Pma Capital (PMACA) 10-K 2002 FY Annual report

P M A  C A P I T A L

Selected Financial Data

(dollar amounts in thousands, except per share data)	2002(1)			2001(1)		2000(1)		1999			1998
Net premiums written	$	1,104,997		$	769,058	$	545,555	$	563,510		$	474,761
Consolidated Results of Operations:
Net premiums earned	$	991,011		$	732,440	$	531,424	$	540,087		$	466,715
Net investment income		84,881			86,945		102,591		110,057			120,125
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988		11,975		(7,745	)		21,745
Other revenues		15,330			22,599		14,000		12,718			14,896
Total consolidated revenues	$	1,075,137		$	849,972	$	659,990	$	655,117		$	623,481
Income (loss) before cumulative effect of accounting change	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103	$	1,325	$	28,353		$	44,734
Cumulative effect of accounting change,
net of related tax effect(2)		--			--		--		(2,759	)		--
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103	$	1,325	$	25,594		$	44,734
Per Share Data:
Weighted average shares:
Basic		31,284,848			21,831,725		21,898,967		22,976,326			23,608,618
Diluted		31,284,848			22,216,695		22,353,622		23,785,916			24,524,888
Income (loss) before cumulative effect of accounting change:
Basic	$	(1.53	)	$	0.33	$	0.06	$	1.23		$	1.89
Diluted		(1.53	)		0.32		0.06		1.19			1.82
Net income (loss) per share:
Basic		(1.53	)		0.33		0.06		1.11			1.89
Diluted		(1.53	)		0.32		0.06		1.08			1.82
Dividends paid per Common share(3)		--			--		0.16		0.32			0.32
Dividends paid per Class A Common share(3)		0.42			0.42		0.375		0.36			0.36
Shareholders' equity per share		18.56			19.64		20.40		19.21			21.90
Consolidated Financial Position:
Total investments	$	1,828,610		$	1,775,335	$	1,826,949	$	1,918,035		$	2,325,409
Total assets		4,105,794			3,802,979		3,469,406		3,245,087			3,460,718
Reserves for unpaid losses and LAE		2,449,890			2,324,439		2,053,138		1,932,601			1,940,895
Debt		151,250			62,500		163,000		163,000			163,000
Shareholders' equity		581,390			612,006		440,046		429,143			511,480

(1) Operating results in 2002, 2001 and 2000 were impacted by approximately $90 million pre-tax ($59 million after-tax), $52 million pre-tax ($34 million after-tax) and $60 million pre-tax ($39 million after-tax), respectively, of reserve strengthening. Operating results for 2002 were also impacted by $43 million pre-tax ($28 million after-tax) for costs associated with the exit from and run off of Caliber One, our former excess and surplus lines business. In addition, operating results for 2001 were impacted by $30 million pre-tax ($20 million after-tax) for World Trade Center losses.

(2) In 1999, the Company adopted SOP 97-3, “Accounting by Insurance and Other Enterprises for Insurance-Related Assessments.”As a result of adopting SOP 97-3, the Company recorded a liability of $4.3 million pre-tax and a resulting charge to earnings of $2.8 million, net of tax effect.

(3) Effective at the close of business April 24, 2000, all shares of Common stock were reclassified as Class A Common stock. Accordingly, all dividends subsequent to April 24, 2000 are for the Class A Common stock.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

(dollar amounts in thousands, except per share data)	2002(1)			2001(1)			2000(1)			1999			1998
Pre-tax operating income (loss)(4):
PMA Re	$	13,422		$	(3,062	)	$	(7,297	)	$	50,319		$	46,408
The PMA Insurance Group		25,346			23,148			21,601			18,200			10,470
Corporate and Other		(14,339	)		(6,322	)		(19,142	)		(20,765	)		(21,948	)
Ongoing Operations		24,429			13,764			(4,838	)		47,754			34,930
Run-off Operations(5)		(87,501	)		(26,168	)		(7,014	)		83			(1,606	)
Pre-tax operating income (loss)		(63,072	)		(12,404	)		(11,852	)		47,837			33,324
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988			11,975			(7,745	)		21,745
Income (loss) before income taxes and
cumulative effect of accounting change		(79,157	)		(4,416	)		123			40,092			55,069
Income tax expense (benefit)		(31,133	)		(11,519	)		(1,202	)		11,739			10,335
Income (loss) before extraordinary loss and
cumulative effect of accounting change		(48,024	)		7,103			1,325			28,353			44,734
Cumulative effect of accounting change,
net of related tax effect(3)		-			-			-			(2,759	)		-
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325		$	25,594		$	44,734
GAAP Ratios for Ongoing Insurance Segments:
PMA Re:
Loss and LAE ratio		79.6	%		87.4	%		91.6	%		70.4	%		68.9	%
Expense ratio		26.8	%		26.8	%		31.7	%		32.1	%		34.8	%
Combined ratio(6)		106.4	%		114.2	%		123.3	%		102.5	%		103.7	%
Operating ratio(7)		97.6	%		100.9	%		102.9	%		82.9	%		79.2	%
The PMA Insurance Group:
Loss and LAE ratio		75.0	%		74.7	%		74.9	%		75.1	%		81.6	%
Expense ratio(8)		26.4	%		26.7	%		29.3	%		31.7	%		33.7	%
Policyholders’ dividend ratio		1.8	%		4.1	%		7.5	%		8.6	%		7.3	%
Combined ratio(6)		103.2	%		105.5	%		111.7	%		115.4	%		122.6	%
Operating ratio(7)		94.5	%		94.1	%		92.7	%		92.7	%		95.9	%

(4) Pre-tax operating income (loss) excludes net realized investment gains (losses). Pre-tax operating income by business segment for all periods is unaudited and has been presented in accordance with SFAS No. 131, “Disclosures about Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information,”which the Company adopted on January 1, 1998. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and Note 15 to the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements. The Company excludes net realized investment gains (losses) from the profit and loss measure it utilizes to assess the performance of its operating segments because (i) net realized investment gains (losses) are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance and (ii) in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made at the holding company level, and such decisions result in net realized gains (losses) that do not relate to the operations of the individual segments.

(5) In May 2002, we exited the excess and surplus lines business and placed this business, formerly known as Caliber One, into run-off.

(6) The combined ratio computed on a GAAP basis is equal to losses and loss adjustment expenses plus acquisition expenses, operating expenses and policyholders'dividends (where applicable), all divided by net premiums earned.

(7) The operating ratio is equal to the combined ratio less the net investment income ratio, which is computed by dividing net investment income by net earned premiums.

(8) The GAAP operating expense ratios exclude $11.3 million, $8.8 million, $7.0 million, $7.9 million and $9.0 million for the years ended December 31, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 and 1998, respectively, of PMA Management Corp. direct expenses related to service revenues, which are not included in premiums earned.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following is a discussion of the financial condition of PMA Capital Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries ("PMA Capital" or the "Company" which also may be referred to as "we" or "us") as of December 31, 2002, compared with December 31, 2001, and the results of operations of PMA Capital for 2002 and 2001, compared with the immediately preceding year. The balance sheet information presented below is as of December 31 for each respective year. The statement of operations information is for the year ended December 31 for each respective year.

        This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our audited Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto presentedon pages 49 to 72 in this Annual Report. You should also read our discussion ofCritical Accounting Estimates beginning on page 45 for an explanation of those accounting estimates that we believe are most important to the portrayal of our financial condition and results of operations and that require our most difficult, subjective and complex judgements.

        This Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") contains forward-looking statements, including those made in the Business Outlook section, which involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based upon current estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements, and therefore, you should not place undue reliance on them. See theCautionary Statements on page 48 for a list of factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Also, see the Business – Risk Factors in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002 ("2002 Form 10-K") for a further discussion of risks that could materially affect our business.

Consolidated Results

In this MD&A, in addition to providing net income (loss), we also provide operating income (loss) because we believe that it is a meaningful measure of the profit or loss generated by our operating segments. Operating income (loss) differs from net income (loss) under generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and does not replace net income (loss) as the GAAP measure of our results of operations. In arriving at operating income (loss), we start with GAAP net income (loss) and exclude net realized investment gains and losses because (i) net realized investment gains and losses are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance of our insurance and reinsurance business segments and (ii) in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made at the holding company level, and such decisions result in net realized gains and losses that do not relate to the operations of the individual segments.

The major components of revenues, pre-tax operating income (loss) and net income (loss) are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	2002			2001			2000
Revenues:
Net premiums written	$	1,104,997		$	769,058		$	545,555
Net premiums earned	$	991,011		$	732,440		$	531,424
Net investment income		84,881			86,945			102,591
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988			11,975
Other revenues		15,330			22,599			14,000
Total revenues	$	1,075,137		$	849,972		$	659,990
Components of pre-tax operating income (loss) and net income (loss):
PMA Re	$	13,422		$	(3,062	)	$	(7,297	)
The PMA Insurance Group		25,346			23,148			21,601
Corporate and Other		(14,339	)		(6,322	)		(19,142	)
Pre-tax operating income (loss)-- Ongoing Operations		24,429			13,764			(4,838	)
Run-off Operations(1)		(87,501	)		(26,168	)		(7,014	)
Pre-tax operating loss		(63,072	)		(12,404	)		(11,852	)
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988			11,975
Income (loss) before income taxes		(79,157	)		(4,416	)		123
Income tax benefit		(31,133	)		(11,519	)		(1,202	)
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325

(1) In May 2002, we announced our decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace. As a result of this decision, the results of this segment, formerly known as Caliber One, are reported as Run-off Operations.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

        We recorded a net loss of $48.0 million in 2002, compared to net income of $7.1 million and $1.3 million in 2001 and 2000. Included in net income (loss) are after-tax net realized investment losses of $10.5 million in 2002, compared to after-tax net realized investment gains of $5.2 million and $7.8 million for 2001 and 2000. After-tax net realized investment losses for 2002 include impairment losses of $15.4 million ($23.8 million pre-tax) on fixed income securities, primarily corporate bonds issued by telecommunications and energy companies. Net realized investment gains for 2001 reflect the sale of securities because of our decision to shift the mix of our invested asset portfolio from U.S. Treasury and agency securities to corporate bonds and structured securities as a means to enhance our portfolio’s yield. As a result of investment sales pursuant to this strategy and the declining interest rates in 2001, we recorded net realized investment gains in 2001. During 2000, realized investment gains resulted primarily from the sale of equity securities, which had reached our targeted price level.

        Also included in net income for 2001 are a $6.3 million after-tax gain ($9.8 million pre-tax included in Other revenues) on the sale of certain real estate properties and a tax benefit of $10.1 million resulting from the completion of an IRS examination of our 1996 tax return.

        Following is a reconciliation of our operating results as discussed below to GAAP pre-tax income (loss) and net income (loss):

	2002						2001						2000
(dollar amounts in thousands)	Pre-tax			After-tax			Pre-tax			After-tax			Pre-tax			After-tax
Operating income (loss) for Ongoing Operations	$	24,429		$	19,299		$	4,001		$	5,971		$	(4,838	)	$	(1,776	)
Operating loss for Run-off Operations		(87,501	)		(56,868	)		(26,168	)		(20,507	)		(7,014	)		(4,683	)
Gain on sale of real estate		--			--			9,763			6,346			--			--
Tax benefit		--			--			--			10,100			--			--
Operating income (loss)		(63,072	)		(37,569	)		(12,404	)		1,910			(11,852	)		(6,459	)
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		(10,455	)		7,988			5,193			11,975			7,784
Income (loss)	$	(79,157	)	$	(48,024	)	$	(4,416	)	$	7,103		$	123		$	1,325

Pre-tax operating income for the Ongoing Operations was $24.4 million in 2002, compared to pre-tax operating income of $4.0 million in 2001 and a pre-tax operating loss of $4.8 million in 2000. The improvement in pre-tax operating results in 2002 reflects improved underwriting results at both PMA Re and The PMA Insurance Group. Partially offsetting the improved underwriting results is a pre-tax net charge of approximately $45 million ($26 million after-tax) recognized in the fourth quarter, primarily reflecting higher than expected losses and LAE at PMA Re of $50 million pre-tax. Results for 2001 include a charge of approximately $30 million pre-tax ($20 million after-tax) relating to losses resulting from the attack on the World Trade Center. Operating results for 2000 include a charge of approximately $60 million pre-tax (approximately $40 million after-tax) for higher than expected losses and LAE at PMA Re.

        After-tax operating income for the Ongoing Operations was $19.3 million in 2002, compared to after-tax operating income of $6.0 million in 2001 and an after-tax operating loss of $1.8 million in 2000.

        Operating results for the Run-off Operations for 2002 reflect unfavorable prior year loss development of approximately $52 million pre-tax ($34 million after-tax) and a charge of $43 million pre-tax ($28 million after-tax) associated with our decision to exit from and run off our excess and surplus lines business, partially offset by better than expected underwriting results for the current accident year. Operating results for the Run-off Operations for 2001 and 2000 reflect net unfavorable prior year development of $22 million pre-tax ($14 million after-tax) and $3 million pre-tax ($2 million after-tax), respectively.

        Consolidated revenues were $1,075.1 million, $850.0 million and $660.0 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000. The increase in revenues in 2002, compared to 2001, primarily reflects higher net premiums earned by PMA Re and The PMA Insurance Group mainly due to price increases across all lines of business. The increase in revenues in 2001, compared to 2000, primarily reflects higher net premiums earned, partially offset by lower net investment income.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Impact on 2001 Results from the September 11th Terrorist Attack on the World Trade Center

Results for our Ongoing Operations in 2001 were adversely impacted by approximately $30 million pre-tax ($20 million after-tax) as a result of losses incurred at PMA Re from the September 11th terrorist attack on the World Trade Center. The 2001 charge of approximately $30 million pre-tax consisted of total assumed losses of approximately $135 million, which is before (1) reinsurance recoveries ($110 million), (2) additional premiums due to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires ($30 million) and (3) additional premiums due to PMA Re on its assumed business ($25 million). Results for the Run-off Operations for 2001 include approximately $1 million of net property losses related to the September 11th terrorist attack on the World Trade Center, net of $9 million of ceded losses. Our estimate of the net loss from the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center continues to be approximately $30 million pre-tax and is based on our analysis to date of known exposures. However, it is difficult to fully estimate our loss from the attack given the uncertain nature of damage theories and loss amounts, and the development of additional facts related to the attack. As more information becomes available, our estimate may need to be increased.

Business Outlook

Our current expectation is that throughout 2003 premium rates will remain adequate, which will enable PMA Re and The PMA Insurance Group to achieve premium growth of 10-15%. Premium growth may accelerate beyond our current forecasts if rates move higher than we are expecting. However, if rates do not maintain adequate levels during 2003, then we would constrain our premium writings.

        Overall, we expect underwriting results to improve in 2003 due to expected price strengthening that we believe will continue to outpace loss cost and expense trends. Accordingly, embedded underwriting margins should remain strong in 2003. We would expect to see the 2003 combined ratio for PMA Re to be around 95%, which is several points below their long-term goal of 100% and we expect the combined ratio for The PMA Insurance Group to be in line with their long-term goal of 104%.

        Based on our current expectations, the estimated range of consolidated after-tax operating earnings for 2003 is between $1.70 and $1.85 per diluted share. Our range of estimated operating earnings per share for 2003 assumes that rate adequacy will continue to improve as prices continue to increase in 2003. In addition, it assumes that loss trends run at a similar pace as 2002 levels, excluding catastrophes, and that loss reserves for prior accident years continue to be adequate. In addition, our 2003 earnings per share estimate does not reflect any dilution from our 4.25% convertible senior debentures. If we were to assume conversion of this debt, then our earnings per share figures would be lower by about 10%.

        We are unable to provide a reasonable estimate of the range of GAAP net income per share for 2003 because this would require us to forecast net realized investment gains and losses, which are included in GAAP net income but excluded from operating income. We are unable to reasonably estimate future net realized investment gains and losses because they are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of our current operating fundamentals or our future performance. In addition, in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made for reasons unrelated to our insurance and reinsurance businesses and are made at the holding company level in part due to credit concerns or overall changes in the fixed income markets.

        The statements made in this Business Outlook section are forward-looking. Our actual results may differ materially from our current expectations as a result of the factors described in the cautionary statements accompanying the forward-looking statements and other factors described in theCautionary Statements on page 48. Also, see the Business – Risk Factors described in our 2002 Form 10-K.

        Please see our earnings release dated February 5, 2003, which is available on our website at www.pmacapital.com for information regarding the status of this business outlook.

Recent Developments

On February 25, 2003, A.M. Best announced that it was lowering the insurance financial strength rating of PMA Capital Insurance Company from A ("Excellent" – 3rd of 16) to A- ("Excellent" – 4th of 16), with their outlook moved from negative to stable. The current financial strength rating of A- ("Excellent" – 4th of 16) of the domestic insurance companies within The PMA Insurance Group was affirmed with a stable outlook.

        On March 5, 2003, Moody’s Investors Service ("Moody’s") announced that it lowered the senior debt rating of PMA Capital Corporation to Ba1 ("Moderate" – 11th of 21) from Baa3 ("Medium" – 10th of 21) and also lowered the insurance financial strength rating of PMA Capital Insurance Company to Baa1 ("Adequate" – 8th of 21) from A3 ("Good" – 7th of 21). In addition, Moody’s affirmed the insurance financial strength ratings of the members of The PMA Insurance Group at Baa1 ("Adequate" – 8th of 21). Moody’s has a negative outlook on these ratings.

        On February 7, 2003, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services announced that it was not taking any ratings action in response to our fourth quarter 2002 results.

         See the Ratings discussion in our 2002 Form 10-K for additional information.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

PMA Re

Summarized financial results of PMA Re are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001			2000
Net premiums written	$	639,039	$	360,604		$	261,505
Net premiums earned	$	551,513	$	340,401		$	251,109
Net investment income		48,736		45,361			51,125
Operating revenues		600,249		385,762			302,234
Losses and LAE		439,228		297,623			229,925
Acquisition and operating expenses		147,599		91,201			79,606
Total losses and expenses		586,827		388,824			309,531
Pre-tax operating income (loss)	$	13,422	$	(3,062	)	$	(7,297	)
Combined ratio		106.4%		114.2%			123.3%
Less: net investment income ratio		8.8%		13.3%			20.4%
Operating ratio		97.6%		100.9%			102.9%

PMA Re’s pre-tax operating income was $13.4 million in 2002, compared to pre-tax operating losses of $3.1 million in 2001 and $7.3 million in 2000. PMA Re’s 2002 operating results reflect improved underwriting results, partially offset by a net charge of approximately $45 million pre-tax. This charge primarily relates to strengthening of PMA Re’s loss reserve position for prior accident years at year-end 2002 ($64 million) to reflect our most current projection of the ultimate results for these underwriting years. PMA Re’s 2002 results benefitted from better than expected current accident year business ($14 million), mainly property reinsurance, and a net benefit of approximately $5 million recognized in the fourth quarter primarily due to reductions in acquisition and operating expenses, partially offset by costs associated with ceding certain of its prior year loss development. Operating results for 2001 include a pre-tax charge of approximately $30 million relating to the effects of the losses caused by the attack on the World Trade Center. Operating results for 2000 include a pre-tax charge of approximately $60 million relating to the effects of higher than expected losses and LAE. For additional information, see thediscussion under Losses and Expenses on page 29 and thediscussion under Impact on 2001 Results from the September 11th Terrorist Attack on the World Trade Center on page 26.

Premiums

PMA Re’s gross premiums written by business unit and major lines of business are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001		2000
Business Unit:
Traditional - Treaty	$	382,955	$	171,318	$	224,226
Finite Risk and Financial Products		252,413		244,527		109,062
Specialty - Treaty		92,088		34,180		50,971
Facultative		49,331		26,566		10,564
Total	$	776,787	$	476,591	$	394,823
Major Lines of Business:
Casualty	$	503,644	$	266,672	$	268,877
Property		247,279		206,940		123,393
Other(1)		25,864		2,979		2,553
Total	$	776,787	$	476,591	$	394,823

(1) Primarily aviation, ocean marine and accident in 2002.

PMA Re’s net premiums written by business unit and major lines of business are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001		2000
Business Unit:
Traditional - Treaty	$	314,172	$	115,814	$	134,724
Finite Risk and Financial Products		230,720		209,939		89,254
Specialty - Treaty		75,471		26,252		34,062
Facultative		18,676		8,599		3,465
Total	$	639,039	$	360,604	$	261,505
Major Lines of Business:
Casualty	$	396,598	$	186,603	$	157,887
Property		217,711		171,056		101,086
Other(1)		24,730		2,945		2,532
Total	$	639,039	$	360,604	$	261,505

(1) Primarily aviation, ocean marine and accident in 2002.

        Gross premiums written were $776.8 million, $476.6 million and $394.8 million, and net premiums written were $639.0 million, $360.6 million and $261.5 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively.

        Gross and net premiums written for 2002 include additional premiums as a result of a change in estimate during 2002 of ultimate premiums written for prior years, including $58.1 million and $44.2 million, respectively, of gross and net premiums written and $39.9 million of net premiums earned resulting from a second quarter revision in our estimate. Because premiums from ceding companies are typically reported on a delayed basis, we monitor and update, as appropriate, the estimated ultimate premiums written. During the

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

second quarter of 2002, our periodic review of estimated ultimate premiums written, comparing actual reported premiums to originally estimated premiums based on ceding company estimates, indicated that premiums written in recent years, primarily for 2001 and 2000 in the Traditional- and Specialty-Treaty units, were higher than originally estimated. This increase in net premiums earned in 2002 was completely offset by losses and LAE, and acquisition expenses.

        In 2001, gross and net premiums written include approximately $25 million of premiums (mainly property premiums in the Finite Risk and Financial Products unit) due under contractual provisions of certain of PMA Re’s assumed business where additional premiums were due to us because of the cession of World Trade Center losses to us by our reinsureds. These additional premiums were more than offset by approximately $30 million of ceded premiums payable by PMA Re to its retrocessionaires because PMA Re ceded a portion of its World Trade Center gross losses to these retrocessionaires. In 2000, net premiums written were reduced by ceded premiums of $52.1 million on existing retrocessional contracts covering higher than expected losses and LAE in 2000.

