QuickLinks -- Click here to rapidly navigate through this document
Exhibit 99.2
Quarterly Operating Supplement
Second Quarter 2004
June 30, 2004
Worksheet Page
| | Page
|
---|
Selected Financial Highlights | | 1 |
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements | | 2 |
Consolidated Balance Sheet | | 3 |
Segment Results | | 4-5 |
Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding | | 6-7 |
Fixed Income Investment Portfolio | | 8 |
Financial Guaranty Profile | | 9 |
Ratings Distribution | | 10 |
Geographic Distribution | | 11 |
CDO and Credit Derivative Ratings Distribution | | 12 |
25 Largest Municipal Exposures | | 13 |
25 Largest Structured Finance Exposures | | 14 |
Largest Single Name Corporate/Sovereign CDS Exposures | | 15 |
Claims Paying Resources | | 16 |
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financials | | 17-18 |
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile | | 19-21 |
Assured Guaranty Re Int'l Financial Statements | | 22-23 |
Assured Guaranty Re Int'l Financial Guaranty Profile | | 24 |
Annual Financial and Statistical Data | | 25 |
This report is for informational purposes only. It should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our IPO prospectus dated April 22, 2004 and 10-Q dated March 31, 2004.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company's forward-looking statements, such as its statements regarding PVP, could be affected by a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy, contract cancellations, developments in the world's financial and capital markets, more severe losses or more frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserve, changes in regulation or tax laws, the Company's dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, and changes in general economic conditions, as well as management's response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2004
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2003
| | Percentage Change vs. 2Q 2003
| | 6 Months Ended June 30, 2004
| | 6 Months Ended June 30, 2003
| | Percentage Change vs. 1H 2003
| |
---|
Premium analysis: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written ("PVP")(1) | | $ | 53,645 | | $ | 39,259 | | 37 | % | $ | 136,115 | | $ | 98,502 | | 38 | % |
| Present value of installment premiums written in period | | | (31,567 | ) | | (27,672 | ) | 14 | % | | (79,422 | ) | | (64,063 | ) | 24 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
| Upfront gross premiums writen | | | 22,078 | | | 11,587 | | 91 | % | | 56,693 | | | 34,439 | | 65 | % |
| Installment gross premiums written | | | 31,422 | | | 43,213 | | -27 | % | | 74,807 | | | 64,161 | | 17 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Financial guaranty gross premiums written | | $ | 53,500 | | $ | 54,800 | | -2 | % | $ | 131,500 | | $ | 98,600 | | 33 | % |
| Mortgage guaranty | | | 900 | | | 8,500 | | -89 | % | | 14,900 | | | 16,600 | | -10 | % |
| Other | | | 10,000 | | | 18,300 | | -45 | % | | (83,600 | ) | | 79,100 | | -206 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Total gross premiums written | | $ | 64,400 | | $ | 81,600 | | -21 | % | $ | 62,800 | | $ | 194,300 | | -68 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Net income | | $ | 43,116 | | $ | 42,703 | | 1 | % | $ | 90,009 | | $ | 74,454 | | 21 | % |
| less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments | | | 6,306 | | | 1,773 | | 256 | % | | 6,337 | | | 3,070 | | 106 | % |
| less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives | | | 8,959 | | | 7,710 | | 16 | % | | 12,102 | | | 7,421 | | 63 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Operating income(2) | | $ | 27,851 | | $ | 33,220 | | -16 | % | $ | 71,569 | | $ | 63,963 | | 12 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Book value | | $ | 1,421,871 | | $ | 1,329,789 | | 7 | % | $ | 1,421,871 | | $ | 1,329,789 | | 7 | % |
| Net UPR less DAC—after-tax | | | 222,589 | | | 156,155 | | 43 | % | | 222,589 | | | 156,155 | | 43 | % |
| Net present value of installment premiums in- force—after-tax | | | 261,800 | | | 216,700 | | 21 | % | | 261,800 | | | 216,700 | | 21 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Adjusted book value | | $ | 1,906,260 | | $ | 1,702,644 | | 12 | % | $ | 1,906,260 | | $ | 1,702,644 | | 12 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
ROE, excluding AOCI | | | 12.4 | % | | 14.1 | % | - -12 | % | | 13.2 | % | | 12.5 | % | 6 | % |
| less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments | | | 1.8 | % | | 0.6 | % | 205 | % | | 0.9 | % | | 0.5 | % | 76 | % |
| less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives | | | 2.6 | % | | 2.6 | % | 2 | % | | 1.8 | % | | 1.2 | % | 45 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Operating ROE, excluding AOCI(2) | | | 8.0 | % | | 11.0 | % | -27 | % | | 10.5 | % | | 10.7 | % | -2 | % |
Average basic shares outstanding * | | | 75,000,000 | | | 75,000,000 | | 0 | % | | 75,000,000 | | | 75,000,000 | | 0 | % |
Average diluted shares outstanding * | | | 75,000,879 | | | 75,000,000 | | 0 | % | | 75,000,879 | | | 75,000,000 | | 0 | % |
Per diluted share: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net income | | $ | 0.57 | | $ | 0.57 | | — | | $ | 1.20 | | $ | 0.99 | | 21 | % |
| less: After-tax realized gains (losses) on investments | | | 0.08 | | | 0.02 | | 300 | % | | 0.08 | | | 0.04 | | 106 | % |
| less: After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivatives | | | 0.12 | | | 0.10 | | 20 | % | | 0.16 | | | 0.10 | | 63 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Operating income | | $ | 0.37 | | $ | 0.45 | | -18 | % | $ | 0.95 | | $ | 0.85 | | 12 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Book value | | $ | 18.96 | | $ | 17.73 | | 7 | % | $ | 18.96 | | $ | 17.73 | | 7 | % |
| Net UPR less DAC—after-tax | | | 2.97 | | | 2.08 | | 43 | % | | 2.97 | | | 2.08 | | 43 | % |
| Net present value of installment premiums in- force—after-tax | | | 3.49 | | | 2.89 | | 21 | % | | 3.49 | | | 2.89 | | 21 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Adjusted book value(3) | | $ | 25.42 | | $ | 22.70 | | 12 | % | $ | 25.42 | | $ | 22.70 | | 12 | % |
| |
| |
| | | |
| |
| | | |
Financial guaranty par insured | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated claims paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Par insured to consolidated claims paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- *
- Historical amounts represent shares issued upon the IPO closing
2
- (1)
- PVP, which is a non-GAAP measure, represents gross premiums related to financial guaranty contracts written in the current period, including the full amount of upfront installment premiums received and the present value of all installment premiums, discounted at 6% per year. Management, equity analysts and investors use this non-GAAP measure to evaluate the value of new financial guaranty business production for Assured Guaranty, as the GAAP gross premiums written measure does not adequately measure the value of installment premiums on new contracts underwritten in a reporting period.
- (2)
- Operating income is defined as net income excluding after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments. Operating ROE represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholder's equity, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income "AOCI". We believe the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business. We exclude net realized gains (losses) on investments and net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments because the amount of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates in part according to, the market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
- (3)
- Adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP measure, is derived by beginning with shareholder's equity (book value) and adding or subtracting the after-tax value of: the financial guaranty net unearned premium reserve; deferred acquisition costs and the present value of estimated net future installment premiums (discounted at 6%). The adjustments described above will not be realized until future periods and may differ materially from the amounts used in determining adjusted book value. Management, investors and analysts use the calculation of adjusted book value to evaluate the net present value of the Company's in-force premium and capital base.
