- OGE Dashboard
- Financials
- Filings
-
Holdings
- Transcripts
- ETFs
- Insider
- Institutional
- Shorts
-
8-K Filing
OGE Energy (OGE) 8-KOther Events
Filed: 15 Dec 15, 12:00am
IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF | ) | |
OKLAHOMA GAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY | ) | |
FOR COMMISSION AUTHORIZATION OF A | ) | |
PLAN TO COMPLY WITH THE FEDERAL CLEAN | ) | CAUSE NO. PUD 201400229 |
AIR ACT AND COST RECOVERY; AND FOR | ) | |
APPROVAL OF THE MUSTANG MODERNIZATION | ) | |
AND COST RECOVERY | ) |
1 OCC Order at 15 |
2 During the August 4, 2015 deliberations, Commissioner Anthony stated: “I'd like to see if we could have a motion this morning to instruct staff to prepare an order that is consistent with the 15 points” contained in his Deliberation Statement. (Tr. 8-4-2015 at 9.) | |
3 During the December 2, 2015 deliberations, Commissioner Anthony referred to his July 21, 2015 Deliberation Statement and said: “I did suggest that we adopt OG&E’s scrub/convert plan.” (Tr. 12-2-2015 at 5.) |
1. | The modeling process used by OG&E to evaluate ECP options is reasonable and was conducted with widely accepted industry standard production cost models. (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 4, lines 21-23). |
2. | With the exception of the modeling of the new SPP IM, OG&E’s proposed ECP evaluation process is consistent with past OG&E Integrated Resource Plan analyses. (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 4, lines 23-24 through p. 5, line 22). |
3. | According to OG&E’s base case commodity price forecast, which is based on the US Energy Information Administration’s latest long-term forecast, natural gas prices are expected to be two to three times higher than coal prices over the next 25 years. (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 18, line 22 through p. 19, line 6) (OG&E’s Response to OIEC 1-25). |
4. | Under OG&E’s base case analysis, the scrub and scrub-convert alternatives are estimated to be the lowest cost compliance options and are forecasted to have similar costs with the scrub alternative having a $700 million lower nominal cost over the 30-year study (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 26, lines 10-13). |
5. | Under OG&E’s high gas case analysis, the scrub and scrub-convert alternatives are by far the lowest estimated cost compliance options, with the scrub alternative maintaining a $5.6 billion nominal cost advantage over the scrub-convert plan and a $15.4 billion cost advantage over the replace alternative (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 27, lines 7-11). |
6. | These results represent the significant value of fuel diversity produced under a compliance plan that allows OG&E to retain higher levels of coal-fired generation. (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 27, lines 11-13). |
7. | By maintaining a diverse generation resource portfolio where coal provides in the range of 20-35% of the Company’s total installed generating capacity, the scrub and scrub-convert compliance plans will produce additional fuel diversity that should allow OG&E to better respond to future market changes (Norwood Responsive Testimony, p. 30, lines 7-11). |
8. | With the scrub-convert plan, OG&E’s portfolio will be diversified with coal, natural gas, and wind. (Roach Surrebuttal, 4/7/15 Tr., pp. 11-12). That diversity of resource will help moderate the cost and risk to ratepayers, given the uncertainty about future natural gas prices and environmental regulations. Id. |
9. | In contrast, if additional OG&E coal units were to be retired or converted to natural gas, cost to customers would be higher and OG&E would no longer have sufficient coal-fired |
10. | The Scrub/Convert plan provides a hedge against two sources of risk: high natural gas prices and carbon regulation. The Scrub plan exposes the Company and its customers to future carbon regulations in a way that is moderated under the Scrub/Convert plan. The Convert plan exposes the Company and its customers to high and volatile natural gas prices, which is also moderated by the Scrub/Convert plan. The plans that include replacement of coal with new gas-fired combined cycle plants are consistently the highest cost cases and also expose the Company to high and volatile natural gas prices. (Howell Direct, p. 19, ln. 16-28). |
11. | Commission Staff agreed with the Company’s conclusion that the Scrub/Convert plan is the best course of action given the uncertainties and the importance of maintaining fuel diversity. (Roach Responsive, p. 65, ln. 7-8; Tr. 4-7-2015, p. 11:23-24). |
12. | The post-combustion wet and dry scrubbing options are the only viable technical options that would allow the Company to continue to operate the units with coal as the fuel source. The Company has been evaluating scrubber options over the past six years. (Burch Direct, p. 10, ln. 10-11). |
13. | The Company evaluated the viable environmental compliance options for the four affected coal units (Sooner 1 and 2, Muskogee 4 and 5), as determined by the technological assessment: installation of dry scrubbers with the CDS technology, conversion of existing coal units to burn natural gas, and retirement of coal units and replacement with new natural gas-fired combined cycle (“CC”) units. (Howell Direct, p. 9, ln. 25-31). The four affected coal units represent approximately 2,000 MW of capacity that must be maintained either by controlling emissions, converting to natural gas or replacing with new capacity in order to maintain the 12% capacity margin required by SPP. (Howell Direct, p. 14, ln. 3-7). The Company determined that the Sooner units should be scrubbed if only two units were to be scrubbed based on efficiency and site-specific circumstances. (Burch Direct, p. 14, ln. 15-23). |
