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8-K Filing
Assured Guaranty (AGO) 8-KRegulation FD Disclosure
Filed: 10 Aug 09, 12:00am
Exhibit 99.1
Financial Security Assurance Inc. Financial Supplement
June 30, 2009
Table of Contents |
| Page |
Selected Financial Highlights |
| 1 |
Statements of Operating Earnings (Losses) and Reconciliation to FSA’s Net Income (Loss) |
| 2 |
Consolidated Balance Sheets |
| 3 |
Capital and Claims-Paying Resources |
| 4 |
New Business Production |
| 5 |
Investment Portfolio |
| 6 |
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization |
| 7 |
Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Credit Derivative Future Earnings |
| 8 |
Financial Guaranty Profile |
| 9 |
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile |
| 12 |
U.S. RMBS Profile |
| 15 |
U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile |
| 17 |
U.S. Consumer Receivable Profile |
| 18 |
Credit Derivative Exposure Profile |
| 19 |
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives |
| 20 |
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures |
| 21 |
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures |
| 22 |
10 Largest Healthcare and International Exposures |
| 23 |
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures |
| 24 |
Below Investment Grade Exposures |
| 25 |
Insured Portfolio by Surveillance Category |
| 28 |
Loss and LAE Reserves and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio |
| 29 |
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio |
| 30 |
Summary Financial and Statistical Data |
| 31 |
Glossary |
| 32 |
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
| 33 |
This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. (“FSAH”) and Assured Guaranty Ltd. (“Assured”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including FSAH’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2008, FSAH’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2009, Assured’s Current Report on Form 8-K dated July 8, 2009 and Assured’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s (“Assured” or “the Company”) current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. For example, the Company’s forward looking statements, including its calculations of adjusted book value, present value of insurance and credit derivative gross written premiums (“PVP”), net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force, total estimated net future premium earnings, and statements regarding capital losses, pricing, ratings, expenses and new business production could be affected by many events. These events include rating agency action such as a ratings downgrade, difficulties with the execution of the Company’s business strategy, contract cancellations, developments or volatility in the world’s financial and capital markets, more severe or frequent losses associated with products affecting the adequacy of the Company’s loss reserves, investment losses, the availability of capital, changes in regulation or tax laws, governmental actions, natural catastrophes, the Company’s dependence on customers, decreased demand or increased competition, loss of key personnel, technological developments, the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, changes in accounting policies or practices, changes in general economic conditions, other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time, management’s response to these factors, and other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s and Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd.’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Selected Financial Highlights (1)
(dollars in millions)
|
| Three Months Ended |
| % Change |
| Six Months Ended |
| % Change |
| ||||||||
|
| June 30, |
| versus |
| June 30, |
| versus |
| ||||||||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2Q-08 |
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| YTD 2008 |
| ||||
Operating earnings (losses) (b) |
| $ | 142.8 |
| $ | (444.2 | ) | 132 | % | $ | 126.7 |
| $ | (529.4 | ) | 124 | % |
After-tax adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Plus: Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio |
| 130.7 |
| 184.1 |
| (29 | )% | 477.2 |
| (133.8 | ) | 457 | % | ||||
Plus: Fair-value adjustment for committed preferred trust securities |
| (34.3 | ) | 24.0 |
| (243 | )% | (18.6 | ) | 56.0 |
| (133 | )% | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Plus: Other adjustments |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| NM |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| NM |
| ||||
Less: IFRS(2) adjustments |
| 25.4 |
| (1.8 | ) | NM |
| 25.6 |
| (1.4 | ) | NM |
| ||||
Net Income (Loss) of Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries |
| $ | 213.9 |
| $ | (234.3 | ) | 191 | % | $ | 560.0 |
| $ | (605.8 | ) | 192 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations |
| $ | 84.1 |
| $ | 13.7 |
| NM |
| $ | 97.9 |
| $ | 20.1 |
| 387 | % |
Operating earnings (losses) effect |
| $ | 51.1 |
| $ | 8.0 |
| NM |
| $ | 59.9 |
| $ | 11.6 |
| 416 | % |
(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.
(2) International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) adjustments, which consist primarily of foreign exchange gains/losses on the general investment portfolio.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating earnings (losses) (b)].
NM = Not meaningful
1
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Statements of Operating Earnings (Losses) and Reconciliation to FSA’s Net Income (Loss)
(dollars in millions)
|
| Three Months Ended |
| % Change |
| Six Months Ended | % Change |
| |||||||||
|
| June 30, |
| versus |
| June 30, |
| versus |
| ||||||||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2Q-08 |
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| YTD 2008 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Net earned premiums (1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Scheduled net earned premiums |
| $ | 74.3 |
| $ | 81.9 |
| (9 | )% | $ | 144.3 |
| $ | 160.0 |
| (10 | )% |
Refundings and accelerations |
| 84.1 |
| 13.7 |
| NM |
| 97.9 |
| 20.1 |
| 387 | % | ||||
Total net earned premiums |
| 158.4 |
| 95.6 |
| 66 | % | 242.2 |
| 180.1 |
| 34 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Net investment income from general investment portfolio |
| 60.0 |
| 66.8 |
| (10 | )% | 122.6 |
| 131.3 |
| (7 | )% | ||||
Realized gains (losses) on general investment portfoilio |
| (3.8 | ) | (2.1 | ) | (81 | )% | (9.6 | ) | (2.3 | ) | (317 | )% | ||||
Fees earned on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio |
| 27.2 |
| 32.7 |
| (17 | )% | 44.2 |
| 68.8 |
| (36 | )% | ||||
Credit impairment on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio |
| (43.5 | ) | (67.9 | ) | 36 | % | (66.1 | ) | (67.9 | ) | 3 | % | ||||
Unrealized gains (losses) on fair valued financial instruments |
| 2.2 |
| (1.4 | ) | 257 | % | 25.2 |
| (3.2 | ) | NM |
| ||||
Income from assets aquired in refinancing transactions |
| 2.1 |
| 2.2 |
| (5 | )% | 4.3 |
| 6.0 |
| (28 | )% | ||||
Realized gains (losses) on assets acquired in refinancing transactions |
| 0.7 |
| 3.0 |
| (77 | )% | 0.3 |
| 3.0 |
| (90 | )% | ||||
Other income |
| 72.1 |
| 4.5 |
| NM |
| 60.5 |
| 8.1 |
| NM |
| ||||
Total revenues |
| 275.4 |
| 133.4 |
| 106 | % | 423.6 |
| 323.9 |
| 31 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses (1) |
| 77.3 |
| 816.0 |
| 91 | % | 230.4 |
| 1,116.5 |
| 79 | % | ||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs |
| 7.8 |
| 16.6 |
| 53 | % | 16.8 |
| 32.4 |
| 48 | % | ||||
Other operating expenses |
| 27.1 |
| 0.5 |
| NM |
| 57.2 |
| 23.7 |
| (141 | )% | ||||
Interest expense |
| 2.8 |
| 2.9 |
| 3 | % | 5.3 |
| 6.6 |
| 20 | % | ||||
Total expenses |
| 115.0 |
| 836.0 |
| 86 | % | 309.7 |
| 1,179.2 |
| 74 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Operating earnings (losses) before provision (benefit) for income taxes |
| 160.4 |
| (702.6 | ) | 123 | % | 113.9 |
| (855.3 | ) | 113 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes |
| 43.0 |
| (260.2 | ) | (117 | )% | 12.8 |
| (327.3 | ) | (104 | )% | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Plus IFRS(2) adjustments, net of tax |
| 25.4 |
| (1.8 | ) | NM |
| 25.6 |
| (1.4 | ) | NM |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Operating earnings (losses) (b) |
| 142.8 |
| (444.2 | ) | 132 | % | 126.7 |
| (529.4 | ) | 124 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Plus: Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio, net of tax |
| 130.7 |
| 184.1 |
| (29 | )% | 477.2 |
| (133.8 | ) | 457 | % | ||||
Plus: Fair-value adjustment for committed preferred trust securities |
| (34.3 | ) | 24.0 |
| (243 | )% | (18.6 | ) | 56.0 |
| (133 | )% | ||||
Plus: Other adjustments, net of tax |
| 0.1 |
| — |
| NM |
| 0.3 |
| — |
| NM |
| ||||
Less: IFRS (2) adjustments, net of tax |
| 25.4 |
| (1.8 | ) | NM |
| 25.6 |
| (1.4 | ) | NM |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Net Income (Loss) of Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries |
| $ | 213.9 |
| $ | (234.3 | ) | 191 | % | $ | 560.0 |
| $ | (605.8 | ) | 192 | % |
(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.
(2) International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) adjustments, which consist primarily of foreign exchange gain/losses on general investment portfolio.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating earnings (losses) (b)].
NM = Not meaningful
2
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Consolidated Balance Sheets(1)
(dollars in millions)
|
| As of |
| ||||
|
| June 30, |
| December 31, |
| ||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Assets |
|
|
|
|
| ||
General investment portfolio, available-for-sale |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Bonds at fair value |
| $ | 5,189.4 |
| $ | 5,264.5 |
|
Short-term investments, at cost which approximates fair value |
| 545.8 |
| 616.1 |
| ||
Equity securities, at fair value |
| 1.3 |
| 0.4 |
| ||
Variable interest entities segment investment portfolio, at fair value |
| 1,525.4 |
| 1,733.1 |
| ||
Assets acquired in refinancing transactions |
| 172.8 |
| 166.6 |
| ||
Total investments |
| 7,434.7 |
| 7,780.7 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Cash |
| 85.1 |
| 101.2 |
| ||
Financial guaranty variable interest entity assets |
| 990.3 |
| — |
| ||
Accrued investment income on general investment portfolio |
| 65.8 |
| 70.5 |
| ||
Deferred acquisition costs |
| 289.3 |
| 299.3 |
| ||
Ceded unearned premium revenue |
| 1,299.2 |
| 1,012.0 |
| ||
Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses |
| 279.9 |
| 302.1 |
| ||
Premiums receivable, net |
| 854.1 |
| 29.6 |
| ||
Credit derivatives |
| 308.7 |
| 287.4 |
| ||
Deferred tax asset |
| 507.2 |
| 796.3 |
| ||
Committed preferred trust securities |
| 81.4 |
| 100.0 |
| ||
Variable interest entities segment derivatives |
| 350.4 |
| 378.7 |
| ||
Other assets |
| 703.6 |
| 442.3 |
| ||
Total assets |
| $ | 13,249.7 |
| $ | 11,600.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Liabilities and shareholder’s equity |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Unearned premium reserves |
| $ | 3,778.7 |
| $ | 3,052.9 |
|
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve |
| 1,834.7 |
| 1,992.2 |
| ||
Variable interest entities segment debt |
| 1,463.2 |
| 1,243.6 |
| ||
Financial guaranty variable interest entity debt |
| 922.9 |
| — |
| ||
Notes payable to affiliate |
| 155.0 |
| 172.5 |
| ||
Premiums payable, net |
| 249.6 |
| 14.3 |
| ||
Accrued interest in variable interest entities segment debt |
| 73.4 |
| 70.5 |
| ||
Credit derivatives |
| 920.0 |
| 1,543.8 |
| ||
Other liabilities |
| 353.3 |
| 148.1 |
| ||
Total liabilities |
| 9,750.8 |
| 8,237.9 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Shareholder’s equity |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Preferred stock |
| — |
| — |
| ||
Common stock |
| 15.0 |
| 15.0 |
| ||
Additional paid-in capital |
| 1,410.2 |
| 1,410.2 |
| ||
Accumulated earnings |
| 1,388.2 |
| 901.4 |
| ||
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) |
| 37.7 |
| (75.6 | ) | ||
Total Financial Security Assurance Inc. and Subsidiaries shareholder’s equity |
| 2,851.1 |
| 2,251.0 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Noncontrolling interest |
| 647.8 |
| 1,111.2 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total shareholder’s equity |
| 3,498.9 |
| 3,362.2 |
| ||
Total liabilities and shareholder’s equity |
| $ | 13,249.7 |
| $ | 11,600.1 |
|
(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009. See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in FSAH’s March 31, 2009 Quarterly Report on Form 10Q.
