FAIR VALUE | 3 Months Ended |
Mar. 31, 2015 |
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract] | |
FAIR VALUE | 13. FAIR VALUE |
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Fair Value Summary Table |
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The following table summarizes the carrying values and estimated fair values of Newcastle’s financial instruments at March 31, 2015: |
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| Carrying | | Estimated | | Fair Value Method (A) | | | | | | | | | | | |
Value | Fair Value | | | | | | | | | | | |
Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Real estate securities, available-for-sale | $ | 231,727 | | | $ | 231,727 | | | Broker/counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Real estate securities, pledged as collateral | 409,037 | | | 409,037 | | | Broker/counterparty quotations | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Real estate related and other loans, held-for-sale, net | 197,251 | | | 213,822 | | | Broker/counterparty quotations, pricing services, pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Residential mortgage loans, held-for-sale, net | 3,735 | | | 3,889 | | | Broker/counterparty quotations | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B) | 406,217 | | | 406,217 | | | (B) | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Restricted cash | 21,874 | | | 21,874 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Cash and cash equivalents | 56,002 | | | 56,002 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDO bonds payable (D) | $ | 216,464 | | | $ | 121,112 | | | Pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Other bonds and notes payable (D) | 25,317 | | | 26,212 | | | Broker quotations, pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Repurchase agreements | 421,803 | | | 421,803 | | | Market comparables | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Credit facilities and obligations under capital leases | 162,806 | | | 162,806 | | | Pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Financing of subprime mortgage loans subject to call option (B) | 406,217 | | | 406,217 | | | (B) | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Junior subordinated notes payable | 51,230 | | | 39,257 | | | Pricing models | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges (C) | 1,287 | | | 1,287 | | | Counterparty quotations | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Non-hedge derivatives (C) | 3,352 | | | 3,352 | | | Counterparty quotations | | | | | | | | | | | |
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(A) | Methods are listed in order of priority. In the case of real estate securities and real estate related and other loans, broker quotations are obtained if available and practicable, otherwise counterparty quotations or pricing service valuations are obtained or, finally, internal pricing models are used. Internal pricing models are only used for (i) securities and loans that are not traded in an active market, and, therefore, have little or no price transparency, and for which significant unobservable inputs must be used in estimating fair value, or (ii) loans or debt obligations which are private and untraded. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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(B) | Represents an option, not an obligation, to repurchase loans from Newcastle’s subprime mortgage loan securitizations (Note 6). | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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(C) | Represents derivative liabilities including interest rate swaps and TBA forward contracts (Note 12). | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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(D) | Newcastle notes that the unrealized gain on the liabilities within such structures cannot be fully realized. Assets held within CDOs and other non-recourse structures are generally not available to satisfy obligations outside of such financings, except to the extent Newcastle receives net cash flow distributions from such structures. Therefore, Newcastle’s exposure to the economic losses from such structures is limited to its invested equity in them and economically their book value cannot be less than zero. As a result, the fair value of Newcastle’s net investments in these non-recourse financing structures is equal to the present value of their expected future net cash flows. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Fair Value Measurements |
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Valuation Hierarchy |
The fair value of financial instruments is categorized based on the priority of the inputs to the valuation technique and categorized into a three-level fair value hierarchy. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3). Newcastle follows this hierarchy for its financial instruments measured at fair value. |
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Level 1 - Quoted prices in active markets for identical instruments. |
Level 2 - Valuations based principally on other observable market parameters, including |
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• | quoted prices in active markets for similar instruments, | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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• | quoted prices in less active or inactive markets for identical or similar instruments, | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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• | other observable inputs (such as interest rates, yield curves, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates), and | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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• | market corroborated inputs (derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data). | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Level 3 -Valuations based on inputs that are unobservable and supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the overall fair value measurement. Level 3 assets and liabilities include financial instruments whose value is determined using pricing models, discounted cash flow methodologies, or similar techniques where significant inputs are unobservable, as well as instruments for which the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation. |
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Fair value may be based upon broker quotations, counterparty quotations or pricing services quotations, which provide valuation estimates based upon reasonable market order indications or management's good faith estimate, and are subject to significant variability based on market conditions, such as interest rates, credit spreads and market liquidity. A significant portion of Newcastle’s loans, securities and debt obligations are currently not traded in active markets and therefore have little or no price transparency. As a result, Newcastle has estimated the fair value of these illiquid instruments based on internal pricing models rather than quotations. |
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Newcastle has various processes and controls in place to ensure that fair value measurements are reasonably estimated. With respect to broker and pricing service quotations, and in order to ensure these quotes represent a reasonable estimate of fair value, Newcastle’s quarterly procedures include a comparison of such quotations to quotations from different sources, outputs generated from its internal pricing models and transactions completed, as well as on its knowledge and experience of these markets. With respect to fair value estimates generated based on Newcastle’s internal pricing models, Newcastle’s management validates the inputs and outputs of the internal pricing models by comparing them to available independent third party market parameters and models, where available, for reasonableness. Newcastle believes its valuation methods and the assumptions used are appropriate and consistent with other market participants. |
