4 th Quarter and Full Year 2011 Earnings Report Exhibit 99.1 February 28, 2012 |
2 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation should be reviewed in conjunction with CVR Energy, Inc.’s Fourth Quarter earnings conference call held on February 28, 2012. The following information contains forward- looking statements based on management’s current expectations and beliefs, as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events. These statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important factors. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on such forward-looking statements (including forecasts and projections regarding our future performance) because actual results may vary materially from those expressed or implied as a result of various factors, including, but not limited to (i) those set forth under “Risk Factors” in CVR Energy, Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and any other filings CVR Energy, Inc. makes with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and (ii) those set forth under “Risk Factors” in the CVR Partners, LP annual report on form 10-K, quarterly report on form 10-Q and any other filings CVR Partners, LP makes with the Securities and Exchange Commission. CVR Energy, Inc. assumes no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. |
3 Fourth Quarter Full Year (In millions, except for EPS/Distributions) Q4 2011 Q4 2010 Percent 2011 2010 Percent Adjusted EBITDA (1) $ 80.5 $ 55.8 + 44% $ 692.0 $ 192.0 + 260% Adjusted Fully Diluted EPS (2) $ 0.34 $ 0.16 + 113% $ 3.94 $ 0.47 + 738% CVR Partners Adjusted EBITDA (3) $ 48.4 $ 7.5 + 545% $ 162.6 $ 52.6 + 209% CVR Partners Distributions $ 0.588 N/A N/A $ 1.567 N/A N/A Note: Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter and full year 2011 excludes turnaround expense of $54m and $66m, respectively (1) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 27 (2) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 28 (3) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 30 Consolidated Results |
• Strong earnings and cash flow from both segments • Completion of first phase turnaround in Coffeyville ($54m spent in Q4) • Completed acquisition of Gary Williams, 70,000 bpd, 9.3 Nelson complexity • Set a record for gathered barrels of 37,500+ bpd in one month in 2011, now gathering 40,000+ bpd • Improved Balance Sheet – Consolidated cash ending balance of $388m after close of Wynnewood transaction – $237m of cash at CVR Partners • UAN quarterly distribution of $0.588 paid on 2/14/2012 • Corporate rating upgrade to Ba3 from B1 4 Fourth Quarter Highlights |
Market Outlook • Brent – WTI and Canadian crude differentials recently widened significantly • Crack spreads remain well above historic levels • Inventory in group expected to normalize by end of first quarter • Fertilizer pricing strong versus historical norms 5 • Coffeyville Post Turnaround • Coffeyville set to run nameplate capacity until next turnaround • Turnaround-related excess inventory to be monetized by end of second quarter Operational Highlights • Wynnewood Operational Improvements • Following temporary downtime in January, crude throughputs currently at 70k bpd • Realizing unit yield improvements in excess of plan • Replacing WTS crude with lower cost Canadian light sours Current Outlook |
6 (1) As of 2/22/2012 2010 2011 Q4 2011 Current Average Differential $ 0.77 $ 15.89 $ 15.07 $ 16.62 ($5) $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 NYMEX 2-1-1 Crack Brent-WTI Differential NYMEX 2-1- 1 Crack & Brent - WTI Differential (1) Market Environment - Petroleum |
7 Crack Spread vs. Historical Norm $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 NYMEX CL, $/Bbl NYMEX 2-1-1 Crack vs NYMEX Crude Oil Yearly Averages 1997 to 2011 Yrly Avgs Yrly Avgs Trendline 2012 Daily Note: The trendline does not include 2011 |
8 (1) As of 2/17/2012 2.9 4.5 3.9 2.9 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 $23.87 $25.85 $23.19 $20.45 $24.13 $24.56 $23.41 $21.86 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Base Level 11/28/2011 As of 12/31/2011 As of 1/31/2012 As of 2/17/2012 Hedged Crack Spread 0.5 Volume Hedged (1) Crack Spread Hedging |