3
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Capital and Claims-Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
|
| As of: |
| ||||
|
| June 30, |
| December 31, |
| ||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| ||
Claims-paying resources |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Policyholders’ surplus |
| $ | 816.2 |
| $ | 710.8 |
|
Contingency reserve |
| 1,148.0 |
| 1,281.6 |
| ||
Qualified statutory capital |
| 1,964.2 |
| 1,992.4 |
| ||
Net unearned premium reserve |
| 2,454.2 |
| 2,520.1 |
| ||
Net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves |
| 1,514.5 |
| 1,688.0 |
| ||
Total policyholders’ surplus & reserves |
| 5,932.9 |
| 6,200.5 |
| ||
Net present value of installment premiums (1) |
| 793.0 |
| 962.6 |
| ||
Third party capital support(2) |
| 550.0 |
| 550.0 |
| ||
Total claims-paying resources |
| $ | 7,275.9 |
| $ | 7,713.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net debt service outstanding |
| $ | 599,834.7 |
| $ | 631,885.6 |
|
Gross debt service outstanding |
| 795,033.7 |
| 834,425.9 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net par outstanding |
| 402,649.7 |
| 424,392.7 |
| ||
Gross par outstanding |
| 520,644.2 |
| 545,567.7 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net debt service written (period ended) |
| 5,300.4 |
| 77,164.0 |
| ||
Gross debt service written (period ended) |
| 5,305.3 |
| 90,859.0 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net par written (period ended) |
| 3,441.5 |
| 45,154.0 |
| ||
Gross par written (period ended) |
| 3,454.8 |
| 52,496.0 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Ratios: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital |
| 205:1 |
| 213:1 |
| ||
Capital ratio(3) |
| 305:1 |
| 317:1 |
| ||
Financial resources ratio(4) |
| 82:1 |
| 82:1 |
|
(1) Statutory includes financial guaranty premiums on derivative and non-derivative contracts.
(2) $350 million Bayerische Landesbank soft capital facility included above was amended. Effective July 1, 2009 facility decreased to $298 million.
(3) The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
(4) The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources.
4
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)
|
| Three Months Ended | Six Months Ended |
| |||||||||
|
| June 30, |
| June 30, |
| ||||||||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| ||||
Reconciliation of PV Financial Guaranty Originations to Gross Written Premium (GWP) under GAAP: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Present value (PV) Financial Guaranty Originations (a) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Public finance |
| $ | 16.2 |
| $ | 272.9 |
| $ | 26.2 |
| $ | 469.5 |
|
Structured finance |
| 0.2 |
| 20.4 |
| 2.1 |
| 74.6 |
| ||||
International |
| 0.6 |
| 23.8 |
| 1.4 |
| 62.1 |
| ||||
Total PV Financial Guaranty Originations |
| 17.0 |
| 317.1 |
| 29.7 |
| 606.2 |
| ||||
Less: PV Credit Derivatives Originated |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 62.8 |
| ||||
PV Premiums Originated |
| 17.0 |
| 317.1 |
| 29.7 |
| 543.4 |
| ||||
Less: Installment component of PV Premiums Originated |
| (0.8 | ) | 28.7 |
| 4.4 |
| 48.0 |
| ||||
Total Upfront component of PV Premiums Originated |
| 17.8 |
| 288.4 |
| 25.3 |
| 495.4 |
| ||||
Plus: Installment component of GWP |
| 11.0 |
| 51.0 |
| 13.2 |
| 97.6 |
| ||||
Total GWP(1) |
| $ | 28.8 |
| $ | 339.4 |
| $ | 38.5 |
| $ | 593.0 |
|
|
| Three Months Ended | Six Months Ended |
| |||||||||
|
| June 30, |
| June 30, |
| ||||||||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| ||||
Gross Par Written: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Sector: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Public Finance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
General obligation |
| $ | 1,857 |
| $ | 6,787 |
| $ | 2,716 |
| $ | 13,555 |
|
Tax-supported |
| 70 |
| 4,964 |
| 188 |
| 8,408 |
| ||||
Municipal utility revenue |
| 216 |
| 4,581 |
| 340 |
| 7,525 |
| ||||
Health care revenue |
| 34 |
| 235 |
| 104 |
| 728 |
| ||||
Housing revenue |
| — |
| 302 |
| — |
| 348 |
| ||||
Transportation revenue |
| — |
| 2,578 |
| — |
| 6,062 |
| ||||
Education/University |
| 26 |
| 1,320 |
| 81 |
| 2,438 |
| ||||
Other domestic public finance |
| — |
| 523 |
| — |
| 584 |
| ||||
Subtotal |
| 2,203 |
| 21,290 |
| 3,429 |
| 39,648 |
| ||||
International |
| — |
| 671 |
| — |
| 1,170 |
| ||||
Total public finance |
| $ | 2,203 |
| $ | 21,961 |
| $ | 3,429 |
| $ | 40,818 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Structured Finance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Residential mortgages |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 144 |
|
Consumer receivables |
| — |
| 1,018 |
| — |
| 1,059 |
| ||||
Pooled corporate |
| — |
| 181 |
| — |
| 1,186 |
| ||||
Other structured finance |
| — |
| 49 |
| — |
| 49 |
| ||||
Financial products |
| 26 |
| 646 |
| 26 |
| 751 |
| ||||
Subtotal |
| 26 |
| 1,894 |
| 26 |
| 3,189 |
| ||||
International |
| — |
| 56 |
| — |
| 525 |
| ||||
Total structured finance |
| $ | 26 |
| $ | 1,950 |
| $ | 26 |
| $ | 3,714 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Total exposures |
| $ | 2,229 |
| $ | 23,911 |
| $ | 3,455 |
| $ | 44,532 |
|
(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PV Financial Guaranty Originations (a)].
5
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Investment Portfolio
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-Tax |
| |||
|
|
|
| Pre-Tax |
| After-Tax |
|
|
| Annualized |
| |||
|
| Amortized |
| Book |
| Book |
|
|
| Investment |
| |||
|
| Cost |
| Yield |
| Yield |
| Fair Value |
| Income |
| |||
Fixed maturity securities available for sale: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies |
| $ | 99.2 |
| 3.3 | % | 2.2 | % | $ | 101.4 |
| $ | 3.3 |
|
Agency obligations |
| 66.8 |
| 4.3 | % | 2.8 | % | 70.3 |
| 2.9 |
| |||
Foreign government securities |
| 284.8 |
| 4.5 | % | 2.9 | % | 270.8 |
| 12.9 |
| |||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions |
| 2,351.5 |
| 4.4 | % | 4.2 | % | 2,407.1 |
| 103.6 |
| |||
Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions (1) |
| 1,977.7 |
| 4.8 | % | 4.5 | % | 1,975.3 |
| 94.3 |
| |||
Corporate securities |
| 27.9 |
| 6.1 | % | 4.5 | % | 26.1 |
| 1.7 |
| |||
Mortgage-backed securities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Pass-throughs |
| 318.2 |
| 5.6 | % | 3.6 | % | 333.4 |
| 17.8 |
| |||
Planned Amortization Class |
| 4.7 |
| 5.3 | % | 3.5 | % | 4.8 |
| 0.3 |
| |||
Asset-backed securities |
| 0.2 |
| 5.0 | % | 3.3 | % | 0.2 |
| 0.0 |
| |||
Total bonds |
| $ | 5,131.0 |
| 4.6 | % | 4.2 | % | $ | 5,189.4 |
| $ | 236.8 |
|
Short-term investments |
| 545.7 |
| 0.4 | % | 0.2 | % | 545.8 |
| 1.9 |
| |||
Total fixed-income securities |
| $ | 5,676.7 |
| 4.2 | % | 3.8 | % | $ | 5,735.2 |
| $ | 238.7 |
|
Equity securities |
| 1.8 |
| — |
| — |
| 1.3 |
| — |
| |||
Total General Investment Portfolio |
| $ | 5,678.5 |
| 4.2 | % | 3.8 | % | $ | 5,736.5 |
| $ | 238.7 |
|
|
| Fair Value |
| % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Bond Ratings (2): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies |
| $ | 101.4 |
| 2.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency obligations |
| 70.3 |
| 1.4 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
AAA/Aaa |
| 1,630.8 |
| 31.4 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
AA/Aa |
| 2,236.0 |
| 43.1 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
A/A |
| 1,021.0 |
| 19.7 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
BBB |
| 110.8 |
| 2.1 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Below investment grade |
| 6.6 |
| 0.1 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Not rated |
| 12.5 |
| 0.2 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total Bonds at Fair Value |
| $ | 5,189.4 |
| 100.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Duration of total general investment portfolio (in years): |
|
|
| 4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A.
(2) Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody’s Investor Services and Standard & Poor’s classifications.
6
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization (1)
(dollars in millions)
|
|
|
| Estimated |
| ||
|
| Estimated Net |
| Ending Net |
| ||
|
| Debt Service |
| Debt Service |
| ||
|
| Amortization |
| Outstanding |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Financial Guaranty: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
2009 (as of June 30) |
| $ | — |
| $ | 614,335 |
|
2009 (July - December) |
| 29,334 |
| 585,001 |
| ||
2010 |
| 49,710 |
| 535,291 |
| ||
2011 |
| 41,221 |
| 494,070 |
| ||
2012 |
| 45,127 |
| 448,943 |
| ||
2013 |
| 38,254 |
| 410,689 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
2009-2013 |
| 203,646 |
| 410,689 |
| ||
2014-2018 |
| 149,348 |
| 261,341 |
| ||
2019-2023 |
| 100,800 |
| 160,541 |
| ||
2024-2028 |
| 71,958 |
| 88,583 |
| ||
After 2028 |
| 88,583 |
|
|
| ||
Total |
| $ | 614,335 |
|
|
| |
(1) Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of June 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.
