Exhibit 99.2
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Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Preliminary Second Quarter 2008 Financial Supplement
June 30, 2008
Table of Contents | | Page |
Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | |
Financial Guaranty Profile | | 1-2 |
Pooled Corporate Profile | | 3 |
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile | | 4-7 |
Credit Derivative Exposures Profile | | 8 |
CDOs of ABS Profile | | 9 |
Non-Investment Grade Exposures | | 10 |
Closely Monitored Credits | | 11 |
Largest Exposures by Sector | | 12-15 |
Glossary | | |
This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (“Assured” or the “Company”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our 10-Q’s dated March 31, 2007, June 30, 2007, September 30, 2007 and March 31, 2008 and our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company’s forward-looking statements, including its calculations of adjusted book value, present value of insurance and credit derivative gross written premiums (“PVP”), net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, total estimated net future premium earnings, and statements regarding losses, pricing, ratings, capital adequacy and the growth of the direct business could be affected by many events. These events include a significant reduction in the amount of reinsurance ceded by one or more of our principal ceding companies, rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserves, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 2)
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Consolidated | |
Sector: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Avg. Rating (1) | | Net Par Outstanding | | Avg. Rating (1) | | Net Par Outstanding | | Avg. Rating (1) | |
U.S. public finance | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
General obligation | | $ | 5,954 | | A+ | | $ | 19,299 | | A+ | | $ | 25,253 | | A+ | |
Tax backed | | 7,488 | | A | | 16,939 | | A+ | | 24,427 | | A+ | |
Municipal utilities | | 3,967 | | A | | 11,419 | | A | | 15,386 | | A | |
Healthcare | | 4,870 | | A | | 8,339 | | A+ | | 13,209 | | A | |
Transportation | | 2,859 | | A | | 9,293 | | A | | 12,152 | | A | |
Higher education | | 1,793 | | A- | | 3,064 | | A+ | | 4,857 | | A+ | |
Investor-owned utilities | | 119 | | A | | 2,247 | | BBB+ | | 2,365 | | BBB+ | |
Housing | | — | | — | | 2,064 | | A+ | | 2,064 | | A+ | |
Other public finance | | 554 | | A | | 3,337 | | A+ | | 3,891 | | A+ | |
Total U.S. public finance | | $ | 27,602 | | A | | $ | 76,003 | | A+ | | $ | 103,605 | | A+ | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 34,147 | | AAA | | $ | 1,376 | | AA+ | | $ | 35,523 | | AAA | |
Prime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 11,548 | | AA- | | 1,210 | | BBB- | | 12,758 | | AA- | |
Consumer receivables | | 4,732 | | AA+ | | 2,654 | | A | | 7,386 | | AA | |
Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 6,690 | | AA+ | | 302 | | BBB+ | | 6,992 | | AA+ | |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | 5,709 | | AAA | | 224 | | A- | | 5,934 | | AAA | |
Commercial receivables | | 2,334 | | AA | | 3,142 | | A- | | 5,476 | | A+ | |
Structured credit | | 1,660 | | A- | | 423 | | BBB | | 2,083 | | BBB+ | |
Insurance securitizations | | 947 | | AA- | | 354 | | AA | | 1,301 | | AA- | |
Other structured finance | | 49 | | AA | | 453 | | A- | | 502 | | A | |
Total U.S. structured finance | | $ | 67,816 | | AA+ | | $ | 10,139 | | A | | $ | 77,955 | | AA | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure | | $ | 7,150 | | AA+ | | $ | 4,445 | | BBB+ | | $ | 11,596 | | AA- | |
Mortgage-backed and home equity | | 9,854 | | AAA | | 275 | | AA | | 10,130 | | AAA | |
Pooled corporate obligations | | 8,661 | | AAA | | 1,020 | | AAA | | 9,681 | | AAA | |
Regulated utilities | | 4,401 | | A | | 4,358 | | BBB+ | | 8,759 | | A- | |
Commercial receivables | | 1,001 | | A- | | 907 | | A- | | 1,908 | | A- | |
Public finance | | 839 | | AA | | 1,018 | | A | | 1,857 | | A+ | |
Future flow | | 943 | | BBB | | 373 | | A- | | 1,316 | | BBB+ | |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | 644 | | AAA | | 390 | | A- | | 1,034 | | AA | |
Insurance securitizations | | 923 | | BB | | 82 | | A | | 1,005 | | BB | |
Structured credit | | — | | — | | 600 | | A- | | 600 | | A- | |
Consumer receivables | | — | | — | | 99 | | AAA | | 99 | | AAA | |
Other international structured finance | | 741 | | AAA | | 117 | | BBB+ | | 858 | | AA+ | |
Total international | | $ | 35,158 | | AA | | $ | 13,684 | | A- | | $ | 48,841 | | AA- | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total net par outstanding | | $ | 130,576 | | AA | | $ | 99,826 | | A | | $ | 230,402 | | AA- | |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
1
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
| | As of June 30, 2008 | |
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Consolidated | |
Ratings (1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | 44,493 | | 34.1 | % | $ | 29 | | 0.0 | % | $ | 44,522 | | 19.3 | % |
AAA | | 34,986 | | 26.8 | % | 5,354 | | 5.4 | % | 40,340 | | 17.5 | % |
AA | | 14,167 | | 10.8 | % | 33,117 | | 33.2 | % | 47,285 | | 20.5 | % |
A | | 22,978 | | 17.6 | % | 40,192 | | 40.3 | % | 63,170 | | 27.4 | % |
BBB | | 11,256 | | 8.6 | % | 19,770 | | 19.8 | % | 31,026 | | 13.5 | % |