        Excluding the effects, as discussed above, of the change in our estimate of ultimate premiums written in 2002, the attack on the World Trade Center in 2001 and the additional ceded premiums on existing retrocessional contracts covering higher than expected losses and LAE in 2000:

• Gross premiums written increased approximately $267 million, or 59%, in 2002, compared to 2001, reflecting higher premiums in all of our business units. We have been able to obtain significant price increases and improved terms and conditions on business written across all underwriting units in 2002. For example, the Traditional- and Specialty-Treaty units, which comprise 61% of 2002 gross premiums written, experienced rate increases, as measured by the level of premium increase on renewed in-force business, of approximately 35%. Additionally, gross premiums written increased in 2002, compared to 2001, due to PMA Re’s increased writings of aviation, ocean marine and accident reinsurance business (included in Other in the tables on page 27) due to significantly improved market conditions in these lines.

        Gross premiums written increased approximately $57 million, or 14%, in 2001, compared to 2000. In addition to rate increases on business written in 2001, the increase in gross and net written premiums in 2001, compared to 2000, reflects higher premium volume for both property and casualty coverages written by the Finite Risk and Financial Products unit due primarily to increased demand for these coverages. Partially offsetting premium growth in 2001 was lower premium volume from PMA Re’s Specialty- and Traditional-Treaty units, which primarily write casualty lines of business. During 2001, approximately 35% of the beginning in-force business for the Traditional- and Specialty-Treaty units was non-renewed, largely reflecting non-renewal of accounts that did not meet our pricing guidelines. Despite the full year decline in writings for PMA Re’s Traditional and Specialty treaty coverages, the environment for writing these coverages on acceptable terms became increasingly more favorable as 2001 progressed due to significant price increases and better contract terms and conditions. This resulted in an increase in premiums written for the Traditional and Specialty treaty coverages for the second half of 2001, compared with the first half of the year. This increase continued into 2002 as discussed above.

• Ceded premiums increased by approximately $38 million in 2002, compared to 2001, and increased $5 million in 2001, compared to 2000. The increase in ceded premiums primarily reflects the increase in gross premiums written and an increase in premiums charged by retrocessionaires.

• Net premiums written increased approximately 63% in 2002 and 17% in 2001, mainly reflecting the trends discussed above for gross premiums written. Net premiums earned increased by approximately 48% in 2002 and 14% in 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year. Traditionally, trends in net premiums earned follow patterns similar to net premiums written. Generally, in periods of premium growth, the increase in net premiums written will be greater than the increase in net premiums earned, as was the case in 2002 and 2001. Premiums are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the coverage periods of the underlying policies. However, with respect to policies that provide for premium adjustments, such as experience-rated or exposure-based adjustments, such premium adjustments may be made subsequent to the end of the policy’s coverage period and will be recorded as earned premium in the period in which the adjustment is made.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Losses and Expenses

The components of the GAAP combined ratios are as follows:

	2002		2001		2000
Loss and LAE ratio	79.6	%	87.4	%	91.6	%
Expense ratio:
Acquisition expenses	24.3	%	20.9	%	26.1	%
Operating expenses	2.5	%	5.9	%	5.6	%
Total expense ratio	26.8	%	26.8	%	31.7	%
Combined ratio	106.4	%	114.2	%	123.3	%

PMA Re’s loss and LAE ratio for 2002 reflects a $50 million increase in net loss reserves in the fourth quarter of 2002 due to higher than expected losses and LAE in certain lines of business. In the fourth quarter, PMA Re’s actuarial department conducted its routine year-end reserve study to determine the impact of any emerging data on anticipated loss development trends and recorded unpaid losses and LAE reserves. During the fourth quarter, our actuaries noticed a higher than expected increase in the level of reported losses by our ceding companies. Based on the actuarial work performed, which included analyzing recent trends in the levels of the reported and paid claims using various loss projection techniques, an updated selection of actuarially determined loss reserve estimates was developed by accident year for each major line of business written by PMA Re. Management’s selection of the ultimate losses indicated that gross loss and LAE reserves needed to be increased by approximately $72 million in the fourth quarter, due to an $86 million increase in gross loss and LAE reserves, primarily for excess of loss and pro rata general liability occurrence contracts ($54 million) and, to a lesser extent, excess of loss general liability claims-made contracts ($13 million), from accident years 1998, 1999 and 2000. Under existing retrocessional contracts, approximately $22 million of the higher than expected losses were ceded to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires, reducing the net impact of prior year development to approximately $64 million. Partially offsetting the prior year development was a $14 million decrease in reserves for full year 2002 accident year business, mainly property reinsurance, reflecting better than expected underwriting results.

        The $64 million of higher than expected losses and LAE for prior accident years recorded in the fourth quarter contributed approximately 12 points to the loss and LAE ratio and to the combined ratio for 2002. In 2001, PMA Re’s loss and LAE ratio and combined ratio included approximately 9 points due to the unfavorable loss activity related to the attack on the World Trade Center. Absent these items, the improvement in underwriting results in 2002, compared to 2001, reflects the continued strong current year pricing environment, along with tighter terms and conditions, which resulted in us achieving more premium per unit of exposure in all segments of our reinsurance business.

        PMA Re’s loss and LAE ratio for 2000 reflected the recognition in the third quarter of 2000 of the effects of higher than expected losses and LAE in certain lines of business, primarily coverages for 1998 and 1999 written on a pro rata basis, partially offset by lower than expected losses and LAE for treaties covering losses occurring in accident years 1996 and prior. The increase in the estimate of gross loss and LAE reserves of $83 million primarily reflected higher than expected losses mainly in our pro rata business. The concentration of estimated adverse loss development related primarily to general liability treaties written on a claims made basis covering losses in 1998 and 1999, property treaties covering 1999 losses and, to a lesser extent, commercial automobile liability treaties covering losses in 1998 and 1999. In addition, the reserve increase reflects unfavorable prior year loss reserve development in the excess of loss general liability line for accident years 1998 and 1999. Under existing retrocessional contracts, $60 million of gross losses were ceded to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires, reducing the impact on net incurred losses and LAE to $23 million. The increase in net incurred losses and LAE, combined with $35 million of ceded premiums and interest on funds held under existing retrocessional contracts covering the ceded losses, resulted in a pre-tax charge of approximately $60 million to PMA Re’s operating results in 2000.

        For additional information about PMA Re’s loss reserves, seepage 34 andNote 4 to our Consolidated Financial Statements. For additional information, seeImpact on 2001 Results from the September 11th Terrorist Attack on the World Trade Center on page 26.

        Net premiums earned, which are used in calculating the components of the expense ratio, were positively impacted by the change in our estimate of ultimate premiums written in 2002 and negatively impacted by the attack on the World Trade

29

P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Center in 2001 and the higher than expected losses in 2000 discussed above. Excluding the effect of these items from the calculations of our acquisition and operating expense ratios:

• The acquisition expense ratio increased 3.9 points and the operating expense ratio decreased 3.2 points in 2002, compared to 2001. The increase in the acquisition expense ratio is primarily due to lower ceding commissions received by PMA Re on our retrocessional programs and a shift towards pro rata reinsurance business in the Finite Risk and Financial Products business unit, which generally has higher acquisition expense ratios and lower loss ratios than excess of loss business. The improvement in the operating expense ratio is primarily due to growth in our net premiums earned, combined with a lower level of operating expenses in 2002 compared to 2001. The lower operating expenses are primarily due to improved results related to our participation in a Lloyd’s of London syndicate and managing general agency.

• The acquisition expense ratio decreased 1.0 point and the operating expense ratio increased 1.1 points for 2001, compared to 2000. The lower acquisition expense ratio is primarily due to the shift in business towards excess of loss Finite Risk and Financial Products business, which generates a lower acquisition expense ratio than traditional treaty business. The increase in the operating expense ratio is due to operating expenses growing at a faster rate than earned premiums in 2001, which reflects net results related to our participation in a Lloyd’s of London syndicate and managing general agency.

Net Investment Income

Net investment income was $48.7 million, $45.4 million and $51.1 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. The increase in 2002, compared to 2001, reflects higher interest earned of $9.7 million on funds held arrangements. In a funds held arrangement, the ceding company holds onto the premiums and losses are offset against these funds in an experience account. Because the reinsurer is not in receipt of the funds, the reinsurer earns interest on the experience fund balance at a predetermined credited rate of interest. The higher interest on funds held in 2002 was partially offset by lower investment earnings of $6.4 million on the invested asset portfolio. The lower investment earnings resulted from a drop in yields of approximately 100 basis points on an average invested asset base that increased approximately 5% during 2002. The decrease in net investment income in 2001, compared to 2000, is primarily due to lower investment yields.

The PMA Insurance Group

Summarized financial results of The PMA Insurance Group are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001		2000
Net premiums written	$	452,276	$	355,547	$	268,839
Net premiums earned	$	410,266	$	346,574	$	252,348
Net investment income		35,613		39,444		47,969
Other revenues		14,694		11,240		10,099
Operating revenues		460,573		397,258		310,416
Losses and LAE		307,734		258,933		189,001
Acquisition and operating expenses		119,906		101,090		80,959
Dividends to policyholders		7,587		14,087		18,855
Total losses and expenses		435,227		374,110		288,815
Pre-tax operating income	$	25,346	$	23,148	$	21,601
Combined ratio		103.2%		105.5%		111.7%
Less: net investment income ratio		8.7%		11.4%		19.0%
Operating ratio		94.5%		94.1%		92.7%

Pre-tax operating income for The PMA Insurance Group improved to $25.3 million in 2002, compared to $23.1 million in 2001 and $21.6 million in 2000. The 10% and 7% increases in operating income were primarily due to improved underwriting results reflecting improved pricing and rate adequacy, partially offset by lower net investment income.

Premiums

The PMA Insurance Group’s premiums written are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Workers' compensation and
integrated disability:
Direct premiums written	$	397,639		$	315,611		$	246,617
Premiums assumed		13,338			6,331			3,620
Premiums ceded		(37,624	)		(29,771	)		(39,367	)
Net premiums written	$	373,353		$	292,171		$	210,870
Commercial Lines:
Direct premiums written	$	102,918		$	92,107		$	83,381
Premiums assumed		1,437			2,646			1,848
Premiums ceded		(25,432	)		(31,377	)		(27,260	)
Net premiums written	$	78,923		$	63,376		$	57,969
Total:
Direct premiums written	$	500,557		$	407,718		$	329,998
Premiums assumed		14,775			8,977			5,468
Premiums ceded		(63,056	)		(61,148	)		(66,627	)
Net premiums written	$	452,276		$	355,547		$	268,839

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Direct workers’ compensation and integrated disability premiums written increased 26% in 2002 and 28% in 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year, primarily due to price increases of approximately 17% and 14% on workers’ compensation business and, to a lesser extent, an increase in the volume of risks underwritten for the workers’ compensation and integrated disability lines of business. In recent years, The PMA Insurance Group increased its writings of workers’ compensation premiums through focused marketing efforts in its principal marketing territories covering the eastern part of the United States. It has also increased the level of business written for insureds operating primarily in one of The PMA Insurance Group’s principal marketing territories but with some operations in other states.

        For workers’ compensation coverages, the premium charged on fixed-cost policies is primarily based upon the manual rates filed with the state insurance department. Manual rates in The PMA Insurance Group’s principal marketing territories for workers’ compensation increased on average approximately 13% in 2002, 10% in 2001 and 8% in 2000. These increases in manual rates generally reflect the effects of higher average medical and indemnity costs in recent years. Manual rate changes directly affect the prices that The PMA Insurance Group can charge for its rate sensitive workers’ compensation products, which include fixed cost and dividend policies that comprise approximately 58% of workers’ compensation premium for 2002.

        Direct writings of commercial lines of business other than workers’ compensation, such as commercial auto, general liability, umbrella, multi-peril and commercial property lines (collectively, "Commercial Lines"), increased by $10.8 million and $8.7 million in 2002 and 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year, primarily due to weighted average annual rate increases of approximately 28% in 2002 and 2001 for commercial auto, general liability and commercial multi-peril lines.

        Premiums ceded increased $1.9 million in 2002, compared to 2001 and decreased $5.5 million in 2001, compared to 2000. Premiums ceded for workers’ compensation and integrated disability increased by $7.9 million in 2002 as a result of the increase in direct premiums written as well as higher rates being charged by reinsurers. Premiums ceded for Commercial Lines were lower by $5.9 million in 2002, primarily as a result of higher retentions in the Commercial Lines’ reinsurance programs. The change in premiums ceded in 2001, compared to 2000, reflects a decrease of $9.6 million in premiums ceded for workers’ compensation, partially offset by an increase of $4.1 million in premiums ceded for Commercial Lines in 2001, compared to 2000. Premiums ceded for workers’ compensation decreased despite the growth in gross premiums written for workers’ compensation because The PMA Insurance Group increased its net retention by adding a deductible limit of approximately $10 million on its workers’ compensation reinsurance program, effective January 1, 2001. The increase in premiums ceded for Commercial Lines is primarily due to the increase in direct premiums written for these products.

        Net premiums written increased 27% in 2002 and 32% in 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year, mainly reflecting the trends discussed above for direct premiums written. Net premiums earned increased 18% in 2002 and 37% in 2001. Generally, trends in net premiums earned follow patterns similar to net premiums written adjusted for the customary lag related to the timing of premium writings within the year. Direct premiums are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the terms of the policies. However, with respect to policies that provide for premium adjustments, such as experience-rated or exposure-based adjustments, such premium adjustment may be made subsequent to the end of the policy’s coverage period and will be recorded as earned premium in the period in which the adjustment is made.

Losses and Expenses

The components of the GAAP combined ratios are as follows:

	2002		2001		2000
Loss and LAE ratio	75.0	%	74.7	%	74.9	%
Expense ratio:
Acquisition expenses	17.5	%	17.6	%	18.4	%
Operating expenses(1)	8.9	%	9.1	%	10.9	%
Total expense ratio	26.4	%	26.7	%	29.3	%
Policyholders' dividend ratio	1.8	%	4.1	%	7.5	%
Combined ratio(1)	103.2	%	105.5	%	111.7	%

(1) The expense ratio and the combined ratio exclude $11.3 million, $8.8 million and $7.0 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively, for direct expenses related to loss adjusting services and risk control fees included in other revenues, which are not included in premiums earned.

The loss and LAE ratio increased slightly in 2002, compared to 2001, and improved slightly in 2001, compared to 2000. The increase in 2002, compared to 2001, is primarily due to a higher current accident year loss and LAE ratio, partially offset by lower unfavorable prior year development and the favorable impact of net discount accretion. The improvement in 2001, compared to 2000, is primarily due to an improved current accident year loss ratio and the favorable impact of net discount accretion, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of changes in prior year development.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

        The current accident year loss and LAE ratio increased by 1.0 point in 2002, compared to 2001, primarily due to increased reinsurance costs and higher workers’ compensation loss trends, partially offset by price increases. Medical cost inflation continues in the 8% range, which has primarily contributed to increased severity of workers’ compensation losses. The PMA Insurance Group continues its efforts to try to mitigate medical cost inflation primarily through its affiliation with a national preferred provider organization, an extensive medical review process and utilization of nurses, where appropriate. As discussed below, lower policyholder dividends are also used as a means to improve a policy’s overall profitability.

        The current accident year loss and LAE ratio improved by 1.7 points in 2001, compared to 2000, primarily reflecting price increases in workers’ compensation and integrated disability lines of business. The reduction in the loss and LAE ratios for workers’ compensation and integrated disability in 2001 also reflected a decline in claims frequency for workers’ compensation business.

        The PMA Insurance Group experienced $1.1 million and $2.9 million of unfavorable prior year development in 2002 and 2001, respectively, compared to favorable prior year development of $6.1 million in 2000. The lower unfavorable prior year development reduced the loss and LAE ratio by 0.5 points in 2002, compared to 2001. The change in prior year development unfavorably impacted the loss and LAE ratio by 3.2 points in 2001, compared to 2000. The unfavorable prior year development in 2002 and 2001 primarily reflects higher than expected claims handling costs. The favorable prior year development in 2000 primarily reflects better than expected loss experience from loss-sensitive and rent-a-captive workers’ compensation business. Premium adjustments for loss-sensitive business and policyholders’ dividends for rent-a-captive business offset this favorable development. Rent-a-captives are used by customers as an alternative method to manage their loss exposure without establishing and capitalizing their own captive insurance company.

        The loss and LAE ratio is negatively impacted by accretion of discount on prior year reserves and favorably impacted by the recording of discount for current year reserves. The net of these amounts is referred to as net discount accretion. The recording of discount essentially offset the accretion of discount on prior year reserves for 2002 and 2001, and resulted in a favorable impact to the loss and LAE ratio of 0.2 points year over year. The accretion of discount on prior year reserves exceeded the recording of discount for 2000. The change in net discount accretion in 2001, compared to 2000, favorably impacted the loss and LAE ratio by 1.7 points. The lower accretion of discount in 2001, compared to 2000, primarily reflects the transfer of substantially all of the assets and liabilities, including discounted loss reserves, of The PMA Insurance Group’s run-off operations to a third party under an assumption reinsurance agreement effective December 31, 2000. SeeNote 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

        For additional information regarding The PMA Insurance Group’s loss reserves, seepage 34.

        The expense ratio improved by 0.3 points in 2002 and by 2.6 points in 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year, as premium growth outpaced the increase in expenses.

        The policyholders’ dividend ratio was 1.8%, 4.1% and 7.5% in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. Under policies that are subject to dividend plans, the customer may receive a dividend based upon loss experience during the policy period. The improvements in the policyholders’ dividend ratio occurred primarily because The PMA Insurance Group sold less business under dividend plans and wrote business under lower paying dividend plans. Lower dividend payments are effectively another form of price increase that contribute to the overall profitability of our workers’ compensation business.

Net Investment Income

Net investment income was $3.8 million lower in 2002 and $8.5 million lower in 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year. The decline in 2002, compared to 2001, primarily reflects a reduction in invested asset yields of approximately 50 basis points. The decline in 2001, compared to 2000, reflects a lower invested asset base due to the transfer of substantially all of the assets and liabilities of The PMA Insurance Group’s run-off operations to a third party effective December 31, 2000 under an assumption reinsurance agreement.

Run-off Operations

Summarized financial results of the Run-off Operations, formerly known as Caliber One, are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Net premiums written	$	14,563		$	53,674		$	16,043
Net premiums earned	$	30,113		$	46,232		$	28,799
Net investment income		1,140			3,124			4,424
Operating revenues		31,253			49,356			33,223
Losses and LAE		76,696			60,207			30,462
Acquisition and operating expenses		42,058			15,317			9,775
Total losses and expenses		118,754			75,524			40,237
Pre-tax operating loss	$	(87,501	)	$	(26,168	)	$	(7,014	)

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P M A  C A P I T A L

In May 2002, we announced our decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace previously served by the Caliber One operating segment. On January 2, 2003, we completed the sale of the capital stock of Caliber One Indemnity Company and received gross proceeds of approximately $31 million, representing $3.5 million plus surplus of approximately $27 million. Pursuant to the agreement of sale, we have retained all assets and liabilities related to the in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations relating to Caliber One’s business written prior to closing. The transaction is not expected to have a material effect on our financial condition and results of operations. As a result of our decision to exit this business, the results of this segment are reported as Run-off Operations.

        In 2002, the Run-off Operations recorded pre-tax operating losses of $87.5 million. As a result of our decision to exit from and run off this business, the Run-off Operations recorded a charge of $43 million pre-tax. Components of the charge include expenses associated with the recognition of liabilities of approximately $27 million, including reinsurance costs of approximately $19 million, long-term lease costs of approximately $4 million and involuntary employee termination benefits of approximately $3 million. In addition, the $43 million charge includes approximately $16 million to write-down assets to their estimated net realizable value, including approximately $9 million for reinsurance, premiums and other receivables and non-cash charges of approximately $6 million for leasehold improvements and other fixed assets and $1.3 million for goodwill. The charge was included in Operating expenses (approximately $24 million) and Net premiums earned (approximately $19 million) in the Statement of Operations in 2002.

        During 2002, approximately 80 employees were terminated in accordance with our exit plan. All of the terminated employees worked for Caliber One, primarily in the underwriting area. Approximately 17 positions, primarily claims, remain after the terminations. Involuntary employee termination benefits of $1.9 million were paid during 2002. The remainder will be paid in 2003.

        Pre-tax operating results for 2002 also include net unfavorable prior year loss development of approximately $52 million. During 2002, company actuaries conducted reserve reviews to determine the impact of any emerging data on anticipated loss development trends and recorded unpaid losses and LAE reserves. Based on the actuarial work performed, which included analyzing recent trends in the levels of the reported and paid claims, an updated range of actuarially determined loss reserve estimates was developed by accident year for each major line of business written by this segment. Management’s selection of the ultimate losses resulting from their reviews indicated that net loss reserves for prior accident years, mainly 1999 and 2000, needed to be increased by approximately $52 million, net of $12 million of ceded losses. This unfavorable prior year development reflects the impact of higher than expected claim severity and, to a lesser extent, frequency, that emerged in 2002 on casualty lines of business, primarily professional liability policies for the nursing homes class of business; general liability, including policies covering contractors’ liability for construction defects; and commercial automobile, mainly for accident years 1999 and 2000.

        The Run-off Operations recorded a pre-tax operating loss of $26.2 million and $7.0 million for 2001 and 2000, respectively. The results for 2001 include net unfavorable prior year development of $22.2 million, which is net of losses of approximately $26 million ceded to third party reinsurers under existing reinsurance contracts. These losses primarily reflect higher than expected claim frequency and severity that emerged in 2001 on certain casualty lines of business, primarily professional liability policies for the nursing homes class of business and, to a lesser extent, property lines of business. As a result of its reserve reviews conducted in 2001, the Run-off Operations revised its estimate of ultimate expected claim activity and, accordingly, increased its estimate of ultimate losses, substantially all for accident years 1999 and 2000.

        Operating results for the Run-off Operations for 2000 reflect higher than expected losses and LAE in certain segments of the professional liability (nursing homes), commercial automobile, general liability and property lines of business for coverage of 1999 and 2000 exposures. The loss and LAE ratio for 2000 also reflects the ceding of a substantial amount of losses and LAE from the professional liability and commercial automobile lines of business to reinsurers. For additional information regarding loss reserves, seeLoss Reserves on page 34.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Loss Reserves and Reinsurance

Loss Reserves

Our consolidated unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2002 and 2001 were $1,184.3 million and $1,143.1 million, net of discount of $103.8 million and $113.7 million, respectively. Included in the consolidated unpaid losses and LAE are amounts related to our workers’ compensation claims of $368.7 million and $363.5 million, net of discount of $82.7 million and $91.0 million at December 31, 2002 and 2001, respectively. The discount rate used was approximately 5% at December 31, 2002 and 2001.

