Forward Looking Statement 3 EXHIBIT 99 Certain of the matters discussed in this report constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management’s beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. When used herein, the words “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “believe,” “expect,” “plan,” “should,” “hypothetical,” “potential,” “forecast, “project,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ are often presented with the forward-looking statements themselves. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward- looking statements made by us herein are discussed in Item 1. Financial Statements— Note 9. Commitments and Contingent Liabilities, Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and other factors discussed in filings we make with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). These factors include, but are not limited to: • adverse changes in the demand for or the price of the capacity and energy that we sell into wholesale electricity markets, • adverse changes in energy industry law, policies and regulation, including market structures and a potential shift away from competitive markets toward subsidized market mechanisms, transmission planning and cost allocation rules, including rules regarding how transmission is planned and who is permitted to build transmission in the future, and reliability standards, • any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and state regulators, • changes in federal and state environmental regulations that could increase our costs or limit our operations, • changes in nuclear regulation and/or general developments in the nuclear power industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents experienced at our facilities or by others in the industry, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating units, • actions or activities at one of our nuclear units located on a multi-unit site that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units located at the same site, • any inability to balance our energy obligations, available supply and risks, • any deterioration in our credit quality or the credit quality of our counterparties, including in our leveraged leases, • availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and conditions and our ability to meet cash needs, • changes in the cost of, or interruption in the supply of, fuel and other commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units, • delays in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our construction and development activities, • delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and development activities, • any inability to achieve, or continue to sustain, our expected levels of operating performance, • any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers, and any inability to sufficiently obtain coverage or recover proceeds of insurance on such matters, • increases in competition in energy supply markets as well as competition for certain rate-based transmission projects, • any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits, • challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified workforce, • adverse performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust fund investments and changes in funding requirements, and • changes in technology and customer usage patterns. All of the forward-looking statements made in this report are qualified by these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that the results or developments anticipated by management will be realized or even if realized, will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or our business prospects, financial condition or results of operations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decision. Forward-looking statements made in this report apply only as of the date of this report. While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this report are intended to qualify for the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. |
GAAP Disclaimer PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non- GAAP financial measure that differs from Net Income because it excludes gains or losses associated with Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM) accounting, and other material one-time items. PSEG presents Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate for investors to consider results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand performance trends. This information is not intended to be viewed as an alternative to GAAP information. Slides A and B at the end of this presentation include a list of items excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings, with a reference to that slide included on each of the slides where the non-GAAP information appears. 4 |
PSEG meeting the market’s challenges with our strong platform of assets PSEG Energy Holdings positioned to pursue attractive renewable generation and develop new business opportunities Assets $1.5B Operating Earnings $64M Renewable Investments PSE&G positioned to meet NJ’s energy policy and economic growth objectives with an investment program exceeding $10 billion through 2017 Assets $19.2B Operating Earnings $528M Electric & Gas Delivery and Transmission PSEG Power’s low-cost, base load and load following fleet is geographically well positioned and environmentally responsible Assets $11.0B Operating Earnings $644M Regional Wholesale Energy * 7 ASSETS AND OPERATING EARNINGS ARE FOR THE YEAR ENDED 12/31/2012. ENERGY HOLDINGS INCLUDES PARENT. SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. . |
