Assured Guaranty Ltd.
December 31, 2013
Financial Supplement
|
| | | | | |
Table of Contents | | | Page |
| Selected Financial Highlights | 1 |
| Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited) | 2 |
| Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income | 3 |
| Consolidated Balance Sheets | 5 |
| Adjusted Book Value | 6 |
| Claims Paying Resources | 7 |
| New Business Production | 8 |
| Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written | 9 |
| New Business Production by Quarter | 10 |
| Available-for-Sale Investment Portfolio and Cash | 11 |
| Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues | 12 |
| Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding | 13 |
| Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed | 14 |
| Financial Guaranty Profile | 15 |
| Exposure to Puerto Rico | 19 |
| Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile | 20 |
| Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile | 21 |
| Direct U.S. RMBS Profile | 22 |
| Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile | 24 |
| Below Investment Grade Exposures | 25 |
| Largest Exposures by Sector | 30 |
| Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses to be Paid | 34 |
| Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivative U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development | 35 |
| Losses Incurred | 36 |
| Summary Financial and Statistical Data | 37 |
| Glossary | 38 |
| Non-GAAP Financial Measures | 41 |
This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (‘‘AGL’’ and, together with its subsidiaries, ‘‘Assured Guaranty’’ or the ‘‘Company’’) with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.
Some amounts in this financial supplement may not add due to rounding.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements:
Any forward looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of Assured Guaranty or any of its subsidiaries and/or of transactions that Assured Guaranty’s subsidiaries have insured; (2) reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty's insurance; (3) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect obligors’ payment rates, Assured Guaranty’s loss experience, or its exposure to refinancing risk in transactions (which could result in substantial liquidity claims on its guarantees); (4) the possibility that budget shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state and local governments that the Company insures or reinsures; (5) the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize insurance loss recoveries or damages through loan putbacks, settlement negotiations or litigation; (6) deterioration in the financial condition of Assured Guaranty’s reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to Assured Guaranty under its reinsurance agreements; (7) increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry; (8) rating agency action on obligors, including sovereign debtors, resulting in a reduction in the value of securities in the Company’s investment portfolio and in collateral posted by and to the Company; (9) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms; (10) changes in the world’s credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (11) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s contracts written in credit default swap form; (12) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (13) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (14) other governmental actions; (15) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (16) contract cancellations; (17) loss of key personnel; (18) adverse technological developments; (19) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (20) natural or man-made catastrophes; (21) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (22) management’s response to these factors; and (23) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty’s filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update publicly or review any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | Year Ended |
| | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | 2013 | | 2012 | | 2013 | | 2012 |
Operating income reconciliation: | | | | | | | | |
Operating income | | $ | 134 |
| | $ | 184 |
| | $ | 609 |
| | $ | 535 |
|
Plus after-tax adjustments: | | | | | | | | |
Realized gains (losses) on investments | | 22 |
| | 1 |
| | 40 |
| | (4 | ) |
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | | 133 |
| | (92 | ) | | (40 | ) | | (486 | ) |
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 10 |
| | (4 | ) | | 7 |
| | (12 | ) |
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves | | 3 |
| | 1 |
| | (1 | ) | | 15 |
|
Effect of consolidating financial guaranty variable interest entities (FG VIEs) | | 47 |
| | (16 | ) | | 193 |
| | 62 |
|
Net income (loss) | | $ | 349 |
| | $ | 74 |
| | $ | 808 |
| | $ | 110 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Earnings per diluted share: | | | | | | | | |
Operating income | | $ | 0.73 |
| | $ | 0.95 |
| | $ | 3.25 |
| | $ | 2.81 |
|
Plus after-tax adjustments: | | | | | | | | |
Realized gains (losses) on investments | | 0.12 |
| | 0.00 |
| | 0.22 |
| | (0.02 | ) |
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | | 0.73 |
| | (0.47 | ) | | (0.23 | ) | | (2.55 | ) |
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 0.05 |
| | (0.02 | ) | | 0.04 |
| | (0.06 | ) |
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | | 0.01 |
| | 0.01 |
| | (0.01 | ) | | 0.08 |
|
Effect of consolidating FG VIEs | | 0.26 |
| | (0.08 | ) | | 1.03 |
| | 0.31 |
|
Net income (loss) | | $ | 1.90 |
| | $ | 0.38 |
| | $ | 4.30 |
| | $ | 0.57 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
Effective tax rate on operating income | | 25.2 | % | | 26.3 | % | | 26.7 | % | | 25.0 | % |
Effective tax rate on net income | | 28.6 | % | | 21.5 | % | | 29.2 | % | | 16.5 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
Return on equity (ROE) calculations (1): | | | | | | | | |
ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio | | 28.9 | % | | 6.6 | % | | 17.0 | % | | 2.5 | % |
Operating ROE | | 8.8 | % | | 12.9 | % | | 10.2 | % | | 9.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
New business: | | | | | | | | |
Gross par written | | $ | 2,865 |
| | $ | 4,041 |
| | $ | 9,350 |
| | $ | 16,816 |
|
Present value of new business production (PVP) (2) | | $ | 67 |
| | $ | 69 |
| | $ | 141 |
| | $ | 210 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | As of |
| | | | | | December 31, | | December 31, |
Other information: | | | | | | 2013 | | 2012 |
Net debt service outstanding | | | | | | $ | 690,535 |
| | $ | 780,356 |
|
Net par outstanding | | | | | | 459,107 |
| | 518,772 |
|
Claims paying resources (3) | | | | | | 12,147 |
| | 12,328 |
|
1) Quarterly and year-to-date ROE calculations represent annualized returns.
2) Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
3) See page 7 for additional detail on claims paying resources.
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Three Months Ended | | Year Ended |
| | | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | | 2013 | | 2012 | | 2013 | | 2012 |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | |
| Net earned premiums | | $ | 182 |
| | $ | 218 |
| | $ | 752 |
| | $ | 853 |
|
| Net investment income | | 107 |
| | 103 |
| | 393 |
| | 404 |
|
| Net realized investment gains (losses) | | 29 |
| | 1 |
| | 52 |
| | 1 |
|
| Net change in fair value of credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | |
| | Realized gains (losses) and other settlements | | 2 |
| | (30 | ) | | (42 | ) | | (108 | ) |
| | Net unrealized gains (losses) | | 227 |
| | (89 | ) | | 107 |
| | (477 | ) |
| | | Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | | 229 |
| | (119 | ) | | 65 |
| | (585 | ) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 14 |
| | (6 | ) | | 10 |
| | (18 | ) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | | 93 |
| | 30 |
| | 346 |
| | 191 |
|
| Other income (loss) | | (5 | ) | | (4 | ) | | (10 | ) | | 108 |
|
| | Total revenues | | 649 |
| | 223 |
| | 1,608 |
| | 954 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | |
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses | | 85 |
| | 58 |
| | 154 |
| | 504 |
|
| Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | | 4 |
| | 0 |
| | 12 |
| | 14 |
|
| Interest expense | | 19 |
| | 21 |
| | 82 |
| | 92 |
|
| Other operating expenses | | 52 |
| | 49 |
| | 218 |
| | 212 |
|
| | Total expenses | | 160 |
| | 128 |
| | 466 |
| | 822 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Income (loss) before income taxes | | 489 |
| | 95 |
| | 1,142 |
| | 132 |
|
| Provision (benefit) for income taxes | | 140 |
| | 21 |
| | 334 |
| | 22 |
|
Net income (loss) |
| $ | 349 |
|
| $ | 74 |
| | $ | 808 |
| | $ | 110 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Less after-tax adjustments: | | | | | | | | |
| Realized gains (losses) on investments |
| 22 |
|
| 1 |
| | 40 |
| | (4 | ) |
| Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives |
| 133 |
|
| (92 | ) | | (40 | ) | | (486 | ) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities |
| 10 |
|
| (4 | ) | | 7 |
| | (12 | ) |
| Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves |
| 3 |
|
| 1 |
| | (1 | ) | | 15 |
|
| Effect of consolidating FG VIEs |
| 47 |
|
| (16 | ) | | 193 |
| | 62 |
|
Operating income |
| $ | 134 |
|
| $ | 184 |
|
| $ | 609 |
|
| $ | 535 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Weighted average shares outstanding | | | | | | | | |
| Basic shares outstanding | | 182.0 |
| | 194.0 |
| | 186.6 |
| | 189.2 |
|
| Diluted shares outstanding (1) | | 183.0 |
| | 194.7 |
| | 187.6 |
| | 190.7 |
|
| Shares outstanding at the end of period | | 182.2 |
| | 194.0 |
| | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Effect of refundings and terminations, net | | | | | | | | |
| Net earned premiums from refundings and terminations | | $ | 64 |
| | $ | 153 |
| | $ | 263 |
| | $ | 331 |
|
| Realized gains (losses) and other settlements from CDS terminations | | 6 |
| | 2 |
| | 21 |
| | 3 |
|
| Operating income effect | | 53 |
| | 101 |
| | 191 |
| | 219 |
|
| Operating income per diluted share effect | | 0.29 |
| | 0.53 |
| | 1.02 |
| | 1.15 |
|
| |
1) | Non-GAAP diluted shares outstanding were 183.0 million and 194.7 million for the three months ended December 31, 2013 and 2012, respectively, and 187.6 million and 190.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2013 and 2012, respectively. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | Three Months Ended |
| | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
| | GAAP Income As Reported | | Less: Operating Income Adjustments | | Non-GAAP Operating Income Results | | GAAP Income As Reported | | Less: Operating Income Adjustments | | Non-GAAP Operating Income Results |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | $ | 182 |
| | $ | (12 | ) | (1 | ) | $ | 194 |
| | $ | 218 |
| | $ | (103 | ) | (1 | ) | $ | 321 |
|
Net investment income | | 107 |
| | 0 |
| (1 | ) | 107 |
| | 103 |
| | 4 |
| (1 | ) | 99 |
|
Net realized investment gains (losses) | | 29 |
| | 29 |
| (2 | ) | 0 |
| | 1 |
| | 0 |
| (2 | ) | 1 |
|
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Realized gains (losses) and other settlements | | 2 |
| | 2 |
| | — |
| | (30 | ) | | (30 | ) | | — |
|
Net unrealized gains (losses) | | 227 |
| | 227 |
| | — |
| | (89 | ) | | (89 | ) | | — |
|
Credit derivative revenues | | — |
| | (28 | ) | | 28 |
| | — |
| | (31 | ) | | 31 |
|
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | | 229 |
| | 201 |
| (3 | ) | 28 |
| | (119 | ) | | (150 | ) | (3 | ) | 31 |
|
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 14 |
| | 14 |
| (4 | ) | — |
| | (6 | ) | | (6 | ) | (4 | ) | — |
|
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | | 93 |
| | 93 |
| (1 | ) | — |
| | 30 |
| | 30 |
| (1 | ) | — |
|
Other income (loss) | | (5 | ) | | 3 |
| (5 | ) | (8 | ) | | (4 | ) | | 1 |
| (5 | ) | (5 | ) |
Total revenues | | 649 |
| | 328 |
| | 321 |
| | 223 |
| | (224 | ) | | 447 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty insurance | | 85 |
| | 4 |
| (1 | ) | 81 |
| | 58 |
| | (50 | ) | (1 | ) | 108 |
|
Credit derivatives | | — |
| | 14 |
| (3 | ) | (14 | ) | | — |
| | (19 | ) | (3 | ) | 19 |
|
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | | 4 |
| | — |
| | 4 |
| | 0 |
| | — |
| | 0 |
|
Interest expense | | 19 |
| | — |
| | 19 |
| | 21 |
| | — |
| | 21 |
|
Other operating expenses | | 52 |
| | — |
| | 52 |
| | 49 |
| | — |
| | 49 |
|
Total expenses | | 160 |
| | 18 |
| | 142 |
| | 128 |
| | (69 | ) | | 197 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Income (loss) before income taxes | | 489 |
| | 310 |
| | 179 |
| | 95 |
| | (155 | ) | | 250 |
|
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | | 140 |
| | 95 |
| (6 | ) | 45 |
| | 21 |
| | (45 | ) | (6 | ) | 66 |
|
Net income (loss) | | $ | 349 |
| | $ | 215 |
| | $ | 134 |
| | $ | 74 |
| | $ | (110 | ) | | $ | 184 |
|
| |
1) | Include adjustments related to elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs. |
| |
2) | Adjustments to eliminate realized gains (losses) on available-for-sale investments. |
| |
3) | Adjustments to eliminate non-economic fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives and reclassification to revenues and loss expense. |
| |
4) | Adjustments to eliminate fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities. |
| |
5) | Adjustments primarily related to elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves. |
| |
6) | Tax effect of the above adjustments. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Net Income (Loss) Reconciliation to Operating Income (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Year Ended | | Year Ended |
| | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
| | GAAP Income As Reported | | Less: Operating Income Adjustments | | Non-GAAP Operating Income Results | | GAAP Income As Reported | | Less: Operating Income Adjustments | | Non-GAAP Operating Income Results |
Revenues: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net earned premiums | | $ | 752 |
| | $ | (59 | ) | (1 | ) | $ | 811 |
| | $ | 853 |
| | $ | (153 | ) | (1 | ) | $ | 1,006 |
|
Net investment income | | 393 |
| | 1 |
| (1 | ) | 392 |
| | 404 |
| | 14 |
| (1 | ) | 390 |
|
Net realized investment gains (losses) | | 52 |
| | 56 |
| (2 | ) | (4 | ) | | 1 |
| | (6 | ) | (2 | ) | 7 |
|