7
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Credit Derivative Future Earnings
(dollars in millions)
|
| Non-Derivative Financial Guaranty Contracts |
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||
|
|
|
| Estimated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
|
|
|
| Net Unearned |
|
|
| Estimated |
|
|
| |||||
|
| Net Unearned |
| Premium |
| Accretion of |
| Credit Derivative |
|
|
| |||||
|
| Premiums (1) |
| Amortization |
| Discount |
| Future Earnings(2) |
| Total |
| |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
Financial Guaranty: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
2009 (as of June 30) |
| $ | 2,479.5 |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
|
2009 (3rd & 4th Qtrs) |
| 2,370.1 |
| 109.4 |
| 8.2 |
| 52.0 |
| 169.6 |
| |||||
2010 |
| 2,166.1 |
| 204.0 |
| 15.3 |
| 90.9 |
| 310.2 |
| |||||
2011 |
| 1,979.4 |
| 186.7 |
| 14.3 |
| 75.6 |
| 276.6 |
| |||||
2012 |
| 1,807.9 |
| 171.5 |
| 13.1 |
| 59.0 |
| 243.6 |
| |||||
2013 |
| 1,650.9 |
| 157.0 |
| 11.9 |
| 37.1 |
| 206.0 |
| |||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
2009-2013 |
| 1,650.9 |
| 828.6 |
| 62.8 |
| 314.6 |
| 1,206.0 |
| |||||
2014-2018 |
| 1,010.6 |
| 640.3 |
| 47.9 |
| 61.1 |
| 749.3 |
| |||||
2019-2023 |
| 581.9 |
| 428.7 |
| 32.9 |
| 5.0 |
| 466.6 |
| |||||
2024-2028 |
| 310.3 |
| 271.6 |
| 21.5 |
| 3.3 |
| 296.4 |
| |||||
After 2028 |
| — |
| 310.3 |
| 23.7 |
| 9.0 |
| 343.0 |
| |||||
Total |
|
|
| $ | 2,479.5 |
| $ | 188.8 |
| $ | 393.0 |
| $ | 3,061.3 |
| |
(1) Unearned premium amounts are U.S. GAAP based and net of prepaid reinsurance premiums.
(2) Consists of estimated earnings on credit derivatives in the financial guaranty insured portfolio.
8
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
|
| As of June 30, |
| As of December 31, |
|
|
|
|
| |||||||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2007 |
|
|
|
|
| |||||
|
| Net Par |
| Avg. |
| Net Par |
| Net Par |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Sector: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Public Finance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
General obligation |
| $ | 131,170 |
| A+ |
| $ | 125,063 |
| $ | 114,456 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tax-supported |
| 56,557 |
| A+ |
| 55,446 |
| 50,081 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Municipal utility revenue |
| 50,778 |
| A+ |
| 50,341 |
| 44,365 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Health care revenue |
| 11,302 |
| A |
| 12,185 |
| 14,047 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Housing revenue |
| 7,111 |
| AA- |
| 7,434 |
| 7,711 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Transportation revenue |
| 21,198 |
| A |
| 21,304 |
| 17,407 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Education/University |
| 8,111 |
| A+ |
| 7,902 |
| 5,468 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Other domestic public finance |
| 1,936 |
| A |
| 2,181 |
| 1,873 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Subtotal |
| 288,163 |
| A+ |
| 281,856 |
| 255,408 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
International |
| 24,902 |
| A- |
| 24,563 |
| 27,299 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Total public finance |
| $ | 313,065 |
| A+ |
| $ | 306,419 |
| $ | 282,707 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Structured Finance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Residential mortgages |
| $ | 15,418 |
| BB |
| $ | 17,052 |
| $ | 19,774 |
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer receivables |
| 4,847 |
| BBB- |
| 6,039 |
| 11,572 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Pooled corporate |
| 50,337 |
| AAA |
| 54,903 |
| 59,207 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Financial products |
| 11,340 |
| AA- |
| 15,253 |
| 19,468 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Other structured finance |
| 1,479 |
| A |
| 1,568 |
| 1,975 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Subtotal |
| 83,421 |
| AA |
| 94,815 |
| 111,996 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
International |
| 19,344 |
| AAA |
| 22,860 |
| 31,639 |
|
|
|
|
| |||
Total structured finance |
| $ | 102,765 |
| AA |
| $ | 117,675 |
| $ | 143,635 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Total exposures |
| $ | 415,830 |
| A+ |
| $ | 424,094 |
| $ | 426,342 |
|
|
|
|
|
Distribution by ratings of financial guaranty portfolio
|
| June 30, 2009 |
| December 31, 2008 |
| December 31, 2007 |
| |||||||||
|
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| |||
Ratings (1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
AAA |
| $ | 71,573 |
| 17.2 | % | $ | 84,091 |
| 19.8 | % | $ | 110,956 |
| 26.0 | % |
AA |
| 144,154 |
| 34.7 | % | 133,132 |
| 31.4 | % | 137,160 |
| 32.2 | % | |||
A |
| 144,344 |
| 34.7 | % | 143,855 |
| 33.9 | % | 127,490 |
| 29.9 | % | |||
BBB |
| 41,275 |
| 9.9 | % | 44,075 |
| 10.4 | % | 46,641 |
| 10.9 | % | |||
Other |
| 14,484 |
| 3.5 | % | 18,941 |
| 4.5 | % | 4,095 |
| 1.0 | % | |||
Total exposures |
| $ | 415,830 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 424,094 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 426,342 |
| 100.0 | % |
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
9
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
|
| As of June 30, 2009 |
| |||||||||||||
|
| Public |
| Structured |
| Total |
| |||||||||
|
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| |||
Ratings (1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
AAA |
| $ | 6,466 |
| 2.1 | % | $ | 65,107 |
| 63.4 | % | $ | 71,573 |
| 17.2 | % |
AA |
| 128,242 |
| 40.9 | % | 15,912 |
| 15.4 | % | 144,154 |
| 34.7 | % | |||
A |
| 141,904 |
| 45.3 | % | 2,440 |
| 2.4 | % | 144,344 |
| 34.7 | % | |||
BBB |
| 35,041 |
| 11.2 | % | 6,234 |
| 6.1 | % | 41,275 |
| 9.9 | % | |||
Other |
| 1,412 |
| 0.5 | % | 13,072 |
| 12.7 | % | 14,484 |
| 3.5 | % | |||
Total exposures |
| $ | 313,065 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 102,765 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 415,830 |
| 100.0 | % |
|
| As of December 31, 2008 |
| |||||||||||||
|
| Public |
| Structured |
| Total |
| |||||||||
|
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| Net Par |
| % |
| |||
Ratings (1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
AAA |
| $ | 6,790 |
| 2.2 | % | $ | 77,301 |
| 65.7 | % | $ | 84,091 |
| 19.8 | % |
AA |
| 125,440 |
| 41.0 | % | 7,692 |
| 6.5 | % | 133,132 |
| 31.4 | % | |||
A |
| 140,082 |
| 45.7 | % | 3,773 |
| 3.2 | % | 143,855 |
| 33.9 | % | |||
BBB |
| 32,872 |
| 10.7 | % | 11,203 |
| 9.6 | % | 44,075 |
| 10.4 | % | |||
Other |
| 1,235 |
| 0.4 | % | 17,706 |
| 15.0 | % | 18,941 |
| 4.5 | % | |||
Total exposures |
| $ | 306,419 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 117,675 |
| 100.0 | % | $ | 424,094 |
| 100.0 | % |
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
10
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Public Finance Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of June 30, 2009
|
| Net Par |
|
|
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| % of Total |
| |
Domestic by State: |
|
|
|
|
| |
California |
| $ | 42,107 |
| 13.4 | % |
New York |
| 23,080 |
| 7.4 | % | |
Pennsylvania |
| 21,211 |
| 6.8 | % | |
Texas |
| 19,796 |
| 6.3 | % | |
Illinois |
| 17,375 |
| 5.5 | % | |
Florida |
| 15,281 |
| 4.9 | % | |
Michigan |
| 13,056 |
| 4.2 | % | |
New Jersey |
| 12,670 |
| 4.0 | % | |
Washington |
| 10,465 |
| 3.3 | % | |
Massachusetts |
| 8,555 |
| 2.7 | % | |
Other states |
| 104,567 |
| 33.5 | % | |
Subtotal |
| 288,163 |
| 92.0 | % | |
International |
| 24,902 |
| 8.0 | % | |
Total public finance exposure |
| $ | 313,065 |
| 100.0 | % |
11
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (“RMBS”) Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1), December 31, 2007 to June 30, 2009
|
| 06/30/09 |
| 12/31/08 |
| 12/31/07 |
|
Ratings(1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA |
| 13.0 | % | 13.7 | % | 56.7 | % |
AA |
| 5.0 | % | 5.6 | % | 1.5 | % |
A |
| 3.2 | % | 1.3 | % | 0.7 | % |
BBB |
| 8.8 | % | 15.8 | % | 26.7 | % |
Below investment grade |
| 70.0 | % | 63.6 | % | 14.4 | % |
|
| 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009
|
| Alt-A CES |
| Prime |
| Alt-A First |
| Alt-A |
| Subprime |
| NIMs |
| Other MBS |
| Total Net Par |
| ||||||||
Ratings: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||
AAA |
| $ | — |
| $ | 309 |
| $ | 60 |
| $ | 162 |
| $ | 1,358 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 120 |
| $ | 2,009 |
|
AA |
| 282 |
| 385 |
| 77 |
| — |
| 30 |
| — |
| 3 |
| 777 |
| ||||||||
A |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 493 |
| — |
| 3 |
| 496 |
| ||||||||
BBB |
| — |
| 1,207 |
| — |
| — |
| 111 |
| 31 |
| — |
| 1,349 |
| ||||||||
Below investment grade |
| 1,043 |
| 3,276 |
| 1,474 |
| 2,438 |
| 2,387 |
| 169 |
| — |
| 10,787 |
| ||||||||
Total exposures |
| $ | 1,325 |
| $ | 5,177 |
| $ | 1,611 |
| $ | 2,600 |
| $ | 4,379 |
| $ | 200 |
| $ | 126 |
| $ | 15,418 |
|
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of June 30, 2009
|
| Alt-A CES |
| Prime |
| Alt-A First |
| Alt-A |
| Subprime |
| NIMs |
| Other MBS |
| Total Net Par |
| ||||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | 329 |
| $ | 71 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 1,374 |
| $ | 1 |
| $ | 10 |
| $ | 1,785 |
|
2005 |
| — |
| 783 |
| 421 |
| 148 |
| 440 |
| 15 |
| — |
| 1,807 |
| ||||||||
2006 |
| 460 |
| 2,061 |
| 560 |
| 1,005 |
| 126 |
| 86 |
| 116 |
| 4,414 |
| ||||||||
2007 |
| 865 |
| 2,004 |
| 559 |
| 1,447 |
| 2,364 |
| 98 |
| — |
| 7,337 |
| ||||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 75 |
| — |
| — |
| 75 |
| ||||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||||
Total exposures |
| $ | 1,325 |
| $ | 5,177 |
| $ | 1,611 |
| $ | 2,600 |
| $ | 4,379 |
| $ | 200 |
| $ | 126 |
| $ | 15,418 |
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
12
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | 1,261 |
| $ | 71 |
| $ | 58 |
| $ | 347 |
| $ | 48 |
| $ | 1,785 |
|
2005 |
| 161 |
| 114 |
| 120 |
| 170 |
| 1,242 |
| 1,807 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| 278 |
| — |
| — |
| 555 |
| 3,581 |
| 4,414 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| 309 |
| 592 |
| 318 |
| 277 |
| 5,841 |