9 UAN, Ammonia & Urea Prices Market Environment - Fertilizer Source: Green Markets |
Financial Financial |
Fourth Quarter Full Year (In millions, except for EPS/EPU) Q4 2011 Q4 2010 2011 2010 Net earnings attributable to CVR stockholders $ 65.9 $ 2.3 $ 345.8 $ 14.3 Earnings per diluted share $ 0.76 $ 0.03 $ 3.94 $ 0.16 EBITDA $ 140.0 $ 47.0 $ 696.2 $ 165.1 Adjusted EBITDA (1) $ 80.5 $ 55.8 $ 692.0 $ 192.0 Adjusted Fully diluted EPS (2) $ 0.34 $ 0.16 $ 3.94 $ 0.47 CVR Partners Distributions $ 0.588 N/A $ 1.567 N/A 11 Note: Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter and full year 2011 excludes turnaround expense of $54m and $66m, respectively (1) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 27 (2) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 28 Financial Results |
(In millions except for barrels sold data) Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2010 Net Sales $ 979.5 $ 1,284.4 $ 1,109.6 Operating Income $ (3.3) $ 179.8 $ 60.4 Adjusted EBITDA $ 47.6 $ 232.0 $ 51.1 Segment SG&A $ 11.1 $ 8.6 $ 16.1 Crude Oil Throughput (barrels per day) 93,705 112,885 116,361 Barrels Sold (barrels per day) 89,953 114,061 135,478 Refining margin (per crude oil throughput barrel) (1) $ 11.05 $ 27.55 $ 9.54 Direct Operating Expenses (per Barrel of Crude Throughput) $ 12.03 $ 5.25 $ 3.57 Dir. Op. Ex. (per Barrel of Crude Throughput) Less: Turnaround Cost $ 5.74 $ 4.48 $ 3.51 12 Note: Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter 2011 excludes turnaround expense of $54m, and fourth quarter 2011 financial data includes 16 days of Wynnewood operations (1) Adjusted for FIFO impact $(3.3) $34.3 $65.4 $27.5 $8.4 ($20) $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 Q4 2010 Oper. Inc. Refining Margin Other (D&A, FIFO, SG&A) Volume Direct Oper. Cost Q4 2011 Oper. Inc. Operating Earnings Bridge $60.4 Petroleum Segment – Fourth Quarter |
(In millions except for barrels sold data) FY 2011 FY 2010 Net Sales $ 4,751.8 $ 3,903.8 Operating Income $ 465.7 $ 104.6 Adjusted EBITDA $ 580.9 $ 154.7 Segment SG&A $ 42.0 Crude Oil Throughput (barrels per day) 103,702 113,365 Barrels Sold (barrels per day) 106,397 127,142 Refining margin (per crude oil throughput barrel) (1) $ 21.12 $ 8.07 Direct Operating Expenses (per Barrel of Crude Throughput) $ 6.54 $ 3.70 Dir. Op. Ex. (per Barrel of Crude Throughput) Less: Turnaround Cost $ 4.79 13 Note: Adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2011 excludes turnaround expense of $66m, and 2011 financial data includes 16 days of Wynnewood operations (1) Adjusted for FIFO impact $465.7 $54.5 $94.6 $520.0 $104.6 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 2010 Refining Margin Volume Direct Oper. Cost Other (D&A, FIFO, SG&A) 2011 Operating Earnings Bridge $9.8 Petroleum Segment – Full Year $ 41.7 $ 3.67 |
(in millions except for tons sold data) Q4 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2010 Net Sales $ 87.6 $ 77.2 $ 39.4 Operating Income $ 42.6 $ 37.5 $ (9.7) Adjusted EBITDA $ 48.4 $ 43.3 $ 7.5 Segment SG&A $ 4.6 $ 4.5 $ 11.9 Ammonia Sales (000 tons) 29.3 22.6 49.4 UAN Sales (000 tons) 184.6 179.2 73.8 Ammonia ASP (per ton) $ 606 $ 568 $ 491 UAN ASP (per ton) $ 334 $ 294 $ 171 Pet Coke Cost (per ton) $ 42 $ 43 $ 8 On-stream Factors (1) : Gasification Ammonia UAN 14 (1) Adjusted for Linde outage 97.6% 97.1% 94.1% 97.0% 98.6% 99.2% 96.5% 95.3% 99.4% Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment – Fourth Quarter $42.6 $18.4 $(7.7) $29.8 $4.9 $7.0 $(9.7) ($20) ($10) $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 Q4 2010 Oper. Inc. Aver. Selling Price COGS Volume / Mix Direct Oper. Cost Other (D&A, SG&A) Q4 2011 Oper. Inc. Operating Earnings Bridge |
(in millions except for tons sold data) FY 2011 FY 2010 Net Sales $ 302.9 $ 180.5 Operating Income $ 136.2 $ 20.4 Adjusted EBITDA $ 162.6 $ 52.6 Segment SG&A $ 22.2 $ 20.6 Ammonia Sales (000 tons) 112.8 164.7 UAN Sales (000 tons) 709.3 580.7 Ammonia ASP (per ton) $ 579 $ 361 UAN ASP (per ton) $ 284 $ 179 Pet Coke Cost (per ton) $ 33 $ 17 On-stream Factors (1) : Gasification 99.2% 97.6% Ammonia 98.0% 96.8% UAN 95.7% 96.1% 15 (1) Adjusted for Linde outage $136.2 $99.2 $(8.2) $23.2 $0.2 $(1.4) $20.4 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 2010 Oper. Inc. Aver. Selling Price COGS Volume / Mix Direct Oper. Cost Other (D&A, SG&A) 2011 Oper. Inc. Operating Earnings Bridge Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment – Full Year |
