| 15 dp_logo_rgb_whiteboxforPPT.tifdp_logo_rgb_whiteboxforPPT.tifCONFIDENTIAL Valuation Analysis DCF Valuation Summary (1) Management provided tax rate of 15% in 2013-2014 (preferential tax treatments due to certain subsidiaries of the Company qualifying as "high and new technology enterprise", "Manufacturing Foreign- Invested Enterprise", and "Software Enterprise"). Management assumed tax rate to be 25% thereafter. (2) Prior to application of 10% dividend withholding tax calculated based on levered cash flows and discounted separately at the cost of equity derived in the WACC calculation. Note: Balance sheet data and LTM as of June 30, 2013. Financial performance metrics presented are adjusted to exclude public company costs and non-recurring income (expenses), other than historical net income which is presented as reported. Years 2018-2021, not shown in the summary table above, are included in the financial projections model. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (RMB in thousands) LTM CAGR 6/30/2013 2013P 2014P 2015P 2016P 2017P 2022P 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year Net Revenue 1,602,333 1,613,552 1,748,988 1,925,528 2,071,144 2,197,433 2,647,561 6.4% 6.5% 5.2% Growth 8.3% 0.8% 8.4% 10.1% 7.6% 6.1% 3.0% EBITDA (25,527) 13,694 52,316 46,924 36,152 38,185 133,099 EBITDA Margin (1.6%) 0.8% 3.0% 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 5.0% Growth NM (68.8%) 282.0% (10.3%) (23.0%) 5.6% 3.0% 2.3% (2.7%) 11.7% 7/13-12/13 Earnings Before Interest and Taxes 44,831 27,539 28,365 23,232 31,817 126,515 Pro Forma Taxes (1) (7,858) (8,073) (12,900) (10,112) (11,066) (35,000) Net Operating Profit After Tax 36,973 19,466 15,466 13,120 20,752 91,516 Depreciation 3,356 5,600 6,254 6,972 5,364 5,852 Amortization 7,629 19,177 12,305 5,948 1,004 732 Capital Expenditures (2,522) (4,833) (5,320) (5,723) (6,072) (7,331) (Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital 91,030 (33,679) (47,170) (26,109) (18,791) (29,113) Free Cash Flow (2) 136,466 5,731 -18,466 -5,792 2,258 61,654 Terminal Growth Rate 3.0% 3.0% Weighted Average Cost of Capital 20.00% 16.00% Concluded Enterprise Value Range 205,000 263,000 Implied Equity Value 577,891 651,121 Fully Diluted ADSs Outstanding 47,906,087 47,906,087 Implied Per ADS Range (RMB) 12.06 13.59 Implied Per ADS Range (USD) $1.97 $2.22 Implied Valuation Multiples EV / 2012 EBITDA 43,877 4.7x 6.0x EV / LTM EBITDA -25,527 NM NM EV / 2013 EBITDA 13,694 15.0x 19.2x EV / 2014 EBITDA 52,316 3.9x 5.0x EV / LTM Revenue 1,602,333 0.13x 0.16x EV / 2013 Revenue 1,613,552 0.13x 0.16x EV / 2014 Revenue 1,748,988 0.12x 0.15x P/ Book Value Per ADS 24 0.50x 0.56x P/ Tangible Book Value Per ADS 23 0.53x 0.60x P / 2012 Earnings -255,399 NM NM P / LTM Earnings -344,142 NM NM P / 2013 Earnings -33,605 NM NM |