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6-K Filing
Cameco (CCJ) 6-KCurrent report (foreign)
Filed: 20 Feb 25, 7:29am
Exhibit 99.3
Management’s discussion and analysis
February 20, 2025
10 | MARKET OVERVIEW AND DEVELOPMENTS | |
17 | 2024 PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS | |
22 | OUR VALUES AND STRATEGY | |
32 | OUR SUSTAINABILITY PRINCIPLES AND PRACTICES | |
35 | MEASURING OUR RESULTS | |
37 | FINANCIAL RESULTS | |
73 | OPERATIONS AND PROJECTS | |
107 | MINERAL RESERVES AND RESOURCES | |
112 | ADDITIONAL INFORMATION |
This management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) includes information that will help you understand management’s perspective of our audited consolidated financial statements (financial statements) and notes for the year ended December 31, 2024. The information is based on what we knew as of February 19, 2025.
We encourage you to read our audited consolidated financial statements and notes as you review this MD&A. You can find more information about Cameco, including our financial statements and our most recent annual information form, on our website at cameco.com, on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, or on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. You should also read our annual information form before making an investment decision about our securities.
The financial information in this MD&A and in our financial statements and notes is prepared according to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), unless otherwise indicated.
Unless we have specified otherwise, all dollar amounts are in Canadian dollars.
Throughout this document, the terms we, us, our, the Company and Cameco mean Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise indicated.
Caution about forward-looking information
Our MD&A includes statements and information about our expectations for the future. When we discuss our strategy, plans, future financial and operating performance, or other things that have not yet taken place, we are making statements considered to be forward-looking information or forward-looking statements under Canadian and United States (US) securities laws. We refer to them in this MD&A as forward-looking information.
Key things to understand about the forward-looking information in this MD&A:
• | It typically includes words and phrases about the future, such as: anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, forecast, goal, intend, outlook, plan, project, strategy, target, vision, and will (see examples below). |
• | It represents our current views and can change significantly. |
• | It is based on a number of material assumptions, including those we have listed on page 5, which may prove to be incorrect. |
• | Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect, due to the risks associated with our business. We list a number of these material risks on page 4. We recommend you also review our most recent annual information form, which includes a discussion of other material risks that could cause actual results to differ significantly from our current expectations. |
• | Forward-looking information is designed to help you understand management’s current views of our near- and longer-term prospects, and it may not be appropriate for other purposes. We will not necessarily update this information unless we are required to by securities laws. |
Examples of forward-looking information in this MD&A
• | our view that we have the strengths to take advantage of the world’s rising demand for safe, secure, reliable, affordable and carbon-free energy |
• | that we will continue to focus on delivering our products responsibly and addressing the risks and opportunities that we believe will make our business sustainable and will build long-term value |
• | our expectations about when future reactors will come online |
• | our expectations about 2025 and future global uranium supply, consumption, contracting, demand, geopolitical issues and the market including the discussion under the heading Market overview and developments |
• | our expectations for the future of the nuclear industry and the potential for new enrichment technology, including that nuclear power must be a central part of the solution to the world’s shift to a low-carbon climate-resilient economy and that our investment in enrichment technology, if successful, will allow us to participate in the entire nuclear fuel value chain |
• | our efforts to participate in the commercialization and deployment of small modular reactors (SMRs) and increase our contributions to decarbonization and help provide energy security by exploring SMRs and other emerging opportunities within the fuel cycle |
• | our expectations about future demand for SMRs |
• | our views on our ability to self-manage risk |
• | the discussion under the heading Our business |
• | the discussion under the heading Our strategy |
• | our expectations regarding the effect of supply scarcity on our long-term contract portfolio |
• | our expectations regarding the operation of, and production levels for, the Cigar Lake mine and McArthur River/Key Lake operation and fuel services, as well as our exploration activities at these and other sites |
• | our expectations regarding the future average unit cost of production at McArthur River/Key Lake at Cigar Lake and at JV Inkai operations |
• | our expectations regarding our licences for McArthur River, Key Lake and Crow Butte |
• | Kazatomprom’s planned production levels for JV Inkai and the timing of deliveries, and our other expectations regarding JV Inkai |
• | the discussion under the heading Our Sustainability principles and practices including our belief that we can be part of the solution to enhance national, energy and climate security, and our position to deliver significant long-term business value |
• | our expectations for uranium purchases, sales and deliveries |
• | our intentions regarding future dividend payments |
• | the discussion of our expectations relating to our Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) transfer pricing dispute, including our confidence that the courts would reject any attempt by CRA to utilize the same or similar positions for other tax years currently in dispute, our plan to file a notice of objection for 2018 and our belief that CRA should return the full amount of cash and security that has been paid or otherwise secured by us |
• | the discussion of our future plans for Cigar Lake and McArthur River/Key Lake under the heading 2024 performance highlights |
• | our views on our ability to align our production with market opportunities and our contract portfolio |
• | our expectation regarding opportunities to improve operational effectiveness and to reduce our impact on the environment, including through the use of digital and automation technologies |
• | the discussion under the heading Outlook for 2025, including expected business resiliency, expectations for 2025 average unit cost of sales, average purchase price per pound, deliveries and production, 2025 financial outlook, our revenue, tax rates, adjusted net earnings and cash flow sensitivity, and our price sensitivity analysis for our uranium segment |
2 CAMECO CORPORATION
• | the discussion under the heading Liquidity and capital resources, including expected liquidity to meet our 2025 obligations |
• | our expectation that the uranium contract portfolio we have built will continue to provide a solid revenue stream, and our portfolio management strategy, including our inventory strategy and the extent of our spot market purchases |
• | our expectation that our cash balances and operating cash flows will meet our anticipated 2025 capital requirements |
• | our expectations for our and Westinghouse Electric Company’s (Westinghouse) future capital expenditures and sources of funds |
• | our expectation that in 2025 we will be able to comply with all the covenants in our credit agreements |
• | our expectation that Westinghouse will continue to comply with the covenants in its credit agreements |
• | life of mine operating cost estimates for the Cigar Lake, McArthur River/Key Lake and JV Inkai operations |
• | our future plans and expectations for uranium properties, advanced uranium projects, and fuel services operating sites, including production levels and suspension of production at certain properties, pace of advancement and expansion capacity, carbon reduction targets and mine life, and that our core growth is expected to come from our existing mining and fuel services assets |
• | our expectations related to care and maintenance costs |
• | our mineral reserve and resource estimates |
• | our decommissioning estimates |
• | the discussion of our expectations relating to our 49% interest in Westinghouse, including the investment in Westinghouse expanding our participation in the nuclear fuel value chain, Westinghouse providing a platform for further growth, and various factors and drivers for Westinghouse’s business segment |
• | our expectation that our investment in Westinghouse will enhance our participation in the nuclear fuel cycle |
• | our expectation that our investment in Westinghouse will be accretive to us and augment the core of our business |
• | our expectation of Westinghouse being well positioned to participate in the growing demand profile for nuclear energy |
• | our plans to update our physical climate risk assessments, incorporate these findings into our internal risk management review and developing an adaptation action plan template and our expectations regarding the timing for implementation of these plans |
• | our expectations regarding our research and development expenses for 2025 |
• | our expectations regarding the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission’s review of our preliminary decommissioning cost estimate for the Port Hope conversion facility |
• | our expectations regarding which extraction methods we will use in the future |
• | our expectation that Westinghouse’s durable and growing business will allow Westinghouse to self-fund its approved annual operating budget, maintain its existing capacity to service its annual financial obligations from de-risked cash flows, and pay annual distributions to its owners |
• | our 2025 outlook for Westinghouse, including Adjusted EBITDA, capital expenditures and revenue |
• | our expectation that strategic initiatives, including the development of the AP300™ small modular reactor and the eVinci™ microreactor, will provide new business opportunities for Westinghouse that will make a meaningful contribution to Westinghouse’s long-term financial performance |
• | our expectation for Westinghouse projects generating multi-year revenue streams and EBITDA for Westinghouse |
• | our expectation that the timing of cash distributions from Westinghouse will be aligned with the timing of Westinghouse’s cash flows |
• | our expectation that Westinghouse’s new opportunities will allow Westinghouse to compete for and win new business |
• | our expectation that Westinghouse’s reputation and position will benefit its core business as Eastern European countries seek to develop a reliable fuel supply chain |
• | our expectations regarding the growth of Westinghouse’s Adjusted EBITDA over the next five years |
• | our estimates in respect of the framework for the timing of revenue flows and profitability of contracts under a new build project |
• | our expectations with respect to the development of the AP300 small modular reactor and eVinci microreactor |
• | our expectation on Westinghouse being well-positioned for future growth |
• | our expectations regarding when Global Laser Enrichment’s technology will be deployed at a commercial scale |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 3
Material risks
• | actual sales volumes or market prices for any of our products or services are lower than we expect, or cost of sales is higher than we expect, for any reason, including changes in market prices, loss of market share to a competitor, trade restrictions, geopolitical issues or the impact of a pandemic |
• | we are adversely affected by changes in currency exchange rates, interest rates, royalty rates, tax rates, tariffs or inflation |
• | our production costs are higher than planned, or necessary supplies are not available, or not available on commercially reasonable terms |
• | our strategies may change, be unsuccessful or have unanticipated consequences, or we may not be able to achieve anticipated operational flexibility and efficiency |
• | changing views of governments regarding the pursuit of carbon reduction strategies or our view may prove to be inaccurate on the role of nuclear power in pursuit of those strategies |
• | our estimates and forecasts prove to be inaccurate, including production, purchases, deliveries, cash flow, revenue, costs, decommissioning, reclamation expenses, or timing or receipt of future dividends from JV Inkai |
• | that we may not realize the expected benefits from our investment in Westinghouse or any of our other joint venture investments |
• | Westinghouse fails to generate sufficient cash flow to fund its approved annual operating budget or make distributions to the partners |
• | we are unable to enforce our legal rights under our existing agreements, permits or licences |
• | we are subject to litigation or arbitration that has an adverse outcome |
• | that the courts may accept the same, similar or different positions and arguments advanced by CRA to reach decisions that are adverse to us for other tax years |
• | the possibility of a materially different outcome in disputes with CRA for other tax years |
• | that CRA does not agree that the court rulings for the years that have been resolved in Cameco’s favour should apply to subsequent tax years |
• | that CRA will not return all or substantially all of the cash and security that has been paid or otherwise secured in a timely manner, or at all |
• | there are defects in, or challenges to, title to our properties |
• | our mineral reserve and resource estimates are not reliable, or there are unexpected or challenging geological, hydrological or mining conditions |
• | we are affected by environmental, safety and regulatory risks, including workforce health and safety or increased regulatory burdens or delays resulting from a pandemic or other causes |
• | we are adversely affected by subsurface contamination from current or legacy operations |
• | necessary permits or approvals from government authorities cannot be obtained or maintained |
• | we are affected by political risks, including developments in US foreign policy, global conflicts, sanctions or any potential future unrest in Kazakhstan |
• | we may be affected by crime, corruption, making improper payments or providing benefits that may violate Canadian or US law or laws relating to foreign corrupt practices or sanctions |
• | operations are disrupted due to problems with our own or our suppliers’ or customers’ facilities, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, equipment failure, lack of tailings capacity, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave-ins, ground movements, tailings dam failures, transportation disruptions or accidents, aging infrastructure or other development and operating risks |
• | we are affected by terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, social or political activism, outbreak of illness (such as a pandemic), accident or a deterioration in political support for, or demand for, nuclear energy |
• | a major accident at a nuclear power plant |
• | we are impacted by changes in the regulation or public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants, which adversely affect the construction of new plants, the relicensing of existing plants and the demand for uranium |
• | government laws, regulations, policies or decisions that adversely affect us, including tax and trade laws, tariffs and sanctions, including changes in mining laws or regulations |
• | our uranium suppliers or purchasers fail to fulfil their commitments |
• | our McArthur River development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed for any reason |
• | our Cigar Lake development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed for any reason |
• | our production plans for our fuel services segment do not succeed for any reason |
• | the McClean Lake’s mill production plan is delayed or does not succeed for any reason |
• | water quality and environmental concerns could result in a potential deferral of production and additional capital and operating expenses required for the Cigar Lake and McArthur River/Key Lake operations |
• | JV Inkai’s development, mining or production plans are delayed or do not succeed for any reason, or JV Inkai is unable to transport and deliver its production |
• | we may be unsuccessful in pursuing innovation or implementing advanced technologies, including the risk that the commercialization and deployment of SMRs or new enrichment technology may incur unanticipated delays or expenses, or ultimately prove to be unsuccessful |
• | our expectations relating to care and maintenance costs prove to be inaccurate |
• | the risk that we may not be able to realize our expected cash flow |
• | the risk that we may become unable to pay future dividends at the expected rate |
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• | we are affected by natural phenomena, including inclement weather, fire, flood and earthquakes |
• | the risks that generally apply to all our operations and advanced uranium projects that are discussed under the heading Managing the risks beginning on page 70 |
• | the risks relating to our tier-one uranium operations discussed under the heading McArthur River mine/Key Lake mill – Managing Our Risks beginning on page 75, under the heading Cigar Lake – Managing Our Risks beginning on page 79, and under the heading Inkai – Managing Our Risks beginning on page 83 |
• | unexpected changes in uranium supply, demand, long-term contracting, and prices |
• | changes in consumer demand for nuclear power and uranium as a result of changing societal views and objectives regarding nuclear power, electrification and decarbonization |
• | the risk that our views regarding nuclear power, its growth profile, and benefits may prove to be incorrect |
• | the risk that we and Westinghouse may not be able to meet sales commitments for any reason |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may not achieve the expected growth in its business |
• | the risk to Westinghouse’s business associated with potential production disruptions, including those related to global supply chain disruptions, global economic uncertainty, political volatility, labour relations issues, and operating risks |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may not be able to implement its business objectives in a manner consistent with its or our sustainability principles and other values |
• | the risk that Westinghouse’s strategies may change, be unsuccessful, or have unanticipated consequences |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may be unsuccessful in respect of its new business |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may be delayed in announcing its future financial results |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may fail to comply with nuclear licence and quality assurance requirements at its facilities |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may lose protections against liability for nuclear damage, including discontinuation of global nuclear liability regimes and indemnities |
• | the risk that increased trade barriers may adversely impact our business, or the business of any of the joint ventures in which we have invested |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may default under its credit facilities, impacting adversely Westinghouse’s ability to fund its ongoing operations and to make distributions |
• | the risk that liabilities at Westinghouse may exceed our estimates and the discovery of unknown or undisclosed liabilities |
• | the risk that occupational health and safety issues may arise at Westinghouse’s operations |
• | the risk that there may be disputes between us and Brookfield Renewable Partners (Brookfield) regarding our strategic partnership, or disputes between us and any of our other joint venture partners |
• | the risk that we may default under the governance agreement with Brookfield, including us losing some or all of our interest in Westinghouse |
Material assumptions
• | our expectations regarding sales and purchase volumes and prices for uranium and fuel services, cost of sales, trade restrictions, inflation and that counterparties to our sales and purchase agreements will honour their commitments |
• | our expectations for the nuclear industry, including its growth profile, market conditions, geopolitical issues and the demand for and supply of uranium |
• | the continuing pursuit of carbon reduction strategies by governments and the role of nuclear in the pursuit of those strategies |
• | the assumptions discussed under the heading 2025 Financial Outlook |
• | our expectations regarding spot prices and realized prices for uranium, and other factors discussed under the heading Price sensitivity analysis: uranium segment |
• | Westinghouse’s ability to generate cash flow and fund its approved annual operating budget and make distributions to the partners |
• | our ability to compete for additional business opportunities so as to generate additional revenue for us as a result of our investment in Westinghouse |
• | market conditions and other factors upon which we based our investment in Westinghouse and our related forecasts will be as expected |
• | the success of our plans and strategies relating to our investment in Westinghouse and our other joint venture investments |
• | that the construction of new nuclear power plants and the relicensing of existing nuclear power plants will not be more adversely affected than expected by changes in regulation or in the public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants |
• | our ability to continue to supply our products and services in the expected quantities and at the expected times |
• | our expected production levels for Cigar Lake, McArthur River/Key Lake, JV Inkai and our fuel services operating sites |
• | our cost expectations, including production costs, operating costs, and capital costs |
• | our expectations regarding tax payments, tax rates, tariffs, royalty rates, currency exchange rates and interest rates |
• | our entitlement to and ability to receive expected refunds and payments from CRA |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 5
• | in our dispute with CRA, that courts will reach consistent decisions for other tax years that are based upon similar positions and arguments |
• | that CRA will not successfully advance different positions and arguments that may lead to different outcomes for other tax years |
• | our expectation that we will recover all or substantially all of the amounts paid or secured in respect of the CRA dispute to date |
• | our decommissioning and reclamation estimates, including the assumptions upon which they are based, are reliable |
• | our mineral reserve and resource estimates, and the assumptions upon which they are based, are reliable |
• | our understanding of the geological, hydrological and other conditions at our uranium properties |
• | our Cigar Lake and McArthur River development, mining and production plans succeed |
• | our Key Lake mill production plan succeeds |
• | the McClean Lake mill is able to process Cigar Lake ore as expected |
• | our production plans for our fuel services segment succeed |
• | JV Inkai’s development, mining and production plans succeed, and that JV Inkai will be able to transport and deliver its production |
• | the ability of JV Inkai to pay dividends, or the timing of their payments |
• | that care and maintenance costs will be as expected |
• | our and our contractors’ ability to comply with current and future environmental, safety and other regulatory requirements, and to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals |
• | that we will be successful in our efforts to renew our operating licence for Crow Butte |
• | assumptions regarding our expected cash flow |
• | our operations and those of our joint venture investments are not significantly disrupted as a result of political instability, sanctions, nationalization, developments in US foreign policy, terrorism, sabotage, blockades, civil unrest, breakdown, natural disasters, outbreak of illness (such as a pandemic), governmental or political actions, litigation or arbitration proceedings, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave-ins, ground movements, tailings dam failure, lack of tailings capacity, transportation disruptions or accidents, aging infrastructure or other development or operating risks |
• | that no major accident at a nuclear power plant will occur |
• | nuclear power and uranium demand, supply, consumption, long-term contracting, growth in the demand for and global public acceptance of nuclear energy, and prices |
• | Westinghouse’s production, purchases, sales, deliveries, and costs |
• | the assumptions and discussion set out under the heading Westinghouse Electric Company – Future Prospects |
• | the market conditions and other factors upon which we have based Westinghouse’s future plans and forecasts |
• | Westinghouse’s ability to mitigate adverse consequences of delays in production and construction |
• | the success of Westinghouse’s plans and strategies |
• | the absence of new and adverse laws, government regulations, policies or decisions in any country where such developments would affect us, including with respect to changes in mining laws or regulations |
• | that there will not be any significant adverse consequences to Westinghouse’s business resulting from business disruptions, including those relating to supply disruptions, economic or political uncertainty and volatility, labour relation issues, and operating risks |
• | Westinghouse’s ability to announce future financial results when expected |
• | Westinghouse will comply with the covenants in its credit agreements |
• | Westinghouse will comply with nuclear licence and quality assurance requirements at its facilities |
• | Westinghouse maintaining protections against liability for nuclear damage, including continuation of global nuclear liability regimes and indemnities |
• | that known and unknown liabilities at Westinghouse will not materially exceed our estimates |
• | the absence of disputes between us and Brookfield or any of our other joint venture partners regarding our strategic partnership or joint venture arrangements, and that we do not default under the governance agreement with Brookfield or any other joint venture agreement to which we are a party |
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8 CAMECO CORPORATION
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 9
Market overview and developments
A market in transition
In 2024, geopolitical uncertainty and heightened concerns about energy security, national security, and climate change continued to improve the demand and supply fundamentals for the nuclear power industry and the fuel cycle that is required to support it. Increasingly, countries and companies around the globe are recognizing the critical role nuclear power must play in providing carbon-free and secure baseload power which was evidenced at the 29th Conference of Parties (COP29), where a total of 31 countries have now signed the declaration to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050. This growing support has led to a rise in demand as closed reactors are returning to service, reactors are being saved from retirement, life extensions are being sought and approved for existing reactor fleets, and numerous commitments and plans are advancing for the construction of new nuclear generating capacity. In addition, there is increasing interest in small modular reactors (SMR), including smaller versions of existing technology and advanced technology designs, with companies in energy intensive sectors looking to nuclear to help achieve their decarbonization plans. The potential expansion of the markets and use cases for nuclear energy could add significant demand in the decades to come, with a growing number of agreements being signed and several projects already underway.
While demand for uranium and nuclear fuel continues to increase, future supply is not keeping pace. Heightened supply risk caused by growing geopolitical uncertainty, shrinking secondary supplies and a lack of investment in new capacity over the past decade has motivated utilities to evaluate their near-, mid- and long-term nuclear fuel supply chains. The uncertainty about where nuclear fuel supplies will come from to satisfy growing demand has led to significant long-term contracting activity in recent years. In 2024, about 119 million pounds of uranium was placed under long-term contracts by utilities. While the volume remains below replacement rate, this potentially increases the cumulative level of uncovered requirements in the future, when primary supply is expected to be limited, and secondary supply stocks have been drawn down. Prices across the nuclear fuel cycle continued to trend higher in 2024, reaching historic highs in conversion, where spot price increased 111% and term price rose 46% compared to 2023, and in enrichment, where spot and term prices rose over 23% and 10% respectively compared to 2023. At the front end of the cycle, uranium spot prices experienced volatility and averaged $85 (US) per pound for 2024, while the long-term uranium price increased 19% over the prior year, ending 2024 above $80 (US) per pound. We expect continued competition to secure uranium, conversion services and enrichment services under long-term contracts with proven sustainable producers and suppliers who have a diversified portfolio of assets in geopolitically attractive jurisdictions, and on terms that help ensure a reliable supply is available to satisfy demand.
DURABLE DEMAND GROWTH
The benefits of nuclear energy have come clearly into focus, supporting a level of durability that, we believe, has not been previously seen. The durability is being driven not only by the geopolitical realignment in energy markets but also by a global focus on achieving the net-zero carbon targets set by countries and companies around the world. Geopolitical uncertainty has deepened concerns about energy security and national security, highlighting the role of energy policy in balancing three main objectives: providing a reliable and secure baseload profile; providing an affordable, levelized cost profile; and providing a clean emissions profile. Net-zero carbon targets are also turning global attention to a broader triple challenge: about one-third of the global population must be lifted out of energy poverty by improving access to clean and reliable baseload electricity; approximately 80% of the current global electricity grids that run on carbon-emitting sources of thermal power must be replaced with a carbon-free, reliable alternative; and global power grids must grow by electrifying industries, such as private and commercial transportation, and home and industrial heating, which today are largely powered with carbon-emitting sources of thermal energy. There is increasing recognition that nuclear power meets these objectives and has a key role to play in achieving energy security and decarbonization goals. The growth in demand is not just long-term and in the form of new builds, but medium-term in the form of reactor restarts and life extensions, and near-term with early reactor retirement plans being deferred or cancelled and new markets continuing to emerge. Long-term momentum remains very supportive with the installed base of nuclear capacity and an increasing focus on large-scale new build and the development of SMRs.
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Demand and energy policy highlights
• | The inaugural Nuclear Energy Summit was held in Brussels in March, jointly organized by Belgium and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) with representatives from 32 countries in attendance. The leaders backed supportive measures in areas including financing, regulatory cooperation, technological innovation and workforce training to enable the expansion of nuclear power to help address climate change and boost energy security. |
• | At the 29th annual Conference of Parties (COP29), the 2024 United Nations Climate Change Conference held in Baku, Azerbaijan, six new countries were added to the declaration to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050, bringing the total to 31. It was recognized that financing mechanisms will play a key role in meeting targets, and the increased interest and investment from some of the world’s largest and advanced technology companies could help support future nuclear deployment. |
• | The International Energy Agency’s (IEA) 2024 World Energy Outlook report was released in October. The projections for global electricity demand in the Stated Policies Scenario (SPS) increased 6%, or 2,200 terawatt-hours (TWh) higher in 2035, driven primarily by light industrial consumption, cooling, mobility, and data centers and artificial intelligence (AI). Nuclear generation showed a modest increase in the SPS while the Net Zero Scenario (NZE) shows a 16% increase to 7,000 TWh by 2050, compared to 6,000 TWh in the previous report. |
• | In China, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) started construction at Zhangzhou unit 3 in early 2024, a domestically designed Hualong One (HPR1000), with plans for six more units at the site. CNNC also commenced construction at the Jinqimen nuclear project where it has plans for six HPR1000s. Additionally, China General Nuclear announced that Fangchenggang unit 4, an HPR1000, began loading fuel in February and began operating on April 1. Finally, in August, four new CAP1400 reactors that use Westinghouse technology were approved, bringing the total number of approved reactors in China to 16. |
• | In Japan, Onagawa unit 2 restarted in October, becoming the first boiling water reactor (BWR) to return to operation under the post-2011 Japanese Nuclear Regulatory Authority (NRA) safety regime. Additionally, Chugoku Electric Power Company successfully restarted Shimane unit 2 in December, bringing the total number of restarted reactors to 14. Finally, the NRA approved a 10-year life extension for two of Kansai’s reactors, Ohi units 3 and 4, from 30 years to 40 years, allowing them to operate until 2061 and 2063, respectively. |
• | In South Korea, Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) announced that Shin Hanul unit 2 entered commercial operation, while units 3 and 4 are proceeding toward construction. In addition, Saeul units 3 and 4 are progressing through construction, which upon completion will mark 30 units operating in the country. KHNP also initiated the process to extend the lives of Wolsong units 2, 3 and 4. |
• | In India, the Atomic Energy Commission reaffirmed the country’s plan to triple nuclear power generation by 2030 from current output of 7.5 GWe, with an additional nine reactors currently under construction and additional units planned at various sites, which could potentially include SMRs. The most recent activity has been at Rajasthan unit 7, which is expected to be fully operational in early 2025, and Rajasthan unit 8 which is expected to come online in early 2026. |
• | In the Czech Republic, the government announced KHNP as the preferred bid for the construction of two additional units at the existing Dukovany nuclear site and two at the Temelin site. |
• | Energoatom saw first concrete poured in the construction of Khmelnitski units 5 and 6. The new reactors will be the first built in Ukraine using Westinghouse’s AP1000® technology. |
• | Italy is moving towards a reversal of the country’s current ban on nuclear power production with plans to finalize a nuclear reintroduction strategy by the end of 2027. |
• | In Poland, the government approved a plan to build an SMR based on designs from Rolls-Royce. Additionally, Polskie Elektrownie Jądrowe announced it has received a Letter of Interest for $1.5 billion (US) in potential financing from Export Development Canada to support Poland’s AP1000 project, which aims to be the country’s first nuclear power plant. |
• | In Romania, the US Exim Bank approved a $98 million (US) loan commitment for the financing of an SMR project utilizing NuScale technology, with additional funding announcements at the G7 leaders’ summit, totaling up to $275 million (US). The project aims for 462 MWe of capacity at a retired coal plant in the country, with a total of six 77 MWe modules to be constructed. |
• | In Egypt, the fourth and final VVER-1200 unit at El Dabba began construction. Unit 1 is expected to begin commercial operation in 2029 with the remaining three to follow in the early to mid-2030s. |
• | Following a lengthy legal battle, Brazilian utility Electronuclear was successful in appealing the government ordered suspension of activity at Angra unit 3, a 1,350 MWe reactor, allowing it to continue construction. |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 11
• | In the US, Southern Company announced that Vogtle unit 4, a Westinghouse AP1000, moved into commercial operation, making it the second new reactor to come online in the US in over 28 years. |
• | The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission approved Dominion’s North Anna units 1 and 2 for an extension of their operating licences from 60 to 80 years, keeping the reactors online until the 2050s, while Vistra received approval to operate Comanche Peak units 1 and 2 for up to 60 years. Additionally, approval was received to extend Pacific Gas & Electric’s two-unit Diablo Canyon plant operation until 2030, while filings have already been made to extend the operating lives of the units a further 20 years, until the mid-2040s. |
• | The US Department of Energy (DOE) released its Advanced Nuclear Commercial Liftoff report, outlining the need to add 200 GWe of new generating capacity in order to triple US nuclear capacity by 2050, as part of their net-zero emissions target. Starting in 2030, the report calls for a 13 GWe annual increase in output for 15 years to reach 300 GWe by 2050. This increase is expected to come from extending reactor operating licences, uprating of capacity, and restarting shutdown reactors, along with new large scale and advanced reactors. The report also calls for a significant increase in capacity across the nuclear fuel supply chain and notably, a secure supply of uranium from the US, allies, and partners. |
• | The US DOE announced plans to finance $900 million (US) for deployment of light-water SMRs, with $800 million (US) of the funding for two of the “first-mover teams” which can include utilities, SMR producers, vendors, and other end-users. In addition, former President Biden signed the Accelerating Deployment of Versatile, Advanced Nuclear for Clean Energy (ADVANCE) Act into law, which builds on prior legislation to modernize licensing, speed up the licensing process and reduce fees, while simplifying the environmental review process. |
• | Numerous utilities made positive progress towards restarting shutdown nuclear plants in 2024. Holtec International announced their intention to restart the Palisades 800 MWe pressurized water reactor in Michigan, with both state and federal governments backing the effort, which would mark the first US reactor to restart after being shut down for decommissioning. Additionally, NextEra Energy announced they have initiated the regulatory process to restart the Duane Arnold plant, which could see the reactor returning to operation as early as 2028. Finally, Constellation Energy announced their $1.6 billion (US) plan to restart the 835 MWe Crane Clean Energy Center (formerly Three Mile Island Unit 1) in Pennsylvania. The restart is planned for 2028 with Microsoft agreeing to a 20-year power purchase agreement to support the investments in restarting the plant. |
• | With the rapid expansion of AI and data center demand, numerous other technology companies also made commitments to nuclear for both large scale and SMR projects. Notably, Google announced a deal with Kairos Power to buy the output from at least six first-of-a-kind fluoride salt-cooled, high-temperature reactors. Additionally, Amazon and Energy Northwest announced an agreement for Amazon to fund the development of SMRs, with the right to purchase power from the first four Xe-100 units (320 MWe) and an option for Energy Northwest to build up to eight additional units (640 MWe). Finally, Sabey, a US data center developer, is working with TerraPower to explore the deployment of Natrium SMRs at current and future data center sites. |
• | In Canada, Bruce Power submitted plans for its Bruce C Project, planning to add 4.8 GWe of new generation to complement 6.5 GWe of existing generation. In early 2025, the Ontario government announced plans for Ontario Power Group (OPG) to construct a 10 GWe nuclear plant near Port Hope. In addition, OPG is proceeding with refurbishments of Pickering B’s four units, expected to be completed by the mid-2030s and extending the plants’ operating lives by 30 years. OPG also successfully completed initial site preparation at the Darlington plant for the first of four GE-Hitachi BWRX-300 SMRs, with the nuclear portion of construction for the first unit set to start in early 2025, with planned commercial operation in 2029. |
• | Westinghouse opened a new nuclear engineering hub in Kitchener, Ontario, where 50 engineers will be stationed. In addition, SaskPower, Westinghouse, and Cameco signed a Memorandum of Understanding to evaluate Saskatchewan’s clean energy needs involving discussions on the AP1000, AP300 and eVinci reactors. The province will be evaluating the suitability of its infrastructure for a nuclear fuel supply chain through SaskNuclear, a newly formed subsidiary of SaskPower. |
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According to the IAEA, globally there are currently 440 operable reactors and 62 reactors under construction. Several nations are appreciating the energy security and carbon-free energy benefits of nuclear power and have reaffirmed their commitment with plans underway to support existing reactor units and review policies to encourage more nuclear generation. Several other non-nuclear countries have emerged as candidates for new nuclear capacity. In some countries where phase-out policies have been in place, policy reversals and decisions have been made to keep reactors running, with public opinion polls showing increasing support. With a number of reactor construction projects recently approved and many more planned, demand for uranium continues to improve. There is growing recognition of the role nuclear must play in providing safe, affordable, carbon-free baseload electricity to achieve a low-carbon economy, with geopolitical uncertainty causing some utilities to move away from Russian energy supplies and seek nuclear fuel suppliers whose values are aligned with their own, or whose origin of supply better protects them from potential interruptions.