Fair value measurements categorized within Level 3 are sensitive to changes in the assumptions or methodology used to determine fair value and such changes could result in a significant increase or decrease in the fair value. For Newcastle’s investments in real estate securities, real estate related and other loans and residential mortgage loans categorized within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy, the significant unobservable inputs include the discount rates, assumptions relating to prepayments, default rates and loss severities. Significant increases (decreases) in any of the discount rates, default rates or loss severities in isolation would result in a significantly lower (higher) fair value measurement. The impact of changes in prepayment speeds would have differing impacts on fair value, depending on the seniority of the investment. Generally, a change in the default assumption is accompanied by directionally similar changes in the assumptions used for the loss severity and the prepayment speed. |
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Recurring Fair Value Measurements - Real Estate Securities and Derivatives |
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The following table summarizes financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis at March 31, 2015: |
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| Carrying Value | | Level 2 | | Level 3 | | Total | |
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Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Real estate securities, available-for-sale: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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CMBS | $ | 178,729 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 178,729 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 178,729 | | |
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Non-Agency RMBS | 44,460 | | | — | | | 44,460 | | | — | | | 44,460 | | |
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CDO (A) | 8,538 | | | — | | | — | | | 8,538 | | | 8,538 | | |
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Equity securities | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | |
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Real estate securities, available-for-sale total | $ | 231,727 | | | $ | — | | | $ | 223,189 | | | $ | 8,538 | | | $ | 231,727 | | |
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Real estate securities, pledged as collateral: | | | | | | | | | | |
FNMA/FHLMC | 409,037 | | | 409,037 | | | — | | | — | | | 409,037 | | |
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Real estate securities, pledged as collateral total | $ | 409,037 | | | $ | 409,037 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 409,037 | | |
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Liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Derivative liabilities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Interest rate swaps, treated as hedges | $ | 1,287 | | | $ | 1,287 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 1,287 | | |
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Interest rate swaps and TBAs, not treated as hedges | 3,352 | | | 3,352 | | | — | | | — | | | 3,352 | | |
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Derivative liabilities total | $ | 4,639 | | | $ | 4,639 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | 4,639 | | |
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(A) | Represents non-consolidated CDO securities, excluding eight securities with a zero value, which had an aggregate face amount of $113.8 million as of March 31, 2015. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Significant Unobservable Inputs |
The following table provides quantitative information regarding the significant unobservable inputs used by Newcastle for assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of March 31, 2015. This table excludes inputs used to measure fair value that are not developed by Newcastle, such as broker prices and other third-party pricing service valuations. |
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Asset Type | | Amortized | | Fair Value | | Discount | | Prepayment | | Cumulative | | Loss |
Cost | Rate | Speed | Default | Severity |
Basis | | | Rate | |
CDO | | — | | | 8,538 | | | 7.4 | % | | 3.6 | % | | 21.7 | % | | 73.6 | % |
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Total | | $ | — | | | $ | 8,538 | | | | | | | | | |
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All of the inputs used in the table have some degree of market observability, based on Newcastle’s knowledge of the market, relationships with market participants, and use of common market data sources. Collateral prepayment, default and loss severity projections are in the form of “curves” or “vectors” that vary for each monthly collateral cash flow projection. Methods used to develop these projections vary by asset class (e.g., CMBS projections are developed differently than home equity ABS projections)but conform to industry conventions. Newcastle uses assumptions that generate its best estimate of future cash flows of each respective security. |
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The prepayment vector specifies the percentage of the collateral balance that is expected to voluntarily pay off at each point in the future. The prepayment vector is based on projections from a widely published investment bank model which considers factors such as collateral FICO score, loan-to-value ratio, debt-to-income ratio, and vintage on a loan level basis. This vector is scaled up or down to match recent collateral-specific prepayment experience, as obtained from remittance reports and market data services. |
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Loss severities are based on recent collateral-specific experience with additional consideration given to collateral characteristics. Collateral age is taken into consideration because severities tend to initially increase with collateral age before eventually stabilizing. Newcastle typically uses projected severities that are higher than the historic experience for collateral that is relatively new to account for this effect. Collateral characteristics such as loan size, lien position, and location (state) also effect loss severity. Newcastle considers whether a collateral pool has experienced a significant change in its composition with respect to these factors when assigning severity projections. |
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Default rates are determined from the current “pipeline” of loans that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure, or are REO. These significantly delinquent loans determine the first 24 months of the default vector. Beyond month 24, the default vector transitions to a steady-state value that is generally equal to or greater than that given by the widely published investment bank model. |
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The discount rates Newcastle uses are derived from a range of observable pricing on securities backed by similar collateral and offered in a live market. As the markets in which Newcastle transacts have become less liquid, Newcastle has had to rely on fewer data points in this analysis. |
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Newcastle’s investments in instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis using Level 3 inputs changed during the three months ended March 31, 2015 as follows: |
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| CMBS | | Non-Agency RMBS | | Equity/Other Securities | | Total | | | | | | |
Balance at December 31, 2014 | $ | 178,763 | | | 45,035 | | | $ | 7,956 | | | $ | 231,754 | | | | | | | |
