Exhibit 99.2
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 | | American Financial Group, Inc. Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2016 May 2, 2016 American Financial Group, Inc. Corporate Headquarters Great American Insurance Group Tower 301 E Fourth Street Cincinnati, OH 45202 513 579 6739 |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2016 | |  |
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Section | | Page | |
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Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - First Quarter 2016 | | | 2 | |
Financial Highlights | | | 3 | |
Summary of Earnings | | | 4 | |
Earnings Per Share Summary | | | 5 | |
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Property and Casualty Insurance Segment | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 6 | |
Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 7 | |
Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 8 | |
Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 9 | |
Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 10 | |
Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) | | | 11 | |
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Annuity Segment | | | | |
Annuity Earnings (GAAP) | | | 12 | |
Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) | | | 13 | |
Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) | | | 14 | |
Annuity Premiums (Statutory) | | | 15 | |
Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) | | | 16 | |
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Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt | | | | |
Consolidated Balance Sheet | | | 17 | |
Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary | | | 18 | |
Capitalization | | | 19 | |
Additional Supplemental Information | | | 20 | |
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Consolidated Investment Supplement | | | | |
Total Cash and Investments | | | 21 | |
Net Investment Income | | | 22 | |
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated | | | 23 | |
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio | | | 24 | |
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating | | | 25 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated | | | 26 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio | | | 27 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating | | | 28 | |
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Appendix | | | | |
A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type | | | 29 | |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Financial Highlights (in millions, except per share information) | |  |
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| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
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Highlights | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Core net operating earnings | | $ | 111 | | | $ | 136 | | | $ | 123 | | | $ | 115 | | | $ | 112 | | | $ | 486 | | | $ | 439 | |
Net earnings | | | 101 | | | | 129 | | | | 63 | | | | 141 | | | | 19 | | | | 352 | | | | 452 | |
Total assets | | | 51,038 | | | | 49,837 | | | | 50,540 | | | | 49,403 | | | | 48,285 | | | | 49,837 | | | | 47,513 | |
Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a) | | | 4,329 | | | | 4,314 | | | | 4,279 | | | | 4,345 | | | | 4,267 | | | | 4,314 | | | | 4,277 | |
Property and Casualty net written premiums | | | 979 | | | | 1,056 | | | | 1,319 | | | | 1,026 | | | | 926 | | | | 4,327 | | | | 4,020 | |
Annuity statutory premiums | | | 1,285 | | | | 1,107 | | | | 1,321 | | | | 899 | | | | 813 | | | | 4,140 | | | | 3,696 | |
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Per share data | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Core net operating earnings per share | | $ | 1.25 | | | $ | 1.52 | | | $ | 1.38 | | | $ | 1.28 | | | $ | 1.25 | | | $ | 5.44 | | | $ | 4.82 | |
Diluted earnings per share | | | 1.14 | | | | 1.45 | | | | 0.71 | | | | 1.57 | | | | 0.21 | | | | 3.94 | | | | 4.97 | |
Adjusted book value per share (a) | | | 49.77 | | | | 49.33 | | | | 49.01 | | | | 49.63 | | | | 48.55 | | | | 49.33 | | | | 48.76 | |
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Cash dividends per common share | | | 0.280 | | | | 1.280 | | | | 0.250 | | | | 0.250 | | | | 0.250 | | | | 2.030 | | | | 1.910 | |
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Financial ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Annualized core operating return on equity (b) | | | 10.3 | % | | | 12.7 | % | | | 11.6 | % | | | 10.9 | % | | | 10.8 | % | | | 11.5 | % | | | 10.7 | % |
Annualized return on equity (b) | | | 9.4 | % | | | 12.1 | % | | | 5.9 | % | | | 13.4 | % | | | 1.8 | % | | | 8.3 | % | | | 11.0 | % |
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Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss & LAE ratio | | | 58.3 | % | | | 61.8 | % | | | 64.5 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 60.8 | % | | | 62.2 | % | | | 63.7 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 33.0 | % | | | 29.2 | % | | | 28.4 | % | | | 33.9 | % | | | 32.8 | % | | | 30.9 | % | | | 30.2 | % |
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Combined ratio - Specialty | | | 91.3 | % | | | 91.0 | % | | | 92.9 | % | | | 94.9 | % | | | 93.6 | % | | | 93.1 | % | | | 93.9 | % |
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Net spread on fixed annuities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net interest spread | | | 2.54 | % | | | 2.53 | % | | | 2.80 | % | | | 2.77 | % | | | 2.67 | % | | | 2.69 | % | | | 2.78 | % |
Net spread earned: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Before impact of fair value accounting | | | 1.20 | % | | | 1.31 | % | | | 1.37 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.49 | % | | | 1.35 | % | | | 1.56 | % |
Impact of fair value accounting (c) | | | (0.46 | %) | | | 0.08 | % | | | (0.35 | %) | | | 0.18 | % | | | (0.28 | %) | | | (0.09 | %) | | | (0.15 | %) |
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After impact of fair value accounting | | | 0.74 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.02 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.26 | % | | | 1.41 | % |
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(a) | Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments. |
(b) | Excludes appropriated retained earnings and accumulated other comprehensive income. |
(c) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Summary of Earnings ($ in millions) | |  |
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| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
Property and Casualty Insurance | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting profit | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 100 | | | $ | 82 | | | $ | 50 | | | $ | 60 | | | $ | 292 | | | $ | 236 | |
Net investment income | | | 83 | | | | 74 | | | | 83 | | | | 83 | | | | 79 | | | | 319 | | | | 294 | |
Other expense | | | (12 | ) | | | (11 | ) | | | (12 | ) | | | (12 | ) | | | (10 | ) | | | (45 | ) | | | (54 | ) |
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Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings | | | 158 | | | | 163 | | | | 153 | | | | 121 | | | | 129 | | | | 566 | | | | 476 | |
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Annuity earnings | | | 53 | | | | 101 | | | | 67 | | | | 88 | | | | 75 | | | | 331 | | | | 328 | |
Run-off Long-Term Care and Life (losses)/earnings | | | (1 | ) | | | — | | | | 6 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | | | 14 | | | | (10 | ) |
Interest expense of parent holding companies (a) | | | (18 | ) | | | (16 | ) | | | (18 | ) | | | (20 | ) | | | (19 | ) | | | (73 | ) | | | (70 | ) |
Other expense (a) | | | (22 | ) | | | (29 | ) | | | (19 | ) | | | (19 | ) | | | (22 | ) | | | (89 | ) | | | (73 | ) |
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Pre-tax core operating earnings | | | 170 | | | | 219 | | | | 189 | | | | 174 | | | | 167 | | | | 749 | | | | 651 | |
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Income tax expense | | | 59 | | | | 83 | | | | 66 | | | | 59 | | | | 55 | | | | 263 | | | | 212 | |
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Core net operating earnings | | | 111 | | | | 136 | | | | 123 | | | | 115 | | | | 112 | | | | 486 | | | | 439 | |
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Non-core items, net of tax: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss on sale of long-term care business | | | — | | | | (3 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (105 | ) | | | (108 | ) | | | — | |
Gain on sale of hotel and apartment property | | | — | | | | 10 | | | | — | | | | 26 | | | | — | | | | 36 | | | | — | |
Other realized gains (losses) | | | (10 | ) | | | (14 | ) | | | (6 | ) | | | — | | | | 12 | | | | (8 | ) | | | 32 | |
Significant A&E charges: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations | | | — | | | | — | | | | (44 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (44 | ) | | | (15 | ) |
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations | | | — | | | | — | | | | (8 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (8 | ) | | | (4 | ) |
Other | | | — | | | | — | | | | (2 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (2 | ) | | | — | |
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Net earnings | | $ | 101 | | | $ | 129 | | | $ | 63 | | | $ | 141 | | | $ | 19 | | | $ | 352 | | | $ | 452 | |
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(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Earnings Per Share Summary (in millions, except per share information) | |  |
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| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
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Core net operating earnings | | $ | 111 | | | $ | 136 | | | $ | 123 | | | $ | 115 | | | $ | 112 | | | $ | 486 | | | $ | 439 | |
