EXHIBIT 99.154 CIGMOD - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TRAINING MANUAL January 1997 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SYSTEMATIC SOLUTIONS, INC. POLICY ASSESSMENT CORP. 534 E. DAYTON-YELLOW SPRINGS RD. 14604 WEST 62ND PLACE FAIRBORN, OHIO 45324 ARVADA, COLORADO 80004 (937) 878-8603 (303) 467-3566 <Table> WELCOME TO CIGMOD........................................................................................1 THE COMPETITIVE INDUSTRY GAMING MODEL....................................................................1 THE PHASES............................................................................................1 Transitional Market................................................................................1 Massive Restructuring..............................................................................1 System Divestiture.................................................................................1 Market Gaming......................................................................................2 Re-Regulation......................................................................................2 Industry Consolidation.............................................................................3 THE CIGMOD PLAYERS....................................................................................3 THE MARKET............................................................................................3 THE RETAIL COMPANIES..................................................................................3 THE GENERATION COMPANIES..............................................................................4 THE REGULATORY COMMISSION.............................................................................5 HOW TO PLAY CIGMOD.......................................................................................5 TIPS FOR NEW PLAYERS..................................................................................6 TIPS FOR THE RETAIL COMPANY...........................................................................6 CALCULATING WHAT YOU NEED TO BUY......................................................................6 NEGOTIATING YOUR CONTRACTS............................................................................6 ESTIMATING THE CAPACITY FACTOR OF A CONTRACT..........................................................7 ESTIMATING THE PER UNIT COST OF CONTRACT POWER........................................................8 PRICING RETAIL POWER..................................................................................9 CHECKING YOUR PROGRESS................................................................................9 TIPS FOR THE GENERATION COMPANY......................................................................10 HOW MUCH CAPACITY DO YOU HAVE?.......................................................................10 WHAT DO YOU WANT TO SELL IT FOR?.....................................................................10 SAMPLE CALCULATION FOR DETERMINING PROFIT OBJECTIVES.................................................11 DO YOU WANT TO BUILD MORE GENERATION?................................................................12 CHECKING YOUR PROGRESS...............................................................................13 RETAIL COMPANY ACTIONS - UNDERSTANDING AND USING FORMS..................................................14 FORM 1 - DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT......................................................14 FORM 2 - TRENDED DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT..............................................15 FORM R3 - RETAIL COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGY...............................................16 FORM R4 - RETAIL COMPANY RETAIL PRICE STRATEGIES.....................................................17 FORM R5 - RETAIL COMPANY ADVERTISING BUDGET..........................................................18 FORM R6 - RETAIL COMPANY MERGER......................................................................19 FORM R7 - RETAIL COMPANY ACQUISITIONS................................................................19 FORM R8 - RETAIL COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER...........................................................20 FORM R9 - RETAIL COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION....................................................21 FORM R10 - RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE.......................................................21 FORM R11 - RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO...................................................22 FORM R12 - RETAIL COMPANY CASH TRANSFER..............................................................22 FORM R13 - RETAIL COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BILLING STRATEGY.............................................24 FORM R14 - RETAIL COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY.........................................................26 FORM R15 - RETAIL COMPANY CONTRACT CANCELLATION......................................................27 FORM R16 - RETAIL COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT...................................................28 </Table> <Table> RETAIL COMPANY REPORTS..................................................................................29 TABLE R1: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY FORECAST............................................................29 TABLE R2: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY STATEMENT OF INCOME AND FINANCE.....................................30 TABLE R3: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PURCHASES AND COSTS.................................................33 TABLE R4: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY CONTRACT INFORMATION................................................35 TABLE R5: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PRICES..............................................................37 TABLE R6: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY SALES...............................................................39 TABLE R7: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PERFORMANCE MEASURES................................................41 TABLE R8: SYSTEM ENERGY BALANCE.....................................................................43 TABLE R9: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY COST PERFORMANCE DETAILS............................................45 Table R9: Retail Energy Company Cost Performance Details for 1999, DARW...........................45 TABLE R10: SYSTEM CAPACITY MARGIN...................................................................47 GENERATION COMPANY ACTIONS - UNDERSTANDING AND USING FORMS..............................................48 FORM 1 - DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT......................................................48 FORM 2 - TRENDED ELECTRIC CAPACITY CONTRACT..........................................................50 FORM G3 - GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY EXPANSION STRATEGIES...........................................51 FORM G4 - GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET BIDDING STRATEGIES..........................................52 FORM G5 - GENERATION COMPANY PLANT RETIREMENTS.......................................................54 FORM G6 - THE GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGIES.....................................55 FORM G7 - GENERATION COMPANY MERGERS.................................................................56 FORM G8 - GENERATION COMPANY ACQUISITION.............................................................56 FORM G9 - GENERATION COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER.......................................................57 FORM G10 - GENERATION COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION...............................................58 FORM G11 - GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE...................................................59 FORM G12 - GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO...............................................59 FORM G13 - GENERATION COMPANY CASH TRANSFER..........................................................60 FORM G14 - GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS SELLING QUANTITY STRATEGIES..............................61 FORM G15 - THE GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BILLING STRATEGY.....................................62 FORM G16 - GENERATION COMPANY BUY/SELL CAPACITY......................................................64 FORM G17 - GENERATION COMPANY CANCEL CONSTRUCTION....................................................65 FORM G18 - GENERATION COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY.....................................................66 FORM G19 - GENERATION COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT...............................................67 FORM G20 - TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS..................................................................68 GENERATING COMPANY REPORTS..............................................................................69 TABLE G1: GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY REQUIREMENT STATEMENT (MW)....................................70 TABLE G2: GENERATION COMPANY STATEMENT OF INCOME AND FINANCE........................................71 TABLE G3: GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD SALES AND REVENUES................................72 TABLE G4: GENERATION COMPANY CONTRACT INFORMATION...................................................74 TABLE G5: GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY COSTS.........................................................76 TABLE G6: GENERATING COMPANY CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION............................................78 TABLE G7: GENERATING COMPANY GENERATION COSTS.......................................................79 TABLE G8: GENERATING COMPANY GENERATION BALANCE.....................................................81 TABLE G9: SPOT MARKET SALES AND REVENUE.............................................................83 TABLE G10: GENERATING COMPANY PERFORMANCE MEASURES..................................................85 TABLE G11: REGION CAPACITY REQUIREMENT STATEMENT (MW)...............................................87 TABLE G12: REGIONAL GENERATION BALANCE..............................................................88 TABLE G13: REGIONAL CAPACITY MARGINS................................................................90 TABLE G14: UNIT COST SUMMARY........................................................................92 TABLE G15: TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS.................................................................95 </Table> WELCOME TO CIGMOD THE COMPETITIVE INDUSTRY GAMING MODEL During the next few hours you will assume one or more of the new roles in the electric industry marketplace - that of unregulated generator, a regulated or unregulated retail company or an independent power producer. The challenge will be to survive and even thrive in the new competitive market by understanding how to make contracts, build plants, and merge with other companies. The transition to a deregulated electric utility market is a messy one - with many transitional steps occurring simultaneously. Your task will be to manage these steps to put your company in a profitable position. We identify six phases of the deregulation process and believe that CIGMOD can help you learn to "play through" the phases successfully. THE PHASES The six phases identified are: Transitional Market, Massive Restructuring, System Divestiture, Market Gaming, Re-regulation, and Industry Consolidation. TRANSITIONAL MARKET The transition phase of utility deregulation corresponds to an attempt at "giving" up control while controlling the consequences. Ultimately the rules increase to the point where compliance becomes an overwhelming task. At this point, a collective solution that removes direct responsibility must come into being. For the utilities, this is the Independent System Operator (ISO). Learning to use an ISO is part of the CIGMOD experience. MASSIVE RESTRUCTURING Once any portion of the market place experiences the choices that competitive economics offer, all other portions of the market place demand the same treatment. Retail wheeling has little choice but to develop where economic imbalances are perceived as unjustified and then quickly spread wherever deregulation can gain a foothold. CIGMOD will give you experience working with different retail wheeling scenarios. SYSTEM DIVESTITURE Once deregulation achieves retail wheeling, conflicts among generation, marketing, transmission and distribution widen. Generation struggles in the market place every moment of every day. It has high risks and high potential gains. It has cash flow requirements to cover capacity financial burdens. It needs to over-book capacity to make sure that capacity will be utilized as fully as possible, knowing that it may be forced to go on the spot market itself to meet contract obligations. It needs to inform the transmission system of its intent without showing its hand to its competitors. It needs to build cash reserves to cope with "price wars" and "gaming mishaps." Because transmission is still 1 regulated, it has "an obligation to serve" with minimal chance to earn significant returns. If transmission expansion is required, the assets and financial strength of the generation would be needed to secure investment funds and support the project. The final results would be more competitive pressures on the generator. This conflict of interest requires the two to severe all financial and legal ties. In addition, the distribution portion of the utility experiences regulatory pressures to minimize cost. If marketing is part of distribution, it must find low cost suppliers to maximize its retail and wholesale market share. The associated generator would then need to negotiate contracts under competitive bids with other generators. The inside information that an associated distribution/marketing unit would have makes the negotiations problematic for the associated generator. Further, the distribution company may find the generation supply the transmission topology allows is more expensive than that from a CCGT plant it could build nearby on its own. Finally, the generator would have advantage marketing its own power without the dependence on a "utility" marketing function serving its own interests, especially when the generator must also sell power in other markets outside its service area where it may be more competitive than "at home." Separating retail marketing from the now passive distribution function and providing "generation" its own independent marketing arm maximizes everyone's advantage. The pressures to divest overpower any arguments to resist. CIGMOD simulates this divestiture. MARKET GAMING Once the companies have divested, each company can utilize its individual capabilities to its best advantage. Because each entity has remnant features suitable only in the regulated environment, an incongruity of new purpose and old function occurs. Because each incongruity could pose a disadvantage, the "battle" is necessarily fought more on wit than power. And as with any battle, strategy and tactic guide progress and success. Whenever the choices of alternative courses of action depend on the actions of others, the "theory of games" applies. Hence there can be little doubt the transition will be a time of gaming. CIGMOD helps you devise winning strategies under a variety of potential assumptions about the future. RE-REGULATION Rules change only when economic or social pressure demand - whenever someone feels "unfairness" is the source of his or her critical problem. Gaming produces winners and losers. A slight tilt towards losing soon becomes a capsize as cash and resources drain away. Some players abuse their market power, and the victims demand safeguards. Some physical constraints or novel strategies may eventually overwhelm specific market mechanisms and regulatory intervention then becomes critical to avoid complete market failure. As the sides change and the strength of competitors ebb and wane, new problems arise along with new rationalizations to intervene. Eventually the system stabilizes when the effort to change the rules exceeds the loss from coping with existing rules. CIGMOD can be parameterized with different sets of rules. 2 INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION Once the market recognizes the increase in certainty, participants would attempt to lock-in advantageous situations. Many generators would find themselves selling regularly to selected distribution companies, marketers, or customers. The economies from reducing uncertainty further or locking in sales force reintegration. The combined companies then have economies of scope. Because the impetus for re-regulation implies that many participants have reached the "end" of their gaming days, sweep-up acquisitions surge. A handful of national vertically integrated utilities form but many small market niche utilities continue in remote areas or in unique economic conditions. Transmission assets, having been the pawns of the transition, lose market value and a single national transmission company, probably with quasi-public ownership takes shape. The storm of deregulation has finally subsided. CIGMOD can simulate the possible surge in acquisitions and vertical integration. THE CIGMOD PLAYERS The CIGMOD players include retail companies and generation companies, independent power producers, and the regulatory commission all interacting in a single market. CIGMOD can be played with or without retail wheeling. If no retail wheeling is allowed, then the retail companies remain regulated. If retail wheeling is permitted then the industry is fully deregulated. Generally the first few games use regulated retail companies; as players gather more expertise, the additional complexities of retail wheeling are added. THE MARKET This version of CIGMOD simulates MAIN, MAPP and part of ECAR. The residential customers live in everything from high rise apartments to mobile homes, there is a wide variety of commercial establishments of all sizes and a large industrial sector that includes mining, heavy industry and high technology is spread throughout the service territories. The system as a whole is significantly summer peaking, a result of high saturations in electric air conditioning (and hot, humid summers). Winter heating requirements are met generally with natural gas; the electric utilities face stiff competition from aggressive natural gas companies in the area that actively compete for heating load. THE RETAIL COMPANIES In the absence of retail wheeling, the retail companies buy electricity from generation companies and sell electricity to the residential, commercial, and industrial customers within their service territory. The retail companies negotiate contracts with generation companies to buy electricity and obtain any remaining electricity on the spot market. The regulatory commission sets the prices (with generation/transmission cost-pass-through provisions) charged by the retail companies. Company performance is measured by reviewing negotiated prices and comparing them with historical prices. The decisions the players make include: 3 1. Entering contracts to buy power; 2. Buying power from the spot market; 3. Setting retail prices; 4. Marketing and advertising to increase market share; 5. Initiating mergers, acquisitions or hostile takeovers; 6. Filing for financial reorganization; 7. Changing the dividend payout ratio; 8. Changing the debt/equity ratio; 9. Creating a generation company. 10. Participating in the power auction; and 11. Canceling contracts to buy power When retail wheeling is added, retail prices have reduced regulatory restrictions. CIGMOD provides additional information on sales to each service area. The magnitude, timing and acceptance of retail wheeling is set at the beginning of a CIGMOD game. Choosing to wheel is based on perceived price and non-price factors, including advertising. Parameters can be adjusted to make customers more or less susceptible to wheeling. THE GENERATION COMPANIES CIGMOD recognizes three types of generation companies: the generation companies that result from splitting the current utility companies, independent power producers (IPPs), and the "boundary" electric utility companies which may service distribution companies in the region. The first two types are fully modeled and are selected by players; the latter provides emergency power to the region if available capacity in the region becomes scarce. Electricity is always available - at a price. The default price for emergency power is set high, penalizing those who do not procure sufficient power. The independent power producer starts the game with no assets, liabilities or capacity (unless IPPs exist at the beginning of the initial gaming period). The IPP does have the ability to raise money for the construction of generating capacity by issuing common stock and selling bonds. IPPs can build several types of plants including gas combined cycle units. The generation companies earn money by generating and selling electricity. They enter into contracts with retail companies and construct new plants to fulfill these contracts. 