Fair Value Measurements | Note 12. Fair Value Measurements Fair Value of Financial Instruments The accounting principles related to fair value measurements define fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Financial Accounting Standards Board Accounting Standards Codification Topic 820, Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures , establishes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels, giving the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3) as described below: Level 1 Inputs - Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that are accessible by the Company at the measurement date; Level 2 Inputs - Quoted prices in markets that are not active or financial instruments for which all significant inputs are observable, either directly or indirectly; and Level 3 Inputs - Unobservable inputs for the asset or liability, including significant judgments made by the Company about the assumptions that a market participant would use. The Company measures the fair value of the following assets and liabilities: Investments in Financial Assets Agency MBS – The Company’s investments in agency MBS are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Inputs to fair value measurements of the Company’s investments in agency MBS include price estimates obtained from third-party pricing services. In determining fair value, third-party pricing services use a market approach. The inputs used in the fair value measurements performed by the third-party pricing services are based upon readily observable transactions for securities with similar characteristics (such as issuer/guarantor, coupon rate, stated maturity, and collateral pool characteristics) occurring on the measurement date. The Company makes inquiries of the third-party pricing sources and reviews their documented valuation methodologies to understand the significant inputs and assumptions used to determine prices. The Company reviews the various third-party fair value estimates and performs procedures to validate their reasonableness, including comparison to recent trading activity for similar securities and an overall review for consistency with market conditions observed as of the measurement date. Credit securities – The Company's investments in commercial MBS are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Inputs to fair value measurements of the Company's investments in commercial MBS include quoted prices for similar assets in recent market transactions and estimates obtained from third-party sources including pricing services and dealers. In determining fair value, third-party pricing sources use a market approach. The inputs used in the fair value measurements performed by third-party pricing sources are based upon observable transactions for securities with similar characteristics. The Company reviews the third-party fair value estimates and performs procedures to validate their reasonableness, including comparisons to recent trading activity observed for similar securities as well as an internally derived discounted future cash flow measurement. The Company’s investments in non-agency MBS collateralized by a pool of business purpose residential mortgage loans and ABS collateralized by residential solar panel loans are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. To measure the fair value of the Company’s non-agency MBS investment secured by a pool of business purpose residential mortgage loans, the Company uses an income approach by preparing an estimate of the present value of the amount and timing of the cash flows expected to be collected from the security over its expected remaining life. To prepare the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected, the Company uses significant judgment to develop assumptions about the future performance of the pool of business purpose residential mortgage loans that serve as collateral, including loan-level probabilities of default and loss-given-default. As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 , the remaining population of business purpose residential mortgage loans serving as collateral to the Company's non-agency MBS investment represented less than one percent of the original collateral pool. Because the repayment of business purpose residential mortgage loans is often largely based on the ability of the borrower to sell the mortgaged property or to convert the property for rental purposes and obtain refinancing in the form of a longer-term loan, relatively high delinquency and default rates are common and expected attributes of this asset class. The following table presents the weighted-average of the significant inputs to the fair value measurement of the Company’s non-agency MBS secured by business purpose residential mortgage loans as of dates indicated: September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022 Probability of default 100.0 % 27.8 % Loss-given-default 0.0 % 18.3 % Inputs to fair value measurements of the Company’s investments in ABS collateralized by residential solar panel loans includes either quoted prices obtained from dealers or an internally derived discounted future cash flow measurement. Loans – The Company’s commercial mortgage loan investment is classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. To measure the fair value of its mortgage loan investment, the Company uses an income approach by preparing an estimate of the present value of the expected future cash flows of the loan over its expected remaining life, discounted at a current market rate. The significant unobservable inputs to the fair value measurement of the Company’s mortgage loan investment are the estimated probability of default and the discount rate, which is based on current market yields and interest rate spreads for a similar loan. As of September 