61 local NJ towns and 5 counties support • 61 municipalities and five counties (Bergen, Hudson, Mercer, Passaic and Somerset) have approved resolutions in support of Energy Strong, PSE&G’s infrastructure proposal to improve and fortify its electric and gas distribution systems • The Energy Strong proposal is currently being evaluated by the NJ Board of Public Utilities • Public hearings are scheduled for September and October 2013 13 |
Where we’re going … PSE&G operating earnings are forecast to grow at double digit rate through 2015 • O&M Growth per year • PSE&G Rate Base Transmission E&G Distribution EMP • EFORd Rate - CCGT • Nuclear Generation • Holdings Solar Investment • LIPA Earnings PSEG Focus ($ millions, except as noted) • • $12,600 • $5,000 4 • $6,900 5 • $700 5 • 1.4% • 30.4TWh • $290 • $12-$15 2015E • 0.8% • $9,000 • $2,500 • $5,900 • $600 • 1.7% • 29.8TWh • $240 • $0 2012 • 2.4% • $6,800 • $866 • $5,900 • $0 • 1.6% • 29.3TWh • $0 • $0 2008 (1) Planned compound annual growth rate 2008-2012. (2) Actual compound annual growth rate 2008-2012. (3) Two-year compound annual growth rate from 2013. (4) Includes additional Transmission hardening. (5) Includes proposed filings: EE4A, SL3, S4Ae, and ES programs. E = ESTIMATE. . 2.2% (planned ) (actual ) (forecast ) 1 2 3 15 |
PSEG First Half 2013 - Highlights Maintaining 2013 operating earnings guidance of $2.25 - $2.50 per share Strong earnings: First half 2013 earnings of $1.33 per share vs. $1.28 in year-ago period Power benefitting from higher capacity prices and asset location PSE&G seeing results from increased investment in transmission O&M under control {Continuing control of O&M supporting results} Capital investment on schedule PSE&G received approval to invest $446 million in extensions of Solar 4 All and Solar Loan programs PSE&G’s existing $3.4 billion Transmission investment program remains on schedule Hearings scheduled for Energy Strong, PSE&G’s $2.6 billion, 5-year capital infrastructure program Financial position remains strong S&P credit rating upgrade across Enterprise, Power and PSE&G Debt represented 41% of capital at June 30, 2013 Dividend increased 1.4% to $1.44 per share, the 9 increase in the last ten years Full year 2013 operating earnings expected to be at the upper end of guidance, assuming normal weather and unit operations 17 th |
2013 Operating Earnings * *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS; ALL PERIODS REFLECT TEXAS IN DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS. E=ESTIMATE. Investment in the regulated business has changed the earnings mix Our 2009-2013 investment focus has brought us to a 50/50 mix for 2013 PSE&G’s 2013-2017 Energy Strong Program and ongoing transmission investments will support continued growth in PSE&G’s earnings Percent of Operating Earnings Contribution by Subsidiary PSE&G Power Other $2.74 $2.44 $2.25 -$2.50E $3.09 $3.12 18 20% 27% 38% 43% 50% 76% 69% 61% 52% 47% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E |
Lower commodity costs and expiration of certain transition charges are expected to offset the impact to customer bills *FOR THE TYPICAL COMBINED ELECTRIC & GAS RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER, 2018 BGS (INCLUDING TRANSMISSION) / BGSS, AS WELL AS SBC, WNC, RAC AND DISTRIBUTION RATES HELD CONSTANT AS OF THE ES FILING DATE (FEB-2013). RATES RELATED TO ELECTRIC RESTRUCTURING: SECURITIZATION (STC), NON-UTILITY GENERATION CHARGE (NGC), & TRANSITIONAL ENERGY FACILITIES ASSESSMENT (TEFA), ARE REDUCED TO ZERO BY 2018. THE RGGI RECOVERY CHARGE (RRC), SOLAR PILOT RECOVERY CHARGE (SPRC), AND CAPITAL ECONOMIC STIMULUS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT PROGRAM (CIP I) AND THE CIP EXTENSION (CIP II) BILL IMPACTS ARE INCLUDED IN THEIR RESPECTIVE GAS & ELECTRIC BARS AND FORECASTED BASED UPON MAR-2013 ESTIMATES. THE BILL IMPACTS FOR ES PROGRAM BASED UPON THE PROPOSED FILING AND S4AEXT/SL3 IMPACTS ARE BASED UPON THE BPU APPROVED PROGRAM. . Typical Residential Annual Bill 44 |
PSE&G’s 2013 operating earnings benefiting from transmission growth and cost containment initiatives E= ESTIMATE *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. $528 2012 2013 Guidance PSE&G Operating Earnings* ($ Millions) $580 - $635E 45 |
PSEG Energy Holdings These projects should produce steady results for PSEG PSEG Solar Source EBITDA E E = ESTIMATE. … A STABLE, LOW-RISK PORTFOLIO 53 0 3 6 9 12 15 2010 2011 2012 2013 |
• Lower cost supplies of shale gas have been beneficial to both PSE&G customers and PSEG Power • Over 50% of our available pipeline capacity can access market area supplies of shale gas • Power’s generating units sit in close proximity to the Marcellus fairway • Power buys approximately 350BCF/year of gas • Availability of a robust gas portfolio of storage and pipeline capacity benefits PSE&G customers and Power’s generating assets Albany PSEG’s locational advantage and gas basis New York Shale Supply 0.6 BCF/D Storage 0.9 BCF/D Gulf Coast Supply 0.7 BCF/D 80 |
Reserve margins in PJM declining with retirements Generation Deactivation Notifications Source: PJM TEAC, 8/8/2013 • PJM Pending Deactivation Requests of 13,340 MW as of August 13, 2013 • Approximately 5,000 MW of additional owner announced retirements in PJM through next auction Forecast Reserve Margin (PJM June 2013) • PJM forecasts a declining Reserve Margin through 2017 82 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 6/1/2013 6/1/2014 6/1/2015 6/1/2016 6/1/2017 Reserve Requirement Existing + Expected New Generation |
