January 28, 2019
Page Five
valuation used a discount rate of 17%. The DCF Method determined an enterprise equity value indication of approximately $[***] million. The April 26, 2018 valuation reflected the closing of two tranches of the Company’s Series CC convertible preferred stock financing, which occurred on April 25, 2018 and April 26, 2018 and was reconciled back to the observed price in the Company’s Series CC convertible preferred stock financing. The Series CC convertible preferred stock financing was anarm’s-length transaction that was negotiated with third parties, including a new investor and multiple existing investors of the Company.
The OPM was then used to estimate the fair value of the common stock. The OPM indicated the value of the Company’s common stock as of April 26, 2018 to be $[***] per share.
December 31, 2018 Valuation. The valuation as of December 31, 2018 was determined on an enterprise equity value using the probability-weighted expected return method (“PWERM”) in combination with the OPM as a hybrid method (“Hybrid Method”).
The Hybrid Method was not introduced until the December 31, 2018 valuation, as the IPO was not considered to be a probable outcome prior to the IPO organizational meeting held on October 1, 2018. The Hybrid Method is appropriate for a company expecting a near term liquidity event, but where, due to market or other factors, the likelihood of completing the liquidity event is uncertain. The Hybrid Method considers a company’s going concern nature, stage of development and the company’s ability to forecast near and long-term future liquidity scenarios. The PWERM is a scenario-based analysis that estimates the value per share of common stock based on the probability-weighted present value of expected future equity values for the common stock, under various possible future liquidity event scenarios, in light of the rights and preferences of each class and series of stock, discounted for a lack of marketability.
Using the Hybrid Method, the value of the Company’s common stock was estimated to be $[***] per share as of December 31, 2018. The primary reason for the increase in the concluded fair market value per share of $[***] in the December 31, 2018 valuation, as compared to the estimated fair market value per share of $[***] in the April 26, 2018 valuation, was attributable in part to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services issuing a permanent decision to establish a product-specific Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System J code for the Company’s Photrexa drug formulations in November 2018, which became effective on January 1, 2019, (2) the positive trend in the Company’s increasing revenues, including sales of the KXL system and its associated Photrexa formulations and (3) the Company’s progress towards a potential IPO, as reflected by an increased weighting on and reduced time to an IPO scenario. The PWERM was weighted assuming three scenarios: (1) a successful IPO by February 19, 2019 and an implied equity value of $[***] million with a [***]% probability; (2) a successful IPO by April 30, 2019 and an implied equity value of $[***] million with a [***]% probability; and (3) a merger and acquisition exit of the Company by November 1, 2019 and an implied equity value of $[***] million with a [***]% probability. Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 collectively assume a [***]% probability of occurrence of an IPO prior to April 2019. The OPM was weighted assuming a fourth scenario – the Company staying private – with an enterprise equity value indication of approximately $[***] million and a [***]% probability of occurrence. A discount rate of 18.8%, based on the cost of equity, was used to calculate the present value of the future values per share derived in Scenarios 1 through 3. Scenario 4, the OPM, derived a per share value that was as of the valuation date, therefore, no additional discounting was needed. A discount for lack of marketability of 5%, 8%, 12% and 15% was applied to Scenarios 1 through 4, respectively.
Grant Date Fair Value Determinations
January 31, 2018 Option Grants. On January 31, 2018, the Company granted options to certain employees and consultants to purchase an aggregate of [***] shares of common stock and granted restricted stock unit awards to certain employees to purchase an aggregate of [***] shares of common stock.
[***] Certain confidential information contained in this document, marked by bracketed asterisks, has been omitted and
filed separately with the Commission pursuant to 17 C.F.R. § 200.83.
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