EXHIBIT 99.1
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER 2015 RESULTS
VERO BEACH, Fla. (February 24, 2016) – Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (NYSE:ORC) ("Orchid” or the "Company"), a real estate investment trust ("REIT"), today announced results of operations for the three month period ended December 31, 2015.
Fourth Quarter 2015 Highlights
| · | Net income of $7.8 million, or $0.36 per common share |
| · | Fourth quarter total dividends declared and paid of $0.42 per common share |
| · | Book value per share of $11.64 at December 31, 2015 |
| · | 3.2% economic gain on common equity for the quarter, or 12.7% annualized, comprised of $0.42 dividend per common share and $0.05 decrease in net book value per common share, divided by beginning book value per share |
| · | Company to discuss results on Thursday, February 25, 2016, at 10:00 AM ET |
Details of Fourth Quarter 2015 Results of Operations
The Company reported net income of $7.8 million for the three month period ended December 31, 2015, compared with net income of $3.5 million for the three month period ended December 31, 2014. The fourth quarter net income of $7.8 million included net interest income of $16.7 million, net portfolio losses of $6.8 million (which includes realized and unrealized gains (losses) on securities sold and derivative instruments), accrued incentive compensation of $0.2 million, audit, legal and other professional fees of $0.2 million, management fees of $1.0 million, and other operating, general and administrative expenses of $0.8 million. During the fourth quarter of 2015, the Company sold residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) with a market value at the time of sale of $379.9 million, resulting in realized losses of $0.3 million (based on security prices from September 30, 2015). The remaining net loss on RMBS was due to fair value adjustments for the period.
Capital Allocation and Return on Invested Capital
The Company allocates capital to two RMBS sub-portfolios, the pass-through RMBS portfolio (“PT RMBS”), and the structured RMBS portfolio, consisting of interest only (“IO”) and inverse interest-only (“IIO”) securities. As of December 31, 2015, approximately 58% of the Company’s investable capital (which consists of equity in pledged PT RMBS, available cash and unencumbered assets) was deployed in the PT RMBS portfolio. The allocation percentage to the PT RMBS was unchanged from September 30, 2015.
The table below details the changes to the respective sub-portfolios during the fourth quarter, as well as the returns generated by each.
| (in thousands) | |
| Portfolio Activity for the Fourth Quarter | |
| | | | Structured Security Portfolio | | | |
| | Pass-Through | | Interest Only | | Inverse Interest | | | | | |
| | Portfolio | | Securities | | Only Securities | | Sub-total | | Total | |
| Market value - September 30, 2015 | | $ | 2,013,409 | | | $ | 64,351 | | | $ | 39,849 | | | $ | 104,200 | | | $ | 2,117,609 | |
| Securities purchased | | | 482,404 | | | | - | | | | 6,317 | | | | 6,317 | | | | 488,721 | |
| Securities sold | | | (379,883 | ) | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | (379,883 | ) |
| Losses on sales | | | (338 | ) | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | (338 | ) |
| Return of investment | | | n/a | | | | (5,498 | ) | | | (2,525 | ) | | | (8,023 | ) | | | (8,023 | ) |
| Pay-downs | | | (40,831 | ) | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | (40,831 | ) |
| Premium lost due to pay-downs | | | (3,366 | ) | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | (3,366 | ) |
| Mark to market (losses) gains | | | (15,558 | ) | | | 2,721 | | | | (3,042 | ) | | | (321 | ) | | | (15,879 | ) |
| Market value - December 31, 2015 | | $ | 2,055,837 | | | $ | 61,574 | | | $ | 40,599 | | | $ | 102,173 | | | $ | 2,158,010 | |
The tables below present the allocation of capital between the respective portfolios at December 31, 2015 and September 30, 2015, and the return on invested capital for each sub-portfolio for the three month period ended December 31, 2015. The return on invested capital in the PT RMBS and structured RMBS portfolios was approximately 7.3% and (0.5)%, respectively, for the fourth quarter of 2015. The combined portfolio generated a return on invested capital of approximately 4.0%.