4 They are required to meet their financial requirements by either selling bonds or common stock. The decisions which the players make include: 1. Entering contracts to sell power; 2. Beginning construction of new plants; 3. Selling power to the spot market; 4. Retiring generating capacity; 5. Buying power from the spot market; 6. Initiating mergers, acquisitions or hostile takeovers; 7. Filing for financial reorganization; 8. Changing the dividend payout ratio; 9. Changing the debt/equity ratio; 10. Participating in the power auction; 11. Buying generating capacity from another generation company; 12. Selling generating capacity to another generation company; 13. Canceling a plant under construction; 14. Canceling contracts to sell power; and 15. Creating a retail energy company. The plants generally constructed, natural gas plants, have a one year construction time. If you initiate a natural gas plant in 1996, it is built in 1996 and can be used in 1997. THE REGULATORY COMMISSION In the absence of retail wheeling, the regulatory commission has the responsibility of setting the pricing rules that the retail energy companies will follow to charge the residential, commercial, and industrial customers. It also determines the pricing and access rules for the distribution and transmission companies and the operation rules of energy brokers and operating companies. Regulated prices are based on the expenses, the rate base, and the cost of capital of the regulated companies. A one year regulatory "lag" rewards retail companies that lower costs in the regulated environment. Because prices will not be adjusted until the second year, cost savings during the first year of cost decreases accrue to the company and its stockholders. HOW TO PLAY CIGMOD To begin a game of CIGMOD players are divided into teams (generally 1-3 players per team) and each team selects a name and its role as retail company, generating company, independent power producer, or independent retail company. After this information is entered into the computer, the initial years are simulated and reports are produced for each team. After reviewing its reports, each team implements contracts and other policy options by filling out action forms and submitting the forms to the operator. The operator enters the data from the forms into the computer, executes another year of the simulation, 5 and prints new reports for each team. This process is repeated until the end of the simulation period (generally the year 2015). TIPS FOR NEW PLAYERS CIGMOD simulates a complex set of interactions. The reports are designed to provide feedback on the results of your decisions. Therefore, you are encouraged to make decisions by signing contracts, building plants, etc., and then review the results of your actions. You will make mistakes, but from your mistakes you will learn about CIGMOD and gaming strategies in the new competitive electric industry. TIPS FOR THE RETAIL COMPANY Note that the demand forecasts include a 10% reserve margin. The retail companies need to guard against unexpected demand growth and inaccurate forecasts. You may wish to re-calculate your needs with a different reserve margin when you contract for power. Remember, any power you fail to contract for that you later need, will be satisfied with power from the spot market. CALCULATING WHAT YOU NEED TO BUY Table R1 contains an estimate of the amount of power in MW you need to purchase to satisfy you peak demand using a 10% reserve margin. You will generally want contracts with low capacity costs for your peaking demands and contracts with low energy costs for your baseload demands and R4 (Retail Company Contract Information). After you determine how much and what kind of power you need, you need to know what you have under contract and how long these contracts last. To see a summary of your current contracts, look at retail report R1 (Retail Energy Company Forecast) under Capacity Under Contract. NEGOTIATING YOUR CONTRACTS In CIGMOD contracts are reservations for capacity and are given in MW. The energy taken in GWh will depend on the actual needs of the retail company. Therefore, the cost to the retail company for capacity payments is fixed by the contract; the energy costs are variable and will depend on the amount of energy taken. Now you have to determine what you would be willing to pay for the new capacity. The best way to do this is to get some idea of what you paid for it in the past - - a benchmark for future negotiations with generators. Again, look at Table R4 (Retail Company Contract Information). Two sets of component costs are given - one is in mills (0.10 cents) per kWh and the other in $/kW. The average cost calculated in Table R4 is a per kWh measure and includes a portion of any capacity charges negotiated in the contract (and apportioned to all kWh) as well as the variable cost. Therefore, while the fixed and 6 variable cost components of the generation remain the same through the life of the contract, the average cost may change as more or fewer kWh are purchased. As you look over your previous contracts you will begin to get some idea of what you will be willing to pay for power in the future. You probably should try to use these numbers as ceiling prices - competition theoretically should make your prices fall. How far under these prices you can go is up to you and your negotiating skills. Once you understand your needs and current contract costs you should talk to several generating companies to obtain price quotes for the power you need. The generating companies are generally anxious to sell power. The price quotes will contain capacity charges and energy charges; you will need to balance the capacity and energy charges to compare the generating company offers. The capacity charge reserves actual MW of generating capacity for your customers; the energy charge is a per kWh charge that covers variable costs (including fuel costs). The specific variable and capacity costs for each contract are listed in Table R4 (Retail Company Contract Information). One way to compare the offers is to convert both prices to an average cost. To convert capacity and energy charges into a cost per kWh, you will need to estimate the expected capacity factor of the contract. The capacity factor of a contract is the amount of energy purchased divided by the maximum amount of energy which could be purchased. The capacity factors of your existing contracts are given on Table R4. You can estimate the expected capacity from each contract (see below) or use a "rule of thumb" of a capacity factor of 65%. Another way to compare and negotiate prices is to force one of the numbers on the generating companies and make them compete on the other. For example, tell the generating companies you are willing to pay $100/kW, but would like to see alternative offers on the energy charges. Given capacity costs are fixed and energy costs are variable, your decision on the best method to trade-off the two charges will become part of your strategy and part of what you will learn from CIGMOD. You are encourage to make several small to medium sized contracts, then review your reports and see the impact of each contract. ESTIMATING THE CAPACITY FACTOR OF A CONTRACT The amount of energy purchased from a contract depends on when it is "dispatched" by the retail company which in turn depends on the energy (variable) cost of the contract. The contracts with the lowest energy cost are dispatched first. If you negotiate a contract with an energy cost lower than any of your existing contracts, then its capacity factor will be high (possibly 100% indicating that you purchased power every hour of the year from this contract). If you negotiate a contract with energy costs higher than your existing contracts, then its capacity will be low (possibly zero indicating that you purchased no 7 energy from this contract). If the energy cost is somewhere in the middle, then you would expect the capacity factor to be in the middle as well. ESTIMATING THE PER UNIT COST OF CONTRACT POWER Suppose you are offered a contract with a $300/kW capacity charge and 25 mills/kWh energy charge which you expect to have a 65% capacity factor. What would be the estimated average cost of power for this contract if you need 100 MW of capacity? Set up the known quantities: $300/kW CAPACITY CHARGE 25 mills/kWh ENERGY CHARGE 100 MW or 100,000 kW of CAPACITY NEEDED 65% expected CAPACITY FACTOR 8760 HOURS PER YEAR Determine the potential kWh of production from 100 MW (100,000 kW) contract if the capacity factor is 65%: 100,000*8760*.65=569,400,000 kWh 569,400,000 kWh could be expected to be purchased from a 100 MW contract if the capacity factor is 65%. The capacity cost (cost of reserving this capacity) is $300 (per kW) times 100,000 kW or $30 million: $300*100,000 = $30,000,000. The energy cost is 25 mills ($0.025) per kWh times 569,400,000 kWh purchased or $14.235 million: $0.025*569,400,000=$14,235,000 The total cost of the contract is the capacity cost ($30,000,000) plus the energy cost ($14,235,000) or $44,235,000: $30,000,000+$14,235,000 = $44,235,000 The average cost per kWh is the total cost ($44,235,000) divided by the number of kWh purchased (569,400,000) or 78 mills ($0.078): $30,000,000/569,400,000 = $0.078 or 78 mills or 7.8 cents per kWh 8 The capacity cost per kWh is the capacity cost $30,000,000 divided by the number of kWh purchased (569,400,000) or 53 mills/kWh ($0.053/kWh): $30,000,000/569,400,000=$0.053/kWh or 5.3 cents or 53 mills/kWh. The average cost of power is equal to the energy cost of 25 mills/kWh plus the capacity cost of 53 mills/kWh or 78 mills/kWh: 53 mills (capacity cost)+25 mills (energy costs)=78 mills/kWh or 7.8 cents/kWh. PRICING RETAIL POWER If no retail wheeling is taking place, then prices are determined in the regulatory arena and the retail company has no flexibility in its pricing. However, if retail wheeling is operating, the retail company must price its power competitively. The unit of power calculations performed above should give the retail company the minimum prices it can charge to generate sufficient revenue to cover all its costs. However, this is only a beginning; the minimum revenue figure may be accomplished in many different ways. Fixed costs may be added to or subtracted from different loads to compete in different sub-markets. Prices can be raised above cost when the retailer believes it is advantageous to do so. A trial and error approach will help the retail company determine the shape of the demand curve(s) it is facing. CHECKING YOUR PROGRESS There is a set of indicators that allows you to track your performance and measure it against the performance of others. Variables listed include sales, average price, profits and return on equity. o In games with no retail wheeling: To find out how you're doing, check the average class prices (Table of Retail Performance Measures) to see if your prices are lower than prices during the historical period. Since you are technically still "regulated", you are allowed to recover your costs from your service territory. So your prices are your best indicator of how well you are doing. If your prices are much higher than expected, check to see if you contracted for enough power. If you didn't, you had to buy on the spot market at a high price. Remember that you will experience natural demand growth in the future. Also, if your prices are falling, you will capture additional market share so demand will increase over and above the economically driven demand increase. o In games with retail wheeling: 9 A good place to start is to look at your return on equity. If it has started to fall, your prices may be too high and you may losing your market share. Check your sales. If they are falling, try to bargain harder with generators the next time and try to more closely match you base and peaking loads. There is a mechanism to release parties from their contracts by mutual agreement, try to use this if your contracts are really overpriced (both parties must agree to the release). Reduce your prices where ever possible, starting where you are losing the most load. TIPS FOR THE GENERATION COMPANY As an unregulated generator, you can no longer rely on rate case rates and stable retail markets. You can use your past history as a guide to future pricing, but it perhaps is better to think of past prices as ceiling prices. In order to sell your power, you need to know what you have, how much you have and what it costs to use it. HOW MUCH CAPACITY DO YOU HAVE? Look at Table G1: Generation Components and Capacity Requirements. Your capacity is divided into capacity currently committed by contract and that which is available for sale. The capacity currently committed by contract can exceed the actual capacity. If the actual demand (up to the contract level) exceeds your supply, you will buy emergency power to fill the excess demand. Also shown on this table is capacity under construction. Natural gas plants take two years to build. After looking at the total capacity available and the capacity under contract, you should make a decision about how much capacity you will offer for sale. WHAT DO YOU WANT TO SELL IT FOR? Look at the Table G5 of Generation Company Capacity Costs to understand your companies cost structure. The plants are divided into fuel types with each plant having its own set of costs. The embedded annual fixed cost represents the cost per kW you need to recover on your existing plant to stay financially healthy. The variable cost of plants (mills/kWh) is the marginal cost of energy from a particular plant type. It includes both variable O&M costs and fuel costs. The plant capacity factor is used to help allocate your fixed costs on a per kWh basis. It is simply the percentage of potential GWh that are actually generated. There are 8760 hours in a year. If a plant is available 90% of the time then (8760-*.90) 7884 hours are available for the plant to generate. If the capacity factor is 65%, then the plant is generating for (8760*0.65) 5125 hours per year. If the plant is 100 MW, then it produced 512,500 MWh or 512.5 GWh of power during the year. When you prorate your fixed costs over the kWh generated from the plant, and add the variable costs (including fuel costs), you have determined your average embedded cost of power from that unit. In order to recover all your fixed costs, you need to sell at least the estimated kWh of generation from that plant at a price equal to the average embedded 10 cost of power. If price is set equal to the average minimum cost of power but you sell fewer kWh, then you will be short revenue. If you sell the estimated kWh but charge a price that does not cover your average embedded costs, you will also come up revenue short. To provide a "cushion" against this happening, you can set your prices slightly higher or calculate your average embedded cost of power with a more conservative kWh value. If you want to, you can offer the capacity cost and variable cost indicated by your embedded costs. However, you can certainly offer more or less or you can alter the ratio of fixed to variable costs. Suppose, for example, your capacity cost for a particular plant is $75 and the variable cost is 25 mills/kWh. If a retail company is shopping around for 100 MW of baseload capacity, setting your capacity costs at $100/kW rather than $75/kW and your variable costs at 19 mills/kWh rather than 25 mills/kWh, might enable you to recover your costs and present a more appealing package to a the baseload power buyer who tends to look at variable cost. (The reverse is true for those shopping for peaking capacity.) To determine whether your new mix of fixed and variable costs will meet your profit objectives, perform the following calculations: SAMPLE CALCULATION FOR DETERMINING PROFIT OBJECTIVES CAPACITY COST: $150/kW VARIABLE COST: 19 mills/kWh EXPECTED LOAD FACTOR: 80% MW DESIRED: 100 MW or 100,000 kW NUMBER OF HOURS IN A YEAR: 8760 Calculate the total capacity revenue: $150*100,000=$15,000,000 in total capacity costs Calculate the potential kWh sales from 100,000 kW capacity (kW*number of hours in the year* expected load factor: 100*1000*8760*.8=700,800,000 kWh sales Calculate revenue from variable costs. Divide total capacity costs by total kWh sales to yield fixed cost per kWh: $15,000,000/700,800,000=$0.021/kWh or 2.1 cents/kWh or 21 mills/kWh. These 21 mills of fixed cost are then added to the 19 mills of variable for a total average cost of 40 mills/kWh. Total revenue is calculated by multiplying average cost per kWh by total kWh: 11 0.040*700,800,000=$28,032,000 If the original values had been used, CAPACITY COST: $75/kW VARIABLE COST: 25 mills/kWh LOAD FACTOR: 80% MW DESIRED: 100 MW or 100,000 kW NUMBER OF HOURS IN A YEAR: 8760 Calculate the total capacity costs: $75*100,000=$7,500,000 in total capacity costs Calculate the potential kWh sales from 100 MW capacity (kW*number of hours in the year*load factor: 100*1000*8760*.8=700,800,000 kWh sales Divide total capacity costs by total kWh sales to yield fixed cost per kWh: $7,500,000/700,800,000=$0.011/kWh or 1.1 cents/kWh or 11 mills/kWh. These 11 mills of fixed cost are then added to the 25 mills of variable for a total average cost of 36 mills/kWh. Total revenue is calculated by multiplying average cost per kWh by total kWh: 0.036*700,800,000=$25,228,800 In this case, your new numbers would yield about $3M more in profits and, since more of the costs are "fixed", less risk as well. DO YOU WANT TO BUILD MORE GENERATION? New generation can be constructed for demand or financial reasons. Building in response to demand increases has been the traditional response of generators. But you no longer must build to meet new demand - that demand can seek generation elsewhere. A new option is to build to increase market share and revenue. New construction may have lower variable costs than existing plant and may be worth investing in even if the generation company or the region is not "capacity short." 12 CHECKING YOUR PROGRESS The Table of Generation Performance Indicators lists a set of indicators that allows you to track your performance and measure it against the performance of others. Variables listed include sales, average price, profits (net revenue) and return on equity. 13 RETAIL COMPANY ACTIONS - UNDERSTANDING AND USING FORMS All player actions are implemented by submitting a completed form to the operator. These forms are entered into the computer by the operator who then runs the model and prints reports. In each form you should provide all the information, but only the information requested; complex contracts must be submitted on multiple forms. When submitting a form which affects two players, both players must agree to the terms therein, but only one form is submitted. There are two basic kinds of forms - forms for individual actions that exist for a specific length of time such as a contract between two parties and forms that initiate strategies that remain in effect until a new strategy form is submitted. An example of a strategy form would be retail pricing strategies or generation spot market bidding strategies. FORM 1 - DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT Form 1 is the Direct Access or CfD Capacity Contract form and is used to submit contracts for the sale or purchase of capacity. Although a Contract for Differences (CfD) is essentially a money transfer, it is completed in the same fashion as a Direct Access contract. Each bi-lateral agreement between a generator and a retail energy company must be represented on a Form 1: "Direct Access or CfD Capacity Contract". Help determining energy and capacity costs can be found in the section "What do You Want to Sell it For" in the generator's section of the CIGMOD explanations, tips and procedures handout. It is not essential that each contract have both a capacity charge and an energy charge; many contracts are made with energy charges alone. Since this form represents an agreement between a retail company and a generator, it is used by both parties; HOWEVER ONLY ONE FORM PER TRANSACTION IS SUBMITTED TO THE OPERATOR. 