Below investment grade | | 2,697 | | 2.1 | % | 1,363 | | 1.4 | % | 4,060 | | 1.8 | % |
Total exposures | | $ | 130,576 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 99,826 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 230,402 | | 100.0 | % |
| | As of December 31, 2007 | |
| | Financial Guaranty Direct | | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | | Consolidated | |
Ratings (1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | 36,359 | | 35.3 | % | $ | — | | — | | $ | 36,359 | | 18.2 | % |
AAA | | 41,716 | | 40.5 | % | 5,617 | | 5.8 | % | 47,333 | | 23.6 | % |
AA | | 5,576 | | 5.4 | % | 32,858 | | 33.8 | % | 38,434 | | 19.2 | % |
A | | 9,873 | | 9.6 | % | 39,304 | | 40.4 | % | 49,177 | | 24.6 | % |
BBB | | 7,970 | | 7.7 | % | 18,892 | | 19.4 | % | 26,862 | | 13.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | 1,526 | | 1.5 | % | 588 | | 0.6 | % | 2,114 | | 1.1 | % |
Total exposures | | $ | 103,021 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 97,258 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 200,279 | | 100.0 | % |
| | As of June 30, 2008 | |
| | U.S. Public Finance | | U.S. Structured Finance | | International | | Consolidated | |
Ratings (1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | — | | — | | $ | 28,997 | | 37.2 | % | $ | 15,524 | | 31.8 | % | $ | 44,522 | | 19.3 | % |
AAA | | 1,618 | | 1.6 | % | 26,947 | | 34.6 | % | 11,774 | | 24.1 | % | 40,340 | | 17.5 | % |
AA | | 37,091 | | 35.8 | % | 6,912 | | 8.9 | % | 3,282 | | 6.7 | % | 47,285 | | 20.5 | % |
A | | 50,436 | | 48.7 | % | 6,149 | | 7.9 | % | 6,584 | | 13.5 | % | 63,170 | | 27.4 | % |
BBB | | 13,679 | | 13.2 | % | 6,681 | | 8.6 | % | 10,666 | | 21.8 | % | 31,026 | | 13.5 | % |
Below investment grade | | 780 | | 0.8 | % | 2,268 | | 2.9 | % | 1,011 | | 2.1 | % | 4,060 | | 1.8 | % |
Total exposures | | $ | 103,605 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 77,955 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 48,841 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 230,402 | | 100.0 | % |
| | As of December 31, 2007 | |
| | U.S. Public Finance | | U.S. Structured Finance | | International | | Consolidated | |
Ratings (1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | — | | — | | $ | 22,098 | | 29.9 | % | $ | 14,261 | | 32.0 | % | $ | 36,359 | | 18.2 | % |
AAA | | 1,777 | | 2.2 | % | 34,370 | | 46.6 | % | 11,185 | | 25.1 | % | 47,333 | | 23.6 | % |
AA | | 31,750 | | 38.8 | % | 4,676 | | 6.3 | % | 2,008 | | 4.5 | % | 38,434 | | 19.2 | % |
A | | 37,604 | | 45.9 | % | 5,302 | | 7.2 | % | 6,271 | | 14.1 | % | 49,177 | | 24.6 | % |
BBB | | 10,608 | | 13.0 | % | 5,479 | | 7.4 | % | 10,776 | | 24.2 | % | 26,862 | | 13.4 | % |
Below investment grade | | 174 | | 0.2 | % | 1,894 | | 2.6 | % | 45 | | 0.1 | % | 2,114 | | 1.1 | % |
Total exposures | | $ | 81,914 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 73,820 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 44,546 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 200,279 | | 100.0 | % |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
2
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Pooled Corporate Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations as of June 30, 2008
Ratings (1): | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement (2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement (2) | |
AAA | | $ | 38,012 | | 88.8 | % | 37.7 | % | 36.2 | % |
AA | | 3,907 | | 9.1 | % | 34.4 | % | 32.2 | % |
A | | 635 | | 1.5 | % | 46.5 | % | 41.1 | % |
BBB | | 253 | | 0.6 | % | 48.2 | % | 39.7 | % |
Below investment grade | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
Total exposures | | $ | 42,808 | | 100.0 | % | 37.6 | % | 36.0 | % |
Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008
Year insured: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement (2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement (2) | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 2,069 | | 4.8 | % | 33.9 | % | 33.9 | % |
2005 | | 7,499 | | 17.5 | % | 36.9 | % | 34.7 | % |
2006 | | 13,213 | | 30.9 | % | 37.7 | % | 35.0 | % |
2007 | | 16,765 | | 39.2 | % | 38.3 | % | 37.2 | % |
2008 YTD | | 3,262 | | 7.6 | % | 37.5 | % | 37.6 | % |
| | $ | 42,808 | | 100.0 | % | 37.6 | % | 36.0 | % |
Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2008
Asset class: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Average Rating (1) | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement (2) | | Avg. Current Enhancement (2) | |
High yield corporates | | $ | 27,314 | | 63.8 | % | AAA | | 35.4 | % | 33.6 | % |
Trust preferred - banks and insurance | | 3,907 | | 9.1 | % | AAA | | 47.2 | % | 45.9 | % |
Trust preferred - US mortgage and REITs | | 2,571 | | 6.0 | % | AA | | 50.0 | % | 45.7 | % |
Trust preferred - European mortgage and REITs | | 1,309 | | 3.1 | % | AAA | | 36.6 | % | 36.8 | % |
Market value CDOs of corporates | | 4,245 | | 9.9 | % | AAA | | 38.6 | % | 36.8 | % |
Investment grade corporates | | 2,337 | | 5.5 | % | AAA | | 28.7 | % | 29.6 | % |
Commercial real estate | | 755 | | 1.8 | % | AAA | | 49.0 | % | 48.9 | % |
CDO of CDOs (corporate) | | 370 | | 0.9 | % | AAA | | 34.6 | % | 35.3 | % |
| | $ | 42,808 | | 100.0 | % | AAA | | 37.6 | % | 36.0 | % |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
2.”Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured’s exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.
