Cincinnati Financial Corporation Reports Record 2004 Results
- Net income at $3.44 per share compared with $2.21
- Operating income* improved to $3.08 per share in 2004 from $2.28 before
one-time software cost recovery in 2003
- Property casualty GAAP combined ratio at 89.8% for year and 82.6%
for fourth quarter
- Property casualty net written premiums rose 6.5%
for year and fourth quarter
- Total assets reached $16.1 billion with book value at $37.38 per share
CINCINNATI, Feb. 2 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Cincinnati Financial
Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported record net income of $584 million, or
$3.44 per diluted share, for 2004. Net income was $374 million, or $2.21 per
share, in 2003. Net income per share included net realized investment gains of
36 cents per share in 2004 versus a loss of 16 cents in 2003. Net income for
2003 included $15 million, or 9 cents per share, from an after-tax software cost
recovery. Per-share amounts for all periods have been adjusted for the 5 percent
stock dividend paid June 15, 2004.
Total revenues advanced $433 million, or 13.6 percent, to a record
$3.614 billion, reflecting 9.9 percent total earned premium growth and realized
investment gains versus realized losses in 2003. Revenues from pretax investment
income rose 5.7 percent to a record $492 million for 2004.
Results for both years benefited from the release of reserves for
uninsured/underinsured motorist (UM/UIM) losses following a 2003 Ohio Supreme
Court decision. Results for 2004 included the release of $32 million pretax ($21
million, or 12 cents per share, after tax). Results for 2003 included the
release of $38 million pretax ($25 million, or 15 cents per share, after tax).
Financial Highlights*
(Dollars in millions, Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
except share data) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Income Statement Data
Net income $ 192 $ 130 $ 584 $ 374
Negotiated
settlement-
software cost
recovery -- -- -- 15
Net income
before recovery* $ 192 $ 130 $ 584 $ 359
Net realized
investment gains
and losses 24 2 60 (27)
Operating income
before recovery* $ 168 $ 128 $ 524 $ 386
Per Share Data
(diluted)
Net income $ 1.14 $ 0.76 $ 3.44 $ 2.21
Negotiated
settlement-
software cost
recovery -- -- -- 0.09
Net income before
recovery* $ 1.14 $ 0.76 $ 3.44 $ 2.12
Net realized
investment gains
and losses 0.15 0.01 0.36 (0.16)
Operating
income before
recovery* $ 0.99 $ 0.75 $ 3.08 $ 2.28
Cash dividend
declared 0.275 0.238 1.10 0.95
Book value -- -- 37.38 36.85
Average shares
outstanding 169,534,477 170,326,520 169,882,713 169,802,140
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU,
commented, "Favorable market trends of the past several years, careful attention
to underwriting and sustained efforts of our independent agents and associates
all played a part in the record results we achieved in 2004. A highlight was the
property casualty underwriting profit of $298 million pretax, more than double
last year's level. Looking across our business, we see many trends that we
believe will help us continue to provide high quality insurance products for
policyholders and long-term value for shareholders.
"As we noted last quarter, our agents' and associates' underwriting skills
and good habits are helping us meet increasing competition in the commercial
insurance marketplace from a position of strength. Their actions also are
leading to gradual progress in personal lines performance, with a return to
profitability anticipated for full-year 2005. Strong cash flow and excellent
results support our investment strategy, letting us invest for both short-term
income and long-term appreciation. That, in turn, provides the financial
flexibility that is so valuable to our policyholders, independent agent
representatives and shareholders.
"Despite 5.1 percentage points from catastrophe losses, our full-year
GAAP combined ratio was ahead of even our expectations at 89.8 percent. 2004
results benefited from higher than normal savings due to favorable loss reserve
development from prior accident years. As we look into 2005, we believe the GAAP
combined ratio will be in the range of 91 percent. That target assumes favorable
loss reserve development closer to our historical levels and catastrophe losses
in the more normal range of 3.5 percentage points on the combined ratio," Schiff
added.
Catastrophe Loss Summary
Total 2004 catastrophe losses were $148 million, net of reinsurance,
compared with $97 million in 2003. Catastrophe losses for the fourth quarter of
2004 were $16 million, reflecting losses from winter storms that affected
policyholders in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio in late December as well
as additional losses from Hurricane Charley in August.
(Dollars in millions, Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
net of reinsurance) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Catastrophe losses
(pretax) $ 16 $ 7 $ 148 $ 97
Catastrophe losses
per fully diluted
share (after tax) $ 0.06 $ 0.03 $ 0.57 $ 0.37
Combined ratio impact
of catastrophe losses
(percentage points) 2.1 1.0 5.1 3.6
Schiff noted, "Events of 2004 showed the value of our catastrophe
reinsurance program. For the year, total gross losses from hurricanes and other
severe weather exceeded $231 million compared with $103 million in 2003."
The company's reinsurance program limits its losses from catastrophe
events such as wind, hail, hurricanes or earthquakes. To restore affected layers
of the property catastrophe reinsurance program following Hurricane Ivan in
September 2004, the company incurred an $11 million reinsurance reinstatement
premium in the third quarter.
Fourth-Quarter Results
Net income for the fourth quarter of 2004 was $192 million, or $1.14 per
diluted share, compared with $130 million, or 76 cents per share, in the fourth
quarter of 2003, which benefited from the UM/UIM reserve release. Net income per
share included net realized investment gains of 15 cents per share in 2004
versus a gain of 1 cent in the fourth quarter of 2003.
Total revenues advanced $103 million, or 12.2 percent, to $942 million,
reflecting 8.3 percent total earned premium growth and higher realized
investment gains in this year's fourth quarter. Revenues from pretax investment
income rose 7.3 percent to $127 million for the fourth quarter.
