European Investor Meetings
June 25 - July 2, 2009
June 25 - July 2, 2009
Exhibit 99
2
PCG Investment Case
• PCG is focused on better service to our customers,
which is the foundation of our growth:
which is the foundation of our growth:
• Substantial Cap Ex Program
• Manageable financing requirements
• Decoupled revenues
• Pass-through of procurement costs
• 11.45% weighted ROE on 52% equity
• Low carbon footprint
PG&E SERVICE AREA
IN CALIFORNIA
IN CALIFORNIA
3
Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E)
(1) Authorized revenues = operating costs + (rate of return x rate base)
Rate base = net plant ± adjustments to approximate invested capital
Business Scope |
• Retail electricity and natural gas distribution service (construction, operations and maintenance) • Customer services (call centers, meter reading, billing) • 5.1 million electric and 4.3 million gas customer accounts |
Primary Assets |
• $11.9 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.) |
Regulation |
• California state regulation (CPUC) • Majority cost of service ratemaking (1) |
4
Electric And Gas Distribution
Midway
Los Banos
Moss Landing
Diablo Canyon
Gates
Dixon
Malin
Round Mt
Vaca
Business Scope |
• Wholesale electric transmission services (construction, maintenance) • Operation by CA Independent System Operator |
Primary Assets |
• $2.8 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.) |
Regulation |
• Federal regulation (FERC) • Cost of service ratemaking • Revenues vary with system load |
5
Electric Transmission
Business Scope |
• Natural gas transportation, storage, parking and lending services • Customers: PG&E natural gas distribution and electric generation businesses, industrial customers, California electric generators |
Primary Assets |
• $1.5 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.) |
Regulation |
• California state regulation (CPUC) • Ratemaking set through Gas Accord • Revenues vary with throughput |
6
Natural Gas Transmission
Business Scope |
• Electricity and ancillary services from owned and controlled resources • Energy procurement program |
Primary Assets |
• $2.0 billion of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.) • Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant (2,240 MW) • Gateway Generating Station (530 MW) • Largest privately owned hydro system (3,896 MW) • Funded nuclear plant decommissioning trusts of $1.8 billion |
Regulation |
• Cost of service ratemaking for utility-owned generation • Pass through of power procurement costs |
7
Electric Generation
Vision and Values
9
2009 Business Priorities
• Drive customer satisfaction
• Deliver on budget, on plan, and on purpose
• Improve reliability
• Improve safety and human performance
• Champion effective regulatory and legislative policies
10
PG&E Financial Strategy
• Achieve solid, sustained EPS growth
• Actively manage cash flow
• Maintain opportunistic financing approach
11
Capital Expenditure Outlook
Low Case $3.6B
Low Case $3.6B
High Case $3.7B
High Case $3.7B
Low Case $3.4B
Low Case $3.4B
High Case $3.8B
High Case $3.8B
Low Case $3.3B
Low Case $3.3B
High Case $4.8B
High Case $4.8B
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2008
2009
2010
2011
$ B
Low
Low
High
High
Low
Low
High
High
Low
Low
High
High
$3.7B
$3.7B
CapEx Outlook
CapEx Outlook
Actual
12
* Actual 2008 and projected 2009-2011 rate base is not adjusted for the impact of the carrying cost credit that primarily results from the second series of
the Energy Recovery Bonds. Earnings will be reduced by an amount equal to the deferred tax balance associated with the Energy Recovery Bonds
regulatory asset, multiplied by the Utility's equity ratio and by its equity return. This rate base offset carrying cost declines to zero when the taxes are
fully paid in 2012.
the Energy Recovery Bonds. Earnings will be reduced by an amount equal to the deferred tax balance associated with the Energy Recovery Bonds
regulatory asset, multiplied by the Utility's equity ratio and by its equity return. This rate base offset carrying cost declines to zero when the taxes are
fully paid in 2012.
Weighted Average Annual Rate Base*
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
28.0
2008
2009
2010
2011
$ B
Rate Base Growth
Low
Low
High
High
Low
Low
High
High
Low
Low
Low Case $20.1B
Low Case $20.1B
High Case $20.3B
High Case $20.3B
Low Case $22.1B
Low Case $22.1B
High Case $22.4B
High Case $22.4B
Low Case $24.3B
Low Case $24.3B
High Case $25.4B
High Case $25.4B
$18.2B
$18.2B
Actual
Residential Electric Bills
(1) Edison Electric Institute, Statistical Yearbook, Year 2007 (latest data available).