3
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings(1) of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Category as of June 30, 2008
| | June 30, 2008 | |
| | US | | International | | Total Net Par | | | |
Ratings (1): | | Prime | | Subprime | | Prime | | Subprime | | Outstanding | | % of Total | |
Super senior | | $ | 5,554 | | $ | 3,370 | | $ | 2,826 | | $ | — | | $ | 11,750 | | 39.3 | % |
AAA | | 2,499 | | 2,372 | | 7,009 | | 15 | | 11,895 | | 39.8 | % |
AA | | 366 | | 581 | | 154 | | 2 | | 1,103 | | 3.7 | % |
A | | 1,338 | | 203 | | 110 | | — | | 1,651 | | 5.5 | % |
BBB | | 978 | | 276 | | 14 | | — | | 1,267 | | 4.2 | % |
Below investment grade | | 2,023 | | 190 | | — | | — | | 2,213 | | 7.4 | % |
Total exposures | | $ | 12,758 | | $ | 6,992 | | $ | 10,113 | | $ | 17 | | $ | 29,879 | | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Category and by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008
| | US | | International | | Total Net Par | | | |
Year insured: | | Prime | | Subprime | | Prime | | Subprime | | Outstanding | | % of Total | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 616 | | $ | 648 | | $ | 463 | | $ | 14 | | 1,741 | | 5.8 | % |
2005 | | 1,543 | | 101 | | 1,245 | | 0 | | 2,889 | | 9.7 | % |
2006 | | 699 | | 4,558 | | 2,383 | | — | | 7,639 | | 25.6 | % |
2007 | | 7,129 | | 1,649 | | 2,830 | | 2 | | 11,610 | | 38.9 | % |
2008 YTD | | 2,771 | | 37 | | 3,192 | | — | | 6,000 | | 20.1 | % |
| | $ | 12,758 | | $ | 6,992 | | $ | 10,113 | | $ | 17 | | $ | 29,879 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Distribution of U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008
| | Direct | | | | Reinsurance | | | | Total | | | |
| | Net Par | | | | Net Par | | | | Net Par | | | |
Ratings (1): | | Outstanding | | % | | Outstanding | | % | | Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | 8,915 | | 48.9 | % | $ | 9 | | 0.6 | % | $ | 8,924 | | 45.2 | % |
AAA | | 4,508 | | 24.7 | % | 363 | | 24.0 | % | 4,871 | | 24.7 | % |
AA | | 844 | | 4.6 | % | 103 | | 6.8 | % | 947 | | 4.8 | % |
A | | 1,371 | | 7.5 | % | 170 | | 11.3 | % | 1,541 | | 7.8 | % |
BBB | | 915 | | 5.0 | % | 338 | | 22.4 | % | 1,254 | | 6.3 | % |
Below investment grade | | 1,685 | | 9.2 | % | 528 | | 34.9 | % | 2,213 | | 11.2 | % |
| | $ | 18,238 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 1,512 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 19,750 | | 100.0 | % |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
4
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (2 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008
Ratings (1): | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
Super senior | | $ | 696 | | $ | 48 | | $ | — | | $ | 4,809 | | $ | 3,370 | | $ | 8,924 | |
AAA | | 494 | | 67 | | 17 | | 1,922 | | 2,372 | | 4,871 | |
AA | | 92 | | 258 | | 14 | | 2 | | 581 | | 947 | |
A | | 145 | | — | | 15 | | 1,178 | | 203 | | 1,541 | |
BBB | | 738 | | 6 | | 210 | | 23 | | 276 | | 1,254 | |
Below investment grade | | 0 | | 105 | | 1,818 | | 99 | | 190 | | 2,213 | |
Total exposures | | $ | 2,164 | | $ | 485 | | $ | 2,075 | | $ | 8,034 | | $ | 6,992 | | $ | 19,750 | |
Distribution of Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Issued as of June 30, 2008
Year issued: | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 303 | | $ | — | | $ | 214 | | $ | 158 | | $ | 638 | | $ | 1,313 | |
2005 | | 226 | | — | | 837 | | 557 | | 3,747 | | 5,367 | |
2006 | | 498 | | 6 | | 204 | | 634 | | 1,921 | | 3,263 | |
2007 | | 1,137 | | 478 | | 820 | | 6,685 | | 667 | | 9,788 | |
2008 YTD | | — | | — | | — | | — | | 19 | | 19 | |
| | $ | 2,164 | | $ | 485 | | $ | 2,075 | | $ | 8,034 | | $ | 6,992 | | $ | 19,750 | |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
5
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (3 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Net Par Outstanding Underwritten Since January 1, 2004 by Rating(1) and Year of Issue as of June 30, 2008
Year | | Super | | AAA | | AA | | A | | BBB | | BIG | | | |
Issued | | Senior | | Rated | | Rated | | Rated | | Rated | | Rated | | Total | |
2004 and prior | | $ | 17 | | $ | 436 | | $ | 6 | | $ | — | | $ | 178 | | $ | 54 | | $ | 691 | |
2005 | | 2,082 | | 2,213 | | 180 | | — | | — | | 706 | | 5,181 | |
2006 | | 1,387 | | 404 | | 400 | | 150 | | 444 | | 118 | | 2,903 | |
2007 | | 5,429 | | 1,455 | | 257 | | 1,221 | | 293 | | 807 | | 9,462 | |
2008 YTD | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
| | $ | 8,915 | | $ | 4,508 | | $ | 844 | | $ | 1,371 | | $ | 915 | | $ | 1,685 | | $ | 18,238 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
% of total | | 48.9 | % | 24.7 | % | 4.6 | % | 7.5 | % | 5.0 | % | 9.2 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008
Ratings (1): | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
Super senior | | $ | 696 | | $ | 48 | | $ | — | | $ | 4,800 | | $ | 3,370 | | $ | 8,915 | |