14 DIRECT ACCESS or CfD CAPACITY CONTRACT - Form 1 A Contract Between Retail Energy Company: ------------------ and Generation Company: ------------------ Contract Beginning Year: ---------- Contract Ending Year: ---------- Capacity (MW): ---------- Energy Cost (Mills/kWh): ---------- Capacity Cost ($/kW): ---------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------ Operators Use Only FORM 2 - TRENDED DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT Form 2 is the Trended Electric Capacity Contract form and is used to submit contracts for capacity sales and purchases when terms change over time. In all other respects, the procedure is the same as the procedure for filling out Form 1. TRENDED DIRECT ACCESS OR CfD CAPACITY CONTRACT - Form 2 A Contract Between Retail Energy Company: ------------------ and Generation Company: ------------------ <Table> <Caption> Beginning Ending --------- ------ Contract Year: ---------- ---------- Capacity (MW): ---------- ---------- Energy Cost (Mills/kWh): ---------- ---------- Capacity Cost ($/kW): ---------- ---------- </Table> Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only 15 FORM R3 - RETAIL COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGY The Retail Company Spot Market Purchase Strategy Form R3 allows the retail company to set a policy for spot market purchases. Either an exogenously specified number of MW or a percentage of each type of demand which is used to determine the amount of spot power purchased. The loading order which determines when the purchases will be made. If no values are specified, then zero is the default specification. Either an exogenous mills/kWh can be used or a fraction of previous spot market prices can be used to trigger the purchases. RETAIL COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGY - Form R 3 Retail Company: ---------------------------- I would like to buy the following capacity from the spot market: <Table> <Caption> MW OR % of Demands Baseload --------- ----------- Intermediate --------- ----------- Peaking --------- ----------- AND </Table> Use the following prices to determine the loading order of my spot purchases: (IF LEFT BLANK A PRICE OF ZERO (0) WILL BE USED FOR THE LOADING ORDER) <Table> <Caption> % of Spot Market Price Mills/kWh OR in Previous Period --------- -- ---------------------- Baseload --------- ----------- Intermediate --------- ----------- Peaking --------- ----------- </Table> Simulation Year: ----------- ------------------- Operators Use Only 16 FORM R4 - RETAIL COMPANY RETAIL PRICE STRATEGIES Form R4 is the Retail Company Energy Price Strategies form and is used by the retail companies to set prices when retail wheeling is permitted. With retail wheeling the model allocates customer purchases based on prices. RETAIL COMPANY RETAIL PRICE STRATEGIES - Form R 4 Retail Company: --------------------------- <Table> <Caption> Percentage of Percentage of OR Price Fixed Cost + Variable Cost (Mills/kWh) ------------- ------------- ----------- Residential ---------- ---------- ---------- Commercial ---------- ---------- ---------- Industrial ---------- ---------- ---------- </Table> Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only 17 FORM R5 - RETAIL COMPANY ADVERTISING BUDGET Retail companies need to advertise to retain market share. Form R5 allows them to set their advertising budgets either as a percent of revenues or completely exogenously. Target areas (as many as desired) are then selected by putting a 1 or 0 for each area and the advertising budget is split among the selected areas. Advertising loses effectiveness if everyone does it. It is the relative level of advertising that is important for increasing sales. RETAIL COMPANY ADVERTISING BUDGET - Form R 5 Retail Company: ----------------------------------------- Advertising Budget: OR ----------------- ----------------- M$/year % of Revenues Target Areas (Put a one (1) in the areas you wish to target): <Table> <Caption> Residential Commercial Industrial ----------- ---------- ---------- Minnesota ----------- ---------- ---------- Iowa, Dakotas ----------- ---------- ---------- Illinois, Wisconsin ----------- ---------- ---------- Ohio, Indiana ----------- ---------- ---------- Canada ----------- ---------- ---------- </Table> Simulation Year: --------- ----------------- Operators Use Only 18 FORM R6 - RETAIL COMPANY MERGER Form R6 is the Retail Company Merger form and is used when two generating companies decide to merge. It requires the approval of both parties. During a merger all assets and liabilities of two companies are combined to form one company. The purchase price is not an issue in a merger. Both sets of players now work together. RETAIL COMPANY MERGERS - Form R 6 Retail Company: is merging ---------------------- Retail Company: into it. --------------------------- Simulation Year: ----------- ------------------ Operators Use Only FORM R7- RETAIL COMPANY ACQUISITIONS Form R7 is the Retail Company Acquisitions form and is used when a retail company acquires another retail company. It requires the approval of both parties. During an acquisition the acquiring company receives all the assets and liabilities of the acquired company except the common stock and retained earnings. The change in net assets of the acquiring company is based on the purchase price. The acquired company is left with cash, equal to the purchase price of the company, the common stock, and retained earnings, computed from the purchase price. RETAIL COMPANY ACQUISITION - Form R 7 Retail Company: is acquiring ---------------------- Retail Company: . --------------------------- Purchase Price (M$): ----------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only 19 FORM R8 - RETAIL COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER Form R8 is the Hostile Take Over form and is used when a retail company attempts a hostile take over of another retail company. Companies must be paid for in cash - no leveraged buy-outs. The purchasing utility would need to provide the common stock equity plus 20 percent in cash (accumulated in short term investments and tracked on the income statement) to complete a hostile takeover. The company initiating the take-over is allowed to use the cash of the take-over target to meet the cash requirement. The purchasing utility assumes the debt responsibility of the take over target. Except for the cash requirement the hostile takeover is the same as an acquisition. RETAIL COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER - Form R 8 Retail Company: is buying out ---------------------- Retail Company: . --------------------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only 20 FORM R9 - RETAIL COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION Form R9 is the Retail Financial Reorganization form and is used to modify the exogenously specified financial parameters outside the normal boundary of the game. This form provides additional financial flexibility for company management. RETAIL COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION - Form R 9 Retail Energy Company: ------------------------------------------ Net Assets (M$): ------------------------- Long Term Debt (M$): ------------------------- Debt Interest (M$/yr): ------------------------- Common Stock (M$): ------------------------- Retained Earnings (M$): ------------------------- Preferred Stock (M$): ------------------------- Cash (M$): ------------------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only FORM R10 - RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE Form R10 is the Retail Company Modify Dividend Rate form and is used to adjust the amount of dividends paid each year. The dividend payout rate may be adjusted as desired. Sometimes it is desirable to alter the dividend payout rate to allow the company to accumulate cash for takeover opportunities. This form is used to input the results of a financial reorganization of the company. The values entered on the form are the company values after the reorganization. All lines must be filled in. Do not put the change in the values, put the actual value. 21 RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE - Form R 10 Retail Energy Company: ------------------------------------------ Common Stock Dividend Payout Ratio (%): ------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only FORM R11- RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO Form R11 is the Retail Company Modify Debt/Equity Ratio form. Prudent adjustments can be made to this ratio to give the retail player added financial flexibility. RETAIL COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO - Form R 11 Retail Energy Company: ------------------------------------------ Marginal Debt/Equity Ratio (%): ---------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only FORM R12 - RETAIL COMPANY CASH TRANSFER Retail form R12 allows the retail company to transfer cash from a retail company to a generating company. It requires the approval of both parties. 22 RETAIL COMPANY CASH TRANSFER - Form R 12 FROM Retail Company: -------------------------------- TO Generation Company: --------------------------- Transfer M$ -------- Simulation Year: ---------- ------------------ Operators Use Only (use negative values to transfer cash from the generation company to the retail company.) 23 FORM R 13 - RETAIL COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BILLING STRATEGY The Retail Company Direct Access Billing Strategy Form allows the player to enter into the computer auction to buy power from the computer generators. The retail company specifies a minimum offer price one of four ways. Either it is specified by type as a percent of the minimum priced contract in the previous period OR as a fraction of the first contract signed in the previous period OR as a percent of spot market price OR completely exogenously. Only one method should be selected and this strategy will remain in effect until the retail player changes it by submitting another form. 24 RETAIL COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BIDDING STRATEGIES - Form R 13 Retail Company: ---------------------------------------------------- 1. Minimum. Initial Bid Prices are a percent of the minimum priced contract in the previous period <Table> <Caption> Initial Price as a Percent Stop Price as a Percent Capacity as % Power Type of Minimum Price of Spot Market Price Of Needs ---------- -------------------------- ----------------------- ------------- Baseload ------------- ------------ ----------- Intermediate ------------- ------------ ----------- Peaking ------------- ------------ ----------- </Table> 2. First. Initial Bid Prices are a percent of the first contract signed in the previous period. <Table> <Caption> Initial Price as a Percent Stop Price as a Percent Capacity as % Power Type of First Contract Price of Spot Market Price Of Needs ---------- -------------------------- ----------------------- ------------- Baseload ------------- ------------ ----------- Intermediate ------------- ------------ ----------- Peaking ------------- ------------ ----------- </Table> 3. Spot Market. Initial Bid Prices are a percent of the spot market prices. <Table> <Caption> Initial Price as a Percent Stop Price as a Percent Capacity as % Power Type of Spot Market Price of Spot Market Price Of Needs ---------- -------------------------- ----------------------- ------------- Baseload ------------- ------------ ----------- Intermediate ------------- ------------ ----------- Peaking ------------- ------------ ----------- </Table> 4. User. Initial Bid Prices are user specified. <Table> <Caption> Capacity Bid Energy Bid Stop Price Capacity as % Power Type ($/kW) (Mills/kWh) (Mills/kWh) Of Needs ---------- -------------- ----------- ----------- ------------- Baseload ------------- ------------ ----------- ------------- Intermediate ------------- ------------ ----------- ------------- Peaking ------------- ------------ ----------- ------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only </Table> 25 FORM R14 - RETAIL COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY Form R14 is the Retail Company Take Over Strategy form. This allows the retail company to set its strategy once, and the computer will make the financial transactions as they become available. Take over policies can be based on an aggressive "increase market share" philosophy or a purely defensive "eat or be eaten" philosophy or cost based (neutral). The strategy chosen remains in effect until a new form is submitted. This option is currently under construction and is not operational. RETAIL COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY - Form R 14 Retail Company: ---------------------- Neutral --------------- Aggressive --------------- Defensive --------------- Simulation Year: --------------- ------------------ Operators Use Only 26 FORM R15 - RETAIL COMPANY CONTRACT CANCELLATION Form R15 is the Retail Contract Cancellation form and is used to cancel previously signed contracts. Both parties must agree to cancel a contract and no initial contracts (the contracts in force at the beginning of the game) may be canceled. The information about your existing contracts is given in the reports R3 and R4. The "Money Paid from ..." lines have been included on this sheet to permit contract buyouts by either party. RETAIL COMPANY CONTRACT CANCELLATION - Form R 15 Retail Energy Company: -------------- Generation Company: ---------------- Beginning Year of Contract to be Canceled: ------------ Ending Year of Contract to be Canceled: -------------- Capacity to be Canceled (MW): ---------------- Fuel Type: ----------------- Money Paid from Retail Energy Co. to Generation Co. ($M): ------------- Money Paid from Generation Co. to Retail Energy Co. ($M): ------------- Simulation Year: --------------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 27 FORM R16 - RETAIL COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT Retail Form R16 is a housekeeping form that allows human players to become computer players and vice versa or exit the game all together. This form is used when a generation company wants to also operate a retail operating company. The generation company selects a retail energy company currently being run by the computer or out of the game and changes the status to human and gives the company a new name. RETAIL COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT - Form R 16 Retail Company: is changing ---------------------- its status to: HUMAN ---------- COMPUTER ---------- N/A ---------- and its name to . ------------------------------------ 28 RETAIL COMPANY REPORTS TABLE R1: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY FORECAST PURPOSE: Table R1 shows your forecasted sales and peak demand by type (baseload, intermediate and peaking). Also on the table is the total capacity that you already have under contract by year, an estimate of your current reserve margin and your desired reserve margin for comparison. USE: the retail company uses the information in Table R1 to determine how much and what type of capacity to purchase. The level of reserves is up to you; remember that emergency power is expensive and will be used if you do not purchase sufficient capacity. DEFINITIONS: o ELECTRICITY SALES: forecasted sales, measured in GWh per year. These forecasts can be inaccurate and will change from year to year. o PEAK DEMAND: in MW. Again, remember that this is a forecast - and forecasts can be wrong. o ESTIMATED RESERVES: a 10% reserve margin is the default specification for unexpected changes in demand, however this is a variable that you may change. o PEAK W/ RESERVES: Peak demand in MW including a 10% (or your selected value) reserve margin. o PEAKING: MW of capacity required to serve low load factor peak demand. Peaking needs usually occur only a few times in a year. o INTERMEDIATE: MW of capacity required to serve shoulder load between baseload and peak demand. o BASELOAD: MW of capacity required to serve high load factor peak demand. This power is needed most of the time. o TOTAL CAPACITY UNDER CONTRACT: MW of capacity already contracted for to meet demand o HISTORICAL PURCHASED CONTRACTS: These historical contracts are needed to simulate the historical period. They are set to zero in the future. o SURPLUS OR DEFICIT: If contracted capacity (capacity under contract plus historical contracts) is less than peak demand (the sum of base, intermediate and peaking requirements plus your selected reserve margin), the difference in MW is shown here as a deficit; if more, as a surplus. In other words, a negative sign indicates that you might consider additional capacity; a positive sign indicates that you may have over contracted for power. Deficits will result in spot market purchase. o RESERVE MARGIN: Actual ratio of surplus MW to peak demand MW. 29 Table R1: Retail Energy Company Forecast for 1999 American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- Electricity Sales (GWh/YR) .................. 146,507 150,247 152,695 155,183 157,711 Peak Demand (MW) ............................ 29,175 31,269 32,271 33,306 34,373 Estimated Reserves (MW) ..................... 2,918 3,127 3,227 3,331 3,437 Peak w/ Reserves (MW) ....................... 32,093 34,396 35,498 36,636 37,811 Peaking (MW) ................................ 3,738 4,529 4,870 5,231 5,614 Intermediate (MW) ........................... 10,444 11,912 12,532 13,169 13,822 Baseload (MW) ............................... 17,911 17,955 18,096 18,236 18,375 Capacity under Contract (MW) ................ 10,586 10,586 10,586 10,586 10,586 Historical Purchase Contracts (MW) .......... 0 0 0 0 0 Surplus (Deficit) (MW) ...................... (21,507) (23,810) (24,913) (26,051) (27,225) Reserve Margin (MW/MW) ...................... (0.64) (0.66) (0.67) (0.68) (0.69) </Table> TABLE R2: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY STATEMENT OF INCOME AND FINANCE PURPOSE: Table R2 shows the company income statement (all values in $M) including common measures of performance such as the debt/equity ratio and return on equity as well as an important new element in a competitive environment - cash on hand.. It divides power purchases into general source categories - bilateral contracts, contracts for differences, spot purchases, historical purchases and emergency power. USE: the income statement shows how well you are doing financially and where your problems might be if you are not doing well. If you were required to make emergency purchases, the cost will show up here. The effects of dividend changes and other financial variable changes will also be easy to see on in this table. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: OPERATING EXPENSES FROM: o DIRECT ACCESS CONTRACTS: Bilateral contract costs from contracts made with other players. o CONTRACTS FOR DIFFERENCES: A type of futures contract with other players designed to hedge against spot market purchase price swings. Electricity is purchased from the spot market with these contracts. o SPOT MARKET PURCHASES: Power purchased from the spot market at the market price. o PURCHASES: Historical purchases negotiated before the game began. These will gradually expire as the game progresses.. o EMERGENCY POWER: A forced, computer generated purchase. Emergency power is purchased because contractual power was inadequate to cover your load. o OPERATING INCOME: Calculated as Operating Revenues minus Operating Expenses. o NET INCOME: Operating Income plus Other Income minus Interest Payments. 30 In the Sources and Uses of Funds section of this report, the following variables are of particular interest: CONSTRUCTION EXPENDITURES: Money spent on new plant o COMMON STOCK DIVIDENDS: Money paid out to stockholders; this variable can be modified by the player. o COMPANY PURCHASE PRICE: If you have engaged in a takeover or buyout during the previous year, the cost of the purchase is recorded here. o CASH (ON HAND): Yearly additions to retained earnings. Cash and retained earnings need to be watched and adjusted (by increasing expenditures, if necessary) to avoid becoming a take-over target. o RETAINED EARNINGS: Retained earnings. o RETURN ON EQUITY: Classic measure of company health; with the retail company, big deviations in year to year income can cause this variable to fluctuate widely because retail companies have little equity compared to other companies. 31 Table R2: Retail Energy Company Statement of Income and Finance (in millions) for 1999 American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Operating Revenues ..................... 4,153 4,328 2,977 2,585 2,447 Operating Expenses: Direct Access Contract .............. 3,425 2,023 2,076 2,052 2,194 Contract for Differences ............ 0 0 0 0 0 Spot Market Purchases ............... 0 0 0 0 0 Purchases ........................... 740 0 0 0 0 Emergency Power ..................... 0 0 0 0 0 General and Admin. O&M .............. 3 3 3 3 3 Advertising Budget .................. 0 21 22 15 13 Depreciation ........................ 5 5 5 6 6 Income Taxes ........................ 2 788 309 181 84 Other Taxes ......................... 5 5 5 6 6 Misc. Expenses ...................... (36) (30) (24) (18) (12) TOTAL ............................ 4,144 2,794 2,374 2,229 2,281 Operating Income ....................... 9 1,534 603 355 166 Other Income ........................... (0) 0 52 73 86 Interest Payments ...................... 4 3 3 3 3 Net Income ............................. 5 1,531 651 425 248 Sources Net Income .......................... 5 1,531 651 425 248 Depreciation ........................ 5 5 5 6 6 Funds From Debt ..................... 15 0 0 0 0 Funds From Common Stock ............. 5 0 0 0 0 Funds from Preferred Stock .......... 