Exhibit 1
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
The information in this section supplements the information about Mexico corresponding to the headings below that is contained in Exhibit D to Mexico’s annual report on Form 18-K, as amended, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 (the 2012 Form 18-K). To the extent that the information included in this section differs from the information set forth in the annual report, you should rely on the information in this section.
The Economy
Interest Rates
During the first three months of 2014, interest rates on 28-day Cetes (Mexico’s Federal Treasury certificates) averaged 3.15%, as compared to 4.11% during the same period of 2013. Interest rates on 91-day Cetes averaged 3.37%, as compared to 4.17% during the same period of 2013.
On March 27, 2014, the 28-day Cetes rate was 3.19% and the 91-day Cetes rate was 3.30%.
Employment and Labor
According to preliminary figures, Mexico’s unemployment rate was 4.6% during February 2014, a 0.2 percentage point decrease from the rate during the same period of 2013.
Principal Sectors of the Economy
Tourism
Mexico’s tourism sector expanded in 2013. As compared to 2012, this sector experienced increases in the following areas:
| • | | revenues from international travelers (including both tourists and visitors who enter and leave the country on the same day) totaled U.S. $13.8 billion, an 8.5% increase from 2012; |
| • | | revenues from tourists to the interior (as opposed to border cities) totaled U.S. $11.2 billion, a 9.6% increase from 2012; |
| • | | the number of tourists to the interior totaled 14.1 million, a 3.5% increase from 2012; |
| • | | the average expenditure per tourist to the interior totaled U.S. $790.00, a 5.9% increase from 2012; |
| • | | expenditures by Mexican tourists abroad totaled U.S. $5.7 billion, a 9.3% increase from 2012; and |
| • | | expenditures by Mexicans traveling abroad (which include both tourists and one-day visitors) totaled U.S. $9.1 billion, a 7.2% increase from 2012. |
In total, the Mexican tourism sector recorded a U.S. $4.8 billion surplus in the balance of payments in 2013, an 11.1% increase from the U.S. $4.3 billion surplus recorded in 2012.
As compared to the first month of 2013, the tourism sector experienced increases or decreases in the following areas for the first month of 2014:
| • | | revenues from international travelers totaled U.S. $1.4 billion, a 17.4% increase from the same period in 2013; |
| • | | revenues from tourists to the interior of Mexico totaled U.S. $1.2 billion, a 21.3% increase from the same period in 2013; |
| • | | the number of tourists to the interior of Mexico totaled 1.4 million, an 18.4% increase from the same period in 2013; |
| • | | the average expenditure per tourist to the interior of Mexico totaled U.S. $850.10, a 2.5% increase from the same period in 2013; |
| • | | expenditures by Mexican tourists abroad totaled U.S. $461.6 million, a 0.2% decrease from the same period in 2013; and |
| • | | expenditures by Mexicans traveling abroad totaled U.S. $722.4 million, a 1.5% increase from the same period in 2013. |
In total, the Mexican tourism sector recorded a U.S. $719.3 million surplus in the balance of payments during the first month of 2014, a 39.4% increase from the U.S. $516.0 million surplus recorded during the same period in 2013.
Financial System
Central Bank and Monetary Policy
At March 26, 2014, the monetary base totaled Ps. 845.6 billion, a 7.9% nominal decrease from the level of Ps. 917.9 billion at December 31, 2013, due to a higher demand for bills and coins held by the public.
The Securities Markets
The Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) publishes the Índice de Precios y Cotizaciones (Stock Market Index, or the IPC) based on a group of the 35 most actively traded shares.
At March 26, 2014, the IPC stood at 39,761 points, representing a 6.9% increase from the level at December 31, 2013.
Banking Supervision and Support
At January 31, 2014, the total loan portfolio of the banking system was 1.1% lower in real terms than the total loan portfolio at December 31, 2013.
According to preliminary figures, at January 31, 2014, the total amount of past-due commercial bank loans (excluding those banks undergoing government intervention and those in special situations) was Ps. 92.3 billion, as compared to Ps. 91.2 billion at December 31, 2013. Moreover, the past-due loan ratio of commercial banks was 3.1%, as compared to a ratio of 3.1% at December 31, 2013. The amount of loan loss reserves held by commercial banks at January 31, 2014 totaled Ps. 127.6 billion, as compared to Ps. 127.3 billion at December 31, 2013. As a result, commercial banks had reserves covering 138.2% of their past-due loans, well exceeding the minimum reserve level of 45%.