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Net earnings | | $ | 101 | | | $ | 129 | | | $ | 63 | | | $ | 141 | | | $ | 19 | | | $ | 352 | | | $ | 452 | |
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Average number of diluted shares | | | 88.488 | | | | 89.228 | | | | 89.343 | | | | 89.503 | | | | 89.377 | | | | 89.362 | | | | 90.960 | |
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Diluted earnings per share: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Core net operating earnings per share | | $ | 1.25 | | | $ | 1.52 | | | $ | 1.38 | | | $ | 1.28 | | | $ | 1.25 | | | $ | 5.44 | | | $ | 4.82 | |
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Loss on sale of long-term care business | | | — | | | | (0.03 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (1.18 | ) | | | (1.21 | ) | | | — | |
Gain on sale of hotel and apartment property | | | — | | | | 0.11 | | | | — | | | | 0.29 | | | | — | | | | 0.40 | | | | — | |
Other realized gains (losses) | | | (0.11 | ) | | | (0.15 | ) | | | (0.06 | ) | | | — | | | | 0.14 | | | | (0.08 | ) | | | 0.36 | |
Significant A&E charges: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.49 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.49 | ) | | | (0.17 | ) |
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.09 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.09 | ) | | | (0.04 | ) |
Other | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.03 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (0.03 | ) | | | — | |
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Diluted earnings per share | | $ | 1.14 | | | $ | 1.45 | | | $ | 0.71 | | | $ | 1.57 | | | $ | 0.21 | | | $ | 3.94 | | | $ | 4.97 | |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
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| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
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Property and Transportation | | $ | 32 | | | $ | 34 | | | $ | 20 | | | $ | (13 | ) | | $ | 7 | | | $ | 48 | | | $ | 21 | |
Specialty Casualty | | | 29 | | | | 50 | | | | 31 | | | | 37 | | | | 28 | | | | 146 | | | | 136 | |
Specialty Financial | | | 23 | | | | 15 | | | | 26 | | | | 24 | | | | 22 | | | | 87 | | | | 64 | |
Other Specialty | | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | 7 | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | | | 14 | | | | 16 | |
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Underwriting profit - Specialty | | | 86 | | | | 100 | | | | 84 | | | | 51 | | | | 60 | | | | 295 | | | | 237 | |
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Other core charges, included in loss and LAE | | | (1 | ) | | | — | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | — | | | | 3 | | | | 1 | |
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Underwriting profit - Core | | | 87 | | | | 100 | | | | 82 | | | | 50 | | | | 60 | | | | 292 | | | | 236 | |
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Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE | | | — | | | | — | | | | (67 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (67 | ) | | | (24 | ) |
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Underwriting profit - Property and Casualty Insurance | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 100 | | | $ | 15 | | | $ | 50 | | | $ | 60 | | | $ | 225 | | | $ | 212 | |
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Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | 8 | | | | 9 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | 6 | | | | 35 | | | | 28 | |
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | 8 | | | $ | 9 | | | $ | 10 | | | $ | 10 | | | $ | 6 | | | $ | 35 | | | $ | 28 | |
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (28 | ) | | $ | (5 | ) | | $ | 55 | | | $ | (10 | ) | | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | 33 | | | $ | 6 | |
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Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property and Transportation | | | 90.6 | % | | | 92.4 | % | | | 96.2 | % | | | 104.0 | % | | | 97.7 | % | | | 96.9 | % | | | 98.7 | % |
Specialty Casualty | | | 94.3 | % | | | 90.2 | % | | | 93.8 | % | | | 92.7 | % | | | 94.2 | % | | | 92.7 | % | | | 92.3 | % |
Specialty Financial | | | 82.6 | % | | | 88.7 | % | | | 80.6 | % | | | 81.0 | % | | | 81.7 | % | | | 83.1 | % | | | 86.5 | % |
Other Specialty | | | 89.7 | % | | | 97.1 | % | | | 67.3 | % | | | 88.0 | % | | | 89.3 | % | | | 85.5 | % | | | 83.4 | % |
Combined ratio - Specialty | | | 91.3 | % | | | 91.0 | % | | | 92.9 | % | | | 94.9 | % | | | 93.6 | % | | | 93.1 | % | | | 93.9 | % |
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Other core charges | | | (0.1 | %) | | | 0.0 | % | | | 0.1 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 0.1 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 0.0 | % |
Special A&E charges | | | 0.0 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 5.7 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 1.6 | % | | | 0.6 | % |
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Combined ratio | | | 91.2 | % | | | 91.0 | % | | | 98.7 | % | | | 94.9 | % | | | 93.7 | % | | | 94.7 | % | | | 94.5 | % |
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 93.2 | % | | | 90.6 | % | | | 93.2 | % | | | 95.0 | % | | | 93.8 | % | | | 93.1 | % | | | 93.7 | % |
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Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss | | | 60.2 | % | | | 61.4 | % | | | 64.8 | % | | | 61.1 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 62.2 | % | | | 63.5 | % |
Prior accident year loss reserve development | | | (2.8 | %) | | | (0.4 | %) | | | 4.6 | % | | | (1.1 | %) | | | (0.7 | %) | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.1 | % |
Current accident year catastrophe loss | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.9 | % | | | 1.0 | % | | | 0.6 | % | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.7 | % |
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Loss and LAE ratio | | | 58.2 | % | | | 61.8 | % | | | 70.3 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 60.9 | % | | | 63.8 | % | | | 64.3 | % |
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American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
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| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
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Gross written premiums | | $ | 1,243 | | | $ | 1,356 | | | $ | 1,962 | | | $ | 1,318 | | | $ | 1,196 | | | $ | 5,832 | | | $ | 5,477 | |
Ceded reinsurance premiums | | | (264 | ) | | | (300 | ) | | | (643 | ) | | | (292 | ) | | | (270 | ) | | | (1,505 | ) | | | (1,457 | ) |
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Net written premiums | | | 979 | | | | 1,056 | | | | 1,319 | | | | 1,026 | | | | 926 | | | | 4,327 | | | | 4,020 | |
Change in unearned premiums | | | 19 | | | | 64 | | | | (146 | ) | | | (41 | ) | | | 20 | | | | (103 | ) | | | (142 | ) |
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Net earned premiums | | | 998 | | | | 1,120 | | | | 1,173 | | | | 985 | | | | 946 | | | | 4,224 | | | | 3,878 | |
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Loss and LAE | | | 582 | | | | 693 | | | | 756 | | | | 600 | | | | 576 | | | | 2,625 | | | | 2,469 | |
Underwriting expense | | | 330 | | | | 327 | | | | 333 | | | | 334 | | | | 310 | | | | 1,304 | | | | 1,172 | |
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Underwriting profit | | $ | 86 | | | $ | 100 | | | $ | 84 | | | $ | 51 | | | $ | 60 | | | $ | 295 | | | $ | 237 | |
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Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | 8 | | | | 9 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | 6 | | | | 35 | | | | 28 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | 8 | | | $ | 9 | | | $ | 10 | | | $ | 10 | | | $ | 6 | | | $ | 35 | | | $ | 28 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (27 | ) | | $ | (5 | ) | | $ | (14 | ) | | $ | (11 | ) | | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | (37 | ) | | $ | (19 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 58.3 | % | | | 61.8 | % | | | 64.5 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 60.8 | % | | | 62.2 | % | | | 63.7 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 33.0 | % | | | 29.2 | % | | | 28.4 | % | | | 33.9 | % | | | 32.8 | % | | | 30.9 | % | | | 30.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Combined ratio | | | 91.3 | % | | | 91.0 | % | | | 92.9 | % | | | 94.9 | % | | | 93.6 | % | | | 93.1 | % | | | 93.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 93.2 | % | | | 90.6 | % | | | 93.2 | % | | | 95.0 | % | | | 93.8 | % | | | 93.1 | % | | | 93.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE components: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss | | | 60.2 | % | | | 61.4 | % | | | 64.8 | % | | | 61.1 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 62.2 | % | | | 63.5 | % |
Prior accident year loss reserve development | | | (2.7 | %) | | | (0.4 | %) | | | (1.2 | %) | | | (1.1 | %) | | | (0.8 | %) | | | (0.8 | %) | | | (0.5 | %) |
Current accident year catastrophe loss | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.9 | % | | | 1.0 | % | | | 0.6 | % | | | 0.8 | % | | | 0.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 58.3 | % | | | 61.8 | % | | | 64.5 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 60.8 | % | | | 62.2 | % | | | 63.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
7
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Gross written premiums | | $ | 398 | | | $ | 515 | | | $ | 1,064 | | | $ | 500 | | | $ | 376 | | | $ | 2,455 | | | $ | 2,342 | |
Ceded reinsurance premiums | | | (87 | ) | | | (137 | ) | | | (456 | ) | | | (138 | ) | | | (88 | ) | | | (819 | ) | | | (776 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net written premiums | | | 311 | | | | 378 | | | | 608 | | | | 362 | | | | 288 | | | | 1,636 | | | | 1,566 | |