| ($ in thousands) | |
| Capital Allocation | |
| | | | | | Structured Security Portfolio | | | | |
| | | Pass-Through | | | Interest Only | | | Inverse Interest | | | | | | | |
| | | Portfolio | | | Securities | | | Only Securities | | | Sub-total | | | Total | |
| December 31, 2015 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Market value | | $ | 2,055,837 | | | $ | 61,574 | | | $ | 40,599 | | | $ | 102,173 | | | $ | 2,158,010 | |
| Cash | | | 69,709 | | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | 69,709 | |
Borrowings(1) | | | (1,986,313 | ) | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | (1,986,313 | ) |
| Total | | $ | 139,233 | | | $ | 61,574 | | | $ | 40,599 | | | $ | 102,173 | | | $ | 241,406 | |
| % of Total | | | 57.7 | % | | | 25.5 | % | | | 16.8 | % | | | 42.3 | % | | | 100.0 | % |
| September 30, 2015 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Market value | | $ | 2,013,409 | | | $ | 64,351 | | | $ | 39,849 | | | $ | 104,200 | | | $ | 2,117,609 | |
Cash(2) | | | 73,569 | | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | 73,569 | |
Borrowings(3) | | | (1,943,299 | ) | | | - | | | | - | | | | - | | | | (1,943,299 | ) |
| Total | | $ | 143,679 | | | $ | 64,351 | | | $ | 39,849 | | | $ | 104,200 | | | $ | 247,879 | |
| % of Total | | | 58.0 | % | | | 25.9 | % | | | 16.1 | % | | | 42.0 | % | | | 100.0 | % |
| (1) | At December 31, 2015, there were outstanding repurchase agreement balances of $22.0 million and $25.7 million secured by IO and IIO securities, respectively. We entered into these arrangements to generate additional cash to invest in PT RMBS; therefore, we have not considered these balances to be allocated to the structured securities strategy. |
| (2) | At September 30, 2015, total cash had been reduced by unsettled securities purchases of approximately $92.3 million and increased by unsettled securities sales of approximately $87.6 million. |
| (3) | At September 30, 2015, there were outstanding repurchase agreement balances of $24.2 million and $23.1 million secured by IO and IIO securities, respectively. We entered into these arrangements to generate additional cash to invest in PT RMBS; therefore, we have not considered these balances to be allocated to the structured securities strategy. |
| ($ in thousands) | |
| Returns for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2015 | |
| | | | Structured Security Portfolio | | | |
| | Pass-Through | | Interest Only | | Inverse Interest | | | | | |
| | Portfolio | | Securities | | Only Securities | | Sub-total | | Total | |
| Income (loss) (net of repo cost) | | $ | 16,965 | | | $ | (971 | ) | | $ | 726 | | | $ | (245 | ) | | $ | 16,720 | |
| Realized and unrealized gains / (losses) | | | (19,262 | ) | | | 2,721 | | | | (3,042 | ) | | | (321 | ) | | | (19,583 | ) |
| Derivative losses | | | 12,770 | | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | n/a | | | | 12,770 | |
| Total Return | | $ | 10,473 | | | $ | 1,750 | | | $ | (2,316 | ) | | $ | (566 | ) | | $ | 9,907 | |
| Beginning Capital Allocation | | $ | 143,678 | | | $ | 64,351 | | | $ | 39,849 | | | $ | 104,200 | | | $ | 247,878 | |
Return on Invested Capital for the Quarter(1) | | | 7.3 | % | | | 2.7 | % | | | (5.8 | )% | | | (0.5 | )% | | | 4.0 | % |
Average Capital Allocation(2) | | $ | 141,456 | | | $ | 62,962 | | | $ | 40,224 | | | $ | 103,186 | | | $ | 244,642 | |
Return on Average Invested Capital for the Quarter(3) | | | 7.4 | % | | | 2.8 | % | | | (5.8 | )% | | | (0.5 | )% | | | 4.0 | % |
| (1) | Calculated by dividing the Total Return by the Beginning Capital Allocation, expressed as a percentage. |
| (2) | Calculated using two data points, the Beginning and Ending Capital Allocation balances. |
| (3) | Calculated by dividing the Total Return by the Average Capital Allocation, expressed as a percentage. |
Prepayments
For the quarter, Orchid received $48.9 million in scheduled and unscheduled principal repayments and prepayments, which equated to a constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) of approximately 9.0% for the fourth quarter of 2015. Prepayment rates on the two RMBS sub-portfolios were as follows (in CPR):
| | | | | | Structured | | | | |
| | | PT RMBS | | | RMBS | | | Total | |
| Three Months Ended, | | Portfolio (%) | | | Portfolio (%) | | | Portfolio (%) | |
| December 31, 2015 | | | 6.8 | | | | 13.4 | | | | 9.0 | |
| September 30, 2015 | | | 6.1 | | | | 16.2 | | | | 10.2 | |