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Realized gains (losses) and other settlements | | (42 | ) | | (42 | ) | | — |
| | (108 | ) | | (108 | ) | | — |
|
Net unrealized gains (losses) | | 107 |
| | 107 |
| | — |
| | (477 | ) | | (477 | ) | | — |
|
Credit derivative revenues | | — |
| | (121 | ) | | 121 |
| | — |
| | (127 | ) | | 127 |
|
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | | 65 |
| | (56 | ) | (3 | ) | 121 |
| | (585 | ) | | (712 | ) | (3 | ) | 127 |
|
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 10 |
| | 10 |
| (4 | ) | — |
| | (18 | ) | | (18 | ) | (4 | ) | — |
|
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | | 346 |
| | 346 |
| (1 | ) | — |
| | 191 |
| | 191 |
| (1 | ) | — |
|
Other income (loss) | | (10 | ) | | (7 | ) | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | | 108 |
| | 11 |
| (5 | ) | 97 |
|
Total revenues | | 1,608 |
| | 291 |
| | 1,317 |
| | 954 |
| | (673 | ) | | 1,627 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss and loss adjustment expenses: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty insurance | | 154 |
| | (21 | ) | (1 | ) | 175 |
| | 504 |
| | (64 | ) | (1 | ) | 568 |
|
Credit derivatives | | — |
| | 1 |
| (3 | ) | (1 | ) | | — |
| | (28 | ) | (3 | ) | 28 |
|
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | | 12 |
| | — |
| | 12 |
| | 14 |
| | — |
| | 14 |
|
Interest expense | | 82 |
| | — |
| | 82 |
| | 92 |
| | — |
| | 92 |
|
Other operating expenses | | 218 |
| | — |
| | 218 |
| | 212 |
| | — |
| | 212 |
|
Total expenses | | 466 |
| | (20 | ) | | 486 |
| | 822 |
| | (92 | ) | | 914 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Income (loss) before income taxes | | 1,142 |
| | 311 |
| | 831 |
| | 132 |
| | (581 | ) | | 713 |
|
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | | 334 |
| | 112 |
| (6 | ) | 222 |
| | 22 |
| | (156 | ) | (6 | ) | 178 |
|
Net income (loss) | | $ | 808 |
| | $ | 199 |
| | $ | 609 |
| | $ | 110 |
| | $ | (425 | ) | | $ | 535 |
|
| |
1) | Include adjustments related to elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs. |
| |
2) | Adjustments to eliminate realized gains (losses) on available-for-sale investments. |
| |
3) | Adjustments to eliminate non-economic fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives and reclassification to revenues and loss expense. |
| |
4) | Adjustments to eliminate fair value gain (loss) on committed capital securities. |
| |
5) | Adjustments primarily related to elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves. |
| |
6) | Tax effect of the above adjustments. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | As of: |
| | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | 2013 | | 2012 |
Assets: | | | | |
Investment portfolio: | | | | |
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value | | $ | 9,711 |
| | $ | 10,056 |
|
Short-term investments, at fair value | | 904 |
| | 817 |
|
Other invested assets | | 170 |
| | 212 |
|
Total investment portfolio | | 10,785 |
| | 11,085 |
|
| | | | |
Cash | | 184 |
| | 138 |
|
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable | | 876 |
| | 1,005 |
|
Ceded unearned premium reserve | | 452 |
| | 561 |
|
Deferred acquisition costs | | 124 |
| | 116 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses | | 36 |
| | 58 |
|
Salvage and subrogation recoverable | | 174 |
| | 456 |
|
Credit derivative assets | | 94 |
| | 141 |
|
Deferred tax asset, net | | 688 |
| | 721 |
|
FG VIE assets, at fair value | | 2,565 |
| | 2,688 |
|
Other assets | | 309 |
| | 273 |
|
Total assets | | $ | 16,287 |
| | $ | 17,242 |
|
| | | | |
Liabilities and shareholders' equity: | | | | |
Liabilities: | | | | |
Unearned premium reserve | | $ | 4,595 |
| | $ | 5,207 |
|
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve | | 592 |
| | 601 |
|
Reinsurance balances payable, net | | 148 |
| | 219 |
|
Long-term debt | | 816 |
| | 836 |
|
Credit derivative liabilities | | 1,787 |
| | 1,934 |
|
Current income tax payable | | 44 |
| | — |
|
FG VIE liabilities with recourse, at fair value | | 1,790 |
| | 2,090 |
|
FG VIE liabilities without recourse, at fair value | | 1,081 |
| | 1,051 |
|
Other liabilities | | 319 |
| | 310 |
|
Total liabilities | | 11,172 |
| | 12,248 |
|
| | | | |
Shareholders' equity: | | | | |
Common stock | | 2 |
| | 2 |
|
Additional paid-in capital | | 2,466 |
| | 2,724 |
|
Retained earnings | | 2,482 |
| | 1,749 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income | | 160 |
| | 515 |
|
Deferred equity compensation | | 5 |
| | 4 |
|
Total shareholders' equity | | 5,115 |
| | 4,994 |
|
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | | $ | 16,287 |
| | $ | 17,242 |
|
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of: |
| | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
| | Total | | Per Share | | Total | | Per Share |
Reconciliation of shareholders' equity to adjusted book value: | | | | | | | | |
Shareholders' equity | | $ | 5,115 |
| | $ | 28.07 |
| | $ | 4,994 |
| | $ | 25.74 |
|
Less after-tax adjustments: | | | | | | | | |
Effect of consolidating FG VIEs | | (172 | ) | | (0.95 | ) | | (348 | ) | | (1.79 | ) |
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | | (1,052 | ) | | (5.77 | ) | | (988 | ) | | (5.09 | ) |
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities | | 30 |
| | 0.16 |
| | 23 |
| | 0.12 |
|
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | | 145 |
| | 0.80 |
| | 477 |
| | 2.45 |
|
Operating shareholders' equity | | 6,164 |
| | 33.83 |
| | 5,830 |
| | 30.05 |
|
After-tax adjustments: | | | | | | | | |
Less: Deferred acquisition costs | | 161 |
| | 0.88 |
| | 165 |
| | 0.85 |
|
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue | | 146 |
| | 0.80 |
| | 220 |
| | 1.14 |
|
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | | 2,884 |
| | 15.83 |
| | 3,266 |
| | 16.83 |
|
Adjusted book value | | $ | 9,033 |
| | $ | 49.58 |
| | $ | 9,151 |
| | $ | 47.17 |
|
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | As of December 31, 2013 |
| | Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | | Assured Guaranty Corp. | | Municipal Assurance Corp.(2) | | Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (3) | | Eliminations(4) | | Consolidated |
Claims paying resources | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Policyholders' surplus | | $ | 1,746 |
| | $ | 693 |
| | $ | 514 |
| | $ | 1,063 |
| | $ | (814 | ) | | $ | 3,202 |
|
Contingency reserve(1)(2) | | 1,783 |
| | 1,151 |
| | 320 |
| | — |
| | (320 | ) | | 2,934 |
|
Qualified statutory capital | | 3,529 |
| | 1,844 |
| | 834 |
| | 1,063 |
| | (1,134 | ) | | 6,136 |
|
Unearned premium reserve(1)(2) | | 1,891 |
| | 720 |
| | 671 |
| | 934 |
| | (671 | ) | | 3,545 |
|
Loss and LAE reserves (5) (6) | | 340 |
| | 153 |
| | — |
| | 280 |
| | — |
| | 773 |
|
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | | 5,760 |
| | 2,717 |
| | 1,505 |
| | 2,277 |
| | (1,805 | ) | | 10,454 |
|
Present value of installment premium(1)(6) | | 395 |
| | 262 |
| | 5 |
| | 201 |
| | (5 | ) | | 858 |
|
Standby line of credit/stop loss | | 200 |
| | 200 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 400 |
|
Excess of loss reinsurance facility | | 435 |
| | 435 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | (435 | ) | | 435 |
|
Total claims paying resources (including MAC adjustment for AGM and AGC) | | 6,790 |
| | 3,614 |
| | 1,510 |
| | 2,478 |
| | (2,245 | ) | | 12,147 |
|
Adjustment for MAC | | 917 |
| | 593 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | (1,510 | ) | | — |
|
Total claims paying resources (excluding MAC adjustment for AGM and AGC) | | $ | 5,873 |
| | $ | 3,021 |
| | $ | 1,510 |
| | $ | 2,478 |
| | $ | (735 | ) | | $ | 12,147 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Statutory net par outstanding (7) | | $ | 171,279 |
| | $ | 57,227 |
| | $ | 96,141 |
| | $ | 111,575 |
| | $ | (1,625 | ) | | $ | 434,597 |
|
Equity method adjustment (8) | | 58,358 |
| | 37,783 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | (96,141 | ) | | — |
|
Adjusted statutory net par outstanding (7) | | $ | 229,637 |
| | $ | 95,010 |
| | $ | 96,141 |
| | $ | 111,575 |
| | $ | (97,766 | ) | | $ | 434,597 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net debt service outstanding (7) | | $ | 263,089 |
| | $ | 82,478 |
| | $ | 144,672 |
| | $ | 177,105 |
| | $ | (3,547 | ) | | $ | 663,797 |
|
Equity method adjustment (8) | | 87,816 |
| | 56,856 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | (144,672 | ) | | — |
|
Adjusted net debt service outstanding (7) | | $ | 350,905 |
| | $ | 139,334 |
| | $ | 144,672 |
| | $ | 177,105 |
| | $ | (148,219 | ) | | $ | 663,797 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratios: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Adjusted net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital | | 65:1 | | 52:1 | | 115:1 | | 105:1 | | N/A | | 71:1 |
Capital ratio (9) | | 99:1 | | 76:1 | | 173:1 | | 167:1 | | N/A | | 108:1 |
Financial resources ratio (10) | | 52:1 | | 39:1 | | 96:1 | | 71:1 | | N/A | | 55:1 |
| |
1) | The numbers shown for Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM) and Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC) have been adjusted to include their indirect share of Municipal Assurance Corp. (MAC). See footnote 2 below for additional detail. |
| |
2) | Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. acquired Municipal and Infrastructure Assurance Corporation, which it has renamed MAC, from Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) in May 2012. In July 2013, Municipal Assurance Holdings Inc. (MAC Holdings) was formed to own 100% of MAC's outstanding stock. AGM and AGC subscribed for 60.7% and 39.3% of the MAC Holdings outstanding stock. In July 2013, MAC was launched as a new US municipal only bond insurance company with $1.5 billion in claims-paying resources and capitalized to approximately $800 million through cash and securities. |
| |
3) | Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by insurance regulatory authorities. |
| |
4) | In 2009, AGC issued a $300 million note payable to AGM. Net par and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary, and net par related to intercompany cessions from AGM and AGC to MAC. |
| |
5) | Reserves are reduced by approximately $0.7 billion for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables. |
| |
6) | Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives. |
| |
7) | Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a separate company statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., an issuer has legally discharged its obligations with respect to a municipal security by satisfying conditions set forth in defeasance provisions contained in transaction documents and is no longer responsible for the payment of debt service with respect to such obligations) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., transaction documents for a municipal security do not contain defeasance provisions but the issuer establishes an escrow account with U.S. government securities in amounts sufficient to pay the refunded bonds when due; the refunded bonds are not considered paid and continue to be outstanding under the transaction documents and the issuer remains responsible to pay debt service when due to the extent monies on deposit in the escrow account are insufficient for such purpose). |
| |
8) | Equity method adjustment is an adjustment made to reflect AGM's and AGC's net exposure to MAC, as determined by their indirect equity ownership. |
| |
9) | The capital ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital. |
| |
10) | The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources (including MAC adjustment for AGM and AGC). |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | Year Ended |
| | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | 2013 | | 2012 | | 2013 | | 2012 |
New business production analysis: | | | | | | | | |
PVP | | | | | | | | |
Public finance - U.S.: | | | | | | | | |
Assumed from Radian | | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 22 |
|
Other | | 61 |
| | 37 |
| | 116 |
| | 144 |
|
Public finance - non-U.S. | | 5 |
| | — |
| | 18 |
| | 1 |
|
Structured finance - U.S. | | 1 |
| | 32 |
| | 7 |
| | 43 |
|
Structured finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Total PVP |
| $ | 67 |
|
| $ | 69 |
| | $ | 141 |
| | $ | 210 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
Reconciliation of PVP to gross written premiums (GWP): | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
PVP of financial guaranty insurance | | $ | 67 |
|
| $ | 69 |
|
| $ | 141 |
|
| $ | 210 |
|
Less: financial guaranty installment premium PVP | | 7 |
|
| 33 |
|
| 26 |
|
| 45 |
|
Total: financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums | | 60 |
| | 36 |
| | 115 |
| | 165 |
|
Plus: financial guaranty installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(1) | | (2 | ) |
| 73 |
|
| 8 |
|
| 88 |
|
Total GWP | | $ | 58 |
| | $ | 109 |
| | $ | 123 |
| | $ | 253 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty gross par written: | | | | | | | | |
Public finance - U.S.: | | | | | | | | |
Assumed from Radian | | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 1,797 |
|
Other | | 2,743 |
| | 3,641 |
| | 8,671 |
| | 14,364 |
|
Public finance - non-U.S. | | 122 |
| | — |
| | 392 |
| | 35 |
|
Structured finance - U.S. | | — |
| | 400 |
| | 287 |
| | 620 |
|
Structured finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Total |
| $ | 2,865 |
|
| $ | 4,041 |
| | $ | 9,350 |
| | $ | 16,816 |
|
| |
1) | Includes present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts and other GAAP adjustments. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(dollars in millions)
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Three Months Ended | | Year Ended |
| | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2013 |
| | Gross Par Written | | Avg. Internal Rating | | Gross Par Written | | Avg. Internal Rating |
Sector: | | | | | | | | |
U.S. public finance | | | | | | | | |
General obligation | | $ | 850 |
| | A- | | $ | 3,856 |
| | A- |
Municipal utilities | | 912 |
| | BBB | | 1,895 |
| | BBB+ |
Tax backed | | 436 |
| | A- | | 1,464 |
| | A- |
Transportation | | 458 |
| | BBB | | 1,099 |
| | BBB+ |
Higher education | | 73 |
| | A- | | 155 |
| | A- |
Healthcare | | 4 |
| | BBB+ | | 115 |
| | BBB+ |
Infrastructure finance | | 10 |
| | A | | 88 |
| | A |
Total U.S. public finance | | 2,743 |
| | BBB+ | | 8,672 |
| | A- |