Change in unearned premiums | | | 28 | | | | 64 | | | | (91 | ) | | | (35 | ) | | | 25 | | | | (37 | ) | | | (22 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 339 | | | | 442 | | | | 517 | | | | 327 | | | | 313 | | | | 1,599 | | | | 1,544 | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE | | | 211 | | | | 317 | | | | 391 | | | | 240 | | | | 211 | | | | 1,159 | | | | 1,155 | |
Underwriting expense | | | 96 | | | | 91 | | | | 106 | | | | 100 | | | | 95 | | | | 392 | | | | 368 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting profit (loss) | | $ | 32 | | | $ | 34 | | | $ | 20 | | | $ | (13 | ) | | $ | 7 | | | $ | 48 | | | $ | 21 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | 6 | | | | 3 | | | | 7 | | | | 7 | | | | 4 | | | | 21 | | | | 20 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | 6 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 7 | | | $ | 7 | | | $ | 4 | | | $ | 21 | | | $ | 20 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (17 | ) | | $ | 8 | | | $ | (2 | ) | | $ | 6 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 15 | | | $ | 16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 62.2 | % | | | 71.7 | % | | | 75.7 | % | | | 73.2 | % | | | 67.5 | % | | | 72.4 | % | | | 74.9 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 28.4 | % | | | 20.7 | % | | | 20.5 | % | | | 30.8 | % | | | 30.2 | % | | | 24.5 | % | | | 23.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Combined ratio | | | 90.6 | % | | | 92.4 | % | | | 96.2 | % | | | 104.0 | % | | | 97.7 | % | | | 96.9 | % | | | 98.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 94.1 | % | | | 89.9 | % | | | 95.1 | % | | | 100.2 | % | | | 95.4 | % | | | 94.7 | % | | | 96.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE components: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss | | | 65.7 | % | | | 69.2 | % | | | 74.6 | % | | | 69.4 | % | | | 65.2 | % | | | 70.2 | % | | | 72.6 | % |
Prior accident year loss reserve development | | | (5.2 | %) | | | 1.8 | % | | | (0.4 | %) | | | 1.7 | % | | | 1.1 | % | | | 0.9 | % | | | 1.0 | % |
Current accident year catastrophe loss | | | 1.7 | % | | | 0.7 | % | | | 1.5 | % | | | 2.1 | % | | | 1.2 | % | | | 1.3 | % | | | 1.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 62.2 | % | | | 71.7 | % | | | 75.7 | % | | | 73.2 | % | | | 67.5 | % | | | 72.4 | % | | | 74.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
8
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Gross written premiums | | $ | 698 | | | $ | 661 | | | $ | 734 | | | $ | 661 | | | $ | 683 | | | $ | 2,739 | | | $ | 2,529 | |
Ceded reinsurance premiums | | | (179 | ) | | | (158 | ) | | | (189 | ) | | | (158 | ) | | | (182 | ) | | | (687 | ) | | | (665 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net written premiums | | | 519 | | | | 503 | | | | 545 | | | | 503 | | | | 501 | | | | 2,052 | | | | 1,864 | |
Change in unearned premiums | | | (17 | ) | | | 12 | | | | (42 | ) | | | — | | | | (11 | ) | | | (41 | ) | | | (99 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 502 | | | | 515 | | | | 503 | | | | 503 | | | | 490 | | | | 2,011 | | | | 1,765 | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE | | | 313 | | | | 315 | | | | 323 | | | | 311 | | | | 316 | | | | 1,265 | | | | 1,107 | |
Underwriting expense | | | 160 | | | | 150 | | | | 149 | | | | 155 | | | | 146 | | | | 600 | | | | 522 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting profit | | $ | 29 | | | $ | 50 | | | $ | 31 | | | $ | 37 | | | $ | 28 | | | $ | 146 | | | $ | 136 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 4 | | | $ | 4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (4 | ) | | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | 3 | | | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | — | | | $ | (11 | ) | | $ | (7 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 62.4 | % | | | 61.1 | % | | | 64.2 | % | | | 61.9 | % | | | 64.4 | % | | | 62.9 | % | | | 62.7 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 31.9 | % | | | 29.1 | % | | | 29.6 | % | | | 30.8 | % | | | 29.8 | % | | | 29.8 | % | | | 29.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Combined ratio | | | 94.3 | % | | | 90.2 | % | | | 93.8 | % | | | 92.7 | % | | | 94.2 | % | | | 92.7 | % | | | 92.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 94.9 | % | | | 91.4 | % | | | 92.9 | % | | | 94.0 | % | | | 93.9 | % | | | 93.0 | % | | | 92.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE components: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss | | | 63.0 | % | | | 62.3 | % | | | 63.3 | % | | | 63.2 | % | | | 64.1 | % | | | 63.2 | % | | | 62.9 | % |
Prior accident year loss reserve development | | | (0.7 | %) | | | (1.4 | %) | | | 0.6 | % | | | (1.4 | %) | | | 0.0 | % | | | (0.5 | %) | | | (0.4 | %) |
Current accident year catastrophe loss | | | 0.1 | % | | | 0.2 | % | | | 0.3 | % | | | 0.1 | % | | | 0.3 | % | | | 0.2 | % | | | 0.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 62.4 | % | | | 61.1 | % | | | 64.2 | % | | | 61.9 | % | | | 64.4 | % | | | 62.9 | % | | | 62.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
9
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Gross written premiums | | $ | 147 | | | $ | 179 | | | $ | 164 | | | $ | 157 | | | $ | 137 | | | $ | 637 | | | $ | 605 | |
Ceded reinsurance premiums | | | (22 | ) | | | (27 | ) | | | (27 | ) | | | (21 | ) | | | (22 | ) | | | (97 | ) | | | (117 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net written premiums | | | 125 | | | | 152 | | | | 137 | | | | 136 | | | | 115 | | | | 540 | | | | 488 | |
Change in unearned premiums | | | 7 | | | | (15 | ) | | | (6 | ) | | | (7 | ) | | | 5 | | | | (23 | ) | | | (19 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 132 | | | | 137 | | | | 131 | | | | 129 | | | | 120 | | | | 517 | | | | 469 | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE | | | 45 | | | | 46 | | | | 36 | | | | 36 | | | | 36 | | | | 154 | | | | 159 | |
Underwriting expense | | | 64 | | | | 76 | | | | 69 | | | | 69 | | | | 62 | | | | 276 | | | | 246 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting profit | | $ | 23 | | | $ | 15 | | | $ | 26 | | | $ | 24 | | | $ | 22 | | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 64 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | 1 | | | | 5 | | | | 1 | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | 9 | | | | 3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 5 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 2 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 9 | | | $ | 3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (4 | ) | | $ | (5 | ) | | $ | (8 | ) | | $ | (8 | ) | | $ | (9 | ) | | $ | (30 | ) | | $ | (17 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 34.0 | % | | | 32.8 | % | | | 27.7 | % | | | 27.7 | % | | | 30.4 | % | | | 29.7 | % | | | 33.9 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 48.6 | % | | | 55.9 | % | | | 52.9 | % | | | 53.3 | % | | | 51.3 | % | | | 53.4 | % | | | 52.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Combined ratio | | | 82.6 | % | | | 88.7 | % | | | 80.6 | % | | | 81.0 | % | | | 81.7 | % | | | 83.1 | % | | | 86.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 84.8 | % | | | 88.8 | % | | | 85.8 | % | | | 85.2 | % | | | 88.5 | % | | | 87.1 | % | | | 89.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE components: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss | | | 36.2 | % | | | 32.9 | % | | | 32.9 | % | | | 31.9 | % | | | 37.2 | % | | | 33.7 | % | | | 36.9 | % |
Prior accident year loss reserve development | | | (3.3 | %) | | | (3.6 | %) | | | (5.8 | %) | | | (6.2 | %) | | | (7.3 | %) | | | (5.7 | %) | | | (3.7 | %) |
Current accident year catastrophe loss | | | 1.1 | % | | | 3.5 | % | | | 0.6 | % | | | 2.0 | % | | | 0.5 | % | | | 1.7 | % | | | 0.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 34.0 | % | | | 32.8 | % | | | 27.7 | % | | | 27.7 | % | | | 30.4 | % | | | 29.7 | % | | | 33.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
10
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Gross written premiums | | $ | — | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | |
Ceded reinsurance premiums | | | 24 | | | | 22 | | | | 29 | | | | 25 | | | | 22 | | | | 98 | | | | 101 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net written premiums | | | 24 | | | | 23 | | | | 29 | | | | 25 | | | | 22 | | | | 99 | | | | 102 | |
Change in unearned premiums | | | 1 | | | | 3 | | | | (7 | ) | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | (2 | ) | | | (2 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 25 | | | | 26 | | | | 22 | | | | 26 | | | | 23 | | | | 97 | | | | 100 | |
| | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE | | | 13 | | | | 15 | | | | 6 | | | | 13 | | | | 13 | | | | 47 | | | | 48 | |
Underwriting expense | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | 9 | | | | 10 | | | | 7 | | | | 36 | | | | 36 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Underwriting profit | | $ | 2 | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 7 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 14 | | | $ | 16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Included in results above: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Current accident year catastrophe losses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Catastrophe reinstatement premium | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
Catastrophe loss | | | — | | | | — | | | | 1 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total current accident year catastrophe losses | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1 | | | $ | 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse | | $ | (2 | ) | | $ | (1 | ) | | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | (2 | ) | | $ | (1 | ) | | $ | (11 | ) | | $ | (11 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and LAE ratio | | | 52.1 | % | | | 61.0 | % | | | 29.4 | % | | | 52.4 | % | | | 54.4 | % | | | 49.4 | % | | | 47.9 | % |