| June 30, 2015 | | | 13.8 | | | | 17.9 | | | | 15.3 | |
| March 31, 2015 | | | 8.1 | | | | 14.6 | | | | 9.7 | |
| December 31, 2014 | | | 4.0 | | | | 14.9 | | | | 7.8 | |
| September 30, 2014 | | | 8.1 | | | | 18.8 | | | | 12.5 | |
| June 30, 2014 | | | 4.1 | | | | 15.9 | | | | 8.1 | |
| March 31, 2014 | | | 4.2 | | | | 14.9 | | | | 9.1 | |
Portfolio
The following tables summarize Orchid’s PT RMBS and structured RMBS as of December 31, 2015 and 2014:
| ($ in thousands) | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Weighted | | Weighted | | |
| | | | Percentage | | Average | | Average | Weighted | Weighted |
| | | | of | Weighted | Maturity | | Coupon | Average | Average |
| | | Fair | Entire | Average | in | Longest | Reset in | Lifetime | Periodic |
| Asset Category | | Value | Portfolio | Coupon | Months | Maturity | Months | Cap | Cap |
| December 31, 2015 | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjustable Rate RMBS | $ | 2,976 | 0.1% | 3.63% | 224 | 1-Sep-35 | 4.10 | 10.04% | 2.00% |
| Fixed Rate RMBS | | 2,000,623 | 92.7% | 4.22% | 315 | 1-Dec-45 | NA | NA | NA |
| Hybrid Adjustable Rate RMBS | | 52,238 | 2.5% | 2.55% | 325 | 1-Aug-43 | 84.93 | 7.55% | 2.00% |
| Total Mortgage-backed Pass-through | | 2,055,837 | 95.3% | 4.18% | 315 | 1-Dec-45 | 80.57 | 7.68% | 2.00% |
| Interest-Only Securities | | 61,573 | 2.9% | 3.58% | 250 | 25-Apr-45 | NA | NA | NA |
| Inverse Interest-Only Securities | | 40,600 | 1.8% | 5.97% | 320 | 15-Apr-45 | NA | 6.36% | NA |
| Total Structured RMBS | | 102,173 | 4.7% | 4.53% | 278 | 25-Apr-45 | NA | 6.36% | NA |
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 2,158,010 | 100.0% | 4.19% | 313 | 1-Dec-45 | NA | NA | NA |
| December 31, 2014 | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjustable Rate RMBS | $ | 3,794 | 0.2% | 3.55% | 236 | 1-Sep-35 | 4.02 | 10.05% | 2.00% |
| Fixed Rate RMBS | | 1,412,593 | 91.2% | 4.37% | 318 | 1-Dec-44 | NA | NA | NA |
| Hybrid Adjustable Rate RMBS | | 70,400 | 4.6% | 2.54% | 338 | 1-Aug-43 | 97.75 | 7.54% | 2.00% |
| Total Mortgage-backed Pass-through | | 1,486,787 | 96.0% | 4.28% | 319 | 1-Dec-44 | 92.96 | 7.67% | 2.00% |
| Interest-Only Securities | | 46,611 | 3.0% | 3.95% | 248 | 25-Jan-43 | NA | NA | NA |
| Inverse Interest-Only Securities | | 15,773 | 1.0% | 6.23% | 308 | 25-Apr-41 | NA | 6.39% | NA |
| Total Structured RMBS | | 62,384 | 4.0% | 4.52% | 263 | 25-Jan-43 | NA | NA | NA |
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 1,549,171 | 100.0% | 4.29% | 317 | 1-Dec-44 | NA | NA | NA |
| ($ in thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | December 31, 2015 | | | December 31, 2014 | |
| | | | | | Percentage of | | | | | | Percentage of | |
| Agency | | Fair Value | | | Entire Portfolio | | | Fair Value | | | Entire Portfolio | |
| Fannie Mae | | $ | 1,747,699 | | | | 81.0 | % | | $ | 1,243,923 | | | | 80.3 | % |
| Freddie Mac | | | 394,256 | | | | 18.3 | % | | | 296,203 | | | | 19.1 | % |
| Ginnie Mae | | | 16,055 | | | | 0.7 | % | | | 9,045 | | | | 0.6 | % |
| Total Portfolio | | $ | 2,158,010 | | | | 100.0 | % | | $ | 1,549,171 | | | | 100.0 | % |
| | | December 31, 2015 | | | December 31, 2014 | |
| Weighted Average Pass-through Purchase Price | | $ | 108.05 | | | $ | 107.88 | |
| Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price | | $ | 14.18 | | | $ | 13.67 | |
| Weighted Average Pass-through Current Price | | $ | 107.56 | | | $ | 108.59 | |
| Weighted Average Structured Current Price | | $ | 14.17 | | | $ | 13.65 | |
Effective Duration (1) | | | 2.753 | | | | 2.291 | |
| (1) | Effective duration of 2.753 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 2.753% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2015. An effective duration of 2.291 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 2.291% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2014. These figures include the structured securities in the portfolio, but do not include the effect of the Company’s funding cost hedges. Effective duration quotes for individual investments are obtained from The Yield Book, Inc. |
Financing, Leverage and Liquidity
As of December 31, 2015, the Company had outstanding repurchase obligations of approximately $1,798.8 million with a net weighted average borrowing rate of 0.64%. These agreements were collateralized by RMBS with a fair value, including accrued interest, of approximately $1,909.3 million, and cash pledged to counterparties of approximately $4.0 million.