AAA | | 338 | | 64 | | — | | 1,873 | | 2,233 | | 4,508 | |
AA | | — | | 257 | | 6 | | — | | 580 | | 844 | |
A | | — | | — | | — | | 1,177 | | 194 | | 1,371 | |
BBB | | 662 | | — | | 19 | | — | | 234 | | 915 | |
Below investment grade | | — | | 97 | | 1,416 | | 93 | | 79 | | 1,685 | |
Total exposures | | $ | 1,697 | | $ | 466 | | $ | 1,441 | | $ | 7,944 | | $ | 6,690 | | $ | 18,238 | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Rating(1) as of June 30, 2008
Ratings (1): | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | |
Super senior | | 41.0 | % | 10.3 | % | — | | 60.4 | % | 50.4 | % |
AAA | | 19.9 | % | 13.6 | % | — | | 23.6 | % | 33.4 | % |
AA | | — | | 55.2 | % | 0.4 | % | — | | 8.7 | % |
A | | — | | — | | — | | 14.8 | % | 2.9 | % |
BBB | | 39.0 | % | — | | 1.3 | % | — | | 3.5 | % |
Below investment grade | | — | | 20.8 | % | 98.2 | % | 1.2 | % | 1.2 | % |
Total exposures | | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Insured as of June 30, 2008
Year insured: | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 25 | | $ | 133 | | $ | 516 | | $ | 675 | |
2005 | | 194 | | — | | 706 | | 439 | | 88 | | 1,428 | |
2006 | | 369 | | — | | — | | 54 | | 4,535 | | 4,958 | |
2007 | | 1,134 | | 466 | | 710 | | 4,547 | | 1,550 | | 8,406 | |
2008 YTD | | — | | — | | — | | 2,771 | | — | | 2,771 | |
| | $ | 1,697 | | $ | 466 | | $ | 1,441 | | $ | 7,944 | | $ | 6,690 | | $ | 18,238 | |
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities by Year Issued as of June 30, 2008
Year issued: | | Prime First Lien | | Prime Closed End Seconds | | Prime HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding | |
2004 and prior | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 25 | | $ | 150 | | $ | 516 | | $ | 691 | |
2005 | | 194 | | — | | 706 | | 557 | | 3,723 | | 5,181 | |
2006 | | 369 | | — | | — | | 634 | | 1,900 | | 2,903 | |
2007 | | 1,134 | | 466 | | 710 | | 6,603 | | 550 | | 9,462 | |
2008 YTD | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
| | $ | 1,697 | | $ | 466 | | $ | 1,441 | | $ | 7,944 | | $ | 6,690 | | $ | 18,238 | |
1. Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
6
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile (4 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquincies as of June 30, 2008 (1)
U.S. Prime First Lien
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | 194 | | 77.8 | % | 3.3 | % | 0.03 | % | 1.4 | % |
2006 | | 369 | | 73.2 | % | 4.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 2.9 | % |
2007 | | 1,134 | | 91.2 | % | 9.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 1.7 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 1,697 | | 85.8 | % | 7.5 | % | 0.004 | % | 1.9 | % |
U.S. Prime CES
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
2006 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
2007 | | 466 | | 82.9 | % | 32.9 | % | 10.6 | % | 12.8 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 466 | | 82.9 | % | 32.9 | % | 10.6 | % | 12.8 | % |
U.S. Prime HELOC
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | 706 | | 39.1 | % | 0.6 | % | 6.3 | % | 12.9 | % |
2006 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
2007 | | 710 | | 79.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 6.2 | % | 8.2 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 1,416 | | 59.4 | % | 0.3 | % | 6.2 | % | 10.5 | % |
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | 557 | | 57.6 | % | 13.4 | % | 0.3 | % | 8.2 | % |
2006 | | 634 | | 75.1 | % | 31.6 | % | 0.4 | % | 18.6 | % |
2007 | | 6,603 | | 83.5 | % | 20.5 | % | 0.2 | % | 11.1 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 7,794 | | 81.0 | % | 20.9 | % | 0.2 | % | 11.5 | % |
U.S. Subprime First Lien
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | 3,723 | | 39.3 | % | 59.9 | % | 3.2 | % | 40.9 | % |
2006 | | 1,900 | | 57.4 | % | 41.3 | % | 3.8 | % | 39.0 | % |
2007 | | 550 | | 63.1 | % | 41.5 | % | 4.0 | % | 40.0 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 6,174 | | 47.0 | % | 52.5 | % | 3.4 | % | 40.2 | % |
U.S. CMBS
Year issued: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor(2) | | Subordination (3) | | Cumulative Losses (4) | | 60+ Day Delinquencies (5) | |
2005 | | $ | 3,429 | | 97.2 | % | 28.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % |
2006 | | 1,418 | | 98.6 | % | 30.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % |
2007 | | 554 | | 92.9 | % | 19.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.9 | % |
2008 | | — | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | |
| | $ | 5,401 | | 97.2 | % | 28.3 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % |
1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2008. Pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency data is based on June 2008 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.
2. Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.
3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and also includes all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.
7
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Credit Derivative Exposure Profile
(dollars in millions)
Financial Guaranty Direct Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating
| | June 30, 2008 | | December 31, 2007 | |
| | Net Par | | | | Net Par | | | |
Ratings (1): | | Outstanding | | % | | Outstanding | | % | |
Super senior | | $ | 40,880 | | 53.0 | % | $ | 34,328 | | 49.1 | % |
AAA | | 29,144 | | 37.8 | % | 33,318 | | 47.6 | % |
AA | | 4,567 | | 5.9 | % | 1,796 | | 2.6 | % |
A | | 1,732 | | 2.2 | % | 101 | | 0.1 | % |
BBB | | 765 | | 1.0 | % | 368 | | 0.5 | % |
Below investment grade | | 100 | | 0.1 | % | 26 | | — | |
Total exposures | | $ | 77,186 | | 100.0 | % | $ | 69,936 | | 100.0 | % |
Financial Guaranty Direct Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating
| | June 30, 2008 | | December 31, 2007 | |
Sector: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Average Rating (1) | | Net Par Outstanding | | Average Rating (1) | |
U.S. public finance | | | | | | | | | |
General obligation | | $ | 429 | | AAA | | $ | 431 | | AAA | |
Tax backed | | 69 | | BBB+ | | 70 | | AAA | |
Investor-owned utilities | | 39 | | AAA | | 39 | | AAA | |
Municipal utilities | | 26 | | AAA | | 26 | | AAA | |
Total U.S. public finance | | $ | 562 | | AA+ | | $ | 565 | | AAA | |
| | | | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance | | | | | | | | | |
Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 29,396 | | AAA | | $ | 28,229 | | AAA | |
Prime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 7,412 | | AAA | | 4,901 | | AAA | |
Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 5,759 | | AA+ | | 5,843 | | AAA | |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | 5,381 | | AAA | | 5,391 | | AAA | |
Commercial receivables | | 1,625 | | AA+ | | 1,584 | | AAA | |
Consumer receivables | | 645 | | AAA | | 695 | | AA+ | |
Structured credit | | 352 | | AA+ | | 346 | | AAA | |
Insurance securitizations | | 100 | | AA | | 108 | | AAA | |
Other structured finance | | 49 | | AA | | 643 | | AAA | |
Total U.S. structured finance | | $ | 50,719 | | AAA | | $ | 47,740 | | AAA | |
| | | | | | | | | |
International | | | | | | | | | |
Mortgage-backed and home equity | | $ | 9,086 | | AAA | | $ | 6,032 | | AAA | |
Pooled corporate obligations | | 8,056 | | AAA | | 6,984 | | AAA | |
Infrastructure and pooled Infrastructure | | 6,390 | | AAA | | 6,404 | | AAA | |
Regulated utilities | | 786 | | AA- | | 462 | | AAA | |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | | 644 | | AAA | | 832 | | AAA | |
Future flow | | 153 | | A- | | 173 | | A+ | |
Insurance securitizations | | 41 | | BB | | 41 | | BBB- | |
Public finance | | 8 | | AAA | | 9 | | AAA | |
Commercial receivables | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
Consumer receivables | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
Structured credit | | — | | — | | — | | — | |
Other international structured finance | | 741 | | AAA | | 695 | | AAA | |
Total international | | $ | 25,905 | | AAA | | $ | 21,631 | | AAA | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Total exposures | | $ | 77,186 | | AAA | | $ | 69,936 | | AAA | |
(1) Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
8
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
CDOs of ABS Profile
(dollars in millions)
Financial Guaranty Direct Collateralized Debt Obligations of Asset-Backed Securities (CDOs of ABS)(1) Net Par Outstanding by Type of CDO, by Year Insured and by Collateral:
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Type of Collateral as a Percent of Total Pool | | Ratings as of June 30, 2008 | | | | | | | |
Year Insured | | Legal Final Maturity(2) | | Net Par Outstanding | | ABS | | RMBS (Includes Subprime) | | Comm. MBS (CMBS)(3) | | CDOs of Investment Grade Corporate | | CDOs of ABS | | Total Collateral Pool | | U.S. Subprime RMBS | | S&P | | Moody’s | | Original AAA Sub- ordination | | Original Sub- ordination Below Assured | | Current Sub- ordination Below Assured | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDOs of Mezzanine ABS(3): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2001 | | 2017 | | $ | 113.6 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 25.1 | % | 25.1 | % | 30.3 | % |
2001 | | 2016 | | 59.8 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 28.1 | % | 28.1 | % | 40.1 | % |
2002 | | 2017 | | 124.9 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 24.6 | % | 24.6 | % | 34.9 | % |
2002 | | 2017 | | 107.1 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 22.1 | % | 22.1 | % | 28.6 | % |
2002 | | 2017 | | 88.7 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 35.0 | % | 35.0 | % | 48.0 | % |
2002 | | 2017 | | 71.2 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 24.0 | % | 24.0 | % | 32.2 | % |
2003 | | 2018 | | 124.1 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 20.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 25.1 | % |
2003 | | 2038 | | 75.7 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 23.0 | % | 38.0 | % | 47.6 | % |
2003 | | 2018 | | 49.9 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 63.0 | % | 63.0 | % | 66.3 | % |
| | Subtotal: | | $ | 815.0 | | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 27.2 | % | 28.6 | % | 36.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDOs of High Grade ABS(4): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
No CDO of ABS business written | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS(5): | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2003 | | 2010 | | 741.1 | | 35 | % | 34 | % | 26 | % | 5 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 0.0 | % | 12.5 | % | 12.5 | % |
| | Subtotal: | | $ | 741.1 | | 35 | % | 34 | % | 26 | % | 5 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 0.0 | % | 12.5 | % | 12.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total: | | $ | 1,556.0 | | 17 | % | 16 | % | 65 | % | 2 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | AAA | | Aaa | | 14.2 | % | 20.9 | % | 25.1 | % |
(1) A “CDO of ABS” is a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) transaction whose collateral pool consists primarily of asset-backed securities (ABS), including mortgage-backed securities (MBS). ABS transactions securities generally represent an ownership interest in a trust that contains collateral supporting the notes. Those interests are divided into several tranches that can have varying levels of subordination, credit protection triggers and credit ratings.
