1. Fourth Quarter 2012 Earnings Call Presentation February 26, 2013 Exhibit 99.1 |
1 Forward-Looking Statements The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for forward-looking statements. This presentation and any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of Tower may include forward-looking statements that reflect Tower's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may," "will," "plan," "expect," "project," "intend," "estimate," "anticipate," "believe" and "continue" or their negative or variations or similar terminology. All forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause the actual results of Tower to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Please refer to Tower’s filings with the SEC, including among others Tower’s Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2011 and subsequent filings on Forms 10-Q/A, for a description of the important factors that could cause the actual results of Tower to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and Tower undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. Notes on Non-GAAP Financial Measures Combined ratio excluding the impact of catastrophes and reserve development is the sum of the loss and loss adjustment expense ratio and the expense ratio excluding the impact of catastrophes and reserve development. We believe this presentation enhances the understanding of our results by eliminating what we believe are volatile and unusual events and presenting the ratios with what we believe are the underlying run rates of the business. A reconciliation of combined ratio to combined ratio excluding the impact of catastrophes and reserve development is provided in an accompanying table. Book value per share is calculated as Tower Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity divided by the number of shares outstanding. We believe that book value per share is an important measure of our ability to grow shareholder value. The computation of book value per share is provided in an accompanying table. Total premiums include gross premiums written through our insurance subsidiaries and produced as managing general agent on behalf of other insurance companies, including the reciprocal exchanges. Operating income (loss) excludes realized gains and losses, acquisition-related transaction costs and the results of the reciprocal business, net of tax. Operating income is a common measurement for property and casualty insurance companies. We believe this presentation enhances the understanding of our results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of our insurance business. Additionally, these measures are a key internal management performance standard. Operating earnings (loss) per share is operating income (loss) divided by diluted weighted average shares outstanding. Net income (loss) attributable to Tower Group, Inc. is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Operating return on equity is annualized operating income (loss) divided by average common equity, and operating return on equity excluding the impact of catastrophes and reserve development is calculated by eliminating the impact of catastrophes and reserve development on operating income (loss). See footnote 2 for additional discussion of the exclusion of catastrophes and reserve development. A reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to Tower Group, Inc. to operating income (loss) and return on average equity to operating return on average equity is provided in an accompanying table. |
2 Fourth Quarter and 2012 Snapshot Fourth Quarter: • Operating loss of $54.9 million due to $80.1 million after-tax loss from Superstorm Sandy 2012: • Operating loss of $27.9 million due to $50.9 million after-tax reserve strengthening and $80.1 million loss from Superstorm Sandy » Excluding Sandy and reserve charges, the core business remains strong with full year combined ratio of 97.4% and operating ROE of 10.1% • Premium growth driven organically » Gross premiums written and managed increased 8.8% to $2 billion » Two newly created business units generated $195 million GPW in 2012 Canopius merger • Key step in executing long-term plan to create a global diversified specialty insurance company • Expect to close in first quarter 2013 |
3 23.5 23.5 27.9 (54.9) 25.2 4.4 80.1 4Q11 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q11 4Q12 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q12 56.3 115.7 (27.9) (27.9) 106.4 59.4 134.3 2011 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2011 2012 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2012 0.59 0.70 (1.43) 0.66 0.11 2.09 4Q11 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q11 4Q12 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q12 1.38 2.83 (0.72) 2.74 1.45 3.46 2011 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2011 2012 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2012 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Highlights Q4 Operating EPS (Loss) Full Year Operating EPS (Loss) Q4 Operating Earnings (Loss) $ in millions Full Year Operating Earnings (Loss) $ in millions |