In December 2015, our wholly-owned subsidiary, Orchid Island Casualty, LLC, was accepted for membership in the Federal Home Loan Bank of Cincinnati (“FHLBC”). As of December 31, 2015, our subsidiary had approximately $187.5 million of outstanding secured FHLB advances, with a weighted average borrowing rate of 0.42% and a weighted average remaining term to maturity of 22 days. These advances were secured by RMBS with a fair value, including accrued interest, of approximately $192.2 million as of December 31, 2015. On January 12, 2016, the regulator of the FHLB system, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”), released a final rule that amends regulations governing FHLB membership, including an amendment which prevents captive insurance companies from being eligible for FHLB membership. Under the terms of the final rule, our subsidiary is required to terminate its membership, redeem existing FHLBC stock, and repay its existing advances within one year following the effective date of the final rule, which was February 19, 2016. In addition, our subsidiary is prohibited from obtaining new advances or renewing existing advances upon their maturity during the one year transition period. Subsequent to December 31, 2015, all outstanding advances, including accrued interest, have been refinanced through repurchase agreements.
The Company’s leverage ratio at December 31, 2015 was 7.9 to 1. At December 31, 2015, the Company’s liquidity was approximately $119.7 million, consisting of unpledged RMBS and cash and cash equivalents. To enhance our liquidity even further, we may pledge more of our structured RMBS as part of a repurchase agreement funding, but retain the cash in lieu of acquiring additional assets. In this way we can, at a modest cost, retain higher levels of cash on hand and decrease the likelihood we will have to sell assets in a distressed market in order to raise cash. Below is a listing of outstanding borrowings under repurchase obligations at December 31, 2015.
| ($ in thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Weighted | | | | | | Weighted | |
| | | Total | | | | | | Average | | | | | | Average | |
| | | Outstanding | | | % of | | | Borrowing | | | Amount | | | Maturity | |
| Counterparty | | Balances | | | Total | | | Rate | | | at Risk(1) | | | in Days | |
| Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. | | $ | 185,107 | | | | 10.3 | % | | | 0.62 | % | | $ | 18,271 | | | | 14 | |
| South Street Securities, LLC | | | 156,375 | | | | 8.7 | % | | | 0.70 | % | | | 8,266 | | | | 28 | |
| Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. | | | 130,331 | | | | 7.2 | % | | | 0.64 | % | | | 6,785 | | | | 11 | |
| Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. | | | 128,751 | | | | 7.2 | % | | | 0.71 | % | | | 7,036 | | | | 20 | |
| ED&F Man Capital Markets Inc. | | | 127,285 | | | | 7.1 | % | | | 0.60 | % | | | 6,918 | | | | 19 | |
| ICBC Financial Services LLC | | | 125,437 | | | | 7.0 | % | | | 0.55 | % | | | 6,237 | | | | 12 | |
| Mizuho Securities USA, Inc. | | | 119,092 | | | | 6.6 | % | | | 0.72 | % | | | 12,414 | | | | 13 | |
| KGS - Alpha Capital Markets, L.P. | | | 117,395 | | | | 6.5 | % | | | 0.67 | % | | | 6,799 | | | | 13 | |
| Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc. | | | 113,021 | | | | 6.3 | % | | | 0.54 | % | | | 5,973 | | | | 18 | |
| J.P. Morgan Securities LLC | | | 108,145 | | | | 6.0 | % | | | 0.61 | % | | | 8,841 | | | | 14 | |
| Daiwa Capital Markets America, Inc. | | | 99,292 | | | | 5.5 | % | | | 0.69 | % | | | 5,240 | | | | 9 | |
| RBC Capital Markets, LLC | | | 93,582 | | | | 5.2 | % | | | 0.55 | % | | | 6,716 | | | | 13 | |
| Natixis, New York Branch | | | 86,180 | | | | 4.8 | % | | | 0.71 | % | | | 4,786 | | | | 10 | |
| Guggenheim Securities, LLC | | | 83,913 | | | | 4.7 | % | | | 0.55 | % | | | 4,560 | | | | 17 | |
| Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Inc. | | | 81,284 | | | | 4.5 | % | | | 0.74 | % | | | 2,549 | | | | 15 | |
| Nomura Securities International, Inc. | | | 39,422 | | | | 2.2 | % | | | 0.68 | % | | | 2,040 | | | | 13 | |
| Suntrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc. | | | 4,201 | | | | 0.2 | % | | | 0.66 | % | | | 263 | | | | 15 | |
| | | $ | 1,798,813 | | | | 100.0 | % | | | 0.64 | % | | $ | 113,694 | | | | 15 | |
| Equal to the sum of the fair value of securities sold, accrued interest receivable and cash posted as collateral (if any), minus the sum of repurchase agreement liabilities, accrued interest payable and the fair value of securities posted by the counterparties (if any). |
Hedging
In connection with its interest rate risk management strategy, the Company economically hedges a portion of the cost of its repurchase agreement funding against a rise in interest rates by entering into derivative financial instrument contracts. The Company has not elected hedging treatment under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) in order to align the accounting treatment of its derivative instruments with the treatment of its portfolio assets under the fair value option election. As such, all gains or losses on these instruments are reflected in earnings for all periods presented. As of December 31, 2015, such instruments were comprised of Eurodollar and Treasury note (“T-Note”) futures contracts and interest rate swaption agreements, giving the Company the option to enter into pay fixed interest rate swaps (“payer swaptions”) or the option to enter into receive fixed interest rate swaps (“receiver swaptions”).