Non-U.S. public finance: | | | | | | | | |
Total non-U.S. public finance | | 122 |
| | BBB- | | 391 |
| | BBB- |
Total public finance | | $ | 2,865 |
| | BBB+ | | $ | 9,063 |
| | A- |
| | | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | |
Commercial receivables | | — |
| | — | | 273 |
| | AA |
Other structure finance | | — |
| | — | | 14 |
| | A- |
Total U.S. structured finance | | — |
| | — | | 287 |
| | AA |
Non-U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | |
Total non-U.S. structured finance | | — |
| | — | | — |
| | — |
Total structured finance | | $ | — |
| | — | | $ | 287 |
| | AA |
| | | | | | | | |
Total gross par written | | $ | 2,865 |
| | BBB+ | | $ | 9,350 |
| | A- |
Please refer to the Glossary for a description of internal ratings and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production by Quarter
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Year End |
| | 1Q-12 | | 2Q-12 | | 3Q-12 | | 4Q-12 | | 1Q-13 | | 2Q-13 | | 3Q-13 | | 4Q-13 | | 2012 | | 2013 |
PVP: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance - U.S.: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Assumed from Radian | | $ | 22 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 22 |
| | $ | — |
|
Other | | 30 |
| | 47 |
| | 30 |
| | 37 |
| | 16 |
| | 15 |
| | 24 |
| | 61 |
| | 144 |
| | 116 |
|
Public finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | 1 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 13 |
| | 5 |
| | 1 |
| | 18 |
|
Structured finance - U.S. | | 4 |
| | 2 |
| | 5 |
| | 32 |
| | 2 |
| | 1 |
| | 3 |
| | 1 |
| | 43 |
| | 7 |
|
Structured finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Total PVP | | $ | 56 |
| | $ | 50 |
| | $ | 35 |
| | $ | 69 |
| | $ | 18 |
| | $ | 16 |
| | $ | 40 |
| | $ | 67 |
| | $ | 210 |
| | $ | 141 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Reconciliation of PVP to GWP: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total PVP of financial guarantee insurance | | $ | 56 |
| | $ | 50 |
| | $ | 35 |
| | $ | 69 |
| | $ | 18 |
| | $ | 16 |
| | $ | 40 |
| | $ | 67 |
| | $ | 210 |
| | $ | 141 |
|
Less: financial guaranty installment premium PVP | | 4 |
| | 3 |
| | 5 |
| | 33 |
| | 1 |
| | — |
| | 18 |
| | 7 |
| | 45 |
| | 26 |
|
Total: financial guaranty upfront GWP | | 52 |
| | 47 |
| | 30 |
| | 36 |
| | 17 |
| | 16 |
| | 22 |
| | 60 |
| | 165 |
| | 115 |
|
Plus: financial guaranty installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(1) | | 36 |
| | (16 | ) | | (5 | ) | | 73 |
| | — |
| | 6 |
| | 4 |
| | (2 | ) | | 88 |
| | 8 |
|
Total GWP | | $ | 88 |
| | $ | 31 |
| | $ | 25 |
| | $ | 109 |
| | $ | 17 |
| | $ | 22 |
| | $ | 26 |
| | $ | 58 |
| | $ | 253 |
| | $ | 123 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial guaranty gross par written: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Public finance - U.S.: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Assumed from Radian | | $ | 1,797 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 1,797 |
| | $ | — |
|
Other | | 3,046 |
| | 4,670 |
| | 3,007 |
| | 3,641 |
| | 1,580 |
| | 2,276 |
| | 2,072 |
| | 2,743 |
| | 14,364 |
| | 8,671 |
|
Public finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | 35 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 270 |
| | 122 |
| | 35 |
| | 392 |
|
Structured finance - U.S. | | 38 |
| | — |
| | 182 |
| | 400 |
| | 14 |
| | — |
| | 273 |
| | — |
| | 620 |
| | 287 |
|
Structured finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Total | | $ | 4,881 |
| | $ | 4,705 |
| | $ | 3,189 |
| | $ | 4,041 |
| | $ | 1,594 |
| | $ | 2,276 |
| | $ | 2,615 |
| | $ | 2,865 |
| | $ | 16,816 |
| | $ | 9,350 |
|
| |
1) | Includes present value of new business on installment policies plus GWP adjustment on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts and other GAAP adjustments. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Available-for-Sale Investment Portfolio and Cash
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Amortized Cost | | Pre-Tax Book Yield | | After-Tax Book Yield | | Fair Value | | Annualized Investment Income (1) |
Investment portfolio, available-for-sale: | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed maturity securities: | | | | | | | | | | |
| Obligations of states and political subdivisions | | $ | 3,740 |
| | 3.99 | % | | 3.76 | % | | $ | 3,856 |
| | $ | 149 |
|
| Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions (2)(4) | | 1,159 |
| | 4.63 | % | | 4.38 | % | | 1,223 |
| | 54 |
|
| U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | | 431 |
| | 2.03 | % | | 1.39 | % | | 438 |
| | 9 |
|
| Agency obligations | | 243 |
| | 3.77 | % | | 3.11 | % | | 262 |
| | 9 |
|
| Corporate securities | | 1,314 |
| | 3.85 | % | | 2.97 | % | | 1,340 |
| | 51 |
|
| Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) (3): | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Residential MBS (RMBS) (4) | | 1,285 |
| | 6.31 | % | | 4.65 | % | | 1,220 |
| | 81 |
|
| | Commercial MBS (CMBS) | | 536 |
| | 3.74 | % | | 3.14 | % | | 549 |
| | 20 |
|
| Asset-backed securities | | 605 |
| | 4.23 | % | | 2.88 | % | | 608 |
| | 26 |
|
| Foreign government securities | | 300 |
| | 2.50 | % | | 1.65 | % | | 313 |
| | 7 |
|
| | Total fixed maturity securities | | 9,613 |
| | 4.22 | % | | 3.57 | % | | 9,809 |
| | 406 |
|
Short-term investments | | 895 |
| | 0.03 | % | | 0.02 | % | | 895 |
| | 0 |
|
Cash (5) | | 183 |
| | — | % | | — | % | | 183 |
| | — |
|
| | Total | | $ | 10,691 |
| | 3.86 | % | | 3.27 | % | | $ | 10,887 |
| | $ | 406 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Less: FG VIEs | | 116 |
| | 10.90 | % | | 7.10 | % | | 88 |
| | 13 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total | | $ | 10,575 |
| | 3.79 | % | | 3.22 | % | | $ | 10,799 |
| | $ | 393 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings (6): | | Fair Value | | % of Portfolio | | | |
| | |
| U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | | $ | 438 |
| | 4.5 | % | | | |
| | |
| Agency obligations | | 262 |
| | 2.7 | % | | | | | | |
| AAA/Aaa | | 1,601 |
| | 16.3 | % | | | | | | |
| AA/Aa | | 4,884 |
| | 49.8 | % | | | | | | |
| A/A | | 1,714 |
| | 17.4 | % | | | | | | |
| BBB | | 87 |
| | 0.9 | % | | | | | | |
| Below investment grade (BIG) (7) | | 823 |
| | 8.4 | % | | | | | | |
| | Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | | 9,809 |
| | 100.0 | % | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Less: FG VIEs | | (98 | ) | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | | $ | 9,711 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Duration of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years): | | | | 4.9 | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments | | | | AA- | | | | | | |
| |
1) | Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields. |
| |
2) | Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (S&P) or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (Moody's), average A+. Includes fair value of $280 million insured by AGC and AGM. |
| |
3) | Includes fair value of $198 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG. |
| |
4) | Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies. |
| |
5) | Represents operating cash and is not included in yield calculations. |
| |
6) | Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or risk management strategies ("loss mitigation bonds") which use internal ratings classifications. |
| |
7) | Includes below investment grade securities that were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $2,036 million in par with carrying value of $823 million. |
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Financial Guaranty Insurance (2) | | | | |
| | Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization (5) | | Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding (5) | | Expected PV Net Earned Premiums | | Accretion of Discount | | Future Net Premiums Earned (3) | | Future Credit Derivative Revenues (4) | | Total |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2013 (as of December 31) | | | | $ | 690,535 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2014 Q1 | | $ | 12,919 |
| | 677,616 |
| | $ | 118 |
| | $ | 6 |
| | $ | 124 |
| | $ | 17 |
| | $ | 141 |
|
2014 Q2 | | 16,787 |
| | 660,829 |
| | 116 |
| | 6 |
| | 122 |
| | 17 |
| | 139 |
|
2014 Q3 | | 16,338 |
| | 644,491 |
| | 113 |
| | 6 |
| | 119 |
| | 15 |
| | 134 |
|
2014 Q4 | | 16,234 |
| | 628,257 |
| | 109 |
| | 6 |
| | 115 |
| | 15 |
| | 130 |
|
2015 | | 57,703 |
| | 570,554 |
| | 398 |
| | 21 |
| | 419 |
| | 45 |
| | 464 |
|
2016 | | 46,428 |
| | 524,126 |
| | 349 |
| | 20 |
| | 369 |
| | 31 |
| | 400 |
|
2017 | | 44,792 |
| | 479,334 |
| | 311 |
| | 18 |
| | 329 |
| | 21 |
| | 350 |
|
2018 | | 33,513 |
| | 445,821 |
| | 282 |
| | 16 |
| | 298 |
| | 10 |
| | 308 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2014-2018 | | 244,714 |
| | 445,821 |
| | 1,796 |
| | 99 |
| | 1,895 |
| | 171 |
| | 2,066 |
|
2019-2023 | | 149,014 |
| | 296,807 |
| | 1,086 |
| | 66 |
| | 1,152 |
| | 42 |
| | 1,194 |
|
2024-2028 | | 118,812 |
| | 177,995 |
| | 685 |
| | 40 |
| | 725 |
| | 26 |
| | 751 |
|
2029-2033 | | 83,500 |
| | 94,495 |
| | 417 |
| | 23 |
| | 440 |
| | 23 |
| | 463 |
|
After 2033 | | 94,495 |
| | — |
| | 380 |
| | 17 |
| | 397 |
| | 23 |
| | 420 |
|
| Total | | $ | 690,535 |
| | | | $ | 4,364 |
| | $ | 245 |
| | $ | 4,609 |
| | $ | 285 |
| | $ | 4,894 |
|
| |
1) | Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of December 31, 2013. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. |
| |
2) | See page 14 for ‘‘Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’ |
| |
3) | Includes $193 million in future net premiums earned related to FG VIEs. |
| |
4) | Excludes contracts with credit impairment. |
| |
5) | Amount is shown net of loss mitigation bonds. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service outstanding.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding
(dollars in millions)
Structured Finance |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Estimated Net Par Amortization | | |
| | | U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate | | U.S. RMBS | | Financial Products | | Other Structured Finance | | Total | | Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2013 (as of December 31) | | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 72,928 |
|
2014 Q1 | | $ | 1,317 |
| | $ | 591 |
| | $ | 292 |
| | $ | 343 |
| | $ | 2,543 |
| | 70,385 |
|
2014 Q2 | | 4,701 |
| | 612 |
| | 96 |
| | 405 |
| | 5,814 |
| | 64,571 |
|
2014 Q3 | | 2,915 |
| | 593 |
| | 43 |
| | 219 |
| | 3,770 |
| | 60,801 |
|
2014 Q4 | | 3,583 |
| | 586 |
| | 10 |
| | 550 |
| | 4,729 |
| | 56,072 |
|
2015 | | 10,709 |
| | 2,187 |
| | 239 |
| | 2,019 |
| | 15,154 |
| | 40,918 |
|
2016 | | 6,282 |
| | 1,890 |
| | 140 |
| | 1,890 |
| | 10,202 |
| | 30,716 |
|
2017 | | 8,466 |
| | 1,587 |
| | 69 |
| | 1,577 |
| | 11,699 |
| | 19,017 |
|
2018 | | 698 |
| | 1,312 |
| | 76 |
| | 787 |
| | 2,873 |
| | 16,144 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2014-2018 | | 38,671 |
| | 9,358 |
| | 965 |
| | 7,790 |
| | 56,784 |
| | 16,144 |
|
2019-2023 | | 1,045 |
| | 2,829 |
| | 332 |
| | 3,054 |
| | 7,260 |
| | 8,884 |
|
2024-2028 | | 439 |
| | 857 |
| | 306 |
| | 1,364 |
| | 2,966 |
| | 5,918 |
|
2029-2033 | | 401 |
| | 226 |
| | 607 |
| | 782 |
| | 2,016 |
| | 3,902 |
|
After 2033 | | 1,827 |
| | 451 |
| | 499 |
| | 1,125 |
| | 3,902 |
| | — |
|
| Total structured finance | | $ | 42,383 |
| | $ | 13,721 |
| | $ | 2,709 |
| | $ | 14,115 |
| | $ | 72,928 |
| |
|
Public Finance
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | Estimated Net Par Amortization | | Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding |
| | | | | |
2013 (as of December 31) | | | | $ | 386,179 |
|
2014 Q1 | | $ | 5,458 |
| | 380,721 |
|
2014 Q2 | | 6,041 |
| | 374,680 |
|
2014 Q3 | | 7,779 |
| | 366,901 |
|
2014 Q4 | | 6,807 |
| | 360,094 |
|
2015 | | 24,691 |
| | 335,403 |
|
2016 | | 19,639 |
| | 315,764 |
|
2017 | | 17,669 |
| | 298,095 |
|
2018 | | 16,140 |
| | 281,955 |
|
| | | | | |
2014-2018 | | 104,224 |
| | 281,955 |
|
2019-2023 | | 81,176 |
| | 200,779 |
|
2024-2028 | | 74,775 |
| | 126,004 |
|
2029-2033 | | 56,734 |
| | 69,270 |
|
After 2033 | | 69,270 |
| | — |
|
| Total public finance | | $ | 386,179 |
| |
|
|
Net par outstanding (end of period) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 1Q-12 | | 2Q-12 | | 3Q-12 | | 4Q-12 | | 1Q-13 | | 2Q-13 | | 3Q-13 | | 4Q-13 |
Public finance - U.S. | | $ | 416,499 |
| | $ | 409,877 |
| | $ | 399,176 |
| | $ | 387,929 |
| | $ | 378,418 |
| | $ | 371,020 |
| | $ | 361,203 |
| | $ | 352,181 |
|
Public finance - non-U.S. | | 39,913 |
| | 38,769 |
| | 38,720 |
| | 37,540 |
| | 35,067 |
| | 33,700 |
| | 34,912 |
| | 33,998 |
|
Structured finance - U.S. | | 87,361 |
| | 82,893 |
| | 77,893 |
| | 74,535 |
| | 70,129 |
| | 65,159 |
| | 62,584 |
| | 58,907 |
|
Structured finance - non-U.S. | | 21,979 |
| | 19,935 |
| | 19,070 |
| | 18,768 |
| | 17,092 |
| | 15,915 |
| | 14,671 |
| | 14,021 |
|
| Net par outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | 565,752 |
| | 551,474 |
| | 534,859 |
| | 518,772 |
| | 500,706 |
| | 485,794 |
| | 473,370 |
| | 459,107 |
|
Loss mitigation bonds | | 1,346 |
| | 1,460 |
| | 1,534 |
| | 1,121 |
| | 1,111 |
| | 1,195 |
| | 1,297 |
| | 1,195 |
|
| Net par outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | $ | 567,098 |
| | $ | 552,934 |
| | $ | 536,393 |
| | $ | 519,893 |
| | $ | 501,817 |
| | $ | 486,989 |
| | $ | 474,667 |
| | $ | 460,302 |
|
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Present Value (PV) of Financial Guaranty Insurance Net Expected Loss to be Expensed
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | Net Expected Loss to be Expensed (1) |
| | | Operating(2) | | GAAP(2) |
| | | | | |
2014 Q1 | | $ | 13 |
| | $ | 11 |
|
2014 Q2 | | 14 |
| | 11 |
|
2014 Q3 | | 13 |
| | 10 |
|
2014 Q4 | | 13 |
| | 10 |
|
2015 | | 52 |
| | 41 |
|
2016 | | 42 |
| | 33 |
|
2017 | | 39 |
| | 30 |
|
2018 | | 35 |
| | 27 |
|
| | | | | |
2014-2018 | | 221 |
| | 173 |
|
2019-2023 | | 120 |
| | 99 |
|
2024-2028 | | 68 |
| | 56 |
|
2029-2033 | | 44 |
| | 36 |
|
After 2033 | | 36 |
| | 27 |
|
| Total expected PV of net expected loss to be expensed | | 489 |
| | 391 |
|
Discount | | 457 |
| | 406 |
|
| Total future value | | $ | 946 |
| | $ | 797 |
|
| |
1) | The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0.0% to 4.44% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations. |
| |
