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Exhibit 99.1
![GRAPHIC](https://capedge.com/proxy/8-K/0001047469-09-010233/g181398.jpg)
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT
THIRD QUARTER ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2009
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| | |
| | Page |
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Selected Financial Highlights | | 1 |
Consolidated Income Statements | | 2 |
Consolidated Balance Sheets | | 3 |
Adjusted Book Value | | 4 |
Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources | | 5 |
New Business Production | | 6 |
Segment Consolidation | | 7-10 |
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment | | 11-12 |
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment | | 13-14 |
Investment Portfolio | | 15 |
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization | | 16 |
Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums | | 17 |
Financial Guaranty Profile | | 18-21 |
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile | | 22-23 |
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile | | 24-27 |
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile | | 28-32 |
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. CMBS Profile | | 33 |
Consumer Receivables Profile | | 34-35 |
Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposures Profile | | 36-37 |
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives | | 38 |
Below Investment Grade Exposures | | 39-42 |
Largest Exposures by Sector | | 43-46 |
Surveillance Categories | | 47 |
Loss and LAE Reserves | | 48 |
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses | | 49 |
Summary Financial and Statistical Data | | 50-51 |
Glossary | | 52 |
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures | | 53 |
This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL" and together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three-month period ended March 31, 2009, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three- and six month period ended June 30, 2009 and, when filed with the SEC, Assured's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three and nine month period ended September 30, 2009.
September 30, 2009 amounts in this Financial Supplement include the consolidated results of Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. ("FSAH"), which Assured Guaranty acquired on July 1, 2009.
Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance facultative cessions or portfolio opportunities available to the Company; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulation, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions; (11) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations; (13) the Company's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-made catastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SELECTED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30, | |
| | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 3Q-08 | | % Change versus YTD 2008 | |
---|
| | 2009 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2008 | |
---|
Operating income reconciliation: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating income(b) | | $ | 70.1 | | $ | 26.0 | | | 170 | % | $ | 160.9 | | $ | 71.0 | | | 127 | % |
| Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax | | | (6.0 | ) | | (17.1 | ) | | (65 | )% | | (30.2 | ) | | (15.9 | ) | | 90 | % |
| Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | | | (41.3 | ) | | (76.7 | ) | | (46 | )% | | (165.8 | ) | | 241.8 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | | | (34.5 | ) | | 4.5 | | | NM | | | (61.1 | ) | | 15.8 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net | | | (23.3 | ) | | — | | | NM | | | (23.3 | ) | | — | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | $ | (35.0 | ) | $ | (63.3 | ) | | (45 | )% | $ | (119.5 | ) | $ | 312.7 | | | (138 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Return on equity ("ROE") calculations: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio | | | (5.7 | )% | | (11.4 | )% | | | | | (7.0 | )% | | 21.9 | % | | | |
| Operating ROE(c) | | | 8.8 | % | | 4.4 | % | | | | | 7.4 | % | | 4.3 | % | | | |
Earnings per diluted share:(1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating income(b) | | $ | 0.44 | | $ | 0.28 | | | 57 | % | $ | 1.39 | | $ | 0.81 | | | 72 | % |
| Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax | | | (0.04 | ) | | (0.19 | ) | | (79 | )% | | (0.27 | ) | | (0.18 | ) | | 50 | % |
| Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | | | (0.26 | ) | | (0.84 | ) | | (69 | )% | | (1.46 | ) | | 2.76 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | | | (0.22 | ) | | 0.05 | | | NM | | | (0.54 | ) | | 0.18 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net | | | (0.15 | ) | | — | | | NM | | | (0.21 | ) | | — | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.(2) | | $ | (0.22 | ) | $ | (0.69 | ) | | (68 | )% | $ | (1.05 | ) | $ | 3.54 | | | (130 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Other information: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service outstanding | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 967,440 | | $ | 355,712 | | | 172 | % |
| Net par outstanding | | | | | | | | | | | | 646,630 | | | 227,342 | | | 184 | % |
| Claims-paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | 12,643 | | | 5,082 | | | 149 | % |
| Gross par written | | | 9,097 | | | 10,776 | | | (16 | )% | $ | 41,934 | | $ | 48,859 | | | (14 | )% |
- (1)
- Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted FASB Accounting Standards Codification ("ASC") 260-10, "Earnings Per Share" (FSP EITF 03-6-1, "Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities"), which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of ASC 260-10, Assured decreased previously reported diluted net loss per share by $0.01 for Q3 2008 and decreased previously reported diluted net income per share by $0.01 for nine months 2008. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for both periods is positive, therefore the per diluted share calculation ignores the effect of ASC 260-10 and includes the effect of dilutive securities.
- (2)
- Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b) and operating ROE (c)].
NM = Not meaningful
1
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS
(dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30, | |
| | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 3Q-08 | | % Change versus YTD 2008 | |
---|
| | 2009 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2008 | |
---|
Revenues | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net earned premiums(1) | | $ | 330.0 | | $ | 85.5 | | | 286 | % | $ | 557.1 | | $ | 184.0 | | | 203 | % |
| Net investment income | | | 84.7 | | | 43.4 | | | 95 | % | | 171.6 | | | 120.2 | | | 43 | % |
| Realized gains on credit derivatives(2) | | | 57.3 | | | 30.0 | | | 91 | % | | 114.8 | | | 89.0 | | | 29 | % |
| Incurred losses on credit derivatives | | | (142.2 | ) | | (10.1 | ) | | NM | | | (178.5 | ) | | (18.5 | ) | | NM | |
| Other income | | | 58.7 | | | 0.3 | | | NM | | | 60.1 | | | 0.4 | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total revenues | | | 388.5 | | | 149.1 | | | 161 | % | | 725.1 | | | 375.1 | | | 93 | % |
Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses(1) | | | 133.3 | | | 82.5 | | | 62 | % | | 251.1 | | | 175.8 | | | 43 | % |
| Profit commission expense | | | 0.2 | | | (1.4 | ) | | NM | | | 2.5 | | | 0.8 | | | 213 | % |
| Amortization of deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 1.3 | | | 19.3 | | | (93 | )% | | 41.3 | | | 43.0 | | | (4 | )% |
| Other operating expenses | | | 66.2 | | | 21.6 | | | 206 | % | | 116.5 | | | 69.9 | | | 67 | % |
| FSAH acquisition-related expenses | | | 51.3 | | | — | | | NM | | | 80.2 | | | — | | | NM | |
| Interest and related expenses | | | 27.7 | | | 7.3 | | | 279 | % | | 43.3 | | | 21.4 | | | 102 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total expenses | | | 280.0 | | | 129.3 | | | 117 | % | | 534.9 | | | 310.9 | | | 72 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating income before provision (benefit) for income taxes | | | 108.5 | | | 19.8 | | | 448 | % | | 190.2 | | | 64.2 | | | 196 | % |
| Total provision (benefit) for income taxes | | | 38.4 | | | (6.2 | ) | | NM | | | 29.3 | | | (6.8 | ) | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating income(b) | | | 70.1 | | | 26.0 | | | 170 | % | | 160.9 | | | 71.0 | | | 127 | % |
| Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax | | | (6.0 | ) | | (17.1 | ) | | (65 | )% | | (30.2 | ) | | (15.9 | ) | | 90 | % |
| Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | | | (41.3 | ) | | (76.7 | ) | | (46 | )% | | (165.8 | ) | | 241.8 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | | | (34.5 | ) | | 4.5 | | | NM | | | (61.1 | ) | | 15.8 | | | NM | |
| Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net | | | (23.3 | ) | | — | | | NM | | | (23.3 | ) | | — | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | $ | (35.0 | ) | $ | (63.3 | ) | | (45 | )% | $ | (119.5 | ) | $ | 312.7 | | | (138 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Effect of refundings and accelerations, net | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net | | $ | 17.4 | | $ | 31.7 | | | (45 | )% | $ | 127.7 | | $ | 36.2 | | | 253 | % |
| Operating income effect | | $ | 9.9 | | $ | 20.4 | | | (51 | )% | $ | 87.5 | | $ | 22.7 | | | 285 | % |
| Operating income per diluted share effect | | $ | 0.06 | | $ | 0.22 | | | (73 | )% | $ | 0.76 | | $ | 0.26 | | | 192 | % |
Weighted average shares outstanding | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Basic shares outstanding—GAAP(3) (for net income (loss) per share calculation) | | | 156.3 | | | 90.9 | | | 72 | % | | 113.6 | | | 87.0 | | | 31 | % |
| Diluted shares outstanding—GAAP(3) (for net income (loss) per share calculation) | | | 156.3 | | | 90.9 | | | 72 | % | | 113.6 | | | 87.5 | | | 30 | % |
| Diluted shares outstanding—non-GAAP(3) (for operating income per share calculation) | | | 160.1 | | | 91.5 | | | 75 | % | | 115.4 | | | 88.1 | | | 31 | % |
| Shares outstanding at the end of period | | | 156.6 | | | 90.9 | | | 72 | % | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20, "Financial Services—Insurance" (FAS No. 163, "Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts") effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.
- (3)
- Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted ASC 260-10, which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of ASC 260-10, Assured revised basic and diluted shares outstanding under GAAP. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for both periods is positive, therefore the diluted shares outstanding under non-GAAP ignores the effect of ASC 260-10 and includes the effect of dilutive securities.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b)].
NM = Not meaningful
2
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | |
| | As of : | |
---|
| | September 30, 2009 | | December 31, 2008 | |
---|
Assets | | | | | | | |
| Investment portfolio, available-for-sale: | | | | | | | |
| | Fixed maturity securities, at fair value | | $ | 8,448.1 | | $ | 3,154.1 | |
| | Short-term investments | | | 1,492.9 | | | 477.2 | |
| | | | | |
| Total investment portfolio | | | 9,941.0 | | | 3,631.3 | |
| Assets acquired in refinancing transactions | | | 159.2 | | | — | |
| Cash | | | 260.5 | | | 12.3 | |
| Premiums receivable, net(1) | | | 1,504.0 | | | 15.7 | |
| Ceded unearned premium reserve(1) | | | 1,163.1 | | | 18.9 | |
| Deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 243.6 | | | 288.6 | |
| Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses(1) | | | 5.8 | | | 6.5 | |
| Credit derivative assets | | | 462.3 | | | 147.0 | |
| Committed capital securities, at fair value | | | 38.5 | | | 51.1 | |
| Deferred tax asset, net(1) | | | 1,093.6 | | | 129.1 | |
| Goodwill | | | — | | | 85.4 | |
| Salvage recoverable(1) | | | 184.4 | | | 80.2 | |
| Financial guaranty variable interest entities' assets | | | 846.9 | | | — | |
| Other assets | | | 299.7 | | | 89.6 | |
| | | | | |
Total assets | | $ | 16,202.6 | | $ | 4,555.7 | |
| | | | | |
Liabilities and shareholders' equity | | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | | |
| Unearned premium reserves(1) | | $ | 8,632.7 | | $ | 1,233.7 | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve(1) | | | 218.7 | | | 196.8 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 915.2 | | | 347.2 | |
| Note payable to related party | | | 155.8 | | | — | |
| Credit derivative liabilities | | | 2,100.5 | | | 733.8 | |
| Funds held under reinsurance contracts | | | 30.2 | | | 30.7 | |
| Reinsurance balances payable, net(1) | | | 179.3 | | | 18.0 | |
| Financial guaranty variable interest entities' liabilities | | | 851.4 | | | — | |
| Other liabilities | | | 321.7 | | | 69.4 | |
| | | | | |
Total liabilities | | | 13,405.5 | | | 2,629.5 | |
Shareholders' equity | | | | | | | |
| Common stock | | | 1.6 | | | 0.9 | |
| Additional paid-in capital | | | 2,010.8 | | | 1,284.4 | |
| Retained earnings(1)(2) | | | 580.2 | | | 638.1 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)(2) | | | 209.0 | | | 2.9 | |
| | | | | |
| Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | | 2,801.6 | | | 1,926.2 | |
| Noncontrolling interest in consolidated VIEs | | | (4.5 | ) | | — | |
| | | | | |
| Total shareholders' equity | | | 2,797.1 | | | 1,926.2 | |
| | | | | |
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | | $ | 16,202.6 | | $ | 4,555.7 | |
| | | | | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- The Company adopted ASC 320-10-65-1, "Investments—Debt and Equity Securities" (FSP No. FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, "Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments") effective April 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule increased retained earnings and decreased accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) by $57.7 million.
3
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
ADJUSTED BOOK VALUE
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of : | |
| |
---|
| | September 30, 2009 | | December 31, 2008 | | % Change versus 12/31/2008 | |
---|
Adjusted book value reconciliation: | | | | | | | | | | |
| Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | $ | 2,801.6 | | $ | 1,926.2 | | | 45 | % |
| Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | | | (905.4 | ) | | (422.7 | ) | | 114 | % |
| Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | | | 25.0 | | | 33.2 | | | (25 | )% |
| Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | | | 207.5 | | | (3.4 | ) | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | |
| Operating shareholders' equity | | $ | 3,474.5 | | $ | 2,319.1 | | | 50 | % |
| Less: Deferred acquisition costs ("DAC"), after tax | | | 238.9 | | | 260.6 | | | (8 | )% |
| Plus: Net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue, after tax(e) | | | 562.1 | | | 708.3 | | | (21 | )% |
| Plus: Unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, after tax(2) | | | 4,713.8 | | | 1,033.4 | | | 356 | % |
| Plus: Unearned revenue on credit derivatives, after tax(3) | | | 36.9 | | | 17.6 | | | 110 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted book value(d) | | $ | 8,548.4 | | $ | 3,817.8 | | | 124 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation: | | | | | | | | | | |
| Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | $ | 17.89 | | $ | 21.18 | | | (16 | )% |
| Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | | | (5.78 | ) | | (4.65 | ) | | 24 | % |
| Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | | | 0.16 | | | 0.36 | | | (56 | )% |
| Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | | | 1.33 | | | (0.04 | ) | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | |
| Operating shareholders' equity per share | | $ | 22.19 | | $ | 25.50 | | | (13 | )% |
| Less: DAC, after tax | | | 1.53 | | | 2.87 | | | (47 | )% |
| Plus: Net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue, after tax(e) | | | 3.59 | | | 7.79 | | | (54 | )% |
| Plus: Unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, after tax(2) | | | 30.10 | | | 11.36 | | | 165 | % |
| Plus: Unearned revenue on credit derivatives, after tax(3) | | | 0.24 | | | 0.19 | | | 26 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted book value(d) | | $ | 54.59 | | $ | 41.97 | | | 30 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009. The adoption of this accounting rule had an effect of $19.4 million on January 1, 2009 book value.
- (2)
- Unearned premium reserve (UPR) less ceded unearned premiums, after tax.