3
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements
(dollars in thousands)
| | Quarter Ended June 30
| |
| | Six Months Ended June 30
| |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 2Q-03
| | % Change versus 1H-03
| |
---|
| | 2004
| | 2003
| | 2004
| | 2003
| |
---|
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross written premiums | | $ | 64,355 | | $ | 81,550 | | -21 | % | $ | 62,812 | | $ | 194,285 | | -68 | % |
| Net written premiums | | | (47,352 | ) | | 119,044 | | -140 | % | | (54,223 | ) | | 223,117 | | -124 | % |
| Net earned premiums | | | (26,739 | ) | | 82,147 | | -133 | % | | 59,927 | | | 145,735 | | -59 | % |
| Net investment income | | | 23,456 | | | 24,003 | | -2 | % | | 47,841 | | | 48,104 | | -1 | % |
| Other income | | | 14 | | | 265 | | -95 | % | | 546 | | | 821 | | -33 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total revenues | | $ | (3,269 | ) | $ | 106,415 | | -103 | % | $ | 108,314 | | $ | 194,660 | | -44 | % |
| Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | (77,417 | ) | | 35,796 | | -316 | % | | (53,749 | ) | | 58,984 | | -191 | % |
| Profit commission expenses | | | 4,847 | | | 2,681 | | 81 | % | | 10,334 | | | 5,650 | | 83 | % |
| Acquisition costs | | | 8,437 | | | 19,378 | | -56 | % | | 21,544 | | | 31,221 | | -31 | % |
| Other operating expenses | | | 26,608 | | | 7,535 | | 253 | % | | 39,229 | | | 19,169 | | 105 | % |
| Goodwill expense | | | — | | | — | | — | | | 1,645 | | | — | | — | |
| Interest expense | | | 2,546 | | | 1,434 | | 78 | % | | 3,980 | | | 2,868 | | 39 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total expenses | | $ | (34,979 | ) | $ | 66,824 | | -152 | % | $ | 22,983 | | $ | 117,892 | | -81 | % |
| Income before provision for income taxes | | | 31,710 | | | 39,591 | | -20 | % | | 85,331 | | | 76,768 | | 11 | % |
| Total provision for income taxes | | | 3,859 | | | 6,371 | | -39 | % | | 13,762 | | | 12,805 | | 7 | % |
| (1)Operating income | | $ | 27,851 | | $ | 33,220 | | -16 | % | $ | 71,569 | | $ | 63,963 | | 12 | % |
| After-tax net realized gains on investments | | | 6,306 | | | 1,773 | | 256 | % | | 6,337 | | | 3,070 | | 106 | % |
| After-tax unrealized gains on derivative instruments | | | 8,959 | | | 7,710 | | 16 | % | | 12,102 | | | 7,421 | | 63 | % |
| Net income | | $ | 43,116 | | $ | 42,703 | | 1 | % | $ | 90,009 | | $ | 74,454 | | 21 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- (1)
- Operating income is defined as net income excluding after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments. Operating ROE represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholder's equity, excluding AOCI. We believe the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business. We exclude net realized gains (losses) on investments and net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments because the amount of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates in part according to, the market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
4
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets
(dollars in thousands)
| | As of
| |
---|
| | June 30, 2004
| | December 31, 2003
| |
---|
Assets | | | | | | | |
| Fixed maturity securities available for sale, at fair value | | $ | 1,853,270 | | $ | 2,052,217 | |
| Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates market | | | 178,915 | | | 137,517 | |
| |
| |
| |
| Total investments | | | 2,032,185 | | | 2,189,734 | |
| Cash | | | 28,584 | | | 32,365 | |
| Accrued investment income | | | 21,364 | | | 23,758 | |
| Deferred acquisition costs | | | 186,812 | | | 178,673 | |
| Premium receivable | | | 33,155 | | | 63,997 | |
| Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 25,140 | | | 10,974 | |
| Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses | | | 200,760 | | | 122,124 | |
| Due from affiliate | | | — | | | 115,000 | |
| Unrealized gains on derivative financial instruments | | | 13,445 | | | — | |
| Value of reinsurance business assumed | | | — | | | 14,226 | |
| Goodwill | | | 85,417 | | | 87,062 | |
| Other assets | | | 28,446 | | | 19,954 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total assets | | $ | 2,655,308 | | $ | 2,857,867 | |
| |
| |
| |
Liabilities | | | | | | | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 525,351 | | $ | 625,429 | |
| Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 297,197 | | | 522,593 | |
| Profit commissions payable | | | 56,009 | | | 71,237 | |
| Reinsurance balances payable | | | 67,480 | | | 4,908 | |
| Deferred federal income taxes payable | | | 5,213 | | | 55,637 | |
| Unrealized losses on derivative financial instruments | | | — | | | 8,558 | |
| Funds held by Company under reinsurance contracts | | | 52,040 | | | 9,635 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 197,311 | | | 75,000 | |
| Other liabilities | | | 32,836 | | | 47,246 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total liabilities | | | 1,233,437 | | | 1,420,243 | |
Shareholders' equity | | | | | | | |
| Common stock | | | 759 | | | 16,403 | |
| Treasury stock | | | (7,850 | ) | | — | |
| Additional paid-in capital | | | 899,062 | | | 955,490 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 57,978 | | | 81,185 | |
| Unearned stock grant compensation | | | (8,112 | ) | | (5,479 | ) |
| Retained earnings | | | 480,034 | | | 390,025 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total shareholders' equity | | | 1,421,871 | | | 1,437,624 | |
Total liabilities & shareholders' equity | | $ | 2,655,308 | | $ | 2,857,867 | |
| |
| |
| |
5
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Results
(dollars in millions)
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2004(1)
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(2)
| | Mortgage Guaranty
| | Subtotal
| | Other
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 30.4 | | | | | $ | 33.4 | | | | | $ | 33.4 | |
Structured finance | | | 11.4 | | | 8.9 | | | | | | 20.3 | | | | | | 20.3 | |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| |
| Total | | $ | 14.4 | | $ | 39.3 | | | | | $ | 53.6 | | | | | $ | 53.6 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross premiums written | | $ | 17.7 | | $ | 35.8 | | $ | 0.9 | | $ | 54.4 | | $ | 10.0 | | $ | 64.4 | |
Net premiums written | | | 17.3 | | | 35.8 | | | 0.9 | | | 54.0 | | | (101.4 | ) | | (47.4 | ) |
Net premiums earned | | | 16.1 | | | 25.6 | | | 15.0 | | | 56.7 | | | (83.4 | ) | | (26.7 | ) |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 1.6 | | | (0.9 | ) | | (3.3 | ) | | (2.6 | ) | | (74.8 | ) | | (77.4 | ) |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 0.3 | | | 4.3 | | | 4.6 | | | 0.2 | | | 4.8 | |
Acquisition costs | | | 0.1 | | | 6.6 | | | 1.7 | | | 8.4 | | | — | | | 8.4 | |
Operating expenses | | | 4.3 | | | 6.9 | | | 4.0 | | | 15.2 | | | — | | | 15.2 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | 10.1 | | $ | 12.7 | | $ | 8.3 | | $ | 31.1 | | $ | (8.8 | ) | $ | 22.3 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | | | 9.9 | % | | - -3.5 | % | | - -22.0 | % | | - -4.6 | % | | 89.7 | % | | 289.9 | % |
Expense ratio | | | 27.3 | % | | 53.9 | % | | 66.7 | % | | 49.7 | % | | -0.2 | % | | -106.4 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Combined ratio | | | 37.3 | % | | 50.4 | % | | 44.7 | % | | 45.1 | % | | 89.4 | % | | 183.5 | % |
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2003
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(1)
| | Mortgage Guaranty
| | Subtotal
| | Other
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 12.6 | | | | | $ | 12.6 | | | | | $ | 12.6 | |
Structured finance | | | 15.4 | | | 11.3 | | | | | | 26.7 | | | | | | 26.7 | |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| |
| Total | | $ | 15.4 | | $ | 23.8 | | | | | | 39.3 | | | | | $ | 39.3 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross premiums written | | $ | 20.8 | | $ | 34.0 | | $ | 8.5 | | $ | 63.3 | | $ | 18.3 | | $ | 81.6 | |
Net premiums written | | | 20.6 | | | 33.9 | | | 8.2 | | | 62.7 | | | 56.3 | | | 119.0 | |
Net premiums earned | | | 21.2 | | | 30.1 | | | 9.4 | | | 60.7 | | | 21.4 | | | 82.1 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 6.4 | | | 0.9 | | | 3.7 | | | 11.0 | | | 24.8 | | | 35.8 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 0.9 | | | 1.4 | | | 2.3 | | | 0.4 | | | 2.7 | |
Acquisition costs | | | — | | | 11.9 | | | 1.5 | | | 13.4 | | | 6.0 | | | 19.4 | |
Operating expenses | | | 1.9 | | | 2.8 | | | 0.9 | | | 5.6 | | | 1.9 | | | 7.5 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | 12.9 | | $ | 13.6 | | $ | 1.9 | | $ | 28.4 | | $ | (11.7 | ) | $ | 16.7 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | | | 30.2 | % | | 3.0 | % | | 39.4 | % | | 18.1 | % | | 115.9 | % | | 43.6 | % |
Expense ratio | | | 9.0 | % | | 51.8 | % | | 40.4 | % | | 35.1 | % | | 38.8 | % | | 36.1 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Combined ratio | | | 39.2 | % | | 54.8 | % | | 79.8 | % | | 53.2 | % | | 154.7 | % | | 79.7 | % |
- (1)
- Excludes $11.3 million of operating expenses, related to the accelerated vesting of stock awards at the IPO date.
- (2)
- Due to the timing of receipts of reports prepared by our ceding companies, present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written, par written and par outstanding in our Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.