| 7,337 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 75 |
| 75 |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | 2,009 |
| $ | 777 |
| $ | 496 |
| $ | 1,349 |
| $ | 10,787 |
| $ | 15,418 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 13.0 | % | 5.0 | % | 3.2 | % | 8.8 | % | 70.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Alt-A CES RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
|
2005 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 460 |
| 460 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| — |
| 282 |
| — |
| — |
| 583 |
| 865 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | — |
| $ | 282 |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 1,043 |
| $ | 1,325 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 0.0 | % | 21.3 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 78.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Prime HELOC RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 329 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 329 |
|
2005 |
| — |
| 75 |
| — |
| 154 |
| 554 |
| 783 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 479 |
| 1,582 |
| 2,061 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| 309 |
| 310 |
| — |
| 245 |
| 1,140 |
| 2,004 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | 309 |
| $ | 385 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 1,207 |
| $ | 3,276 |
| $ | 5,177 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 6.0 | % | 7.4 | % | 0.0 | % | 23.3 | % | 63.3 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
13
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Alt-A First Lien RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | 34 |
| $ | 37 |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 71 |
|
2005 |
| 26 |
| 40 |
| — |
| — |
| 355 |
| 421 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 560 |
| 560 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 559 |
| 559 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | 60 |
| $ | 77 |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 1,474 |
| $ | 1,611 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 3.7 | % | 4.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 91.5 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option ARM RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
|
2005 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 148 |
| 148 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| 162 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 843 |
| 1,005 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1,447 |
| 1,447 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | 162 |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 2,438 |
| $ | 2,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 6.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 93.8 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Subprime RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | 1,223 |
| $ | 30 |
| $ | 55 |
| $ | 19 |
| $ | 47 |
| $ | 1,374 |
|
2005 |
| 135 |
| — |
| 120 |
| 15 |
| 170 |
| 440 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 77 |
| 49 |
| 126 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| — |
| — |
| 318 |
| — |
| 2,046 |
| 2,364 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 75 |
| 75 |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | 1,358 |
| $ | 30 |
| $ | 493 |
| $ | 111 |
| $ | 2,387 |
| $ | 4,379 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 31.0 | % | 0.7 | % | 11.3 | % | 2.5 | % | 54.5 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. NIMs RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 1 |
| $ | 1 |
|
2005 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 15 |
| 15 |
| ||||||
2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 86 |
| 86 |
| ||||||
2007 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 31 |
| 67 |
| 98 |
| ||||||
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 31 |
| $ | 169 |
| $ | 200 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
% of total |
| 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 15.5 | % | 84.5 | % | 100.0 | % |
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
14
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)
U.S. Alt-A CES
|
| Net Par |
| Pool Factor(2) |
| Subordination (3) |
| Cumulative |
| 60+ Day |
| Number of |
| |
Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2005 |
| $ | — |
| 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | — |
|
2006 |
| 460 |
| 32.3 | % | -52.7 | % | 46.5 | % | 18.6 | % | 2 |
| |
2007 |
| 865 |
| 45.3 | % | -8.2 | % | 43.8 | % | 20.0 | % | 9 |
| |
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
|
| $ | 1,325 |
| 40.8 | % | -23.6 | % | 44.7 | % | 19.5 | % | 11 |
|
U.S. Prime HELOC
|
| Net Par |
| Pool Factor(2) |
| Subordination (3) |
| Cumulative |
| 60+ Day |
| Number of |
| |
Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2005 |
| $ | 783 |
| 26.9 | % | 1.4 | % | 6.1 | % | 10.6 | % | 4 |
|
2006 |
| 2,136 |
| 47.3 | % | 0.4 | % | 17.6 | % | 14.7 | % | 8 |
| |
2007 |
| 1,929 |
| 65.0 | % | 4.8 | % | 15.8 | % | 8.6 | % | 6 |
| |
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
|
| $ | 4,848 |
| 51.0 | % | 2.3 | % | 15.0 | % | 11.6 | % | 18 |
|
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
|
| Net Par |
| Pool Factor(2) |
| Subordination (3) |
| Cumulative |
| 60+ Day |
| Number of Transactions |
| |
Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2005 |
| $ | 421 |
| 46.2 | % | 16.2 | % | 3.8 | % | 21.8 | % | 8 |
|
2006 |
| 589 |
| 64.3 | % | 6.8 | % | 5.6 | % | 34.4 | % | 8 |
| |
2007 |
| 530 |
| 74.8 | % | 7.7 | % | 7.0 | % | 44.0 | % | 3 |
| |
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
|
| $ | 1,540 |
| 63.0 | % | 9.7 | % | 5.6 | % | 34.3 | % | 19 |
|
(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.
(2) Pool factor is the percentage of net par outstanding divided by the original net par outstanding of the transactions at inception.
(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of current collateral balance and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or Real estate owned (“REO”) divided by net par outstanding.
15
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of June 30, 2009 (1)
U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs
|
| Net Par |
| Pool Factor(2) |
| Subordination (3) |
| Cumulative |
| 60+ Day |
| Number of |
| |
Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2005 |
| $ | 148 |
| 42.2 | % | 14.3 | % | 4.4 | % | 47.2 | % | 3 |
|
2006 |
| 1,005 |
| 70.3 | % | 10.6 | % | 4.3 | % | 44.4 | % | 6 |
| |
2007 |
| 1,447 |
| 80.5 | % | 10.8 | % | 2.6 | % | 41.0 | % | 5 |
| |
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
|
| $ | 2,600 |
| 74.4 | % | 10.9 | % | 3.4 | % | 42.7 | % | 14 |
|
U.S. Subprime
|
| Net Par |
| Pool Factor(2) |
| Subordination (3) |
| Cumulative |
| 60+ Day |
| Number of |
| |
Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2005 |
| $ | 517 |
| 37.4 | % | 48.8 | % | 4.6 | % | 33.7 | % | 8 |
|
2006 |
| 49 |
| 76.1 | % | 22.3 | % | 1.9 | % | 28.9 | % | 1 |
| |
2007 |
| 2,364 |
| 78.1 | % | 28.0 | % | 4.4 | % | 42.4 | % | 9 |
| |
2008 |
| 75 |
| 80.9 | % | 34.5 | % | 1.9 | % | 29.8 | % | 1 |
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| |
|
| $ | 3,005 |
| 71.1 | % | 31.6 | % | 4.3 | % | 40.4 | % | 19 |
|
(1) For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of June 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on June 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.
(2) Pool factor is the percentage of the pool balance outstanding of the transactions as of June 2009 divided by the original pool balance of the transactions at inception.
(3) Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of current collateral balance and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
(4) Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
(5) 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or Real estate owned (“REO”) divided by net par outstanding.
16
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations as of June 30, 2009
|
| Net Par |
| % of Total |
| Avg. Initial Credit |
| Avg. Current |
|
|
| |
Ratings (1): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
AAA |
| $ | 46,497 |
| 92.4 | % | 25.8 | % | 22.8 | % |
|
|
AA |
| 2,642 |
| 5.2 | % | 31.6 | % | 29.7 | % |
|
| |
A |
| 491 |
| 1.0 | % | 10.3 | % | 13.5 | % |
|
| |
BBB |
| 565 |
| 1.1 | % | 19.0 | % | 16.0 | % |
|
| |
Below investment grade |
| 142 |
| 0.3 | % | 40.6 | % | 10.7 | % |
|
| |
Total exposures |
| $ | 50,337 |
| 100.0 | % | 25.9 | % | 23.0 | % |
|
|
Distribution of U.S. Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
| Net Par |
| % of Total |
| Avg. Initial Credit |
| Avg. Current |
|
|
| |
Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2004 and prior |
| $ | 15,757 |
| 31.3 | % | 21.3 | % | 18.8 | % |
|
|
2005 |
| 9,994 |
| 19.9 | % | 26.3 | % | 23.3 | % |
|
| |
2006 |
| 6,669 |
| 13.2 | % | 27.9 | % | 24.8 | % |
|
| |
2007 |
| 17,917 |
| 35.6 | % | 29.1 | % | 25.8 | % |
|
| |
2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
|
|
| |
2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
|
|
| |
|
| $ | 50,337 |
| 100.0 | % | 25.9 | % | 23.0 | % |
|
|
Distribution of Direct U.S. Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009
|
| Net Par |
| % of Total |
| Avg. Initial Credit |
| Avg. Current |
| Avg. |
|
Asset class: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Synthetic high yield pooled corporates |
| $11,273 |
| 22.4 | % | 35.7 | % | 31.2 | % | AAA |
|
Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates |
| 11,613 |
| 23.1 | % | 15.5 | % | 14.0 | % | AAA*(3) |
|
CLOs |
| 24,441 |
| 48.6 | % | 27.5 | % | 23.7 | % | AAA |
|
CBOs |
| 1,486 |
| 3.0 | % | 16.3 | % | 20.0 | % | A+ |
|
Market Value CDOs of corporates |
| 1,119 |
| 2.2 | % | 17.0 | % | 23.8 | % | AAA |
|
Trust preferred - banks and insurance |
| 170 |
| 0.3 | % | 40.6 | % | 37.2 | % | A+ |
|
CDO of CDOs (corporate) |
| 35 |
| 0.1 | % | 24.0 | % | 21.9 | % | A- |
|
CDO of ABS |
| 30 |
| 0.0 | % | 14.8 | % | 34.4 | % | AA |
|
Other Pooled Corporates |
| 170 |
| 0.3 | % | N/A |
| N/A |
| A |
|
|
| $50,337 |
| 100.0 | % | 25.9 | % | 23.0 | % | AAA |
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
(2) “Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to FSA’s exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.
