Allowance for Loan Losses | 2. Allowance for Loan Losses Allowance for Loan Losses Metrics Three Months Ended March 31, 2021 (Dollars in millions) FFELP Loans Private Education Loans Total Allowance at beginning of period $ 288 $ 1,089 $ 1,377 Provision: Reversal of allowance related to loan sales (1) — (102 ) (102 ) Remaining provision — 15 15 Total provision — (87 ) (87 ) Charge-offs (2) (6 ) (35 ) (41 ) Decrease in expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (3) — 25 25 Allowance at end of period 282 992 1,274 Plus: expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (3) — 454 454 Allowance at end of period excluding expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (4) $ 282 $ 1,446 $ 1,728 Charge-offs as a percentage of average loans in repayment (annualized) .06 % .68 % Allowance coverage of charge-offs (annualized) (4) 10.7 10.2 Allowance as a percentage of the ending total loan balance (4) .5 % 7.0 % Allowance as a percentage of ending loans in repayment (4) .6 % 7.4 % Ending total loans $ 57,155 $ 20,734 Average loans in repayment $ 47,044 $ 20,883 Ending loans in repayment $ 45,922 $ 19,480 (1) In connection with the sale of approximately $1.6 billion of Private Education Loans. ( 2 ) Charge-offs are reported net of expected recoveries. For Private Education Loans, at the time of charge-off, the expected recovery amount is transferred from the education loan balance to the allowance for loan loss and is referred to as the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans. For FFELP Loans, the recovery is received at the time of charge-off. ( 3 ) At the end of each month, for Private Education Loans that are 212 or more days past due, we charge off the estimated loss of a defaulted loan balance. Actual recoveries are applied against the remaining loan balance that was not charged off. We refer to this as the “expected future recoveries on charged-off loans.” If actual periodic recoveries are less than expected, the difference is immediately charged off through the allowance for Private Education Loan losses with an offsetting reduction in the expected future recoveries for charged-off loans. If actual periodic recoveries are greater than expected, they will be reflected as a recovery through the allowance for Private Education Loan losses once the cumulative recovery amount exceeds the cumulative amount originally expected to be recovered. The following table summarizes the activity in the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans: Three Months Ended March 31, (Dollars in millions) 2021 Beginning of period expected recoveries $ 479 Expected future recoveries of current period defaults 5 Recoveries (25 ) Charge-offs (5 ) End of period expected recoveries $ 454 Change in balance during period $ (25 ) ( 4 ) The allowance used for these metrics excludes the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans to better reflect the current expected credit losses remaining in the portfolio. 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 (Dollars in millions) FFELP Loans Private Education Loans Other Loans Allowance as of December 31, 2019 $ 64 $ 1,048 $ 1,112 Transition adjustment made under CECL on January 1, 2020 (1) 260 (3 ) 257 Allowance as of January 1, 2020 after transition adjustment to CECL 324 1,045 1,369 Total provision 6 89 95 Charge-offs (2) (19 ) (68 ) (87 ) Decrease in expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (3) — 17 17 Allowance at end of period 311 1,083 1,394 Plus: expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (3) — 571 571 Allowance at end of period excluding expected future recoveries on charged-off loans (4) $ 311 $ 1,654 $ 1,965 Charge-offs as a percentage of average loans in repayment (annualized) .15 % 1.27 % Allowance coverage of charge-offs (annualized) (4) 4.1 6.0 Allowance as a percentage of the ending total loan balance (4) .5 % 7.1 % Allowance as a percentage of ending loans in repayment (4) .6 % 7.8 % Ending total loans $ 62,803 $ 23,421 Average loans in repayment $ 52,460 $ 21,601 Ending loans in repayment $ 50,514 $ 21,235 (1) For a further discussion of our adoption of CECL, see “Note 2 – Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K. ( 2 ) Charge-offs are reported net of expected recoveries. For Private Education Loans, at the time of charge-off, the expected recovery amount is