30, 2023 , the estimated probability of default and discount rate for the Company’s mortgage loan investment were 0 % and 12.4 %, respectively. As of December 31, 2022 , the estimated probability of default and discount rate for the Company’s mortgage loan investment were 0 % and 10.0 %, respectively. Mortgage loans and secured debt of consolidated VIEs – The Company has elected to apply a fair value measurement practical expedient permitted by GAAP to measure the fair value of the mortgage loans and debt obligations of its consolidated VIEs. The fair value measurement practical expedient is permitted to be applied to consolidated “collateralized financing entities,” which are VIEs for which the financial liabilities of the VIE have contractual recourse solely to the financial assets of the VIE. As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, pursuant to the practical expedient, the Company measured the fair value of both the mortgage loans and the debt obligations of its consolidated VIE of business purpose residential mortgage loans based upon the fair value of the mortgage loans of the VIE. As of December 31, 2022, the senior debt obligations of the consolidated VIE had been fully extinguished and only the subordinate debt obligation of the consolidated VIE remained. The business purpose residential mortgage loans and subordinate debt obligation of the consolidated VIE are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. To measure the fair value of the business purpose residential mortgage loans of the consolidated VIE as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, the Company used significant judgment to develop assumptions about the future performance of each business purpose residential mortgage loan, which included determining loan-level probabilities of default and loss-given-default. As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 , the remaining population of business purpose residential mortgage loans represented less than two percent of the original collateral pool. Because the repayment of business purpose residential mortgage loans is often largely based on the ability of the borrower to sell the mortgaged property or to convert the property for rental purposes and obtain refinancing in the form of a longer-term loan, relatively high delinquency and default rates are common and expected attributes of this asset class. The following table presents the weighted-average of the significant inputs to the fair value measurement of the business purpose residential mortgage loans of the Company’s consolidated VIE as of the periods indicated: September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022 Probability of default 100.0 % 44.1 % Loss-given-default 24.3 % 11.3 % On March 7, 2023, the Company sold all of its investments in its previously consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans and, as a result, deconsolidated the VIE. As of December 31, 2022, the Company measured the fair value of both the residential mortgage loans and the debt obligations of its consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans based upon the fair value of the debt obligations as the fair value of the debt securities issued by the VIE were more observable to the Company than the fair value of the underlying mortgage loans. The senior and mezzanine debt obligations of the consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans were classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Inputs to the fair value measurements of the senior and mezzanine debt obligations of the consolidated VIE included quoted prices for similar assets in recent market transactions and estimates obtained from third-party pricing sources, including pricing services and dealers. In determining fair value, third-party pricing sources use a market approach. The inputs used in the fair value measurements performed by third-party pricing sources were based upon observable transactions for securities with similar characteristics. The residential mortgage loans and the subordinate and excess interest-only debt obligations of the consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans (held by the Company as investments and eliminated against the associated debt of the VIE in consolidation) were classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. To measure the fair value of the subordinate and excess interest-only debt obligations of the consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans, the Company used an income approach by preparing an estimate of the present value of the amount and timing of the cash flows expected to be collected from each security over its expected remaining life. To prepare the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected, the Company used significant judgment to develop assumptions about the future performance of the pool of residential mortgage loans that served as collateral, including assumptions about the timing and amount of credit losses and prepayments. The significant unobservable inputs to the fair value measurement included the estimated rate of prepayment, rate of default and loss-given-default for the underlying pool of mortgage loans as well as the discount rate, which represented a market participant’s current required rate of return for a similar instrument. The following table presents the weighted-average of the significant inputs to the fair value measurement of the subordinate and excess interest-only debt obligations of its consolidated VIE of residential mortgage loans as of December 31, 2022: Subordinate Debt Obligation Excess Interest-Only Debt Obligations Annualized voluntary prepayment rate 10.0 % 10.0 % Annualized default rate 0.5 % 0.5 % Loss-given-default 17.5 % 17.5 % Discount rate 7.8 % 17.7 % MSR financing receivables – The Company’s