Jeff. Thanks
through Turning DCF outlook to New a is some light expecting. walk shed key number the with XXXX. we as the We you announced and the projections on where our for starting in may And was than guidance to for of this have bit usual billion Street XXXX may lower Products assumptions, be key the used build segment. This our we differences it assumptions morning I'll Refined our Year. recognized $X.XX the
compared by our distillate partial lost results. the increase and volumes material into higher to XXXX Driven assumes continued contribution well pipelines Refined XXXX be state recent XX% the up. this economic expansion put aviation were nation to become volume the demand during the higher Products additional expect we and to Refined and vaccines Texas. XX% rebound higher shipments X% clear during include to a available XXXX. Product projects of to the from as Factoring these first of in fuel with gasoline, benefit XXXX growth demand. all that XX% demand projections our as will guidance To Our travel recovery ramp-up new increase We pandemic, more year of that readily expect service in further of drilling in a volume especially from during activity associated as continues as continue and the about from within open half
by increase to also lower We XXXX projects overall compare might about our volumes our against forecast expansion offset X% we Texas results, be improved levels it our helpful well. from partially to demand. Compared XXXX by expect demand as shipments aviation fuel driven refined thought to continued pre-COVID product
is annual assumptions we an average every in in on our estimate around basis. about Refined sensitivity that difference revenue transportation For volumes X% total million ballpark $XX Products on
Products In addition the to tariff rate volume an our segment. to important is average model for this pipeline Refined component system
for used the now X.XX%. finalized that are plus to next July the X, FERC methodology You in index index based The FERC the the is change has producer price aware new on XXXX. five probably be index beginning years new
preliminary PPI negative X.X% which follow the for may know of change an rate negative that index a adjustment of markets you results the XXXX As in is our the for index. in XX% X.X%
deemed projects the year relatively each believe rate these our by overall and raise what actual remain XX% our barrel to Products these approach. X% refined competitive because in tariffs remaining of lower barrel movements. We mid or cost markets Refined overall markets generally the are the competitive the shorter competitive adding rates our subject are therefore around average to an projected adjust flat our XXXX mile between is due We similar closer is This in in per our to intend to of few not volumes increase expect we FERC incremental to movements methodology. be nature though haul of However our either to as to average by than we and to markets periods. expansion X% historical intrastate per are a the rates in mid-XXXX forces the rates Even increases X% to allow. to are index
also For profits. important the our Products is blending commodity Refined segment gas our it impacts environment directly price liquids as
this costs XXXX a low. be volume XX all historical which mid-January the XX% almost of both margin blending hedged higher total point RIN also of been have of a pressure $X.XX margins. hedges expect would for spring our on blending strong margin Butane curve at and these and prices per been volume. expected of gallon Considering equates roughly forward put have have average which currently to We sales trending late of unhedged blending for we our an which our blending
is X-year For $X.XX during which XXXX margins per average. comparison with averaged the gallon blending consistent
a difference I'd and margins to between COVID. like However was there point before after notable out
put $X.XX Specifically now. XXXX seeing in Based fall late our spring XXXX whereas hedges on per in levels to margins gallon. the are closer was closer to XXXX, were place pricing we
our crude to segment. Moving oil
expect volumes XXXX. to per the We XXX,XXX we per on XXX,XXX average Longhorn averaged day barrels barrels day our pipeline in versus
As approximately a of but portion an of for expired we have the capacity fall, last the contracts remaining of mentioned six life with average Longhorn still XX% Jeff pipe commitments years.
fill our marketing product has in as Although on our allow. whenever pipes parties some spaces we conditions been third move prefer stepping to market affiliate possible to of that
And marketing As year XXX,XXX quarter Longhorn Jeff the fourth forward, to we again, the closely in pipes, lower which activities Houston a expect in to contract moved Concerning these we described day the on so the first shipments during our impact. Permian day XXXX per already result with barrels XXXX. around full average a representing is the joint venture barrels we expirations profitability to reflects going be financial and than lower BridgeTex of prevailing is XXXX, of as average expect differential as currently relatively results the saw low. tariff XXX,XXX
to anytime uneconomical the incentive quite no mentioned Permian expected even spot shipments customers between soon with making differential continues low As and with the Houston improvement be in rates price place. earlier, for
with has remaining BridgeTex reminder, of years the life a XX% average four capacity. commitments for approximately of As pipeline's an
was adding transport complete Saddlehorn, we per XXXX, end to at the XXX,XXX than about as move to per barrels capacity the day XXX,XXX higher expansion Saddlehorn of day per barrels day For barrels for is day. The expect of XXXX XXXX. pipeline XXX,XXX during in per which of new the expected XXX,XXX barrels
previous average six shippers volumes have the some credits capacity utilize for periods. three but shipped the years, in remaining in term with roughly full of bank's for to of life extra near We an commitments quarters expect
discussed an we've kicked to side, the off expense initiative a the efficiency the cost identify over in savings and past ago organization. Magellan opportunities year the On throughout
across process million We drag-reducing optimization, are have of with improvements in XXXX. business being already $XX in to-date XXXX spent and savings offered effort. significant power progress closer capital, identified reductions, agent These early late spend through our $XX during modest savings including the and Concerning through workforce made million XXXX. we including maintenance this nearly organization cost million to realized primarily to expect program $XXX guidance pipeline an retirement and XXXX
our more and considering issue item assets. both on approximately capital each our XXXX significant total to and in classification very And which ensure Although, we spend integrity of XXXX, and and reduction work shows a to is to expense, similar time expense. it's between line the of expect $XXX reliability Magellan capital million this maintenance spent effort between year in and periods, safety spend.
