1 Form 2 ANNUAL STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR 1993 OF THE PROGRESSIVE CASUALTY INSURANCE COMPANY - CONSOLIDATED SCHEDULE P - ANALYSIS OF LOSSES AND LOSS EXPENSES Notes to Schedule P (1) The Parts of Schedule P: Part 1 - Detailed information on losses and loss expenses. Part 2 - History of incurred losses and allocated expenses. Part 3 - History of loss and allocated expense payments. Part 4 - History of bulk and incurred but not reported reserves. Schedule P Interrogatories (2) Lines of business A through M and R are groupings of the lines of business used on page 14, the state page. (3) Reinsurance A, B, C, and D (lines N to Q) are: Reinsurance A = nonproportional property (1988 and subsequent) Reinsurance B = nonproportional liability (1988 and subsequent) Reinsurance C = financial lines (1988 and subsequent) Reinsurance D = old Schedule O line 30 (1987 and prior) (4) The Instructions to Schedule P contain directions necessary for filling out Schedule P. SCHEDULE P-PART 1-SUMMARY (000 omitted) ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 | Premiums Earned | Loss and Loss Expense Payments | |_________________________________________|_______________________________________________________| Years In | 2 | 3 | 4 | Loss Payments | Allocated Loss | Which | | | | | Expense Payments | Premiums Were| | | |___________________________|___________________________| Earned and | Direct | | Net | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Losses Were | and | Ceded | (2 - 3) | Direct | | Direct | | Incurred | Assumed | | | and | Ceded | and | Ceded | | | | | Assumed | | Assumed | | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 1. Prior...| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 166 | -- | -- | -- | 2. 1984....| 278,917 | 2,710 | 276,207 | 151,693 | 3,395 | 9,603 | 558 | 3. 1985....| 461,512 | 9,660 | 451,852 | 249,322 | 6,052 | 15,616 | 896 | 4. 1986....| 726,141 | 42,619 | 683,522 | 323,320 | 14,867 | 21,454 | 1,092 | 5. 1987....| 1,066,680 | 64,496 | 1,002,184 | 483,181 | 31,692 | 30,297 | 1,361 | 6. 1988....| 1,292,530 | 67,431 | 1,225,099 | 639,622 | 38,605 | 36,928 | 1,167 | 7. 1989....| 1,357,845 | 109,736 | 1,248,109 | 699,815 | 77,904 | 37,234 | 1,275 | 8. 1990....| 1,397,185 | 144,903 | 1,252,282 | 648,489 | 77,979 | 29,603 | 1,280 | 9. 1991....| 1,529,118 | 199,174 | 1,329,944 | 679,480 | 85,984 | 23,269 | 1,877 | 10. 1992....| 1,580,457 | 195,140 | 1,385,317 | 646,074 | 66,034 | 19,080 | 1,504 | 11. 1993....| 1,795,493 | 150,074 | 1,645,419 | 536,547 | 30,449 | 8,649 | 837 | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 12. Totals | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 5,057,709 | 432,961 | 231,733 | 11,847 | - - - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________________________________ 1 | Loss and Loss Expense Payments | | |__________________________________________| | Years In | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Which | | | | | Premiums Were| Salvage | Unallocated | Total | Number of | Earned and | and | Loss | Net Paid | Claims | Losses Were | Subrogation | Expense | (5 - 6 + 7 | Reported- | Incurred | Received | Payments | - 8 + 10) | Direct and | | | | | Assumed | _____________|_____________|_____________|______________|______________| 1. Prior...| -- | -- | 166 | X X X X | 2. 1984....| 8,426 | 16,448 | 173,791 | X X X X | 3. 1985....| 13,873 | 25,947 | 283,937 | X X X X | 4. 1986....| 16,668 | 40,855 | 369,670 | X X X X | 5. 1987....| 23,777 | 66,641 | 547,066 | X X X X | 6. 1988....| 33,442 | 93,709 | 730,487 | X X X X | 7. 1989....| 36,059 | 107,397 | 765,267 | X X X X | 8. 1990....| 31,514 | 118,799 | 717,632 | X X X X | 9. 1991....| 28,750 | 137,091 | 751,979 | X X X X | 10. 1992....| 28,585 | 104,152 | 701,768 | X X X X | 11. 1993....| 20,711 | 94,786 | 608,696 | X X X X | _____________|_____________|_____________|______________|______________| 12. Totals | 241,806 | 805,825 | 5,650,459 | X X X X | - - - ----------------------------------------------------------------------- <FN> Note: For "prior," report amounts paid or received in current year only. Report cumulative amounts paid or received for specific years. Report loss payments net of salvage and subrogation received. ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | Losses Unpaid | Allocated Loss Expenses Unpaid | Years In |_______________________________________________________|_______________________________________________________| Which | Case Basis | Bulk + IBNR | Case Basis | Bulk + IBNR | Premiums Were|___________________________|___________________________|___________________________|___________________________| Earned and | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Losses Were | Direct | | Direct | | Direct | | Direct | | Incurred | and | Ceded | and | Ceded | and | Ceded | and | Ceded | | Assumed | | Assumed | | Assumed | | Assumed | | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 1. Prior...| 8,397 | 4,121 | 1,263 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2. 1984....| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3. 1985....| 124 | -- | -- | -- | 26 | 1 | 5 | -- | 4. 1986....| 1,828 | 62 | -- | -- | 223 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 5. 1987....| 2,881 | 297 | 650 | -- | 477 | 118 | 172 | 8 | 6. 1988....| 21,758 | 2,801 | 5,553 | 82 | 2,173 | 476 | 1,242 | 50 | 7. 1989....| 33,238 | 9,264 | 14,991 | 3,088 | 4,817 | 719 | 2,290 | 97 | 8. 1990....| 60,527 | 21,457 | 22,044 | 7,216 | 9,128 | 1,604 | 3,194 | 447 | 9. 1991....| 113,194 | 48,817 | 38,732 | 13,185 | 19,497 | 2,703 | 5,070 | 685 | 10. 1992....| 228,582 | 75,792 | 67,768 | 20,490 | 32,435 | 4,082 | 8,403 | 970 | 11. 1993....| 406,935 | 79,218 | 162,258 | 42,556 | 44,602 | 4,814 | 13,646 | 1,098 | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 12. Totals | 877,464 | 241,829 | 313,259 | 86,617 | 113,378 | 14,532 | 34,059 | 3,356 | - - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________________________________ | | | | | Years In | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Which | | | | | Premiums Were| Salvage | Unallocated | Total | Number of | Earned and | and | Loss | Net Losses | Claims | Losses Were | Subrogation | Expenses | and Expenses |Outstanding-| Incurred | Anticipated | Unpaid | Unpaid | Direct and | | | | | Assumed | _____________|_____________|______________|______________|____________| 1. Prior...| -- | -- | 5,539 | X X X X | 2. 1984....| -- | -- | -- | X X X X | 3. 1985....| -- | -- | 154 | X X X X | 4. 1986....| -- | 31 | 2,041 | X X X X | 5. 1987....| 179 | 81 | 3,838 | X X X X | 6. 1988....| 894 | 261 | 27,578 | X X X X | 7. 1989....| 1,422 | 723 | 42,891 | X X X X | 8. 1990....| 2,270 | 1,605 | 65,774 | X X X X | 9. 1991....| 4,231 | 3,753 | 114,856 | X X X X | 10. 1992....| 7,311 | 10,061 | 245,915 | X X X X | 11. 1993....| 7,108 | 35,166 | 534,921 | X X X X | _____________|_____________|______________|______________|____________| 12. Totals | 23,415 | 51,681 | 1,043,507 | X X X X | - - - ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | Loss and Loss Expense Percentage | Discount for Time | Years In | Total Losses and Loss Expenses Incurred| (Incurred/Premiums Earned) | Value of Money | Which |_________________________________________|_________________________________________|___________________________| Premiums Were| | | | | | | | | Earned and | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | Losses Were | Direct | | | Direct | | | | | Incurred | and | Ceded | Net* | and | Ceded | Net | Loss | Loss | | Assumed | | | Assumed | | | | Expense | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 1. Prior...| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | -- | -- | 2. 1984....| 177,744 | 3,953 | 173,791 | 63.7 | 145.9 | 62.9 | -- | -- | 3. 1985....| 291,040 | 6,949 | 284,091 | 63.1 | 71.9 | 62.9 | -- | -- | 4. 1986....| 387,748 | 16,037 | 371,711 | 53.4 | 37.6 | 54.4 | -- | -- | 5. 1987....| 584,380 | 33,476 | 550,904 | 54.8 | 51.9 | 55.0 | -- | -- | 6. 1988....| 801,246 | 43,181 | 758,065 | 62.0 | 64.0 | 61.9 | -- | -- | 7. 1989....| 900,505 | 92,347 | 808,158 | 66.3 | 84.2 | 64.8 | -- | -- | 8. 1990....| 893,389 | 109,983 | 783,406 | 63.9 | 75.9 | 62.6 | -- | -- | 9. 1991....| 1,020,086 | 153,251 | 866,835 | 66.7 | 76.9 | 65.2 | -- | -- | 10. 1992....| 1,116,555 | 168,872 | 947,683 | 70.6 | 86.5 | 68.4 | -- | -- | 11. 1993....| 1,302,589 | 158,972 | 1,143,617 | 72.5 | 105.9 | 69.5 | -- | -- | _____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________|_____________| 12. Totals | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | | | - - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _________________________________________________________ | | Net Balance Sheet Reserves | Years In | 33 | After Discount | Which | |_____________________________| Premiums Were| | | | Earned and |Inter-Company| 34 | 35 | Losses Were | Pooling | | Loss | Incurred |Participation| Losses | Expenses | | Percentage | Unpaid | Unpaid | _____________|_____________|______________|______________| 1. Prior...