(2) “Legal Final Maturity” represents the final date for payment specified in the transaction documents and does not take into account prepayments that shorten the expected maturity and weighted average life.
(3) “CDOs of Mezzanine ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised primarily of mezzanine tranches rated BBB or lower. The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Mezzanine ABS is comprised of mezzanine tranches of CMBS transactions and senior unsecured debt issued by commercial property REITs. The transactions to which Assured has exposure are static pools rather than actively managed transactions, and the collateral in these static pools was originated primarily in the period from 1997-2003. The collateral underlying Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Mezzanine ABS had weighted average ratings, based on rating information as of June 30, 2008, as follows: 18% AAA, 7% AA, 12% A, 45% BBB and 18% below investment grade (BIG).
(4) “CDOs of High Grade ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of mezzanine tranches rated single-A or higher.
(5) “CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS” is a market term that refers to transactions where the underlying collateral at issuance is comprised of the senior-most AAA rated securities. Assured’s exposure to CDOs of Pooled AAA ABS was rated, based on rating information as of June 30, 2008: 100% AAA.
9
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Non-Investment Grade Exposures
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
| | Weighted Average | | Net Par | | Average | |
Non-Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type: | | Remaining Life | | Outstanding | | Rating (1) | |
| | | | | | | |
U.S. public finance | | | | | | | |
Municipal utilities | | 27.0 | | $ | 571 | | CCC | |
Healthcare | | 16.2 | | 112 | | BB- | |
Tax backed | | 16.0 | | 43 | | BB | |
General obligation | | 9.1 | | 25 | | BB | |
Transportation | | 15.3 | | 24 | | C | |
Housing | | 13.9 | | 4 | | B | |
Higher education | | 12.4 | | 1 | | BB+ | |
Investor-owned utilities | | 9.0 | | 0 | | BB | |
Total U.S. public finance | | 23.8 | | $ | 780 | | CCC+ | |
| | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance | | | | | | | |
Prime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 7.0 | | $ | 2,023 | | B | |
Subprime mortgage-backed and home equity | | 10.1 | | 190 | | B | |
Commercial receivables | | 12.5 | | 20 | | B | |
Pooled corporate obligations | | 2.6 | | 18 | | B- | |
Other structured finance | | 16.5 | | 17 | | B | |
Total U.S. structured finance | | 7.3 | | $ | 2,268 | | B | |
| | | | | | | |
International | | | | | | | |
Insurance securitizations | | 12.3 | | $ | 923 | | BB | |
Infrastructure and pooled infrastructure | | 10.1 | | 88 | | B | |
Total international | | 12.1 | | $ | 1,011 | | BB | |
| | | | | | | |
Total non-investment grade exposures | | 11.7 | | 4,060 | | B | |
Top Ten Non-Investment Grade Exposures as of June 30, 2008
Name or Description | | Segment | | Weighted Average Remaining Life | | Net Par Outstanding | | Average Rating (1) | |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D | | Direct | | 6.4 | | $ | 679 | | BB | |
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class 1 & 2 | | Direct | | 5.4 | | 608 | | B | |
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | | Reinsurance | | 27.3 | | 560 | | CCC | |
Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes | | Direct | | 13.8 | | 500 | | BB | |
Orkney Re II, PLC | | Direct | | 10.6 | | 423 | | BB | |
SACO I Trust 2005-GP1 | | Direct | | 2.8 | | 98 | | CCC | |
American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-3 | | Direct | | 2.8 | | 97 | | CCC | |
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-5AR | | Direct | | 5.1 | | 93 | | BB | |
Trover Clinic Foundation | | Direct | | 18.9 | | 77 | | BB | |
Domestic Residential Mortgage-backed HELOC transaction | | Reinsurance | | 6.0 | | 73 | | CCC | |
Total | | | | 11.6 | | $ | 3,209 | | B+ | |
(1). Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
10
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Closely Monitored Credits (“CMC”)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding by Credit Monitoring Category (1)
| | June 30, 2008 | |
Description: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Number of Credits in Category | |
Fundamentally sound risk | | $ | 226,254 | | 98.2 | % | | |
| | | | | | | |
Closely monitored credits: | | | | | | | |
Category 1 | | 1,460 | | 0.6 | % | 32 | |
Category 2 | | 1,972 | | 0.9 | % | 18 | |
Category 3 | | 661 | | 0.3 | % | 41 | |
Category 4 | | 20 | | — | | 16 | |
CMC Total | | 4,114 | | 1.8 | % | 107 | |
| | | | | | | |
Other below investment grade risk | | 34 | | — | | 52 | |
Total | | $ | 230,402 | | 100.0 | % | | |
| | December 31, 2007 | |
Description: | | Net Par Outstanding | | % | | Number of Credits in Category | |
Fundamentally sound risk | | $ | 198,133 | | 98.9 | % | | |
| | | | | | | |
Closely monitored credits: | | | | | | | |
Category 1 | | 1,288 | | 0.6 | % | 36 | |
Category 2 | | 743 | | 0.4 | % | 12 | |
Category 3 | | 71 | | — | | 16 | |
Category 4 | | 24 | | — | | 16 | |
CMC Total | | 2,126 | | 1.1 | % | 80 | |
| | | | | | | |
Other below investment grade risk | | 20 | | — | | 46 | |
Total | | $ | 200,279 | | 100.0 | % | | |
(1). Assured’s surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company’s portfolio of credits and maintains a list of closely monitored credits. The closely monitored credits are divided into four categories: Category 1 (low priority; fundamentally sound, greater than normal risk); Category 2 (medium priority; weakening credit profile, may result in loss); Category 3 (high priority; claim/default probable, case reserve established); Category 4 (claim paid, case reserve established for future payments). The closely monitored credits include all below investment grade (BIG) exposures where there is a material amount of exposure (generally greater than $10.0 million) or a material risk of the Company incurring a loss greater than $0.5 million. The closely monitored credits also include investment grade (IG) risks where credit quality is deteriorating and where, in the view of the Company, there is significant potential that the risk quality will fall below investment grade.