Property Casualty Insurance Operations
(Dollars in Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
millions - GAAP) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Income Statement Data
Earned premiums $ 754 $ 690 $ 2,919 $ 2,653
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 383 408 1,605 1,700
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 16 7 148 97
Commission expenses 138 127 583 507
Underwriting expenses 86 73 285 209
Underwriting profit $ 131 $ 75 $ 298 $ 140
Underwriting profit
before recovery* $ 131 $ 75 $ 298 $ 117
Ratio Data
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 50.8% 59.1% 55.0% 64.1%
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 2.1 1.0 5.1 3.6
Commission expenses 18.3 18.5 20.0 19.1
Underwriting expenses 11.4 10.5 9.7 7.9
Combined ratio 82.6% 89.1% 89.8% 94.7%
Combined ratio before
recovery* 82.6% 89.1% 89.8% 95.5%
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).
For full-year 2004, statutory net written premiums of the property
casualty insurance affiliates rose 6.5 percent to a record $2.997 billion
compared with $2.815 billion last year. The $11 million reinsurance
reinstatement premium reduced both net written and net earned premium for 2004.
As a result, the growth rate of full-year 2004 net written premium was lowered
by 0.4 percentage points. For the fourth quarter, statutory net written premiums
also rose 6.5 percent to $723 million compared with $679 million in last year's
fourth quarter.
Full-year new business written directly by agencies was $330 million
compared with $328 million last year. Fourth-quarter new business written
directly by agencies was $77 million, including $67 million in commercial lines
new business and $10 million in personal lines new business. Total new business
was $87 million in last year's fourth quarter.
The full-year 2004 GAAP combined ratio of 89.8 percent included a 1.1
percentage-point benefit from the first-quarter release of UM/UIM reserves.
Before the software cost recovery, the 2003 ratio was 95.5 percent including a
1.4 percentage-point benefit from the release of UM/UIM reserves. The fourth-
quarter 2004 GAAP combined ratio of 82.6 percent included a benefit of 9.8
percentage points for favorable loss reserve development from prior accident
years. The ratio improved 6.5 percentage points over 89.1 percent reported in
2003, which included a benefit of 1.4 percentage points for favorable loss
reserve development and 5.5 percentage points from the release of UM/UIM
reserves.
Schiff commented, "We finished 2004 with 92 property casualty field
marketing territories, up from 87 at year-end 2003. We anticipate reaching 100
territories in 2005. The higher level of service we can provide in subdivided
territories is a proven means of earning more business from the independent
agencies that currently represent us. Smaller territories also allow us to
appoint additional, high-caliber agencies in markets where we see opportunities
to attract new policyholders who value Cincinnati's financial strength and
stability, service and products. Forty-eight agencies were appointed in 2004,
bringing total agency relationships to 986 after some closings and
consolidations. We anticipate appointing another 100 agencies during 2005 and
2006.
"By offering both commercial and personal insurance, we aim to be a
potential market for our agents' typical accounts, helping them develop the
multiple relationships that we believe increase policyholder retention. This
strategy has produced strong results over time," Schiff noted. "But the
challenges are different in commercial lines and personal lines, as we discuss
below."
Commercial Lines
(Dollars in Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
millions - GAAP) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Income Statement Data
Earned premiums $ 551 $ 498 $ 2,126 $ 1,908
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 257 282 1,083 1,176
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 7 14 71 42
Commission expenses 99 90 423 361
Underwriting expenses 68 55 211 162
Underwriting profit $ 120 $ 57 $ 338 $ 167
Underwriting profit
before recovery* $ 120 $ 57 $ 338 $ 152
Ratio Data
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 46.5% 56.5% 50.9% 61.6%
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 1.3 2.9 3.4 2.2
Commission expenses 18.0 18.1 19.9 18.9
Underwriting expenses 12.4 11.0 9.9 8.5
Combined ratio 78.2% 88.5% 84.1% 91.2%
Combined ratio
before recovery* 78.2% 88.5% 84.1% 92.0%
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).
For full-year 2004, statutory net written premiums for commercial lines
of insurance rose 7.6 percent to $2.186 billion, compared with $2.031 billion in
2003. The $6 million commercial lines reinsurance reinstatement premium reduced
the full-year growth rate by 0.3 percentage points. Full-year new commercial
lines business written directly by agencies rose 5.2 percent to $282 million
from $268 million in 2003. The commercial lines GAAP combined ratio for 2004 was
84.1 percent, including favorable loss reserve development from prior accident
years and a 1.5 percentage-point benefit from the release of UM/UIM reserves.
Before the recovery, the 2003 ratio was 92.0 percent, including a 2.0
percentage-point benefit from the release of UM/UIM reserves.
For the fourth quarter, statutory net written premiums rose 8.3 percent
to $532 million, compared with $491 million in last year's fourth quarter. New
commercial lines business was $67 million for the fourth quarter compared with
$72 million last year. The fourth-quarter 2004 commercial lines GAAP combined
ratio was 78.2 percent, reflecting favorable loss reserve development from prior
accident years. This was a 10.3 percentage-point improvement over the
fourth-quarter 2003 ratio, which included a 7.7 percentage-point benefit from
the UM/UIM reserve release.
Schiff commented, "Our agents, field marketing representatives and
headquarters underwriters have experienced the value of proper underwriting as
their efforts have generated positive results for the commercial lines area.
They continue the efforts that have brought us to where we are today, taking
advantage of our local market presence as, together with our agents, we conduct
renewal reviews and personally inspect risks.