Underwriting expense ratio | | | 37.6 | % | | | 36.1 | % | | | 37.9 | % | | | 35.6 | % | | | 34.9 | % | | | 36.1 | % | | | 35.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Combined ratio | | | 89.7 | % | | | 97.1 | % | | | 67.3 | % | | | 88.0 | % | | | 89.3 | % | | | 85.5 | % | | | 83.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development | | | 96.0 | % | | | 98.1 | % | | | 97.6 | % | | | 93.2 | % | | | 96.6 | % | | | 96.4 | % | | | 92.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
11
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Earnings (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Net investment income | | $ | 315 | | | $ | 309 | | | $ | 317 | | | $ | 306 | | | $ | 292 | | | $ | 1,224 | | | $ | 1,136 | |
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 11 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | 43 | | | | 34 | |
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income | | | 14 | | | | 11 | | | | 13 | | | | 14 | | | | 17 | | | | 55 | | | | 63 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 341 | | | | 332 | | | | 341 | | | | 330 | | | | 319 | | | | 1,322 | | | | 1,233 | |
| | | | | | | |
Annuity benefits expense | | | 228 | | | | 189 | | | | 208 | | | | 151 | | | | 184 | | | | 732 | | | | 648 | |
Acquisition expenses | | | 34 | | | | 20 | | | | 44 | | | | 62 | | | | 37 | | | | 163 | | | | 175 | |
Other expenses | | | 26 | | | | 22 | | | | 22 | | | | 29 | | | | 23 | | | | 96 | | | | 82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Total costs and expenses | | | 288 | | | | 231 | | | | 274 | | | | 242 | | | | 244 | | | | 991 | | | | 905 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Core Annuity earnings before income taxes | | $ | 53 | | | $ | 101 | | | $ | 67 | | | $ | 88 | | | $ | 75 | | | $ | 331 | | | $ | 328 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Detail of core Annuity earnings before income taxes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Core earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting | | $ | 84 | | | $ | 96 | | | $ | 89 | | | $ | 77 | | | $ | 92 | | | $ | 354 | | | $ | 362 | |
Impact of fair value accounting (a) | | | (31 | ) | | | 5 | | | | (22 | ) | | | 11 | | | | (17 | ) | | | (23 | ) | | | (34 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Core Annuity earnings before income taxes | | $ | 53 | | | $ | 101 | | | $ | 67 | | | $ | 88 | | | $ | 75 | | | $ | 331 | | | $ | 328 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
12
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Detail of annuity benefits expense: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest credited - fixed | | $ | 139 | | | $ | 138 | | | $ | 135 | | | $ | 131 | | | $ | 128 | | | $ | 532 | | | $ | 497 | |
Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | 6 | | | | 6 | |
Change in expected death and annuitization reserve | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 4 | | | | 19 | | | | 18 | |
Amortization of sales inducements | | | 5 | | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | | | 7 | | | | 7 | | | | 26 | | | | 26 | |
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve (a) | | | 16 | | | | 15 | | | | 20 | | | | 16 | | | | 12 | | | | 63 | | | | 41 | |
Change in other benefit reserves | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 3 | | | | 12 | | | | 2 | | | | 22 | | | | 12 | |
Unlockings (b) | | | — | | | | 19 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 19 | | | | (11 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting | | | 171 | | | | 189 | | | | 171 | | | | 173 | | | | 154 | | | | 687 | | | | 589 | |
| | | | | | | |
Embedded derivative mark-to-market (c) | | | 17 | | | | 88 | | | | (130 | ) | | | (19 | ) | | | 50 | | | | (11 | ) | | | 240 | |
Equity option mark-to-market | | | 40 | | | | (88 | ) | | | 167 | | | | (3 | ) | | | (20 | ) | | | 56 | | | | (181 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal impact of fair value accounting | | | 57 | | | | — | | | | 37 | | | | (22 | ) | | | 30 | | | | 45 | | | | 59 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Total annuity benefits expense | | $ | 228 | | | $ | 189 | | | $ | 208 | | | $ | 151 | | | $ | 184 | | | $ | 732 | | | $ | 648 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Relates to a significant change in the stock market. |
(b) | Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $29 million in 2015 and charge of $10 million in 2014 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $10 million and $1 million in 2015 and 2014, respectively. |
(c) | Excludes unlocking impact of $28 million in 2015 and ($58) million in 2014. |
13
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) | | $ | 27,186 | | | $ | 26,401 | | | $ | 25,642 | | | $ | 24,711 | | | $ | 23,943 | | | $ | 25,174 | | | $ | 22,391 | |
Average annuity benefits accumulated | | | 26,935 | | | | 26,048 | | | | 25,316 | | | | 24,474 | | | | 23,752 | | | | 24,898 | | | | 22,119 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated | | $ | 251 | | | $ | 353 | | | $ | 326 | | | $ | 237 | | | $ | 191 | | | $ | 276 | | | $ | 272 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net investment income (as % of investments) | | | 4.60 | % | | | 4.65 | % | | | 4.92 | % | | | 4.91 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 5.03 | % |
Interest credited | | | (2.06 | %) | | | (2.12 | %) | | | (2.12 | %) | | | (2.14 | %) | | | (2.16 | %) | | | (2.14 | %) | | | (2.25 | %) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net interest spread on fixed annuities | | | 2.54 | % | | | 2.53 | % | | | 2.80 | % | | | 2.77 | % | | | 2.67 | % | | | 2.69 | % | | | 2.78 | % |
| | | | | | | |
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income | | | 0.16 | % | | | 0.15 | % | | | 0.16 | % | | | 0.17 | % | | | 0.24 | % | | | 0.18 | % | | | 0.18 | % |
Other annuity benefit expenses, net | | | (0.27 | %) | | | (0.31 | %) | | | (0.36 | %) | | | (0.49 | %) | | | (0.25 | %) | | | (0.35 | %) | | | (0.28 | %) |
Acquisition expenses | | | (0.47 | %) | | | (0.75 | %) | | | (0.65 | %) | | | (0.98 | %) | | | (0.59 | %) | | | (0.74 | %) | | | (0.67 | %) |
Other expenses | | | (0.38 | %) | | | (0.32 | %) | | | (0.34 | %) | | | (0.43 | %) | | | (0.36 | %) | | | (0.36 | %) | | | (0.34 | %) |
Change in fair value of derivatives | | | (0.84 | %) | | | 0.02 | % | | | (0.59 | %) | | | 0.35 | % | | | (0.50 | %) | | | (0.18 | %) | | | (0.27 | %) |
Unlockings | | | 0.00 | % | | | 0.07 | % | | | 0.00 | % | | | 0.00 | % | | | 0.00 | % | | | 0.02 | % | | | 0.01 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net spread earned on fixed annuities - core | | | 0.74 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.02 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.26 | % | | | 1.41 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Average annuity benefits accumulated | | $ | 26,935 | | | $ | 26,048 | | | $ | 25,316 | | | $ | 24,474 | | | $ | 23,752 | | | $ | 24,898 | | | $ | 22,119 | |
Net spread earned on fixed annuities | | | 0.74 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.02 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.26 | % | | | 1.41 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated | | $ | 50 | | | $ | 91 | | | $ | 65 | | | $ | 85 | | | $ | 72 | | | $ | 313 | | | $ | 312 | |
| | | | | | | |
Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated | | $ | 251 | | | $ | 353 | | | $ | 326 | | | $ | 237 | | | $ | 191 | | | $ | 276 | | | $ | 272 | |
Net investment income (as % of investments) | | | 4.60 | % | | | 4.65 | % | | | 4.92 | % | | | 4.91 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 5.03 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 4 | | | $ | 4 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 2 | | | | 13 | | | | 14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Variable annuity earnings | | | — | | | | 6 | | | | (2 | ) | | | — | | | | 1 | | | | 5 | | | | 2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Earnings before income taxes - core | | $ | 53 | | | $ | 101 | | | $ | 67 | | | $ | 88 | | | $ | 75 | | | $ | 331 | | | $ | 328 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities - core | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net spread earned core - before impact of fair value accounting | | | 1.20 | % | | | 1.31 | % | | | 1.37 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.49 | % | | | 1.35 | % | | | 1.56 | % |
Impact of fair value accounting (a) | | | (0.46 | %) | | | 0.08 | % | | | (0.35 | %) | | | 0.18 | % | | | (0.28 | %) | | | (0.09 | %) | | | (0.15 | %) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net spread earned core - after impact of fair value accounting | | | 0.74 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.02 | % | | | 1.39 | % | | | 1.21 | % | | | 1.26 | % | | | 1.41 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
14
| | |
American Financial Group Annuity Premiums (Statutory) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Retail single premium annuities - indexed | | $ | 546 | | | $ | 494 | | | $ | 617 | | | $ | 404 | | | $ | 349 | | | $ | 1,864 | | | $ | 1,533 | |
Retail single premium annuities - fixed | | | 20 | | | | 18 | | | | 22 | | | | 18 | | | | 12 | | | | 70 | | | | 101 | |
Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed | | | 534 | | | | 462 | | | | 554 | | | | 369 | | | | 356 | | | | 1,741 | | | | 1,489 | |
Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed | | | 119 | | | | 72 | | | | 71 | | | | 48 | | | | 38 | | | | 229 | | | | 332 | |
Education market - fixed and indexed annuities | | | 57 | | | | 51 | | | | 47 | | | | 49 | | | | 47 | | | | 194 | | | | 194 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal fixed annuity premiums | | | 1,276 | | | | 1,097 | | | | 1,311 | | | | 888 | | | | 802 | | | | 4,098 | | | | 3,649 | |
| | | | | | | |
