Capital 5,580 5,474 5,176 5,176 5,176 5,176 5,176 5,176
Retained earnings 7,126 8,015 9,002 9,997 11,066 12,490 13,817 15,387
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 128 274 172 - - - - -
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total common equity 12,834 13,763 14,350 15,173 16,242 17,666 18,993 20,563
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY $ 115,023 $ 117,277 $ 126,214 $ 131,871 $ 141,362 $ 151,023 $ 160,410 $ 170,946
========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= =========
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
LOAN LOSS RESERVE
HISTORICAL PROJECTED
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31 FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
($ 000's) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
- ------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Balance at January 1 $ 1,055 $ 1,053 $ 1,048 $ 1,044 $ 1,062 $ 1,150 $ 1,242 $ 1,342
Provision for loan losses 6 0 0 28 99 104 112 121
Net charge offs (8) (5) (4) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Balance at December 31 $ 1,053 $ 1,048 $ 1,044 $ 1,062 $ 1,150 $ 1,242 $ 1,342 $ 1,449
========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= =========
Allowance for loan losses/total loans 1.24% 1.14% 1.08% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Net charge offs/average loans 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
PREMISES/EQUIPMENT & INTANGIBLE AMORTIZATION
HISTORICAL PROJECTED
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31 FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
($ 000's) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005(1) 2006 2007
- ---------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Gross premises and equipment $ 3,891 $ 4,180 $ 4,118 $ 4,238 $ 4,358 $ 5,258 $ 5,378 $ 5,498
Accumulated depreciation (2,944) (3,073) (3,089) (3,204) (3,331) (3,548) (3,777) (4,018)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Net premises and equipment $ 947 $ 1,107 $ 1,029 $ 1,034 $ 1,027 $ 1,710 $ 1,601 $ 1,481
========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= =========
Base depreciation $ 115 $ 129 $ 118 $ 103 $ 103 $ 93 $ 93 $ 93
Capital expenditures:
2003 Dep. Rates: $ 120 12 12 12 12 12
2004 Base $ 120 12 12 12 12
2005 10 $ 1,000 100 100 100
2006 Additions $ 120 12 12
2007 10 $ 120 12
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total depreciation $ 118 $ 115 $ 127 $ 217 $ 229 $ 241
========= ========= ========= ========= ========= =========
(1) Assumes the simultaneous acquisition of a new branch for $1,000,000 and the
sale of an existing branch with a book value of $100,000 for $1,000,000
(net $900,000 gain).
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
INCOME STATEMENT
HISTORICAL PROJECTED
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31 FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------
($ 000's) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
- ------------------------------------------ --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Interest Income:
Int. bearing deposits / Fed Funds Sold $ 140 $ 181 $ 47 $ 95 $ 95 $ 95 $ 95 $ 95
Securities Available for Sale 672 885 673 681 545 545 545 545
Securities Held to Maturity - - - 21 21 21 21 21
FHLB stock 94 146 125 38 33 36 38 37
LoansExcluding Fees 7,051 6,837 7,052 7,333 8,018 8,672 9,366 10,115
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Gross Interest income 7,957 8,049 7,897 8,168 8,713 9,369 10,065 10,813
Interest expense (3,798) (3,715) (3,372) (3,176) (3,389) (3,608) (3,716) (3,810)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Net interest income 4,159 4,334 4,525 4,993 5,323 5,761 6,349 7,003
Provision for loan losses (6) - - (28) (99) (104) (112) (121)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Net interest income after provision 4,153 4,334 4,525 4,965 5,224 5,657 6,236 6,882
Non-interest income 794 819 1,005 763 824 890 961 1,038
Depreciation (115) (129) (118) (115) (127) (217) (229) (241)
General & administrative expenses (2,454) (2,511) (2,634) (2,730) (2,821) (3,102) (3,121) (3,130)
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Total non-interest expenses (2,569) (2,640) (2,752) (2,845) (2,948) (3,319) (3,350) (3,371)
Gain on Sale of Assets (1) - - - - - 900 - -
Income before taxes 2,378 2,513 2,778 2,883 3,100 4,127 3,847 4,549
Federal income taxes (729) (775) (868) (894) (961) (1,280) (1,193) (1,410)
Extraordinary items - - - - - - - -
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
NET INCOME 1,649 1,738 1,910 1,989 2,139 2,848 2,654 3,139
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Shares outstanding end of period 598,056 595,956 588,143 596,000 596,000 596,000 596,000 596,000
Weighted average common shares outstanding 598,000 598,000 592,000 596,000 596,000 596,000 596,000 596,000
Weighted average fully diluted common
shares outstanding 603,000 603,000 596,000 601,000 601,000 601,000 601,000 601,000
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Basic earnings per share $ 2.76 $ 2.91 $ 3.23 $ 3.34 $ 3.59 $ 4.78 $ 4.45 $ 5.27
Diluted earnings per share $ 2.73 $ 2.88 $ 3.20 $ 3.31 $ 3.56 $ 4.74 $ 4.42 $ 5.22
--------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
(1) Assumes the simultaneous acquisition of a new branch for $1,000,000 and the
sale of an existing branch with a book value of $100,000 for $1,000,000
(net $900,000 gain) in 2005.