The table below presents information related to the Company’s Eurodollar and T-Note futures contracts at December 31, 2015.
| ($ in thousands) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | December 31, 2015 | |
| | | Average | | | Weighted | | | Weighted | | | | |
| | | Contract | | | Average | | | Average | | | | |
| | | Notional | | | Entry | | | Effective | | | Open | |
| Expiration Year | | Amount | | | Rate | | | Rate | | | Equity(1) | |
| Eurodollar Futures Contracts (Short Positions) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2016 | | | 900,000 | | | | 1.51 | % | | | 0.98 | % | | | (4,718 | ) |
| 2017 | | | 900,000 | | | | 2.31 | % | | | 1.59 | % | | | (6,550 | ) |
| 2018 | | | 900,000 | | | | 2.77 | % | | | 1.99 | % | | | (7,060 | ) |
| 2019 | | | 900,000 | | | | 2.56 | % | | | 2.17 | % | | | (865 | ) |
| Total / Weighted Average | | $ | 900,000 | | | | 2.23 | % | | | 1.57 | % | | $ | (19,193 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Treasury Note Futures Contracts (Short Position)(2) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| March 2016 10 year T-Note futures | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (Mar 2016 - Mar 2026 Hedge Period) | | $ | 185,000 | | | | 1.99 | % | | | 1.95 | % | | $ | 1,091 | |
| (1) | Open equity represents the cumulative gains (losses) recorded on open futures positions. |
| (2) | T-Note futures contracts were valued at a price of $125.91 at December 31, 2015. The nominal value of the short position was $232.9 million. |
The table below presents information related to the Company’s interest rate receiver swaption position at December 31, 2015.
| ($ in thousands) | | | | | | | |
| | Option | Underlying Swap |
| | | | Weighted | | | | Weighted |
| | | | Average | | Fixed | Receive | Average |
| | | Fair | Months to | Notional | Pay | Rate | Term |
| Expiration | Cost | Value | Expiration | Amount | Rate | (LIBOR) | (Years) |
| December 31, 2015 | | | | | | | |
| ≤ 1 year | $1,100 | $669 | 4.2 | $100,000 | 1.77% | 3 Month | 5.0 |
In addition to other requirements that must be satisfied to qualify as a REIT, we must pay annual dividends to our stockholders of at least 90% of our REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gains. We intend to pay regular monthly dividends to our stockholders and have declared the following dividends during 2016, 2015 and 2014.
| (in thousands, except per share data) | |
| Declaration Date | Record Date | Payment Date | | Per Share Amount | | | Total | |
| 2016 | | | | | | | | |
February 10, 2016(1) | February 24, 2016 | February 29, 2016 | | $ | 0.14 | | | $ | 3,049 | |
January 11, 2016(1) | January 26, 2016 | January 29, 2016 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,049 | |
| Totals | | | | $ | 0.28 | | | $ | 6,098 | |
| 2015 | | | | | | | | | | |
| December 10, 2015 | December 24, 2015 | December 30, 2015 | | $ | 0.14 | | | $ | 3,048 | |
| November 10, 2015 | November 24, 2015 | November 30, 2015 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,051 | |
| October 8, 2015 | October 26, 2015 | October 30, 2015 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,051 | |
| September 11, 2015 | September 25, 2015 | September 30, 2015 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,069 | |
| August 11, 2015 | August 26, 2015 | August 31, 2015 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,132 | |
| July 9, 2015 | July 27, 2015 | July 31, 2015 | | | 0.14 | | | | 3,218 | |
| June 9, 2015 | June 22, 2015 | June 30, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 4,057 | |
| May 11, 2015 | May 26, 2015 | May 29, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 3,580 | |
| April 9, 2015 | April 27, 2015 | April 30, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 3,303 | |
| March 10, 2015 | March 27, 2015 | March 31, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 3,205 | |
| February 10, 2015 | February 25, 2015 | February 27, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 3,017 | |
| January 13, 2015 | January 26, 2015 | January 30, 2015 | | | 0.18 | | | | 3,017 | |
| Totals | | | | $ | 1.92 | | | $ | 38,748 | |
| 2014 | | | | | | | | | | |
| December 9, 2014 | December 26, 2014 | December 30, 2014 | | $ | 0.18 | | | $ | 3,004 | |
| November 12, 2014 | November 25, 2014 | November 28, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 2,737 | |
| October 9, 2014 | October 28, 2014 | October 31, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 2,358 | |
| September 9, 2014 | September 25, 2014 | September 30, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 2,348 | |