        Unpaid losses and LAE reflect management’s best estimate of future amounts needed to pay claims and related settlement costs with respect to insured events which have occurred, including events that have not been reported to us. In many cases, significant periods of time, ranging up to several years or more, may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to us and our payment of that loss. In general, liabilities for reinsurers become known more slowly than for primary insurers and are subject to more unforeseen development and uncertainty. As part of the process for determining our unpaid losses and LAE, actuarial models are used that analyze historical data and consider the impact of current developments and trends, such as trends in claims severity and frequency and claims settlement trends. Also considered are legal developments, regulatory trends, legislative developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions. Seethe discussion under Losses and Expenses beginning on page 29 andRun-off Operations beginning on page 32 for additional information regarding higher than expected losses and LAE during the past three years at PMA Re and the Run-off Operations.

        Management believes that its unpaid losses and LAE are fairly stated at December 31, 2002. However, estimating the ultimate claims liability is necessarily a complex and judgmental process inasmuch as the amounts are based on management’s informed estimates and judgments using data currently available. As additional experience and data become available regarding claims payment and reporting patterns, legal and legislative developments, judicial theories of liability, regulatory trends on benefit levels for both medical and indemnity payments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, the estimates are revised accordingly. If our ultimate losses, net of reinsurance, prove to differ substantially from the amounts recorded at December 31, 2002, the related adjustments could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.

        At December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, our gross reserves for asbestos-related losses were $42.1 million, $59.9 million and $49.2 million, respectively ($25.8 million, $28.6 million and $32.0 million, net of reinsurance, respectively). At December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, our gross reserves for environmental-related losses were $18.2 million, $29.6 million and $29.5 million, respectively ($14.3 million, $16.0 million and $18.0 million, net of reinsurance, respectively).

        Estimating reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures continues to be difficult because of several factors, including: (i) evolving methodologies for the estimation of the liabilities; (ii) lack of reliable historical claim data; (iii) uncertainties with respect to insurance and reinsurance coverage related to these obligations; (iv) changing judicial interpretations; and (v) changing government standards. Management believes that its reserves for asbestos and environmental claims are appropriately established based upon known facts, existing case law and generally accepted actuarial methodologies. However, due to changing interpretations by courts involving coverage issues, the potential for changes in federal and state standards for clean-up and liability, as well as issues involving policy provisions, allocation of liability and damages among participating insurers, and proof of coverage, our ultimate exposure for these claims may vary significantly from the amounts currently recorded, resulting in a potential future adjustment that could be material to our financial condition and results of operations.

        SeeCritical Accounting Estimates — Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses on page 45 for additional information. In addition, seethe Cautionary Statements on page 48 and Business – Risk Factors in our 2002 Form 10-K for a discussion of factors that may adversely impact our losses and LAE in the future.

34

P M A  C A P I T A L

Reinsurance

Under our reinsurance and retrocessional coverages in place during 2002, 2001 and 2000, we ceded earned premiums totaling $300.6 million, $243.4 million and $278.6 million, and we ceded earned losses and LAE of $223.2 million, $359.6 million and $308.8 million to reinsurers and retrocessionaires. The increase in ceded losses in 2001, compared to 2000, is primarily related to losses from the attack on the World Trade Center. SeeImpact on 2001 Results from the September 11th Terrorist Attack on the World Trade Center on page 26 for additional information.

        At December 31, 2002 and 2001, we had amounts receivable from our reinsurers and retrocessionaires totaling $1,295.1 million and $1,210.8 million, respectively. Approximately $37 million and $36 million, or 3% of these amounts are due to us on losses we have already paid at December 31, 2002 and 2001. The remainder of the reinsurance receivables relate to unpaid claims.

        At December 31, 2002, we had reinsurance receivables due from the following unaffiliated reinsurers in excess of 5% of our shareholders’ equity:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	Reinsurance Receivables		Collateral
The London Reinsurance Group and Affiliates(1)	$	421,415	$	351,471
St. Paul and Affiliates(2)		157,196		153,211
Underwriters Re		101,500		101,500
Houston Casualty		97,050		--
PXRE		53,520		37,681
PartnerRe		39,781		--
Folksamerica Re		36,157		--
Berkley Insurance Company		35,985		--

(1) Includes Trabaja Reinsurance Company ($369.7 million), London Life & General Reinsurance Company ($50.7 million) and LondonLife & Casualty Reinsurance Corporation ($1.0 million).

(2) Includes United States Fidelity & Guaranty Insurance Company ($106.4 million) and Mountain Ridge Insurance Company ($50.8 million).

We perform credit reviews of our reinsurers focusing on, among other things, financial capacity, stability, trends and commitment to the reinsurance business. Prospective and existing reinsurers failing to meet our standards are excluded from our reinsurance programs. In addition, we require collateral, typically assets in trust, letters of credit or funds withheld, to support balances due from certain reinsurers, consisting generally of those not authorized to transact business in the applicable jurisdictions. At December 31, 2002 and 2001, our reinsurance receivables were supported by $666.9 million and $626.9 million of collateral. Of the uncollateralized reinsurance receivables at December 31, 2002, approximately 91%, were due from reinsurers rated "A-" or better by A.M. Best and is broken down as follows: "A++" – 5%; "A+" – 37%; "A" – 35% and "A-" – 14%. We believe that the amounts receivable from reinsurers are fully collectible and that the valuation allowance is adequate to cover any disputes about amounts owed by reinsurers to us. In the last three years combined, we have written off approximately $4 million of reinsurance receivables, substantially all from the Run-off Operations in 2002. The timing and collectibility of reinsurance receivables have not had, and are not expected to have, a material adverse effect on our liquidity. SeeCritical Accounting Estimates – Reinsurance Receivables on page 46 andNote 5 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

        At December 31, 2002, our reinsurance and retrocessional protection for major lines of business that we write was as follows:

	Retention			Limits (1)
PMA Re
Per Occurrence:
Casualty lines	$	5.0 million		$	45.0 million
Property lines	$	10.0 million		$	40.0 million
Per Risk:
Property lines	$	1.0 million		$	4.0 million
Casualty lines	$	1.5 million		$	6.0 million
The PMA Insurance Group
Per Occurrence:
Workers' compensation	$	250,000	(2)	$	104.8 million
Per Risk:
Property lines(3)	$	500,000		$	19.5 million
Auto physical damage	$	500,000		$	2.5 million
Other casualty lines(4)(5)	$	500,000		$	4.5 million

(1) Represents the amount of loss protection above our level of loss retention.

(2) The PMA Insurance Group retains the first $3 million of losses.

(3) This coverage also provides protection of $41.5 million per occurrence over the combined net retention of $500,000.

(4) This coverage also provides protection of $59.5 million per occurrence over the combined net retention of $500,000.

(5) Effective January 1, 2003, the retention and limits were changed to $1.5 million and $3.5 million, respectively. The coverage also provides protection of $48.5 million over the combined net retention of $1.5 million.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

        In addition to the reinsurance and retrocessional protections shown in the table above, for 2002 we had excess of loss retrocessional protection that allows us to cede losses up to a limit of $150 million once our loss and LAE ratio exceeds a predetermined level. This policy includes protection for losses caused by terrorist activities. In January 2002, the Company supplemented its reinsurance and retrocessional programs with coverage for adverse loss development on certain lines of business written prior to 2002. The program provides coverage of up to $125 million in losses in return for $55 million, which the Company funded in 2002. Cessions of losses under these contracts may require the Company to cede additional premiums ranging from 40% to 50% of ceded losses depending on the level of such losses. For additional information regarding our reinsurance arrangements with Trabaja, see Business – Reinsurance and Retrocessional Protection in our 2002 Form 10-K.

        PMA Re and The PMA Insurance Group do not write a significant amount of natural catastrophe exposed business in their traditional underwriting units. Excluding PMA Re’s Finite Risk and Financial Products writings, less than 1% of gross written premiums is for property catastrophe coverage. The Finite Risk and Financial Products unit wrote $35 million in premiums for property catastrophe coverage in 2002. However, these contracts generally provide for additional premiums payable to PMARe to mitigate the severity of the catastrophe loss to PMA Re. We actively manage our exposure to catastrophes through our underwriting process, where we generally monitor the accumulation of insurable values in catastrophe-prone regions. Also, in writing property reinsurance coverages, PMA Re typically requires per occurrence loss limitations for contracts that could have catastrophe exposure. Through per risk reinsurance, we manage our net retention in each exposure. PMA Re’s property per occurrence reinsurance provides catastrophe protection of $40.0 million in excess of $10.0 million on its traditional property book and $12.5 million in excess of $5.0 million for property exposures underwritten by its Finite Risk and Financial Products unit. PMA Re can also recover an additional $20.0 million of Traditional and/or Finite Risk and Financial Products occurrence losses under certain industry loss scenarios. Certain of these contracts require that we cede additional premiums of up to 20% of ceded losses depending on the level of such losses. The PMA Insurance Group maintains catastrophe reinsurance protection of 95% of $18.0 million excess of $2.0 million.

        In 2002 and 2000, our loss and LAE ratios were not significantly impacted by catastrophes. In 2001, our loss and LAE ratios were impacted by the attack on the World Trade Center as discussed onpage 26. Although we believe that we have adequate reinsurance to protect against the estimated probable maximum gross loss from a catastrophe, an especially severe catastrophe or series of catastrophes could exceed our reinsurance and/or retrocessional protection and may have a material adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.

        SeeNote 5 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional discussion.

Terrorism

On November 26, 2002, President Bush signed into law the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 ("TRIA"). TRIA provides federal reinsurance protection for property and casualty losses in the United States or to United States aircraft or vessels arising from certified terrorist acts through the end of 2005. For terrorist acts to be covered under TRIA, they must be certified as such by the Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of State and Attorney General and must be committed by individuals acting on behalf of a foreign person or interest. TRIA contains a "make available" provision, which requires insurers subject to the Act, to offer coverage for acts of terrorism that does not differ materially from the terms (other than price), amounts and other coverage limitations offered to the policyholder for losses from events other than acts of terrorism. The "make available" provision permits exclusions for certain types of losses, if a state permits exclusions for such losses. TRIA requires insurers to retain losses based on a percentage of their commercial lines direct earned premiums for the prior year equal to a 7% deductible for 2003, 10% for 2004 and 15% for 2005. The federal government covers 90% of the losses above the deductible, while a company retains 10% of the losses. TRIA contains an annual limit of $100 billion of covered industry-wide losses. TRIA applies to commercial lines of property and casualty insurance, including workers’ compensation insurance, offered by The PMA Insurance Group, but does not apply to reinsurance. The PMA Insurance Group would have a deductible of approximately $35 million in 2003.

        Because TRIA does not apply to assumed reinsurance business, PMA Re is currently attempting to exclude coverage of losses due to terrorist activity in our assumed reinsurance contracts where underwriters determine that there is a significant risk of loss from terrorist activities. However, because PMA Re’s clients may not accept a full terrorism exclusion in connection with business that it may still desire to

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write without an exclusion, some or many of our reinsurance contracts may not include a terrorism exclusion or only include a limited exclusion. PMA Re has refined its underwriting procedures to take into account terrorism risk.

        For the commercial insurance business other than workers’ compensation offered by The PMA Insurance Group, in general, TRIA voided all existing terrorism exclusions. Workers’ compensation insurers were not permitted to exclude terrorism from coverage prior to the enactment of TRIA, and continue to be subject to this prohibition. When underwriting existing and new commercial insurance business, The PMA Insurance Group considers the added potential risk of loss due to terrorist activity, and this may lead it to decline to write or non-renew certain business. Appropriate rates may be charged for terrorism coverage, and as of February 28, 2003, The PMA Insurance Group had adopted premium charges for workers’ compensation insurance in all states except California, Massachusetts and Texas, where filings were still pending. The PMA Insurance Group has refined its underwriting procedures to take into account terrorism risks.

        Although, as discussed above, we have refined our underwriting processes to account for terrorism risks and TRIA may mitigate the potential impact of terrorism losses on our results, because of TRIA’s uncertain application, the amount of terrorism losses that The PMA Insurance Group must retain under TRIA and the fact that TRIA does not apply to, and we do not have terrorism exclusions in all of our reinsurance business, future terrorist attacks may result in losses that could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity. For additional information regarding the underwriting criteria of our operating segments, see Business – PMARe, Underwriting and The PMA Insurance Group, Underwriting in our 2002 Form 10-K.

Corporate and Other

The Corporate and Other segment includes unallocated investment income and expenses, including debt service, as well as the results of certain of our real estate properties. This segment had pre-tax operating losses of $14.3 million, $6.3 million and $19.1 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. During 2001, we sold certain real estate properties for net proceeds totaling $14.4 million, resulting in a pre-tax gain of $9.8 million, which is recorded in other revenues. Absent the gain on sale of real estate in 2001, pre-tax operating results for Corporate and Other improved in 2002 and 2001, compared to the immediately preceding year, primarily due to declines in interest expense of $3.3 million and $5.3 million during 2002 and 2001, respectively. The lower interest expense reflects a lower average amount of debt outstanding and lower interest rates throughout the years.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure sufficient cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs. At the holding company level, our primary sources of liquidity are dividends from subsidiaries, net tax payments received from subsidiaries and capital raising activities (both debt and equity). We utilize cash to pay debt obligations, including interest costs; dividends to shareholders; taxes to the federal government; and corporate obligations. In addition, we utilize cash resources to capitalize subsidiaries and to repurchase shares of our common stock from time to time.

        Our domestic insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends to us is limited by the insurance laws and regulations of Pennsylvania. All of our domestic insurance entities are owned by PMA Capital Insurance Company ("PMACIC"). As a result, dividends from The PMA Insurance Group’s Pooled Companies may not be paid directly to PMA Capital Corporation. Instead, only PMACIC, a Pennsylvania domiciled company, may pay dividends directly to PMA Capital Corporation. Approximately $58 million of dividends are available to be paid by PMACIC to PMA Capital Corporation in 2003 without the prior approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. As of December 31, 2002, The PMA Insurance Group’s Pooled Companies can pay up to $24.6 million in dividends to PMACIC during 2003. Dividends received in the past three years from subsidiaries were $28.0 million, $29.6 million and $36.0 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively, and represent approximately 50% of the maximum dividend capacity in each year.

        Net tax payments received from subsidiaries were $12.0 million, $2.4 million and $6.4 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively.

        In 2002 and 2001, we raised $244 million of capital through two public capital markets transactions. In October 2002, we issued $86.25 million of 4.25% convertible senior debentures ("Convertible Debt") due September 30, 2022 from which we received net proceeds of approximately $83.7 million. We used the proceeds from this offering primarily to increase the capital and surplus of our reinsurance and insurance subsidiaries. SeeNote 6 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. In December 2001, we issued 9,775,000 shares of Class A Common stock, for net proceeds of approximately $158 million. We used the net proceeds from this issuance to contribute additional capital to our reinsurance subsidiary and to repay $62.5 million of our outstanding debt maturing at year-end 2001 under our bank credit facility.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

        At December 31, 2002, we had $65 million of outstanding debt representing borrowings under our new credit facility ("Credit Facility"), which was executed in September 2002 and replaced our existing bank facility that was scheduled to mature at December 31, 2002. The proceeds from the Credit Facility were used to repay the existing bank facility, which had $62.5 million outstanding. The Credit Facility will mature in September 2003, or we may convert the outstanding principal amount into a term loan maturing June 30, 2004, if we meet certain financial performance targets. At December 31, 2002, the interest rate on the utilized portion of the Credit Facility was 3.6%, which equals the London InterBank Offered Rate ("LIBOR") plus 1.8%. The Credit Facility carries a facility fee on any unutilized portion of 0.375% per annum. Effective March 2003, we amended the Credit Facility to reduce it to $45 million in borrowing capacity and repaid $20 million. In addition, the March 2003 amendment increased the interest rate to LIBOR plus 2.125%. SeeNote 6 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

        During 2002, 2001 and 2000, we incurred $3.3 million, $6.5 million and $11.9 million of interest expense, and $2.1 million, $7.1 million and $11.8 million was paid in each respective year.

        We maintain a committed facility of $50.0 million for letters of credit (the "Letter of Credit Facility"), which we utilize primarily for collateralizing reinsurance obligations of our insurance subsidiaries. As of December 31, 2002, we had $15.7 million outstanding in letters of credit under the Letter of Credit Facility.

        During 2002, 2001 and 2000, we paid dividends to shareholders of $12.1 million, $9.0 million and $8.0 million, respectively. The increase in dividends paid in 2002 is due to the additional shares outstanding resulting from our December 2001 issuance of 9,775,000 shares of Class A Common stock. Our dividends to shareholders are restricted by certain of our debt agreements. Under the most restrictive debt covenant, PMA Capital would be able to pay dividends of approximately $25 million in 2003.

        We repurchased 90,000 shares, 299,000 shares and 989,000 shares of our Class A Common stock at a cost of $1.7 million, $5.3 million and $18.4 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. Since the inception of our share repurchase program, we have repurchased a total of approximately 3.9 million shares at a cost of $74.6 million. Our remaining share repurchase authorization at December 31, 2002 is $15.4 million. Decisions regarding share repurchases are subject to prevailing market conditions and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital.

        In 2002 and 2001, we increased the capital and surplus of our insurance subsidiaries through providing funds totaling $73.5 million and $58.0 million, respectively.

        In 2002 and 2001, we contributed $16.5 million and $9.0 million, respectively, to our qualified pension plan in order to ensure that the plan assets were at least equal to our accumulated benefit obligation at the end of each year. If plan assets were not at least equal to our accumulated benefit obligation at the end of any particular year, then the company would recognize a reduction in Shareholders’ equity. In 2002, the Company was not required to make any contribution to the pension plan under the minimum funding requirements of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act ("ERISA") of 1974. We made the contributions in 2002 and 2001 due to a significant decline in the market value of our plan assets, stemming from the broad market declines in the bond and equity markets over the past three years. Our plan assets are composed of 65% fixed maturities and 35% equities at December 31, 2002, and 45% fixed maturities and 55% equities at December 31, 2001. We currently estimate that the pension plan’s assets will generate a 9% long-term rate of return, which we believe is a reasonable long-term rate of return, in part, because of the historical performance of the broad financial markets. For example, for the 20-year period from 1982 to 2002, the S&P 500 Index and the Lehman Bond Aggregate Index have returned 14.0% and 9.8% on average. We believe that this is a reasonable period of time over which to evaluate market returns as it approximates the current duration of the pension plan’s liabilities. Pension plan funding is currently expected to be insignificant in 2003 assuming plan assets achieve the expected long-term rate of return of 9% in 2003. If plan assets were to decline by 10% in 2003, then we would need to contribute approximately $6.4 million to our pension plan assets by year-end 2003 to ensure that the plan assets remain at least equal to the accumulated

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benefit obligation. However, no contribution is expected to be required under ERISA in 2003. Pension expense in 2002, 2001 and 2000 was $3.0 million, $1.9 million and $686,000, respectively. We currently expect that 2003 pension costs will increase by $1.0 million, or 33%, over 2002 costs due to the continued amortization of unrecognized actuarial losses primarily from lower than expected returns on plan assets over the previous three years.

        In addition to the $45 million of debt scheduled to mature in September 2003, we have contractual obligations to pay $7.7 million in operating lease payments, net of sublease rentals of $242,000 in 2003. Our future commitments for operating lease payments are $5.2 million in 2004, $4.2 million in 2005 and $21.8 million thereafter, net of sublease rentals of $1.5 million in 2004, $1.5 million in 2005 and $14.1 million thereafter. Other than these future commitments, we have $86.25 million of convertible debt due to mature in 2022.

        We have provided guarantees of $7.0 million related to loans on properties in which we have an interest. We have also provided guarantees of $2.2 million related to an executive loan program for officers of the Company with a financial institution. The program expires on December 31, 2003.

        Under the terms of the sale of one of our insurance subsidiaries in 1998, we have agreed to indemnify the buyer, up to a maximum of $15 million if the actual claim payments in the aggregate exceed the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves of the former subsidiary were established. If the actual claim payments in the aggregate are less than the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves have been established, we will participate in such favorable loss reserve development.

        We believe that our available sources of funds will provide sufficient liquidity to meet our short-term and long-term obligations. However, because we depend primarily upon dividends from our operating subsidiaries to meet our short-term and long-term obligations, any event that has a material adverse effect on the results of operations of our insurance subsidiaries could affect our liquidity and ability to meet our contractual obligations and operating needs. In addition, our ability to

refinance our existing debt obligations or raise additional capital is dependent upon several factors, including conditions with respect to both the equity and debt markets and the ratings of any securities that we may issue as established by the principal rating agencies. Our ability to refinance our outstanding debt obligations, as well as the cost of such borrowings, could be adversely affected by any future ratings downgrade. See Business–Risk Factors in our 2002 Form 10-K for additional discussion.

        We currently believe that the existing capital structure is adequate for our current and near term needs, but we believe that additional capital and longer-term capital would provide better support for our growth objectives. Given our debt-to-total capital ratio of 20%, we believe that we have the financial flexibility to provide the necessary capital and support to our insurance businesses so that they are in position to participate in what we believe will be a favorable property and casualty insurance market in 2003. We continually monitor the capital structure in light of developments in our businesses, and our present assessment could change as we become aware of new opportunities and challenges in our businesses.

Investments

Our investment objectives are to (i) seek competitive after-tax income and total return as appropriate, (ii) maintain medium to high investment grade asset quality and high marketability, (iii) maintain maturity distribution commensurate with our business objectives, (iv) provide portfolio flexibility for changing business and investment climates and (v) provide liquidity to meet operating objectives. Our investment strategy includes guidelines for asset quality standards, asset allocations among investment types and issuers, and other relevant criteria for our portfolio. In addition, invested asset cash flows, both current income and investment maturities, are structured after considering projected liability cash flows of loss reserve payouts using actuarial models. Property and casualty claim demands are somewhat unpredictable in nature and require liquidity from the underlying invested assets, which are structured to emphasize current investment income to the extent consistent with maintaining appropriate portfolio quality and diversity. The liquidity requirements are met primarily through publicly traded fixed maturities as well as operating cash flows and short-term investments.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Our investments at December 31 were as follows:

	2002				2001
(dollar amounts in millions)	Fair Value		Percent		Fair Value		Percent
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies	$	329.4		18%	$	266.0		15%
States, political subdivisions and foreign government securities		11.1		1%		17.1		1%
Corporate debt securities		632.9		35%		599.0		34%
Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities		556.5		30%		543.2		30%
Total fixed maturities available for sale		1,529.9		84%		1,425.3		80%
Short-term investments		298.7		16%		350.0		20%
Total	$	1,828.6		100%	$	1,775.3		100%

Our investment portfolio includes only fixed maturities, short-term investments and cash. The portfolio is diversified and does not contain any significant concentrations in single issuers other than U.S. Treasury and agency obligations. Our largest exposure to a single corporate issuer is $25 million, or 1% of total invested assets. In addition, we do not have a significant concentration of our investments in any single industry segment other than finance companies, which comprise 15% of invested assets at December 31, 2002. Included in this industry segment are financial institutions, including the financing subsidiaries of automotive manufacturers. Substantially all of our investments are dollar denominated as of December 31, 2002.

        Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities in the table above include collateralized mortgage obligations ("CMOs") of $181.2 million and $125.6 million carried at fair value as of December 31, 2002 and 2001. CMO holdings are concentrated in securities with limited prepayment, extension and default risk, such as planned amortization class bonds.

        As of December 31, 2002, the duration of our investments that support the insurance reserves was 2.6 years and the duration of our insurance reserves was 3.4 years. The difference in the duration of our investments and our insurance reserves reflects our decision to maintain a shorter asset duration due to our current expectation that interest rates will rise throughout 2003.

        We determine the market value of each fixed income security using prices obtained in the public markets. There is only one security, which was carried at its fair value of $14.6 million at December 31, 2002, whose fair value is not reliably determined from these public market sources. For this security, we utilized the services of our outside professional investment asset manager to determine the fair value. The asset manager determines the fair value of the security by using a discounted present value of the estimated future cash flows (interest and principal repayment).

        The net unrealized gain on our investment assets at December 31, 2002 was $52.0 million, or 2.9% of the amortized cost basis. The net unrealized gain included gross unrealized gains of $64.5 million and gross unrealized losses of $12.5 million.

        At December 31, our fixed maturities had an overall average credit quality of AA, broken down as follows:

	2002				2001
(dollar amounts in millions)	Fair Value		Percent		Fair Value		Percent
U.S. Treasury securities and AAA	$	874.6		58%	$	793.2		56%
AA		64.2		4%		87.8		6%
A		325.9		21%		263.8		19%
BBB		250.9		16%		257.8		18%
Below investment grade		14.3		1%		22.7		1%
Total	$	1,529.9		100%	$	1,425.3		100%

Ratings as assigned by Standard and Poor’s. Such ratings are generally assigned at the time of the issuance of the securities, subject to revision on the basis of ongoing evaluations.

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Our investment income and net effective yield were as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001		2000
Average invested assets(1)	$	1,716.1	$	1,648.2	$	1,742.8
Investment income(2)	$	87.4	$	98.6	$	112.7
Net effective yield(3)		5.09%		5.98%		6.47%

(1) Average invested assets throughout the year, at amortized cost, excluding amounts related to securities lending activities.

(2) Gross investment income less investment expenses and before interest credited on funds held treaties of $2.9 million, $12.0 million and $10.6 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. Excludes net realized investment gains and losses and amounts related to securities lending activities.

(3) Investment income for the period divided by average invested assets for the same period.

We review the securities in our fixed income portfolio on a periodic basis to specifically review individual securities for any meaningful decline in market value below amortized cost. Our analysis addresses all securities whose fair value is significantly below amortized cost at the time of the analysis, with additional emphasis placed on securities whose fair value has been below amortized cost for an extended period of time. As part of our periodic review process, we utilize the expertise of our outside professional asset managers who provide us with an updated assessment of each issuer’s current credit situation based on recent issuer activities, such as quarterly earnings announcements or other pertinent financial news for the company, recent developments in a particular industry, economic outlook for a particular industry and rating agency actions.

        In addition to company-specific financial information and general economic data, we also consider the ability and intent of our insurance operations to hold a particular security to maturity or until the market value of the bond recovers to a level in excess of the carrying value. Our ability and intent to hold securities to such time is evidenced by our strategy and process to match the cash flow characteristics of the invested asset portfolio, both interest income and principal repayment, to the actuarially determined estimated liability pay-out patterns of each insurance company’s claims liabilities. As a result of this periodic review process, we have determined that currently there is no need to sell any of the fixed maturity investments prior to their scheduled or expected maturity to fund anticipated claim payments.

        As of December 31, 2002, our investment asset portfolio had gross unrealized losses of $12.5 million. For securities that were in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2002, the length of time that such securities have been in an unrealized loss position, as measured by their month-end market values, is as follows:

(dollar amounts in millions)	Number of Securities		Fair Value		Amortized Cost		Unrealized Loss		Percentage Fair Value to Amortized Cost
Less than 6 months		39	$	85.8	$	89.6	$	3.8		96	%
6 to 9 months		9		22.1		22.6		0.5		98	%
9 to 12 months		3		4.0		4.2		0.2		95	%
More than 12 months		19		46.9		54.9		8.0		85	%
Subtotal		70		158.8		171.3		12.5		93	%
U.S. Treasury and
Agency securities		5		0.6		0.6		--		100	%
Total		75	$	159.4	$	171.9	$	12.5		93	%

        Of the 19 securities that have been in an unrealized loss position for more than 12 months, 18 securities have an unrealized loss of less than $1 million and/or less than 20% of their amortized cost. These 18 securities have an average unrealized loss per security of approximately $140,000. In addition, 12 of these securities have fair values at December 31, 2002 that are 90% or more of the amortized cost basis. There is only one security out of the 19 with an unrealized loss in excess of $1 million at December 31, 2002, and it has a market value of $14.6 million and a cost of $20.0 million. The security is a structured security backed by a U.S. Treasury Strip, and is rated AAA. This security matures in 2011 at a value of $20 million, and we have both the ability and intent to hold this security until it matures.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

        The contractual maturity of securities in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2002 was as follows:

(dollar amounts in millions)	Fair Value		Amortized Cost		Unrealized Loss		Percentage Fair Value to Amortized Cost
2003	$	3.9	$	3.9	$	--		100	%
2004 - 2007		42.5		42.9		0.4		99	%
2008 - 2012		31.0		32.3		1.3		96	%
2013 and later		32.0		33.9		1.9		94	%
Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities		49.4		58.3		8.9		85	%
Subtotal		158.8		171.3		12.5		93	%
U.S. Treasury and Agency securities		0.6		0.6		--		100	%
Total	$	159.4	$	171.9	$	12.5		93	%

For all securities that are in an unrealized loss position for an extended period of time, we perform an evaluation of the specific events attributable to the market decline of the security. We consider the length of time and extent to which the security’s market value has been below cost as well as the general market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if the decline is due to changes in interest rates, changes relating to a decline in credit quality of the issuer, or general market conditions. We also consider as part of the evaluation our intent and ability to hold the security until its market value has recovered to a level at least equal to the amortized cost. Where we determine that a security’s unrealized loss is other than temporary, a realized loss is recognized in the period in which the decline in value is determined to be other than temporary.

        At December 31, 2002, all of our fixed income investments were publicly traded and all were rated by at least one nationally recognized credit rating agency. In addition, at December 31, 2002, $14.3 million, or 0.8%, of our total investments were below investment grade, of which $5.1 million of these below investment grade investments were in an unrealized loss position, which totaled $500,000.

        During 2002, we determined there were other than temporary declines in market value of securities issued by 11 companies, resulting in impairment charges of $23.8 million pre-tax, including $14.2 million for WorldCom. The write-downs were measured based on public market prices and our expectation of the future realizable value for the security at the time we determined the decline in value was other than temporary. In 2001, we recognized an impairment loss of $1.6 million pre-tax resulting from one issuer filing for bankruptcy. We did not recognize any impairment losses during 2000. SeeCritical Accounting Estimates — Investments on page 46 for additional information.

Net Realized Investment Gains and Losses

We recorded pre-tax net realized investment losses of $16.1 million in 2002, compared to pre-tax net realized investment gains of $8.0 million and $12.0 million in 2001 and 2000, respectively. During 2002, there were gross realized gains and losses of $18.7 million and $34.8 million, respectively. Included in the gross losses of $34.8 million were $23.8 million of impairment losses on fixed income securities, primarily corporate bonds issued by telecommunications and energy companies. Realized losses also include $7.3 million of realized losses on sales of securities where we reduced and/or eliminated our positions in certain issuers due to credit concerns. To a lesser extent, realized losses also include sales reducing our per issuer exposure and general duration management trades.

        Net realized investment gains for 2001 reflect the sale of securities because of our decision to shift the mix of our invested asset portfolio from U.S. Treasury and agency securities to corporate bonds and structured securities as a means to enhance our portfolio’s yield. As a result of investment sales pursuant to this strategy and the declining interest rates in 2001, we recorded net realized investment gains in 2001. During 2000, realized investment gains primarily reflect the sale of equity securities, which had reached our targeted price level.

        See Business — Investments, in our 2002 Form 10-K, andNotes 2Band 3 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional discussion about our investment portfolio.

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Market Risk of Financial Instruments

A significant portion of our assets and liabilities are financial instruments that are subject to the market risk of potential losses from adverse changes in market rates and prices. Our primary market risk exposures relate to interest rate risk on fixed rate domestic medium-term instruments and, to a lesser extent, domestic short- and long-term instruments. To manage our exposure to market risk, we have established strategies, asset quality standards, asset allocations and other relevant criteria for our investment portfolio. In addition, invested asset cash flows are structured after considering projected liability cash flows with actuarial models. All of our financial instruments are held for purposes other than trading. As stated above, our portfolio does not contain a significant concentration in single issuers other than U.S. Treasury and agency obligations. In addition, we do not have a significant concentration of our investments in any single industry segment other than finance companies, which comprise approximately 15% of invested assets at December 31, 2002. Included in this industry segment are financial institutions, including the financing subsidiaries of automotive manufacturers. SeeNotes 2B,3,6and 11 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about financial instruments.

        Caution should be used in evaluating our overall market risk from the information below, since actual results could differ materially because the information was developed using estimates and assumptions as described below, and because insurance liabilities and reinsurance receivables are excluded in the hypothetical effects (insurance liabilities represent 70% of our total liabilities and reinsurance receivables represent 32% of our total assets).

        The hypothetical effects of changes in market rates or prices on the fair values of financial instruments as of December 31, 2002, excluding insurance liabilities and reinsurance receivables on unpaid losses because such insurance related assets and liabilities are not carried at fair value, would have been as follows:

• If interest rates had increased by 100 basis points, there would have been no significant change in the fair value of our debt. The change in fair values was determined by estimating the present value of future cash flows using models that measure the change in net present values arising from selected hypothetical changes in market interest rates.

• If interest rates had increased by 100 basis points, there would have been a net decrease of approximately $64 million in the fair value of our investment portfolio. The change in fair values was determined by estimating the present value of future cash flows using various models, primarily duration modeling.

Other Matters

Environmental Factors

Our businesses are subject to a changing social, economic, legal, legislative and regulatory environment that could affect them. Some of the changes include initiatives to restrict insurance pricing and the application of underwriting standards and reinterpretations of insurance contracts long after the policies were written in an effort to provide coverage unanticipated by us. The eventual effect on us of the changing environment in which we operate remains uncertain.

Comparison of SAP and GAAP Results

Results presented in accordance with GAAP vary in certain respects from results presented in accordance with statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, (collectively "SAP"). Prescribed SAP includes state laws, regulations and general administrative rules, as well as a variety of National Association of Insurance Commissioners publications. Permitted SAP encompasses all accounting practices that are not prescribed. Our domestic insurance subsidiaries use SAP to prepare various financial reports for use by insurance regulators. See Note 17 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

In January, 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation — Transition and Disclosure." SFAS No. 148 amends SFAS No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation," to provide alternative methods of transition for a voluntary change to the fair value based method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation. In addition, SFAS No. 148 amends the disclosure requirements of SFAS No. 123 to require prominent disclosures in financial statements about the method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation and the effect of the method used on reported results. We account for stock-based employee compensation using the intrinsic value method prescribed in Accounting Principles Board ("APB") Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Accordingly, we have applied the disclosure provisions of SFAS No. 148 to our Consolidated Financial Statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2002. See Note 2K to our Condolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

        In May 2002, we announced our decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace previously served by our Caliber One operating segment. We accounted for the discontinuation of this business under the provisions of SFAS No. 144, "Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets," which are effective January 1, 2002. SFAS No. 144 supersedes SFAS No. 121 "Accounting for the Impairment of Long-Lived Assets and for Long-Lived Assets to Be Disposed Of," and the accounting and reporting provisions of APB Opinion No. 30, "Reporting the Results of Operations-Reporting the Effects of Disposal of a Segment of a Business, and Extraordinary, Unusual and Infrequently Occurring Events and Transactions," and establishes a single accounting model for the disposal of long-lived assets and asset groups.

        In January 2003, we sold the capital stock of Caliber One Indemnity Company. Pursuant to the agreement of sale, we have retained all assets and liabilities related to in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations and will runoff such in-force policies and claim obligations. Accordingly, under SFAS No. 144, the results of operations of this segment are reported in results from continuing operations, and will continue to be reported as such until all in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations are satisfied, at which point we will report the results of the Run-off segment as discontinued operations. The long-lived assets of this segment were tested for impairment in the second quarter of 2002 in accordance with the provisions of SFAS No. 144. SeeNote 14 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

        In July 2002, the FASB issued SFAS No. 146, "Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities." SFAS No. 146 requires companies to recognize costs associated with exit or disposal activities when they are incurred rather than at the date of a commitment to an exit or disposal plan. SFAS No. 146 is to be applied prospectively to exit or disposal activities initiated after December 31, 2002. Accordingly, this standard does not apply to our exit from the excess and surplus lines business, which we announced in May 2002.

        In January 2003, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 46, "Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities" ("FIN 46"), which requires a company to assess if consolidation of an entity is appropriate based upon its variable economic interests in a variable interest entity ("VIE"). The initial determination of whether an entity is a VIE is required to be made on the date at which a company becomes involved with the entity. A VIE is an entity in which the equity investors do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial interest or do not have sufficient equity at risk for the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from other parties. A company shall consolidate a VIE if the company has a variable interest that will absorb a majority of the VIE’s expected losses if they occur, receive a majority of the entity’s expected residual returns if they occur or both.

        FIN 46 is effective for new VIEs established subsequent to January 31, 2003, and for existing VIEs as of July 1, 2003. FIN 46 also requires the disclosure of certain information related to VIEs in which an entity holds a significant variable interest. We are currently assessing the impact that implementing FIN 46 may have on our consolidated financial statements. In this regard, we will be evaluating whether Trabaja Reinsurance Company ("Trabaja") is a variable interest entity as defined in FIN 46 and, if so, whether our business activities with Trabaja would warrant consolidation and/or additional disclosure in our future financial statements. We expect that any impact from implementing FIN 46 would be a non-cash adjustment recorded in our consolidated financial statements as a cumulative effect adjustment no later than the third quarter of 2003. Any such cumulative effect adjustment may be material to our consolidated financial condition and results of operations. However, there will be no effect on the statutory capital of our insurance subsidiaries. SeeNote 5 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information relating to our business activities with Trabaja.

        In November 2002, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 45, "Guarantor’s Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others" ("FIN 45"). FIN 45 requires certain guarantees to be recorded at fair value and also requires a guarantor to make certain disclosures, even when the likelihood of making payments under the guarantee is remote. Generally, FIN 45 applies to contracts or indemnification agreements that contingently require the guarantor to make payments to the guaranteed party. The recognition provisions of FIN 45 are effective on a prospective basis for guarantees issued or modified after December 31, 2002. The disclosure requirements are effective for financial statements of interim and annual periods ending after December 15, 2002. We are currently assessing the impact of adopting FIN 45, and we currently do not expect that it will have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.

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        Effective January 1, 2002, we adopted SFAS No. 142, "Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets." In accordance with SFAS No. 142, we no longer amortize goodwill, but instead test it periodically for impairment. As of December 31, 2002, we had approximately $3.0 million of goodwill, which is included in Other assets on the balance sheet. Amortization of goodwill was $960,000, or $0.04 per basic and diluted share, for 2001, and $220,000, or $0.01 per basic and diluted share, for 2000. In 2002, we recognized an impairment charge of $1.3 million associated with goodwill at the Run-off Operations, which is included in Operating expenses.

Critical Accounting Estimates

Our Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP. Some of the accounting policies permitted by GAAP require us to make estimates of the amounts of assets and liabilities to be reported in our Consolidated Financial Statements. We have provided a summary of all of oursignificant accounting policies in Note 2 to our Consolidated Financial Statements. We recommend that you read all of these policies.

        The following discussion is intended to provide you with an understanding of our critical accounting estimates, which are those accounting estimates that we believe are

most important to the portrayal of our financial condition and results of operations, and that require our most difficult, subjective and complex judgments.

Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

At December 31, 2002, we estimated that under all insurance policies and reinsurance contracts issued by our insurance businesses the ultimate amount that we would have to pay for all events that occurred as of December 31, 2002 is $2,449.9 million. This amount includes estimated losses from claims plus estimated expenses to settle claims. Our estimate also includes amounts for losses occurring prior to December 31, 2002 whether or not these claims have been reported to us.

        In arriving at the estimate of unpaid claims, our actuaries performed detailed studies of historical data for incurred claims, reported claims and paid claims for each major line of business and by accident year. The review of this data results in patterns and trends that are analyzed using actuarial models that assume that historical development patterns will be predictive of future patterns. Along with this historical data, our actuaries consider the impact of legal and legislative developments, regulatory trends, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions. From this assessment, we develop various sets of assumptions that we believe are reasonable, valid and can be relied upon to help us predict future claim trends. These assumptions are then applied to various actuarially accepted methods and techniques, which provide us with a range of possible outcomes of the ultimate claims to be paid by us in the future. Management uses its judgment to select the best estimate of the amounts needed to pay all future claims and related expenses from this range of possible outcomes. Under GAAP, we record a liability on our balance sheet equal to our best estimate of the ultimate claims liability.

        It is important to realize and understand that the process of estimating our ultimate claims liability is necessarily a complex and judgmental process inasmuch as the amounts are based on management’s informed estimates and judgments using data currently available to us. As additional experience and data become available regarding claim payment and reporting patterns, legal and legislative developments, judicial theories of liability, regulatory trends on benefit levels for both medical and indemnity payments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions, we revise our estimates accordingly. We believe that our liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is fairly stated at December 31, 2002. However, if our future estimate of ultimate unpaid losses is larger than the recorded amounts, we would have to increase our reserves. Any increase in reserves would result in a charge to earnings in the period recorded. Accordingly, any reserve adjustment could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.

        As outlined above, our loss and LAE reserves at December 31, 2002 have been established using generally accepted actuarial techniques and are based on numerous critical assumptions and informed judgments about reported and paid claim trends and their implication on our estimate of the ultimate loss for reported and incurred but unreported claims at the balance sheet date. We have established a loss and LAE reserve for unpaid claims at December 31, 2002 that we believe is a reasonable and adequate provision based on the information available to us. If we revised our assessment of loss reporting and claims payment patterns because of changes in those patterns, such that it resulted in a 1% change in our net loss and LAE reserves, then our pre-tax operating income would change by approximately $12 million.

        For additional information about our liability for unpaid losses and LAE, seeNotes 2Dand 4 to our Consolidated Financial Statements as well as the discussion on page 34 of this Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

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Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Investments

All investments in our portfolio are carried at market value. For 99% of our investments, we determine the market value using prices obtained in the public markets, both primary and secondary markets. These market prices reflect publicly reported values of recent purchase and sale transactions for each specific, individual security. Therefore, we believe that the reported fair values for our investments at December 31, 2002 reflect the value that we could realize if we sold these investments in the open market at that time.

        As part of determining the market value for each specific investment that we hold, we evaluate each issuer’s ability to fully meet their obligation to pay all amounts, both interest and principal, due in the future. Because we have invested in fixed income obligations with an average credit quality of AA, and all of our investments are currently meeting their obligations with respect to scheduled interest income and principal payments, we believe that we will fully realize the value of our investments. However, future general economic conditions and/or specific company performance issues may cause a particular issuer, or group of issuers in the same industry segment, to become unable to meet their obligation to pay principal and interest as it comes due. If such events were to occur, then we would evaluate our ability to fully recover the recorded value of our investment. Ultimately, we may have to write down an investment to its then determined net realizable value and reflect that write-down in earnings in the period such determination is made.

        Based on our evaluation of securities with an unrealized loss at December 31, 2002, we do not believe that any additional other-than-temporary impairment losses other than those already reflected in the financial statements are necessary at the balance sheet date. However, if we were to have determined that all securities that were in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2002 should have been written down to their fair value, we would have recorded an additional other-than-temporary impairment loss of $12.5 million pre-tax.

        For additional information about our investments, seeNotes 2B,3and 11 as well as thediscussion on pages 39 to 43 of this Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

Reinsurance Receivables

We follow the customary insurance industry practice of reinsuring with other insurance and reinsurance companies a portion of the risks under the policies written by our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. Our reinsurance receivables total $1,295.1 million at December 31, 2002. We have also estimated that $5.5 million of reinsurance receivables will be uncollectible, and we have provided a valuation allowance for that amount.

        Although the contractual obligation of individual reinsurers to pay their reinsurance obligations is determinable from specific contract provisions, the collectibility of such amounts requires significant estimation by management. Many years may pass between the occurrence of a claim, when it is reported to us and when we ultimately settle and pay the claim. As a result, it can be several years before a reinsurer has to actually remit amounts to us. Over this period of time, economic conditions and operational performance of a particular reinsurer may impact their ability to meet these obligations and while they may still acknowledge their contractual obligation to do so, they may not have the financial resources to fully meet their obligation to us. If this occurs, we may have to write down a reinsurance receivable to its then determined net realizable value and reflect that write-down in earnings in the period such determination is made. We attempt to limit any such exposure to uncollectible reinsurance receivables by performing credit reviews of our reinsurers. In addition, we require collateral, such as assets held in trust or letters of credit, for certain reinsurance receivables. However, if our future estimate of uncollectible receivables exceeds our current expectations, we may need to increase our allowance for uncollectible reinsurance receivables. The increase in this allowance would result in a charge to earnings in the period recorded. Accordingly, any related charge could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.