"As competition in our commercial markets increased over the past
several quarters, we have been maintaining our pricing discipline for both
renewal and new business. While our agents reported only modest pressure on
renewal pricing in the fourth quarter, they are communicating that winning new
business will require more pricing flexibility and careful risk selection. We
want to remain our agents' first choice for their quality business and believe
that our case-by-case approach gives us a clear advantage. Our field marketing
associates and agents will work together to select risks and respond
appropriately to local pricing trends. They have proven they are capable of
balancing risk and price to achieve growth in new business over the longer
term."
Schiff noted, "We believe our three-year commercial policies are
somewhat less price sensitive thanks to our agents' selection of
quality-conscious insurance buyers. For three years, or even over relationships
that last decades, those policyholders have experienced Cincinnati's personal
claims service, benefited from our coverage packages and relied on our high
financial strength ratings. Customized insurance programs on a three-year term
complement the relationships these policyholders have with their agents and with
Cincinnati. They may be less inclined to shop their accounts annually."
Personal Lines
(Dollars in Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
millions - GAAP) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Income Statement Data
Earned premiums $ 203 $ 192 $ 793 $ 745
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 126 126 522 524
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 9 (7) 77 55
Commission expenses 39 37 160 146
Underwriting expenses 18 18 74 47
Underwriting
profit (loss) $ 11 $ 18 $ (40) $ (27)
Underwriting
profit (loss)
before recovery* $ 11 $ 18 $ (40) $ (35)
Ratio Data
Loss and loss
expenses excluding
catastrophes 62.4% 65.8% 65.9% 70.3%
Catastrophe loss and
loss expenses 4.2 (3.9) 9.7 7.3
Commission expenses 19.1 19.4 20.1 19.5
Underwriting expenses 8.8 9.4 9.3 6.5
Combined ratio 94.5% 90.7% 105.0% 103.6%
Combined ratio
before recovery* 94.5% 90.7% 105.0% 104.7%
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).
For full-year 2004, statutory net written premiums for personal lines of
insurance rose 3.4 percent to $811 million, compared with $784 million last
year. The $5 million personal lines reinsurance reinstatement premium reduced
the full-year growth rate by 0.6 percentage points. Personal lines new business
written directly by agencies for 2004 was $48 million, compared with $60 million
in 2003. The personal lines GAAP combined ratio for 2004 was 105.0 percent,
including 9.7 percentage points from catastrophe losses. Before the recovery,
the 2003 ratio was 104.7 percent, including 7.3 percentage points from
catastrophe losses.
Fourth-quarter statutory net written premiums rose 1.8 percent to $191
million compared with $188 million in fourth quarter 2003. Fourth-quarter new
personal lines business was $10 million, compared with $14 million in last
year's fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter 2004 personal lines GAAP combined
ratio was 94.5 percent, including 4.2 percentage points from catastrophe losses.
For the comparable 2003 period, the ratio was 90.7 percent, benefiting by 3.9
percentage points from the change in prior-period catastrophe loss estimates.
Schiff commented, "During the fourth quarter, we moved several steps
closer to achieving our two key personal lines objectives: returning to
profitability and deploying Diamond, our personal lines policy processing
system, to all states where we market personal lines."
Looking at the progress toward personal lines profitability, Schiff
noted, "We are reaching important milestones on the timetable we had
established. Every percentage point improvement in the personal lines combined
ratio takes 0.3 percentage points off the annual consolidated property casualty
combined ratio and adds about 3 cents to annual earnings per share.
"The personal lines loss and loss expense ratio excluding catastrophe
losses improved 4.4 percentage-points for the full year, due to improved
performance in both the personal auto and homeowner lines of business. Some of
the improvement in loss trends was masked by high catastrophe losses, the
reinsurance reinstatement premium and the lopsided expense comparison reflecting
the software cost recovery in 2003 and the expensing of Diamond costs in 2004.
"Personal auto results reached their best level in the past five years,
with the loss and loss expense ratio excluding catastrophe losses at 65.1
percent compared with 70.1 percent in 2003. Homeowner progress remains slow
because some three-year policies have yet to renew with one-year policy terms.
However, the homeowner line reported continued improvement in the full-year loss
and loss expense ratio excluding catastrophe losses to 69.3 percent compared
with 72.8 percent in 2003. Rate changes scheduled to become effective starting
mid-2005 in many territories should position our personal lines products
appropriately in the marketplace. The homeowner line remains on track to become
profitable in 2006."
Commenting on the rollout of the Diamond system, Schiff added, "By year-
end 2004, training was complete and Diamond was in use in agencies in Alabama,
Indiana, Kansas, Michigan and Ohio. These five states accounted for 59 percent
of personal lines earned premium volume in 2004. By year-end 2005, we expect to
have Diamond in place in states representing more than 90 percent of personal
lines premiums."
Life Insurance Operations
Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
(In millions - GAAP) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Earned premiums $ 24 $ 28 $ 101 $ 95
Investment income, net
of expenses 23 22 91 89
Other income 1 1 3 2
Total revenues excluding
realized investment
gains and losses $ 48 $ 51 $ 195 $ 186
Policyholder benefits 24 26 95 91
Expenses 13 17 53 53
Total benefits and
expenses $ 37 $ 43 $ 148 $ 144
Income before
income tax and
realized investment
gains and losses $ 11 $ 8 $ 47 $ 42
Income tax 2 3 14 14
Income before
realized investment
gains and losses* $ 9 $ 5 $ 33 $ 28
* The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 12 defines and reconciles measures
presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (non-GAAP).
For 2004, The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company's earned premiums
increased 5.5 percent to $101 million from $95 million last year. Net income
before realized investment gains and losses increased 13.8 percent over 2003.