4 Fourth Quarter and 2012 Highlights 1,034 981 12-31-2011 12-31-2012 26.36 25.54 12-31-2011 12-31-2012 ($ millions) 434 481 Q411 Q412 1,811 1,971 2011 2012 *Tower has repurchased $21.0 million of its common stock (1.1 million shares) and has paid $0.75 per share ($29 million) in dividends since 4Q 2011 . Stockholders' Equity ($ millions)* Book Value per Share ($)* Q4 Gross Premiums Written and Managed Full Year Gross Premiums Written and Managed |
5 Superstorm Sandy Impact Tower’s net Losses from Sandy: • $123.3 million pre-tax ($80.1 million after-tax) » Includes reinstatement premiums and investment loss from Canopius Through February 24, 2013, Tower has closed 93.7% of 30,511 personal lines claims received by our stock companies and reciprocal exchanges • 99% of these claims were received by February 1, 2013 • $164 million in gross paid claims 2013 reinsurance program will include a 30% quota share of Tower’s traditional homeowners business to further reduce catastrophic volatility |
6 Full Year Business Segment Results Commercial Personal Insurance General Specialty Services Business Units / Products Small business; Middle market National Programs, E&S, Customized Solutions, Transportation and Assumed Reinsurance Homeowners and private passenger auto YTD 2012 GPW ($ millions) $706 $622 $643 $34* YTD 2011 GPW ($ millions) 718 508 586 31* 2012 % of total GPW 36% 31% 33% n/a Commercial Consolidated Loss Ratio** 73.7% 72.5% n/a Expense Ratio 34.3% 40.1% n/a Combined Ratio 108% 112.6% n/a Retention 81% 85% n/a Renewal Premium Change 4.0% 4.6% n/a Segment Summary * Total revenue for the segment Expanding small workers compensation business Seeing signs of pricing improvement in the middle market business Focus on expanding relationships with MGA’s writing specialty business Customized solutions and assumed reinsurance generating organic growth Focus on reducing expenses by replacing OBPL systems; rollout of the new personal lines system in 1st half of 2012 Expanding licensing to expand writings in other states and thereby increasing fee income ** Loss Ratio for 2012 includes 30 points from Superstorm Sandy |
7 100.8 94.3 94.3 109.0 96.0 96.0 -6.5 -13.0 2011 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2011 2012 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2012 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Highlights 5.4 11.0 (2.7) 10.1 5.6 12.8 2011 Storms Pro - Forma 2011 2012 Storms & Q2 Dev. Pro - Forma 2012 9.0 9.0 10.6 (21.4) 9.6 1.6 30.9 4Q11 Storms Pro - Forma 4Q11 4Q12 Storms Pro - Forma 4Q12 97.5 95.6 95.6 130.3 98.5 98.5 -1.9 -31.8 4Q11 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q11 4Q12 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q12 Full Year Operating ROE (%) Full Year Combined Ratio (%) 4Q Operating ROE (%) 4Q Combined Ratio (%) |
8 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Loss Ratio 73.5 60.9 67.6 61.1 -12.6 -6.5 2012 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2012 2011 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 2011 Full Year Loss Ratio (%) 2012 2011 91.8 61.7 65.0 63.2 -30.1 -1.8 4Q12 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q12 4Q11 Storms & Dev. Pro - Forma 4Q11 Fourth Quarter Loss Ratio (%) 4Q12 4Q11 |
9 Full Year Expense Ratio Excluding Reciprocals Reinstatement premiums added 1.8 points to fourth quarter 2012 expense ratio Commission rate higher year over year due to assumed reinsurance As systems initiatives relating to personal lines are completed, we expect scale advantage to drive expense ratio down Note: Excludes reciprocals 17.8% 19.7% 11.7% 12.0% 3.7% 3.8% 33.2% 35.5% 2011 2012 Commissions, net of ceding commissions OUE, net of fees BB&T expenses |
10 Fourth Quarter 2012 Investment Performance Investment income continues to be constrained by low interest rates, which we are addressing by allocating funds into dividend paying equity securities and alternative investments. Going forward, we are continuing to look at real estate and alternative investments as classes to enhance investment returns. Note: Cash & Invested Assets, Tax–Equivalent Fixed Income Yield and Net Investment Income exclude reciprocals $2,359 $2,399 12-31-2012 12-31-2011 Cash and Invested Assets ($millions) 4.7 4.7 4Q 2012 4Q 2011 Tax- Equivalent Fixed Income Yield (%) $127 $126 12-31-2012 12-31-2011 Net Investment Income ($millions) |
11 Update on Proposed Merger Transaction Merger agreement with Canopius Holdings Bermuda Limited (CHBL) • Announced July 30, 2012 • Merger will create new Bermuda-domiciled holding company: Tower Group International, Ltd. (will continue to trade on NASDAQ under symbol TWGP) • Special meeting of Tower shareholders to approve merger on March 12, 2013 • CHBL to raise third party capital in the near future • Closing expected in March Financial impact of the merger • EPS accretion expected to be over 5% in 2013 and projected to be over 15% in 2014 • Expected to increase ROE to 13% - 15% within 18 months • Tower Group expects to report 2013 operating earnings per share in a range of $2.75 to $2.95 including the effect of the proposed merger transaction |