| August 12, 2014 | August 26, 2014 | August 29, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,999 | |
| July 10, 2014 | July 28, 2014 | July 31, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,759 | |
| June 11, 2014 | June 25, 2014 | June 30, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,712 | |
| May 8, 2014 | May 27, 2014 | May 30, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,641 | |
| April 8, 2014 | April 25, 2014 | April 30, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,636 | |
| March 11, 2014 | March 26, 2014 | March 31, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 1,550 | |
| February 11, 2014 | February 25, 2014 | February 28, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 974 | |
| January 9, 2014 | January 27, 2014 | January 31, 2014 | | | 0.18 | | | | 925 | |
| Totals | | | | $ | 2.16 | | | $ | 22,643 | |
| (1) | The effect of the dividends declared in January and February 2016 are not reflected in the Company’s financial statements as of December 31, 2015. |
| Portfolio Total Rate of Return Versus Peer Group Average | |
| | | | | | | | | ORC Spread | |
| | | Orchid | | | | | | Over / (Under) | |
| | | Total Rate | | | Peer | | | Peer | |
| | | of Return(1) | | | Average(1)(2) | | | Average(3) | |
| Second Quarter 2013 | | | (3.0 | )% | | | (12.6 | )% | | | 9.6 | % |
| Third Quarter 2013 | | | (2.2 | )% | | | 0.4 | % | | | (2.6 | )% |
| Fourth Quarter 2013 | | | 3.3 | % | | | (1.1 | )% | | | 4.3 | % |
Stub 2013 (Annualized)(4) | | | (2.8 | )% | | | (17.5 | )% | | | 14.6 | % |
First Quarter 2014(5) | | | (2.9 | )% | | | 4.3 | % | | | (7.3 | )% |
| Second Quarter 2014 | | | 9.0 | % | | | 7.2 | % | | | 1.8 | % |
| Third Quarter 2014 | | | 5.8 | % | | | 0.7 | % | | | 5.1 | % |
| Fourth Quarter 2014 | | | 2.5 | % | | | 3.0 | % | | | (0.5 | )% |
2014 Total Return(5) | | | 13.6 | % | | | 15.6 | % | | | (2.0 | )% |
| First Quarter 2015 | | | 2.7 | % | | | 1.4 | % | | | 1.3 | % |
| Second Quarter 2015 | | | 0.4 | % | | | (1.8 | )% | | | 2.2 | % |
| Third Quarter 2015 | | | (2.2 | )% | | | (1.5 | )% | | | (0.6 | )% |
| Fourth Quarter 2015 | | | 3.2 | % | | | 0.3 | % | | | 2.9 | % |
| 2015 Total Return | | | 3.8 | % | | | (1.6 | )% | | | 5.4 | % |
Two Year Return(5) | | | 17.3 | % | | | 14.2 | % | | | 3.1 | % |
ORC IPO to 2015 End - 3/31/13 – 12/31/15(4)(5) | | | 13.4 | % | | | (1.7 | )% | | | 15.0 | % |
Source: Company SEC filings and press releases
| (1) | Total rate of return for each period is change in book value per share over the period plus dividends per share declared divided by the book value per share at the beginning of the period. None of the return calculations are annualized except the Stub 2013 calculation. |
| (2) | The peer average is the unweighted, simple average of the total rate of return for each of the following companies in each respective measurement period: NLY, ANH, CMO, CYS, ARR, HTS and AGNC. |
| (3) | Represents the total return for Orchid minus peer average in each respective measurement period. |
| (4) | Orchid completed its Initial Public Offering, or IPO, in February 2013. We have elected to start our comparison beginning with Orchid's first full operating quarter, which was the second quarter of 2013. The Orchid IPO price was $15.00 per share on February 13, 2013, and Orchid paid its first dividend of $0.135 per share in March 2013. The book value per share at March 31, 2013 was $14.98. |
| (5) | At January 1, 2014, Orchid had 3,341,665 shares outstanding and a book value per share of $13.40. During the first quarter of 2014, Orchid completed two secondary offerings in which it sold 5,750,000 shares at a price of $11.86 per share net of fees and offering costs. The book value per share as of March 31, 2014 was $12.47. |
The Company's book value per share at December 31, 2015 was $11.64. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of shares outstanding of the Company's common stock. At December 31, 2015, the Company's stockholders' equity was $253.3 million with 21,749,490 shares of common stock outstanding.
On March 2, 2015, Orchid entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “Equity Distribution Agreement”) with two sales agents pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $100,000,000 of shares of the Company’s common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. There were no shares issued under the Equity Distribution Agreement during the fourth quarter of 2015. Through December 31, 2015, the Company issued a total of 6,221,102 shares under the Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate proceeds of approximately $83.1 million, net of commissions and fees.
