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Socially, we continue to focus on helping communities address gun violence with our Respond gunshot detection services which are in use by over 110 communities and growing. These efforts also assist police agencies with opportunities to improve relationships with under-served communities. In one city they reported finding 96 GSW victims over the course of 2020 based on ShotSpotter alerts alone with no corresponding 911 call. The officers provided first aid and called for an ambulance to get those victims to a hospital. Cooper University Health Care’s Level 1 Trauma Center in Camden, New Jersey published a study that measured and analyzed the positive outcomes of gunshot wound victims getting faster life-saving treatment because of a ShotSpotter alert. As Dr. John Porter, Head of Trauma Surgery, Cooper University Health Care explained, “People can bleed to death in minutes. The faster we get the person to the hospital, the better.”
From a Diversity, Equity & Inclusion (DEI) perspective, we are well positioned with our Leadership Team and Boards of Directors, including over 33% and 43% being persons of color/persons from underrepresented communities, respectively, and have ongoing efforts to expand our DEI impact even further.
Growth Strategy and Business Model
We believe we are well positioned to more than double the revenue from $45.7 million in 2020 to $100 million in the next four to five years (2024-2025) by growing at a compounded rate of growth of 17% to 22% from 2020. We are targeting a gross margin profile of 70%+ and Adjusted EBITDA2 margin profile of $45%+ at that $100 million in revenue target, effectively almost quadrupling the Adjusted EBITDA dollars from $11.9 million in 2020 to $45.0 million + in the same period. The combined revenue growth plus Adjusted EBITDA margin would place us well beyond the Rule of 40.
We get there by growing our franchise domestic gunshot detection service, ShotSpotter Respond sold to local police departments by adding another $20-25 million in ARR net of attrition. This can be accomplished by adding 100-110 miles of coverage area per year from new customers and expansions. We will also need to drive a combined with $17-19 million ARR net of attrition from gunshot detection in the international and security verticals along with contributions from ShotSpotter Investigate and ShotSpotter Connect.
We have demonstrated operational leverage by achieving GAAP profitability at $10 million of quarterly revenue. While we expect to increase investment in our go to market to take advantage of our new precision policing platform at this opportune time to accelerate growth, we still expect to maintain profitability. In 2020, our cost to produce an annualized dollar of revenue was only $0.51.
There are three factors that are driving what we feel is a near-term opportunity to be aggressive in investing in growth. First, the increase in social unrest and increased violence are motivating agencies to pursue transformation strategies. Technology has to be part of the discussion. We will have two solutions (patrol management and later this year, case management), beyond acoustic gunshot detection that are relevant to cities that do not have an elevated gun crime problem effectively providing us a much larger TAM in which to have impact. Second, and what is unique to our specific situation, are regional and smaller agency vertical tipping points that are coming into play with increasing frequency. We have discussed our regional tipping-point experience in Ohio, where one agency moves forward and demonstrates the impact that our solutions can provide, then we then quickly see other agencies follow. We are beginning to see an early-tipping point cadence play out within the Tier 4/5 vertical markets we only just pursued. In the past year we have already booked six and deployed in five Tier 4/5 agencies. We believe we are similarly situated in in Texas with our Houston pilot and recent Harris County deployments. If our experience in Texas mimics Ohio we might have several large, medium and small cities to follow that cumulatively could add a large number of miles within the state. Third, we are positively thrilled to see the Biden Administration American Rescue Plan
2 | We define Adjusted EBITDA margin as net income or loss before interest (income) expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation expense and acquisition related expenses divided by total revenues. |