- (3)
- Unearned revenue less ceded unearned premiums on credit derivatives, after tax.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [adjusted book value (d) and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].
NM = Not meaningful
4
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED CAPITAL AND CLAIMS PAYING RESOURCES
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of September 30, 2009 | |
---|
| | Assured Guaranty Corp. | | Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.(1) | | Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | | Consolidated | |
---|
Claims paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Policyholders' surplus | | $ | 179 | | $ | 1,147 | | $ | 1,140 | | $ | 2,466 | |
| Contingency reserve | | | 772 | | | — | | | 1,226 | | | 1,998 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Qualified statutory capital | | | 951 | | | 1,147 | | | 2,366 | | | 4,464 | |
| Unearned premium reserve | | | 838 | | | 857 | | | 2,380 | | | 4,075 | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves | | | 209 | | | 68 | | | 1,105 | | | 1,382 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | | | 1,998 | | | 2,072 | | | 5,851 | | | 9,921 | |
| Present value of installment premium(e)(2) | | | 639 | | | 360 | | | 824 | | | 1,823 | |
| Standby line of credit/stop loss | | | 200 | | | 200 | | | 498 | | | 898 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Total claims paying resources | | $ | 2,837 | | $ | 2,632 | | $ | 7,173 | | $ | 12,642 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Net par insured outstanding(3) | | $ | 128,854 | | $ | 116,295 | | $ | 388,950 | | $ | 631,742 | |
| Net debt service outstanding(3) | | $ | 183,396 | | $ | 190,235 | | $ | 581,685 | | $ | 950,565 | |
| Ratios: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net par insured to statutory capital | | | 135:1 | | | 101:1 | | | 164:1 | | | 142:1 | |
| | Capital ratio(4) | | | 193:1 | | | 166:1 | | | 246:1 | | | 213:1 | |
| | Financial resources ratio(5) | | | 65:1 | | | 72:1 | | | 81:1 | | | 75:1 | |
- (1)
- Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as these Companies file Bermuda statutory financial statements.
- (2)
- Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives.
- (3)
- Statutory basis.
- (4)
- The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
- (5)
- The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].
5
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
NEW BUSINESS PRODUCTION
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30, | |
| | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |
| |
---|
| | % Change versus 3Q-08 | | % Change versus YTD 2008 | |
---|
| | 2009 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2008 | |
---|
Consolidated new business analysis: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Present value of new business premiums ("PVP")(a) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 154.9 | | $ | 107.2 | | | 44 | % | $ | 500.2 | | $ | 460.4 | | | 9 | % |
| Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | 17.7 | | | NM | | | 1.8 | | | 31.3 | | | (94 | )% |
| Structured finance—U.S. | | | 2.3 | | | 14.5 | | | (84 | )% | | 16.9 | | | 144.9 | | | (88 | )% |
| Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | 0.9 | | | — | | | NM | | | 0.9 | | | 58.3 | | | (98 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total PVP(a) | | | 158.1 | | | 139.4 | | | 13 | % | | 519.8 | | | 694.9 | | | (25 | )% |
| | Less: PVP(a) of credit derivatives | | | — | | | 1.1 | | | NM | | | 2.4 | | | 146.9 | | | (98 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PVP(a) of financial guaranty insurance | | | 158.1 | | | 138.3 | | | 14 | % | | 517.4 | | | 548.0 | | | (6 | )% |
| | Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP(a) | | | 4.2 | | | 37.8 | | | (89 | )% | | 28.3 | | | 85.9 | | | (67 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP | | | 153.9 | | | 100.5 | | | 53 | % | | 489.1 | | | 462.1 | | | 6 | % |
| | Plus: Upfront premium due to commutation | | | — | | | (20.8 | ) | | NM | | | — | | | (20.8 | ) | | NM | |
| | Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP | | | 4.4 | | | 32.9 | | | (87 | )% | | 4.4 | | | 88.9 | | | (95 | )% |
| | Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP(a) adjustment(1) | | | (34.3 | ) | | — | | | NM | | | 7.4 | | | — | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total financial guaranty GWP | | | 124.0 | | | 112.6 | | | 10 | % | | 500.9 | | | 530.2 | | | (6 | )% |
| Plus: Mortgage guaranty segment GWP | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | | 0 | % | | 0.2 | | | 0.7 | | | (71 | )% |
| Plus: Other segment GWP | | | — | | | — | | | NM | | | (1.1 | ) | | 3.5 | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total GWP | | $ | 124.2 | | $ | 112.8 | | | 10 | % | $ | 500.0 | | $ | 534.4 | | | (6 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 8,497 | | $ | 7,728 | | | 10 | % | $ | 40,384 | | $ | 32,108 | | | 26 | % |
| Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | 1,146 | | | (100 | )% | | 556 | | | — | | | NM | |
| Structured finance—U.S. | | | 600 | | | 1,926 | | | (69 | )% | | 994 | | | 10,716 | | | (91 | )% |
| Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | (24 | ) | | (100 | )% | | — | | | 6,036 | | | (100 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total | | $ | 9,097 | | $ | 10,776 | | | (16 | )% | $ | 41,934 | | $ | 48,859 | | | (14 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty direct GWP analysis: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Financial guaranty direct PVP(a) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 154.9 | | $ | 67.7 | | | 129 | % | $ | 409.5 | | $ | 374.3 | | | 9 | % |
| Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 1.7 | | | 9.0 | | | (81 | )% |
| Structured finance—U.S. | | | 2.3 | | | 14.5 | | | (84 | )% | | 16.9 | | | 137.7 | | | (88 | )% |
| Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | 0.9 | | | — | | | NM | | | 0.9 | | | 57.8 | | | (98 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Financial guaranty direct PVP(a): | | | 158.1 | | | 82.2 | | | 92 | % | | 429.0 | | | 578.8 | | | (26 | )% |
| | Less: PVP(a) of credit derivatives GWP | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2.4 | | | 143.8 | | | (98 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PVP(a) of financial guaranty direct GWP | | | 158.1 | | | 82.2 | | | 92 | % | | 426.6 | | | 435.0 | | | (2 | )% |
| | Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums(a) | | | 4.2 | | | 30.3 | | | (86 | )% | | 23.2 | | | 70.0 | | | (67 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Upfront financial guaranty GWP | | | 153.9 | | | 51.9 | | | 197 | % | | 403.4 | | | 365.0 | | | 11 | % |
| | Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP | | | 4.4 | | | 19.5 | | | (77 | )% | | 4.4 | | | 50.6 | | | (91 | )% |
| | Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP(a) adjustment(1) | | | (26.7 | ) | | — | | | NM | | | 7.6 | | | — | | | NM | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Financial guaranty direct GWP | | $ | 131.6 | | $ | 71.4 | | | 84 | % | $ | 415.4 | | $ | 415.6 | | | (0 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty direct gross par written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 8,497 | | $ | 5,574 | | | 52 | % | $ | 26,953 | | $ | 25,958 | | | 4 | % |
| Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 90 | | | — | | | NM | |
| Structured finance—U.S. | | | 600 | | | 1,920 | | | (69 | )% | | 973 | | | 10,059 | | | (90 | )% |
| Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 4,413 | | | (100 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total | | $ | 9,097 | | $ | 7,494 | | | 21 | % | $ | 28,016 | | $ | 40,430 | | | (31 | )% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a)].
NM = Not meaningful
6
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SEGMENT CONSOLIDATION
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 | |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(1)(2) | | Mortgage Guaranty | | Total Financial Guaranty | | Other | | Total | |
---|
Total PVP(a) | | $ | 158.1 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 158.1 | | | | | $ | 158.1 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums(1) | | | 314.7 | | | 14.6 | | | 0.7 | | | 330.0 | | | — | | | 330.0 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 57.0 | | | 0.2 | | | — | | | 57.2 | | | — | | | 57.2 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | — | | | 0.1 | | | — | | | 0.1 | | | — | | | 0.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(3) | | | 57.0 | | | 0.3 | | | — | | | 57.3 | | | — | | | 57.3 | |
Other income | | | 34.6 | | | 21.5 | | | — | | | 56.1 | | | — | | | 56.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 406.3 | | | 36.4 | | | 0.7 | | | 443.4 | | | — | | | 443.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | — | | | | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses(1) | | | 97.2 | | | 35.9 | | | 0.2 | | | 133.3 | | | — | | | 133.3 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(4) | | | 142.4 | | | (0.2 | ) | | — | | | 142.2 | | | — | | | 142.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 239.6 | | | 35.7 | | | 0.2 | | | 275.5 | | | — | | | 275.5 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | — | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | | — | | | 0.2 | |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 3.0 | | | (1.8 | ) | | 0.1 | | | 1.3 | | | — | | | 1.3 | |
Operating expenses | | | 59.1 | | | 6.3 | | | 0.8 | | | 66.2 | | | — | | | 66.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total underwriting expenses | | $ | 301.7 | | $ | 40.2 | | $ | 1.3 | | $ | 343.2 | | $ | — | | $ | 343.2 | |
Underwriting (loss) gain | | $ | 104.6 | | $ | (3.8 | ) | $ | (0.6 | ) | $ | 100.2 | | $ | — | | $ | 100.2 | |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 16.7 | % | | 29.7 | % | | 160.3 | % | | 17.5 | % | | | | | 17.5 | % |
7
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SEGMENT CONSOLIDATION (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Quarter Ended September 30, 2008 | |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(1)(2) | | Mortgage Guaranty | | Total Financial Guaranty | | Other | | Total | |
---|
Total PVP(a) | | $ | 82.2 | | $ | 57.2 | | $ | — | | $ | 139.4 | | | | | $ | 139.4 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 26.9 | | | 57.4 | | | 1.2 | | | 85.5 | | | — | | | 85.5 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 28.4 | | | 2.1 | | | — | | | 30.5 | | | — | | | 30.5 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | 0.2 | | | (0.7 | ) | | — | | | (0.5 | ) | | — | | | (0.5 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(3) | | | 28.6 | | | 1.4 | | | — | | | 30.0 | | | — | | | 30.0 | |
Other income | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 55.5 | | | 58.8 | | | 1.2 | | | 115.5 | | | — | | | 115.5 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 65.9 | | | 15.5 | | | 1.0 | | | 82.5 | | | — | | | 82.5 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(4) | | | 10.1 | | | — | | | — | | | 10.1 | | | — | | | 10.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 76.0 | | | 15.5 | | | 1.0 | | | 92.6 | | | — | | | 92.6 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | (1.5 | ) | | 0.1 | | | (1.4 | ) | | — | | | (1.4 | ) |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | | | 4.0 | | | 15.1 | | | 0.1 | | | 19.3 | | | — | | | 19.3 | |
Operating expenses | | | 15.4 | | | 5.6 | | | 0.5 | | | 21.6 | | | — | | | 21.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total underwriting expenses | | $ | 95.5 | | $ | 34.8 | | $ | 1.7 | | $ | 132.0 | | $ | — | | $ | 132.0 | |
Underwriting gain | | $ | (40.0 | ) | $ | 24.0 | | $ | (0.5 | ) | $ | (16.5 | ) | $ | — | | $ | (16.5 | ) |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 34.8 | % | | 33.5 | % | | 59.3 | % | | 34.4 | % | | | | | 34.4 | % |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured's ceding companies, PVP(a) for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.
- (3)
- Includes premiums and ceding commissions.
- (4)
- Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a), and expense ratio (f)].
8
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SEGMENT CONSOLIDATION (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2009 | |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(1)(2) | | Mortgage Guaranty | | Total Financial Guaranty | | Other | | Total | |
---|
Total PVP(a) | | $ | 429.0 | | $ | 90.8 | | $ | — | | $ | 519.8 | | | | | $ | 519.8 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums(1) | | | 446.6 | | | 108.2 | | | 2.3 | | | 557.1 | | | — | | | 557.1 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 112.6 | | | 2.3 | | | — | | | 114.9 | | | — | | | 114.9 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | 0.8 | | | (0.9 | ) | | — | | | (0.1 | ) | | — | | | (0.1 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(3) | | | 113.4 | | | 1.4 | | | — | | | 114.8 | | | — | | | 114.8 | |
Other income | | | 34.6 | | | 21.5 | | | | | | 56.1 | | | — | | | 56.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 594.6 | | | 131.1 | | | 2.3 | | | 728.0 | | | — | | | 728.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | — | | | | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses(1) | | | 140.8 | | | 98.3 | | | 12.0 | | | 251.1 | | | — | | | 251.1 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(4) | | | 178.9 | | | (0.4 | ) | | — | | | 178.5 | | | — | | | 178.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 319.7 | | | 97.9 | | | 12.0 | | | 429.6 | | | — | | | 429.6 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 1.9 | | | 0.6 | | | 2.5 | | | — | | | 2.5 | |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 12.8 | | | 28.1 | | | 0.4 | | | 41.3 | | | — | | | 41.3 | |
Operating expenses | | | 95.3 | | | 19.2 | | | 2.0 | | | 116.5 | | | — | | | 116.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total underwriting expenses | | $ | 427.8 | | $ | 147.2 | | $ | 15.0 | | $ | 589.9 | | $ | — | | $ | 589.9 | |
Underwriting (loss) gain | | $ | 166.8 | | $ | (16.0 | ) | $ | (12.7 | ) | $ | 138.1 | | $ | — | | $ | 138.1 | |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 19.2 | % | | 45.4 | % | | 131.3 | % | | 23.9 | % | | | | | 23.9 | % |
9
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SEGMENT CONSOLIDATION (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 | |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance(2) | | Mortgage Guaranty | | Total Financial Guaranty | | Other | | Total | |
---|
Total PVP(a) | | $ | 578.8 | | $ | 116.1 | | $ | — | | $ | 694.9 | | | | | $ | 694.9 | |
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | | 65.0 | | | 114.8 | | | 4.4 | | | 184.0 | | | — | | | 184.0 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 86.4 | | | 3.4 | | | — | | | 89.8 | | | — | | | 89.8 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | 0.3 | | | (1.1 | ) | | — | | | (0.8 | ) | | — | | | (0.8 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(3) | | | 86.7 | | | 2.3 | | | — | | | 89.0 | | | — | | | 89.0 | |
Other income | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 151.7 | | | 117.1 | | | 4.4 | | | 273.1 | | | — | | | 273.1 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | | 130.0 | | | 46.0 | | | 1.1 | | | 177.1 | | | (1.5 | ) | | 175.8 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(4) | | | 18.9 | | | — | | | — | | | 18.9 | | | (0.4 | ) | | 18.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 148.9 | | | 46.0 | | | 1.1 | | | 196.0 | | | (1.9 | ) | | 194.3 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | 0.5 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.8 | | | — | | | 0.8 | |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | | | 10.1 | | | 32.5 | | | 0.3 | | | 43.0 | | | — | | | 43.0 | |
Operating expenses | | | 51.9 | | | 16.0 | | | 1.9 | | | 69.9 | | | — | | | 69.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total underwriting expenses | | $ | 210.9 | | $ | 95.1 | | $ | 3.6 | | $ | 309.6 | | $ | (1.9 | ) | $ | 307.9 | |
Underwriting gain | | $ | (59.2 | ) | $ | 22.0 | | $ | 0.8 | | $ | (36.4 | ) | $ | 1.9 | | $ | (34.6 | ) |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 40.7 | % | | 42.4 | % | | 57.5 | % | | 41.8 | % | | | | | 41.8 | % |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured's ceding companies, PVP(a) for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's Financial Guaranty Reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.
