Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses Our liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (also referred to as “claim liabilities”) under property and casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts are based upon estimates of the ultimate claim costs associated with claim occurrences as of the balance sheet date and include estimates for incurred-but-not-reported (“IBNR”) claims. A reconciliation of the changes in claim liabilities, excluding liabilities under retroactive reinsurance contracts (see Note 17), for each of the three years ending December 31, 2021 is as follows (in millions). 2021 2020 2019 Balances at beginning of year: Gross liabilities $ 79,854 $ 73,019 $ 68,458 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses (2,912 ) (2,855 ) (3,060 ) Net liabilities 76,942 70,164 65,398 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses: Current accident year 52,099 43,400 43,335 Prior accident years (3,116 ) (356 ) (752 ) Total 48,983 43,044 42,583 Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses: Current accident year (22,897 ) (17,884 ) (19,482 ) Prior accident years (18,904 ) (18,862 ) (17,642 ) Total (41,801 ) (36,746 ) (37,124 ) Foreign currency effect (420 ) 480 (23 ) Business acquisition (disposition) — — (670 ) Balances at December 31: Net liabilities 83,704 76,942 70,164 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses 2,960 2,912 2,855 Gross liabilities $ 86,664 $ 79,854 $ 73,019 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses shown in the preceding table were recorded in earnings and related to insured events occurring in the current year (“current accident year”) and events occurring in all prior years (“prior accident years”). Incurred and paid losses and loss adjustment expenses are net of reinsurance recoveries. Current accident year incurred losses included approximately $2.9 billion in 2021, $950 million in 2020 and $1.0 billion in 2019 from significant catastrophe events (losses in excess of $100 million per event) occurring in the respective year. Current accident year incurred losses from private passenger auto insurance also increased significantly in 2021 as compared to 2020, primarily due to increased claims frequencies and severities. In 2020, current accident year incurred losses reflected low private passenger auto claims frequencies and increased loss commercial insurance and reinsurance business attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic. We recorded net reductions of estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years of $3.1 billion in 2021, $356 million in 2020 and $752 million in 2019, which produced corresponding reductions in incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses in those periods. These reductions, as percentages of the net liabilities at the beginning of each year, were 4.0% in 2021, 0.5% in 2020 and 1.1% in 2019. Estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years from primary insurance were reduced by $2.4 billion in 2021, $518 million in 2020 and $457 million in 2019. The reductions in 2021 and 2020 derived primarily from private passenger auto and medical professional liability claims. In both 2021 and 2020, we also lowered estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years with respect to workers’ compensation claims, which were largely offset by increases in ultimate liabilities for other casualty claims. The decrease in incurred losses for prior accident years in 2019 reflected reductions in medical professional liability and workers’ compensation estimates partially offset by higher other casualty estimates. Estimated ultimate liabilities for prior accident years related to property and casualty reinsurance decreased $718 million in 2021, increased $162 million in 2020 and decreased $295 million in 2019. The increase in 2020 included increased claims estimates for legacy casualty exposures. Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) Estimated net claim liabilities for environmental, asbestos and other latent injury exposures were approximately $2.1 billion at December 31, 2021 and 2020. These liabilities are subject to change due to changes in the legal and regulatory environment. We are unable to reliably estimate additional losses or a range of losses that are reasonably possible for these claims. Disaggregated information concerning our claims liabilities is provided below and in the pages that follow. The effects of businesses acquired or disposed during the year are reflected in the data presented on a retrospective basis. A reconciliation of the disaggregated net unpaid losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses (the latter referred to as “ALAE”) of GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group (“BH Primary”) and Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (“BHRG”) to our consolidated unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses as of December 31, 2021 follows (in millions). GEICO Physical Damage GEICO Auto Liability BH Primary Medical Professional Liability BH