0 0 0 0 0 Funds from Cash ..................... 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL ............................ 30 1,536 656 430 254 Uses Construction Expenditures ........... 0 5 14 19 19 Common Stock Dividends .............. 3 1,010 429 280 163 Preferred Stock Dividends ........... 0 1 1 1 1 Debt Repayment ...................... 8 2 2 1 1 Company Purchase Price .............. 0 0 0 0 0 Pref. Stock Sinking Fund ............ 0 0 0 0 0 Cash ................................ 0 518 211 129 70 Miscellaneous Projects .............. 20 0 0 0 0 TOTAL ............................ 32 1,536 656 430 254 Assets Current Assets ...................... 0 0 0 0 0 Net Assets .......................... 105 105 114 127 140 Cash ................................ 0 518 729 858 928 TOTAL ............................ 105 623 843 985 1,068 Liabilities Current Liabilities ................. 8 8 8 8 8 Long Term Debt ...................... 47 45 44 42 41 Preferred Stock ..................... 8 8 8 8 7 TOTAL Liabilities ................. 63 61 60 58 56 Equity Common Stock ........................ 31 31 31 31 31 Retained Earnings ................... 11 531 752 896 Common Stockholders Equity ........ 42 562 783 927 1,011 TOTAL Liabilities and Equity ........... 105 623 843 985 1,068 Debt Fraction of Capitalization ........ 0.53 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.04 Return on Equity ....................... 0.13 2.72 0.83 0.46 0.25 </Table> 32 TABLE R3: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PURCHASES AND COSTS PURPOSE: Table R3 shows purchases from, unit costs and total costs by generating company. Also shown are line losses, spot market purchases and emergency purchases USE: This table tracks the amount and cost of power purchased from each generation company and the spot market. The average cost of power for your company. This table should help you discover whether or not you are making advantageous contracts and should help you decide whether or not to purchase more spot market power. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: IN THE PURCHASES SECTION: o TOTAL PURCHASES: The sum of all your purchases by company. o LOSSES: Retail companies are responsible for the energy lost during transmission and distribution. The energy that is lost is recorded here. o NET SALES: Total Purchases minus Losses. IN THE UNIT COST SECTION: o SPOT MARKET BASELOAD POWER: Your average cost of spot market baseload power. o SPOT MARKET INTERMEDIATE POWER: Your average cost of spot market intermediate power. o SPOT MARKET PEAKING POWER: Your average cost of spot market peaking power o EMERGENCY POWER: Your average cost of emergency power. SYSTEM SPOT MARKET PRICES SECTION: o SPOT MARKET BASELOAD POWER: System average cost of spot market baseload power. o SPOT MARKET INTERMEDIATE POWER: System average cost of spot market intermediate power. o SPOT MARKET PEAKING POWER: System average cost of spot market peaking power. o EMERGENCY POWER: System average cost of emergency power. 33 Table R3: Retail Energy Company Purchases & Costs for 1999 American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- PURCHASES (GWh) Minnesota Power ............................ 0 6,333 6,333 16,074 11,455 Primergy ................................... 0 31,078 25,355 25,355 18,208 Otter Tail Power ........................... 0 0 0 0 0 Wisconsin Power and Light .................. 0 0 0 1,378 5 Interstate/IES Utilities ................... 0 4,185 1,378 0 0 North/South Dakota ......................... 0 474 526 445 586 Central Illinois Light Co. ................. 0 25 109 88 169 Union Electric ............................. 0 1,317 1,878 0 0 Commonwealth Edison ........................ 0 3,109 6,727 6,037 12,310 Illinois Power ............................. 0 14,426 15,491 13,979 14,728 American Electric Power .................... 139,119 77,196 82,550 81,513 88,992 Cinergy .................................... 0 0 0 0 0 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric ............... 0 1,785 2,045 1,654 2,375 Canada ..................................... 0 352 411 0 0 Independent Power Producer ................. 0 0 0 0 0 Baseload Spot Market Power ................. 0 0 0 0 0 Intermediate Spot Market Power ............. 0 0 409 623 2,299 Peak Spot Market Power ..................... 0 0 0 0 0 Emergency Power ............................ 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL PURCHASES ............................ 139,119 140,280 143,213 147,147 151,126 LOSSES ..................................... 7,544 7,607 7,766 7,979 8,195 NET SALES .................................. 131,574 132,673 135,446 139,167 142,931 UNIT COSTS (MILLS/kWh) Minnesota Power ............................ 0.00 10.80 10.80 10.91 11.72 Primergy ................................... 0.00 12.43 12.02 12.02 11.59 Otter Tail Power ........................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wisconsin Power and Light .................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.38 3.73 Interstate/IES Utilities ................... 0.00 18.89 8.38 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota ......................... 0.00 19.79 19.70 19.14 18.99 Central Illinois Light Co. ................. 0.00 34.58 30.76 31.04 30.36 Union Electric ............................. 0.00 21.62 22.63 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison ........................ 0.00 37.20 28.31 28.67 26.79 Illinois Power ............................. 0.00 13.71 15.08 13.43 14.73 American Electric Power .................... 35.26 14.09 14.01 14.10 13.85 Cinergy .................................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric ............... 0.00 23.17 22.71 23.45 22.28 Canada ..................................... 0.00 21.37 21.15 0.00 0.00 Independent Power Producer ................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Spot Market Baseload Power ................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Spot Market Intermediate Power ............. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Spot Market Peak Power ..................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Emergency Power ............................ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AVERAGE .................................... 35.26 14.42 14.50 13.94 14.52 COSTS (M$/YEAR) Minnesota Power ............................ 0 68 68 175 134 Primergy ................................... 0 386 305 305 211 Otter Tail Power ........................... 0 0 0 0 0 Wisconsin Power and Light .................. 0 0 0 12 0 Interstate/IES Utilities ................... 0 79 12 0 0 North/South Dakota ......................... 0 9 10 9 11 Central Illinois Light Co. ................. 0 1 3 3 5 Union Electric ............................. 0 28 42 0 0 Commonwealth Edison ........................ 0 116 190 173 330 Illinois Power ............................. 0 198 234 188 217 American Electric Power .................... 4,905 1,088 1,156 1,149 1,232 Cinergy .................................... 0 0 0 0 0 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric ............... 0 41 46 39 53 Canada ..................................... 0 8 9 0 0 Independent Power Producer ................. 0 0 0 0 0 Baseload Spot Market Power ................. 0 0 0 0 0 Intermediate Spot Market Power ............. 0 0 0 0 0 Peak Spot Market Power ..................... 0 0 0 0 0 Emergency Spot Market Power ................ 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL .................................... 4,905 2,023 2,076 2,052 2,194 SYSTEM SPOT MARKET PRICES (MILLS/KWH) Baseload Spot Market ....................... 25.00 23.59 22.56 22.68 24.29 Intermediate Spot Market ................... 50.00 27.81 23.60 28.09 32.31 Peaking Spot Market ........................ 75.00 37.27 37.76 39.70 49.79 Emergency Purchases ........................ 120.00 37.30 40.60 41.88 85.74 </Table> 34 TABLE R4: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY CONTRACT INFORMATION PURPOSE: Table R4 shows the particulars of your existing capacity contracts with generators by year and generation company. MW of capacity reserved, GWh purchased, energy and capacity costs are included. A calculation of average cost is also shown. USE: Looking at these contracts will help you get a feel for what you should be paying for your power. Notice that there are two costs in each contract: an energy cost (expressed on a kWh basis) and a capacity cost for reserving generation capacity (expressed on a kW basis changes to the retail energy company is also included. Engaging this switch passes all the fuel cost risk from the generator to the retail company. DEFINITIONS: o YEARS OF THE CONTRACT: The years when the contract is active. o CONTRACT CAPACITY: Amount of capacity (in MW) under contract. o ENERGY COST: The variable cost of contract/mills/ (Kwh). Normally this is the cost of power production including current fuel costs. It is possible and sometimes desirable to "roll in" part of the capacity cost into the energy cost. o CAPACITY COST: Cost of reserving firm power service. Notice that this cost is given in dollars per kW while the contract capacity is listed in MW. Multiply the dollars per kW by 1000 to get dollars per MW. o GENERATION COMPANY: The company with whom you have the contract. o PURCHASES: This is the amount of energy (in GWh) purchased from this contract in the previous period. o POWER COST: This is the total cost (M$) of the energy and capacity purchased from this contract in the previous period. o AVE. COST: This is the average cost of energy (mills/kWh) purchased from this contract in the previous period. o CAPACITY FACTOR: This is the energy purchased in the previous period divided by the maximum energy which could be purchased from this contract. o FUEL TYPE: The fuel type is only used to identify the contract if you need to cancel it. At the end of Table R4 are the spot market purchases for the current year by type. 35 Table R4: Retail Energy Company Contract Information for 1999 American Electric Power <Table> <Caption> CONTRACT ENERGY CAPACITY POWER AVE CAPACITY COST COST GENERATION PURCHASES COSTS COSTS FUEL CAPACITY (MW) (Mills/kWh) ($/kW) COMPANY (GWh) (M$) (Mills/kWh) TYPE FACTOR -------- ----------- -------- ---------- --------- ------ ----------- ---- -------- 1999-2002 215 29.24 5 Wisconsin Power and Ligh 1,104 33 30.24 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.59 2003-2021 215 0.00 5 Wisconsin Power and Ligh 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.00 1999-1999 88 18.52 3 North/South Dakota 661 13 18.94 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.86 2000-2021 88 0.00 3 North/South Dakota 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.00 1999-2000 86 38.88 2 Illinois Power 749 29 39.12 Gas/Oil Turbi 1.00 2001-2021 86 0.00 2 Illinois Power 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.00 1999-2000 155 12.63 2 Minnesota Power 1,144 15 12.88 Gas/Oil Steam 0.84 2001-2021 155 0.00 2 Minnesota Power 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Steam 0.00 1999-2000 370 29.27 8 Commonwealth Edison 1,674 52 30.94 Gas/Oil Steam 0.52 2001-2021 370 0.00 8 Commonwealth Edison 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Steam 0.00 1999-2001 171 21.37 2 Illinois Power 1,179 26 21.65 Gas/Oil Steam 0.79 2002-2021 171 0.00 2 Illinois Power 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Steam 0.00 1999-1999 1,082 9.06 10 Minnesota Power 9,476 97 10.21 Coal Steam 1.00 2000-2000 1,082 9.03 10 Minnesota Power 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 2001-2021 1,082 0.00 10 Minnesota Power 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-1999 2,725 10.31 11 Primergy 23,868 276 11.57 Coal Steam 1.00 2000-2000 2,725 10.33 11 Primergy 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 2001-2021 2,725 0.00 11 Primergy 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-2001 2,363 21.73 10 Commonwealth Edison 10,760 257 23.88 Coal Steam 0.52 2002-2021 2,363 0.00 10 Commonwealth Edison 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-2001 1,597 12.13 16 Illinois Power 13,987 195 13.92 Coal Steam 1.00 2002-2021 1,597 0.00 16 Illinois Power 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-2001 427 19.58 12 Iowa Illinois Gas & Elec 2,824 61 21.46 Coal Steam 0.75 2002-2021 427 0.00 12 Iowa Illinois Gas & Elec 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-1999 155 4.46 12 Iowa Illinois Gas & Elec 1,360 8 5.89 Nuclear 1.00 2000-2021 155 0.00 12 Iowa Illinois Gas & Elec 0 0 0.00 Nuclear 0.00 1999-2001 1,152 7.58 11 Canada 10,089 90 8.89 Hydro 1.00 2002-2021 1,152 0.00 11 Canada 0 0 0.00 Hydro 0.00 1999 10,007 43.72 0 Baseload Spot 0 0 43.72 Baseload Spot 1999 0 0.00 0 Intermediate Spot 10,821 0 0.00 Interm. Spot 1999 0 0.00 0 Peaking Spot 0 0 0.00 Peaking Spot 1999 0 0.00 0 Other Purchases 0 0 0.00 Oth. Purchase 1999 0 0.00 0 Emergency 0 0 0.00 Emergency 1999 Total 154,907 1,150 7.42 </Table> 36 TABLE R5: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PRICES PURPOSE: Prices, without T&D by class and year are listed along with average class prices from other regions for comparison. Revenue is also broken out by class. USE: Table R5 can help develop pricing strategies that will keep your company competitive. You can adjust your prices to remain competitive in certain markets based on the information in this table. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: o PRICES, EXCLUDING T&D: Your prices by class and an average price. o CONSUMER PRICES, EXCLUDING T&D: Average region prices by class for comparison. o PRICES, EXCLUDING T&D: Your prices by class and an average price. o CONSUMER PRICES: Average regional prices including charges from the distribution and transmission companies. o CONSUMER PRICES, EXCLUDING T&D: Average regional prices charge by the retail energy companies for comparison with your prices. 37 Table R5: Retail Energy Company Prices American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- SALES (GWh) Residential 27,824 27,946 28,482 29,137 29,818 30,551 Commercial 20,530 20,787 21,443 22,193 22,916 23,603 Industrial 41,977 42,480 44,258 46,530 48,990 51,541 Street/Misc 1,150 1,168 1,203 1,223 1,245 1,273 Resale 40,093 40,292 40,062 40,085 39,963 39,538 TOTAL PURCHASES 131,574 132,673 135,446 139,167 142,931 146,507 PRICES - EXCLUDING T&D (MILLS/kWh) Residential 35.75 36.76 25.52 21.13 19.19 18.71 Commercial 41.08 42.11 31.18 27.12 25.27 24.87 Industrial 29.15 30.23 19.95 16.52 14.84 14.63 Street/Misc 48.63 49.69 39.08 35.34 33.57 33.26 Resale 25.82 26.88 16.27 13.85 13.17 14.05 AVERAGE 31.56 32.62 21.98 18.57 17.12 17.13 REVENUE (M$/YR) Residential 995 1,027 727 616 572 572 Commercial 843 875 669 602 579 587 Industrial 1,224 1,284 883 769 727 754 Street/Misc 56 58 47 43 42 42 Resale 1,035 1,083 652 555 526 555 TOTAL 4,153 4,328 2,977 2,585 2,447 2,510 CONSUMER PRICES (MILLS/kWh) Minnesota Residential 70.73 72.10 65.66 65.00 62.14 61.61 Iowa,North/South Res 82.05 86.16 78.86 77.36 73.06 69.98 Illinois/Wisconsin Res 90.49 91.69 75.49 70.94 69.20 69.99 Ohio/Indiana Residential 64.84 67.05 57.19 53.95 52.82 51.73 Canada Residential 60.43 60.83 69.39 68.76 70.35 73.52 Minnesota Commercial 61.44 62.29 55.02 54.12 50.75 49.45 Iowa,North/South Commercial 67.63 70.36 63.55 63.04 59.49 57.22 Illinois/Wisconsin Comm 71.62 72.10 56.80 51.89 49.99 50.67 Ohio/Indiana Commercial 57.07 58.79 49.31 46.05 44.64 43.07 Canada Commercial 57.26 57.70 56.11 57.90 59.34 62.04 Minnesota Industrial 41.41 41.66 36.74 35.28 31.74 30.16 Iowa,North/South Industrial 38.61 41.87 37.55 34.71 29.14 26.86 Illinois/Wisconsin Indust 49.33 49.37 37.73 33.61 30.76 31.14 Ohio/Indiana Industrial 36.87 38.18 29.29 26.11 24.44 22.98 Canada Industrial 38.96 39.38 40.95 42.00 42.89 44.85 Other 63.44 63.57 50.02 45.90 44.87 45.55 Resale 26.37 27.10 26.68 24.02 22.10 21.73 CONSUMER PRICES - EXCLUDING T&D (MILLS/kWh) Minnesota Residential 31.70 32.07 24.83 22.81 18.35 16.14 Iowa,North/South Res 46.77 49.21 41.32 40.05 36.29 33.81 Illinois/Wisconsin Res 58.26 57.70 40.75 35.41 32.67 32.33 Ohio/Indiana Residential 36.05 36.94 26.57 22.81 21.11 19.48 Canada Residential 18.71 19.31 27.29 25.81 26.35 28.27 Minnesota Commercial 39.74 40.10 32.32 30.80 26.65 24.56 Iowa,North/South Commercial 46.63 48.67 41.48 41.15 37.89 35.96 Illinois/Wisconsin Comm 53.43 53.13 37.40 32.18 29.92 30.19 Ohio/Indiana Commercial 40.40 41.43 31.58 28.08 26.40 24.60 Canada Commercial 34.37 34.94 32.99 34.31 35.14 37.11 Minnesota Industrial 33.74 33.78 28.70 27.14 23.46 21.73 Iowa,North/South Industrial 29.65 32.69 28.17 25.49 20.15 18.12 Illinois/Wisconsin Indust 42.30 42.13 30.32 26.18 23.30 23.60 Ohio/Indiana Industrial 29.87 30.90 21.88 18.74 17.10 15.71 Canada Industrial 31.13 31.62 32.99 33.78 34.24 35.69 Other 58.76 58.94 45.32 41.29 40.28 40.99 Resale 22.07 22.40 22.15 19.86 18.16 17.99 </Table> 38 TABLE R6: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY SALES PURPOSE: Table R6 shows the regions where you are making your sales both in terms of GWh and market share. USE: This table can help you maintain and gain market share by showing you where your pricing and advertising policies are increasing market share and where they are causing market share to fall. IMPORTANT DEFINITION: o MARKET SHARE: the percent of the total existing electric market that is served by your company. Market share is a "size of the slice" measure, the pie being the existing demand for electricity. 39 Table R6: Retail Energy Company Sales American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- SALES (GWh/yr) Minnesota Residential 0 0 1 7 19 36 Iowa,North/South Residential 0 0 2 8 22 48 Illinois/Wisconsin Residential 0 0 26 93 227 451 Ohio/Indiana Residential 27,824 27,946 28,452 29,022 29,531 29,970 Canada Residential 0 0 2 7 20 45 Minnesota Commercial 0 0 2 5 12 24 Iowa,North/South Commercial 0 0 1 5 12 23 Illinois/Wisconsin Commercial 0 3 14 44 104 205 Ohio/Indiana Commercial 20,530 20,783 21,423 22,130 22,767 23,309 Canada Commercial 0 0 3 9 21 42 Minnesota Industrial 0 1 11 41 104 201 Iowa,North/South Industrial 0 0 4 14 35 68 Illinois/Wisconsin Industrial 0 5 31 108 262 512 Ohio/Indiana Industrial 41,977 42,473 44,206 46,338 48,515 50,621 Canada Industrial 0 1 6 29 74 139 Other 1,150 1,168 1,203 1,223 1,245 1,273 Resale 40,093 40,292 40,062 40,085 39,963 39,538 MARKET SHARE (%) Minnesota Residential 0.000 0.000 0.015 0.070 0.178 0.340 Iowa,North/South Residential 0.000 0.000 0.027 0.128 0.339 0.724 Illinois/Wisconsin Residential 0.000 0.000 0.052 0.185 0.441 0.856 Ohio/Indiana Residential 68.990 68.438 67.616 66.677 65.669 64.572 Canada Residential 0.000 0.000 0.020 0.092 0.252 0.580 Minnesota Commercial 0.000 0.004 0.024 0.078 0.181 0.339 Iowa,North/South Commercial 0.000 0.004 0.024 0.080 0.191 0.372 Illinois/Wisconsin Commercial 0.000 0.005 0.026 0.077 0.174 0.331 Ohio/Indiana Commercial 66.493 66.461 66.345 66.083 65.601 64.825 Canada Commercial 0.000 0.004 0.029 0.097 0.234 0.455 Minnesota Industrial 0.000 0.006 0.043 0.163 0.391 0.728 Iowa,North/South Industrial 0.000 0.005 0.037 0.138 0.327 0.606 Illinois/Wisconsin Industrial 0.000 0.008 0.050 0.163 0.375 0.702 Ohio/Indiana Industrial 74.082 74.044 73.985 73.902 73.725 73.327 Canada Industrial 0.000 0.007 0.063 0.315 0.795 1.480 Other 8.030 8.029 8.034 8.051 8.135 8.297 Resale 36.965 36.670 36.233 35.715 35.142 34.550 </Table> 40 TABLE R7: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY PERFORMANCE MEASURES PURPOSE: Table R7 provides a comparison of company performance among all the retail companies. Information includes sales, average prices, revenues, net income, and return on equity. USE: The retail companies are evaluated based on their ability to optimize these variables. In games without retail wheeling successful retail companies are those with the lowest prices. Table R7: Retail Energy Company Performance Measures for 1999 American Electric Power, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- SALES (GWh/Year) Minnesota Power 10,203 10,780 11,706 12,825 14,108 15,453 Primergy 61,434 61,832 63,187 64,781 66,639 68,620 Otter Tail Power 4,317 4,546 4,902 5,335 5,827 6,255 Wisconsin Power and Light 10,840 10,849 11,112 11,536 12,076 12,564 Interstate/IES Utilities 15,804 15,918 16,179 16,556 17,206 18,069 North/South Dakota 3,600 4,524 5,954 7,585 9,183 10,557 Central Illinois Light Co. 5,835 5,846 6,086 6,501 7,135 8,032 Union Electric 53,603 53,589 54,469 55,614 56,608 57,050 Commonwealth Edison 85,171 85,266 87,288 89,820 92,236 93,681 Illinois Power 22,112 22,139 22,603 23,234 24,027 24,809 American Electric Power 131,574 132,673 135,446 139,167 142,931 146,507 Cinergy 50,569 51,018 52,150 53,503 54,731 55,964 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 6,147 6,202 6,308 6,481 6,787 7,238 Canada 36,066 36,760 37,450 38,125 38,523 38,420 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 AVERAGE PRICE (MILLS/kWh) Minnesota Power 28.7 26.8 27.3 25.3 25.4 26.3 Primergy 33.8 34.6 27.4 25.6 19.8 16.6 Otter Tail Power 28.0 27.9 35.6 33.9 33.2 34.5 Wisconsin Power and Light 31.2 31.6 28.7 26.9 26.9 28.7 Interstate/IES Utilities 33.8 38.2 34.5 30.9 24.6 