- (3)
- Includes premiums and ceding commissions.
- (4)
- Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a), and expense ratio (f)].
10
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT SEGMENT
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 3Q-08 | | 3Q-09 | | Nine Months 2008 | | Nine Months 2009 | |
---|
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Scheduled net earned premiums(1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 9.9 | | $ | 69.7 | | $ | 18.7 | | $ | 95.1 | |
| | Public finance—non-U.S. | | | 1.3 | | | 17.9 | | | 3.9 | | | 20.1 | |
| | Structured finance—U.S. | | | 12.3 | | | 208.4 | | | 37.2 | | | 235.9 | |
| | Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | 3.4 | | | 7.6 | | | 5.2 | | | 10.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total scheduled net earned premiums | | | 26.9 | | | 303.6 | | | 65.0 | | | 361.9 | |
| Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations(1) | | | — | | | 11.1 | | | — | | | 84.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total net earned premiums | | | 26.9 | | | 314.7 | | | 65.0 | | | 446.6 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 28.4 | | | 57.0 | | | 86.4 | | | 112.6 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | 0.2 | | | — | | | 0.3 | | | 0.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(2) | | | 28.6 | | | 57.0 | | | 86.7 | | | 113.4 | |
Other income | | | — | | | 34.6 | | | — | | | 34.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 55.5 | | | 406.3 | | | 151.7 | | | 594.6 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)(1): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Case | | | 99.9 | | | 97.2 | | | 132.1 | | | 140.8 | |
| Portfolio | | | (34.0 | ) | | — | | | (2.1 | ) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)—financial guaranty | | | 65.9 | | | 97.2 | | | 130.0 | | | 140.8 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(3) | | | 10.1 | | | 142.4 | | | 18.9 | | | 178.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 76.0 | | | 239.6 | | | 148.9 | | | 319.7 | |
Profit commission expense | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 4.0 | | | 3.0 | | | 10.1 | | | 12.8 | |
Operating expenses | | | 15.4 | | | 59.1 | | | 51.9 | | | 95.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total expenses | | $ | 95.5 | | $ | 301.7 | | $ | 210.9 | | $ | 427.8 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | (40.0 | ) | $ | 104.6 | | $ | (59.2 | ) | $ | 166.8 | |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 34.8 | % | | 16.7 | % | | 40.7 | % | | 19.2 | % |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Includes premiums and ceding commissions.
- (3)
- Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a), and expense ratio (f)].
11
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT SEGMENT (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 3Q-08 | | 3Q-09 | | Nine Months 2008 | | Nine Months 2009 | |
---|
PVP(a): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 67.7 | | $ | 154.9 | | $ | 374.3 | | $ | 409.5 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | 9.0 | | | 1.7 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | 14.5 | | | 2.3 | | | 137.7 | | | 16.9 | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | 0.9 | | | 57.8 | | | 0.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total PVP(a) | | | 82.2 | | | 158.1 | | | 578.8 | | | 429.0 | |
| Less: PVP(a) of credit derivatives GWP | | | — | | | — | | | 143.8 | | | 2.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
PVP of financial guaranty GWP | | | 82.2 | | | 158.1 | | | 435.0 | | | 426.6 | |
| | Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums(a) | | | 30.3 | | | 4.2 | | | 70.0 | | | 23.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Upfront financial guaranty GWP | | | 51.9 | | | 153.9 | | | 365.0 | | | 403.4 | |
| Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP | | | 19.5 | | | 4.4 | | | 50.6 | | | 4.4 | |
| Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP(a) adjustment(2) | | | — | | | (26.7 | ) | | — | | | 7.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty direct GWP | | $ | 71.4 | | $ | 131.6 | | $ | 415.6 | | $ | 415.4 | |
Gross par written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 5,574 | | $ | 8,497 | | $ | 25,958 | | $ | 26,953 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 90 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | 1,920 | | | 600 | | | 10,059 | | | 973 | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | 4,413 | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 7,494 | | $ | 9,097 | | $ | 40,430 | | $ | 28,016 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | As of September 30, | |
---|
| |
| |
| | 2008 | | 2009 | |
---|
Net par outstanding: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance—U.S. | | | | | | | | $ | 32,889 | | $ | 371,748 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | | | | | | | 11,274 | | | 37,139 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | | | | | | | 66,567 | | | 135,939 | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | | | | | | | 21,355 | | | 33,080 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | | | | | | | $ | 132,084 | | $ | 577,906 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance—financial guaranty | | | | | | | | $ | 569.4 | | $ | 7,036.4 | |
Unearned credit derivative revenues, net of ceded reinsurance | | | | | | | | | 14.2 | | | 50.1 | |
Net present value of installment premiums in force—credit derivatives(e) | | | | | | | | | 408.0 | | | 805.1 | |
Net present value of installment premiums in force—financial guaranty(e)(1) | | | | | | | | | 241.3 | | | — | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009. Net present value of installment premiums in force for financial guaranty are included in "unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance—financial guaranty" line.
- (2)
- 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].
Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.
12
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY REINSURANCE SEGMENT
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 3Q-08 | | 3Q-09 | | Nine Months 2008 | | Nine Months 2009 | |
---|
Income statement: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums(1): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Scheduled net earned premiums | | $ | 25.7 | | $ | 8.3 | | $ | 78.6 | | $ | 65.1 | |
| Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations | | | 31.7 | | | 6.3 | | | 36.2 | | | 43.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total net earned premiums | | | 57.4 | | | 14.6 | | | 114.8 | | | 108.2 | |
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net credit derivative premiums earned | | | 2.1 | | | 0.2 | | | 3.4 | | | 2.3 | |
| Ceding commissions income (expense), net | | | (0.7 | ) | | 0.1 | | | (1.1 | ) | | (0.9 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total realized gains on credit derivatives(2) | | | 1.4 | | | 0.3 | | | 2.3 | | | 1.4 | |
Other income | | | — | | | 21.5 | | | — | | | 21.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total revenues | | | 58.8 | | | 36.4 | | | 117.1 | | | 131.1 | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)(1): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Case | | | 18.0 | | | 35.9 | | | 47.0 | | | 98.3 | |
| Portfolio | | | (2.5 | ) | | — | | | (1.0 | ) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries)—financial guaranty | | | 15.5 | | | 35.9 | | | 46.0 | | | 98.3 | |
Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(3) | | | — | | | (0.2 | ) | | — | | | (0.4 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total incurred losses | | | 15.5 | | | 35.7 | | | 46.0 | | | 97.9 | |
Profit commission expense | | | (1.5 | ) | | — | | | 0.5 | | | 1.9 | |
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs(1) | | | 15.1 | | | (1.8 | ) | | 32.5 | | | 28.1 | |
Operating expenses | | | 5.6 | | | 6.3 | | | 16.0 | | | 19.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total expenses | | $ | 34.8 | | $ | 40.2 | | $ | 95.1 | | $ | 147.2 | |
Underwriting gain (loss) | | $ | 24.0 | | $ | (3.8 | ) | $ | 22.0 | | $ | (16.0 | ) |
Expense ratio(f) | | | 33.5 | % | | 29.7 | % | | 42.4 | % | | 45.4 | % |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Includes premiums and ceding commissions.
- (3)
- Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a), and expense ratio (f)].
13
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY REINSURANCE SEGMENT (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 3Q-08 | | 3Q-09 | | Nine Months 2008 | | Nine Months 2009 | |
---|
PVP(a): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 39.5 | | $ | — | | $ | 86.1 | | $ | 90.7 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | 17.7 | | | — | | | 22.3 | | | 0.1 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | 7.2 | | | — | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | — | | | 0.5 | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total PVP(a) | | | 57.2 | | | — | | | 116.1 | | | 90.8 | |
| | Less: PVP(a) of credit derivatives GWP | | | 1.1 | | | — | | | 3.0 | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
PVP(a) of financial guaranty GWP | | | 56.1 | | | — | | | 113.0 | | | 90.8 | |
| Less: Present value of financial guaranty installment premiums(a) | | | 7.5 | | | — | | | 15.9 | | | 5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Upfront financial guaranty GWP | | | 48.6 | | | — | | | 97.1 | | | 85.7 | |
| Plus: Upfront premium due to commutation(2) | | | (20.8 | ) | | — | | | (20.8 | ) | | — | |
| Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP | | | 13.4 | | | — | | | 38.3 | | | — | |
| Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP(a) adjustment(3) | | | — | | | (7.5 | ) | | — | | | (0.1 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty reinsurance GWP | | $ | 41.2 | | $ | (7.5 | ) | $ | 114.6 | | $ | 85.6 | |
Gross par written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 2,154 | | $ | — | | $ | 6,150 | | $ | 13,431 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | 1,146 | | | — | | | — | | | 466 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | 6 | | | — | | | 656 | | | 21 | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | (24 | ) | | — | | | 1,623 | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 3,282 | | $ | — | | $ | 8,429 | | $ | 13,918 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| |
| | As of September 30, | |
---|
Net par outstanding:
| |
| |
| | 2008 | | 2009 | |
---|
Public finance—U.S. | | | | | | | | $ | 72,695 | | $ | 53,137 | |
Public finance—non-U.S. | | | | | | | | | — | | | 6,088 | |
Structured finance—U.S. | | | | | | | | | 9,216 | | | 6,244 | |
Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | | | | | | | 13,347 | | | 3,255 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | | | | | | | $ | 95,258 | | $ | 68,724 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance—financial guaranty | | | | | | | | $ | 625.9 | | $ | 670.4 | |
Unearned credit derivative revenues, net of ceded reinsurance | | | | | | | | | 4.4 | | | 3.4 | |
Net present value of installment premiums in force—credit derivatives(e) | | | | | | | | | 11.2 | | | 12.3 | |
Net present value of installment premiums in force—financial guaranty(e)(4) | | | | | | | | | 253.4 | | | — | |
- (1)
- Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.
- (2)
- Relates to commutation of XLFA reinsurance cession of approximately $2.1 billion of net par outstanding.
- (3)
- 2009 amounts represent the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.
- (4)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009. Net present value of installment premiums in force for financial guaranty are included in "unearned premium reserve, net of ceded reinsurance—financial guaranty" line.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a) and net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].
Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.
14
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Amortized Cost | | Pre-Tax Book Yield | | After-Tax Book Yield | | Fair Value | | Annualized Investment Income(4) | |
---|
Investment Portfolio, available-for-sale: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed maturity securities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | | $ | 510.9 | | | 2.99 | % | | 2.26 | % | $ | 530.6 | | $ | 15.3 | |
| Agency obligations | | | 439.2 | | | 3.81 | % | | 3.36 | % | | 458.3 | | | 16.7 | |
| Foreign government securities | | | 350.9 | | | 2.98 | % | | 1.96 | % | | 351.3 | | | 10.5 | |
| Obligations of states and political subdivisions | | | 2,547.4 | | | 3.64 | % | | 3.43 | % | | 2,666.9 | | | 92.7 | |
| Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions(1) | | | 2,436.8 | | | 4.57 | % | | 4.33 | % | | 2,572.6 | | | 111.4 | |
| Corporate securities | | | 356.5 | | | 4.69 | % | | 4.13 | % | | 370.4 | | | 16.7 | |
| Mortgage-backed securities(2): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Pass-throughs | | | 1,416.2 | | | 5.47 | % | | 4.74 | % | | 1,419.3 | | | 77.5 | |
| | PACs | | | 23.5 | | | 4.57 | % | | 4.27 | % | | 23.9 | | | 1.1 | |
| Asset-backed securities(3) | | | 69.6 | | | 5.02 | % | | 5.01 | % | | 54.8 | | | 3.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Total fixed maturity securities | | | 8,151.0 | | | 4.24 | % | | 3.83 | % | | 8,448.1 | | | 345.4 | |
Short-term investments | | | 1,492.5 | | | 0.21 | % | | 0.16 | % | | 1,492.9 | | | 3.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Total investment portfolio | | $ | 9,643.5 | | | 3.61 | % | | 3.27 | % | $ | 9,941.0 | | $ | 348.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Fair Value | | % | |
| |
| |
| |
---|
Ratings(5): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Treasury and U.S. government obligations | | $ | 530.6 | | | 6.3 | % | | | | | | | | | |
Agency obligations | | | 458.3 | | | 5.4 | % | | | | | | | | | |
AAA/Aaa | | | 2,858.3 | | | 33.9 | % | | | | | | | | | |
AA/Aa | | | 2,890.2 | | | 34.2 | % | | | | | | | | | |
A/A | | | 1,412.7 | | | 16.7 | % | | | | | | | | | |
BBB | | | 185.4 | | | 2.2 | % | | | | | | | | | |
Below investment grade ("BIG")(6) | | | 112.6 | | | 1.3 | % | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total fixed maturity securities available for sale | | $ | 8,448.1 | | | 100.0 | % | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Duration of investment portfolio (in years): | | | | | | 3.8 | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+. Includes $545.6 million insured by AGC & AGM.
- (2)
- $2.3 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.
- (3)
- Contains no CDOs of ABS.
- (4)
- Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
- (5)
- Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.
- (6)
- Includes $31.4 million which the Company purchased for risk mitigation purposes.
15
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
ESTIMATED NET EXPOSURE AMORTIZATION(1)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | |
| | Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization | | Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding | |
---|
Total Financial Guaranty: | | | | | | | |
2009 (as of September 30) | | | | | $ | 967,440 | |
2009 (October-December) | | $ | 17,224 | | | 950,216 | |
2010 | | | 69,907 | | | 880,309 | |
2011 | | | 60,847 | | | 819,462 | |
2012 | | | 67,740 | | | 751,722 | |
2013 | | | 59,903 | | | 691,819 | |
2009-2013 | | | 275,621 | | | 691,819 | |
2014-2018 | | | 243,890 | | | 447,929 | |
2019-2023 | | | 162,984 | | | 284,945 | |
2024-2028 | | | 117,950 | | | 166,995 | |
After 2028 | | | 166,995 | | | — | |
| | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 967,440 | | | | |
| | | | | | |
- (1)
- Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.
