AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION COMPANY CONFERENCE PRESENTATION | DEC 06, 2021
Moving into 2022, we’ll see another $60 million of annualized revenue kind of roll off. And then in 2023, $50 million. And when you get to 2024, the final piece will be about $70 million. So that’s contracted, that will run off, and that’s built into the longer-term guidance that we provided to The Street back in February.
And what I would point out there is you will see that reduce our organic tenant billings growth rates in the U.S., really in the next couple of years, most notably in 2022. But when you get out to ‘23 and beyond and out to ‘27, if you were to normalize the Sprint churn and not included in our numbers, we’re seeing an acceleration in our growth rates in the U.S., which is really important and compelling, and we’re seeing that because of the increased data demand on the 4G networks, the investments the carriers make in the 4G networks.
And now the addition of the early stages of 5G, some of the new spectrum that has been auctioned off in the U.S., notably the C-band spectrum, we see carriers beginning and preparing to deploy that. And we have an arrangement in a contract with DISH where they really will become the fourth carrier in the U.S., building a greenfield 5G only network. You put all those pieces together, and we are seeing our top line commitments in terms of organic tenant billings growth percentage increasing over time, really out over a long period of time out to 2027.
So that’s a pretty important fact. So once we get through this trough of the Sprint churn, we’re very excited about what the future of the tower rental business looks like, particularly driven by data mobile consumption in general, but also the addition of 5G networks. And we are seeing 5G networks rolling out in Europe and we know that, that will happen around the globe as well. So our global footprint is very well positioned to take advantage of that cycle.
Batya Levi
UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Okay. And in the U.S., I believe you had said based on the MLA that you have pretty much 2/3 of the backlog is in the back. Can we talk potentially what could change that longer-term organic growth guidance based on maybe incremental activity coming from Verizon or the pacing of DISH?
Rodney M. Smith
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Yes, absolutely. So the — when you look out from now out till 2027, and at the time, it was — I guess, it was a couple of quarters ago. So back in February, when we first put out our long-term guidance out to 2027, we had 2/3 of our revenue committed, contractually noncancelable, not just the revenue, but the revenue growth that we’re talking about out to 2027. And that includes the MLAs with folks like T-Mobile and AT&T, including DISH in there.
And it includes the underlying leases, let’s say, for Verizon, which is not necessarily the revenue growth, but it is the underlying leases. So even though Verizon is coming out of their holistic arrangement at the end of this year, they’re still under contract for all their sites out for another 4 or 5 years.
So that base revenue is in that secured portion, the two-thirds. So the pieces that aren’t in there is any site that comes up for renewal between now and then. So renewing any of those, extending any of those will be upside in terms of that percentage that’s committed. And Verizon is on — is assumed to be on an ala carte basis going forward starting in 2022.
So any activity from them out from 2022 up to 2027 is outside of the 2/3 committee because it would be ala carte. So any kind of a holistic deal with Verizon would increase that 2/3 number. So we feel really good about the long-term growth rates in the U.S. We’ve got a solid portion of that revenue and growth already contracted.
The things that could be upside to our growth rates is if DISH builds out accelerates their build, if they build more quicker. They accelerate their build or if they enhance or increase their build within that time frame between now and 2027, the assumption we have in for DISH is what’s contracted. So there’s no downside there because it’s contracted, but we’re not counting any upside in terms of our longer-term guide for the U.S.
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