Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses | . Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses The Company establishes reserves for unpaid losses and LAE which represent the estimated ultimate cost of all losses incurred that were both reported and unreported (i.e., incurred but not yet reported losses, or “IBNR”) and LAE incurred as well as a provision for estimated future costs related to claim settlement for all claims that remain unpaid at the balance sheet date. The Company’s reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including the Company’s experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in law and regulation, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. In the normal course of business, the Company may also supplement its claims processes by utilizing third party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process. Reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of losses that have occurred, including IBNR losses, therefore the establishment of appropriate reserves, is an inherently uncertain and complex process. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on management’s best estimates. The highest degree of uncertainty is associated with reserves for losses incurred in the current reporting period as it contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled. The Company regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in prior year reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in the results of operations in the period such changes are determined to be needed and recorded. Management believes that the reserve for losses and LAE, any related estimates of reinsurance recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the consolidated financial statements based on available facts and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations. The table below provides the changes in the reserves for losses and LAE, net of recoverables from reinsurers, for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands): December 31, 2022 2021 2020 Gross reserves - beginning of period $ 139,085 $ 111,270 $ 107,246 Less: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 40,344 24,218 22,579 Net reserves - beginning of period 98,741 87,052 84,667 Add: incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses, net Current period 57,156 50,429 40,634 Prior period 24,284 19,432 15,594 Total net incurred losses and loss adjustment 81,440 69,861 56,228 Deduct: loss and loss adjustment expense payments, Current period 20,894 18,984 13,599 Prior period 76,399 39,188 40,244 Total net loss and loss adjustment expense 97,293 58,172 53,843 Net reserves - end of period 82,888 98,741 87,052 Plus: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 82,651 40,344 24,218 Gross reserves - end of period $ 165,539 $ 139,085 $ 111,270 There was $ 24.3 million, $ 19.4 million, and $ 15.6 million of adverse development on prior accident year reserves in 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. There were no significant changes in the key methods utilized in the analysis and calculations of the Company’s reserves during 2022, 2021 or 2020. Of the $ 24.3 million of adverse development in 2022, $ 1.8 million was related to the 2021 accident year, $ 4.0 million was related to the 2020 accident year, $ 9.6 million was related to the 2019 accident year, $ 5.2 million was related to the 2018 accident year, and $ 3.7 million was related to 2017 and prior accident years. The adverse development was mostly related to the Company's commercial liability lines and was driven by multiple factors including significant social inflation generating higher severity than historical experience, and longer tail exposure than anticipated, particularly in certain jurisdictions. In 2021, the adverse development consisted of $ 18.5 million from commercial lines and $ 957,000 from personal lines. Of the $ 18.5 million of adverse development in commercial lines, the Company experienced $ 12.0 million and $ 6.5 million of adverse development in its hospitality and small business lines of business, respectively. The Company experienced $ 2.0 million of catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoverables, during the first quarter of 2021 from winter Storm Uri. In 2020, the adverse development consisted of $ 15.2 million from commercial lines and $ 352,000 from personal lines. Of the $ 15.2 million of adverse development in commercial lines, the Company experienced $ 12.0 million and $ 3.2 million of adverse development in its hospitality and small business lines of business, respectively. The $ 352,000 of adverse development in personal lines mostly was related to wind-exposed business. Loss Development Tables The following tables represent cumulative incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE"), net of reinsurance, by accident year and cumulative paid loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance, by accident year, for the years ended December 31, 2013 to 2022, as well as total IBNR and the cumulative number of reported claims for the year ended December 31, 2022, by reportable segment and accident year (dollars in thousands). The tables do not include reinsurance recoverables from the LPT. Commercial Lines Incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Total Cumulative Accident Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2022 2022 2013 10,018 9,435 9,893 10,237 11,252 11,218 11,624 11,804 11,867 12,046 — 613 2014 19,709 19,907 22,711 26,367 28,145 28,766 29,045 29,175 29,011 — 1,754 2015 