Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 28, 2016 ProAssurance announced preliminary financial results for the first quarter of 2016. We expect to report net income of between $0.35 and $0.37 per diluted share and operating earnings of between $0.45 and $0.47 per diluted share when we release final first quarter results on May 9, 2016. We anticipate net earned premium in the quarter of approximately $177 million and a consolidated combined ratio of approximately 94.5%. In spite of our strong underwriting performance, our investment result is below expectations. We expect our investment result to decline by approximately $7.0 million compared to the first quarter of last year. Net income from our core investment portfolio is expected to be approximately $2.0 million lower than the prior year’s quarter, while our equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries is expected to be lower by approximately $5.5 million. The decline in the return on these investments is the combined impact of lower returns from several alternative investments as well as an increase in the amount of amortization of tax credit investments. We also expect net income for the quarter to be affected by realized investment losses, which we expect to be approximately $8.5 million in the quarter, compared to net realized investment gains of $4.8 million in the first quarter of 2015. We expect to recognize impairments of approximately $10.0 million, mostly within the energy space. In the release disclosing preliminary results, ProAssurance Chairman and Chief Executive Officer W. Stancil Starnes noted, “Although we do not forecast earnings, we understand our results will fall below expectations in the investment community. That said, there are a number of positive trends in the quarter that tell us we are on the right path operationally. We remain solidly profitable, our Specialty P&C segment is retaining business despite intense competition in a stable loss environment, we saw gains in our cross-selling initiatives in the quarter, and our Workers’ Compensation segment continues to provide growth, as does our Lloyd’s segment.” As background, our total energy related exposures are $200 million at March 31, 2016, or approximately 5% of invested assets. This includes $144 million of energy-related bonds (approximately $24 million below investment grade), a $24 million investment in a mid-stream focused energy infrastructure limited partnership, which was impaired by $3.1 million in the quarter, and $31 million of energy related, dividend-paying blue chip shares and MLPs. |