in and recall, you expense As cash flow. distributable determining maintenance are considered capital both
current our on XXXX. $X.XX provide coverage cash time, times to approximately Based Magellan indicated, resulting do of we excess the At at generate guidance during the maintain financial for beyond year distribution billion, this X.X million to $XXX quarterly previously in of expect not cash As to XXXX. this distribution DCF year. level our guidance of intends we intend
X.X investors do and the Products on increase margins the we Magellan targeting capital we combination focused repurchases long-term expect expansion least once DCF are few our a equity demand ramp of to as cash economy However, projects improve over historical years distribution as on realized. Refined investments. levels. disciplined times distributions, to still and continues remains the and next at of annual are to Further, blending coverage more Texas for through value delivering return fully
a to in to is for the look large-scale environment environment Although, the continue project we low-risk opportunities future, capital future. attractive for generally challenging to current foreseeable expect invest for and Magellan's capital lower we investments benefit
canceled, had we from to a expected potential increased of spent smaller actual we expansion being well some of million, projects on add expect projects be capital projects a coming our spend construction. as currently expansion the growth range now addition carryover we projects budget of throughout new and in of XXXX XXXX has slightly spending We XXXX in $XXX million capital combination on projects. under During likely XXXX will year. these that range and in the $XXX which projects million the as plan Previously, million. $XX projects, $XX due XXXX, additional Including to under we to spending are spending few
As EBITDA attractive generate our in meet are exceed returns eight quarter, but that smaller to opportunities very times mentioned current six scale, multiple thresholds. times or last
terminal expansion refined which approved For low-risk and transportation supply recently gas returning our Cheyenne, liquids butane activities, loading area of capabilities projects blending new including products improved are both high our example, opportunities. in truck for Houston Wyoming
energy type find in approach, we due to the Consistent disciplined We a remain and expect and make markets an transition decisions to service not locations. serve to terminals for demand in opportunities at projects regards provider at with With previous expanding more to our market we of these of Magellan typically all participant and needs EXX patterns in demand potential logistical meet invest our customers fuel projects access renewable bolt-on products the blending has of and a our of topics, we'll future address part markets. on capabilities to and in biodiesel our satisfy number changes in EXX to EXX, of speculative providing by for in based gasoline needs. handling been petroleum active investment ethanol
in ethanol, operate. associated states emerging low-carbon biodiesel, with that renewable of and standards We fuel mandates biofuel where fuel assessing in we the or are are the adoption markets potential additional and the expected renewable diesel the opportunities growth
As always, to disciplined approach. continue will we investment our maintain
structured time of publicly-traded is own And being time like questions, understand forming we that of conversations conversions for periodically investor understand the in and now briefly line long-term subject. could on every hit we impact shared we to we remaining the corporate to -- analyst topic of investors have that included as creation come and We to opinions corporation. approach partnership that we additional and C-Corp for I'd up from website our their best to on view alternative the value assess this and a attract Every assist help converting a the concluded continues investors. investor Before partnership our our interest. posted The have to potential conversion morning. we them corporation analysis have this for the analysis a open
equity value Assuming And stock and broader potential is of inclusion not magnitude uplift while any some any indices resulting in market the in potential the more price equity which In overcome burden is potential of known. sustainability increase to even value potential clear. the be not are sufficient material we cash is case, any believe long-term taxes the of over time. over future in quite the expected increase to but
in not have any guidance analysis. provided long-term We new this
we Magellan for conversion that these assumptions valuations assumptions modeling is will feedback. analysis. can tax now to our we continue a have manipulate for against we concludes basic issue is the on midstream Investors is up using for purposes priority potential to investor other can the illustrative this conclude purposes. we While on companies, monitor warranted time, forecast policy, their for line investor Based own remains That corporate not our simplistic developments material, the still relative and this prepared questions. Bottom-line used but long-term so and including at focused open and value. remarks