Maintaining 2013 operating earnings guidance PSEG Operating Earnings $ Millions (except EPS) 2013E PSEG Power $535 - $600 PSE&G $580 - $635 PSEG Energy Holdings/Parent $25 - $35 Operating Earnings* $1,140 - $1,270 2013 Earnings Guidance $2.25 - $2.50 E = ESTIMATE *SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. Based on our performance year-to-date, we expect full year operating earnings to be at the upper end of guidance, assuming normal weather and unit operations 87 |
Our capital investment options can result in as much as $5.4B of utility growth investment through 2015 PSE&G Growth ~$4.2B PSE&G Maintenance Power & Other Potential Opportunities Approved Programs 2013 – 2015E Capital Investment ~$6.3B ~$6.5B ~$7.5B New Transmission ~$0.2B New Distribution ~$1B PSE&G Growth $5.4B DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. E = ESTIMATE 90 |
Opportunity for modest and sustainable dividend increases consistent with stable regulated growth and cash generation outlook at PSEG Power PSE&G EPS $1.25 $1.14 $1.42 Annual Dividend Per Share E = ESTIMATE 99 $1.33 $1.37 $1.37 $1.44 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E |
PSEG Summary • Maintaining 2013 operating earnings guidance of $2.25 - $2.50 per share -- based on financial results to date, we expect operating earnings for the full year to be at the upper end of our guidance range assuming normal weather and unit operations • Double digit operating earnings growth at PSE&G starting in 2013, and continuing through 2015 driven by transmission investments and approved programs • Power’s continued focus on operational excellence, market expertise and financial strength reduces risk in low price environment • Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow support full capital program without the need for equity • Long history of returning cash to the shareholder through the common dividend, with opportunity for future growth 100 |
The full requirements BGS rate recognizes the forward PJM capacity market price 114 Capacity Price per RPM Auction for PSEG Zone Capacity Price per BGS Tranche 2013-2014 250 $ Three Year Average ($/MW-day) $195 2014-2015 170 $ MW per Tranche (varies by EDC) 108 2015-2016 166 $ Days per Year 365 195 $ 7,712,637 $ MWh per Tranche Energy MW per Tranche (varies by EDC) 108 Hours per Year 8,760 Load Factor (varies by EDC) ~37% MWh per Tranche, approx. 350,000 Capacity Cost per MWh 22 $ Three Year Average ($/MW-day) Capacity Cost per Tranche |
Items Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Earnings Impact ($ Millions) Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 52 $ 50 $ 46 $ 9 $ (71) $ Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM) (PSEG Power) (10) 107 (1) (11) 14 Lease Transaction Activity (Energy Holdings) 36 (173) - 29 (490) Storm O&M (PSEG Power) (39) - - - - Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G) - - (72) - - Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (Energy Holdings) - 34 - - (13) Total Pro-forma adjustments 39 $ 18 $ (27) $ 27 $ (560) $ Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions) 507 507 507 507 508 Per Share Impact (Diluted) Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 0.10 $ 0.10 $ 0.09 $ 0.02 $ (0.14) $ Gain (Loss) on MTM (PSEG Power) (0.02) 0.21 - (0.02) 0.03 Lease Transaction Activity (Energy Holdings) 0.07 (0.34) - 0.05 (0.96) Storm O&M (PSEG Power) (0.08) - - - - Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G) - - (0.14) - - Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (Energy Holdings) - 0.06 - - (0.03) Total Pro-forma adjustments 0.07 $ 0.03 $ (0.05) $ 0.05 $ (1.10) $ For the Year Ended December 31, (Unaudited) Pro-forma Adjustments, net of tax A PLEASE SEE PAGE 4 FOR AN EXPLANATION OF PSEG’S USE OF OPERATING EARNINGS AS A NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE AND HOW IT DIFFERS FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME. |
Items Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings B PLEASE SEE PAGE 4 FOR AN EXPLANATION OF PSEG’S USE OF OPERATING EARNINGS AS A NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE AND HOW IT DIFFERS FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME. 2013 2012 2013 2012 Earnings Impact ($ Millions) Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 8 $ 4 $ 17 $ 9 $ Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM) (a) (PSEG Power) 80 (10) (25) 42 Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings) - 2 - 6 Storm O&M, (PSEG Power) 2 - (15) - Total Pro-forma adjustments 90 $ (4) $ (23) $ 57 $ Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions) 507 507 507 507 Per Share Impact (Diluted) Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power) 0.02 $ 0.01 $ 0.04 $ 0.02 $ Gain (Loss) on MTM (a) (PSEG Power) 0.16 (0.02) (0.05) 0.08 Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings) - - - 0.01 Storm O&M, (PSEG Power) - - (0.03) - Total Pro-forma adjustments 0.18 $ (0.01) $ (0.04) $ 0.11 $ (a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months. Three Months Ended Six Months Ended PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED Reconciling Items Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to Compute Operating Earnings (Unaudited) June 30, June 30, Pro-forma Adjustments, net of tax |