Capital Summary Refinery turnaround years 16 $0 $100 $200 $300 2010 2011 2012 Nitrogen Petroleum Capital Spend Summary ($ in millions) 2010 2011 Estimated 2012 Petroleum Discretionary $ 1.6 $ 18.1 $ 24.7 Non-Discretionary (1) 18.2 50.5 139.9 Other 2.5 1.8 1.7 Total Petroleum $ 22.3 $ 70.4 $ 166.3 Nitrogen (CVR Partners) Discretionary (2) $ 1.2 $ 12.9 $ 100.1 Non-Discretionary 8.9 6.2 9.7 Other - 1.7 2.2 Total Nitrogen (CVR Partners) $ 10.1 $ 20.8 $ 112.0 Total Spending $ 32.4 $ 91.2 $ 278.3 Note: The company expenses its turnarounds, turnaround expense for 2011 is $66m and forecasted to be $32m in 2012 for Coffeyville and $85m for Wynnewood (1) Increase of approximately $30m in 2011 vs. 2010 due to sustaining maintenance capital needs associated with turnaround (2) Increase in 2011 and 2012 due to work performed on the UAN expansion project. Project expected to complete by Q1 2013 |
D&A 17 NI Cash $200 $379 $90 $630 $586 $49 $99 $176 $388 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 2010 Cash, NI & D&A IPO & Net Debt Issuance Gary Williams Acquisition AP, AR, SBC, Prepaids & Other Cap Ex & Debt Payments Inventory 2011 Cash Cash Flow Waterfall – 2010 to 2011 |
Financial Metrics 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Debt to Capital 54% 46% 43% 41% 40% Debt to Adj. EBITDA 2.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.3 18 Consolidated Net Debt ($ in millions) Debt Metrics |
Appendix |
To supplement the actual results in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), for the applicable periods, the Company also uses certain non-GAAP financial measures as discussed below, which are adjusted for GAAP-based results. The use of non-GAAP adjustments are not in accordance with or an alternative for GAAP. The adjustments are provided to enhance the overall understanding of the Company’s financial performance for the applicable periods and are also indicators that management utilizes for planning and forecasting future periods. The non-GAAP measures utilized by the Company are not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. The Company believes that the presentation of non-GAAP financial measures provides useful information to investors regarding the Company’s financial condition and results of operations because these measures, when used in conjunction with related GAAP financial measures (i) together provide a more comprehensive view of the Company’s core operations and ability to generate cash flow, (ii) provide investors with the financial analytical framework upon which management bases financial and operational planning decisions, and (iii) presents measurements that investors and rating agencies have indicated to management are useful to them in assessing the Company and its results of operations. 20 Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
EBITDA: EBITDA represents net income before the effect of interest expense, interest income, income tax expense (benefit) and depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is not a calculation based upon GAAP; however, the amounts included in EBITDA are derived from amounts included in the consolidated statement of operations of the Company. Adjusted EBITDA by operating segment results from operating income by segment adjusted for items that the company believes are needed in order to evaluate results in a more comparative analysis from period to period. Additional adjustments to EBITDA include major scheduled turnaround expense, the impact of the Company’s use of accounting for its inventory under first-in, first-out (FIFO), net realized gains/losses on derivative activities, share-based compensation expense, loss on extinguishment of debt, and other income (expense). Adjusted EBITDA is not a recognized term under GAAP and should not be substituted for operating income or net income as a measure of performance but should be utilized as a supplemental measure of financial performance in evaluating our business. First-in, first-out (FIFO): The Company’s basis for determining inventory value on a GAAP basis. Changes in crude oil prices can cause fluctuations in the inventory valuation of our crude oil, work in process and finished goods, thereby resulting in favorable FIFO impacts when crude oil prices increase and unfavorable FIFO impacts when crude oil prices decrease. The FIFO impact is calculated based upon inventory values at the beginning of the accounting period and at the end of the accounting period. 21 Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