16
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
ESTIMATED NET UNEARNED PREMIUM AMORTIZATION AND ESTIMATED NET FUTURE INSTALLMENT PREMIUMS
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Non-Credit Derivative Financial Guaranty Contracts | |
| |
| |
---|
| | Run-off of Net UPR(1) | | Expected Losses | | Run-off of Net UPR in Excess of Expected Losses | | Accretion of Discount | | Credit Derivative Revenues and Other Installment Earned Premiums(2) | | Total | |
---|
Total Financial Guaranty: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2009 (4th Qtr) | | $ | 304.0 | | $ | 16.6 | | $ | 287.4 | | $ | 9.9 | | $ | 60.7 | | $ | 358.0 | |
2010 | | | 1,054.0 | | | 158.4 | | | 895.6 | | | 37.6 | | | 196.8 | | | 1,130.0 | |
2011 | | | 809.1 | | | 116.8 | | | 692.3 | | | 35.3 | | | 175.4 | | | 903.0 | |
2012 | | | 670.8 | | | 120.3 | | | 550.5 | | | 33.2 | | | 141.3 | | | 725.0 | |
2013 | | | 570.7 | | | 119.2 | | | 451.5 | | | 31.0 | | | 106.9 | | | 589.4 | |
2009-2013 | | | 3,408.6 | | | 531.3 | | | 2,877.3 | | | 147.0 | | | 681.1 | | | 3,705.4 | |
2014-2018 | | | 1,894.1 | | | 354.5 | | | 1,539.6 | | | 126.6 | | | 220.9 | | | 1,887.1 | |
2019-2023 | | | 1,019.1 | | | 86.1 | | | 933.0 | | | 86.9 | | | 87.0 | | | 1,106.9 | |
2024-2028 | | | 642.0 | | | 40.8 | | | 601.2 | | | 55.4 | | | 62.5 | | | 719.1 | |
After 2028 | | | 742.8 | | | 53.0 | | | 689.8 | | | 47.8 | | | 116.3 | | | 853.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | $ | 7,706.6 | | $ | 1,065.7 | | $ | 6,640.9 | | $ | 463.7 | | $ | 1,167.8 | | $ | 8,272.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Net unearned premium reserve ("UPR") amounts are U.S. GAAP based UPR and net of ceded unearned premiums.
- (2)
- Includes earnings on future installments of credit derivatives.
17
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY PROFILE
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Historical Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Consolidated |
---|
| | Net Par Outstanding | | Avg. Rating(1) |
---|
Sector: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Net Par Outstanding |
---|
Public Finance | | | | | | | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| General obligation | | $ | 161,128 | | $ | 17,306 | | $ | 178,434 | | A+ |
| Tax backed | | | 73,307 | | | 10,283 | | | 83,590 | | A+ |
| Municipal utilities | | | 63,032 | | | 6,931 | | | 69,963 | | A |
| Transportation | | | 29,072 | | | 6,870 | | | 35,942 | | A |
| Healthcare | | | 19,587 | | | 2,512 | | | 22,099 | | A |
| Higher education | | | 11,967 | | | 3,023 | | | 14,990 | | A+ |
| Housing | | | 7,258 | | | 1,432 | | | 8,690 | | AA- |
| Infrastructure finance | | | 2,454 | | | 828 | | | 3,282 | | BBB |
| Investor-owned utilities | | | 124 | | | 1,725 | | | 1,849 | | BBB+ |
| Other public finance | | | 3,819 | | | 2,227 | | | 6,046 | | A |
| | | | | | | | |
| | Total public finance—U.S. | | $ | 371,748 | | $ | 53,137 | | $ | 424,885 | | A+ |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Infrastructure finance | | $ | 13,117 | | $ | 2,941 | | $ | 16,058 | | BBB |
| Regulated utilities | | | 11,331 | | | 2,584 | | | 13,915 | | BBB+ |
| Pooled infrastructure | | | 4,389 | | | — | | | 4,389 | | AAA |
| Other public finance | | | 8,302 | | | 563 | | | 8,865 | | AA- |
| | | | | | | | |
| | Total public finance—non-U.S. | | $ | 37,139 | | $ | 6,088 | | $ | 43,227 | | A- |
| | | | | | | | |
Total public finance | | $ | 408,887 | | $ | 59,225 | | $ | 468,112 | | A+ |
| | | | | | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | | | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 74,641 | | $ | 925 | | $ | 75,566 | | AAA |
| Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | | | 29,555 | | | 602 | | | 30,157 | | BB+ |
| Financial products | | | 10,914 | | | — | | | 10,914 | | AA- |
| Consumer receivables | | | 7,831 | | | 1,654 | | | 9,485 | | A |
| Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 7,076 | | | 379 | | | 7,455 | | AAA |
| Commercial receivables | | | 1,211 | | | 1,730 | | | 2,941 | | BBB+ |
| Structured credit | | | 2,393 | | | 343 | | | 2,736 | | A- |
| Insurance securitizations | | | 1,314 | | | 337 | | | 1,651 | | A+ |
| Other structured finance | | | 1,004 | | | 274 | | | 1,278 | | A- |
| | | | | | | | |
| | Total structured finance—U.S. | | $ | 135,939 | | $ | 6,244 | | $ | 142,183 | | AA- |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 23,343 | | $ | 1,037 | | $ | 24,380 | | AAA |
| Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | | | 5,253 | | | 65 | | | 5,318 | | AAA |
| Structured credit | | | 1,475 | | | 757 | | | 2,232 | | BBB |
| Commercial receivables | | | 1,027 | | | 871 | | | 1,898 | | A- |
| Insurance securitizations | | | 964 | | | 31 | | | 995 | | CCC |
| Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 452 | | | 320 | | | 772 | | AA |
| Other structured finance | | | 566 | | | 174 | | | 740 | | AAA |
| | | | | | | | |
| | Total structured finance—non-U.S. | | $ | 33,080 | | $ | 3,255 | | $ | 36,335 | | AA |
| | | | | | | | |
Total structured finance | | $ | 169,019 | | $ | 9,499 | | $ | 178,518 | | AA- |
| | | | | | | | |
Total exposures | | $ | 577,906 | | $ | 68,724 | | $ | 646,630 | | A+ |
| | | | | | | | |
Mortgage guaranty risk in force | | | | | | | | $ | 395 | | NA |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations hat the Company insures and reinsures.
NA = Not Applicable
18
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY PROFILE (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Gross Par Written by Asset Type
| | | | | | | |
| | Total Financial Guaranty | | Avg. Rating(1) |
---|
| | 3Q-09 |
---|
Sector: | | | | | |
Public Finance | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | |
| Tax backed | | $ | 2,740 | | A |
| General obligation | | | 2,608 | | A |
| Municipal utilities | | | 1,289 | | A |
| Transportation | | | 1,196 | | A- |
| Higher education | | | 288 | | A |
| Healthcare | | | 294 | | A |
| Infrastructure finance | | | 56 | | A- |
| Housing | | | 26 | | AA |
| Other public finance | | | — | | — |
| | | | |
| | Total public finance—U.S. | | $ | 8,497 | | A |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | |
| Infrastructure finance | | $ | — | | — |
| Regulated utilities | | | — | | — |
| Other public finance | | | — | | — |
| | | | |
| | Total public finance—non-U.S. | | $ | — | | — |
| | | | |
Total public finance | | $ | 8,497 | | A |
| | | | |
Structured Finance | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | |
| Consumer receivables | | $ | 600 | | AAA |
| Commercial receivables | | | — | | — |
| | | | |
| | Total structured finance—U.S. | | $ | 600 | | AAA |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | |
| | Total structured finance—non-U.S. | | $ | — | | — |
| | | | |
Total structured finance | | $ | 600 | | AAA |
| | | | |
Total gross par written | | $ | 9,097 | | A |
| | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
19
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY PROFILE (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of September 30, 2009 | |
---|
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Consolidated | |
---|
Ratings(1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | 45,795 | | | 7.9 | % | $ | — | | | 0.0 | % | $ | 45,795 | | | 7.1 | % |
AAA | | | 60,557 | | | 10.5 | % | | 2,315 | | | 3.4 | % | | 62,872 | | | 9.7 | % |
AA | | | 178,235 | | | 30.8 | % | | 20,525 | | | 29.9 | % | | 198,760 | | | 30.7 | % |
A | | | 201,298 | | | 34.8 | % | | 30,202 | | | 43.9 | % | | 231,500 | | | 35.8 | % |
BBB | | | 70,158 | | | 12.1 | % | | 13,517 | | | 19.7 | % | | 83,675 | | | 12.9 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 21,863 | | | 3.9 | % | | 2,165 | | | 3.1 | % | | 24,028 | | | 3.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 577,906 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 68,724 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 646,630 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of September 30, 2009 | |
---|
| | Public Finance— U.S. | | Public Finance— Non-U.S. | | Structured Finance— U.S. | | Structured Finance— Non-U.S. | | Consolidated | |
---|
Ratings(1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | 25 | | | 0.0 | % | $ | 2,323 | | | 5.4 | % | $ | 29,963 | | | 21.1 | % | $ | 13,484 | | | 37.1 | % | $ | 45,795 | | | 7.1 | % |
AAA | | | 6,882 | | | 1.6 | % | | 3,545 | | | 8.2 | % | | 40,979 | | | 28.8 | % | | 11,465 | | | 31.6 | % | | 62,871 | | | 9.7 | % |
AA | | | 167,617 | | | 39.4 | % | | 2,753 | | | 6.4 | % | | 26,017 | | | 18.3 | % | | 2,373 | | | 6.5 | % | | 198,760 | | | 30.7 | % |
A | | | 208,257 | | | 49.0 | % | | 11,978 | | | 27.7 | % | | 8,602 | | | 6.0 | % | | 2,664 | | | 7.3 | % | | 231,501 | | | 35.8 | % |
BBB | | | 38,952 | | | 9.2 | % | | 22,244 | | | 51.5 | % | | 17,153 | | | 12.1 | % | | 5,326 | | | 14.7 | % | | 83,675 | | | 12.9 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 3,152 | | | 0.7 | % | | 384 | | | 0.9 | % | | 19,469 | | | 13.7 | % | | 1,023 | | | 2.8 | % | | 24,028 | | | 3.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 424,885 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 43,227 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 142,183 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 36,335 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 646,630 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
20
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY PROFILE (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | |
---|
U.S.: | | | | | | | |
California | | $ | 59,822 | | | 9.3 | % |
New York | | | 35,457 | | | 5.5 | % |
Texas | | | 30,778 | | | 4.8 | % |
Pennsylvania | | | 28,952 | | | 4.5 | % |
Florida | | | 25,468 | | | 3.9 | % |
Illinois | | | 25,320 | | | 3.9 | % |
New Jersey | | | 18,662 | | | 2.9 | % |
Michigan | | | 17,133 | | | 2.6 | % |
Washington | | | 13,422 | | | 2.1 | % |
Massachusetts | | | 13,347 | | | 2.1 | % |
Other states | | | 156,524 | | | 24.2 | % |
Structured finance (multiple states) | | | 142,183 | | | 21.9 | % |
| | | | | |
| Total U.S. | | | 567,068 | | | 87.7 | % |
| | | | | |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | | | |
United Kingdom | | | 31,553 | | | 4.9 | % |
Australia | | | 8,795 | | | 1.4 | % |
Canada | | | 5,052 | | | 0.8 | % |
France | | | 2,595 | | | 0.4 | % |
Italy | | | 2,582 | | | 0.4 | % |
Other | | | 28,985 | | | 4.4 | % |
| | | | | |
| Total non-U.S. | | | 79,562 | | | 12.3 | % |
| | | | | |
Total exposures | | $ | 646,630 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | |
21
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
POOLED CORPORATE OBLIGATIONS PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings(1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement(2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement(2) | |
---|
Super Senior | | $ | 33,413 | | | 34.1 | % | | 29.0 | % | | 26.4 | % |
AAA | | | 42,590 | | | 43.4 | % | | 29.3 | % | | 26.8 | % |
AA | | | 11,971 | | | 12.2 | % | | 34.5 | % | | 29.5 | % |
A | | | 2,410 | | | 2.5 | % | | 33.0 | % | | 33.5 | % |
BBB | | | 5,650 | | | 5.8 | % | | 38.1 | % | | 29.8 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 1,950 | | | 2.0 | % | | 44.1 | % | | 31.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 97,984 | | | 100.0 | % | | 30.7 | % | | 27.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement(2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement(2) | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | 15,412 | | | 15.7 | % | | 23.7 | % | | 21.7 | % |
2005 | | | 20,667 | | | 21.1 | % | | 29.0 | % | | 25.7 | % |
2006 | | | 20,756 | | | 21.2 | % | | 33.0 | % | | 28.1 | % |
2007 | | | 38,570 | | | 39.4 | % | | 33.0 | % | | 29.6 | % |
2008 | | | 2,579 | | | 2.6 | % | | 35.5 | % | | 37.3 | % |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 97,984 | | | 100.0 | % | | 30.7 | % | | 27.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
22
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
POOLED CORPORATE OBLIGATIONS PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset class: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement(2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement(2) | | Avg. Rating(1) |
---|
Synthetic high yield pooled corporate | | $ | 11,313 | | | 11.5 | % | | 36.7 | % | | 31.9 | % | AAA |
Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate | | | 14,796 | | | 15.1 | % | | 19.2 | % | | 17.8 | % | Super Senior |
CLOs/CBOs | | | 57,793 | | | 59.0 | % | | 30.3 | % | | 26.3 | % | AAA |
Market Value CDOs of corporate | | | 5,860 | | | 6.0 | % | | 32.2 | % | | 40.0 | % | AAA |
Trust Preferred—banks and insurance | | | 3,810 | | | 3.9 | % | | 47.7 | % | | 38.2 | % | BBB+ |
Trust Preferred—US Mortgage and REITs(3) | | | 2,419 | | | 2.5 | % | | 50.1 | % | | 42.5 | % | BB+ |
Trust Preferred—European Mortgage and REITs | | | 1,069 | | | 1.1 | % | | 36.9 | % | | 31.3 | % | BBB- |
CDO of CDOs (corporate)(4) | | | 48 | | | 0.0 | % | | 24.4 | % | | 16.7 | % | A- |
Other Pooled Corporate | | | 876 | | | 0.9 | % | | N/A | | | N/A | | A- |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 97,984 | | | 100.0 | % | | 30.7 | % | | 27.4 | % | AAA |
| | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
- (2)
- "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.
- (3)
- REITs are real estate investment trusts.
- (4)
- CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.