SUPPLY UNCERTAINTY
Geopolitical uncertainty, energy security, and national security remained the most notable factors impacting security of supply in 2024. Driven by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the mine suspension in Niger, and supply chain challenges, particularly in Kazakhstan, many governments and utilities are re-examining procurement strategies that rely on nuclear fuel supplies from these jurisdictions. In addition, sanctions on Russia and import/export restrictions added to the delivery risks for nuclear fuel supplies coming out of Central Asia. Several uranium projects restarted in 2024 in support of increased demand, though delays and higher-than-expected production costs were a common theme. Despite the positive price trend in 2024, the deepening geopolitical uncertainty, sanctions and trade policy restrictions, and years of underinvestment in new uranium and fuel cycle service capacities has shifted risk from producers to utilities.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 13
Supply and trade policy highlights
• | The Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act (H.R. 1042) went into effect in August with the intent to prohibit the imports of Russian low-enriched uranium (LEU) into the US until 2040. It contains a US DOE waiver process available until 2028, where utilities can apply through a public process for an exception to the import ban in situations concerning energy and national security. In November, the Russian government issued a decree to immediately limit the export of LEU to the US, which was meant to be symmetrical to the trade actions taken by the US earlier in the year. This resulted in two ships departing from St. Petersburg to Baltimore without any of their intended enriched uranium product cargo onboard. |
• | The DOE approved funding of up to $2.7 billion (US) to support domestic production of LEU and high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) by creating a guaranteed buyer of US-produced nuclear fuel to restore US nuclear fuel production capabilities. Initial awards were granted for HALEU in October and LEU in December. |
• | In January 2025, Kazatomprom (KAP) announced that 2024 production increased 10% from the prior year to 60.5 million pounds U3O8. No update was provided on 2025 production guidance beyond its previous announcement from August 2024, where it lowered its 2025 guidance range to 65 million to 68.9 million pounds U3O8 (previously 79.3 million to 81.9 million pounds U3O8), citing project delays and continued sulfuric acid shortages. A significant portion of the reduced 2025 guidance resulted from production delays at Appak LLP, as well as JV Budenovskoye LLP. Additionally, KAP reduced production guidance for JV KATCO LLP below annual production capacity until at least 2026. |
• | In July, the government of Kazakhstan introduced amendments to the Tax Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan which involved changes to the Mineral Extraction Tax (MET) rate for uranium. The MET rate will increase from 6% in 2024, to 9% in 2025, with the introduction of a progressive system based on actual annual production volumes under each subsoil use agreement, starting in 2026, where the highest rate is 18% for operations producing over 10.4 million pounds. An additional MET of up to 2.5% based on the spot market price of uranium, will also be added in 2026. The MET is incurred and paid by the mining entities, impacting both KAP and different JVs and subsidiaries. |
• | In October, Orano announced plans to temporarily suspend operations at their SOMAIR mine in Niger due to growing financial difficulties resulting from the coup d’état in July 2023 and the subsequent closure of the main supply and export route in Niger. Orano confirmed in December that the Nigerien authorities have taken operational control of the project, resulting from escalating conflicts between the company and the country’s ruling military junta. Earlier in the year, Orano also reported that the Nigerien government revoked their operating permit for their undeveloped Imouraren deposit. Further in the region, GoviEx Uranium Inc. (GoviEx) was informed by the Nigerien government that they no longer have rights over the perimeter of the Madaouela mining permit. In December, both Orano and GoviEx initiated arbitration proceedings against the Republic of Niger for the Imouraren and Madaouela projects respectively. |
• | In March, Paladin Energy Ltd. (Paladin) announced the restart of its Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia which has an annual production capacity of 5.2 million pounds U3O8 and had been in care and maintenance since 2018. In November, Paladin updated their 2025 production guidance from 4.0-4.5 million pounds U3O8 to 3.0-3.6 million pounds U3O8 due to ongoing challenges and operational variability in ramping up production. |
• | In 2024, several other uranium projects also restarted production including Boss Energy’s Honeymoon ISR project in Australia, Uranium Energy Corp.’s Christensen Ranch ISR operations in Wyoming, enCore Energy’s Alta Mesa Uranium Central Processing Plant and Wellfield in Texas, and Peninsula Energy Ltd.’s Lance ISR project in Wyoming. In June, Terrafame also reported it officially started recovering natural uranium at its industrial site in Sotkamo, Finland. |
• | Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SPUT) purchased about three million pounds U3O8 in 2024, bringing total purchases since inception to nearly 48 million pounds U3O8, and a total physical position of 66.2 million pounds U3O8. Volatility in the equity market impacts SPUT’s ability to raise funds to purchase uranium based on its share price trading at a discount or a premium to the net asset value (NAV) of the uranium it holds; in 2024 SPUT was at a discount to NAV for most of the year, negatively impacting its ability to buy uranium. |
• | Following 2023 announcements from both Urenco and Orano to proceed with enrichment capacity expansion projects, 2024 saw advancements with the first new centrifuges being installed at Urenco USA and Orano starting construction at its Georges Besse II (GBII) expansion in France. A total capacity expansion of 1.8 million separative work units (SWU) is planned across three Urenco facilities including in Germany and the Netherlands, which represents a 10% capacity increase, whereas Orano seeks to grow GBII’s enrichment capacity by approximately 2.5 million SWU annually, a 30% increase. |
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Long-term contracting creates full-cycle value for proven productive assets
Like other commodities, the demand for uranium is cyclical. However, unlike other commodities, uranium is not traded in meaningful quantities on a commodity exchange. The uranium market is principally based on bilaterally negotiated long-term contracts covering the annual run-rate requirements of nuclear power plants, with a small spot market to serve discretionary demand. History demonstrates that in general, when prices are rising and high, uranium is perceived as scarce, and more contracting activity takes place with proven and reliable suppliers. The higher demand discovered during this contracting cycle drives investment in higher-cost sources of production, which due to lengthy development timelines, tend to miss the contracting cycle and ramp up after demand has already been won by proven producers. When prices are declining and low, there is no perceived urgency to contract, and contracting activity and investment in new supply dramatically decreases. After years of low prices, and a lack of investment in supply, and as the uncommitted material available in the spot market begins to thin, security-of-supply tends to overtake price concerns. Utilities typically re-enter the long-term contracting market to ensure they have a reliable future supply of uranium to run their reactors.
UxC reports that over the last five years approximately 534 million pounds U3O8 equivalent have been locked-up in the long-term market, while approximately 798 million pounds U3O8 equivalent have been consumed in reactors. We remain confident that utilities have a growing gap to fill.
We believe the current backlog of long-term contracting presents a substantial opportunity for proven and reliable suppliers with tier-one productive capacity and a record of honoring supply commitments. As a low-cost producer, we manage our operations to increase value throughout these price cycles.
In our industry, customers do not come to the market right before they need to load nuclear fuel into their reactors. To operate a reactor that could run for more than 60 years, natural uranium and the downstream services have to be purchased years in advance, allowing time for a number of processing steps before a finished fuel bundle arrives at the power plant. At present, we believe there is a significant amount of uranium that needs to be contracted to keep reactors running into the next decade.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 15
UxC estimates that cumulative uncovered requirements are about 2.1 billion pounds to the end of 2040. With the lack of investment over the past decade, there is growing uncertainty about where uranium will come from to satisfy growing demand, and utilities are becoming increasingly concerned about the availability of material to meet their long-term needs. In addition, secondary supplies have diminished, and the material available in the spot market has thinned as producers and financial funds continue to purchase material. Furthermore, geopolitical uncertainty is causing some utilities to seek nuclear fuel suppliers whose values are aligned with their own or whose origin of supply better protects them from potential interruptions, including from transportation challenges or the possible imposition of formal sanctions.
We will continue to take the actions we believe are necessary to position the company for long-term success. Therefore, we will continue to align our production decisions with our customers’ needs under our contract portfolio. We will undertake contracting activity which is intended to ensure we have adequate protection while maintaining exposure to the benefits that come from having uncommitted, low-cost supply to place into a strengthening market.
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2024 performance highlights
In 2024, we revised our calculation of adjusted net earnings to adjust for unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses as well as for share-based compensation because it better reflects how we assess our operational performance. We have restated comparative periods to reflect this change. See non-IFRS measures starting on page 65 for more information.
Financial performance
HIGHLIGHTS DECEMBER 31 ($ MILLIONS EXCEPT WHERE INDICATED) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Revenue | 3,136 | 2,588 | 21 | % | ||||||||
Gross profit | 783 | 562 | 39 | % | ||||||||
Net earnings attributable to equity holders | 172 | 361 | (52 | )% | ||||||||
$ per common share (diluted) | 0.39 | 0.83 | (52 | )% | ||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 292 | 383 | (24 | )% | ||||||||
$ per common share (adjusted and diluted) | 0.67 | 0.88 | (24 | )% | ||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 1,531 | 884 | 73 | % | ||||||||
Cash provided by operations | 905 | 688 | 32 | % |
Net earnings attributable to equity holders (net earnings) and adjusted net earnings were lower in 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to the impact of purchase accounting on the full year results of Westinghouse. As a result, we believe adjusted EBITDA is a better measure to assess our operating performance. See 2024 consolidated financial results beginning on page 38 for more information. Of note, we:
• | increased adjusted EBITDA by 73% as a result of improving results in our uranium segment due to the return to our tier-one production levels, as well as full year results from Westinghouse, our share of its adjusted EBITDA being $483 million for 2024. See non-IFRS measures starting on page 65 for more information. |
• | generated $905 million in cash from operations |
• | received a cash dividend of $129 million (US), net of withholdings, from JV Inkai |
• | received $49 million (US) in February 2025, which represents our share of a $100 million (US) distribution paid by Westinghouse |
• | successfully refinanced $500 million in unsecured debentures that matured in 2024. The refinanced debt now matures in 2031 with credit spreads reflective of a higher credit rating than we currently have been assigned |
• | prioritized repayment of $400 million (US) of the $600 million (US) term loan utilized to finance the acquisition of Westinghouse, reducing total debt to $1.3 billion. The remaining $200 million (US) was repaid in January 2025, extinguishing the term loan. See Liquidity starting on page 50 for more information. |
• | increased our annual dividend to $0.16 per common share in 2024, with a plan to increase the dividend to at least $0.24 per common share over time. See Return for more details. |
Our segment updates and other fuel cycle investment updates
In our uranium segment, we continued to execute our strategy, further ramping up our tier-one assets which had a positive impact on our operations. Of note in 2024, we:
• | delivered 33.6 million pounds of uranium in alignment with the commitments under our contract portfolio |
• | produced 16.9 million pounds (100% basis) at Cigar Lake. Production did not meet our expectations due to a lower production rate at Orano’s McClean Lake mill. |
• | produced 20.3 million pounds (100% basis) at McArthur River/Key Lake, setting a new production record for a uranium mining operation anywhere in the world, due in large part to off-cycle investments in automation, digitization and optimization projects at Key Lake. |
• | purchased 11.0 million pounds of uranium, including our spot purchases and committed purchase volumes (including JV Inkai purchases) |
• | received the final 1.2 million pounds of our share of JV Inkai’s 2023 production, as well as 2.7 million pounds of our total share of JV Inkai’s 2024 production. The remainder of our share of 2024 production, about 0.9 million pounds, is being |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 17
stored at JV Inkai for future delivery in order to optimize transportation and delivery costs. The timing of future deliveries is uncertain. |
• | maintained Rabbit Lake and US ISR operations in care and maintenance |
In 2024, in our fuel services segment, we:
• | delivered 12.1 million kgU under contract |
• | produced 13.5 million kgU, including 10.8 million kgU of UF6 |
See Operations and projects beginning on page 73 for more information.
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||||||
Uranium | Production volume (million lbs) | 23.4 | 17.6 | 33 | % | |||||||||||
Sales volume (million lbs) | 33.6 | 32.0 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
Average realized price1 | ($US/lb) | 58.34 | 49.76 | 17 | % | |||||||||||
($Cdn/lb) | 79.70 | 67.31 | 18 | % | ||||||||||||
Revenue ($ millions) | 2,677 | 2,153 | 24 | % | ||||||||||||
Gross profit ($ millions) | 681 | 445 | 53 | % | ||||||||||||
Earnings before income taxes | 904 | 606 | 49 | % | ||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 1,179 | 835 | 41 | % | ||||||||||||
Fuel services | Production volume (million kgU) | 13.5 | 13.3 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
Sales volume (million kgU) | 12.1 | 12.0 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||
Average realized price 2 | ($Cdn/kgU) | 37.87 | 35.61 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
Revenue ($ millions) | 459 | 426 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||
Earnings before income taxes | 108 | 129 | (16 | )% | ||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 145 | 164 | (12 | )% | ||||||||||||
Westinghouse3 | Revenue ($ millions) | 2,892 | 521 | >100 | % | |||||||||||
(our share) | Net loss | (218 | ) | (24 | ) | >100 | % | |||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 483 | 101 | >100 | % |
1 | Uranium average realized price is calculated as the revenue from sales of uranium concentrate, transportation and storage fees divided by the volume of uranium concentrates sold. |
2 | Fuel services average realized price is calculated as revenue from the sale of conversion and fabrication services, including fuel bundles and reactor components, transportation and storage fees divided by the volumes sold. |
3 | This table includes comparative results for the period beginning on the date of acquisition until the end of 2023 |
It was another positive year for the nuclear energy industry. Demand for nuclear power, including support for existing reactors, continues to grow, with a focus on energy security and national security amid continued global geopolitical uncertainty. We believe nuclear energy is in durable growth mode, and as we see the growth translate into contracts, we too will be back in durable growth mode. This growth will be sought in the same manner as we approach all aspects of our business; strategic, deliberate, disciplined and responsible and with a focus on generating full-cycle value.
Strong fourth quarter results in the uranium and Westinghouse segments provided a boost to annual results, as expected. Net earnings were $135 million for the quarter and $172 million for the year compared to $80 million for the quarter and $361 for the year in 2023, while adjusted net earnings were $157 million for the quarter and $292 million for the year compared to $108 million for the quarter and $383 million for the year in 2023. The 2024 annual results were lower compared to 2023 primarily due to the impact of purchase accounting on the full year results of Westinghouse. We use adjusted EBITDA to assess our operational performance. Full year adjusted EBITDA increased by approximately $647 million to $1.5 billion compared to $884 million in 2023 mainly due to the contributions from the uranium segment, reflective of a return to our tier-one production levels and an improving price environment, as well as the benefit from a full year of our Westinghouse investment, which was acquired in November 2023.
In our uranium segment, despite muted contracting volumes for the industry as utilities focused first on securing enrichment and conversion, we continued to negotiate off-market contracts and add to our long-term portfolio. After delivering our 2024
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sales, the long-term portfolio now totals about 220 million pounds, representing about 25% of our current reserve and resource base and retaining exposure to the improving demand from our customers as they look to secure their long-term needs. We continue to have a large and growing pipeline of uranium business under discussion. Our focus remains on obtaining market-related pricing mechanisms that benefit from a constructive price environment, while also providing adequate downside protection. We are being strategically patient in our discussions to maximize value in our contract portfolio and to maintain exposure to higher prices with unencumbered future productive capacity. In addition, with strong demand and pricing at historic highs in the UF6 conversion market, we were successful in adding new long-term contracts that bring our total contracted volumes to about 85 million kgU of UF6 that will underpin our fuel services operations for years to come.
Cameco has more than 35 years of experience in this market, and we have designed our strategy of full-cycle value capture to be resilient. Given the nature of our contracts, we have good visibility into when and where we need to deliver material, and we have put in place a number of tools that allow us to self-manage risk.
We have built a strong reputation as a proven and reliable supplier, with a diversified production portfolio that provides us with the flexibility to work with our customers to ensure they maintain access to our reliable supplies to satisfy their ongoing fuel requirements. In addition to our production, we can source material from market purchases today, and while these purchases would be more expensive than our production, our strategy positions us to benefit from added demand for nuclear fuel supplies and services. We have exposure to higher prices under the market-related contracts in our long-term portfolio and a pipeline of contracting discussions underway, which we expect will also benefit from the increased focus on securing access to scarce supplies and generate long-term value for Cameco. Also, we do not have to buy every pound in the spot market. We can source from inventory, to be replaced by production or purchases later. Further, we have the ability to pull forward long-term purchase arrangements that we put in place in a much lower-price environment, and with licensed storage facilities, we have secured the ability to borrow product under the terms of some of our storage agreements. See Managing our Contract Commitments on page 27 for more information on our sourcing options.
The tailwinds that are expected to benefit our core uranium and fuel services businesses are also presenting significant future growth opportunities for Westinghouse, which we own with our partner Brookfield Renewable Partners (Brookfield) (Cameco’s share is 49%). In 2024, we saw the continued advancement of AP1000® new build opportunities in Poland, Bulgaria, Ukraine and Slovenia. In early 2025, Westinghouse also announced a settlement agreement in its technology and export dispute with Korea Electric Power Corporation and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd. (KEPCO and KHNP), which resolves the dispute and establishes a framework for additional deployments outside of South Korea, to the mutual and material benefit of Westinghouse, KEPCO and KHNP. See Westinghouse Electric Company starting on page 98 for more information.
Thanks to our disciplined strategy, our balance sheet is strong, and we expect it will enable us to continue executing our strategy while self-managing risk, including risks related to global macro-economic uncertainty and volatility, and uncertain trade policy decisions. As of December 31, 2024, we had $600 million in cash and cash equivalents with $1.3 billion in total debt. In addition, we have a $1.0 billion undrawn credit facility.
In the current environment, we believe the risk to uranium supply is greater than the risk to uranium demand and expect it will create a renewed focus on ensuring availability of long-term supply to fuel nuclear reactors.
We will continue to align our production with our contract portfolio and market opportunities, demonstrating that we continue to responsibly manage our supply in accordance with our customers’ needs.
We will continue to look for opportunities to improve operational effectiveness, to improve our safety performance and reduce our impact on the environment, including through the use of digital and automation technologies to allow us to operate our assets with more flexibility and efficiency. This is key to our ability to continue to align our production decisions with our contract portfolio commitments and opportunities. With a solid base of contracts to underpin our tier-one productive capacity, and a growing contracting pipeline we expect we will continue to generate strong financial performance.
As we execute on our strategy, we will continue to focus on protecting the health and safety of our employees, delivering our products safely and responsibly and addressing the risks and opportunities that we believe will make our business sustainable and will build long-term value.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 19
Industry prices
2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | ||||||||||
Uranium ($US/lb U3O8)1 | ||||||||||||
Average annual spot market price | 85.14 | 62.51 | 36 | % | ||||||||
Average annual long-term price | 78.88 | 58.20 | 36 | % | ||||||||
Fuel services ($US/kgU as UF6)1 | ||||||||||||
Average annual spot market price | ||||||||||||
North America | 68.29 | 41.23 | 66 | % | ||||||||
Europe | 68.21 | 41.23 | 65 | % | ||||||||
Average annual long-term price | ||||||||||||
North America | 40.57 | 30.55 | 33 | % | ||||||||
Europe | 40.47 | 30.55 | 32 | % |
Note: the industry does not publish UO2 prices.
1 | Average of prices reported by TradeTech and UxC, LLC (UxC) |
On the spot market, where purchases call for delivery within one year, the volume reported by UxC for 2024 decreased to 46 million pounds U3O8 equivalent, compared to 57 million pounds U3O8 equivalent in 2023. In 2024, total spot purchases by producers, junior uranium companies, financial funds and intermediaries was approximately 40 million pounds U3O8 equivalent, compared to approximately 43 million pounds U3O8 equivalent in 2023; in 2024, these purchases represented over 85% of spot market purchases compared to over 76% in 2023. In 2024, the uranium spot price ranged from a month-end high of $100.25 (US) per pound to a month-end low of $72.63 (US), averaging $85.14 (US) for the year. This average was up $22.63 (US) per pound, or 36%, compared to the 2023 average.
Long-term contracts generally call for deliveries to begin more than two years after the contract is finalized, and use a number of pricing formulas, including base-escalated prices set at time of contracting and escalated over the term of the contract, and market referenced prices (spot and long-term indicators) determined near the time of delivery, which also often include floor prices and ceiling prices that are also escalated to time of delivery. The volume of long-term contracting reported by UxC for 2024 was about 119 million pounds U3O8 equivalent, down from about 161 million pounds U3O8 equivalent in 2023. The contracting volume in 2023 was higher due to significant non-US utilities diversifying away from Russian supply, including our contracts with Ukraine and Bulgaria, one of which totaled over 40 million pounds. The lower long-term uranium volumes reported in 2024 can be attributed in part to US utilities awaiting clarity on implementation of the Russian uranium import ban, the US waiver process, and Russian export restraints, although requests for proposals from utilities are continuing alongside requests for direct off-market negotiations.
The average reported long-term price at the end of the year was $80.50 (US) per pound, up $12.50 (US) from the end of 2023. During the year, the uranium long-term price steadily increased from a month-end low of $72.00 (US) per pound in January to a high of $81.50 (US) per pound in November, averaging $78.88 (US) for the year.
With increased demand for western conversion services, pricing in both North America and Europe continues to be strong. At the end of 2024, the average reported spot price for North American delivery reached a record high of $97.00 (US) per kilogram uranium as UF6 (US/kgU as UF6), up $51.00 (US) from the end of 2023. Long-term UF6 conversion prices for North American delivery also reached a record high and finished 2024 at $50.00 (US/kgU as UF6), up $15.75 (US) from the end of 2023.
20 CAMECO CORPORATION
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 21
Our values and strategy
We believe we have the right strategy to add long-term value and we will do so in a manner that reflects our values. For over 35 years, we have been delivering our products responsibly. Building on that strong foundation, we remain committed to our efforts to operate in a responsible and sustainable manner, identifying and addressing the risks and opportunities that we believe may have a significant impact on our ability to add long-term value for our stakeholders.
Committed to our values
Our values are discussed below. They define who we are as a company, are at the core of everything we do, and help to embed sustainability principles and practices as we execute on our strategy. They are:
• | safety and environment |
• | people |
• | integrity |
• | excellence |
SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENT
The safety of people and protection of the environment are the foundations of our work. All of us share in the responsibility of continually improving the safety of our workplace and the quality of our environment.
We are committed to keeping people safe and conducting our business with respect and care for both the local and global environment.
PEOPLE
We value the contribution of every employee, and we treat people fairly by demonstrating our respect for individual dignity, creativity and cultural diversity. By being open and honest, we achieve the strong relationships we seek.
We are committed to developing and supporting a flexible, skilled, stable and diverse workforce, in an environment that:
• | attracts and retains talented people and inspires them to be fully productive and engaged |
• | encourages relationships that build the trust, credibility and support we need to grow our business |
INTEGRITY
Through personal and professional integrity, we lead by example, earn trust, honour our commitments and conduct our business ethically.
We are committed to acting with integrity in every area of our business, wherever we operate.
EXCELLENCE
We pursue excellence in all that we do. Through leadership, collaboration and innovation, we strive to achieve our full potential and inspire others to reach theirs.
Our strategy
We are a pure-play investment in the growing demand for nuclear energy, focused on taking advantage of the near-, medium-, and long-term growth occurring in our industry. We provide nuclear fuel and nuclear power products, services, and technologies across the fuel cycle, complemented by our investment in Westinghouse, that support the generation of secure, carbon-free, reliable, and affordable energy. Our strategy is set within the context of what we believe is a transitioning market environment. Increasing populations, a growing focus on electrification and decarbonization, and concerns about energy security and affordability are driving a global focus on tripling nuclear power capacity by 2050, which is expected to durably strengthen the long-term fundamentals for our industry. Nuclear energy must be a central part of the solution to the world’s shift to a low-carbon, secure energy economy. It is an option that can provide the power needed, not only reliably, but also safely and affordably, and in a way that will help achieve climate, energy and national security objectives.
Our strategy is to capture full-cycle value by:
• | remaining disciplined in our contracting activity, building a balanced portfolio in accordance with our contracting framework |
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• | profitably producing from our tier-one assets and aligning our production decisions in all segments of the fuel cycle with contracted demand and customer needs |
• | being financially disciplined to allow us to: |
• | execute our strategy |
• | invest in new opportunities that are expected to add long-term value |
• | to self-manage risk |
• | exploring other emerging opportunities within the nuclear power value chain, which align with our commitment to manage our business responsibly and sustainably, contribute to decarbonization, and help to provide secure and affordable energy |
We expect our strategy will allow us to increase long-term value, and we will execute it with an emphasis on safety, people and the environment.
URANIUM
Uranium production is central to our strategy, as it is the biggest value driver of the nuclear fuel cycle and our business. We have tier-one assets that are licensed, permitted, long-lived, and are proven reliable with capacity to expand. These tier-one assets are backed up by idle tier-two assets and what we think is the best exploration portfolio of mineral reserves and resources that in some cases can leverage our existing infrastructure. Currently, we believe that we have ample productive capacity with the ability to expand as the demand for nuclear energy and nuclear fuel grows.
We are focused on protecting and extending the value of our contract portfolio, on aligning our production decisions with our contract portfolio and market opportunities thereby optimizing the value of our lowest cost assets. We also prioritize maintaining a strong balance sheet, and on efficiently managing the company. We have undertaken a number of deliberate and disciplined actions, including a focus on operational effectiveness to allow us to operate our assets more efficiently and with more flexibility.
FUEL SERVICES
Our fuel services segment supports our strategy to capture full-cycle value by providing our customers with access to refining and conversion services for both heavy-water and light-water reactors, and CANDU fuel and reactor component manufacturing for heavy-water reactors.
As in our uranium segment, we are focused on securing new long-term contracts and on aligning our production decisions with our contract portfolio that will allow us to continue to profitably produce and consistently support the long-term needs of our customers.
In addition, we are pursuing non-traditional markets for our UO2 and fuel fabrication business and have been actively securing new contracts for reactor components to support refurbishment of Canadian reactors.
WESTINGHOUSE
In 2023, we completed the acquisition of Westinghouse, a global provider of mission-critical and specialized technologies, products and services for light-water reactors across most phases of the nuclear power sector, in a strategic partnership with Brookfield. We own a 49% interest in Westinghouse.
We are enhancing our ability to compete for more business by investing in additional nuclear fuel cycle assets that we expect will augment the core of our business and offer more solutions to our customers across the nuclear fuel cycle. Like Cameco, Westinghouse has nuclear assets that are strategic, proven, licensed and permitted, and that are in geopolitically attractive jurisdictions. We expect these assets, like ours, will participate in the growing demand profile for nuclear energy.
Westinghouse has a stable and predictable core business generating durable cash flows. Like Cameco, Westinghouse has a long-term contract portfolio, which we believe positions it well to compete for growing demand for new nuclear reactors and reactor services, as well as the fuel supplies and services needed to keep the global reactor fleet operating safely and reliably. This strong base of business also helps protect Westinghouse from macro-economic headwinds as utility customers run their critical nuclear power plants. Its durable and growing business is expected to allow Westinghouse to self-fund its approved annual operating budget, to service its annual financial obligations from de-risked cash flows, and to pay annual distributions to its owners. See Westinghouse starting on page 98 for more information.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 23
OTHER NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE INVESTMENTS
We continually evaluate investment opportunities within the nuclear fuel value chain that align well with our commitment to add long-term value by managing our business responsibly and sustainably, and allow us to contribute to energy security solutions. Expanding our participation in the fuel cycle is expected to complement our tier-one uranium and fuel services assets, creating new revenue opportunities, and it enhances our ability to meet the increasing needs of existing and new customers for secure, reliable nuclear fuel supplies, services and technologies.
In particular, we are interested in the second largest value driver of the fuel cycle, enrichment, and have a 49% interest in Global Laser Enrichment LLC (GLE). GLE is the exclusive licensee of the proprietary SILEX laser enrichment technology, a third-generation uranium enrichment technology. We are the commercial lead for the GLE project with an option to attain a majority interest of up to 75% ownership. See Global Laser Enrichment starting on page 106 for more information.
Additionally, we have signed a number of non-binding arrangements to explore several areas of cooperation to advance the commercialization and deployment of small modular reactors in Canada and around the world.
We will make an investment decision when an opportunity is available at the right time and the right price. We strive to pursue corporate development initiatives that will leave us and our stakeholders in a fundamentally stronger position. As such, an investment opportunity is never assessed in isolation. Investments must compete for investment capital with our own internal growth opportunities. They are subject to our capital allocation process described under Capital Allocation – Disciplined Financial Management, starting on page 29.
BUILDING A BALANCED PORTFOLIO
The purpose of our contracting framework is to deliver value. Our approach is to secure a solid base of earnings and cash flow by maintaining a balanced contract portfolio that optimizes our realized price.
Contracting decisions in all segments of our business need to consider the nuclear fuel market structure, the nature of our competitors, and the current market environment. The vast majority of run-rate fuel requirements are procured under long-term contracts. The spot market is thinly-traded, where certain utilities may buy small, discretionary volumes. This market structure is reflective of the baseload nature of nuclear power and the relatively small proportion of the overall operating costs the fuel represents compared to other sources of baseload electricity. Additionally, about half of the fuel supply typically comes from state-owned entities with production volume strategies or ambitions to serve state nuclear power ambitions with low-cost fuel supplies, or from diversified mining companies that produce uranium as a by-product. We evaluate our strategy in the context of our market environment and continue to adjust our actions in accordance with our contracting framework:
• | First, we build a long-term contract portfolio by layering in volumes over time. In addition to our committed sales, we will compete for customer demand in the market where we think we can obtain value and, in general, as part of longer-term contracts. We will take advantage of opportunities the market provides, where it makes sense from an economic, logistical, diversification and strategic point of view. Those opportunities may come in the form of spot, mid-term or long-term demand, and will be additive to our current committed sales. |
• | Based on our portfolio of long-term contracts, we decide how to best source material to satisfy that demand, planning our production in accordance with our contract portfolio and other available sources of supply. We will not produce from our tier-one assets to sell into an oversupplied spot market. |
• | We do not intend to build an inventory of excess uranium. Excess inventory serves to contribute to the sense that uranium is abundant and creates an overhang on the market, and it ties up working capital on our balance sheet. |
• | Depending on the timing and volume of our production, purchase commitments, and our inventory volumes, we may be active buyers in the market in order to meet our annual delivery commitments. Historically, prior to the tier one supply curtailments that we undertook from 2016-2022, we have generally planned our annual delivery commitments to slightly exceed the annual supply we expect to come from our annual production and our long-term purchase commitments and have therefore relied on the spot market to meet a small portion of our delivery commitments. In general, if we choose to purchase material to meet demand, we expect the cost of that material will be more than offset by the volume of commitments in our sales portfolio that are exposed to market prices at the time of delivery over the long-term. |
In addition to this framework, our contracting decisions always factor in who the customer is, our desire for regional diversification, the product form, and logistical factors.
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Ultimately, our goal is to protect and extend the value of our contract portfolio on terms that recognize the value of our assets, including future development projects, and pricing mechanisms that provide adequate protection when prices go down and exposure to rising prices. We believe using this framework will allow us to create long-term value. Our focus will continue to be on ensuring we have the financial capacity to execute on our strategy and self-manage risk.
LONG-TERM CONTRACTING
Uranium is not traded in meaningful quantities on a commodity exchange. Utilities have historically bought the majority of their uranium and fuel services products under long-term contracts that are bilaterally negotiated with suppliers. The spot market is discretionary and typically used for one-time volumes, not to satisfy annual demand. We sell uranium and fuel products and services directly to nuclear utilities around the world as uranium concentrates, UO2 and UF6, conversion services, or fuel fabrication and reactor components for CANDU heavy water reactors. We have a solid portfolio of long-term sales contracts that reflect our reputation as a proven, reliable supplier of geographically stable supply, and the long-term relationships we have built with our customers.
In general, we are active in the market when it is beneficial for us and in support of our long-term contract portfolio. We undertake activity in the spot and term markets prudently, looking at the prices and other business factors to decide whether it is appropriate to purchase or sell into the spot or term market. Not only is this activity a source of profit, but it also gives us insight into underlying market fundamentals.
We deliver the majority of our uranium under long-term contracts each year, some of which are tied to market-related pricing mechanisms quoted at time of delivery. Therefore, our net earnings and operating cash flows are generally affected by changes in the uranium price. Market prices are influenced by the fundamentals of supply and demand, market access and trade policy issues, geopolitical events, disruptions in planned supply and demand, and other market factors.
The objectives of our contracting strategy are to:
• | optimize realized price by balancing exposure to future market prices while providing some certainty for our future earnings and cash flow |
• | focus on meeting the nuclear industry’s growing annual uncovered requirements with our tier-one production |
• | establish and grow market share with strategic and regionally diverse customers |
We have a portfolio of long-term contracts, each bilaterally negotiated with customers, that have a mix of base-escalated pricing and market-related pricing mechanisms, including provisions that provide exposure to rising market prices and also protect us when the market price is declining. This is a balanced and flexible approach that allows us to adapt to market conditions, put a floor on our average realized price and deliver the best value over the long term.
This approach has allowed our realized price to outperform the market during periods of weak uranium demand, and we expect it will enable us to realize increases linked to higher market prices in the future.
Base-escalated contracts for uranium: use a pricing mechanism based on a term-price indicator at the time the contract is accepted and escalated to the time of each delivery over the term of the contract.
Market-related contracts for uranium: are different from base-escalated contracts in that the pricing mechanism may be based on either the spot price or the long-term price, and that price is generally set a month or more prior to delivery rather than at the time the contract is accepted. These contracts may provide for discounts and typically include floor prices and/or ceiling prices, which are established at time of contract acceptance and usually escalate over the term of the contract.
Fuel services contracts: the majority of our fuel services contracts use a base-escalated mechanism per kgU and reflect the market at the time the contract is accepted.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 25
OPTIMIZING OUR CONTRACT PORTFOLIO
We work with our customers to optimize the value of our contract portfolio. With respect to new contracting activity, there is often a lag from when contracting discussions begin and when contracts are executed. With our large pipeline of business under negotiation in our uranium segment, and a value driven strategy, we continue to be strategically patient in considering the commercial terms we are willing to accept. We layer in contracts over time, with higher commitments in the near term and declining over time in accordance with utilities growing uncovered requirements. Demand may come in the form of off-market negotiations or through on-market requests for proposals. We remain confident that we can add acceptable new sales commitments to our portfolio of long-term contracts to underpin the ongoing operation of our productive capacity and capture long-term value.
Given our view that additional long-term supply will need to be incented to meet the growing demand for safe, reliable, carbon-free nuclear energy, our preference today is to sign long-term contracts with market-related pricing mechanisms. However, we believe our customers expect prices to rise and prefer to lock-in today’s prices, with a fixed-price mechanism. Our goal is to balance all these factors, along with our desire for customer and regional diversification, with product form, and logistical factors to ensure we have adequate protection and will have exposure to rising market prices under our contract portfolio, while maintaining the benefits that come from having low-cost supply to deliver into a strengthening market.
At times, we may also look for opportunities to optimize the value of our portfolio. In cases where there is a changing policy, operating, or economic environment, including the introduction of new taxes or tariffs in certain jurisdictions, we manage risk accordingly. We have taken actions such as positioning material ahead of expected deliveries, revising our contract terms to protect us from unexpected future implementation of taxes or tariffs, and adjusting our contracts to minimize potential negative impacts while maintaining strong customer relationships, and we will continue to consider additional mitigation in the future.
CONTRACT PORTFOLIO STATUS
We have executed contracts to sell about 220 million pounds of U3O8 with 41 customers worldwide in our uranium segment, and about 85 million kilograms as UF6 conversion with 34 customers worldwide in our fuel services segment. We sell uranium and fuel services products to nuclear utilities in 16 countries.
Customers – U3O8:
Five largest customers account for 58% of commitments
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Customers – UF6 conversion:
Five largest customers account for 59% of commitments
MANAGING OUR CONTRACT COMMITMENTS
We allow sales volumes to vary year-to-year depending on:
• | the level of sales commitments in our long-term contract portfolio |
• | market opportunities |
• | our sources of supply |
To meet our delivery commitments and to mitigate risk, we have access to a number of sources of supply, which includes uranium obtained from:
• | our productive capacity |
• | purchases under our JV Inkai agreement, under long-term agreements and in the spot market |
• | our inventory in excess of our working requirements |
• | product loans |
OUR SUPPLY DISCIPLINE
As spot is not the fundamental market, true value is built under a long-term contract portfolio and is measured over the full commodity cycle. Therefore, we align our uranium production decisions with our contract commitments and market opportunities to avoid carrying excess inventory or having to sell into an oversupplied spot market. In accordance with market conditions, and to mitigate risk, we evaluate the optimal mix of our production, inventory and purchases in order to satisfy our contractual commitments and in order to realize the best return over the entire commodity cycle. During a prolonged period of uncertainty, this could mean leaving our uranium in the ground. For the years 2016 through 2022, we left more than 130 million pounds of uranium in the ground (100% basis) by curtailing our production. We purchased more than 60 million pounds including spot and long-term purchases and in 2018 we drew down our inventory by almost 20 million pounds. That totals over 210 million pounds (100% basis) of uranium that were not available to the market.