(3) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.
17
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of June 30, 2009
|
|
| Credit Cards |
| Student |
| Auto |
| Manufactured |
| Total Net Par |
|
|
|
| |||||
| Year issued: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||
| 2004 and prior |
| $ | — |
| $ | — |
| $ | 81 |
| $ | 340 |
| $ | 421 |
|
|
|
|
| 2005 |
| — |
| — |
| 550 |
| — |
| 550 |
|
|
|
| |||||
| 2006 |
| — |
| — |
| 1,191 |
| — |
| 1,191 |
|
|
|
| |||||
| 2007 |
| 88 |
| — |
| 2,150 |
| — |
| 2,238 |
|
|
|
| |||||
| 2008 |
| — |
| — |
| 447 |
| — |
| 447 |
|
|
|
| |||||
| 2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
|
|
|
| |||||
|
|
| $ | 88 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 4,419 |
| $ | 340 |
| $ | 4,847 |
|
|
|
|
Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of June 30, 2009
|
|
| AAA |
| AA |
| A |
| BBB |
| BIG |
|
|
| ||||||
|
|
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Rated |
| Total |
| ||||||
| Year insured: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
| 2004 and prior |
| $ | 1 |
| $ | 12 |
| $ | — |
| $ | 121 |
| $ | 287 |
| $ | 421 |
|
| 2005 |
| — |
| — |
| 23 |
| 414 |
| 113 |
| 550 |
| ||||||
| 2006 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 712 |
| 479 |
| 1,191 |
| ||||||
| 2007 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 1,413 |
| 825 |
| 2,238 |
| ||||||
| 2008 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| 286 |
| 161 |
| 447 |
| ||||||
| 2009 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| ||||||
|
|
| $ | 1 |
| $ | 12 |
| $ | 23 |
| $ | 2,946 |
| $ | 1,865 |
| $ | 4,847 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
| % of total |
| 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | 0.5 | % | 60.8 | % | 38.5 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of June 30, 2009
|
|
| Net Par Outstanding |
| % |
| Average |
| Avg. Initial |
| Avg. Current Enhancement (2) |
|
|
|
| |
| Asset class: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| Student loans |
| $ | — |
| — |
|
|
| — |
| — |
|
|
|
|
| Credit cards |
| 88 |
| 1.8 | % | BBB |
| 13.2 | % | 18.1 | % |
|
|
| |
| Auto |
| 4,419 |
| 91.2 | % | BBB- |
| 11.6 | % | 20.5 | % |
|
|
| |
| Manufactured Housing |
| 340 |
| 7.0 | % | BB |
| 27.6 | % | 29.0 | % |
|
|
| |
|
|
| $ | 4,847 |
| 100.0 | % | BBB- |
| 12.8 | % | 21.1 | % |
|
|
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
(2) “Average Credit Enhancement” is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to FSA’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.
18
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Credit Derivative Exposure Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating
|
| As of |
| |||
|
| June 30, 2009 |
| |||
|
| Net Par |
|
|
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| % |
| |
Ratings (1): |
|
|
|
|
| |
Super senior |
| $ | 28,965 |
| 45.5 | % |
AAA |
| 28,539 |
| 44.9 | % | |
AA |
| 2,832 |
| 4.5 | % | |
A |
| 957 |
| 1.5 | % | |
BBB |
| 1,529 |
| 2.4 | % | |
Below investment grade |
| 797 |
| 1.2 | % | |
Total exposures |
| $ | 63,619 |
| 100.0 | % |
Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating
|
| As of |
| |||
|
| June 30, 2009 |
| |||
|
| Net Par |
| Average |
| |
Sector: |
|
|
|
|
| |
Public Finance |
|
|
|
|
| |
United States |
|
|
|
|
| |
General obligation |
| $ | 201 |
| A |
|
Tax-supported |
| 90 |
| A |
| |
Municipal utility revenue |
| 67 |
| A |
| |
Health care revenue |
| 148 |
| A- |
| |
Housing revenue |
| 10 |
| A+ |
| |
Transportation revenue |
| 36 |
| A |
| |
Other domestic public finance |
| 119 |
| BBB+ |
| |
Subtotal |
| 671 |
| A |
| |
International |
| 2,443 |
| A |
| |
Total public finance |
| $ | 3,114 |
| A |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Structured Finance |
|
|
|
|
| |
United States |
|
|
|
|
| |
Residential mortgages |
| $ | 429 |
| BBB |
|
Pooled corporate |
| 44,408 |
| AAA |
| |
Other structured finance |
| 566 |
| BBB |
| |
Subtotal |
| 45,403 |
| AAA |
| |
International |
| 15,102 |
| AAA |
| |
Total structured finance |
| $ | 60,505 |
| AAA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total exposures |
| $ | 63,619 |
| AAA |
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
19
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives
(dollars in millions)
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of June 30, 2009
|
| Net Par |
| Wtd. Avg. |
| 2Q-09 |
| YTD 2Q-09 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Credit Defaut Swaps (“CDS”) by Asset Type: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Pooled Corporates(1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
High yield corporates |
| $ | 41,214 |
| AAA |
| $ | 157.4 |
| $ | 487.1 |
|
Trust preferred |
| 102 |
| AA |
| 1.1 |
| 1.3 |
| |||
Market value CDOs of corporates |
| 1,492 |
| AAA |
| 2.4 |
| 6.9 |
| |||
Investment grade corporates |
| 15,994 |
| AAA*(4) |
| 58.9 |
| 244.9 |
| |||
Total pooled corporate obligations |
| 58,802 |
|
|
| 219.8 |
| 740.2 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
RMBS(2): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
U.S. RMBS: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Subprime |
| 210 |
| A |
| 3.0 |
| 3.3 |
| |||
Other U.S. RMBS |
| 121 |
| NIG |
| (2.6 | ) | (3.2 | ) | |||
International RMBS |
| 563 |
| BBB |
| 2.6 |
| 7.9 |
| |||
Total RMBS |
| 894 |
|
|
| 3.0 |
| 8.0 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Other(3) |
| 3,179 |
| A |
| (135.4 | ) | (102.4 | ) | |||
Total |
| 62,875 |
|
|
| 87.4 |
| 645.8 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Interest Rate Swaps and Other Financial Guaranty Contracts with Embedded Derivatives |
| 744 |
| A |
| (8.2 | ) | 6.5 |
| |||
Total |
| $ | 63,619 |
|
|
| $ | 79.2 |
| $ | 652.3 |
|
(1) Includes all U.S. structured finance pooled corporate obligations and international pooled corporate obligations as well as corporate collateralized loan obligations, market value CDOs and trust preferred securities.
(2) Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of mortgage-backed and home equity securities.
(3) Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.
(4) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.
20
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
| Net Par |
|
|
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| Rating(1) |
| |
Credit Name: |
|
|
|
|
| |
Commonwealth of Massachusetts G.O. |
| $ | 1,993 |
| AA |
|
New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority Transportation System Bonds |
| 1,343 |
| AA- |
| |
Port Authority of NY and NJ, Consolidated Bonds |
| 1,308 |
| AA- |
| |
New York City, NY Municipal Water Finance Authority, Water and Sewer System Revenue Bonds |
| 1,305 |
| AA+ |
| |
State of California Department of Water Resources Power Supply Revenue Bonds |
| 1,261 |
| A- |
| |
Illinois State Toll Highway Authority, Revenue Bonds |
| 1,239 |
| AA |
| |
Massachusetts School Building Authority Dedicated Sales Tax Revenue Bonds |
| 1,233 |
| AA |
| |
Chicago, Illinois G.O. |
| 1,187 |
| A+ |
| |
New York City, NY G.O. |
| 1,182 |
| AA- |
| |
State of California, G.O. |
| 1,166 |
| A |
| |
Los Angeles Unified School District, CA, G.O. |
| 1,164 |
| AA |
| |
Houston Combined Utility System, TX, First Lien Revenues |
| 1,145 |
| A+ |
| |
Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY, Dedicated Tax Fund Bonds |
| 1,091 |
| AA- |
| |
Dormitory Authority of the State of New York, Mental Health Services Facilities Improvement Revenue Bonds |
| 1,085 |
| A |
| |
State of Illinois, G.O. |
| 1,078 |
| AA |
| |
Broward County School Board, FL, Certificates of Participation |
| 1,075 |
| AA- |
| |
Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY, Transportation Revenue Bonds |
| 1,065 |
| A |
| |
State of Washington, G.O. |
| 1,010 |
| AA |
| |
Atlanta, GA Water & Sewer Revenue Bonds |
| 982 |
| A |
| |
Massachusetts Water Resources Authority, General Revenue Bonds |
| 971 |
| AA |
| |
Los Angeles, CA, Department of Water and Power Electric Revenue Bonds |
| 957 |
| AA- |
| |
State of Hawaii, G.O. |
| 918 |
| AA |
| |
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, G.O. |
| 907 |
| BBB- |
| |
San Diego County Water Authority Water Revenue Certificates of Participation |
| 901 |
| AA |
| |
Chicago Public Schools, IL, G.O. |
| 870 |
| A+ |
| |
San Diego Unified School District, CA, G.O. |
| 844 |
| AA |
| |
State of Wisconsin Master Lease Certificates of Participation |
| 807 |
| A+ |
| |
State of Michigan, State Trunk Line Fund Bonds |
| 796 |
| AA |
| |
Detroit, MI, Sewage Disposal System Revenue Bonds |
| 795 |
| A+ |
| |
Seattle, Washington, Light and Power Revenue Bonds |
| 790 |
| A+ |
| |
District of Columbia, G.O. |
| 784 |
| A+ |
| |
California Housing Finance Agency Home Mortgage Revenue Bonds 1982 Resolution |
| 776 |
| AA |
| |
New Jersey Turnpike Authority, Revenue Bonds |
| 776 |
| A |
| |
New York State Thruway Authority, General Highway and Bridge Trust Fund Revenue Bonds |
| 774 |
| AA- |
| |
City of Philadelphia General Obligation Bonds |
| 764 |
| BBB+ |
| |
Miami-Dade County, Florida Aviation Revenue Bonds Miami International Airport |
| 764 |
| A+ |
| |
City of Chicago- Chicago O’Hare International Airport, Illinois General Airport Third Lien Revenue Refunding Bonds |