Primary Workers’ Compensation and Other Casualty BHRG Property BHRG Casualty Total Unpaid losses and ALAE, net $ 729 $ 19,768 $ 8,506 $ 13,579 $ 13,119 $ 23,611 $ 79,312 Reinsurance recoverable 11 1,085 28 639 181 892 2,836 Unpaid unallocated loss adjustment expenses 2,448 Other unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses 2,068 Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 86,664 GEICO GEICO’s claim liabilities predominantly relate to various types of private passenger auto liability and physical damage claims. For such claims, we establish and evaluate unpaid claim liabilities using standard actuarial loss development methods and techniques. The actuarial methods utilize historical claims data, adjusted when deemed appropriate to reflect perceived changes in loss patterns. Claim liabilities include average, case, case development and IBNR estimates. We establish average liabilities based on expected severities for newly reported physical damage and liability claims prior to establishing individual case reserves when insufficient time or information is available for specific claim estimates and for large volumes of minor physical damage claims that once reported are quickly settled. We establish case loss estimates for liability claims, including estimates for loss adjustment expenses, as the facts and merits of the claim are evaluated. Claim estimates for liability coverages normally reflect greater uncertainty than physical damage coverages, primarily due to the longer claim-tails, the greater chance of litigation and the time needed to evaluate facts at the time the case estimate is first established. The “claim-tail” is the period between the claim occurrence date and claim settlement or payment date. Consequently, we establish additional case development liabilities, which are usually percentages of the case liabilities. For unreported claims, IBNR liabilities are estimated by projecting the ultimate number of claims expected (reported and unreported) for each significant coverage and deducting reported claims to produce estimated unreported claims. The product of the average cost per unreported claim and the number of unreported claims produces the IBNR liability estimate. We may record supplemental IBNR liabilities in certain situations when actuarial techniques are difficult to apply. Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) GEICO’s net incurred and paid auto physical damage and liability losses and ALAE are summarized by accident year below. IBNR and case development liabilities are as of December 31, 2021. Claim counts are established when accidents that may result in a liability are reported and are based on policy coverage. Each claim event may generate claims under multiple coverages, and thus may result in multiple counts. The “Cumulative Number of Reported Claims” includes the combined number of reported claims for all auto policy coverages. Dollars are in millions. Physical Damage Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Cumulative Number of Accident Year 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities Reported Claims (in thousands) 2020 $ 8,603 $ 8,396 $ 64 7,935 2021 12,135 420 8,967 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 20,531 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2020* 2021 2020 $ 8,118 $ 8,385 2021 11,427 Paid losses and ALAE 19,812 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2020 – 2021 accident years 719 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2020 10 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 729 Auto Liability Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Cumulative Number of Accident Year 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities Reported Claims (in thousands) 2017 $ 14,095 $ 13,864 $ 13,888 $ 13,824 $ 13,777 $ 232 2,646 2018 15,383 15,226 14,985 14,838 495 2,713 2019 16,901 16,678 16,191 1,202 2,778 2020 14,637 14,024 2,564 2,087 2021 17,481 5,541 2,216 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 76,311 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 2017 $ 5,806 $ 9,944 $ 11,799 $ 12,729 $ 13,260 2018 6,218 10,772 12,658 13,757 2019 6,742 11,671 13,851 2020 5,395 9,839 2021 6,450 Paid losses and ALAE 57,157 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2017 – 2021 accident years 19,154 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2017 614 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 19,768 * Unaudited required supplemental information Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) BH Primary BH Primary’s liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses primarily derive from medical professional liability and workers’ compensation and other casualty insurance, which includes commercial auto and general liability insurance. Net incurred and paid losses and ALAE are summarized by accident year in the following tables, disaggregated by medical professional liability coverages and workers’ compensation and other casualty coverages. IBNR and case development liabilities are as of December 31, 