Reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses | Reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses The reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the Company's estimated ultimate cost of all unreported and reported but unpaid insured claims and the cost to adjust these losses that have occurred as of or before the balance sheet date. Reserves are estimated using individual case-basis valuations of reported claims and statistical analyses. Case reserves are established for individual claims that have been reported to the Company, typically by the Company's insureds or their brokers. Based on the information provided, case reserves are established by estimating the ultimate losses from the claim, including defense costs associated with the ultimate settlement of the claim. Incurred-but-not-reported ("IBNR") reserves are determined using actuarial methods to estimate losses that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. The incurred Bornhuetter-Ferguson actuarial method ("BF method") is used to arrive at the Company's loss reserve estimates for each line of business. This method estimates the reserves based on the initial expected loss ratio and expected reporting patterns for losses. Because the Company has a limited number of years of loss experience compared to the period over which losses are expected to be reported, the Company uses industry and peer-group data, in addition to its own data, as a basis for selecting its expected reporting patterns. As part of the reserving process, the Company reviews historical data and considers the effect of various factors on claims development patterns including polices written on a "claims made" versus "occurrence" basis. Policies written on a claims made basis provide coverage to the insured only for losses incurred during the coverage period, and only if the claim was reported during a specified reporting period. Policies written on an occurrence basis provide coverage to the insured for liabilities arising from events occurring during the term of the policy, regardless of when a claim is actually made. Accordingly, claims related to policies written on an occurrence basis may arise many years after a policy has lapsed. Property losses, while written on an occurrence basis, are generally reported within a short time from the date of loss, and in most instances, property claims are settled and paid within a relatively short period of time. The following table presents a reconciliation of consolidated beginning and ending reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: December 31, 2020 2019 2018 (in thousands) Gross reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, beginning of year $ 460,058 $ 369,152 $ 315,717 Less: reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses 69,792 55,389 48,224 Adoption of new accounting standard for credit losses (282) — — Net reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, beginning of year 390,548 313,763 267,493 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses: Current year 277,140 178,986 135,078 Prior year (13,338) (9,423) (7,037) Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred 263,802 169,563 128,041 Payments: Current year 27,664 19,054 14,118 Prior year 74,403 74,006 67,653 Total payments 102,067 93,060 81,771 Net reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, end of year 552,283 390,266 313,763 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses, net of allowance 83,730 69,792 55,389 Gross reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, end of year $ 636,013 $ 460,058 $ 369,152 During the year ended December 31, 2020, our net incurred losses for accident years 2019 and prior developed favorably by $13.3 million. This favorable development included $10.5 million for the 2019 accident year and $1.8 million for accident year 2018. This favorable development was primarily due to reported losses emerging at a lower level than expected, largely across the other liability and excess lines of business. Current year incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for the year ended December 31, 2020 included $23.2 million of catastrophe losses primarily related to Hurricane Laura, Hurricane Sally and the California wildfires. During the year ended December 31, 2019, our net incurred losses for accident years 2018 and prior developed favorably by $9.4 million. This favorable development included $13.0 million for the 2018 accident year and $1.6 million for the 2017 accident year. This favorable development was primarily due to reported losses emerging at a lower level than expected, on the other liability and products liability lines of business. The favorable development was offset by adverse development of $5.2 million for the 2011 through 2015 accident years. The unfavorable development was primarily attributable to the other liability occurrence line of business. This adverse development largely resulted from management’s decision to lengthen the actuarial loss development factors to provide for emergence of reported losses over a longer period of time based on trends observed in loss experience, which added a modest amount of conservatism to the Company’s IBNR reserves. During the year ended December 31, 2018, our net incurred losses for accident years 2017 and prior developed favorably by $7.0 million. This favorable development included $6.8 million for the 2017 accident year, $3.8 million for the 2016 accident year. This favorable development