21.8 North/South Dakota 33.8 24.9 20.8 29.1 28.6 28.1 Central Illinois Light Co. 34.9 35.2 28.7 26.5 23.5 22.3 Union Electric 38.0 36.9 34.4 29.5 26.9 25.9 Commonwealth Edison 57.2 56.8 37.3 30.8 30.3 32.5 Illinois Power 47.3 46.8 35.5 32.5 25.4 25.3 American Electric Power 31.6 32.6 22.0 18.6 17.1 17.1 Cinergy 33.8 34.8 29.1 26.8 25.3 20.2 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 40.1 41.9 38.4 36.1 30.8 28.8 Canada 26.4 26.9 32.0 31.9 32.6 34.7 Independent Power Producer 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Average Price 37.6 37.9 29.6 26.4 24.2 23.6 </Table> 41 <Table> TOTAL REVENUE (M$) Minnesota Power 293.24 288.56 319.32 324.72 358.51 406.65 Primergy 2,076.40 2,137.00 1,729.57 1,656.68 1,321.50 1,141.50 Otter Tail Power 121.04 126.69 174.33 180.82 193.44 215.55 Wisconsin Power and Light 338.09 343.07 319.21 309.82 325.17 360.09 Interstate/IES Utilities 534.74 607.37 558.33 510.87 422.76 393.73 North/South Dakota 121.66 112.67 123.97 220.72 262.36 296.51 Central Illinois Light Co. 203.80 205.71 174.69 172.34 167.97 179.46 Union Electric 2,036.54 1,976.42 1,874.56 1,641.13 1,520.06 1,475.89 Commonwealth Edison 4,872.31 4,843.14 3,251.85 2,768.49 2,794.55 3,041.10 Illinois Power 1,046.03 1,036.49 803.36 755.99 609.42 627.99 American Electric Power 4,153.14 4,327.82 2,977.13 2,584.59 2,446.61 2,510.10 Cinergy 1,708.81 1,775.16 1,517.67 1,433.83 1,383.93 1,130.67 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 246.47 260.15 241.97 234.00 209.27 208.17 Canada 951.32 988.84 1,197.05 1,215.21 1,254.08 1,331.31 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NET INCOME (M$) Minnesota Power 1.88 6.76 37.46 25.09 23.03 (11.11) Primergy 11.27 511.92 255.50 453.33 327.03 117.09 Otter Tail Power 0.65 0.53 31.36 29.34 23.04 44.74 Wisconsin Power and Light 3.77 40.22 31.97 13.53 (2.89) (51.96) Interstate/IES Utilities 3.50 133.43 125.86 158.49 102.38 72.20 North/South Dakota 3.65 33.10 (5.97) 45.41 55.35 90.16 Central Illinois Light Co. 2.68 37.57 20.22 23.43 15.07 32.62 Union Electric 8.44 390.92 503.15 422.73 365.08 520.81 Commonwealth Edison 5.34 1,949.12 976.38 539.28 339.49 (65.32) Illinois Power 6.62 354.40 219.31 296.10 171.42 124.45 American Electric Power 5.46 1,530.70 651.21 424.75 248.22 401.07 Cinergy 8.68 308.35 178.06 133.69 286.98 51.88 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 3.14 76.56 68.16 82.98 64.98 62.26 Canada 1.54 58.47 210.56 201.86 170.91 35.31 Independent Power Producer (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) RETURN ON EQUITY Minnesota Power 0.126 0.393 1.253 0.653 0.498 (0.317) Primergy 0.125 1.941 0.729 0.899 0.531 0.179 Otter Tail Power 0.134 0.105 2.001 1.145 0.689 0.920 Wisconsin Power and Light 0.127 0.930 0.591 0.231 (0.052) (7.827) Interstate/IES Utilities 0.129 1.844 1.094 0.938 0.503 0.317 North/South Dakota 0.122 0.803 (0.170) 0.897 0.797 0.901 Central Illinois Light Co. 0.133 1.145 0.511 0.493 0.287 0.513 Union Electric 0.125 1.950 1.355 0.821 0.571 0.638 Commonwealth Edison 0.133 2.773 0.944 0.443 0.255 (0.052) Illinois Power 0.151 2.164 0.922 0.876 0.433 0.284 American Electric Power 0.131 2.725 0.832 0.458 0.245 0.349 Cinergy 0.134 1.823 0.776 0.487 0.772 0.133 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0.127 1.509 0.923 0.813 0.524 0.429 Canada 0.119 0.819 0.747 0.417 0.261 0.051 Independent Power Producer (99.000) (99.000) (99.000) (99.000) (99.000) (99.000) </Table> 42 TABLE R8: SYSTEM ENERGY BALANCE PURPOSE: This table provides a "snapshot" of the complete electric market you are competing in. Each company's sales and where the energy came from by company is provided as well as a record of emergency purchases. USE: You can use Table R8 to evaluate your purchasing strategies by comparing them with your competitors. You can see whether you rely more or less on the spot market, what your reserve margin is relative to your competitors (subtract sales from purchases) and whether your emergency purchases seem excessive when compared to other utilities. Table R8: System Energy Balance (gWh) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- TOTAL SALES Minnesota Power 10,203 10,780 11,706 12,825 14,108 15,453 Primergy 61,434 61,832 63,187 64,781 66,639 68,620 Otter Tail Power 4,317 4,546 4,902 5,335 5,827 6,255 Wisconsin Power and Light 10,840 10,849 11,112 11,536 12,076 12,564 Interstate/IES Utilities 15,804 15,918 16,179 16,556 17,206 18,069 North/South Dakota 3,600 4,524 5,954 7,585 9,183 10,557 Central Illinois Light Co. 5,835 5,846 6,086 6,501 7,135 8,032 Union Electric 53,603 53,589 54,469 55,614 56,608 57,050 Commonwealth Edison 85,171 85,266 87,288 89,820 92,236 93,681 Illinois Power 22,112 22,139 22,603 23,234 24,027 24,809 American Electric Power 131,574 132,673 135,446 139,167 142,931 146,507 Cinergy 50,569 51,018 52,150 53,503 54,731 55,964 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 6,147 6,202 6,308 6,481 6,787 7,238 Canada 36,066 36,760 37,450 38,125 38,523 38,420 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 497,275 501,942 514,839 531,065 548,016 563,218 TOTAL LOSSES 39,868 29,099 30,236 31,544 32,907 34,132 TOTAL PURCHASES Minnesota Power 10,723 11,330 12,302 13,478 14,826 16,241 Primergy 71,063 60,308 61,917 63,733 65,876 68,205 Otter Tail Power 4,924 5,185 5,592 6,086 6,646 7,135 Wisconsin Power and Light 11,586 11,595 11,876 12,329 12,906 13,428 Interstate/IES Utilities 16,714 16,836 17,111 17,510 18,197 19,111 North/South Dakota 4,058 5,101 6,713 8,552 10,353 11,902 Central Illinois Light Co. 6,030 6,041 6,289 6,718 7,373 8,301 Union Electric 56,676 56,661 57,591 58,802 59,853 60,320 Commonwealth Edison 92,338 92,440 94,633 97,378 99,996 101,563 Illinois Power 22,798 22,826 23,305 23,956 24,773 25,579 American Electric Power 139,119 140,280 143,213 147,147 151,126 154,907 Cinergy 53,680 54,157 55,358 56,794 58,099 59,407 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 6,433 6,491 6,602 6,783 7,103 7,575 Canada 41,001 41,790 42,575 43,342 43,795 43,678 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 537,143 531,041 545,076 562,609 580,923 597,350 </Table> 43 <Table> DIRECT ACCESS OR CfD PURCHASES Minnesota Power 6,251 3,423 1,856 2,014 3,184 2,977 Primergy 59,264 5,444 6,504 43,852 60,252 58,690 Otter Tail Power 2,832 41 1,283 1,264 1,361 4,966 Wisconsin Power and Light 9,802 0 0 0 0 0 Interstate/IES Utilities 11,819 1,866 5,829 13,232 16,716 17,338 North/South Dakota 3,137 5,101 1,786 2,444 4,477 11,902 Central Illinois Light Co. 5,675 1,037 1,821 3,786 5,680 7,532 Union Electric 44,958 16,995 34,569 44,996 50,705 54,150 Commonwealth Edison 88,570 0 0 0 0 0 Illinois Power 19,654 1,790 5,281 15,547 18,809 19,004 American Electric Power 111,295 140,280 142,803 146,524 148,827 144,085 Cinergy 50,330 7,225 14,080 25,938 48,018 56,534 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 5,632 701 2,360 3,579 5,491 5,694 Canada 40,420 0 0 0 0 0 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 459,640 183,904 218,172 303,177 363,521 382,872 SPOT PURCHASES Minnesota Power 0 7,906 10,446 11,464 11,643 13,263 Primergy 0 54,863 55,413 19,881 5,624 9,516 Otter Tail Power 0 5,144 4,309 4,821 5,285 2,169 Wisconsin Power and Light 0 11,595 11,876 12,329 12,906 13,428 Interstate/IES Utilities 0 14,970 11,282 4,278 1,481 1,773 North/South Dakota 0 0 4,928 6,108 5,876 0 Central Illinois Light Co. 0 5,004 4,468 2,932 1,693 768 Union Electric 0 39,666 23,022 13,806 9,148 6,170 Commonwealth Edison 0 92,440 94,633 97,378 99,996 101,563 Illinois Power 0 21,036 18,023 8,409 5,964 6,575 American Electric Power 0 0 409 623 2,299 10,821 Cinergy 0 46,932 41,279 30,857 10,081 2,873 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0 5,790 4,242 3,203 1,612 1,881 Canada 0 41,790 42,575 43,342 43,795 43,678 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 0 347,137 326,904 259,432 217,402 214,478 TOTAL OTHER PURCHASES 77,503 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL EMERGENCY PURCHASES 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL PURCHASES 537,143 531,041 545,076 562,609 580,923 597,350 </Table> 44 TABLE R9: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY COST PERFORMANCE DETAILS PURPOSE: This table lists average cost of power, average unit cost of contracts, average unit costs of spot market purchases and common stockholders equity for each company. USE: You can use this table to compare your buying strategies with those of other companies. You can determine whether your average power costs were too high relative to other companies' contract prices. DEFINITION: o AVERAGE COST OF POWER: This is the weighted average cost of contract power, spot market purchases and emergency power. TABLE R9: RETAIL ENERGY COMPANY COST PERFORMANCE DETAILS FOR 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- AVERAGE COST OF POWER (MILLS/KWH) Minnesota Power 28.56 26.06 24.00 23.36 23.81 27.08 Primergy 33.58 26.20 23.54 18.92 15.49 15.64 Otter Tail Power 27.84 27.68 29.09 28.50 29.49 27.63 Wisconsin Power and Light 30.70 27.76 25.86 25.80 27.33 32.93 Interstate/IES Utilities 33.48 29.64 26.90 21.72 19.37 18.70 North/South Dakota 32.95 17.17 21.64 22.82 22.40 19.55 Central Illinois Light Co. 34.17 28.53 25.41 23.05 21.67 18.54 Union Electric 37.76 29.51 25.36 22.40 21.14 17.69 Commonwealth Edison 57.08 33.88 26.78 25.87 27.83 34.47 Illinois Power 46.82 30.61 26.19 20.46 19.29 21.56 American Electric Power 31.50 21.06 17.53 16.02 15.96 15.01 Cinergy 33.51 28.64 25.79 24.51 20.33 19.73 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 39.47 29.40 27.80 23.92 22.27 21.42 Canada 26.16 25.13 26.32 27.11 29.16 35.23 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Average Cost of Power 37.41 27.00 23.52 21.52 20.91 21.94 UNIT COST OF CONTRACTS (MILLS/KWH) Minnesota Power 32.36 28.39 17.37 16.81 15.62 12.82 Primergy 32.58 36.71 33.80 17.00 15.35 15.43 Otter Tail Power 31.19 89.00 22.12 22.48 22.67 16.89 Wisconsin Power and Light 30.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Interstate/IES Utilities 35.75 35.57 20.69 16.71 17.34 17.69 North/South Dakota 34.09 13.59 20.58 10.47 10.97 13.09 Central Illinois Light Co. 34.85 35.06 24.71 18.98 18.74 17.28 Union Electric 39.35 24.46 20.52 18.03 17.63 13.18 Commonwealth Edison 58.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Illinois Power 54.04 37.13 24.76 14.11 16.15 16.90 American Electric Power 30.78 14.42 14.54 14.00 14.74 14.08 Cinergy 33.85 35.61 24.60 21.10 18.87 19.29 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 44.48 35.54 23.94 19.09 18.58 15.94 Canada 26.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Average Unit Cost 38.45 17.73 17.43 15.91 16.09 15.32 </Table> 45 <Table> UNIT COST OF SPOT MARKET PURCHASES (MILLS/KWH) Minnesota Power 19.97 22.79 21.87 21.91 23.32 28.81 Primergy 25.15 23.59 22.56 16.73 0.00 14.86 Otter Tail Power 14.95 23.59 22.56 22.36 24.29 30.04 Wisconsin Power and Light 21.33 24.21 22.78 23.48 25.48 32.47 Interstate/IES Utilities 26.03 23.59 23.39 16.01 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 24.70 0.00 20.49 20.61 21.57 0.00 Central Illinois Light Co. 26.60 23.59 23.38 23.51 24.29 0.00 Union Electric 18.69 23.59 17.08 15.07 12.64 5.91 Commonwealth Edison 42.07 24.45 22.88 23.78 25.92 33.37 Illinois Power 16.74 23.59 22.56 17.86 18.06 26.32 American Electric Power 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cinergy 19.24 23.59 23.21 23.77 8.20 0.00 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 16.75 23.59 23.39 17.53 15.40 20.12 Canada 16.94 24.01 22.70 23.22 25.11 31.71 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Average Unit Cost 24.17 23.87 22.35 22.02 22.63 28.19 COMMON STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY (M$/YR) Minnesota Power 14.93 17.19 29.90 38.40 46.21 35.02 Primergy 89.81 263.68 350.38 504.34 615.37 655.02 Otter Tail Power 4.88 5.03 15.67 25.62 33.43 48.62 Wisconsin Power and Light 29.66 43.26 54.06 58.58 55.49 6.64 Interstate/IES Utilities 27.08 72.36 115.07 168.88 203.61 228.09 North/South Dakota 29.98 41.21 35.18 50.61 69.41 100.04 Central Illinois Light Co. 20.12 32.81 39.60 47.49 52.54 63.55 Union Electric 67.63 200.43 371.39 515.01 639.04 816.01 Commonwealth Edison 40.18 702.77 1,034.63 1,217.88 1,333.21 1,267.61 Illinois Power 43.79 163.79 237.88 338.09 395.94 437.82 American Electric Power 41.50 561.74 782.95 927.18 1,011.38 1,147.57 Cinergy 64.54 169.10 229.38 274.59 371.91 389.32 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 24.74 50.73 73.86 102.04 124.09 145.23 Canada 12.91 71.39 281.94 483.80 654.71 690.02 Independent Power Producer (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) </Table> 46 TABLE R10: SYSTEM CAPACITY MARGIN PURPOSE: This table shows generation capacity by generation company; retail peak demand by retail company, and a capacity margin calculation by company. It also contains a region reserve margin and an effective region reserve margin. USE: Table R10 is used for planning purposes to indicate how "tight" the capacity is getting in a region. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: o CAPACITY MARGIN: Generation Capacity minus Retail Company Peak o REGION RESERVE MARGIN: Capacity Margin divided by Generation Capacity o EFFECTIVE REGION RESERVE MARGIN: includes outages 47 GENERATION COMPANY ACTIONS - UNDERSTANDING AND USING FORMS All player actions are implemented by submitting a completed form to the operator. These forms are entered into the computer by the operator who then runs the model and prints reports. In each form you should provide all the information, but only the information requested; complex contracts must be submitted on multiple forms. When submitting a form which affects two players, both players must agree to the terms therein, but only one form is submitted. There are two basic kinds of forms - forms for individual actions that exist for a specific length of time such as a contract between two parties and forms that initiate strategies that remain in effect until a new strategy form is submitted. An example of a strategy form would be retail pricing strategies or generation spot market bidding strategies. FORM 1 - DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD CAPACITY CONTRACT Form 1 is the Direct Access or CfD Capacity Contract form and is used to submit contracts for the sale or purchase of capacity. Although a Contract for Differences (CfD) is essentially a money transfer, it is completed in the same fashion as a Direct Access contract. Each bi-lateral agreement between a generator and a retail energy company must be represented on a "Direct Access or CfD Capacity Contract". Help determining energy and capacity costs can be found in the section "What do You Want to Sell it For" in the generator's section of the CIGMOD explanations, tips and procedures handout. It is not essential that each contract have both a capacity charge and an energy charge; many contracts are made with energy charges alone. Since this form represents an agreement between a retail company and a generator, it is used by both parties; HOWEVER ONLY ONE FORM PER TRANSACTION IS SUBMITTED TO THE OPERATOR. 48 DIRECT ACCESS or CfD CAPACITY CONTRACT - Form 1 A Contract Between Retail Energy Company: ------------------ and Generation Company: ------------------ Contract Beginning Year: ---------- Contract Ending Year: ---------- Capacity (MW): ---------- Energy Cost (Mills/kWh): ---------- Capacity Cost ($/kW): ---------- Simulation Year: ------------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 49 FORM 2 - TRENDED ELECTRIC CAPACITY CONTRACT Form 2 is the Trended Electric Capacity Contract form and is used to submit contracts for capacity sales and purchases when terms change over time. In all other respects, the procedure is the same as the procedure for filling out Form 1. TRENDED DIRECT ACCESS OR CfD CAPACITY CONTRACT - Form 2 A Contract Between Retail Energy Company: ------------------ and Generation Company: ------------------ <Table> <Caption> Beginning Ending ---------- ---------- Contract Year: ---------- ---------- Capacity (MW): ---------- ---------- Energy Cost (Mills/kWh): ---------- ---------- Capacity Cost ($/kW): ---------- ---------- </Table> Simulation Year: ------------ ----------------- Operator Use Only 50 FORM G3 - GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY EXPANSION STRATEGIES Form G3 is a strategy form allowing the generator to select one of four capacity expansion strategies. Once a strategy is selected, it remains in place until another form is submitted. If no form is submitted, then no building occurs; the default specification is "no building throughout the game". The first three options in Form G3 are actual strategies based on your own sales, your region's sales or spot market prices. The last option is for a single plant. Once the plant is constructed, no further construction will occur unless a new form is submitted. GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY EXPANSION STRATEGIES - Form G 3 Generation Company: --------------------------- 1. Sales. When you are selling more than __________ percent of your power through direct access contracts, then build __________ percent of your current capacity. OR 2. System Needs. When the system needs power, build ___________ percent of the system deficiency. OR 3. Spot Market. When the spot market price is greater than the cost of new capacity, then build __________ percent of the system capacity. OR 4. User. Specify new capacity to be constructed: Region: --------------- Fuel Type: ---------------------------------- Year to Begin Construction: ------------------- Capacity (MW): ----------------------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 51 FORM G4 - GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET BIDDING STRATEGIES is used to select a generation company spot market bidding strategy - how the generator will construct his offer price to the pool. One of two methods may be used. The generator may select a fraction of fixed and fraction of variable cost (either fraction can be greater than 1) of each plant type that will become the offer price. Or the pricing can be done exogenously by pricing homogeneous blocks of power from a specified region. The generator can select only one method for bidding all his power. If the block method is selected, then the region where the plants are located must be specified. If the generating company has plants in different regions, a separate form must be filled out for each region when using the block pricing method. 