13
14
2011
EPS Guidance
$3.85
$3.85
2008
Actual
Actual
$2.95
$2.95
$3.65
$3.65
Low
Low
High
High
2010
$3.50
$3.50
$3.35
$3.35
2009
$3.25
$3.25
$3.15
$3.15
Earnings per Share from Operations
Earnings per Share from Operations
* Reg G reconciliation to GAAP for 2008 EPS from Operations, and 2009-2011 EPS Guidance available in Appendix and at www.pge-corp.com/investors
15
Generation
• Additional renewable generation investment opportunities
• Prior RFO Shortfalls
Electric Transmission & Gas Pipelines
• Additional transmission to reach renewable generation
• B.C. Transmission Line
• Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline
Additional Capital Opportunities
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Financial Assumptions 2009-2011
GUIDANCE REFLECTS:
• Capital expenditures consistent with low and high case ranges
• CPUC authorized ROE of at least 11.35% and Utility earns at least
12% on FERC projected rate base
12% on FERC projected rate base
• Ratemaking capital structure maintained at 52% equity
• CEE incentives, operational changes and efficiencies and tax cash
flow consistent with low and high case ranges
flow consistent with low and high case ranges
• Current conditions for debt and equity markets
• Resolution of FERC generator claims in 2009-2011 results in
financing needs
financing needs
17
• Sustainable, comparable dividend
• Payout ratio range of 50% - 70%
• Dividend growth in line with EPS growth.
Dividend Policy
Historical Quarterly Dividends per Share
18
• Infrastructure spend categories:
• Substations
• Poles and Maintenance
• New Customer Connects
• Capacity and Reliability
• Transmission spend categories
• System Expansion / Congestion Relief
• Maintenance and Replacement
• Automation Technology Expansion
• New Generation Interconnection
Investment in Infrastructure
19
SmartMeterTM Installations
Cumulative Meters Installed
Cumulative Meters Installed
1.7 million
1.7 million
1,656
1,656
2006
273,000
273,000
2007
2008
2009 PLAN
4.5 million
4.5 million
New Generation Investment
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Humboldt Bay Power Plant *
Colusa Generating Station *
* Humboldt Bay is a 163 MW plant currently under construction.
Projected Cost: $239M, scheduled completion 2010.
Projected Cost: $239M, scheduled completion 2010.
* Colusa is a 657 MW plant currently under construction.
Projected Cost: $673M, scheduled completion 2010.
Projected Cost: $673M, scheduled completion 2010.
PG&E Ownership of Renewables
Proposed Solar PV Program
• Up to 250 MW of Utility-owned PV generation
• Up to 250 MW of standard-offer PV PPAs
22
RPS Strategy
• Expect 14% deliveries from renewable resources in 2009
• Contracted/Current deliveries represent over 20% of projected load for 2013
• Utility Owned PV is a contributor to achieving RPS goals
23
PCG: Outlook for the Future
Leading renewable and energy efficiency
programs…
programs…
… and limiting risk from new
carbon legislation
carbon legislation
… and limiting risk from new
carbon legislation
carbon legislation
24
This presentation contains management’s guidance for PG&E Corporation’s 2009, 2010 and 2011 earnings per share from operations, projections of Pacific
Gas and Electric Company’s (Utility) capital expenditures, rate base and rate base growth, and projections of PG&E Corporation’s and the Utility’s financing
needs. These statements and projections, as well as the underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations
which management believes are reasonable. These statements and assumptions are necessarily subject to various risks and uncertainties, the realization or
resolution of which may be outside of management's control. Actual results may differ materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
include:
Gas and Electric Company’s (Utility) capital expenditures, rate base and rate base growth, and projections of PG&E Corporation’s and the Utility’s financing
needs. These statements and projections, as well as the underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations
which management believes are reasonable. These statements and assumptions are necessarily subject to various risks and uncertainties, the realization or
resolution of which may be outside of management's control. Actual results may differ materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
include:
• the Utility’s ability to manage capital expenditures and its operating and maintenance expenses within authorized levels;
• the outcome of pending and future regulatory proceedings and whether the Utility is able to timely recover its costs through rates;
• the adequacy and price of electricity and natural gas supplies, and the ability of the Utility to manage and respond to the volatility of the electricity and natural gas markets,