transferred from the education loan balance to the allowance for loan loss and is referred to as the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans. For FFELP Loans, the recovery is received at the time of charge-off. ( 3 ) At the end of each month, for Private Education Loans that are 212 or more days past due, we charge off the estimated loss of a defaulted loan balance. Actual recoveries are applied against the remaining loan balance that was not charged off. We refer to this as the “expected future recoveries on charged-off loans.” If actual periodic recoveries are less than expected, the difference is immediately charged off through the allowance for Private Education Loan losses with an offsetting reduction in the expected future recoveries for charged-off loans. If actual periodic recoveries are greater than expected, they will be reflected as a recovery through the allowance for Private Education Loan losses once the cumulative recovery amount exceeds the cumulative amount originally expected to be recovered. The following table summarizes the activity in the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans: Three Months Ended March 31, (Dollars in millions) 2020 Beginning of period expected recoveries $ 588 Expected future recoveries of current period defaults 13 Recoveries (28 ) Charge-offs (2 ) End of period expected recoveries $ 571 Change in balance during period $ (17 ) ( 4 ) The allowance used for these metrics excludes the expected future recoveries on charged-off loans to better reflect the current expected credit losses remaining in the portfolio. 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Troubled Debt Restructurings (“TDRs”) We sometimes modify the terms of loans for customers experiencing financial difficulty. Certain Private Education Loans for which we have granted either a forbearance of greater than three months, an interest rate reduction or an extended repayment plan are classified as TDRs. Approximately 73% and 72% of the loans granted forbearance have qualified as a TDR loan at March 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. The unpaid principal balance of TDR loans that were in an interest rate reduction program as of March 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020 was $831 million and $948 million, respectively. The following table provides the amount of loans modified in the periods presented that resulted in a TDR. Additionally, the table summarizes charge-offs occurring in the TDR portfolio, as well as TDRs for which a payment default occurred in the current period within 12 months of the loan first being designated as a TDR. We define payment default as 60 days past due for this disclosure. Three Months Ended March 31, (Dollars in millions) 2021 2020 Modified loans $ 40 $ 95 Charge-offs $ 26 $ 58 Payment default $ 5 $ 21 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Key Credit Quality Indicators We assess and determine the collectability of our education loan portfolios by evaluating certain risk characteristics we refer to as key credit quality indicators. Key credit quality indicators are incorporated into the allowance for loan losses calculation. FFELP Loans FFELP Loans are substantially insured and guaranteed as to their principal and accrued interest in the event of default. The key credit quality indicators are loan status and loan type. FFELP Loan Delinquencies March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 March 31, 2020 (Dollars in millions) Balance % Balance % Balance % Loans in-school/grace/deferment (1) $ 2,781 $ 2,791 $ 3,291 Loans in forbearance (2) 8,452 7,725 8,998 Loans in repayment and percentage of each status: Loans current 42,127 91.7 % 43,623 90.8 % 45,216 89.5 % Loans delinquent 31-60 days (3) 1,377 3.0 1,374 2.9 1,631 3.2 Loans delinquent 61-90 days (3) 813 1.8 836 1.7 969 1.9 Loans delinquent greater than 90 days (3) 1,605 3.5 2,223 4.6 2,698 5.4 Total FFELP Loans in repayment 45,922 100 % 48,056 100 % 50,514 100 % Total FFELP Loans 57,155 58,572 62,803 FFELP Loan allowance for losses (282 ) (288 ) (311 ) FFELP Loans, net $ 56,873 $ 58,284 $ 62,492 Percentage of FFELP Loans in repayment 80.3 % 82.0 % 80.4 % Delinquencies as a percentage of FFELP Loans in repayment 8.3 % 9.2 % 10.5 % FFELP Loans in forbearance as a percentage of loans in repayment and forbearance 15.5 % 13.8 % 15.1 % (1) Loans for customers who may still be attending school or engaging in other permitted educational activities and are not yet required to make payments on their loans, e.g., residency periods for medical students or a grace period for bar exam preparation, as well as loans for customers who have requested and qualify for other permitted program deferments such as military, unemployment, or economic hardships. (2) Loans for customers who have used their allowable deferment time or do not qualify for deferment, that need additional time to obtain employment or who have temporarily ceased making full payments due to hardship or other factors such as disaster relief, including COVID-19 relief programs, consistent with established loan program servicing policies and procedures. (3) The period of delinquency is based on the number of days scheduled payments are contractually past due. Loan type : (Dollars in millions) March 31, 2021 March 31, 2020 Change Stafford Loans $ 17,327 $ 18,829 $ (1,502 ) Consolidation Loans 34,961 38,796 (3,835 ) Rehab Loans 4,867 5,178 (311 ) Total $ 57,155 $ 62,803 $ (5,648 ) 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Private Education Loans The key credit quality indicators are credit scores (FICO scores), loan status, loan seasoning, whether a loan is a TDR, the existence of a cosigner and school type. The FICO score is the higher of the borrower or co-borrower score and is updated at least every six months while school type is assessed at origination. The other Private Education Loan key quality indicators are updated quarterly. Private Education Loan Credit Quality Indicators by Origination Year March 31, 2021 (Dollars in millions) March 31, 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Prior Total % of Total Credit Quality Indicators FICO Scores: 640 and above $ 1,485 $ 2,835 $ 2,553 $ 929 $ 291 $ 10,736 $ 18,829 91 % Below 640 10 12 35 24 9 1,815 1,905 9 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % Loan Status: In-school/grace/ deferment/forbearance $ 6 $ 29 $ 45 $ 23 $ 8 $ 1,143 $ 1,254 6 % Current/90 days or less delinquent 1,489 2,817 2,541 929 291 11,232 19,299 93 Greater than 90 days delinquent — 1 2 1 1 176 181 1 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % Seasoning (1) 1-12 payments $ 1,491 $ 2,517 $ 131 $ 6 $ 1 $ 159 $ 4,305 21 % 13-24 payments — 314 2,330 54 5 198 2,901 14 25-36 payments — — 105 823 28 327 1,283 6 37-48 payments — — — 58 251 512 821 4 More than 48 payments — — — — 12 10,955 10,967 53 Loans in-school/ grace/deferment 4 16 22 12 3 400 457 2 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % TDR Status: TDR $ — $ 2 $ 18 $ 25 $ 31 $ 7,742 $ 7,818 38 % Non-TDR 1,495 2,845 2,570 928 269 4,809 12,916 62 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % Cosigners: With cosigner (2) $ 3 $ 32 $ 13 $ 1 $ 43 $ 8,249 $ 8,341 40 % Without cosigner 1,492 2,815 2,575 952 257 4,302 12,393 60 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % School Type: Not-for-profit $ 1,408 $ 2,718 $ 2,416 $ 879 $ 287 $ 10,417 $ 18,125 87 % For-profit 87 129 172 74 13 2,134 2,609 13 Total $ 1,495 $ 2,847 $ 2,588 $ 953 $ 300 $ 12,551 $ 20,734 100 % Allowance for loan losses (992 ) Total loans, net $ 19,742 (1) Number of months in active repayment for which a scheduled payment was received. (2) Excluding Private Education Refinance Loans, which do not have a cosigner, the cosigner rate was 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Private Education Loan Credit Quality Indicators by Origination Year March 31, 2020 (Dollars in millions) March 31, 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Prior Total % of Total Credit Quality Indicators FICO Scores: 640 and above $ 1,852 $ 4,108 $ 1,506 $ 497 $ 102 $ 12,574 $ 20,639 88 % Below 640 13 33 25 11 3 2,697 $ 2,782 12 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % Loan Status: In-school/grace/ deferment/forbearance $ 45 $ 209 $ 86 $ 32 $ 6 $ 1,808 $ 2,186 9 % Current/90 days or less delinquent 1,820 3,930 1,443 475 99 13,121 20,888 89 Greater than 90 days delinquent — 2 2 1 — 342 347 2 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % Seasoning (1) 1-12 payments $ 1,862 $ 3,935 $ 23 $ 2 $ — $ 224 $ 6,046 26 % 13-24 payments — 189 1,380 20 2 299 1,890 8 25-36 payments — — 116 458 9 509 1,092 5 37-48 payments — — — 24 92 747 863 4 More than 48 