NR13-20 | August 15, 2013 |
Cardero Provides Update on Metallurgical Coal Quality
at the Carbon Creek Deposit, Northeast British Columbia
Wood Mackenzie Completes Positive
Project Benchmarking Study
Vancouver, British Columbia…Cardero Resource Corp. (“Cardero” or the “Company”) (TSX: CDU, NYSE-MKT: CDY, Frankfurt: CR5)is pleased to provide an update on coal quality results from the Company’s flagship Carbon Creek Metallurgical Coal deposit. Cardero has completed 42,000 metres of drilling and coal quality sampling over the past 24 months. Compilation and analysis of the extensive coal quality database has been completed. Simulated product specifications have been completed and supplied to Wood Mackenzie who completed a comprehensive benchmarking study (the “Study”), examining how Carbon Creek metallurgical coal products fit into the existing global seaborne metallurgical coal market. The results of Wood Mackenzie’s analysis are positive, as outlined below.
Highlights of Wood Mackenzie Benchmarking
Based on the coal quality data supplied to Wood Mackenzie by Cardero, the following conclusions from the Study are particularly relevant:
- Both the Hard Coking Coal (“HCC”) and Semi-Soft Coking Coal (“SSCC”) are close to benchmark specification. Indicative metallurgical product coal quality is positive. (Figure 1).
- Carbon Creek’s HCC will be marketed as a Mid-Volatile (“mid-Vol”) HCC, based on average Volatile Matter (“VM”) content of 27%, Coke Strength after Reaction (“CSR”) of 60 to 65 and Rank of 1.1% RoVmax.
- Overall, project fundamentals are positive. In particular, ash contents are low, which is a very desirable characteristic for blending coals.
- Carbon Creek’s PFS predicted an operating cost of $110/t, which in nominal dollars (taking account for inflation) is predicted to be $116/t in 2016. This places Carbon Creek in the upper half but close to mid-way in the global cost curve (Figure 2) at the 46thpercentile.
As part of the Study, Wood Mackenzie also provides insight into the global metallurgical coal market and expected trends during construction and operation of the proposed Carbon Creek Mine:
- Annual HCC demand is forecast to rise from a 2012 level of 150 million tonnes (“Mt”) to 230Mt in 2030.
- Currently the metallurgical market as a whole is seeing a slight oversupply, but additional mines need to come online by 2022 to address expected future supply shortfalls.
- Quarterly pricing for HCC has dipped below marginal production cost, reaching the 90th percentile on the global cost curve, and prices are expected to bottom during Q3 2013.
- An average price (2012 dollars) of $180/t is expected in the period 2014 to 2020. This is in line with Cardero’s assumed baseline prices used in the Company’s 2012 Prefeasibility Study.
- In Wood Mackenzie’s analysis, pricing is forecast to increase through the proposed production period. Prices beyond 2020 are expected to respond to higher production costs and will reach $225/t by 2030 (2012 dollars).
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- Future trends in export metallurgical coal quality will be influenced by the finite nature of high quality metallurgical coal deposits. In the coming years, exported metallurgical coal quality will likely increase in ash content (up to an estimated 10% to 12%), resulting in lower quality products, particularly with respect to key FSI and CSR. The most notable feature of the Carbon Creek coals is a low ash, with HCC washing to 4.0% to 6.0% ash content.
Carbon Creek Summary Product Coal Quality
The Company’s 2012 Prefeasibility Study (“PFS”) outlined the expected coal quality based on coal quality data available at the time. An additional 23,000 metres of exploration drilling was completed in late 2012 and results of coal quality analysis received during 2013. This data has allowed the ranges of product specifications to be narrowed considerably. Current understanding of expected coal quality is outlined in Table 1. The deposit is expected to produce two primary metallurgical products, being a medium-volatile Hard Coking Coal (“HCC”) and a flex product, being marketed as a Semi-Soft Coking Coal (“SSCC”) or as a metallurgical PCI, depending on prevailing market conditions and marketing contracts. A small proportion of the near-surface deposit will be oxidized and marketed as a premium thermal coal.
Table 1: Comparison of Prefeasibility and Current Product Specification for Carbon Creek Coals.