6
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Results
(dollars in millions)
| | Six Months Ended June 30, 2004(1)
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(2)
| | Mortgage Guaranty
| | Subtotal
| | Other
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 72.7 | | | | | $ | 75.7 | | | | | $ | 75.7 | |
Structured finance | | | 19.3 | | | 41.2 | | | | | | 60.5 | | | | | | 60.5 | |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| |
| Total | | $ | 22.2 | | $ | 113.9 | | | | | $ | 136.1 | | | | | $ | 136.1 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross premiums written | | $ | 43.3 | | $ | 88.2 | | $ | 14.9 | | $ | 146.4 | | $ | (83.6 | ) | $ | 62.8 | |
Net premiums written | | | 42.6 | | | 88.2 | | | 14.9 | | | 145.7 | | | (199.9 | ) | | (54.2 | ) |
Net premiums earned | | | 56.8 | | | 46.0 | | | 23.4 | | | 126.2 | | | (66.3 | ) | | 59.9 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 15.0 | | | 3.0 | | | (4.5 | ) | | 13.5 | | | (67.2 | ) | | (53.7 | ) |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 0.4 | | | 9.3 | | | 9.7 | | | 0.6 | | | 10.3 | |
Acquisition costs | | | 1.5 | | | 13.7 | | | 2.6 | | | 17.8 | | | 3.8 | | | 21.6 | |
Operating expenses | | | 7.6 | | | 11.0 | | | 5.7 | | | 24.3 | | | 3.6 | | | 27.9 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | 32.7 | | $ | 17.9 | | $ | 10.3 | | $ | 60.9 | | $ | (7.1 | ) | $ | 53.8 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | | | 26.4 | % | | 6.5 | % | | - -19.2 | % | | 10.7 | % | | 101.4 | % | | - -89.6 | % |
Expense ratio | | | 16.0 | % | | 54.6 | % | | 75.2 | % | | 41.0 | % | | -12.1 | % | | 99.8 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Combined ratio | | | 42.4 | % | | 61.1 | % | | 56.0 | % | | 51.7 | % | | 89.3 | % | | 10.2 | % |
| | Six Months Ended June 30, 2003
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(2)
| | Mortgage Guaranty
| | Subtotal
| | Other
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 39.3 | | | | | $ | 39.3 | | | | | $ | 39.3 | |
Structured finance | | | 36.1 | | | 23.1 | | | | | | 59.2 | | | | | | 59.2 | |
| |
| |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| |
| Total | | $ | 36.1 | | $ | 62.4 | | | | | $ | 98.5 | | | | | $ | 98.5 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Gross premiums written | | $ | 34.8 | | $ | 63.8 | | $ | 16.6 | | $ | 115.2 | | $ | 79.1 | | $ | 194.3 | |
Net premiums written | | | 34.4 | | | 63.0 | | | 16.3 | | | 113.7 | | | 109.4 | | | 223.1 | |
Net premiums earned | | | 35.9 | | | 47.0 | | | 19.0 | | | 101.9 | | | 43.8 | | | 145.7 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 8.4 | | | 2.7 | | | 4.9 | | | 16.0 | | | 43.0 | | | 59.0 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 1.0 | | | 4.6 | | | 5.6 | | | — | | | 5.6 | |
Acquisition costs | | | — | | | 17.4 | | | 2.5 | | | 19.9 | | | 11.3 | | | 31.2 | |
Operating expenses | | | 4.6 | | | 5.9 | | | 2.7 | | | 13.2 | | | 6.1 | | | 19.3 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | 22.9 | | $ | 20.0 | | $ | 4.3 | | $ | 47.2 | | $ | (16.6 | ) | $ | 30.6 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | | | 23.4 | % | | 5.7 | % | | 25.8 | % | | 15.7 | % | | 98.2 | % | | 40.5 | % |
Expense ratio | | | 12.8 | % | | 51.7 | % | | 51.6 | % | | 38.0 | % | | 39.7 | % | | 38.5 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Combined ratio | | | 36.2 | % | | 57.4 | % | | 77.4 | % | | 53.7 | % | | 137.9 | % | | 79.0 | % |
- (1)
- Excludes $11.3 million of operating expenses, related to the accelerated vesting of stock awards at the IPO date.
- (2)
- Due to the timing of receipts of reports prepared by our ceding companies, present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written, par written and par outstanding in our Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.
7
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2004
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written ("PVP"): | | $ | 14.4 | | $ | 39.3 | | $ | 53.6 | |
| Present value of installment premiums written in period | | | (14.4 | ) | | (17.2 | ) | | (31.6 | ) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Upfront gross premiums writen | | | — | | | 22.1 | | | 22.1 | |
| Installment gross premiums written | | | 17.7 | | | 13.7 | | | 31.4 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Financial guaranty gross premiums written | | $ | 17.7 | | $ | 35.8 | | $ | 53.5 | |
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 30.4 | | $ | 33.4 | |
Structured finance | | | 11.4 | | | 8.9 | | | 20.3 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 14.4 | | $ | 39.3 | | $ | 53.6 | |
Par written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 246 | | $ | 1,590 | | $ | 1,836 | |
Structured finance | | | 2,444 | | | 629 | | | 3,074 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 2,691 | | $ | 2,219 | | $ | 4,910 | |
Par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2,321 | | $ | 52,061 | | $ | 54,382 | |
Structured finance | | | 23,454 | | | 13,514 | | | 36,968 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 25,775 | | $ | 65,575 | | $ | 91,350 | |
Present value of installment premiums in force | | $ | 219.7 | | $ | 147.2 | | $ | 366.9 | |
Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 12.9 | | $ | 445.0 | | $ | 457.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended June 30, 2003
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written ("PVP"): | | $ | 15.4 | | $ | 23.8 | | $ | 39.3 | |
| Present value of installment premiums written in period | | | (15.4 | ) | | (12.2 | ) | | (27.7 | ) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Upfront gross premiums writen | | | — | | | 11.6 | | | 11.6 | |
| Installment gross premiums written | | | 20.8 | | | 22.4 | | | 43.2 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Financial guaranty gross premiums written | | $ | 20.8 | | $ | 34.0 | | $ | 54.8 | |
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 12.6 | | $ | 12.6 | |
Structured finance | | | 15.4 | | | 11.3 | | | 26.7 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 15.4 | | $ | 23.8 | | $ | 39.3 | |
Par written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 914 | | $ | 914 | |
Structured finance | | | 1,163 | | | 737 | | | 1,899 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 1,163 | | $ | 1,651 | | $ | 2,813 | |
Par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2,381 | | $ | 47,001 | | $ | 49,382 | |
Structured finance | | | 18,140 | | | 12,976 | | | 31,116 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 20,521 | | $ | 59,977 | | $ | 80,498 | |
Present value of installment premiums in force | | $ | 205.4 | | $ | 105.6 | | $ | 311.1 | |
Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 11.8 | | $ | 343.6 | | $ | 355.4 | |
8
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)
| | Six Months Ended June 30, 2004
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written ("PVP"): | | $ | 22.2 | | $ | 113.9 | | $ | 136.1 | |
| Present value of installment premiums written in period | | | (22.2 | ) | | (57.2 | ) | | (79.4 | ) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Upfront gross premiums writen | | | — | | | 56.7 | | | 56.7 | |
| Installment gross premiums written | | | 43.3 | | | 31.5 | | | 74.8 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Financial guaranty gross premiums written | | $ | 43.3 | | $ | 88.2 | | $ | 131.5 | |
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 72.7 | | $ | 75.7 | |
Structured finance | | | 19.3 | | | 41.2 | | | 60.5 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 22.2 | | $ | 113.9 | | $ | 136.1 | |
Par written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 246 | | $ | 3,522 | | $ | 3,769 | |
Structured finance | | | 3,932 | | | 1,783 | | | 5,715 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 4,178 | | $ | 5,305 | | $ | 9,483 | |
Par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2,321 | | $ | 52,061 | | $ | 54,382 | |
Structured finance | | | 23,454 | | | 13,514 | | | 36,968 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 25,775 | | $ | 65,575 | | $ | 91,350 | |
Present value of installment premiums in force | | $ | 219.7 | | $ | 147.2 | | $ | 366.9 | |
Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 12.9 | | $ | 445.0 | | $ | 457.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Six Months Ended June 30, 2003
| |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct
| | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance
| | Total
| |
---|
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written ("PVP"): | | $ | 36.1 | | $ | 62.4 | | $ | 98.5 | |
| Present value of installment premiums written in period | | | (36.1 | ) | | (27.9 | ) | | (64.1 | ) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Upfront gross premiums writen | | | — | | | 34.4 | | | 34.4 | |
| Installment gross premiums written | | | 34.8 | | | 29.4 | | | 64.2 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Financial guaranty gross premiums written | | $ | 34.8 | | $ | 63.8 | | $ | 98.6 | |
Present value of financial guaranty gross premiums written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 39.3 | | $ | 39.3 | |
Structured finance | | | 36.1 | | | 23.1 | | | 59.2 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 36.1 | | $ | 62.4 | | $ | 98.5 | |
