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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
August 31, 2020
Page Five
Based on discussions with management, the stay-private scenario was assigned a weight of [***]%, the sale scenario was assigned a weight of [***]% and the IPO scenario was assigned a weight of [***]%. A dissolution scenario was assigned a weight of [***]%. In selecting these probabilities, consideration was given to the fact that the Company had not yet filed the Registration Statement, and significant company-specific risk remained surrounding the success of the Company’s product candidates, among other systemic risks in the biotechnology industry and markets, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. These weights were applied to the respective fair values under each scenario to determine a fair value of the common stock as of June 30, 2020 of $2.06 per share utilizing the Hybrid Method.
As of August 6, 2020, the Board determined that the estimated fair value of the Company’s common stock was $2.06 per share (the “Estimated Fair Value”) in consideration of the June 30, 2020 Valuation, and other objective and subjective factors as appropriate. As part of this determination, the Board concluded that no significant value-affecting events had taken place between the June 30, 2020 Valuation and the August 6, 2020 grant date that were not anticipated in the June 30, 2020 Valuation. In addition, as noted above, in its reassessment of the fair values of the Company’s common stock as of March 5, 2020, May 24, 2020 and June 9, 2020, the Company determined that the fair value as of such dates was consistent with the Estimated Fair Value.
August 15, 2020 Valuation (Used for August 21, 2020 Grants):
The Company obtained a third-party valuation of its common stock as of August 15, 2020 (the “August 15, 2020 Valuation”). In accordance with the AICPA Practice Aid, this valuation again used the Hybrid Method to address four probability-weighted scenarios: (1) a stay-private scenario with an estimated time to expiration of 11 months, (2) a sale scenario assuming a sale in [***], (3) an IPO scenario assuming an IPO in [***] and (4) a dissolution scenario.
In the stay-private scenario, the third-party valuation first determined an equity value by applying a growth factor based on the change in the market index and guideline company market capitalizations between the date of the August 15, 2020 Valuation and the June 30, 2020 Valuation. Then, the OPM was used to allocate the equity value across the Company’s classes and series of capital stock to determine the fair value of the Company’s common stock. In the stay-private scenario the value of the Company’s common stock to be $[***] per share on a marketable basis as of June 30, 2020. The third-party valuation then applied a [***]% DLOM to adjust the value, which indicated the value of the Company’s common stock on a non-marketable basis to be $[***] per share as of August 15, 2020.
In the sale scenario and the IPO scenario, the third-party valuation first reviewed comparable transactions of similar companies (e.g., standard industry classification code, development stage, business model, and industry focus) to determine an equity value. The equity value was determined based on the MVIC of guideline companies. The sale scenario then used the OPM to allocate the equity value of the common stock, which was determined to be $[***] per share on a marketable basis after discounting to present value based on a discount rate of [***]%. The third-party valuation then applied a DLOM of [***]% to adjust the value, which indicated the value of the Company’s common stock on a non-marketable basis to be $[***] per share. The IPO scenario allocated the equity value on a fully-diluted basis assuming conversion of all preferred stock into common stock, resulting in a value of the common stock of $[***] per share on a marketable basis after discounting to present value based on a discount rate of [***]%. The third-party valuation then applied a DLOM of [***]% to adjust the value, which indicated the value of the Company’s common stock on a non-marketable basis to be $[***] per share. The [***] in the value under the IPO scenario compared to the June 30, 2020 Valuation was primarily due to [***] in the equity value in the August 15, 2020 Valuation based on preliminary feedback received during “testing the waters” meetings, offset by [***] in the probability of an IPO from [***]% to [***]%.
[***] = Certain confidential information contained in this document, marked by bracketed asterisks, has been omitted and filed separately with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to 17 CFR §200.83.
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