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Gary Stern: | | That’s really hard to ascertain. Really is. It’s really hard to ascertain in today’s environment. |
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(Greg Turlman): | | Okay. Well then would you say paper with a garnishment is more valuable than a paper without a garnishment? |
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Gary Stern: | | Yes assuming they keep their jobs. |
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(Greg Turlman): | | Okay. So that would create an immediate jump up in the value of that paper? |
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Gary Stern: | | We would hope it would but in today’s crazy world without a merger or all of a sudden there’ll be 18,000 less employees. So things happen. So it’s more than unknown as far as the viability of some one’s employment. But if they’re there for a long time and they’re employed and you’re garnishing then yes, the value goes up. |
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(Greg Turlman): | | Getting back to the, you know, the value of Seneca alone, I know when you bought it initially I believe a lot of the, you know, the assets or the — were related to liens on houses rather than garnishments I believe in the Seneca — I believe those liens were on houses like in New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, maybe Maryland. |
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| | And I was wondering are — have you done analysis of that paper — the Seneca portfolio for those individual houses to see whether they’re, you know, upside down or the mortgage is worth less than the house? Or, you know, have you done — gone granular on that? You know, the Seneca portfolio as of today or what the value of the real estate, you know? |
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Gary Stern: | | We haven’t done that. We don’t think that’s a viable way to look at it today. Just (we’ll) try to, you know, find value in these judgments, for jobs, for bank attachments and the housing market is not good at the present time. So we’re not about to foreclose on anybody. We’re waiting for the housing market to come back. |
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(Greg Turlman): | | And then the liens or the garnish that you have on the, you know, the (non-Seneca) portfolios do you think around 5% would be a good figure to use for that? |
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Bill Williams: | | This is Bill. The issue we have right now — and Gary briefly touched on it — whether it’s the Great Seneca portfolio or it’s the (legacy) portfolio to hope something like that in today’s market with the way it’s been shifting is reasonable. We think that what is out there right now is a collection stream that will continue. |
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| | The underlying value of these portfolios will be generated over the course of this time and collections will be extended out. The sale market will come back. What’s happened in the sale market — the resale market is very similar to what’s happening to the direct issuers. And that is prices have declined. |
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| | And we’ve seen some people withdraw their offerings because of the pricing that they’re being bid. So while we’re a buyer on the one hand and want to see the lower prices on the other hand to just go out and sell our portfolio today wouldn’t be getting the true value of the portfolio. |
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(Greg Turlman): | | Right. So — but yeah. I would certainly — I’m not suggesting you do that. But Cameron what you’re saying — if I interpreted it — is as the environment normalizes you will get a normalized market in the resale market for this paper. And the value will return to the values that you said during investor day. |