11
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 1 of 4)
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures
| | Net Par | | | |
Credit Name: | | Outstanding | | Rating(1) | |
State of California General Obligation & Leases | | $ | 1,568 | | A+ | |
State of New Jersey General Obligation & Leases | | 1,183 | | AA- | |
New York City General Obligation & Leases | | 1,099 | | A+ | |
City of Chicago General Obligation & Leases | | 996 | | AA- | |
Los Angeles Unified School District | | 906 | | AA | |
State of New York General Obligation & Leases | | 857 | | A+ | |
San Francisco Airport Commission | | 847 | | A | |
State of Washington General Obligation | | 836 | | AA | |
Denver International Airport System | | 795 | | BBB- | |
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico General Obligation & Leases | | 794 | | BBB- | |
Commonwealth of Massachusetts General Obligation & Bay Transportation | | 793 | | A | |
Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority | | 769 | | A | |
Florida State General Obligation | | 680 | | AA | |
Port Authority of New York & New Jersey | | 651 | | AA- | |
Metropolitan Transportation Authority (New York) - Transportation Revenue | | 651 | | A | |
District of Columbia General Obligation | | 635 | | A | |
Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority | | 628 | | BBB | |
Michigan State General Obligation | | 626 | | AA+ | |
Hawaii State General Obligation | | 621 | | AA- | |
Long Island Power Authority | | 609 | | A- | |
Pennsylvania State Turnpike Commission | | 608 | | A+ | |
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | | 586 | | AA | |
Jefferson County, Alabama Sewer Enterprise | | 560 | | CCC | |
Miami-Dade County School Board | | 548 | | A | |
Chicago Public Building Commission - Chicago Board of Education | | 533 | | A | |
Total top 25 U.S. public finance exposures | | $ | 19,380 | | | |
10 Largest Healthcare Exposures
| | Net Par | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Outstanding | | Rating(1) | | State | |
Iowa Health System | | $ | 418 | | AA- | | IA | |
Methodist Health System | | 305 | | A- | | TN | |
Essentia Health | | 262 | | A- | | MN | |
Integris Health, Inc. | | 258 | | AA | | OK | |
Catholic Healthcare West | | 235 | | A | | CA | |
Children’s Memorial Hospital | | 215 | | A- | | IL | |
Meridian Health System Obligated Group | | 213 | | A- | | NJ | |
Hackensack Medical Center | | 207 | | A- | | NJ | |
Lifebridge Health | | 207 | | A | | MD | |
Centracare Health System | | 196 | | A | | MN | |
Total top 10 healthcare exposures | | $ | 2,514 | | | | | |
(1). Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
12
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 2 of 4)
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
| | Net Par | | | |
Credit Name: | | Outstanding | | Rating(1) | |
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | | $ | 1,071 | | AAA | |
Discover Card Master Trust I Series A | | 1,000 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private - CDO | | 998 | | AAA | |
Field Point III & IV, Limited | | 810 | | AA- | |
Prospect Funding I LLC | | 775 | | AAA | |
Goldentree Credit Opportunities Financing I | | 764 | | AAA | |
Ares Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund | | 750 | | AAA | |
Private - CDO | | 716 | | AAA | |
Chrysler Retail Auto Loan Receivables Class-A | | 704 | | A | |
MortgageIt Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | | 696 | | AAA / Super senior | |
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D | | 679 | | BB | |
Field Point I & II, Limited | | 672 | | AA- | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 668 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private - CDO | | 660 | | AAA | |
Applebee’s Enterprises LLC | | 645 | | BBB- | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 623 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited | | 623 | | AA | |
Citibank Omni Master Trust | | 614 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J Class 1 & 2 | | 608 | | B | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 607 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 604 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private Structured Credit | | 600 | | BBB+ | |
Private - CDO | | 551 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Chrysler Retail Auto Loan Receivables Class A | | 550 | | AAA | |
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3 | | 535 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Liberty CLO Ltd | | 530 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Aaa Trust 2007-2 | | 506 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private RMBS Transaction | | 497 | | A- | |
LIICA Holdings, LLC | | 495 | | AA | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 486 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Private - CDO | | 486 | | AAA | |
Impac CMB Trust Series 2007-A | | 451 | | A+ | |
SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007 | | 450 | | AAA | |
Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate | | 438 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate | | 438 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate | | 438 | | AAA / Super senior | |
McDonnell Loan Opportunity Fund II | | 400 | | AAA | |
Private RMBS Re-Remic | | 400 | | AAA / Super senior | |