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External Sector of the Economy
Foreign Trade
According to preliminary figures, during the first month of 2014, Mexico registered a trade deficit of U.S. $3.2 billion, as compared to a trade deficit of U.S. $2.9 billion for the same period of 2013. In particular, exports increased or decreased as follows, each as compared to the first month of 2013:
| • | | petroleum exports decreased by 15.8%; |
| • | | non-petroleum exports increased by 2.0%; |
| • | | merchandise exports decreased by 1.0%, to U.S. $27.0 billion, as compared to U.S. $27.3 billion during the first month of 2013; and |
| • | | exports of manufactured goods (which represented 80.6% of total merchandise exports) increased by 1.5%. |
According to preliminary figures, during the first month of 2014, total imports increased by 0.3%, to U.S. $30.2 billion, as compared to U.S. $30.1 billion for the same period of 2013. In particular, imports increased or decreased as follows, each as compared to the first month of 2013:
| • | | imports of intermediate goods increased by 0.8%; |
| • | | imports of capital goods decreased by 2.4%; and |
| • | | imports of consumer goods decreased by 0.2%. |
The following table provides information about the value of Mexico’s merchandise exports and imports (excluding tourism) for the periods indicated below.
Exports and Imports
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2009 | | | 2010 | | | 2011 | | | 2012 | | | 2013 | | | First month of 2014(1) | |
| | (in millions of dollars, except average price of the Mexican crude oil mix) | |
Merchandise exports (f.o.b.) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Oil and oil products | | $ | 30,831 | | | $ | 41,693 | | | $ | 56,385 | | | $ | 52,892 | | | $ | 49,574 | | | $ | 3,831 | |
Crude oil | | | 25,614 | | | | 35,919 | | | | 49,322 | | | | 46,788 | | | | 42,804 | | | | 3,295 | |
Other | | | 5,217 | | | | 5,775 | | | | 7,063 | | | | 6,103 | | | | 6,770 | | | | 536 | |
Non-oil products | | | 198,872 | | | | 256,780 | | | | 292,990 | | | | 317,814 | | | | 330,615 | | | | 23,208 | |
Agricultural | | | 7,726 | | | | 8,610 | | | | 10,309 | | | | 10,914 | | | | 11,327 | | | | 1,055 | |
Mining | | | 1,448 | | | | 2,424 | | | | 4,063 | | | | 4,906 | | | | 4,714 | | | | 362 | |
Manufactured goods(2) | | | 189,698 | | | | 245,745 | | | | 278,617 | | | | 301,993 | | | | 314,574 | | | | 21,791 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total merchandise exports | | | 229,704 | | | | 298,473 | | | | 349,375 | | | | 370,706 | | | | 380,189 | | | | 27,038 | |
Merchandise imports (f.o.b.) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consumer goods | | | 32,828 | | | | 41,423 | | | | 51,790 | | | | 54,272 | | | | 57,329 | | | | 4,745 | |
Intermediate goods(2) | | | 170,912 | | | | 229,812 | | | | 264,020 | | | | 277,911 | | | | 284,823 | | | | 22,325 | |
Capital goods | | | 30,645 | | | | 30,247 | | | | 35,032 | | | | 38,568 | | | | 39,057 | | | | 3,163 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total merchandise imports | | | 234,385 | | | | 301,482 | | | | 350,843 | | | | 370,752 | | | | 381,210 | | | | 30,234 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Trade balance | | $ | (4,681 | ) | | $ | (3,009 | ) | | $ | (1,468 | ) | | $ | (46 | ) | | $ | (1,022 | ) | | $ | (3,195 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Average price of Mexican oil mix(3) | | $ | 57.40 | | | $ | 72.46 | | | $ | 101.13 | | | $ | 101.96 | | | $ | 98.46 | | | $ | 91.88 | |
Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.
(2) | Includes the maquiladora (or the in-bond industry). |
(3) | In U.S. dollars per barrel. |
Source: Banco de México / PEMEX.
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Exchange Controls and Foreign Exchange Rates
During the first month of 2014, the average peso/dollar exchange rate was Ps. 13.223 = U.S. $1.00. The peso/U.S. dollar exchange rate announced by Banco de México on March 27, 2014 (which took effect on the second business day thereafter) was Ps. 13.084 = U.S. $1.00.
Public Debt
External Public Debt
According to preliminary figures, at December 31, 2013, outstanding gross public sector external debt totaled U.S. $134.4 billion, an approximate U.S. $8.7 billion increase from the U.S. $125.7 billion outstanding at the end of 2012. Of this amount, U.S. $130.9 billion represented long-term debt and U.S. $3.5 billion represented short-term debt. Overall, total public debt (gross external debt plus net internal public sector debt) represented approximately 31.4% of nominal GDP, an increase of 3.8 percentage points from the end of 2012.
The following tables set forth a summary of the external public debt of Mexico, as well as a breakdown of such debt by currency.