However, today we believe the uranium market is in transition, driven by the growing demand for nuclear energy and the increasing recognition that it is essential for energy security, national security, and the clean-energy transition. As the market continues to transition, we expect to continue placing our uranium under long-term contracts and meet rising demand with production from our best margin operations.
With the improvements in the market, the new long-term contracts we have put in place, and a pipeline of contracting discussions, we plan to produce 18 million pounds (100% basis) at McArthur River/Key Lake and 18 million pounds (100% basis) at Cigar Lake in 2025. We are still in discussions with JV Inkai and KAP to determine our purchase entitlement for 2025.
Our production decisions will continue to be aligned with market opportunities and our ability to secure the appropriate long-term contract homes for our unencumbered, in-ground inventory, demonstrating that we continue to responsibly manage our assets in accordance with our customers’ needs.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 27
Our production plans for McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake are expected to generate strong financial performance by allowing us to source the majority of our committed sales from the lower cost produced pounds. We are investing in capital projects to help ensure the reliability and sustainability of our existing operations, and to replace aging infrastructure in order to maintain capacity at current production levels and to position us for future production flexibility, although no decision on future production levels has been made. In addition, with conversion demand elevated, we have been successful in securing long-term sales commitments that will support increased production at Port Hope, which is expected to further improve its contribution to our financial results. However, this is not an end to our supply discipline. Our Rabbit Lake and US ISR assets remain in a safe state of care and maintenance, and we expect to continue to adjust our production in accordance with our contract portfolio. This will remain our production plan until we see further improvements in the uranium market and contracting progress, once again demonstrating that we are a responsible fuel supplier.
MANAGING OUR COSTS
Production costs
In order to operate efficiently and cost-effectively, we manage operating costs and improve plant reliability by prudently investing in production infrastructure, new technology, and business process improvements. Like all mining companies, our uranium segment is affected by the cost of inputs such as labour and fuel.
* | Production supplies include reagents, fuel and other items. Contracted services include utilities and camp costs, air charters, mining and maintenance contractors and security and ground freight. |
The annual cash cost of production reflects the operating cost of mining and milling our share of the Cigar Lake, McArthur River, and Key Lake operations. The annual cost of production will reflect a combined cost of all our operating uranium assets. See 2024 financial results by segment – Uranium starting on page 57 for more information. In 2025, our cash production costs may continue to be affected by inflation, the availability of personnel with the necessary skills and experience, supply chain challenges impacting the availability of materials and reagents, and continued work to maintain the long-term reliability of our assets.
Operating costs in our fuel services segment are mainly fixed. In 2024, labour and contracted services accounted for about 53% of the total. The largest variable operating cost is for anhydrous hydrogen fluoride, followed by zirconium, and energy (natural gas and electricity).
We continue to look to adopt innovative and advanced digital and automation technologies to improve efficiency and operational flexibility and to further reduce costs.
Care and maintenance costs
In 2025, we expect to incur between $62 million and $67 million in care and maintenance costs related to the suspension of production at our Rabbit Lake mine and mill, and our US operations. Production at these operations is higher-cost and the timing of a restart is uncertain. We continue to evaluate our options in order to minimize these costs.
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Purchases and inventory costs
Our costs are also affected by the purchases of uranium and conversion services we make under long-term contracts and on the spot market.
To meet our delivery commitments, we make use of our mined production, inventories, purchases of our share of material from Inkai, purchases under long-term contracts, purchases we make on the spot market and product loans. In 2025, we expect the price for the majority of our purchases will be quoted at the time of delivery.
The cost of purchased material may be higher or lower than our other sources of supply, depending on market conditions. The cost of purchased material affects our cost of sales, which is determined by calculating the average of all of our sources of supply, including opening inventory, production, and purchases, and adding royalties, selling costs, and care and maintenance costs. Our cost of sales could be impacted if we do not achieve our annual production plan, or if we are unable to source uranium as planned, and we are required to purchase uranium at prices that differ from our cost of inventory.
Potential tariff impact
Currently, the US has threatened the imposition of a 10% tariff on Canadian energy products. We have proactively taken steps to minimize the potential impact of imposed tariffs, and while we currently do not anticipate the direct impact of a 10% tariff to be material on our 2025 financial results, there continues to be uncertainty around the exact details of how these tariffs may be applied or if they will be applied to uranium products.
Financial impact
The growing demand for nuclear power due to its safety, carbon-free energy, reliability, security and affordability attributes has contributed to increased demand for nuclear fuel products and services. As a result, we have seen significant price increases across the nuclear fuel value chain, which reflect the need for capacity increases to satisfy the projected growth.
The deliberate and disciplined actions we took to curtail production and streamline operations over the past decade came with near-term costs like care and maintenance costs, operational readiness costs, and purchase costs higher than our production costs. However, we considered these costs as investments in our future.
Today, thanks to our investments, and with our continued ability to secure new long-term sales commitments, we believe we are well-positioned for growth. Our core growth is expected to come from our existing mining and fuel services assets. We do not have to build new capacity to pursue new opportunities. We believe we have sufficient productive capacity to expand, a position we have not enjoyed in previous price cycles.
And, with the acquisition of a 49% interest in Westinghouse, we expect to be able to expand our growth profile by extending our reach in the nuclear fuel cycle at a time when there are tremendous tailwinds for the nuclear power industry. We are extending our reach with an investment in assets that like ours, are strategic, proven, licensed and permitted, that are located in geopolitically favourable jurisdictions, and that we expect will be able to grow from their existing footprint. These assets are also expected to provide new opportunities for our existing suite of uranium and fuel services assets.
We believe our actions and investments have helped position the company to self-manage risk, generate strong financial performance, and allow us to execute on our strategy while rewarding our stakeholders for their continued patience and support of our strategy to build long-term value.
CAPITAL ALLOCATION – DISCIPLINED FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Delivering long-term value is a top priority. While we navigate by our investment-grade rating with a focus on reducing leverage, we continually evaluate our investment options to ensure we allocate our capital in a way that we believe will:
• | sustain our assets and grow our core business in a manner that we expect will generate ongoing liquidity and create sustainable long-term value |
• | maintain a strong balance sheet that will allow us to execute on our strategy, take advantage of strategic opportunities and self-manage risk |
• | allow us to sustainably deliver a dividend while considering the cyclical nature of our earnings and cash flow |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 29
To generate value, free cash flow must be productively reinvested in the business. We start by determining how much cash we have to invest (investable capital). Investable capital takes into account our expected cash flow from operations, including the expected cash distributions from JV Inkai and our Westinghouse investment, minus the cash required to satisfy our financing costs, for working capital purposes, and the other uses of cash we consider to be higher priority, such as dividends. This investable capital can be reinvested in the core business of the company. We expect that we will generate free cash flow sufficient to support ongoing investment in the long-term sustainable production from our tier-one assets. Additional free cash flow can be used to take advantage of opportunities in line with our long-term strategy, to manage our balance sheet for the future, or it could be returned to shareholders.
Reinvestment / Investment
We have a multidisciplinary capital allocation committee that evaluates all sustaining, capacity replacement, or growth investment opportunities.
For our core business, opportunities are ranked using return criteria that includes both financial and non-financial metrics, with a current priority focus on five main value drivers:
• | cost reduction |
• | enabling digital technology |
• | operational flexibility |
• | improving safety performance |
• | emission reduction |
Only those that meet the required risk-adjusted return criteria are considered for investment.
Growth opportunities across the fuel cycle and new and existing investments must also demonstrate a sufficient risk-adjusted return to support deployment of capital.
We also must identify, at the corporate level, the expected impact on cash flow, earnings, and the balance sheet. All project risks must be identified, including the risks of not investing. Allocation of capital only occurs once an investment has cleared these hurdles.
This may result in some opportunities being held back in favour of higher return investments and should allow us to generate the best return on investment decisions when faced with multiple prospects, while also controlling our costs and meeting sustainability objectives.
Supported by a similar capital allocation process, we expect Westinghouse to self-fund opportunities identified in its business plan and to provide us with a distribution to the extent the funds are not prioritized for reinvestment.
Return
We believe in returning cash to shareholders under appropriate circumstances and we plan our dividend to be sustainable. In 2024, the board of directors approved an increase of the annual dividend from $0.12 per common share in 2023, to $0.16 per common share in 2024. In addition, to recognize the return to our tier-one run rate, and in line with the principles of our capital allocation framework, we have recommended, to our board of directors, a dividend growth plan for consideration. Based on our plan, we expect an annual increase of at least $0.04 per common share in each of 2025 and 2026 to achieve a doubling of the 2023 dividend from $0.12 per common share, to $0.24 per common share.
If we have excess cash and determine the best use is to return it to shareholders, we can do that through a share repurchase or dividend—an annual dividend, one-time supplemental dividend or a progressive dividend. The decision to return capital and the type of return is evaluated regularly by our board of directors with careful consideration of our cash flow, liquidity, financial position, strategy, capital structure and other relevant factors including appropriate alignment with the cyclical nature of our earnings.
In Action
During 2024, as we continued the return to our tier-one cost structure, the focus was to ensure we had the financial capacity to execute on our 2024 production plan and to source material for our 2024 deliveries. In addition, we began work to extend the mine life at Cigar Lake and to evaluate the work and investment required to expand production at McArthur River/Key Lake up to its licensed capacity of 25 million pounds per year (100% basis).
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We refinanced $500 million senior unsecured debentures in 2024, which effectively extended the maturity of the indebtedness to 2031. We also made repayments of $400 million (US) on the $600 million (US) floating-rate term loan that was used to finance the acquisition of Westinghouse. In January 2025, we made the final repayment of $200 million (US), so the term loan is now fully extinguished. See Liquidity and capital resources – Financing Activities starting on page 50 for more information about the term loan.
A distribution of $100 million (US) from Westinghouse was paid in February 2025, of which we received $49 million (US) representing our share of the distribution. This is the first distribution since the acquisition closed.
Our priorities in 2025 remain focused on delivering from our tier-one assets. We are investing to help ensure reliability and sustainability of existing operations, and to replace aging infrastructure to maintain capacity at current production levels, while positioning for future production flexibility, including to achieve licensed capacity at McArthur River/Key Lake of 25 million pounds per year (100% basis) in line with market demand, although no decision to increase production has been made. Additionally, we will maintain our focus on improving operational effectiveness across the company through, for example, the use of digital and automation technologies. The particular goals of this work are to reduce operating costs, increase operational flexibility, improve our safety performance and reduce our impact on the environment, including the reduction of our GHG emissions.
If the market transition continues as expected, our priorities might include consideration of:
• | the opportunities available to add value with our licensed and permitted tier-two assets and brownfield infrastructure |
• | further value-adding opportunities in the nuclear fuel value chain |
• | the return of excess cash to shareholders |
Any opportunities will be rigorously assessed by our capital allocation committee and our board of directors before an investment decision is made.
Shares and stock options outstanding
At February 18, 2025, we had:
• | 435,312,083 common shares and one Class B share outstanding |
• | 259,958 stock options outstanding, with exercise prices ranging from $11.32 to $15.27 |
Dividend
In 2024, our board of directors declared a 2024 annual dividend of $0.16 per common share which was paid on December 13, 2024. See the section titled Return on page 30 for more information regarding the factors the board considers in deciding to declare an annual dividend.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 31
Our sustainability principles and practices
A key part of our strategy, reflecting our values
We are committed to delivering our products responsibly and profitably. We integrate sustainability principles and practices into every aspect of our business, from our corporate objectives and approach to compensation, to our overall corporate strategy, risk management, and day-to-day operations, and they align with our values. We seek to be transparent with our stakeholders, keeping them updated on the risks and opportunities that we believe may have a significant impact on our ability to achieve our strategic plan and add long-term value. We recognize the importance of integrating certain sustainability factors, such as safety performance, a clean environment and supportive communities, into our executive compensation strategy as we see success in these areas as critical to the long-term success of the company.
Our board of directors holds the highest level of oversight for our business strategy and strategic risks, including sustainability matters. Oversight of sustainability reporting and disclosure has been delegated by the board to the Safety, Health and Environment (SHE) committee of the board. We also have a multi-disciplinary sustainability steering committee, chaired by our senior vice-president and chief corporate officer that includes representatives from across the organization whose role is to review our sustainability governance and reporting, as well as our current approach to sustainability, against evolving trends. Additional information about the governance of our sustainability matters is included in our most recent Sustainability Report.
In an effort to continually evolve the robustness of our sustainability commitments and communications, we aim to stay up to date with sustainability related reporting standards. In 2020, we began to work to report in alignment with Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB). In 2022, we began to address the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) in our Sustainability Report. We are now working to understand the requirements of the IFRS S1 sustainability disclosure standards, and S2 climate-related disclosure standard released in 2023, alongside the Canadian Sustainability Standards Board adapted versions, the Canadian Sustainability Disclosure Standards 1 and 2, which were published in 2024. It is still unclear when and to what extent the Canadian Securities Administrators may adopt these standards.
In July 2024, we published our 2023 Sustainability Report. The report sets out our strategy and the policies and programs we use to govern and manage sustainability issues that are important to our stakeholders. In addition to SASB and TCFD, the report provides key sustainability performance indicator data based on the Global Reporting Initiative’s Sustainability Framework as well as some unique corporate indicators, to measure and report our performance on environmental, social and economic impacts in the areas we believe have a significant impact on our sustainability in the long-term and are important to our stakeholders. This is our sustainability report card to our stakeholders. You can find our report at cameco.com/about/sustainability.
At Cameco, our approach to stewardship is guided by our corporate governance framework, which includes a strong and established Cameco Management System (CMS) which sets out our vision, values, and measures of success. The CMS describes the framework of policies, programs, and procedures we use to help us fulfill all the tasks required to achieve our objectives, strategy and practices, and are continuously evaluated and reviewed to improve their rigour.
There are ten policies identified in the CMS which provide high-level direction to Cameco across all sustainability topics, the specific policies include: Code of Conduct and Ethics; Corporate Disclosure; Delegation of Financial Authority; Electronic Information and Information Technology Security; Mineral Reserve and Resource; Our People; Procurement of Goods and Services; Risk Management; Safety, Health, Environment and Quality; and Sustainability. These policies help speak to our strategic planning process, leadership alignment and accountability, compliance and assessment, people and culture, process identification and work management, risk management, communications and stakeholder support, knowledge and information management, change management, problem identification and resolution, and continual improvement.
ENVIRONMENT
We acknowledge and embrace our responsibility to manage our activities with care for the protection of environmental resources. Our stewardship is guided by established policies and programs designed to minimize our impacts on air, land, and water, and to safeguard the biodiversity of surrounding ecosystems.
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Within our CMS, we have an integrated Safety, Health, Environment and Quality Management System. Alignment with, and certification to, the ISO standards is important to us as it is one of the world’s most widely recognized set of standards. Due to the multi-disciplinary nature of this system, we maintain ISO 14001 certification of the environmental components of the management system at the corporate level and align the safety and health components of the management system with ISO 45001.
Climate Action
We recognize the critical nature of the fight against climate change, and want our employees, customers, investors, and community partners near our operations to know we are committed to being an active and constructive partner in addressing this challenge. The reduction of carbon and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is important and necessary in Canada and around the world. Policy makers and major industries recognize that nuclear power must be a central part of the solution to the world’s shift to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy. Several nations have reaffirmed their commitments to nuclear power and are developing plans to support existing reactors and are reviewing their policies to encourage more nuclear capacity. There are now 31 countries that have signed on to the Net Zero Nuclear declaration that was launched at COP28 to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050.
As one of the world’s largest producers of the uranium needed to fuel nuclear reactors, we believe this represents a significant business opportunity for us. By delivering our products and services responsibly and profitably, we can be a part of the solution to enhance national, energy and climate security given 100% of our product is used to produce reliable carbon-free base-load electricity. We enable secure baseload power and emissions reductions globally through nuclear power and are committed to transforming our already low operational GHG emissions footprint to achieve our ambition of having net-zero emissions while delivering significant long-term business value.
Cameco has put its support behind Net Zero Nuclear, an initiative between government, industry leaders and civil society to triple global nuclear capacity to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. As a strategic partner, we can assist with deepening industry support for this initiative, which was launched by the World Nuclear Association and the Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation, with the support of the Atoms4NetZero initiative launched by the International Atomic Energy Agency at the 2023 World Nuclear Symposium in London. Since its launch, more than 120 companies have endorsed the Net Zero Nuclear Industry Pledge, along with 14 financial institutions and 31 countries that have signed the declaration.
Previously, we undertook a planning process to outline our overarching Low Carbon Transition Plan. Within this plan, we set a target to reduce our combined Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions by 30% by 2030, from 2015 levels. We also identified the practical and achievable actions that we expect to take to decarbonize our operations and manage climate-related risks. In doing so, we are working to demonstrate our alignment with the ambitions of the Paris Agreement and Canadian legislative framework to, “limit global temperature rise to well below 2 degrees Celsius (°C), above pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit global temperature rise even further to 1.5°C”.
We recognize that climate change, including shifts in temperature, precipitation and more frequent severe weather events could affect our operations in a range of possible ways. As part of our efforts, we have completed climate change scenario analyses to understand how projected long-term changing climate conditions could impact our employees, assets, and operations in Canada and the United States. We leveraged internal subject matter expertise with help from a third-party expert to complete the assessments.
The physical risk assessment studies were undertaken to deliver initial forward-looking physical climate risk assessments and identify possible risk management and adaptation options across our underground and in situ mining, milling and fuel services operations.
When it comes to climate change, we have tracked and reported our GHG emissions for more than two decades. A summary of our activities to understand and mitigate the risks associated with climate change scenarios is reported to the board of directors on a regular basis in accordance with our Risk Management program, including the mitigating controls and management actions taken to reduce these risks.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 33
SOCIAL
Our relationships with our workforce, Indigenous Peoples, and local communities are fundamental to our success. The safety and protection of our workforce and the public is our top priority in our assessment of risk and planning for safe operations and product transport. To deliver on our strategy, we invest in programs to attract and retain a skilled workforce that has a broad range of complementary skills, abilities and experience, that reflect the communities in which we operate and to help increase the participation of underrepresented groups in trades and technical positions. We want to build a workforce that is dedicated to continuous improvement and shares our values.
We have a five-pillar approach to develop and maintain long-term relationships and provide opportunities to those living in areas near our operations. The five-pillars include workforce development, business development, community investment, environmental stewardship, and community engagement. To strengthen relationships and shape them into mutually beneficial partnerships, we have established agreements with northern and Indigenous communities near our operations that allow us to determine focus areas based on the community’s unique needs, optimizing benefits to the community, providing certainty around community investment and local business opportunities.
GOVERNANCE
We believe that sound governance is the foundation for strong corporate performance. Our diverse and independent board of directors’ primary role is to provide strategic direction and risk oversight in order to help the company achieve its objectives. The board guides the company to operate as a sustainable business, to optimize financial returns while effectively managing risk, and to conduct business in a way that is transparent, independent, and ethical.
The board has formal governance guidelines that set out our approach to governance and the board’s governance role and practices. The guidelines are intended to ensure that we comply with all of the applicable governance rules and legislation in Canada and the US, conduct ourselves in the best interests of our stakeholders, and meet industry best practices. The guidelines are reviewed and updated regularly.
Risk and Risk Management
Our board of directors oversees management’s implementation of appropriate risk management processes and controls. We have a Risk Policy that is supported by our formal Risk Management Program.
Our Risk Management Program involves a broad, systematic approach to identifying, assessing, monitoring, reporting and managing the significant risks we face in our business and operations, including risks that could impact our four measures of success. The program is based on the ISO 31000 Risk Management guidelines. ISO 31000 provides guidance on risk management activities with internationally recognized practices and provides sound principles for effective management and governance of risks. Our program applies to all risks facing the company. The program establishes clear accountabilities for employees throughout the company to take ownership of risks specific to their area and to effectively manage those risks. The program is reviewed annually to ensure that it continues to meet our needs.
We use a common risk matrix throughout the company. Any risk that has the potential to significantly affect our ability to achieve our corporate objectives or strategic plan is considered an enterprise risk and is brought to the attention of senior management and the board. We continually update our risk profile by performing regular monitoring of risks across the organization. Regular monitoring helps us to properly manage risks and identify any new risks. Detailed risk reporting is provided on a quarterly basis to senior management and the board and its committees on the status of the mitigating and/or monitoring plans for each of the enterprise risks. Management also reviews monthly updates on the company’s progress in managing these risks.
In addition to considering the other information in this MD&A, you should carefully consider the material risks discussed starting on page 4, under the heading Managing the risks, starting on page 74, and the specific risks discussed under each operation, advanced project, and other fuel cycle investment update in this document. These risks, however, are not a complete list of the potential risks our operations, advanced projects, or other investments face. There may be others we are not aware of or risks we feel are not material today that could become material in the future.
We recommend you also review our annual information form, which includes a discussion of other material risks that could have an impact on our business.
34 CAMECO CORPORATION
Measuring our results
Targets and Metrics: The link to executive pay
Each year, we set corporate objectives that are aligned with our strategic plan. These objectives fall under our four measures of success: outstanding financial performance, safe, healthy and rewarding workplace, clean environment and supportive communities. Performance against specific targets under these objectives forms the foundation for a portion of annual employee and executive compensation. See our most recent management proxy circular for more information on how executive compensation is determined.
We saw a significant improvement in our financial performance (earnings and cash flow) as our tier-one production increased and our average realized price reflected the improving market. However, we did not meet all our targets, including our safety performance, in 2024. We remain committed to improvement as reflected in our objectives for 2025.
2024 OBJECTIVES1 | TARGET | RESULTS | ||
OUTSTANDING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE | ||||
Earnings measure | Achieve targeted adjusted net earnings. | • adjusted net earnings was above the target | ||
Cash flow measure | Achieve targeted cash flow from operations (before working capital changes). | • cash flow from operations was below the target | ||
SAFE, HEALTHY AND REWARDING WORKPLACE | ||||
Workplace safety measure | Strive for no injuries at all Cameco-operated sites. Maintain a long-term downward trend in combined employee and contractor total recordable injury rate while achieving targets on specified leading indicators. | • we did not achieve our target for TRIR and results remained similar to 2023
• performance of the leading indicators was within the target range | ||
CLEAN ENVIRONMENT | ||||
Environmental performance measures | Achieve corporate environmental targets.
Publish total Scope 3 emissions value and method of quantification. | • performance on corporate environmental measures was within the target range
• performance on the Scope 3 emissions measure was above the target | ||
SUPPORTIVE COMMUNITIES | ||||
Stakeholder support measure | Enhance Residents of Saskatchewan’s North (RSN) skill development and progression focused on internal development for progression and external trades training | • performance on the RSN skill enhancement measure was above the target |
1 | Detailed results for our 2024 corporate objectives and the related targets will be provided in our 2025 management proxy circular prior to our Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 9, 2025. |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 35
2025 objectives
OUTSTANDING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
• | Achieve targeted financial measures. |
SAFE, HEALTHY AND REWARDING WORKPLACE
• | Improve workplace safety performance at all sites. |
CLEAN ENVIRONMENT
• | Improve environmental performance at all sites and continue to execute on our Low Carbon Transition Plan. |
SUPPORTIVE COMMUNITIES
• | Build and sustain strong stakeholder support for our activities. |
36 CAMECO CORPORATION
Financial results
This section of our MD&A discusses our performance, financial condition and outlook for the future.
38 | 2024 CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RESULTS | |
46 | OUTLOOK FOR 2025 | |
50 | LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES | |
57 | 2024 FINANCIAL RESULTS BY SEGMENT | |
57 | URANIUM | |
59 | FUEL SERVICES | |
59 | WESTINGHOUSE | |
60 | FOURTH QUARTER FINANCIAL RESULTS | |
60 | CONSOLIDATED RESULTS | |
62 | URANIUM | |
64 | FUEL SERVICES | |
64 | WESTINGHOUSE | |
65 | NON-IFRS MEASURES |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 37
2024 consolidated financial results
In the fourth quarter of 2023, we announced the closing of the acquisition of a 49% interest in Westinghouse. Effective November 7, 2023, we began equity accounting for this investment. Our share of Westinghouse’s earnings has been reflected in our financial results from that date.
In the second quarter of 2022, we along with Orano acquired Idemitsu Canada Resources Ltd.’s 7.875% participating interest in the Cigar Lake Joint Venture. Our ownership stake in Cigar Lake now stands at 54.547%, 4.522 percentage points higher than it was prior to the transaction. Effective May 19, 2022, we have reflected our share of production and financial results based on this new ownership stake.
HIGHLIGHTS | CHANGE FROM | |||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 ($ MILLIONS EXCEPT WHERE INDICATED) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 TO 2024 | ||||||||||||
Revenue | 3,136 | 2,588 | 1,868 | 21 | % | |||||||||||
Gross profit | 783 | 562 | 233 | 39 | % | |||||||||||
Net earnings attributable to equity holders | 172 | 361 | 89 | (52 | )% | |||||||||||
$ per common share (basic) | 0.40 | 0.83 | 0.22 | (53 | )% | |||||||||||
$ per common share (diluted) | 0.39 | 0.83 | 0.22 | (52 | )% | |||||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 65)1 | 292 | 383 | 123 | (24 | )% | |||||||||||
$ per common share (adjusted and diluted) | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.30 | (24 | )% | |||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 1,531 | 884 | 431 | 73 | % | |||||||||||
Cash provided by operations | 905 | 688 | 305 | 32 | % |
1 | In 2024, we revised our calculation of adjusted net earnings to adjust for unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses as well as for share-based compensation because it better reflects how we assess our operational performance. We have restated comparative periods to reflect this change. |
38 CAMECO CORPORATION
Net earnings
The following table shows what contributed to the change in net earnings (loss) in 2024 compared to 2023 and 2022.
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||
Net earnings (losses) - previous year | 361 | 89 | (103 | ) | ||||||||||
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Uranium | Impact from sales volume changes | 22 | 30 | (6 | ) | |||||||||
Higher realized prices ($US) | 390 | 208 | 328 | |||||||||||
Foreign exchange impact on realized prices | 26 | 95 | 44 | |||||||||||
Higher costs | (203 | ) | (9 | ) | (137 | ) | ||||||||
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change – uranium | 235 | 324 | 229 | |||||||||||
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Fuel services | Impact from sales volume changes | 2 | 9 | (21 | ) | |||||||||
Higher realized prices ($Cdn) | 27 | 32 | 33 | |||||||||||
Higher costs | (47 | ) | (34 | ) | (13 | ) | ||||||||
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change – fuel services | (18 | ) | 7 | (1 | ) | |||||||||
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Higher administration expenditures | (7 | ) | (74 | ) | (44 | ) | ||||||||
Higher exploration and research and development expenditures | (17 | ) | (16 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||||
Change in reclamation provisions | 30 | 31 | (31 | ) | ||||||||||
Change in gains or losses on derivatives | (221 | ) | 111 | (86 | ) | |||||||||
Change in foreign exchange gains or losses | 50 | (58 | ) | 74 | ||||||||||
Change in earnings from equity-accounted investees | (165 | ) | 60 | 26 | ||||||||||
Canadian Emergency Wage Subsidy | — | — | (21 | ) | ||||||||||
Bargain purchase gain on CLJV ownership interest increase | — | (23 | ) | 23 | ||||||||||
Higher (lower) finance income | (91 | ) | 75 | 30 | ||||||||||
Higher finance costs | (31 | ) | (30 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||||||
Change in income tax recovery or expense | 41 | (130 | ) | 3 | ||||||||||
Other | 5 | (5 | ) | 7 | ||||||||||
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Net earnings - current year | 172 | 361 | 89 | |||||||||||
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Average realized prices
CHANGE FROM | ||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 TO 2024 | |||||||||||||||||
Uranium1 | $ | US/lb | 58.34 | 49.76 | 44.73 | 17 | % | |||||||||||||
$ | Cdn/lb | 79.70 | 67.31 | 57.85 | 18 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Fuel services | $ | Cdn/kgU | 37.87 | 35.61 | 32.92 | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
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1 | Average realized foreign exchange rate ($US/$Cdn): 2024 – 1.37, 2023 – 1.35 and 2022 – 1.29. |
Revenue
The following table shows what contributed to the change in revenue for 2024.
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Revenue – 2023 | 2,588 | |||
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Uranium | ||||
Higher sales volume | 107 | |||
Higher realized prices ($Cdn) | 416 | |||
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Fuel services | ||||
Higher sales volume | 7 | |||
Higher realized prices ($Cdn) | 27 | |||
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Other | (9 | ) | ||
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Revenue – 2024 | 3,136 | |||
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See 2024 Financial results by segment on page 57 for more detailed discussion.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 39
THREE-YEAR TREND
In 2023, revenue increased by 39% compared to 2022 due to a 45% increase in the uranium segment and a 17% increase in our fuel services segment. Both segments saw increases in the average realized price and sales volume.
In 2024, revenue increased by 21% compared to 2023 due to a 24% increase in the uranium segment and an 8% increase in our fuel services segment. Both segments saw significant increases in the average realized price and while sales volume remained constant in fuel services, the uranium segment saw an increase in volume. See notes 18 and 28 in our annual financial statements for more information.
SALES DELIVERY OUTLOOK FOR 2025
For 2025 we have committed sales volumes in our uranium segment of between 31 and 34 million pounds.
In our uranium and fuel services segments, our customers choose when in the year to receive deliveries. As a result, our quarterly delivery patterns and, therefore, our sales volumes and revenue can vary significantly. We expect a greater share of uranium deliveries in 2025 to be in the second half of the year as shown below. However, not all delivery notices have been received to date and the expected delivery pattern could change. Typically, we receive notices six months in advance of the requested delivery date.
Corporate expenses
ADMINISTRATION
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Direct administration1 | 212 | 186 | 14 | % | ||||||||
Stock-based compensation1 | 41 | 60 | (32 | )% | ||||||||
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Total administration | 253 | 246 | 3 | % | ||||||||
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1 | Direct administration and stock-based compensation are supplementary financial measures. They are components of administration expense as shown on the statement of earnings and calculated according to IFRS. |
Direct administration costs in 2024 were $26 million higher than in 2023 largely due to the impacts of inflation and higher payments under Collaboration Agreements tied to increased production volumes.
We recorded $41 million in stock-based compensation expenses in 2024, $19 million lower compared to 2023 due to both the grant and vesting of a lower number of share-based awards compared to the same period last year. See note 24 to the financial statements.
Administration outlook for 2025
We expect direct administration costs to be between $220 million to $230 million.
40 CAMECO CORPORATION
EXPLORATION AND RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT
Our 2024 exploration activities were focused primarily on Canada. As planned, our spending increased from $18 million in 2023 to $19 million in 2024.
We also had research and development expenditures in 2024 of $37 million compared to $21 million in 2023. These expenses are related to our investment in Global Laser Enrichment LLC (GLE). See Global Laser Enrichment on page 106.
Exploration and research & development outlook for 2025
We expect exploration expenses to be about $27 million in 2025. The focus for 2025 will be on our core projects in Saskatchewan. We expect research and development expenses to be about $47 million in 2025, primarily related to our investment in GLE. See Global Laser Enrichment on page 106.
FINANCE COSTS
Finance costs were $147 million, an increase from $116 million in 2023 primarily due to interest on the US term loan put in place to finance the acquisition of Westinghouse. See note 20 to the financial statements.
FINANCE INCOME
Finance income was $21 million compared to $112 million in 2023 mainly due to a lower short-term investment balance throughout 2024 due to the closing of the Westinghouse acquisition in November 2023 and $400 million (US) in debt repayments made in 2024.
GAINS AND LOSSES ON DERIVATIVES
In 2024, we recorded $183 million in losses on our derivatives compared to $38 million in gains in 2023. The losses reflect a weaker Canadian dollar compared to the US dollar in 2024 compared to 2023. See Foreign exchange on page 44 and note 26 to the financial statements.
INCOME TAXES
We recorded an income tax expense of $85 million in 2024 compared to an expense of $126 million in 2023 primarily as a result of lower earnings in Canada compared to 2023. Equity-accounted investees are included in both Canadian and foreign earnings net of tax paid in the jurisdictions in which they operate. Foreign earnings include losses in some jurisdictions for which no future tax benefit has been recognized.
In 2024, we recorded earnings of $401 million in Canada compared to earnings of $562 million in 2023, while in foreign jurisdictions, we recorded a loss of $144 million compared to a loss of $75 million in 2023.
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Net earnings (loss) before income taxes | ||||||||
Canada | 401 | 562 | ||||||
Foreign | (144 | ) | (75 | ) | ||||
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Total net earnings before income taxes | 257 | 487 | ||||||
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Canada | 63 | 131 | ||||||
Foreign | 22 | (5 | ) | |||||
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Total income tax expense | 85 | 126 | ||||||
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Effective tax rate | 33 | % | 26 | % | ||||
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TRANSFER PRICING DISPUTE
Background
Since 2008, Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has disputed our marketing and trading structure and the related transfer pricing methodology we used for certain intercompany uranium sale and purchase agreements.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 41
For the years 2003 to 2014, CRA shifted Cameco Europe Limited’s income (as recalculated by CRA) back to Canada and applied statutory tax rates, interest and instalment penalties, and, from 2007 to 2011, transfer pricing penalties. In addition, for 2014 to 2017, CRA has advanced an alternate reassessing position, see Reassessments, remittances and next steps below for more information.
In September 2018, the Tax Court of Canada (Tax Court) ruled that our marketing and trading structure involving foreign subsidiaries, as well as the related transfer pricing methodology used for certain intercompany uranium sales and purchasing agreements, were in full compliance with Canadian law for the tax years in question (2003, 2005 and 2006). On June 26, 2020, the Federal Court of Appeal (Court of Appeal) upheld the Tax Court’s decision.