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007 | | 392 | | AAA | |
Wasatch CLO, Ltd. | | 389 | | AAA | |
Daimler Chrysler 2007-A Lease Trust | | 387 | | AAA | |
Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II | | 380 | | AA | |
Southfork CLO Ltd. Series 2005-A1 Class A1G | | 380 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Cent CDO XI Limited | | 373 | | AAA | |
SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006 | | 356 | | AAA | |
ACS 2007-1 Pass Through Trust G-1 | | 355 | | A | |
Private - CDO | | 338 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Synthetic CDO - IG Corporate | | 335 | | AAA / Super senior | |
United Commercial Mortgage Securities 2007-1 | | 328 | | A | |
Comstock Funding Ltd | | 326 | | AAA | |
Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures | | $ | 27,876 | | | |
(1). Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
13
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 3 of 4)
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest International Exposures
| | Net Par | | | |
Credit Name: | | Outstanding | | Rating(1) | |
Prime European RMBS | | $ | 1,591 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Permanent Master Issuer PLC | | 1,453 | | AAA | |
Arkle Master Issuer PLC | | 1,450 | | AAA | |
Gracechurch Mortgage Financing PLC | | 1,447 | | AAA | |
Granite Master Issuer PLC | | 1,255 | | AAA | |
Graphite Mortgages PLC Provide Graphite 2005-2 | | 1,235 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II | | 1,139 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III | | 1,115 | | AAA / Super senior | |
International Infrastructure Pool | | 844 | | AAA / Super senior | |
International Infrastructure Pool | | 844 | | AAA / Super senior | |
International Infrastructure Pool | | 844 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Taberna Europe CDO II PLC | | 803 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC | | 768 | | AAA | |
Synthetic CDO - IG ABS | | 741 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Stichting Profile Securitisation I | | 675 | | AAA / Super senior | |
United Utilities Water PLC | | 674 | | A | |
Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V. | | 605 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Nemus Funding No.1 PLC | | 603 | | AAA / Super senior | |
National Grid Gas PLC | | 598 | | A | |
Harvest CLO III | | 543 | | AAA | |
Northumbrian Water PLC | | 542 | | BBB+ | |
National Grid Electricity Transmission PLC | | 539 | | A | |
Taberna Europe CDO I PLC | | 506 | | AAA / Super senior | |
Ballantyne Re Plc Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes | | 500 | | BB | |
RMF Euro CDO V PLC | | 498 | | AAA | |
Total top 25 international exposures | | $ | 21,812 | | | |
(1). Assured’s internal rating. Assured’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured’s exposure or (2) Assured’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes Assured’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
14
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (Part 4 of 4)
As of June 30, 2008
(dollars in millions)
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
Servicer: | | Net Par Outstanding | |
Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. | | $ | 4,670 | |
Residential Funding Corporation | | 2,966 | |
Northern Rock PLC | | 2,489 | |
Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, Inc. | | 2,486 | |
European Mortgage Servicer (Private Transaction) | | 1,591 | |
Halifax PLC | | 1,458 | |
Cheltenham & Gloucester PLC | | 1,450 | |
Barclays Bank PLC | | 1,447 | |
EMC Mortgage Corp | | 784 | |
Paragon Finance PLC | | 768 | |
Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures | | $ | 20,109 | |
15
Glossary
Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s 10-K report.
Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.
Pooled corporate obligations are structured financings backed by a pool of debt obligations. These financings are typically structured in multiple tranches (layers) from equity (first loss) through super senior (high excess). Losses on defaulted pool assets are allocated successively first to the equity tranche then to higher rated tranches.
Mortgage-backed and home equity: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by either prime, Alt-A, or subprime first and second lien mortgages.
Consumer receivables: principally includes auto loan receivables and credit card receivables.
Commercial mortgage-backed securities: includes individual and repackaged securities backed by commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Commercial receivables: includes equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings and franchise loans.
Structured credit: includes whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Whole business securitizations are obligations backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.
Other structured finance: includes, manufactured housing, collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed securities and other securitizations not included in other asset classes.
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| Contacts: |
| |
| Equity Investors and Media |
| Sabra Purtill |
| Managing Director, Global Communications |
| and Investor Relations |
| (212) 408-6044 |
| spurtill@assuredguaranty.com |
| |
| Ross Aron |
| Associate, Investor Relations |
| (212) 261-5509 |
| raron@assuredguaranty.com |
| |
Assured Guaranty Ltd. | Fixed Income Investors |
30 Woodbourne Avenue | Michael Walker |
Hamilton HM 08 | Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations |
Bermuda | (212) 261-5575 |
www.assuredguaranty.com | mwalker@assuredguaranty.com |
| |
| Media |
| Ashweeta Durani |
| Vice President, Global Communications |
| and Media Relations |
| (212) 408-6042 |
| adurani@assuredguaranty.com |