Exhibit 99.2
1 ™ Trademark of Trinseo S.A. or its affiliates ™ Trademark of Trinseo S.A. or its affiliates November 4, 2019 Third Quarter 2019 Financial Results |
2 Disclosure Rules Cautionary Note on Forward-Looking Statements. This presentation contains forward-looking statements including, without limitation, statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, projections, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are not statements of historical facts or guarantees or assurances of future performance. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words like “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “forecast,” “outlook,” “will,” “may,” “might,” “see,” “tend,” “assume,” “potential,” “likely,” “target,” “plan,” “contemplate,” “seek,” “attempt,” “should,” “could,” “would” or expressions of similar meaning. Forward-looking statements reflect management’s evaluation of information currently available and are based on our current expectations and assumptions regarding our business, the economy and other future conditions. Because forward-looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Factors that might cause such a difference include, but are not limited to, those discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, under Part I, Item 1A —“Risk Factors” and elsewhere in our other reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. As a result of these or other factors, our actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. Therefore, we caution you against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation are made only as of the date hereof. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law. This presentation contains financial measures that are not in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the US (“GAAP”) including EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EPS and Free Cash Flow. We believe these measures provide relevant and meaningful information to investors and lenders about the ongoing operating results of the Company. Such measures when referenced herein should not be viewed as an alternative to GAAP measures of performance or liquidity, as applicable. We have provided a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP metric alongside of the respective measure or otherwise in the Appendix section of this presentation. Introductions • Frank Bozich, President & CEO • David Stasse, Executive Vice President & CFO • Andy Myers, Director of Investor Relations Introductions & Disclosure Rules |
3 *See Appendix for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. Highlights • Lower sequential profitability due to decreasing styrene margin • Strong performance in Polystyrene via Business Excellence initiatives • Year-over-year improvement to Asia compounding and Latex Binders adhesives & construction applications 2019 Outlook Q3 2019 Results • Cash from operations of $41 million and Free Cash Flow* of $17 million • Q3 YTD cash from operations of $275 million and Free Cash Flow* of $204 million • Repurchased ~1.1 million shares for $40 million in Q3 Q3 Cash Generation • 2019 Net income of $105 million to $112 million and Adjusted EBITDA* of $365 million to $375 million • Assumes minimal impact from net timing for the full year; Q3 YTD favorable net timing of $6 million offset in Q4 • Similar economic environment expected in Q4 • Developing Business Excellence initiatives which are expected to result in $20 million to $30 million of annual cost savings • Reorganized global functional structure which is expected to result in greater efficiency and enable business process enhancements once systems independent from Dow in Q1 2020 Key Initiatives |
4 • Decline in earnings due mainly to: •Lower styrene margins impacting Feedstocks and Americas Styrenics • Contraction in polycarbonate industry margins • Business Excellence initiatives in Polystyrene resulting in higher earnings to partially offset weakness in other segments Trinseo Q3 2019 Financial Results $0.56 $0.67 $1.72 $1.83 Diluted EPS Adj EPS* EPS ($) Q3'19 Q3'18 $922 $22 $1,200 $75 Net Sales Net Income Net Sales & Net Income ($MM) Q3'19 Q3'18 $88 $143 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA* ($MM) * See Appendix for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. Net Sales Vol Price FX Total (5%) (16%) (2%) (23%) |
5 • Lower pricing from both pass through of lower raw materials and a competitive market landscape • Higher sales volume in adhesives & construction and carpet markets • YTD sales volume to the adhesives & construction market up 14%; significantly higher margin than segment average Latex Binders $230 $278 Q3'19 Q3'18 Net Sales ($MM) $21 $25 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) 133 129 Q3'19 Q3'18 Volume (kt) Vol Price FX Total 4% (20%) (1%) (17%) |