22,442 26,633 31,861 34,478 36,372 37,795 38,824 39,093 26 2,361 2016 32,396 34,935 40,440 44,355 46,089 46,993 48,677 201 3,557 2017 44,251 44,495 49,749 51,883 55,589 56,649 671 5,832 2018 42,624 42,432 49,741 55,261 60,102 1,637 6,124 2019 41,286 42,129 46,329 55,263 4,529 6,320 2020 33,867 35,328 39,193 3,787 3,830 2021 40,388 42,266 8,744 2,861 2022 41,708 16,067 1,965 Total $ 424,008 $ 35,662 Commercial lines Cumulative paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Accident Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2013 3,979 6,211 7,643 8,622 10,147 10,650 11,137 11,620 11,702 11,935 2014 8,715 13,977 17,458 22,446 25,609 27,544 28,389 28,648 28,608 2015 10,470 17,817 22,549 30,475 34,497 35,833 37,563 38,685 2016 10,255 19,135 27,785 37,967 41,945 43,644 46,957 2017 12,448 23,020 34,205 42,308 47,148 52,800 2018 10,375 19,799 31,633 41,577 50,508 2019 10,078 20,462 28,958 39,893 2020 10,217 17,332 24,225 2021 12,870 21,313 2022 12,839 Total $ 327,763 Net Unpaid losses and ALAE, years 2013 through 2022 $ 96,245 Unpaid losses and ALAE, prior to 2013* 177 Unpaid Losses, LPT ( 25,913 ) Unpaid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance $ 70,509 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Personal Lines Incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Total Cumulative Accident For the years ended December 31, Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2022 2022 2013 18,034 17,996 18,925 19,138 19,167 19,202 19,222 19,226 19,227 19,365 — 5,208 2014 17,951 17,471 17,735 17,880 17,929 18,082 18,095 18,097 18,052 — 3,737 2015 10,877 13,445 14,721 15,285 15,364 15,427 15,427 15,448 — 2,152 2016 11,619 13,418 14,949 15,550 15,655 15,634 15,679 — 1,814 2017 14,058 13,550 14,493 14,793 14,911 14,957 — 2,917 2018 5,893 6,378 6,283 6,382 6,298 — 803 2019 3,099 2,712 2,898 2,862 — 342 2020 2,339 2,590 2,636 — 366 2021 4,409 4,332 116 580 2022 9,404 1,427 652 Total $ 109,033 $ 1,543 Personal lines Cumulative paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Accident For the years ended December 31, Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2013 9,955 15,883 18,052 18,600 19,014 19,174 19,214 19,222 19,227 19,365 2014 12,819 16,515 17,260 17,746 17,855 18,047 18,068 18,070 18,025 2015 7,771 11,873 13,844 15,159 15,250 15,290 15,416 15,444 2016 7,119 11,238 14,442 15,110 15,351 15,452 15,679 2017 8,320 12,944 14,004 14,526 14,866 14,957 2018 4,296 5,618 6,100 6,242 6,244 2019 2,119 2,604 2,692 2,850 2020 1,307 2,455 2,605 2021 3,022 3,980 2022 5,397 Total $ 104,546 Net Unpaid losses and ALAE, years 2013 through 2022 $ 4,487 Unpaid losses and ALAE, prior to 2013* — Unpaid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance $ 4,487 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. Total Lines Incurred loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Total Cumulative number of reported claims Accident For the years ended December 31, Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2022 2022 2013 28,052 27,431 28,817 29,375 30,419 30,420 30,846 31,030 31,094 31,411 — 5,821 2014 37,660 37,378 40,446 44,247 46,074 46,848 47,140 47,272 47,063 — 5,491 2015 33,319 40,078 46,581 49,763 51,736 53,222 54,251 54,541 26 4,513 2016 44,015 48,353 55,389 59,905 61,744 62,627 64,356 201 5,371 2017 58,309 58,045 64,242 66,676 70,500 71,606 671 8,749 2018 48,517 48,810 56,024 61,643 66,400 1,637 6,927 2019 44,385 44,841 49,227 58,125 4,529 6,662 2020 36,206 37,918 41,829 3,787 4,196 2021 44,797 46,598 8,860 3,441 2022 51,112 17,494 2,617 Total 533,041 37,205 Total lines Cumulative paid loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance Accident For the years ended December 31, Year 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022 2013 13,934 22,094 25,695 27,223 29,162 29,824 30,351 30,842 30,929 31,300 2014 21,534 30,492 34,718 40,192 43,464 45,591 46,457 46,718 46,633 2015 18,241 29,690 36,393 45,634 49,747 51,123 52,979 54,129 2016 17,374 30,373 42,227 53,077 57,296 59,096 62,636 2017 20,768 35,964 48,209 56,834 62,014 67,757 2018 14,671 25,417 37,733 47,819 56,752 2019 12,197 23,066 31,650 42,743 2020 11,524 19,787 26,830 2021 15,892 25,293 2022 18,236 Total $ 432,309 Net Unpaid losses and ALAE, years 2013 through 2022 $ 100,732 Unpaid losses and ALAE, prior to 2013* 177 Unpaid losses, LPT ( 25,913 ) Unpaid losses and ALAE, net of reinsurance $ 74,996 * Presented as unaudited required supplementary information. The following table reconciles the loss development information to the consolidated balance sheet for the year ended December 31, 2022, by reportable segment (dollars in thousands). December 31, Net unpaid losses claims and ALAE Commercial Lines $ 70,509 Personal Lines 4,487 Total unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance 74,996 Reinsurance recoverable on losses and LAE Commercial Lines 81,301 Personal Lines 1,350 Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and LAE 82,651 ULAE expense 7,892 Total gross unpaid losses and LAE $ 165,539 Loss Duration Disclosure (unaudited) The following table represents the average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance, for each reportable segment. Average annual percentage payout of incurred losses by age, net of reinsurance Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year Commercial Lines 34.4 % 23.0 % 17.7 % 10.0 % 8.0 % 3.6 % 1.8 % 0.8 % 0.4 % 0.3 % Personal Lines 69.4 % 16.6 % 10.1 % 2.6 % 0.9 % 0.2 % 0.1 % 0.1 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Total Lines 35.7 % 22.8 % 17.5 % 9.7 % 7.7 % 3.5 % 1.7 % 0.8 % 0.4 % 0.2 % |