On February 18, 2021, the Supreme Court of Canada (Supreme Court) dismissed CRA’s application for leave to appeal the June 26, 2020 decision of the Court of Appeal. The dismissal means that the dispute for the 2003, 2005 and 2006 tax years is fully and finally resolved in our favour. Although not technically binding, there is nothing in the reasoning of the lower court decisions that should result in a different outcome for the 2007 through 2014 tax years, which were reassessed on the same basis.
Refund and cost award
The Minister of National Revenue issued new reassessments for the 2003 through 2006 tax years in accordance with the decision and in July 2021, refunded the tax paid for those years. In October 2023, pursuant to a cost award from the courts, we received a payment of approximately $12 million for disbursements which is in addition to the $10 million we received from CRA in April 2021 as reimbursement for legal fees.
Reassessments, remittances and next steps
The Canadian income tax rules include provisions that generally require larger companies like us to remit or otherwise secure 50% of the cash tax plus related interest and penalties at the time of reassessment. Following the Supreme Court’s dismissal of CRA’s application for leave to appeal, we wrote to CRA requesting reversal of CRA’s transfer pricing adjustments for 2007 through 2013 and the return of the $780 million in cash and letters of credit we paid or provided for those years. Given the strength of the court decisions received, our request was made on the basis that the Tax Court would reject any attempt by CRA to defend its reassessments for the 2007 through 2013 tax years applying the same or similar positions already denied for previous years.
In March 2023, CRA issued revised reassessments for the 2007 through 2013 tax years, which resulted in a refund of $297 million of the $780 million in cash and letters of credit held by CRA at the time. The refund consisted of cash in the amount of $86 million and letters of credit in the amount of $211 million, which were returned in the second quarter.
The series of court decisions that were completely and unequivocally in our favour for the 2003, 2005 and 2006 tax years, determined that the income earned by our foreign subsidiary from the sale of non-Canadian produced uranium was not taxable in Canada. In accordance with these decisions, CRA issued reassessments reducing the proposed transfer pricing adjustment from $5.1 billion to $3.3 billion, resulting in a reduction of $1.8 billion in income taxable in Canada compared to the previous reassessments issued to us by CRA for the 2007 through 2013 tax years.
The remaining transfer pricing adjustment of $3.3 billion for the 2007 to 2013 tax years relates to the sale of Canadian-produced uranium by our foreign subsidiary. We maintain that the clear and decisive court decisions described above apply, and that CRA should fully reverse the remaining transfer pricing adjustments for these years and return all cash and security being held.
In October 2021, due to a lack of significant progress on our points of contention, we filed a notice of appeal with the Tax Court for the years 2007 through 2013. We have asked the Tax Court to order the complete reversal of CRA’s transfer pricing adjustment for those years and the return of all cash and letters of credit being held, with costs.
42 CAMECO CORPORATION
In 2020, CRA advanced an alternate reassessing position for the 2014 tax year in the event the basis for its original reassessment, noted above, is unsuccessful. Subsequent to this, we received a reassessment for the 2015, 2016 and 2017 tax years, all reflecting this alternative reassessing position. While CRA did not require additional security for the tax debts they considered owing for 2014 through 2016, CRA did require additional letters of credit related to the tax debts they considered owing for 2017. CRA continues to hold $555 million ($209 million in cash and $346 million in letters of credit) that we have remitted or secured to date. The new basis of reassessment is inconsistent with the methodology CRA has pursued for prior years and we are disputing it separately. Our view is that this alternate methodology will not result in a materially different outcome from our 2014 to 2017 filing positions. We filed appeals with the Tax Court for each year from 2014 through 2017.
In late 2024, we received a reassessment for the 2018 tax year. The reassessment relates to contracts other than those discussed above. CRA has advanced another alternate reassessing position for the 2018 tax year. We plan to file a notice of objection for 2018.
We will not be in a position to determine the definitive outcome of the dispute for any tax year other than 2003 through 2006 until such time as all reassessments have been issued advancing CRA’s arguments and final resolution is reached for that tax year. CRA may also advance alternative reassessment methodologies for years other than 2003 through 2006, such as the alternative reassessing position advanced for 2014 through 2017, or the new alternative reassessing position advanced for 2018.
Caution about forward-looking information relating to our CRA tax dispute
This discussion of our expectations relating to our tax dispute with CRA and future tax reassessments by CRA is forward-looking information that is based upon the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 2 and also on the more specific assumptions and risks listed below. Actual outcomes may vary significantly.
Assumptions
• | the courts will reach consistent decisions for subsequent tax years that are based on similar positions and arguments |
• | CRA will not successfully advance different positions and arguments that may lead to a different outcome for other tax years |
Material risks that could cause actual results to differ materially
• | the possibility the courts may accept the same, similar or different positions and arguments advanced by CRA to reach decisions that are adverse to us for other tax years |
• | the possibility that we will not be successful in eliminating all double taxation |
• | the possibility that CRA does not agree that the court decisions for the years that have been resolved in Cameco’s favour should apply to subsequent tax years |
• | the possibility CRA will not return all or substantially all of the cash and security that has been paid or otherwise secured by Cameco in a timely manner, or at all |
• | the possibility of a materially different outcome in disputes for other tax years |
Tax outlook for 2025
Our consolidated tax rate is a blend of the statutory rates applicable to taxable income earned or tax losses incurred in Canada and in our foreign subsidiaries. Since 2017, our global marketing organization has been mainly consolidated in Canada in order to achieve efficiencies, resulting in more income earned in Canada. In addition, equity-accounted investees are included in Canadian and foreign earnings net of tax paid in the jurisdiction in which they operate. We continue to expect our consolidated tax rate will trend toward the Canadian statutory rate in the longer term.
The actual effective tax rate will vary from year-to-year, primarily due to the actual distribution of earnings among jurisdictions and differences between accounting earnings and income for tax purposes. In addition, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development has proposed the introduction of rules that would impose a global minimum tax rate of 15% beginning in 2024. Switzerland, Luxembourg, and Germany have all enacted or substantively enacted these rules.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 43
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
The exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and US dollar affects the financial results of our uranium and fuel services segments.
We sell the majority of our uranium and fuel services products under long-term sales contracts, which are routinely denominated in US dollars. While our product purchases are denominated in US dollars, our production costs are largely denominated in Canadian dollars. To provide cash flow predictability, we hedge a portion of our net US/Cdn exposure (e.g. total US dollar sales less US dollar expenditures and product purchases) to manage shorter term exchange rate volatility. Our results are therefore affected by the movements in the exchange rate, and in particular on the unhedged portion of our net exposure.
Our risk management policy is based on a 60-month period and permits us to hedge 35% to 100% of our expected net exposure in the first 12-month period. Our normal practice is to layer in hedge contracts over a three- to four-year period with the hedge ratios being highest in the first 12 months and decreasing hedge ratios in subsequent years. The portion of our net exposure that remains unhedged is subject to prevailing market exchange rates for the period. A weakening Canadian dollar would have a positive effect on the unhedged exposure, and a strengthening Canadian dollar would have a negative effect.
Impact of hedging on IFRS earnings
We do not use hedge accounting under IFRS and, therefore, we are required to report gains and losses on all hedging activity, both for contracts that close in the period and those that remain outstanding at the end of the period. For the contracts that remain outstanding, we must treat them as though they were settled at the end of the reporting period (mark-to-market).
However, we do not believe the gains and losses that we are required to report under IFRS appropriately reflect the intent of our hedging activities, so we make adjustments in calculating our ANE to better reflect the impact of our hedging program in the applicable reporting period.
Impact of hedging on ANE
We designate contracts for use in particular periods, based on our expected net exposure in that period. Hedge contracts are layered in over time based on this expected net exposure. The result is that our current hedge portfolio is made up of a number of contracts which are currently designated to net exposures we expect in 2025 and future years and we will recognize the gains or losses in ANE in those periods.
For the purposes of ANE, gains and losses on derivatives are reported based on the difference between the effective hedge rate of the contracts designated for use in the particular period and the exchange rate at the time of settlement. This results in an adjustment to current period IFRS earnings to effectively remove reported gains or losses on derivatives that arise from contracts put in place for use in future periods. The effective hedge rate will lag the market in periods of rapid currency movement. See Non-IFRS measures on page 65.
The table below provides a summary of our hedge portfolio at December 31, 2024. You can use this information to estimate the expected gains or losses on derivatives for 2025 on an ANE basis. Additionally, if we add contracts to the portfolio that are designated for use in 2025 or if there are changes in the US/Cdn exchange rates in the year, those expected gains or losses could change.
44 CAMECO CORPORATION
Hedge portfolio summary
DECEMBER 31, 2024 | AFTER | |||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | 2025 | 2025 | TOTAL | |||||||||||||
US dollar forward contracts | ($ millions | ) | 1,070 | 1,210 | 2,280 | |||||||||||
Average contract rate1 | (US/Cdn dollar | ) | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | |||||||||||
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Total US dollar hedge contracts | ($ millions | ) | 1,070 | 1,210 | 2,280 | |||||||||||
Average hedge rate | (US/Cdn dollar | ) | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | |||||||||||
Hedge ratio2 | 63 | % | 14 | % | 22 | % |
1 | The average contract rate is the weighted average of the rates stipulated in the outstanding contracts. |
2 | Hedge ratio is calculated by dividing the amount (in foreign currency) of outstanding derivative contracts by estimated future net exposures. |
At December 31, 2024:
• | The value of the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar was $1.00 (US) for $1.44 (Cdn), up from $1.00 (US) for $1.32 (Cdn) at December 31, 2023. The exchange rate averaged $1.00 (US) for $1.37 (Cdn) over the year. |
• | The mark-to-market position on all foreign exchange contracts was a $140 million loss compared to a $12 million gain at December 31, 2023. The mark-to-market position is a component of gains/losses on derivatives as shown on the statement of earnings and calculated in accordance with IFRS. |
We manage counterparty risk associated with hedging by dealing with highly rated counterparties and diversifying our exposure. At December 31, 2024, all of our hedging counterparties had a S&P Global Ratings credit rating of A or better.
For information on the impact of foreign exchange on our intercompany balances, see note 26 to the financial statements.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 45
Outlook for 2025
Our outlook for 2025 reflects our plan to produce 18 million pounds (100% basis) at each of Cigar Lake and McArthur River/Key Lake, and 13 million to 14 million kgU in our fuel services segment, as well as continued work to extend the mine life at Cigar Lake.
In 2025, we expect strong financial performance, including cash flow generation. Our financial performance and the amount of cash generated will be dependent on sourcing the material required to meet our deliveries as planned, including achieving our production plans.
As in prior years, we will incur care and maintenance costs for the ongoing curtailment of our tier-two assets, which are expected to be between $62 million and $67 million.
2024 outlook compared to actual
Our actual results were largely in-line with the outlook provided in our third quarter MD&A. Average unit cost of sales in our fuel services segment was $29.14 per kgU compared to our outlook of $25.50 to $26.50 per kgU due to 2024 production being at the low end of the range provided in the third quarter MD&A combined with inflationary pressures.
See 2024 Financial results by segment on page 57 for details.
2025 Financial outlook
CONSOLIDATED | URANIUM | FUEL SERVICES | WESTINGHOUSE | |||||||||||||
Production (owned and operated properties) | — | 22.4 million lbs | 13 to 14 million kgU | — | ||||||||||||
Market purchases | — | up to 3 million lbs | — | — | ||||||||||||
Committed purchases (including Inkai purchase volumes) | — | 9 million lbs | — | — | ||||||||||||
Sales/delivery volume | — | 31 to 34 million lbs | 13 to 14 million kgU | — | ||||||||||||
Revenue | $ | 3,300 to 3,550 million | $ | 2,800 to 3,000 million | $ | 500-550 million | — | |||||||||
Average realized price | — | $ | 84.00/lb | 1 | — | — | ||||||||||
Average unit cost of sales (including D&A) | — | $ | 59.50-63.00/lb | 2 | $ | 27.00-$28.75/kgU | 3 | — | ||||||||
Direct administration costs | $ | 220-230 million | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Exploration costs | — | $ | 27 million | — | — | |||||||||||
Research and development | $ | 47 million | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Capital expenditures | $ | 360-400 million | $ | 285-310 million | $ | 70-80 million | — | |||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS measure see page 65) (USD) | — | — | — | $ | 355-405 million |
1 | Uranium average realized price is calculated as the revenue from sales of uranium concentrate, transportation and storage fees divided by the volume of uranium concentrates sold |
2 | Uranium average unit cost of sales is calculated as the cash and non-cash costs of the product sold, royalties, care and maintenance and selling costs, divided by the volume of uranium concentrates sold. |
3 | Fuel services average unit cost of sales is calculated as the cash and non-cash costs of the product sold, transportation and weighing and sampling costs, as well as care and maintenance costs, divided by the volume of products sold. |
We do not provide an outlook for the items in the table that are marked with a dash.
The following assumptions were used to prepare the outlook in the table above:
• | Market purchases reflect the market purchases we have made to date or plan to make in 2025. Market purchases may vary if planned production varies. In addition, if we decide to increase our working inventory from current levels our market purchases could be higher. Our market purchases could also be lower if, instead of making market purchases, we choose to source the required volumes by temporarily reducing inventory levels, by pulling forward long-term purchase commitments, or by drawing on loan arrangements we have in place. |
46 CAMECO CORPORATION
• | Committed purchases are based on the 4.8 million pounds we currently have commitments to acquire under contract in 2025 and our JV Inkai purchases, which we have assumed will be equivalent to our 2024 purchase volume of 4.2 million pounds. Following the halt of production in January 2025 at Inkai, we are in discussions with JV Inkai and KAP to determine how the halt will impact production at Inkai in 2025 and thereafter and our corresponding purchase entitlements. If Inkai production and/or deliveries vary, committed purchases will vary and we may have to rely on our other sources of supply described above. We equity account for our minority ownership interest in JV Inkai. We record our share of its production as a purchase. However, this does not reflect our share of the economic benefit. Our share of the economic benefit is based on the difference between our purchase price and JV Inkai’s lower production cost and is reflected in the line item on our statement of earnings called, “share of earnings from equity-accounted investees”. As a result, increases in the spot price increase our cost of purchases from JV Inkai and also our “share of earnings from equity-accounted investees”. The benefit is realized, through receipt of a cash dividend, when declared and paid by JV Inkai. |
• | Our 2025 outlook for sales/delivery volume does not include sales between our uranium and fuel services segments. |
• | Sales/delivery volume is based on the volumes we currently have commitments to deliver under contract in 2025. |
• | Uranium revenue and average realized price are based on a uranium spot price of $71.75 (US) per pound (the UxC spot price on December 30, 2024), a long-term price indicator of $79.00 (US) per pound (the UxC long-term indicator on December 30, 2024) and an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.40 (Cdn). |
• | Uranium average unit cost of sales (including D&A) is based on the expected unit cost of sales for produced material, the planned market purchases and committed purchases noted in the outlook at an anticipated average purchase price of about $100 (Cdn) per pound and includes care and maintenance costs of between $62 million and $67 million. We expect overall unit cost of sales could vary if there are changes in production and market or committed purchase volumes or the mix of supply sources used to meet our contract deliveries, uranium spot prices, and/or care and maintenance costs in 2025. In addition, unit cost of sales could be impacted by the imposition of tariffs in the US, see Managing our costs on page 28 for more information. |
• | The adjusted EBITDA outlook for Westinghouse is based on the assumptions listed later in this section. |
• | Westinghouse and JV Inkai are accounted for using the equity method for our share. Under equity accounting Westinghouse and JV Inkai capital expenditures are not presented within our consolidated financial statements and are therefore not included in our outlook for capital expenditures. |
For more information on how changes in the exchange rate or uranium prices can impact our outlook see Revenue, adjusted net earnings, and cash flow sensitivity analysis below, and Foreign exchange starting on page 44.
In 2025 we expect our share of adjusted EBITDA from our equity investment in Westinghouse to be between $355 million and $405 million in US dollars. Over the next five years, we expect its adjusted EBITDA will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6% to 10%.
$USD | ||||
CAMECO SHARE (49%) | MILLIONS | |||
Net loss | (20-70 | ) | ||
Depreciation and amortization | 260-275 | |||
Finance income | (1-2 | ) | ||
Finance costs | 120-135 | |||
Income tax expense (recovery) | 5-(10 | ) | ||
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EBITDA | 320-370 | |||
Inventory purchase accounting | 1-5 | |||
Restructuring costs | 15-30 | |||
Other expenses | 10-25 | |||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 355-405 | |||
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Note: the ranges for 2025 outlook for EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA are not determined using the high and low estimates of the ranges provided for each of the detailed reconciling line items.
We expect that earnings and adjusted EBITDA will be weak in the first half of the year and weighted to the fourth quarter.
The outlook for adjusted EBITDA from Westinghouse for 2025 and its growth over the next five years are based on the following assumptions:
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 47
• | A compound annual growth rate in revenue from its core business of 6% to 8%, which is slightly higher than the anticipated average growth rate of the nuclear industry based on the World Nuclear Association’s Reference Case. In addition to orders for pressurized water reactor fuel and services, this includes orders for VVER, BWR fuel and services, and a phase out of AGR fuel. The outlook assumes that work is fulfilled on the timelines and scope expected based on current orders received, and additional work is secured based on past trends. The expected margins for the core business are aligned with the historic margins of 16% to 19%, with the variability expected to come from product mix compared to in previous years. |
• | Growth in its new build business from new AP1000 reactor projects based on agreements that have been signed and announcements where AP1000 technology has been selected. This includes Poland, Bulgaria and Ukraine, as well as the expected benefit over this period for deployment of reactor designs using Westinghouse’s technology. It is assumed that work on announced agreements and announced selections to be done by Westinghouse would proceed on the timelines and revenue pattern noted under the New Build Framework. A delay in project timelines or cancellation of announced projects would result in a growth rate near the bottom of the range. The top of the growth range assumes the announced projects continue and two additional projects are secured within the timeframe from the group of planned and proposed projects. For all new build projects, the growth assumes Westinghouse undertakes only the engineering and procurement work required prior to a new reactor project breaking ground, which is a small component of the overall potential. |
• | Estimates and assumptions, including growth capital timelines, new build development timelines for both announced and potential reactor builds which are subject to regulatory approval, as well as risks related to the current geopolitical and macro-economic environment, may differ significantly from those assumed. |
• | Contributions from new technologies are outside the 5-year time frame. Timelines for investment in research and development for new technologies, including the eVinci microreactor and AP300 small modular reactor, may differ from that assumed. |
• | The outlook for capital expenditures includes growth capex for expansion of fuel fabrication capabilities, as well as work to evaluate cost, timeline and infrastructure required to bring back conversion capacity and consider the potential future opportunities at the Springfields site in the UK. As with Cameco’s other investments, planning for this site will align with market opportunities. |
Westinghouse 2025 capital spending outlook
CAMECO’S SHARE ($USD MILLIONS) | 2025 PLAN | |||
Total | 120-150 | |||
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Sustaining capital | 60-75 | |||
Growth capital | 60-75 |
Westinghouse debt
At December 31, 2024, Westinghouse had the following outstanding debt:
• | $3.5 billion (US) term loan with a maturity of January 2031 |
• | credit facilities of $500 million (US), which were undrawn and mature in January 2029 |
• | financial assurances including letters of credit of about $330 million (US) issued and surety bonds of $294 million (US) |
The credit agreements are non-recourse to Cameco, but come with certain covenants, which if breached, could result in all amounts outstanding thereunder to be immediately due and payable by Westinghouse. We expect Westinghouse to continue to comply with these covenants in 2025.
Caution about forward-looking information relating to our future earnings and adjusted EBITDA form Westinghouse
This discussion of our expectations for Westinghouse’s future earnings and adjusted EBITDA and our share thereof is forward-looking information that is based upon the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed under the headings Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 2. Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect.
REVENUE, ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS, AND CASH FLOW SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
We have sensitivity to the uranium price through both our sales and purchase commitments. However, at the current price levels many of the market-related sales contracts we have delivered into or are delivering into this year are subject to ceiling prices and therefore are generally less sensitive than our purchase commitments.
48 CAMECO CORPORATION
As a result, if the uranium spot price increased by $5 (US) per pound, we expect revenue would increase by $64 million, while ANE would increase by $18 million and cash flow would decrease by $14 million. From a cash flow perspective, the sensitivity does not adequately capture the impact of JV Inkai purchases, which straddle two fiscal reporting periods due to when dividends are declared and paid by JV Inkai. The cash flow sensitivity includes the cash outflow for the 4.2 million pounds of uranium assumed to be purchased from JV Inkai in 2025 at a 5% discount to the spot price but does not account for an associated increase in the cash dividend expected, which will be tied to our agreed to 2025 production purchase entitlement and is expected to be received in 2026. JV Inkai distributes excess cash as dividends to its owners, net of working capital requirements. In the case of a $5 (US) per pound increase in uranium prices, the JV Inkai purchases are responsible for about a $28 million decrease in cash flow, and we expect the impact of these purchases on the 2025 cash flow will be partially offset by dividends once declared and paid in 2026.
If the uranium spot price decreased by $5 (US) per pound, we expect revenue to decrease by $65 million, ANE to decrease by $19 million, and cash flow to increase by $13 million. From a cash flow perspective, the impact of the noted decrease in uranium price on the assumed purchase of uranium from JV Inkai is expected to have the opposite impact from that described above for the noted uranium price increase.
In the case of a $5 (US) increase or decrease in the uranium spot price, the sensitivity for ANE compared to the sensitivity for cash flow is less due to the impact on our net earnings from the inclusion of our share of earnings from our equity-accounted investment in JV Inkai in the reporting period, the rate of inventory turnover, and income taxes.
The following assumptions were used to prepare the revenue, ANE and cash flow sensitivity analysis above:
• | 4.8 million pounds of purchases are sourced from the market. |
• | Total JV Inkai purchases for the year are equivalent to our 2024 purchase volume of 4.2 million pounds. |
• | For market-related contracts not yet priced and for delivery in 2025, subject to any floors or ceilings, we used a uranium spot price of $71.75 (US) per pound (the UxC spot price as of December 30, 2024), a long-term price indicator of $79.00 (US) per pound (the UxC long-term indicator on December 30, 2024) and an exchange rate of $1.00 (US) for $1.40 (Cdn). |
To the extent that our market purchases or Inkai purchases vary, the sensitivity of our ANE and cash flow to changes in the spot and long-term prices may be impacted. In the case of decreased market or Inkai purchases, our sensitivity would be reduced. In the case of increased market or Inkai purchases, our sensitivity would be greater.
A one cent increase or decrease in the value of the US dollar compared to the Canadian dollar would respectively increase or decrease expected revenue by $22 million, ANE by $3 million and cash flow by $2 million. The majority of our sales are denominated in US dollars, resulting in sensitivity to foreign exchange rates. Revenue will be recognized at the prevailing foreign exchange rate at the time of the sale. ANE and cash flow are less sensitive to foreign exchange rates as we have layered in foreign exchange hedges to provide cash flow certainty. Currently, for 2025, we have $1,070 million (US) hedged at an average rate of 1.35, meaning for ANE and cash flow purposes that this portion of our net exposure to the US dollar will realize a rate of 1.35 USDCAD instead of prevailing rates. See Foreign Exchange starting on page 44 for more details.
PRICE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: URANIUM SEGMENT
As discussed under the Long-term contracting section on page 25, our average realized price is based on pricing terms established in our portfolio of long-term contracts, which includes a mix of base-escalated and market-related contracts that are layered in over time. Each confidential contract is bilaterally negotiated with the customer and delivery generally does not begin until two years or more after signing.
• | Base-escalated contracts will reflect market conditions and pricing at the time each contract was finalized, with escalation factors applied based on when the material is delivered. |
• | Market-related contracts reference a pricing mechanism that may be based on either the spot price or the long-term price, and that price is generally set a month or more prior to delivery, subject to specific terms unique to each contract, such as floors and ceilings set relative to market pricing at time of negotiation and typically escalated to time of delivery. |
As a result of these contracting dynamics, changes to our average realized price will generally lag changes in market prices in both rising and falling price conditions. The magnitude and direction of the deviation can vary based on the degree of market price volatility between the time the contract price is set, and the time the product is delivered.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 49
To help understand how the pricing under our current portfolio of commitments is expected to react at various spot prices at December 31, 2024, we have constructed the table that follows.
The table is based on the volumes and pricing terms under the long-term commitments in our contract portfolio that have been finalized as at December 31, 2024. The table does not include volumes and pricing terms in contracts under negotiation or those that have been accepted but are still subject to contract finalization. Based on the terms and volumes under contracts that have been finalized, the table is designed to indicate how our average realized price would react under various spot price assumptions at a point in time. In other words, the prices shown in the table would only be realized if the contract portfolio remained exactly as it was on December 31, 2024, using the following assumptions:
• | The uranium price remains fixed at a given spot level for each annual period shown |
• | Deliveries based on commitments under finalized contracts include best estimates of the expected deliveries and flexibility under contract terms |
• | To reflect escalation mechanisms contained in existing contracts, the long-term US inflation rate target of 2% is used, for modeling purposes only |
It is important to note, that the table is not a forecast of prices we expect to receive. The prices we actually realize will be different from the prices shown in the table. We intend to update this table each quarter in our MD&A to reflect deliveries made and changes to our contract portfolio. As a result, we expect the table to change from quarter to quarter.
Expected realized uranium price sensitivity under various spot price assumptions at December 31, 2024
(rounded to the nearest $1.00) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SPOT PRICES | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($US/lb U3O8) | $20 | $40 | $60 | $80 | $100 | $120 | $140 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2025 | 43 | 47 | 55 | 61 | 64 | 65 | 65 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2026 | 42 | 45 | 56 | 66 | 69 | 70 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2027 | 42 | 45 | 57 | 69 | 73 | 75 | 77 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2028 | 48 | 50 | 59 | 71 | 76 | 78 | 80 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2029 | 50 | 52 | 61 | 73 | 81 | 84 | 86 |
As of December 31, 2024, we had commitments requiring delivery of an average of about 28 million pounds per year from 2025 through 2029, with commitment levels in 2025 through 2027 higher than the average and in 2028 and 2029 lower than the average, reflecting our disciplined approach to contracting. As the market improves, we expect to continue to layer in volumes capturing greater upside using market-related pricing mechanisms.
Liquidity and capital resources
Our financial objective is to ensure we have the cash and access to capital to fund our operating activities, investments and other financial obligations in order to execute our strategy, take advantage of opportunities and to self-manage risk. We regularly consider our financing options so we can take advantage of favourable market conditions when they arise. We have a number of alternatives to fund future capital requirements, including using our operating cash flow, drawing on our existing credit facilities, entering new credit facilities, and raising additional capital through debt or equity financings, including by offering securities on our base shelf prospectus or utilizing our at-the-market equity program.
At the end of 2024, we had cash and cash equivalents of $600 million, while our total debt amounted to $1.3 billion. We have a risk management policy to manage our cash balances and investments, which are largely held in government securities or with banks that are party to our lending facilities. On January 13, 2025, we repaid the remaining $200 million (US) on our US term loan, extinguishing the term loan and further reducing our total debt outstanding. A distribution of $100 million (US) from Westinghouse was paid in February 2025, of which we received $49 million (US) representing our share of the distribution.
We expect to continue to see strong earnings and cash flow generation in 2025.
50 CAMECO CORPORATION
We have large, creditworthy customers that continue to need our nuclear fuel products and services irrespective of weak economic conditions or uncertain trade policies, therefore we expect the contract portfolio we have built to continue to provide a solid revenue stream. In our uranium segment, we have commitments to deliver an average of 28 million pounds per year from 2025 through 2029, with commitment levels in 2025 through 2027 higher than the average and in 2028 and 2029 lower than the average.
We expect the low-cost production from our tier one assets will continue to generate strong cash flows which we expect will meet our capital requirements during 2025. However, cash flow from operations for 2025 will be dependent on our ability to source the material required to meet our deliveries as planned, including achieving our production plans.
With the Supreme Court’s dismissal of CRA’s application for leave, the dispute of the 2003 through 2006 tax years are fully and finally resolved in our favour. Furthermore, we are confident the courts would reject any attempt by CRA to utilize the same position and arguments for tax years 2007 through 2014, or its alternate reassessing position for tax years 2014 through 2017, or its new alternative reassessing position for 2018 and believe CRA should return all cash and letters of credit (to date, $555 million) being held. However, timing of any further payments is uncertain, and there can be no assurance that the courts will take this position. See page 41 for more information.
Financial condition
2024 | 2023 | |||||||
Cash position ($ millions) | ||||||||
(cash and cash equivalents) | 600 | 567 | ||||||
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Cash provided by operations ($ millions) | ||||||||
(net cash flow generated by our operating activities after changes in working capital) | 905 | 688 | ||||||
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Cash from operations/net debt | ||||||||
(net debt is total consolidated debt, less cash position) | 133 | % | 57 | % | ||||
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Net debt/total capitalization | ||||||||
(total capitalization is net debt and equity) | 10 | % | 17 | % | ||||
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Credit ratings
The credit ratings assigned by external ratings agencies are important as they impact our ability to raise capital at competitive pricing to support our business operations and execute our strategy.
Third-party ratings for our commercial paper and senior debt as of February 19, 2025 are as follows:
SECURITY | DBRS | S&P | ||||||
Commercial paper | R-2 (middle) | A-3 | ||||||
Senior unsecured debentures | BBB | BBB- | ||||||
Rating trend / rating outlook | Stable | 1 | Positive | 2 |
1 | On September 9, 2024, DBRS confirmed the rating and outlook. |
2 | On December 19, 2024, S&P revised Cameco’s rating outlook to positive and affirmed the rating. |
The rating agencies may revise or withdraw these ratings if they believe circumstances warrant. The rating trend/outlook represents the rating agency’s assessment of the likelihood and direction that the rating could change in the future.
A change in our credit ratings could affect our cost of funding and our access to capital through the capital markets.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 51
Liquidity
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year | 567 | 2,282 | ||||||
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Cash from operations | 905 | 688 | ||||||
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Investment activities | ||||||||
Additions to property, plant and equipment and acquisitions | (212 | ) | (3,183 | ) | ||||
Other investing activities | 5 | — | ||||||
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Financing activities | ||||||||
Change in debt | (545 | ) | 817 | |||||
Interest paid | (89 | ) | (41 | ) | ||||
Issue of shares | 17 | 28 | ||||||
Dividends | (70 | ) | (52 | ) | ||||
Other financing activities | (1 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||
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Exchange rate on changes on foreign currency cash balances | 23 | 31 | ||||||
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Cash and cash equivalents at end of year | 600 | 567 | ||||||
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CASH FROM OPERATIONS
Cash from operations in 2024 was higher than in 2023 due to higher earnings and a higher dividend payment from JV Inkai in 2024, partially offset by the $86 million cash refund received from CRA in 2023 and higher interest received due to higher cash and investment balances in 2023. Not including working capital requirements, our operating cash flows in the year were up $203 million. See note 23 to the financial statements.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Cash used in investing includes acquisitions and capital spending.
Capital spending
We classify capital spending as sustaining, capacity replacement or growth. As a mining company, sustaining capital is the money we spend to keep our facilities running in their present state, which would follow a gradually decreasing production curve, while capacity replacement capital is spent to maintain current production levels at those operations. Growth capital is money we invest to generate incremental production, and for business development. We have a capital allocation process to approve our capital spend. See Capital Allocation beginning on page 29 for more information.
CAMECO’S SHARE ($ MILLIONS) | 2024 ACTUAL | 2025 PLAN | ||||||
Sustaining capital | ||||||||
Uranium | 70 | 80-85 | ||||||
Fuel services | 41 | 65-70 | ||||||
Other | 9 | 5-10 | ||||||
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Total sustaining capital | 120 | 150-165 | ||||||
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Capacity replacement capital | ||||||||
Uranium | 65 | 145-160 | ||||||
Fuel services | — | — | ||||||
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Total capacity replacement capital | 65 | 145-160 | ||||||
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Growth capital | ||||||||
Uranium | 19 | 60-65 | ||||||
Fuel services | 8 | 5-10 | ||||||
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Total growth capital | 27 | 65-75 | ||||||
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Total sustaining, capacity replacement and growth | 212 | 360-400 | ||||||
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52 CAMECO CORPORATION
Outlook for investing activities
CAMECO’S SHARE ($ MILLIONS) | 2025 PLAN | 2026 PLAN | 2027 PLAN | |||||||||
Total uranium & fuel services | 360-400 | 375-425 | 280-330 | |||||||||
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Sustaining capital | 150-165 | 135-150 | 130-145 | |||||||||
Capacity replacement capital | 145-160 | 140-155 | 125-140 | |||||||||
Growth capital | 65-75 | 100-120 | 25-45 |
Our 2025, 2026 and 2027 capital spending estimates assume that we produce 18 million pounds (100% basis) per year at McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake and between 13 million and 14 million kgU in fuel services. If our production plans change, then our capital spending estimates may change.
Our estimate for capital spending in 2025 has been increased to between $360 million and $400 million (previously between $200 million and $250 million) and in 2026 has been increased to between $375 million and $425 million (previously between $200 million and $250 million) due mainly to capital projects to help ensure reliability and sustainability of existing operations. Projects include addressing aging infrastructure and potential bottlenecks at Key Lake and the advancement of freezing at McArthur River. While these projects are required to support and maintain capacity at current production levels, they have been classified as growth because they also position us for future production flexibility. No decision on changes to future production levels has been made.
Capital expenditures for JV Inkai are expected to be covered by JV Inkai cash flows and Westinghouse capital expenditures are expected to be covered by Westinghouse cash flows in 2025. Both are included in our overall equity investments.
Major capital expenditures expected in 2025 include:
• | Investments required to refresh aging infrastructure and mobile equipment to help ensure reliable and sustainable production at all our operations as planned, including work required to upgrade the calciner and crystallization circuit at Key Lake. |
• | Cigar Lake – continued work on the Cigar Lake extension. See Cigar Lake starting on page 81. |
• | McArthur River – freeze plant expansion and freeze distribution to next mining zone. |
This information regarding currently expected capital expenditures for future periods is forward-looking information and is based upon the assumptions and subject to the material risks discussed on pages 4 to 6. Our actual capital expenditures for future periods may be significantly different.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Cash from financing includes borrowing and repaying debt, and other financial transactions including paying dividends and providing financial assurance.