23
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED U.S. RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ("RMBS") PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and by Segment as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings(1): | | Direct Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Reinsurance Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Total Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | 545 | | | 1.8 | % | $ | — | | | — | | $ | 545 | | | 1.8 | % |
AAA | | | 3,220 | | | 10.8 | % | | 25 | | | 5.5 | % | | 3,244 | | | 10.8 | % |
AA | | | 2,336 | | | 7.9 | % | | 46 | | | 10.4 | % | | 2,383 | | | 7.9 | % |
A | | | 2,190 | | | 7.4 | % | | 80 | | | 18.1 | % | | 2,271 | | | 7.5 | % |
BBB | | | 4,856 | | | 16.3 | % | | 86 | | | 19.3 | % | | 4,942 | | | 16.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 16,566 | | | 55.8 | % | | 207 | | | 46.6 | % | | 16,773 | | | 55.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 29,714 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 444 | | | 100.0 | % | $ | 30,157 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1), December 31, 2006 to September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings(1): | | 12/31/06 | | 12/31/07 | | 12/31/08 | | 09/30/09 | |
---|
Super senior | | | 41.4 | % | | 35.4 | % | | 34.7 | % | | 1.8 | % |
AAA | | | 23.1 | % | | 33.9 | % | | 9.1 | % | | 10.8 | % |
AA | | | 0.3 | % | | 5.0 | % | | 8.5 | % | | 7.9 | % |
A | | | 9.2 | % | | 6.4 | % | | 13.4 | % | | 7.5 | % |
BBB | | | 25.1 | % | | 9.1 | % | | 10.4 | % | | 16.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 0.9 | % | | 10.1 | % | | 24.0 | % | | 55.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | 100.0 | % | | 100.0 | % | | 100.0 | % | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Prime First Lien(2) | | Closed End Seconds | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Alt-A Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | NIMs(3) | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 545 | | $ | — | | $ | 545 | |
AAA | | | 179 | | | 0 | | | 488 | | | 170 | | | 165 | | | 2,243 | | | — | | | 3,244 | |
AA | | | 37 | | | 46 | | | 546 | | | 261 | | | 21 | | | 1,471 | | | — | | | 2,383 | |
A | | | 53 | | | 2 | | | 7 | | | 1,062 | | | 56 | | | 1,092 | | | — | | | 2,271 | |
BBB | | | 109 | | | — | | | 442 | | | 1,706 | | | 260 | | | 2,394 | | | 31 | | | 4,942 | |
Below investment grade | | | 639 | | | 1,310 | | | 4,795 | | | 4,076 | | | 3,500 | | | 2,283 | | | 170 | | | 16,773 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 1,016 | | $ | 1,359 | | $ | 6,279 | | $ | 7,275 | | $ | 4,000 | | $ | 10,027 | | $ | 201 | | $ | 30,157 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
24
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED U.S. RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ("RMBS") PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Prime First Lien(2) | | Closed End Seconds | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Alt-A Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | NIMs | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | 81 | | $ | 3 | | $ | 414 | | $ | 151 | | $ | 64 | | $ | 1,781 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 2,496 | |
2005 | | | 186 | | | — | | | 1,336 | | | 780 | | | 189 | | | 486 | | | 15 | | | 2,992 | |
2006 | | | 166 | | | 472 | | | 2,080 | | | 568 | | | 1,051 | | | 4,406 | | | 87 | | | 8,831 | |
2007 | | | 583 | | | 884 | | | 2,449 | | | 3,466 | | | 2,547 | | | 3,257 | | | 98 | | | 13,284 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,310 | | | 149 | | | 96 | | | — | | | 2,555 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 1,016 | | $ | 1,359 | | $ | 6,279 | | $ | 7,275 | | $ | 4,000 | | $ | 10,027 | | $ | 201 | | $ | 30,157 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
- (2)
- Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.
- (3)
- NIMs are net interest margin securities.
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 1,584 | | $ | 116 | | $ | 227 | | $ | 148 | | $ | 421 | | $ | 2,496 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 339 | | | 103 | | | 211 | | | 641 | | | 1,697 | | | 2,992 | |
2006 | | | 545 | | | 994 | | | 1,100 | | | 917 | | | 1,377 | | | 3,898 | | | 8,831 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 327 | | | 818 | | | 13 | | | 1,379 | | | 10,747 | | | 13,284 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | 246 | | | 902 | | | 1,396 | | | 10 | | | 2,555 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 545 | | $ | 3,244 | | $ | 2,383 | | $ | 2,271 | | $ | 4,942 | | $ | 16,773 | | $ | 30,157 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 1.8 | % | | 10.8 | % | | 7.9 | % | | 7.5 | % | | 16.4 | % | | 55.6 | % | | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Home Equity Line of Credit ("HELOC") RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 40 | | $ | 6 | | $ | 5 | | $ | 47 | | $ | 317 | | $ | 414 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 77 | | | — | | | 2 | | | 161 | | | 1,095 | | | 1,336 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 56 | | | — | | | — | | | 234 | | | 1,790 | | | 2,080 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 315 | | | 541 | | | — | | | — | | | 1,593 | | | 2,449 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 488 | | $ | 546 | | $ | 7 | | $ | 442 | | $ | 4,795 | | $ | 6,279 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 7.8 | % | | 8.7 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 7.0 | % | | 76.4 | % | | 100.0 | % |
25
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED U.S. RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ("RMBS") PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Closed End Seconds ("CES") RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 0 | | $ | — | | $ | 2 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 3 | |
2005 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | | | | — | |
2006 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 472 | | | 472 | |
2007 | | | — | | | — | | | 46 | | | — | | | — | | | 838 | | | 884 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 0 | | $ | 46 | | $ | 2 | | $ | — | | $ | 1,310 | | $ | 1,359 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 3.4 | % | | 0.2 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 96.4 | % | | 100.0 | % |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Distribution of U.S. Alternative-A ("Alt-A") First Lien RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 90 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 26 | | $ | 20 | | $ | 15 | | $ | 151 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 80 | | | 15 | | | 134 | | | 161 | | | 391 | | | 780 | |
2006 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 568 | | | 568 | |
2007 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 364 | | | 3,102 | | | 3,466 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | 246 | | | 902 | | | 1,162 | | | — | | | 2,310 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 170 | | $ | 261 | | $ | 1,062 | | $ | 1,706 | | $ | 4,076 | | $ | 7,275 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 2.3 | % | | 3.6 | % | | 14.6 | % | | 23.5 | % | | 56.0 | % | | 100.0 | % |
26
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSOLIDATED U.S. RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ("RMBS") PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage ("ARM") RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 12 | | $ | 52 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 64 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 3 | | | — | | | 3 | | | 38 | | | 144 | | | 189 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 160 | | | — | | | — | | | 3 | | | 888 | | | 1,051 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 1 | | | 9 | | | — | | | 70 | | | 2,467 | | | 2,547 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 149 | | | — | | | 149 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 165 | | $ | 21 | | $ | 56 | | $ | 260 | | $ | 3,500 | | $ | 4,000 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 4.1 | % | | 0.5 | % | | 1.4 | % | | 6.5 | % | | 87.5 | % | | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Subprime First Lien RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 1,437 | | $ | 60 | | $ | 115 | | $ | 82 | | $ | 88 | | $ | 1,781 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 180 | | | 88 | | | 46 | | | 172 | | | — | | | 486 | |
2006 | | | 545 | | | 616 | | | 1,100 | | | 917 | | | 1,140 | | | 89 | | | 4,406 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 11 | | | 223 | | | 13 | | | 914 | | | 2,096 | | | 3,257 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 86 | | | 10 | | | 96 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 545 | | $ | 2,243 | | $ | 1,471 | | $ | 1,092 | | $ | 2,394 | | $ | 2,283 | | $ | 10,027 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 5.4 | % | | 22.4 | % | | 14.7 | % | | 10.9 | % | | 23.9 | % | | 22.8 | % | | 100.0 | % |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
27
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings(1): | | Prime First Lien(2) | | Closed End Seconds | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Alt-A Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | NIMs | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 545 | | $ | — | | $ | 545 | |
AAA | | | 167 | | | — | | | 488 | | | 167 | | | 161 | | | 2,237 | | | — | | | 3,220 | |
AA | | | 3 | | | 46 | | | 541 | | | 261 | | | 21 | | | 1,466 | | | — | | | 2,336 | |
A | | | 27 | | | — | | | — | | | 1,036 | | | 51 | | | 1,077 | | | — | | | 2,190 | |
BBB | | | 108 | | | — | | | 385 | | | 1,704 | | | 257 | | | 2,372 | | | 31 | | | 4,856 | |
Below investment grade | | | 635 | | | 1,297 | | | 4,658 | | | 4,071 | | | 3,494 | | | 2,242 | | | 170 | | | 16,566 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total exposures | | $ | 939 | | $ | 1,343 | | $ | 6,072 | | $ | 7,239 | | $ | 3,983 | | $ | 9,937 | | $ | 201 | | $ | 29,714 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Prime First Lien(2) | | Closed End Seconds | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Alt-A Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | NIMs | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | 8 | | $ | — | | $ | 354 | | $ | 119 | | $ | 63 | | $ | 1,710 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 2,255 | |
2005 | | | 186 | | | — | | | 1,284 | | | 779 | | | 181 | | | 486 | | | 15 | | | 2,930 | |
2006 | | | 162 | | | 459 | | | 1,985 | | | 565 | | | 1,043 | | | 4,398 | | | 87 | | | 8,700 | |
2007 | | | 583 | | | 884 | | | 2,449 | | | 3,466 | | | 2,547 | | | 3,257 | | | 98 | | | 13,284 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,310 | | | 149 | | | 86 | | | — | | | 2,545 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 939 | | $ | 1,343 | | $ | 6,072 | | $ | 7,239 | | $ | 3,983 | | $ | 9,937 | | $ | 201 | | $ | 29,714 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Year Issued as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Prime First Lien(2) | | Closed End Seconds | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Alt-A Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | NIMs | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | 8 | | $ | — | | $ | 354 | | $ | 119 | | $ | 63 | | $ | 1,710 | | $ | 1 | | $ | 2,255 | |
2005 | | | 186 | | | — | | | 1,284 | | | 779 | | | 181 | | | 4,835 | | | 15 | | | 7,279 | |
2006 | | | 162 | | | 459 | | | 2,078 | | | 879 | | | 1,043 | | | 548 | | | 87 | | | 5,257 | |
2007 | | | 583 | | | 884 | | | 2,356 | | | 5,461 | | | 2,696 | | | 2,758 | | | 98 | | | 14,837 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 86 | | | — | | | 86 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 939 | | $ | 1,343 | | $ | 6,072 | | $ | 7,239 | | $ | 3,983 | | $ | 9,937 | | $ | 201 | | $ | 29,714 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
- (2)
- Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions
28
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Issued as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 1,563 | | $ | 69 | | $ | 153 | | $ | 83 | | $ | 388 | | $ | 2,255 | |
2005 | | | 545 | | | 952 | | | 1,203 | | | 1,123 | | | 1,717 | | | 1,739 | | | 7,279 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 389 | | | 246 | | | 13 | | | 543 | | | 4,066 | | | 5,257 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 316 | | | 818 | | | 902 | | | 2,427 | | | 10,373 | | | 14,837 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 86 | | | — | | | 86 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 545 | | $ | 3,220 | | $ | 2,336 | | $ | 2,190 | | $ | 4,856 | | $ | 16,566 | | $ | 29,714 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 1.8 | % | | 10.8 | % | | 7.9 | % | | 7.4 | % | | 16.3 | % | | 55.8 | % | | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 1,563 | | $ | 69 | | $ | 153 | | $ | 83 | | $ | 388 | | $ | 2,255 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 336 | | | 103 | | | 205 | | | 626 | | | 1,659 | | | 2,930 | |
2006 | | | 545 | | | 994 | | | 1,100 | | | 917 | | | 1,371 | | | 3,772 | | | 8,700 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 327 | | | 818 | | | 13 | | | 1,379 | | | 10,747 | | | 13,284 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | 246 | | | 902 | | | 1,396 | | | — | | | 2,545 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 545 | | $ | 3,220 | | $ | 2,336 | | $ | 2,190 | | $ | 4,856 | | $ | 16,566 | | $ | 29,714 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 1.8 | % | | 10.8 | % | | 7.9 | % | | 7.4 | % | | 16.3 | % | | 55.8 | % | | 100.0 | % |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
29
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2009(1)
U.S. Prime First Lien(2)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(3) | | Subordination(4) | | Cumulative Losses(5) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(6) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 186 | | | 65.9 | % | | 5.4 | % | | 5.5 | % | | 0.4 | % | | 6 | |
2006 | | | 162 | | | 73.0 | % | | 7.6 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 9.9 | % | | 1 | |
2007 | | | 583 | | | 79.1 | % | | 11.1 | % | | 9.5 | % | | 0.9 | % | | 1 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 931 | | | 75.9 | % | | 9.7 | % | | 8.6 | % | | 0.8 | % | | 8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. CES
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(3) | | Subordination(4) | | Cumulative Losses(5) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(6) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2006 | | | 459 | | | 29.0 | % | | (68.4 | )% | | 16.1 | % | | 10.6 | % | | 2 | |
2007 | | | 884 | | | 39.4 | % | | (16.9 | )% | | 15.7 | % | | 15.3 | % | | 10 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 1,343 | | | 35.8 | % | | (34.5 | )% | | 15.8 | % | | 13.7 | % | | 12 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. HELOC
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(3) | | Subordination(4) | | Cumulative Losses(5) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(6) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 1,284 | | | 26.2 | % | | 0.6 | % | | 10.1 | % | | 11.9 | % | | 6 | |
2006 | | | 2,078 | | | 55.3 | % | | 0.3 | % | | 20.0 | % | | 14.4 | % | | 8 | |
2007 | | | 2,356 | | | 48.3 | % | | 3.8 | % | | 19.4 | % | | 7.4 | % | | 8 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 5,718 | | | 45.8 | % | | 1.8 | % | | 17.5 | % | | 11.0 | % | | 22 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
30
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(3) | | Subordination(4) | | Cumulative Losses(5) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(6) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 779 | | | 49.1 | % | | 18.0 | % | | 2.8 | % | | 16.6 | % | | 21 | |
2006 | | | 879 | | | 63.3 | % | | 4.5 | % | | 7.1 | % | | 35.8 | % | | 10 | |
2007 | | | 5,461 | | | 71.0 | % | | 18.1 | % | | 4.1 | % | | 30.9 | % | | 14 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | ��� | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 7,119 | | | 67.7 | % | | 16.4 | % | | 4.3 | % | | 29.9 | % | | 45 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.