including the ability of the Utility and its counterparties to post or return collateral;
including the ability of the Utility and its counterparties to post or return collateral;
• the effect of weather, storms, earthquakes, fires, floods, disease, other natural disasters, explosions, accidents, mechanical breakdowns, disruptions of information technology
or computer systems, acts of terrorism, and other events or hazards on the Utility’s facilities and operations, its customers, and third parties on which the Utility relies;
or computer systems, acts of terrorism, and other events or hazards on the Utility’s facilities and operations, its customers, and third parties on which the Utility relies;
• the potential impacts of climate change on the Utility’s electricity and natural gas businesses;
• changes in customer demand for electricity and natural gas resulting from unanticipated population growth or decline, general economic and financial market conditions,
changes in technology, including the development of alternative energy sources, or other reasons;
changes in technology, including the development of alternative energy sources, or other reasons;
• operating performance of the Diablo Canyon Power Plant (“Diablo Canyon”), the availability of nuclear fuel, the occurrence of unplanned outages at Diablo Canyon or the
temporary or permanent cessation of operations at Diablo Canyon;
temporary or permanent cessation of operations at Diablo Canyon;
• whether the Utility can maintain the cost savings it has recognized from operating efficiencies it has achieved and identify and successfully implement additional sustainable
cost-saving measures;
cost-saving measures;
• whether the Utility incurs substantial expense to improve the safety and reliability of its electric and natural gas systems;
• whether the Utility achieves the California Public Utilities Commission’s (CPUC) energy efficiency targets and recognizes any incentives the Utility may earn in a timely manner;
• the impact of changes in federal or state laws, or their interpretation, on energy policy and the regulation of utilities and their holding companies;
• the impact of changing wholesale electric or gas market rules, including new rules of the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) to restructure the California
wholesale electricity market;
wholesale electricity market;
• how the CPUC administers the conditions imposed on PG&E Corporation when it became the Utility’s holding company;
• the extent to which PG&E Corporation or the Utility incurs costs and liabilities in connection with litigation that are not recoverable through rates, from insurance, or from other
third parties;
third parties;
• the ability of PG&E Corporation, the Utility, and counterparties, to access capital markets and other sources of credit in a timely manner on acceptable terms, especially given
the recent deteriorating conditions in the economy and financial markets;
the recent deteriorating conditions in the economy and financial markets;
• the impact of environmental laws and regulations and the costs of compliance and remediation;
• the effect of municipalization, direct access, community choice aggregation, or other forms of bypass;
• the outcome of federal or state tax audits and the impact of changes in federal or state tax laws, policies, or regulations; and
• other factors and risks discussed in PG&E Corporation’s and the Utility’s 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission.
Commission.
Cautionary Language Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
Statements
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Key Regulatory Filings
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011 General Rate Case
Summer 2009:
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Summer 2009:
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Prepare and File
Notice of Intent
Summer 2010:
Hearings
Hearings
January 2011:
Rates go into effect
Rates go into effect
2009
2009
2010
2010
Transmission Owner Rate Cases
Summer 2009:
File TO 12
File TO 12
Summer 2009:
File TO 12
File TO 12
Fall 2009: TO 11
Settlement
Approved
Settlement
Approved
Fall 2009: TO 11
Settlement
Approved
Settlement
Approved
Summer 2010:
File TO 13
File TO 13
Summer 2010:
File TO 13
File TO 13
2010
2010
2011 Cost of Capital Application
Spring 2010:
Initial Filing
Initial Filing
January 2011:
Rates go into effect
Rates go into effect
2011
2011
2008 total sources of electric energy*
Owned Generation | Type | Net Capacity (MW) |
Diablo Canyon | Nuclear | 2,240 |
Hydroelectric Facilities | Hydro | 3,896 |
Humboldt | Fossil | 135 |
Total | 6,271 |
Existing Resource Mix
* Approximately 12% of total retail sales are supplied by eligible renewable resources coming from utility-owned, QF, Irrigation Districts, and
other sources.
other sources.