For the year, net income including net realized investment gains and losses - a
performance indicator for Cincinnati Life - rose to $38 million from $22 million
for 2003. Cincinnati Life's investment portfolio had realized gains of $6
million in 2004 compared with realized losses of $7 million in 2003.
Cincinnati Life's fourth-quarter 2004 earned premiums were $24 million
compared with $28 million in last year's fourth quarter. Net income before
realized investment gains and losses increased 59.2 percent over the fourth
quarter of 2003. Net income including net realized investment gains and losses
rose 90.0 percent to $14 million for the fourth quarter from $7 million for the
comparable 2003 period.
Cincinnati Life President David H. Popplewell, FALU, LLIF, commented,
"During 2004, policy face amounts in force grew 16.7 percent in strong response
to our current product portfolio and underwriting and policy issue services.
Worksite marketing is a growing activity for the property casualty agencies that
also represent Cincinnati Life, providing these agencies with cross-serving
opportunities for their current and prospective commercial accounts. We expect
increased interest in worksite marketing, with the addition in 2004 of a new
disability income product and an enhanced life insurance portfolio."
"We continue building our relationships with the company's independent
property casualty agencies. In 2005, we will introduce sales modules that
support agents as they concentrate on fulfilling the insurance needs of specific
types of clients and prospects. This program makes it easy for our property
casualty agencies to offer life, disability income and annuities through
Cincinnati Life."
Investment Operations
Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
(In millions, pretax) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Investment income:
Interest $ 64 $ 60 $ 252 $ 235
Dividends 63 58 239 227
Other 1 1 6 8
Investment expenses (1) (1) (5) (5)
Investment income,
net of expenses $ 127 $ 118 $ 492 $ 465
Net realized investment
gains and losses:
Other-than-temporary
impairment charges $ (1) $ (3) $ (9) $ (80)
Realized investment
gains and losses 19 7 90 30
Change in valuation
of embedded derivatives 17 0 10 9
Net realized investment
gains and losses $ 35 $ 4 $ 91 $ (41)
Consolidated pretax investment income rose 7.3 percent for the fourth
quarter and 5.7 percent for full-year 2004, benefiting from higher interest
income due to cash flow invested in the fixed-income portfolio and from dividend
increases by companies in the equity portfolio. Dividend increases announced
during 2004 by Fifth Third Bancorp and another 32 of the 51 equity holdings in
the portfolio are expected to add $15 million to investment income in 2005.
During the fourth quarter, the company made approximately $310 million
in net new investments using cash flow and existing cash balances. Purchases
were almost entirely fixed income securities, including corporate and municipal
bonds. The market value of consolidated fixed-maturity investments rose 21.5
percent to $5.141 billion at year-end 2004 from $4.232 billion at year-end 2003.
The market value of consolidated equity securities was $7.498 billion at
year-end 2004, down from $8.217 billion at year-end 2003. The decline resulted
from $350 million in net equity sales in the second quarter of 2004, as well as
market value fluctuations of the company's holdings, including a decline in the
market value of Fifth Third, the company's largest common stock holding.
Schiff commented, "Proceeds from the equity sales were reinvested in
fixed income securities during the second and third quarters. The current
allocation of new investment dollars to fixed-income securities since mid-year
added to investment income growth. Over the long term, we remain committed to
the allocation of approximately 25 percent to 35 percent of new money to
equities. As part of our previously announced actions to support our high
property casualty surplus, however, we anticipate continuing to invest primarily
in fixed-income securities through mid-2005. Our equity approach will remain the
center of our total return investment strategy, as we seek to balance the
opportunity for short-term income and long-term appreciation."
Net realized investment gains were $35 million pretax in this year's
fourth quarter, including $1 million in other-than-temporary impairment charges.
In last year's fourth quarter, net realized investment gains were $4 million,
including $3 million in other-than-temporary impairment charges. Fluctuation of
market values of options embedded in convertible securities resulted in $17
million in net realized gains in this year's fourth quarter.
The company repurchased 1,000,000 shares of Cincinnati Financial common
stock at a total cost of $43 million, or $43.02 per share, during the fourth
quarter. For the full-year, the company repurchased 1,571,800 shares at a total
cost of $67 million. Approximately 3.7 million shares remain authorized by the
board of directors for repurchase.
Balance Sheet
Fourth Quarter Ended Twelve Months Ended
(Dollars in millions) December 31, December 31,
--------------------------- ---------------------------
2004 2003 2004 2003
------------ ------------ ------------ ------------
Balance Sheet Data
Total assets -- -- $ 16,107 $ 15,509
Invested assets -- -- 12,677 12,485
Shareholders' equity -- -- 6,249 6,204
Ratio Data
Return on equity
(fourth quarter
annualized) 12.5% 8.7% 9.4% 6.3%
Return on equity based
on comprehensive income
(fourth quarter
annualized) 16.4 32.3 4.6 13.8
At year-end 2004, consolidated assets were $16.107 billion compared with
$15.509 billion at year-end 2003. Shareholders' equity was $6.249 billion, or
$37.38 per share, compared with $6.204 billion, or $36.85 per share, at year-
end 2003, with strong profits partially offset by lower unrealized gains in the
investment portfolio. Total debt rose to $791 million due to the fourth- quarter
sale of $375 million aggregate principal amount of 6.125% senior notes due 2034.
The ratio of investment securities held at the holding-company level to total
holding-company-only assets was 36.3 percent at December 31, 2004, in line with
management's target, following the transfer of $1.600 billion in equity
securities to The Cincinnati Insurance Company from the parent company in August
2004.
Schiff noted, "A portion of the $368 million in net proceeds from the
debt offering was used to pay off short-term lines of credit, decreasing our
sensitivity to a rising interest rate environment. In addition, proceeds are
available for general corporate purposes and for funding the expansion of our
headquarters, which began recently.
