9
Jared Wolff
Yeah, we’re looking at both sides. So, they’ve got LPO’s, Inland Empire of San Diego, others. We have them as well. And so, we’ve got offices that don’t necessarily have branches. And so, we’re looking at both sides of, on a combined basis, we’re going to be able to obviously, cover the geographic area well. And so, we’re looking at both sides in terms of, and you end up looking at combination space, and lease cancellation expense, to figure it out. And so, we’re going through that process now. We’ve said that we think 75% of the cost saves will be realized in 2021 and the rest in 2022. And obviously, once you’ve done integration, that includes the branches. So, we’ll be figuring that out this year, and make sure it’s incorporated by the time we integrate.
Gerry Tenner
Okay, and I think your comment about passing back over $10 billion, suggested that it would be a 2023 event. Is part of that just given the amount of kind of combined PPP that you both have, as that runs off, there was obviously a hole to fill, in terms of replacing those?
Jared Wolff
Yeah, I mean, I think that’s right. And also just, so let’s say we get this done at the end of the third quarter, I mean, we don’t want to get ahead of the regulators who have a job to do. And I’m sure the timeline will be appropriate, and we obviously have shareholder approvals as well. But let’s say, just for just for conversation purposes, closes in the third quarter and we’re able to integrate late third quarter, early fourth quarter. It’s still, we would have to grow fairly substantially on our own to be over $10 billion before the end of the year 2022.
And so, excuse me, 2021. So, then in 2022, let’s say you put on some, that would be pretty meaningful growth to even get there at the end of 2022. And we don’t know what the environments gonna be like. So, I just think we think it’s likely 2023 instead 2022. And then, even if it is 2022, I think for Durban, it’s measured on a full year basis. And so, there’s kind of a look back. And maybe you get tagged with something, but I think most of it is a full year impact. And so, that’s why we think 2023 is the year that has the most impact.
I mean, if there’s a quarter or two impact in 2022, it’s not going to be huge. Our current estimate is it was like $750 grand or 750,000 or a million bucks. So it wasn’t, that’s annualized, so if you just take a little bit of that per quarter, it’s not that much. Let me let Lynn jump in here, though, in case. I don’t want to misrepresent anything.
Lynn Hopkins
No, I think you’re right. Our understanding as you measure as of the year end date that you cross $10 billion and then as the season starts or the reduction of income starts on the following July or June, mid-year date. So, I think, yeah, but I think that’s generally the timeframe and kind of generally the cost.
Gerry Tenner
Right. Well, given the size of Durban impact, I was less concerned about that timing of that coming in, versus frankly, just everything about the growth trajectory between here and there.
Banc of California
Tuesday, March 23, 2021, 1:00 PM