Preliminary Financial Results for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2007
This Current Report on Form 8-K provides selected preliminary unaudited consolidated financial results of Energy Future Competitive Holdings Company (“EFC Holdings”), Texas Competitive Electric Holdings Company LLC’s (“TCEH”) direct parent, and for TCEH for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, which were released on October 23, 2007.
The following information is preliminary and, as a result, during the course of EFC Holdings’ and TCEH’s preparation of its final consolidated financial statements and the related notes and the completion of EFC Holdings’ and TCEH’s quarterly closing procedures and analyses, EFC Holdings and/or TCEH may identify items that would require it to make adjustments to the preliminary GAAP financial results presented in this Current Report on Form 8-K. The preliminary financial results presented in this Current Report on Form 8-K have been prepared on a basis consistent with of EFC Holdings’ and TCEH’s consolidated financial statements. These preliminary financial results are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year or any future period. These preliminary financial results should be read in conjunction with ‘‘Summary Historical and Unaudited Pro Forma Condensed Consolidated Financial and Other Data of Energy Future Competitive Holdings and its Subsidiaries,’’ ‘‘Selected Historical Consolidated Financial Data,’’ and ‘‘Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations’’, all of which are included in TCEH’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on October 17, 2007.
EFC Holdings
Property, plant and equipment, net as of September 30, 2007 is expected to increase by approximately $500 million, or approximately 5%, to approximately $10.4 billion compared to $9.9 billion at December 31, 2006. This increase is driven by ongoing investment spending in existing generation operations, partially offset by depreciation expense for the period.
Operating revenues are expected to decrease by between approximately $1.2 to $1.4 billion, or 16% to 18%, to between approximately $6.2 and $6.4 billion compared to $7.6 billion in the same period in 2006. This decline primarily reflects lower retail electricity revenues and net losses in 2007 from risk management and trading activities (compared to net gains in 2006 from these activities). The lower retail revenues reflect volume declines due to customer churn, particularly in the first half of the year, and lower average consumption per customer due in part to cooler, below normal weather this past summer. The revenue decline also reflects lower average pricing, including the effects of residential price discounts implemented in 2007. The results from risk management and trading activities are driven by unrealized mark-to-market net losses associated with positions entered into as part of the long-term hedging program due to higher forward natural gas prices.
Net income is expected to decrease by between approximately $550 to $650 million, or 27% to 32%, to between approximately $1.35 to $1.45 billion compared to $2.0 billion in the same period in 2006. This decrease is driven by the factors affecting operating revenues discussed immediately above. Other contributing factors to the net income performance include the effects of a planned nuclear generation unit outage in early 2007 and higher lignite mining costs resulting from weather-related inefficiencies and increased selling, general and administrative costs in the retail operations.
Adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease by between approximately $500 million to $700 million, or 15% to 21%, to between approximately $2.7 to $2.9 billion compared to $3.4 billion in the same period in 2006. This decrease is driven by the lower average retail pricing and the decline in retail sales volumes referred to in the discussion of operating revenues above and also reflects the other contributing factors cited in the discussion of net income immediately above.
TCEH
Net income is expected to decrease by between approximately $500 to $600 million, or 26% to 31%, to between approximately $1.35 to $1.45 billion compared to $1.95 billion in the same period in 2006. This decrease is driven by the factors affecting operating revenues discussed above. Other contributing factors to the net income performance include the effects of a planned nuclear generation unit outage in early 2007 and higher lignite mining costs resulting from weather-related inefficiencies and increased selling, general and administrative costs in the retail operations.
Adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease by between approximately $550 million to $750 million, or 16% to 22%, to between approximately $2.65 to $2.85 billion compared to $3.4 billion in the same period in 2006. This decrease is driven by the lower average retail pricing and the decline in retail sales volumes referred to in the discussion of operating revenues above and also reflects the other contributing factors cited in the discussion of net income immediately above.
Set forth below is a reconciliation of EFC Holdings’ net income to EBITDA and then to Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. For more information on EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA and an explanation of why management believes EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA are useful measures, see note (a) below.