- (2)
- Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions
- (3)
- Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
- (4)
- Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
- (5)
- Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
- (6)
- 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2009(1)
U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination(3) | | Cumulative Losses(4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(5) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 181 | | | 37.3 | % | | 14.6 | % | | 5.0 | % | | 41.5 | % | | 4 | |
2006 | | | 1,043 | | | 66.8 | % | | 9.9 | % | | 5.6 | % | | 46.5 | % | | 7 | |
2007 | | | 2,696 | | | 75.9 | % | | 14.3 | % | | 6.4 | % | | 35.5 | % | | 13 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 3,920 | | | 71.7 | % | | 13.2 | % | | 6.2 | % | | 38.7 | % | | 24 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
31
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
U.S. Subprime First Lien
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination(3) | | Cumulative Losses(4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(5) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 4,835 | | | 30.4 | % | | 60.1 | % | | 9.6 | % | | 43.2 | % | | 12 | |
2006 | | | 548 | | | 47.1 | % | | 29.6 | % | | 12.2 | % | | 47.8 | % | | 3 | |
2007 | | | 2,758 | | | 71.0 | % | | 29.4 | % | | 7.0 | % | | 46.8 | % | | 13 | |
2008 | | | 86 | | | 77.7 | % | | 35.3 | % | | 2.9 | % | | 36.7 | % | | 1 | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 8,227 | | | 45.6 | % | | 47.5 | % | | 8.8 | % | | 44.7 | % | | 29 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.
- (2)
- Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
- (3)
- Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
- (4)
- Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
- (5)
- 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.
32
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. CMBS PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2009(1)
U.S. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS")
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination(3) | | Cumulative Losses(4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies(5) | | Number of Transactions | |
---|
2005 | | $ | 3,517 | | | 94.6 | % | | 28.9 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 2.1 | % | | 159 | |
2006 | | | 1,418 | | | 97.8 | % | | 28.4 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 2.6 | % | | 58 | |
2007 | | | 502 | | | 86.5 | % | | 21.7 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 3.6 | % | | 13 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
2009 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 5,437 | | | 93.6 | % | | 28.1 | % | | 0.1 | % | | 2.4 | % | | 230 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. Other CMBS
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement(6) | | Avg. Current Enhancement(6) | |
---|
Commercial Real Estate | | $ | 741 | | | 54.0 | % | | 49.2 | % | | 48.8 | % |
CDO of CMBS | | | 630 | | | 46.0 | % | | 29.1 | % | | 42.4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 1,371 | | | 100.0 | % | | 40.0 | % | | 45.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.
- (2)
- Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
- (3)
- Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
- (4)
- Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
- (5)
- 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.
- (6)
- "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.
33
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSUMER RECEIVABLES PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Credit Cards | | Student Loans | | Manufactured Housing | | Auto | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | 47 | | $ | 34 | | $ | 340 | | $ | 63 | | $ | 484 | |
2005 | | | 1,074 | | | 192 | | | — | | | 565 | | | 1,831 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 715 | | | — | | | 1,335 | | | 2,050 | |
2007 | | | 489 | | | 1,191 | | | — | | | 2,370 | | | 4,050 | |
2008 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 660 | | | 660 | |
2009 | | | 200 | | | 210 | | | — | | | — | | | 410 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 1,810 | | $ | 2,342 | | $ | 340 | | $ | 4,993 | | $ | 9,485 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 3 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 95 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 187 | | $ | 389 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 153 | | | — | | | 96 | | | 208 | | | — | | | 457 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 420 | | | — | | | 48 | | | 999 | | | — | | | 1,467 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 861 | | | — | | | — | | | 2,187 | | | — | | | 3,048 | |
2008 | | | — | | | 1,014 | | | — | | | 118 | | | 528 | | | — | | | 1,660 | |
2009 | | | — | | | 600 | | | — | | | 210 | | | — | | | — | | | 810 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 3,051 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 567 | | $ | 3,974 | | $ | 187 | | $ | 7,831 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 39.0 | % | | 0.7 | % | | 7.2 | % | | 50.7 | % | | 2.4 | % | | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Issued as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year issued: | | Super Senior | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total | |
---|
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | 3 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 95 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 187 | | $ | 389 | |
2005 | | | — | | | 1,153 | | | — | | | 96 | | | 208 | | | — | | | 1,457 | |
2006 | | | — | | | 420 | | | — | | | 48 | | | 999 | | | — | | | 1,467 | |
2007 | | | — | | | 1,261 | | | — | | | — | | | 2,187 | | | — | | | 3,448 | |
2008 | | | — | | | 14 | | | — | | | 118 | | | 528 | | | — | | | 660 | |
2009 | | | — | | | 200 | | | — | | | 210 | | | — | | | — | | | 410 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | — | | $ | 3,051 | | $ | 52 | | $ | 567 | | $ | 3,974 | | $ | 187 | | $ | 7,831 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | | 0.0 | % | | 39.0 | % | | 0.7 | % | | 7.2 | % | | 50.7 | % | | 2.4 | % | | 100.0 | % |
34
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
CONSUMER RECEIVABLES PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset class: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Average Rating(1) | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement(2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement(2) | |
---|
Student loans | | $ | 1,471 | | | 18.8 | % | AAA | | | 6.4 | % | | 7.4 | % |
Credit cards | | | 1,689 | | | 21.6 | % | AAA | | | 25.7 | % | | 25.9 | % |
Auto | | | 4,337 | | | 55.4 | % | BBB | | | 12.2 | % | | 24.9 | % |
Manufactured Housing | | | 334 | | | 4.3 | % | BBB | | | 27.6 | % | | 26.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | $ | 7,831 | | | 100.0 | % | A+ | | | 14.7 | % | | 21.9 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
- (2)
- "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.
35
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT CREDIT DERIVATIVE EXPOSURE PROFILE
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating
| | | | | | | | |
| | September 30, 2009 | |
---|
Ratings(1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | |
---|
Super senior | | $ | 43,593 | | | 35.8 | % |
AAA | | | 43,941 | | | 36.1 | % |
AA | | | 11,893 | | | 9.8 | % |
A | | | 5,625 | | | 4.6 | % |
BBB | | | 10,244 | | | 8.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | | 6,480 | | | 5.3 | % |
| | | | | |
| Total exposures | | $ | 121,776 | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating
| | | | | | | |
| | September 30, 2009 |
---|
Sector: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Average Rating(1) |
---|
Public Finance | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | |
| General obligation | | $ | 557 | | AA- |
| Healthcare | | | 319 | | A- |
| Municipal utilities | | | 202 | | A- |
| Tax backed | | | 141 | | A+ |
| Infrastructure finance | | | 141 | | BBB+ |
| Transportation | | | 36 | | A |
| Housing | | | 31 | | AA- |
| Other public finance | | | 29 | | B |
| Investor-owned utilities | | | 20 | | AAA |
| | | | |
| | Total public finance—U.S. | | $ | 1,476 | | A+ |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | |
| Pooled infrastructure | | $ | 4,389 | | AAA |
| Infrastructure finance | | | 1,967 | | BBB |
| Regulated utilities | | | 1,099 | | BBB+ |
| Other public finance | | | 989 | | AAA |
| | | | |
| | Total public finance—non-U.S. | | $ | 8,444 | | AAA |
| | | | |
Total public finance | | $ | 9,920 | | AA |
| | | | |
36
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT CREDIT DERIVATIVE EXPOSURE PROFILE (Continued)
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | |
| | September 30, 2009 |
---|
Sector: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Average Rating(1) |
---|
Structured Finance | | | | | |
United States: | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 66,112 | | AAA |
| Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | | | 11,666 | | BBB |
| Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 6,799 | | AAA |
| Commercial receivables | | | 665 | | BBB+ |
| Consumer receivables | | | 545 | | AAA |
| Structured credit | | | 305 | | BBB- |
| Other structured finance | | | 188 | | B+ |
| Insurance securitizations | | | 169 | | BBB+ |
| | | | |
| | Total structured finance—U.S. | | $ | 86,449 | | AA+ |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 20,987 | | AAA |
| Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | | | 3,275 | | AAA |
| Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | | 452 | | AAA |
| Structured credit | | | 264 | | BBB |
| Other structured finance | | | 220 | | AAA |
| Commercial receivables | | | 127 | | A |
| Insurance securitizations | | | 82 | | B- |
| | | | |
| | Total structured finance—non-U.S. | | $ | 25,407 | | AAA |
| | | | |
Total structured finance | | $ | 111,856 | | AA+ |
| | | | |
Total exposures | | $ | 121,776 | | AA+ |
| | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
37
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
UNREALIZED GAINS (LOSSES) ON CREDIT DERIVATIVES
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Asset Type: | | Net Par Outstanding (in billions) | | Wtd. Avg. Credit Rating | | 3Q-09 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (in millions) | | YTD 3Q-09 Unrealized Gain (Loss) (in millions) | |
---|
Financial Guaranty Direct: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pooled corporates(1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| High yield corporates | | $ | 60.7 | | | AAA | | $ | 47.9 | | $ | (28.0 | ) |
| Trust preferred | | | 6.1 | | | BBB- | | | (32.3 | ) | | (32.6 | ) |
| Market value CDOs of corporates | | | 5.5 | | | AAA | | | (0.8 | ) | | (8.1 | ) |
| Investment grade corporates | | | 14.8 | | | Super senior | (5) | | (21.6 | ) | | (18.7 | ) |
| CDO of CDOs (corporate) | | | — | | | — | | | 6.6 | | | 6.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total pooled corporate obligations | | | 87.1 | | | AAA | | | (0.2 | ) | | (81.1 | ) |
| U.S. RMBS(2): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Prime first lien | | | 3.1 | | | A+ | | | (31.3 | ) | | (70.0 | ) |
| Alt-A first lien | | | 6.2 | | | BB+ | | | (41.8 | ) | | (287.6 | ) |
| Subprime lien | | | 5.5 | | | A+ | | | (1.5 | ) | | 2.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total U.S. RMBS | | | 14.8 | | | A- | | | (74.6 | ) | | (355.4 | ) |
| Commercial mortgage-backed securities(3) | | | 7.3 | | | AAA | | | 0.1 | | | (31.9 | ) |
| Other(4) | | | 12.6 | | | AA- | | | (102.2 | ) | | 52.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty Direct: | | | 121.8 | | | AA+ | | | (176.9 | ) | | (416.1 | ) |
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance: | | | 1.6 | | | AA+ | | | (28.4 | ) | | (16.5 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| Total Financial Guaranty | | $ | 123.4 | | | AA+ | | $ | (205.3 | ) | $ | (432.6 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Corporate collateralized loan obligations, market value CDOs, and trust preferred securities include all U.S. structured finance pooled corporate obligations and international pooled corporate obligations.
- (2)
- Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of prime and subprime U.S. mortgage-backed and home equity securities and residential international mortgage-backed and home equity securities.
- (3)
- Commercial mortgage-backed securities is comprised of commercial U.S. structured finance and commercial international mortgage backed securities.
- (4)
- Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.
- (5)
- The "super senior category", which is a category not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where the Company's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to the Company's exposure or (2) the Company's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes the Company's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
38
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
BELOW INVESTMENT GRADE EXPOSURES
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Below Investment Grade Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of September 30, 2009
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Name or Description | | Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating(1) | | Current Credit Enhancement | |
---|
Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2 | | | 28.7 | | $ | 937 | | CCC | | | 7.9 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-I | | | 4.8 | | | 757 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
US A Rated Residential MBS | | | 2.6 | | | 665 | | BB | | | 34.6 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-F | | | 4.2 | | | 631 | | CCC | | | 0.5 | % |
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3 | | | 3.2 | | | 607 | | CCC | | | 11.5 | % |
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | | | 19.4 | | | 598 | | D | | | N/A | |
MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2 | | | 3.8 | | | 583 | | BB | | | 11.1 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS7 | | | 6.5 | | | 518 | | B | | | 27.7 | % |
Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes | | | 26.6 | | | 500 | | D | | | NM | |
Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-3 | | | 3.5 | | | 477 | | B | | | 14.2 | % |
Detroit (City of) Michigan | | | 11.8 | | | 461 | | BB | | | N/A | |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-D | | | 5.6 | | | 453 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 | | | 1.9 | | | 441 | | CCC | | | 8.6 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS3 | | | 1.7 | | | 423 | | B | | | 21.6 | % |
Orkney Re II, PLC Floating Rate Notes | | | 8.8 | | | 423 | | D | | | NM | |
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2 | | | 4.2 | | | 412 | | BB | | | 20.8 | % |
AAA Trust 2007-2 | | | 2.0 | | | 400 | | B | | | 40.3 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-A | | | 4.4 | | | 396 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1 | | | 4.5 | | | 390 | | CCC | | | 7.2 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D | | | 4.4 | | | 380 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12 | | | 3.9 | | | 363 | | BB | | | 11.9 | % |
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1 | | | 3.8 | | | 351 | | B | | | 7.4 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-B | | | 4.5 | | | 346 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Aeroporti Di Roma—Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport) | | | 3.7 | | | 314 | | BB | | | N/A | |
GMACM Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2004-HE3 | | | 4.1 | | | 308 | | BB | | | 0.3 | % |
Taberna Preferred Funding IV, Ltd. | | | 26.2 | | | 292 | | BB | | | 44.7 | % |
39
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
BELOW INVESTMENT GRADE EXPOSURES (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Name or Description | | Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating(1) | | Current Credit Enhancement | |
---|
IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust, Series 2007-H1 | | | 4.8 | | | 282 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, Ltd. | | | 23.6 | | | 260 | | B | | | 13.1 | % |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL | | | 20.8 | | | 256 | | CCC | | | (74.7 | )% |
Taberna Preferred Funding II, Ltd. | | | 26.1 | | | 244 | | CCC | | | 36.6 | % |
Attentus CDO I, Ltd. | | | 11.2 | | | 237 | | BB | | | 36.9 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J | | | 4.6 | | | 216 | | N/A | | | 0.0 | % |
Soundview Home Loan Trust 2007-WMC1 | | | 3.3 | | | 215 | | CCC | | | 15.9 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J | | | 4.6 | | | 214 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL | | | 21.1 | | | 211 | | CCC | | | (77.9 | )% |
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-1 | | | 4.4 | | | 205 | | BB | | | 14.4 | % |
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-1 | | | 2.2 | | | 204 | | CCC | | | 9.9 | % |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL | | | 20.0 | | | 203 | | CCC | | | (60.5 | )% |
Attentus CDO II, Ltd. | | | 13.0 | | | 196 | | BB | | | 33.9 | % |
Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd. | | | 21.7 | | | 195 | | B | | | 36.5 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-C | | | 4.2 | | | 181 | | BB | | | 0.2 | % |
Jefferson County Alabama School Limited Obligation Sales Tax | | | 11.5 | | | 178 | | BB | | | N/A | |
Detroit (City of) Michigan School District | | | 6.2 | | | 176 | | BB | | | N/A | |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10 | | | 2.3 | | | 176 | | CCC | | | 10.3 | % |
Flagstar Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-2 | | | 3.2 | | | 174 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-10 | | | 4.4 | | | 172 | | B | | | 6.4 | % |