On July 29, 2015, the Board of Directors passed a resolution authorizing the repurchase of up to 2,000,000 shares of the Company’s common stock. As part of the stock repurchase program, shares may be purchased in open market transactions, including through block purchases, privately negotiated transactions, or pursuant to any trading plan that may be adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). Open market repurchases will be made in accordance with Exchange Act Rule 10b-18, which sets certain restrictions on the method, timing, price and volume of open market stock repurchases. The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases will be determined by the Company in its discretion and will be subject to economic and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors. The authorization does not obligate the Company to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion without prior notice. Through December 31, 2015, we repurchased a total of 1,216,243 shares under the stock repurchase program at an aggregate cost of approximately $10.8 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $8.92 per share.
Management Commentary
Commenting on the fourth quarter, Robert E. Cauley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, “Our view of the world has changed markedly since the end of the third quarter of 2015–twice! The fourth quarter of 2015 brought the first rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) since 2006. The path leading up to this initial hike was very volatile–beginning in 2013 with the “taper tantrum” when the Fed first signaled an end to quantitative easing–the third episode of QE at that–and continuing to the summer of last year when the market was poised for the first hike only to back away as developments in China and elsewhere roiled the financial markets. Since making the first hike and hinting at 3 or more hikes this year via their “dot plot”, the market fell into turmoil and appears to be pricing into the bond markets at best one more hike this year, if any. Once again developments abroad are mainly to blame, although this time domestic economic data contributed as well after fourth quarter growth in GDP was initially reported at only 0.6%. Since late January 2016, the data has once again reversed and conditions abroad, as well as in the energy markets, have stabilized, for now.
“With the rebound in financial markets following the turbulence in the third quarter, short-term rates backed up in the fourth quarter as the market priced in rate hikes by the Fed. Mark to market losses on the portfolio during the fourth quarter exceeded mark to market gains on the hedge positions by approximately $9.1 million. The mark to market losses on the portfolio were concentrated in our call protected, high coupon fixed rate securities as mortgages widened and pay-up premiums were under pressure, and in our inverse IO positions (“IIO”) as the forward curve priced in additional Fed rate increases, which negatively impacted IIO’s as is usually the case. Going into year-end in anticipation of the seasonal slowdown in prepayment speeds, we continued to position the portfolio with our exposure to faster prepayment speeds. This positioning has performed well for January and February, although with the decrease in primary mortgage rates to 3.75% and below we are likely to see an increase in prepayment speeds–likely in the March prepayment speed report released in early April. We have increased the quality of the call protection in the RMBS in our portfolio as well as slightly reduced the average age of the fixed rate portfolio to hopefully off-set the increase in prepayment speeds, should it occur.
“We have also altered the composition of our funding hedges so far in the first quarter of 2016. We have closed out $700 million of the $900 million of Eurodollar shorts in place at year end and replaced them with $600 million of 4 year, pay fixed swaps with a weighted average rate of 1.025%. Given the rally in the rates market that enabled us to lock in such low rates for a 4 year tenor swap, our view is counter to the markets, which seems to anticipate negative rates in the U.S. before another rate hike by the Fed. We do not share this view and anticipate the Fed will indeed raise rates again this year and next, albeit at a more gradual pace than envisioned by the Fed last December. The switch to swaps from Eurodollar shorts for such a substantial portion of our hedge book should also help market participants gauge our net interest expense going forward. We continue to maintain a $185 million short in 10 year U.S. Treasury futures, so our hedge position, in conjunction with our IO and IIO securities, did not change quite as much as the Eurodollar shorts to swap trade would suggest.
“As we move forward in 2016 we anticipate a slight increase in prepayment speeds over the next couple of months, but less so than we experienced in 2015. As the declines in commodity prices and import prices become less negative on a year over year basis as we move through 2016, we expect headline inflation to slowly move towards 1.0% to 1.5%. We expect core inflation measures, even the Fed’s preferred measure, core personal consumption expenditures (“PCE”), will trend towards 2% as wage pressure continues to drive service sector costs. We do not anticipate the U.S. moving into a negative interest rate environment, and believe that the Fed will continue to remove accommodation at a very slow rate. Our portfolio positioning is therefore unlikely to change materially over the course of the year.”
Earnings Conference Call Details
An earnings conference call and live audio webcast will be hosted Thursday, February 25, 2016, at 10:00 AM ET. The conference call may be accessed by dialing toll free (877) 341-5668. International callers dial (224) 357-2205. The conference passcode is 52552386. A live audio webcast of the conference call can be accessed via the investor relations section of the Company’s website at www.orchidislandcapital.com, and an audio archive of the webcast will be available until March 24, 2016.
About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS and (ii) structured Agency RMBS, such as CMOs, IOs, IIOs and POs, among other types of structured Agency RMBS. Orchid is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Forward Looking Statements
Statements herein relating to matters that are not historical facts, including, but not limited to statements regarding the stock repurchase program, interest rates, net interest income, net interest expense, liquidity, pledging of our structured RMBS, funding levels and spreads, inflation, prepayment speeds, portfolio positioning, market expectations and general economic conditions, are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The reader is cautioned that such forward-looking statements are based on information available at the time and on management's good faith belief with respect to future events, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences are described in Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking statements.