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Total gains (losses) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Included in net income (A) | (48 | ) | | — | | | — | | | (48 | ) | | | | | | |
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Included in other comprehensive income (loss) | 1,392 | | | (1,189 | ) | | 582 | | | 785 | | | | | | | |
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Amortization included in interest income | 1,803 | | | 2,098 | | | — | | | 3,901 | | | | | | | |
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Purchases, sales and repayments | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Purchases | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | | |
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Proceeds from sales | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | | |
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Proceeds from repayments | (3,181 | ) | | (1,484 | ) | | — | | | (4,665 | ) | | | | | | |
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Balance at March 31, 2015 | $ | 178,729 | | | 44,460 | | | $ | 8,538 | | | $ | 231,727 | | | | | | | |
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(A) | These gains (losses) are recorded in the following line items in the consolidated statements of operations: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Three Months Ended March 31, 2015 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net | $ | — | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Other income (loss), net | — | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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OTTI | (48 | ) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | $ | (48 | ) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Gain (loss) on settlement of investments, net, from investments transferred into Level 3 during the period | $ | — | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Non-Recurring Fair Value Measurements - Loans |
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Loans which Newcastle does not have the ability or intent to hold into the foreseeable future are classified as held-for-sale. As a result, these held-for-sale loans are carried at the lower of amortized cost or fair value and are therefore recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis. These loans were written down to fair value at the time of the impairment, based on broker quotations, pricing service quotations or internal pricing models. All the loans were within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. For real estate related and other loans, the most significant inputs used in the valuations are the amount and timing of expected future cash flows, market yields and the estimated collateral value of such loan investments. For residential mortgage loans, significant inputs include management’s expectations of prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities and discount rates that market participants would use in determining the fair values of similar pools of residential mortgage loans. |
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The following tables summarize certain information for real estate related and other loans and residential mortgage loans held-for-sale as of March 31, 2015: |
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| | | | | | Significant Input |
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| | Carrying | | Fair | | Discount | | Loss | | Discount | | Loss |
Loan Type | | Value | | Value | | Rate | | Severity | | Rate | | Severity |
Mezzanine | | $ | 65,862 | | | $ | 66,956 | | | 5.0%-20.0% | | | 0%-100% | | | 8.6 | % | | 27.9 | % |
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Bank Loan | | 112,459 | | | 127,936 | | | 15.0%-29.3% | | | 0%-100% | | | 22 | % | | 25.7 | % |
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B-Note | | 18,891 | | | 18,891 | | | 12 | % | | 0 | % | | 12 | % | | 0 | % |
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Whole Loan | | 39 | | | 39 | | | 7.5 | % | | 0 | % | | 7.5 | % | | 0 | % |
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Total Real Estate Related and other Loans Held-for-Sale, Net | | $ | 197,251 | | | $ | 213,822 | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| | Carrying | | Fair | | Discount | | Prepayment | | Constant | | Loss |
Loan Type | | Value | | Value | | Rate | | Speed | | Default Rate | | Severity |
Residential Loans | | 3,735 | | | 3,889 | | | 13 | % | | 0.2 | % | | 18.2 | % | | 4.9 | % |
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Total Residential Mortgage Loans, Held-for-Sale, Net | | $ | 3,735 | | | $ | 3,889 | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Liabilities for Which Fair Value Is Only Disclosed |
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The following table summarizes the level of the fair value hierarchy, valuation techniques and inputs used for estimating each class of liabilities not measured at fair value in the statement of financial position but for which fair value is disclosed: |
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Type of Liabilities Not Measured At Fair Value for Which Fair Value Is Disclosed | | Fair Value Hierarchy | | | Valuation Techniques and Significant Inputs | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDO bonds payable | | Level 3 | | Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Significant inputs include: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Underlying security and loan prepayment, default and cumulative loss expectations | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Amount and timing of expected future cash flows | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Market yields and credit spreads implied by comparisons to transactions of similar tranches of CDO debt by the varying levels of subordination | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Other bonds and notes payable | | Level 3 | | Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Significant inputs include: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Amount and timing of expected future cash flows | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Interest rates | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Broker quotations | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Market yields and credit spreads implied by comparisons to transactions of similar tranches of securitized debt by the varying levels of subordination | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Repurchase agreements | | Level 2 | | Valuation technique is based on market comparables. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Significant variables include: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Amount and timing of expected future cash flows | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Interest rates | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Collateral funding spreads | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Golf credit facilities | | Level 3 | | Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Significant inputs include: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Amount and timing of expected future cash flows | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Interest rates | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Credit spread of golf | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Junior subordinated notes payable | | Level 3 | | Valuation technique is based on discounted cash flows. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Significant inputs include: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Amount and timing of expected future cash flows | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Interest rates | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | l | Market yields and the credit spread of Newcastle | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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