RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2003 COMPARED WITH THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2002
Market overview During the three-month period July through September 2003, light vehicle production dropped by approximately 5% in the Triad (i.e. Western Europe, North America and Japan) compared to the same quarter last year.
In Europe, where Autoliv generates more than half of its revenues, light vehicle production declined by 7%. At the beginning of the quarter, the decline was expected to amount to 6% due to several important car model changeovers, such as Volkswagen's new Golf, Opel's new Astra, Ford's new C-max and Volvo's new 40-series — all vehicles to which Autoliv is a supplier. Renault introduced its new Scénic and ramped up production for its new Mégane. Renault and Volvo, which both are important Autoliv customers, were among the few OEMs that maintained or increased production.
In North America, which accounts for one third of Autoliv's revenues, light vehicle production decreased by 5%, which was in line with expectations. "The Big 3" (i.e. GM, Ford and Chrysler), which account for most of sales, cut back production by 10%, while the Asian and European vehicle manufacturers increased their North American production by 11%. GM reduced production by 5%, Chrysler by 10% and Ford by 16%. Production fell by 10% for passenger cars but only by 1% for light trucks.
In Japan, which accounts for one tenth of consolidated sales, light vehicle production decreased by 2% due to a weak domestic market.
In addition to vehicle production, the automotive safety market is driven by new regulations and the rollout of new safety systems, such as side-impact airbags. It is therefore important that newly published real-world crash data confirms the safety benefit of these new products (as originally demonstrated in laboratory testing). The new data, which is based on actual crashes in the U.S., shows that side airbags that include head protection are reducing deaths by about 45% among drivers of passenger cars struck on the near (driver) side.
Sales for the Third Quarter Consolidated net sales during the three-month period which ended September 30, 2003, rose by 14% to $1,213 million compared to the corresponding period in 2002. At the beginning of the quarter, sales were expected to increase by about 10%, but the effects of the rollout of new products, the growth in Asia and Autoliv's market share gains have been stronger than anticipated.
Currency translation effects boosted sales by 8%, while acquisitions added nearly 4%. Consequently, organic sales growth (sales excluding currency effects and acquisitions) was 2%, despite the 5% drop in light vehicle production in the Triad. Consequently, Autoliv continued to increase its global market share.
Autoliv's organic sales growth was primarily driven by a 50% increase in the sales of theInflatable Curtain and higher market shares for electronics and steering wheels as well as an overall strong performance in Asia. Sales of electronics rose organically by 18%, partly due to new business from BMW.
Sales by Region Sales from Autoliv's European companies rose by 18%, primarily due to a 14% currency effect. The fact that organic sales increased by 4% at the same time as European light vehicle production fell by 7% is primarily explained by higher penetration rates for the Inflatable Curtain and by additional market share gains in safety electronics and steering wheels.
Sales from Autoliv's North American companies declined by 7% or somewhat less than the 10% production drop for the "Big 3", Autoliv's largest customers in North America. Seat belt sales grew, however, by 6%. Autoliv's market share for seat belts has thus started to grow again after last year's temporary deviation from the trend line. Airbag sales declined by 10% both as a result of the reduction in "the Big 3's" vehicle production and the phase-out of low-margin inflators. North American sales of inflators were also affected by the on-going transfer of production of inflators for Japanese customers to the new plant in Taketoyo, Japan.
Sales from Autoliv's companies in Japan increased by 81%. Most of the increase was due to the NSK-acquisition, 14% to organic growth and 2% to currency effects. The organic sales growth was spear-headed by the Inflatable Curtain.
Sales from Autoliv companies in theRest of the World jumped by 48%. Excluding currency effects of 11% and acquisitions of 1%, organic sales rose by 36%, primarily as a result of new business in Korea, both for seat belts and frontal airbags. The growth rate was also high in China, where sales more than doubled compared to last year.
Sales by Product Consolidated sales of airbag products (incl. steering wheels) increased by 7% to $815 million, including a 6% effect from currencies. Since the change in organic sales was an increase of approximately 1%, Autoliv managed to offset the effect of the weak global vehicle production. This was accomplished by the rollout of new safety technologies, increased market shares in electronics, and by new business generated by investments previously made in the Rest of the World, where both vehicle production and the demand for frontal airbags is growing rapidly.
Sales of seat belt products (incl. seat sub-systems) rose by 30% to $398 million, including currency effects of 11% and a 13% effect of acquisitions. Most of the organic growth of 6% came from Korea, China and North America.
Earnings for the Third Quarter Due to the strong sales performance and better gross margin, earnings improved on all levels in the income statement, and the return on shareholders' equity improved for the tenth consecutive quarter (when compared to the previous year's quarter).
Gross profit increased by 15% to $222 million. Currency translation effects contributed 8% to the increase, while currency hedging reduced gross profit by $2 million in both 2003 and 2002. Despite a 0.4% negative margin effect from acquisitions, uneven vehicle production and the unusually high rate of car model changeovers, Autoliv's gross margin rose to 18.3% from 18.0% in the same quarter 2002. The margin improvement was due to savings in component costs and a lower production overhead cost level.
Operating income improved by 12% to $86 million and operating margin stood almost unchanged at 7.1% compared to 7.2% in the corresponding quarter last year. Acquisition had a 0.4% negative margin impact at the same time as research, development and engineering expenses rose by 26% or to 5.8% of sales, compared to 5.2% during the same quarter 2002. The increase in R,D&E mainly reflects the strong order-intake during the last quarters and a lower degree of engineering income.
Income before taxes improved by 18% to $78 million. In addition to the better operating income, this improvement was due to a $2 million reduction in net interest expense as a result of lower interest rates. Higher earnings in joint ventures, partly due to the NSK-consolidation, also contributed to the improvement.
The effective tax rate has been reduced to 31% from 32% in the third quarter last year. Previously, the effective tax rate for 2003 was expected to be 32.5%, but is now expected to be 32% for the full year.
Net income rose by 25% to $52 million and earnings per share by 29% to 54 cents. The stock-repurchase program has reduced the average number of shares outstanding (assuming dilution) to 95.2 million from 98.2 million during last year's third quarter. For the improvement in earnings per share, one cent was due to the stock repurchase program and seven cents to currency exchange effects (including translation, currency hedging and transaction effects). Adjusting the previously assumed tax rate to the new effective rate of 32% for the full year has led to a one-time catch-up effect of one cent in earnings per share.
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