Prefeasibility 2012 | Current 2013 | |||
HCC | SSCC / PCI | HCC | SSCC / PCI | |
Ash % | 5.5 – 7.0 | 2.5 – 5.5 | 4.0 – 6.0 | 4.0 – 6.0 |
Sulphur % | <0.90 | 0.85 | 0.70 | 1.0 |
Volatile Matter % | 20 – 30 | 26 – 30 | 25 - 27 | 28 – 30 |
Fixed Carbon % | 65 – 70 | 66 – 74 | 66 - 70 | 63 - 67 |
Calorific Value (Kcal/kg) | 7,600 - 8,000 | 7,600 – 8,000 | 7,900 – 8,300 | 7,600 – 8,000 |
Free Swelling Index (FSI) | 6.0 – 7.0 | 2.0 – 4.0 | 6.0 – 7.0 | 2.0 – 4.0 |
Coke Strength After Reaction (CSR) | - | - | 60 - 68 | in progress |
Overview of Coal Quality Work Completed
Work completed by Cardero in the last two years has fundamentally altered the understanding of coal quality at Carbon Creek. Limited historical exploration was carried out by Utah Mines (“Utah”) over an 11 year period. From this historical work, 220 drill holes averaging 100 meters in depth are included in the project database. In contrast, Cardero’s 146 drill holes average 300 meters in depth (totaling 42,000 meters). Cardero’s modern analysis comprises 86% of the coal quality results in the project database.
Coal quality was underestimated by historical work. Utah’s predominantly shallow drilling meant that coal samples were frequently taken from near-surface, where surface water ingress artificially degrades coal quality – HCC coals at surface can be oxidized and return poor results from the laboratory.
Coal seams at Carbon Creek can be divided into a Lower Seam Package hosting HCC and an Upper Seam Package hosting SSCC /PCI. The Utah portion of the database only contains 47 samples from the lower package of seams, which hosts the hard coking coal and many of these samples were taken at depths less than 50 meters from surface. In contrast, Cardero has analyzed 425 samples from the lower package of hard coking coals and at depths where coal quality is not compromised by surface waters and weathering.
Cardero’s work has demonstrated that approximately 60% of the deposit contains HCC and 35% contains SSCC / PCI.
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Figure 1: Carbon Creek Coal Quality Compared to Coals (Canadian & Global)
Currently Sold into the Seaborne Metallurgical Coal Market.
Figure 2: Carbon Creek Operating Costs in the Global Cost-Curve
ABOUT WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie is the most comprehensive source of knowledge about the world's energy and metals industries. We analyze and advise on every stage along the value chain - from discovery to delivery, and beyond - to provide clients with the commercial insight that makes them stronger. With around 900 professionals in over 23 offices worldwide, we analyze the assets, markets and companies operating upstream and downstream; in oil, gas, coal, carbon, metals and power generation. Our expertise gives our clients confidence - the confidence to define their strategy, identify new opportunities, evaluate the markets they operate in and improve their performance against peers.
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About Carbon Creek
The Carbon Creek Metallurgical Coal Deposit is the Company’s flagship asset. Carbon Creek is an advanced metallurgical coal development project located in the Peace River Coal District of northeast British Columbia, Canada. The project has a current reserve of 121 million tonnes, included within a 468 million tonne measured and indicated resource, of ASTM Coal Rank mvB coal. Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and there is no assurance that any of the additional mineral resources that are not already classified as reserves will ultimately be reclassified as proven or probable reserves. Mineral resources which are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Having completed acquisition of the project in June 2011, the Company released results of an independent preliminary economic assessment in December 2011, followed by a Prefeasibility Study (“PFS”) in September 2012. The PFS estimates an undiscounted cash flow of $2.2 billion, an NPV8of $633 million,and an IRR of 24% (all on a post-tax, 75% basis).
For details with respect to the work done to date and the assumptions underlying the current resource and reserve estimates and prefeasibility study, see the technical report entitled “Technical Report, Prefeasibility Study of the Carbon Creek Coal Property, British Columbia, Canada” dated November 6, 2012 with an effective date of September 20, 2012 and available under the Company’s profile atwww.sedar.com.
EurGeol Keith Henderson, PGeo, Cardero’s Executive Vice President and a qualified person as defined by National Instrument 43-101, has reviewed the scientific and technical information that forms the basis for the technical disclosure this news release, and has approved the disclosure herein. Mr. Henderson is not independent of the Company, as he is an officer and shareholder.
ABOUT CARDERO RESOURCE CORP.
The common shares of the Company are currently listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (symbol CDU), the NYSE-MKT (symbol CDY) and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (symbol CR5). For further details on the Company readers are referred to the Company’s web site (www.cardero.com), Canadian regulatory filings on SEDAR atwww.sedar.comand United States regulatory filings on EDGAR atwww.sec.gov.
On Behalf of the Board of Directors of
CARDERO RESOURCE CORP.