Contractual obligations
2026 AND | 2028 AND | 2030 AND | ||||||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 ($ MILLIONS) | 2025 | 2027 | 2029 | BEYOND | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Debt1 | 288 | 400 | — | 600 | 1,288 | |||||||||||||||
Interest on debt1 | 59 | 83 | 60 | 103 | 305 | |||||||||||||||
Provision for reclamation | 35 | 96 | 108 | 1,144 | 1,383 | |||||||||||||||
Provision for waste disposal | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | 10 | |||||||||||||||
Other liabilities | 87 | 65 | 5 | 77 | 234 | |||||||||||||||
Capital commitments | 148 | — | — | — | 148 | |||||||||||||||
Unconditional product purchase obligations | 415 | 190 | 12 | — | 617 | |||||||||||||||
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Total | 1,036 | 839 | 186 | 1,924 | 3,985 | |||||||||||||||
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1 | Debt and interest on debt are calculated as of December 31, 2024 and assume that all debt is held to maturity and as such do not incorporate the 2025 repayment of the term loan outstanding, or any other reductions, and the associated impact on interest payments. |
We have contractual capital commitments of approximately $148 million at December 31, 2024. Certain of the contractual commitments may contain cancellation clauses; however, we disclose the commitments based on management’s intent to fulfil the contracts.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 53
We have borrowing capacity including the following, which we expect to be sufficient to meet our needs in 2025:
• | A $1.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility that matures October 1, 2028. Each calendar year, upon mutual agreement, the facility can be extended for an additional year. We may increase the revolving credit facility above $1.0 billion, by increments of no less than $50 million, up to a total of $1.25 billion. The facility ranks equally with all of our other senior debt. At December 31, 2024, there were no amounts outstanding under this facility. |
• | Financial assurance facilities with various financial institutions and insurers of approximately $1.9 billion. At December 31, 2024, we had approximately $1.5 billion outstanding on these facilities. For more information see Financial Assurances below. |
On May 24, 2024, we issued debentures in the amount of $500 million, at an interest rate of 4.94% per annum, the Series I senior unsecured debentures mature on May 24, 2031. The proceeds from the issuance were used to retire our outstanding $500 million Series G debentures bearing interest of 4.19% at maturity on June 24, 2024.
In total we have $1.0 billion in senior unsecured debentures outstanding:
• | $400 million bearing interest at 2.95% per year, maturing on October 21, 2027 |
• | $500 million bearing interest at 4.94% per year, maturing on May 24, 2031 |
• | $100 million bearing interest at 5.09% per year, maturing on November 14, 2042 |
Additionally, after making partial prepayments of $400 million (US) in 2024, $200 million (US) remained outstanding at December 31, 2024 on the term loan debt incurred in connection with the Westinghouse acquisition. The remaining principal of $200 million (US) was repaid in full on January 13, 2025.
Debt covenants
Our credit agreements include the following financial covenants:
• | our funded debt to tangible net worth ratio must be 1:1 or less |
• | other customary covenants and events of default |
Funded debt is total consolidated debt less non-recourse debt, $100 million in letters of credit, cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments.
Not complying with any of these covenants could result in accelerated payment and termination of our credit agreements. At December 31, 2024, we complied with all covenants, and we expect to continue to comply in 2025.
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS
We had three kinds of off-balance sheet arrangements at the end of 2024:
• | purchase commitments |
• | financial assurances |
• | other arrangements |
Purchase commitments
We make purchases under long-term contracts where it is beneficial for us to do so and to support our long-term contract portfolio. The following table is based on our purchase commitments in our uranium and fuel services segments at December 31, 20242, but does not include purchases of our share of Inkai production. These commitments include a mix of fixed-price and market-related contracts. Actual payments will be different as a result of changes to our purchase commitments and, in the case of contracts with market-related pricing, the market prices in effect at the time of delivery. We will update this table as required in our MD&A to reflect material changes to our purchase commitments and changes in the prices used to estimate our commitments under market-related contracts.
2026 AND | 2028 AND | 2030 AND | ||||||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31, 2024 ($ MILLIONS) | 2025 | 2027 | 2029 | BEYOND | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Purchase commitments1,2 | 415 | 190 | 12 | — | 617 | |||||||||||||||
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1 | Denominated in US dollars and Japanese yen, converted from US dollars to Canadian dollars at the rate of 1.40 and from Japanese yen to Canadian dollars at the rate of $0.01. |
2 | These amounts have been adjusted for any additional purchase commitments that we have entered into since December 31, 2024, but does not include deliveries taken under contract since December 31, 2024. |
54 CAMECO CORPORATION
We have commitments of $617 million (Cdn) for the following:
• | approximately 7.8 million pounds of U3O8 equivalent from 2025 to 2028 |
• | approximately 0.2 million kgU as UF6 in conversion services in 2025 |
• | about 0.3 million SWU of enrichment services to meet existing forward sales commitments under agreements with a non-Western supplier |
The suppliers do not have the right to terminate agreements other than pursuant to customary events of default provisions.
Financial assurances
We use standby letters of credit and surety bonds mainly to provide financial assurance for the decommissioning and reclamation of our mining and fuel services facilities. We also use financial assurances to support obligations relating to the CRA dispute, for ordinary course of business and as overdraft protection. At December 31, 2024 our financial assurances totaled $1.5 billion, up from $1.4 billion at December 31, 2023. Our financial assurances were made up of $1.13 billion related to our decommissioning and reclamation obligations and $346 million in relation to the CRA tax dispute. Our financial assurances renew automatically on an annual basis, unless otherwise advised by the issuing institution.
Once we have permanently stopped mining and processing activities at an operating site, we are required to decommission the site to the satisfaction of the regulators. We have developed preliminary decommissioning plans for our operating sites and use them to estimate our decommissioning costs. Regulators review and accept our preliminary decommissioning plans on a regular basis. As the site approaches or goes into decommissioning, regulators review the detailed decommissioning plans. This can result in further regulatory process, as well as additional requirements, costs and financial assurances.
We have submitted updates to all Saskatchewan operations’ Preliminary Decommissioning Plan (PDP) and Preliminary Decommissioning Cost Estimate (PDCE) documents in accordance with the five-year timeline specified in the regulations. Upon acceptance of the PDP and PDCE documents by the Saskatchewan Ministry of Environment and Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) staff, a formal Commission proceeding will be required for final approval of the PDP and PDCE by the Commission. Existing financial assurances are in place and will be updated upon regulatory acceptance of the updated documents.
The PDP and PDCE for the Blind River refinery and Cameco Fuel Manufacturing were approved by the CNSC in 2022; for the Port Hope conversion facility, they were revised in 2022, approved by the Commission in May 2024 and the financial assurance was updated in June 2024.
For Smith Ranch-Highland, the 2024 surety was approved and is awaiting approval by the State of Wyoming. For Crow Butte, the 2024 annual update was submitted to the federal Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Nebraska Department of Environmental Quality in September 2024.
At the end of 2024, our estimate of total decommissioning and reclamation costs was $1.38 billion. This is the undiscounted value of the obligation and is based on our current operations. We had accounting provisions of $1.03 billion at the end of 2024 (the present value of the $1.38 billion). Regulatory approval is required prior to beginning decommissioning. The expected timing for these costs in based on each mine or fuel service facility’s expected operating life. Our required costs for decommissioning and reclamation in each of the next five years are not expected to be material. However, we may choose to undertake progressive reclamation activities, for example, as we do at our US assets and through our Vision in Motion project at our Port Hope fuel services facilities.
Other arrangements
We have arranged for standby product loan facilities with various counterparties. The arrangements allow us to borrow up to 1.8 million kgU of UF6 conversion services and 4.9 million pounds of U3O8 by September 30, 2027 with repayment in kind up to December 31, 2027. Under the loan facilities, standby fees of up to 1.5% are payable based on the market value of the facilities and interest is payable on the market value of any amounts drawn at rates ranging from 0.5% to 3.0%. At December 31, 2024, we have 1.6 million kgU of UF6 conversion services and 2.5 million pounds of U3O8 drawn on the loans.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 55
BALANCE SHEET
DECEMBER 31, | CHANGE | |||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT PER SHARE AMOUNTS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 TO 2024 | ||||||||||||
Inventory | 827 | 692 | 665 | 20 | % | |||||||||||
Total assets | 9,907 | 9,934 | 8,633 | — | ||||||||||||
Total non-current liabilities | 2,357 | 2,651 | 2,236 | (11 | )% | |||||||||||
Dividends per common share | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 33 | % |
Total product inventories increased by 20% to $827 million this year primarily due to the higher cost of purchased material and a higher inventory volume. At December 31, 2024, our average cost for uranium was $59.39 per pound, up from $49.62 per pound at December 31, 2023. As of December 31, 2024, we held an inventory of 11.0 million pounds of U3O8 equivalent (excluding broken ore), compared to 10.3 million pounds at the end of 2023.
At the end of 2024, our total assets amounted to $9.9 billion, no change compared to 2023. In 2023, the total asset balance increased by $1.3 billion compared to 2022, due mainly to the addition of Westinghouse as an equity-accounted investee, partially offset by the decrease in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments used to fund the acquisition.
56 CAMECO CORPORATION
2024 financial results by segment
Uranium
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||||||
Production volume (million lbs) | 23.4 | 17.6 | 33 | % | ||||||||||||
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Sales volume (million lbs) | 33.6 | 32.0 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
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Average spot price | ($US/lb | ) | 85.14 | 62.51 | 36 | % | ||||||||||
Average long-term price | ($US/lb | ) | 78.88 | 58.20 | 36 | % | ||||||||||
Average realized price | ($US/lb | ) | 58.34 | 49.76 | 17 | % | ||||||||||
($Cdn/lb | ) | 79.70 | 67.31 | 18 | % | |||||||||||
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Average unit cost of sales (including D&A) | ($Cdn/lb | ) | 59.47 | 53.41 | 11 | % | ||||||||||
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Revenue ($ millions) | 2,677 | 2,153 | 24 | % | ||||||||||||
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Gross profit ($ millions) | 681 | 445 | 53 | % | ||||||||||||
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Gross profit (%) | 25 | 21 | 19 | % | ||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes | 904 | 606 | 49 | % | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65)1 | 1,179 | 835 | 41 | % | ||||||||||||
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1 | Includes JV Inkai adjusted EBITDA of $279 million in 2024 and $235 million in 2023. See JV Inkai contribution to uranium segment below. |
Production volumes in 2024 increased by 33% compared to 2023. See Uranium – production overview on page 76 for more information.
Uranium revenues this year were up 24% compared to 2023 due to an increase in sales volumes of 5% and an increase of 18% in the Canadian dollar average realized price due to the impact of the increase in average US dollar spot price on market-related contracts. For more information on the impact of spot price changes on average realized price, see Price sensitivity analysis: uranium segment on page 49.
Total cost of sales (including D&A) increased by 17% ($2.0 billion compared to $1.7 billion in 2023) due primarily to an increase in sales volume of 5% as well as an 11% increase in unit cost of sales. Unit cost of sales is higher than in the same period in 2023 due to the higher cost of purchased material in 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 partially offset by lower production costs.
The net effect was a $236 million increase in gross profit for the year.
The following table shows the costs of produced and purchased uranium incurred in the reporting periods (see Non-IFRS measures starting on page 65). These costs do not include care and maintenance costs and selling costs such as royalties, transportation and commissions, nor do they reflect the impact of opening inventories on our reported cost of sales.
($CDN/LB) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Produced | ||||||||||||
Cash cost | 21.60 | 24.12 | (10 | )% | ||||||||
Non-cash cost | 9.75 | 11.60 | (16 | )% | ||||||||
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Total production cost 1 | 31.35 | 35.72 | (12 | )% | ||||||||
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Quantity produced (million lbs)1 | 23.4 | 17.6 | 33 | % | ||||||||
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Purchased | ||||||||||||
Cash cost1 | 102.04 | 81.02 | 26 | % | ||||||||
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Quantity purchased (million lbs)1 | 11.0 | 11.3 | (3 | )% | ||||||||
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Totals | ||||||||||||
Produced and purchased costs | 53.95 | 53.43 | 1 | % | ||||||||
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Quantities produced and purchased (million lbs) | 34.4 | 28.9 | 19 | % | ||||||||
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1 | Due to equity accounting for JV Inkai, our share of production is shown as a purchase at the time of delivery. JV Inkai purchases will fluctuate during the quarters and timing of purchases will not match production. In 2024 we purchased 4.2 million pounds at a purchase price per pound of $108.56 ($79.48 (US)) (2023 – 4.2 million pounds at a purchase price per pound of $92.72 ($67.69 (US))). |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 57
The average cash cost of production was 10% lower compared to 2023, due to higher production at Cigar Lake and McArthur River/Key Lake.
In 2025, we expect the average unit cost of production at McArthur River/Key Lake to continue to be higher than the average unit life of mine operating costs reflected in our most recent annual information form as we continue work to realize the benefits from the operational improvements that have been made. The average unit production cost at Cigar Lake is expected to trend down with higher planned production. The estimated average unit life of mine operating costs reflected in our most recent annual information form are $16.70 per pound at McArthur River/Key Lake and $20.58 per pound at Cigar Lake.
We equity account for our share of JV Inkai. As a result, we record our share of its production as a purchase, which under Kazakhstan’s pricing regulations, requires we purchase the material at a price equal to the uranium spot price, less a 5% discount. However, this does not reflect the economic benefit to Cameco. Our share of the economic benefit is based on the difference between our purchase price and JV Inkai’s lower production cost and is reflected in the line item on our statement of earnings called, “share of earnings from equity-accounted investees.” This benefit is realized through receipt of a cash dividend, when declared and paid by JV Inkai. Excess cash, net of working capital requirements is distributed to the partners as dividends. If there is a significant disruption to JV Inkai’s operations for any reason, it may not achieve its production plans, there may be a delay in production, and it may experience increased costs to produce uranium.
Our purchases in 2024, totaled about $1.12 billion, representing an average annual cost of $102.04 per pound, about $70.00 per pound higher than our total unit production cost for the year. Although purchased pounds are transacted in US dollars, we account for the purchases in Canadian dollars. The average cost of purchased material in Canadian dollar terms increased by 26% this year compared to 2023. The average cash cost of purchased material was $102.04 (Cdn), or $74.86 (US) per pound, compared to $81.02 (Cdn), or $59.42 (US) per pound in the same period in 2023.
JV Inkai contribution to uranium segment
Net earnings before income taxes includes $108 million from JV Inkai and $279 million is included in adjusted EBITDA from JV Inkai, compared to $129 million and $235 million respectively in 2023.
The increase in JV Inkai’s equity earnings and adjusted EBITDA was largely driven by the higher uranium prices in 2024 compared to 2023, partially offset by increased costs. In April, we received a cash dividend of $129 million (US), net of withholdings, based on JV Inkai’s 2023 financial performance. From a cash flow perspective, we expect to realize the benefit from JV Inkai’s 2024 financial performance in 2025, once the dividend for 2024 is declared and paid.
The following table reconciles our share of earnings from JV Inkai to adjusted EBITDA:
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Share of earnings from equity-accounted investee | 208 | 179 | 16 | % | ||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 23 | 14 | 64 | % | ||||||||
Finance income | (1 | ) | — | — | ||||||||
Income tax expense | 58 | 42 | 38 | % | ||||||||
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EBITDA | 288 | 235 | 23 | % | ||||||||
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Unrealized foreign exchange gains | (9 | ) | — | — | ||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) attributable to JV Inkai | 279 | 235 | 19 | % | ||||||||
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ROYALTIES
We pay royalties on the sale of all uranium extracted at our mines in the province of Saskatchewan. Two types of royalties are paid:
• | Basic royalty: calculated as 5% of gross sales of uranium, less the Saskatchewan resource credit of 0.75%. |
• | Profit royalty: a 10% royalty is charged on profit up to and including $28.732/kg U3O8 ($13.03/lb) and a 15% royalty is charged on profit in excess of $28.732/kg U3O8. Profit is determined as revenue less certain operating, exploration, reclamation and capital costs. Both exploration and capital costs are deductible at the discretion of the producer. |
As a resource corporation in Saskatchewan, we also pay a corporate resource surcharge of 3% of the value of resource sales.
58 CAMECO CORPORATION
Fuel services
(includes results for UF6, UO2,UO3 and fuel fabrication) HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||||||
Production volume (million kgU) | 13.5 | 13.3 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||
Sales volume (million kgU) | 12.1 | 12.0 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||
Average realized price | ($ | Cdn/kgU | ) | 37.87 | 35.61 | 6 | % | |||||||||
Average unit cost of sales (including D&A) | ($ | Cdn/kgU | ) | 29.14 | 25.23 | 15 | % | |||||||||
Revenue ($ millions) | 459 | 426 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||
Earnings before income taxes | 108 | 129 | (16 | )% | ||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 145 | 164 | (12 | )% | ||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA margin (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 32 | 38 | (16 | )% |
Total revenue increased by 8% from 2023 due mainly to a 6% increase in the realized price. The increase in realized price was mainly the result of increased prices due to the impact of improving market conditions on our long-term contract portfolio.
Total cost of products and services sold (including D&A) increased 17% ($353 million compared to $301 million in 2023), due primarily to a 15% increase in average unit cost of sales compared to 2023 due to higher input costs.
The net effect was a $21 million decrease in earnings before income taxes.
Westinghouse
On November 7, 2023, we announced the closing of the acquisition of Westinghouse in a strategic partnership with Brookfield. Cameco now owns a 49% interest and Brookfield owns the remaining 51%. Under the equity method of accounting, beginning on November 7, 2023, we have included our share of Westinghouse’s earnings in our financial results.
($MILLIONS) (our share) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Net loss1 | (218 | ) | (24 | ) | >100 | % | ||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 357 | 61 | >100 | % | ||||||||
Finance income | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | 100 | % | ||||||
Finance costs | 225 | 30 | >100 | % | ||||||||
Income tax recovery | (61 | ) | (7 | ) | >100 | % | ||||||
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EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 299 | 58 | >100 | % | ||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting2 | 71 | 27 | >100 | % | ||||||||
Acquisition-related transition costs | 29 | — | — | |||||||||
Other expenses | 78 | 8 | >100 | % | ||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses | 2 | 8 | (75 | )% | ||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | 4 | — | — | |||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 483 | 101 | >100 | % | ||||||||
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Capital expenditures | 176 | 42 | >100 | % | ||||||||
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Adjusted free cash flow (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 307 | 59 | >100 | % | ||||||||
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Revenue | 2,892 | 521 | >100 | % | ||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA margin (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 17 | % | 19 | % | (14 | )% | ||||||
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1 | This table includes comparative results for the period beginning on the date of acquisition until the end of 2023. |
2 | Net earnings for 2023 and 2024 were impacted by purchase price accounting. Inventories acquired were assigned values based on the market price at the date of the acquisition. As these quantities are sold, cost of products and services sold reflects these market values, regardless of Westinghouse’s historic costs. |
The impact of purchase accounting, which required the revaluation of its inventories based on market prices at time of acquisition and the expensing of some other non-operating acquisition-related transition costs have resulted in a net loss of $218 million. The impact of these items was largely isolated to the first half of 2024 and are expected to have a smaller impact in future years. Increased depreciation and amortization charges will however continue to impact Westinghouse’s net earnings on an ongoing basis as a result of the revaluation of its assets upon our acquisition.
We use adjusted EBITDA as a performance measure as the impact of the revaluation of Westinghouse’s inventory and assets and the non-operating acquisition-related transition costs do not reflect the underlying performance for the reporting period. Adjusted EBITDA was $483 million in 2024.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 59
Fourth quarter financial results
Consolidated results
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||
HIGHLIGHTS | DECEMBER 31 | |||||||||||
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT WHERE INDICATED) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Revenue | 1,183 | 844 | 40 | % | ||||||||
Gross profit | 250 | 133 | 88 | % | ||||||||
Net earnings attributable to equity holders | 135 | 80 | 69 | % | ||||||||
$ per common share (basic) | 0.31 | 0.18 | 72 | % | ||||||||
$ per common share (diluted) | 0.31 | 0.18 | 72 | % | ||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 157 | 108 | 45 | % | ||||||||
$ per common share (adjusted and diluted) | 0.36 | 0.25 | 44 | % | ||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 524 | 336 | 56 | % | ||||||||
Cash provided by operations | 530 | 201 | >100 | % |
Quarterly trends
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT PER SHARE AMOUNTS) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | 1,183 | 721 | 598 | 634 | 844 | 575 | 482 | 687 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) attributable to equity holders | 135 | 7 | 36 | (7 | ) | 80 | 148 | 14 | 119 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
$ per common share (basic) | 0.31 | 0.02 | 0.08 | (0.02 | ) | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
$ per common share (diluted) | 0.31 | 0.02 | 0.08 | (0.02 | ) | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 157 | 24 | 65 | 46 | 108 | 96 | 46 | 133 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
$ per common share (adjusted and diluted) | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.11 | 0.31 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash from operations | 530 | 52 | 260 | 63 | 201 | 185 | 87 | 215 |
Key things to note:
• | The timing of customer requirements, which tends to vary from quarter to quarter, drives revenue in the uranium and fuel services segments, meaning quarterly results are not necessarily a good indication of annual results due to the variability in customer requirements. |
• | Net earnings do not trend directly with revenue due to unusual items and transactions that occur from time to time. We use adjusted net earnings, a non-IFRS measure, as a more meaningful way to compare our results from period to period (see page 65 for more information). |
• | Cash from operations tends to fluctuate as a result of the timing of deliveries and product purchases in our uranium and fuel services segments. |
• | We acquired our share of Westinghouse on November 7, 2023. Our quarterly results are impacted by variability in the timing of Westinghouse’s customer requirements and delivery and outage schedules. The first quarter is typically weaker, with stronger expected performance in the second half of the year, and higher expected cash flows in the fourth quarter. In 2024, the revaluation of Westinghouse’s inventory had a significant impact on Westinghouse’s quarterly results in the first half of the year. Westinghouse’s results were and will continue to be impacted by the amortization of the intangible assets that arose as a result of the fair values assigned to Westinghouse’s net assets at the time of the acquisition. See Westinghouse, starting on page 64 for more information. |
60 CAMECO CORPORATION
The table that follows presents the differences between net earnings (losses) and adjusted net earnings (losses) for the previous seven quarters.
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT PER SHARE AMOUNTS) | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) attributable to equity holders | 135 | 7 | 36 | (7 | ) | 80 | 148 | 14 | 119 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments on derivatives | 133 | (28 | ) | 14 | 33 | (59 | ) | 41 | (35 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (56 | ) | 15 | (7 | ) | (18 | ) | (1 | ) | (57 | ) | 43 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | 17 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments on other operating expense (income) | (23 | ) | 5 | (2 | ) | (15 | ) | 40 | (48 | ) | 8 | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Income taxes on adjustments | (37 | ) | 7 | (7 | ) | (9 | ) | 6 | (10 | ) | 7 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees (net of tax): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | 3 | — | 12 | 38 | 20 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisition-related transition costs | — | 4 | 5 | 14 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (16 | ) | 9 | (1 | ) | 1 | 10 | — | (2 | ) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 157 | 24 | 65 | 46 | 108 | 96 | 46 | 133 |
Corporate expenses
ADMINISTRATION
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Direct administration | 62 | 48 | 29 | % | ||||||||
Stock-based compensation | 15 | 11 | 36 | % | ||||||||
Total administration | 77 | 59 | 31 | % |
Direct administration costs were $62 million in the quarter, $14 million higher than the same period last year primarily due to higher labour costs and the impact of higher inflationary adjustments. We recorded $15 million in stock-based compensation expenses in the fourth quarter of 2024, $4 million higher compared to 2023 due to the increase in our share price compared to the same period last year.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 61
Fourth quarter financial results by segment
Uranium
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||||||
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||||||
Production volume (million lbs) | 6.1 | 5.7 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||
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Sales volume (million lbs) | 12.8 | 9.8 | 30 | % | ||||||||||||
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Average spot price | ($US/lb | ) | 76.75 | 82.21 | (7 | )% | ||||||||||
Average long-term price | ($US/lb | ) | 81.17 | 66.00 | 23 | % | ||||||||||
Average realized price | ($US/lb | ) | 58.45 | 52.35 | 12 | % | ||||||||||
($Cdn/lb | ) | 80.90 | 71.65 | 13 | % | |||||||||||
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Average unit cost of sales (including D&A) | ($Cdn/lb | ) | 64.24 | 61.90 | 4 | % | ||||||||||
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Revenue ($ millions) | 1,035 | 700 | 48 | % | ||||||||||||
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Gross profit ($ millions) | 213 | 96 | >100 | % | ||||||||||||
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Gross profit (%) | 21 | 14 | 50 | % | ||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes | 289 | 122 | >100 | % | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65)1 | 391 | 231 | 70 | % | ||||||||||||
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1 | Includes JV Inkai adjusted EBITDA of $90 million in 2024 and $116 million in 2023. See JV Inkai contribution to uranium segment below. |
Production volumes this quarter increased by 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. See Uranium – production overview on page 76 for more information.
Uranium revenues were up 48% due to a 30% increase in sales volume due to the timing of sales, which were in line with the delivery pattern disclosed in our 2023 annual MD&A, and a 13% increase in the Canadian dollar average realized price. While the average US dollar spot price for uranium decreased by 7% compared to the same period in 2023, the Canadian dollar average realized price increased by 13% due to the lagging effect of spot price impacts on market-related contracts in 2023 and 2024. For more information on the impact of spot price changes on average realized price, see Price sensitivity analysis: uranium segment on page 49.
Total cost of sales (including D&A) increased by 36% ($821 million compared to $605 million in 2023). This was primarily the result of the 30% increase in sales volume as well as an increase of 4% in the average unit cost of sales which was due to the higher cost of purchased material.
The net effect was a $117 million increase in gross profit.
The following table shows the costs of produced and purchased uranium incurred in the reporting periods (see Non-IFRS measures starting on page 65). These costs do not include care and maintenance costs, selling costs such as royalties, transportation and commissions, nor do they reflect the impact of opening inventories on our reported cost of sales.
62 CAMECO CORPORATION
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||
($/LB) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Produced | ||||||||||||
Cash cost | 23.57 | 21.07 | 12 | % | ||||||||
Non-cash cost | 10.00 | 10.95 | (9 | )% | ||||||||
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Total production cost 1 | 33.57 | 32.02 | 5 | % | ||||||||
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Quantity produced (million lbs)1 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 7 | % | ||||||||
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Purchased | ||||||||||||
Cash cost1 | 104.49 | 89.89 | 16 | % | ||||||||
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Quantity purchased (million lbs)1 | 4.8 | 6.3 | (24 | )% | ||||||||
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Produced and purchased costs | 64.80 | 62.40 | 4 | % | ||||||||
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Quantities produced and purchased (million lbs) | 10.9 | 12.0 | (9 | )% | ||||||||
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1 | Due to equity accounting for JV Inkai, our share of production will be shown as a purchase at the time of delivery. JV Inkai purchases will fluctuate during the quarters and timing of purchases will not match production. During the quarter we purchased 3 million pounds at a purchase price per pound of $100.72 ($73.10 (US)) (Q4 2023 – 2.8 million pounds at a purchase price per pound of $105.74 ($77.13 (US))). |
The average cash cost of production for the fourth quarter was 12% higher compared to the same period in the prior year. Cash cost was higher due to the impact of inflationary pressures.
Although purchased pounds are transacted in US dollars, we account for the purchases in Canadian dollars. In the fourth quarter, the average cash cost of purchased material was $104.49 (Cdn) per pound, or $76.13 (US) per pound in US dollar terms, compared to $89.89 (Cdn) per pound, or $65.67 (US) per pound in the fourth quarter of 2023.
JV Inkai contribution to uranium segment
Net earnings before income taxes includes $56 million from Inkai and $90 million is included in adjusted EBITDA from JV Inkai, compared to $79 million and $116 million respectively in 2023.
The following table reconciles our share of earnings from JV Inkai to adjusted EBITDA:
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Share of earnings from equity-accounted investee | 56 | 79 | (29)% | |||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 11 | 8 | 45% | |||||||||
Income tax expense | 30 | 27 | 11% | |||||||||
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EBITDA | 97 | 114 | (15)% | |||||||||
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Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (7 | ) | 2 | >(100%) | ||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) attributable to JV Inkai | 90 | 116 | (22)% | |||||||||
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MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 63
Fuel services
(includes results for UF6, UO2,UO3 and fuel fabrication) | ||||||||||||||||
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||||||
HIGHLIGHTS | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||||||
Production volume (million kgU) | 3.6 | 3.7 | (3 | )% | ||||||||||||
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Sales volume (million kgU) | 4.2 | 4.2 | — | |||||||||||||
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Average realized price | ($ | Cdn/kgU | ) | 35.41 | 32.19 | 10 | % | |||||||||
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Average unit cost of sales (including D&A) | ($ | Cdn/kgU | ) | 26.53 | 22.69 | 17 | % | |||||||||
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Revenue ($ millions) | 148 | 134 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes | 37 | 40 | (8 | )% | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 49 | 51 | (4 | )% | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA margin (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 33 | 38 | (13 | )% | ||||||||||||
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Total revenue increased by 10% due to a 10% increase in average realized price. The increase in average realized price was mainly the result of increased prices for UF6 due to the impact of improving market conditions on our long-term contract portfolio.
Total cost of sales (including D&A) increased by 17% to $111 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 due to an increase of 17% in the average unit cost of sales. Unit cost of sales increased mainly as a result of higher input costs.
The net effect was a $3 million decrease in earnings before income taxes.
Westinghouse
THREE MONTHS ENDED | ||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||
($MILLIONS) (our share) | 2024 | 2023 | CHANGE | |||||||||
Net earnings (loss)1 | 9 | (24 | ) | >(100%) | ||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 90 | 61 | 48% | |||||||||
Finance income | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | — | |||||||
Finance costs | 53 | 30 | 77% | |||||||||
Income tax recovery | (11 | ) | (7 | ) | 57% | |||||||
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EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 139 | 58 | >100% | |||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting2 | 5 | 27 | (81)% | |||||||||
Other expenses | 26 | 8 | >100% | |||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (9 | ) | 8 | >(100%) | ||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | 1 | — | — | |||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 162 | 101 | 60% | |||||||||
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Capital expenditures | 78 | 42 | 86% | |||||||||
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Adjusted free cash flow (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 84 | 59 | 42% | |||||||||
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Revenue | 841 | 521 | 61% | |||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA margin (non-IFRS, see page 65) | 19 | % | 19 | % | (1)% | |||||||
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1 | This table includes comparative results for the period beginning on the date of acquisition until the end of 2023. |
2 | Net earnings for 2023 and 2024 were impacted by purchase price accounting. Inventories acquired were assigned values based on the market price at the date of the acquisition. As these quantities are sold, cost of products and services sold reflects these market values, regardless of Westinghouse’s historic costs. |
On November 7, 2023, we announced the closing of the acquisition of a 49% interest in Westinghouse and began to equity account for this investment. Our share of Westinghouse’s earnings has been reflected in our financial results from that date. In the fourth quarter, Westinghouse reported net earnings of $9 million (our share), compared to a $24 million loss (our share) in the same quarter last year.
Adjusted EBITDA was $162 million, compared to $101 million in the fourth quarter of 2023. We use adjusted EBITDA as a performance measure as the impact of the revaluation of Westinghouse’s inventory and assets and the non-operating acquisition-related transition costs do not reflect the underlying performance for the reporting period.
64 CAMECO CORPORATION
Westinghouse’s results were and will continue to be impacted by the amortization of the intangible assets that arose as a result of the fair values assigned to Westinghouse’s net assets at the time of acquisition.
Non-IFRS measures
The non-IFRS measures referenced in this document are supplemental measures, which are used as indicators of our financial performance. Management believes that these non-IFRS measures provide useful supplemental information to investors, securities analysts, lenders and other interested parties in assessing our operational performance and our ability to generate cash flows to meet our cash requirements. These measures are not recognized measures under IFRS, do not have standardized meanings, and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similarly-titled measures presented by other companies. Accordingly, these measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information reported under IFRS. We are not able to reconcile our forward-looking non-IFRS guidance because we cannot predict the timing and amounts of discrete items, which could significantly impact our IFRS results.
The following are the non-IFRS measures used in this document.
ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS
Adjusted net earnings (ANE) is our net earnings attributable to equity holders, adjusted for non-operating or non-cash items such as gains and losses on derivatives, unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses, share-based compensation, adjustments to reclamation provisions flowing through other operating expenses, and bargain purchase gains, that we believe do not reflect the underlying financial performance for the reporting period. In 2024, we revised our calculation of adjusted net earnings to adjust for unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses as well as for share-based compensation because it better reflects how we assess our operational performance. We have restated comparative periods to reflect this change. Other items may also be adjusted from time to time. We adjust this measure for certain of the items that our equity-accounted investees make in arriving at other non-IFRS measures. Adjusted net earnings is one of the targets that we measure to form the basis for a portion of annual employee and executive compensation (see Measuring our results starting on page 35).
In calculating ANE we adjust for derivatives. We do not use hedge accounting under IFRS and, therefore, we are required to report gains and losses on all hedging activity, both for contracts that close in the period and those that remain outstanding at the end of the period. For the contracts that remain outstanding, we must treat them as though they were settled at the end of the reporting period (mark-to-market). However, we do not believe the gains and losses that we are required to report under IFRS appropriately reflect the intent of our hedging activities, so we make adjustments in calculating our ANE to better reflect the impact of our hedging program in the applicable reporting period. See Foreign exchange starting on page 44 for more information.
We also adjust for changes to our reclamation provisions that flow directly through earnings. Every quarter we are required to update the reclamation provisions for all operations based on new cash flow estimates, discount and inflation rates. This normally results in an adjustment to our asset retirement obligation asset in addition to the provision balance. When the assets of an operation have been written off due to an impairment, as is the case with our Rabbit Lake and US ISR operations, the adjustment is recorded directly to the statement of earnings as “other operating expense (income)”. See note 16 of our annual financial statements for more information. This amount has been excluded from our ANE measure.