NRG Peaker Finance Company LLC | | | 5.5 | | | 164 | | B | | | N/A | |
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-S2 | | | 2.3 | | | 158 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
St. Barnabas Health System—New Jersey | | | 10.8 | | | 155 | | BB | | | N/A | |
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-3 | | | 4.7 | | | 155 | | CCC | | | 3.4 | % |
National Collegiate Trust—Private Student Loan Transaction | | | 23.9 | | | 155 | | BB- | | | N/A | |
Guaranteed Student Loan transaction | | | 31.3 | | | 152 | | C | | | N/A | |
Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd. | | | 27.2 | | | 152 | | BB | | | 43.5 | % |
Renaissance Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-3 | | | 6.4 | | | 148 | | BB | | | 27.6 | % |
Texas Turnpike Authority—Central Texas Turnpike Project | | | 25.7 | | | 146 | | BB+ | | | N/A | |
New Orleans (City of) Louisiana | | | 3.6 | | | 142 | | BB | | | N/A | |
Lehman XS Trust, Series 2007-16N | | | 3.8 | | | 135 | | BB | | | 11.6 | % |
Mashantucket Pequot Tribe—Connecticut | | | 2.6 | | | 130 | | B | | | N/A | |
American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4 | | | 6.0 | | | 127 | | CCC | | | 3.2 | % |
IndyMac IMSC Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HOA1 | | | 6.6 | | | 127 | | CCC | | | 4.0 | % |
40
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
BELOW INVESTMENT GRADE EXPOSURES (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Name or Description | | Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating(1) | | Current Credit Enhancement | |
---|
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-SL3 | | | 4.9 | | | 125 | | CCC | | | 19.0 | % |
NATIONAL COLLEGIATE TRUST SERIES 20 | | | 23.9 | | | 125 | | BB- | | | N/A | |
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 2.7 | | | 116 | | CCC | | | 12.9 | % |
TBW Mortgage-Backed Trust Series 2007-2 | | | 3.5 | | | 113 | | B | | | 6.5 | % |
Conseco Finance Manufactured Housing Contract, Series 2001-2 | | | 1.9 | | | 111 | | BB | | | 18.3 | % |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2005-22T1 | | | 5.1 | | | 103 | | B | | | 6.7 | % |
Guaranteed Student Loan transaction | | | 36.8 | | | 95 | | B | | | N/A | |
Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania | | | 14.3 | | | 93 | | BB+ | | | N/A | |
Taberna Preferred Funding III, Ltd. | | | 21.7 | | | 93 | | B | | | 36.5 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-H | | | 3.9 | | | 93 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-2 | | | 4.7 | | | 92 | | CCC | | | 2.7 | % |
Deutsche ALT-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB1 | | | 5.1 | | | 90 | | CCC | | | 8.0 | % |
Deutsche ALT-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB4 | | | 3.4 | | | 88 | | CCC | | | 3.2 | % |
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-GP1 | | | 2.9 | | | 87 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Orlando Florida Tourist Development Tax | | | 29.1 | | | 86 | | BB | | | N/A | |
Erie (City of) Pennsylvania | | | 9.0 | | | 84 | | BB+ | | | N/A | |
Xenia Rural Water District, Iowa | | | 20.3 | | | 84 | | BB | | | N/A | |
GreenPoint Credit Manufactured Housing, Series 2000-4 | | | 4.7 | | | 82 | | BB | | | 16.8 | % |
MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2 | | | 4.2 | | | 80 | | B | | | 27.2 | % |
DeKalb County Medical Center—Georgia | | | 13.5 | | | 78 | | BB | | | N/A | |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT | | | 4.3 | | | 77 | | CCC | | | 3.7 | % |
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 2.7 | | | 77 | | CCC | | | 12.9 | % |
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-SL2 | | | 1.7 | | | 74 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-12 | | | 2.4 | | | 71 | | BB | | | 11.4 | % |
CSMC Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-3 | | | 7.3 | | | 71 | | CCC | | | 3.3 | % |
SACO I Trust 2005-GP1 | | | 1.2 | | | 68 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2005-62 | | | 2.0 | | | 68 | | CCC | | | 14.1 | % |
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-SL1 | | | 21.3 | | | 66 | | CCC | | | (46.2 | )% |
Customer Asset Protection Company (CAPCO), Excess SIPC | | | 0.4 | | | 63 | | BB | | | N/A | |
41
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
BELOW INVESTMENT GRADE EXPOSURES (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Name or Description | | Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating(1) | | Current Credit Enhancement | |
---|
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1 | | | 5.1 | | | 63 | | CCC | | | 3.8 | % |
DSLA Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-AR5 | | | 2.5 | | | 61 | | CCC | | | 10.0 | % |
FFMLT 2007-FFC | | | 4.1 | | | 60 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Deutsche ALT-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB3 | | | 3.2 | | | 60 | | CCC | | | 3.6 | % |
Luminent Mortgage Trust 2006-2 | | | 1.2 | | | 55 | | CCC | | | 11.5 | % |
Private Commercial Receivables Transaction | | | 3.9 | | | 55 | | BB+ | | | N/A | |
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-4 | | | 4.8 | | | 53 | | CCC | | | 4.7 | % |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2005-55CB | | | 7.3 | | | 52 | | BB | | | 9.4 | % |
Chevy Chase Funding LLC Mortgage-Backed Certificates, Series 2006-2 | | | 3.3 | | | 52 | | B | | | 17.8 | % |
Private Commercial Receivables Transaction | | | 2.6 | | | 50 | | BB | | | N/A | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | $ | 21,781 | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
42
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LARGEST EXPOSURES BY SECTOR
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures
| | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Rating(1) |
---|
New Jersey (State of) | | $ | 4,974 | | AA- |
New York (State of) | | | 3,889 | | AA |
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) | | | 3,432 | | AA |
California (State of) | | | 3,420 | | A |
New York (City of) New York | | | 3,288 | | AA- |
Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of) | | | 2,541 | | BBB- |
Washington (State of) | | | 2,407 | | AA |
Chicago (City of) Illinois | | | 2,387 | | A+ |
Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority | | | 2,355 | | A+ |
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey | | | 2,277 | | AA- |
Wisconsin (State of) | | | 2,253 | | AA- |
Los Angeles Unified School District | | | 2,146 | | AA |
Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania | | | 2,106 | | BBB |
Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority—Miami International Airport | | | 2,063 | | A+ |
New York MTA Transportation Authority | | | 2,054 | | A |
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | | | 1,993 | | AA+ |
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax | | | 1,949 | | AA |
University of California Board of Regents | | | 1,886 | | AA- |
Long Island Power Authority | | | 1,857 | | A- |
Michigan (State of) | | | 1,813 | | A+ |
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) | | | 1,723 | | AA- |
Chicago Illinois Public Schools | | | 1,699 | | A+ |
California (State of) Department of Water Resources | | | 1,688 | | A- |
District Of Columbia | | | 1,641 | | A+ |
Illinois (State of) | | | 1,634 | | AA |
Illinois Toll Highway Authority | | | 1,556 | | AA |
Florida (State of) | | | 1,547 | | AA+ |
Kentucky (Commonwealth of) | | | 1,535 | | AA- |
Chicago-O'Hare Airport | | | 1,524 | | A |
New York State Thruway Highway Trust Fund | | | 1,498 | | AA- |
Miami-Dade County School Board | | | 1,447 | | A |
Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands | | | 1,426 | | AA |
Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority | | | 1,403 | | BBB |
Los Angeles Department of Water & Power—Electric Revenue Bonds | | | 1,397 | | AA- |
New York MTA Dedicated Tax | | | 1,387 | | AA- |
San Francisco Airports Commission | | | 1,370 | | A |
Massachusetts (State of) Water Resources | | | 1,346 | | AA |
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | | | 1,333 | | A- |
New Jersey Turnpike Authority | | | 1,321 | | A |
Metropolitan Washington DC Airports Authority | | | 1,283 | | AA- |
Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority—Sales Tax | | | 1,282 | | AA |
Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System | | | 1,255 | | BBB+ |
Broward County Florida School Board | | | 1,247 | | AA- |
Connecticut (State of) | | | 1,237 | | AA- |
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission | | | 1,230 | | A+ |
Clark County Nevada School District | | | 1,229 | | AA |
Skyway Concession Company Llc | | | 1,199 | | BBB |
Detroit Michigan Sewer | | | 1,170 | | A+ |
Austin Texas Combined Utility Systems | | | 1,149 | | AA- |
Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District | | | 1,149 | | A |
| | | | |
| Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures | | $ | 92,995 | | |
| | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
43
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LARGEST EXPOSURES BY SECTOR (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
| | | | | | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Rating(1) | | Credit Enhancement | |
---|
US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | $ | 1,463 | | AA- | | | 40.0 | % |
US AA Rated Previously Insured Cash Flow CLO | | | 1,399 | | AA | | | 30.9 | % |
International AAA Cash Flow CLO | | | 1,254 | | AAA | | | 34.5 | % |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 1,166 | | Super senior | | | 14.0 | % |
Private Credit Card Transaction | | | 1,000 | | AAA | | | 12.5 | % |
Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2 | | | 937 | | CCC | | | 7.9 | % |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 811 | | Super senior | | | 23.4 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 771 | | Super senior | | | 14.9 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-I | | | 757 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 754 | | Super senior | | | 26.3 | % |
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 738 | | A | | | 30.9 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 728 | | AAA | | | 25.0 | % |
FORTRESS CREDIT INVESTMENTS I LTD | | | 672 | | AAA | | | 36.5 | % |
MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2007-NCW | | | 665 | | BB | | | 34.6 | % |
280 FUNDING I | | | 660 | | AAA | | | 38.3 | % |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 653 | | Super senior | | | 18.3 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-F | | | 631 | | CCC | | | 0.5 | % |
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3 | | | 607 | | CCC | | | 11.5 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS4 | | | 603 | | BBB | | | 25.4 | % |
Private Structured Credit | | | 600 | | BBB+ | | | Private | |
ANCHORAGE CROSSOVER CREDIT FINANCE LTD | | | 600 | | AAA | | | 29.1 | % |
ARES ENHANCED CREDIT OPPORTUNITIES FUND LTD | | | 595 | | AAA | | | 41.0 | % |
Applebee's Enterprises LLC | | | 584 | | BBB- | | | 33.9 | % |
MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-2 | | | 583 | | BB | | | 11.1 | % |
Americredit 2007-B-F | | | 578 | | BBB | | | 17.8 | % |
SANDELMAN FINANCE 2006-1 LIMITED | | | 563 | | AA | | | 28.4 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 562 | | AAA | | | 24.3 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS6 | | | 558 | | BBB- | | | 26.9 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS5 | | | 549 | | A | | | 26.2 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 523 | | Super senior | | | 24.5 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 522 | | Super senior | | | 29.7 | % |
Deutsche Mortgage Securities Re-REMIC Trust Certificates, Series 2007-RS7 | | | 518 | | B | | | 27.7 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 514 | | Super senior | | | 14.4 | % |
Eastland CLO LTD | | | 511 | | Super senior | | | 29.6 | % |
Denali Capital CLO VII, Ltd. | | | 500 | | AAA | | | 20.6 | % |
LIICA Holdings, LLC | | | 495 | | AA | | | 28.5 | % |
US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 494 | | AA | | | 46.7 | % |
Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities | | | 484 | | A+ | | | 19.3 | % |
Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2007-3 | | | 477 | | B | | | 14.2 | % |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 463 | | Super senior | | | 12.9 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 461 | | Super senior | | | 25.0 | % |
Avenue CLO V, Ltd. | | | 460 | | AAA | | | 16.4 | % |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-D | | | 453 | | CCC | | | 0.0 | % |
Private Student Loan Transaction 2007 | | | 450 | | AAA | | | 11.0 | % |
KKR FINANCIAL CLO 2007-1 LTD | | | 443 | | AAA | | | 40.7 | % |
Countrywide Home Loans Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 | | | 441 | | CCC | | | 8.6 | % |
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 440 | | AAA | | | 29.5 | % |
LIBERTY CLO LTD | | | 437 | | AAA | | | 33.6 | % |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 433 | | Super senior | | | 11.9 | % |
Grayson CLO LTD | | | 432 | | Super senior | | | 21.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures | | $ | 31,992 | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
44
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LARGEST EXPOSURES BY SECTOR (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures
| | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Rating(1) |
---|
Quebec Provence | | $ | 2,423 | | A+ |
Sydney Airport Finance Company | | | 1,510 | | BBB |
Thames Water Utility Finance PLC | | | 1,366 | | BBB+ |
Prime European RMBS | | | 1,324 | | AAA |
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III | | | 909 | | Super senior |
Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc | | | 901 | | BBB |
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II | | | 863 | | Super senior |
Southern Gas Networks Plc | | | 832 | | BBB |
International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO | | | 821 | | AAA |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 756 | | Super senior |
Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited | | | 721 | | A- |
International Infrastructure Pool | | | 689 | | A- |
International Infrastructure Pool | | | 689 | | A- |
International Infrastructure Pool | | | 689 | | A- |
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) plc | | | 681 | | BBB- |
United Utilities Water PLC | | | 679 | | A |
Paragon Mortgages (No.13) Plc | | | 663 | | AAA |
Powercor Australia LLC | | | 622 | | A- |
Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern)—Swap Policy | | | 613 | | A- |
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repaymnet Agency | | | 610 | | AA- |
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | | 605 | | Super senior |
Campania Region—Healthcare receivable | | | 603 | | A- |
Taberna Europe CDO II Plc | | | 597 | | BBB- |
Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V. | | | 570 | | AAA |
Stichting Profile Securitisation I | | | 550 | | Super senior |
| | | | |
| Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures | | $ | 21,286 | | |
| | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
45
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LARGEST EXPOSURES BY SECTOR (Continued)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
| | | | | |
Servicer: | | Net Par Outstanding | |
---|
Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP | | $ | 9,287 | |
American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc. | | | 3,062 | |
GMAC Mortgage Corporation | | | 2,766 | |
Wells Fargo Bank Minnesota | | | 2,378 | |
Ocwen Loan Servicing LLC | | | 1,239 | |
One West | | | 1,124 | |
JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association | | | 1,040 | |
Specialized Loan Servicing LLC | | | 964 | |
Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc | | | 513 | |
First Tennessee Bank N.A. | | | 474 | |
| | | |
| Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures | | $ | 22,847 | |
| | | |
10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures
| | | | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Rating(1) | | State |
---|
CHRISTUS Health | | $ | 491 | | A+ | | TX |
Methodist Healthcare System | | | 469 | | A | | TN |
MultiCare Health System | | | 395 | | A+ | | WA |
Virtua Health | | | 370 | | A | | NJ |
Iowa Health System | | | 339 | | A+ | | IA |
Covenant Health | | | 338 | | A- | | TN |
Meridian Health System | | | 336 | | A- | | NJ |
Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group | | | 314 | | A- | | MD |
Sutter Health (fka Sutter/CHS Obligated Group) | | | 305 | | AA- | | CA |
Catholic Healthcare West | | | 297 | | A | | CA |
| | | | | | |
| Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures | | $ | 3,654 | | | | |
| | | | | | |
- (1)
- Assured's internal rating. Assured's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
46
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SURVEILLANCE CATEGORIES
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding by Below Investment Grade Category(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | September 30, 2009 | |
---|
Description: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Number of Credits in Category | |
---|
BIG: | | | | | | | | | | |
| Category 1 | | $ | 12,364 | | | 51.5 | % | | 305 | |
| Category 2 | | | 7,504 | | | 31.2 | % | | 199 | |
| Category 3 | | | 4,160 | | | 17.3 | % | | 123 | |
| | | | | | | |
| | BIG Total | | $ | 24,028 | | | 100.0 | % | | 627 | |
| | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Effective January 1, 2009 Assured adopted ASC 944-20. Assured's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: BIG transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 2: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 3: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly.