2) | Operating income includes net expected loss to be expensed on consolidated FG VIEs. Losses on consolidated FG VIEs are eliminated for GAAP. |
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
| | | Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | Loss Mitigation Bonds | | Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | Avg. Internal Rating | | Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | Loss Mitigation Bonds | | Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | Avg. Internal Rating |
U.S. public finance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| General obligation | | $ | 155,277 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 155,277 |
| | A+ | | $ | 169,985 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 169,985 |
| | A+ |
| Tax backed | | 66,856 |
| | 32 |
| | 66,824 |
| | A+ | | 73,787 |
| | 38 |
| | 73,749 |
| | A+ |
| Municipal utilities | | 56,324 |
| | — |
| | 56,324 |
| | A | | 62,116 |
| | — |
| | 62,116 |
| | A |
| Transportation | | 30,830 |
| | — |
| | 30,830 |
| | A | | 33,799 |
| | — |
| | 33,799 |
| | A |
| Healthcare | | 16,132 |
| | — |
| | 16,132 |
| | A | | 17,838 |
| | — |
| | 17,838 |
| | A |
| Higher education | | 14,071 |
| | — |
| | 14,071 |
| | A | | 15,770 |
| | — |
| | 15,770 |
| | A+ |
| Infrastructure finance | | 4,114 |
| | — |
| | 4,114 |
| | BBB | | 4,210 |
| | — |
| | 4,210 |
| | BBB |
| Housing | | 3,386 |
| | — |
| | 3,386 |
| | A+ | | 4,633 |
| | — |
| | 4,633 |
| | AA- |
| Investor-owned utilities | | 991 |
| | — |
| | 991 |
| | A- | | 1,069 |
| | — |
| | 1,069 |
| | A- |
| Other public finance | | 4,232 |
| | — |
| | 4,232 |
| | A | | 4,760 |
| | — |
| | 4,760 |
| | A |
| | Total U.S. public finance | | 352,213 |
| | 32 |
| | 352,181 |
| | A | | 387,967 |
| | 38 |
| | 387,929 |
| | A |
Non-U.S. public finance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Infrastructure finance | | 14,703 |
| | — |
| | 14,703 |
| | BBB | | 15,812 |
| | — |
| | 15,812 |
| | BBB |
| Regulated utilities | | 11,205 |
| | — |
| | 11,205 |
| | BBB+ | | 12,494 |
| | — |
| | 12,494 |
| | BBB+ |
| Pooled infrastructure | | 2,520 |
| | — |
| | 2,520 |
| | A | | 3,200 |
| | — |
| | 3,200 |
| | AA- |
| Other public finance | | 5,570 |
| | — |
| | 5,570 |
| | A | | 6,034 |
| | — |
| | 6,034 |
| | A |
| | Total non-U.S. public finance | | 33,998 |
| | — |
| | 33,998 |
| | BBB+ | | 37,540 |
| | — |
| | 37,540 |
| | BBB+ |
Total public finance | | $ | 386,211 |
| | $ | 32 |
| | 386,179 |
| | A | | $ | 425,507 |
| | $ | 38 |
| | $ | 425,469 |
| | A |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | $ | 31,325 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 31,325 |
| | AAA | | $ | 41,886 |
| | $ | — |
| | 41,886 |
| | AAA |
| RMBS | | 14,559 |
| | 838 |
| | 13,721 |
| | BBB- | | 17,827 |
| | 792 |
| | 17,035 |
| | BB+ |
| CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures | | 3,952 |
| | — |
| | 3,952 |
| | AAA | | 4,247 |
| | — |
| | 4,247 |
| | AAA |
| Insurance securitizations | | 3,360 |
| | 325 |
| | 3,035 |
| | A- | | 3,113 |
| | 170 |
| | 2,943 |
| | BBB+ |
| Financial products | | 2,709 |
| | — |
| | 2,709 |
| | AA- | | 3,653 |
| | — |
| | 3,653 |
| | AA- |
| Consumer receivables | | 2,198 |
| | — |
| | 2,198 |
| | BBB+ | | 2,369 |
| | — |
| | 2,369 |
| | BBB+ |
| Commercial receivables | | 911 |
| | — |
| | 911 |
| | A- | | 1,025 |
| | — |
| | 1,025 |
| | BBB+ |
| Structured credit | | 69 |
| | — |
| | 69 |
| | BB | | 319 |
| | 121 |
| | 198 |
| | B |
| Other structured finance | | 987 |
| | — |
| | 987 |
| | A- | | 1,179 |
| | — |
| | 1,179 |
| | BBB+ |
| | Total U.S. structured finance | | 60,070 |
| | 1,163 |
| | 58,907 |
| | AA- | | 75,618 |
| | 1,083 |
| | 74,535 |
| | AA- |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | 11,058 |
| | — |
| | 11,058 |
| | AAA | | 14,813 |
| | — |
| | 14,813 |
| | AAA |
| Commercial receivables | | 1,263 |
| | — |
| | 1,263 |
| | BBB+ | | 1,463 |
| | — |
| | 1,463 |
| | A- |
| RMBS | | 1,146 |
| | — |
| | 1,146 |
| | AA- | | 1,424 |
| | — |
| | 1,424 |
| | AA- |
| Structured credit | | 176 |
| | — |
| | 176 |
| | BBB | | 591 |
| | — |
| | 591 |
| | BBB |
| CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — | | 100 |
| | — |
| | 100 |
| | AAA |
| Other structured finance | | 378 |
| | — |
| | 378 |
| | AAA | | 377 |
| | — |
| | 377 |
| | AAA |
| | Total non-U.S. structured finance | | 14,021 |
| | — |
| | 14,021 |
| | AA+ | | 18,768 |
| | — |
| | 18,768 |
| | AA+ |
Total structured finance | | $ | 74,091 |
| | $ | 1,163 |
| | $ | 72,928 |
| | AA | | $ | 94,386 |
| | $ | 1,083 |
| | $ | 93,303 |
| | AA- |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 460,302 |
| | $ | 1,195 |
| | $ | 459,107 |
| | A | | $ | 519,893 |
| | $ | 1,121 |
| | $ | 518,772 |
| | A+ |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and in the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Public Finance - U.S. | | Public Finance - Non-U.S. | | Structured Finance - U.S. | | Structured Finance - Non-U.S. | | Total |
Ratings: | | Net Par Outstanding | % | | Net Par Outstanding | % | | Net Par Outstanding | % | | Net Par Outstanding | % | | Net Par Outstanding | % |
AAA | | $ | 4,998 |
| 1.4 | % | | $ | 1,016 |
| 3.0 | % | | $ | 32,317 |
| 54.9 | % | | $ | 9,684 |
| 69.1 | % | | $ | 48,015 |
| 10.5 | % |
AA | | 107,503 |
| 30.5 | % | | 422 |
| 1.2 | % | | 9,431 |
| 16.0 | % | | 577 |
| 4.1 | % | | 117,933 |
| 25.7 | % |
A | | 192,841 |
| 54.8 | % | | 9,453 |
| 27.9 | % | | 2,580 |
| 4.4 | % | | 742 |
| 5.3 | % | | 205,616 |
| 44.8 | % |
BBB | | 37,745 |
| 10.7 | % | | 21,499 |
| 63.2 | % | | 3,815 |
| 6.4 | % | | 1,946 |
| 13.9 | % | | 65,005 |
| 14.1 | % |
BIG | | 9,094 |
| 2.6 | % | | 1,608 |
| 4.7 | % | | 10,764 |
| 18.3 | % | | 1,072 |
| 7.6 | % | | 22,538 |
| 4.9 | % |
| Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | $ | 352,181 |
| 100.0 | % | | $ | 33,998 |
| 100.0 | % | | $ | 58,907 |
| 100.0 | % | | $ | 14,021 |
| 100.0 | % | | $ | 459,107 |
| 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Loss Mitigation Bonds | | 32 |
|
| | — |
|
| | 1,163 |
|
| | — |
|
| | 1,195 |
|
|
| Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | $ | 352,213 |
|
| | $ | 33,998 |
|
| | $ | 60,070 |
|
| | $ | 14,021 |
|
| | $ | 460,302 |
|
|
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and in the Company's internal rating approach, and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | Loss Mitigation Bonds | | Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | % of Total |
U.S.: | | | | | | | | |
U.S. public finance: | | | | | | | | |
| California | | $ | 52,736 |
| | $ | 32 |
| | $ | 52,704 |
| | 11.5 | % |
| New York | | 28,582 |
| | — |
| | 28,582 |
| | 6.2 |
|
| Pensylvania | | 28,475 |
| | — |
| | 28,475 |
| | 6.2 |
|
| Texas | | 27,249 |
| | — |
| | 27,249 |
| | 5.9 |
|
| Illinois | | 24,138 |
| | — |
| | 24,138 |
| | 5.3 |
|
| Florida | | 21,773 |
| | — |
| | 21,773 |
| | 4.7 |
|
| New Jersey | | 14,462 |
| | — |
| | 14,462 |
| | 3.2 |
|
| Michigan | | 14,250 |
| | — |
| | 14,250 |
| | 3.1 |
|
| Georgia | | 9,364 |
| | — |
| | 9,364 |
| | 2.0 |
|
| Ohio | | 8,763 |
| | — |
| | 8,763 |
| | 1.9 |
|
| Other states and U.S. territories | | 122,421 |
| | — |
| | 122,421 |
| | 26.7 |
|
| | Total public finance | | 352,213 |
| | 32 |
| | 352,181 |
| | 76.7 |
|
U.S. structured finance: | | 60,070 |
| | 1,163 |
| | 58,907 |
| | 12.8 |
|
| | Total U.S. | | 412,283 |
| | 1,195 |
| | 411,088 |
| | 89.5 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Non-U.S.: | | | | | | | | |
| United Kingdom | | 21,405 |
| | — |
| | 21,405 |
| | 4.7 |
|
| Australia | | 5,598 |
| | — |
| | 5,598 |
| | 1.2 |
|
| Canada | | 3,851 |
| | — |
| | 3,851 |
| | 0.8 |
|
| France | | 3,614 |
| | — |
| | 3,614 |
| | 0.8 |
|
| Italy | | 1,808 |
| | — |
| | 1,808 |
| | 0.4 |
|
| Other | | 11,743 |
| | — |
| | 11,743 |
| | 2.6 |
|
| | Total non-U.S. | | 48,019 |
| | — |
| | 48,019 |
| | 10.5 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Total net par outstanding | | $ | 460,302 |
| | $ | 1,195 |
| | $ | 459,107 |
| | 100.0 | % |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Net Direct Economic Exposure to Selected European Countries
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Hungary | | Ireland | | Italy | | Portugal | | Spain | | Total |
Sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-infrastructure public finance | | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 1,024 |
| | $ | 98 |
| | $ | 275 |
| | $ | 1,397 |
|
| Infrastructure finance | | 384 |
| | — |
| | 18 |
| | 12 |
| | 155 |
| | 569 |
|
| | Total sovereign and sub-sovereign exposure | | 384 |
| | — |
| | 1,042 |
| | 110 |
| | 430 |
| | 1,966 |
|
Non-sovereign exposure: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Regulated utilities | | — |
| | — |
| | 234 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 234 |
|
| RMBS | | 224 |
| | 144 |
| | 315 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 683 |
|
| | Total non-sovereign exposure | | 224 |
| | 144 |
| | 549 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 917 |
|
| | Total | | $ | 608 |
| | $ | 144 |
| | $ | 1,591 |
| | $ | 110 |
| | $ | 430 |
| | $ | 2,883 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total BIG | | $ | 608 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 110 |
| | $ | 430 |
| | $ | 1,148 |
|
Note: While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, including U.S. dollars, Euros and British pounds sterling. Included in the tables above is $144 million of reinsurance assumed on a 2004 - 2006 pool of Irish residential mortgages that is part of the Company’s remaining legacy mortgage reinsurance business. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of the Company's net par outstanding, internal rating approach and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Exposure to Puerto Rico
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Net Exposure to Puerto Rico by Risk
|
| | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating |
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds | | $ | 1,885 |
| | BB |
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Transportation revenue) | | 869 |
| | BB- |
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | | 860 |
| | BB- |
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Authority | | 450 |
| | BB- |
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority | | 384 |
| | BB- |
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (Highway revenue) | | 302 |
| | BB |
Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation | | 268 |
| | A- |
Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority | | 185 |
| | BB- |
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority | | 139 |
| | BB |
Puerto Rico Public Finance Corporation | | 44 |
| | B |
Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico | | 33 |
| | BB |
Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority | | 18 |
| | BB- |
University of Puerto Rico | | 1 |
| | BB- |
Total | | $ | 5,438 |
| | BB |
BIG Net Par Outstanding and BIG Net Debt Service Outstanding of Puerto Rico
Amortization Schedule
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Estimated BIG Net Par Amortization | | Estimated BIG Ending Net Par Outstanding | | Estimated BIG Net Debt Service Amortization | | Estimated BIG Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding |
2013 (as of December 31) | | | | $ | 5,171 |
| | | | $ | 8,547 |
|
2014 (January 1 – March 31) | | $ | — |
| | 5,171 |
| | $ | 66 |
| | 8,481 |
|
2014 (April 1 – June 30) | | — |
| | 5,171 |
| | 66 |
| | 8,415 |
|
2014 (July 1 – September 30) | | 242 |
| | 4,929 |
| | 306 |
| | 8,109 |
|
2014 (October 1 – December 31) | | — |
| | 4,929 |
| | 63 |
| | 8,046 |
|
2015 | | 364 |
| | 4,565 |
| | 608 |
| | 7,438 |
|
2016 | | 289 |
| | 4,276 |
| | 515 |
| | 6,923 |
|
2017 | | 208 |
| | 4,068 |
| | 421 |
| | 6,502 |
|
2018 | | 160 |
| | 3,908 |
| | 363 |
| | 6,139 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
2014-2018 | | 1,263 |
| | 3,908 |
| | 2,408 |
| | 6,139 |
|
2019-2023 | | 921 |
| | 2,987 |
| | 1,780 |
| | 4,359 |
|
2024-2028 | | 979 |
| | 2,008 |
| | 1,622 |
| | 2,737 |
|
2029-2033 | | 706 |
| | 1,302 |
| | 1,141 |
| | 1,596 |
|
After 2033 | | 1,302 |
| | — |
| | 1,596 |
| | — |
|
Total | | $ | 5,171 |
| | | | $ | 8,547 |
| | |
Net Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | AGM Consolidated | | AGC Consolidated | | AG Re Consolidated | | Eliminations(1) | | Net Par Outstanding |
Net par outstanding | | $ | 2,480 |
| | $ | 1,514 |
| | $ | 1,539 |
| | $ | (95 | ) | | $ | 5,438 |
|
| |
1) | Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary. |
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement | | Avg. Current Credit Enhancement |
Ratings: | | | | | | | | |
| AAA | | $ | 34,761 |
| | 82.9 | % | | 29.4 | % | | 30.4 | % |
| AA | | 2,184 |
| | 5.2 | % | | 39.8 | % | | 34.3 | % |
| A | | 547 |
| | 1.3 | % | | 45.8 | % | | 47.6 | % |
| BBB | | 2,224 |
| | 5.3 | % | | 39.2 | % | | 33.4 | % |
| BIG | | 2,236 |
| | 5.3 | % | | 34.1 | % | | 16.8 | % |
| | Total exposures | | $ | 41,952 |
| | 100.0 | % | | 30.9 | % | | 30.3 | % |
Distribution of Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement | | Avg. Current Credit Enhancement | | Avg. Rating |
Asset class: | | | | | | | | | | |
| CBOs/CLOs | | $ | 21,845 |
| | 52.0 | % | | 31.4 | % | | 33.1 | % | | AAA |
| Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates | | 9,754 |
| | 23.3 | % | | 21.6 | % | | 20.0 | % | | AAA |
| Market value CDOs of corporates | | 2,000 |
| | 4.8 | % | | 24.4 | % | | 30.4 | % | | AAA |
| Synthetic high yield pooled corporates | | 2,690 |
| | 6.4 | % | | 47.2 | % | | 41.1 | % | | AAA |
| Trust preferred | | | |
|
| | | | | | |
| | Banks and insurance | | 2,564 |
| | 6.1 | % | | 45.7 | % | | 39.1 | % | | BBB |
| | U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts | | 1,555 |
| | 3.7 | % | | 49.8 | % | | 35.1 | % | | BB |
| | European mortgage and real estate investment trusts | | 851 |
| | 2.0 | % | | 36.8 | % | | 30.7 | % | | BBB- |
| Other pooled corporates | | 693 |
| | 1.7 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 0.0 | % | | BBB- |
| | Total exposures | | $ | 41,952 |
| | 100.0 | % | | 30.9 | % | | 30.3 | % | | AAA |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of internal ratings, performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Type of Exposure
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ratings: | | Prime First Lien | | Closed-End Second Lien | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding |
| AAA | | $ | 1 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 20 |
| | $ | 218 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 2,210 |
| | $ | 2,453 |
|
| AA | | 98 |
| | 98 |
| | 99 |
| | 407 |
| | 290 |
| | 1,675 |
| | 2,668 |
|
| A | | 1 |
| | 0 |
| | 9 |
| | 12 |
| | 21 |
| | 146 |
| | 189 |
|
| BBB | | 38 |
| | — |
| | 254 |
| | 224 |
| | 23 |
| | 155 |
| | 694 |
|
| BIG | | 402 |
| | 146 |
| | 1,897 |
| | 2,728 |
| | 598 |
| | 1,945 |
| | 7,717 |
|
| | Total exposures | | $ | 541 |
| | $ | 244 |
| | $ | 2,279 |
| | $ | 3,590 |
| | $ | 937 |
| | $ | 6,130 |
| | $ | 13,721 |
|
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured(1) and Type of Exposure
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | Prime First Lien | | Closed-End Second Lien | | HELOC | | Alt-A First Lien | | Option ARMs | | Subprime First Lien | | Total Net Par Outstanding |
| 2004 and prior | | $ | 22 |
| | $ | 1 |
| | $ | 191 |
| | $ | 76 |
| | $ | 25 |
| | $ | 1,213 |
| | $ | 1,527 |
|
| 2005 | | 162 |
| | — |
| | 556 |
| | 528 |
| | 43 |
| | 200 |
| | 1,490 |
|
| 2006 | | 92 |
| | 52 |
| | 692 |
| | 317 |
| | 76 |
| | 2,486 |
| | 3,715 |
|
| 2007 | | 264 |
| | 192 |
| | 839 |
| | 1,663 |
| | 737 |
| | 2,157 |
| | 5,852 |
|
| 2008 | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 1,005 |
| | 56 |
| | 73 |
| | 1,135 |
|
| | Total exposures | | $ | 541 |
| | $ | 244 |
| | $ | 2,279 |
| | $ | 3,590 |
| | $ | 937 |
| | $ | 6,130 |
| | $ | 13,721 |
|
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating and Year Insured
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured: | | AAA Rated | | AA Rated | | A Rated | | BBB Rated | | BIG Rated | | Total |
| 2004 and prior | | $ | 978 |
| | $ | 124 |
| | $ | 41 |
| | $ | 69 |
| | $ | 315 |
| | $ | 1,527 |
|
| 2005 | | 103 |
| | 177 |
| | 2 |
| | 90 |
| | 1,118 |
| | 1,490 |
|
| 2006 | | 1,292 |
| | 1,211 |
| | 80 |
| | 110 |
| | 1,022 |
| | 3,715 |
|
| 2007 | | 9 |
| | 1,099 |
| | 66 |
| | 425 |
| | 4,254 |
| | 5,852 |
|
| 2008 | | 71 |
| | 56 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | 1,008 |
| | 1,135 |
|
| | Total exposures | | $ | 2,453 |
| | $ | 2,668 |
| | $ | 189 |
| | $ | 694 |
| | $ | 7,717 |
| | $ | 13,721 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| % of Total | | 17.9 | % | | 19.4 | % |
| 1.4 | % |
| 5.1 | % |
| 56.2 | % |
| 100.0 | % |
| |
1) | Assured Guaranty has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding, and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies
U.S. Prime First Lien
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | 159 |
| | 22.4 | % | | 5.4 | % | | 2.6 | % | | 12.2 | % | | 6 |
|
| 2006 | | 92 |
| | 45.9 | % | | 8.3 | % | | 0.9 | % | | 18.8 | % | | 1 |
|
| 2007 | | 264 |
| | 32.6 | % | | 2.3 | % | | 6.8 | % | | 18.2 | % | | 1 |
|
| 2008 | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| | Total | | $ | 516 |
| | 31.8 | % | | 4.3 | % | | 4.5 | % | | 16.5 | % | | 8 |
|
U.S. Closed-End Second Lien
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| 2006 | | 43 |
| | 10.3 | % | | — | % | | 60.8 | % | | 4.6 | % | | 1 |
|
| 2007 | | 192 |
| | 12.0 | % | | — | % | | 70.3 | % | | 6.0 | % | | 8 |
|
| 2008 | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| | Total | | $ | 235 |
| | 11.7 | % | | — | % | | 68.6 | % | | 5.7 | % | | 9 |
|
U.S. HELOC
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | 518 |
| | 11.0 | % | | 3.3 | % | | 18.8 | % | | 4.9 | % | | 5 |
|
| 2006 | | 677 |
| | 19.6 | % | | 4.3 | % | | 38.8 | % | | 3.9 | % | | 7 |
|
| 2007 | | 839 |
| | 24.3 | % | | 1.9 | % | | 40.4 | % | | 3.4 | % | | 8 |
|
| 2008 | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| | Total | | $ | 2,034 |
| | 19.4 | % | | 3.0 | % | | 34.4 | % | | 3.9 | % | | 20 |
|
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | 526 |
| | 23.4 | % | | 8.8 | % | | 7.7 | % | | 17.0 | % | | 20 |
|
| 2006 | | 317 |
| | 29.0 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 22.7 | % | | 37.0 | % | | 7 |
|
| 2007 | | 1,663 |
| | 36.8 | % | | 0.6 | % | | 18.5 | % | | 28.2 | % | | 11 |
|
| 2008 | | 1,005 |
| | 34.9 | % | | 13.1 | % | | 17.2 | % | | 25.7 | % | | 5 |
|
| | Total | | $ | 3,512 |
| | 33.6 | % | | 5.3 | % | | 16.9 | % | | 26.6 | % | | 43 |
|
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies
U.S. Option ARMs
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | 38 |
| | 15.2 | % | | 11.8 | % | | 10.4 | % | | 16.2 | % | | 2 |
|
| 2006 | | 71 |
| | 26.6 | % | | — | % | | 19.4 | % | | 30.8 | % | | 5 |
|
| 2007 | | 737 |
| | 36.1 | % | | 0.9 | % | | 23.0 | % | | 29.4 | % | | 11 |
|
| 2008 | | 56 |
| | 37.9 | % | | 49.7 | % | | 17.8 | % | | 23.0 | % | | 1 |
|
| | Total | | $ | 902 |
| | 34.6 | % | | 4.3 | % | | 21.8 | % | | 28.5 | % | | 19 |
|
U.S. Subprime First Lien
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Year insured | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| 2005 | | $ | 192 |
| | 32.7 | % | | 15.3 | % | | 9.6 | % | | 26.9 | % | | 3 |
|
| 2006 | | 2,481 |
| | 17.4 | % | | 62.4 | % | | 20.5 | % | | 31.5 | % | | 4 |
|
| 2007 | | 2,157 |
| | 39.6 | % | | 8.2 | % | | 28.3 | % | | 40.0 | % | | 13 |
|
| 2008 | | 73 |
| | 50.6 | % | | 13.5 | % | | 24.3 | % | | 28.8 | % | | 1 |
|
| | Total | | $ | 4,904 |
| | 28.3 | % | | 36.0 | % | | 23.5 | % | | 35.1 | % | | 21 |
|
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Direct U.S. CMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies
U.S. CMBS
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Rating: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Pool Factor | | Subordination | | Cumulative Losses | | 60+ Day Delinquencies | | Number of Transactions |
| AAA | | $ | 3,333 |
| | 66.2 | % | | 40.4 | % | | 3.3 | % | | 7.5 | % | | 159 |
|
| AA | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| A | | 29 |
| | 13.8 | % | | 48.6 | % | | 2.8 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 1 |
|
| BBB | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| BIG | | — |
| | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — | % | | — |
|
| | Total exposures | | $ | 3,361 |
| | 65.7 | % | | 40.5 | % | | 3.3 | % | | 7.5 | % | | 160 |
|
CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate(1)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net Par Outstanding | | % of Total | | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement | | Avg. Current Credit Enhancement |
CDOs of commercial real estate | | $ | 344 |
| | 100.0 | % | | 52.2 | % | | 57.2 | % |
| | Total exposures | | $ | 344 |
| | 100.0 | % | | 52.2 | % | | 57.2 | % |
| |
1) | Represents other U.S. Commercial Real Estate not included in the table above. |
Please refer to the Glossary for a description of net par outstanding, performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type
|
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | BIG Net Par Outstanding(1) |
| | | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
U.S. public finance: | | | | |
| General obligation | | $ | 3,126 |
| | $ | 1,122 |
|
| Tax backed | | 2,209 |
| | 476 |
|
| Infrastructure finance | | 1,724 |
| | 1,695 |
|
| Municipal utilities | | 1,360 |
| | 596 |
|
| Transportation | | 320 |
| | 245 |
|
| Healthcare | | 70 |
| | 58 |
|
| Housing | | 17 |
| | 2 |
|
| Higher education | | 15 |
| | 18 |
|
| Other public finance | | 253 |
| | 353 |
|
| | Total U.S. public finance | | 9,094 |
| | 4,565 |
|
Non-U.S. public finance: | | | | |
| Infrastructure finance | | 1,236 |
| | 1,923 |
|
| Other public finance | | 372 |
| | 370 |
|
| | Total non-U.S. public finance | | 1,608 |
| | 2,293 |
|
Total public finance | | $ | 10,702 |
| | $ | 6,858 |
|
| | | | | |
U.S. structured finance: | | | | |
| RMBS | | $ | 7,717 |
| | $ | 9,839 |
|
| Pooled corporate obligations | | 1,722 |
| | 2,873 |
|
| Insurance securitizations | | 598 |
| | 753 |
|
| Consumer receivables | | 386 |
| | 421 |
|
| Commercial receivables | | 157 |
| | 182 |
|
| Structured credit | | 69 |
| | 198 |
|
| Other structured finance | | 115 |
| | 132 |
|
| | Total U.S. structured finance | | 10,764 |
| | 14,398 |
|
Non-U.S. structured finance: | | | | |
| Pooled corporate obligations | | 767 |
| | 805 |
|
| RMBS | | 224 |
| | 220 |
|
| Commercial receivables | | 81 |
| | 16 |
|
| | Total non-U.S. structured finance | | 1,072 |
| | 1,041 |
|
Total structured finance | | $ | 11,836 |
| | $ | 15,439 |
|
Total BIG net par outstanding | | $ | 22,538 |
| | $ | 22,297 |
|
| |
1) | In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company, and they therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio, and totaled $195 million and $220 million in gross par outstanding as of December 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category(1)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories(2) |
| | | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
Category 1 | | | | |
| U.S. public finance | | $ | 8,205 |
| | $ | 3,290 |
|
| Non-U.S. public finance | | 1,009 |
| | 2,293 |
|
| U.S. structured finance | | 4,513 |
| | 4,253 |
|
| Non-U.S. structured finance | | 1,024 |
| | 984 |
|
| | Total Category 1 | | 14,751 |
| | 10,820 |
|
Category 2 | | | | |
| U.S. public finance | | 440 |
| | 500 |
|
| Non-U.S. public finance | | 599 |
| | — |
|
| U.S. structured finance | | 2,862 |
| | 4,060 |
|
| Non-U.S. structured finance | | 48 |
| | 57 |
|
| | Total Category 2 | | 3,949 |
| | 4,617 |
|
Category 3 | | | | |
| U.S. public finance | | 449 |
| | 775 |
|
| Non-U.S. public finance | | — |
| | — |
|
| U.S. structured finance | | 3,389 |
| | 6,085 |
|
| Non-U.S. structured finance | | — |
| | — |
|
| | Total Category 3 | | 3,838 |
| | 6,860 |
|
| | | BIG Total | | $ | 22,538 |
| | $ | 22,297 |
|
| |
1) | Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. In third quarter 2013, the Company refined the definitions of its BIG surveillance categories to be consistent with its new approach to assigning internal credit ratings. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which is a claim that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid. |
| |
2) | In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company, and they therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio, and totaled $195 million and $220 million in gross par outstanding as of December 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 5)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Public Finance BIG Exposures with Revenue Sources Greater Than $50 Million
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | Internal Rating |
Name or description | | | | |
U.S. public finance: | | | | |
| | | Puerto Rico General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth | | $ | 2,119 |
| | BB |
| | | Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority | | 1,171 |
| | BB- |
| | | Skyway Concession Company LLC | | 1,148 |
| | BB |
| | | Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | | 860 |
| | BB- |
| | | Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency | | 450 |
| | BB- |
| | | Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority | | 384 |
| | BB- |
| | | Louisville Arena Authority Inc. | | 336 |
| | BB |
| | | Detroit (City of) Michigan | | 321 |
| | D |
| | | San Joaquin Hills California Transportation | | 244 |
| | BB- |
| | | GMAC Military Housing Trust XVIII (Hickam Air Force Base) | | 215 |
| | BB |
| | | Puerto Rico Hotel Occupancy Tax Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority | | 185 |
| | BB- |
| | | Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania | | 179 |
| | BB- |
| | | Woonsocket (City of), Rhode Island | | 148 |
| | BB |
| | | Guaranteed Student Loan Transaction | | 143 |
| | B |
| | | City of Fresno | | 126 |
| | BB+ |
| | | Stockton City, California | | 119 |
| | D |
| | | Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida | | 118 |
| | B+ |
| | | Wayne County, Michigan | | 111 |
| | BB+ |
| | | Xenia Rural Water District, Iowa | | 78 |
| | B |
| | | Pennsylvania Economic Development Financing Authority (Capitol Region Parking System) | | 53 |
| | BB |
| | | Guaranteed Student Loan Transaction | | 51 |
| | CCC |
| | | Bridgeview Village Illinois General Obligation | | 50 |
| | BB+ |
| | Total | | $ | 8,609 |
| | |
| | | | | |
Non-U.S. public finance: | | | | |
| | | Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited | | $ | 597 |
| | BB |
| | | M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zartkoruen Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag | | 385 |
| | BB- |
| | | Valencia Fair | | 263 |
| | BB- |
| | | Autovia de la Mancha, S.A. | | 149 |
| | BB- |
| | | Alte Liebe I Limited (Wind Farm) | | 81 |
| | BB |
| | | Metropolitano de Porto Lease and Sublease of Railroad Equipment | | 56 |
| | B+ |
| | Total | | $ | 1,531 |
| | |
Total | | $ | 10,140 |
| | |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 5)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | BIG Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | Loss Mitigation Bonds | | BIG Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | Internal Rating | | Current Credit Enhancement | | 60+ Day Delinquencies |
Name or description | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. RMBS: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | | $ | 542 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 542 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 23.8% |
MABS 2007-NCW | | 488 |
| | 59 |
| | 429 |
| | CCC | | 14.5% | | 53.5% |
Option One 2007-FXD2 | | 337 |
| | — |
| | 337 |
| | CCC | | 1.3% | | 27.1% |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 323 |
| | — |
| | 323 |
| | CCC | | 1.0% | | 25.3% |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I | | 304 |
| | — |
| | 304 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 2.9% |
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3 | | 284 |
| | — |
| | 284 |
| | B | | 0.0% | | 19.8% |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 276 |
| | — |
| | 276 |
| | B | | 13.0% | | 25.6% |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 270 |
| | — |
| | 270 |
| | CCC | | — | | 28.6% |
MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | | 264 |
| | — |
| | 264 |
| | CCC | | 2.3% | | 18.2% |
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 | | 240 |
| | 1 |
| | 239 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 37.4% |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 206 |
| | — |
| | 206 |
| | CCC | | 8.8% | | 25.6% |
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D | | 185 |