52 GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET BIDDING STRATEGIES - Form G 4 Generation Company: ---------------------------- 1. Percent Method <Table> <Caption> Percent of Percent of Percent of Fixed Cost Variable Cost Unused Capacity ---------- ------------- --------------- Gas/Oil Turbine ---------- ---------- ---------- Gas/Oil CC ---------- ---------- ---------- Gas/Oil Steam ---------- ---------- ---------- Coal ---------- ---------- ---------- Advanced Coal ---------- ---------- ---------- Nuclear ---------- ---------- ---------- Hydro ---------- ---------- ---------- Renewables ---------- ---------- ---------- </Table> OR 2. User Specified Region: ------------------------ <Table> <Caption> Capacity Price (MW) (Mills/kWh) ------------ ------------ Block 1 ------------ ------------ Block 2 ------------ ------------ Block 3 ------------ ------------ Block 4 ------------ ------------ Block 5 ------------ ------------ Block 6 ------------ ------------ Block 7 ------------ ------------ Block 8 ------------ ------------ Block 9 ------------ ------------ Block 10 ------------ ------------ Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only </Table> 53 FORM G5 - GENERATION COMPANY PLANT RETIREMENTS Form G5 is used to retire plants. Only a few plants retire during the game unless this form is submitted. The region in which the plant is located can be determined from Table G5. GENERATION COMPANY PLANT RETIREMENTS - Form G 5 Generation Company: ------------------- Region: ------------------------------ Plant Type: -------------------------- Year of Retirement: ---------- Capacity to Retire (MW): ---------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 54 FORM G6 - GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGIES The Generation Company Spot Market Purchase Strategy Form G6 allows the generation company to set a policy for spot market purchases. One of two strategies may be selected - either based on an exogenously specified number of MW or a percentage of total demand by capacity type. This is spot market purchases only, emergency power is not included. The loading order determines when your purchases will be made . If no minimum is set, then zero is the default specification. Prices may be specified in either Mills/Kwh or as a fraction of previous spot market prices. GENERATION COMPANY SPOT MARKET PURCHASE STRATEGIES - Form G6 Generation Company: ---------------------------- I would like to buy the following capacity from the spot market: <Table> <Caption> MW OR % of Demands Baseload --------- ---------- Intermediate --------- ---------- Peaking --------- ---------- </Table> Use the following prices to determine the loading order of my spot purchases: <Table> <Caption> % of Spot Market Price Mills/kWh OR in Previous Period --------- -- ---------------------- Baseload --------- --------- Intermediate --------- --------- Peaking --------- --------- </Table> Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 55 FORM G7 - GENERATION COMPANY MERGERS Form G7 is the Generation Company Merger form and is used when two generating companies decide to merge. It requires the approval of both parties. During a merger all assets and liabilities of two companies are combined to form one company. The purchase price is not an issue in a merger. Both sets of players now work together as a single company. GENERATION COMPANY MERGERS - Form G 7 Generation Company: is merging ---------------------- Generation Company: into it. --------------------------- Simulation Year ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only FORM G8 - GENERATION COMPANY ACQUISITION Form G8 is the Generation Company Acquisitions form and is used when a generation company acquires another generation company. It requires the approval of both parties. During an acquisition the acquiring company receives all the assets and liabilities of the acquired company except the common stock and retained earnings. The change in net assets of the acquiring company is based on the purchase price. The acquired company is left with cash, equal to the purchase price of the company, the common stock, and retained earnings, computed from the purchase price. GENERATION COMPANY ACQUISITION - Form G 8 Generation Company: is acquiring ---------------------- Generation Company: . --------------------------- Purchase Price (M$): ----------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 56 FORM G9 - GENERATION COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER Form G9 is the Hostile Take Over form and is used when a generation company attempts a hostile take over of another generation company. Companies must be paid for in cash - no leveraged buy-outs. The purchasing utility would need to provide the common stock equity plus 20 percent in cash (accumulated in short term investments and tracked on the income statement) to complete a hostile takeover. The company initiating the take-over is allowed to use the cash of the take-over target to meet the cash requirement. The purchasing utility assumes the debt responsibility of the take over target. Except for the cash requirement the hostile takeover is the same as an acquisition. GENERATION COMPANY HOSTILE TAKE OVER - Form G 9 Generation Company: is buying out ---------------------- Generation Company: . --------------------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 57 FORM G10 - GENERATION COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION Form G10 is the Generation Financial Reorganization form and is used to modify the exogenously specified financial parameters outside the normal boundary of the game. This form provides additional financial flexibility for company management. This form is used to input the results of a financial reorganization of the company. The values entered on the form are the company values after the reorganization. All lines must be filled in. Do not put the change in the values, put the actual value. GENERATION COMPANY FINANCIAL REORGANIZATION - Form G 10 Generation Company: ---------------------------------------------- Net Assets (M$): ------------------------- Long Term Debt (M$): ---------------------------- Debt Interest (M$/yr): ---------------------------- Common Stock (M$): ---------------------------- Retained Earnings (M$): ---------------------------- Preferred Stock (M$): ---------------------------- Cash (M$): ---------------------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 58 FORM G11 - GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE Form G11 is the Generation Company Modify Dividend Rate form and is used to adjust the amount of dividends paid each year. The dividend payout rate may be adjusted as desired. Sometimes it is desirable to alter the dividend payout rate to allow the company to accumulate cash for takeover opportunities. GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DIVIDEND RATE - Form G 11 Generation Company: -------------------------------------------- Common Stock Dividend Payout Ratio (%): ------------ Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only FORM G12 - GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO Form G12 is the Generation Company Modify Debt/Equity Ratio form. Prudent adjustments can be made to this ratio to give the retail player added financial flexibility. GENERATION COMPANY MODIFY DEBT/EQUITY RATIO - Form G 12 Generation Company: -------------------------------------------- Marginal Debt/Equity Ratio (%): --------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 59 FORM G13 - GENERATION COMPANY CASH TRANSFER Generation form G13 allows the generating company to transfer cash from a generating company to a retail company. It requires the approval of both parties. GENERATION COMPANY CASH TRANSFER - Form G 13 FROM Generation Company: -------------------------------- TO Retail Company: ----------------------------------- Transfer M$ ------------ Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only (use negative values to transfer cash from the retail company to the generation company.) 60 FORM G14 - GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS SELLING QUANTITY STRATEGIES Form G14 is used to set the strategy for selling power in the computer auction. This strategy will determine whether the computer players are allowed to buy your power. The amount of generation assigned to the power auction can be determined by fuel type by either specifying the MW available or a percent of total capacity using each fuel. If no form is submitted, then no power is offered to the auction. GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS SELLING QUANTITY STRATEGIES - Form G 14 Generation Company: ------------------------- <Table> <Caption> Capacity Percent of Plant Type (MW) OR Capacity ---------- -------- -------- Gas/Oil Turbine ---------- ---------- Gas/Oil CC ---------- ---------- Gas/Oil Steam ---------- ---------- Coal ---------- ---------- Advanced Coal ---------- ---------- Nuclear ---------- ---------- Hydro ---------- ---------- Renewables ---------- ---------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only </Table> 61 FORM G15 - THE GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BIDDING STRATEGY The Generation Company Direct Access Bidding Strategy Form (G15) allows the player to enter into the computer auction to sell power to the computer retail energy companies. The generating company specifies a minimum offer price one of two ways. Either it is specified by type as a percent of fixed and variable costs OR as an exogenously specified number. If the percentage is used, a second choice of whether to use embedded or new plant costs is also required. Only one method should be selected and this strategy will remain in effect until the retail player changes it by submitting another Form G 15. 62 GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS BIDDING STRATEGIES-Form G 15 Generation Company: ______________________________________________ Bid Prices to direct access power auction are a fraction of OR costs fixed and variable costs. -------------- -------------- 1. embedded 2. new plant <Table> <Caption> Initial Price Initial Price Stop Price Percent of Percent of Percent of Plant Type Fixed Cost Variable Cost Variable Costs ---------- ------------- ------------- -------------- Gas/Oil Turbine ---------- ---------- ----------- Gas/Oil CC ---------- ---------- ----------- Gas/Oil Steam ---------- ---------- ----------- Coal ---------- ---------- ----------- Advanced Coal ---------- ---------- ----------- Nuclear ---------- ---------- ----------- Hydro ---------- ---------- ----------- Renewables ---------- ---------- ----------- </Table> OR 3. User. Bid Prices are specified directly: <Table> <Caption> Initial Initial Fixed Cost Variable Cost Stop Price Plant Type ($/KW) (Mills/kWh) (Mills/kWh) ---------- ---------- ------------- ----------- Gas/Oil Turbine ---------- ---------- ----------- Gas/Oil CC ---------- ---------- ----------- Gas/Oil Steam ---------- ---------- ----------- Coal ---------- ---------- ----------- Advanced Coal ---------- ---------- ----------- Nuclear ---------- ---------- ----------- Hydro ---------- ---------- ----------- Renewables ---------- ---------- ----------- </Table> Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 63 FORM G16 - GENERATION COMPANY BUY/SELL CAPACITY Form G16 is the Buy/Sell Capacity form and is used by a generator who wants to sell a generating unit to another generating company. The book value of the plant can be estimated by multiplying the capacity cost times the number of kilowatts being sold. GENERATION COMPANY BUY/SELL CAPACITY - Form G 16 Generation Company: ------------------------------------------------- Generation Company Buying Capacity: -------------------------------- Region: ------------------------------------ Plant: ------------------------------------- Year: ------------------------------------- Capacity (MW): ----------------------------- Purchase Price (M$): ------------------------- Book Value of Capacity (M$): ------------------ Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 64 FORM G17- GENERATION COMPANY CANCEL CONSTRUCTION Form G17 is the Cancel Construction form and is used to cancel the construction of plants initiated during the game. This form can only be used for plant types that require more than one year to construct. GENERATION COMPANY CANCEL CONSTRUCTION - Form G 17 Generation Company: ----------------------------------------------- Plant Type: ------------------- Region: ---------------------------------- Capacity Under Construction to be Canceled (MW): ---------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 65 FORM G18 - GENERATION COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY Form G18 is the Generation Company Take Over Strategy form. This allows the generation company to set its strategy once, and the computer will make the financial transactions as they become available. Take over policies can be based on an aggressive "increase market share" philosophy or a purely defensive "eat or be eaten" philosophy or cost based (neutral). The strategy chosen remains in effect until a new form is submitted. This option is currently being developed and is not available. GENERATION COMPANY TAKE OVER STRATEGY - Form G 18 Generation Company: ---------------------- Neutral ------- Aggressive ------- Defensive ------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 66 FORM G19 - GENERATION COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT Generation Form G19 is a housekeeping form that allows human players to become computer players and vice versa or exit the game all together. This form is used when a generation company wants to also operate a retail operating company. The generation company selects a retail energy company currently being run by the computer or out of the game and changes the status to human and gives the company a new name. GENERATION COMPANY PLAYER STATUS ADJUSTMENT - Form G 19 Generation Company: is changing ---------------------- its status to: HUMAN --------- COMPUTER --------- N/A --------- and its name to . ------------------------------------ Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 67 FORM G20 - TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS Form G20 initiates transmission constraints. This is decided upon and set at the beginning of the game and is not changed by individual players. TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS - Form G 20 Capacity Transmission Line (MW) MAPP Canada to MAPP US ------------- MAPP US to MAIN ------------- MAIN to ECAR ------------- Simulation Year: ---------- ----------------- Operator Use Only 68 GENERATING COMPANY REPORTS TABLE G1: GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY REQUIREMENT STATEMENT (MW) PURPOSE: This table shows existing levels of generation capacity, additions under construction and retirements. An estimated reserve margin is offered. Capacity under contract is provided to calculate capacity available for sale. USE: the generator uses the information in Table G1 to determine how much capacity can be offered for sale. The table also provides an indication of when capacity under construction will be available, when new capacity might be needed due to retirements or contractual obligations and what reserve margin would be appropriate. DEFINITIONS: o CAPACITY ON-LINE: total MW generation capacity available for generation at the beginning of the year o CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION: MW of new capacity under construction. The length of the construction time depends on the plant being built. o ESTIMATED RESERVES: A twenty percent reserve margin is estimated. You may choose to ignore this level and calculate your own. o HISTORICAL PURCHASE CONTRACTS: contracts made historically that are set to zero in the future. o EFFECTIVE CAPACITY: Total capacity less the reserve margin. o CAPACITY UNDER CONTRACT: MW of capacity under a wholesale contract o CAPACITY AVAILABLE FOR SALE: If contracted capacity is less than effective capacity the difference in MW is shown here. o CAPACITY DEFICIT: If the contracted capacity is greater than the effective capacity, the difference in MW is shown here. Table G1: Generation Company Capacity Requirement Statement (MW) for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Capacity On-line 9,081 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 Capacity under Construction 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 Capacity Retirements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Capacity 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 9,281 Estimated Reserves 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 Historical Purchase Contracts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Effective Capacity 6,961 6,961 6,961 6,961 6,961 6,961 6,961 Capacity Under Contract 1,562 1,562 1,562 1,562 1,562 1,562 1,562 Capacity Available for Sale 5,399 5,399 5,399 5,399 5,399 5,399 5,399 Capacity Deficit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 </Table> 69 TABLE G2: GENERATION COMPANY STATEMENT OF INCOME AND FINANCE PURPOSE: Table G2 shows the company income statement (all values in $M) including common measures of performance such as the debt/equity ratio and return on equity. Notice that operating revenues are divided into contract revenues and central dispatch revenues. USE: the income statements shows how well you are doing financially and where your problems might be if you are not. DEFINITIONS: OPERATING REVENUES: o DIRECT ACCESS CONTRACT REVENUE: revenue from dispatching contracts. o CENTRAL DISPATCH REVENUE: additional revenue from being dispatched by the pool as the lowest cost producer. o CONTRACT FOR DIFFERENCES REVENUE: revenue from contracts hedging on generation price volatility. o SPOT MARKET REVENUE: revenue from sales to the spot market o OTHER REVENUE: Includes revenue from transmission constraints OPERATING EXPENSES FROM: o SPOT MARKET PURCHASES: Power purchased from the spot market at the market price. o PURCHASED POWER:: Historical purchases which are set to 0 in the future. o EMERGENCY POWER: A forced, computer generated purchase. Emergency power is purchased because contractual power was inadequate to cover your load. o OPERATING INCOME: Calculated as Operating Revenues minus Operating Expenses. o NET INCOME: Operating Income plus Other Income minus Interest Payments. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS o CONSTRUCTION EXPENDITURES: money spent on new plant o COMMON STOCK DIVIDENDS: money paid out to stockholders; this variable can be modified by the player. o COMPANY PURCHASE PRICE: if you have engaged in a takeover or buyout during the previous year, the cost of the purchase is recorded here. BALANCE SHEET o CASH (ON HAND): yearly additions to retained earnings. Cash and retained earnings need to be watched and adjusted (by increasing expenditures, if necessary) to avoid becoming a take-over target. o RETAINED EARNINGS: cumulative cash on hand o RETURN ON EQUITY: classic measure of company health. 70 Table G2: Generation Company Statement of Income and Finance (in millions) for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Operating Revenues: Direct Access Contracts ............. 333 2 6 192 199 196 Contract for Differences ............ 0 0 0 0 0 0 Central Dispatch .................... 0 0 0 0 0 0 Spot Market ......................... 0 291 301 687 689 913 Other ............................... 123 102 82 146 97 49 Total ............................. 456 394 388 1,025 985 1,158 Operating Expenses: Fuel Cost ........................... 122 145 151 419 394 392 Operation and Maintenance ........... 54 73 74 195 191 188 Purchased Power ..................... 38 0 0 0 0 0 Spot Market Purchases ............... 0 0 0 0 0 0 Central Dispatch .................... 0 0 0 0 0 0 Emergency Purchased Power ........... 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Production Expenses ......... 214 218 225 614 585 580 Depreciation ........................ 26 32 30 128 121 114 Income Taxes ........................ 13 -6 -9 -49 -60 5 Other Taxes ......................... 10 11 11 45 42 41 General and Admin. Costs ............ 21 0 0 9 10 9 Miscellaneous Expenses .............. 132 110 88 157 105 52 TOTAL ............................ 417 366 345 904 803 801 Operating Income ....................... 39 28 43 121 182 357 Other Income ........................... 5 4 6 9 2 12 Interest Payments ...................... 13 17 16 64 94 91 Net Income ............................. 31 16 33 66 90 279 Sources Net Income .......................... 31 16 33 66 90 279 Depreciation ........................ 26 32 30 128 121 114 Funds From Debt ..................... 78 0 0 380 0 0 Funds From Common Stock ............. 0 0 0 780 0 0 Funds from Preferred Stock .......... 0 0 0 0 0 0 Funds from Cash ..................... 0 0 0 64 0 0 TOTAL ............................ 134 48 64 1,417 211 393 Uses Expenditures for New Capacity ....... 9 0 0 0 0 51 Common Stock Dividends .............. 29 9 21 42 57 182 Preferred Stock Dividends ........... 2 1 2 2 4 4 Preferred Stock Sinking Fund ........ 1 1 1 2 2 2 Debt Repayment ...................... 85 6 6 21 33 31 Company Purchase Price .............. 0 0 0 1,350 0 0 New Liquid Investments .............. 0 30 34 0 116 124 Common Stock Repurchased ............ 2 0 0 0 0 0 Misc. Projects ...................... 7 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL ............................ 134 48 64 1,417 211 393 Assets Current Assets ...................... 0 0 0 67 67 250 Net Assets .......................... 483 549 519 2,183 2,062 1,999 Liquid Investments .................. 0 30 64 0 116 55 TOTAL ............................. 483 579 583 2,250 2,245 2,304 Liabilities Current Liabilities ................. 98 98 98 0 0 0 Long Term Debt ...................... 138 182 176 977 945 913 Preferred Stock ..................... 25 32 31 66 64 62 TOTAL Liabilities ................. 260 312 304 1,043 1,008 975 Equity Common Stock ........................ 109 148 148 928 928 928 Retained Earnings ................... 114 119 130 279 308 402 Common Stockholders Equity ........ 223 267 278 1,207 1,236 1,330 TOTAL Liab. and Equity ................. 483 579 583 2,250 2,245 2,304 Debt Fraction of Capitalization ........ 0.38 0.40 0.39 0.45 0.43 0.41 Return on Equity ....................... 0.14 0.06 0.12 0.05 0.07 0.21 </Table> 71 TABLE G3: GENERATION COMPANY DIRECT ACCESS OR CFD SALES AND REVENUES PURPOSE: Table G3 shows sales to, unit prices and total revenues by retail company. Also shown are line losses, spot market purchases and emergency purchases USE: This table tracks your sales on a company by company basis and also calculates an average price of power for your company and compares it to an average spot market price. This table should help you discover whether or not you are making advantageous contracts with retail companies and should help you decide whether or not to sell more power in the spot market. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: IN THE SALES SECTION: TOTAL PURCHASES: the sum of all your sales by retail company. This is gross sales to the retail company - the retail company nets out line losses. IN THE UNIT PRICE AND REVENUES SECTIONS: AVERAGE PRICE: Your average price for all your contract sales TOTAL REVENUE: Total revenues from your contract sales 72 Table G3: Generation Company Direct Access or CfD Sales & Revenues for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ ------ DIRECT ACCESS or CfD SALES (GWh) Minnesota Power 0 0 0 0 0 0 Primergy 0 0 0 0 128 128 Otter Tail Power 0 0 53 0 0 100 Wisconsin Power and Light 11,586 0 0 0 0 0 Interstate/IES Utilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 0 0 0 0 0 0 Central Illinois Light Co. 0 0 0 1,664 1,664 888 Union Electric 0 0 0 0 81 81 Commonwealth Edison 0 0 0 0 0 0 Illinois Power 0 0 0 0 0 835 American Electric Power 0 0 0 1,378 5 1,104 Cinergy 0 0 81 6,525 8,715 6,516 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0 0 0 0 0 0 Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 11,586 0 134 9,567 10,594 9,653 DIRECT ACCESS or CfD PRICES (Mills/kWh) Minnesota Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Primergy 0.00 0.00 0.00********** 5.54 5.54 Otter Tail Power 0.00 0.00 26.44******************** 25.69 Wisconsin Power and Light 28.