47
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSE ("LAE") RESERVES BY SEGMENT/TYPE
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of September 30, 2009 | |
---|
Financial guaranty insurance reserves by segment and type(1): | | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Mortgage Guaranty | | Total Financial Guaranty | | Other | | Total | |
---|
Case | | $ | 137.7 | | $ | 76.0 | | $ | 0.1 | | $ | 213.8 | | $ | 1.1 | | $ | 214.9 | |
Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio | | | — | | | — | | | 2.0 | | | 2.0 | | | 1.8 | | | 3.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total financial guaranty insurance loss and LAE reserves(2) | | $ | 137.7 | | $ | 76.0 | | $ | 2.1 | | $ | 215.8 | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 218.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Credit derivative reserves by segment and type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Case | | $ | 371.2 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 371.2 | | $ | — | | $ | 371.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total credit derivative reserves | | $ | 371.2 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 371.2 | | $ | — | | $ | 371.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total loss and LAE reserves | | $ | 508.9 | | $ | 76.0 | | $ | 2.1 | | $ | 587.0 | | $ | 2.9 | | $ | 589.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
48
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG transactions | | Wtd. Avg. Remaining Life | | 3Q-09 Incurred Losses(2)(4) | | YTD 3Q-09 Incurred Losses(2)(4) | | Loss and Loss Expense Adjustment Reserves(3)(4) | | Expected Losses | | Credit Derivative Losses | |
---|
Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance:(1) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Prime first lien | | $ | 638.7 | | | 4.2 | | $ | 2.2 | | $ | 1.9 | | $ | 2.2 | | $ | 2.2 | | $ | — | |
| Prime closed end seconds | | | 1,310.1 | | | 13.5 | | | (0.2 | ) | | 35.2 | | | 89.1 | | | 30.5 | | | 58.6 | |
| Prime HELOC | | | 4,795.4 | | | 4.6 | | | 58.8 | | | 99.2 | | | 14.9 | | | 14.9 | | | — | |
| Alt-A first lien | | | 4,075.8 | | | 9.9 | | | 77.4 | | | 100.4 | | | 121.0 | | | 20.5 | | | 100.5 | |
| Alt-A option ARMs | | | 3,499.7 | | | 3.7 | | | 86.9 | | | 114.9 | | | 133.0 | | | 19.7 | | | 113.4 | |
| Subprime first lien | | | 2,453.4 | | | 4.1 | | | 19.2 | | | 34.6 | | | 86.8 | | | 21.8 | | | 65.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total U.S. RMBS | | | 16,773.1 | | | 6.3 | | | 244.3 | | | 386.2 | | | 447.0 | | | 109.6 | | | 337.5 | |
| Other structured finance | | | 3,718.5 | | | 18.7 | | | 30.6 | | | 9.8 | | | 96.0 | | | 62.3 | | | 33.7 | |
| Public finance | | | 3,536.3 | | | 13.9 | | | 0.4 | | | 21.6 | | | 42.0 | | | 42.0 | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance | | $ | 24,027.9 | | | 9.3 | | $ | 275.3 | | $ | 417.6 | | $ | 585.0 | | $ | 213.9 | | $ | 371.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
- (1)
- Includes financial guaranty and insured derivatives in the insured portfolio.
- (2)
- Includes loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) and incurred losses on credit derivatives for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only.
- (3)
- Includes loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for financial guaranty and credit derivatives for the financial guaranty direct and reinsurance segments only.
- (4)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
49
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SUMMARY FINANCIAL AND STATISTICAL DATA
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| |
| | Year Ended December 31, | |
---|
| | YTD 2009 | | 2008 | | 2007 | | 2006 | |
---|
GAAP Summary Income Statement Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net earned premiums(1) | | $ | 557.1 | | $ | 261.4 | | $ | 159.3 | | $ | 144.8 | |
| Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives | | | 114.8 | | | 117.6 | | | 74.0 | | | 73.9 | |
| Net investment income | | | 171.6 | | | 162.6 | | | 128.1 | | | 111.5 | |
| Total expenses(1) | | | 575.3 | | | 440.9 | | | 161.4 | | | 150.4 | |
| (Loss) income before provision for income taxes | | | (209.3 | ) | | 112.3 | | | (463.0 | ) | | 190.0 | |
| Net income (loss) of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries | | | (119.5 | ) | | 68.9 | | | (303.3 | ) | | 159.7 | |
| Operating income(b) | | | 160.9 | | | 74.5 | | | 178.0 | | | 157.2 | |
| Net (loss) income of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries per diluted share(2) | | $ | (0.22 | ) | $ | 0.77 | | $ | (4.38 | ) | $ | 2.13 | |
| Operating income per diluted share(2) | | $ | 0.44 | | $ | 0.84 | | $ | 2.57 | | $ | 2.12 | |
| Expense ratio(f) | | | 23.9 | % | | 38.7 | % | | 55.8 | % | | 59.2 | % |
| | | | | | | | | |
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data (End of Period) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total investments and cash | | $ | 10,201.5 | | $ | 3,643.6 | | $ | 3,147.9 | | $ | 2,469.9 | |
| Total assets | | | 16,202.6 | | | 4,555.7 | | | 3,762.9 | | | 2,931.6 | |
| Unearned premium reserves(1) | | | 8,632.7 | | | 1,233.7 | | | 887.2 | | | 631.0 | |
| Loss and LAE reserves(1) | | | 218.7 | | | 196.8 | | | 125.6 | | | 115.9 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 915.2 | | | 347.2 | | | 347.1 | | | 347.1 | |
| Shareholders' equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries | | | 2,801.6 | | | 1,926.2 | | | 1,666.6 | | | 1,650.8 | |
| Book value attributable to Assured per share | | $ | 17.89 | | $ | 21.18 | | $ | 20.85 | | $ | 24.44 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | | $ | 967,440 | | $ | 348,816 | | $ | 302,413 | | $ | 180,174 | |
| Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | | | 1,108,750 | | | 354,858 | | | 307,657 | | | 181,503 | |
| Net par outstanding (end of period) | | | 646,630 | | | 222,722 | | | 200,279 | | | 132,296 | |
| Gross par outstanding (end of period) | | | 735,636 | | | 227,164 | | | 204,809 | | | 133,303 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | | $ | 950,565 | | $ | 348,816 | | $ | 302,413 | | $ | 180,174 | |
| Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | | | 1,087,393 | | | 354,858 | | | 307,657 | | | 181,503 | |
| Net par outstanding (end of period) | | | 631,742 | | | 222,722 | | | 200,279 | | | 132,296 | |
| Gross par outstanding (end of period) | | | 716,752 | | | 227,164 | | | 204,809 | | | 133,303 | |
| Consolidated qualified statutory capital | | | 4,464 | | | 2,310 | | | 2,079 | | | 1,658 | |
| Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves | | | 9,921 | | | 3,652 | | | 3,040 | | | 2,374 | |
| Ratios: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Par insured to statutory capital | | | 142:1 | | | 96:1 | | | 96:1 | | | 80:1 | |
| | Capital ratio(3) | | | 213:1 | | | 151:1 | | | 145:1 | | | 109:1 | |
| | Financial resources ratio(4) | | | 75:1 | | | 70:1 | | | 68:1 | | | 53:1 | |
| Gross debt service written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Public finance—U.S. | | $ | 71,643 | | $ | 68,265 | | $ | 66,190 | | $ | 13,260 | |
| Public finance—non-U.S. | | | 888 | | | 3,350 | | | 11,849 | | | 10,531 | |
| Structured finance—U.S. | | | 1,233 | | | 13,972 | | | 42,414 | | | 28,902 | |
| Structured finance—non-U.S. | | | — | | | 5,490 | | | 13,122 | | | 7,448 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Total gross debt service written | | $ | 73,764 | | $ | 91,078 | | $ | 133,575 | | $ | 60,141 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service written | | | 73,676 | | | 89,871 | | | 129,872 | | | 59,775 | |
| Net par written | | | 41,879 | | | 55,418 | | | 84,686 | | | 50,541 | |
| Gross par written | | | 41,934 | | | 56,140 | | | 88,117 | | | 50,892 | |
- (1)
- The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
- (2)
- Effective January 1, 2009, the Company adopted ASC 260-10, which clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents before vesting should be
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ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
SUMMARY FINANCIAL AND STATISTICAL DATA (Continued)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
considered participating securities and shall be included in the calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share. Upon retrospective adoption of ASC 260-10, Assured increased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.08 for 2007 and decreased previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share by $0.02 for 2006. There was no impact on previously reported diluted net income (loss) per share for 2008. Operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, for all periods is positive, therefore the per diluted share calculation ignores the effect of ASC 260-10 and includes the effect of dilutive securities.
- (3)
- The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
- (4)
- The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b), and expense ratio (f).
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Glossary
Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report.
Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.
Pooled corporate obligations are structured financings backed by a pool of debt obligations. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.
Residential mortgage-backed and home equity: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by either prime, Alt-A, or subprime first and second lien mortgages. Alt-A Option ARMs: includes transactions where 66% or more of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that have the potential to negatively amortize. Alt-A First Lien: includes all transactions, other than Alt-A Option ARM transactions, where more than 50% of the collateral is comprised of mortgage loans that were originated with less than full documentation.
Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.
Commercial mortgage-backed securities: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Commercial receivables: includes equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings and franchise loans.
Structured credit: includes whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Whole business securitizations are obligations backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.
Other structured finance: includes, manufactured housing, collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed securities and other securitizations not included in other asset classes.
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Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:
This Financial Supplement references financial measures that are not financial measures that are in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP financial measures") which management uses in order to assist analysts and investors in evaluating Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s financial results. These non-GAAP financial measures are defined below. In each case, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and GAAP financial measure is provided. This presentation is consistent with how Assured Guaranty's management, analysts and investors evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s financial results and is comparable to estimates published by analysts in their research reports on Assured Guaranty Ltd.
(a) PVP or present value of new business: PVP is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at the approximate taxable equivalent yield per year on the Company's general investment portfolio, while under ASC 944-20, "Financial Services—Insurance," these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under ASC 944-20 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not result from changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refundings, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors that management cannot control or predict. PVP should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.
Operating income: Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) adjusted for the following:
- 1)
- Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments;
- 2)
- Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the Company's net estimate of after-tax incurred economic credit losses for credit derivatives;
- 3)
- Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and
- 4)
- Elimination of goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationships.
Management believes that operating income is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income enhances the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized
53
gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because the these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP.
(c) Operating shareholders' equity ("Operating Shareholders' Equity"): Operating shareholders' equity is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) reported under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP), adjusted for the following fair value adjustments deemed to be unrelated to credit impairment. The specific adjustments are:
- 1)
- Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;
- 2)
- Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and
- 3)
- Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation.
Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating ROE enhances the understanding of the Company's shareholders' equity excluding unrealized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities, which are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. determined in accordance with GAAP.
Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"): Operating ROE represents operating income for the specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of the specified period. Management believes that Operating ROE is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of Operating ROE enhance the understanding of the Company's return on shareholders' equity by highlighting the underlying profitability relative to shareholders' equity excluding the effect of unrealized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolio, credit derivatives and committed capital securities for both net income and shareholders' equity. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because the these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as substitutes for ROE determined in accordance with GAAP.
(d) Adjusted Book Value: Subsequent to the adoption of ASC 944-20 on January 1, 2009 and the acquisition of Financial Security Assurance Holdings (FSAH) on July 1, 2009, adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated subsidiaries) less after-tax fair value adjustments deemed to be non-economic, plus after-tax unearned premium reserves net of prepaid reinsurance and deferred acquisition costs, plus the after-tax present value of estimated future
54
revenues on contracts written in credit derivative contract form. The specific adjustments to shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. are:
- 1)
- Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;
- 2)
- Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities;
- 3)
- Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation,
- 4)
- Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs') Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force, less future ceding commissions and premium taxes, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008;
- 6)
- Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums; and
- 7)
- Addition of the after-tax value of unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance.
Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, equity analysts and investors because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and shareholders' equity. The premiums described above will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. determined in accordance with GAAP.
(e) Net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force: Net present value of estimated installment premiums on credit derivatives in force is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as the present value of estimated future revenue from our credit derivative in-force books of business, net of reinsurance and discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009 and 6% for December 31, 2008. Management believes that net present value of estimated future revenue in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. Estimated future premiums may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that management cannot control or predict that result from market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.
(f) Expense Ratio: Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of ceding commissions expense (income), profit commission expense, acquisition costs and operating expenses by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives.
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![GRAPHIC](https://capedge.com/proxy/8-K/0001047469-09-010233/g181398.jpg)
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com
Contacts:
Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com
Ross Aron
Associate, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com
Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com
Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com
Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com
QuickLinks
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL SUPPLEMENT THIRD QUARTER ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2009TABLE OF CONTENTSASSURED GUARANTY LTD. SELECTED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS (dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. ADJUSTED BOOK VALUE (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. CONSOLIDATED CAPITAL AND CLAIMS PAYING RESOURCES (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. NEW BUSINESS PRODUCTION (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. SEGMENT CONSOLIDATION (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT SEGMENT (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY REINSURANCE SEGMENT (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. ESTIMATED NET EXPOSURE AMORTIZATION(1) (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. ESTIMATED NET UNEARNED PREMIUM AMORTIZATION AND ESTIMATED NET FUTURE INSTALLMENT PREMIUMS (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY PROFILE As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. POOLED CORPORATE OBLIGATIONS PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. CONSOLIDATED U.S. RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES ("RMBS") PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. RMBS PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT U.S. CMBS PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. CONSUMER RECEIVABLES PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. FINANCIAL GUARANTY DIRECT CREDIT DERIVATIVE EXPOSURE PROFILE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. UNREALIZED GAINS (LOSSES) ON CREDIT DERIVATIVESASSURED GUARANTY LTD. BELOW INVESTMENT GRADE EXPOSURES As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. LARGEST EXPOSURES BY SECTOR As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. SURVEILLANCE CATEGORIES (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSE ("LAE") RESERVES BY SEGMENT/TYPE (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. SUMMARY FINANCIAL AND STATISTICAL DATA (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)Glossary