| | — |
| | 185 |
| | B | | 0.0% | | 3.6% |
Countrywide HELOC 2005-D | | 182 |
| | — |
| | 182 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 5.3% |
Soundview 2007-WMC1 | | 176 |
| | — |
| | 176 |
| | CCC | | — | | 59.4% |
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J | | 175 |
| | — |
| | 175 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 4.2% |
Countrywide HELOC 2006-F | | 234 |
| | 70 |
| | 164 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 6.3% |
Countrywide HELOC 2007-B | | 146 |
| | — |
| | 146 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 2.9% |
New Century 2005-A | | 146 |
| | — |
| | 146 |
| | CCC | | 12.2% | | 27.1% |
Countrywide HELOC 2007-A | | 159 |
| | 14 |
| | 145 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 3.4% |
GMACM 2004-HE3 | | 144 |
| | — |
| | 144 |
| | BB | | 3.0% | | 0.0% |
AAA Trust 2007-2 | | 260 |
| | 126 |
| | 134 |
| | BB | | 2.8% | | 33.9% |
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 128 |
| | — |
| | 128 |
| | BB | | 18.4% | | 28.6% |
IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC | | 114 |
| | — |
| | 114 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 3.0% |
CSAB 2006-3 | | 111 |
| | — |
| | 111 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 44.5% |
FHABS 2006-HE2 HELOC | | 95 |
| | — |
| | 95 |
| | BB | | 0.0% | | 2.8% |
Countrywide HELOC 2005-C | | 86 |
| | — |
| | 86 |
| | B | | 0.0% | | 6.1% |
Soundview Home Loan Trust 2008-1 | | 75 |
| | 2 |
| | 73 |
| | CCC | | 13.5% | | 28.8% |
American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4 | | 67 |
| | — |
| | 67 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 33.7% |
MASTR Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2 | | 62 |
| | — |
| | 62 |
| | CCC | | — | | 24.4% |
CSAB 2006-2 | | 70 |
| | 10 |
| | 60 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 39.2% |
Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2 | | 78 |
| | 22 |
| | 56 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 20.8% |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE | | 55 |
| | — |
| | 55 |
| | CCC | | — | | 24.8% |
CSMC 2007-3 | | 59 |
| | 8 |
| | 51 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 33.2% |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL | | 181 |
| | 138 |
| | 43 |
| | CCC | | — | | 4.6% |
Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3 | | 144 |
| | 130 |
| | 14 |
| | CCC | | — | | 30.8% |
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT | | 54 |
| | 51 |
| | 3 |
| | CCC | | 0.0% | | 31.3% |
Total U.S. RMBS | | $ | 6,720 |
| | $ | 631 |
| | $ | 6,089 |
| | | | | | |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (5 of 5)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million (continued) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | BIG Net Par Outstanding (including loss mitigation bonds) | | Loss Mitigation Bonds | | BIG Net Par Outstanding (excluding loss mitigation bonds) | | Internal Rating | | Current Credit Enhancement |
Name or description | | | | | |
|
| | | | |
U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Orkney Re II, Plc | | $ | 423 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 423 |
| | CCC | | N/A |
| | Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD | | 292 |
| | — |
| | 292 |
| | B- | | 22.1% |
| | Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD | | 267 |
| | — |
| | 267 |
| | CCC | | 17.1% |
| | Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD. | | 227 |
| | — |
| | 227 |
| | B+ | | 15.4% |
| | Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD. | | 209 |
| | — |
| | 209 |
| | CCC | | 19.3% |
| | Ballantyne Re Plc | | 500 |
| | 325 |
| | 175 |
| | CC | | N/A |
| | Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD. | | 172 |
| | — |
| | 172 |
| | BB | | 24.7% |
| | Trapeza CDO XI | | 152 |
| | — |
| | 152 |
| | BB- | | 38.6% |
| | Taberna Preferred Funding VI, LTD | | 148 |
| | — |
| | 148 |
| | B- | | 16.3% |
| | US Capital Funding IV, LTD | | 136 |
| | — |
| | 136 |
| | CCC | | 7.2% |
| | Alesco Preferred Funding VI | | 119 |
| | — |
| | 119 |
| | BB+ | | 45.5% |
| | NRG Peaker (1) | | 102 |
| | — |
| | 102 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4 | | 72 |
| | — |
| | 72 |
| | CCC | | N/A |
| | National Collegiate Trust Series 2006-2 | | 68 |
| | — |
| | 68 |
| | CCC | | N/A |
| | Conseco Finance Manufactured Housing Series 2001-2 | | 65 |
| | — |
| | 65 |
| | CCC | | 15.6% |
| | CAPCO - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance | | 63 |
| | — |
| | 63 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | GreenPoint 2000-4 | | 50 |
| | — |
| | 50 |
| | CCC | | 3.0% |
| | Subtotal other | | $ | 3,065 |
| | $ | 325 |
| | $ | 2,740 |
| | | | |
| | Subtotal U.S. structured finance | | $ | 9,785 |
| | $ | 956 |
| | $ | 8,829 |
| | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-U.S. structured finance: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Gleneagles Funding LTD (1st Issue) | | $ | 229 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 229 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | FHB 8.95% 2016 | | 129 |
| | — |
| | 129 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | OTP 10% 2012 | | 90 |
| | — |
| | 90 |
| | BB+ | | N/A |
| | Augusta Funding Limited 07 Perpetual Note Issue | | 81 |
| | — |
| | 81 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Private Pooled Corporate Transaction | | 81 |
| | — |
| | 81 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Augusta Funding Limited 05 Perpetual Note Issue | | 79 |
| | — |
| | 79 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Babcock & Brown Air Funding I Ltd. Series 2007-1 | | 70 |
| | — |
| | 70 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Private Pooled Corporate Transaction | | 64 |
| | — |
| | 64 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Private Pooled Corporate Transaction | | 56 |
| | — |
| | 56 |
| | BB | | N/A |
| | Subtotal Non-U.S. structured finance | | $ | 879 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 879 |
| | | | |
| Total | | $ | 10,664 |
| | $ | 956 |
| | $ | 9,708 |
| | | | |
| |
1) | In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company, and they therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Net par shown is net of $63 million of ceded par. The Company holds 100% of the bonds referenced in this transaction and reports them in the investment portfolio. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of performance indicators and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
|
| | | | | | | | |
| | Credit names: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating |
|
| | New Jersey (State of) | | $ | 3,980 |
| | A+ |
| | California (State of) | | 3,356 |
| | A- |
| | New York (City of) New York | | 3,064 |
| | AA- |
| | Chicago (City of) Illinois | | 2,681 |
| | A- |
| | Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) | | 2,521 |
| | AA |
| | New York (State of) | | 2,408 |
| | A+ |
| | Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport | | 2,146 |
| | A |
| | Puerto Rico General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth | | 2,119 |
| | BB |
| | Port Authority of New York and New Jersey | | 2,034 |
| | AA- |
| | Illinois (State of) | | 1,987 |
| | A- |
| | Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority | | 1,962 |
| | AA- |
| | Los Angeles California Unified School District | | 1,947 |
| | AA- |
| | Wisconsin (State of) | | 1,836 |
| | A+ |
| | Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) | | 1,736 |
| | AA- |
| | Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania | | 1,725 |
| | BBB+ |
| | Washington (State of) | | 1,715 |
| | AA |
| | Chicago-O'Hare International Airport | | 1,661 |
| | A |
| | New York MTA Transportation Authority | | 1,639 |
| | A |
| | Chicago Illinois Public Schools | | 1,608 |
| | A- |
| | New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | | 1,518 |
| | AA |
| | Illinois Toll Highway Authority | | 1,500 |
| | AA |
| | Miami-Dade County Florida School Board | | 1,461 |
| | A- |
| | Arizona (State of) | | 1,399 |
| | A+ |
| | Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System | | 1,385 |
| | A- |
| | Michigan (State of) | | 1,353 |
| | A+ |
| | Georgia Board of Regents | | 1,307 |
| | A |
| | Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources | | 1,304 |
| | AA |
| | Metro Washington Airport Authority | | 1,252 |
| | A+ |
| | Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania | | 1,238 |
| | A |
| | Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission | | 1,175 |
| | A- |
| | Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority | | 1,171 |
| | BB- |
| | Skyway Concession Company LLC | | 1,148 |
| | BB |
| | Los Angeles California Department of Water & Power - Electric Revenue Bonds | | 1,144 |
| | AA- |
| | Long Island Power Authority | | 1,131 |
| | A- |
| | North Texas Tollway Authority | | 1,103 |
| | A |
| | District of Columbia | | 1,083 |
| | A+ |
| | New York State Thruway Authority | | 1,061 |
| | A |
| | California State University System Trustee | | 1,027 |
| | A+ |
| | Detroit Michigan Sewer | | 1,018 |
| | BBB |
| | Kentucky (Commonwealth of) | | 1,013 |
| | A+ |
| | New York State Thruway - Highway Trust Fund | | 1,000 |
| | AA- |
| | San Diego County, California Water | | 974 |
| | AA |
| | Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax | | 971 |
| | AA |
| | Garden State Preservation Trust, New Jersey Open Space & Farmland | | 935 |
| | AA |
| | San Diego Unified School District, California | | 927 |
| | AA |
| | Broward County Florida School Board | | 908 |
| | A+ |
| | Hartfield Atlanta International Airport | | 896 |
| | A |
| | University of California Board of Regents | | 893 |
| | AA |
| | Orlando-Orange County Expressway Authority, Florida | | 874 |
| | A+ |
| | New Jersey Turnpike Authority | | 865 |
| | A- |
| | Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures | | $ | 77,159 |
| | |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Credit Name | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating | | Credit Enhancement |
| Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP. | | $ | 1,328 |
| | AA | | 28.2% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 1,188 |
| | AAA | | 13.4% |
| Stone Tower Credit Funding | | 994 |
| | AAA | | 27.5% |
| Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | 978 |
| | AAA | | 40.6% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 767 |
| | AAA | | 14.8% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 763 |
| | AAA | | 29.0% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 756 |
| | AAA | | 22.5% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 745 |
| | AAA | | 28.0% |
| Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | 734 |
| | AAA | | 37.4% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 655 |
| | AAA | | 15.8% |
| Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | | 542 |
| | BB | | 0.0% |
| Eastland CLO, LTD | | 532 |
| | AAA | | 39.3% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 516 |
| | AAA | | 14.3% |
| Denali CLO VII, LTD. | | 503 |
| | AAA | | 19.5% |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | | 500 |
| | AA | | N/A |
| Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | | 496 |
| | AAA | | 46.7% |
| Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities | | 485 |
| | A+ | | N/A |
| Churchill Financial Cayman | | 467 |
| | AAA | | 36.6% |
| SLM Private Credit Student Trust 2007-A | | 450 |
| | BBB+ | | 17.0% |
| MABS 2007-NCW | | 429 |
| | CCC | | 14.5% |
| LIICA Holdings, LLC | | 428 |
| | AA | | N/A |
| Orkney Re II, Plc | | 423 |
| | CCC | | N/A |
| Private Other Structured Finance Transaction | | 400 |
| | AA | | N/A |
| Phoenix CLO II | | 400 |
| | AAA | | 21.3% |
| Grayson CLO | | 399 |
| | AAA | | 29.6% |
| SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-6 | | 392 |
| | AAA | | 4.1% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 385 |
| | AAA | | 14.2% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 380 |
| | AAA | | 29.2% |
| KKR Financial CLO 2007-1 | | 379 |
| | AAA | | 51.8% |
| Symphony Credit Opportunities Fund | | 364 |
| | AAA | | 24.5% |
| Stone Tower CLO V | | 362 |
| | AAA | | 28.8% |
| SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006-C | | 356 |
| | BBB | | 16.8% |
| Fortress Credit Funding III | | 349 |
| | AAA | | 55.8% |
| Muir Grove CLO | | 345 |
| | AAA | | 21.4% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 343 |
| | AAA | | 16.3% |
| Option One 2007-FXD2 | | 337 |
| | CCC | | 1.3% |
| Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 323 |
| | CCC | | 1.0% |
| Cent CDO 15 Limited | | 307 |
| | AAA | | 18.2% |
| Countrywide HELOC 2006-I | | 304 |
| | BB | | 0.0% |
| Private Other Structured Finance Transaction | | 300 |
| | A+ | | N/A |
| Cent CDO 12 Limited | | 293 |
| | AAA | | 23.8% |
| Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD | | 292 |
| | B- | | 22.1% |
| Centurion CDO 9 | | 292 |
| | AAA | | 24.7% |
| Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3 | | 284 |
| | B | | 0.0% |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 283 |
| | AAA | | 30.3% |
| Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 276 |
| | B | | 13.0% |
| Kingsland IV | | 274 |
| | AAA | | 23.1% |
| Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | | 270 |
| | CCC | | — |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 270 |
| | AAA | | 29.1% |
| CIFC Funding 2007-II | | 268 |
| | AAA | | 42.8% |
| Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures | | $ | 23,906 |
| | | | |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach, presentation of net par outstanding and a description of various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures by Revenue Source
|
| | | | | | | |
Credit Name | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating |
| Province of Quebec | | $ | 2,386 |
| | A+ |
| Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc | | 1,499 |
| | A- |
| Sydney Airport Finance Company Pty Limited | | 1,309 |
| | BBB |
| Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC | | 978 |
| | BBB |
| Southern Gas Networks PLC | | 893 |
| | BBB |
| Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'Est de la France | | 858 |
| | BBB+ |
| Capital Hospitals | | 814 |
| | BBB- |
| Campania Region - Healthcare receivable | | 752 |
| | BBB- |
| Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern) | | 727 |
| | A- |