CONTACT:
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley, 772-231-1400
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
www.orchidislandcapital.com
Summarized Financial Statements
The following is a summarized presentation of the unaudited balance sheets as of December 31, 2015 and 2014, and the unaudited quarterly results of operations for the calendar quarters and years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014. Amounts presented are subject to change.
| ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC. | |
| BALANCE SHEETS | |
| ($ in thousands, except per share data) | |
| (Unaudited - Amounts Subject To Change) | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | December 31, 2015 | | | December 31, 2014 | |
| ASSETS: | | | | | | |
| Total mortgage-backed securities | | $ | 2,158,010 | | | $ | 1,549,171 | |
| Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash | | | 69,959 | | | | 100,927 | |
| Accrued interest receivable | | | 8,490 | | | | 6,211 | |
| Derivative assets, at fair value | | | 669 | | | | 1,217 | |
| Other assets | | | 4,709 | | | | 282 | |
| Total Assets | | $ | 2,241,837 | | | $ | 1,657,808 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY | | | | | | | | |
| Repurchase agreements | | $ | 1,798,813 | | | $ | 1,436,651 | |
| FHLB advances | | | 187,500 | | | | - | |
| Accrued interest payable | | | 863 | | | | 628 | |
| Due to affiliates | | | 465 | | | | 330 | |
| Other liabilities | | | 941 | | | | 2,121 | |
| Total Liabilities | | | 1,988,582 | | | | 1,439,730 | |
| Total Stockholders' Equity | | | 253,255 | | | | 218,078 | |
| Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity | | $ | 2,241,837 | | | $ | 1,657,808 | |
| Common shares outstanding | | | 21,749,490 | | | | 16,699,656 | |
| Book value per share | | $ | 11.64 | | | $ | 13.06 | |
| ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC. | |
| STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS | |
| (in thousands, except per share data) | |
| (Unaudited - Amounts Subject to Change) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Years Ended December 31, | | Three Months Ended December 31, | |
| | | 2015 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2014 | |
| Interest income | | $ | 68,811 | | | $ | 31,804 | | | $ | 19,092 | | | $ | 12,146 | |
| Interest expense | | | (7,271 | ) | | | (3,031 | ) | | | (2,371 | ) | | | (1,126 | ) |
| Net interest income | | | 61,540 | | | | 28,773 | | | | 16,721 | | | | 11,020 | |
| (Losses) gains | | | (52,575 | ) | | | 234 | | | | (6,813 | ) | | | (6,054 | ) |
| Net portfolio income | | | 8,965 | | | | 29,007 | | | | 9,908 | | | | 4,966 | |
| Expenses | | | 7,894 | | | | 4,488 | | | | 2,097 | | | | 1,445 | |
| Net income | | $ | 1,071 | | | $ | 24,519 | | | $ | 7,811 | | | $ | 3,521 | |
| Basic and diluted net income per share | | $ | 0.05 | | | $ | 2.48 | | | $ | 0.36 | | | $ | 0.24 | |
| Dividends Declared Per Common Share: | | $ | 1.92 | | | $ | 2.16 | | | $ | 0.42 | | | $ | 0.54 | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | Three Months Ended | |
| | | December 31, | |
| Key Balance Sheet Metrics | | 2015 | | | 2014 | |
Average RMBS(1) | | $ | 2,137,810 | | | $ | 1,362,352 | |
Average borrowings(1) | | | 1,964,806 | | | | 1,346,314 | |
Average stockholders' equity(1) | | | 254,562 | | | | 195,432 | |
Leverage ratio(2) | | 7.9:1 | | | 6.6:1 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Key Performance Metrics | | | | | | | | |
Average yield on RMBS(3) | | | 3.57 | % | | | 3.57 | % |
Average cost of funds(3) | | | 0.48 | % | | | 0.33 | % |
Average economic cost of funds(4) | | | 0.73 | % | | | 0.38 | % |
Average interest rate spread(5) | | | 3.09 | % | | | 3.24 | % |
Average economic interest rate spread(6) | | | 2.84 | % | | | 3.19 | % |
| (1) | Average RMBS, borrowings and stockholders’ equity balances are calculated using two data points, the beginning and ending balances. |
| (2) | The leverage ratio is calculated by dividing total ending liabilities by ending stockholders’ equity. |
| (3) | Portfolio yields and costs of funds are calculated based on the average balances of the underlying investment portfolio/borrowings balances and are annualized for the quarterly periods presented. |
| (4) | Represents interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of Eurodollar and T-Note futures contracts and options to enter into interest rate swaps (“interest rate swaptions”) attributed to the period related to hedging activities, divided by average borrowings. |
| (5) | Average interest rate spread is calculated by subtracting average cost of funds from average yield on RMBS. |
| (6) | Average economic interest rate spread is calculated by subtracting average economic cost of funds from average yield on RMBS. |