Variable annuities | | | 9 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | 11 | | | | 11 | | | | 42 | | | | 47 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total annuity premiums | | $ | 1,285 | | | $ | 1,107 | | | $ | 1,321 | | | $ | 899 | | | $ | 813 | | | $ | 4,140 | | | $ | 3,696 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
15
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | | |
Beginning fixed annuity reserves | | $ | 26,371 | | | $ | 25,725 | | | $ | 24,906 | | | $ | 24,042 | | | $ | 23,462 | | | $ | 23,462 | | | $ | 20,679 | |
Premiums | | | 1,276 | | | | 1,097 | | | | 1,311 | | | | 888 | | | | 802 | | | | 4,098 | | | | 3,649 | |
Federal Home Loan Bank advances | | | 150 | | | | 45 | | | | — | | | | 300 | | | | — | | | | 345 | | | | — | |
Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals | | | (483 | ) | | | (515 | ) | | | (526 | ) | | | (471 | ) | | | (420 | ) | | | (1,932 | ) | | | (1,673 | ) |
Sale of subsidiaries | | | — | | | | (261 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | (261 | ) | | | — | |
Interest and other annuity benefit expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Interest credited | | | 139 | | | | 138 | | | | 135 | | | | 131 | | | | 128 | | | | 532 | | | | 497 | |
Embedded derivative mark-to-market | | | 17 | | | | 88 | | | | (130 | ) | | | (19 | ) | | | 50 | | | | (11 | ) | | | 240 | |
Change in other benefit reserves | | | 29 | | | | 31 | | | | 29 | | | | 35 | | | | 20 | | | | 115 | | | | 81 | |
Unlockings | | | — | | | | 23 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 23 | | | | (11 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ending fixed annuity reserves | | $ | 27,499 | | | $ | 26,371 | | | $ | 25,725 | | | $ | 24,906 | | | $ | 24,042 | | | $ | 26,371 | | | $ | 23,462 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ending fixed annuity reserves | | $ | 27,499 | | | $ | 26,371 | | | $ | 25,725 | | | $ | 24,906 | | | $ | 24,042 | | | $ | 26,371 | | | $ | 23,462 | |
Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves | | | 127 | | | | 64 | | | | 113 | | | | 107 | | | | 179 | | | | 64 | | | | 111 | |
Fixed component of variable annuities | | | 186 | | | | 187 | | | | 188 | | | | 190 | | | | 190 | | | | 187 | | | | 191 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet | | $ | 27,812 | | | $ | 26,622 | | | $ | 26,026 | | | $ | 25,203 | | | $ | 24,411 | | | $ | 26,622 | | | $ | 23,764 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves | | | 7.3 | % | | | 8.0 | % | | | 8.4 | % | | | 7.8 | % | | | 7.2 | % | | | 8.2 | % | | | 8.1 | % |
16
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
Assets: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total cash and investments | | $ | 39,437 | | | $ | 37,736 | | | $ | 38,132 | | | $ | 37,644 | | | $ | 37,384 | | | $ | 36,210 | |
Recoverables from reinsurers | | | 2,561 | | | | 2,636 | | | | 3,151 | | | | 3,075 | | | | 3,046 | | | | 3,238 | |
Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 475 | | | | 480 | | | | 604 | | | | 499 | | | | 475 | | | | 469 | |
Agents’ balances and premiums receivable | | | 936 | | | | 937 | | | | 976 | | | | 959 | | | | 864 | | | | 889 | |
Deferred policy acquisition costs | | | 1,055 | | | | 1,184 | | | | 993 | | | | 965 | | | | 756 | | | | 821 | |
Assets of managed investment entities | | | 3,906 | | | | 4,047 | | | | 3,613 | | | | 3,629 | | | | 3,279 | | | | 3,108 | |
Other receivables | | | 693 | | | | 820 | | | | 1,241 | | | | 660 | | | | 641 | | | | 910 | |
Variable annuity assets (separate accounts) | | | 595 | | | | 608 | | | | 595 | | | | 655 | | | | 667 | | | | 662 | |
Other assets (a) | | | 1,181 | | | | 1,190 | | | | 1,034 | | | | 1,116 | | | | 972 | | | | 1,005 | |
Goodwill | | | 199 | | | | 199 | | | | 201 | | | | 201 | | | | 201 | | | | 201 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 51,038 | | | $ | 49,837 | | | $ | 50,540 | | | $ | 49,403 | | | $ | 48,285 | | | $ | 47,513 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Liabilities and Equity: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | | $ | 8,108 | | | $ | 8,127 | | | $ | 8,061 | | | $ | 7,744 | | | $ | 7,636 | | | $ | 7,872 | |
Unearned premiums | | | 2,051 | | | | 2,060 | | | | 2,238 | | | | 2,004 | | | | 1,936 | | | | 1,956 | |
Annuity benefits accumulated | | | 27,812 | | | | 26,622 | | | | 26,026 | | | | 25,203 | | | | 24,411 | | | | 23,764 | |
Life, accident and health reserves | | | 708 | | | | 705 | | | | 2,159 | | | | 2,156 | | | | 2,195 | | | | 2,175 | |
Payable to reinsurers | | | 501 | | | | 591 | | | | 724 | | | | 511 | | | | 494 | | | | 645 | |
Liabilities of managed investment entities | | | 3,656 | | | | 3,781 | | | | 3,287 | | | | 3,309 | | | | 2,952 | | | | 2,819 | |
Long-term debt (a) | | | 998 | | | | 998 | | | | 863 | | | | 1,003 | | | | 1,039 | | | | 1,039 | |
Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts) | | | 595 | | | | 608 | | | | 595 | | | | 655 | | | | 667 | | | | 662 | |
Other liabilities | | | 1,672 | | | | 1,575 | | | | 1,681 | | | | 1,834 | | | | 1,855 | | | | 1,527 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total liabilities | | $ | 46,101 | | | $ | 45,067 | | | $ | 45,634 | | | $ | 44,419 | | | $ | 43,185 | | | $ | 42,459 | |
| | | | | | |
Shareholders’ equity: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Common stock | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 87 | | | $ | 88 | | | $ | 88 | | | $ | 88 | |
Capital surplus | | | 1,218 | | | | 1,214 | | | | 1,195 | | | | 1,183 | | | | 1,173 | | | | 1,152 | |
Appropriated retained earnings | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | (2 | ) |
Unappropriated retained earnings | | | 3,002 | | | | 2,987 | | | | 2,981 | | | | 2,968 | | | | 2,886 | | | | 2,914 | |
Unrealized gains - fixed maturities | | | 426 | | | | 278 | | | | 445 | | | | 457 | | | | 656 | | | | 604 | |
Unrealized gains - equities | | | 40 | | | | 54 | | | | 44 | | | | 130 | | | | 143 | | | | 139 | |
Other comprehensive income, net of tax | | | (18 | ) | | | (28 | ) | | | (28 | ) | | | (24 | ) | | | (23 | ) | | | (16 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total shareholders’ equity | | | 4,755 | | | | 4,592 | | | | 4,724 | | | | 4,802 | | | | 4,923 | | | | 4,879 | |
| | | | | | |
Noncontrolling interests | | | 182 | | | | 178 | | | | 182 | | | | 182 | | | | 177 | | | | 175 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total liabilities and equity | | $ | 51,038 | | | $ | 49,837 | | | $ | 50,540 | | | $ | 49,403 | | | $ | 48,285 | | | $ | 47,513 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
17
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary (in millions, except per share information) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | |
Shareholders’ equity | | $ | 4,755 | | | $ | 4,592 | | | $ | 4,724 | | | $ | 4,802 | | | $ | 4,923 | | | $ | 4,879 | |
Appropriated retained earnings | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Shareholders’ equity, excluding appropriated retained earnings | | | 4,755 | | | | 4,592 | | | | 4,724 | | | | 4,802 | | | | 4,923 | | | | 4,881 | |
Unrealized (gains) on fixed maturities | | | (426 | ) | | | (278 | ) | | | (445 | ) | | | (457 | ) | | | (656 | ) | | | (604 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Adjusted shareholders’ equity | | | 4,329 | | | | 4,314 | | | | 4,279 | | | | 4,345 | | | | 4,267 | | | | 4,277 | |
Goodwill | | | (199 | ) | | | (199 | ) | | | (201 | ) | | | (201 | ) | | | (201 | ) | | | (201 | ) |
Intangibles | | | (47 | ) | | | (49 | ) | | | (51 | ) | | | (53 | ) | | | (55 | ) | | | (57 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity | | $ | 4,083 | | | $ | 4,066 | | | $ | 4,027 | | | $ | 4,091 | | | $ | 4,011 | | | $ | 4,019 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Common shares outstanding | | | 86.966 | | | | 87.474 | | | | 87.327 | | | | 87.540 | | | | 87.886 | | | | 87.709 | |
| | | | | | |
Book value per share: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excluding appropriated retained earnings (a) | | $ | 54.67 | | | $ | 52.50 | | | $ | 54.10 | | | $ | 54.86 | | | $ | 56.01 | | | $ | 55.65 | |
Adjusted (b) | | | 49.77 | | | | 49.33 | | | | 49.01 | | | | 49.63 | | | | 48.55 | | | | 48.76 | |
Tangible, adjusted (c) | | | 46.94 | | | | 46.49 | | | | 46.12 | | | | 46.73 | | | | 45.63 | | | | 45.82 | |
| | | | | | |
Market capitalization | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
AFG’s closing common share price | | $ | 70.37 | | | $ | 72.08 | | | $ | 68.91 | | | $ | 65.04 | | | $ | 64.15 | | | $ | 60.72 | |
| | | | | | |
Market capitalization | | $ | 6,120 | | | $ | 6,305 | | | $ | 6,018 | | | $ | 5,694 | | | $ | 5,638 | | | $ | 5,326 | |
| | | | | | |
Price / Adjusted book value ratio | | | 1.41 | | | | 1.46 | | | | 1.41 | | | | 1.31 | | | | 1.32 | | | | 1.25 | |
(a) | Excludes appropriated retained earnings. |
(b) | Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments. |
(c) | Excludes appropriated retained earnings, unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles. |
18
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Capitalization ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
| | | | | | |
AFG senior obligations (a) | | $ | 708 | | | $ | 708 | | | $ | 708 | | | $ | 840 | | | $ | 840 | | | $ | 840 | |
Borrowings drawn under credit facility | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Obligations of subsidiaries - other | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate | | $ | 720 | | | $ | 720 | | | $ | 720 | | | $ | 852 | | | $ | 852 | | | $ | 852 | |
| | | | | | |
AFG subordinated debentures | | | 300 | | | | 300 | | | | 150 | | | | 150 | | | | 150 | | | | 150 | |
Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate | | | — | | | | — | | | | 10 | | | | 22 | | | | 59 | | | | 59 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total principal amount of long-term debt | | $ | 1,020 | | | $ | 1,020 | | | $ | 880 | | | $ | 1,024 | | | $ | 1,061 | | | $ | 1,061 | |
| | | | | | |