| International Infrastructure Pool | | 700 |
| | A- |
| International Infrastructure Pool | | 700 |
| | A- |
| International Infrastructure Pool | | 700 |
| | A- |
| Reliance Rail Finance Pty Limited | | 597 |
| | BB |
| Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC | | 578 |
| | BBB |
| Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | | 564 |
| | AAA |
| NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC | | 528 |
| | BBB |
| Scotland Gas Networks Plc (A2) | | 525 |
| | BBB |
| Verbund - Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric equipment | | 519 |
| | AAA |
| Integrated Accomodation Services PLC | | 510 |
| | BBB+ |
| The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited | | 507 |
| | BBB |
| A28 Motorway | | 504 |
| | BBB |
| Envestra Limited | | 481 |
| | BBB |
| Octagon Healthcare Funding PLC | | 439 |
| | BBB |
| Taberna Europe CDO II PLC | | 434 |
| | BBB- |
| Stichting Profile Securitisation I | | 421 |
| | AAA |
| Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures | | $ | 18,923 |
| | |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of net par outstanding, internal ratings and sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicer Exposures
|
| | | | | |
Servicer: | | Net Par Outstanding |
| Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC(1) | | $ | 3,926 |
|
| Bank of America, N.A.(2) | | 2,847 |
|
| Wells Fargo Bank N.A. | | 2,372 |
|
| Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC | | 2,251 |
|
| JPMorgan Chase Bank | | 609 |
|
| Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. | | 558 |
|
| Carrington Mortgage Services, LLC | | 327 |
|
| First Horizon National Corporation | | 209 |
|
| OneWest Bank Group LLC | | 120 |
|
| Doral Bank | | 92 |
|
| Total top 10 U.S. residential mortgage servicer exposures | | $ | 13,311 |
|
10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Credit Name: | | Net Par Outstanding | | Internal Rating | | State |
| MultiCare Health System | | $ | 456 |
| | AA- | | WA |
| CHRISTUS Health | | 421 |
| | A+ | | TX |
| Methodist Healthcare | | 414 |
| | A | | TN |
| Children's National Medical Center | | 338 |
| | A- | | DC |
| Catholic Health Initiatives | | 328 |
| | AA- | | CO |
| Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group | | 322 |
| | A- | | MD |
| Carolina HealthCare System | | 319 |
| | AA- | | NC |
| Virtua Health | | 315 |
| | A+ | | NJ |
| Iowa Health System | | 313 |
| | A+ | | IA |
| Catholic Health Partners | | 313 |
| | A+ | | OH |
| Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures | | $ | 3,539 |
| | | | |
| |
1) | Includes Homeward Residential Inc. |
| |
2) | Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the Company's internal rating approach and presentation of net par outstanding.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid
(dollars in millions)
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2013
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives | | Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of September 30, 2013 | | Economic Loss Development During 4Q-13(1) | | (Paid) Recovered Losses During 4Q-13 | | Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of December 31, 2013 |
U.S. RMBS | | | | | | | | |
| First lien: | | | | | | | | |
| | Prime first lien | | $ | 21 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 21 |
|
| | Alt-A first lien | | 206 |
| | 2 |
| | 96 |
| | 304 |
|
| | Option ARMs | | 7 |
| | (6 | ) | | (10 | ) | | (9 | ) |
| | Subprime first lien | | 303 |
| | 6 |
| | (5 | ) | | 304 |
|
| | | Total first lien | | 537 |
| | 2 |
| | 81 |
| | 620 |
|
| Second lien: | | | | | | | | |
| | Closed-end second lien | | (13 | ) | | (1 | ) | | 3 |
| | (11 | ) |
| | HELOC | | (129 | ) | | (15 | ) | | 28 |
| | (116 | ) |
| | | Total second lien | | (142 | ) | | (16 | ) | | 31 |
| | (127 | ) |
Total U.S. RMBS | | 395 |
| | (14 | ) | | 112 |
| | 493 |
|
TruPS | | 50 |
| | — |
| | 1 |
| | 51 |
|
Other structured finance | | 128 |
| | (2 | ) | | (6 | ) | | 120 |
|
U.S. public finance | | 183 |
| | 101 |
| | (20 | ) | | 264 |
|
Non-U.S. public finance | | 53 |
| | 4 |
| | — |
| | 57 |
|
| | | Subtotal | | 809 |
| | 89 |
| | 87 |
| | 985 |
|
Other | | (3 | ) | | — |
| | — |
| | (3 | ) |
Total | | $ | 806 |
| | $ | 89 |
| | $ | 87 |
| | $ | 982 |
|
Rollforward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid for the Year Ended December 31, 2013
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives | | Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of December 31, 2012 | | Economic Loss Development During 2013(1) | | (Paid) Recovered Losses During 2013 | | Net Expected Loss to be Paid as of December 31, 2013 |
U.S. RMBS | | | | | | | | |
| First lien: | | | | | | | | |
| | Prime first lien | | $ | 6 |
| | $ | 16 |
| | $ | (1 | ) | | $ | 21 |
|
| | Alt-A first lien | | 315 |
| | (81 | ) | | 70 |
| | 304 |
|
| | Option ARMs | | (131 | ) | | (98 | ) | | 220 |
| | (9 | ) |
| | Subprime first lien | | 242 |
| | 92 |
| | (30 | ) | | 304 |
|
| | | Total first lien | | 432 |
| | (71 | ) | | 259 |
| | 620 |
|
| Second lien: | | | | | | | | |
| | Closed-end second lien | | (39 | ) | | 6 |
| | 22 |
| | (11 | ) |
| | HELOC | | (111 | ) | | (91 | ) | | 86 |
| | (116 | ) |
| | | Total second lien | | (150 | ) | | (85 | ) | | 108 |
| | (127 | ) |
Total U.S. RMBS | | 282 |
| | (156 | ) | | 367 |
| | 493 |
|
TruPS | | 27 |
| | 7 |
| | 17 |
| | 51 |
|
Other structured finance | | 312 |
| | (41 | ) | | (151 | ) | | 120 |
|
U.S. public finance | | 7 |
| | 239 |
| | 18 |
| | 264 |
|
Non-U.S. public finance | | 52 |
| | 17 |
| | (12 | ) | | 57 |
|
| | | Subtotal | | 680 |
| | 66 |
| | 239 |
| | 985 |
|
Other | | (3 | ) | | (10 | ) | | 10 |
| | (3 | ) |
Total | | $ | 677 |
| | $ | 56 |
| | $ | 249 |
| | $ | 982 |
|
| |
1) | Includes the effect of changes in the Company's estimate of future recovery on representations and warranties (R&W). |
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivative U.S. RMBS R&W Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Benefit Development for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2013
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Future Net R&W Benefit at September 30, 2013 | | R&W Economic Loss Development During 4Q-13 | | R&W Recovered During 4Q-13 | | Future Net R&W Benefit at December 31, 2013 |
Financial guaranty insurance: | | | | | | | | |
| Prime first lien | | $ | 3 |
| | $ | 1 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 4 |
|
| Alt-A first lien | | 212 |
| | — |
| | (112 | ) | | 100 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 236 |
| | (34 | ) | | (35 | ) | | 167 |
|
| Subprime first lien | | 115 |
| | 3 |
| | — |
| | 118 |
|
| Closed-end second lien | | 100 |
| | 2 |
| | (4 | ) | | 98 |
|
| HELOC | | 55 |
| | 24 |
| | (34 | ) | | 45 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 721 |
| | (4 | ) | | (185 | ) | | 532 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | |
Credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | |
| Alt-A first lien | | 157 |
| | 17 |
| | — |
| | 174 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 17 |
| | (11 | ) | | — |
| | 6 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 174 |
| | 6 |
| | — |
| | 180 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | $ | 895 |
| | $ | 2 |
| | $ | (185 | ) | | $ | 712 |
|
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Benefit Development for the Year Ended December 31, 2013
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Future Net R&W Benefit at December 31, 2012 | | R&W Economic Loss Development During 2013 | | R&W Recovered During 2013 | | Future Net R&W Benefit at December 31, 2013 |
Financial guaranty insurance: | | | | | | | | |
| Prime first lien | | $ | 4 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 4 |
|
| Alt-A first lien | | 158 |
| | 30 |
| | (88 | ) | | 100 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 574 |
| | 172 |
| | (579 | ) | | 167 |
|
| Subprime first lien | | 109 |
| | 9 |
| | — |
| | 118 |
|
| Closed-end second lien | | 138 |
| | (9 | ) | | (31 | ) | | 98 |
|
| HELOC | | 150 |
| | 94 |
| | (199 | ) | | 45 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 1,133 |
| | 296 |
| | (897 | ) | | 532 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
|
Credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | |
| Alt-A first lien | | 220 |
| | 11 |
| | (57 | ) | | 174 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 17 |
| | (11 | ) | | — |
| | 6 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 237 |
| | — |
| | (57 | ) | | 180 |
|
| | | | | | | |
|
Total | | $ | 1,370 |
| | $ | 296 |
| | $ | (954 | ) | | $ | 712 |
|
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Policies with R&W Benefit |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Number of Risks as of | | Debt Service as of |
| | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 | | December 31, 2013 | | December 31, 2012 |
Financial guaranty insurance: | | | | | | | | |
| Prime first lien | | 1 |
| | 1 |
| | $ | 38 |
| | $ | 44 |
|
| Alt-A first lien | | 13 |
| | 19 |
| | 838 |
| | 1,467 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 8 |
| | 9 |
| | 346 |
| | 846 |
|
| Subprime first lien | | 5 |
| | 5 |
| | 998 |
| | 989 |
|
| Closed-end second lien | | 4 |
| | 4 |
| | 158 |
| | 260 |
|
| HELOC | | 4 |
| | 7 |
| | 320 |
| | 549 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 35 |
| | 45 |
| | 2,698 |
| | 4,155 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | |
Credit derivatives: | | | | | | | | |
| Alt-A first lien | | 6 |
| | 7 |
| | 2,018 |
| | 2,706 |
|
| Option ARMs | | 1 |
| | 1 |
| | 295 |
| | 337 |
|
| | Subtotal | | 7 |
| | 8 |
| | 2,313 |
| | 3,043 |
|
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | 42 |
| | 53 |
| | $ | 5,011 |
| | $ | 7,198 |
|
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service outstanding and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Losses Incurred
As of December 31, 2013
(dollars in millions)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives | | Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions (1) | | 4Q-13 Losses Incurred | | 2013 Losses Incurred | | Net Reserve and Credit Impairment | | Net Salvage and Subrogation Assets | | Net Expected Loss to be Expensed |
U.S. RMBS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| First lien: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Prime first lien | | $ | 403 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 16 |
| | $ | 19 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
|
| | Alt-A first lien | | 2,728 |
| | (2 | ) | | (20 | ) | | 164 |
| | — |
| | 75 |
|
| | Option ARMs | | 598 |
| | (9 | ) | | (49 | ) | | 29 |
| | 47 |
| | 35 |
|
| | Subprime first lien | | 1,945 |
| | 6 |
| | 93 |
| | 214 |
| | 2 |
| | 94 |
|
| | | Total first lien | | 5,674 |
| | (5 | ) | | 40 |
| | 426 |
| | 49 |
| | 204 |
|
| Second lien: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Closed-end second lien | | 146 |
| | (2 | ) | | 19 |
| | 3 |
| | 45 |
| | 34 |
|
| | HELOC | | 1,897 |
| | (8 | ) | | (51 | ) | | 5 |
| | 127 |
| | 122 |
|
| | | Total second lien | | 2,043 |
| | (10 | ) | | (32 | ) | | 8 |
| | 172 |
| | 156 |
|
Total U.S. RMBS | | 7,717 |
| | (15 | ) | | 8 |
| | 434 |
| | 221 |
| | 360 |
|
TruPS | | 1,722 |
| | — |
| | 3 |
| | 37 |
| | — |
| | 2 |
|
Other structured finance | | 2,397 |
| | 2 |
| | (39 | ) | | 101 |
| | 6 |
| | 25 |
|
U.S. public finance | | 9,094 |
| | 76 |
| | 195 |
| | 189 |
| | 8 |
| | 87 |
|
Non-U.S. public finance | | 1,608 |
| | 4 |
| | 17 |
| | 35 |
| | — |
| | 15 |
|
| | | Subtotal | | 22,538 |
| | 67 |
| | 184 |
| | 796 |
| | 235 |
| | 489 |
|
Other | | — |
| | — |
| | (10 | ) | | 2 |
| | 5 |
| | — |
|
| | | Subtotal | | 22,538 |
| | 67 |
| | 174 |
| | 798 |
| | 240 |
| | 489 |
|
Effect of consolidating FG VIEs | | — |
| | 4 |
| | (21 | ) | | (103 | ) | | (85 | ) | | (98 | ) |
Total | | $ | 22,538 |
| | $ | 71 |
| | $ | 153 |
| | $ | 695 |
| | $ | 155 |
| | $ | 391 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Insurance Reserves | | Credit Impairment on Credit Derivative Contracts (2) | | Reserve and Credit Impairment | | Salvage and Subrogation Recoverable | | Net |
Gross | | $ | 592 |
| | $ | 142 |
| | $ | 734 |
| | $ | 174 |
| | $ | 560 |
|
Ceded | | 36 |
| | 3 |
| | 39 |
| | 19 |
| (3) | 20 |
|
| Net | | $ | 556 |
| | $ | 139 |
| | $ | 695 |
| | $ | 155 |
| | $ | 540 |
|
| |
1) | In accordance with the terms of certain credit derivative contracts, the referenced obligations in such contracts have been delivered to the Company, and they therefore are included in the investment portfolio. Such amounts are still included in the financial guaranty insured portfolio, and totaled $195 million and $220 million in gross par outstanding as of December 31, 2013 and December 31, 2012, respectively. |
| |
2) | Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet considers estimates of expected losses. |
| |
3) | Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets. |
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2013 | | 2012 | | 2011 | | 2010 | | 2009 |
GAAP Summary Income Statement Data | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net earned premiums | | $ | 752 |
| | $ | 853 |
| | $ | 920 |
| | $ | 1,187 |
| | $ | 930 |
|
| Net investment income | | 393 |
| | 404 |
| | 396 |
| | 361 |
| | 262 |
|
| Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives | | (42 | ) | | (108 | ) | | 6 |
| | 153 |
| | 164 |
|
| Total expenses | | 466 |
| | 822 |
| | 776 |
| | 776 |
| | 808 |
|
| Income (loss) before income taxes | | 1,142 |
| | 132 |
| | 1,029 |
| | 534 |
| | 109 |
|
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | 808 |
| | 110 |
| | 773 |
| | 484 |
| | 82 |
|
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per diluted share | | 4.30 |
| | 0.57 |
| | 4.16 |
| | 2.56 |
| | 0.63 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total investments and cash | | $ | 10,969 |
| | $ | 11,223 |
| | $ | 11,314 |
| | $ | 10,849 |
| | $ | 11,013 |
|
| Total assets | | 16,287 |
| | 17,242 |
| | 17,709 |
| | 19,370 |
| | 16,449 |
|
| Unearned premium reserve | | 4,595 |
| | 5,207 |
| | 5,963 |
| | 6,973 |
| | 8,381 |
|
| Loss and LAE reserve | | 592 |
| | 601 |
| | 679 |
| | 574 |
| | 300 |
|
| Long-term debt | | 816 |
| | 836 |
| | 1,038 |
| | 1,053 |
| | 1,066 |
|
| Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | | 5,115 |
| | 4,994 |
| | 4,652 |
| | 3,670 |
| | 3,455 |
|
| Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share | | 28.07 |
| | 25.74 |
| | 25.52 |
| | 19.97 |
| | 18.76 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-GAAP Financial Measures | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating income | | $ | 609 |
| | $ | 535 |
| | $ | 601 |
| | $ | 655 |
| | $ | 278 |
|
| Operating income per diluted share | | 3.25 |
| | 2.81 |
| | 3.24 |
| | 3.46 |
| | 2.15 |
|
| Adjusted book value | | 9,033 |
| | 9,151 |
| | 8,987 |
| | 8,989 |
| | 8,887 |
|
| PVP | | 141 |
| | 210 |
| | 243 |
| | 363 |
| | 640 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis) | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | | $ | 690,535 |
| | $ | 780,356 |
| | $ | 844,447 |
| | $ | 926,698 |
| | $ | 958,037 |
|
| Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | | 737,380 |
| | 833,098 |
| | 934,914 |
| | 1,029,540 |
| | 1,094,809 |
|
| Net par outstanding (end of period) | | 459,107 |
| | 518,772 |
| | 556,830 |
| | 616,686 |
| | 640,194 |
|
| Gross par outstanding (end of period) | | 487,895 |
| | 550,908 |
| | 613,124 |
| | 680,803 |
| | 726,701 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1) | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | | $ | 663,797 |
| | $ | 756,044 |
| | $ | 828,327 |
| | $ | 904,686 |
| | $ | 941,965 |
|
| Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | | 709,000 |
| | 807,420 |
| | 916,501 |
| | 1,003,651 |
| | 1,072,811 |
|
| Net par outstanding (end of period) | | 434,597 |
| | 496,237 |
| | 541,882 |
| | 598,398 |
| | 626,046 |
|
| Gross par outstanding (end of period) | | 461,845 |
| | 527,126 |
| | 593,072 |
| | 659,320 |
| | 709,558 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Consolidated qualified statutory capital | | 6,136 |
| | 5,943 |
| | 5,688 |
| | 4,915 |
| | 4,841 |
|
| Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves | | 10,454 |
| | 10,288 |
| | 10,626 |
| | 10,247 |
| | 10,409 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Ratios: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital | | 71 | :1 | | 83:1 |
| | 95:1 |
| | 122:1 |
| | 129:1 |
|
| | Capital ratio(2) | | 108 | :1 | | 127:1 |
| | 145:1 |
| | 184:1 |
| | 195:1 |
|
| | Financial resources ratio(2) | | 55 | :1 | | 61:1 |
| | 65:1 |
| | 72:1 |
| | 72:1 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Gross debt service written: | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Public finance - U.S. | | $ | 15,559 |
| | $ | 25,252 |
| | $ | 26,630 |
| | $ | 48,990 |
| | $ | 87,940 |
|
| | Public finance - non-U.S. | | 674 |
| | 40 |
| | 208 |
| | 51 |
| | 894 |
|
| | Structured finance - U.S. | | 297 |
| | 623 |
| | 1,731 |
| | 2,962 |
| | 2,501 |
|
| | Structured finance - non-U.S. | | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
| Total gross debt service written | | $ | 16,530 |
| | $ | 25,915 |
| | $ | 28,569 |
| | $ | 52,003 |
| | $ | 91,335 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Net debt service written | | $ | 16,497 |
| | $ | 25,915 |
| | $ | 28,569 |
| | $ | 52,003 |
| | $ | 91,335 |
|
| Net par written | | 9,331 |
| | 16,816 |
| | 16,892 |
| | 30,759 |
| | 49,759 |
|
| Gross par written | | 9,350 |
| | 16,816 |
| | 16,892 |
| | 30,759 |
| | 49,921 |
|
| |
1) | Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The NAIC Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis. |
| |
2) | See page 7 for additional detail on claims paying resources. |
Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement.
Please refer to the Glossary for an explanation of changes in the presentation of net debt service and net par outstanding and of the various sectors.
Glossary
Net Par Outstanding and Internal Ratings
Net par outstanding is insured par exposure, net of reinsurance cessions. Unless otherwise indicated, GAAP net par outstanding amounts exclude amounts related to securities the Company has purchased for loss mitigation purposes, which securities the Company refers to as "loss mitigation bonds." See below for additional information.
Internal Rating utilizes the Company’s ratings scale, which is similar to that used by the nationally recognized statistical rating organizations; however, the ratings in the tables may not be the same as ratings assigned by any such rating agency.
During the third quarter of 2013, the Company changed the manner in which it presents par outstanding and Debt Service in two ways. First, the Company had included loss mitigation bonds both in its invested assets portfolio and its financial guaranty insured portfolio. Beginning with the third quarter of 2013, the Company excluded loss mitigation bonds from its disclosure about its financial guaranty insured portfolio (unless otherwise indicated) because it manages such securities as investments and not insurance exposure. This reduced its BIG net par as of December 31, 2012 by $1,121 million. Second, the Company refined its approach to its internal credit ratings and surveillance categories, which resulted in the upgrade of $25 million from BIG to investment grade. Please refer to "Refinement of Approach to Internal Credit Ratings and Surveillance Categories" in note 3, Outstanding Exposure, of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2013 for additional information.
Performance Indicators
The performance information described below is obtained from third parties and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to revision as updated or additional information are obtained:
60+ Day Delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned divided by current collateral balance.
Average Credit Enhancement is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty’s exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes.
Cumulative Losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original collateral balance.
Pool Factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
Subordination represents the sum of subordinate tranches and overcollateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size, and does not include any benefit from excess spread collections that may be used to absorb losses. Many of the closed-end second lien RMBS transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently undercollateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the undercollateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.
Sectors
Below are brief descriptions of selected types of public and structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.
Public Finance:
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.
Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.
Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.
Glossary (continued)
Sectors (continued)
Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.
Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community-based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.
Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution’s revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.
Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.
Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.
Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.
Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the United Kingdom.
Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit‑-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.
Other Public Finance primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal transactions, which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.
Structured Finance:
Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in ‘‘tranches,’’ with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company’s financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are obligations backed by closed-end and open-end first and second lien mortgage loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First lien mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate (ARM) and option adjustable-rate (Option ARM) mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including ‘‘prime’’, ‘‘subprime’’ and ‘‘Alt-A’’. A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.
Additional insured obligations within RMBS include Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs), which refers to a type of residential mortgage-backed transaction backed by second-lien loan collateral consisting of home equity lines of credit. U.S. Prime First Lien is a type of residential mortgage-backed securities transaction backed primarily by prime first-lien loan collateral plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous RMBS transactions.
CBOs/CLOs (collateralized bond obligations and collateralized loan obligations) are asset-backed securities largely backed by non-investment grade/high yield collateral.
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multifamily, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.
Financial Products is the way in which the Company refers to the guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) portion of a line of business previously conducted by AGMH that the Company did not acquire when it purchased AGMH in 2009. That line of business, which the Company refers to as the former "Financial Products Business" of AGMH, was comprised of its guaranteed investment contracts business, its medium term notes business and the equity payment agreements associated with AGMH's leveraged lease business. When AGMH was still conducting Financial Products Business, AGM issued financial guaranty insurance policies on GICs and in respect of the GIC business; those policies cannot be revoked or canceled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified by Dexia against loss from the former Financial Products Business. The Financial Products Business is currently being run off.
Glossary (continued)
Sectors (continued)
Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as student loans, automobile loans and leases, manufactured home loans and other consumer receivables.
Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, aircraft and aircraft engine financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.
Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.
Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories. One such type of asset is a tax benefit to be realized by an investor in one of the Federal or state programs that permit such investor to receive a credit against taxes (such as Federal corporate income tax or state insurance premium tax) for making qualified investments in specified enterprises, typically located in designated low-income areas.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
Management and the board of directors utilize non-GAAP financial measures in evaluating the Company’s financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty’s presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty’s financial results.
The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented within this financial supplement. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.
Operating Income: Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company’s financial guaranty business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results as compared with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:
1) Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company’s business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.
2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit-impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
3) Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
4) Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of net premium receivables and loss and LAE reserves. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
5) Elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs.
Operating Shareholders’ Equity: Management believes that operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excludes fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders’ equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend buying or selling Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s common shares. Many of the Company’s fixed income investors also use operating shareholders’ equity to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy. Operating shareholders’ equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:
1) Elimination of the effects of consolidating FG VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs.
2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit-impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses and non-economic payments. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (continued)
Operating Shareholders’ Equity (continued):
3) Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company’s committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
4) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company’s investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange remeasurement). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore should not recognize an economic gain or loss.
Operating return on equity (Operating ROE): Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company’s return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.
Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders’ equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.’s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:
1) Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.
2) Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.
3) Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.
Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company’s credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes for contracts without expected economic losses, and is discounted at 6%. Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.
PVP or present value of new business production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives (Credit Derivative Revenues) do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of financial guaranty contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6%. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com
Contacts:
Equity and Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com
Michael Walker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com
Ross Aron
Vice President, Equity Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com
Glenn Alterman
Associate, Investor Relations
(212) 339-0854
galterman@assuredguaranty.com
Media:
Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com