was primarily due to reported losses emerging at a lower level than expected, across most lines of business. The favorable development was offset in part by adverse development of $3.6 million for the 2011 through 2015 accident years. The unfavorable development was primarily attributable to the other liability occurrence line of business. Incurred and Paid Claims Development The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2020, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of IBNR liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts. The development and claims duration tables below exclude commuted multi-line quota-share reinsurance treaty ("MLQS") contracts, which would distort development patterns related to those transactions. Cumulative number of reported claims is reported on a per claim basis. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2011 to December 31, 2019, is presented as unaudited supplementary information. Property Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2020 Accident Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims ($ in thousands) 2016 $ 4,177 $ 3,392 $ 3,301 $ 3,278 $ 3,270 $ — 286 2017 12,473 11,705 11,676 11,631 19 1,041 2018 11,559 12,004 12,698 88 649 2019 14,914 13,909 430 636 2020 40,612 7,139 2,189 Total $ 82,120 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 ($ in thousands) 2016 $ 1,867 $ 3,257 $ 3,265 $ 3,265 $ 3,270 2017 9,938 11,233 11,602 11,608 2018 9,132 11,646 12,599 2019 9,852 12,581 2020 19,897 Total 59,955 All outstanding liabilities before 2016, net of reinsurance — Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 22,165 Historical Claims Duration The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2020: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 Property 66.9 % 23.3 % 3.6 % — % 0.2 % Casualty - Claims Made Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2020 Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unaudited 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Unaudited 2020 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 2011 $ 4,246 $ 3,844 $ 3,646 $ 3,609 $ 3,560 $ 3,374 $ 3,261 $ 3,225 $ 3,206 $ 3,177 $ 73 76 2012 7,913 5,749 4,205 3,102 2,845 2,477 2,314 2,207 2,136 190 138 2013 15,238 11,639 9,113 7,917 7,002 6,463 6,128 6,087 465 228 2014 18,847 14,289 11,748 11,217 10,948 10,988 10,620 824 273 2015 18,883 16,777 14,896 13,583 13,942 13,548 1,378 258 2016 19,170 14,693 14,675 14,322 13,583 2,116 310 2017 18,116 17,097 16,120 15,794 3,703 369 2018 22,429 20,234 18,612 7,275 458 2019 34,693 29,056 17,500 538 2020 55,630 48,966 738 Total $ 168,243 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 139 $ 1,037 $ 1,392 $ 2,116 $ 3,044 $ 3,042 $ 3,042 $ 3,065 $ 3,104 $ 3,104 2012 153 475 877 1,024 1,090 1,882 1,946 1,946 1,946 2013 499 1,915 4,436 5,070 5,320 5,439 5,482 5,612 2014 435 1,865 5,039 6,385 8,290 9,415 9,491 2015 217 4,496 7,563 9,238 11,372 11,522 2016 1,158 3,015 6,907 9,839 11,381 2017 340 4,897 8,252 10,484 2018 507 5,030 8,931 2019 2,487 6,005 2020 1,002 Total 69,478 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 9 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 98,774 Casualty - Occurrence Incurred Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, As of December 31, 2020 Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total of IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims 2011 $ 5,839 $ 5,940 $ 5,757 $ 7,340 $ 7,613 $ 8,142 $ 8,375 $ 9,023 $ 9,379 $ 9,318 $ 360 227 2012 16,977 17,436 18,803 20,401 20,579 22,001 22,401 23,223 23,197 1,288 586 2013 30,616 28,771 28,037 29,039 31,731 33,248 33,973 33,128 2,978 856 2014 47,805 40,668 38,049 36,678 39,313 41,859 42,434 5,843 1,196 2015 59,717 51,739 49,122 52,100 54,697 54,090 9,323 1,496 2016 61,440 55,680 53,549 55,534 57,401 13,928 1,434 2017 71,126 67,151 68,985 70,641 24,096 1,632 2018 86,157 78,331 78,386 44,307 1,606 2019 112,266 109,994 81,322 1,644 2020 154,619 146,945 1,076 Total $ 633,208 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 207 $ 1,596 $ 2,519 $ 3,788 $ 4,575 $ 6,363 $ 6,868 $ 8,510 $ 8,693 $ 8,745 2012 757 4,441 7,850 11,238 14,382 16,474 19,383 20,707 21,408 2013 1,099 4,469 7,957 14,890 21,348 26,715 28,248 29,610 2014 698 3,081 8,489 17,576 23,771 31,026 34,338 2015 941 3,161 12,685 28,385 37,690 41,724 2016 1,099 6,015 17,225 28,924 34,437 2017 1,581 9,352 22,407 37,736 2018 2,638 10,995 22,860 2019 3,944 16,687 2020 2,400 Total 249,945 All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance 46 Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 383,309 Historical Claims Duration The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2020: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Casualty - claims made 4.9 % 21.2 % 24.3 % 14.4 % 13.6 % 10.1 % 1.1 % 1.0 % 0.6 % — % Casualty - occurrence 2.5 % 10.3 % 14.8 % 20.2 % 13.8 % 13.8 % 7.6 % 9.1 % 2.5 % 0.6 % Reconciliation of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows: (in thousands) December 31, 2020 Net outstanding liabilities Property $ 22,165 Casualty - claims made 98,774 Casualty - occurrence 383,309 Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance 504,248 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims Property 10,800 Casualty - claims made 61,100 Casualty - occurrence 11,830 Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims 83,730 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 48,035 Gross liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense $ 636,013 |