| 760 |
| A |
| |
Clark County School District, NV, G.O. |
| 753 |
| AA |
| |
King County, WA, Sewer Revenue Bonds |
| 753 |
| AA |
| |
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, Power Revenue Bonds |
| 749 |
| A- |
| |
Trustees of the California State University Systemwide Revenue Bonds |
| 741 |
| AA- |
| |
Long Island Power Authority, NY, Electric System General Revenue Bonds |
| 741 |
| A- |
| |
School District No. 1 in the City and County of Denver, CO Lease Purchase Agreement with Denver School Facilities Leasing Corp, COPS |
| 736 |
| A+ |
| |
New Jersey Economic Development Authority State Pension Funding Bonds |
| 727 |
| AA- |
| |
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, G.O. |
| 725 |
| AA- |
| |
Skyway Concession Company LLC |
| 710 |
| BBB |
| |
Kentucky State Property and Building Commission Revenue Bonds |
| 710 |
| AA |
| |
Garden State Preservation Trust, NJ, Open Space & Farmland Preservation Bonds |
| 705 |
| AA |
| |
Regents of the University of California, General Revenue Bonds |
| 701 |
| AA |
| |
Houston, TX, Airport System, Subordinate Lien Revenue Bonds |
| 676 |
| A+ |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures |
| $ | 47,293 |
|
|
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
21
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
| Net Par |
|
|
| Current Credit |
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| Rating(1) |
| Enhancement % |
| |
Credit Name: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
DB Super Senior IBOXX |
| $ | 1,465 |
| AAA*(2) |
| 6.2 | % |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 1,460 |
| AAA |
| 62.9 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 1,449 |
| AAA* |
| 7.0 | % | |
Fortress Credit Opportunities I LP |
| 1,351 |
| AA |
| 29.3 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 1,135 |
| AAA* |
| 16.9 | % | |
Stone Tower Credit Funding Ltd |
| 1,119 |
| AAA |
| 23.8 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 820 |
| AAA* |
| 5.8 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I |
| 791 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 778 |
| AAA* |
| 18.7 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 770 |
| AAA* |
| 15.8 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 754 |
| AAA* |
| 15.0 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 735 |
| AAA |
| 15.6 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 728 |
| AAA |
| 32.8 | % | |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction |
| 686 |
| BB+ |
| 34.6 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 655 |
| AAA* |
| 16.7 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 652 |
| AAA* |
| 21.1 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-F |
| 643 |
| CCC |
| 0.6 | % | |
AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2007-B-F |
| 640 |
| BBB |
| 15.4 | % | |
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3 |
| 624 |
| CCC |
| 12.9 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 562 |
| AAA |
| 30.9 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 522 |
| AAA* |
| 30.1 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 517 |
| AAA* |
| 22.1 | % | |
Eastland CLO Ltd |
| 515 |
| AAA* |
| 30.1 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 512 |
| AAA* |
| 29.2 | % | |
Denali Capital CLO VII Ltd |
| 496 |
| AAA |
| 20.6 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 479 |
| AAA |
| 63.5 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 461 |
| AAA* |
| 24.5 | % | |
Avenue CLO V, Ltd |
| 461 |
| AAA |
| 16.1 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 442 |
| AAA* |
| 10.1 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 433 |
| AAA* |
| 14.6 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 427 |
| AAA |
| 31.0 | % | |
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2 |
| 421 |
| BB+ |
| 22.1 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 419 |
| AAA |
| 35.6 | % | |
Churchill Financial Cayman Ltd |
| 415 |
| AAA |
| 36.8 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2007-A |
| 411 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 410 |
| AAA |
| 34.9 | % | |
Grayson CLO Ltd |
| 410 |
| AAA* |
| 21.0 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 399 |
| AAA* |
| 14.0 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 389 |
| AAA* |
| 15.8 | % | |
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1 |
| 388 |
| CCC |
| 8.6 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 387 |
| AAA* |
| 30.2 | % | |
Stone Tower CLO III Ltd |
| 381 |
| AAA |
| 21.2 | % | |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 377 |
| AAA* |
| 11.5 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 372 |
| AAA |
| 38.2 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2005-D |
| 371 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12 |
| 370 |
| BB |
| 11.9 | % | |
AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2006-A-F |
| 365 |
| BBB |
| 19.4 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 363 |
| AAA* |
| 13.4 | % | |
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1 |
| 363 |
| CCC |
| 9.2 | % | |
Cent CDO 15 Limited |
| 360 |
| AAA* |
| 17.1 | % | |
Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures |
| $ | 30,453 |
|
|
|
|
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
(2) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.
22
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
10 Largest Healthcare and International Exposures
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
10 Largest Healthcare Exposures
|
| Net Par |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| Rating(1) |
| State |
| |
Credit Name: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Carolina HealthCare System |
| $ | 312 |
| AA |
| NC |
|
BayCare Health System |
| 205 |
| AA- |
| FL |
| |
Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc Obligated Group |
| 204 |
| AA- |
| IL |
| |
CHRISTUS Health |
| 192 |
| A+ |
| TX |
| |
Carilion Health System |
| 185 |
| A |
| VA |
| |
Saint Luke’s Health System |
| 183 |
| AA- |
| MO |
| |
Multicare Health System, WA |
| 173 |
| A+ |
| WA |
| |
Catholic Health Initiatives |
| 168 |
| AA |
| CO |
| |
Catholic Health Partners |
| 165 |
| AA- |
| OH |
| |
OSF HealthCare System |
| 164 |
| A |
| IL |
| |
Total top 10 healthcare exposures |
| $ | 1,951 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 Largest International Exposures
|
| Net Par |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| Rating(1) |
|
|
|
| |
Credit Name: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| $ | 1,327 |
| AAA*(2) |
|
|
|
|
Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc |
| 930 |
| BBB |
|
|
|
| |
Hydro-Quebec, Province of Quebec Guaranteed |
| 838 |
| A+ |
|
|
|
| |
Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc |
| 821 |
| A- |
|
|
|
| |
Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO |
| 821 |
| AAA |
|
|
|
| |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 721 |
| AAA* |
|
|
|
| |
Sydney Airport |
| 616 |
| BBB |
|
|
|
| |
Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 580 |
| AAA* |
|
|
|
| |
Artesian Finance II Plc |
| 526 |
| A- |
|
|
|
| |
Government Supported Public Enterprise |
| 526 |
| AA- |
|
|
|
| |
Total top 10 international exposures |
| $ | 7,706 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where FSA’s AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to FSA’s exposure or (2) FSA’s exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that the exposure incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management’s opinion, causes FSA’s attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
(2) AAA* represents super senior rated exposure.
23
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
|
| Net Par |
| |
|
| Outstanding |
| |
Servicer: |
|
|
| |
Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP |
| $ | 6,594 |
|
American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc. |
| 1,854 |
| |
GMAC Mortgage, LLC/Homecomings/RFC |
| 1,476 |
| |
Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC |
| 928 |
| |
Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC |
| 909 |
| |
Indymac Bank, FSB |
| 810 |
| |
Wells Fargo Bank Minnesota, N.A./Wachovia |
| 529 |
| |
First Tennessee Bank N.A. |
| 480 |
| |
Flagstar Bank, FSB |
| 343 |
| |
Litton Loan Servicing LP |
| 318 |
| |
Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures |
| $ | 14,241 |
|
24
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)
Summary
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
| Weighted Average |
| Net Par |
| Average |
| |
|
| Remaining Life |
| Outstanding |
| Rating (1) |
| |
Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Public Finance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
General obligation |
| 7.7 |
| $ | 522 |
| BB |
|
Tax-supported |
| 11.9 |
| 219 |
| BB |
| |
Municipal utility revenue |
| 9.4 |
| 166 |
| D |
| |
Health care revenue |
| 10.0 |
| 274 |
| BB- |
| |
Housing revenue |
| 10.5 |
| 7 |
| BB |
| |
Education/University |
| 6.1 |
| 4 |
| BB- |
| |
Other domestic public finance |
| 0.4 |
| 0 |
| CCC |
| |
Subtotal |
| 9.2 |
| 1,192 |
| B+ |
| |
International |
