economic growth included geopolitical issues, high interest rates, and climate-related events, while positive measures such as attracting foreign investment and promoting business reforms were expected to boost long-term growth.
The review further noted that Bangko Sentral had tackled inflation through policy rate adjustments, bringing inflation within target ranges despite recent increases in food prices. Continued monitoring and policy strategies were deemed necessary to manage inflation risks. Additionally, adjustments in tariffs and import procedures were highlighted as key strategies for controlling food prices.
Fiscal consolidation was projected to proceed more gradually than initially planned, with a revised strategy focusing on higher capital expenditure and revenue increases over the medium term. The focus remained on reducing the fiscal deficit while enhancing social programs and education funding. Effective revenue mobilization and tax administration were considered essential to support this fiscal strategy.
Financial stability was assessed as robust, with healthy credit growth and strong banking sector buffers. However, close monitoring of bank exposures to sectors such as commercial real estate was seen as crucial given the high-interest-rate environment. Enhancing AML/CFT effectiveness and completing the FATF Action Plan were identified as vital steps for improving the business climate and encouraging foreign investment.
Recent reforms aimed to attract foreign investment, diversify the economy, and improve growth potential through the implementation of strategic projects and upskilling the workforce. Climate initiatives were also expected to benefit from measures promoting foreign ownership in renewable energy and ongoing green finance efforts.
World Bank Financing and Projects
In June 2024, the World Bank approved funding for two projects in the Philippines totaling $1,250.0 million, namely (i) $500.0 million for the Infrastructure for Safer and Resilient Schools Project to repair, rehabilitate, retrofit, reconstruct, and make site improvements to schools affected by natural disasters. The project aims to enhance learning environments for over 700,000 students, prioritizing high-risk regions such as Cordillera Administrative Region, Caraga, Central Luzon, Bicol region, Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Davao region, and Soccsksargen. It also supports improving the Department of Education’s operations and maintenance tools for effective management post-disaster and (ii) $750.0 million for the Philippines Second Sustainable Recovery Development Policy Loan to support reforms that increase investment in public services, attract private investment in public infrastructure, particularly domestic shipping, promote renewable energy, protect the environment, and improve climate resilience. This loan program aims to boost the country’s competitiveness in marine transport, enhance plastic waste reduction and recycling, promote green transportation, and encourage the production and consumption of environment-friendly goods and services through public procurement.
Territorial Dispute over the West Philippine Sea
A confrontation occurred on June 17, 2024, between the Chinese Coast Guard and the Armed Forces of the Philippines near the Ayungin Shoal. The incident at the disputed Second Thomas Shoal resulted in a Filipino sailor sustaining a severed thumb and underscored escalating tensions between the two nations.
On July 2, 2024, the Republic and China held their first formal dialogue since the incident, convening the 9th Meeting of their Bilateral Consultation Mechanism on the South China Sea in Manila. Discussions focused on their respective positions on Ayungin Shoal and affirmed their commitment to de-escalating tensions.
On July 27, 2024, the Republic completed a resupply mission to its troops without incident under a new provisional agreement with China aimed at mitigating tensions.
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