Par written: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | — | | $ | 2,193 | | $ | 2,193 | |
Structured finance | | | 2,375 | | | 2,000 | | | 4,375 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 2,375 | | $ | 4,193 | | $ | 6,568 | |
Par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | |
Municipal | | $ | 2,381 | | $ | 47,001 | | $ | 49,382 | |
Structured finance | | | 18,140 | | | 12,976 | | | 31,116 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total | | $ | 20,521 | | $ | 59,977 | | $ | 80,498 | |
Present value of installment premiums in force | | $ | 205.4 | | $ | 105.6 | | $ | 311.1 | |
Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 11.8 | | $ | 343.6 | | $ | 355.4 | |
9
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Fixed Income Investment Portfolio
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in thousands)
| | Amortized Cost
| | Fair Value
| | Pre-Tax Book Yield
| | Duration
| | Annualized Investment Income
|
---|
Fixed maturity securities available for sale: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | | $ | 248,484 | | $ | 255,902 | | 5.14 | % | 5.6 | | $ | 12,772 |
Obligations of states and political subdivisions | | | 329,596 | | | 338,647 | | 4.50 | % | 7.5 | | | 14,832 |
Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions | | | 451,209 | | | 476,461 | | 5.00 | % | 7.8 | | | 22,560 |
Corporate securities | | | 178,340 | | | 186,715 | | 5.99 | % | 4.8 | | | 10,683 |
Mortgage-backed securities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-thrus | | | 386,668 | | | 391,623 | | 5.17 | % | 2.0 | | | 19,991 |
| PACs | | | 145,364 | | | 144,280 | | 4.75 | % | 3.4 | | | 6,905 |
Asset-backed securities | | | 58,748 | | | 59,642 | | 5.81 | % | 5.4 | | | 3,413 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Total fixed maturity securities available for sale | | | 1,798,409 | | | 1,853,270 | | 5.07 | % | 5.6 | | | 91,156 |
Short-term investments | | | 178,915 | | | 178,915 | | 0.91 | % | — | | | 1,628 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Total investments available for sale | | $ | 1,977,324 | | $ | 2,032,185 | | 4.69 | % | — | | $ | 92,784 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Fair Value
| | %
| |
| |
| |
|
---|
Maturity Schedule: | | | | | | | | | | | |
Due within one year | | $ | 12,218 | | 0.7 | % | | | | | |
Due in one to five years | | | 151,316 | | 8.2 | % | | | | | |
Due in five to ten years | | | 319,539 | | 17.2 | % | | | | | |
Due in greater than ten years | | | 834,294 | | 45.0 | % | | | | | |
Mortgage-backed securities | | | 535,903 | | 28.9 | % | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 1,853,270 | | 100.0 | % | | | | | |
| | Fair Value
| | %
| |
| |
| |
|
---|
Quality Distribution: | | | | | | | | | | | |
Treasury | | $ | 37,247 | | 2.0 | % | | | | | |
Agency | | | 218,655 | | 11.8 | % | | | | | |
AAA | | | 1,156,427 | | 62.4 | % | | | | | |
AA | | | 308,925 | | 16.7 | % | | | | | |
A | | | 128,750 | | 6.9 | % | | | | | |
BBB | | | 3,266 | | 0.2 | % | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 1,853,270 | | 100.0 | % | | | | | |
10
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile
(dollars in millions)
| |
| |
| | Outstanding as of June 30, 2004
|
---|
| | Gross Par Written
|
---|
Sector
| |
| |
| | Avg. Rating(8)
|
---|
| Q2 2004
| | Q2 2003
| | Net Par
| | %
|
---|
Municipal Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
General obligation bonds | | $ | 698 | | $ | 137 | | $ | 12,519 | | 13.7 | % | A+ |
Tax backed | | | 128 | | | 425 | | | 9,406 | | 10.3 | % | A+ |
Municipal utilities | | | 82 | | | 49 | | | 10,829 | | 11.9 | % | A+ |
Higher education | | | 10 | | | 10 | | | 966 | | 1.1 | % | A+ |
Housing | | | 21 | | | 47 | | | 1,155 | | 1.3 | % | AA- |
Transportation | | | 109 | | | 44 | | | 6,865 | | 7.5 | % | A |
Healthcare | | | 429 | | | 132 | | | 6,286 | | 6.9 | % | A |
Structured municipal(1) | | | — | | | — | | | 3,266 | | 3.6 | % | AAA |
Investor-owned utilities | | | 108 | | | 42 | | | 2,110 | | 2.3 | % | A- |
Other municipal(2) | | | 250 | | | 27 | | | 980 | | 1.1 | % | A |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Municipal | | $ | 1,836 | | $ | 914 | | $ | 54,382 | | 59.5 | % | A+ |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDO's(3) | | $ | 1,066 | | $ | 647 | | $ | 16,751 | | 18.3 | % | AA+ |
Consumer receivables(4) | | | 473 | | | 216 | | | 3,962 | | 4.3 | % | A+ |
Single name corporate CDS(5) | | | — | | | 30 | | | 1,900 | | 2.1 | % | A+ |
Commercial Receivables(6) | | | 254 | | | 423 | | | 5,470 | | 6.0 | % | AA- |
Mortgage-backed & home equity | | | 1,136 | | | 344 | | | 7,031 | | 7.7 | % | A+ |
Other structured finance(7) | | | 145 | | | 239 | | | 1,855 | | 2.0 | % | A+ |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Structured Finance | | $ | 3,074 | | $ | 1,899 | | $ | 36,968 | | 40.5 | % | AA |
Total Exposure | | $ | 4,910 | | $ | 2,813 | | $ | 91,350 | | 100.0 | % | AA- |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
- 1.
- Structured municipal: includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits where the Company attached in excess of the AAA rating level.
- 2.
- Other municipal: primarily includes student loans and government-sponsored project finance.
- 3.
- Collateralized debt obligations (CDO's) are structured financings backed by a pool of investment grade assets. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.
- 4.
- Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.
- 5.
- Single name corporate CDS includes CDS of Investor-owned utilities.
- 6.
- Commercial receivables: principally includes equipment leases and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
- 7.
- Other structured Finance: predominantly trade receivable securitization, secured structured lending, and future flow transactions.
- 8.
- Ratings are internally determined based on rating agency guidelines.
11
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Ratings Distribution
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Ratings *
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 28,272 | | 30.9 | % | $ | 26,374 | | 30.1 | % |
AA | | | 18,762 | | 20.5 | % | | 17,587 | | 20.1 | % |
A | | | 29,998 | | 32.8 | % | | 30,008 | | 34.3 | % |
BBB | | | 12,878 | | 14.1 | % | | 12,051 | | 13.8 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 1,440 | | 1.6 | % | | 1,505 | | 1.7 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 91,350 | | 100 | % | $ | 87,524 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Ratings *
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 22,369 | | 29.5 | % | $ | 22,268 | | 28.4 | % |
AA | | | 16,036 | | 21.1 | % | | 16,211 | | 20.7 | % |
A | | | 25,014 | | 33.0 | % | | 27,208 | | 34.7 | % |
BBB | | | 10,994 | | 14.5 | % | | 11,258 | | 14.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 1,436 | | 1.9 | % | | 1,454 | | 1.9 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 75,849 | | 100 | % | $ | 78,399 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Assured Guaranty Re International
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
Ratings *
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 5,904 | | 38.1 | % | $ | 4,106 | | 45.0 | % |
AA | | | 2,726 | | 17.6 | % | | 1,375 | | 15.1 | % |
A | | | 4,983 | | 32.1 | % | | 2,800 | | 30.7 | % |
BBB | | | 1,884 | | 12.2 | % | | 793 | | 8.7 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 4 | | 0.0 | % | | 50 | | 0.6 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 15,501 | | 100 | % | $ | 9,125 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
* Assured Guaranty internal rating
12
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Geographic Distribution
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio, as of June 30, 2004
U.S.:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | International:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
California | | $ | 7,200 | | 7.9 | % | United Kingdom | | $ | 4,735 | | 5.2 | % |
New York | | | 5,584 | | 6.1 | % | Australia | | | 526 | | 0.6 | % |
Texas | | | 3,221 | | 3.5 | % | Brazil | | | 352 | | 0.4 | % |
Illinois | | | 2,850 | | 3.1 | % | France | | | 336 | | 0.4 | % |
Florida | | | 2,803 | | 3.1 | % | Italy | | | 202 | | 0.2 | % |
New Jersey | | | 2,338 | | 2.6 | % | Other | | | 1,962 | | 2.1 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Pennsylvania | | | 1,996 | | 2.2 | % | Total International | | $ | 8,113 | | 8.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Massachusetts | | | 1,857 | | 2.0 | % | | | | | | | |
Puerto Rico | | | 1,792 | | 2.0 | % | | | | | | | |
Washington | | | 1,578 | | 1.7 | % | Total | | $ | 91,350 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Other—Muni | | | 19,821 | | 21.7 | % | | | | | | | |
Other—Non Muni | | | 32,197 | | 35.2 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
| Total U.S. | | $ | 83,237 | | 91.1 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio, as of June 30, 2004
U.S.:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | International:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
California | | $ | 6,175 | | 8.1 | % | United Kingdom | | $ | 3,680 | | 4.9 | % |
New York | | | 4,471 | | 5.9 | % | Australia | | | 431 | | 0.6 | % |
Texas | | | 2,900 | | 3.8 | % | Brazil | | | 338 | | 0.4 | % |
Illinois | | | 2,564 | | 3.4 | % | France | | | 215 | | 0.3 | % |