"The company's healthy overall financial position continues to improve.
In recent weeks, we formalized our 2005 property casualty reinsurance program,
looking once again to maintain our investment strategy in the event of larger
losses. The new reinsurance program, which adds Partner Re as a fourth
reinsurance partner, is substantially the same as last year's. Essentially all
of the ceded premium increase was due to our growth."
Statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group was $4.196
billion at year-end 2004, up $1.416 billion from year-end 2003, primarily
because of the transfer of equity securities in August 2004. The property
casualty insurance group's ratio of common stock holdings to statutory surplus
was 99.4 percent at year-end 2004 compared with 114.7 percent at year-end 2003.
2005 Looks to Be Strong Year
"2004 was an outstanding year for Cincinnati Financial. We believe we
are primed for continued strong performance as we balance growth with
profitability," Schiff commented. "Commercial lines should continue to achieve
excellent results, with written premium growth of approximately 4 percent to 6
percent and a combined ratio near 90 percent. In addition, we believe personal
lines written premium growth will be in the mid-single digits with a combined
ratio in the range of 95 percent, assuming catastrophe losses are within our
typical range.
"Overall, we anticipate mid-single-digit growth for the property
casualty operations with the combined ratio in the range of 91 percent, assuming
favorable loss reserve development closer to historical levels and catastrophe
losses at a more normal 3.5 percentage points on the combined ratio," Schiff
said.
"With investment income continuing to benefit from the allocation of new
investment dollars to fixed-income securities, we are estimating 2005 investment
income growth in the range of 5 percent to 6 percent. Partially offsetting these
improvements will be slightly higher interest expense due to the increase in
long-term debt."
Schiff noted, "For the first quarter of 2005, the series of winter
storms that have hit across the Midwest and Northeast during January has caused
approximately $5 million in catastrophe losses for our policyholders. In
addition, we currently are estimating that first-quarter 2005 results will
include an initial reserve of $22 million, net of reinsurance, for a single
large loss in January that was insufficiently covered through our facultative
reinsurance programs.
"We will meet the challenges of 2005 with optimism. Our agencies are
growing and remain excited about the advantages Cincinnati brings to their
policyholders. We expect to continue to grow with these agencies, while making
purposeful decisions to remain an industry profitability leader over the longer
term," Schiff concluded. For additional information or to register for this
afternoon's conference call, please visit http://www.cinfin.com .
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers property and casualty insurance,
its main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati
Indemnity Company and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The Cincinnati Life
Insurance Company markets life and disability income insurance and annuities.
CFC Investment Company offers commercial leasing and financing services. CinFin
Capital Management Company provides asset management services to institutions,
corporations and individuals. For additional information, please visit the
company's Web site at http://www.cinfin.com .
This is a "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Certain forward-looking statements contained
herein involve potential risks and uncertainties. The company's future results
could differ materially from those discussed. Factors that could cause or
contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
-- unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to changes in weather
patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
-- ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of
reinsurance purchased and financial strength of reinsurers
-- increased frequency and/or severity of claims
-- events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's
relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities
to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's
opportunities for growth, such as:
-- downgrade of the company's financial strength ratings,
-- concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult or
-- perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims
service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the
marketplace
-- insurance regulatory actions, legislation or court decisions or legal
actions that increase expenses or place us at a disadvantage in the
marketplace
-- delays in the development, implementation, performance and benefits
of technology projects and enhancements
-- inaccurate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting
estimates, including loss reserves
-- results and timely completion of assessment and remediation of
internal controls for financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley
Act of 2002
-- recession or other economic conditions or regulatory, accounting or
tax changes resulting in lower demand for insurance products
-- sustained decline in overall stock market values negatively affecting
the company's equity portfolio, in particular a sustained decline in
the market value of Fifth Third Bancorp shares, a significant equity
holding
-- events that lead to a significant decline in the market value of a
particular security and impairment of the asset
-- prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit
the company's ability to generate growth in investment income
-- adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
-- effect on the insurance industry as a whole, and thus on the
company's business, of the suit brought by the Attorney General of
the State of New York against participants in the insurance industry,
as well as any increased regulatory oversight that might result from
the suit
-- limited flexibility in conducting investment activities if the
restrictions imposed by the Investment Company Act of 1940 become
applicable to us
Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects
of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory
initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium
rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards
and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and
regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock,
such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance.
The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are
uncertain.