MSR financing receivables are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. The Company uses a nationally recognized, independent third-party mortgage analytics and valuation firm to estimate the fair value of the underlying MSRs from which the Company’s MSR financing receivables primarily derive their value. The third-party valuation firm estimates the fair value of the underlying MSRs using a discounted cash flow analysis using their proprietary prepayment models and market analysis. The Company corroborates the third-party valuation firm’s estimate of the fair value of the underlying MSRs and evaluates the estimate for reasonableness. The significant unobservable inputs to the fair value measurement of the underlying MSRs include the following: • the discount rate, which represents a market participant’s current required rate of return for similar MSRs; • expected rates of prepayment within the serviced pools of mortgage loans; and • annual per-loan cost of servicing. The following table presents the significant unobservable inputs to the fair value measurement of the MSRs underlying the Company’s MSR financing receivables as of the periods indicated: September 30, 2023 December 31, 2022 Discount rate 10.0 % 8.5 % Annualized prepayment rate 6.2 % 7.0 % Annual per-loan cost of servicing (current loans) $ 60.00 $ 65.00 Pursuant to the Company’s MSR financing receivable arrangements, upon the consummation of three-year performance periods ending December 31, 2023 and April 1, 2024, the Company’s mortgage servicing counterparty is entitled to an incentive fee payment equal to a percentage of the total return of the underlying MSRs in excess of a hurdle rate of return. Accordingly, the fair value of the Company’s MSR financing receivables reflects the present value of any expected incentive fee payment that would be owed to its counterparty. The present value of the expected incentive fee payment is estimated based upon the timing and amount of capital contributions from (and cash distributions to) the Company to (from) its mortgage servicing counterparty to date as well as the future expected cash flows from the MSR financing receivables over the remaining performance periods, which is derived from the current fair value of the underlying reference MSRs. As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 , the present value of expected future incentive fee payments reflected in fair value of the Company’s MSR financing receivables was $ 0 and $ 12,568 , respectively. During the three month period ended June 30, 2023, the Company's mortgage servicing counterparty agreed to accept an early payment of $ 9,650 in full satisfaction of the Company's remaining incentive fee payment obligations for the three-year performance periods ending December 31, 2023 and April 1, 2024. Cumulatively, the Company paid $ 10,794 in incentive fee payments to the Company's mortgage servicing counterparty, all of which were paid during the six months ended June 30, 2023. Derivative instruments Exchange-traded derivative instruments – Exchange-traded derivative instruments, which include U.S. Treasury note futures, Eurodollar futures, interest rate swap futures, and options on futures, are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy as they are measured using quoted prices for identical instruments in liquid markets. Interest rate swaps – Interest rate swaps are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. The fair values of the Company’s centrally cleared interest rate swaps are measured using the daily valuations reported by the clearinghouse through which the instrument was cleared. In performing its end-of-day valuations, the clearinghouse constructs forward interest rate curves (for example, SOFR forward rates) from its specific observations of that day’s trading activity. The clearinghouse uses the applicable forward interest rate curve to develop a market-based forecast of future remaining contractually required cash flows for each interest rate swap. Each market-based cash flow forecast is then discounted using the SOFR curve (sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York) to determine a net present value amount which represents the instrument’s fair value. Forward-settling purchases and sales of TBA securities – Forward-settling purchases and sales of TBA securities are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. The fair value of each forward-settling TBA contract is measured using price estimates obtained from a third-party pricing service, which are based upon readily observable transaction prices occurring on the measurement date for forward-settling contracts to buy or sell TBA securities with the same guarantor, contractual maturity, and coupon rate for delivery on the same forward settlement date as the commitment under measurement. Other Long-term unsecured debt - As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 , the carrying value of the Company’s long-term unsecured debt was $ 86,713 and $ 86,405 , respectively, net of unamortized debt issuance costs, and consists of Senior Notes and trust preferred debt issued by the Company. The Company’s estimate of the fair value of long-term unsecured debt is $ 79,613 and $ 79,900 as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively. The Company’s Senior Notes, which are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange, are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. Trust preferred debt is classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy as the fair value is estimated based on the quoted prices of the Company’s publicly traded Senior Notes. Investments in equity securities of publicly-traded companies – As of December 31, 2022 , the Company had investments in equity securities of publicly-traded companies at fair value