Florida | | | 2,421 | | 3.2 | % | Italy | | | 186 | | 0.2 | % |
New Jersey | | | 1,975 | | 2.6 | % | Other | | | 933 | | 1.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Pennsylvania | | | 1,790 | | 2.4 | % | Total International | | $ | 5,783 | | 7.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Massachusetts | | | 1,615 | | 2.1 | % | | | | | | | |
Puerto Rico | | | 1,444 | | 1.9 | % | | | | | | | |
Washington | | | 1,245 | | 1.6 | % | Total | | $ | 75,849 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Other—Muni | | | 16,110 | | 21.2 | % | | | | | | | |
Other—Non Muni | | | 27,355 | | 36.1 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
| Total U.S. | | $ | 70,066 | | 92.4 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
Assured Guaranty Re International
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio, as of June 30, 2004
U.S.:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | International:
| | Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
New York | | $ | 1,113 | | 7.2 | % | United Kingdom | | $ | 1,055 | | 6.8 | % |
California | | | 1,026 | | 6.6 | % | Germany | | | 345 | | 2.2 | % |
Ohio | | | 458 | | 3.0 | % | France | | | 121 | | 0.8 | % |
Florida | | | 382 | | 2.5 | % | Netherlands | | | 117 | | 0.8 | % |
New Jersey | | | 364 | | 2.3 | % | Japan | | | 109 | | 0.7 | % |
Puerto Rico | | | 348 | | 2.2 | % | Other | | | 582 | | 3.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Wisconsin | | | 333 | | 2.2 | % | Total International | | $ | 2,330 | | 15.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Washington | | | 333 | | 2.1 | % | | | | | | | |
Texas | | | 321 | | 2.1 | % | | | | | | | |
Alabama | | | 318 | | 2.0 | % | Total | | $ | 15,501 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
Other—Muni | | | 3,335 | | 21.5 | % | | | | | | | |
Other—Non Muni | | | 4,841 | | 31.2 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
| Total U.S. | | $ | 13,171 | | 85.0 | % | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | |
13
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
CDO and Credit Derivative Ratings Distribution
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of CDO and Credit Derivative Exposure
Ratings*
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 20,785 | | 76.9 | % | $ | 20,703 | | 76.1 | % |
AA | | | 2,548 | | 9.4 | % | | 2,534 | | 9.3 | % |
A | | | 2,443 | | 9.0 | % | | 2,575 | | 9.5 | % |
BBB | | | 1,182 | | 4.4 | % | | 1,216 | | 4.5 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 79 | | 0.3 | % | | 158 | | 0.6 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 27,036 | | 100 | % | $ | 27,187 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Distribution by Ratings of CDO and Credit Derivative Exposure
Ratings*
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 16,122 | | 79.8 | % | $ | 17,584 | | 74.9 | % |
AA | | | 2,043 | | 10.1 | % | | 2,342 | | 10.0 | % |
A | | | 1,273 | | 6.3 | % | | 2,420 | | 10.3 | % |
BBB | | | 678 | | 3.4 | % | | 1,011 | | 4.3 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 79 | | 0.4 | % | | 135 | | 0.6 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 20,195 | | 100 | % | $ | 23,491 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Assured Guaranty Re International
Distribution by Ratings of CDO and Credit Derivative Exposure
Ratings*
| | June 30, 2004 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| | December 31, 2003 Net Par Outstanding
| | %
| |
---|
AAA | | $ | 4,662 | | 68.1 | % | $ | 3,119 | | 84.4 | % |
AA | | | 505 | | 7.4 | % | | 192 | | 5.2 | % |
A | | | 1,170 | | 17.1 | % | | 155 | | 4.2 | % |
BBB | | | 504 | | 7.4 | % | | 206 | | 5.6 | % |
Below investment grade | | | — | | 0.0 | % | | 24 | | 0.6 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | $ | 6,842 | | 100 | % | $ | 3,695 | | 100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- *
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
14
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
25 Largest Municipal Exposures
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in millions)
Revenue Source
| | Net Par In Force *
| | Rating **
|
---|
California State General Obligation & Leases | | $ | 899 | | BBB |
Long Island Power Authority | | | 720 | | A- |
New Jersey State General Obligation & Leases | | | 702 | | AA |
New York City General Obligation | | | 642 | | A |
Denver Colorado Airport System | | | 632 | | A |
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | | | 606 | | A |
Chicago Illinois General Obligation | | | 589 | | A+ |
Massachusetts State GO & Bay Transportation & Leases | | | 559 | | AA- |
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | | | 544 | | A- |
New York State Metro Trans Auth—Trans Revenue | | | 535 | | A |
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | | | 526 | | AA |
San Francisco California Airport | | | 489 | | A |
Energy Northwest (FKA WPPSS) | | | 480 | | AA- |
Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases | | | 467 | | A- |
New York State General Obligation | | | 428 | | AA |
Mental Health Services Facilities—New York | | | 398 | | AA- |
Houston Texas Water & Sewer System | | | 393 | | A+ |
Los Angeles County Metro Trans—Sales Tax—1st | | | 356 | | AA |
Dade County Florida Water & Sewer System | | | 327 | | A |
Illinois State General Obligation & Leases | | | 306 | | AA |
Chicago Illinois Public Building—Board of Education | | | 296 | | A+ |
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia | | | 295 | | A |
Los Angeles County California Pension Obligation | | | 274 | | A- |
Pennsylvania State General Obligation | | | 273 | | AA |
Chicago O'Hare International Airport | | | 271 | | A- |
| |
| | |
| Total Top 25 Municipal Finance Exposures | | $ | 12,008 | | |
| |
| | |
- *
- Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty company
- **
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
15
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
25 Largest Structured Finance Exposures
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in millions)
Revenue Source
| | Net Par In Force *
| | Rating **
|
---|
Private Structured Finance Corporate Pool | | $ | 884 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 740 | | AAA |
Argent Securities Inc. 2003-W6 — RMBS | | | 680 | | BBB+ |
Synthetic CDO — IG ABS | | | 594 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG ABS | | | 569 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 557 | | A+ |
Synthetic Credit Card Master Trust | | | 550 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 500 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 470 | | AA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 440 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 440 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 430 | | AAA |
Providian Gateway Master Trust | | | 417 | | BB+ |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 410 | | AAA |
Private Residential Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 395 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 360 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 360 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 347 | | AAA |
Private Residential Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 312 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 300 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 288 | | BBB+ |
Synthetic CDO — IG CDO | | | 281 | | AAA |
Metris Master Credit Card Trust | | | 281 | | BB |
Synthetic CDO — IG Corporate | | | 278 | | AAA |
Synthetic Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 277 | | AAA |
| |
| | |
Total Top 25 Structured Finance Exposures | | $ | 11,158 | | |
| |
| | |
- *
- Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty company
- **
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
16
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Single Name Corporate / Sovereign CDS Exposures
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in millions)
Obligor
| | Net Par In Force*
| | Rating**
|
---|
General Electric Company | | $ | 60 | | AAA |
Japan Republic Sovereign Obligation | | | 50 | | AA- |
American International Group, Inc. (AIG) | | | 50 | | AAA |
Allianz AG | | | 50 | | AA- |
FNMA—Fannie Mae | | | 45 | | AAA |
France Telecom | | | 40 | | BBB+ |
Deutsche Telekom AG | | | 40 | | BBB+ |
Citigroup, Inc. | | | 39 | | AA- |
Oesterreichische Elektrizitaertswirtschafts AG | | | 36 | | A |
Zurich Insurance Company | | | 35 | | A |
| |
| |
|
| Total Top 10 Single Name/Sovereign CDS Exposure | | $ | 444 | | |
Single Name Corporate CDS by Rating
| | 2Q 2004
| | Gross Par Written 2Q 2003
| | Net Par Outstanding
|
---|
AAA | | $ | — | | $ | — | | | 419 |
AA | | | — | | | 30 | | | 333 |
A | | | — | | | — | | | 878 |
BBB | | | — | | | — | | | 269 |
Below investment grade | | | — | | | — | | | — |
| |
| |
| |
|
Total | | $ | — | | $ | 30 | | $ | 1,900 |
| | Outstanding Net Par
|
---|
Single Name Corporate CDS Run-off
|
---|
| 2004***
| | 2005
| | 2006
| | 2007
| | 2008
|
---|
Beginning Outstanding Par | | $ | 1,900 | | $ | 1,693 | | $ | 704 | | $ | 518 | | $ | 292 |
Scheduled Runoff Amount | | $ | 207 | | $ | 988 | | $ | 186 | | $ | 226 | | $ | 100 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Ending Outstanding Par | | $ | 1,693 | | $ | 704 | | $ | 518 | | $ | 292 | | $ | 192 |
- *
- Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty company
- **
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
- ***
- Beginning balance as of July 1, 2004
17
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Statutory Capital & Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
| | As of June 30, 2004
| | As of December 31, 2003
|
---|
| | AGC
| | AGR(1)
| | Consolidated
| | AGC
| | AGR(1)
| | Consolidated
|
---|
Statutory surplus and reserves | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Unearned premium reserve(2) | | $ | 449 | | $ | 123 | | $ | 572 | | $ | 467 | | $ | 233 | | $ | 699 |
| Contingency rserve | | | 438 | | | — | | | 438 | | | 400 | | | — | | | 400 |
| Policyholders' surplus | | | 306 | | | 601 | | | 907 | | | 256 | | | 560 | | | 816 |
| Loss & loss adjustment expense reserves | | | 32 | | | 174 | | | 207 | | | 55 | | | 390 | | | 445 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Total policyholders' surplus & reserve | | $ | 1,225 | | $ | 898 | | $ | 2,123 | | $ | 1,177 | | $ | 1,183 | | $ | 2,360 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Claims paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Policyholder's surplus | | $ | 306 | | $ | 601 | | $ | 907 | | $ | 256 | | $ | 560 | | $ | 816 |
| Contingency reserve | | | 438 | | | — | | | 438 | | | 400 | | | — | | | 400 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Statutory capital | | | 744 | | | 601 | | | 1,345 | | | 656 | | | 560 | | | 1,216 |
| Unearned premium reserve(2) | | | 449 | | | 123 | | | 572 | | | 467 | | | 233 | | | 699 |
| Loss & loss adjustment expense reserves | | | 32 | | | 174 | | | 207 | | | 55 | | | 390 | | | 445 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Total policyholders' reserves | | | 481 | | | 297 | | | 778 | | | 522 | | | 623 | | | 1,144 |
| Present value of installment premium | | | 286 | | | 81 | | | 367 | | | 293 | | | 52 | | | 345 |
| Standby line of credit/stop loss | | | 255 | | | — | | | 255 | | | 255 | | | — | | | 255 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| | Total claims paying resources | | $ | 1,766 | | $ | 979 | | $ | 2,745 | | $ | 1,726 | | $ | 1,235 | | $ | 2,960 |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
- (1)
- AGR numbers are our estimate of US statutory as the company files Bermuda statutory financial statements
- (2)
- Unearned Premium Reserve for AGR is GAAP based and net of Prepaid Reinsurance Premiums
18
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements
(dollars in thousands)
| | Quarter Ended June 30
| |
| | Six Months Ended June 30
| |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 2Q-03
| | % Change versus 1H-03
| |
---|
| | 2004
| | 2003
| | 2004
| | 2003
| |
---|
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross written premiums | | $ | 45,963 | | $ | 61,507 | | -25 | % | $ | 93,933 | | $ | 115,321 | | -19 | % |
| Net written premiums | | | (6,695 | ) | | 100,400 | | -107 | % | | 40,870 | | | 152,745 | | -73 | % |
| Net earned premiums | | $ | 7,089 | | $ | 52,493 | | -86 | % | $ | 45,022 | | $ | 87,503 | | -49 | % |
| Net investment income | | | 13,201 | | | 11,356 | | 16 | % | | 25,943 | | | 22,807 | | 14 | % |
| Other income | | | — | | | 286 | | -100 | % | | — | | | 507 | | -100 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total revenues | | $ | 20,290 | | $ | 64,135 | | -68 | % | $ | 70,965 | | $ | 110,817 | | -36 | % |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | (22,160 | ) | | 14,869 | | -249 | % | | (13,447 | ) | | 22,904 | | -159 | % |
| Profit commission expenses | | | (181 | ) | | 894 | | -120 | % | | 122 | | | 913 | | -87 | % |
| Acquisition costs | | | 2,959 | | | 16,047 | | -82 | % | | 12,146 | | | 25,832 | | -53 | % |
| Other operating expenses | | | 13,697 | | | 4,686 | | 192 | % | | 24,613 | | | 10,024 | | 146 | % |
| Goodwill impairment | | | — | | | — | | — | | | 1,645 | | | — | | — | |
| Interest expense | | | 1,831 | | | — | | — | | | 1,831 | | | — | | — | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total expenses | | $ | (3,854 | ) | $ | 36,496 | | -111 | % | $ | 26,910 | | $ | 59,673 | | -55 | % |
| Income before provision for income taxes | | | 24,144 | | | 27,639 | | - -13 | % | | 44,055 | | | 51,144 | | - -14 | % |
| Total provision for income taxes | | | 5,654 | | | 7,487 | | - -24 | % | | 10,604 | | | 13,562 | | - -22 | % |
| (1)Operating income | | $ | 18,490 | | $ | 20,152 | | - -8 | % | $ | 33,451 | | $ | 37,582 | | - -11 | % |
| After-tax net realized gains on investments | | | (132 | ) | | 572 | | - -123 | % | | (132 | ) | | 1,458 | | - -109 | % |
| After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments | | | 10,960 | | | 7,153 | | 53 | % | | 17,415 | | | 4,268 | | 308 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Net income | | $ | 29,318 | | $ | 27,877 | | 5 | % | $ | 50,734 | | $ | 43,308 | | 17 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- (1)
- Operating income is defined as net income excluding after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments. Operating ROE represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholder's equity, excluding AOCI. We believe the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business. We exclude net realized gains (losses) on investments and net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments because the amount of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates in part according to, the market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
19
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets
(dollars in thousands)
| | As of
| |
---|
| | June 30, 2004
| | December 31, 2003
| |
---|
Assets | | | | | | | |
| Fixed maturity securities available for sale, at fair value | | $ | 1,119,864 | | $ | 1,126,723 | |
| Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates market | | | 84,761 | | | 56,738 | |
| |
| |
| |
| Total investments | | | 1,204,625 | | | 1,183,461 | |
| Cash | | | 14,280 | | | 22,075 | |
| Accrued investment income | | | 14,374 | | | 14,031 | |
| Deferred acquisition costs | | | 150,934 | | | 146,926 | |
| Premium receivable | | | 35,070 | | | 28,434 | |
| Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 20,543 | | | 7,254 | |
| Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses | | | 29,882 | | | — | |
| Funds held under reinsurance contracts | | | 2,081 | | | 1,816 | |
| Goodwill | | | 85,417 | | | 87,062 | |
| Other assets | | | 8,552 | | | 13,126 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total assets | | $ | 1,565,758 | | $ | 1,504,185 | |
| |
| |
| |
Liabilities | | | | | | | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 398,163 | | $ | 389,027 | |
| Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 110,234 | | | 106,252 | |
| Profit commissions payable | | | 3,887 | | | 4,007 | |
| Reinsurance balances payable | | | 51,818 | | | 5,183 | |
| Deferred federal income taxes payable | | | 26,514 | | | 78,054 | |
| Unrealized losses on derivative financial instruments | | | (8,652 | ) | | 18,141 | |
| Funds held by Company under reinsurance contracts | | | 5,055 | | | 5,055 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 197,311 | | | — | |
| Other liabilities | | | 40,402 | | | 19,340 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total liabilities | | | 824,732 | | | 625,059 | |
Shareholder's equity | | | | | | | |
| Common stock | | | 15,025 | | | 15,025 | |
| Additional paid-in capital | | | 188,428 | | | 353,256 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 24,907 | | | 45,285 | |
| Unearned stock grant compensation | | | (6,477 | ) | | (2,849 | ) |
| Retained earnings | | | 519,143 | | | 468,409 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total shareholder's equity | | | 741,026 | | | 879,126 | |
Total liabilities & shareholder's equity | | $ | 1,565,758 | | $ | 1,504,185 | |
| |
| |
| |
20
Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile
(dollars in millions)
| | Outstanding as of June 30, 2004
|
---|
Sector
| | Net Par
| | %
| | Avg. Rating(8)
|
---|
Municipal Finance | | | | | | | |
General obligation bonds | | $ | 9,942 | | 13.1 | % | A+ |
Tax backed | | | 8,207 | | 10.8 | % | A+ |
Municipal utilities | | | 8,925 | | 11.8 | % | A |
Higher education | | | 835 | | 1.1 | % | A+ |
Housing | | | 996 | | 1.3 | % | AA- |
Transportation | | | 5,951 | | 7.8 | % | A |
Healthcare | | | 5,419 | | 7.1 | % | A |
Structured municipal(1) | | | 2,414 | | 3.2 | % | AAA |
Investor-owned utilities | | | 1,819 | | 2.4 | % | A- |
Other municipal(2) | | | 814 | | 1.1 | % | A |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Municipal | | $ | 45,322 | | 59.8 | % | A+ |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | |
CDO's(3) | | $ | 14,394 | | 19.0 | % | AA+ |
Consumer receivables(4) | | | 3,604 | | 4.8 | % | A+ |
Single name corporate CDS(5) | | | — | | 0.0 | % | A+ |
Commercial Receivables(6) | | | 5,043 | | 6.6 | % | AA- |
Mortgage-backed & home equity | | | 5,996 | | 7.9 | % | A+ |
Other structured finance(7) | | | 1,489 | | 2.0 | % | A+ |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Structured Finance | | $ | 30,527 | | 40.2 | % | AA |
Total Exposure | | $ | 75,849 | | 100.0 | % | AA- |
| |
| |
| |
|
- (1)
- Structured municipal: includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits where the Company attached in excess of the AAA rating level.