Refining margin : Refining margin per crude oil throughput barrel is a measurement calculated as the difference between net sales and cost of product sold (exclusive of depreciation and amortization). Refining margin is a non-GAAP measure that we believe is important to investors in evaluating our refinery’s performance as a general indication of the amount above our cost of product sold that we are able to sell refined products. Each of the components used in this calculation (net sales and cost of product sold (exclusive of depreciation and amortization)) are taken directly from our Condensed Statement of Operations. Our calculation of refining margin may differ from similar calculations of other companies in our industry, thereby limiting its usefulness as a comparative measure. In order to derive the refining margin per crude oil throughput barrel, we utilize the total dollar figures for refining margin as derived above and divide by the applicable number of crude oil throughput barrels for the period. We believe that refining margin and refining margin per crude oil throughput barrel is important to enable investors to better understand and evaluate our ongoing operating results and allow for greater transparency in the review of our overall financial, operational and economic performance. 22 Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
Refining margin per crude oil throughput barrel adjusted for FIFO : Refining margin per crude oil throughput barrel adjusted for FIFO impact is a measurement calculated as the difference between net sales and cost of product sold (exclusive of depreciation and amortization) adjusted for FIFO impacts. Under our FIFO accounting method, changes in crude oil prices can cause fluctuations in the inventory valuation of our crude oil, work in process and finished goods, thereby resulting in favorable FIFO impacts when crude oil prices increase and unfavorable FIFO impacts when crude oil prices decrease. Refining margin adjusted for FIFO impact is a non-GAAP measure that we believe is important to investors in evaluating our refinery’s performance as a general indication of the amount above our cost of product sold (taking into account the impact of our utilization of FIFO) that we are able to sell refined products. Our calculation of refining margin adjusted for FIFO impact may differ from calculations of other companies in our industry, thereby limiting its usefulness as a comparative measure 23 Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment ($ per ton) Fourth Quarter Full Year Q4 2011 Q4 2010 2011 2010 UAN / Ton (Sales) $ 334 $ 171 $ 284 $ 179 Ammonia / Ton (Sales) 606 491 579 361 Pet Coke / Ton (Cost of Sales) $ 42 $ 8 $ 33 $ 17 Petroleum Segment ($ per crude oil throughput barrel) Fourth Quarter Full Year Q4 2011 Q4 2010 2011 2010 NYMEX 2-1-1 $ 23.49 $ 11.01 $ 26.33 $ 10.07 Purchased crude discount 1.92 4.12 3.95 3.31 Group 3 basis 0.05 (0.65) 0.44 (0.06) Liquid Volume yield loss (5.34) (4.65) (5.50) (4.07) Yield structure difference (1) (7.05) (1.90) (4.22) (2.23) Other cost of product sold (2) (1.62) (0.27) (1.25) (0.35) Other (0.40) 1.88 1.37 1.40 Refining margin (adj. for FIFO impact) $ 11.05 $ 9.54 $ 21.12 $ 8.07 2011 financials do not include 16 days of Wynnewood operations (1) Impact of our refinery producing other products in addition to gasoline and distillate. (2) Includes cost such as RINS, sulfur credits, ethanol, transportation, hydrogen. 24 Note: CVI Performance |