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Interstate/IES Utilities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Central Illinois Light Co. 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.69 21.69 22.51 Union Electric 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.28 25.15 Commonwealth Edison 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Illinois Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.61 American Electric Power 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.38 3.73 30.24 Cinergy 0.00 0.00 38.91 21.77 18.13 17.21 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Canada 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Average 28.75 0.00 33.93 19.84 18.70 20.35 DIRECT ACCESS or CfD REVENUES (M$/year) Minnesota Power 0 0 0 0 0 0 Primergy 0 0 0 0 1 1 Otter Tail Power 0 0 1 0 0 3 Wisconsin Power and Light 333 0 0 0 0 0 Interstate/IES Utilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 0 0 0 0 0 0 Central Illinois Light Co. 0 0 0 36 36 20 Union Electric 0 1 1 1 3 2 Commonwealth Edison 0 0 0 0 0 0 Illinois Power 0 0 0 1 1 26 American Electric Power 0 0 0 12 0 33 Cinergy 0 0 3 142 158 112 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0 0 0 0 0 0 Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 333 2 6 192 199 196 </Table> 73 TABLE G4: GENERATION COMPANY CONTRACT INFORMATION PURPOSE: Table G4 shows the particulars of your existing generation capacity contracts by year, fuel type and distribution company. Sales from each contract, revenue and average prices are also detailed. USE: Looking at these contracts will help you get a feel for what you should be charging for your power. Notice that there are two costs in each contract: an energy cost (expressed on a kWh basis) and a capacity cost for reserving generation capacity. DEFINITIONS: o CONTRACT CAPACITY: amount of capacity (in MW) under contract to the distributor. o ENERGY COST: this is generally the variable cost of power production including current fuel costs. It is possible and sometimes desirable to "roll in" part of the capacity cost into the energy cost. o CAPACITY COST: Cost of reserving firm power service. Notice that this cost is given in dollars per kW while the contract capacity is listed in MW. Multiply the dollars per kW by 1000 to get dollars per MW. o AVERAGE PRICE: The average price is sales divided by revenue. Normally, the average price will change with sales because fixed costs decline per unit as more kWh of energy are sold. o CAPACITY FACTOR: This is the energy purchased in the previous period divided by the maximum energy which could be purchased from this contract. o AVERAGE PRICE: The fuel type is only used to identify the contract if you need to cancel it. 74 Table G4: Generation Company Contract Information for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light <Table> <Caption> CONTRACT ENERGY CAPACITY CAPACITY COST COST RETAIL SALES REVENUE AVE. PRICE FUEL CAPACITY (MW) Mills/kWh) ($/kW) COMPANY (GWh) (M$) (Mills/kWh) TYPE FACTOR -------- ---------- -------- ------- ----- ------- ----------- ---- -------- 1999-2000 95 29.82 7 Illinois Power 835 26 30.61 Gas/Oil Turbi 1.00 2001-2021 95 0.00 7 Illinois Power 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.00 1999-2002 215 29.24 5 American Electric Power 1,104 33 30.24 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.59 2003-2021 215 0.00 5 American Electric Power 0 0 0.00 Gas/Oil Turbi 0.00 1999-1999 190 20.75 8 Central Illinois Light C 888 20 22.51 Coal Steam 0.53 2000-2021 190 0.00 8 Central Illinois Light C 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-1999 724 20.75 8 Cinergy 4,138 92 22.19 Coal Steam 0.65 2000-2021 724 0.00 8 Cinergy 0 0 0.00 Coal Steam 0.00 1999-1999 271 6.84 15 Cinergy 2,372 20 8.56 Nuclear 1.00 2000-2021 271 0.00 15 Cinergy 0 0 0.00 Nuclear 0.00 1999-2000 15 5.09 4 Primergy 128 1 5.54 Hydro 1.00 2001-2021 15 0.00 4 Primergy 0 0 0.00 Hydro 0.00 1999-2001 1 2.72 4 Cinergy 7 0 3.16 Hydro 1.00 2002-2021 1 0.00 4 Cinergy 0 0 0.00 Hydro 0.00 1999-1999 42 24.83 2 Otter Tail Power 100 3 25.69 Waste 0.27 2000-2021 42 0.00 2 Otter Tail Power 0 0 0.00 Waste 0.00 1999-1999 9 24.90 2 Union Electric 81 2 25.15 Waste 1.00 2000-2021 9 0.00 2 Union Electric 0 0 0.00 Waste 0.00 1999 Total 9,653 196 20.35 </Table> 75 TABLE G5: GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY COSTS PURPOSE: Table G5 shows the features of your existing generation capacity by fuel type and region including capacity factors and a breakdown of embedded costs. USE: This table helps you make cost-based decisions about what to sell your power for by providing you with the information you need to determine the minimum price necessary to cover your costs. To allocate fixed costs over sales an estimate of sales must be made. This estimate is done using plant capacity factors and is described elsewhere in this document. Pricing power is done on the basis of fixed and variable costs. Fixed costs must be annualized and prorated by a capacity factor to convert them into mills/kWh. This task is performed for you in the following table for capacity factors of 25, 50, and 75%. These fixed costs are then added to the variable costs to get a total mills/kWh cost of generation. These total costs are also listed in the table for 25, 50 and 75% capacity factors. DEFINITIONS: o PLANT AVAILABILITY FACTOR: Percent of the year plant is available. o ACTUAL CAPACITY FACTOR: Capacity factor of the plant for the previous year. o CAPACITY COSTS: Construction cost of the plant ($/Kw). o LEVELIZED CAPACITY COST: Capacity costs "spread out" on an annual basis. o FIXED O&M COSTS: O&M costs that do not vary with GWh generated. o ANNUAL FIXED COST: Sum of the levelized Capacity Cost and the fixed O&M costs. Values for fixed costs in mills/kWh are given for different capacity factors. o VARIABLE O&M COSTS: O&M costs that vary with the GWh sold. o VARIABLE COST OF PLANTS: Sum of fuel and variable O&M costs. o AVERAGE COST OF POWER: this calculation is performed given several plant capacity factors. 76 Table G5: Generation Company Capacity Costs for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> Oil/Gas CT Oil/Gas CC Oil Steam Coal Adv. Coal Nuclear Hydro Waste ---------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- Generation Capacity (MW) MAPP Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAPP US 654 0 0 4,794 0 637 41 172 MAIN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ECAR 1 700 0 1,857 0 166 60 0 Total 655 700 0 6,651 0 803 101 172 Electricity Generated (GWh) 502 2,724 0 25,676 0 4,725 269 312 Plant Availability Factor (%) 95.00 90.00 0.00 75.00 0.00 85.00 75.00 60.00 Actual Capacity Factor (%) 8.75 44.42 0.00 61.14 0.00 84.68 75.00 20.73 Existing Plants Fixed Cost ($/KW) Capacity Costs 162 747 0 182 0 410 121 0 Levelized Capacity Cost 28.10 129.30 0.00 31.54 0.00 70.97 21.03 0.00 Fixed O&M Costs 4.86 12.06 0.00 16.82 0.00 17.38 2.01 16.11 Annual Fixed Cost 32.96 141.36 0.00 48.36 0.00 88.34 23.04 16.11 Fixed Cost (MILLS/kWh) Actual Capacity Factor 42.98 36.33 0.00 9.03 0.00 11.91 3.51 8.87 25% Capacity Factor 15.05 64.55 0.00 22.08 0.00 40.34 10.52 7.35 50% Capacity Factor 7.52 32.27 0.00 11.04 0.00 20.17 5.26 3.68 75% Capacity Factor 5.02 21.52 0.00 7.36 0.00 13.45 3.51 2.45 Variable Cost (MILLS/KWH) Fuel Cost 35.84 15.53 0.00 12.35 0.00 1.57 0.00 21.43 Variable O&M Costs 0.44 0.69 0.00 3.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.51 Pollution Tax Rate 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Variable Cost 36.28 16.22 0.00 15.42 0.00 1.57 0.00 25.94 Average Cost (MILLS/kWh) Actual Capacity Factor 79.26 52.55 0.00 24.45 0.00 13.48 3.51 34.81 25% Capacity Factor 51.33 80.76 0.00 37.50 0.00 41.91 10.52 33.30 50% Capacity Factor 43.80 48.49 0.00 26.46 0.00 21.74 5.26 29.62 75% Capacity Factor 41.29 37.73 0.00 22.78 0.00 15.01 3.51 28.39 New Plants Fixed Cost ($/KW) Capacity Costs 472 617 1,000 1,400 1,469 2,500 1,804 1,800 Levelized Capacity Cost 81.70 106.80 173.10 242.34 254.29 432.75 312.27 311.58 Fixed O&M Costs 4.86 12.06 0.52 16.82 16.82 17.38 2.01 16.11 Annual Fixed Costs 82.54 108.89 173.19 245.25 257.20 435.76 312.62 314.37 Fixed Cost (MILLS/kWh) Actual Capacity Factor 15.70 20.72 32.95 46.66 48.93 82.91 59.48 59.81 25% Capacity Factor 37.69 49.72 79.08 111.99 117.44 198.98 142.75 143.55 50% Capacity Factor 18.85 24.86 39.54 55.99 58.72 99.49 71.38 71.77 75% Capacity Factor 12.56 16.57 26.36 37.33 39.15 66.33 47.58 47.85 Variable Cost (MILLS/KWH) Fuel Cost 35.84 15.53 17.47 12.35 12.35 1.57 0.00 21.43 Variable O&M Costs 0.44 0.69 4.52 3.07 3.07 0.00 0.00 4.51 Pollution Tax Rate 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Variable Cost of Plants 36.28 16.22 21.99 15.42 15.42 1.57 0.00 25.94 Average Cost (MILLS/kWh) 25% Capacity Factor 73.97 65.94 101.07 127.41 132.86 200.54 142.75 169.49 50% Capacity Factor 55.12 41.08 61.53 71.41 74.14 101.06 71.38 97.72 75% Capacity Factor 48.84 32.79 48.35 52.75 54.56 67.89 47.58 73.79 </Table> 77 TABLE G6: GENERATION COMPANY CAPACITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PURPOSE: Table G6 provides a listing of the generation plant under construction. USE: For tracking purposes. Table G6: Generation Company Capacity under Construction for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light Completion MW Plant Type Date no plants under construction at this time 78 TABLE G7: GENERATION COMPANY GENERATION COSTS PURPOSE: Table G7 provides a detailed breakdown of generation plant use and costs and a comparison with system wide costs. USE: You can use this table to evaluate your costs against your competitors. DEFINITIONS: o CAPACITY FACTOR: fraction of the year the plant is generating. PRICE OF SPOT MARKET PURCHASES: o SPOT MARKET BASELOAD POWER: Your average cost of spot market baseload power. o SPOT MARKET INTERMEDIATE POWER: Your average cost of spot market intermediate power. o SPOT MARKET PEAKING POWER: Your average cost of spot market peaking power o EMERGENCY POWER: Your average cost of emergency power. SYSTEM SPOT MARKET PRICES : o SPOT MARKET BASELOAD POWER: System average cost of spot market baseload power. o SPOT MARKET INTERMEDIATE POWER: System average cost of spot market intermediate power. o SPOT MARKET PEAKING POWER: System average cost of spot market peaking power. o EMERGENCY POWER: System average cost of emergency power. Note: If a number is too large to fit in the space allocated in a report, then the number is replaced by a string of *********. This normally occurs on a unit price or cost when a fixed cost is divided by a very small number of kWhs. 79 Table G7: Generation Company Generation Costs for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ----- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ CAPACITY (MW) Gas/Oil Turbines 255 255 255 654 654 655 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 0 700 700 700 Gas/Oil Steam 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coal Steam 1,420 1,759 1,759 4,794 4,794 6,651 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 219 219 219 637 637 803 Hydro 39 39 39 41 41 101 Waste 172 172 172 172 172 172 GENERATION (GWh) Gas/Oil Turbines 874 0 79 510 408 502 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 0 2,743 2,352 2,724 Gas/Oil Steam 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coal Steam 6,971 11,559 11,559 27,846 26,686 25,676 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 1,625 1,631 1,631 4,743 4,743 4,725 Hydro 223 256 256 269 269 269 Waste 110 0 143 317 261 312 CAPACITY FACTOR Gas/Oil Turbines 39.12 0.00 3.56 8.90 7.12 8.74 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.73 38.35 44.42 Gas/Oil Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coal Steam 56.04 75.00 75.00 66.31 63.55 44.07 Advanced Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear 84.71 85.00 85.00 85.00 85.00 67.18 Hydro 65.28 75.00 75.00 75.00 75.00 30.55 Waste 7.28 0.00 9.50 21.02 17.35 20.73 FUEL AND O&M COSTS (M$) Gas/Oil Turbines 33 1 4 22 18 21 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 0 53 47 53 Gas/Oil Steam 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coal Steam 131 208 208 510 492 508 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 6 6 6 19 19 21 Hydro 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waste 6 3 6 11 10 11 FUEL AND O&M COSTS (Mills/kWh) Gas/Oil Turbines 37.69********** 51.86 42.51 44.06 42.62 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.29 19.81 19.32 Gas/Oil Steam 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coal Steam 18.85 17.98 17.98 18.32 18.44 19.78 Advanced Coal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuclear 3.91 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.52 Hydro 0.35 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.75 Waste 51.21********** 45.30 34.69 36.54 34.81 PRICE OF SPOT MARKET PURCHASES (MILLS/KWH) Baseload Spot Market 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.89 Intermediate Spot Market 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.89 Peaking Spot Market 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Emergency Purchases 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 SYSTEM-WIDE PRICE OF SPOT MARKET PURCHASE (MILLS/KWH) Baseload Spot Market 25.00 23.59 22.56 22.68 24.29 30.04 Intermediate Spot Market 50.00 27.81 23.60 28.09 32.31 46.02 Peaking Spot Market 75.00 37.27 37.76 39.70 49.79 92.30 Emergency Purchases 120.00 37.30 40.60 41.88 85.74 120.00 </Table> 80 TABLE G8: GENERATION COMPANY GENERATION BALANCE PURPOSE: Table G8 provides a summary of the generation company sales to retail companies and the actual generation and power purchases. USE: The table shows where the generation company sales are originating and how the plants are being dispatched. 81 Table G8: Generation Balance (GWh/Yr) for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- DIRECT ACCESS SALES Minnesota Power 0 0 0 0 0 0 Primergy 0 0 0 0 128 128 Otter Tail Power 0 0 53 0 0 100 Wisconsin Power and Light 11,586 0 0 0 0 0 Interstate/IES Utilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 0 0 0 0 0 0 Central Illinois Light Co. 0 0 0 1,664 1,664 888 Union Electric 0 0 0 0 81 81 Commonwealth Edison 0 0 0 0 0 0 Illinois Power 0 0 0 0 0 835 American Electric Power 0 0 0 1,378 5 1,104 Cinergy 0 0 81 6,525 8,715 6,516 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0 0 0 0 0 0 Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 11,586 0 134 9,567 10,594 9,653 SALES TO SPOT MARKET Block 1 0 0 106 363 527 856 Block 2 0 0 0 3,862 3,300 3,616 Block 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 4 0 11,559 11,559 22,450 20,079 19,786 Block 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 6 0 1,631 1,631 16 16 16 Block 7 0 256 122 35 35 35 Block 8 0 0 116 133 170 247 Block 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 13,446 13,534 26,860 24,127 24,556 CENTRAL DISPATCH SALES 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SALES 11,586 13,446 13,668 36,427 34,720 34,209 GENERATION Gas/Oil Turbines 874 0 79 510 408 502 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 0 2,743 2,352 2,724 Gas/Oil Steam 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coal Steam 6,971 11,559 11,559 27,846 26,686 25,676 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 1,625 1,631 1,631 4,743 4,743 4,725 Hydro 223 256 256 269 269 269 Waste 110 0 143 317 261 312 Total 9,802 13,446 13,668 36,427 34,720 34,209 SPOT MARKET PURCHASES Baseload 0 0 0 0 0 0 Intermediate 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peak 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 PURCHASES 1,784 0 0 0 0 0 CENTRAL DISPATCH PURCHASES 0 0 0 0 0 0 EMERGENCY 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL GENERATION & PURCHASES 11,586 13,446 13,668 36,427 34,720 34,209 </Table> 82 TABLE G9: SPOT MARKET SALES AND REVENUE PURPOSE: Table G9 provides information on spot market sales and revenue. The bid price and the actual price received are recorded as are the sales and capacity factor. USE: This table is useful for checking your bidding strategy and determining how many of your bids were accepted. DEFINITIONS: o CAPACITY BID: This is the amount of capacity bid into the spot market. If capacity is bid into the spot market from more than one region, then the values are summed before being shown on this table. o BID PRICE: This is the price at which your capacity is offered to the spot market. This bid price determines which blocks the spot market will purchase from. o SPOT MARKET SALES: The amount of power the spot market purchased from each block. o PRICES RECEIVED: The amount paid by the spot market depends on the cost of the last block dispatched during each hour. This price will generally be higher than the bid price for each block. o SPOT MARKET REVENUES: Revenues are equal to spot market sales times the prices received. o CAPACITY FACTOR: This is the fraction of the year which the spot market purchased power from each block. 83 Table G9: Spot Market Sales and Revenue for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- CAPACITY BID (MW) Block 1 0 242 242 621 621 621 Block 2 0 0 0 630 630 627 Block 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 4 0 1,320 1,320 3,070 2,952 2,804 Block 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 6 0 186 186 2 2 2 Block 7 0 29 14 4 4 4 Block 8 0 103 103 103 103 103 Block 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 1,880 1,865 4,430 4,313 4,161 BID PRICE (MILLS/KWH) Block 1 0.00 36.29 36.29 36.29 36.29 36.29 Block 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.22 16.25 16.25 Block 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 4 0.00 15.44 15.43 15.43 15.43 15.43 Block 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 6 0.00 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.59 1.59 Block 7 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 Block 8 0.00 25.95 25.95 25.95 25.95 25.95 Block 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 SPOT MARKET SALES (GWH) Block 1 0 0 106 363 527 856 Block 2 0 0 0 3,862 3,300 3,616 Block 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 4 0 11,559 11,559 22,450 20,079 19,786 Block 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 6 0 1,631 1,631 16 16 16 Block 7 0 256 122 35 35 35 Block 8 0 0 116 133 170 247 Block 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 13,446 13,534 26,860 24,127 24,556 PRICES RECEIVED (MILLS/KWH) Block 1 0.00 0.00 37.49 38.23 42.28 56.32 Block 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.43 30.96 40.01 Block 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 4 0.00 21.62 21.96 25.18 27.71 35.65 Block 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 6 0.00 21.62 21.96 22.13 23.59 29.56 Block 7 0.00 21.62 21.96 22.13 23.59 29.56 Block 8 0.00 0.00 36.61 37.51 41.28 54.33 Block 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 SPOT MARKET REVENUES (M$) Block 1 0 0 4 14 22 48 Block 2 0 0 0 102 102 145 Block 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 4 0 250 254 565 556 705 Block 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 6 0 35 36 0 0 0 Block 7 0 6 3 1 1 1 Block 8 0 0 4 5 7 13 Block 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 Block 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 291 301 687 689 913 CAPACITY FACTOR (%) Block 1 0.00 0.00 5.00 6.67 9.68 15.72 Block 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.98 59.80 65.80 Block 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 4 0.00 100.00 100.00 83.49 77.64 80.56 Block 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 6 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Block 7 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Block 8 0.00 0.00 12.87 14.72 18.75 27.33 Block 9 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Block 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 </Table> 84 TABLE G10: GENERATION COMPANY PERFORMANCE MEASURES PURPOSE: Table G10 provides a comparison of company performance among all the generating companies. Information includes sales, average prices, revenues, net income, and return on equity. USE: The generating companies are evaluated based on their ability to optimize these variables. DEFINITIONS: o AVERAGE PRICE: This is the average price received from selling power to retail energy companies or the spot market. Table G10: Performance Measures for 1999 Wisconsin Power and Light, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- SALES (GWh/Year) Minnesota Power 10,723 13,454 18,703 97,627 95,384 97,567 Primergy 71,063 79,644 66,300 51,170 55,933 59,490 Otter Tail Power 4,924 5,921 8,183 8,207 8,266 8,242 Wisconsin Power and Light 11,586 13,446 13,668 36,427 34,720 34,209 Interstate/IES Utilities 16,714 6,344 13,960 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 4,058 4,434 4,566 4,564 4,726 4,904 Central Illinois Light Co. 6,030 2,850 2,014 1,692 1,977 2,782 Union Electric 56,676 48,775 40,993 0 0 0 Commonwealth Edison 92,338 84,765 86,331 86,788 85,973 85,708 Illinois Power 22,798 17,771 20,804 20,935 21,805 23,144 American Electric Power 139,119 131,827 145,239 160,600 197,135 222,169 Cinergy 53,680 71,484 69,911 45,745 41,312 44,560 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 6,433 6,845 9,861 8,810 9,716 10,818 Canada 41,001 45,785 47,805 42,977 42,197 43,165 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 AVERAGE PRICE (Mills/kWh) Minnesota Power 26.2 15.9 18.2 20.8 20.7 21.6 Primergy 35.3 22.8 22.7 22.1 21.6 24.8 Otter Tail Power 24.3 27.5 19.4 19.4 19.6 20.6 Wisconsin Power and Light 39.3 29.3 28.4 28.1 28.4 33.9 Interstate/IES Utilities 43.0 45.4 30.