Shareholders’ equity | | | 4,755 | | | | 4,592 | | | | 4,724 | | | | 4,802 | | | | 4,923 | | | | 4,879 | |
Noncontrolling interests | | | 182 | | | | 178 | | | | 182 | | | | 182 | | | | 177 | | | | 175 | |
Less: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Appropriated retained earnings | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 2 | |
Unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments | | | (426 | ) | | | (278 | ) | | | (445 | ) | | | (457 | ) | | | (656 | ) | | | (604 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total adjusted capital | | $ | 5,531 | | | $ | 5,512 | | | $ | 5,341 | | | $ | 5,551 | | | $ | 5,505 | | | $ | 5,513 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Less: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate | | | — | | | | — | | | | (10 | ) | | | (22 | ) | | | (59 | ) | | | (59 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total adjusted capital excluding obligations secured by real estate | | $ | 5,531 | | | $ | 5,512 | | | $ | 5,331 | | | $ | 5,529 | | | $ | 5,446 | | | $ | 5,454 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Including subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate | | | 18.4 | % | | | 18.5 | % | | | 16.5 | % | | | 18.4 | % | | | 19.3 | % | | | 19.2 | % |
Excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate | | | 13.0 | % | | | 13.1 | % | | | 13.5 | % | | | 15.4 | % | | | 15.6 | % | | | 15.6 | % |
(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
19
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Additional Supplemental Information ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
Property and Casualty Insurance | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Paid Losses (GAAP) | | $ | 547 | | | $ | 675 | | | $ | 585 | | | $ | 526 | | | $ | 617 | | | $ | 2,403 | | | $ | 2,130 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/2014 | |
Statutory Surplus | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance | | $ | 2,574 | | | $ | 2,488 | | | $ | 2,356 | | | $ | 2,399 | | | $ | 2,340 | | | $ | 2,286 | |
| | | | | | |
AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital) | | $ | 2,032 | | | $ | 1,918 | | | $ | 1,816 | | | $ | 1,911 | | | $ | 1,861 | | | $ | 1,822 | |
| | | | | | |
Allowable dividends without regulatory approval | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance | | $ | 434 | | | $ | 434 | | | $ | 315 | | | $ | 315 | | | $ | 315 | | | $ | 315 | |
Annuity and Run-off | | | 375 | | | | 375 | | | | 358 | | | | 358 | | | | 358 | | | | 358 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 809 | | | $ | 809 | | | $ | 673 | | | $ | 673 | | | $ | 673 | | | $ | 673 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
20
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Total Cash and Investments ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Carrying Value - March 31, 2016 | |
| | Property and Casualty Insurance | | | Annuity and Run-off | | | Parent and Other Non- Insurance | | | Consolidate CLOs | | | Total AFG Consolidated | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
Total cash and investments: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents | | $ | 727 | | | $ | 305 | | | $ | 199 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1,231 | | | | 3 | % |
Fixed maturities - Available for sale | | | 7,021 | | | | 26,886 | | | | 14 | | | | — | | | | 33,921 | | | | 85 | % |
Fixed maturities - Trading | | | 134 | | | | 115 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 249 | | | | 1 | % |
Equity securities | | | 1,107 | | | | 495 | | | | 46 | | | | — | | | | 1,648 | | | | 4 | % |
Policy loans | | | — | | | | 198 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 198 | | | | 1 | % |
Mortgage loans | | | 198 | | | | 899 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 1,097 | | | | 3 | % |
Real estate and other investments | | | 479 | | | | 845 | | | | 17 | | | | (248 | ) | | | 1,093 | | | | 3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total cash and investments | | $ | 9,666 | | | $ | 29,743 | | | $ | 276 | | | $ | (248 | ) | | $ | 39,437 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities | | $ | 56 | | | $ | 5 | | | $ | — | | | | | | | $ | 61 | | | | | |
| |
| | Carrying Value - December 31, 2015 | |
| | Property and Casualty Insurance | | | Annuity and Run-off | | | Parent and Other Non- Insurance | | | Consolidate CLOs | | | Total AFG Consolidated | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
Total cash and investments: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents | | $ | 708 | | | $ | 282 | | | $ | 230 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1,220 | | | | 3 | % |
Fixed maturities - Available for sale | | | 6,784 | | | | 25,486 | | | | 14 | | | | — | | | | 32,284 | | | | 85 | % |
Fixed maturities - Trading | | | 140 | | | | 114 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 254 | | | | 1 | % |
Equity securities | | | 1,182 | | | | 488 | | | | 49 | | | | — | | | | 1,719 | | | | 5 | % |
Policy loans | | | — | | | | 201 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 201 | | | | 0 | % |
Mortgage loans | | | 191 | | | | 876 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 1,067 | | | | 3 | % |
Real estate and other investments | | | 457 | | | | 781 | | | | 18 | | | | (265 | ) | | | 991 | | | | 3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total cash and investments | | $ | 9,462 | | | $ | 28,228 | | | $ | 311 | | | $ | (265 | ) | | $ | 37,736 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities | | $ | 87 | | | $ | (3 | ) | | $ | — | | | | | | | $ | 84 | | | | | |
21
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Investment Income ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | | Twelve Months Ended | |
| | 03/31/16 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 09/30/15 | | | 06/30/15 | | | 03/31/15 | | | 12/31/15 | | | 12/31/14 | |
Property and Casualty Insurance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross Investment Income | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed maturities - Available for sale | | $ | 64 | | | $ | 63 | | | $ | 62 | | | $ | 62 | | | $ | 61 | | | $ | 248 | | | $ | 223 | |
Fixed maturities - Trading | | | 1 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | | | 8 | |
Equity securities | | | 13 | | | | 14 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | | | 10 | | | | 48 | | | | 40 | |
Equity in investees | | | 6 | | | | (1 | ) | | | 7 | | | | 3 | | | | 1 | | | | 10 | | | | 8 | |
Other investments | | | 1 | | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | 8 | | | | 5 | | | | 17 | | | | 22 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross investment income | | | 85 | | | | 76 | | | | 85 | | | | 85 | | | | 81 | | | | 327 | | | | 301 | |
Investment expenses | | | (2 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (8 | ) | | | (7 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net investment income | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 74 | | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 79 | | | $ | 319 | | | $ | 294 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Average cash and investments (a) | | $ | 9,366 | | | $ | 9,113 | | | $ | 8,984 | | | $ | 8,956 | | | $ | 8,775 | | | $ | 8,956 | | | $ | 7,849 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Average yield (b) | | | 3.54 | % | | | 3.25 | % | | | 3.70 | % | | | 3.71 | % | | | 3.60 | % | | | 3.56 | % | | | 3.75 | % |
| | | | | | | |
Fixed Annuity: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross Investment Income | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed maturities - Available for sale | | $ | 294 | | | $ | 294 | | | $ | 288 | | | $ | 277 | | | $ | 267 | | | $ | 1,126 | | | $ | 1,037 | |
Fixed maturities - Trading | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Equity securities | | | 5 | | | | 6 | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | 21 | | | | 16 | |
Equity in investees | | | 5 | | | | 2 | | | | 11 | | | | 1 | | | | 2 | | | | 16 | | | | 68 | |
Other investments | | | 11 | | | | 7 | | | | 14 | | | | 23 | | | | 18 | | | | 62 | | | | 9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross investment income | | | 315 | | | | 309 | | | | 318 | | | | 306 | | | | 292 | | | | 1,225 | | | | 1,130 | |
Investment expenses | | | (3 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (2 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (10 | ) | | | (4 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net investment income | | $ | 312 | | | $ | 307 | | | $ | 315 | | | $ | 304 | | | $ | 289 | | | $ | 1,215 | | | $ | 1,126 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Average cash and investments (a) | | $ | 27,186 | | | $ | 26,401 | | | $ | 25,642 | | | $ | 24,711 | | | $ | 23,943 | | | $ | 25,174 | | | $ | 22,391 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Average yield (b) | | | 4.60 | % | | | 4.65 | % | | | 4.92 | % | | | 4.91 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 4.83 | % | | | 5.03 | % |
| | | | | | | |
AFG consolidated net investment income: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property & Casualty | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 74 | | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 83 | | | $ | 79 | | | $ | 319 | | | $ | 294 | |
Annuity and Run-off: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed Annuity | | | 312 | | | | 307 | | | | 315 | | | | 304 | | | | 289 | | | | 1,215 | | | | 1,126 | |
Variable Annuity | | | 3 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 3 | | | | 9 | | | | 10 | |
Run-off | | | 5 | | | | 19 | | | | 20 | | | | 21 | | | | 20 | | | | 80 | | | | 82 | |
Other | | | 1 | | | | 3 | | | | 2 | | | | (1 | ) | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | 6 | |