As a result of the change in ownership of Westinghouse when it was acquired by Cameco and Brookfield, Westinghouse’s inventories at the acquisition date were revalued based on the market price at that date. As these quantities are sold, Westinghouse’s cost of products and services sold reflect these market values, regardless of their historic costs. Our share of these costs is included in earnings from equity-accounted investees and recorded in cost of products and services sold in the investee information (see note 12 to the financial statements). Since this expense is non-cash, outside of the normal course of business and only occurred due to the change in ownership, we have excluded our share from our ANE measure.
Westinghouse has also expensed some non-operating acquisition-related transition costs that the acquiring parties agreed to pay for, which resulted in a reduction in the purchase price paid. Our share of these costs is included in earnings from equity accounted investees and recorded in other expenses in the investee information (see note 12 to the financial statements). Since this expense is outside of the normal course of business and only occurred due to the change in ownership, we have excluded our share from our ANE measure.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 65
To facilitate a better understanding of these measures, the table below reconciles adjusted net earnings with our net earnings for the fourth quarter and year ended 2024, and compares it to the same periods in 2023 as well as the year ended 2022.
THREE MONTHS ENDED | YEAR ENDED | |||||||||||||||||||
DECEMBER 31 | DECEMBER 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||
Net earnings attributable to equity holders | 135 | 80 | 172 | 361 | 89 | |||||||||||||||
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Adjustments | ||||||||||||||||||||
Adjustments on derivatives | 133 | (59 | ) | 152 | (59 | ) | 76 | |||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange gains | (56 | ) | (1 | ) | (66 | ) | (10 | ) | (34 | ) | ||||||||||
Share-based compensation | 17 | 12 | 44 | 63 | 28 | |||||||||||||||
Adjustments on other operating expense (income) | (23 | ) | 40 | (35 | ) | (2 | ) | 26 | ||||||||||||
Adjustment to other income | — | — | — | — | (23 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Income taxes on adjustments | (37 | ) | 6 | (46 | ) | 2 | (40 | ) | ||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees (net of tax): | ||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | 3 | 20 | 53 | 20 | — | |||||||||||||||
Acquisition-related transition costs | — | — | 22 | — | — | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (16 | ) | 10 | (7 | ) | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | |||||||||||||||
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Adjusted net earnings | 157 | 108 | 292 | 383 | 123 | |||||||||||||||
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The following table shows what contributed to the change in adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure, see above) in 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 and 2022.
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||||
Adjusted net earnings (losses) - previous year | 383 | 123 | (64 | ) | ||||||||||
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Change in gross profit by segment | ||||||||||||||
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Uranium | Impact from sales volume changes | 22 | 30 | (6 | ) | |||||||||
Higher realized prices ($US) | 390 | 208 | 328 | |||||||||||
Foreign exchange impact on realized prices | 26 | 95 | 44 | |||||||||||
Higher costs | (203 | ) | (9 | ) | (137 | ) | ||||||||
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change – uranium | 235 | 324 | 229 | |||||||||||
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Fuel services | Impact from sales volume changes | 2 | 9 | (21 | ) | |||||||||
Higher realized prices ($Cdn) | 27 | 32 | 33 | |||||||||||
Higher costs | (47 | ) | (34 | ) | (13 | ) | ||||||||
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change – fuel services | (18 | ) | 7 | (1 | ) | |||||||||
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Other changes | ||||||||||||||
Higher administration expenditures | (7 | ) | (74 | ) | (44 | ) | ||||||||
Higher exploration and research and development expenditures | (17 | ) | (16 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||||
Change in reclamation provisions | (3 | ) | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||
Change in gains on derivatives | (10 | ) | (24 | ) | (23 | ) | ||||||||
Change in unrealized foreign exchange gains or losses | (6 | ) | (34 | ) | 40 | |||||||||
Change in earnings from equity-accounted investees | (122 | ) | 87 | 27 | ||||||||||
Canadian Emergency Wage Subsidy | — | — | (21 | ) | ||||||||||
Change in share-based compensation | (19 | ) | 35 | (18 | ) | |||||||||
Higher (lower) finance income | (91 | ) | 75 | 30 | ||||||||||
Higher finance costs | (31 | ) | (30 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||||||
Change in income tax recovery or expense | (7 | ) | (88 | ) | (25 | ) | ||||||||
Other | 5 | (5 | ) | 7 | ||||||||||
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Adjusted net earnings - current year | 292 | 383 | 123 | |||||||||||
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The following table shows what contributed to the change in net earnings and adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure, see above) in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023.
66 CAMECO CORPORATION
($ MILLIONS) | IFRS | Adjusted | ||||||||
Net earnings - 2023 | 80 | 108 | ||||||||
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Uranium | Impact from sales volume changes | 29 | 29 | |||||||
Higher realized prices ($US) | 107 | 107 | ||||||||
Foreign exchange impact on realized prices | 11 | 11 | ||||||||
Higher costs | (30 | ) | (30 | ) | ||||||
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change – uranium | 117 | 117 | ||||||||
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Higher realized prices ($Cdn) | 13 | 13 | ||||||||
Higher costs | (16 | ) | (16 | ) | ||||||
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change – fuel services | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||
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Other changes | ||||||||||
Higher administration expenditures | (18 | ) | (18 | ) | ||||||
Higher exploration and research and development expenditures | (7 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||
Change in reclamation provisions | 70 | 7 | ||||||||
Change in gains on derivatives | (198 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||
Change in unrealized foreign exchange gains or losses | 50 | (5 | ) | |||||||
Change in earnings from equity-accounted investees | 10 | (32 | ) | |||||||
Change in share-based compensation | — | 5 | ||||||||
Lower finance income | (16 | ) | (16 | ) | ||||||
Higher finance costs | 16 | 16 | ||||||||
Change in income tax recovery or expense | 29 | (14 | ) | |||||||
Other | 5 | 5 | ||||||||
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Net earnings - 2024 | 135 | 157 | ||||||||
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EBITDA
EBITDA is defined as net earnings attributable to equity holders, adjusted for the costs related to the impact of the company’s capital and tax structure including depreciation and amortization, finance income, finance costs (including accretion) and income taxes.
ADJUSTED EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA, as further adjusted for the impact of certain costs or benefits incurred in the period which are either not indicative of the underlying business performance or that impact the ability to assess the operating performance of the business. These adjustments include the amounts noted in the adjusted net earnings definition.
In calculating adjusted EBITDA, we also adjust for items included in the results of our equity-accounted investees. These items are reported as part of marketing, administrative and general expenses within the investee financial information and are not representative of the underlying operations. These include gain/loss on undesignated hedges, transaction costs related to acquisitions and gain/loss on disposition of a business.
We also adjust for the unwinding of the effect of purchase accounting on the sale of inventories which is included in our share of earnings from equity-accounted investee and recorded in the cost of products and services sold in the investee information (see note 12 to the financial statements).
The company may realize similar gains or incur similar expenditures in the future.
ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW
Adjusted free cash flow is defined as adjusted EBITDA less capital expenditures for the period.
ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN
Adjusted EBITDA margin is defined as adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue for the appropriate period.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 67
EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted free cash flow, and adjusted EBITDA margin are measures which allow us and other users to assess results of operations from a management perspective without regard for our capital structure. To facilitate a better understanding of these measures, the table below reconciles earnings before income taxes with EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarters and years ended 2024 and 2023.
For the year ended December 31, 2024:
FUEL | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | URANIUM1 | SERVICES | WESTINGHOUSE | OTHER | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) before income taxes2 | 904 | 108 | (218 | ) | (622 | ) | 172 | |||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 239 | 37 | — | 5 | 281 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | — | (21 | ) | (21 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance costs | — | — | — | 147 | 147 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | — | — | — | 85 | 85 | |||||||||||||||
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1,143 | 145 | (218 | ) | (406 | ) | 664 | ||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 23 | — | 357 | — | 380 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | (1 | ) | — | (4 | ) | — | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||
Finance expense | — | — | 225 | — | 225 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | 58 | — | (61 | ) | — | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | 80 | — | 517 | — | 597 | |||||||||||||||
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EBITDA | 1,223 | 145 | 299 | (406 | ) | 1,261 | ||||||||||||||
Gain on derivatives | — | — | — | 152 | 152 | |||||||||||||||
Other operating income | (35 | ) | — | — | — | (35 | ) | |||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | — | — | — | 44 | 44 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange gains | — | — | — | (66 | ) | (66 | ) | |||||||||||||
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(35 | ) | — | — | 130 | 95 | |||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | — | — | 71 | — | 71 | |||||||||||||||
Acquisition-related transition costs | — | — | 29 | — | 29 | |||||||||||||||
Other expenses | — | — | 78 | — | 78 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) | (9 | ) | — | 2 | — | (7 | ) | |||||||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | |||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | (9 | ) | — | 184 | — | 175 | ||||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA | 1,179 | 145 | 483 | (276 | ) | 1,531 | ||||||||||||||
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1 | JV Inkai EBITDA of $279 million is included in the uranium segment. See Financial results by segment – Uranium for reconciliation. |
2 | Westinghouse earnings are after income taxes |
68 CAMECO CORPORATION
For the year ended December 31, 2023:
FUEL | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | URANIUM1 | SERVICES | WESTINGHOUSE | OTHER | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) before income taxes2 | 606 | 129 | (24 | ) | (350 | ) | 361 | |||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 175 | 35 | — | 10 | 220 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | — | (112 | ) | (112 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance costs | — | — | — | 116 | 116 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | — | — | — | 126 | 126 | |||||||||||||||
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781 | 164 | (24 | ) | (210 | ) | 711 | ||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 14 | — | 61 | — | 75 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | (2 | ) | — | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance expenses | — | — | 30 | — | 30 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | 42 | — | (7 | ) | — | 35 | ||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | 56 | — | 82 | — | 138 | |||||||||||||||
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EBITDA | 837 | 164 | 58 | (210 | ) | 849 | ||||||||||||||
Loss on derivatives | — | — | — | (59 | ) | (59 | ) | |||||||||||||
Other operating income | (2 | ) | — | — | — | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | — | — | — | 63 | 63 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange gains | — | — | — | (10 | ) | (10 | ) | |||||||||||||
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(2 | ) | — | — | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | |||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | — | — | 27 | — | 27 | |||||||||||||||
Other expenses | — | — | 8 | — | 8 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses | — | — | 8 | — | 8 | |||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | — | — | 43 | — | 43 | |||||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA | 835 | 164 | 101 | (216 | ) | 884 | ||||||||||||||
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1 | JV Inkai EBITDA of $235 million is included in the uranium segment. See Financial results by segment – Uranium for reconciliation. |
2 | Westinghouse earnings are after income taxes |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 69
For the quarter ended December 31, 2024:
FUEL | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | URANIUM1 | SERVICES | WESTINGHOUSE | OTHER | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) before income taxes2 | 289 | 37 | 9 | (199 | ) | 136 | ||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 91 | 12 | — | 1 | 104 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | — | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance costs | — | — | — | 31 | 31 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | — | — | — | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
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380 | 49 | 9 | (172 | ) | 266 | |||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 11 | — | 90 | — | 101 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | (2 | ) | — | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance expense | — | — | 53 | — | 53 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | 30 | — | (11 | ) | — | 19 | ||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | 41 | — | 130 | — | 171 | |||||||||||||||
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EBITDA | 421 | 49 | 139 | (172 | ) | 437 | ||||||||||||||
Gain on derivatives | — | — | — | 133 | 133 | |||||||||||||||
Other operating income | (23 | ) | — | — | — | (23 | ) | |||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | — | — | — | 17 | 17 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized Foreign exchange gains | — | — | — | (56 | ) | (56 | ) | |||||||||||||
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(23 | ) | — | — | 94 | 71 | |||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | |||||||||||||||
Other expenses | — | — | 26 | — | 26 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange gains | (7 | ) | — | (9 | ) | — | (16 | ) | ||||||||||||
Long-term incentive plan | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | |||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | (7 | ) | — | 23 | — | 16 | ||||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA | 391 | 49 | 162 | (78 | ) | 524 | ||||||||||||||
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1 | JV Inkai EBITDA of $90 million is included in the uranium segment. See Financial results by segment – Uranium for reconciliation. |
2 | Westinghouse earnings are after income taxes |
70 CAMECO CORPORATION
For the quarter ended December 31, 2023:
FUEL | ||||||||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | URANIUM1 | SERVICES | WESTINGHOUSE | OTHER | TOTAL | |||||||||||||||
Net earnings (loss) before income taxes2 | 122 | 40 | (24 | ) | (57 | ) | 81 | |||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 32 | 11 | — | 3 | 46 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | — | (19 | ) | (19 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance costs | — | — | — | 47 | 47 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | — | — | — | 27 | 27 | |||||||||||||||
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154 | 51 | (24 | ) | 1 | 182 | |||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 8 | — | 61 | — | 69 | |||||||||||||||
Finance income | — | — | (2 | ) | — | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
Finance expenses | — | — | 30 | — | 30 | |||||||||||||||
Income taxes | 27 | — | (7 | ) | — | 20 | ||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | 35 | — | 82 | — | 117 | |||||||||||||||
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EBITDA | 189 | 51 | 58 | 1 | 299 | |||||||||||||||
Loss on derivatives | — | — | — | (59 | ) | (59 | ) | |||||||||||||
Other operating expense | 40 | — | — | — | 40 | |||||||||||||||
Share-based compensation | — | — | — | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange gains | — | — | — | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||
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40 | — | — | (48 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Adjustments on equity investees | ||||||||||||||||||||
Inventory purchase accounting | — | — | 27 | — | — | |||||||||||||||
Other expenses | — | — | 8 | — | — | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange losses | 2 | — | 8 | — | 10 | |||||||||||||||
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Net adjustments on equity investees | 2 | — | 43 | — | 45 | |||||||||||||||
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Adjusted EBITDA | 231 | 51 | 101 | (47 | ) | 336 | ||||||||||||||
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1 | JV Inkai EBITDA of $116 million is included in the uranium segment. See Financial results by segment – Uranium for reconciliation. |
2 | Westinghouse earnings are after income taxes |
CASH COST PER POUND, NON-CASH COST PER POUND AND TOTAL COST PER POUND FOR PRODUCED AND PURCHASED URANIUM
Cash cost per pound, non-cash cost per pound and total cost per pound for produced and purchased uranium are non-IFRS measures. We use these measures in our assessment of the performance of our uranium business. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 71
To facilitate a better understanding of these measures, the table below reconciles these measures to cost of product sold and depreciation and amortization for the fourth quarters and years ended 2024 and 2023.
THREE MONTHS | YEAR ENDED | |||||||||||||||
ENDED DECEMBER 31 | DECEMBER 31 | |||||||||||||||
($ MILLIONS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||
Cost of product sold | 730.2 | 573.3 | 1,757.2 | 1,532.3 | ||||||||||||
Royalties | (51.5 | ) | (10.6 | ) | (139.9 | ) | (71.7 | ) | ||||||||
Other selling costs | (4.7 | ) | (3.8 | ) | (16.9 | ) | (10.9 | ) | ||||||||
Care and maintenance | (13.6 | ) | (11.6 | ) | (50.9 | ) | (46.7 | ) | ||||||||
Change in inventories | (15.0 | ) | 139.1 | 78.4 | (63.0 | ) | ||||||||||
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Cash operating costs (a) | 645.4 | 686.4 | 1,627.9 | 1,340.0 | ||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 91.2 | 31.6 | 238.7 | 175.5 | ||||||||||||
Care and maintenance | (0.2 | ) | (0.5 | ) | (0.8 | ) | (3.9 | ) | ||||||||
Change in inventories | (30.0 | ) | 31.3 | (9.8 | ) | 32.6 | ||||||||||
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Total operating costs (b) | 706.4 | 748.8 | 1,856.0 | 1,544.2 | ||||||||||||
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Uranium produced & purchased (million lbs) (c) | 10.9 | 12.0 | 34.4 | 28.9 | ||||||||||||
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Cash costs per pound (a ÷ c) | 59.21 | 57.20 | 47.32 | 46.37 | ||||||||||||
Total costs per pound (b ÷ c) | 64.80 | 62.40 | 53.95 | 53.43 | ||||||||||||
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72 CAMECO CORPORATION
Operations, projects and investments
This section of our MD&A is an overview of the mining, milling and processing facilities we operate or have an interest in, our curtailed operations, our advanced uranium projects and our exploration activities, what we accomplished this year, our plans for the future and how we manage risk. It also includes an overview of our investments in Westinghouse and GLE.
74 | MANAGING THE RISKS | |
76 | URANIUM – PRODUCTION OVERVIEW | |
76 | PRODUCTION OUTLOOK | |
77 | URANIUM – TIER-ONE OPERATIONS | |
77 | MCARTHUR RIVER MINE / KEY LAKE MILL | |
81 | CIGAR LAKE | |
85 | INKAI | |
89 | URANIUM – TIER-TWO OPERATIONS | |
89 | RABBIT LAKE | |
90 | US ISR | |
91 | URANIUM – ADVANCED PROJECTS | |
91 | MILLENNIUM | |
91 | YEELIRRIE | |
91 | KINTYRE | |
93 | URANIUM – EXPLORATION | |
95 | FUEL SERVICES | |
95 | BLIND RIVER REFINERY | |
96 | PORT HOPE CONVERSION SERVICES | |
96 | CAMECO FUEL MANUFACTURING INC. (CFM) | |
98 | WESTINGHOUSE ELECTRIC COMPANY | |
106 | OTHER NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE INVESTMENTS | |
106 | GLOBAL LASER ENRICHMENT (GLE) |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 73
Managing the risks
The nature of our business means we face many kinds of potential risks and hazards – some that relate to the nuclear energy industry in general, safety, health and environmental risks associated with any mining and chemical processing company and others that apply to specific properties, operations, planned operations, Westinghouse or other fuel cycle investments. Our uranium and fuel services and Westinghouse segments also face unique risks associated with radiation. These risks could have a significant impact on our business, earnings, cash flows, financial condition, results of operations or prospects, which may result in a significant decrease in the market price of our common shares.
Risks and hazards generally applicable to the mining, milling and processing facilities we operate, and advanced projects include:
• | catastrophic accidents resulting in large-scale releases of hazardous chemicals, or a tailings facility failure |
• | industrial safety accidents |
• | environmental incidents or subsurface contamination from current or legacy operations |
• | transportation incidents, which may involve the release of radioactive or other hazardous materials |
• | labour shortages, disputes or strikes |
• | availability of personnel with the necessary skills and experience |
• | cost increases for labour, contracted or purchased materials, supplies and services |
• | shortages of, or interruptions in the supply of, required materials, supplies, services and equipment |
• | transportation and delivery disruptions |
• | interruptions in the supply of electricity, water, and other utilities or infrastructure |
• | inability of our innovation initiatives to achieve the expected cost saving and operational flexibility objectives |
• | equipment failures or aging facilities |
• | cyberattacks |
• | joint venture disputes or litigation |
• | non-compliance with legal requirements, including exceeding applicable air or water limits |
• | inability to obtain and renew the licences and other approvals needed to restart, operate, and to increase production at our mines, mills, processing facilities, to develop new mines, or for Westinghouse to operate its fuel fabrication or other facilities or undertake its other commercial activities |
• | increased workforce health and safety risks or increased regulatory burdens resulting from a pandemic or other causes |
• | fires |
• | blockades or other acts of social or political activism |
• | uncertain impact of changing regulations or policy leading to higher annual operating costs, including GHG pricing and regulations (e.g., carbon pricing, the Canadian Clean Fuel Standard) |
• | natural phenomena, such as forest fires, floods and earthquakes as well as shifts in temperature, precipitation, and the impact of more frequent severe weather conditions on our operations as a result of climate change |
• | outbreak of communicable illness (such as a pandemic) |
• | unusual, unexpected or adverse mining or geological conditions |
• | underground water inflows at our mining operations |
• | ground movement or cave-ins at our mining operations |
• | reserve and resource estimates are not precise |
Risks and hazards generally applicable to Westinghouse and our ownership interest in Westinghouse include:
• | failure to realize any or all of the anticipated benefits from the acquisition |
• | Westinghouse’s failure to generate sufficient cash flow to fund its approved annual operating budget or make distributions to us and Brookfield |
• | Westinghouse’s failure to comply with nuclear licence and quality assurance requirements at its facilities |
• | Westinghouse’s loss of protections against liability for nuclear damage, including discontinuation of global nuclear liability regimes and indemnities |
• | adverse public perception of nuclear energy |
• | adverse public reaction to an unforeseen nuclear incident resulting in a lessening of demand for nuclear generators |
• | threat of increased trade barriers adversely impacting Westinghouse’s business |
• | our inability to control Westinghouse |
• | liabilities at Westinghouse exceeding our estimates and the discovery of unknown or undisclosed liabilities |
• | default by Westinghouse under its credit facilities impacting adversely Westinghouse’s ability to fund its ongoing operations |
• | occupational health and safety issues arising at Westinghouse’s operations |
74 CAMECO CORPORATION
• | disputes between us and Brookfield regarding our strategic partnership |
• | Cameco defaulting under the governance agreement with Brookfield, including us losing some or all of our interest in Westinghouse |
We have a Risk Policy that is supported by our formal Risk Management Program.
Our Risk Management Program involves a broad, systematic approach to identifying, assessing, monitoring, reporting and managing the significant risks we face in our business and operations, including risks that could impact our four measures of success. For more information about our risk management program see the Risk and Risk Management section in this MD&A, as well as our most recent Sustainability Report at cameco.com.
We have insurance to cover some of these risks and hazards, but not all of them, and not to the full amount of losses or liabilities that could potentially arise.
In addition to considering the other information in this MD&A and the risks noted above, you should carefully consider the material risks discussed starting on page 4, and the specific risks discussed under the update for each operation, advanced project, Westinghouse, and GLE in this section. These risks, however, are not a complete list of the potential risks our operations, advanced projects, or other investments face. There may be others we are not aware of or risks we feel are not material today that could become material in the future.
We recommend you also review our most recent annual information form, which includes a discussion of other material risks that could have an impact on our business.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 75
Uranium – production overview
Our share of production in our uranium segment in the fourth quarter was 6.1 million pounds, 7% higher compared to the same period in 2023, while production for the year was 23.4 million pounds, 33% higher than in 2023. Total production in 2024 was 0.3 million pounds above the revised production plan we announced in the third quarter. See Uranium – Tier-one operations starting on page 77 for more information.
The Rabbit Lake operation remained in a safe and sustainable state of care and maintenance, and we are no longer developing new wellfields at Crow Butte and Smith Ranch-Highland. See Uranium – Tier-two operations beginning on page 89 for more information.
Uranium production
CAMECO SHARE | THREE MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31 | YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
(MILLION LBS) | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 PLAN | 2025 PLAN | ||||||||||||||||||
Cigar Lake | 2.5 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 8.2 | up to 9.8 | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
McArthur River/Key Lake | 3.6 | 3.1 | 14.2 | 9.4 | up to 13.3 | 1 | 12.6 | |||||||||||||||||
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Total | 6.1 | 5.7 | 23.4 | 17.6 | up to 23.1 | 22.4 | ||||||||||||||||||
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1 | During the third quarter, we updated our McArthur River/Key Lake production forecast to 19 million pounds (100% basis) in 2024 (previously 18 million pounds). |
PRODUCTION OUTLOOK
We remain focused on taking advantage of the long-term growth we see coming in our industry, while maintaining the ability to respond to market conditions as they evolve. Our strategy includes a focus, in our uranium segment, on protecting and extending the value of our contract portfolio, on aligning our production decisions with our contract portfolio and market opportunities in order to increase long-term value, and to do that with an emphasis on safety, people and the environment.
In 2025, we are planning production of 22.4 million pounds (our share).
Due to equity accounting, our share of production from Inkai is shown as a purchase. Based on KAP’s announcement on January 27, 2025, production in Kazakhstan is expected to remain below the level stipulated in the subsoil use agreements. With the halt of production in January 2025, we are still in discussions with JV Inkai and KAP to determine how this may impact production at Inkai in 2025 and thereafter and therefore our corresponding purchase entitlements. See Uranium – Tier-one operations- Inkai beginning on page 85 for more information.
76 CAMECO CORPORATION
Uranium – Tier-one operations
McArthur River mine / Key Lake mill
![]() | 2024 Production (our share) | |
14.2M lb | ||
2025 Production Outlook (our share) | ||
12.6M lb | ||
Estimated Reserves (our share) | ||
251.0M lb | ||
Estimated Mine Life | ||
2044 |
McArthur River is the world’s largest, high-grade uranium mine, and Key Lake is the world’s largest uranium mill. We are the operator of both the mine and mill.
McArthur River is considered a material uranium property for us. There is a technical report dated March 29, 2019 (effective December 31, 2018) that can be downloaded from SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) or from EDGAR (www.sec.gov).
Location | Saskatchewan, Canada | |||
Ownership | McArthur River – 69.805% | |||
Key Lake – 83.33% | ||||
Mine type | Underground | |||
Mining methods | Blasthole stoping and raiseboring | |||
End product | Uranium concentrate | |||
Certification | ISO 14001 certified | |||
Estimated reserves | 251.0 million pounds (proven and probable), average grade U3O8: 6.55% | |||
Estimated resources | 4.7 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 2.29% | |||
1.7 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 2.95% | ||||
Licensed capacity | Mine and mill: 25.0 million pounds per year | |||
Licence term | Through October 2043 | |||
Total packaged production: | 2000 to 2024 | 358.1 million pounds (McArthur River/Key Lake) (100% basis) | ||
1983 to 2002 | 209.8 million pounds (Key Lake) (100% basis) | |||
2024 production | 14.2 million pounds (20.3 million pounds on 100% basis) | |||
2025 production outlook | 12.6 million pounds (18.0 million pounds on 100% basis) | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost | $51.4 million – McArthur River (100% basis) | |||
$276.7 million – Key Lake (100% basis) |
All values shown, including reserves and resources, represent our share only, unless indicated.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 77
BACKGROUND
Mine description
The mineral reserves at McArthur River are contained within seven zones: zones 1, 2, 3, 4, 4 South, A and B. There are currently two active mining zones (zone 2 and 4), one with development significantly advanced (zone 1), and one in the early-to mid-stages of development (zone 4 South).
Zone 2 has been actively mined since production began in 1999. The ore zone was initially divided into three freeze panels. As the freeze wall was expanded, the inner connecting freeze walls were decommissioned to recover the inaccessible uranium around the active freeze pipes. Mining of zone 2 is almost complete. About 3.1 million pounds of mineral reserves remain secured behind a freeze wall, and we expect to recover them using a combination of raisebore and blasthole stope mining.
Zone 4 has been actively mined since 2010. The zone was divided into four freeze panels, and like in zone 2, as the freeze wall was expanded, the inner connecting freeze walls were decommissioned. Zone 4 has 87.5 million pounds of mineral reserves secured behind freeze walls, and it will be the main source of production for the next several years. Raisebore and blasthole stope mining will be used to recover the mineral reserves.
Zone 1 is the next planned mine area to be brought into production. Freeze hole drilling was completed in 2023 and brine distribution construction and commissioning was completed in 2024. All freeze walls are actively freezing and it is predicted that an active freeze wall will be in place in the second quarter of 2025. Once an active freeze wall has been established, drill and extraction chamber development will need to be completed prior to the start of production (first production expected late 2025). Once complete, an additional 48.0 million pounds of mineral reserves will be secured behind freeze walls. Blasthole stope mining is currently planned as the main extraction method in zone 1.
Zone 4 South remains in the early development stages. Development for the freeze drifts is in progress on the lower levels and freeze drilling continues on the completed upper freeze drifts. Brine distribution work is scheduled to begin on the upper levels in 2025.
We have successfully packaged approximately 358.1 million pounds (100% basis) since we began mining in 1999.
Mining methods and techniques
All the mineralized areas discovered to date at McArthur River are in, or partially in, water-bearing ground with significant pressure at mining depths.
There are three approved mining methods at McArthur River: raisebore mining, blasthole stope mining and boxhole mining. However, only raisebore and blasthole stope mining remain in use. Before we begin mining an area, we freeze the ground around it by circulating chilled brine through freeze holes to form an impermeable frozen barrier.
Blasthole stope mining
Blasthole stope mining began in 2011 and is the main extraction method planned for future production. It is planned in areas where blastholes can be accurately drilled and small stable stopes excavated without jeopardizing the freeze wall integrity. The use of this method has allowed the site to improve operating costs by increasing overall extraction efficiency by reducing underground development, concrete consumption, mineralized waste generation and improving extraction cycle time.
Raisebore mining
Raisebore mining is an innovative non-entry approach that we adapted to meet the unique challenges at McArthur River, and it has been used since mining began in 1999. This method is favourable for mining the weaker rock mass areas of the deposit and is suitable for massive high-grade zones where there is access both above and below the ore zone.
Initial processing
McArthur River produces two product streams, high grade slurry and low-grade mineralized rock. Both product streams are shipped to Key Lake mill to produce uranium ore concentrate.
The high-grade material is ground and thickened into a slurry underground and then pumped to surface. The material is then thickened and blended for grade control and shipped to Key Lake in slurry totes using haul trucks.
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The low-grade mineralized material is hoisted to surface and shipped as a dry product to Key Lake using covered haul trucks. Once at Key Lake, the material is ground, thickened and blended with the high-grade slurry to a nominal 5% U3O8 mill feed grade. It is then processed into uranium ore concentrate and packaged in drums for further processing offsite.
Tailings capacity
Based on the current licence conditions, tailings capacity at Key Lake is sufficient to mill all the known McArthur River mineral reserves and resources, should they be converted to reserves, with additional capacity to toll mill ore from other regional deposits.
Licensed annual production capacity
The McArthur River mine and Key Lake mill are both licensed to produce up to 25 million pounds (100% basis) per year. To achieve annual production at the licensed capacity, additional investment will be required.
2024 UPDATE
Production
The McArthur River and Key Lake operation continued with production rampup and optimization activities in 2024.
Total packaged production from McArthur River and Key Lake in 2024 was 20.3 million pounds (14.2 million pounds our share), compared to 13.5 million pounds (9.4 million pounds our share) in 2023. Production in 2024 exceeded our annual expectation of 19 million pounds (13.3 million pounds our share).
The McArthur River mine produced 15.8 million pounds, which was less than its plan to mine 18.3 million pounds, primarily due to an unplanned shutdown at the mine to accommodate ventilation repairs in Shaft 2. In addition, the mine’s performance was impacted by the availability of mobile equipment and certain workforce skills.
The Key Lake mill saw notable improvements in its operational performance in 2024, with the site becoming more familiar and experienced with new equipment and control system upgrades. In addition, the systematic understanding of process bottlenecks and efforts to remove or decrease their impacts allowed Key Lake to optimize the mill throughput rates.
Of note, our 2024 packaged production of 20.3 million pounds of U3O8 sets both a new annual production record for the Key Lake mill, as well as a new world record for annual production from any uranium mill. These significant achievements were made possible in part by our off-cycle investments during care and maintenance to improve and optimize the Key Lake mill, and by having sufficient ore feed material available, which included the ore mined at McArthur River in 2024 (which was lower than its plan), supplemented by broken ore inventory at McArthur River and Key Lake that was carried over from prior years.
Exploration
Underground exploration at McArthur River continued in 2024 with the main focus areas being infill drilling of zones A and B.
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
Production
We plan to produce 18 million pounds (100% basis) in 2025. Although the performance of the Key Lake mill in 2024 demonstrated production rates and capacities that, when annualized, exceeded 18 million pounds, the operation’s output is currently constrained by the McArthur River mine’s limited ability to increase the production of mined ore to feed the mill, and because the majority of the previously mined, excess broken ore inventory that allowed the mill to exceed production expectations in 2024, has been processed. In 2025, we expect to bring zone 1 into production and advance zone 4 south development while we continue adding to our workforce and replacing mobile equipment. We also plan to expand both underground and surface exploration activities in 2025.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 79
We are addressing aging infrastructure and potential bottlenecks at Key Lake and the advancement of freezing at McArthur River to ensure reliability and sustainability. While these projects are required to support and maintain capacity at current production levels, they have been classified as growth because they also position us for future production flexibility, including to its licensed annual capacity of 25 million pounds, although no decision on changes to future production levels has been made. We will plan our production in line with market opportunities and our contract portfolio, demonstrating that we continue to be a responsible, long-term supplier of uranium fuel.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
The McArthur River deposit presents unique challenges that are not typical of traditional hard or soft rock mines. These challenges are the result of mining in or near high pressure ground water in challenging ground conditions with significant radiation concerns due to the high-grade uranium. We take significant steps and precautions to reduce the risks. Mine designs and mining methods are selected based on their ability to mitigate hydrological, radiological and geotechnical risks. Operational experience gained since the start of production has resulted in a significant reduction in risk. However, there is no guarantee that our efforts to mitigate risk will be successful.
In addition to the risks listed on pages 74 to 75, in 2024 we are focused on the management of the following risks:
Equipment availability
In 2024, the McArthur River mine was impacted by mobile equipment availability, mainly due to the time required to order, receive and commission new mining equipment. A significant amount of new equipment is expected to be delivered to site in 2025. In addition, some of the equipment is customized for use specifically at McArthur River and it therefore requires extensive testing and commissioning time, resulting in notable operational risks related to mobile equipment availability in 2025.
Inflation, labour shortages and supply chain issues
Inflation, the availability of personnel with the necessary skills and experience, and the potential impact of supply chain challenges on the availability of materials and reagents, create additional risks to our production plans and could result in production delays and increased costs in 2025 and future years.
Labour relations
The collective agreement with the United Steelworkers Local 8914 expires in December 2025. As such, the risk of labour dispute impacts is expected to be minimal in 2025.
Water inflow risk
All the mineralized areas discovered to date at McArthur River are in, or partially in, water-bearing ground with significant pressure at mining depths. This high-pressure water source is isolated from active development and production areas to reduce the inherent risk of an inflow. McArthur River relies on pressure grouting and ground freezing, and sufficient pumping, water treatment and above ground storage capacity to mitigate the risks of the high-pressure ground water.
McArthur River has not experienced a significant disruption to its mining or development activities resulting from a water inflow since 2008. The consequences of another water inflow at McArthur River would depend on its magnitude, location and timing, but could include a significant interruption or reduction in production, a material increase in costs or a loss of mineral reserves.
Transition to new mine areas
In 2025, McArthur River is scheduled to transition into two new mine areas within zone 1 and the zone 4 clay area. The risk of unforeseen challenges during the development of these areas could impact our production schedule. The impact would depend on the magnitude of the delay and the mine’s ability to substitute with production from alternative mining areas.