14. | The economic analyses performed by the Company indicate that the Scrub/Convert environmental compliance plan is the least cost option in the Base Case and performs well under all scenarios. The Company testified that the Scrub/Convert option was either the lowest cost option or the second lowest cost option in each of the scenarios and sensitivities studied in the IRP. (Rowlett Direct, p. 9, ln. 29 – p. 10, ln. 4). |
15. | This Scrub/Convert plan also performs well when evaluated against the set of IRP objectives, including the costs to the Company’s customers are measured by NPVCC. It complies with Regional Haze and MATS rules and remains in compliance with SPP capacity margin requirements, thus ensuring reliability of supply. The Scrub/Convert plan provides for continued fuel diversity and produces a more modern generation portfolio. It addresses the risks attributable to fuel prices, emissions prices and the potential for future carbon regulation, |
16. | OG&E Witness Turner testified that OG&E accounted for future environmental risks when deciding on the environmental compliance plan. Witness Turner testified that OG&E’s plan to convert two of its existing coal units to natural gas not only meets the current requirements of the Regional Haze FIP, but also better positions the Company toward mitigating the potential future risks for coal generation. Ms. Turner further testified that OG&E will be better positioned to comply with several other Air rules after implementing its Scrub/Convert plan. (Turner Direct, p. 12-13) |
17. | OG&E Witness Howell testified that even if he had included OG&E’s or Sierra Club’s carbon tax in the IRP base case, the Scrub/Convert plan would still have been the second lowest cost option. He testified that OG&E would still have selected the Scrub/Convert Plan because of the risk of natural gas prices and the desire for fuel diversity. (Tr. 3-11-2015, p. 95:7 – p. 96:6). |
18. | The Company calculated a “price to beat” for the scrubbed units and the converted units and testified that there is no existing capacity that could come close to the price/MWh offered by OG&E’s proposed scrubbed and converted coal units. (Howell Rebuttal, p. 4, ln. 19 – p. 5, ln. 2). |
19. | Wind generation does not provide the capacity that is required to meet the EPA mandates and also comply with the SPP capacity requirements. SPP allows the Company to count approximately 5% of the nameplate capacity towards its planning capacity margin requirements. Assuming a 5% capacity value for wind, if the Company were to retire one of its four affected 500 MW coal units, it would need to install approximately 10,000 MW of nameplate wind capacity to continue to satisfy the SPP capacity requirements. (Howell Direct, p. 20 ln. 1-8). Adjusting this calculation to a 6.1% capacity value for wind based on recent SPP guidance does not change the conclusion. (Howell Rebuttal, p. 14, ln. 3-7). As does Staff witness Dr. Roach: “I see the environmental compliance plan as a capacity issue….Wind does not add substantially to capacity” (Roach Rebuttal, p. 5:18-19, 21). |
Brandy Wreath Natasha M. Scott Kathy Champion Oklahoma Corporation Commission P.O. Box 52000 Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73152-2000 b.wreath@occemail.com n.scott@occemail.com k.champion@occemail.com Jim A. Roth Dominic D. Williams Marc Edwards William L. Humes Phillips Murrah P.C. 101 N. Robinson, Thirteenth Floor Oklahoma City, OK 73102 jaroth@phillipsmurrah.com ddwilliams@phillipsmurrah.com medwards@phillipsmurrah.com wlhumes@phillipsmurrah.com Cheryl A. Vaught Scot A. Conner Vaught & Conner, PLLC 1900 NW Expressway, Suite 1300 Oklahoma City, OK 73118 cav@vcokc.com sconner@vcokc.com Thomas P. Schroedter D. Kenton Williams, Jr. Hall, Estill, Hardwick, Gable, Golden & Nelson, P.C. 320 S. Boston, Suite 200 Tulsa, OK 74103 tschroedter@hallestill.com kwilliams@hallestill.com | Jennifer H. Castillo Hall, Estill, Hardwick, Gable, Golden & Nelson, P.C. 100 N. Broadway, Suite 2900 Oklahoma City, OK 73102 jcastillo@hallestill.com Dara Derryberry Jerry J. Sanger Eric Davis Victoria Korrect Assistant Attorney General Office of the Oklahoma Attorney General 313 N.E. 21st Street Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73105 Dara.Derryberry@oag.ok.gov Jerry.Sanger@oag.ok.gov Eric.Davis@oag.ok.gov Victoria.Korrect@oag.ok.gov Jacquelyn L. Dill Dill Law Firm, P.C. 3133 NW 63rd Street Oklahoma City, OK 73116 jdill@dilllawfirm.com Rick D. Chamberlain Behrens, Wheeler & Chamberlain 6 N.E. 63rd Street, Suite 400 Oklahoma City, OK 73105 rchamberlain@okenergylaw.com Lee W. Paden 901 S. Detroit, Suite 1012 P.O. Box 52072 Tulsa, OK 74152-0072 lpaden@ionet.net |
Jack G. Clark, Jr. Clark, Stakem, Wood & Patten P.C. 3545 NW 58th St., Suite 400 Oklahoma City, OK 73112 cclark@cswp-law.com Deborah R. Thompson OK Energy Firm, PLLC PO Box 54632 Oklahoma City, OK 73154 dthompson@okenergyfirm.com Kendall W. Parrish Ron Comingdeer & Associates 6011 N Robinson Oklahoma City, OK 73118 kparrish@comingdeerlaw.com Ronald E. Stakem Cheek & Falcone, PLLC 6301 Waterford Blvd., Suite 320 Oklahoma City, OK 73118 rstakem@cheekfalcone.com | Kristin Henry Sierra Club 85 Second Street, 2nd Floor San Francisco, CA 94105 kristin.henry@sierraclub.org Laurie Williams Sierra Club 50 F Street, NW, 7th Floor Washington, DC 20001 laurie.williams@sierraclub.org Jon W. Laasch Jacobson & Laasch 212 East Second Edmond, OK 73034 jonlaasch@yahoo.com /s/ Kimber L. Shoop Kimber L. Shoop |