Consolidate CLOs | | | 7 | | | | 11 | | | | 3 | | | | (5 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | 6 | | | | (17 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net investment income | | $ | 411 | | | $ | 416 | | | $ | 425 | | | $ | 404 | | | $ | 388 | | | $ | 1,633 | | | $ | 1,501 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances. |
(b) | Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter. |
22
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
March 31, 2016 | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
US Government and government agencies | | $ | 345 | | | $ | 350 | | | $ | 5 | | | | 1 | % | | | 1 | % |
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | | | 6,720 | | | | 7,081 | | | | 361 | | | | 21 | % | | | 18 | % |
Foreign government | | | 214 | | | | 222 | | | | 8 | | | | 1 | % | | | 1 | % |
Residential mortgage-backed securities | | | 3,513 | | | | 3,777 | | | | 264 | | | | 11 | % | | | 10 | % |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 2,046 | | | | 2,136 | | | | 90 | | | | 6 | % | | | 5 | % |
Asset-backed securities | | | 5,172 | | | | 5,130 | | | | (42 | ) | | | 15 | % | | | 13 | % |
Corporate and other bonds | | | 14,988 | | | | 15,474 | | | | 486 | | | | 45 | % | | | 38 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total AFG consolidated | | $ | 32,998 | | | $ | 34,170 | | | $ | 1,172 | | | | 100 | % | | | 86 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | |
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excluding investment expense (a) | | | 4.52 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net of investment expense (a) | | | 4.47 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | |
Approximate average life and duration: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life | | | 6.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate duration | | | 5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
December 31, 2015 | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
US Government and government agencies | | $ | 319 | | | $ | 321 | | | $ | 2 | | | | 1 | % | | | 1 | % |
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | | | 6,671 | | | | 6,885 | | | | 214 | | | | 21 | % | | | 18 | % |
Foreign government | | | 225 | | | | 232 | | | | 7 | | | | 1 | % | | | 1 | % |
Residential mortgage-backed securities | | | 3,241 | | | | 3,534 | | | | 293 | | | | 11 | % | | | 9 | % |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 2,112 | | | | 2,188 | | | | 76 | | | | 7 | % | | | 6 | % |
Asset-backed securities | | | 4,961 | | | | 4,934 | | | | (27 | ) | | | 15 | % | | | 13 | % |
Corporate and other bonds | | | 14,290 | | | | 14,444 | | | | 154 | | | | 44 | % | | | 38 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total AFG consolidated | | $ | 31,819 | | | $ | 32,538 | | | $ | 719 | | | | 100 | % | | | 86 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | |
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excluding investment expense (a) | | | 4.74 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net of investment expense (a) | | | 4.69 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | |
Approximate average life and duration: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life | | | 6.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate duration | | | 5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. |
Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
23
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31, 2016 | | | December 31, 2015 | |
| | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Property and Casualty Insurance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
US Government and government agencies | | $ | 282 | | | $ | 286 | | | $ | 4 | | | | 4 | % | | $ | 255 | | | $ | 257 | | | $ | 2 | | | | 4 | % |
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | | | 2,799 | | | | 2,901 | | | | 102 | | | | 40 | % | | | 2,807 | | | | 2,891 | | | | 84 | | | | 42 | % |
Foreign government | | | 203 | | | | 209 | | | | 6 | | | | 3 | % | | | 213 | | | | 219 | | | | 6 | | | | 3 | % |
Residential mortgage-backed securities | | | 1,017 | | | | 1,050 | | | | 33 | | | | 15 | % | | | 893 | | | | 932 | | | | 39 | | | | 13 | % |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 205 | | | | 210 | | | | 5 | | | | 3 | % | | | 209 | | | | 213 | | | | 4 | | | | 3 | % |
Asset-backed securities | | | 1,503 | | | | 1,488 | | | | (15 | ) | | | 21 | % | | | 1,453 | | | | 1,442 | | | | (11 | ) | | | 21 | % |
Corporate and other bonds | | | 1,007 | | | | 1,011 | | | | 4 | | | | 14 | % | | | 979 | | | | 970 | | | | (9 | ) | | | 14 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance | | $ | 7,016 | | | $ | 7,155 | | | $ | 139 | | | | 100 | % | | $ | 6,809 | | | $ | 6,924 | | | $ | 115 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excluding investment expense (a) | | | 3.76 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3.82 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net of investment expense (a) | | | 3.66 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3.71 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b) | | | 4.23 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4.31 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life and duration: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life | | | 5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate duration | | | 3.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | |
| | March 31, 2016 | | | December 31, 2015 | |
| | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Annuity and Run-off: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
US Government and government agencies | | $ | 61 | | | $ | 62 | | | $ | 1 | | | | 0 | % | | $ | 62 | | | $ | 62 | | | $ | — | | | | 0 | % |
States, municipalities and political subdivisions | | | 3,921 | | | | 4,180 | | | | 259 | | | | 16 | % | | | 3,864 | | | | 3,994 | | | | 130 | | | | 15 | % |
Foreign government | | | 11 | | | | 13 | | | | 2 | | | | 0 | % | | | 12 | | | | 13 | | | | 1 | | | | 0 | % |
Residential mortgage-backed securities | | | 2,495 | | | | 2,715 | | | | 220 | | | | 10 | % | | | 2,347 | | | | 2,590 | | | | 243 | | | | 10 | % |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 1,841 | | | | 1,926 | | | | 85 | | | | 7 | % | | | 1,903 | | | | 1,975 | | | | 72 | | | | 8 | % |
Asset-backed securities | | | 3,669 | | | | 3,642 | | | | (27 | ) | | | 13 | % | | | 3,508 | | | | 3,492 | | | | (16 | ) | | | 14 | % |
Corporate and other bonds | | | 13,981 | | | | 14,463 | | | | 482 | | | | 54 | % | | | 13,311 | | | | 13,474 | | | | 163 | | | | 53 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Annuity and Run-off | | $ | 25,979 | | | $ | 27,001 | | | $ | 1,022 | | | | 100 | % | | $ | 25,007 | | | $ | 25,600 | | | $ | 593 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Excluding investment expense (a) | | | 4.73 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4.98 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net of investment expense (a) | | | 4.69 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4.94 | % | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life and duration: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate average life | | | 7 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Approximate duration | | | 5.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5.5 years | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. |
Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) | Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield. |
24
| | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) | |  |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31, 2016 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 6,577 | | | $ | 6,776 | | | $ | 199 | | | | 20 | % |
AA | | | 6,893 | | | | 7,197 | | | | 304 | | | | 21 | % |
A | | | 7,954 | | | | 8,265 | | | | 311 | | | | 24 | % |
BBB | | | 7,684 | | | | 7,886 | | | | 202 | | | | 23 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Investment grade | | | 29,108 | | | | 30,124 | | | | 1,016 | | | | 88 | % |
| | | | |
BB | | | 957 | | | | 919 | | | | (38 | ) | | | 3 | % |
B | | | 485 | | | | 453 | | | | (32 | ) | | | 1 | % |
Other (b) | | | 2,448 | | | | 2,674 | | | | 226 | | | | 8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade | | | 3,890 | | | | 4,046 | | | | 156 | | | | 12 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 32,998 | | | $ | 34,170 | | | $ | 1,172 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31, 2015 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 6,519 | | | $ | 6,655 | | | $ | 136 | | | | 20 | % |
AA | | | 6,785 | | | | 6,954 | | | | 169 | | | | 22 | % |
A | | | 7,780 | | | | 7,969 | | | | 189 | | | | 25 | % |
BBB | | | 7,478 | | | | 7,507 | | | | 29 | | | | 23 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Investment grade | | | 28,562 | | | | 29,085 | | | | 523 | | | | 90 | % |
| | | | |
BB | | | 790 | | | | 765 | | | | (25 | ) | | | 2 | % |
B | | | 438 | | | | 417 | | | | (21 | ) | | | 1 | % |
Other (b) | | | 2,029 | | | | 2,271 | | | | 242 | | | | 7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade | | | 3,257 | | | | 3,453 | | | | 196 | | | | 10 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 31,819 | | | $ | 32,538 | | | $ | 719 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 28 and 29 for more information. |
25
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
March 31, 2016 | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 203 | | | $ | 209 | | | $ | 6 | | | | 4 | % | | | 1 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 1,566 | | | | 1,721 | | | | 155 | | | | 29 | % | | | 4 | % |
Alt-A | | | 991 | | | | 1,060 | | | | 69 | | | | 18 | % | | | 3 | % |
Subprime | | | 753 | | | | 787 | | | | 34 | | | | 13 | % | | | 2 | % |
Commercial | | | 2,046 | | | | 2,136 | | | | 90 | | | | 36 | % | | | 5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total AFG consolidated | | $ | 5,559 | | | $ | 5,913 | | | $ | 354 | | | | 100 | % | | | 15 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
• | | Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations. |
