Transparent Risk Disclosure October 1, 2009 Portfolio Probable Maximum Losses by Zone and Peril Consolidated (Validus Re and Talbot) Estimated Net Loss Validus Re Net 20 year 50 year 100 year 250 year Maximum Zonal Zones Perils return period return period return period return period Aggregate United States Hurricane $ 417,944 $ 725,426 $ 955,921 $ 1,213,960 $ 2,374,536 California Earthquake 186,830 359,631 535,372 823,750 2,275,889 Europe Windstorm 251,176 504,071 727,756 966,766 1,887,157 Japan Earthquake 49,957 132,649 168,216 239,627 798,631 Japan Typhoon 102,736 219,043 306,368 400,148 890,698 1:100 year PML equal to 22.4% of quarter end capital, 24.1% of shareholders’ Net loss estimates are before income tax, net of reinstatement premiums, and net of reinsurance and incorrect, or if the risk model proves to be an inaccurate forecasting tool, the losses the Company might incur retrocessional recoveries. The estimates set forth above are based on assumptions that are inherently from an actual catastrophe could be materially higher than its expectation of losses generated from modeled subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. These uncertainties and contingencies can affect actual catastrophe scenarios. In addition, many risks such as second-event covers, aggregate excess of loss, or losses and could cause actual losses to differ materially from those expressed above. In particular, modeled attritional loss components cannot be fully evaluated using the vendor models. Further, the Company cannot loss estimates do not necessarily accurately predict actual losses, and may significantly mis-estimate actual assure that such third party models are free of defects in the modeling logic or in the software code. losses. Such estimates, therefore, should not be considered as a representation of actual losses. Investors should not rely on the information set forth in this presentation when considering investment in The Company has developed the estimates of losses expected from certain catastrophes for its portfolio of the Company. The information contained in this presentation has not been audited nor has it been subject to property, marine, workers’ compensation, and personal independent verification. accident The estimates set forth above speak only as of the date of this presentation and contracts using commercially the catastrophe models such as RMS, AIR and EQECAT, which are applied and adjusted by the Company. These Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect the occurrence of future estimates include assumptions regarding the location, size and magnitude of an event, the frequency of events, including, but not limited to, the composition of the Company’s business. The events presented events, the construction type and damageability of property in a zone, policy terms and conditions and the reflect a specific set of proscribed calculations and do not necessarily reflect all events that may impact the cost of rebuilding property in a zone, among other assumptions. These assumptions will evolve following any Company. actual event. Accordingly, if the estimates and assumptions that are entered into the risk model are Enter source, notes or legal copy here. INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3RD QUARTER 2009 22 |