2021. The cumulative number of reported claims reflects the number of individual claimants and includes claims that ultimately resulted in no liability or payment. Dollars are in millions. Medical Professional Liability We estimate the ultimate expected incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for medical professional claim liabilities using a variety of commonly accepted actuarial methodologies, such as the paid and incurred development method and Bornhuetter-Ferguson based methods, as well as other techniques that consider insured loss exposures and historical and expected loss trends, among other factors. These methodologies produce loss estimates from which we determine our best estimate. In addition, we study developments in older accident years and adjust initial loss estimates to reflect recent developments based upon claim age, coverage and litigation experience. Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Cumulative Number of Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities Reported Claims (in thousands) 2012 $ 1,336 $ 1,306 $ 1,277 $ 1,223 $ 1,168 $ 1,078 $ 1,035 $ 998 $ 988 $ 971 $ 51 11 2013 1,328 1,296 1,261 1,195 1,127 1,086 1,019 985 978 62 11 2014 1,370 1,375 1,305 1,246 1,218 1,127 1,061 1,033 108 11 2015 1,374 1,342 1,269 1,290 1,218 1,157 1,093 136 12 2016 1,392 1,416 1,414 1,394 1,341 1,288 213 15 2017 1,466 1,499 1,495 1,474 1,382 328 21 2018 1,602 1,650 1,659 1,580 495 23 2019 1,670 1,691 1,663 869 20 2020 1,704 1,751 1,319 27 2021 1,852 1,672 15 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 13,591 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 2012 $ 15 $ 93 $ 218 $ 377 $ 522 $ 642 $ 725 $ 789 $ 830 $ 848 2013 15 90 219 368 518 635 743 793 821 2014 21 106 238 396 540 671 752 788 2015 23 108 218 382 543 663 719 2016 22 115 274 461 620 712 2017 27 128 300 457 582 2018 35 166 367 543 2019 39 160 314 2020 34 148 2021 36 Paid losses and ALAE 5,511 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2012 – 2021 accident years 8,080 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2012 426 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 8,506 * Unaudited required supplemental information Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) Workers’ Compensation and Other Casualty We periodically evaluate ultimate loss and loss adjustment expense estimates for the workers’ compensation and other casualty claims using a combination of commonly accepted actuarial methodologies such as the Bornhuetter-Ferguson and chain-ladder approaches using paid and incurred loss data. Paid and incurred loss data is segregated and analyzed by state due to the different state regulatory frameworks that may impact certain factors, including the duration and amount of loss payments. We also separately study the various components of liabilities, such as employee lost wages, medical expenses and the costs of claims investigations and administration. We establish case liabilities for reported claims based upon the facts and circumstances of the claim. The excess of the ultimate projected losses, including the expected development of case estimates, and the case-basis liabilities is included in IBNR liabilities. Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Cumulative Number of Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities Reported Claims (in thousands) 2012 $ 873 $ 850 $ 837 $ 791 $ 780 $ 762 $ 750 $ 736 $ 718 $ 709 $ 39 53 2013 1,258 1,228 1,178 1,127 1,096 1,072 1,050 1,028 1,008 96 67 2014 1,743 1,638 1,614 1,548 1,482 1,497 1,477 1,460 163 90 2015 2,169 2,127 2,042 2,014 2,025 1,997 2,006 242 111 2016 2,511 2,422 2,359 2,325 2,365 2,370 396 115 2017 3,044 2,907 2,842 2,843 2,852 503 139 2018 3,544 3,412 3,480 3,536 908 160 2019 4,074 4,102 4,175 1,278 173 2020 4,421 4,278 2,089 141 2021 5,197 3,545 218 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 27,591 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 2012 $ 116 $ 299 $ 414 $ 501 $ 560 $ 592 $ 611 $ 626 $ 634 $ 640 2013 177 422 609 725 793 835 858 874 884 2014 239 557 800 1,007 1,111 1,176 1,214 1,245 2015 289 700 1,017 1,289 1,488 1,570 1,648 2016 329 775 1,148 1,461 1,661 1,778 2017 441 1,003 1,434 1,771 1,956 2018 538 1,198 1,683 2,028 2019 682 1,478 2,022 2020 695 1,391 2021 833 Paid losses and ALAE 14,425 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2012 – 2021 accident years 13,166 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2012 413 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 13,579 * Unaudited required supplemental information BHRG We use a variety of methodologies to establish BHRG’s estimates for property and casualty claims liabilities. These methodologies include paid and incurred loss development techniques, incurred and paid loss Bornhuetter-Ferguson techniques and frequency and severity techniques, as well as ground-up techniques when appropriate. Our claims liabilities are principally a function of reported losses from ceding companies, case development and IBNR liability estimates. Case loss estimates are reported under our contracts either individually or in bulk as provided under the terms of the contracts. We may independently evaluate case losses reported by the ceding company, and if deemed appropriate, we may establish case liabilities based on our estimates. Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) Estimated IBNR liabilities are affected by expected case loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios, which are evaluated as groups of contracts with similar exposures or on a contract-by-contract basis. Estimated case and IBNR liabilities for major catastrophe events are generally based on a per-contract assessment of the ultimate cost associated with the individual loss event. Claim count data is not provided consistently by ceding companies under our contracts or is otherwise considered unreliable. Net incurred and paid losses and ALAE of BHRG are disaggregated based on losses that are expected to have shorter claim-tails (property) and losses expected to have longer claim-tails (casualty). Under certain contracts, the coverage can apply to multiple lines of business written by the ceding company, whether property, casualty or combined, and the ceding company may not report loss data by such lines consistently, if at all. In those instances, we allocated losses to property and casualty coverages based on internal estimates. BHRG’s disaggregated incurred and paid losses and ALAE are summarized by accident year. IBNR and case development liabilities are as of December 31, 2021. Dollars are in millions. Property Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities 2012 $ 3,129 $ 2,822 $ 2,621 $ 2,382 $ 2,330 $ 2,327 $ 2,309 $ 2,294 $ 2,285 $ 2,305 $ 31 2013 3,198 3,035 2,690 2,600 2,579 2,520 2,469 2,455 2,453 29 2014 2,619 2,408 2,297 2,154 2,100 2,028 1,999 1,996 33 2015 3,256 3,103 2,546 2,950 2,948 2,971 2,975 154 2016 3,261 3,890 3,616 3,585 3,589 3,578 112 2017 5,253 4,953 4,806 4,698 4,631 141 2018 4,375 4,467 4,344 4,227 461 2019 4,065 4,234 3,992 541 2020 5,795 6,048 1,504 2021 6,669 3,405 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 38,874 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 2012 $ 259 $ 1,218 $ 1,796 $ 1,934 $ 2,022 $ 2,097 $ 2,117 $ 2,162 $ 2,180 $ 2,201 2013 515 1,424 1,863 2,060 2,180 2,260 2,300 2,328 2,352 2014 465 1,234 1,555 1,693 1,758 1,808 1,838 1,860 2015 577 1,596 1,946 2,141 2,245 2,427 2,510 2016 705 1,794 2,186 2,647 2,899 3,083 2017 1,025 2,712 3,633 3,944 4,163 2018 907 2,310 2,831 3,061 2019 748 2,247 2,830 2020 956 2,882 2021 1,214 Paid losses and ALAE 26,156 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2012 – 2021 accident years 12,718 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2012 401 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 13,119 * Unaudited required supplemental information Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1 6 ) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) Casualty Incurred Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 IBNR and Case Development Liabilities 2012 $ 2,792 $ 2,974 $ 2,808 $ 2,871 $ 2,799 $ 2,686 $ 2,619 $ 2,562 $ 2,556 $ 2,557 $ 372 2013 2,132 2,268 2,298 2,141 2,086 2,032 1,937 1,865 1,837 331 2014 1,872 2,069 2,038 2,001 1,915 1,952 1,942 1,847 431 2015 1,877 2,082 2,109 2,008 1,882 1,844 1,817 395 2016 1,906 2,115 2,023 1,980 1,900 1,843 451 2017 2,193 2,685 2,563 2,470 2,383 582 2018 2,924 3,559 3,482 3,340 904 2019 3,429 3,901 3,780 1,521 2020 3,861 3,987 2,147 2021 3,744 2,584 Incurred losses and ALAE $ 27,135 Cumulative Paid Losses and ALAE through December 31, Accident Year 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021 2012 $ 308 $ 747 $ 1,139 $ 1,368 $ 1,525 $ 1,650 $ 1,750 $ 1,810 $ 1,868 $ 1,906 2013 290 519 805 933 1,037 1,139 1,199 1,256 1,290 2014 149 477 642 752 874 959 1,103 1,147 2015 196 489 713 833 924 1,014 1,088 2016 253 555 732 862 960 1,043 2017 230 564 819 1,269 1,376 2018 265 867 1,639 1,909 2019 353 896 1,176 2020 404 970 2021 307 Paid losses and ALAE 12,212 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for 2012 – 2021 accident years 14,923 Net unpaid losses and ALAE for accident years before 2012 8,688 Net unpaid losses and ALAE $ 23,611 * Unaudited required supplemental information Required supplemental unaudited average historical claims duration information based on the net losses and ALAE incurred and paid accident year data in the preceding tables follows. The percentages show the average portions of net losses and ALAE paid by each succeeding year, with year 1 representing the current accident year. Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance In Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 GEICO Physical Damage 97% 3% GEICO Auto Liability 41% 30% 13% 8% 4% BH Primary Medical Professional Liability 2% 8% 12% 14% 13% 11% 8% 5% 4% 2% BH Primary Workers’ Compensation and Other Casualty 16% 21% 16% 12% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% BHRG Property 19% 36% 16% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% BHRG Casualty 11% 16% 13% 9% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% |