6 • Higher SSBR sales volume more than offset by lower ESBR • Decrease in price from the pass through of lower raw material costs; margin slightly up in SSBR excluding net timing impacts •Current year Adjusted EBITDA reflects a $5 million headwind from net timing and inventory draw Synthetic Rubber $104 $138 Q3'19 Q3'18 Net Sales ($MM) $7 $15 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) 57 64 Q3'19 Q3'18 Volume (kt) Vol Price FX Total (8%) (13%) (3%) (24%) |
7 • Lower net sales from raw material pass through as well as continued weakness in polycarbonate from low demand and new capacity • Stronger results to consumer electronics applications from higher volume and margin • Fixed costs unfavorable including impacts from lower fixed cost absorption Performance Plastics $325 $401 Q3'19 Q3'18 Net Sales ($MM) $36 $44 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) 150 165 Q3'19 Q3'18 Volume (kt) Vol Price FX Total (4%) (13%) (2%) (19%) |
8 • Increase in profitability largely the result of Business Excellence initiatives including pricing actions • Strong demand for high impact polystyrene in Asia appliance market Polystyrene $198 $252 Q3'19 Q3'18 Net Sales ($MM) $16 $5 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) 151 154 Q3'19 Q3'18 Volume (kt) Vol Price FX Total (2%) (18%) (2%) (22%) |
9 • Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA due to significantly lower styrene margins from weaker economic conditions Feedstocks & Americas Styrenics $0 $40 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) FEEDSTOCKS • Lower styrene margins partially offset by higher margins in polystyrene • Dividends of $25 million AMERICAS STYRENICS $26 $35 Q3'19 Q3'18 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) |
10 2019 Outlook Q4 2019 • Expect similar economic operating environment from Q3 to Q4 • Anticipated negative timing impact in the quarter of ~$5 million • Similar sequential performance excluding net timing impacts Full Year 2019 • Net Income of $105 million to $112 million and Adjusted EBITDA* of $365 million to $375 million – assumes minimal impacts from net timing • Cash from operations of ~$320 million and Free Cash Flow* of ~$200 million – assumes minimal sources / uses in working capital in the fourth quarter *See Appendix for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. |
11 11 Appendix |
12 US GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation NOTE: For definitions of non-GAAP measures refer to the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 – Press Release, November 4, 2019. Totals may not sum due to rounding. Profitability Outlook Cash Outlook Year Ended Fourth Quarter Ended (In $millions, unless noted) Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2019 Adjusted EBITDA 365 - 375 72 - 82 Interest expense, net (40) (10) Provision for income taxes (44) - (47) (9) - (12) Depreciation and amortization (136) (34) Reconciling items to Adjusted EBITDA (40) 0 Net Income 105 - 112 19 - 26 Reconciling items to Net Income 27 0 Adjusted Net Income 132 - 139 19 - 26 Weighted avg shares - diluted (MM) 41.0 40.4 EPS - diluted ($) 2.56 - 2.73 0.47 - 0.64 Adjusted EPS ($) 3.23 - 3.40 0.47 - 0.64 Year Ended (In $millions) Dec 31, 2019 Cash provided by operating activities ~320 Capital expenditures ~(120) Free Cash Flow ~200 |
13 US GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation NOTE: For definitions of non-GAAP measures as well as descriptions of current period reconciling items from Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA and to Adjusted Net Income, refer to the Company’s Form 8-K filed on November 4, 2019. Totals may not sum due to rounding. (in $millions, unless noted) Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 2016 2017 2018 Net Income 117.3 60.2 33.2 117.7 120.3 98.3 74.7 (0.9) 35.8 28.0 22.5 318.3 328.3 292.5 Interest expense, net 18.2 18.7 18.4 14.8 14.9 10.8 10.1 10.6 10.2 9.9 9.2 75.0 70.1 46.4 Provision for income taxes 29.3 18.8 8.3 26.4 24.9 20.4 19.2 7.3 10.8 15.7 9.3 87.0 82.8 71.8 Depreciation and amortization 24.7 26.3 29.2 30.3 31.9 32.3 31.8 34.2 33.9 34.7 33.0 96.4 110.6 130.2 EBITDA 189.5 124.0 89.1 189.2 192.0 161.8 135.8 51.2 90.7 88.3 74.0 576.7 591.8 540.9 Loss on extinguishment of long-term debt -- 65.3 -- 0.2 ------ 65.3 0.2 Other items -- 1.6 (21.6) 2.7 6.8 6.1 7.4 11.1 14.1 13.3 (4.4) (19.9) 22.8 Restructuring and other charges 2.1 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.5 1.2 0.9 5.6 0.4 (0.3) 0.2 23.5 6.0 8.2 Net (gains) / losses