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 North/South Dakota 82.5 60.0 52.0 44.8 38.3 36.8 Central Illinois Light Co. 56.2 68.2 76.4 73.3 59.9 55.6 Union Electric 39.7 28.8 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commonwealth Edison 52.7 18.1 19.2 19.8 21.6 28.7 Illinois Power 58.0 27.5 24.4 22.5 22.1 23.9 American Electric Power 30.1 19.1 19.1 16.5 16.7 16.5 Cinergy 38.0 24.9 24.1 27.5 29.0 35.3 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 69.2 46.3 36.3 33.5 30.8 32.0 Canada 25.4 21.2 21.2 19.3 19.2 23.7 Independent Power Producer 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 </Table> 85 <Table> TOTAL REVENUE (M$) Minnesota Power 281.3 214.2 340.4 2,029.6 1,974.6 2,110.8 Primergy 2,509.2 1,819.4 1,504.2 1,132.9 1,208.1 1,477.2 Otter Tail Power 119.5 162.7 158.5 159.6 162.4 170.0 Wisconsin Power and Light 455.7 394.4 388.1 1,025.2 985.0 1,158.2 Interstate/IES Utilities 719.3 288.0 430.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 North/South Dakota 334.9 266.0 237.4 204.7 181.0 180.6 Central Illinois Light Co. 339.2 194.5 153.8 124.1 118.4 154.8 Union Electric 2,249.3 1,403.2 1,197.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commonwealth Edison 4,863.1 1,534.7 1,657.6 1,715.1 1,853.9 2,462.7 Illinois Power 1,323.1 488.9 507.1 470.3 482.3 554.1 American Electric Power 4,183.5 2,523.1 2,779.2 2,643.5 3,288.2 3,661.6 Cinergy 2,037.3 1,783.1 1,685.9 1,258.4 1,198.8 1,571.4 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 445.5 317.1 358.0 294.8 299.0 346.1 Canada 1,041.8 970.9 1,015.7 827.5 810.3 1,022.4 Independent Power Producer 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NET INCOME (M$) Minnesota Power 27.77 (61.84) (62.20) (112.21) (109.75) 1.58 Primergy 206.38 (265.81) (249.98) (267.85) (241.30) (59.02) Otter Tail Power 14.31 15.83 (16.02) (17.19) (19.31) (26.36) Wisconsin Power and Light 30.53 15.73 33.21 65.83 90.21 278.85 Interstate/IES Utilities 34.85 (107.68) (89.00) 136.93 140.83 144.98 North/South Dakota 23.98 12.25 24.95 37.16 53.94 85.42 Central Illinois Light Co. 9.19 (14.37) (7.88) (0.37) 17.11 56.36 Union Electric 263.40 (108.36) (125.32) 202.62 207.69 211.78 Commonwealth Edison 238.35 (1,027.21 (925.38) (881.39) (831.06) (410.87) Illinois Power 127.48 (288.21 (274.20) (245.88) (197.83) (115.60) American Electric Power 288.46 (480.92) (478.24) (812.62) (970.08) (1,299.42) Cinergy 105.82 (102.51) (104.44) (63.23) 16.10 301.67 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 31.71 (17.72) (6.88) (18.17) 7.35 60.15 Canada 54.16 40.42 90.84 51.60 70.61 220.80 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.85) RETURN ON EQUITY Minnesota Power 0.094 (0.138) (0.114) (0.063) (0.066) 0.001 Primergy 0.119 (0.158) (0.175) (0.233) (0.268) (0.071) Otter Tail Power 0.197 0.129 (0.154) (0.202) (0.302) (0.433) Wisconsin Power and Light 0.137 0.059 0.119 0.055 0.073 0.210 Interstate/IES Utilities 0.105 (0.204) (0.125) 0.104 0.103 0.102 North/South Dakota 0.131 0.057 0.111 0.157 0.212 0.301 Central Illinois Light Co. 0.069 (0.116) (0.069) (0.003) 0.146 0.414 Union Electric 0.152 (0.062) (0.077) 0.101 0.100 0.099 Commonwealth Edison 0.060 (0.299) (0.315) (0.397) (0.534) (0.374) Illinois Power 0.114 (0.312) (0.383) (0.472) (0.584) (0.577) American Electric Power 0.139 (0.247) (0.332) (0.929) (2.878) (99.000) Cinergy 0.075 (0.076) (0.085) (0.055) 0.014 0.244 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0.108 (0.047) (0.014) (0.040) 0.016 0.126 Canada 0.082 0.060 0.129 0.072 0.095 0.270 Independent Power Producer 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (0.038) </Table> 86 TABLE G11: REGION CAPACITY REQUIREMENT STATEMENT (MW) PURPOSE: This table shows generation capacity by fuel type including additions and retirements and regional peak demand with and without reserves. It also contains a system reserve margin. USE: Table G11 is used for planning purposes to indicate how "tight" the capacity is getting in a region. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: ESTIMATED RESERVES: calculated at 20% default specification SYSTEM RESERVE MARGIN: Capacity Margin divided by Generation Capacity Table G11: Region Capacity Requirement Statement (MW) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Region Peak Demand 102,190 107,741 110,712 113,808 123,935 Estimated Reserves 25,548 26,935 27,678 28,452 30,984 Peak w/ Reserves 127,738 134,676 138,390 142,260 154,918 Region Capacity: Gas/Oil Turbines 6,984 6,984 6,984 6,984 6,984 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 2,800 4,100 4,100 4,100 4,100 Gas/Oil Steam 3,789 3,789 3,781 3,745 3,650 Coal Steam 82,893 82,893 82,746 82,746 82,746 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 20,565 20,565 20,565 20,565 20,565 Hydro 7,487 7,487 7,487 7,487 7,487 Waste 472 472 472 472 472 Retirements: Gas/Oil Turbines 0 0 0 0 0 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 0 0 0 Gas/Oil Steam 0 8 36 0 0 Coal Steam 0 147 0 0 0 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 0 0 0 0 0 Hydro 0 0 0 0 0 Waste 0 0 0 0 0 Capacity under Construction: Gas/Oil Turbines 0 0 0 0 0 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 1,300 0 0 0 0 Gas/Oil Steam 0 0 0 0 0 Coal Steam 0 0 0 0 0 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 0 0 0 0 0 Hydro 0 0 0 0 0 Waste 0 0 0 0 0 Total Region Capacity 126,290 126,135 126,099 126,099 126,004 Capacity Surplus 0 0 0 0 0 Capacity Deficit 1,448 8,541 12,291 16,161 28,914 SYSTEM RESERVE MARGIN (%) 22.31 17.22 13.93 10.80 1.67 </Table> 87 TABLE G12: REGIONAL GENERATION BALANCE PURPOSE: Table G12 is a sales and generation balance sheet. Sales are divided into direct access by company, spot market by company and central dispatch sales, if any. Generation is by fuel type. Outside spot market purchases are also included. USE: A summary sheet comparing sales and generation. 88 Table G12: Regional Generation Balance (GWh/Yr) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- DIRECT ACCESS SALES Minnesota Power 10,723 3,423 1,856 2,014 3,184 2,977 Primergy 71,063 5,444 6,504 43,852 60,252 58,690 Otter Tail Power 4,924 41 1,283 1,264 1,361 4,966 Wisconsin Power and Light 11,586 0 0 0 0 0 Interstate/IES Utilities 16,714 1,866 5,829 13,232 16,716 17,338 North/South Dakota 4,058 5,101 1,786 2,444 4,477 11,902 Central Illinois Light Co. 6,030 1,037 1,821 3,786 5,680 7,532 Union Electric 56,676 16,995 34,569 44,996 50,705 54,150 Commonwealth Edison 92,338 0 0 0 0 0 Illinois Power 22,798 1,790 5,281 15,547 18,809 19,004 American Electric Power 139,119 140,280 142,803 146,524 148,827 144,085 Cinergy 53,680 7,225 14,080 25,938 48,018 56,534 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 6,433 701 2,360 3,579 5,491 5,694 Canada 41,001 0 0 0 0 0 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 537,143 183,904 218,172 303,177 363,521 382,872 SALES TO SPOT MARKET Minnesota Power 0 7,121 11,716 48,427 45,785 46,717 Primergy 0 44,611 33,945 18,815 17,331 20,888 Otter Tail Power 0 807 848 873 898 949 Wisconsin Power and Light 0 13,446 13,534 26,860 24,127 24,556 Interstate/IES Utilities 0 2,159 2,614 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 0 3,960 4,041 4,119 4,140 4,243 Central Illinois Light Co. 0 2,825 1,904 1,604 1,808 2,407 Union Electric 0 47,458 22,886 0 0 0 Commonwealth Edison 0 81,656 76,717 70,108 57,038 63,927 Illinois Power 0 3,044 1,829 2,108 2,611 3,789 American Electric Power 0 31,915 53,890 14,451 11,867 12,233 Cinergy 0 71,484 69,911 45,745 41,312 44,389 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 0 3,700 6,456 4,485 4,671 4,725 Canada 0 35,255 29,875 24,771 24,035 25,063 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 349,440 330,166 262,365 235,623 253,886 CENTRAL DISPATCH SALES 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL SALES 537,143 533,344 548,338 565,542 599,144 636,759 GENERATION Gas/Oil Turbines 2,835 1,026 2,523 2,692 2,742 3,152 Gas/Oil Combined Cycle 0 0 20,692 15,603 15,758 15,788 Gas/Oil Steam 2,270 2,333 2,441 3,031 3,411 4,569 Coal Steam 303,505 345,769 334,127 354,951 375,455 391,089 Advanced Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nuclear 115,354 139,144 138,735 138,131 135,514 134,755 Hydro 33,742 42,285 46,270 47,523 47,478 47,418 Waste 447 484 252 679 563 552 Total 458,154 531,041 545,039 562,609 580,923 597,324 SPOT MARKET PURCHASES Baseload 0 2,303 3,262 2,933 18,221 39,434 Intermediate 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peak 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 0 2,303 3,262 2,933 18,221 39,435 PURCHASES 77,500 0 0 0 0 0 CENTRAL DISPATCH PURCHASES 0 0 0 0 0 0 EMERGENCY 1,488 0 37 0 0 0 TOTAL GENERATION & PURCHASES 537,143 533,344 548,338 565,542 599,144 636,759 </Table> 89 TABLE G13: REGIONAL CAPACITY MARGINS PURPOSE: Table G13 contains regional and system wide capacity margins. USE: This table is useful when determining where to build new plants DEFINITIONS: o CAPACITY MARGIN: Generation Capacity minus Retail Company Peak o SYSTEM RESERVE MARGIN AND REGIONAL RESERVE MARGIN: Capacity Margin divided by Peak Load. o EFFECTIVE SYSTEM AND REGION RESERVE MARGINS: The effective capacity margin is the total generating capacity derated based on forced and unforced outages less the peak load then divided by the peak load. This includes plant outages 90 Table G13: Regional Capacity Margins (mW/Yr) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- RETAIL COMPANY PEAK Minnesota Power 1,338 1,424 1,561 1,727 1,915 2,113 Primergy 10,880 9,254 9,493 9,766 10,091 10,453 Otter Tail Power 580 614 666 730 803 866 Wisconsin Power and Light 2,002 2,000 2,047 2,124 2,223 2,313 Interstate/IES Utilities 2,705 2,724 2,768 2,831 2,939 3,081 North/South Dakota 600 745 970 1,226 1,478 1,695 Central Illinois Light Co. 1,137 1,137 1,182 1,262 1,385 1,561 Union Electric 8,875 8,862 9,001 9,186 9,345 9,413 Commonwealth Edison 17,928 17,923 18,326 18,833 19,312 19,589 Illinois Power 3,395 3,394 3,460 3,549 3,661 3,768 American Electric Power 26,268 26,483 27,025 27,750 28,481 29,175 Cinergy 9,195 9,275 9,477 9,719 9,938 10,160 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 1,034 1,043 1,060 1,088 1,136 1,208 Canada 6,334 6,461 6,590 6,719 6,801 6,795 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 92,271 91,340 93,627 96,510 99,508 102,190 GENERATION CAPACITY Minnesota Power 1,197 2,048 2,748 16,692 16,692 21,662 Primergy 13,271 15,516 15,516 15,516 15,516 20,136 Otter Tail Power 573 971 971 971 971 1,260 Wisconsin Power and Light 2,105 2,444 2,444 6,998 6,998 9,081 Interstate/IES Utilities 2,922 3,853 4,553 0 0 0 North/South Dakota 721 896 896 896 896 1,163 Central Illinois Light Co. 1,257 1,324 1,324 1,324 1,324 1,719 Union Electric 11,715 13,944 13,944 0 0 0 Commonwealth Edison 24,396 25,113 25,813 25,813 25,813 33,498 Illinois Power 5,164 5,762 5,762 5,762 5,762 7,478 American Electric Power 23,383 28,677 28,677 28,677 28,677 0 Cinergy 11,611 12,248 12,248 12,248 12,248 15,895 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 1,549 1,701 2,401 2,401 2,401 3,116 Canada 7,581 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 9,981 Independent Power Producer 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 107,445 122,190 124,990 124,990 124,990 124,990 CAPACITY MARGIN 15,174 30,850 31,363 28,480 25,482 22,800 SYSTEM RESERVE MARGIN (%) 16.45 33.78 33.50 29.51 25.61 22.31 EFFECTIVE SYSTEM RESERVE MARGIN (%) (10.38) 2.64 2.82 (0.22) (3.22) (5.66) SYSTEM PEAK MAPP Canada 6,334 6,414 6,473 6,539 6,580 6,578 MAPP US 12,830 11,958 12,407 12,922 13,531 14,142 MAIN 37,644 37,153 38,106 39,359 40,683 41,797 ECAR 35,463 35,815 36,641 37,690 38,715 39,673 TOTAL 92,271 91,340 93,627 96,510 99,508 102,190 REGIONAL CAPACITY MAPP Canada 7,581 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 MAPP US 16,689 20,680 20,680 20,680 20,680 20,680 MAIN 48,181 52,894 52,894 52,894 52,894 52,894 ECAR 34,994 40,925 43,725 43,725 43,725 43,725 TOTAL 107,445 122,190 124,990 124,990 124,990 124,990 REGIONAL RESERVE MARGIN (%) MAPP Canada 19.69 19.91 18.81 17.63 16.89 16.93 MAPP US 30.08 72.94 66.68 60.03 52.83 46.23 MAIN 27.99 42.37 38.81 34.39 30.01 26.55 ECAR (1.32) 14.27 19.33 16.01 12.94 10.21 EFFECTIVE REGIONAL RESERVE MARGIN (%) MAPP Canada (9.69) (9.53) (10.36) (11.25 (11.81) (11.78) MAPP US 2.07 34.54 29.67 24.83 19.21 14.06 MAIN (0.41) 10.42 7.66 4.20 0.81 (1.88) ECAR (25.59) (13.90) (8.97) (11.50) (13.84) (15.65) </Table> 91 TABLE G14: UNIT COST SUMMARY PURPOSE: Table G14 provides a break down of unit costs: operating expenses, fuel costs, O&M costs, purchase costs and other costs by company. USE: This table is useful for evaluating your competitor's costs as well as determining the competitiveness of your own costs. 92 Table G14: Unit Cost Summary (Mills/kWh) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- OPERATING EXPENSES Minnesota Power 40.65 19.35 20.03 20.30 19.74 19.56 Primergy 38.23 25.30 25.21 25.50 23.94 23.74 Otter Tail Power 36.25 23.53 20.54 20.61 20.93 22.64 Wisconsin Power and Light 42.49 27.23 25.25 24.81 23.12 23.42 Interstate/IES Utilities 56.00 55.26 33.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 100.29 56.44 45.55 35.61 25.79 18.41 Central Illinois Light Co. 56.22 70.10 75.87 68.56 47.50 33.39 Union Electric 42.09 28.56 29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison 46.76 24.95 24.66 24.61 25.80 28.01 Illinois Power 55.56 38.63 32.99 29.47 26.46 24.31 American Electric Power 33.55 21.47 21.14 20.27 20.50 21.28 Cinergy 36.35 24.45 23.59 25.71 25.16 25.51 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 72.01 47.30 35.17 32.51 27.34 24.27 Canada 16.46 13.13 12.73 11.03 10.68 12.17 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 FUEL COSTS Minnesota Power 11.18 11.84 12.88 11.15 11.10 11.14 Primergy 10.08 10.73 9.94 8.93 9.45 9.69 Otter Tail Power 11.60 11.63 11.79 11.88 11.98 12.16 Wisconsin Power and Light 12.48 10.81 11.07 11.50 11.34 11.45 Interstate/IES Utilities 13.11 12.42 14.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 11.48 10.81 11.24 11.49 11.71 12.16 Central Illinois Light Co. 17.32 18.34 19.43 20.61 19.74 18.46 Union Electric 11.90 12.00 11.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison 11.07 4.89 4.76 4.85 5.53 6.12 Illinois Power 13.32 12.89 13.68 13.70 13.93 14.13 American Electric Power 14.16 13.32 13.54 13.71 13.90 13.93 Cinergy 14.21 13.83 14.31 14.33 14.27 14.31 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 10.04 8.57 10.98 10.78 11.18 11.41 Canada 2.95 3.39 2.94 1.96 1.83 2.02 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 O&M COSTS Minnesota Power 4.36 4.09 3.59 3.97 4.01 3.97 Primergy 7.62 7.36 7.93 8.95 8.55 8.30 Otter Tail Power 4.79 4.70 4.42 4.40 4.38 4.35 Wisconsin Power and Light 5.51 5.43 5.39 5.36 5.50 5.51 Interstate/IES Utilities 6.68 12.50 6.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 5.59 5.43 5.30 5.28 5.16 5.02 Central Illinois Light Co. 4.56 7.24 9.37 10.73 9.48 7.36 Union Electric 6.42 6.96 7.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison 12.95 11.86 11.51 11.48 11.78 11.98 Illinois Power 7.24 8.38 7.69 7.67 7.50 7.27 American Electric Power 5.89 5.85 5.56 5.30 5.02 4.97 Cinergy 4.13 3.59 3.60 4.49 4.77 4.56 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 13.56 11.84 8.45 8.94 8.27 7.82 Canada 4.88 4.92 4.56 4.19 4.13 4.23 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 </Table> 93 <Table> PURCHASE COSTS Minnesota Power 19.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.14 0.00 Primergy 25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Otter Tail Power 14.95 26.92 21.96 22.13 23.59 31.21 Wisconsin Power and Light 21.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.92 Interstate/IES Utilities 26.03 37.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 24.70 0.00 0.00 41.22 48.51 79.16 Central Illinois Light Co. 26.60 37.13 39.65 40.92 48.07 0.00 Union Electric 18.69 30.34 28.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison 42.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Illinois Power 16.74 37.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 American Electric Power 31.34 35.63 33.13 34.82 27.68 31.75 Cinergy 19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 16.75 26.86 29.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 Canada 16.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 OTHER COSTS Minnesota Power 10.82 3.41 3.56 5.18 4.63 4.45 Primergy 15.52 7.20 7.34 7.62 5.94 5.75 Otter Tail Power 8.82 5.97 2.75 2.73 2.58 2.20 Wisconsin Power and Light 20.62 11.00 8.79 7.95 6.27 6.46 Interstate/IES Utilities 25.43 30.35 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 North/South Dakota 75.97 40.20 29.01 18.84 8.92 1.23 Central Illinois Light Co. 32.67 44.52 47.05 37.19 18.25 7.56 Union Electric 18.90 9.59 10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 Commonwealth Edison 20.95 8.20 8.39 8.28 8.49 9.91 Illinois Power 32.33 17.35 11.61 8.11 5.03 2.91 American Electric Power 5.52 2.10 1.96 1.19 0.87 0.23 Cinergy 16.73 7.03 5.69 6.89 6.12 6.64 Iowa Illinois Gas & Electric 46.03 26.90 15.75 12.79 7.90 5.04 Canada 8.39 4.82 5.23 4.88 4.72 5.93 Independent Power Producer 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 </Table> 94 TABLE G15: TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS PURPOSE: Table G15 charts the flow of electricity across critical transmission lines. Calculated are transmission flows and generation constrained off or on. USE: This is the summary for transmission constraints and it is used to check for unexplained sales changes. IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS: GENERATION CONSTRAINED OFF: Generation forced off-line due to transmission constraints GENERATION CONSTRAINED ON: Generation forced on-line because transmission constraints prohibited transmission of power from outside the region. 95 Table G15: Transmission Constraints (MW) for 1999, DARW <Table> <Caption> 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Demand at Peak Hour MAPP Canada 6,334 6,414 6,473 6,539 6,580 6,578 MAPP US 12,830 11,958 12,407 12,922 13,531 14,142 MAIN 37,644 37,153 38,106 39,359 40,683 41,797 ECAR 35,463 35,815 36,641 37,690 38,715 39,673 Generation at Peak Hour MAPP Canada 6,142 5,803 5,803 5,803 5,803 6,214 MAPP US 12,568 14,019 14,527 15,108 15,758 15,955 MAIN 35,681 38,551 39,345 41,100 43,676 42,868 ECAR 33,834 33,151 34,160 34,670 34,364 37,236 Flows Out of the Region MAPP Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAPP US 0 2,061 2,121 2,186 2,227 1,813 MAIN 0 1,398 1,239 1,741 2,993 1,071 ECAR 0 0 0 0 0 0 Flows Into the Region MAPP Canada 192 611 671 736 777 363 MAPP US 262 0 0 0 0 0 MAIN 1,964 0 0 0 0 0 ECAR 1,629 2,664 2,481 3,021 4,351 2,438 Unconstrained Generation MAPP Canada 6,142 5,803 5,803 5,803 5,803 6,145 MAPP US 12,568 15,544 14,640 15,649 16,435 16,489 MAIN 35,681 37,027 39,345 40,574 42,999 42,868 ECAR 33,834 33,151 34,047 34,655 34,364 36,771 Generation Constrained Off MAPP Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAPP US 0 1,525 113 541 677 534 MAIN 0 0 0 0 0 0 ECAR 0 0 0 0 0 0 Generation Constrained On MAPP Canada 0 0 0 0 0 69 MAPP US 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAIN 0 1,525 0 526 677 0 ECAR 0 0 113 14 0 465 Nameplate Generating Capacity MAPP Canada 7,581 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 7,691 MAPP US 16,689 20,680 20,680 20,680 20,680 20,680 MAIN 48,181 52,894 52,894 52,894 52,894 52,894 ECAR 34,994 40,925 43,725 43,725 43,725 43,725 Nameplate Transmission Line Capacity MAPP Canada to US 1,520 1,520 1,520 1,520 1,520 1,520 MAPP to MAIN 1,450 1,450 1,450 1,450 1,450 1,450 MAIN to ECAR 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 5,200 Transmission Flows (Eastbound) MAPP Canada to US 0 0 0 0 0 0 MAPP to MAIN 0 1,450 1,450 1,450 1,450 1,450 MAIN to ECAR 1,629 2,664 2,481 3,021 4,351 2,438 Transmission Flows (Westbound) MAPP Canada to US 192 611 671 736 777 363 MAPP to MAIN 454 0 0 0 0 0 MAIN to ECAR 0 0 0 0 0 0 Transmission Capacity Available (Eastbound) MAPP Canada to US 1,712 2,131 2,191 2,256 2,297 1,883 MAPP to MAIN 1,904 0 0 0 0 0 MAIN to ECAR 3,571 2,536 2,719 2,179 849 2,763 Transmission Capacity Available (Westbound) MAPP Canada to US 1,328 909 849 784 743 1,157 MAPP to MAIN 996 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900 MAIN to ECAR 6,829 7,864 7,681 8,221 9,551 7,638 </Table> 96