        Based on our evaluation of reinsurance recoverables at December 31, 2002, we have established an allowance for amounts that we have concluded are uncollectible at the balance sheet date. In reaching our conclusion, we relied on historical performance as well as any known disputes or collection issues as of the balance sheet date and applied our informed judgment in ascertaining the appropriate level of allowance for uncollectible amounts. Because our current relationships with reinsurers are considered sound and because such reinsurers are current on their obligations to our insurance subsidiaries, we currently consider all amounts to be collectible. At December 31, 2002, approximately $38 million of uncollateralized reinsurance receivables, including $25 million due for ceded IBNR, are due from reinsurers whose A.M. Best financial strength rating had declined to below A- in 2002 or who were under regulatory supervision or in liquidation in 2002.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

        For additional information about reinsurance receivables, seeNote 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements as well asthe discussion on pages 35 and 36 of this Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

Deferred Tax Assets

We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent of the tax effect of differences between the financial statement carrying values and tax bases of assets and liabilities. The deferral of tax losses is evaluated based upon management’s estimates of the future profitability of the Company’s taxable entities based on current forecasts. A valuation allowance is established for any portion of a deferred tax asset that management believes is more likely than not going to be realized. At December 31, 2002, PMA Capital has a net deferred tax asset of $94.1 million, resulting from $165.9 million of deferred tax assets reduced by $71.8 million of deferred tax liabilities. In establishing the appropriate value of this asset, management must make judgments about the Company’s ability to utilize the net tax benefit from the reversal of temporary differences and the utilization of operating loss carryforwards that expire mainly from 2018 through 2022.

        In evaluating the recoverability of our net deferred tax asset, management has considered the recent performance of its business, which generated pre-tax losses of $79.2 million and $4.4 million in 2002 and 2001 due primarily to losses from Run-off Operations and World Trade Center losses. While such performance may call into question our ability to be profitable, we believe that future results will be substantially improved due to our exit from the business segment that generated a substantial portion of our net loss in 2002 and 2001, as well as the unprecedented loss event in 2001 stemming from the attack on the World Trade Center. Accordingly, despite our recent earnings history, we have estimated at year-end 2002 that our ongoing insurance operations will generate sufficient future taxable income to utilize the net deferred tax asset over a period of time not exceeding the expiration of our operating loss carryforwards. As a result, we determined that it is more likely than not that we will be able to realize the future tax benefit of our net deferred tax asset. In making this determination, we have made reasonable estimates of our future taxable income. If our estimates of future income were to be revised downward and we determined that it was then more likely than not that we would not be able to realize the value of our net deferred tax asset, then this could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. For additional information seeNote 12 to our Consolidated Financial Statements.

Premiums

Premiums, including estimates of additional premiums resulting from audits of insureds’ records, and premiums from ceding companies which are typically reported on a delayed basis, are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the terms of the policies.As discussed on page 27, in the second quarter of 2002, PMA Re recognized $44 million of net written premiums for prior underwriting years due to a difference between the originally estimated and actual premiums. Due to the customary lag in reporting premium data by some of PMA Re’s clients, PMA Re must estimate the ultimate written premiums to be received from a ceding company based upon data received when we initially receive the submission, including broker and ceding company data and projections. Actual premiums written for PMA Re reported in the Statement of Operations are based upon reports received from ceding companies, supplemented by our own estimates of premiums written for which ceding company reports have not been received. Differences between such estimates and actual amounts are recorded in the period in which the actual amounts are determined.

        The premiums on reinsurance business ceded are recorded as incurred on a pro rata basis over the contract period. Certain ceded reinsurance contracts contain provisions requiring us to pay additional premiums ranging from 20% to 50% of ceded losses or reinstatement premiums in the event that losses of a significant magnitude are ceded under such contracts. Under accounting rules, we are not permitted to establish reserves for potential additional premiums or record such amounts until a loss occurs that would obligate us to pay such additional or reinstatement premiums. As a result, the net benefit to our results from ceding losses to our retrocessionaires in the event of a loss may be reduced by the payment of additional premiums and reinstatement premiums to our retrocessionaires. For example, in 2000, PMA Re increased its gross losses by $83 million and ceded $60 million of these losses to our retrocessionaires. Under the terms of the retrocessional coverage to which we ceded these losses, we were required to pay $35 million of additional ceded premiums to our retrocessionaires, which reduced the net benefit of the loss cessions from $60 million to $25 million. For additional information, seeNotes 4and 5 to our Consolidated Financial Statements.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Management's Discussion and Analysis (continued)

Cautionary Statements

Except for historical information provided in Management’s Discussion and Analysis and otherwise in this report, statements made throughout, including in the Business Outlook section on page 26, are forward-looking and contain information about financial results, economic conditions, trends and known uncertainties. Words such as "believes," "estimates," "anticipates," "expects" or similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on currently available financial, competitive and economic data and our current operating plans based on assumptions regarding future events. Our actual results may differ materially from our current expectations. The factors that could cause actual results to vary materially, some of which are described with the forward-looking statements, include, but are not limited to:

• changes in general economic conditions, including the performance of financial markets, interest rates and the level of unemployment;

• regulatory or tax changes, including changes in risk-based capital or other regulatory standards that affect the cost of, or demand for, our products or otherwise affect our ability to conduct business;

• competitive conditions that may affect the level of rate adequacy related to the amount of risk undertaken and that may influence the sustainability of adequate rate changes;

• ability to implement and maintain rate increases;

• the effect of changes in workers’ compensation statutes and their administration, which may affect the rates that we can charge and the manner in which we administer claims;

• our ability to predict and effectively manage claims related to insurance and reinsurance policies;

• the lowering or loss of one or more of the financial strength or claims paying ratings of our insurance subsidiaries;

• adequacy of reserves for claim liabilities;

• adverse property and casualty loss development for events we insured in prior years;

• the uncertain nature of damage theories and loss amounts and the development of additional facts related to the attack on the World Trade Center;

• uncertainty as to the price and availability of reinsurance on business we intend to write in the future, including reinsurance for terrorist acts;

• adequacy and collectibility of reinsurance that we purchased;

• severity of natural disasters and other catastrophes, including future acts of terrorism in connection with insurance and reinsurance policies;

• reliance on key management;

• uncertainties related to possible terrorist activities or international hostilities; and

• other factors disclosed from time to time in our most recent Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. Unless otherwise stated, we disclaim any current intention to update forward-looking information and to release publicly the results of any future revisions we may make to forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(in thousands, except share data)		2002			2001
Assets:
Investments:
Fixed maturities available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost:
2002 - $1,477,921; 2001 - $1,416,901)	$	1,529,924		$	1,425,281
Short-term investments		298,686			325,054
Short-term investments, loaned securities collateral		--			25,000
Cash		43,853			20,656
Total investments and cash		1,872,463			1,795,991
Accrued investment income		18,600			19,121
Premiums receivable (net of valuation allowance: 2002 - $9,528; 2001 - $12,583)		363,675			301,104
Reinsurance receivables (net of valuation allowance: 2002 - $5,483; 2001 - $4,562)		1,295,083			1,210,764
Deferred income taxes, net		94,074			82,120
Deferred acquisition costs		89,222			64,350
Funds held by reinsureds		157,479			145,239
Other assets		215,198			184,290
Total assets	$	4,105,794		$	3,802,979
Liabilities:
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses	$	2,449,890		$	2,324,439
Unearned premiums		405,379			308,292
Short-term debt		65,000			62,500
Long-term debt		86,250			--
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities		253,175			217,490
Funds held under reinsurance treaties		249,670			227,892
Dividends to policyholders		14,998			17,132
Payable under securities loan agreements		42			33,228
Total liabilities		3,524,404			3,190,973
Commitments and contingencies (Note 7)
Shareholders' Equity:
Class A Common stock, $5 par value (40,000,000 shares authorized;
2002 - 34,217,945 shares issued and 31,328,922 outstanding;
2001 - 34,217,945 shares issued and 31,167,006 outstanding)		171,090			171,090
Additional paid-in capital		109,331			109,331
Retained earnings		319,014			382,165
Accumulated other comprehensive income		34,552			5,375
Notes receivable from officers		(62	)		(158	)
Treasury stock, at cost (2002 - 2,889,023 shares; 2001 - 3,050,939 shares)		(52,535	)		(55,797	)
Total shareholders' equity		581,390			612,006
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity	$	4,105,794		$	3,802,979

Seeaccompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Consolidated Statements of Operations

(in thousands, except per share data)		2002			2001			2000
Revenues:
Net premiums written	$	1,104,997		$	769,058		$	545,555
Change in net unearned premiums		(113,986	)		(36,618	)		(14,131	)
Net premiums earned		991,011			732,440			531,424
Net investment income		84,881			86,945			102,591
Net realized investment gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988			11,975
Other revenues		15,330			22,599			14,000
Total revenues		1,075,137			849,972			659,990
Losses and Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses		823,658			616,763			449,388
Acquisition expenses		216,984			138,982			112,654
Operating expenses		102,808			78,015			67,081
Dividends to policyholders		7,587			14,087			18,855
Interest expense		3,257			6,541			11,889
Total losses and expenses		1,154,294			854,388			659,867
Income (loss) before income taxes		(79,157	)		(4,416	)		123
Income tax benefit		(31,133	)		(11,519	)		(1,202	)
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325
Income (loss) per share:
Basic	$	(1.53	)	$	0.33		$	0.06
Diluted	$	(1.53	)	$	0.32		$	0.06

Seeaccompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash flows
provided by (used in) operating activities:
Deferred income tax benefit		(27,527	)		(3,147	)		(82	)
Net realized investment (gains) losses		16,085			(7,988	)		(11,975	)
Gain on sale of real estate		--			(9,763	)		--
Change in:
Premiums receivable and unearned premiums, net		34,516			20,236			(18,127	)
Dividends to policyholders		(2,134	)		(114	)		3,464
Reinsurance receivables		(34,319	)		(276,875	)		(275,725	)
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses		125,451			257,520			120,537
Funds held by reinsureds		(12,240	)		(72,588	)		(54,721	)
Funds held under reinsurance treaties		21,778			54,130			79,317
Accrued investment income		521			1,746			1,866
Deferred acquisition costs		(24,872	)		(15,828	)		427
Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities		25,836			45,122			96,667
Other, net		(2,904	)		(9,129	)		1,988
Net cash flows provided by (used in) operating activities		72,167			(9,575	)		(55,039	)
Cash flows from investing activities:
Fixed maturities available for sale:
Purchases		(964,047	)		(1,054,794	)		(422,350	)
Maturities and calls		256,625			297,549			121,814
Sales		634,480			833,884			408,233
Equity securities:
Purchases		--			--			(24,706	)
Sales		--			--			78,182
Net purchases of short-term investments		(29,942	)		(102,637	)		(131,688	)
Proceeds from sale of real estate		--			14,401			--
Other, net		(20,961	)		(8,071	)		(29,522	)
Net cash flows used in investing activities		(123,845	)		(19,668	)		(37	)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Proceeds from issuance of stock		--			157,868			--
Dividends paid to shareholders		(12,102	)		(9,035	)		(8,020	)
Proceeds from exercise of stock options		2,866			1,387			2,866
Purchase of treasury stock		(1,726	)		(5,323	)		(18,427	)
Proceeds from issuance of debt		151,250			--			--
Debt issue costs		(3,009	)		--			--
Repayments of debt		(62,500	)		(100,500	)		--
Net repayments (issuance) of notes receivable from officers		96			(102	)		--
Net cash flows provided by (used in) financing activities		74,875			44,295			(23,581	)
Net increase (decrease) in cash		23,197			15,052			(78,657	)
Cash - beginning of year		20,656			5,604			84,261
Cash - end of year	$	43,853		$	20,656		$	5,604
Supplementary cash flow information:
Income tax paid (refunded)	$	(10,649	)	$	(8,991	)	$	7,300
Interest paid	$	2,091		$	7,074		$	11,795

Seeaccompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Consolidated Statements of Shareholders' Equity

(in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Class A Common stock:
Balance at beginning of year	$	171,090		$	122,214		$	56,791
Issuance of Class A Common stock		--			48,876			--
Conversion of Common stock into Class A Common stock		--			--			65,423
Balance at end of year		171,090			171,090			122,214
Additional paid-in capital - Class A Common stock:
Balance at beginning of year		109,331			339			339
Issuance of Class A Common stock		--			108,992			--
Balance at end of year		109,331			109,331			339
Retained earnings:
Balance at beginning of year		382,165			384,694			391,981
Net income (loss)		(48,024	)		7,103			1,325
Class A Common stock dividends declared		(13,142	)		(9,018	)		(7,458	)
Common stock dividends declared		--			--			(922	)
Reissuance of treasury shares under employee benefit plans		(1,985	)		(614	)		(232	)
Balance at end of year		319,014			382,165			384,694
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss):
Balance at beginning of year		5,375			(14,373	)		(46,844	)
Other comprehensive income, net of tax expense:
2002 - $15,710; 2001 - $10,634; 2000 - $17,484;		29,177			19,748			32,471
Balance at end of year		34,552			5,375			(14,373	)
Notes receivable from officers:
Balance at beginning of year		(158	)		(56	)		(56	)
Repayment (issuance) of notes receivable from officers		96			(102	)		--
Balance at end of year		(62	)		(158	)		(56	)
Treasury stock - Class A Common:
Balance at beginning of year		(55,797	)		(52,772	)		(32,909	)
Purchase of treasury shares		(1,726	)		(5,323	)		(18,427	)
Conversion of Common stock into Class A Common stock		--			--			(5,582	)
Reissuance of treasury shares under employee benefit plans		4,988			2,298			4,146
Balance at end of year		(52,535	)		(55,797	)		(52,772	)
Total shareholders' equity:
Balance at beginning of year		612,006			440,046			429,143
Net income (loss)		(48,024	)		7,103			1,325
Issuance of Class A Common stock		--			157,868			--
Class A Common stock dividends declared		(13,142	)		(9,018	)		(7,458	)
Common stock dividends declared		--			--			(922	)
Purchase of treasury shares		(1,726	)		(5,323	)		(18,427	)
Reissuance of treasury shares under employee benefit plans		3,003			1,684			3,914
Other comprehensive income		29,177			19,748			32,471
Repayment (issuance) of notes receivable from officers		96			(102	)		--
Balance at end of year	$	581,390		$	612,006		$	440,046

In 2000, all shares and related dollar amounts of Common stock ($65,423) and Treasury stock - Common ($5,582) were converted into Class A Common stock.

Seeaccompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

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Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss)

(in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Unrealized gain on securities:
Holding gain arising during the period		17,355			25,175			40,095
Less: reclassification adjustment for (gains) losses included
in net income, net of tax expense (benefit): 2002 - ($5,630);
2001 - $2,796; 2000 - $4,191		10,455			(5,192	)		(7,784	)
Total unrealized gain on securities		27,810			19,983			32,311
Foreign currency translation gain (loss), net of tax expense (benefit):
2002 - $736; 2001 - ($127); 2000 - $87		1,367			(235	)		160
Other comprehensive income, net of tax		29,177			19,748			32,471
Comprehensive income (loss)	$	(18,847	)	$	26,851		$	33,796

Seeaccompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

Note 1. Business Description

The accompanying consolidated financial statements include the accounts of PMA Capital Corporation and its subsidiaries (collectively referred to as "PMA Capital" or the "Company"). PMA Capital is an insurance holding company that owns and operates the following specialty risk management businesses:

PMA Re —PMA Capital’s reinsurance operations offer excess of loss and pro rata property and casualty reinsurance protection mainly through reinsurance brokers. PMA Re focuses on risk-exposed business, which it believes allows it to best utilize its underwriting and actuarial expertise.

The PMA Insurance Group —The PMA Insurance Group writes workers’ compensation, integrated disability and, to a lesser extent, other standard lines of commercial insurance, primarily in the eastern part of the United States. Currently, approximately 90% of The PMA Insurance Group’s business is produced through independent agents and brokers.

Prior to May 1, 2002, the Company operated a third specialty risk management business, Caliber One, which wrote excess and surplus lines of business throughout the United States, generally through surplus lines brokers. Effective May 1, 2002, the Company announced its decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace. As a result of this decision, the results of this segment are reported as Run-off Operations. SeeNote 14 for additional information.

Note 2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

A. Basis of Presentation —The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated in consolidation. The preparation of consolidated financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make certain estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, certain prior year amounts have been restated to conform to the current year classification. The balance sheet information presented in these financial statements and notes thereto is as of December 31 for each respective year. The statement of operations information is for the year ended December 31 for each respective year.

B. Investments —All fixed maturities are classified as available-for-sale and, accordingly, are carried at fair value. Changes in fair value of fixed maturities, net of income tax effects, are reflected in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). All short-term, highly liquid investments, which have original maturities of one year or less from acquisition date, are treated as short-term investments and are carried at amortized cost, which approximates fair value.

        Realized gains and losses, determined by the first-in, first-out method, are reflected in income in the period in which the sale transaction occurs. For all securities that are in an unrealized loss position for an extended period of time, the Company performs an evaluation of the specific events attributable to the market decline of the security. The Company considers the length of time and extent to which the security’s market value has been below cost as well as the general market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if the decline is due to changes in interest rates, changes relating to a decline in credit quality of the issuer, or general market conditions. The Company also considers as part of the evaluation its intent and ability to hold the security until its market value has recovered to a level at least equal to the amortized cost. Where the Company determines that a security’s unrealized loss is other than temporary, a realized loss is recognized in the period in which the decline in value is determined to be other than temporary. The write-downs are measured based on public market prices and the Company’s expectation of the future realizable value for the security at the time the Company determines the decline in value was other than temporary.

        The Company participates in a securities lending program through which securities are lent from the Company’s portfolio for short periods of time to qualifying third parties via a lending agent. Borrowers of these securities must provide collateral equal to a minimum of 102% of the market value including accrued interest of the lent securities. Acceptable collateral may be in the form of either cash or securities. Cash received as collateral is invested in short-term investments, and is recorded as such on the balance sheet, along with a corresponding liability included in payable under securities loan agreements. All securities received as collateral are of similar quality to those securities lent by the Company. The Company is not permitted by contract to sell or repledge the securities received as collateral. Additionally, the Company limits securities lending to 40% of statutory admitted assets of its insurance subsidiaries, with a 2% limit on statutory admitted assets to any individual borrower. The Company either receives a fee from the borrower or retains a portion of the income earned on the collateral. Under the terms of the securities lending program, the Company is indemnified

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against borrower default, with the lending agent responsible to the Company for any deficiency between the cost of replacing a security that was not returned and the amount of collateral held by the Company.

C. Premiums —Premiums, including estimates of additional premiums resulting from audits of insureds’ records, and premiums from ceding companies which are typically reported on a delayed basis, are earned principally on a pro rata basis over the terms of the policies. For reinsurance premiums assumed, management must estimate the subject premiums associated with the treaties in order to determine the level of written and earned premiums for a reporting period. Such estimates are based on information from brokers and ceding companies, which can be subject to change as new information becomes available. SeeNote 4 for additional information. With respect to policies that provide for premium adjustments, such as experience-rated or exposure-based adjustments, such premium adjustments may be made subsequent to the end of the policy’s coverage period and will be recorded as earned premium in the period in which the adjustment is made. Premiums applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force are reported as unearned premiums. The estimated premiums receivable on retrospectively rated policies are reported as a component of premiums receivable.

D. Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses —Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE"), which are stated net of estimated salvage and subrogation, are estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses on known claims, and estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred but not reported ("IBNR"). IBNR reserves are calculated utilizing various actuarial methods. Unpaid losses on certain workers’ compensation claims are discounted to present value using the Company’s payment experience and mortality and interest assumptions in accordance with statutory accounting practices prescribed by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department (collectively "SAP"). The Company also discounts unpaid losses and LAE for certain other claims at rates permitted by domiciliary regulators or if the timing and amount of such claims are fixed and determinable. The methods of making such estimates and establishing the resulting reserves are continually reviewed and updated and any adjustments resulting therefrom are reflected in earnings in the period identified. SeeNote 4 for additional information.

E. Reinsurance —In the ordinary course of business, PMA Capital’s reinsurance and insurance subsidiaries assume and cede premiums with other insurance companies and are members of various insurance pools and associations. The Company’s reinsurance and insurance subsidiaries cede business in order to limit the maximum net loss from large risks and limit the accumulation of many smaller losses from a catastrophic event. The reinsurance and insurance subsidiaries remain primarily liable to their clients in the event their reinsurers are unable to meet their financial obligations. Reinsurance receivables include claims paid by the Company and estimates of unpaid losses and LAE that are subject to reimbursement under reinsurance and retrocessional contracts. The method for determining the reinsurance receivable for unpaid losses and LAE involves reviewing actuarial estimates of gross unpaid losses and LAE to determine the Company’s ability to cede unpaid losses and LAE under its existing reinsurance contracts. This method is continually reviewed and updated and any adjustments resulting therefrom are reflected in earnings in the period identified. Under certain of the Company’s reinsurance and retrocessional contracts, additional premium and interest may be required if predetermined ceded loss and LAE thresholds are exceeded.

        Certain of the Company’s assumed and ceded reinsurance contracts are funds held arrangements. In a funds held arrangement, the ceding company holds onto the premiums instead of paying them to the reinsurer and losses are offset against these funds in an experience account. Because the reinsurer is not in receipt of the funds, the reinsurer earns interest on the experience fund balance at a predetermined credited rate of interest. The Company generally earns an interest rate of between 6% and 8% on its assumed funds held arrangements and generally pays interest at a rate of between 6% and 8% on its ceded funds held arrangements.The interest earned or credited on funds held arrangements is included in net investment income in the Statement of Operations. In addition, interest on funds held arrangements will continue to be earned or credited until the experience account is fully depleted, which can extend many years beyond the expiration of the coverage period.

        Certain of the Company’s reinsurance contracts are retroactive in nature. Any benefit derived from retroactive reinsurance contracts is deferred and amortized into income over the payout pattern of the underlying claim liabilities unless the contracts call for immediate recovery by the Company from reinsurers as ceded losses are incurred.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

F. Deferred Acquisition Costs —Costs that directly relate to and vary with acquisition of new and renewal business are deferred and amortized over the period during which the related premiums are earned. Such direct costs include commissions, brokerage and premium taxes, as well as other policy issuance costs and underwriting expenses. The Company determines whether deferred acquisition costs are recoverable considering future losses and loss adjustment expenses, maintenance costs and anticipated investment income. To the extent that deferred acquisition costs are not recoverable, the deficiency is charged to income in the period identified.