| X X X X | 5,539 | -- | 2. 1984....| | -- | -- | 3. 1985....| | 124 | 30 | 4. 1986....| | 1,766 | 275 | 5. 1987....| | 3,234 | 604 | 6. 1988....| | 24,428 | 3,150 | 7. 1989....| | 35,877 | 7,014 | 8. 1990....| | 53,898 | 11,876 | 9. 1991....| | 89,924 | 24,932 | 10. 1992....| | 200,068 | 45,847 | 11. 1993....| | 447,419 | 87,502 | _____________|_____________|______________|______________| 12. Totals | X X X X | 862,277 | 181,230 | - - - --------------------------------------------------------- <FN> *Net = (25 - 26) = (11 + 23) 62 2 Form 2 ANNUAL STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR 1993 OF THE PROGRESSIVE CASUALTY INSURANCE COMPANY - CONSOLIDATED SCHEDULE P - PART 2 - SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 | INCURRED LOSSES AND ALLOCATED EXPENSES REPORTED AT YEAR END (000 OMITTED) | |________________________________________________________________________________________________________| | | | | | | | | | Years | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | in Which | | | | | | | | | Losses Were | | | | | | | | | Incurred | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | _________________|_____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________| | | | | | | | | | 1. Prior.......|* 65,434 | 69,540 | 69,142 | 65,204 | 59,965 | 59,312 | 59,171 | 60,014 | 2. 1984........| 165,858 | 159,649 | 160,978 | 159,295 | 158,162 | 157,463 | 156,825 | 156,992 | 3. 1985........| X X X X | 274,757 | 269,226 | 268,315 | 262,237 | 261,392 | 258,581 | 258,380 | 4. 1986........| X X X X | X X X X | 382,994 | 353,616 | 351,417 | 340,706 | 334,564 | 331,385 | 5. 1987........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 555,993 | 524,333 | 504,689 | 492,954 | 490,684 | 6. 1988........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 719,839 | 684,469 | 663,722 | 666,604 | 7. 1989........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 786,249 | 734,190 | 710,990 | 8. 1990........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 751,597 | 692,671 | 9. 1991........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 792,930 | 10. 1992........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 11. 1993........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ 1 | (cont.) INCURRED LOSSES | DEVELOPMENT** | |_________________________|___________________________| | | | | | Years | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | in Which | | | | | Losses Were | | | One | Two | Incurred | 1992 | 1993 | Year | Year | | | | | | | | | | | _________________|____________|____________|_____________|_____________| | | | | | 1. Prior.......| 60,783 | 62,423 | 1,640 | 2,409 | 2. 1984........| 157,399 | 157,343 | (56)| 351 | 3. 1985........| 258,206 | 258,144 | (62)| (236)| 4. 1986........| 330,779 | 330,825 | 46 | (560)| 5. 1987........| 485,339 | 484,182 | (1,157)| (6,502)| 6. 1988........| 663,150 | 664,095 | 945 | (2,509)| 7. 1989........| 704,871 | 700,038 | (4,833)| (10,952)| 8. 1990........| 676,616 | 663,002 | (13,614)| (29,669)| 9. 1991........| 753,500 | 725,991 | (27,509)| (66,939)| 10. 1992........| 900,892 | 833,470 | (67,422)| X X X X | 11. 1993........| X X X X | 1,013,665 | X X X X | X X X X | ___________________________________________|_____________|_____________| 12. Totals | (112,022)| (114,607)| ----------------------------- <FN> *Reported reserves only. Subsequent development relates only to subsequent payments and reserves. **Current year less first or second prior year, showing (redundant) or adverse. SCHEDULE P - PART 3 - SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 | CUMULATIVE PAID LOSSES AND ALLOCATED EXPENSES REPORTED AT YEAR END (000 OMITTED) | |________________________________________________________________________________________________________| | | | | | | | | | Years | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | in Which | | | | | | | | | Losses Were | | | | | | | | | Incurred | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | _________________|_____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________| | | | | | | | | | 1. Prior.......| 000 | 25,067 | 40,710 | 49,780 | 53,380 | 53,955 | 54,843 | 55,936 | 2. 