- (2)
- Other municipal: primarily includes student loans and government-sponsored project finance.
- (3)
- Collateralized debt obligations (CDO's) are structured financings backed by a pool of investment grade assets. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.
- (4)
- Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.
- (5)
- Single name corporate CDS: Exposure ceded to Assured Guaranty International Re Ltd in 2004.
- (6)
- Commercial receivables: principally includes equipment leases and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
- (7)
- Other structured Finance: predominantly trade receivable securitization, secured structured lending, and future flow transactions.
- (8)
- Ratings are internally determined based on rating agency guidelines
21
Assured Guaranty Corp.
25 Largest Municipal Exposures
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in millions)
Revenue Source
| | Net Par In Force *
| | Rating **
|
---|
New Jersey State General Obligation & Leases | | $ | 702 | | AA |
California State General Obligation & Leases | | | 650 | | BBB |
Massachusetts State GO & Bay Transportation & Leases | | | 499 | | AA- |
New York State Metro Trans Auth—Trans Revenue | | | 476 | | A |
Chicago Illinois General Obligation | | | 475 | | A+ |
Denver Colorado Airport System | | | 472 | | A |
Long Island Power Authority | | | 467 | | A- |
Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases | | | 466 | | A- |
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | | | 464 | | A- |
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | | | 448 | | A |
San Francisco California Airport | | | 434 | | A |
Energy Northwest (FKA WPPSS) | | | 411 | | AA- |
New York City General Obligation | | | 405 | | A |
New York State General Obligation | | | 393 | | AA |
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | | | 388 | | AA |
Houston Texas Water & Sewer System | | | 382 | | A+ |
Los Angeles County Metro Trans—Sales Tax—1st | | | 314 | | AA |
Illinois State General Obligation & Leases | | | 299 | | AA |
Municipal Electric Authority of Georgia | | | 295 | | A |
Chicago Illinois Public Building—Board of Education | | | 291 | | A+ |
Pennsylvania State General Obligation | | | 269 | | AA |
Massachusetts State Turnpike Authority—Metro | | | 267 | | A- |
Dade County Florida Water & Sewer System | | | 264 | | A |
Mental Health Services Facilities—New York | | | 250 | | AA- |
Intermountain Power Agency | | | 243 | | A+ |
| |
| | |
| Total Top 25 Municipal Finance Exposures | | $ | 10,023 | | |
| |
| | |
- *
- Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty company
- **
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
22
Assured Guaranty Corp.
25 Largest Structured Finance Exposures
as of June 30, 2004
(dollars in millions)
Revenue Source
| | Net Par In Force *
| | Rating **
|
---|
Private Structured Finance Corporate Pool | | $ | 884 | | AAA |
Argent Securities Inc. 2003-W6—RMBS | | | 680 | | BBB+ |
Synthetic CDO—IG ABS | | | 594 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG ABS | | | 569 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 557 | | A+ |
Synthetic Credit Card Master Trust | | | 550 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 540 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 500 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 470 | | AA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 440 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 430 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 417 | | AAA |
Private Residential Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 395 | | AAA |
Providian Gateway Master Trust | | | 360 | | BB+ |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 360 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 350 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 347 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 344 | | AAA |
Private Residential Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 312 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 300 | | AAA |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 288 | | BBB+ |
Synthetic CDO—IG CDO | | | 281 | | AAA |
Metris Master Credit Card Trust | | | 281 | | BB |
Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate | | | 278 | | AAA |
Synthetic Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities | | | 277 | | AAA |
| |
| | |
| Total Top 25 Structured Finance Exposures | | $ | 10,801 | | |
| |
| | |
- *
- Excludes Net Par In Force for transactions insured by a AAA monoline financial guaranty company
- **
- Assured Guaranty internal rating
23
Assured Guaranty Re International
Consolidated GAAP Income Statements
(dollars in thousands)
| | Quarter Ended June 30
| |
| | 6 Months Ended June 30
| |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 1Q-03
| | % Change versus 1H-03
| |
---|
| | 2004
| | 2003
| | 2004
| | 2003
| |
---|
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross written premiums | | $ | 26,969 | | $ | 22,939 | | 18 | % | $ | (20,385 | ) | $ | 85,628 | | -124 | % |
| Net written premiums | | | (40,657 | ) | | 18,644 | | -318 | % | | (95,093 | ) | | 70,372 | | -235 | % |
| Net earned premiums | | $ | (33,828 | ) | $ | 29,654 | | -214 | % | $ | 14,905 | | $ | 58,232 | | -74 | % |
| Net investment income | | | 10,250 | | | 12,644 | | -19 | % | | 21,890 | | | 25,293 | | -13 | % |
| Other income | | | — | | | 2 | | -100 | % | | 554 | | | 360 | | 54 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total revenues | | $ | (23,578 | ) | $ | 42,300 | | -156 | % | $ | 37,349 | | $ | 83,885 | | -55 | % |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | (55,258 | ) | | 20,927 | | -364 | % | | (40,303 | ) | | 36,080 | | -212 | % |
| Profit commission expenses | | | 5,028 | | | 1,787 | | 181 | % | | 10,212 | | | 4,737 | | 116 | % |
| Acquisition costs | | | 5,477 | | | 4,348 | | 26 | % | | 9,399 | | | 4,830 | | 95 | % |
| Other operating expenses | | | 6,873 | | | 2,766 | | 148 | % | | 8,643 | | | 8,993 | | -4 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Total expenses | | $ | (37,880 | ) | $ | 29,828 | | -227 | % | $ | (12,049 | ) | $ | 54,640 | | -122 | % |
| Income before provision for income taxes | | | 14,302 | | | 12,472 | | 15 | % | | 49,398 | | | 29,245 | | 69 | % |
| Total provision for income taxes | | | (1,596 | ) | | 1,903 | | - -184 | % | | 3,856 | | | 4,721 | | - -18 | % |
(1)Operating Income | | $ | 15,898 | | $ | 10,569 | | 50 | % | $ | 45,542 | | $ | 24,524 | | 86 | % |
| After-tax net realized gains on investments | | | 6,438 | | | 1,201 | | 436 | % | | 6,469 | | | 1,612 | | 301 | % |
| After-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments | | | (2,001 | ) | | 557 | | -459 | % | | (5,313 | ) | | 3,153 | | -269 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| Net income | | $ | 20,335 | | $ | 12,327 | | 65 | % | $ | 46,698 | | $ | 29,289 | | 59 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
- (1)
- Operating income is defined as net income excluding after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments and after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments. Operating ROE represents operating income as a percentage of average shareholder's equity, excluding AOCI. We believe the presentation of operating income and operating ROE enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business. We exclude net realized gains (losses) on investments and net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative financial instruments because the amount of these gains (losses) is heavily influenced by, and fluctuates in part according to, the market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
24
Assured Guaranty Re International
Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets
(dollars in thousands)
| | As of
| |
---|
| | June 30, 2004
| | December 31, 2003
| |
---|
Assets | | | | | | | |
| Fixed maturity securities available for sale, at fair value | | $ | 733,406 | | $ | 925,494 | |
| Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates market | | | 94,154 | | | 80,779 | |
| |
| |
| |
| Total investments | | | 827,560 | | | 1,006,273 | |
| Cash | | | 13,266 | | | 9,622 | |
| Accrued investment income | | | 6,990 | | | 9,727 | |
| Deferred acquisition costs | | | 32,428 | | | 28,297 | |
| Premium receivable | | | 10,076 | | | 155,631 | |
| Prepaid reinsurance premiums | | | 10,733 | | | 7,685 | |
| Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses | | | 173,157 | | | 122,124 | |
| Value of reinsurance business assumed | | | — | | | 14,226 | |
| Funds held under reinsurance contracts | | | 6,636 | | | 6,520 | |
| Other assets | | | 12,919 | | | 7,343 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total assets | | $ | 1,093,765 | | $ | 1,367,448 | |
| |
| |
| |
Liabilities | | | | | | | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 133,323 | | $ | 240,367 | |
| Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses | | | 189,243 | | | 416,341 | |