Readers are cautioned that the company undertakes no obligation to
review or update the forward-looking statements included herein.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Dollars in millions except December 31, December 31,
per share data) 2004 2003
------------ ------------
(unaudited)
Assets
Investments
Fixed maturities, at fair value
(amortized cost:
2004--$4,862; 2003--$3,940) $ 5,141 $ 4,232
Equity securities, at fair
value (cost: 2004--$1,945;
2003--$2,216) 7,498 8,217
Other invested assets 38 36
Cash 306 91
Investment income receivable 107 99
Finance receivable 95 81
Premiums receivable 1,119 1,060
Reinsurance receivable 680 623
Prepaid reinsurance premiums 15 13
Deferred policy acquisition costs 400 372
Property and equipment, net, for
company use (accumulated depreciation:
2004--$206; 2003--$181) 156 153
Other assets 75 69
Separate accounts 477 463
Total assets $ 16,107 $ 15,509
Liabilities
Insurance reserves
Losses and loss expense $ 3,549 $ 3,415
Life policy reserves 1,194 1,025
Unearned premiums 1,539 1,446
Other liabilities 474 404
Deferred income tax 1,834 1,949
Notes payable 0 183
6.125% senior debenture due 2034 371 0
6.9% senior debenture due 2028 420 420
Separate accounts 477 463
Total liabilities 9,858 9,305
Shareholders' equity
Common stock, par value--$2 per
share; authorized 200 million shares;
issued: 2004--185 million shares,
2003--176 million shares 370 352
Paid-in capital 618 306
Retained earnings 2,057 1,986
Accumulated other comprehensive
income--unrealized gains on
investments and derivatives 3,787 4,084
Treasury stock at cost (2004--18
million shares, 2003--16 million
shares) (583) (524)
Total shareholders' equity 6,249 6,204
Total liabilities and
shareholders' equity $ 16,107 $ 15,509
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income
Years Ended December 31,
---------------------------
(In millions except per share data) 2004 2003
------------ ------------
(unaudited)
Revenues
Earned premiums
Property casualty $ 2,919 $ 2,653
Life 101 95
Investment income, net of expenses 492 465
Realized investment gains and
losses 91 (41)
Other income 11 9
Total revenues 3,614 3,181
Benefits and expenses
Insurance losses and policyholder
benefits 1,846 1,887
Commissions 615 536
Other operating expenses 260 204
Taxes, licenses and fees 75 67
Increase in deferred policy
acquisition costs (30) (42)
Interest expense 38 34
Other expenses 10 15
Total benefits and expenses 2,814 2,701
Income before income taxes 800 480
Provision (benefit) for income taxes
Current 171 130
Deferred 45 (24)
Total provision (benefit) for
income taxes 216 106
Net income $ 584 $ 374
Per common share
Net income -- basic $ 3.48 $ 2.22
Net income -- diluted $ 3.44 $ 2.21
Since 1996, Cincinnati Financial has disclosed the estimated impact of
stock options on net income and earnings per share in a Note to the Financial
Statements. For 2004 and 2003, diluted net income would have been reduced by
less than 6 cents per share, if option expense, calculated using the binomial
option-pricing model, were included as an expense.
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to
Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for 2004 and 2003 data, prior period
reconciliations available at http://www.cinfin.com.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial
statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the
United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with
statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore
is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to
evaluate its primary business areas -- property casualty insurance, life
insurance and investments -- where analyzing both GAAP and certain non-GAAP
measures may improve understanding of trends in the underlying business, helping
avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or
failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures
generally: apply to non-recurring events unrelated to business performance that
distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events
outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect
comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same
basis.
-- Operating income: Operating income (also described as net income
before realized investment gains and losses) is calculated by
excluding net realized investment gains and losses from net income.
Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of
pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment
gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations
over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or
losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is
independent of the insurance underwriting process. Moreover, under
applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be
recognized from certain changes in market values of securities
without actual realization. Management believes that the level of
realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while
it may be material, may not be indicative of the performance of
ongoing underlying business operations in that period. For these
reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to
be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance
company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance
industry and the company generally focus on operating income in their
analyses. The company presents operating income so all investors have
what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP
information.
-- Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies
prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However,
certain data also must be calculated according to statutory
accounting rules as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and
Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various
state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available and
used by various organizations to calculate aggregate industry data,
study industry trends and make comparisons between various insurance
companies.
-- Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, written premium is
the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an
annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management
analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned
premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated
ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and
earned premium is unearned premium.
-- Written premium adjustment - statutory basis only: In 2002, the
company refined its estimation process for matching written premiums
to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written
premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may
exclude this adjustment when evaluating trends in written premiums
and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
-- One-time charges or adjustments: Management analyzes earnings and
profitability excluding the impact of one-time items.
* In 2003, as the result of a settlement negotiated with a vendor,
pretax results included the recovery of $23 million of the $39
million one-time, pretax charge incurred in 2000.
* In 2000, the company recorded a one-time charge of $39 million,
pre- tax, to write down previously capitalized costs related to
the development of software to process property casualty
policies.
* In 2000, the company earned $5 million in interest in the first
quarter from a $303 million single-premium bank-owned life
insurance (BOLI) policy booked at the end of 1999 that was
segregated as a Separate Account effective April 1, 2000.
Investment income and realized investment gains and losses from
separate accounts generally accrue directly to the contract
holder and, therefore, are not included in the company's
consolidated financials.