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Uranium – Tier-one operations
Cigar Lake
![]() | 2024 Production (our share) | |
9.2M lb | ||
2025 Production Outlook (our share) | ||
9.8M lb | ||
Estimated Reserves (our share) | ||
105.2M lb | ||
Estimated Mine Life | ||
2036 |
Cigar Lake is the world’s highest-grade uranium mine. We are a 54.5% owner and the mine operator. Cigar Lake ore is milled at Orano’s McClean Lake mill.
Cigar Lake is considered a material uranium property for us. There is a technical report dated March 22, 2024 (effective December 31, 2023) that can be downloaded from SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) or from EDGAR (www.sec.gov).
Location | Saskatchewan, Canada | |||
Ownership | 54.547% | |||
Mine type | Underground | |||
Mining method | Jet boring system | |||
End product | Uranium concentrate | |||
Certification | ISO 14001 certified | |||
Estimated reserves | 105.2 million pounds (proven and probable), average grade U3O8: 15.87% | |||
Estimated resources | 12.9 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 4.93% | |||
10.9 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 5.55% | ||||
Licensed capacity | 18.0 million pounds per year (our share 9.8 million pounds per year) | |||
Licence term | Through June 2031 | |||
Total packaged production: 2014 to 2024 | 155.4 million pounds (100% basis) | |||
2024 production | 9.2 million pounds (16.9 million pounds on 100% basis) | |||
2025 production outlook | 9.8 million pounds (18.0 million pounds on 100% basis) | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost | $76.5 million (100% basis) |
All values shown, including reserves and resources, represent our share only, unless otherwise indicated.
BACKGROUND
Mine description
Cigar Lake’s geological setting is similar to McArthur River’s. However, unlike McArthur River, the Cigar Lake deposit is horizontally oriented. The Cigar Lake deposit was historically divided into two parts. The eastern portion, previously referred to as Phase 1, is now the Cigar Lake Main (CLMain) portion of the deposit, whereas the western portion, previously referred to as Phase 2 and the area where we have begun development work, is now the Cigar Lake Extension (CLExt).
Mine development is carried out in the basement rocks below the ore horizon. New mine development is required throughout the mine life to gain access to the ore above.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 81
Mining method
At Cigar Lake, the permeable sandstone which overlays the deposit and basement rocks, contains large volumes of water at significant pressure. Before we begin mining, we freeze the ore zone and surrounding ground. We use a jet boring system to mine the ore.
Jet boring system (JBS) mining
As a result of the unique geological conditions at Cigar Lake, we are unable to utilize traditional mining methods that require access above the ore, which necessitated the development of a non-entry mining method specifically adapted for this deposit. After many years of test mining, we selected jet boring, and it has been used since mining began in 2014. This method involves:
• | drilling a pilot hole into the frozen orebody, inserting a high-pressure water jet and cutting a cavity out of the frozen ore |
• | collecting the ore and water mixture (slurry) from the cavity and pumping it to a storage sump, allowing it to settle |
• | using a clamshell, transporting the ore from the storage sump to an underground grinding and processing circuit |
• | once mining is complete, filling each cavity in the orebody with concrete |
• | starting the process again with the next cavity. |
We have divided the orebody into production panels and at least three production panels need to be frozen at one time to achieve the annual production rate. A JBS machine is located below a frozen panel with three JBS machines available for operation. Two machines actively mine at any given time while the third is moving, setting up, or undergoing maintenance.
We have successfully packaged approximately 155.4 million pounds (100% basis) since we began mining in 2014.
Initial processing
We carry out initial processing of the extracted ore at Cigar Lake before shipping it to McClean Lake. To accomplish this, we:
• | grind the ore and mix it with water to form a slurry in our underground circuit |
• | pump the slurry 500 metres to the surface and store it in one of two ore slurry holding tanks, where it is blended and thickened to remove excess water |
• | the final slurry, at an average grade of approximately 16% U3O8, is pumped into transport truck containers and shipped to McClean Lake mill on a 69-kilometre all-weather road |
Water from this process, including water from underground operations, is treated on the surface. Any excess treated water is released into the environment.
Milling
All of Cigar Lake’s ore slurry is being processed at the McClean Lake mill, operated by Orano. Given the McClean Lake mill’s capacity, it is able to:
• | process up to 18 million pounds U3O8 per year |
• | process and package all of Cigar Lake’s current mineral reserves |
Licensing annual production capacity
The Cigar Lake mine is licensed to produce up to 18 million pounds (100% basis) per year. Orano’s McClean Lake mill is licensed to produce 24 million pounds annually.
2024 UPDATE
Production
Total packaged production from Cigar Lake in 2024 was 16.9 million pounds U3O8 (9.2 million pounds our share) compared to 15.1 million pounds U3O8 (8.2 million pounds our share) in 2023.
Lower productivity from the mine was primarily the result of a lower production rate at the McClean Lake mill. At various times during the year, the mill was impacted by ore quality variances, like lower ore grades and/or higher arsenic levels, and by unplanned maintenance at the McClean Lake mill. The majority of downtime occurred in the first and fourth quarters of the year.
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During the year, we:
• | produced from and continued development work in the CLMain orebody in alignment with our long-term production plan |
• | successfully executed a planned 28-day annual maintenance outage |
• | fully completed the ground freezing program for CLMain orebody by finishing the outfitting of the final freeze holes |
• | began physical surface work for development of the CLExt portion of the orebody |
• | completed an expansion of the waste rock storage pads to support the remaining mine development, including development in both the CLMain and CLExt portions of the orebody |
Underground development
Underground mine development continued in 2024. We completed development of two production crosscuts; one in the eastern portion and one in the western portion of CLMain. Development also continued for access to the CLExt orebody.
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
Production
In 2025, we expect to produce 18 million pounds (100% basis) at Cigar Lake; our share is approximately 9.8 million pounds.
In 2025, we plan to continue production and development activities in CLMain, as well as development drifts to access CLExt in alignment with our long-term mine plan. We will also continue earthworks and construction of surface services to support the expansion of freeze activities required for future production from CLExt.
CIGAR LAKE EXTENSION
A new NI 43-101 technical report for Cigar Lake was filed March 22, 2024, replacing the previous Cigar Lake Operation technical report, filed in March 2016. Key highlights of the report include:
• | extension of the mine life to 2036 subject to receipt of all regulatory approvals, with estimated full annual production of 18 million pounds (100% basis) (9.8 million pounds our share) U3O8 recovered from the mill for 10 years followed by a two-year ramp down until depletion |
• | conversion of 73.4 million pounds (100% basis) (40 million pounds our share) of CLExt mineral resources into mineral reserves |
• | mine development and capital expenditures for CLExt expected to be approximately $895 million (Cameco’s share – $487 million), including approximately $520 million (Cameco’s share – $284 million) required in advance of first ore from CLExt in 2030 |
• | increase in estimated average cash operating costs per pound—from $18.75 to $20.58 |
More detailed descriptions of the scientific and technical information on which the mineral reserves and mine plan are based are included in the relevant sections of the technical report. A copy is available on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca), on EDGAR (www.sec.gov), and on Cameco’s website (www.cameco.com/media/media-library).
MANAGING OUR RISKS
The Cigar Lake deposit presents unique challenges that are not typical of traditional hard or soft rock mines. These challenges are the result of mining in or near high-pressure ground water in challenging ground conditions with significant radiation concerns due to the high-grade uranium and elements of concern in the orebody with respect to water quality. We take significant steps and precautions to reduce the risks. Mine designs and the mining method are selected based on their ability to mitigate hydrological, radiological, and geotechnical risks. Operational experience gained since the start of production has resulted in a significant reduction in risk. However, there is no guarantee that our efforts to mitigate risk will be successful.
In addition to the risks listed on pages 74 to 75, in 2025 we are focused on the management of the following risks:
Inflation, labour shortages, and supply chain challenges
Inflation, the availability of personnel with the necessary skills and experience, and the potential impact of supply chain challenges on the availability of materials and reagents, create additional risks to our production plans and could result in production delays and increased costs in 2025 and future years.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 83
Transition to new mining areas
In order to successfully achieve the planned production schedule, we must continue to successfully transition into new mining areas, which includes mine development and investment in critical support infrastructure, and deployment of the jet boring method in new areas. If development or infrastructure construction work is delayed for any reason, including if the performance of our jet boring method is materially different in new areas than in previously mined areas, our ability to meet our future production plans may be impacted.
Water inflow risk
The sandstone that overlays the Cigar Lake deposit and basement rocks is water-bearing with significant pressure at mining depths. This high-pressure water source is isolated from active development and production areas in order to reduce the inherent risk of an inflow. Cigar Lake relies on ground freezing and sufficient pumping, water treatment and above ground storage capacity to mitigate the risks of the high-pressure ground water.
Cigar Lake has not experienced a significant disruption resulting from a water inflow since 2008. The consequences of another water inflow at Cigar Lake would depend on its magnitude, location and timing, but could include a significant interruption or reduction in production, a material increase in costs or a loss of mineral reserves.
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Uranium – Tier-one operations
Inkai
![]() | 2024 Production (100% basis) | |
7.8M lb | ||
2025 Production Outlook (100% basis) | ||
See Planning for the future – Production on page 87 | ||
Estimated Reserves (our share) | ||
100.4M lb | ||
Estimated Mine Life | ||
2045 (based on licence term) |
Inkai is a very significant uranium deposit, located in Kazakhstan. The operator is JV Inkai limited liability partnership, which we jointly own (40%)1 with Kazatomprom (KAP) (60%).
Inkai is considered a material uranium property for us. There is a technical report dated November 12, 2024 (effective September 30, 2024) that can be downloaded from SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) or from EDGAR (www.sec.gov).
Location | South Kazakhstan | |||
Ownership | 40%1 | |||
Mine type | In situ recovery (ISR) | |||
End product | Uranium concentrate | |||
Certifications | BSI OHSAS 18001 | |||
ISO 14001 certified | ||||
Estimated reserves | 100.4 million pounds (proven and probable), average grade U3O8: 0.03% | |||
Estimated resources | 37.1 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.03% | |||
8.9 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.03% | ||||
Licensed capacity (wellfields) | 10.4 million pounds per year (our share 4.2 million pounds per year)1 | |||
Licence term | Through July 2045 | |||
Total packaged production: 2009 to 2024 | 98.0 million pounds (100% basis) | |||
2024 production | 7.8 million pounds (100% basis)1 | |||
2025 production outlook | See Planning for the future – Production on page 871 | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost (100% basis) | $35.4 million (US) (100% basis) |
All values shown, including reserves and resources, represent our share only, unless indicated.
1 | Our ownership interest in the joint venture is 40% and we equity account for our investment. As such, our share of production is shown as a purchase. |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 85
BACKGROUND
Mine description
The Inkai uranium deposit is a roll-front type orebody within permeable sandstones. The more porous and permeable units host several stacked and relatively continuous, sinuous “roll-fronts” of low-grade uranium forming a regional system. Superimposed over this regional system are several uranium projects and active mines.
Inkai’s mineralization ranges in depths from about 260 metres to 530 metres. The deposit has a surface projection of about 40 kilometres in length, and the width ranges from 40 to 1,600 metres. The deposit has hydrogeological and mineralization conditions favourable for use of in situ recovery (ISR) technology.
Mining and milling method
JV Inkai uses conventional, well-established, and very efficient ISR technology, developed after extensive test work and operational experience. The process involves five major steps:
• | leach the uranium in situ by circulating an acid-based solution through the host formation |
• | recover it from solution with ion exchange resin (takes place at both main and satellite processing plants) |
• | precipitate the uranium with hydrogen peroxide |
• | thicken, dewater, and dry it |
• | package the uranium peroxide product in drums |
JV Inkai has successfully packaged approximately 98.0 million pounds (100% basis) since it began mining in 2009.
2024 UPDATE
Production
Production was impacted by the continued procurement and supply chain issues in Kazakhstan, most notably, related to the stability of sulfuric acid deliveries. As a result, total 2024 production from JV Inkai on a 100% basis was 7.8 million pounds (3.6 million pounds our share), 0.6 million pounds lower than in 2023. Production was impacted by differences in the annual mine plan, a shift in the acidification schedule for new wellfields, and unstable acid supply throughout the year.
We received 2.7 million pounds of our total share of Inkai’s 2024 production. The remainder of our share of 2024 production, about 0.9 million pounds, is being stored at JV Inkai for future delivery in order to optimize transportation and delivery costs. The timing of future deliveries is uncertain.
Production purchase entitlements
Under the terms of a restructuring agreement signed with our partner KAP in 2016, our ownership interest in JV Inkai is 40% and KAP’s share is 60%. However, during production ramp-up to the licensed limit of 10.4 million pounds, we are entitled to purchase 57.5% of the first 5.2 million pounds of annual production, and as annual production increases over 5.2 million pounds, we are entitled to purchase 22.5% of such incremental production, to the maximum annual share of 4.2 million pounds. Once the ramp-up to 10.4 million pounds annually is complete, we will be entitled to purchase 40% of such annual production, matching our ownership interest.
Based on the production purchase entitlement under the 2016 JV Inkai restructuring agreement, for 2024 we were entitled to purchase 3.6 million pounds, or 45.9% of JV Inkai’s 2024 production of 7.8 million pounds. Timing of our JV Inkai purchases will fluctuate during the quarters and may not match production, and similar to 2023, the 2024 timing was impacted by shipping delays. Total purchases in 2024 were 4.2 million pounds, of which 2.5 million pounds were related to our 2024 entitlement.
Cash distribution
Excess cash, net of working capital requirements, will be distributed to the partners as dividends. In 2024, we received a cash dividend from JV Inkai of $129 million (US), net of withholdings. Our share of dividends follows our production purchase entitlements as described above. Delays in deliveries of our share of production could reduce the dividend that JV Inkai is able to declare for the calendar year.
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UPDATED INKAI OPERATION TECHNICAL REPORT
A new NI 43-101 technical report for Inkai Operation was filed November 12, 2024, replacing the previous Inkai Operation technical report, filed in January of 2018. Key highlights of the report include:
• | Increase in average price used in the economic analysis to $87.50 per pound U3O8 from $54.40 (US) |
• | increase in estimated average cash operating costs per pound to $12.66 from $9.55 |
• | expected total packed production of 213.3 million pounds U3O8based on mineral reserves from 2024 through the projected mine life extending to mid-2045 |
• | decrease in estimated after-tax internal rate of return of 26.9%, using the total capital investments, along with the operating and capital cost estimates, from 27.1% |
• | total estimated Inkai capital to bring the remaining mineral reserves into production is approximately $1.5 billion, an increase of 106% when compared to the 2018 Technical Report’s 2024 to mid-2045 time frame. The change is mostly related to wellfield development activities with increased drilling tariffs and higher costs for sulfuric acid and other materials. |
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
Expansion project
Engineering work for a process expansion of the Inkai circuit to support a nominal production of at least 10.4 million pounds U3O8 per year has been completed and construction is in progress. The expansion project includes an upgrade to the yellowcake filtration and packaging units, and the addition of a pre-dryer and calciner. Please refer to Section 17.4 of the updated Technical Report for further details. Currently, Inkai estimates the completion of the expansion project in 2025, subject to it successfully managing the schedule risk related to contractor performance.
Production
On December 31, 2024, we were unexpectedly informed that Kazatomprom, as majority owner and controlling partner of the joint venture, had directed JV Inkai to suspend production activity as of January 1, 2025. The suspension was implemented pending approval by Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Energy of an extension to submit an updated Project for Uranium Deposit Development documentation. When the extension had not yet been granted at 2024 year-end as expected, Kazatomprom made the decision to halt production in order to avoid potential violation of Kazakhstan legislation. The extension was approved and JV Inkai resumed production on January 23, 2025. Cameco and Kazatomprom continue to work with JV Inkai to determine the impact of the approximately three-week production suspension on the operation’s 2025 production plans.
Our share of production is purchased at a discount to the spot price and included at this value in inventory. In addition, JV Inkai capital is not included in our outlook for capital expenditures.
Mineral extraction tax
In July 2024, the government of the Republic of Kazakhstan introduced amendments to the country’s Tax Code which involves changes to the Mineral Extraction Tax (MET) rate for uranium. The MET rate will increase from the current rate of 6%, to a rate of 9% in 2025, with a further change in 2026 that will see the introduction of a progressive MET system based on actual annual production volumes under each subsoil use agreement. Under the progressive system that will take effect in 2026, the highest rate is 18% for operations producing over 10.4 million pounds. Additionally, a further MET of up to 2.5% based on the spot market price of uranium, will also be introduced in 2026. The MET is incurred and paid by the mining entities, which is expected to have a significant impact on JV Inkai’s cost structure.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
In addition to the risks listed on pages 74 to 75, JV Inkai also manages the following risks:
Production forecast
Production plans for 2025 and subsequent years are uncertain and being reassessed. JV Inkai’s target for production in 2024 was 8.3 million pounds of U3O8 (100% basis). However, this target was tentative and contingent upon receipt of sufficient quantities of sulfuric acid on a specified schedule. Actual 2024 production volume of 7.8 million pounds is a decrease of more than 20% of the original approved production volume of 10.4 million pounds.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 87
Presently, JV Inkai is experiencing procurement and supply chain issues, most notably, related to the stability of sulfuric acid deliveries. It is also experiencing challenges related to construction delays and inflationary pressures on its production costs.
A significant disruption to JV Inkai’s previous production plans for 2025 and subsequent years could result in financial penalties and further escalation of production costs. In addition, JV Inkai’s costs could be impacted by potential changes to the tax code in Kazakhstan and by possible increased financial contributions to social and other state causes, although these risks cannot be quantified or estimated at this time.
Depending on production levels at Inkai and the outcome of our discussions related thereto with JV Inkai and KAP, our share of production and earnings from this equity-accounted investee and the amount and timing of our dividends from the joint venture may be impacted.
Transportation
The geopolitical situation continues to cause transportation risks in the region. We could continue to experience delays in our expected Inkai deliveries. To mitigate this risk, we have inventory, long-term purchase agreements and loan arrangements in place we can draw on. Depending on when we receive shipments of our share of Inkai’s production, our share of earnings from this equity-accounted investee and the timing of the receipt of our share of dividends from the joint venture may be impacted.
Political
Kazakhstan declared itself independent in 1991 after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Our investment in JV Inkai is subject to the greater risks associated with doing business in developing countries, which have significant potential for social, economic, political, legal and fiscal instability. Kazakhstan laws and regulations, including those affecting the regulation of mining, are complex and still developing and their application can be difficult to predict. The other owner of JV Inkai is Kazatomprom, an entity majority owned by the government of Kazakhstan. We have entered into agreements with JV Inkai and Kazatomprom intended to mitigate political risk. This risk includes the imposition of governmental laws or policies that could restrict or hinder JV Inkai paying us dividends, or selling us our share of JV Inkai production, or that impose discriminatory taxes or currency controls on these transactions. The restructuring of JV Inkai, which took effect January 1, 2018, was undertaken with the objective to better align the interests of Cameco and Kazatomprom and includes a governance framework that provides for protection for us as a minority owner of JV Inkai.
For more details on this risk, please see our most recent annual information form under the heading political risks.
88 CAMECO CORPORATION
Uranium – Tier-two operations
Rabbit Lake
Located in Saskatchewan, Canada, our 100% owned Rabbit Lake operation opened in 1975, and has the second largest uranium mill in the world. Due to market conditions, we suspended production at Rabbit Lake during the second quarter of 2016.
Location | Saskatchewan, Canada | |||
Ownership | 100% | |||
End product | Uranium concentrates | |||
ISO certification | ISO 14001 certified | |||
Mine type | Underground | |||
Estimated reserves | — | |||
Estimated resources | 38.6 million pounds (indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.95% | |||
33.7 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.62% | ||||
Mining methods | Vertical blasthole stoping | |||
Licensed capacity | Mill: maximum 16.9 million pounds per year; currently 11 million | |||
Licence term | Through October 2038 | |||
Total production: 1975 to 2024 | 202.2 million pounds | |||
2024 production | 0 million pounds | |||
2025 production outlook | 0 million pounds | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost | $294.8 million |
OPERATING STATUS
The site remained in a safe state of care and maintenance throughout 2024.
While in standby, we continue to evaluate our options in order to minimize care and maintenance costs. We expect standby operating costs in care and maintenance to range between $43 million and $47 million in 2025, an increase from 2024 due to project work related to containment improvements.
FUTURE PRODUCTION
We do not expect any production from Rabbit Lake in 2025.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
We manage the risks listed on pages 74 to 75.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 89
US ISR Operations
Located in Nebraska and Wyoming in the US, the Crow Butte and Smith Ranch-Highland (including the North Butte satellite) operations began production in 1991 and 1975, respectively. Each operation has its own processing facility. Due to market conditions, we curtailed production and deferred all wellfield development at these operations during the second quarter of 2016.
Ownership | 100% | |||
End product | Uranium concentrates | |||
ISO certification | ISO 14001 certified | |||
Estimated reserves | Smith Ranch-Highland: | — | ||
North Butte-Brown Ranch: | — | |||
Crow Butte: | — | |||
Estimated resources | Smith Ranch-Highland: | 24.9 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.06% | ||
7.7 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.05% | ||||
North Butte-Brown Ranch: | 9.4 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.07% | |||
0.4 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.06% | ||||
Crow Butte: | 13.9 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.25% | |||
1.8 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.16% | ||||
Mining methods | In situ recovery (ISR) | |||
Licensed capacity | Smith Ranch-Highland:1 | Wellfields: 3 million pounds per year; processing plants: 5.5 million pounds per year | ||
Crow Butte: | Processing plants and wellfields: 2 million pounds per year | |||
Licence term | Smith Ranch-Highland: | Through September 2028 | ||
Crow Butte: | Through October 2024 (in timely renewal) | |||
Total production: 2002 to 2024 | 33.0 million pounds | |||
2024 production | 0 million pounds | |||
2025 production outlook | 0 million pounds | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost | Smith Ranch-Highland: $248.6 million (US), including North Butte | |||
Crow Butte: $65.4 million (US) |
1 | Including Highland mill |
PRODUCTION CURTAILMENT
As a result of our 2016 decision, commercial production at the US operations ceased in 2018. We expect ongoing cash and non-cash care and maintenance costs to range between $14 million (US) and $15 million (US) for 2025.
FUTURE PRODUCTION
We do not expect any production in 2025.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
In September 2024, the operating licence renewal for Crow Butte was submitted and timely renewal is now in process by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
We also manage the risks listed on pages 74 to 75.
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Uranium – advanced projects
Our advanced projects are part of our project pipeline, and these resources are supportive of growth beyond our existing suite of tier-one and tier-two assets. We plan to advance these projects at a pace aligned with market opportunities.
Millennium
Location | Saskatchewan, Canada | |||
Ownership | 69.9% | |||
End product | Uranium concentrates | |||
Potential mine type | Underground | |||
Estimated resources (our share) | 53.0 million pounds (indicated), average grade U3O8: 2.39% | |||
20.2 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 3.19% |
BACKGROUND
The Millennium deposit was discovered in 2000 and was delineated through geophysical surveys and surface drilling work between 2000 and 2013.
Yeelirrie
Location | Western Australia | |||
Ownership | 100% | |||
End product | Uranium concentrates | |||
Potential mine type | Open pit | |||
Estimated resources | 128.1 million pounds (measured and indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.15% |
BACKGROUND
The Yeelirrie deposit was discovered in 1972 and is a near-surface calcrete-style deposit that is amenable to open pit mining techniques. It is one of Australia’s largest undeveloped uranium deposits.
Kintyre
Location | Western Australia | |||
Ownership | 100% | |||
End product | Uranium concentrates | |||
Potential mine type | Open pit | |||
Estimated resources | 53.5 million pounds (indicated), average grade U3O8: 0.62% | |||
6.0 million pounds (inferred), average grade U3O8: 0.53% |
BACKGROUND
The Kintyre deposit was discovered in 1985 and is amenable to open pit mining techniques.
2024 PROJECT UPDATES
We believe that we have some of the best undeveloped uranium projects in the world. However, our current focus is on producing from our tier-one uranium assets at a pace aligned with our contract portfolio and market opportunities.
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
2025 Planned activity
No work is planned at Millennium, Yeelirrie or Kintyre in 2025.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 91
MANAGING THE RISKS
Project approval
A project description for Millennium was submitted to the Saskatchewan Ministry of Environment and the CNSC in 2009, along with a draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) in 2012. The EIS received Ministerial Approval from Saskatchewan in December 2013. In May 2014, Cameco notified the CNSC that it did wish to proceed with the CNSC’s licensing process due to economic conditions. The CNSC’s Environmental Assessment and licensing process remains on hold and can be reopened at Cameco’s request. The provincial approval remains valid, as it was renewed in 2018 and again in 2023.
The approval for the Yeelirrie project, received from the prior state government, required substantial commencement of the project by January 2022, and this was not achieved. The current government declined to grant us an extension to achieve it. In the future, we can again apply for an extension of time to achieve substantial commencement of the project. If granted by a future government we could commence the Yeelirrie project, provided we have all other required regulatory approvals. Approval for the Yeelirrie project at the federal level was granted in 2019 and extends until 2043. Approval of the Kintyre project at the federal level was granted in 2015 and extends until 2045.
The approval received for Kintyre from the prior state government required substantial commencement of the project by March 2020, being within five years of the grant of the approval, and this was not achieved. The current government declined to grant us an extension to achieve it. In the future, we can apply for an extension of time to achieve substantial commencement of the project. If granted by a future government we could commence the Kintyre project, provided we have all other required regulatory approvals.
For all of our advanced projects, we manage the risks listed on pages 74 to 75.
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Uranium – exploration
Our exploration program is focused on replacing mineral reserves as they are depleted by our production, which is key to sustaining our business, meeting our commitments, and ensuring long-term growth. Our exploration activity is adjusted annually in line with market signals and at a pace aligned with Cameco’s mining plans and marketing requirements. In recent years, as we began to bring back our tier-one production, we also increased exploration spending, all in response to the positive momentum in the nuclear fuel market, which has provided a clear signal that more uranium production will be required in the next decade, setting the stage for a renewed exploration cycle.
Our position as one of the world’s largest uranium producers and our continued growth across the nuclear fuel cycle has been driven by decades of experience and our history of exploration, discovery and mining successes. Our land position totals 754,000 hectares (1.8 million acres) that cover exploration and development prospects in Canada, Australia, Kazakhstan and the US that are among the best in the world. In northern Saskatchewan alone, we have direct interests in 660,000 hectares (1.6 million acres) that cover many of the most prospective areas of the Athabasca Basin.
In northern Saskatchewan, our well-established infrastructure includes licensed and fully permitted uranium mills and mines in the eastern Athabasca basin, supported by a network of roads, airstrips and electricity supply. This infrastructure provides us with an advantage that not only underpins the potential development of our advanced exploration projects, but also supports our ongoing work to both delineate existing prospects and deposits, and to identify undiscovered uranium potential. Additionally, our decades of work to establish a positive corporate reputation by prioritizing our relationships with northern Saskatchewan Indigenous communities, confirms our long-term commitment to continually engage and provide ongoing benefits to the people that call the region home.
The well-known uranium endowment of the Athabasca Basin, where we are involved in 45 projects (including partner-operated joint ventures, previously 39 projects in 2023), is the result of its unique geology, creating a remarkable mining jurisdiction that hosts the highest uranium grades and some of the largest uranium deposits in the world. On our projects, numerous uranium occurrences have been identified, along with several prospects and undeveloped deposits of variable grades and sizes which have progressed through multiple stages of evaluation. Depending on the potential deposit size, ore and ground quality, evolving mining technologies and the uranium market environment, some of these prospects are expected to become viable, economic deposits in a uranium market and price environment that supports new primary production and provides an adequate risk-adjusted return.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 93
The combination of our large land position and proven expertise in discovering and developing world class uranium deposits provides the foundation for future mill-supported exploration projects, ranging from early to advanced stages of greenfield exploration and for brownfield opportunities to extend the lives of our existing operations.
2024 UPDATE
Brownfields and advanced exploration
Brownfields and advanced exploration activities include exploration near our existing operations and expenditures for maintaining advanced projects and delineation drilling where uranium mineralization is being defined. In 2024, we spent about $4 million in Saskatchewan, $2 million in Australia and $1 million in the US on brownfield and advanced exploration projects. The spending in Saskatchewan was primarily focused on advanced exploration on the Dawn Lake project.
On the LaRocque Lake corridor of the Dawn Lake project located approximately 45 km northwest of the Rabbit Lake operation, our 2024 exploration drilling continued to expand the footprint of known uranium mineralization with additional high-grade mineralized intercepts. Although the deposit remains at an early stage of exploration, the results to date are comparable to those of other mines and known deposits in the Athabasca Basin.
Regional exploration
Regional exploration is defined as projects that are considered greenfields. In 2024, we spent over $8 million on regional exploration programs that are comprised of target generation geophysical surveys and diamond drilling primarily in northern Saskatchewan.
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
We plan to continue to focus on our core projects in Saskatchewan under our long-term exploration framework. Our leadership position and industry expertise in both exploration and corporate social responsibility makes us a partner of choice. For properties and projects that meet our investment criteria, we may partner with other companies through strategic alliances, equity holdings and traditional joint venture arrangements to optimize our exploration activity and spending.
Brownfields and Advanced Exploration
In 2025, we plan to spend about $9 million on brownfields and advanced exploration, primarily to refine the footprint of the mineralization identified on the LaRocque Lake corridor of the Dawn Lake project, and to undertake a brownfield exploration program at McArthur River.
Regional Exploration
We plan to spend approximately $12 million on diamond drilling and target generation geophysical surveys on our core regional projects in Saskatchewan, in 2025.
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Fuel services
Refining, conversion and fuel manufacturing
We have about 20% of world UF6 primary conversion capacity and are a supplier of natural UO2. Our focus is on cost-competitiveness and operational efficiency, as well as increasing our production of UF6 in line with our contract portfolio and market opportunities.
Our fuel services segment is strategically important because it helps support the growth of the uranium segment. Offering a range of products and services to customers helps us broaden our business relationships and meet customer needs.
Blind River Refinery
![]() | Licensed Capacity
24.0M kgU as UO3
Licence renewal in
February 2032 |
Blind River is the world’s largest commercial uranium refinery, refining uranium concentrates from mines around the world into UO3.
Location | Ontario, Canada | |||
Ownership | 100% | |||
End product | UO3 | |||
ISO certification | ISO 14001 certified | |||
Licensed capacity | 18.0 million kgU as UO3 per year, approved to 24.0 million subject to the completion of certain equipment upgrades (advancement depends on market conditions) | |||
Licence term | Through February 2032 | |||
Estimated decommissioning cost | $58 million |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 95
Port Hope Conversion Services
![]() | Licensed Capacity
12.5M kgU as UF6
2.8M kgU as UO2
Licence renewal in
February 2027 |
Port Hope is the only uranium conversion facility in Canada and a supplier of UO2 for Canadian-made CANDU heavy-water reactors.
Location | Ontario, Canada | |
Ownership | 100% | |
End product | UF6, UO2 | |
ISO certification | ISO 14001 certified | |
Licensed capacity | 12.5 million kgU as UF6 per year | |
2.8 million kgU as UO2 per year | ||
Licence term | Through February 2027 | |
Estimated decommissioning cost | $138.2 million |
Cameco Fuel Manufacturing Inc. (CFM)
![]() | Licensed Capacity
1.65M kgU as UO2fuel pellets
Licence renewal in
February 2043 |
CFM produces fuel bundles and reactor components for CANDU heavy-water reactors.
Location | Ontario, Canada | |
Ownership | 100% | |
End product | CANDU fuel bundles and components | |
ISO certification | ISO 9001 certified, ISO 14001 certified | |
Licensed capacity | 1.65 million kgU as UO2 fuel pellets | |
Licence term | Through February 2043 | |
Estimated decommissioning cost | $10.8 million |
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2024 UPDATE
Production
Fuel services produced 13.5 million kgU in 2024, similar to 2023. This included UF6 production of 10,781 tonnes, lower than our expectation of 11,000 to 11,500 tonnes of UF6 due to temporary operational issues in one of the processing circuits at the UF6 plant during the first half of the year.
Port Hope conversion facility cleanup and modernization (Vision in Motion)
Vision in Motion is a unique opportunity that demonstrates our continued commitment to a clean environment. It has been made possible by the opening of a long-term waste management facility by the Government of Canada’s Port Hope Area Initiative project. There is a limited opportunity during the life of this project to engage in clean-up and renewal activities that address legacy waste at the Port Hope Conversion facility inherited from historic operations. Progress continued over the past year with the removal of old buildings and structures on site, and the project will continue to be active in the year ahead, including the construction of a new warehouse building.
PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE
Production
We plan to produce between 13 million and 14 million kgU in our fuel services segment in 2025.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
We take significant steps and precautions to reduce risk. However, there is no guarantee that our efforts to mitigate risk will be successful.
In addition to the risks listed on pages 74 to 75, in 2024 we are focused on the management of the following risks:
Production plans
Inflation, the availability of personnel with the necessary skills and experience, aging infrastructure, and the potential impact of supply chain challenges on the availability of materials and reagents carry the risk of not achieving our production plans, production delays, and increased costs in 2025 and future years.
Labour relations
The collective agreement with unionized employees at our Port Hope conversion facility expires in June 2025. There is a risk to the production plan if we are unable to reach an agreement and there is a labour dispute.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 97
Westinghouse Electric Company
Westinghouse is a nuclear reactor technology original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and a leading provider of highly technical aftermarket products and services to commercial nuclear power utilities and government agencies globally. Westinghouse’s history in the energy industry stretches back over a century, during which time the company became a pioneer in nuclear energy.
Like Cameco, Westinghouse enables carbon-free, baseload and dispatchable energy that is needed to strengthen energy security, reinforce national security, and support the energy transition, all of which, we believe, make the company well-positioned for long-term growth.