| 3.6 |
| 220 |
| BB |
| |
Total public finance |
| 8.4 |
| $ | 1,412 |
| B+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Structured Finance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Residential mortgages |
| 5.2 |
| $ | 10,787 |
| B- |
|
Consumer receivables |
| 1.2 |
| 1,865 |
| BB |
| |
Pooled corporate |
| 2.6 |
| 142 |
| CCC |
| |
Other structured finance |
| 5.3 |
| 198 |
| CCC |
| |
Subtotal |
| 4.6 |
| 12,992 |
| B |
| |
International |
| 2.8 |
| 80 |
| CCC |
| |
Total structured finance |
| 4.6 |
| $ | 13,072 |
| B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total below investment grade exposures |
| 5.1 |
| $ | 14,484 |
| B |
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
25
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)
Greater Than $50 Million
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
| Weighted Average |
| Net Par |
| Internal |
| Current Credit |
| |
Name or Description |
| Remaining Life |
| Outstanding |
| Rating (1) |
| Enhancement |
| |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I |
| 4.5 |
| $ | 791 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction |
| 2.7 |
| 686 |
| BB+ |
| 34.6 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-F |
| 4.0 |
| 643 |
| CCC |
| 0.6 | % | |
MARM 2007-3 |
| 3.3 |
| 624 |
| CCC |
| 12.9 | % | |
Option One 2007-FXD2 |
| 4.4 |
| 421 |
| BB+ |
| 22.1 | % | |
COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2007-A |
| 4.2 |
| 411 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
NAAC 2007-1 |
| 4.8 |
| 388 |
| CCC |
| 8.6 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2005-D |
| 4.3 |
| 371 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Harborview 2006-12 |
| 4.0 |
| 370 |
| BB |
| 11.9 | % | |
MASTR 2007-OA1 |
| 4.0 |
| 362 |
| CCC |
| 9.2 | % | |
COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2007-B |
| 4.3 |
| 357 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Triad Auto Receivables Trust 2007-A |
| 0.9 |
| 308 |
| BB |
| 17.6 | % | |
Countrywide 2007-13 |
| 3.2 |
| 303 |
| BB+ |
| 30.0 | % | |
IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC |
| 4.7 |
| 296 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
TMTS 2006-12SL |
| 20.8 |
| 257 |
| CCC |
| -58.8 | % | |
Triad 2006-B |
| 0.6 |
| 225 |
| BB |
| 16.1 | % | |
Private International Infrastructure Finance Transaction |
| 3.6 |
| 220 |
| BB |
| N/A |
| |
CWABS 2007-4 |
| 4.5 |
| 220 |
| BB+ |
| 21.3 | % | |
Soundview 2007-WMC1 |
| 3.3 |
| 218 |
| CCC |
| 18.5 | % | |
Triad Auto Receivables Trust 2007-B |
| 1.0 |
| 218 |
| BB |
| 16.3 | % | |
TMTS 2007-1SL |
| 21.1 |
| 211 |
| CCC |
| -56.2 | % | |
Harborview 2007-1 |
| 4.5 |
| 207 |
| BB+ |
| 13.9 | % | |
Harborview 2006-1 |
| 2.4 |
| 205 |
| BB+ |
| 10.9 | % | |
TMTS 2006-10SL |
| 20.0 |
| 204 |
| CCC |
| -45.1 | % | |
Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO |
| 2.9 |
| 191 |
| CCC |
| 45.0 | % | |
NAAC 2007-S2 |
| 1.9 |
| 185 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Drive 2006-1 |
| 0.6 |
| 184 |
| BB |
| 31.4 | % | |
Countrywide HELOC 2005-C |
| 4.2 |
| 183 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Harborview 2006-10 |
| 4.5 |
| 179 |
| CCC |
| 8.8 | % | |
New Century 2005-A |
| 3.3 |
| 170 |
| BB+ |
| 19.6 | % | |
Private Consumer Receivable Transaction |
| 1.2 |
| 161 |
| BB |
| 18.4 | % | |
Private Consumer Receivable Transaction |
| 1.3 |
| 161 |
| BB |
| 29.0 | % | |
CSAB 2006-3 |
| 5.0 |
| 154 |
| CCC |
| 5.6 | % | |
Jefferson County, AL Sewer Revenue Warrants |
| 12.5 |
| 151 |
| D |
| N/A |
| |
Renaissance (Delta) 2007-3 |
| 6.6 |
| 146 |
| BB+ |
| 26.7 | % | |
Jefferson County, AL Sales Tax Revenue Bonds |
| 14.5 |
| 144 |
| BB |
| N/A |
| |
Private Consumer Receivable Transaction |
| 1.1 |
| 137 |
| BB |
| 19.9 | % | |
IMSC 2007-HOA1 |
| 8.1 |
| 127 |
| CCC |
| 5.9 | % | |
AHMA 2007-4 Negam |
| 6.2 |
| 127 |
| CCC |
| 4.5 | % | |
Private Structured Finance Transaction |
| 5.7 |
| 126 |
| CC |
| N/A |
| |
Private Consumer Receivable Transaction |
| 0.7 |
| 113 |
| BB |
| 32.5 | % | |
Countrywide AltA 2005-22T |
| 5.3 |
| 108 |
| BB |
| 6.6 | % | |
Conseco Finance Securtization |
| 2.0 |
| 106 |
| BB |
| 26.0 | % | |
Lehman ABS MH 2001-B |
| 1.3 |
| 98 |
| BB |
| 38.4 | % | |
Ace 2006-GP1 |
| 2.8 |
| 95 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
CSAB 2006-2 |
| 5.0 |
| 91 |
| CCC |
| 4.1 | % | |
Deutsche Alt-B 2006-AB1 |
| 5.3 |
| 90 |
| CCC |
| 9.1 | % | |
Deutsche Bank AltA DBALT 2006-AB4 |
| 3.6 |
| 88 |
| CCC |
| 6.5 | % | |
GreenPoint 2000-4 |
| 4.8 |
| 84 |
| B |
| 17.3 | % | |
TMTS 2005-16HE |
| 3.3 |
| 83 |
| BB+ |
| 22.0 | % | |
City of Detroit, MI General Obligation Limited Tax Bonds |
| 2.5 |
| 77 |
| BB |
| N/A |
| |
City of Detroit, MI General Obligation Unlimited Tax Bonds |
| 5.7 |
| 77 |
| BB+ |
| N/A |
| |
Dekalb Medical Center |
| 15.8 |
| 76 |
| BB |
| N/A |
| |
26
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)
Greater Than $50 Million
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
|
| Weighted Average |
| Net Par |
| Internal |
| Current Credit |
| |
Name or Description |
| Remaining Life |
| Outstanding |
| Rating (1) |
| Enhancement |
| |
COUNTRYWIDE HELOC 2006-H |
| 3.8 |
| 75 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
Soundview (Delta) 2008-1 |
| 2.5 |
| 75 |
| BB+ |
| 34.5 | % | |
Private Non-Municipal Transaction |
| 5.2 |
| 72 |
| BB |
| N/A |
| |
TMTS 2007-6ALT |
| 4.4 |
| 71 |
| CCC |
| 5.7 | % | |
Goldman AltA GSAA 2005-12 |
| 2.7 |
| 71 |
| BB+ |
| 11.8 | % | |
CSMC 2007-3 |
| 7.5 |
| 71 |
| CCC |
| 4.9 | % | |
Private Consumer Receivable Transaction |
| 0.9 |
| 70 |
| BB |
| 22.4 | % | |
City of Erie, PA General Obligation Unlimited Tax Bonds |
| 9.1 |
| 69 |
| BB+ |
| N/A |
| |
CWALT 2005-62 |
| 2.1 |
| 68 |
| CCC |
| 14.7 | % | |
TMTS 2005-14HE |
| 3.4 |
| 67 |
| BB+ |
| 19.2 | % | |
FFMLT 2007-FFC |
| 4.1 |
| 66 |
| BB— |
| 0.0 | % | |
ACE 2007-SL1 |
| 21.1 |
| 66 |
| CCC |
| -25.5 | % | |
DSLA 2005-AR5 |
| 2.6 |
| 65 |
| CCC |
| 15.2 | % | |
Deutsche Bank AltA 2006-AB3 |
| 3.4 |
| 60 |
| CCC |
| 7.1 | % | |
Luminent 2006-2 |
| 1.4 |
| 56 |
| BB+ |
| 11.8 | % | |
BSSLT 2007-1 2A |
| 6.8 |
| 55 |
| BB— |
| 0.0 | % | |
GMAC RFC HSA3 |
| 4.4 |
| 55 |
| CCC |
| 0.0 | % | |
CSAB 2006-4 |
| 5.1 |
| 52 |
| CCC |
| 6.0 | % | |
TMTS 2007-QH1 |
| 2.0 |
| 50 |
| BB+ |
| 39.6 | % | |
Total |
| 4.9 |
| $ | 13,462 |
|
|
|
|
|
(1) FSA’s internal rating. FSA’s scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
27
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Insured Portfolio by Surveillance Category
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding by Surveillance Category
|
| June 30, 2009 |
| |||||
|
| Net Par |
| % of Total |
| Number of |
| |
Description: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Category I and II |
| $ | 393,483 |
| 94.7 | % | 11,405 |
|
Category III |
| 11,222 |
| 2.7 | % | 138 |
| |
Category IV |
| 2,670 |
| 0.6 | % | 13 |
| |
Category V |
| 8,455 |
| 2.0 | % | 69 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
| $ | 415,830 |
| 100.0 | % | 11,625 |
|
|
| December 31, 2008 |
| |||||
|
| Net Par |
| % of Total |
| Number of |
| |
Description: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Category I and II |
| $ | 400,855 |
| 94.5 | % | 11,444 |
|
Category III |
| 10,725 |
| 2.5 | % | 129 |
| |
Category IV |
| 1,181 |
| 0.3 | % | 8 |
| |
Category V |
| 11,333 |
| 2.7 | % | 61 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Total |
| $ | 424,094 |
| 100.0 | % | 11,642 |
|
Categories I and II represent fundamentally sound transactions requiring routine monitoring, with Category II indicating that routine monitoring is more frequent, due, for example, to the sector or a need to monitor triggers.
Category III represents transactions with some deterioration in asset performance, financial health of the issuer or other factors. Active monitoring and intervention is employed for Category III transactions.
Category IV reflects transactions demonstrating sufficient deterioration to indicate that material credit losses are possible. Transactions are subject to intense monitoring and intervention.
Category V reflects transactions where losses are most probable. This category includes (1) risks where claim payments have been made and where ultimate losses, net of recoveries, are expected, and (2) risks where claim payments are probable but none have yet been made and ultimate losses, net of recoveries, are expected. Transactions are subject to intense monitoring and intervention.
28
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Loss and LAE Reserves and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio
(dollars in millions)
|
| As of |
| ||||
|
| June 30, |
| December 31, |
| ||
|
| 2009 |
| 2008 |
| ||
Loss and LAE Reserves by Type: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Specific (1) |
| $ | 1,554.8 |
| $ | 1,535.6 |
|
Non-specific (1) |
| — |
| 154.4 |
| ||
Total Loss and LAE Reserves |
| $ | 1,554.8 |
| $ | 1,690.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net credit impairment on credit derivatives |
| $ | 147.6 |
| $ | 152.4 |
|
(1) The comparability of financial information is affected by the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” on January 1, 2009.