-- Codification: Adoption of Codification of Statutory Accounting
Principles was required for Ohio-based insurance companies effective
January 1, 2001. The adoption of Codification changed the manner in
which the company recognized property casualty written premiums. As a
result, 2001 statutory written premiums included $402 million to
account for unbooked premiums related to policies with effective
dates prior to January 1, 2001. To better assess ongoing business
trends, management excludes this $402 million when evaluating written
premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
-- Life insurance gross written premiums: In analyzing life insurance
company gross written premiums, management excludes five larger,
single-pay life insurance policies (BOLIs) written in 2004, 2002,
2000 and 1999 to focus on the trend in premiums written through the
agency distribution channel.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
(In millions except
per share data) Three months ended
--------------------------------------------------------------------
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2004 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 2003 2003
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Net income $ 192 $ 90 $ 155 $ 146 $ 130 $ 104 $ 84 $ 57
One-time item 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0
Net income
before
one-time item $ 192 $ 90 $ 155 $ 146 $ 130 $ 89 $ 84 $ 57
Net realized
investment
gains and
losses 24 (5) 36 4 2 10 1 (40)
Operating income
before one-time
item $ 168 $ 95 $ 119 $ 142 $ 128 $ 79 $ 83 $ 97
Less catastrophe
losses 10 56 30 0 4 27 30 2
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 178 $ 151 $ 149 $ 142 $ 132 $ 106 $ 113 $ 99
Diluted per
share data
Net income $ 1.14 $ 0.53 $ 0.91 $ 0.86 $ 0.76 $ 0.61 $ 0.50 $ 0.33
One-time item 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00
Net income
before
one-time item $ 1.14 $ 0.53 $ 0.91 $ 0.86 $ 0.76 $ 0.52 $ 0.50 $ 0.33
Net realized
investment
gains
and losses 0.15 (0.03) 0.21 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.01 (0.24)
Operating income
before one-time
item $ 0.99 $ 0.56 $ 0.70 $ 0.83 $ 0.75 $ 0.46 $ 0.49 $ 0.57
Less catastrophe
losses (0.06) (0.33) (0.16) 0.00 (0.03) (0.16) (0.18) (0.01)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 1.05 $ 0.89 $ 0.86 $ 0.83 $ 0.78 $ 0.62 $ 0.67 $ 0.58
(In millions except
per share data) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
----------------- ----------------- -----------------
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net income $ 301 $ 141 $ 392 $ 245 $ 584 $ 374
One-time item 0 0 0 15 0 15
Net income
before
one-time item $ 301 $ 141 $ 392 $ 230 $ 584 $ 359
Net realized
investment
gains and
losses 40 (39) 36 (29) 60 (27)
Operating income
before one-time
item $ 261 $ 180 $ 356 $ 259 $ 524 $ 386
Less catastrophe
losses 30 32 86 59 96 63
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 291 $ 212 $ 442 $ 318 $ 620 $ 449
Diluted per
share data
Net income $ 1.77 $ 0.83 $ 2.30 $ 1.44 $ 3.44 $ 2.21
One-time item 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.09
Net income
before
one-time item $ 1.77 $ 0.83 $ 2.30 $ 1.35 $ 3.44 $ 2.12
Net realized
investment
gains
and losses 0.24 (0.23) 0.21 (0.17) 0.36 (0.16)
Operating income
before one-time
item $ 1.53 $ 1.06 $ 2.09 $ 1.52 $ 3.08 $ 2.28
Less catastrophe
losses (0.18) (0.19) (0.51) (0.34) (0.57) (0.37)
Operating income
before
catastrophe
losses and
one-time item $ 1.71 $ 1.25 $ 2.60 $ 1.86 $ 3.65 $ 2.65
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated
Three months ended
---------------------------------------------------------------------
(Dollars in millions) 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2004 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 2003 2003
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $ 748 $ 750 $ 761 $ 767 $ 698 $ 714 $ 707 $ 667
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only (25) 0 (27) 23 (19) 9 19 20
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 723 $ 750 $ 734 $ 790 $ 679 $ 723 $ 726 $ 687
Unearned premiums
change 31 (17) (17) (74) 11 (45) (70) (58)
Earned premiums $ 754 $ 733 $ 717 $ 716 $ 690 $ 678 $ 656 $ 629
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 83.6% 97.9% 91.2% 85.1% 89.8% 96.3% 98.4% 92.8%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 83.6% 97.9% 91.2% 85.1% 89.8% 99.4% 98.4% 92.8%
Less catastrophe
losses 2.0 11.7 6.5 0.1 1.0 6.1 7.1 0.4
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe losses 81.6% 86.2% 84.7% 85.0% 88.8% 93.3% 91.3% 92.4%
Reported commission
expense ratio* 19.7% 19.9% 18.9% 18.3% 18.8% 18.5% 17.0% 16.4%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted commission
expense ratio 19.7% 19.9% 18.9% 18.3% 18.8% 18.5% 17.0% 16.4%
Reported other
expense ratio* 11.0% 9.5% 10.8% 9.3% 10.9% 6.5% 8.2% 10.0%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0
Adjusted other
expense ratio 11.0% 9.5% 10.8% 9.3% 10.9% 9.6% 8.2% 10.0%
Reported statutory
expense ratio* 30.7% 29.4% 29.7% 27.6% 29.7% 25.0% 25.2% 26.4%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
expense ratio 30.7% 29.4% 29.7% 27.6% 29.7% 28.1% 25.2% 26.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 82.6% 97.8% 91.9% 87.1% 89.1% 96.6% 98.4% 95.1%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 82.6% 97.8% 91.9% 87.1% 89.1% 100.0% 98.4% 95.1%
(Dollars in millions) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
------------------- -------------------- -------------------
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003
------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $ 1,528 $ 1,374 $ 2,278 $ 2,090 $ 3,026 $ 2,789
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only (4) 39 (4) 46 (29) 26
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 1,524 $ 1,413 $ 2,274 $ 2,136 $ 2,997 $ 2,815
Unearned premiums
change (92) (128) (108) (173) (78) (162)
Earned premiums $ 1,432 $ 1,285 $ 2,166 $ 1,963 $ 2,919 $ 2,653
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 88.1% 95.7% 91.4% 96.0% 89.4% 94.2%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.8
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 88.1% 95.7% 91.4% 97.0% 89.4% 95.0%
Less catastrophe
losses 3.3 3.8 6.1 4.6 5.1% 3.6
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe losses 84.8% 91.9% 85.3% 92.4% 84.3% 91.4%
Reported commission
expense ratio* 18.6% 16.7% 19.0% 17.3% 19.2% 17.6%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted commission
expense ratio 18.6% 16.7% 19.0% 17.3% 19.2% 17.6%
