Thanks, Bob.
we Before the for markets RISI’s our of we in our which provide color for XXXX, each review includes the view environment businesses. operate market I that on some will outlook of
reflects estimated The private momentum in North dollar panel terms the with market. American Starting for tissue data positive IRI brands.
First, tissue total year-over-year. grew market X% the approximately
private Second, over for grew the brands same brands versus X.X% national XX.X% period.
Third, with strong for ago. private acceptance quality the fourth category. to brand to consumer preference The data the products especially continues private market point a XX.X% XX.X% to compared growing a year and share ultra quarter brands ended in
the new tons line and annum. growth RISI’s we in tissue long-term out bath for outpace in Private segment tissue capacity demand continues towels. year ultra approximately per total to growth believe brand the to $XXX,XXX category growth per and X.X% X% with paper to averages over tissue
expected capacity utilization Assuming to online all capacity scheduled imports that XX% remain plus per net as is between XX.X% and comes RISI.
is flat compared as XX.X% year XX.X%. end to fourth industry down RISI's operating from of to paperboard, American the quarter, XXXX XX% of remainder According is rate capacity the to which for to and of Turning the quarter ratio, XX.X% slightly ago, was rate North third operating AF&PA XXXX. the of the a outlook compared
box the year backlogs approximately by products end is trend sustainable look bleach lower more of longer food The weeks. of alternative. backlog board weeks At environmentally the industry Industry four a reported and RISI ago. RISI reported companies from the plastics. polystyrene backlog positive to second as away trend about We positioned are than the continue of single segment X% benefit the X.X service quarter believe of term consumer board used to remains from for industry for and packaging
outlook, to our On and Page items in outlook, notice from on full-year. added addition for have XX are some the usual to you quarterly as our also supplemental XX we
we your feedback. we investors and Following additional discussions be with welcome disclosure helpful certainly should believe the
our which So quarter the see you XX. with with on first that, will let's begin for XXXX outlook slide
outlook past. same have this is the we presented in notice will format the in You
is quarter on be relative adjusted of million EBITDA. for to quarter, our following EBITDA the XXXX million to the the to fourth For range $XX $XX based expectation first our key adjusted in assumptions
higher and a our to to First in million bars headwind expect volumes mix of first on that pricing be $X $X by we you we the two assume see offset bridge. can modest as million
to Arkansas a high voltage a without our utilities, winds $X million expect power. high which disruption facility damaged January our in we $X transmission headwind we were from lines power in weather-related Second, and million at
restored power run the place utility facility to a Our of period. in temporary the outage by mitigated this We after losses generators days. putting time during portion for eight
and credits to fourth one-time quarter costs lower million million will incremental repeat. maintenance $X expect we as not the Lastly, in costs of $X
weather costs higher Additionally, quarter incur to first the we due to in energy winter conditions.
detail XX slide to our to outlook XXXX. turning for Now
that walked Before our note our products. and many the major estimates market prices and on are for outside in including which industry through management's and based information and part we I data based control commodity on factors is assumptions, our prices expectations are market current
full our year said, items let results. for our that walk year through relative me With XXXX certain you to respect full to with XXXX outlook
growth we sales First in XXXX. to expect net X% of X%
our trends relative $XX expect the XXXX. we of tissue adjusted to and outlook, as serve drivers million Turning XXXX volume million here to of impact The a key price headwind EBITDA to currently to price continued and include index reduction. competition in SBS $XX mix
headwind currently million increases and other For $XX $XX a driven to expect by costs wage inflation. we million general benefit and
maintenance. to Turning
We XXXX million to driven expect maintenance Idaho $XX expectation by our facilities. in outages Arkansas to million $XX compared costs down or have a step at not either to
For pulp to EBITDA current pricing indices. million per our $XX by to favorably lower we adjusted outlook expect $XX price impact million
operation. of our million in XXXX optimization move end transportation combined impact Shelby continued adjusted for closer our Shelby as we $XX our Lewiston production our markets. for $XX expect we EBITDA realizing million and lastly major expansion to to benefits a pulp And we continue the the capital positive At projects, to
are benefit of the expected in be it EBITDA to competitive intend originally incremental making are sales. and and the In At if reaching XXXX, full full million Shelby production assured pleased focus levels utilization capacity, to for paper of There at $XX two achieved run will factors to benefit manufacturing on driving $XX be Lewiston, XXXX of million generating are rate when million we challenging that to to our cost $XX full project. we have realized.
pricing benefit you material pricing project we come cost realize under rest positive would see current in business good approximately pulp benefit of that assumption third outlook. across a XXXX our will the that is savings anticipated we our pulp or course news At First, from a will the not our benefit. pulp. The lower original of as has raw of
falling another come that the expected the facility original commissioning from impact fiber is third the well the to yields. second yields the expectations; reactor The of are from following of our enhanced anticipated project below polysulfide benefits we
outlook. benefit further yield. continue to our optimize will pulp incorporated We future to into Any working process will achieve the be incremental
know to closing, positioned In de-lever to we that are this or flow capabilities to generate balance our I sheet. year team improving ensure leadership main the cash well focus on with Arsen operational
end will I we my and questions. here So take prepared now remarks your