on dispositions of businesses and assets (9.9) - 0.2 -(0.5) --(0.5) (0.2) -- 15.1 (9.7) (1.0) Acquisition transaction and integration costs - 1.1 3.8 (0.1) 0.3 0.2 0.1 -- 0.7 0.6 - 4.7 0.6 Asset impairment charges or write-offs -- 4.3 ---- 1.5 ---- 4.3 1.5 Adjusted EBITDA 181.7 126.2 165.8 168.7 195.0 170.2 142.9 65.2 102.0 102.8 88.1 610.9 642.5 573.2 Adjusted EBITDA to Adjusted Net Income Adjusted EBITDA 181.7 126.2 165.8 168.7 195.0 170.2 142.9 65.2 102.0 102.8 88.1 610.9 642.5 573.2 Interest expense, net 18.2 18.7 18.4 14.8 14.9 10.8 10.1 10.6 10.2 9.9 9.2 75.0 70.1 46.4 Provision for income taxes - Adjusted 29.5 19.2 21.0 28.4 26.0 22.3 21.9 10.8 12.7 19.1 19.7 94.6 98.2 81.0 Depreciation and amortization - Adjusted 24.2 25.8 28.6 30.0 31.7 32.1 31.5 34.0 33.4 33.1 32.0 95.4 108.6 129.1 Adjusted Net Income 109.8 62.5 97.8 95.5 122.4 105.0 79.4 9.8 45.7 40.7 27.2 345.9 365.6 316.7 Wtd Avg Shares - Diluted (000) 45,313 44,995 44,782 44,734 44,430 43,810 43,347 43,269 41,762 41,104 40,410 47,478 44,973 43,666 Adjusted EPS - Diluted ($) 2.42 1.39 2.18 2.14 2.76 2.40 1.83 0.23 1.09 0.99 0.67 7.28 8.13 7.25 Adjustments by Statement of Operations Caption Loss on extinguishment of long-term debt -- 65.3 -- 0.2 ------ 65.3 0.2 Cost of sales -- 2.4 (18.4) - 1.2 - 0.6 ----(16.0) 1.8 Selling, general and administrative expenses 2.1 2.2 7.6 (2.1) 3.5 6.5 7.1 13.8 11.5 14.5 14.1 25.9 9.9 30.8 Other expense (income), net (9.9) - 1.4 -(0.5) 0.5 -(0.5) (0.2) -- 8.3 (8.5) (0.5) Total EBITDA Adjustments (7.8) 2.2 76.7 (20.5) 3.0 8.4 7.1 14.0 11.3 14.5 14.1 34.2 50.7 32.3 Free Cash Flow Reconciliation Cash provided by (used in) operating activities (25.7) 62.3 158.3 196.5 40.8 141.6 56.1 128.0 153.2 80.8 40.9 403.7 391.3 366.5 Capital expenditures (36.0) (38.2) (34.6) (38.5) (30.6) (28.9) (31.5) (30.5) (25.0) (22.6) (23.6) (123.9) (147.4) (121.4) Free Cash Flow (61.7) 24.1 123.7 158.0 10.2 112.7 24.6 97.5 128.2 58.2 17.3 279.8 243.9 245.1 |
14 Selected Segment Information * See this Appendix for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. NOTE: Totals may not sum due to rounding. (in $millions, unless noted) Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 2016 2017 2018 Latex Binders 136 141 144 140 136 130 135 125 124 131 129 125 126 128 133 561 527 510 Synthetic Rubber 66 67 68 72 81 72 62 65 74 73 64 62 65 58 57 274 280 273 Performance Plastics 152 155 143 137 156 147 153 154 159 160 165 151 164 158 150 587 610 636 Polystyrene 171 160 152 155 141 156 159 155 140 173 154 161 174 149 151 637 612 627 Feedstocks 88 88 94 74 76 108 94 102 65 85 107 80 77 57 77 344 379 336 Trade Volume (kt) 613 611 601 578 591 613 603 601 563 621 619 579 606 551 567 2,402 2,408 2,382 Latex Binders 209 232 243 241 289 292 266 250 255 281 278 255 224 230 230 925 1,097 1,069 Synthetic Rubber 102 111 113 124 163 174 119 127 149 155 138 130 125 112 104 451 583 573 Performance Plastics 304 326 301 287 337 339 362 381 403 413 401 361 369 347 325 1,218 1,419 1,578 Polystyrene 208 221 198 201 228 233 238 241 240 286 252 240 228 207 198 828 941 1,017 Feedstocks 71 79 81 64 87 107 111 103 75 102 131 79 67 55 66 294 408 387 Net Sales 894 970 935 917 1,104 1,145 1,097 1,102 1,122 1,237 1,200 1,065 1,013 952 922 3,717 4,448 4,623 Latex Binders 19 21 30 24 37 36 32 33 27 36 25 22 18 21 21 94 139 110 Synthetic Rubber 23 30 28 29 46 28 (6) 15 26 31 15 5 9 13 7 111 83 77 Performance Plastics 59 66 53 53 52 48 62 68 66 49 44 31 36 34 36 232 231 189 Polystyrene 14 15 11 12 14 7 9 19 10 14 5 6 17 16 16 52 48 34 Feedstocks 21 33 13 14 42 (1) 46 24 42 32 40 (7) 17 (1) 0 80 111 107 Americas Styrenics 33 38 34 31 18 30 44 31 46 33 35 31 32 40 26 136 123 144 Corporate (25) (21) (26) (22) (27) (22) (22) (21) (20) (25) (21) (22) (26) (21) (19) (95) (92) (88) Adjusted EBITDA* 143 182 143 142 182 126 166 169 195 170 143 65 102 103 88 611 642 573 Adj EBITDA Variance Analysis Net Timing** Impacts - Fav/(Unfav) Latex Binders (0) (4) 2 2 (8) 1 (5) 4 (4) 4 (3) 4 (0) (1) 1 (0) (8) 1 Synthetic Rubber (4) 3 1 6 16 (4) (25) 0 2 7 3 (3) (5) 1 (2) 6 (13) 9 Performance Plastics 3 (3) (1) 1 (2) (3) 1 2 (0) (3) (1) (5) (1) 0 0 0 (2) (9) Polystyrene (1) 1 1 1 4 (5) 1 3 (2) 1 (2) (7) 2 (0) 2 2 3 (9) Feedstocks (2) 4 1 4 11 (11) 4 7 (3) 0 (2) (17) 3 1 4 7 11 (21) Net Timing** Impacts - Fav/(Unfav) (4) 0 5 14 22 (23) (24) 15 (7) 10 (4) (28) (1) 1 6 15 (9) (30) **Net Timing is the difference between Raw Material Timing and Price Lag. Raw Material Timing represents the timing of raw material cost changes flowing through cost of goods sold versus current pricing. Price Lag represents the difference in revenue between the current contractual price and the current period price. |