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Utility Owned
30%
Irrigation Districts 2%
DWR
15%
QF/ Renewables
18%
Other Power
Purchases
35%
Year Signed | Project | Max GWh/yr | Technology |
2006 | HFI Silvan | 142 | Biomass |
2006 | Liberty Biofuels | 70 | Biofuels |
2006 | Bottle Rock USRG | 385 | Geothermal |
2006 | IAE Truckhaven | 366 | Geothermal |
2006 | Global Common - Chowchilla | 72 | Biomass |
2006 | Global Common - El Nido | 72 | Biomass |
2006 | Newberry | 840 | Geothermal |
2006 | Calpine Geysers | 1644 | Geothermal |
2006 | Microgy | TBD | Biogas |
2006 | Bio_Energy LLC | TBD | Biogas |
2006 | Palco | 36 | Biomass |
2007 | Solel | 1388 | Solar Thermal |
2007 | PPM-Klondike | 265 | Wind |
2007 | CalRenew | 9 | PV |
2007 | Green Volts | 5 | PV |
2007 | enXco | 509 | Wind |
2007 | Ausra | 388 | Solar Thermal |
Year Signed | Project | Max GWh/yr | Technology |
2008 | Calpine | 1533 | Geothermal |
2008 | Wadham | 141 | Biomass |
2008 | San Joaquin Solar | 700 | Solar Thermal- Biofuel Hybrid |
2008 | Arlington Wind (Horizon) | 240 | Wind |
2008 | OptiSolar / First Solar | 1148 | PV |
2008 | SunPower | 594 | PV |
2008 | Iberdrola/ BPA | 260 | Wind |
2008 | Hatchet Ridge | 303 | Wind |
2008 | El Dorado Energy (Sempra) | 23 | PV |
2009 | Puget | 1000 | Wind |
2009 | Solaren | 1700 | PV |
2009 | BrightSource | 3665 | Solar Thermal |
2009 | NextLight | 592 | PV |
2009 | South Feather | 100 | Hydro |
2009 | Shell Energy | 128 | Wind |
2009 | Woodlands | 190 | Biomass |
*Based on contracts signed through June 2009.
Over 20% of Projected Load Currently Under Contract*
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Renewable Contracts Signed
* Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure. This non-GAAP measure is used because it allows
investors to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not
reflect the normal course of operations.
investors to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not
reflect the normal course of operations.
** Items impacting comparability reconcile earnings from operations with consolidated net income as reported in accordance
with GAAP. For the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2008, PG&E Corporation recognized $257 million of
net income resulting from a settlement of tax audits for tax years 2001 through 2004. Of this amount, $154 million was
related to PG&E Corporation’s former subsidiary, National Energy & Gas Transmission, Inc., and was recorded as income
from discontinued operations
with GAAP. For the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2008, PG&E Corporation recognized $257 million of
net income resulting from a settlement of tax audits for tax years 2001 through 2004. Of this amount, $154 million was
related to PG&E Corporation’s former subsidiary, National Energy & Gas Transmission, Inc., and was recorded as income
from discontinued operations
EPS on an Earnings from Operations Basis* | $2.95 |
Items Impacting Comparability** | 0.68 |
EPS on a GAAP Basis | $3.63 |
2008
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2008 EPS - Reg G Reconciliation
(1) Earnings per share from operations is a non-GAAP measure. This non-GAAP measure is used because it allows investors to compare the core underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not reflect the normal course of operations. (2) Items impacting comparability reconcile earnings from operations with consolidated Income Available for Common Shareholders as reported in accordance with GAAP. (3) Tentative agreement to resolve federal tax refund claims related to tax years 1998 and 1999. (4) Recovery of costs incurred in connection with efforts to determine the market value of hydroelectric generation facilities. (5) Forecasted cost to accelerate the performance of system-wide gas integrity surveys and associated remedial work. |
Guidance Range
Guidance Range
Guidance Range
Reg G reconciliation also provided on the PG&E Corporation website: www.pge-corp.com/investors
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EPS Guidance - Reg G Reconciliation