“Hendrik van Alphen” (signed)
Hendrik van Alphen, CEO and President
General Contact: | Email:info@cardero.com |
Toll Free: 1-888-770-7488 | |
Tel: 604 408-7488 | |
Fax: 604 408-7499 |
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively, “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian and US securities legislation. All statements regarding the anticipatedcontent, commencement and cost of exploration programs, anticipated exploration program results, the discovery and delineation of mineral deposits/resources/reserves, the potential for any production from the Carbon Creek deposit, the potential for a production decision to be made at Carbon Creek, the potential commencement of any development of a mine at the Carbon Creek deposits following a production decision, the potential receipt of a permit to establish and operate a mine at Carbon Creek, the completion of a NI 43-101 report, the completion of a feasibility study for Carbon Creek, business and financing plans and business trends, are forward-looking statements. Information concerning mineral resource estimates and the preliminary economic analysis thereof may also be deemed to be forward-looking statements in that it reflects a prediction of the mineralization that would be encountered, and the results of mining it, if a mineral deposit were developed and mined. Although the Company believes that such statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as: believe, expect, anticipate, intend, estimate, postulate and similar expressions, or are those, which, by their nature, refer to future events. The Company cautions investors that any forward-looking statements by the Company are not guarantees of future results or performance, and that actual results may differ materially from those in forward looking statements as a result of various factors, including, but not limited to, variations in the nature, quality and quantity of any mineral deposits that may be located, the inability of Carbon Creek products to meet required specifications for metallurgical coal, variations in the market for, and pricing of, any mineral products the Company may produce or plan to produce, significant increases in any of the machinery, equipment or supplies required to develop and operate a mine at Carbon Creek, a significant change in the availability or cost of the labor force required to operate a mine at Carbon Creek, significant increases in the cost of transportation for the Company’s products, the Company’s inability to obtain any necessary permits, consents or authorizations required for its activities, the Company’s inability to produce minerals from its properties successfully or profitably, to continue its projected growth, to raise the necessary capital or to be fully able to implement its business strategies, and other risks and uncertainties disclosed in the Company’s 2012 Annual Information Form filed with certain securities commissions in Canada and the Company’s annual report on Form 40-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), and other information released by the Company and filed with the appropriate regulatory agencies. All of the Company's Canadian public disclosure filings may be accessed viawww.sedar.comand its United States public disclosure filings may be accessed viawww.sec.gov, and readers are urged to review these materials, including the technical reports filed with respect to the Company's mineral properties.
Cautionary Note Regarding References to Resources and Reserves
National Instrument 43 101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”) is a rule developed by the Canadian Securities Administrators which establishes standards for all public disclosure an issuer makes of scientific and technical information concerning mineral projects. Unless otherwise indicated, all resource estimates contained in or incorporated by reference in this press release have been prepared in accordance with NI 43-101 and the guidelines set out in the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (the “CIM”) Standards on Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserves, adopted by the CIM Council on November 14, 2004 (the “CIM Standards”) as they may be amended from time to time by the CIM, and in the Geological Survey of Canada Paper 88-21 entitled “A Standardized Coal Resource/Reserve Reporting System for Canada” originally published in 1988.
United States shareholders are cautioned that the requirements and terminology of NI 43-101 and the CIM Standards differ significantly from the requirements and terminology of the SEC set forth in the SEC’s Industry Guide 7 (“SEC Industry Guide 7”). Accordingly, the Company’s disclosures regarding mineralization may not be comparable to similar information disclosed by companies subject to SEC Industry Guide 7. Without limiting the foregoing, while the terms “mineral resources”, “inferred mineral resources”, “indicated mineral resources” and “measured mineral resources” are recognized and required by NI 43-101 and the CIM Standards, they are not recognized by the SEC and are not permitted to be used in documents filed with the SEC by companies subject to SEC Industry Guide 7. Mineral resources which are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability, and US investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of a mineral resource will ever be converted into reserves. Further, inferred resources have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to whether they can be mined legally or economically. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of the inferred resources will ever be upgraded to a higher resource category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of inferred mineral resources may not form the basis of a feasibility study or prefeasibility study, except in rare cases. The SEC normally only permits issuers to report mineralization that does not constitute SEC Industry Guide 7 compliant “reserves” as in-place tonnage and grade without reference to unit amounts. In addition, the NI 43-101 and CIM Standards definition of a “reserve” differs from the definition in SEC Industry Guide 7. In SEC Industry Guide 7, a mineral reserve is defined as a part of a mineral deposit which could be economically and legally extracted or produced at the time the mineral reserve determination is made, and a “final” or “bankable” feasibility study is required to report reserves, the three-year historical price is used in any reserve or cash flow analysis of designated reserves and the primary environmental analysis or report must be filed with the appropriate governmental authority.
This press release is not, and is not to be construed in any way as, an offer to buy or sell securities in the United States.
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