1984........| 81,358 | 122,069 | 137,889 | 147,816 | 151,498 | 154,009 | 155,729 | 156,060 | 3. 1985........| X X X X | 134,374 | 202,467 | 228,629 | 243,849 | 251,045 | 255,162 | 256,497 | 4. 1986........| X X X X | X X X X | 168,353 | 255,882 | 291,744 | 312,656 | 322,815 | 326,820 | 5. 1987........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 240,199 | 360,939 | 420,316 | 447,789 | 467,599 | 6. 1988........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 318,747 | 482,587 | 545,480 | 582,880 | 7. 1989........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 362,510 | 521,039 | 595,914 | 8. 1990........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 354,849 | 499,445 | 9. 1991........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 369,194 | 10. 1992........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 11. 1993........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | - - - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________________________________ 1 | (cont.) CUMULATIVE PAID | | | |_________________________| 12 | 13 | | | | | | Years | 10 | 11 | Number of | Number of | in Which | | | Claims | Claims | Losses Were | | | Closed | Closed | Incurred | 1992 | 1993 | With Loss | Without | | | | Payment | Loss | | | | | Payment | _________________|____________|____________|_____________|____________| | | | | | 1. Prior.......| 56,718 | 56,884 | X X X X | X X X X | 2. 1984........| 157,239 | 157,343 | X X X X | X X X X | 3. 1985........| 257,708 | 257,991 | X X X X | X X X X | 4. 1986........| 328,152 | 328,815 | X X X X | X X X X | 5. 1987........| 476,252 | 480,425 | X X X X | X X X X | 6. 1988........| 617,027 | 636,778 | X X X X | X X X X | 7. 1989........| 636,386 | 657,870 | X X X X | X X X X | 8. 1990........| 569,700 | 598,833 | X X X X | X X X X | 9. 1991........| 533,684 | 614,888 | X X X X | X X X X | 10. 1992........| 415,371 | 597,616 | X X X X | X X X X | 11. 1993........| X X X X | 513,910 | X X X X | X X X X | - - - ----------------------------------------------------------------------- <FN> Note: Net of salvage and subrogation received. SCHEDULE P - PART 4 - SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 | BULK AND INCURRED BUT NOT REPORTED RESERVES ON LOSSES AND ALLOCATED EXPENSES AT YEAR END (000 OMITTED) | |________________________________________________________________________________________________________| | | | | | | | | | Years | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | in Which | | | | | | | | | Losses Were | | | | | | | | | Incurred | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | _________________|_____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________|____________| | | | | | | | | | 1. Prior.......| 21,330 | 15,292 | 10,493 | 7,382 | 1,830 | 1,798 | 1,671 | 1,667 | 2. 1984........| 30,587 | 12,165 | 7,458 | 4,856 | 2,267 | 1,633 | 57 | -- | 3. 1985........| X X X X | 52,241 | 23,471 | 15,767 | 7,600 | 4,247 | 117 | -- | 4. 1986........| X X X X | X X X X | 83,987 | 35,929 | 23,115 | 10,239 | 3,162 | -- | 5. 1987........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 126,103 | 57,172 | 31,435 | 13,026 | 4,203 | 6. 1988........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 161,589 | 70,035 | 33,821 | 14,301 | 7. 1989........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 179,116 | 62,544 | 27,935 | 8. 1990........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 146,165 | 57,375 | 9. 1991........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 155,871 | 10. 1992........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | 11. 1993........| X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | X X X X | - - - --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- _____________________________________________ 1 | (cont.) BULK AND INCURRED| |__________________________| | | | Years | 10 | 11 | in Which | | | Losses Were | | | Incurred | 1992 | 1993 | | | | | | | _________________|____________|_____________| | | | 1. Prior.......| 1,614 | 1,263 | 2. 1984........| -- | -- | 3. 1985........| 2 | 5 | 4. 1986........| 63 | 36 | 5. 1987........| 178 | 814 | 6. 1988........| 2,013 | 6,663 | 7. 1989........| 15,702 | 14,096 | 8. 1990........| 28,293 | 17,575 | 9. 1991........| 51,534 | 29,932 | 10. 1992........| 151,702 | 54,711 | 11. 1993........| X X X X | 132,250 | - - - --------------------------------------------- 63