of $ 234 , which is included in the line item “other assets” in the accompanying consolidated balance sheets. Investments in publicly traded stock are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy as their fair value is measured based on unadjusted quoted prices in active exchange markets for identical assets. Investments in equity securities of non-public companies and investment funds – As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 , the Company had investments in equity securities of non-public companies and investment funds measured at fair value of $ 2,724 and $ 2,964 , respectively, which are included in the line item “other assets” in the accompanying consolidated balance sheets. Investments in equity securities of non-public companies and investment funds are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. The fair values of the Company’s investments in equity securities of non-public companies and investment funds are not readily determinable. Accordingly, the Company estimates fair value by estimating the enterprise value of the investee which it then allocates to the investee’s securities in the order of their preference relative to one another. To estimate the enterprise value of the investee, the Company uses traditional valuation methodologies based on income and market approaches, including the consideration of recent investments in, or tender offers for, the equity securities of the investee, a discounted cash flow analysis and a comparable guideline public company valuation. The primary unobservable inputs used in estimating the fair value of an equity security of a non-public company include (i) a stock price to net asset multiple for similar public companies that is applied to the entity’s net assets, (ii) a discount factor for lack of marketability and control, and (iii) a cost of equity discount rate, used to discount to present value the equity cash flows available for distribution and the terminal value of the entity. As of September 30, 2023 , the stock price to net asset multiple for similar public companies, the discount factor for lack of marketability and control, and the cost of equity discount rate used as inputs were 100 percent, 20 per cent, and 17 percent, respectively. As of December 31, 2022, the stock price to net asset multiple for similar public companies, the discount factor for lack of marketability and control, and the cost of equity discount rate used as inputs were 97 percent, 15 percent, and 16 percent, respectively. Financial assets and liabilities for which carrying value approximates fair value - Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, deposits, receivables, repurchase agreements, payables, and other assets (aside from those previously discussed) and liabilities are generally reflected in the consolidated balance sheets at their cost, which, due to the short-term nature of these instruments and their limited inherent credit risk, approximates fair value. Fair Value Hierarchy Financial Instruments Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis The following tables set forth financial instruments measured at fair value by level within the fair value hierarchy as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022. Assets and liabilities are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. September 30, 2023 Total Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Financial assets: Agency MBS $ 520,851 $ — $ 520,851 $ — MSR financing receivables 191,800 — — 191,800 Loans 25,216 — — 25,216 Credit securities 101,546 — 99,434 2,112 Mortgage loans of consolidated VIEs 237 — — 237 Derivative assets 9,503 — 9,503 — Other assets 2,724 — — 2,724 Financial liabilities: Secured debt of consolidated VIEs 91 — — 91 Derivative liabilities 4 — 4 — December 31, 2022 Total Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Financial assets: Agency MBS $ 443,540 $ — $ 443,540 $ — MSR financing receivables 180,365 — — 180,365 Loans 29,264 — — 29,264 Credit securities 104,437 — 98,933 5,504 Mortgage loans of consolidated VIE 193,957 — — 193,957 Derivative assets 5,660 — 5,660 — Other assets 3,198 234 — 2,964 Financial liabilities: Secured debt of consolidated VIE 169,345 — 159,464 9,881 Derivative liabilities 22 — 22 — Level 3 Financial Assets and Liabilities The table below sets forth an attribution of the change in the fair value of the Company’s Level 3 financial assets that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023 2022 2023 2022 Beginning balance $ 228,201 $ 393,501 $ 412,054 $ 195,767 Net (loss) gains included in "Investment and derivative ( 1,940 ) ( 13,199 ) 2,300 ( 11,583 ) Additions from consolidation of VIEs — — — 276,594 Transfers to real estate owned by consolidated VIE ( 504 ) ( 78 ) ( 1,163 ) ( 277 ) Purchases — 40,474 16,201 61,693 Sales — — — ( 12,406 ) Payments, net ( 8,965 ) ( 14,671 ) ( 35,872 ) ( 110,052 ) Subtractions from deconsolidation of VIEs — — ( 185,820 ) — Accretion of discount, net 5,297 4,090 14,389 10,381 Ending balance $ 222,089 $ 410,117 $ 222,089 $ 410,117 Net unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings for the $ ( 1,940 ) $ ( 13,199 ) $ 2,987 $ ( 10,552 ) The table below sets forth an attribution of the change in the fair value of the Company’s Level 3 financial liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023 2022 2023 2022 Beginning balance $ 113 $ 11,521 $ 9,881 $ 508 Net (gain) loss included in "Investment and derivative ( 10 ) ( 808 ) 23 ( 2,140 ) Additions from consolidation of VIEs — — — 14,278 Payments, net ( 12 ) ( 374 ) ( 316 ) ( 2,170 ) Subtractions from deconsolidation of VIEs — — ( 9,481 ) — Amortization of premium, net — ( 15 ) ( 16 ) ( 152 ) Ending balance $ 91 $ 10,324 $ 91 $ 10,324 Net unrealized (gains) losses included in earnings for the $ ( 10 ) $ ( 808 ) $ ( 29 ) $ ( 2,140 ) |