29
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses and Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio
As of June 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Loss and Loss |
| ||||
|
| Total Net Par |
| 2Q-09 |
| YTD 2Q-09 |
| Adjustment |
| ||||
|
| Outstanding |
| Incurred Losses |
| Incurred Losses |
| Expense Reserves |
| ||||
Total non-derivative financial guaranty: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Alt-A CES |
| $ | 922 |
| $ | (66.8 | ) | $ | (88.4 | ) | $ | 207.5 |
|
Prime HELOC |
| 4,276 |
| (24.4 | ) | 171.4 |
| 329.0 |
| ||||
Alt-A first lien |
| 1,474 |
| 61.8 |
| 102.6 |
| 222.4 |
| ||||
Alt-A option ARMs |
| 2,438 |
| 93.7 |
| 177.8 |
| 490.5 |
| ||||
Subprime |
| 2,413 |
| 9.8 |
| 27.4 |
| 90.9 |
| ||||
Total U.S. RMBS |
| 11,523 |
| 74.1 |
| 390.8 |
| 1,340.3 |
| ||||
NIMs |
| 102 |
| (2.0 | ) | 9.8 |
| 24.9 |
| ||||
Other structured finance |
| 18,399 |
| 6.1 |
| 5.7 |
| 22.3 |
| ||||
Public finance |
| 56,412 |
| 1.0 |
| 23.9 |
| 153.9 |
| ||||
Financial products |
| 11,340 |
| (2.0 | ) | (199.8 | ) | 13.4 |
| ||||
Total non-derivative financial guaranty |
| $ | 97,776 |
| $ | 77.2 |
| $ | 230.4 |
| $ | 1,554.8 |
|
Credit Impairment on Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio
|
| Total Net Par |
| 2Q-09 |
| YTD |
| Net |
| ||||
|
| Outstanding |
| Credit Impairment |
| Credit Impairment |
| Credit Impairment |
| ||||
Credit Derivatives |
| $ | 505 |
| $ | 43.4 |
| $ | 66.1 |
| $ | 147.6 |
|
30
Financial Security Assurance Inc.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)
|
| Year Ended December 31, |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
| YTD 2009 |
| 2008 |
| 2007 |
| 2006 |
| 2005 |
| 2004 |
| ||||||
Statutory Data |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Net income (loss) |
| $ | (15.9 | ) | $ | (1,376.7 | ) | $ | 312.9 |
| $ | 339.6 |
| $ | 293.5 |
| $ | 242.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Policyholders’ surplus |
| $ | 816.2 |
| $ | 710.8 |
| $ | 1,608.8 |
| $ | 1,543.1 |
| $ | 1,510.7 |
| $ | 1,181.4 |
|
Contingency reserve |
| 1,148.0 |
| 1,281.6 |
| 1,094.3 |
| 1,011.0 |
| 906.9 |
| 1,099.5 |
| ||||||
Qualified statutory capital |
| 1,964.2 |
| 1,992.4 |
| 2,703.1 |
| 2,554.1 |
| 2,417.6 |
| 2,280.9 |
| ||||||
Net unearned premium reserve |
| 2,454.2 |
| 2,520.1 |
| 2,274.6 |
| 2,070.8 |
| 1,850.4 |
| 1,649.2 |
| ||||||
Net present value of estimated future installment premiums |
| 793.0 |
| 962.6 |
| 1,113.0 |
| 827.9 |
| 803.4 |
| 727.3 |
| ||||||
Premium resources |
| 3,247.2 |
| 3,482.7 |
| 3,387.6 |
| 2,898.7 |
| 2,653.8 |
| 2,376.5 |
| ||||||
Net loss and LAE reserves |
| 1,514.5 |
| 1,688.0 |
| 98.1 |
| 53.0 |
| 54.4 |
| 48.2 |
| ||||||
Third party capital support(3) |
| 550.0 |
| 550.0 |
| 550.0 |
| 550.0 |
| 550.0 |
| 525.0 |
| ||||||
Total claims-paying resources |
| $ | 7,275.9 |
| $ | 7,713.1 |
| $ | 6,738.8 |
| $ | 6,055.8 |
| $ | 5,675.8 |
| $ | 5,230.6 |
|
Statutory Financial Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
| 136.6 | % | 480.2 | % | 16.1 | % | — |
| 2.1 | % | 5.0 | % | ||||||
Expense ratio |
| 46.7 | % | 9.1 | % | 30.0 | % | 29.9 | % | 27.8 | % | 26.8 | % | ||||||
Combined ratio |
| 183.3 | % | 489.3 | % | 46.1 | % | 29.9 | % | 29.9 | % | 31.8 | % | ||||||
Other Financial Information (Statutory basis): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) |
| $ | 599,835 |
| $ | 631,886 |
| $ | 623,158 |
| $ | 552,695 |
| $ | 497,625 |
| $ | 454,359 |
|
Gross par outstanding (end of period) |
| 520,644 |
| 545,568 |
| 564,515 |
| 498,619 |
| 472,374 |
| 442,932 |
| ||||||
Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies |
| 32,312 |
| 32,927 |
| 30,872 |
| 37,590 |
| 44,599 |
| 44,707 |
| ||||||
Ceded par to other companies |
| 85,682 |
| 88,248 |
| 107,131 |
| 84,573 |
| 76,377 |
| 72,417 |
| ||||||
Net par outstanding (end of period) |
| 402,650 |
| 424,393 |
| 426,512 |
| 376,456 |
| 351,398 |
| 325,808 |
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Qualified statutory capital |
| 1,964.2 |
| 1,992.4 |
| 2,703.1 |
| 2,554.1 |
| 2,417.6 |
| 2,280.9 |
| ||||||
Policyholders’ surplus & reserves |
| 5,932.9 |
| 6,200.5 |
| 5,075.8 |
| 4,677.9 |
| 4,322.4 |
| 3,978.3 |
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Ratios: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Net par insured to statutory capital |
| 205:1 |
| 213:1 |
| 158:1 |
| 147:1 |
| 145:1 |
| 143:1 |
| ||||||
Capital ratio(1) |
| 305:1 |
| 317:1 |
| 231:1 |
| 216:1 |
| 206:1 |
| 199:1 |
| ||||||
Financial resources ratio(2) |
| 82:1 |
| 82:1 |
| 92:1 |
| 91:1 |
| 88:1 |
| 87:1 |
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Gross debt service written: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||||
Public finance |
| $ | 5,279 |
| $ | 85,666 |
| $ | 133,792 |
| $ | 127,294 |
| $ | 120,745 |
| $ | 88,157 |
|
Structured finance |
| 26 |
| 5,193 |
| 57,434 |
| 48,794 |
| 40,347 |
| 63,971 |
| ||||||
Total gross debt service written |
| $ | 5,305 |
| $ | 90,859 |
| $ | 191,226 |
| $ | 176,088 |
| $ | 161,092 |
| $ | 152,128 |
|
(1) The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.
(2) The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.
(3) $350 million Bayerishe Landesbank soft capital facility included above was amended. Effective Jyly 1, 2009 facility decreased to $298 million.
31
Glossary
Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s 10-K report.
Other Public Finance. Other domestic public finance obligations insured by FSA include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.
Residential Mortgage Loans. Obligations primarily backed by residential mortgage loans generally take the form of conventional pass-through certificates or pay-through debt securities, but also include other structured products. Included are:
Alt-A closed-end second lien-mortgage (CES). Backed by fully amortizing loans secured by a second lien on residential property.
Prime Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). Primarily backed by second liens and made to higher quality (“prime”) borrowers.
Alt-A first-lien mortgages. Collateralized by fixed and floating rate loans secured by first lien on residential property.
Alt -A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage (Option ARM). Primarily backed by first lien mortgage loans made to prime borrowers (on average) with average original loan-to-value ratios.
Subprime U.S. RMBS. Characterized by lower quality borrowers and higher levels of structural credit prtection through subordination and/or excess spread.
Net interest margin securitizations (NIMs). Securities backed by the senior portion of residual cash flows from securitization of domestic residential mortgage loans.
Consumer Receivables. Obligations primarily backed by consumer receivables include conventional pass-through and pay-through securities as well as more highly structured transactions. Consumer receivables backing these insured obligations primarily include automobile loans, with some credit card receivables, manufactured housing loans and cash consumer loans. Consumer receivable transactions in FSA’s insured portfolio tend to be concentrated in the subprime automobile loan sector.
Pooled Corporate Obligations. Obligations primarily backed by pooled corporate obligations include funded and synthetic obligations collateralized by corporate debt securities or corporate loans and obligations backed by cash flow or market value of non-consumer indebtedness, and include collaterallized debt obligations (“CDOs”), such as collateralized bond obligations (“CBOs”), collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”) and comparable risks under CDS obligations. Corporate obligations include corporate bonds, bank loan participations, trade receivables, franchise loans and equity securities.
Financial Products. Represents GIC’s issued by FSAH’s Financial Products segment, which was not party of Assured Guaranty’s acquisition of FSAH on July 1, 2009.
Other Structured Finance. Other structured finance in FSA’s insured portfolio include bonds or other securities backed by goverment securities, letters of credit or repurchase agreements collateralized by government securities, securities backed by a combination of assets that include elements of more than one of the categories set forth above and unsecured corporate obligations satisfying FSA’s underwriting criteria. Other structured finance obligations insured by FSA also include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such utilities and other obligations backed by investor-owned utilities. Other structured finance obligations include securitization of life insurance risks and airplane leases, including transactions benefiting from third-party financial guaranty insurance.
32
Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:
(a) PRESENT VALUE FINANCIAL GUARANTY ORIGINATIONS: The Present Value of Financial Guaranty Originations (PV Financial Guaranty Originations) is defined as (1) Present Value (PV) Premiums Originated, which consist of estimated future installment premiums, discounted to their present value and upfront premiums, plus (2) PV Credit Derivatives Originated which consists of estimated future earnings, discounted to their present value, of credit derivative premiums. Management believes that, by disclosing the components of PV Financial Guaranty Orignations in addition to gross premiums written, the Company provides investors with a more comprehensive description of its new business activity in a given period. The discount rate used to calculate PV Financial Guaranty Originations was 4.85% for 2009 and 4.92% for 2008. Discount rates used in the PV Financial Guaranty Orginations calculation represent the average pre-tax yield on its insurance investment portfolio for the previous three years. PV Financial Guaranty Orginations are based on estimates of, among other things, prepayment speeds of asset-backed securities. PV Financial Guaranty Orginations is a measure of gross origination activity and does not reflect cessions to reinsurers or the cost of credit default swaps or other credit protection, which may be considerable, employed by the Company to manage credit exposures. Under SFAS No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” (“SFAS 163”) PV of future installments on non-derivative financial guaranty contracts are recorded in gross premiums written and are discounted at a risk free rate. Gross premiums written also includes adjustments to PV of future installment premiums, discounted at an updated risk-free rate, when there has been a change in prepayment assumptions. Under SFAS 163 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the contract whereas for PV Financial Guaranty Originations, management only records its estimate of the future installment premiums that it expects to receive. Actual future net earned or written premiums and credit derivative revenues may differ from PV Financial Guaranty Originations due to factors such as prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not be influenced by market interest rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
(b) OPERATING EARNINGS (LOSSES): The Company defines operating earnings as net income excluding the effects of fair-value adjustments considered to be non-economic plus International Financial Reproting Standards (IFRS) adjustments. IFRS is the basis of accounting used by Dexia, FSA’s ultimate parent until the Company’s acquisition by Assured Guaranty Ltd. on July 1, 2009, and is the basis on which all of FSA’s compensation plans were referenced. The primary fair-value adjustments excluded from operating earnings are itemized below.
·Fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio, which are certain contracts for which fair-value adjustments are recorded through the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income because they qualify as derivatives under SFAS No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,” (“SFAS 133”) or SFAS No. 155, “Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments.” These contracts include CDS, insured swaps in certain public finance obligations and insured NIM securitizations. In the event of credit impairment, operating earnings would include the present value of estimated economic losses.
·Fair-value adjustments attributable to the Company’s own credit risk on the Company’s committed preferred trust capital facility.
Operating earnings as defined by FSA’s new parent, Assured Guaranty Ltd., may be different due to differences in the calculations of this non-GAAP measures. Operating earnings will be conformed with Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s calculations in the third quarter of 2009.
33
| Contacts: |
|
|
| Equity Investors: |
|
|
| Sabra Purtill |
| Managing Director, Investor Relations |
| (212) 408-6044 |
| spurtill@assuredguaranty.com |
|
|
| Ross Aron |
| Associate, Investor Relations |
| (212) 261-5509 |
| raron@assuredguaranty.com |
|
|
Assured Guaranty Ltd. | Fixed Income Investors: |
30 Woodbourne Avenue | Robert Tucker |
Hamilton HM 08 | Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations |
Bermuda | (212) 339-0861 |
(441) 299-9375 | rtucker@assuredguaranty.com |
www.assuredguaranty.com |
|
| Michael Walker |
| Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations |
| (212) 261-5575 |
| mwalker@assuredguaranty.com |
|
|
| Media: |
| Betsy Castenir |
| Managing Director, Global Communications and Media Relations |
| (212) 339-3424 |
| bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com |
|
|
| Ashweeta Durani |
| Vice President, Global Communications and Media Relations |
| (212) 408-6042 |
| adurani@assuredguaranty.com |