G. Dividends to Policyholders —The PMA Insurance Group issues certain workers’ compensation insurance policies with dividend payment features. These policyholders share in the operating results of their respective policies in the form of dividends declared at the discretion of the Board of Directors of The PMA Insurance Group’s operating companies. Dividends to policyholders are accrued during the period in which the related premiums are earned and are determined based on the terms of the individual policies.

H. Income Taxes —The Company records deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent of the tax effect of differences between the financial statement carrying values and tax bases of assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is recorded for deferred tax assets where it appears more likely than not that the Company will not be able to recover the deferred tax asset.

I. Stock-Based Compensation —The Company accounts for stock-based compensation using the intrinsic value method prescribed in Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees," and related interpretations. Accordingly, compensation cost for stock options is measured as the excess, if any, of the quoted market price of the Company’s Class A Common stock at grant date or other measurement date over the amount an employee must pay to acquire the Class A Common stock. SeeNote 2K for additional information.

J. Other Revenues —Other revenues include service revenues related to unbundled claims, risk management and related services provided by The PMA Insurance Group, which are earned over the term of the related contracts in proportion to the actual services rendered, and other miscellaneous revenues. During 2001, other revenues included a $9.8 million gain on the sale of certain real estate properties.

K. Recent Accounting Pronouncements —In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation — Transition and Disclosure." SFAS No. 148 amends SFAS No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation," to provide alternative methods of transition for a voluntary change to the fair value based method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation. In addition, SFAS No. 148 amends the disclosure requirements of SFAS No. 123 to require prominent disclosures in financial statements about the method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation and the effect of the method used on reported results. The Company accounts for stock-based employee compensation using the intrinsic value method prescribed in Accounting Principles Board ("APB") Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Accordingly, the Company has applied the disclosure provisions of SFAS No. 148 to our Financial Statements as of and for the year ended December 31, 2002.

        The following table illustrates the effect on net income (loss) if the fair value based method had been applied:

(in thousands, except per share))		2002			2001			2000
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325
Stock-based compensation expense
already included in reported
net income (loss), net of tax		140			--			(650	)
Total stock-based compensation
expense determined under fair
value based method, net of tax		(1,480	)		(1,043	)		(1,308	)
Pro forma net income (loss)	$	(49,364	)	$	6,060		$	(633	)
Income (loss) per share:
Basic - as reported	$	(1.53	)	$	0.33		$	0.06
Basic - pro forma	$	(1.58	)	$	0.28		$	(0.03	)
Diluted - as reported	$	(1.53	)	$	0.32		$	0.06
Diluted - pro forma	$	(1.58	)	$	0.27		$	(0.03	)

In May 2002, the Company announced its decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace previously served by its Caliber One operating segment. The Company accounted for the discontinuation of this business under the provisions of SFAS No. 144, "Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets," which are effective January 1, 2002. SFAS No. 144 supersedes SFAS No. 121 "Accounting for the Impairment of Long-Lived Assets and for Long-Lived Assets to Be Disposed Of," and the accounting and reporting provisions of APB Opinion No. 30,

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"Reporting the Results of Operations – Reporting the Effects of Disposal of a Segment of a Business, and Extraordinary, Unusual and Infrequently Occurring Events and Transactions," and establishes a single accounting model for the disposal of long-lived assets and asset groups.

        In January 2003, the Company sold the capital stock of Caliber One Indemnity Company. Pursuant to the agreement of sale, the Company has retained all assets and liabilities related to in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations and will run-off such in-force policies and claim obligations. Accordingly, under SFAS No. 144, the results of operations of this segment are reported in results from continuing operations, and will continue to be reported as such until all in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations are satisfied, at which point the Company will report the results of the Run-off segment as discontinued operations. The long-lived assets of this segment were tested for impairment in the second quarter of 2002 in accordance with the provisions of SFAS No. 144. SeeNote 14 for additional information.

        In July 2002, the FASB issued SFAS No. 146, "Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities." SFAS No. 146 requires companies to recognize costs associated with exit or disposal activities when they are incurred rather than at the date of a commitment to an exit or disposal plan. SFAS No. 146 is to be applied prospectively to exit or disposal activities initiated after December 31, 2002. Accordingly, this standard does not apply to the Company’s exit from the excess and surplus lines business, which was announced in May 2002.

        In January 2003, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 46, "Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities" ("FIN 46") which requires a company to assess if consolidation of an entity is appropriate based upon its variable economic interests in a variable interest entity ("VIE"). The initial determination of whether an entity is a VIE is required to be made on the date at which a company becomes involved with the entity. A VIE is an entity in which the equity investors do not have the characteristics of a controlling financial interest or do not have sufficient equity at risk for the entity to finance its activities without additional subordinated financial support from other parties. A company shall consolidate a VIE if the company has a variable interest that will absorb a majority of the VIE’s expected losses if they occur, receive a majority of the entity’s expected residual returns if they occur or both.

        FIN 46 is effective for new VIEs established subsequent to January 31, 2003, and for existing VIEs as of July 1, 2003. FIN 46 also requires the disclosure of certain information related to VIEs in which the company holds a significant variable interest. The Company is currently assessing the impact that implementing FIN 46 may have on its consolidated financial statements. In this regard, the Company will be evaluating whether Trabaja Reinsurance Company ("Trabaja") is a variable interest entity as defined in FIN 46 and, if so, whether the Company’s business activities with Trabaja would warrant consolidation and/or additional disclosure in the Company’s future financial statements. The Company expects that any impact from implementing FIN 46 would be a non-cash adjustment recorded in its consolidated financial statements as a cumulative effect adjustment no later than the third quarter of 2003. Any such cumulative effect adjustment may be material to the Company’s consolidated financial condition and results of operations. However, there will be no effect on the statutory capital of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries. SeeNote 5 for additional information regarding the Company’s business activities with Trabaja.

        In November 2002, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 45, "Guarantor’s Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others" ("FIN 45"). FIN 45 requires certain guarantees to be recorded at fair value and also requires a guarantor to make certain disclosures, even when the likelihood of making payments under the guarantee is remote. Generally, FIN 45 applies to contracts or indemnification agreements that contingently require the guarantor to make payments to the guaranteed party. The recognition provisions of FIN 45 are effective on a prospective basis for guarantees issued or modified after December 31, 2002. The disclosure requirements are effective for financial statements of interim and annual periods ending after December 15, 2002. The Company is currently assessing the impact of adopting FIN 45, and currently does not expect that it will have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.

        Effective January 1, 2002, the Company adopted SFAS No. 142, "Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets." In accordance with SFAS No. 142, the Company no longer amortizes goodwill, but instead tests it periodically for impairment. As of December 31, 2002, the Company had approximately $3.0 million of goodwill, which is included in other assets on the balance sheet. Amortization of goodwill was $960,000, or $0.04 per basic and diluted share, for 2001, and $220,000, or $0.01 per basic and diluted share, for 2000. For the year ended December 31, 2002, the Company recognized an impairment charge of $1.3 million associated with the goodwill of the Run-off Operations, which is included in Operating expenses.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

Note 3: Investments

The Company’s investment portfolio is diversified and does not contain any significant concentrations in single issuers other than U.S. Treasury and agency obligations. In addition, the Company does not have a significant concentration of investments in any single industry segment other than finance companies, which comprise 15% of invested assets at December 31, 2002. Included in this industry segment are financial institutions, including the financing subsidiaries of automotive manufacturers.

        The amortized cost and fair value of the Company’s investment portfolio are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	Amortized Cost		Gross Unrealized Gains		Gross Unrealized Losses		Fair Value
December 31, 2002
Fixed maturities available for sale:
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies	$	315,911	$	13,490	$	3	$	329,398
States, political subdivisions and foreign government securities		10,217		936		--		11,153
Corporate debt securities		608,407		28,026		3,580		632,853
Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities		543,386		22,018		8,884		556,520
Total fixed maturities available for sale		1,477,921		64,470		12,467		1,529,924
Short-term investments		298,686		--		--		298,686
Total investments	$	1,776,607	$	64,470	$	12,467	$	1,828,610
December 31, 2001
Fixed maturities available for sale:
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. Government agencies	$	263,633	$	4,563	$	2,155	$	266,041
States, political subdivisions and foreign government securities		16,857		272		31		17,098
Corporate debt securities		594,477		13,354		8,828		599,003
Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities		541,934		10,215		9,010		543,139
Total fixed maturities available for sale		1,416,901		28,404		20,024		1,425,281
Short-term investments		350,054		--		--		350,054
Total investments	$	1,766,955	$	28,404	$	20,024	$	1,775,335

The amortized cost and fair value of fixed maturities at December 31, 2002, by contractual maturity, are included in the table below:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	Amortized Cost		Fair Value
2003	$	90,227	$	91,437
2004-2007		380,839		391,438
2008-2012		232,103		243,027
2013 and thereafter		231,366		247,502
Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities		543,386		556,520
	$	1,477,921	$	1,529,924

Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid with or without call or prepayment penalties.

        Net investment income consists of the following:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Fixed maturities	$	84,957		$	91,530		$	103,490
Equity securities		--			--			716
Short-term investments		5,073			7,048			8,513
Other		913			2,911			3,002
Total investment income		90,943			101,489			115,721
Investment expenses		(3,173	)		(2,559	)		(2,490	)
Interest on funds held, net		(2,889	)		(11,985	)		(10,640	)
Net investment income	$	84,881		$	86,945		$	102,591

The Company recognized income, net of lending fees, from securities lending transactions of $360,000, $383,000 and $600,000 in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively, which was included in net investment income. At December 31, 2002, the Company had no securities on loan.

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        Net realized investment gains (losses) consist of the following:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Realized gains:
Fixed maturities	$	18,659		$	15,768		$	3,423
Equity securities		--			--			15,698
		18,659			15,768			19,121
Realized losses - fixed maturities		(34,744	)		(7,780	)		(7,146	)
Total net realized
investment gains (losses)	$	(16,085	)	$	7,988		$	11,975

Net realized investment losses for 2002 include impairment losses of $23.8 million on fixed income securities, primarily corporate bonds issued by telecommunications and energy companies, including $14.2 million for WorldCom. Net realized losses for 2001 include impairment losses of $1.6 million. The write-downs were measured based on public market prices and the Company’s expectation of the future realizable value for the security at the time when the Company determined the decline in value was other than temporary. No impairment losses were recorded in 2000.

        The change in unrealized gains (losses) on investments for 2002, 2001 and 2000 was $43.6 million, $30.7 million and $49.7 million, respectively, attributable to fixed maturities.

        On December 31, 2002, the Company had securities with a total amortized cost of $38.5 million and fair value of $39.8 million on deposit with various governmental authorities, as required by law. In addition, at December 31, 2002, securities with a total amortized cost of $24.1 million and fair value of $25.0 million were pledged as collateral for letters of credit issued on behalf of the Company. A security with an amortized cost of $1.9 million and fair value of $2.0 million was pledged as collateral for an executive loan program with a financial institution. Securities with a total amortized cost of $5.4 million and fair value of $5.5 million were held in trust to support the Company’s participation in the underwriting capacity of a Lloyd’s of London syndicate. The securities on deposit, pledged as collateral or held in trust are included in Fixed Maturities on the balance sheets.

Note 4: Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

Activity in the liability for unpaid losses and LAE is summarized as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Balance at January 1	$	2,324,439		$	2,053,138		$	1,932,601
Less: reinsurance
recoverable on unpaid
losses and LAE		1,181,322			924,429			648,227
Net balance at January 1		1,143,117			1,128,709			1,284,374
Losses and LAE incurred, net:
Current year,
net of discount		655,395			586,392			432,767
Prior years		159,748			23,512			6,491
Accretion of
prior years' discount		8,515			6,859			10,130
Total losses and LAE
incurred, net		823,658			616,763			449,388
Losses and LAE paid, net:
Current year		(138,127	)		(145,352	)		(110,188	)
Prior years		(594,342	)		(457,003	)		(445,865	)
Total losses and LAE
paid, net		(732,469	)		(602,355	)		(556,053	)
Reserves transferred		(50,000	)		--			(49,000	)
Net balance at December 31		1,184,306			1,143,117			1,128,709
Reinsurance recoverable
on unpaid losses and LAE		1,265,584			1,181,322			924,429
Balance at December 31	$	2,449,890		$	2,324,439		$	2,053,138

Unpaid losses and LAE reflect management’s best estimate of future amounts needed to pay claims and related settlement costs with respect to insured events which have occurred, including events that have not been reported to the Company. In many cases, significant periods of time, ranging up to several years or more, may elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to the Company and the Company’s payment of that loss. In general, liabilities for reinsurers become known more slowly than for primary insurers and are subject to more unforeseen development and uncertainty. As part of the process for determining the Company’s unpaid losses and LAE, actuarial models are used that analyze historical data and consider the impact of current developments and trends, such as trends in claims severity and frequency and claims settlement trends. Also considered are legal developments, regulatory trends, legislative developments, changes in social attitudes and economic conditions.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

        Losses and LAE incurred in 2001 were impacted by the September 11th terrorist attack on the World Trade Center. The Company incurred $30 million of pre-tax net losses from this catastrophe. Gross losses of approximately $145 million resulted from this catastrophe, which is before (1) reinsurance recoveries ($120 million), (2) additional premiums due to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires ($30 million) and (3) additional premiums due to PMA Re on its assumed business ($25 million). The Company’s estimate of net loss from the September 11th terrorist attack on the World Trade Center continues to be approximately $30 million pre-tax and is based on its analysis to date of known exposures. However, it is difficult to fully estimate the Company’s loss from the attack given the uncertain nature of damage theories and loss amounts, and the development of additional facts related to the attack. As more information becomes available, the Company’s estimate of these losses may need to be increased.

        The components of the Company’s (favorable) unfavorable development of reserves for losses and LAE for prior accident years, excluding accretion of discount, are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001			2000
PMA Re	$	106,866	$	(1,568	)	$	9,691
The PMA Insurance Group		1,082		2,889			(6,074	)
Run-off Operations		51,800		22,191			2,874
Total net unfavorable development	$	159,748	$	23,512		$	6,491

During 2002, PMA Re recorded unfavorable prior year development of $106.9 million. In the fourth quarter, PMA Re’s actuarial department conducted its routine year-end reserve study to determine the impact of any emerging data on anticipated loss development trends and recorded unpaid losses and LAE reserves. During the fourth quarter, the Company’s actuaries noticed a higher than expected increase in level of reported losses by our ceding companies. Based on the actuarial work performed, which included analyzing recent trends in the levels of the reported and paid claims using various loss projection techniques, an updated selection of actuarially determined loss reserve estimates was developed by accident year for each major line of business written by PMA Re. Management’s selection of the ultimate losses indicated that gross loss and LAE reserves for prior accident years needed to be increased by approximately $86 million in the fourth quarter, primarily for excess of loss and pro rata general liability occurrence contracts ($54 million) and, to a lesser extent, excess of loss general liability claims-made contracts ($13 million), from accident years 1998, 1999 and 2000. Under existing retrocessional contracts, approximately $22 million of the higher than expected losses were ceded to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires, reducing the impact on net losses and LAE to approximately $64 million.

        The remaining $43 million of unfavorable prior year development at PMA Re in 2002 primarily reflects the recording of losses and LAE on additional earned premium recorded during 2002 as a result of a change in our estimate of ultimate premiums written from prior years. Because premiums from ceding companies are typically reported on a delayed basis, we monitor and update as appropriate the estimated ultimate premiums written. Our periodic reviews of estimated ultimate premiums written, which compared actual reported premiums to originally estimated premiums based on ceding company estimates, indicated that premiums written in recent years, primarily in the Traditional- and Specialty-Treaty units for 2001 and 2000, were higher than originally estimated. As a result, PMA Re recorded additional net premiums earned during 2002, including $39.9 million in the second quarter, which were completely offset by losses and LAE and acquisition expenses.

        In 2001, PMA Re recorded favorable prior year development of $1.6 million, reflecting re-estimated loss trends for prior accident years that were lower than previous expectations and concentrated in casualty lines of business.

        In 2000, PMA Re recorded unfavorable prior year development of $9.7 million, mainly reflecting the recognition of higher than expected losses and LAE primarily from more recent accident years, partially offset by lower than expected losses and LAE for accident years 1996 and prior. The unfavorable development primarily related to coverages for 1998 and 1999 written on a pro rata basis, partially offset by lower than expected losses and LAE for treaties covering losses occurring in accident years 1996 and prior. In the third quarter, the Company increased its estimate of gross loss and LAE reserves by $83 million primarily reflecting higher than expected losses mainly in the Company’s pro rata business. The concentration of estimated adverse loss development related primarily to general liability treaties written on a claims made basis covering losses in 1998 and 1999, property treaties covering 1999 losses and, to a lesser extent, commercial automobile liability treaties covering losses in 1998 and 1999. In addition, the third quarter reserve increase reflects unfavorable prior year loss reserve development in the excess of loss general liability line for accident years 1998 and 1999. Under existing retrocessional contracts, $60 million of gross losses were ceded to PMA Re’s retrocessionaires, reducing the impact on net incurred losses and LAE to $23 million during the third quarter. This net unfavorable prior year development was partially offset by favorable loss development for accident years prior to 1997.

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        The PMA Insurance Group experienced unfavorable prior year development of $1.1 million and $2.9 million in 2002 and 2001, respectively, and favorable prior year development of $6.1 million in 2000. The unfavorable prior year development in 2002 and 2001 reflects higher than expected claims handling costs. The favorable prior year development in 2000 primarily reflects better than expected loss experience from loss-sensitive and rent-a-captive workers’ compensation business. Premium adjustments for loss-sensitive business and policyholders’ dividends for rent-a-captive business offset this favorable development. Rent-a-captives are used by customers as an alternative method to manage their loss exposure without establishing and capitalizing their own captive insurance company.

        During 2002, the Run-off Operations recorded unfavorable prior year development of approximately $52 million. During 2002, company actuaries conducted reserve reviews to determine the impact of any emerging data on anticipated loss development trends and recorded unpaid losses and LAE reserves. Based on the actuarial work performed, which included analyzing recent trends in the levels of the reported and paid claims, an updated range of actuarially determined loss reserve estimates was developed by accident year for each major line of business written by Caliber One. Management’s selection of the ultimate losses resulting from their reviews indicated that net loss reserves for prior accident years, mainly 1999 and 2000, needed to be increased by approximately $52 million, net of $12 million of ceded losses. This unfavorable prior year development reflects the impact of higher than expected claim severity and, to a lesser extent, frequency, that emerged in 2002 on casualty lines of business, primarily professional liability policies for the nursing homes class of business; general liability, including policies covering contractors’ liability for construction defects; and commercial automobile, mainly for accident years 1999 and 2000.

        As a result of its reserve reviews conducted during 2001, the Run-off Operations revised its estimate of ultimate expected claims activity and, accordingly, increased its estimate of ultimate losses, substantially all for accident years 1999 and 2000. During 2001, the Run-off Operations recorded unfavorable prior year development of $22.2 million, which is net of losses of approximately $26 million ceded to third party reinsurers under existing reinsurance contracts. These losses primarily reflect higher than expected claim frequency and severity that emerged in 2001 on certain casualty lines of business, primarily professional liability policies for the nursing homes class of business and, to a lesser extent, property lines of business.

        During 2000, the Run-off Operations recorded unfavorable prior year development of $2.9 million, primarily related to the emergence of higher than expected losses and LAE in certain segments of the professional liability (nursing homes), commercial automobile, general liability and property lines of business for coverage of 1999 exposures. During 2000, the Run-off Operations discontinued writing or cancelled policies in the professional liability (nursing homes) and commercial automobile classes of business that produced the emergence of higher than expected losses.

        Reserves transferred in 2002 and 2000 reflect the assumption of PMA Re’s and The PMA Insurance Group’s losses by an unaffiliated third party. Cash and short-term investments of $50 million and $49 million were transferred in 2002 and 2000, respectively, to support the payment of the transferred reserves.

        Unpaid losses for the Company’s workers’ compensation claims, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2002 and 2001 were $368.7 million and $363.5 million, net of discount of $82.7 million and $91.0 million, respectively. The discount rate used was approximately 5% at December 31, 2002 and 2001.

        The Company’s loss reserves were stated net of salvage and subrogation of $41.1 million and $40.8 million at December 31, 2002 and 2001, respectively.

        Management believes that its unpaid losses and LAE are fairly stated at December 31, 2002. However, estimating the ultimate claims liability is necessarily a complex and judgmental process inasmuch as the amounts are based on management’s informed estimates and judgments using data currently available. As additional experience and data become available regarding claims payment and reporting patterns, legal and legislative developments, judicial theories of liability, regulatory trends on benefit levels for both medical and indemnity payments, social attitudes and economic conditions, the estimates are revised accordingly. If the Company’s ultimate losses, net of reinsurance, prove to differ substantially from the amounts recorded at December 31, 2002, the related adjustments could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations and liquidity.

        At December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, gross reserves for asbestos-related losses were $42.1 million, $59.9 million and $49.2 million, respectively ($25.8 million, $28.6 million and $32.0 million, net of reinsurance, respectively). Of the net asbestos reserves, approximately $22.9 million, $26.6 million and $27.2 million related to IBNR losses at December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

        At December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, gross reserves for environmental-related losses were $18.2 million, $29.6 million and $29.5 million, respectively ($14.3 million, $16.0 million and $18.0 million, net of reinsurance, respectively). Of the net environmental reserves, approximately $7.9 million, $9.2 million and $9.2 million related to IBNR losses at December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. All incurred asbestos and environmental losses were for accident years 1986 and prior.

        Estimating reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures continues to be difficult because of several factors, including: (i) evolving methodologies for the estimation of the liabilities; (ii) lack of reliable historical claim data; (iii) uncertainties with respect to insurance and reinsurance coverage related to these obligations; (iv) changing judicial interpretations; and (v) changing government standards. Management believes that its reserves for asbestos and environmental claims are appropriately established based upon known facts, existing case law and generally accepted actuarial methodologies. However, due to changing interpretations by courts involving coverage issues, the potential for changes in federal and state standards for clean-up and liability, as well as issues involving policy provisions, allocation of liability and damages among participating insurers, and proof of coverage, the Company’s ultimate exposure for these claims may vary significantly from the amounts currently recorded, resulting in a potential future adjustment that could be material to the Company’s financial condition and results of operations.