• | | The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 78%; Subprime 85%; CMBS 99%. |
• | | The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 740; Alt-A 712; Subprime 640. |
• | | 99% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (84% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 40%. |
• | | The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 5 years; Commercial 3 years. |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
December 31, 2015 | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Investment Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 260 | | | $ | 269 | | | $ | 9 | | | | 5 | % | | | 1 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 1,489 | | | | 1,651 | | | | 162 | | | | 29 | % | | | 4 | % |
Alt-A | | | 794 | | | | 872 | | | | 78 | | | | 15 | % | | | 2 | % |
Subprime | | | 698 | | | | 742 | | | | 44 | | | | 13 | % | | | 2 | % |
Commercial | | | 2,112 | | | | 2,188 | | | | 76 | | | | 38 | % | | | 6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total AFG consolidated | | $ | 5,353 | | | $ | 5,722 | | | $ | 369 | | | | 100 | % | | | 15 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
26
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Property and Casualty Insurance: | | March 31, 2016 | |
By Asset Type | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Inv Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 144 | | | $ | 148 | | | $ | 4 | | | | 12 | % | | | 2 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 244 | | | | 255 | | | | 11 | | | | 20 | % | | | 3 | % |
Alt-A | | | 320 | | | | 333 | | | | 13 | | | | 26 | % | | | 3 | % |
Subprime | | | 309 | | | | 314 | | | | 5 | | | | 25 | % | | | 3 | % |
Commercial | | | 205 | | | | 210 | | | | 5 | | | | 17 | % | | | 2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,222 | | | $ | 1,260 | | | $ | 38 | | | | 100 | % | | | 13 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | December 31, 2015 | |
By Asset Type | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Inv Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 151 | | | $ | 153 | | | $ | 2 | | | | 13 | % | | | 2 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 218 | | | | 231 | | | | 13 | | | | 20 | % | | | 2 | % |
Alt-A | | | 241 | | | | 257 | | | | 16 | | | | 23 | % | | | 3 | % |
Subprime | | | 283 | | | | 291 | | | | 8 | | | | 25 | % | | | 3 | % |
Commercial | | | 209 | | | | 213 | | | | 4 | | | | 19 | % | | | 2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 1,102 | | | $ | 1,145 | | | $ | 43 | | | | 100 | % | | | 12 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
Annuity and Run-off: | | March 31, 2016 | |
By Asset Type | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Inv Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 59 | | | $ | 61 | | | $ | 2 | | | | 1 | % | | | 0 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 1,321 | | | | 1,454 | | | | 133 | | | | 31 | % | | | 5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 671 | | | | 727 | | | | 56 | | | | 16 | % | | | 2 | % |
Subprime | | | 444 | | | | 473 | | | | 29 | | | | 10 | % | | | 2 | % |
Commercial | | | 1,841 | | | | 1,926 | | | | 85 | | | | 42 | % | | | 6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,336 | | | $ | 4,641 | | | $ | 305 | | | | 100 | % | | | 15 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | December 31, 2015 | |
By Asset Type | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | | | % of Inv Portfolio | |
Residential | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency | | $ | 109 | | | $ | 116 | | | $ | 7 | | | | 3 | % | | | 0 | % |
Prime (Non-Agency) | | | 1,270 | | | | 1,408 | | | | 138 | | | | 31 | % | | | 5 | % |
Alt-A | | | 553 | | | | 615 | | | | 62 | | | | 13 | % | | | 2 | % |
Subprime | | | 415 | | | | 451 | | | | 36 | | | | 10 | % | | | 2 | % |
Commercial | | | 1,903 | | | | 1,975 | | | | 72 | | | | 43 | % | | | 7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 4,250 | | | $ | 4,565 | | | $ | 315 | | | | 100 | % | | | 16 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
27
| | | | |
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | March 31, 2016 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 2,255 | | | $ | 2,357 | | | $ | 102 | | | | 40 | % |
AA | | | 254 | | | | 261 | | | | 7 | | | | 5 | % |
A | | | 354 | | | | 372 | | | | 18 | | | | 6 | % |
BBB | | | 230 | | | | 246 | | | | 16 | | | | 4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - investment grade | | | 3,093 | | | | 3,236 | | | | 143 | | | | 55 | % |
| | | | |
BB | | | 281 | | | | 282 | | | | 1 | | | | 5 | % |
B | | | 312 | | | | 311 | | | | (1 | ) | | | 5 | % |
Other | | | 1,873 | | | | 2,084 | | | | 211 | | | | 35 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,559 | | | $ | 5,913 | | | $ | 354 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
98% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | December 31, 2015 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | Amortized Cost | | | Fair Value | | | Unrealized Gain (Loss) | | | % of Fair Value | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 2,409 | | | $ | 2,494 | | | $ | 85 | | | | 43 | % |
AA | | | 255 | | | | 263 | | | | 8 | | | | 5 | % |
A | | | 329 | | | | 345 | | | | 16 | | | | 6 | % |
BBB | | | 272 | | | | 292 | | | | 20 | | | | 5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - investment grade | | | 3,265 | | | | 3,394 | | | | 129 | | | | 59 | % |
| | | | |
BB | | | 253 | | | | 258 | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | % |
B | | | 305 | | | | 311 | | | | 6 | | | | 5 | % |
Other | | | 1,530 | | | | 1,759 | | | | 229 | | | | 31 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 5,353 | | | $ | 5,722 | | | $ | 369 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
28
| | | | |
Appendix A American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type ($ in millions) | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Fair Value - March 31, 2016 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | US Gov | | | Munis | | | Frgn gov | | | RMBS | | | CMBS | | | ABS | | | Corp/Oth | | | Total | | | % Total | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 301 | | | $ | 1,698 | | | $ | 140 | | | $ | 561 | | | $ | 1,796 | | | $ | 2,086 | | | $ | 194 | | | $ | 6,776 | | | | 20 | % |
AA | | | 46 | | | | 4,621 | | | | 22 | | | | 168 | | | | 93 | | | | 1,283 | | | | 964 | | | | 7,197 | | | | 21 | % |
A | | | — | | | | 546 | | | | 60 | | | | 202 | | | | 170 | | | | 1,304 | | | | 5,983 | | | | 8,265 | | | | 24 | % |
BBB | | | — | | | | 92 | | | | — | | | | 197 | | | | 49 | | | | 410 | | | | 7,138 | | | | 7,886 | | | | 23 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Investment grade | | | 347 | | | | 6,957 | | | | 222 | | | | 1,128 | | | | 2,108 | | | | 5,083 | | | | 14,279 | | | | 30,124 | | | | 88 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
BB | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | — | | | | 260 | | | | 22 | | | | 14 | | | | 619 | | | | 919 | | | | 3 | % |
B | | | — | | | | 8 | | | | — | | | | 305 | | | | 6 | | | | 2 | | | | 132 | | | | 453 | | | | 1 | % |
CCC, CC, C | | | — | | | | 8 | | | | — | | | | 936 | | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | 32 | | | | 980 | | | | 3 | % |
D | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 753 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 3 | | | | 756 | | | | 2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade | | | — | | | | 20 | | | | — | | | | 2,254 | | | | 28 | | | | 20 | | | | 786 | | | | 3,108 | | | | 9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
Not Rated | | | 3 | | | | 104 | | | | — | | | | 395 | | | | — | | | | 27 | | | | 409 | | | | 938 | | | | 3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 350 | | | $ | 7,081 | | | $ | 222 | | | $ | 3,777 | | | $ | 2,136 | | | $ | 5,130 | | | $ | 15,474 | | | $ | 34,170 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | Fair Value - December 31, 2015 | |
By Credit Rating (a) | | US Gov | | | Munis | | | Frgn gov | | | RMBS | | | CMBS | | | ABS | | | Corp/Oth | | | Total | | | % Total | |
Investment grade | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
AAA | | $ | 262 | | | $ | 1,607 | | | $ | 138 | | | $ | 640 | | | $ | 1,854 | | | $ | 1,986 | | | $ | 168 | | | $ | 6,655 | | | | 20 | % |
AA | | | 44 | | | | 4,488 | | | | 32 | | | | 151 | | | | 112 | | | | 1,239 | | | | 888 | | | | 6,954 | | | | 21 | % |
A | | | — | | | | 569 | | | | 62 | | | | 173 | | | | 172 | | | | 1,252 | | | | 5,741 | | | | 7,969 | | | | 25 | % |
BBB | | | — | | | | 92 | | | | — | | | | 248 | | | | 44 | | | | 429 | | | | 6,694 | | | | 7,507 | | | | 23 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Investment grade | | | 306 | | | | 6,756 | | | | 232 | | | | 1,212 | | | | 2,182 | | | | 4,906 | | | | 13,491 | | | | 29,085 | | | | 89 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
BB | | | — | | | | 20 | | | | — | | | | 258 | | | | — | | | | 14 | | | | 473 | | | | 765 | | | | 3 | % |
B | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 306 | | | | 6 | | | | 2 | | | | 103 | | | | 417 | | | | 1 | % |
CCC, CC, C | | | — | | | | 9 | | | | — | | | | 894 | | | | — | | | | 4 | | | | 11 | | | | 918 | | | | 3 | % |
D | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 445 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 3 | | | | 448 | | | | 1 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade | | | — | | | | 29 | | | | — | | | | 1,903 | | | | 6 | | | | 20 | | | | 590 | | | | 2,548 | | | | 8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
Not Rated | | | 15 | | | | 100 | | | | — | | | | 419 | | | | — | | | | 8 | | | | 363 | | | | 905 | | | | 3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 321 | | | $ | 6,885 | | | $ | 232 | | | $ | 3,534 | | | $ | 2,188 | | | $ | 4,934 | | | $ | 14,444 | | | $ | 32,538 | | | | 100 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
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