Corporate headquarters | Cranberry Township, Pennsylvania (United States)
| |
Locations | Three fuel fabrication facilities (US, Sweden, United Kingdom), approximately 90 facilities, engineering centers, and workshops, with over 10,000 employees in more than 21 countries, including major nuclear component fabrication facilities in the US and Italy.
| |
Ownership | 49% - equity-accounted
| |
Business activities | Core business: Designs and manufactures nuclear fuel supplies and intermediate products and provides fuel cycle services for light water reactors. Westinghouse is the OEM or a technology provider to about 50% of the global nuclear reactor fleet, for which it provides outage and maintenance services, engineering support, instrumentation and controls equipment, plant modifications, and components and parts for the installed base of nuclear reactors and new reactors as they are brought on-line.
| |
New build: Designs, develops and procures equipment for new AP1000 nuclear reactors, with licensing agreements that allow Westinghouse to benefit from the construction of other reactor designs that incorporate AP1000 technology. This business line also includes the design of new small and micro reactors
| ||
Certifications | ISO 14001
| |
ISO 45001
| ||
Estimated decommissioning cost | $299.9 million (US) |
BACKGROUND
On November 7, 2023, we announced the closing of the acquisition of Westinghouse in partnership with Brookfield. Our share of the purchase price was $2.1 billion (US). Brookfield beneficially owns a 51% interest in Westinghouse, and we beneficially own 49%. Bringing together Cameco’s expertise in the nuclear industry with Brookfield’s expertise in clean energy, positions nuclear power at the heart of the energy transition and creates a powerful platform for strategic growth across the nuclear sector.
The acquisition of Westinghouse was completed in the form of a limited partnership with Brookfield. The board of directors governing the limited partnership consists of six directors, three appointed by Cameco and three appointed by Brookfield. Decision-making by the board corresponds to percentage ownership interests in the limited partnership (51% Brookfield and 49% Cameco). However, decisions with respect to certain reserved matters under the partnership agreement, such as the approval of the annual budget and business plan, require the presence and support of both Cameco and Brookfield appointees to the board as long as certain ownership thresholds are met.
As of November 7, 2023, we receive the economic benefit of our ownership in Westinghouse. We account for our proportionate interest in Westinghouse on an equity basis.
We expect this strategic acquisition will be transformative and accretive to Cameco and like Cameco, Westinghouse has nuclear assets that are strategic, proven, licensed and permitted, and that are in geopolitically attractive jurisdictions. We expect these assets, like ours, will participate in the growing demand profile for nuclear energy.
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BUSINESS ACTIVITIES
Westinghouse’s main business activities span two key stages of the life cycle of a nuclear reactor:
• | Core business, including the operations and maintenance of the installed base, and |
• | New build, which designs, develops and procures equipment for new nuclear reactors. |
Westinghouse’s total 2024 revenue was $4.3 billion (US), broken down by region as follows:
Core business
In 2024, Westinghouse’s core business covered two main business units: Operating Plant Services (OPS) and Nuclear Fuel. Effective January 1, 2025, the OPS business unit will be transformed into two new global business units: Long-Term Operations and Outage & Maintenance Services. Going forward, Westinghouse’s core business will therefore encompass Nuclear Fuel, Outage & Maintenance Services and Long-term Operations.
Core business: Operating Plant Services (OPS)
The OPS business unit served the installed global base of reactors across two business lines:
• | Outage and maintenance services generates revenue entirely from providing refueling, maintenance, inspection and repair services to the existing global installed reactor base and it is not reliant on new plant projects. These services are provided under long-term customer relationships and demand is driven by safety-related maintenance, regulatory compliance, and asset performance. |
• | Long term operations offer solutions to enhance the reliability, safety, lifespan, and cost-effectiveness of customer operations and supplies replacement parts and products as well as operational and technical support. The following services are provided within this business line: |
• | Engineering services generates stable revenue by engineering bespoke replacement components or equipment, and delivering engineering studies to validate that changes to plant operation are within plant design safety margins, and through studies designed to establish the best course of action to improve plant performance (e.g. do nothing, repair, replace) for emergent issues. Demand for these services is driven by the long-term relationships Westinghouse has built with its customers through prompt response to emergent customer business needs, and through providing services to recently completed nuclear units. |
• | Instrumentation and controls generates revenue by providing advanced digital systems that include core safety and non-safety instrumentation, automation, and control systems through product development, design, assembly and testing of advanced products. This business line also provides simulation services for multiple nuclear reactor technologies. |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 99
• | Parts generates revenue by providing specialized manufacturing and commercial dedication capabilities to support Westinghouse’s ability to make tailored parts that are challenging to replicate. Westinghouse can offer qualified replacement parts (e.g., control rod drives) and products (safety and non-safety), as well as operational and technical support. Demand is largely driven by the need for consumables used during and between outages to maintain safe and efficient operation of nuclear power plants. |
The 2024 revenue for OPS was approximately $2.5 billion (US), representing about 58% of Westinghouse’s total 2024 revenue. Westinghouse’s 2024 revenue by region for OPS was as follows:
Core business: Nuclear Fuel
The Nuclear Fuel business unit designs and fabricates highly engineered, bespoke fuel assemblies that maximize power in a specific reactor. Westinghouse primarily supplies fuel assemblies for pressurized water reactors, although it has made advancements and can also provide certified fuel assemblies for a variety of reactor technologies, including boiling water reactors, advanced gas-cooled reactors and water-water energetic reactors (VVER).
The nuclear fuel business unit benefits from long-term customer relationships and has predictable demand for its products and services. To allow consistent power generation, these reactors require an outage to refuel every 18 to 24 months during which one-third of the fuel assemblies are replaced.
The 2024 revenue from the nuclear fuel business unit was approximately $1.5 billion (US), representing approximately 36% of Westinghouse’s total 2024 revenue. Westinghouse’s 2024 revenue by region for nuclear fuel was as follows:
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Core business: Planning for the future
The importance of nuclear power in providing carbon-free, secure and affordable baseload power as an essential part of the electricity grid in many countries, is creating opportunities to add significant long-term value for Westinghouse. The announcements of reactor life extensions and reactor restarts are creating new and extended opportunities for both the OPS and Nuclear Fuel business units to service, maintain and fuel existing reactors. Expanded fabrication services for different types of reactor technology, including those for which Westinghouse is not the OEM, as well as the introduction of fuel types that can reduce outage frequency and optimize fuel burnup (LEU+ fuels), creates opportunities in the core business as well.
Of note, Westinghouse’s role in the design, development, engineering and procurement of equipment for new reactors, can create further opportunities for the core business through future reactor services and fuel supply contracts once a reactor begins commercial operation.
Springfields Fuels Limited
Westinghouse’s portfolio of global operations includes Springfields Fuels Limited (SFL), in the United Kingdom. Unique to SFL is a licence that is not limited to low-enriched uranium; the site can handle any U-235 enrichment level across a range of facilities that currently include capabilities related to fuel fabrication and nuclear materials management.
The potential for a conversion plant is among the most attractive emerging opportunities for SFL. Since the 1960s, the site has hosted several conversion lines, most recently operating under a toll-conversion agreement with Cameco, which ended in 2014. The conclusion of that contract and weak market conditions at the time resulted in the closure and partial decommissioning of the Line 4 conversion facility, which had been in operation since 1993. However, the current geopolitical environment has resulted in a potential opportunity for additional western-based conversion capacity and has brought SFL’s historic conversion capabilities and unique licence into focus. Westinghouse is currently evaluating the cost, timeline and infrastructure required to bring back conversion capacity at SFL. The evaluation must also carefully consider other potential opportunities available to the site, including the optimization of shared infrastructure that could be required to expand to other nuclear fuel products, as well as potential external funding options in light of the site’s unique licence.
Similar to any segment of the nuclear fuel cycle, the decision to add conversion capacity at SFL must be underpinned by a portfolio of long-term contracts to support any investment.
New Build
The importance of nuclear power in providing carbon-free, secure and affordable baseload power as an essential part of the electricity grid in many countries, is creating opportunities for the New Build business unit to add significant long-term value for Westinghouse. In addition to its role in the design, development, engineering and procurement of equipment for new reactors (it does not provide construction services or assume any construction risk), once a new reactor begins commercial operation, further opportunities can be added to the OPS and Nuclear Fuel business through future reactor services and fuel supply contracts. Its technology and experience provide a competitive advantage as the engineering and procurement aspects of new build programs are initiated.
The 2024 revenue from the New Build business unit was approximately $300 million (US) representing approximately 6% of Westinghouse’s total 2024 revenue. Westinghouse’s 2024 revenue by region for the new build business was as follows:
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 101
New Build: Contracting framework
Following an announcement of a successful bid, there are a number of contracts that must be signed before work commences and revenue is realized. Once contracts are signed and work begins, new build projects are expected to generate multi-year revenue streams and EBITDA for Westinghouse.
Front end engineering and design (FEED) contracts often precede engineering services contracts, which are required before work can begin. The chart below is an illustrative framework and the assumptions used for the expected timing of revenue flows and profitability as these large, one-time decisions by utilities to construct new nuclear power plants using Westinghouse’s proven AP1000 reactor design are made.
Assumptions and estimates:
• | Cost to construct new AP1000 reactor in the US based on an MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) study: $6 billion to $8 billion (US), although it can vary significantly depending on in-country labour and construction productivity rates. There is a measured and noticeable scale effect where multiple reactors have been built – for example, in China, where four AP1000 reactors are in operation and twelve more are under construction, compared to the US, where two are in operation and there are currently none under construction. |
• | Engineering and procurement work: 25% to 40% of total plant cost, depending on the scope of the project – excluding China, where Westinghouse’s scope is typically less than 10% of the total project cost, and any benefits accruing from the settlement agreement with KEPCO and KHNP. |
• | EBITDA margin for new build activity is expected to be aligned with the overall core business, although it can vary between 10% and 20%. |
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Illustrative framework of Westinghouse revenue flow for reactor new build project
New Build: Planning for the future
In addition to the AP1000 reactors already deployed (US and China), Poland, Bulgaria and Ukraine have each chosen the AP1000 reactor for their new nuclear energy programs and signed contracts (FEED-1 or engineering services contracts), with several other nations evaluating technology options that include the AP1000:
• | Poland does not currently have any nuclear capacity and is planning to build up to three reactors at the Lubiatowo-Kopalino nuclear power plant, and three more at a second site (to be determined). Westinghouse is working under engineering services contracts for the first three reactors and the Polish government continues to work towards a potential Final Investment Decision (FID). |
• | Bulgaria has produced nuclear power since the 1970’s using Soviet-era water-water energetic (VVER) reactor technology at the Kozloduy nuclear power plant. The site hosts two operating VVER reactors and four retired VVER rectors that are being decommissioned. The country is planning to build two AP1000s at the Kozloduy facility and Westinghouse is working under a FEED-1 contract on the first of the two, and the Bulgarian government continues to work towards an FID. |
• | Ukraine has a long history with nuclear power and currently operates 15 VVER reactors across four nuclear plants, as well as having four reactors that have been retired and are in different stages of decommissioning. Two additional VVER reactors were under construction until 1990 when work was suspended. The country is now planning/proposing to build up to nine AP1000 reactors across multiple new and existing plant sites, with Westinghouse working under a FEED-1 contract on the first of two AP1000 units planned at the Khmelnitski nuclear power plant. The timing of an FID for planned and proposed reactors in Ukraine is unknown. |
Westinghouse was also recently awarded a contract to evaluate the deployment of an AP1000 reactor in Slovenia.
Technology export
On January 16, 2025, Westinghouse announced it had resolved its technology and export dispute with KEPCO and KHNP, which resolves the dispute and establishes a framework for additional deployments outside of South Korea, to the mutual and material benefit of Westinghouse, KEPCO and KHNP.
Business cycles
Westinghouse’s core business is characterized by recurring and predictable revenue and cash flow streams, the majority of which are secured in advance under long-term contracts with durations that can range from three to more than ten years, depending on the product or service being provided. The 18-to 24-month outage cycle for most reactors drives some variability in annual cash flow.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 103
Cash distributions
Annually, we and Brookfield (the partners) approve a budget and business plan, which outline Westinghouse’s financial projections and capital allocation priorities. The determination of whether to make cash distributions to us and Brookfield will be based on the approved budgeted expenditures and capital allocation priorities, including growth investment opportunities, as well as available cash balances. However, the timing of cash distributions is expected to be aligned with the timing of Westinghouse’s cash flows.
A distribution of $100 million (US) from Westinghouse was paid in February 2025, of which we received $49 million (US) representing our share of the distribution. This is the first distribution since the acquisition closed.
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Amid the ongoing demand growth and global energy security concerns, we expect there will be new opportunities for Westinghouse to compete for and win new business. Westinghouse’s reputation as a global leader in the nuclear industry and its position as the only fully European supplier for certified VVER fuel assemblies are expected to benefit its Core business as Central and Eastern European countries seek to develop a reliable fuel supply chain independent of Russia.
In term of new construction, beyond the countries currently advancing plans to invest in nuclear energy and approaching an FID, several other countries are considering or reconsidering the deployment of new nuclear plants. Sweden, Finland, Slovenia, Netherlands, Slovakia, UK, US and Canada are all considering nuclear energy and each represents a potential opportunity for Westinghouse’s AP1000 technology.
In addition to its AP1000 reactor design, Westinghouse has submitted its pre-application Regulatory Engagement Plan with the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission for the development of its 300 Mw AP300 small modular reactor, which is based on the proven and licensed AP1000 reactor design, while its 5 Mw eVinci microreactor design was awarded additional US Department of Energy funding for the detailed engineering and experiment planning (DEEP) process for a test reactor at Idaho National Lab. The AP300 small modular reactor and the eVinci microreactor are expected to offer the same carbon-free baseload benefits as larger nuclear reactor technologies, but are tailored for specific applications, including industrial, remote mining, off-grid communities, defense facilities and critical infrastructure. As with the AP1000 reactor, they are expected to have applications beyond electricity generation, including district and process heat, desalination and hydrogen production. We remain optimistic about the future competitiveness of these technologies and their potential to make a meaningful contribution to Westinghouse’s long-term financial performance. However, both are currently in the development phase with a market and business case for these new products continuing to evolve.
Caution about forward-looking information relating to Westinghouse
This discussion of our expectations relating to the future prospects of Westinghouse is subject to the assumptions and risks that are discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 2 and may be subject to the risks listed under the heading Managing the risks, starting on page 74, which include:
Assumptions
• | the market conditions and other factors upon which we have based Westinghouse’s future plans and forecasts |
• | Westinghouse’s ability to mitigate adverse consequences of delays in production and construction, and the success of its plans and strategies |
• | the absence of new and adverse government regulations, policies or decisions, and that Westinghouse will comply with nuclear licence and quality assurance requirements at its facilities |
• | that there will not be any significant adverse consequences to Westinghouse’s business resulting from business disruptions, including those relating to supply disruptions, economic or political uncertainty and volatility, labour relation issues, and operating risks |
Material risks that could cause actual results to differ materially
• | the risk that Westinghouse may not be able to meet sales commitments for any reason |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may not achieve the expected growth or success in its business |
• | the risk to Westinghouse’s business associated with potential production disruptions, including those related to global supply chain disruptions, global economic uncertainty, political volatility, labour relations issues, and operating risks |
• | the risk that Westinghouse’s strategies may change, be unsuccessful, or have unanticipated consequences |
• | the risk that Westinghouse may fail to comply with nuclear licence and quality assurance requirements at its facilities |
• | the risk that Westinghouse’s new technologies may not work as anticipated |
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We also recommend that you review our most recent AIF, which discusses other material risks that could have an impact on Westinghouse’s performance. Actual outcomes may vary significantly.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 105
Other Nuclear Fuel Cycle Investments
Global Laser Enrichment
Global Laser Enrichment LLC (GLE) is the exclusive worldwide licensee of the proprietary Separation of Isotopes by Laser Excitation (SILEX) laser uranium enrichment technology (a third-generation enrichment technology). Following the restructure of GLE in early 2021, Cameco is the commercial lead for the GLE project with a 49% interest and an option to attain a majority interest of 75%. Silex Systems Ltd. (Silex Systems) is the licensor of the SILEX technology and is the technology lead for the project, currently holding the remaining 51% interest in GLE.
Subject to completion of the technology demonstration program and its progression through to commercialization, GLE has the potential to offer a variety of advantages to the global nuclear energy sector, including:
• | re-enriching depleted uranium tails left over as a by-product of first-generation gaseous diffusion enrichment operations, repurposing the legacy material into a commercial source of uranium and conversion products to fuel nuclear reactors, and aiding in the responsible clean-up of legacy tails inventories as per GLE’s agreement with the US Department of Energy (DOE) |
• | producing commercial low-enriched uranium (LEU) to fuel the world’s existing and future fleet of large-scale light-water reactors (as well as for SMRs that require LEU-based fuel, if a commercial market develops) with greater efficiency and flexibility than current enrichment technologies |
• | producing high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) to serve the SMR and advanced reactor designs that, if commercially deployed, would require the development of a HALEU-based fuel cycle. |
Our view is that re-enriching US Government inventories of depleted uranium tails into a commercial source of uranium and conversion is GLE’s lowest-risk path to the market. This opportunity is underpinned by an agreement between GLE and the DOE, which gives GLE access to DOE tails and is expected to help address the growing supply gap for Western-origin nuclear fuel supplies and services. However, expansion of a potential tails re-enrichment facility to enable GLE to produce LEU or HALEU would require significant, additional capital expenditure and market support.
GLE continues to focus its efforts on technology demonstration and aims to commence Technology Readiness Level 6 (TRL-6) testing in the first quarter of 2025. The successful demonstration of TRL-6, the sixth step of a nine-step model under the DOE’s Technology Readiness Assessment Guide to assess the technical maturity, will include the completion of integrated testing and test results validation by way of a report prepared by an independent third-party. Successful demonstration of TRL-6 is expected to confirm reliable, full system performance under relevant conditions (pilot-scale demonstration), representing a major step in a technology’s demonstrated readiness. Pending the commencement of TRL-6 enrichment testing in the first quarter of 2025, we anticipate GLE could successfully complete the TRL-6 demonstration, including receipt of the third-party validation report, by the end of Q3 2025, which supports a commercial online date for a tails re-enrichment facility in 2030.
GLE’s 2025 operational budget will remain materially unchanged from its 2024 budget in order to prioritize the demonstration of TRL-6. GLE is continuing work to prepare and submit a US Nuclear Regulatory Commission licence application and anticipates receipt of the third full-scale laser system module from Silex Systems in 2025. The third full-scale laser system represents an iterative design and will be used to better understand the operability and manufacturability of specific components as part of GLE’s technology maturation program.
We expect that GLE’s path to commercialization will depend on several factors, including but not limited to, the successful progression and completion of GLE’s technology demonstration and maturation program, a clear commercial use case for its technology, supportive market fundamentals, future Russian fuel imports to the US, the ability to secure substantial government support and funding (specifically, accelerated commercial pathways related to LEU and, potentially, HALEU, are reliant on government funding), and assured industry support by way of a long-term contract portfolio.
We remain supportive of and committed to the project and in potentially increasing our equity interest, but we have no plans to exercise our option to increase our ownership in GLE from 49% to 75% at this time.
MANAGING OUR RISKS
GLE is subject to the risks relating to the nuclear industry discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 2.
106 CAMECO CORPORATION
Mineral reserves and resources
Our mineral reserves and resources are the foundation of our company and fundamental to our success.
We have interests in a number of uranium properties. The tables in this section show the estimates of the proven and probable mineral reserves, and measured, indicated, and inferred mineral resources at those properties. However, only three of the properties listed in those tables are material uranium properties for us: McArthur River/Key Lake, Cigar Lake and Inkai. Mineral reserves and resources are all reported as of December 31, 2024.
We estimate and disclose mineral reserves and resources in five categories, using the definition standards adopted by the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum Council, and in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (NI 43-101), developed by the Canadian Securities Administrators.
About mineral resources
Mineral resources do not have to demonstrate economic viability but have reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. They fall into three categories: measured, indicated and inferred. Our reported mineral resources are exclusive of mineral reserves.
• | measured and indicated mineral resources can be estimated with sufficient confidence to allow the appropriate application of technical, economic, marketing, legal, and sustainability factors to support evaluation of the economic viability of the deposit |
• | measured resources: we can confirm both geological and grade continuity to support detailed mine planning |
• | indicated resources: we can reasonably assume geological and grade continuity to support mine planning |
• | inferred mineral resources are estimated using limited geological evidence and sampling information. We do not have enough confidence to evaluate their economic viability in a meaningful way. You should not assume that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource will be upgraded to an indicated or measured mineral resource, but it is reasonably expected that the majority of inferred mineral resources could be upgraded to indicated mineral resources with continued exploration. |
Our share of uranium in the following mineral resource tables is based on our respective ownership interests. Reported mineral resources have not demonstrated economic viability.
About mineral reserves
Mineral reserves are the economically mineable part of measured and/or indicated mineral resources demonstrated by at least a preliminary feasibility study. The reference point at which mineral reserves are defined is the point where the ore is delivered to the processing plant, except for ISR operations where the reference point is where the mineralization occurs under the existing or planned wellfield patterns. Mineral reserves fall into two categories:
• | proven reserves: the economically mineable part of a measured resource for which at least a preliminary feasibility study demonstrates that, at the time of reporting, economic extraction could be reasonably justified with a high degree of confidence |
• | probable reserves: the economically mineable part of a measured and/or indicated resource for which at least a preliminary feasibility study demonstrates that, at the time of reporting, economic extraction could be reasonably justified with a degree of confidence lower than that applying to proven reserves |
For properties where we are the operator, we use current geological models, an average uranium price of $63 (US) per pound U3O8, and current or projected operating costs and mine plans to report our mineral reserves, allowing for dilution and mining losses. We apply our standard data verification process for every estimate. For properties in which we have an interest but are not the operator, we will take reasonable steps to ensure that the reserve and resource estimates that we report are reliable.
Our share of uranium in the mineral reserves table below is based on our respective ownership interests.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 107
Changes this year
Our share of proven and probable mineral reserves decreased from 485 million pounds U3O8 at the end of 2023 to 457 million pounds at the end of 2024. The change was primarily the result of:
• | production at Cigar Lake, Inkai and McArthur River, which removed 27 million pounds of proven and probable reserves from our mineral inventory. |
The remaining changes are attributable to other adjustments based on the mineral reserve estimate updates at Cigar Lake, McArthur River and Inkai.
Our share of measured and indicated mineral resources decreased from 409 million pounds U3O8 at the end of 2023 to 408 million pounds at the end of 2024. Our share of inferred mineral resources remained unchanged at 153 million pounds U3O8.
108 CAMECO CORPORATION
Qualified persons
The technical and scientific information discussed in this MD&A for our material properties (McArthur River/Key Lake, Cigar Lake and Inkai) was approved by the following individuals who are qualified persons for the purposes of NI 43-101:
MCARTHUR RIVER/KEY LAKE
• | Greg Murdock, general manager, McArthur River, Cameco |
• | Daley McIntyre, general manager, Key Lake, Cameco |
• | Alain D. Renaud, principal resource geologist, technical services, Cameco |
• | Biman Bharadwaj, principal metallurgist, technical services, Cameco |
CIGAR LAKE
• | Kirk Lamont, general manager, Cigar Lake, Cameco |
• | Scott Bishop, director, technical services, Cameco |
• | Alain D. Renaud, principal resource geologist, technical services, Cameco |
• | Biman Bharadwaj, principal metallurgist, technical services, Cameco |
INKAI
• | Alain D. Renaud, principal resource geologist, technical services, Cameco |
• | Scott Bishop, director, technical services, Cameco |
• | Biman Bharadwaj, principal metallurgist, technical services, Cameco |
• | Sergey Ivanov, deputy director general, technical services, Cameco Kazakhstan LLP |
Important information about mineral reserve and resource estimates
Although we have carefully prepared and verified the mineral reserve and resource figures in this document, the figures are estimates, based in part on forward-looking information.
Estimates are based on knowledge, mining experience, analysis of drilling results, the quality of available data and management’s best judgment. They are, however, imprecise by nature, may change over time, and include many variables and assumptions, including:
• | geological interpretation |
• | extraction plans |
• | commodity prices and currency exchange rates |
• | recovery rates |
• | operating and capital costs |
There is no assurance that the indicated levels of uranium will be produced, and we may have to re-estimate our mineral reserves based on actual production experience. Changes in the price of uranium, production costs or recovery rates could make it unprofitable for us to operate or develop a particular site or sites for a period of time. See page 2 for information about forward-looking information.
Please see our mineral reserves and resources section of our most recent annual information form for the specific assumptions, parameters and methods used for McArthur River, Inkai and Cigar Lake mineral reserve and resource estimates.
Important information for US investors
We present information about mineralization, mineral reserves and resources as required by National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects of the Canadian Securities Administrators (NI 43-101), in accordance with applicable Canadian securities laws. As a foreign private issuer filing reports with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under the Multijurisdictional Disclosure System, we are not required to comply with the SEC’s disclosure requirements relating to mining properties. Investors in the United States should be aware that the disclosure requirements of NI 43-101 are different from those under applicable SEC rules, and the information that we present concerning mineralization, mineral reserves and resources may not be comparable to information made public by companies that comply with the SEC’s reporting and disclosure requirements for mining companies.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 109
Mineral reserves
As of December 31, 2024 (100% – only the shaded column shows our share)
PROVEN AND PROBABLE
(tonnes in thousands; pounds in millions)
OUR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SHARE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PROVEN | PROBABLE | TOTAL MINERAL RESERVES | RESERVES | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MINING | GRADE | CONTENT | GRADE | CONTENT | GRADE | CONTENT | CONTENT | METALLURGICAL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PROPERTY | METHOD | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | (LBS U3O8) | RECOVERY (%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cigar Lake | UG | 322.0 | 16.68 | 118.4 | 229.4 | 14.73 | 74.5 | 551.4 | 15.87 | 192.9 | 105.2 | 98.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Key Lake | OP | 61.1 | 0.52 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 61.1 | 0.52 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 95.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
McArthur River | UG | 1,970.3 | 6.81 | 295.8 | 520.4 | 5.56 | 63.7 | 2,490.7 | 6.55 | 359.6 | 251.0 | 99.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Inkai | ISR | 277,232.9 | 0.03 | 201.6 | 90,850.8 | 0.02 | 49.4 | 368,083.7 | 0.03 | 251.0 | 100.4 | 85.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | 279,586.3 | — | 616.5 | 91,600.6 | — | 187.6 | 371,187.0 | — | 804.1 | 457.2 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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(UG – underground, OP – open pit, ISR – in situ recovery)
Note that the estimates in the above table:
• | use a constant dollar average uranium price of approximately $63 (US) per pound U3O8 |
• | are based on exchange rates of $1.00 US=$1.28 Cdn and $1.00 US=475 Kazakhstan Tenge |
• | may not add due to rounding |
Our estimate of mineral reserves and mineral resources may be positively or negatively affected by the occurrence of one or more of the material risks discussed under the heading Caution about forward-looking information beginning on page 2, as well as certain property-specific risks. See Uranium – Tier-one operations starting on page 77.
Metallurgical recovery
We report mineral reserves as the quantity of contained ore supporting our mining plans and provide an estimate of the metallurgical recovery for each uranium property. The estimate of the amount of valuable product that can be physically recovered by the metallurgical extraction process is obtained by multiplying the quantity of contained metal (content) by the planned metallurgical recovery percentage. The content and our share of uranium in the table above are before accounting for estimated metallurgical recovery.
110 CAMECO CORPORATION
Mineral resources
As of December 31, 2024 (100% – only the shaded columns show our share)
MEASURED, INDICATED AND INFERRED
(tonnes in thousands; pounds in millions)
OUR SHARE | OUR SHARE | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MEASURED RESOURCES (M) | INDICATED RESOURCES (I) | INFERRED RESOURCES | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TOTAL M+I | TOTAL M+I | INFERRED | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GRADE | CONTENT | GRADE | CONTENT | CONTENT | CONTENT | GRADE | CONTENT | CONTENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PROPERTY | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | (LBS U3O8) | (LBS U3O8) | TONNES | % U3O8 | (LBS U3O8) | (LBS U3O8) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cigar Lake | 75.5 | 4.88 | 8.1 | 141.3 | 4.95 | 15.4 | 23.6 | 12.9 | 163.4 | 5.55 | 20.0 | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fox Lake | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 386.7 | 7.99 | 68.1 | 53.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kintyre | — | — | — | 3,897.7 | 0.62 | 53.5 | 53.5 | 53.5 | 517.1 | 0.53 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
McArthur River | 71.8 | 2.28 | 3.6 | 60.3 | 2.31 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 36.4 | 2.95 | 2.4 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Millennium | — | — | — | 1,442.6 | 2.39 | 75.9 | 75.9 | 53.0 | 412.4 | 3.19 | 29.0 | 20.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rabbit Lake | — | — | — | 1,836.5 | 0.95 | 38.6 | 38.6 | 38.6 | 2,460.9 | 0.62 | 33.7 | 33.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tamarack | — | — | — | 183.8 | 4.42 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 10.3 | 45.6 | 1.02 | 1.0 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Yeelirrie | 27,172.9 | 0.16 | 95.9 | 12,178.3 | 0.12 | 32.2 | 128.1 | 128.1 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Crow Butte | 1,558.1 | 0.19 | 6.6 | 939.3 | 0.35 | 7.3 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 531.4 | 0.16 | 1.8 | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gas Hills - Peach | 687.2 | 0.11 | 1.7 | 3,626.1 | 0.15 | 11.6 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 3,307.5 | 0.08 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Inkai | 75,923.1 | 0.03 | 58.2 | 63,488.4 | 0.02 | 34.5 | 92.7 | 37.1 | 33,742.2 | 0.03 | 22.3 | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
North Butte - Brown Ranch | 604.2 | 0.08 | 1.1 | 5,530.3 | 0.07 | 8.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 294.5 | 0.06 | 0.4 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ruby Ranch | — | — | — | 2,215.3 | 0.08 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 56.2 | 0.13 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shirley Basin | 89.2 | 0.15 | 0.3 | 1,638.2 | 0.11 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 508.0 | 0.10 | 1.1 | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Smith Ranch - Highland | 3,703.5 | 0.10 | 7.9 | 14,372.3 | 0.05 | 17.0 | 24.9 | 24.9 | 6,861.0 | 0.05 | 7.7 | 7.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | 109,885.6 | — | 183.4 | 111,550.5 | — | 323.6 | 507.0 | 408.2 | 49,323.5 | — | 199.8 | 152.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Note that mineral resources:
• | do not include amounts that have been identified as mineral reserves |
• | do not have demonstrated economic viability |
• | totals may not add due to rounding |
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 111
Additional information
Due to the nature of our business, we are required to make estimates that affect the amount of assets and liabilities, revenues and expenses, commitments and contingencies we report. We base our estimates on our experience, our best judgment, guidelines established by the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum and on assumptions we believe are reasonable.
We believe the following critical accounting estimates reflect the more significant judgments used in the preparation of our financial statements. These estimates affect all of our segments, unless otherwise noted.
Decommissioning and reclamation
In our uranium and fuel services segments, we are required to estimate the cost of decommissioning and reclamation for each operation, but we normally do not incur these costs until an asset is nearing the end of its useful life. Regulatory requirements and decommissioning methods could change during that time, making our actual costs different from our estimates. A significant change in these costs or in our mineral reserves could have a material impact on our net earnings and financial position. See note 16 to the financial statements.
Carrying value of assets
We depreciate property, plant and equipment primarily using the unit-of-production method, where the carrying value is reduced as resources are depleted. A change in our mineral reserves would change our depreciation expenses, and such a change could have a material impact on amounts charged to earnings.
We assess the carrying values of property, plant and equipment, intangibles and investments in associates and joint ventures every year, or more often if necessary. If we determine that we cannot recover the carrying value of an asset, we write off the unrecoverable amount against current earnings. We base our assessment of recoverability on assumptions and judgments we make about future prices, compound annual growth rates in Westinghouse’s core business, production costs, our requirements for sustaining capital, our ability to economically recover mineral reserves and the impact of geopolitical events. A material change in any of these assumptions could have a significant impact on the potential impairment of these assets.
In performing impairment assessments of long-lived assets, assets that cannot be assessed individually are grouped together into the smallest group of assets that generates cash inflows that are largely independent of the cash inflows from other assets or groups of assets. Management is required to exercise judgment in identifying these cash generating units.
Taxes
When we are preparing our financial statements, we estimate taxes in each jurisdiction we operate in, taking into consideration different tax rates, non-deductible expenses, valuation of deferred tax assets, changes in tax laws and our expectations for future results.
We base our estimates of deferred income taxes on temporary differences between the assets and liabilities we report in our financial statements, and the assets and liabilities determined by the tax laws in the various countries we operate in. We record deferred income taxes in our financial statements based on our estimated future cash flows, which includes estimates of non-deductible expenses, future market conditions, production levels and intercompany sales. If these estimates are not accurate, there could be a material impact on our net earnings and financial position.
Controls and procedures
We have evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2024, as required by the rules of the US Securities and Exchange Commission and the Canadian Securities Administrators.
112 CAMECO CORPORATION
Management, including our Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and our Chief Financial Officer (CFO), supervised and participated in the evaluation, and concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to provide a reasonable level of assurance that the information we are required to disclose in reports we file or submit under securities laws is recorded, processed, summarized and reported accurately, and within the time periods specified. It should be noted that, while the CEO and CFO believe that our disclosure controls and procedures provide a reasonable level of assurance that they are effective, they do not expect the disclosure controls and procedures or internal control over financial reporting to be capable of preventing all errors and fraud. A control system, no matter how well conceived or operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met.
Management, including our CEO and our CFO, is responsible for establishing and maintaining internal control over financial reporting and conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting based on the Internal Control — Integrated Framework (2013) issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO). Based on this evaluation, management concluded that our internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2024.
In April 2024, we implemented SAP S/4 HANA, an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system across the entire organization. The implementation process included extensive involvement by key end users and required significant pre-implementation planning, design, and testing. As a result of this implementation, we modified certain existing internal controls and implemented new controls and procedures. We have taken actions to monitor and maintain appropriate internal controls over financial reporting during this period of change, including performing additional verifications and analysis to ensure data integrity. We also conducted extensive post-implementation monitoring and testing to ensure that internal controls over financial reporting are properly designed.
There have been no other changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the year that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
New standards adopted
A number of amendments to existing standards became effective January 1, 2024, but they did not have an effect on our financial statements.
A number of amendments to existing standards are not yet effective for the year ended December 31, 2024, and have not been applied in preparing these consolidated financial statements. We do not intend to early adopt any of the amendments and do not expect them to have a material impact on our financial statements.
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS 113