Note 5. Reinsurance

The components of net premiums written and earned, and losses and LAE incurred are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Written premiums:
Direct	$	604,984		$	531,286		$	422,537
Assumed		781,562			485,568			398,726
Ceded		(281,549	)		(247,796	)		(275,708	)
Net	$	1,104,997		$	769,058		$	545,555
Earned premiums:
Direct	$	599,827		$	508,821		$	416,152
Assumed		691,740			466,975			393,828
Ceded		(300,556	)		(243,356	)		(278,556	)
Net	$	991,011		$	732,440		$	531,424
Losses and LAE:
Direct	$	503,867		$	478,013		$	368,424
Assumed		543,025			498,366			389,724
Ceded		(223,234	)		(359,616	)		(308,760	)
Net	$	823,658		$	616,763		$	449,388

Losses and LAE ceded for 2001 included approximately $120 million related to the September 11th attack on the World Trade Center.

        At December 31, 2002, the Company had reinsurance receivables due from the following unaffiliated reinsurers in excess of 5% of shareholders’ equity:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	Reinsurance Receivables		Collateral
The London Reinsurance Group
and Affiliates(1)	$	421,415	$	351,471
St. Paul and Affiliates(2)		157,196		153,211
Underwriters Re		101,500		101,500
Houston Casualty		97,050		--
PXRE		53,520		37,681
PartnerRe		39,781		--
Folksamerica Re		36,157		--
Berkley Insurance Company		35,985		--

(1) Includes Trabaja Reinsurance Company ($369.7 million), London Life & General Reinsurance Company ($50.7 million) and London Life & Casualty Reinsurance Corporation ($1.0 million).

(2) Includes United States Fidelity & Guaranty Insurance Company ($106.4 million) and Mountain Ridge InsuranceCompany ($50.8 million).

The Company performs credit reviews of its reinsurers focusing on, among other things, financial capacity, stability, trends and commitment to the reinsurance business. Prospective and existing reinsurers failing to meet the Company’s standards are excluded from the Company’s reinsurance programs. In addition, the Company requires collateral, typically assets in trust, letters of credit or funds withheld, to support balances due from certain reinsurers, consisting generally of those not authorized to transact business in the applicable jurisdictions.

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At December 31, 2002 and 2001, the Company’s reinsurance receivables of $1,295.1 million and $1,210.8 million were supported by $666.9 million and $626.9 million of collateral. Of the uncollateralized reinsurance receivables as of December 31, 2002, approximately 91% were recoverable from reinsurers rated "A-" or better by A.M. Best. The Company believes that the amounts receivable from reinsurers are fully collectible and that the valuation allowance is adequate to cover any disputes about amounts owed by reinsurers to the Company.

        Our largest reinsurance receivable is due from Trabaja Reinsurance Company ("Trabaja"). Reinsurance receivables from Trabaja were $369.7 million at December 31, 2002, of which 81% were collateralized.

        Trabaja, formerly PMA Insurance Cayman, Ltd. ("PMA Cayman"), is a wholly owned subsidiary of London Life and Casualty Reinsurance Corporation ("London Reinsurance Group"). The Company sold PMA Cayman to London Reinsurance Group for $1.8 million, and transferred approximately $230 million of cash and invested assets as well as loss reserves to the buyer in 1998. Under the terms of the sale of PMA Cayman to London Reinsurance Group in 1998, the Company has agreed to indemnify London Reinsurance Group, up to a maximum of $15 million if the actual claim payments in the aggregate exceed the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves of PMA Cayman were established. If the actual claim payments in the aggregate are less than the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves have been established, then the Company will participate in such favorable loss reserve development.

        The total equity of Trabaja as of December 31, 2002 and 2001 is $1.3 million and $679,000, respectively. Management believes that the assets of Trabaja of $272.5 million at December 31, 2002, are sufficient to satisfy Trabaja’s reinsurance obligations to the Company. All of Trabaja’s reinsurance transactions are conducted with the Company.

        In January 2002, the Company supplemented its in-force reinsurance programs for PMA Re and The PMA Insurance Group with retroactive reinsurance contracts with Trabaja that provide coverage for adverse loss development on certain lines of business written prior to 2002. These contracts provide coverage of up to $125 million in losses in return for $55 million of funding, which included $50 million of assets and $5 million in ceded premiums. Such funding was provided by the Company in 2002. Under the terms of the contracts, PMA Re’s losses and LAE ceded to Trabaja for accident years 1996 through 2001 are recoverable as they are incurred by the Company. In 2002, PMA Re recognized a benefit of $25 million for losses ceded to these reinsurance contracts. Any future cession of losses under these contracts may require the Company to cede additional premiums ranging from 40% to 50% of ceded losses depending on the level of such losses. In addition to the transfer of assets and loss reserves of $50 million in 2002 to Trabaja, PMA also transferred $49 million of assets and loss reserves to Trabaja in 2000.

Note 6. Debt

At December 31, 2002, the Company had $65.0 million outstanding under its new credit facility ("Credit Facility"), which was executed in September 2002 and replaced the Company’s existing bank facility that was scheduled to mature at December 31, 2002. The proceeds from the Credit Facility were used to repay the existing bank facility, which had $62.5 million outstanding. The Credit Facility will mature in September 2003, or the Company may convert the outstanding principal amount into a term loan that matures June 30, 2004, if the Company meets certain financial performance targets. At December 31, 2002, the interest rate on the utilized portion of the Credit Facility was 3.6%, which equals the London InterBank Offered Rate ("LIBOR") plus 1.8%. The Credit Facility carries a facility fee on any unutilized portion of 0.375% per annum. Effective March 2003, the Company amended the Credit Facility to reduce it to $45 million in borrowing capacity and repaid $20 million. In addition, the March 2003 amendment increased the interest rate to LIBOR plus 2.125%.

        In October 2002, the Company issued $86.25 million of 4.25% convertible senior debentures ("Convertible Debt") due September 30, 2022 from which the Company received net proceeds of approximately $83.7 million. The Convertible Debt bears interest at a rate of 4.25% per annum, payable semi-annually, beginning on March 30, 2003. In addition, contingent interest may be payable by the Company to the holders of the Convertible Debt commencing September 30, 2006, under certain circumstances. Each $1,000 principal amount of the Convertible Debt is convertible into 61.0948 shares of the Company’s Class A common stock under certain events specified in the indenture, including once the stock price reaches $19.64 for a specified period of time or if the Company’s senior debt rating is below Ba3 or BB-. Further, holders of the Convertible Debt, at their option, may require the Company to repurchase all or a portion of their debentures on September 30, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2017, or subject to specified exceptions, upon a change in control. The Company may choose to pay the repurchase price in cash or shares of Class A common stock. The Convertible Debt is redeemable in cash, in whole or in part, at the Company’s option at any time on or after September 30, 2006. SeeNote 8 for additional information.

        The Company has a letter of credit facility (the "Letter of Credit Facility") which provides for up to $50.0 million in letter of credit capacity. At December 31, 2002 and 2001, the aggregate outstanding face amount of letters of credit issued was $15.7 million and $27.9 million, respectively. The Letter

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

of Credit Facility is utilized primarily for collateralizing reinsurance obligations of the insurance subsidiaries of the Company. At December 31, 2002, fees for the Letter of Credit Facility were 0.45% per annum on the utilized portion and 0.15% on the unutilized portion.

        The debt covenants supporting the Credit Facility and the Letter of Credit Facility contain provisions that, among other matters, limit the Company’s ability to incur additional indebtedness, merge, consolidate and acquire or sell assets. The debt covenants of the Company’s currently outstanding debt also require the Company to satisfy certain ratios related to statutory surplus, debt-to-capitalization, cash coverage, risk-based capital and reinsurance recoverables to equity. Additionally, the debt covenants place restrictions on dividends to shareholders.

Note 7. Commitments and Contingencies

For the years ended December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000 total rent expense was $4.1 million, $3.9 million and $3.4 million, respectively. At December 31, 2002, the Company was obligated under noncancelable operating leases for office space with aggregate minimum annual net rentals of $5.0 million in 2003, $3.4 million in 2004, $3.3 million in 2005, $3.0 million in 2006 and $18.3 million thereafter, net of sublease rentals of $242,000 in 2003, $1.5 million in 2004, 2005 and 2006, and $12.6 million thereafter. In addition, the Company was obligated under noncancelable operating leases for office computers, equipment and other items of $2.7 million in 2003, $1.8 million in 2004, $881,000 in 2005, $426,000 in 2006 and $65,000 thereafter.

        In the event a property and casualty insurer operating in a jurisdiction where the Company’s insurance subsidiaries also operate becomes or is declared insolvent, state insurance regulations provide for the assessment of other insurers to fund any capital deficiency of the insolvent insurer. Generally, this assessment is based upon the ratio of an insurer’s voluntary premiums written to the total premiums written for all insurers in that particular jurisdiction. As of December 31, 2002 and 2001, the Company had recorded liabilities of $5.4 million and $3.8 million for these assessments, which is included in accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities on the balance sheet.

        The Company has provided guarantees of $7.0 million related to loans on properties in which the Company has an interest. The Company has also provided guarantees of $2.2 million related to an executive loan program for officers of the Company with a financial institution. The program expires on December 31, 2003. SeeNote 16 for additional information.

        Under the terms of the sale of PMA Cayman in 1998, the Company has agreed to indemnify the buyer, up to a maximum of $15 million if the actual claim payments in the aggregate exceed the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves of PMA Cayman were established. If the actual claim payments in the aggregate are less than the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves have been established, the Company will participate in such favorable loss reserve development.

        The Company is continuously involved in numerous lawsuits arising, for the most part, in the ordinary course of business, either as a liability insurer defending third-party claims brought against its insureds, or as an insurer defending coverage claims brought against it by its policyholders or other insurers. While the outcome of all litigation involving the Company, including insurance-related litigation, cannot be determined, litigation is not expected to result in losses that differ from recorded reserves by amounts that would be material to the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity. In addition, reinsurance recoveries related to claims in litigation, net of the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance, are not expected to result in recoveries that differ from recorded receivables by amounts that would be material to the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.

Note 8. Shareholders’ Equity

Changes in Class A Common stock shares were as follows:

	2002		2001		2000
Class A Common stock:
Balance at beginning of year	34,217,945		24,442,945		11,358,280
Issuance of Class A
Common stock	--		9,775,000		--
Conversion of Common stock
into Class A Common stock	--		--		13,084,665
Balance at end of year	34,217,945		34,217,945		24,442,945
Treasury stock - Class A
Common stock:
Balance at beginning of year	3,050,939		2,869,629		1,665,426
Purchase of treasury shares	90,185		299,300		988,800
Reissuance of treasury shares
under employee benefit plans	(252,101	)	(117,990	)	(220,604	)
Conversion of Common stock
into Class A Common stock	--		--		436,007
Balance at end of year	2,889,023		3,050,939		2,869,629

In December 2001, the Company issued 9,775,000 shares of its Class A Common stock, realizing net proceeds of $157.9 million. The Company used the net proceeds from this issuance to contribute additional capital to its reinsurance

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subsidiary and to repay $62.5 million of its outstanding debt under its Credit Facility.

        The Company repurchased 90,000 shares of its Class A Common stock at a cost of $1.7 million in 2002, 299,000 shares at a cost of $5.3 million in 2001 and 989,000 shares at a cost of $18.4 million in 2000. The Company’s remaining share repurchase authorization at December 31, 2002 is $15.4 million. Decisions regarding share repurchases are subject to prevailing market conditions and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital.

        The Company declared dividends on its Class A Common stock of $0.42, $0.42 and $0.39 per share in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. The Company declared dividends on its Common stock of $0.08 per share in 2000.

        Effective on the close of business April 24, 2000, the Company eliminated its class of Common stock from the Company’s authorized capital and reclassified each issued share of Common stock (13,084,665 shares of Common stock and 436,007 shares of Common Treasury stock) into one share of Class A Common stock. In addition, in early 2000 the Company authorized 2,000,000 shares of undesignated Preferred stock, $0.01 par value per share. There are no shares of Preferred stock issued or outstanding.

        In 2000, the Company’s Board of Directors adopted a shareholder rights plan that will expire on May 22, 2010. The rights automatically attached to each share of Class A Common stock. Generally, the rights become exercisable after the acquisition of 15% or more of the Company’s Class A Common stock and permit rights-holders to purchase the Company’s Class A Common stock or that of an acquirer at a substantial discount. The Company may redeem the rights for $0.001 per right at any time prior to an acquisition.

        The Company’s domestic insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends to the holding company is limited by the insurance laws and regulations of Pennsylvania. All of PMA Capital’s domestic insurance entities are owned by PMA Capital Insurance Company ("PMACIC"). As a result, dividends from The PMA Insurance Group’s Pooled Companies may not be paid directly to PMA Capital. Instead, only PMACIC, a Pennsylvania domiciled company, may pay dividends directly to PMA Capital. Approximately $58 million of dividends are available to be paid by PMACIC to PMA Capital in 2003 without the prior approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. As of December 31, 2002, The PMA Insurance Group’s Pooled Companies can pay up to $24.6 million in dividends to PMACIC during 2003. Dividends received from subsidiaries were $28.0 million, $29.6 million and $36.0 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively.

        PMA Capital’s dividends to shareholders are restricted by certain of its debt agreements. Under the most restrictive debt covenant of the Credit Facility and the Letter of Credit Facility, the Company would be able to pay dividends of approximately $25 million in 2003.

Note 9. Stock Options

The Company currently has stock option plans in place for stock options granted to officers and other key employees for the purchase of the Company’s Class A Common stock, under which 3,401,652 Class A Common shares were reserved for issuance at December 31, 2002. The stock options are granted under terms and conditions determined by the Stock Option Committee of the Board of Directors. Stock options granted have a maximum term of ten years, generally vest over periods ranging between two and four years, and are typically granted with an exercise price at least equal to the fair market value of the Class A Common stock on the date the options are granted. Information regarding these option plans is as follows:

	2002					2001					2000
	Shares			Weighted Average Price		Shares			Weighted Average Price		Shares			Weighted Average Price
Options outstanding, beginning of year		3,387,154		$	16.45		3,444,026		$	16.22		3,320,556		$	15.40
Options granted		440,500			19.50		115,000			20.00		411,000			21.50
Options exercised		(302,465	)		12.66		(128,372	)		12.20		(221,905	)		13.02
Options forfeited or expired		(428,695	)		18.78		(43,500	)		20.26		(65,625	)		18.84
Options outstanding, end of year(1)		3,096,494		$	16.93		3,387,154		$	16.45		3,444,026		$	16.22
Options exercisable, end of year		2,059,729		$	15.74		2,190,357		$	14.91		2,102,509		$	14.38
Option price range at end of year	$11.50 to $21.50					$10.00 to $21.50						$8.00 to $21.50
Option price range for exercised shares	$10.00 to $17.00					$8.00 to $17.00						$8.00 to $17.00
Options available for grant at end of year	305,158					48,466						121,966

(1) Included in the options outstanding at the end of 2002, 2001 and 2000 are 260,000, 420,000 and 420,000 options ("Target Price Options"), respectively, with an exercise price of $17.00, which would have become exercisable had the Company’s Class A Common stock achieved certain target prices by February 2003. Because the stock did not reach the necessary price, the Target Price Options expired as unvested options in February 2003. In 2000, the Company reduced the accrual for these Target Price Options by approximately $1 million. There was no accrued liability for the Target Price Options as of December 31, 2002 and 2001.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

Of the total options granted in 2002, 225,000 were granted with an exercise price that was lower than the market value on the grant date ("in-the-money"), and such options had a weighted average exercise price of $19.50 per share and a weighted average fair value of $14.61 per share. The remaining 215,500 were granted with an exercise price that exceeded the market value on the grant date ("out-of-the-money"), and such options had an exercise price of $19.50 per share and a weighted average fair value of $7.66 per share. In 2001 and 2000, all options were granted out-of-the-money at an exercise price of $20.00 and $21.50 per share and a fair value of $6.39 and $7.16 per share, respectively.

        The Company accounts for stock-based compensation using the intrinsic value method prescribed in Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees," and related interpretations. Included in the Company’s net loss for 2002 were pre-tax compensation costs of $215,000. No compensation cost was recognized in 2001. In 2000, net income included a benefit of $1 million pre-tax related to the Target Price Options as discussed above.

        The fair value of options at date of grant was estimated using an option-pricing model with the following weighted average assumptions:

	2002		2001		2000
Expected life (years)	10		10		10
Risk-free interest rate	5.1	%	5.2	%	6.5	%
Expected volatility	16.8	%	15.9	%	17.1	%
Expected dividend yield	2.0	%	2.4	%	2.4	%

Stock options outstanding and options exercisable at December 31, 2002 were as follows:

	Options Outstanding			Options Exercisable
Exercise Prices	Number of Shares	Weighted Average Remaining Life	Weighted Average Exercise Price	Number of Shares	Weighted Average Exercise Price
$11.50 to $14.00	572,139	0.83	$11.79	572,139	$11.79
$14.01 to $16.50	445,300	2.43	$15.48	445,300	$15.48
$16.51 to $19.00	989,750	3.36	$17.07	729,750	$17.09
$19.01 to $21.50	1,089,305	7.63	$20.09	312,540	$20.17

SeeNote 2K for additional information.

Note 10. Earnings Per Share

Shares used as the denominator of the basic and diluted earnings per share were computed as follows:

	2002	2001	2000
Basic shares - weighted
average shares outstanding	31,284,848	21,831,725	21,898,967
Effect of dilutive stock options	--	384,970	454,655
Total diluted shares	31,284,848	22,216,695	22,353,622

For all years presented, there were no differences in the numerator (net income (loss)) for the basic and diluted earnings per share calculation.

        The effect of 3.1 million, 873,000 and 840,500 stock options were excluded from the computation of diluted earnings per share because they would have been anti-dilutive for 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively.

        The 2002 diluted shares do not assume the conversion of the Company’s 4.25% convertible debentures into 5.3 million shares of Class A Common stock because under the terms of the Convertible Debt agreement they did not meet the required conditions for holders to be able to convert the debentures. SeeNote 6 for additional information.

Note 11. Fair Value of Financial Instruments

As of December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, the carrying amounts for the Company’s financial instruments approximated their estimated fair value, other than the Convertible Debt, which had a fair value of approximately $95 million, compared to a carrying value of $86.25 million. The Company measures the fair value of fixed maturities and the Convertible Debt based upon quoted market prices or by obtaining quotes from dealers. The fair value of bank debt is estimated using discounted cash flow calculations based upon the Company’s current incremental borrowing rate for similar types of borrowing facilities or the rate utilized to prepay obligations, where applicable. For other financial instruments, the carrying values approximate their fair values. Certain financial instruments, specifically amounts relating to insurance and reinsurance contracts, are excluded from this disclosure.

Note 12. Income Taxes

The components of the federal income tax benefit are:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Current	$	(3,606	)	$	(8,372	)	$	(1,120	)
Deferred		(27,527	)		(3,147	)		(82	)
Income tax benefit	$	(31,133	)	$	(11,519	)	$	(1,202	)

A reconciliation between the total income tax benefit and the amounts computed at the statutory federal income tax rate of 35% is as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Federal income tax at the
statutory rate	$	(27,705	)	$	(1,546	)	$	43
Reversal of income tax accruals		(3,000	)		(10,076	)		(1,362	)
Other		(428	)		103			117
Income tax benefit	$	(31,133	)	$	(11,519	)	$	(1,202	)

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The tax effects of significant temporary differences between the financial statement carrying amounts and tax bases of assets and liabilities that represent the net deferred tax asset are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)	2002			2001
Discounting of unpaid losses and LAE	$	61,824		$	54,647
Net operating loss and tax credit carryforwards		50,914			29,189
Unearned premiums		26,870			18,508
Allowance for uncollectible accounts		6,235			6,402
Postretirement benefit obligation		4,715			4,878
Deferred compensation		1,944			3,001
Depreciation		2,043			1,909
Guaranty funds and other assessments		1,604			1,335
Other		9,706			9,469
Gross deferred tax assets		165,855			129,338
Valuation allowance		--			(572	)
Deferred tax assets, net of valuation allowance		165,855			128,766
Deferred acquisition costs		(31,227	)		(22,521	)
Losses of foreign reinsurance affiliate		(8,120	)		(11,120	)
Unrealized appreciation of investments		(18,594	)		(2,886	)
Prepaid pension		(8,106	)		(2,945	)
Capitalized software		(4,066	)		(4,100	)
Other		(1,668	)		(3,074	)
Gross deferred tax liabilities		(71,781	)		(46,646	)
Net deferred tax assets	$	94,074		$	82,120

At December 31, 2002, the Company had $107.7 million of net operating loss carryforwards, which will expire in 2018 through 2022; $11.4 million of capital loss carryforwards, which will expire in 2007; and $8.5 million of alternative minimum tax ("AMT") credit carryforwards, which do not expire.

        Management believes that it is more likely than not that the benefit of its deferred tax asset of $94.1 million, as of December 31, 2002, will be fully realized. The Company has determined that no valuation allowance is required on its future income tax asset as of December 31, 2002. Realization of the deferred tax asset is dependent on generating sufficient future taxable income. Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that all of the deferred tax asset will be realized. The amount of the deferred tax asset considered realizable, however, could be reduced if actual, or estimates, of future taxable income are reduced. In 2002, the Company decreased its valuation allowance on deferred tax assets relating to certain foreign insurance operations by $572,000 because the Company utilized $572,000 of foreign net operating loss carryovers in 2002.

        The Company’s federal income tax returns are subject to audit by the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS"), and provisions are made in the financial statements in anticipation of the results of these audits. In 2001, the IRS completed their examination of the Company’s 1996 U.S. federal tax return with no material changes to the Company’s filed tax return. No other tax years are currently under audit by the IRS. In management’s opinion, adequate liabilities have been established for all years.

        In October 2002, the Company received a refund from the IRS of $9.6 million resulting from an AMT net operating loss, which was generated in 2001 and carried back to 1998 and 1999.

Note 13. Employee Retirement, Postretirement and Postemployment Benefits

A. Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits:

Pension Benefits —The Company sponsors a qualified non-contributory defined benefit pension plan (the "Qualified Pension Plan") covering substantially all employees. After meeting certain qualifications, an employee acquires a vested right to future benefits. The benefits payable under the plan are generally determined on the basis of an employee’s length of employment and salary during employment. The Company’s policy is to fund pension costs in accordance with the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974.

        The Company also maintains non-qualified unfunded supplemental defined benefit pension plans (the "Non-qualified Pension Plans") for the benefit of certain key employees. The projected benefit obligation and accumulated benefit obligation for the Non-qualified Pension Plans were $6.2 million and $5.8 million, respectively, as of December 31, 2002.