Summary of External Public Debt(1) By Type
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Long-Term Direct Debt of the Government | | | Long-Term Debt of Budget- Controlled Agencies | | | Other Long- Term Public Debt(2) | | | Total Long- Term Debt | | | Total Short- Term Debt | | | Total Long- and Short- Term Debt | |
| | (in millions of U.S. dollars) | |
At December 31, | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 | | U.S.$ | 39,997 | | | U.S.$ | 9,782 | | | U.S.$ | 5,885 | | | U.S.$ | 55,664 | | | U.S.$ | 1,275 | | | U.S.$ | 56,939 | |
2009 | | | 47,350 | | | | 41,048 | | | | 6,202 | | | | 94,600 | | | | 1,754 | | | | 96,354 | |
2010 | | | 56,168 | | | | 45,536 | | | | 6,385 | | | | 108,089 | | | | 2,339 | | | | 110,428 | |
2011 | | | 60,590 | | | | 47,436 | | | | 5,625 | | | | 113,651 | | | | 2,769 | | | | 116,420 | |
2012 | | | 66,912 | | | | 50,063 | | | | 5,626 | | | | 122,601 | | | | 3,125 | | | | 125,726 | |
2013(3) | | | 71,817 | | | | 53,358 | | | | 5,734 | | | | 130,909 | | | | 3,527 | | | | 134,436 | |
By Currency(4)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | At December 31, | |
| | 2008 | | | 2009 | | | 2010 | | | 2011 | | | 2012 | | | 2013(3) | |
| | (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for percentages) | |
U.S. dollars | | U.S.$ | 47,851 | | | | 84.1 | % | | U.S.$ | 77,919 | | | | 80.9 | % | | U.S.$ | 90,882 | | | | 82.3 | % | | U.S.$ | 97,048 | | | | 83.4 | % | | U.S.$ | 105,836 | | | | 84.2 | % | | U.S.$ | 111,647 | | | | 83.1 | % |
Japanese yen | | | 1,095 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 4,541 | | | | 4.7 | | | | 6,864 | | | | 6.2 | | | | 6,793 | | | | 5.8 | | | | 6,847 | | | | 5.4 | | | | 5,519 | | | | 4.1 | |
Pounds sterling | | | 687 | | | | 1.2 | | | | 1,981 | | | | 2.1 | | | | 1,920 | | | | 1.7 | | | | 1,906 | | | | 1.6 | | | | 1,993 | | | | 1.6 | | | | 1,369 | | | | 1.0 | |
Swiss francs | | | 410 | | | | 0.7 | | | | 716 | | | | 0.7 | | | | 953 | | | | 0.9 | | | | 910 | | | | 0.8 | | | | 961 | | | | 0.8 | | | | 969 | | | | 0.7 | |
Others | | | 6,896 | | | | 12.1 | | | | 11,197 | | | | 11.6 | | | | 9,809 | | | | 8.9 | | | | 9,763 | | | | 8.4 | | | | 10,089 | | | | 8.0 | | | | 14,932 | | | | 11.1 | |
Total | | U.S.$ | 56,939 | | | | 100.0 | % | | U.S.$ | 96,354 | | | | 100.0 | % | | U.S.$ | 110,428 | | | | 100.0 | % | | U.S.$ | 116,420 | | | | 100.0 | % | | U.S.$ | 125,726 | | | | 100.0 | % | | U.S.$ | 134,436 | | | | 100.0 | % |
Note: Numbers may not total due to rounding.
(1) | Any external debt denominated in foreign currencies other than U.S. dollars has been translated into U.S. dollars at the prevailing exchange rates for each of the dates indicated. External public debt does not include: (a) any repurchase obligations of Banco de México with the IMF (however, none were outstanding as of November 30, 2013) or (b) loans made by the Commodity Credit Corporation to public sector Mexican banks. External debt is presented herein on a “gross” basis and includes any external obligations of the public sector at their full outstanding face or principal amount. For certain informational and statistical purposes, Mexico sometimes reports its external public sector debt on a “net” basis, which is calculated as the gross debt subtracted by certain financial assets held abroad. These financial assets include non-cancelled public sector external debt held by public sector entities. |
(2) | Includes development banks’ debt and the debt of other administratively-controlled agencies whose finances are consolidated with those of the Government. |
(4) | Adjusted to reflect the effect of currency swaps. |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Public Credit
Recent Securities Offerings
| • | | On March 19, 2014, Mexico issued £1.0 billion of its 5.625% Global Notes due 2114. The notes were issued under Mexico’s U.S. $110 billion Medium Term Note (MTN program) at a yield to maturity of 5.75%. |
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