Reported other
expense ratio* 10.0% 9.0% 9.8% 8.1% 10.1% 8.9%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.8
Adjusted other
expense ratio 10.0% 9.0% 9.8% 9.1% 10.1% 9.7%
Reported statutory
expense ratio* 28.6% 25.7% 28.9% 25.5% 29.3% 26.5%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.8
Adjusted statutory
expense ratio 28.6% 25.7% 28.9% 26.5% 29.3% 27.3%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 89.5% 96.8% 92.3% 96.7% 89.8% 94.7%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.8
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 89.5% 96.8% 92.3% 97.9% 89.8% 95.5%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
NM - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with
the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
(Dollars in millions) Three months ended
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2004 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 2003 2003
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $ 555 $ 530 $ 537 $ 587 $ 507 $ 499 $ 495 $ 506
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only (23) 2 (25) 23 (16) 8 12 20
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 532 $ 532 $ 512 $ 610 $ 491 $ 507 $ 507 $ 526
Unearned premiums
change 19 5 8 (91) 7 (19) (35) (76)
Earned premiums $ 551 $ 537 $ 520 $ 519 $ 498 $ 488 $ 472 $ 450
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 79.1% 92.0% 84.1% 80.3% 89.7% 91.9% 91.9% 90.3%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 79.1% 92.0% 84.1% 80.3% 89.7% 94.7% 91.9% 90.3%
Less catastrophe
losses 1.3 9.0 3.0 0.2 2.9 2.0 2.9 1.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 77.8% 83.0% 81.1% 80.1% 86.8% 92.7% 89.0% 89.3%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 78.2% 91.4% 84.4% 82.6% 88.5% 92.1% 91.4% 93.2%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 78.2% 91.4% 84.4% 82.6% 88.5% 95.0% 91.4% 93.2%
(Dollars in millions) Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
------------------- ------------------- -------------------
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $ 1,124 $ 1,001 $ 1,656 $ 1,502 $ 2,209 $ 2,009
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only (2) 32 (2) 38 (23) 22
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 1,122 $ 1,033 $ 1,654 $ 1,540 $ 2,186 $ 2,031
Unearned premiums
change (84) (111) (79) (130) (60) (123)
Earned premiums $ 1,038 $ 922 $ 1,575 $ 1,410 $ 2,126 $ 1,908
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 82.0% 91.1% 85.4% 91.4% 83.7% 90.9%
Written premium
adjustment -
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.7
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 82.0% 91.1% 85.4% 92.3% 83.7% 91.6%
Less catastrophe
losses 1.6 2.0 4.1 2.0 3.4% 2.2
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe losses 80.4% 89.1% 81.3% 90.3% 80.3% 89.4%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 83.5% 92.3% 86.2% 92.2% 84.1% 91.2%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.8
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 83.5% 92.3% 86.2% 93.2% 84.1% 92.0%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not
add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The
sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed
independently.
NM - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules
as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with
the appropriate regulatory bodies.
Cincinnati Insurance Group
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/ 12/31/ 9/30/ 6/30/ 3/31/
2004 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 2003 2003
------ ------ ------ ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums
(statutory) $ 194 $ 218 $ 224 $ 180 $ 191 $ 215 $ 212 $ 161
Written
premium
adjustment --
statutory only (3) (1) (2) 0 (3) 1 7 0
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 191 $ 217 $ 222 $ 180 $ 188 $ 216 $ 219 $ 161
Unearned premiums
change 12 (21) (25) 17 4 (26) (35) 18
Earned premiums $ 203 $ 196 $ 197 $ 197 $ 192 $ 190 $ 184 $ 179
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 96.0% 114.4% 110.1% 98.7% 90.0% 108.1% 115.2% 99.5%
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 0.0 0.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 96.0% 114.4% 110.1% 98.7% 90.0% 111.9% 115.2% 99.5%
Less catastrophe
losses 0.0 19.3 15.7 (0) (4) 16.6 17.8 (1)
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe
losses 91.8% 95.1% 94.4% 98.9% 93.9% 95.3% 97.4% 100.8%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined
ratio 94.5% 115.4% 111.6% 98.8% 90.7% 108.4% 116.1% 99.9%
One-time item 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 0.0 0.0
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 94.5% 115.4% 111.6% 98.8% 90.7% 112.7% 116.1% 99.9%
(Dollars in millions)
Six months Nine months Twelve months
ended ended ended
6/30/ 6/30/ 9/30/ 9/30/ 12/31/ 12/31/
2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Premiums
Adjusted written
premiums (statutory) $ 404 $ 373 $ 623 $ 588 $ 817 $ 780
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only (2) 7 (3) 8 (6) 4
Reported written
premiums
(statutory)* $ 402 $ 380 $ 620 $ 596 $ 811 $ 784
Unearned premiums
change (8) (16) (30) (43) (18) (39)
Earned premiums $ 394 $ 364 $ 590 $ 553 $ 793 $ 745
Statutory combined ratio
Reported statutory
combined ratio* 104.3% 107.2% 107.6% 107.5% 104.6% 102.9%
Written premium
adjustment --
statutory only NM NM NM NM NM NM
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.0
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio 104.3% 107.2% 107.6% 108.8% 104.6% 103.9%
Less catastrophe
losses 7.8 8.4 11.6 11.2 9.7% 7.3
Adjusted statutory
combined ratio
excluding
catastrophe losses 96.5% 98.8% 96.0% 97.6% 94.9% 96.6%
GAAP combined ratio
GAAP combined ratio 105.2% 108.1% 108.6% 108.2% 105.0% 103.6%
One-time item 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.1
GAAP combined
ratio before
one-time item 105.2% 108.1% 108.6% 109.7% 105.0% 104.7%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add
due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of
quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
NM - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as
defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with
the appropriate regulatory bodies.
SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation
-0- 02/02/2005
/CONTACT: Investor: Heather J. Wietzel, +1-513-870-2768, or Media: Joan
O. Shevchik, +1-513-603-5323, both of Cincinnati Financial Corporation /
/Web site: http://www.cinfin.com /
- -