Financials ($ in millions) Full Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cash $ 30.5 $ 8.9 $ 36.9 $ 200.0 $ 388.3 Long Term Debt 500.8 495.9 491.3 476.9 853.9 Net Debt 470.3 486.9 454.4 276.9 475.5 CVR Stockholder’s Equity 432.7 579.5 653.8 689.6 1,151.6 Adjusted EBITDA (1)(2) $ 139.0 $ 218.1 $ 206.8 $ 192.0 $ 692.0 Note: 2011 includes debt related to acquisition of Gary Williams but only 16 days of EBITDA contribution (1) Adjusted for FIFO, turnaround expense, SBC, financing costs and gains/losses on derivatives, asset dispositions, loss on extinguishment of debt, Gary Williams (2) Non-GAAP reconciliation on slide 26 25 Capital Structure acquisition and integration costs, and bridge loan expenses |
Financials ($ in millions) Full Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Consolidated net income (loss) attributable to CVR Energy $ (67.6) $ 163.9 $ 69.4 $ 14.3 $ 345.8 Interest expense, net of interest income 60.0 37.6 42.5 48.1 55.3 Depreciation and amortization 68.4 82.2 84.9 86.8 90.3 Income tax expense (benefit) (88.5) 63.9 29.2 13.8 209.5 EBITDA adjustments included in NCI - - - - (5.3) FIFO impact (favorable) unfavorable (69.9) 102.5 (67.9) (31.7) (25.6) Goodwill impairment - 42.8 - - - Unrealized (gain)/loss on all derivatives 113.5 (247.9) 37.8 (0.6) (85.3) Share-based compensation 44.1 (42.5) 8.8 37.2 27.2 Loss on disposal of fixed asset 1.3 2.3 - 2.7 2.5 Loss on extinguishment of debt 1.3 10.0 2.1 16.6 2.1 Major scheduled turnaround 76.4 3.3 - 4.8 66.4 Expenses related to Gary Williams acquisition - - - - 9.1 Adjusted EBITDA $ 139.0 $ 218.1 $ 206.8 $ 192.0 $ 692.0 26 Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
Financials ($ in millions) Fourth Quarter Full Year 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 Consolidated net income (loss) attributable to CVR Energy $ 65.9 $ 2.3 $ 345.8 $ 14.3 Interest expense, net of interest income 14.7 13.1 55.3 48.1 Depreciation and amortization 24.2 22.0 90.3 86.8 Income tax expense (benefit) 37.1 9.0 209.5 13.8 EBITDA adjustments included in NCI (1.9) - (5.3) - FIFO impact (favorable) unfavorable (31.7) Unrealized (gain)/loss on all derivatives (92.1) 2.9 (85.3) (0.6) Share-based compensation 3.5 28.9 27.2 37.2 Loss on disposal of fixed asset 1.0 1.4 2.5 2.7 Loss on extinguishment of debt - 1.6 2.1 16.6 Major scheduled turnaround 54.1 4.2 66.4 4.8 Expenses related to Gary Williams acquisition 9.1 - 9.1 - Adjusted EBITDA $ 80.5 $ 55.8 $ 692.0 $ 192.0 27 Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures (29.6) (35.1) (25.6) |
Financials (1) ($ in millions) Fourth Quarter Full Year 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 Consolidated net income (loss) attributable to CVR Energy 65.9 2.3 345.8 14.3 FIFO impact (favorable) unfavorable (21.3) (17.8) (15.5) (19.1) Share-based compensation 2.1 23.4 18.6 30.1 Loss on extinguishment of debt - 1.0 1.3 10.0 Loss on disposition of assets 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.6 Major scheduled turnaround 32.8 2.5 40.2 2.9 Unrealized (gain)/loss on derivatives (55.8) 1.8 (51.7) 1.3 Expenses associated with the acquisition of Gary-Williams 5.2 - 5.5 - Adjusted Net Income 29.5 14.0 345.7 41.1 Adjusted Net Income per diluted share 0.34 0.16 3.94 0.47 28 (1) All adjustments net of tax Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ |
Financials ($ in millions) Quarter Year Ended 12/31/2011 09/30/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 Operating income $ (3.3) $ 183.5 $ 60.4 $ 465.7 $ 104.6 FIFO impact (favorable), unfavorable (35.1) 4.1 (29.6) (25.6) (31.7) Share-based compensation 0.7 0.5 9.1 8.7 11.5 Loss on disposal of fixed assets 1.0 1.5 - 2.5 1.3 Major scheduled turnaround expense 54.1 1.1 0.7 66.4 1.2 Realized gain (loss) on derivatives, net 11.1 0.5 (6.4) (7.2) 0.7 Depreciation and amortization 19.0 17.0 16.9 69.9 66.4 Other income (expense) 0.1 0.2 - 0.5 0.7 Adjusted EBITDA $ 47.6 $ 208.4 $ 51.1 $ 580.9 $ 154.7 29 Petroleum Non-GAAP Financial Measures |
Financials ($ in millions) Quarter Full Year 12/31/2011 9/30/2011 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2010 Operating income $ 42.6 $ 37.5 $ (9.7) $ 136.2 $ 20.4 Depreciation and amortization 4.9 4.7 4.6 18.9 18.5 Other income (expense) - 0.2 - 0.2 (0.2) Share-based compensation 0.9 0.9 7.7 7.3 9.0 Loss on disposition of assets - - 1.4 - 1.4 Major scheduled turnaround expense - - 3.5 - 3.5 Adjusted EBITDA $ 48.4 $ 43.3 $ 7.5 $ 162.6 $ 52.6 30 Fertilizer Non-GAAP Financial Measures |