| Profit commissions payable | | | 52,122 | | | 67,230 | |
| Deferred federal income taxes payable | | | (21,664 | ) | | (22,781 | ) |
| Reinsurance balances payable | | | 27,653 | | | 4,857 | |
| Unrealized losses on derivative financial instruments | | | (7,322 | ) | | (12,112 | ) |
| Funds held by Company under reinsurance contracts | | | 52,040 | | | 9,635 | |
| Other liabilities | | | 7,593 | | | 31,611 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total liabilities | | | 432,988 | | | 735,148 | |
Shareholder's equity | | | | | | | |
| Common stock | | | 1,378 | | | 1,378 | |
| Additional paid-in capital | | | 387,862 | | | 386,222 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | | | 13,694 | | | 35,799 | |
| Unearned stock grant compensation | | | (308 | ) | | (2,552 | ) |
| Retained earnings | | | 258,151 | | | 211,453 | |
| |
| |
| |
Total shareholder's equity | | | 660,777 | | | 632,300 | |
Total liabilities & shareholder's equity | | $ | 1,093,765 | | $ | 1,367,448 | |
| |
| |
| |
25
Assured Guaranty Re International
Financial Guaranty Profile
(dollars in millions)
| | Outstanding as of June 30, 2004
|
---|
Sector
| | Net Par
| | %
| | Avg. Rating(8)
|
---|
Municipal Finance | �� | | | | | | |
General obligation bonds | | $ | 2,576 | | 16.6 | % | A+ |
Tax backed | | | 1,199 | | 7.7 | % | A+ |
Municipal utilities | | | 1,904 | | 12.3 | % | A+ |
Higher education | | | 132 | | 0.8 | % | AA- |
Housing | | | 159 | | 1.0 | % | A+ |
Transportation | | | 915 | | 5.9 | % | A |
Healthcare | | | 867 | | 5.6 | % | AA- |
Structured municipal(1) | | | 851 | | 5.5 | % | AAA |
Investor-owned utilities | | | 291 | | 1.9 | % | A- |
Other municipal(2) | | | 165 | | 1.1 | % | BBB+ |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Municipal | | $ | 9,060 | | 58.4 | % | A+ |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | |
CDO's(3) | | $ | 2,357 | | 15.2 | % | AAA |
Consumer receivables(4) | | | 358 | | 2.3 | % | A- |
Single name corporate CDS(5) | | | 1,900 | | 12.3 | % | A+ |
Commercial Receivables(6) | | | 426 | | 2.8 | % | A+ |
Mortgage-backed & home equity | | | 1,034 | | 6.7 | % | A- |
Other structured finance(7) | | | 366 | | 2.4 | % | A+ |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Total Structured Finance | | $ | 6,441 | | 41.6 | % | AA- |
Total Exposure | | $ | 15,501 | | 100.0 | % | AA- |
| |
| |
| |
|
- (1)
- Structured municipal: includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits where the Company attached in excess of the AAA rating level.
- (2)
- Other municipal: primarily includes student loans and government-sponsored project finance.
- (3)
- Collateralized debt obligations (CDO's) are structured financings backed by a pool of investment grade assets. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.
- (4)
- Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.
- (5)
- Single name corporate CDS includes CDS of Investor-owned utilities.
- (6)
- Commercial receivables: principally includes equipment leases and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
- (7)
- Other structured Finance: predominantly trade receivable securitization, secured structured lending, and future flow transactions.
- (8)
- Ratings are internally determined based on rating agency guidelines.
26
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Annual Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)
| | 2003
| | 2002
| | 2001
| | 2000
| |
---|
GAAP Summary Income Statement Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross premiums written | | $ | 349.2 | | $ | 417.2 | | $ | 442.9 | | $ | 206.0 | |
| Net earned premiums | | | 310.9 | | | 247.4 | | | 293.5 | | | 140.7 | |
| Net investment income | | | 96.3 | | | 97.2 | | | 99.5 | | | 98.1 | |
| Total expenses | | | 266.1 | | | 218.8 | | | 282.8 | | | 131.8 | |
| Income before income taxes | | | 246.2 | | | 83.2 | | | 110.1 | | | 118.1 | |
| Net income | | | 214.5 | | | 72.6 | | | 63.8 | | | 93.2 | |
| Operating income | | | 127.3 | | | 115.7 | | | 96.1 | | | 87.6 | |
| Net income per diluted common share | | | 2.86 | | | 0.97 | | | 0.85 | | | 1.24 | |
| Operating income per diluted common share | | | 1.70 | | | 1.54 | | | 1.28 | | | 1.17 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total investments and cash | | $ | 2,222.1 | | $ | 2,061.9 | | $ | 1,710.8 | | $ | 1,549.6 | |
| Total assets | | | 2,857.9 | | | 2,719.9 | | | 2,322.1 | | | 1,913.7 | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | | 625.4 | | | 613.3 | | | 500.3 | | | 444.6 | |
| Loss and LAE reserves | | | 522.6 | | | 458.8 | | | 401.1 | | | 171.0 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 75.0 | | | 75.0 | | | 150.0 | | | 150.0 | |
| Shareholders' equity | | | 1,437.6 | | | 1,257.2 | | | 1,061.6 | | | 994.5 | |
| Book value per share | | | 19.17 | | | 16.76 | | | 14.15 | | | 13.26 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
AGC Statutory Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income | | $ | 66.6 | | $ | 46.2 | | $ | 44.9 | | $ | 60.5 | |
| Policyholders' surplus | | | 255.6 | | | 287.0 | | | 334.0 | | | 323.4 | |
| Contingency reserve | | | 400.0 | | | 307.0 | | | 223.1 | | | 180.6 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | Statutory Capital | | | 655.6 | | | 594.0 | | | 557.2 | | | 504.0 | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | | 466.7 | | | 369.9 | | | 351.5 | | | 330.2 | |
| Present value of installment premiums | | | 293.3 | | | 220.4 | | | 149.2 | | | 89.1 | |
| | Premium resources | | | 760.0 | | | 590.3 | | | 500.7 | | | 419.3 | |
| Loss and LAE reserves | | | 58.9 | | | 42.4 | | | 18.2 | | | 16.0 | |
| Standby line of credit / stop loss | | | 255.0 | | | 415.0 | | | 450.0 | | | 250.0 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| | Total Claims-Paying Resources | | | 1,729.5 | | | 1,641.6 | | | 1,526.1 | | | 1,189.3 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Financial Ratios | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consolidated GAAP | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Loss and LAE ratio | | | 46.5 | % | | 48.6 | % | | 60.5 | % | | 21.6 | % |
| | Expense ratio | | | 37.2 | % | | 35.5 | % | | 30.6 | % | | 61.2 | % |
| | Combined ratio | | | 83.7 | % | | 84.1 | % | | 91.1 | % | | 82.8 | % |
| AGC Statutory | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Loss and LAE ratio | | | 25.9 | % | | 35.4 | % | | 18.3 | % | | -0.7 | % |
| | Expense ratio | | | 31.5 | % | | 44.8 | % | | 50.2 | % | | 45.8 | % |
| | Combined ratio | | | 57.4 | % | | 80.2 | % | | 68.5 | % | | 45.1 | % |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
Other Financial Information | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net debt service outstanding | | $ | 130,047 | | $ | 124,082 | | $ | 117,909 | | $ | 102,744 | |
Net par amount outstanding | | | 87,524 | | | 80,394 | | | 75,249 | | | 65,756 | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
27
QuickLinks
Quarterly Operating Supplement Second Quarter 2004 June 30, 2004Assured Guaranty Ltd. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in thousands except per share amounts)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated GAAP Income Statements (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Segment Results (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Segment Results (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty PVP, Par Written and Par Outstanding (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Fixed Income Investment Portfolio as of June 30, 2004 (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Ltd.Assured Guaranty Ltd. Ratings Distribution (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp.Assured Guaranty Re InternationalAssured Guaranty Ltd. Geographic Distribution (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp.Assured Guaranty Re InternationalAssured Guaranty Ltd. CDO and Credit Derivative Ratings Distribution (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp.Assured Guaranty Re InternationalAssured Guaranty Ltd. 25 Largest Municipal Exposures as of June 30, 2004 (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd.Assured Guaranty Ltd. Largest Single Name Corporate / Sovereign CDS Exposures as of June 30, 2004 (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Statutory Capital & Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated GAAP Income Statements (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp. 25 Largest Municipal Exposures as of June 30, 2004 (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Corp. 25 Largest Structured Finance Exposures as of June 30, 2004 (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Re International Consolidated GAAP Income Statements (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Re International Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets (dollars in thousands)Assured Guaranty Re International Financial Guaranty Profile (dollars in millions)Assured Guaranty Ltd. Annual Financial and Statistical Data (dollars in millions)