Other Postretirement Benefits —In addition to providing pension benefits, the Company provides certain health care benefits for retired employees and their spouses. Substantially all of the Company’s employees may become eligible for those benefits if they meet the requirements for early retirement under the Qualified Pension Plan and have a minimum of 10 years employment with the Company. For employees who retired on or subsequent to January 1, 1993, the Company will pay a fixed portion of medical insurance premiums, including Medicare Part B. Retirees will absorb future increases in medical premiums.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

        The following tables set forth the amounts recognized in the Company’s financial statements with respect to Pension Benefits and Other Postretirement Benefits:

	Pension Benefits						Other Postretirement Benefits
(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2002			2001
Change in benefit obligation:
Benefit obligation at beginning of year	$	57,143		$	51,698		$	8,515		$	8,274
Service cost		2,396			1,917			316			205
Interest cost		4,278			3,911			589			605
Actuarial loss		5,379			1,868			229			496
Benefits paid		(2,272	)		(2,251	)		(841	)		(1,065	)
Benefit obligation at end of year	$	66,924		$	57,143		$	8,808		$	8,515
Change in plan assets:
Fair value of plan assets at beginning of year	$	49,327		$	45,440		$	--		$	--
Actual return on plan assets		(6,437	)		(2,862	)		--			--
Employer contributions		16,500			9,000			--			--
Benefits paid		(2,272	)		(2,251	)		--			--
Fair value of plan assets at end of year	$	57,118		$	49,327		$	--		$	--
Benefit obligation greater than the fair value of plan assets	$	(9,806	)	$	(7,816	)	$	(8,808	)	$	(8,515	)
Unrecognized actuarial (gain) loss		29,126			13,603			(3,905	)		(4,354	)
Unrecognized prior service (cost) benefit		492			497			(722	)		(841	)
Unrecognized net transition obligation		333			329			--			--
Prepaid (accrued) benefit at end of year	$	20,145		$	6,613		$	(13,435	)	$	(13,710	)

	Pension Benefits									Other Postretirement Benefits
(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000			2002			2001			2000
Components of net periodic benefit cost:
Service cost	$	2,396		$	1,917		$	1,408		$	316		$	205		$	181
Interest cost		4,278			3,911			3,686			589			605			613
Expected return on plan assets		(4,333	)		(3,983	)		(4,375	)		--			--			--
Amortization of transition obligation		(4	)		(4	)		(4	)		--			--			--
Amortization of prior service cost		5			5			5			(119	)		(119	)		(119	)
Recognized actuarial (gain) loss		662			26			(34	)		(218	)		(231	)		(248	)
Net periodic benefit cost	$	3,004		$	1,872		$	686		$	568		$	460		$	427
Weighted average assumptions:
Discount rate		6.75%			7.25%			7.50%			6.75%			7.25%			7.50%
Expected return on plan assets		9.00%			9.00%			9.00%			--			--			--
Rate of compensation increase		4.50%			4.75%			4.75%			--			--			--

For the measurement of Other Postretirement Benefits, a 9% annual rate of increase in the per capita cost of covered health care benefits was assumed for 2003. The rate was assumed to decrease gradually to 5.5% by 2007 and remain at that level thereafter. A one percentage point change in assumed health care cost trend rates would have an immaterial impact on the total service and interest cost components of the net periodic benefit cost and the postretirement benefit obligation.

        Qualified Pension Plan assets consist of approximately 35% equity securities and approximately 65% fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2002.

B. Defined Contribution Savings Plan —The Company also maintains a voluntary defined contribution savings plan covering substantially all employees. The Company matches employee contributions up to 5% of compensation. Contri-butions under such plans expensed in 2002, 2001 and 2000 were $3.4 million, $2.9 million and $2.6 million, respectively.

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C.  Postemployment Benefits —The Company may provide certain benefits to employees subsequent to their employment, but prior to retirement including severance, long-term and short-term disability payments, and other related benefits. Postemployment benefits attributable to prior service and/or that relate to benefits that vest or accumulate are accrued presently if the payments are probable and reasonably estimable. Postemployment benefits that do not meet such criteria are accrued when payments are probable and reasonably estimable. SeeNote 14 for additional information regarding severance.

Note 14. Run-Off Operations

In May 2002, the Company announced its decision to withdraw from the excess and surplus lines marketplace previously served by the Caliber One operating segment. On January 2, 2003, the Company completed the sale of the capital stock of Caliber One Indemnity Company, and received gross proceeds of approximately $31 million, representing $3.5 million plus surplus of approximately $27 million. Pursuant to the agreement of sale, the Company has retained all assets and liabilities related to the in-force policies and outstanding claim obligations relating to Caliber One’s business written prior to closing. The transaction is not expected to have a material effect on the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. As a result of the Company’s decision to exit this business, the results of this segment are reported as Run-off Operations.

        As a result of the decision to exit from and run off this business, 2002 results for the Run-off Operations include a charge of $43 million pre-tax ($28 million after-tax). Components of the pre-tax charge include expenses associated with the recognition of liabilities of approximately $27 million, including reinsurance costs of approximately $19 million, long-term lease costs of approximately $4 million and involuntary employee termination benefits of approximately $3 million. In addition, the $43 million pre-tax charge includes approximately $16 million to write-down assets to their estimated net realizable value, including approximately $9 million for reinsurance, premiums and other receivables and a non-cash charge of approximately $6 million for leasehold improvements and other fixed assets and $1.3 million for goodwill. SeeNote 15 for additional information regarding the reinsurance component of the charge. The charge was included in Operating expenses (approximately $24 million) and Net premiums earned (approximately $19 million) in the statement of operations in 2002.

        During 2002, approximately 80 Caliber One employees, primarily in the underwriting area, were terminated in accordance with the Company’s exit plan. Approximately 17 positions, primarily claims, remain after the terminations. Involuntary employee termination benefits of $1.9 million were paid during 2002.

Note 15. Business Segments

The Company’s pre-tax operating income (loss) by principal business segment and net income (loss) are presented in the table below. In addition to providing net income (loss), the Company also provides operating income (loss) because management believes that it is a meaningful measure of the profit or loss generated by the Company’s operating segments. Operating income (loss) differs from GAAP net income (loss) in that it excludes net realized investment gains and losses because (i) net realized investment gains and losses are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance and (ii) in many instances, decisions to buy and sell securities are made at the holding company level, and such decisions result in net realized gains and losses that do not relate to the operations of the individual segments. Operating income (loss) does not replace net income (loss) as the GAAP measure of our results of operations.

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
Pre-tax operating income (loss):
PMA Re	$	13,422		$	(3,062	)	$	(7,297	)
The PMA Insurance Group		25,346			23,148			21,601
Run-off Operations		(87,501	)		(26,168	)		(7,014	)
Corporate and Other		(14,339	)		(6,322	)		(19,142	)
Pre-tax operating loss		(63,072	)		(12,404	)		(11,852	)
Net realized investment
gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988			11,975
Income (loss) before income taxes		(79,157	)		(4,416	)		123
Income tax benefit		(31,133	)		(11,519	)		(1,202	)
Net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325

The Company’s revenues, substantially all of which are generated within the U.S., by principal business segment were as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001		2000
PMA Re	$	600,249		$	385,762	$	302,234
The PMA Insurance Group		460,573			397,258		310,416
Run-off Operations		31,253			49,356		33,223
Corporate and Other		(853	)		9,608		2,142
Net realized investment
gains (losses)		(16,085	)		7,988		11,975
Total revenues	$	1,075,137		$	849,972	$	659,990

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

Net premiums earned by principal business segment are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
PMA Re:
Traditional - Treaty
Casualty	$	167,411		$	66,242		$	79,942
Property		94,655			50,347			44,779
Other		4,949			1,285			683
Total		267,015			117,874			125,404
Finite Risk and Financial Products
Casualty		101,885			74,499			30,236
Property		86,639			108,395			45,085
Other		19,007			1,163			2,876
Total		207,531			184,057			78,197
Specialty - Treaty
Casualty		54,911			28,416			42,448
Property		2,998			1,378			1,031
Other		439			734			617
Total		58,348			30,528			44,096
Facultative
Casualty		12,263			4,727			65
Property		6,356			3,215			3,347
Total		18,619			7,942			3,412
Total casualty		336,470			173,884			152,691
Total property		190,648			163,335			94,242
Total other(1)		24,395			3,182			4,176
Total premiums earned		551,513			340,401			251,109
The PMA Insurance Group:
Workers' compensation and
integrated disability		333,956			284,128			195,856
Commercial automobile		43,384			32,664			26,963
Commercial multi-peril		25,390			25,863			27,669
Other		7,536			3,919			1,860
Total premiums earned		410,266			346,574			252,348
Run-off Operations		30,113			46,232			28,799
Corporate and Other		(881	)		(767	)		(832	)
Net premiums earned	$	991,011		$	732,440		$	531,424

(1) Primarily aviation, ocean marine and accident in 2002.

The Company’s amortization and depreciation expense by principal business segment were as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001		2000
PMA Re	$	4,159	$	3,520	$	1,803
The PMA Insurance Group		3,598		1,933		3,609
Run-off Operations		1,313		1,295		1,123
Corporate and Other		129		328		863
Total depreciation and
amortization expense	$	9,199	$	7,076	$	7,398

The Company’s total assets⁽¹⁾by principal business segment were as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002		2001
PMA Re	$	2,000,960	$	1,868,818
The PMA Insurance Group		1,874,610		1,678,206
Run-off Operations		206,849		299,756
Corporate and Other(2)		23,375		(43,801	)
Total assets	$	4,105,794	$	3,802,979

(1) Equity investments in subsidiaries, which eliminate in consolidation, are excluded from total assets for each segment.

(2) Corporate and Other includes the effects of eliminating transactions between the various insurance segments.

PMA Re distributes its products through reinsurance brokers, and PMA Re’s top four such brokers accounted for approximately 80% of PMA Re’s gross premiums written in 2002. During 2002, 2001 and 2000, total revenues of approximately $287 million, $110 million and $76 million, respectively, were placed through brokers which individually exceeded 10% of the Company’s total revenue.

        The PMA Insurance Group’s operations are concentrated in nine contiguous states in the eastern part of the U.S. As such, economic trends in individual states may not be independent of one another. Also, The PMA Insurance Group’s products are highly regulated by each of these states. For many of The PMA Insurance Group’s products, the insurance departments of the states in which it conducts business must approve rates and policy forms. In addition, workers’ compensation benefits are determined by statutes and regulations in each of these states. While The PMA Insurance Group considers factors such as rate adequacy, regulatory climate and economic factors in its underwriting process, unfavorable developments in these factors could have an adverse impact on the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. In 2002, 2001 and 2000, workers’ compensation net premiums written by The PMA Insurance Group represented 32%, 36% and 37%, respectively, of the Company’s net premiums written.

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        PMA Re has agreed to assume the claims obligations of the Run-off Operations if the actual claim payments in the aggregate exceed the estimated payments upon which the loss reserves of the Run-off Operations were established. As a result of this transaction, PMA Re recorded assumed premium of $10 million in 2002. No losses were recorded by PMA Re in connection with this transaction. Also during 2002, PMA Re recorded assumed premium of $8.5 million in connection with the assumption of losses from the Run-off Operations, which PMA Re retroceded under its existing retrocessional contracts. As a result of these two transactions, the Run-off Operations recorded a ceded premium charge of $18.5 million in 2002 as part of the charge to exit from and run off the excess and surplus lines business. These amounts are reflected in the individual business segments’ pre-tax operating income (loss) and revenues.

        The Company actively manages its exposure to catastrophes through its underwriting process, where the Company generally monitors the accumulation of insurable values in catastrophe-prone regions. Also, in writing property reinsurance coverages, PMA Re typically requires per occurrence loss limitations for contracts that could have catastrophe exposure. Through per risk reinsurance, the Company manages its net retention in each exposure. PMA Re’s property per occurrence reinsurance provides catastrophe protection of $40.0 million in excess of $10.0 million on its traditional property book and $12.5 million in excess of $5.0 million for property exposures underwritten by its Finite Risk and Financial Products unit. PMA Re can also recover an additional $20.0 million of Traditional and/or Finite Risk and Financial Products occurrence losses under certain industry loss scenarios. Certain of these contracts require the cession of additional premiums of up to 20% of ceded losses depending on the level of such losses. The PMA Insurance Group maintains catastrophe reinsurance protection of 95% of $18.0 million excess of $2.0 million.

        Although the Company believes that it has adequate reinsurance to protect against the estimated probable maximum gross loss from a catastrophe, an especially severe catastrophe or series of catastrophes could exceed the Company’s reinsurance and/or retrocessional protection and may have a material adverse impact on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations and liquidity. In 2001, the Company’s results reflect approximately $30 million pre-tax ($20 million after-tax) of losses due to the attack on the World Trade Center. SeeNote 4 for additional information. In 2002 and 2000, the Company’s loss and LAE ratios were not significantly impacted by catastrophes.

Note 16. Transactions with Related Parties

The Company’s largest shareholder is PMA Foundation (the "Foundation"), a not-for-profit corporation qualified under Section 501(c)(6) of the Internal Revenue Code, whose purposes include the promotion of the common business interests of its members and the economic prosperity of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. As of December 31, 2002, the Foundation owned 5,558,050 shares, or 17.7%, of the Company’s Class A Common stock, and all but two members of the Company’s Board of Directors currently serve as members of the Foundation’s Board of Trustees. Also, Frederick W. Anton III, Chairman of the Company, serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of the Foundation. The Company and certain of its subsidiaries provide certain administrative services to the Foundation for which the Company and its subsidiaries receive reimbursement. Total reimbursements amounted to $13,000 for each of the years ended December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively. The Foundation also leases its Harrisburg, Pennsylvania headquarters facility from a subsidiary of the Company under an operating lease presently requiring rent payments of $25,000 per month, and reimburses a subsidiary of the Company for its use of office space. Rent and related reimbursements paid to the Company’s affiliates by the Foundation was $304,000 for each of the years ended December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000.

        The Company incurred legal and consulting expenses aggregating approximately $3.9 million, $4.8 million and $5.3 million in 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively, from firms in which directors of the Company are partners or principals.

        At December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, the Company had notes receivable from officers totaling $62,000, $158,000 and $56,000, respectively, that are accounted for as a reduction of shareholders’ equity. At December 31, 2002, the interest rate on these notes was 4.75%.

        The Company has arranged an executive loan program with a financial institution. The institution provides personal demand loans to officers of the Company at a floating interest rate equal to the financial institution’s prime rate minus 1/2%. Such loans are collateralized by Class A Common stock beneficially owned by the officer and a Company treasury security. The Company has agreed to purchase any loan made to an officer (including accrued interest and related expenses) from the financial institution in the event that the borrower defaults on the loan. The amount of loans outstanding as of December 31, 2002 under this program was $2.2 million. The program expires on December 31, 2003.

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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (continued)

Note 17. Statutory Financial Information

These consolidated financial statements vary in certain respects from financial statements prepared using statutory accounting practices that are prescribed or permitted by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department and the Delaware Insurance Department, (collectively "SAP"). Prescribed SAP includes state laws, regulations and general administrative rules, as well as a variety of National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") publications. Permitted SAP encompasses all accounting practices that are not prescribed. The Codification of Statutory Accounting Principles ("Codification") guidance is the NAIC’s primary guidance on statutory accounting.

SAP net income (loss) and capital and surplus for PMA Capital’s domestic insurance subsidiaries are as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
SAP net income (loss):
PMA Capital Insurance Co.	$	(8,039	)	$	(18,708	)	$	8,920
The PMA Insurance Group		4,984			25,341			4,847
Caliber One Indemnity Co.		(27,874	)		(3,658	)		5,233
Total	$	(30,929	)	$	2,975		$	19,000
SAP capital and surplus:
PMA Capital Insurance Co.	$	580,151		$	559,578		$	529,631
The PMA Insurance Group		305,533			264,476			254,633
Caliber One Indemnity Co.		26,844			37,060			42,859
Eliminations(1)		(332,377	)		(301,536	)		(297,492	)
Total	$	580,151		$	559,578		$	529,631

(1) The surplus of The PMA Insurance Group’s domestic insurance subsidiaries and Caliber Indemnity Company are eliminated as they are included in the statutory surplus of PMA Capital Insurance Company, the parent company of these insurance companies.

A reconciliation of PMA Capital’s domestic insurance subsidiaries’ SAP net income (loss) to the Company’s GAAP net income (loss) is as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
SAP net income (loss) -
domestic insurance subsidiaries	$	(30,929	)	$	2,975		$	19,000
GAAP adjustments:
Dividends received from
subsidiaries		(15,200	)		(16,797	)		(1,706	)
Change in deferred acquisition costs		24,872			15,828			(109	)
Benefit (provision) for deferred
income taxes		3,790			(7,100	)		(5,205	)
Allowance for doubtful accounts		906			4,874			(454	)
Guaranty fund and loss based
assessments		(910	)		328			1,362
Other		(7,694	)		(10,610	)		1,984
GAAP net income (loss) -
domestic insurance subsidiaries		(25,165	)		(10,502	)		14,872
Other entities and eliminations		(22,859	)		17,605			(13,547	)
GAAP net income (loss)	$	(48,024	)	$	7,103		$	1,325

A reconciliation of PMA Capital’s domestic insurance subsidiaries’ SAP capital and surplus to the Company’s GAAP shareholders’ equity is as follows:

(dollar amounts in thousands)		2002			2001			2000
SAP capital and surplus -
domestic insurance subsidiaries	$	580,151		$	559,578		$	529,631
GAAP adjustments:
Deferred acquisition costs		89,222			64,350			48,522
Deferred income taxes		33,227			36,226			41,843
Allowance for doubtful accounts		(13,641	)		(13,954	)		(18,828	)
Retirement accruals		(9,106	)		(8,943	)		(9,370	)
Non-admitted assets		22,101			88,150			50,770
Unrealized gain (loss) on fixed
maturities available for sale		25,382			5,584			(12,789	)
Other		(6,527	)		12,030			16,969
GAAP shareholders' equity -
domestic insurance subsidiaries		720,809			743,021			646,748
Other entities and eliminations		(139,419	)		(131,015	)		(206,702	)
GAAP shareholders' equity	$	581,390		$	612,006		$	440,046

The Company’s statutory financial statements are presented on the basis of accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department (for PMA Capital Insurance Company and The PMA Insurance Group) and the Delaware Insurance Department (for Caliber One Indemnity Company). Pennsylvania and Delaware have adopted Codification as the basis of their statutory accounting practices. However, Pennsylvania has retained the prescribed practice of non-tabular discounting of unpaid losses and LAE for workers’ compensation, which was not permitted under Codification. This prescribed accounting practice increased statutory capital and surplus by $13.0 million, $22.2 million and $20.4 million at December 31, 2002, 2001 and 2000, respectively, over what it would have been had the prescribed practice not been allowed. In addition, under this prescribed accounting practice, the Company discounted certain of its ceded unpaid loss and LAE reserves for workers’ compensation and increased its statutory credit for ceded reinsurance, which indirectly benefited statutory capital and surplus by approximately $72 million at December 31, 2002. Only if these reserves were not discounted and the Company was unsuccessful in obtaining collateral would the statutory surplus be directly impacted.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Report of Independent Accountants

PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS [LOGO]

To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of
PMA Capital Corporation

In our opinion, the accompanying consolidated balance sheets and the related consolidated statements of operations, cash flows, shareholders’ equity and comprehensive income (loss) present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of PMA Capital Corporation and its subsidiaries at December 31, 2002 and 2001, and the results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2002 in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These financial statements are the responsibility of the Company’s management; our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements based on our audits. We conducted our audits of these statements in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States of America, which require that we plan and perform the audits to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, and evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.

/s/ PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
February 5, 2003, except for Note 6,
as to which the date is March 17, 2003

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Quarterly Financial Information (Unaudited)

The following unaudited quarterly financial data are presented on a consolidated basis for each of the years ended December 31, 2002 and 2001. Quarterly financial results necessarily rely on estimates and caution is required in drawing specific conclusions from quarterly consolidated results.

(dollar amounts in thousands, except share data)	First Quarter			Second Quarter			Third Quarter			Fourth Quarter
2002
Income Statement Data:
Total revenues	$	227,375		$	284,139		$	271,007		$	292,616
Income (loss) before income taxes		(26,585	)		(45,550	)(1)		14,829			(21,851	)
Net income (loss)		(17,247	)		(29,749	)(1)		9,375			(10,403	)
Per Share Data:
Net income (loss) (Basic)	$	(0.55	)	$	(0.95	)(1)	$	0.30		$	(0.33	)
Net income (loss) (Diluted)	$	(0.55	)	$	(0.95	)(1)	$	0.30		$	(0.33	)
Class A Common Stock Prices:
High	$	23.10		$	25.99		$	20.50		$	15.30
Low		18.71			17.65			13.05			12.37
Close		22.94			21.15			15.00			14.33
2001
Income Statement Data:
Total revenues	$	193,599		$	217,075		$	210,155		$	229,143
Income (loss) before income taxes		(2,549	)		9,726			(20,934	)(2)		9,341
Net income (loss)		8,091			6,040			(13,650	)(2)		6,622
Per Share Data:
Net income (loss) (Basic)	$	0.38		$	0.28		$	(0.63	)(2)	$	0.29
Net income (loss) (Diluted)	$	0.37		$	0.28		$	(0.63	)(2)	$	0.29
Class A Common Stock Prices:
High	$	18.94		$	18.05		$	18.24		$	19.40
Low		16.50			16.59			16.13			16.05
Close		17.38			18.05			18.00			19.30

The Company had approximately 5,700 holders of its Class A Common stock at January 31, 2003 based on recordholders and other beneficial owners. In each quarter of 2001 and 2002, the Company declared quarterly dividends of $0.105 per share for its Class A Common stock.

(1) Includes approximately $43 million pre-tax ($28 million after-tax or $0.90 per basic and diluted share) for costs associated with the exit from and run off of Caliber One, our former excess and surplus lines business.

(2) Includes losses of approximately $30 million pre-tax ($20 million after-tax or $0.93 per basic and diluted share) for the attack on the World Trade Center.

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P M A  C A P I T A L

Investor Information

Securities Listing

The Corporation’s Class A Common stock is listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market®. It trades under the stock symbol: PMACA

Dividends

PMA Capital Corporation’s quarterly dividends on Class A Common stock are paid on or about the first day of January, April, July and October.

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