As stated in “(3)(i) Measures to Ensure Fairness” below, NSSMC obtained a fairness opinion dated May 15, 2018 from Nomura Securities to the effect that the agreed Share Exchange Ratio is reasonable to NSSMC from a financial viewpoint subject to the above conditions precedent and other certain conditions.
(Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities)
For NSSMC, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities made calculations using a market share price analysis based on its judgment that common shares of NSSMC are listed on the First Section of the TSE, NSSMC’s aggregate market value is significantly high compared with that of Nisshin Steel, and the market liquidity of NSSMC shares is high; thus, when calculating the value of NSSMC shares as consideration for the Share Exchange, it would obtain sufficiently fair results under the market share price analysis.
For Nisshin Steel, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities made calculations using (i) a market share price analysis because its shares are listed on a financial instruments exchange and their market share prices exist, (ii) a comparable company analysis because there are several listed companies comparable to Nisshin Steel and thus its share value can be analogized under the comparable company analysis, and (iii) a discounted cash flow analysis (the “DCF Analysis”) in order to reflect Nisshin Steel’s future business activities into the valuation.
The ranges of Nisshin Steel’s share values are as follows, where theper-share value of NSSMC’s shares is assumed to be 1 under each valuation method:
| | |
| | Calculation Result of the Share Exchange Ratio |
Market Share Price Analysis | | 0.57 - 0.60 |
Comparable Company Analysis | | 0.43 - 0.64 |
DCF Analysis | | 0.57 - 0.79 |
Under the market share price analysis, for both companies, using May 15, 2018 as the reference date, and making reference to the closing price of each company’s shares on the First Section of TSE on the reference date, the simple averages of the closing price on each business day for the one month, three months, and six months immediately preceding the reference date were applied.
Under the comparable company analysis, the value of Nisshin Steel shares was calculated in the following manner. JFE Holdings, Inc., Kobe Steel, Ltd., Hitachi Metals, Ltd., Daido Steel Co., Ltd., Sanyo Special Steel Co., Ltd., ArcelorMittal S.A., Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd., Posco Co., Ltd., Nucor Corporation, thyssenkrupp AG, Novolipetsk Steel PJSC, voestalpine AG, Tata Steel Ltd., Hyundai Steel Company, Gerdau S.A., United States Steel Corporation, and Steel Authority of India Ltd. were chosen as listed companies analogous to Nisshin Steel, taking into consideration their analogousness in terms of type of businesses undertaken, profits and losses, condition of financial affairs, and an EBITDA multiple of 5.75 times to 6.25 times, and a PER multiple of 9.75 times to 10.25 times were used to calculate the value of Nisshin Steel’s shares. Based on the results of that calculation, the share exchange ratio was calculated to range from 0.43 to 0.64.
Under the DCF Analysis, the enterprise value of Nisshin Steel was calculated by discounting the future free cash flow based on the financial forecasts prepared by Nisshin Steel at a certain discount rate to the present value. The going concern value under the DCF Method was calculated using the perpetuity growth rate method and the multiple method. A discount rate of 5.00% to 5.50% was used. Further, a perpetuity growth rate of-0.25% to 0.25% was used, and under the multiple method, an EBITDA multiple of 5.75 times to 6.75 times was used. Based on the results above, the share exchange ratio was calculated to range from 0.57 to 0.79.
Under Nisshin Steel’s financial forecasts, which were used by Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities as a base to calculate the share exchange ratio, a substantial increase in operating profit is expected for FY2019 and FY2020, which increase will be by 30 percent or more, compared to