payments — — — — — 12,927 12,927 55 Loans in-school/ grace/deferment 3 17 12 4 2 565 603 2 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % TDR Status: TDR $ — $ 2 $ 21 $ 30 $ 12 $ 8,826 $ 8,891 38 % Non-TDR 1,865 4,139 1,510 478 93 6,445 14,530 62 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % Cosigners: With cosigner (2) $ 2 $ 15 $ 1 $ 61 $ 27 $ 10,015 $ 10,121 43 % Without cosigner 1,863 4,126 1,530 447 78 5,256 13,300 57 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % School Type: Not-for-profit $ 1,764 $ 3,873 $ 1,419 $ 486 $ 104 $ 12,618 $ 20,264 87 % For-profit 101 268 112 22 1 2,653 3,157 13 Total $ 1,865 $ 4,141 $ 1,531 $ 508 $ 105 $ 15,271 $ 23,421 100 % Allowance for loan losses (1,083 ) Total loans, net $ 22,338 (1) Number of months in active repayment for which a scheduled payment was received. (2) Excluding Private Education Refinance Loans, which do not have a cosigner, the cosigner rate was 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Private Education Loan Delinquencies TDRs March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 March 31, 2020 (Dollars in millions) Balance % Balance % Balance % Loans in-school/grace/deferment (1) $ 255 $ 280 $ 345 Loans in forbearance (2) 668 703 1,057 Loans in repayment and percentage of each status: Loans current 6,477 94.0 % 6,952 93.4 % 6,808 90.9 % Loans delinquent 31-60 days (3) 160 2.3 185 2.5 227 3.0 Loans delinquent 61-90 days (3) 92 1.3 114 1.5 139 1.9 Loans delinquent greater than 90 days (3) 166 2.4 197 2.6 315 4.2 Total TDR loans in repayment 6,895 100 % 7,448 100 % 7,489 100 % Total TDR loans 7,818 8,431 8,891 TDR loans allowance for losses (857 ) (929 ) (951 ) TDR loans, net $ 6,961 $ 7,502 $ 7,940 Percentage of TDR loans in repayment 88.2 % 88.3 % 84.2 % Delinquencies as a percentage of TDR loans in repayment 6.0 % 6.6 % 9.1 % Loans in forbearance as a percentage of TDR loans in repayment and forbearance 8.8 % 8.6 % 12.4 % (1) Deferment includes customers who have returned to school or are engaged in other permitted educational activities and are not yet required to make payments on their loans, e.g., residency periods for medical students or a grace period for bar exam preparation. (2) Loans for customers who have requested extension of grace period generally during employment transition or who have temporarily ceased making full payments due to hardship or other factors such as disaster relief, including COVID-19 relief programs, consistent with established loan program servicing policies and procedures. (3) The period of delinquency is based on the number of days scheduled payments are contractually past due. 2. Allowance for Loan Losses (Continued) Private Education Loan Delinquencies Non-TDRs March 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 March 31, 2020 (Dollars in millions) Balance % Balance % Balance % Loans in-school/grace/deferment (1) $ 202 $ 203 $ 258 Loans in forbearance (2) 129 141 526 Loans in repayment and percentage of each status: Loans current 12,543 99.7 % 13,335 99.6 % 13,658 99.4 % Loans delinquent 31-60 days (3) 19 .1 26 .2 38 .3 Loans delinquent 61-90 days (3) 8 .1 12 .1 18 .1 Loans delinquent greater than 90 days (3) 15 .1 20 .1 32 .2 Total non-TDR loans in repayment 12,585 100 % 13,393 100 % 13,746 100 % Total non-TDR loans 12,916 13,737 14,530 Non-TDR loans allowance for losses (135 ) (160 ) (132 ) Non-TDR loans, net $ 12,781 $ 13,577 $ 14,398 Percentage of non-TDR loans in repayment 97.4 % 97.5 % 94.6 % Delinquencies as a percentage of non-TDR loans in repayment .3 % .4 % .6 % Loans in forbearance as a percentage of non- TDR loans in repayment and forbearance 1.0 % 1.0 % 3.7 % (1) Deferment includes customers who have returned to school or are engaged in other permitted educational activities and are not yet required to make payments on their loans, e.g., residency periods for medical students or a grace period for bar exam preparation. (2) Loans for customers who have requested extension of grace period generally during employment transition or who have temporarily ceased making full payments due to hardship or other factors such as disaster relief, including COVID-19 relief programs, consistent with established loan program servicing policies and procedures. (3) The period of delinquency is based on the number of days scheduled payments are contractually past due. |