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
PROJECTED
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
--------------------------------------------------------------------
($ 000's) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
- ---------------------------------------------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
CHANGE IN ASSETS:
Net income $ 1,989 $ 2,139 $ 2,848 $ 2,654 $ 3,139
Provision for loan losses 28 99 104 112 121
Net charge offs (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)
Change in Int. bearing deposits / Fed funds sold - - - - -
Change in Securities Available for Sale - - - - -
Change in Securities Held to Maturity - - - - -
Change in FHLB stock 611 (55) (225) - 50
Change in loans (8,467) (8,833) (9,203) (9,939) (10,734)
Change in deferred costs, net - - - - -
Depreciation 115 127 217 229 241
Capital expenditures (120) (120) (1,000) (120) (120)
Sale of assets (net of income statement gain) (1) - - 100 - -
Change in intangible assets, net - - - - -
Change in interest receivable & other assets - - - - -
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
NET CASH FROM CHANGE IN ASSETS (5,853) (6,654) (7,171) (7,076) (7,317)
CHANGE IN LIABILITIES:
Change in deposits 3,735 3,922 8,236 9,060 9,966
Change in FHLB borrowings 1,099 4,500 - (1,000) (1,000)
Change in notes payable & other borrowings - - - - -
Change in accrued payables, accrued expenses & other - - - - -
Change in preferred stock - - - - -
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
NET CASH FROM CHANGE IN LIABILITIES 4,834 8,422 8,236 8,060 8,966
CHANGE IN EQUITY:
Change in net unrealized gain on sale of securities (172) - - - -
Change in dividends (995) (1,069) (1,424) (1,327) (1,569)
Change in common stock - - - - -
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
NET CASH FROM CHANGE IN EQUITY (1,167) (1,069) (1,424) (1,327) (1,569)
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Net change in cash (2,186) 699 (358) (343) 80
Beginning cash 3,287 1,101 1,800 1,442 1,099
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Ending cash 1,101 1,800 1,442 1,099 1,178
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
(1) Assumes the simultaneous acquisition of a new branch for $1,000,000 and the
sale of an existing branch with a book value of $100,000 for $1,000,000
(net $900,000 gain) in 2005.
CAPITAL DIRECTIONS, INC.
RATIO ANALYSIS
HISTORICAL PROJECTED
--------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31 FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31
--------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Average assets $116,150 $121,746 $129,042 $136,617 $146,193 $155,717 $165,678
Average equity 13,299 14,057 14,761 15,707 16,954 18,330 19,778
Average int. bearing deposits & Fed Funds Sold 5,147 4,739 5,147 5,147 5,147 5,147 5,147
Average Securities Available for Sale 13,935 12,913 13,625 13,625 13,625 13,625 13,625
Average Securities Held to Maturity - 200 400 400 400 400 400
Average FHLB Stock 1,967 2,174 2,076 1,798 1,938 2,050 2,025
Average total loans 89,241 95,283 101,967 110,617 119,635 129,206 139,542
Average FHLB borrowings 29,732 33,263 35,951 38,750 41,000 40,500 39,500
Average notes payable & other borrowings - - - - - - -
Average interest bearing deposits 61,501 62,202 65,539 68,815 74,019 81,420 89,562
Average preferred stock - - - - - - -
Efficiency ratio 51.2% 49.8% 49.4% 48.0% 49.9% 45.8% 41.9%
Net interest margin 3.93% 3.92% 4.05% 4.05% 4.09% 4.22% 4.36%
Noninterest expense/average assets 2.27% 2.26% 2.20% 2.16% 2.27% 2.15% 2.03%
Noninterest income/average assets 0.71% 0.83% 0.59% 0.60% 0.61% 0.62% 0.63%
Core Return on average assets 1.50% 1.57% 1.54% 1.57% 1.95% 1.70% 1.89%
Core Return on average equity 13.07% 13.59% 13.48% 13.62% 16.80% 14.48% 15.87%
Total asset growth 1.96% 7.62% 4.48% 7.20% 6.83% 6.22% 6.57%
Net income growth 5.40% 9.90% 4.15% 7.51% 33.16% -6.79% 18.25%
Book value per share $ 23.09 $ 24.40 $ 25.46 $ 27.25 $ 29.64 $ 31.87 $ 34.50
Tangible book value per share $ 23.09 $ 24.40 $ 25.46 $ 27.25 $ 29.64 $ 31.87 $ 34.50
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Average assets $116,150 $121,746 $129,042 $136,617 $146,193 $155,717 $165,678
Risk-weighted assets @ 58% of assets $ 68,021 $ 73,204 $ 76,485 $ 81,990 $ 87,593 $ 93,038 $ 99,149
Tier 1 capital $ 13,438 $ 13,306 $ 15,173 $ 16,242 $ 17,666 $ 18,993 $ 20,563
Tier 2 capital $ 920 $ 932 $ 956 $ 1,025 $ 1,095 $ 1,163 $ 1,239
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Total capital $ 14,358 $ 14,238 $ 16,129 $ 17,267 $ 18,761 $ 20,156 $ 21,802
Std. Minimum
Tier 1 capital to average assets 5.0% 11.57% 10.93% 11.76% 11.89% 12.08% 12.20% 12.41%
Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assets 6.0% 19.76% 18.18% 19.84% 19.81% 20.17% 20.41% 20.74%
Total capital to risk-weighted assets 10.0% 21.11% 19.45% 21.09% 21.06% 21.42% 21.66% 21.99%
------------ -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------